It’s possible that I shall make an ass of myself. But in that case one can always get out of it with a little dialectic. I have, of course, so worded my proposition as to be right either way (K.Marx, Letter to F.Engels on the Indian Mutiny)
Wednesday, February 02, 2022
(Dreamstime)
By David Opinko
Feb 1, 2022 | 12:16 PM
LETHBRIDGE, AB – A few schools in the province will no longer be requiring their staff and students to wear face masks.
A spokesperson with Alberta Health confirmed to LNN that Chief Medical Officer of Health Dr. Deena Hinshaw has granted face mask exemptions to 14 schools.
It is not clear, however, which ones those are.
The province told us that they cannot identify the specific schools “due to privacy concerns.”
We asked officials if they could tell us which communities these schools are located in but to no avail.
In order to be eligible for an exemption, schools need to develop and implement an alternative COVID-19 safety plan and post the details online. The school would also have to contact Alberta Health for approval.
These plans must still meet the current requirements for physical distancing, ensuring that staff, students, and visitors maintain a minimum of two metres of distance from one another while indoors.
Currently, it is mandatory for all students in Grades 4 and up, including staff and teachers, to remain masked. Masking is recommended for those in K-3 classes.
They are also required on school buses.
You can learn about COVID-19 rules in Alberta schools here.
By: Katie May
Posted: Wednesday, Feb. 2, 2022
After spending 12 hours in a packed ER waiting room, a Winnipeg woman is speaking out about what she witnessed, expressing an urgent need for more resources for hospital staff and Winnipeg’s inner-city population.
Julie Van Zyl was in severe pain from an ectopic pregnancy and thought her fallopian tube had ruptured when she went to the Health Sciences Centre emergency department on the afternoon of Jan. 17. When she left the hospital around 3:30 the next morning, she couldn’t yet process what she had seen or heard.
Submitted photo
Julie Van Zyl (pictured with her toddler sons) spent 12 hours waiting in severe pain in the Health Sciences Centre Emergency waiting room from Jan. 17 to Jan. 18. The experience prompted her to speak out about the need for more support both for hospital staff and Winnipeg’s inner-city population.
"It was just a really hard situation to see, because it was pure chaos. And I don’t think the nurses and doctors stopped for a minute," she said.
The province has said overall hospitalizations are now on the decline in this Omicron wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, but intensive-care unit admissions are still on the rise, and many of those patients will have first showed up in an ER waiting room. On Tuesday, hospitalizations in Manitoba increased by two over the past 24 hours, for a total of 737 people with COVID-19 admitted to hospital, including 54 in intensive care. Only 138 out of 1,433 medical beds were available in hospitals across Manitoba as of Monday evening.
Van Zyl had tested positive on a COVID-19 rapid test and had been isolating at home with no symptoms of the virus before the pain took her to the ER, so she waited in a curtained area full of other COVID-positive patients, some of whom were sleeping on the floor.
"I was hesitating, ‘Do I go to the ER?’ But I was in pain to the point where I couldn’t walk. So it was that horrible feeling of, I’m COVID-positive, but I have to go to the hospital," she said.
As they waited, some patients got increasingly angry, banging walls and begging for painkillers or some food. Ambulances kept pulling up with more patients, and loudspeaker announcements kept urging staff to work overtime. She heard one ER patient say he’d been stabbed. Another had eye pain. Someone else appeared to need a bandage changed after suffering frostbite, Van Zyl said.
"There wasn’t enough space, there wasn’t enough… staff, and you could tell that they didn’t feel like they had the resources that they need," she said.
"They’re just treading water."
Van Zyl said she heard staff offering cab fare to some patients, telling them their vitals were stable and asking if they’d like to go home and book a doctor’s appointment for the next day, rather than continue to wait in the ER overnight. They declined.
"This is an issue that I imagine HSC has faced forever, which is people coming to (the ER), because that’s the only place they know to go when they’re having problems, but their problems aren’t emergencies," Van Zyl said.
Eventually, she got an ultrasound that determined she hadn’t suffered a rupture. But because she had COVID, there was limited space where the ultrasound could be performed. She said she was taken into the hospital’s former family room adjacent to the waiting room. There was no lock on the door. On the other side of it, a fight broke out between waiting patients, Van Zyl said.
"I was there 12 hours for something life-threatening and there were people who were probably there hours and hours more than I was," she said. "It was so sad."
As someone who’s worked in the social-services sector for more than a decade, Van Zyl said the experience made clear to her that leaders need to support health-care staff and invest more resources for people who are homeless or transient, to lessen the burden on the health-care system.
"I really feel for the inner-city and the health-care system, and then COVID on top of that — it’s just really shined the light on the lack of support and the lack of resources… nothing’s working right now."
