Thursday, May 27, 2021

UN envoy warns of possible civil war in Myanmar
By The Associated Press • Updated: 24/05/2021

Anti-coup protesters flash the three-finger salute during a demonstration against the military takeover, in Yangon, Myanmar, Monday, May 24, 2021. - Copyright AP Photo

The United Nations special envoy for Myanmar warned Monday of possible civil war in the country, saying people are arming themselves against the military junta and protesters have started shifting from defensive to offensive actions, using homemade weapons and training from some ethnic armed groups.

Chrisrine Schraner Burgener told a virtual UN news conference that people are starting self-defence actions because they are frustrated and fear attacks by the military, which carried out a coup on February 1 against the democratically elected government, and is using “a huge scale of violence.”

A civil war “could happen,” she said, and that’s why for the past three weeks from her base now in Thailand she has discussed with many key parties the idea of starting an inclusive dialogue that would include ethnic armed groups, political parties, civil society, strike committees and the army, known as the Tatmadaw, as well as a small group of witnesses from the international community.




“Clearly it will not be easy to convince especially both sides to come to a table, but I offer my good offices ... to avoid more bloodshed and civil war which would last a long time,” Schraner Burgener said. “We are worried about the situation and clearly we want that people on the ground ... decide how they want to see the country going back to normal.”

Calling the situation in Myanmar “very bad,” she pointed to more than 800 people killed, over 5,300 arrested, and more than 1,800 arrest warrants issued by the military.


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The U.N. envoy also cited reports of unconfirmed deaths, injuries, and damage to houses and civilian property in the town of Mindat in western Chin state, where the junta declared martial law because of armed resistance to military rule. She also pointed to new reports of increased violence in Kayah state — also known as Karenni state — in eastern Myanmar and in southern Shan state.

Myanmar for five decades had languished under strict military rule that led to international isolation and sanctions. As the generals loosened their grip, culminating in Aung San Suu Kyi’s rise to leadership in 2015 elections, the international community responded by lifting most sanctions and pouring investment into the country. The coup took place following November elections, which Suu Kyi’s party won overwhelmingly and the military contests as fraudulent.


Suu Kyi appeared in court in person for the first time since the coup on Monday on a variety of charges, amid threats by the military to disband her National League for Democracy party which won 82% of the vote in November’s election. Her lawyer, Min Min Soe, said Suu Kyi wanted to tell Myanmar’s people that the party was founded for them, and “the NLD will exist as long as the people exist.”

Schraner Burgener called the military’s attempt to ban the NLD “unacceptable” and said, “I also hope the NLD will survive because this is the will of the people.”

The UN envoy had an hour-long meeting with the junta’s military commander, Senior Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, on the sidelines of a meeting last month of the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations, known as ASEAN, which includes Myanmar. ASEAN issued a five-point action plan that calls for stopping violence, constructive dialogue, appointment of an ASEAN special envoy as mediator, humanitarian aid and the mediator’s visit to Myanmar.

But Schraner Burgener said a day later general Hlaing said he would consider the five points when the situation in Myanmar is stable. And on Sunday he reportedly said in an interview with Chinese television “that he doesn’t see those five points can be implemented.”

“So clearly it’s up to ASEAN how to react,” she said. “Clearly, we should be aware that time is ticking and we have not a lot of time to see action on the ground, because time will just play in the hands of the military junta.”

Schraner Burgener said the Tatmadaw declared on Sunday that it had changed the rules for the retirement age of the commander-in-chief which means Hlaing “could stay for life in this position.”

After her meeting with general Hlaing, which they agreed to keep private, the U.N. envoy asked to go to Myanmar to continue the discussion, but she said he replied “still it’s not the right time.” She said she isn’t giving up her efforts because she believes people would probably be encouraged by her presence. She still has an office in the capital, Naypyitaw, and said she receives daily reports from many people in the country.

Schraner Burgener stressed that the UN is trying to stop the violence, which started with the military coup.

“Clearly it’s sad to see that people have to use arms,” she said.

Local citizens have formed a so-called People’s Defence Force with the National Unity Government, which “must try and bring them under a single command structure,” Schraner Burgener said, and protesters are shifting to offencive actions. Every day, she added, “explosions” happen anywhere, which is scaring the people.

Schraner Burgener said ethnic armed groups told her in meetings that they support the people and now have “a common enemy,” but she said it’s difficult to see how their mainly home-made weapons can go up against “a very strong army who have a lot of lethal weapons.”

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The attacks are part of a wider upsurge in violence that has occurred since the military overthrew elected leader Aung San Suu Kyi on February 1. AFP

A UN envoy said on Monday that a recent spate of attacks by increasingly organised civilian fighters on Myanmar's security forces is pushing the country closer towards civil war.

UN negotiator Christine Schraner Burgener said so-called People’s Defence Force (PDF) units have staged a series of strikes against police and security forces in recent days.

The attacks are part of a wider upsurge in violence that has occurred since the military overthrew elected leader Aung San Suu Kyi on February 1 and then launched a deadly crackdown on pro-democracy protests.



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“Protesters have started to shift from defensive to the offensive, with sometimes home-made weapons or receiving military training from certain ethnic armed organisations,” Ms Schraner Burgener told reporters via video link from Thailand.

“The people are really frustrated and fearing attacks. And they just told me that they need to have self-defence. And if this leads to a civil war – [it] could happen.”


PDF fighters seized a police station in the town of Mobye on Sunday, killing at least 13 soldiers, torching the building and detaining four men, likely police officers, according to local media.

Ms Schraner Burgener said PDF units were setting off “explosions” at military targets across the country and that there is a “huge long list” of reports she has collected about attacks staged by the increasingly organised armed civilians.

An anti-coup shadow government is stitching together PDF units from across the country “under a single command structure”, added the UN envoy, though she questioned whether it could effectively threaten the military, known as the Tatmadaw.

“The weapons, they are mostly handmade,” Ms Schraner Burgener said in answer to a question from The National.

“It's difficult to combat with a very strong army [that] still has a lot of lethal weapons.”

Some ethnic militias that have fought the central government for greater autonomy for decades have rallied behind the protesters, bringing fighting to the peripheries of the country.

At the weekend, shooting broke out near the Chinese border and an armed ethnic group opposed to the junta launched an attack on a jade mining town near the Indian border.

Myanmar has been in chaos and its economy paralysed since the putsch. More than 800 people have died and more than 5,000 have been arrested since the military moved to crack down on dissent.

The country’s deposed leader Ms Suu Kyi appeared in person at a court hearing on Monday for the first time since her government was ousted by the military, her lawyer told Reuters.

The 75-year-old appeared to be in good health and held a face-to-face meeting with her legal team for about 30 minutes before the hearing, said her lawyer Thae Maung Maung.

Ms Suu Kyi, a Nobel Peace Prize laureate who struggled for decades to build up democracy in the country, is among the thousands of people detained since the coup. She faces charges that include illegally possessing walkie-talkie radios to violating a state secrets law.

Junta leader Min Aung Hlaing has justified his power grab by citing alleged electoral fraud in the November elections, which Ms Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy party won in a landslide.

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