Friday, November 20, 2020

UK coronavirus job losses: the latest data on redundancies and furloughs

Antonio Voce, Ashley Kirk and Richard Partington
Thu, 19 November 2020 THE GUARDIAN



Tens of thousands of people are being made redundant in the UK as the coronavirus pandemic stalls the economy.

After a nationwide lockdown was imposed on 23 March to try to halt the spread of the virus, all non-essential retail and hospitality had to stop, putting intense pressure on companies to stay afloat.

Britain’s economy plunged into the deepest recession since modern records began. Gross domestic product fell by 20.4% in the three months to the end of June, the biggest decline of any major nation, following the later imposition of lockdown than in other countries and slower relaxation of restrictions. Almost three-quarters of a million jobs have been lost from company payrolls since the start of the crisis.

Even now, with the economy slowly reopening, many businesses fear that they are no longer viable with social distancing measures limiting customer numbers and behaviour.

As a result, companies have announced tens of thousands of redundancies, and with millions more people on furlough, experts say this number will get higher. The government’s economics forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), has said unemployment could more than double by the end of this year to the highest levels since the 1980s. Aviation, retail, hospitality and leisure are among the hardest-hit sectors.

In the coming months, the Guardian will track these redundancy numbers as they are announced.
Furloughs point at more to come

While the UK’s number of redundancies is high, the number who have been furloughed is far higher. More than 9m jobs at more than 1m companies in Britain have been furloughed since the launch of the government’s wage subsidy scheme in March.

The coronavirus job retention scheme is being scaled back from August and will close entirely at the end of October, at which point experts warn that furloughs could become permanent redundancies.

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This is particularly the case in at-risk sectors such as hospitality which, without a vaccine or treatment that limits the need for social distancing, will face low labour demand and significant revenue hits for the foreseeable future.

When the furlough scheme ends, some think that the redundancy count will get higher. The OBR estimates that at least 10% of furloughed workers will become unemployed.

Steve Turner, the assistant general secretary of the Unite union, told the Commons business select committee: “I am fearful of a tsunami of job losses. Firms are now starting to cut their cloth to meet their needs, which will be devastating for jobs, skills and long-term resistance.”
What’s been included?

The number of redundancies shown in the visualisation are, where possible, for UK employees. In the few instances where it is not possible to break down a company’s announcement of global redundancies, we have included this number but have marked it out.

The Guardian has sourced information on company redundancies from their own announcements and media reports. While every effort has been made to include every redundancy we are aware of, the numbers listed will be an underestimate and will miss announcements from smaller companies.
Tell us more

If you are aware of any redundancies that are not included on our tracker, please fill in the form below and we will look into it.


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