A spokesperson for Shared Health said: "Patients seeking care in an emergency department are immediately assessed by a triage nurse and prioritized for care according to their needs. Those in most urgent/emergent need of care are seen very quickly. Others, whose health concerns may be less urgent, can expect to wait longer particularly if more urgent patients present for care during the course of their wait."
— with files from Danielle Da Silva
katie.may@freepress.mb.ca
Katie May
Reporter
Katie May is a general-assignment reporter for the Free Press.
CTV News Edmonton
Published Jan. 31, 2022
A University of Alberta-led transportation study is putting forward recommendations on how to make public transit more accessible for women.
The study also indicates that women are the most frequent riders of public transport in Canada.
A short-term investment into analyzing their ridership behaviour “will pay for itself in the long run,” researchers noted.
When looking at travel patterns on Canada’s largest transit systems, the study found that women were using public transit most often at off-peak times such as mid-afternoons, evenings and late at night, sometimes making multiple stops.
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“Unfortunately, these travel behaviours are not well served by public transit in its current state,” Priyanka Babbar, a U of A graduate student who worked on the project, said.
The review looked at 18 public transit systems from Canada’s eight largest metropolitan areas. It found that while general themes emerged, no two transit systems were the same.
Moving forward, researchers have made some policy recommendations to help better accommodate transit’s most frequent users.
Recommendations include:
A more thorough investigation of women’s travel behaviours
Exploring novel avenues for gender-based data collection
Increasing the number of women employed in the transit sector
“With further research on how women travel, transit agencies will be well equipped to make informed policy decisions on how to best allocate service,” Babbar added.
“There’s definitely a short-term cost, but over time, if you give people high quality service, everyone benefits.”
To read the full study, click here.
Chief Peter Sloly said the police intend to step up enforcement and will pursue criminal charges against participants who broke the law
Author of the article:Ryan Tumilty
Publishing date:Feb 02, 2022
OTTAWA – Ottawa Police Chief Peter Sloly said the city has considered all options to end a now six-day protest that has clogged streets around Parliament Hill including using the military, as more protesters are expected to descend on the city this weekend.
What began as a convoy of truckers protesting a vaccine mandate for cross-border travel has become a broader protest against all COVID restrictions, including mask mandates and lockdowns.
Sloly said his officers are fatigued and stretched after days of policing the protest that has come with major disruptions.
“The range of illegal, dangerous and unacceptable activities is beyond the ability to list and the time that we have there today,” he told a meeting of city councillors.
He said the police intend to step up enforcement and will pursue criminal charges against participants who broke the law. The number of trucks on Ottawa streets thinned somewhat on Wednesday, but they’re still enough to blockade several streets in the downtown core and close some of the interprovincial bridges.
The city’s downtown mall, the Rideau Centre with nearly 200 stores, has been closed since Saturday and announced it intends to stay that way until at least Sunday. Dozens of other downtown businesses have also been closed since the convoy’s arrival and residents have complained about harassment from protesters.
Premier asks protesters to 'let the people of Ottawa live their lives'
Remaining protesters say they will not leave until all COVID restrictions are lifted
Sloly said the police expect more demonstrators to return to the city over the weekend and that a core group are essentially occupying the city. He said they’re negotiating with some groups, but other participants in the event have shown no interest in talking to police about reducing the impact of their demonstration on residents.
“The more this demonstration continues, the more the risk to public safety increases. Every option is on the table to resolve this demonstration. That said, there may not be a policing solution to this demonstration.”
He said he was also watching the border blockade in Coutts, Alta., where a large group of truckers have cut off access to the United States.
RCMP moved in on that convoy on Tuesday, but had limited success in ending the blockade.
Ottawa residents and city councillors have complained the police aren’t doing enough to bring an end to the protest, while police have set up barricades to prevent vehicles from coming and going, protesters have been able to bring fuel to the semi-trucks parked around Parliament that are running 24 hours a day and sounding their horns at all hours.
Coun. Diane Deans, who is also the police board chair, apologized to residents for the ongoing disruption.
“I am sorry for the living hell that you are enduring,” she said. “We live in the nation’s capital, home of our democracy. We expect protests and demonstrations, but we don’t expect this.
Sloly said the city has considered asking the military for help, but warned the military are not trained for policing and bringing them in would come with downsides.
“We’re looking at every single option, including military aid to civil power,” he said. “As I said before, every option is being looked at. None of the options create a beautiful, elegant, simple, safe solution. They all come with massive risks. That option in particular, would come with massive risks.”
Some of the protest leaders put out a news release on Wednesday. In it they said the only way to end the protest was for politicians to end all COVID-19 mandates.
“Our message to the citizens of Ottawa is one of empathy. We understand your frustration and genuinely wish there was another way for us to get our message across, but the responsibility for your inconvenience lies squarely on the shoulders of politicians who have preferred to vilify and call us names rather than engage in respectful, serious dialogue,” said convoy leader Chris Barber. “The fastest way to get us out of the nation’s capital, is to call your elected representatives and end all C-19 mandates.”
Sloly said they have support and additional officers from several other police forces, including Toronto, Hamilton and York Region as well as the OPP and RCMP.
The Parliamentary Protective Service, which is overseen by the RCMP, manages security on Parliament Hill itself, but Ottawa Police have jurisdiction on the streets just off the hill. Sloly said the RCMP have offered more resources, but the Mounties have limits on the number of people they can bring as well.
Public Safety Minister Marco Mendicino said they’re working closely with the Ottawa police and he encouraged the protesters to go home.
“We’re doing everything we can to support Ottawa Police and as I say those lines of communication have been open. They are speaking every day. They’re speaking virtually every hour and they’re taking decisions on the ground operationally to ensure that there is community safety.”
• Email: rtumilty@postmedia.com | Twitter: ryantumilty
Sean Amato
CTV News Edmonton
Published Feb. 1, 2022
The Alberta New Democrats raked in the cash last year, collecting more than $6 million in donations in 2021. Their rivals, the governing UCP, raised just under $4 million.
The NDP raised more money than all other parties combined, including more than $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2021. The UCP raised $1.2 million during that time.
"There were 32,771 unique donations to Alberta’s NDP in the quarter, including 1,431 new donors. The average donation size was $63.80," party officials wrote in a celebratory news release.
“I am incredibly grateful to each and every Albertan who has trusted us with their support, especially those who are donating for the first time,” said NDP Leader Rachel Notley.
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Pro-life Alberta, a party that totalled just 60 votes in the last provincial election, ranked third ahead of the Alberta Party who collected nearly 172,000 votes in 2019.
The Wildrose Independence Party, which often polled third in Alberta in 2021, was fifth in dollars raised.
Only residents of Alberta can contribute directly to political parties, to a maximum of $4,243 each person, each year.
Corporations and unions are only permitted to donate to third party advertisers, Elections Alberta said.
The latest numbers, including details on who donated and how much, were available on Elections Alberta's website on Tuesday.
United Conservatives – $3,796,905
Pro-life Alberta – $338,342
Alberta Party – $239,260
Wildrose Independence – $184,190
Liberals – $114,398
Green Party – $15,232
Independence Party – $7,633
Alberta Advantage – $1,190
Communist Party – $300
Author of the article: Lisa Johnson
Publishing date: Feb 01, 2022 •
Alberta’s NDP pulled in more cash than ever last year as it continued to out-fundraise the governing UCP, according to the latest numbers released Tuesday by Elections Alberta.
In 2021, the NDP raised about $6.2 million compared to the United Conservative’s $3.8 million.
The NDP said in a release the party’s “best-ever fundraising year” was fuelled by more than 1,400 new donors.
From Oct. 1 to the end of December, Rachel Notley’s New Democrats pulled in more than $2 million and have won the political fundraising contest in every quarter since inching past Premier Jason Kenney’s United Conservatives by only about $16,000 in 2020 .
The UCP made significant gains in the tail end of 2021, including collecting $1.2 million through its central party and constituency associations in the fourth quarter after starting the year by raising only $590,000 in the first quarter.
UCP communications director Dave Prisco said in a statement the party was happy to see a surge in online donations.
“But like everyone else, we miss the days when we could hold in-person events and can’t wait to get back to it,” Prisco wrote.
Notley said in the release she is grateful to everyone who donated to her party, especially those who did so for the first time.
“We’re going to continue to present a positive plan to help Alberta families get ahead and protect their access to the health care we all rely on,” said Notley.
NDP provincial secretary Brandon Stevens added the numbers show Albertans want leadership that’s focused on job creation, affordability, and protecting access to public health care — not MLAs focused on political party infighting.
Far behind the two most well-funded parties in the province, the Pro-Life Alberta Political Association raised $338,000, the Alberta Party $239,000 and the Wildrose Independence Party $184,000 in 2021.
lijohnson@postmedia.com
Experts said Moe based his claims on a partial, truncated set of data that public health science does not consider useful.
Author of the article: Zak Vescera
Publishing date: Feb 01, 2022
Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe isn’t budging from false claims that COVID-19 vaccines are not reducing risk of infection or transmission of the Omicron variant.
Moe said Monday that while the shots prevent hospitalization, he does not believe they prevent infection or transmission.
Public health experts, virologists and infectious disease doctors were quick to say that’s not true based on the best available science.
Moe’s office said his comments stand and are supported by data from Saskatchewan’s COVID-19 testing.
Dr. Cordell Neudorf, the Saskatchewan Health Authority’s acting senior medical health officer, said the data Moe references is partial, biased and not useful for making any conclusion about vaccine efficiency
“There’s all kinds of problems with the data that he’s using,” Neudorf said.
“We both agree this vaccine is far less effective against transmission than previous variants, but it still has enough impact that we need to be strenuously supporting it and encouraging people to get immunized.”
MOE’S REASONING
Imagine two hypothetical groups of Saskatchewan people, identical except one is vaccinated and the other is not.
In theory, COVID-19 case rates in those groups would give policymakers an idea of whether the vaccine is holding up. That appears to be the assumption Moe made about Saskatchewan’s PCR testing data.
The past week of results show vaccinated people are more likely to test positive. Moe made the conclusion while announcing details about plans to scrap Saskatchewan’s proof of vaccination system, which he argued was no longer preventing transmission.
“What the data is saying, ultimately, is that the infection rate we have, the new cases we have in this province, are roughly about the same in vaccinated and unvaccinated people,” Moe said.
“For anyone to say differently, it’s frankly not the case.”
In reality, however, the PCR data Moe cited is no longer a true reflection of how COVID-19 is spreading in the community, Neudorf noted.
Overwhelming demand for testing prompted the government to restrict PCR testing to people with worsening COVID-19 symptoms, health-care workers, people going into long-term care or acute care settings, those who are part of a declared outbreak and those who are immunocompromised. People with no or few symptoms are asked to use rapid antigen tests; their results are not reported to or recorded by the government.
Neudorf said many of the groups prioritized for PCR testing are much more likely to be vaccinated but also more likely to get sick by virtue of age, medical vulnerability or being part of a confirmed outbreak.
“Increasingly, from a public health perspective, we’re not even able to use that case data very much now because it’s so truncated,” Neudorf said.
Together with the very short timeline of one week, he said the sample is so biased that the data can’t be used to make any determination about how effective a vaccine is.
“You’re already biasing your sample in terms of people who have higher immunization rates and people who are most vulnerable to getting sick.”
The cohort example also only works if vaccinated and unvaccinated Saskatchewan residents are equally likely to seek PCR testing
University of Saskatchewan epidemiology professor Dr. Nazeem Muhajarine said he is not convinced that’s true. He has spent more than a year polling Saskatchewan residents and noted unvaccinated people, by and large, don’t report seeing COVID-19 as a risk.
“Moe’s statement that the vaccine isn’t protecting doesn’t hold any water. It is skewing the data, and really trying to tell a particular story or narrative that ‘now we can move on,’ ” Muhajarine said.
NDP Opposition Leader Ryan Meili said Moe twisted facts to justify decisions to drop restrictions.
“There will come a day where COVID-19 will be endemic, and if I could make that day today I would do it in a heartbeat. But that day is not today,” Meili said.
WHAT THE SCIENCE SAYS
A growing body of scientific research agrees Omicron evades vaccine immunity better than its predecessors, but vaccinated people are still more protected from infection — especially with a third dose — and are also less likely to transmit the virus to other people.
A recent Toronto study found people with just two doses had decreased immunity against Omicron compared to Delta — but a week after a booster dose, protection against symptomatic infection shot up to more than 60 per cent.
“A lot of vaccines that we have before COVID, if you get 60 per cent, that’s very decent. Some influenza vaccines are lower than that in terms of preventing infection,” Muhajarine said.
Dr. Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at the U of S’s Vaccine and Infectious Disease Organization, said studies in multiple countries show existing vaccines still protect against infection, transmission and severe outcomes. Those studies take steps to control or account for external factors and have delivered consistent results, creating a strong set of data that vaccines are still helping against Omicron.
“I think what the public is confused by is this is being presented by the premier as an issue of absolutes — vaccines prevent infection or they don’t. And nothing works that way with the immune system,” Rasmussen said on Monday.
“What’s really disappointing to me about this statement is really that these statements are things that the anti-vaccine movement relies upon. They take the truth about vaccines and they twist them to make it seem as if vaccines are not having any effect, and may even be dangerous.”
Neudorf said he wants politicians and public health officials to get back on the same team by promoting vaccination and all of its benefits.
“This war of statistics is not helping things.”
Sask. Medical Association disappointed, alarmed by premier’s comments
On Tuesday, the Saskatchewan Medical Association (SMA) put out a news release basically shaking its head at Premier Scott Moe and urging him to reconsider recent decisions and remarks.
On the weekend, the premier promised to remove the COVID-19 vaccination or test mandate, and on Monday he doubled down on that position, saying it could happen before the end of February.
In its statement, the SMA said doctors are disappointed and alarmed by the premier’s statements, and asked the government to continue on with current restrictions. The association also took issue with Moe’s statements claiming the COVID vaccine doesn’t protect against the spread of the currently dominant Omicron variant.
“The premier’s statements continue to ignore the advice of medical experts at a time when COVID-19 hospitalizations have reached their highest levels since the start of the pandemic,” wrote Dr. Eben Strydom, president of the SMA.
“It shows no empathy for the thousands of health-care workers who are bearing the unrelenting weight of caring for such high volumes of COVID-19 patients and the impact that has on other health services.”
Given that hospitalizations hit a pandemic high on Monday and then exceeded that mark Tuesday, Strydom said in a subsequent interview the premier’s comments couldn’t have come at a worse time.
“I think everybody’s tired of the COVID situation and would like to see a change, but at this stage, we have record numbers of hospitalizations — luckily ICU numbers are not as bad — but we’re not out of the woods yet and we are concerned that people might get the idea that we are,” said Strydom.
Strydom said there were inaccuracies that Moe was putting forth about vaccines, specifically that vaccines don’t help prevent a person getting COVID.
“I think the data is clear that vaccines do prevent infection with Omicron, and thereby reduce the chances of spreading it,” said Strydom.
Vaccination is about 90 per cent effective at reducing the severity of COVID illness, and about 60 per cent effective at preventing symptomatic infection with the third dose, according to the association.
Strydom conceded vaccines are not 100 per cent effective, but that’s why other measures like distancing, masking and hand washing have been used to reduce risk.
On Monday, Moe said he’s just following the data when asked where he’s getting the information informing his statements and decisions around the vaccine policy. Strydom said he hasn’t seen the data Moe was referencing, but he would like to see it published publicly to create a more transparent approach.
“All of us want to see the end of this pandemic. We can’t wait for that day, but that day is not now. And we need to be careful otherwise we’ll end up in the same situation that we were in the fourth wave with numbers that paralyze our system,” said Strydom.
In the statement, Strydom said the government should only consider lifting measures when COVID cases are steadily declining, when hospitalizations are down to the low double-digits, and when there are fewer than 10 people with COVID in the ICU.
“Rather than picking an arbitrary date for changing public health measures, the government should use clear goals and targets as the triggers. Physicians expect and citizens deserve government decisions be based on sound medical science, not personal preference or political expediency,” Strydom said in the statement.
Other doctors have said they feel there’s a disconnect between the messages the government is sending and what’s really happening in health care. Strydom agreed there is some tension and called it unfortunate.
“We would like to have a more collective and collaborative approach to make it better,” said Strydom.
The doctor said with something like this, it’s important they’re all on the same page because everyone wants the same outcome — to protect patients, health-care capacity and the economy, and to go on with life.
CANADA
NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh throws support behind drug decriminalization bill
OTTAWA - The federal NDP hopes to push the government to take stronger action on the opioid crisis with a new private member’s bill decriminalizing the possession of drugs for personal use.
NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh is putting his weight behind the bill, tabled by his NDP colleague Gord Johns, decriminalizing the possession of small amounts of drugs including cocaine and heroin.
Singh wants to change the law to make it easier to helpdrug users,treating them as people with a health problem, rather than criminals. He said 20,000 Canadians have died of an overdose over the last five years, accusing the government of not treating the issue with sufficient urgency.
The NDP leader is to front a panel of MPs and stakeholders on Thursday calling on the government to back the bill.
A private member’s bill, especially when put forward by an opposition MP, has a far lower chance of surviving the legislative steps to become law, than a government bill. NDP MP Don Davies introduced a similar bill last year that fizzled out.
But the party believes this bill will be debated and put to a vote because it has been introduced early in the life of the new Parliament. Johns came in fourth in a random draw of MPs to determine the order of precedence for private member’s bills.
Johns, the NDP addictions spokesman, said he was hopeful that MPs from all parties, and not just his party, would back the bill.
“This shouldn’t be a partisan issue,” Johns said. “We need to decriminalize immediately and save lives by providing access to a regulated safer supply of drugs for users.“
The bill would also allow Canadians to have criminal convictions for possession of drugs expunged, which Johns said would help them get jobs and housing.
Singh accused the government of ignoring calls from public health experts to decriminalize personal drug use, saying the delay was costing lives.
“From big cities to smaller communities, countless families across the country have suffered the devastating impact of the overdose crisis firsthand,” said Singh in a statement.
When Prime Minister Justin Trudeau created his new cabinet last fall, he established a new mental health and addictions minister, Carolyn Bennett, and tasked her with forming policies to tackle opioid addiction.
Maja Staka, a spokeswoman for Bennett, said she had a mandate to “advance a comprehensive strategy to address problematic substance use.”
“The core of that strategy will be combating the opioid overdose epidemic, a public health crisis that continues to take a tragic toll on families, friends, and communities across Canada,” she said.
She said the government had channelled hundreds of millions of dollars into tackling the problem.
“We are committed to improving safe supply, reducing harms, and using resources to divert people who use drugs away from the criminal justice system and towards supportive and trusted relationships,” she added.
The government is currently reviewing applications by British Columbia, and the cities of Vancouver and Toronto, to remove criminal penalties for people who possess small amounts of illicit drugs for personal use.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Feb. 1, 2022.
'I think it's time for our party to get reunited, to get back on the same page here and I think you're going to see that,' said one MP
Author of the article:Catherine Lévesque
Publishing date:Feb 02, 2022 •
After Erin O’Toole was ousted as leader of the Conservatives, at least one MP was succinct in describing the role that had to be filled. “It’s going to be a bloody tough job. Bloody tough job,” said Ron Liepert.
On Wednesday, a majority of Conservative MPs voted to remove O’Toole as their leader, raising questions on the ability of the party to unite its different factions moving forward, but also offering a glimpse of optimism as caucus members promised to come together as a party after a difficult period.
No less than 73 MPs voted to remove O’Toole and only 45 voted in favour of him staying on. The National Conservative Caucus chair Scott Reid did not vote, making it a total of 118 MPs, including O’Toole, who cast their vote on the leadership review.
O’Toole submitted his resignation, effective immediately, to the Conservative Party.
He reacted to the news of his departure in a video Wednesday afternoon, promising to stay on as MP for Durham and pledging his “support and unwavering loyalty” to the Conservatives’ next leader. “I urge everyone in our party to come together and do the same.”
He also pointed to the trucker convoy, still blaring its horns steps from Parliament Hill, to send a message to the different factions in the Conservative caucus.
“Audi alteram partem. Hear the other side”, he translated from Latin. “Listen to all voices, not just the echoes from your own tribe. Realize that our country is divided and people are worried. Work together because how we, as leaders, act now will define the next generation.”
The leading candidates to replace Erin O'Toole
O'Toole's plea as he steps down: 'Hear the other side'
MPs close to O’Toole went on social media to express their thanks to him for having served as leader of the opposition for the past 18 months.
“Politics is difficult, often thankless, sometimes cruel,” tweeted Alain Rayes, whom O’Toole named to become his Quebec lieutenant. “I would like to sincerely thank Erin O’Toole for his dedication as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada.”
Insiders from both camps were expecting a potentially tight result, with many saying that his tenure as leader would be finished either way with such an affront from MPs.
The latest caucus revolt came to light on Monday evening, with the Globe and Mail first reporting that 35 Conservative MPs had signed a letter demanding a leadership review later in the week. It forced both camps to work phones for days trying to gain support.
On Wednesday morning, O’Toole made his final pitch to caucus by promising to move up the leadership review with members, scheduled at the party’s national convention in 2023. O’Toole also promised to revisit party policies, some of which had been changed without consultation.
But it was too late for most MPs who had already made up their mind, said a Conservative source who participated in the virtual meeting.
“It sounded to me like last minute arguments, almost desperate arguments, for people who had already lost their trust in him,” said the source. “I think they didn’t change anything. Seeing the scale of the vote, I’d be surprised if he convinced two people to change their vote.
“When you lose all trust in someone and that person speaks to you, you can only say… here’s some more bulls**t.”
Liepert, an Alberta MP, told reporters after the vote that he decided to vote for keeping O’Toole on as leader because of his commitment to move up the leadership review for members. Liepert said he thought members should have determined “whether or not he stays.”
This is the Conservative Party of Canada, we've been fighting like this for decades
But he recognized that a majority of his colleagues did not feel the same way and that they thought, “we needed to start fresh and that Erin wasn’t going to be able to do it.”
“This is a party of factions. This is the Conservative Party of Canada, we’ve been fighting like this for decades,” said MP Tom Kmiec with a smirk. “This is the Conservative Party: we have heated debates, we disagree on things and we come together to then win elections.”
While MPs conceded this was a difficult day for O’Toole, they also said it was time to work together and heal certain divisions that have overshadowed their work in the past 18 months.
“I think it’s time for our party to get reunited, to get back on the same page here and I think you’re going to see that,” said Ontario MP Eric Duncan to reporters on Wednesday.
“But it’s got to be onward and upward, get united, get together and have a new leader.”
“We have a caucus which adores each other, which loves each other, but that had divisions which should not have been there”, insisted Quebec MP Pierre Paul-Hus in French.
The pro-life organization RightNow wasted no time in putting out a statement on Wednesday, saying it was “pleased” that O’Toole had been removed as leader and warning that social conservative groups would make their voices heard in the next leadership race.
“I would hope that the lesson for the new leader from the Erin O’Toole experience is that pro-lifers have a strong voice in the party and are ready to work with the leader to advance reasonable and popular pro-life policies,” said co-founder Alissa Golob, in a statement.
It remains to be seen if an interim leader or a future leader will be able to heal the different factions within caucus and give a clear direction to a party that seems to be sometimes torn between ideological or regional divides.
A first contender for interim leader put his hat in the ring, seconds after the results of the vote on O’Toole’s leadership were made official: John Williamson, MP for New Brunswick Southwest.
Erin O'Toole is out as Conservative leader -- a look at some potential replacements
Wed., February 2, 2022
OTTAWA — Erin O'Toole has been voted out as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada. A look at some potential contenders to replace him:
Pierre Poilievre — The Ottawa-area MP and finance critic is regarded as a front-runner and a favourite among the grassroots. He speaks French and considered running in the 2020 leadership race, but ultimately said it would take away from time with his young family.
Leslyn Lewis — The newly-elected MP from Ontario placed third in the last leadership race. She entered as a relative unknown and became the top pick among many social conservatives and party members from Western Canada
Marilyn Gladu — The MP from southwestern Ontario told reporters Wednesday she's considering another run at the leadership. Gladu entered the 2020 race but failed to meet the party's criteria. In recent months, she's become a vocal critic of COVID-19 vaccine mandates.
Rona Ambrose — A cabinet minister in the Conservative government of former prime minister Stephen Harper who became interim leader after he lost the 2015 election. In 2020, Ambrose, who hails from Western Canada, decided against vying for the leadership despite the desire of many members to see her run.
She did so again Wednesday, saying in a statement: "It's really hard to see what's happening and not jump back in to help. My heart says yes but my head says no. I'm not going to go back at this juncture in my life."
Patrick Brown — The mayor of Brampton, Ont., said before Wednesday's vote that his "only focus right now is getting Brampton reopened." However, some Tories are still looking to him, given his political roots in the region as not only a local politician but as a former leader of Ontario's Progressive Conservative Party. The federal Conservatives are conscious of the need to pick up votes in the Greater Toronto Area.
Michelle Rempel Garner — The Alberta MP is one of the most recognizable figures among Canadians within the Conservative caucus. She is known for standing up for the province's oil and gas industry and advocating for the rights of LGBTQ Canadians. Her name is often floated for leadership roles. She did not enter the 2020 leadership contest.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Feb. 2, 2022.
Stephanie Taylor, The Canadian Press
By Steve Scherer
REUTERS
Truckers and supporters attend a demonstration near Parliament Hill as they continue to protest against coronavirus disease (COVID-19) vaccine mandates, in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada January 31, 2022.
OTTAWA, Feb 2 (Reuters) - A dayslong protest in Canada's capital is unlikely to succeed in its objective of repealing vaccine mandates, but could pull an already troubled Conservative opposition even further to the right, eroding its chances of winning power.
The Conservatives, who lost their third consecutive election to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberals last year, are torn between leaning towards populism or moderating policies to attract the centrist voters who will decide the next election, which could occur within two years.
The split in opinion may also cost Conservative leader Erin O'Toole his job. His reluctance to quickly embrace the protest "galvanized" those who wanted O'Toole to go, said a former senior Conservative official, who declined to be identified due to the sensitivity of the matter. That sentiment precipitates a move to oust O'Toole in a caucus vote as early as Wednesday.
A shift to the right is a problem for the Conservatives because of the middle-of-the-road character of most Canadian voters, on the right and left, said Darrell Bricker, CEO of pollster Ipsos Public Affairs.
"There is no national government lead by a hard-right option. It's basic math," he said.
The protest continued to cause gridlock in downtown Ottawa as demonstrators seek to overturn COVID-19 vaccine mandates championed by Trudeau, including one for cross-border truckers.
About 79% of Canadians have had two COVID-19 vaccine shots and many of the pandemic measures, including mask or vaccination requirements, had been largely accepted as common-sense public health measures by politicians across the political spectrum.
But opposition to pandemic restrictions is growing increasingly political, with some - like the protesters in Ottawa - adopting the more polarized views espoused south of the border by former U.S. President Donald Trump.
"The pulling towards a more Trumpian ideology, or more Trump-esque political discourse, is something that we've seen in Canada," said Shachi Kurl, president of the Angus Reid Institute polling company.
Trump praised the protest where hateful symbols often seen at his rallies, like Confederate flags or swastikas, have been spotted among the crowd, prompting many Canadians to express their outrage on social media.
Truckers take part in a convoy and protest against COVID-19 vaccine mandate in Ottawa
Truckers drive through Toronto on their way to Ottawa to protest COVID-19 vaccine mandate
'PAINTED INTO A CORNER'
On Monday, O'Toole warned that if the party swerves too far to the right, it would be "angry, negative, and extreme."
The latest Omicron wave has started to turn opinion against lockdowns, and that is especially true for Conservative voters.
About 54% of Canadians say it is time to end restrictions, an Angus Reid poll showed this week, up from 39% since the first part of January. Of that, 81% of past Conservative voters agree it is time to end restrictions, compared with 34% of Liberal voters.
Trudeau would be the obvious winner if serious turmoil riles the Conservatives, especially if - as some predict - the party splits in two. The Liberal leader, who first took power in 2015, this week bashed "those who fly racist flags" and defended vaccination as a tool that can help end the pandemic.
The current Conservative party was formed by the 2003 merger of populist Reform Party and the centrist Progressive Conservative party, which would go on to win three consecutive elections between 2006 to 2011.
The party has struggled to raise money since last year's September election, garnering C$3.1 million ($2.44 million) in the fourth quarter of last year, less than half that generated in the same quarter of 2020 and less than the Liberals, according to official data.
"The Conservatives are painted into a corner," Kurl said, because they alienate their centrist supporters by backing the protest, and their right-leaning supporters if they do not.
Isolated and disliked, Erin O’Toole has no chance of keeping a grip on the Conservative leadership
- Canada
- February 2, 2022
No matter what happens tomorrow — whether Conservative MPs show Erin O’Toole the door or keep him as leader — the result will be a deeply divided caucus and a dead or dying leader at their feet.
MPs expect the vote will be close; each side is predicting victory.
The group of MPs who want to see O’Toole gone hold various grievances about their leader.
Some believe O’Toole’s office leaked disparaging information about Alberta MP Shannon Stubbs to a newspaper and that the leader lied about it to caucus.
Some feel betrayed O’Toole promised to uphold conscience rights during his leadership, only to reverse course during the election campaign and surprise MPs with a unanimous consent motion in Parliament giving swift passage to the Liberals’ conversion therapy ban.
Some are disappointed the party lost seats in Western Canada and failed to crack the suburbs around the Greater Toronto Area. They feel the leader is insufficiently focused on outreach to ethnic communities, and are dismayed he won’t denounce Quebec’s discriminatory Bill 21.
Some just don’t like him. Many, actually. Several Conservatives during the last leadership race told me they chose to support Peter MacKay, despite his pro-choice stance, because they felt he was a better person. In the past week, O’Toole has been called a bully privately, and a liar publicly by his own MPs. Under the cloak of anonymity, they speak of his vindictiveness.
Mostly what unites the dissenters is a belief that they cannot win with O’Toole at the helm. That his flip flops, over the carbon tax, gun control, or even last week’s meeting with truckers, are too frequent. That O’Toole can’t take a stand or keep his message focused. That he lacks authenticity. This view, coupled with his declining approval rating, last week’s whitewash report of his election performance, and the party’s latest fundraising numbers — the worst Q4 result since 2004 — made for a toxic brew.
Those who support O’Toole mostly share the vision he now espouses — a desire to see the party reach towards the political centre to disenchanted blue Liberals and blue-collar New Democrats and a belief that this is key to making inroads in suburban areas and winning government. They want a leader who is pro-choice and believes human activity causes climate change.
Ironically, O’Toole, who ran for his party’s leadership as a “true blue” Conservative and painted MacKay, his opponent, as liberal light, is now dependent on MacKay’s supporters to ensure his leadership survives.
In this group too, however, there are those who dislike the leader. These fence sitters mostly fear what’s next.
A vote that gets rid of O’Toole will likely mean a short leadership race — it is a minority government after all. That benefits leadership contenders that already have a firm grip on the party, a base they can mobilize, such as popular Ottawa-area MP Pierre Poilievre, or Haldimand—Norfolk MP Leslyn Lewis, a favourite amongst social conservatives. There will be little time for newcomers to get organized.
Both Poilievre and Lewis recently promoted their presence at the truck convoy protest. Although both espouse messages of unity, there is a fear shared by some MPs that under their leadership, the party would be catering to a right wing that could hold it hostage just as the convoy has done to Ottawa. Few of these MPs want to see their party co-opted, like the U.S. Republican party, by more extremist elements, further alienating them from mainstream voters.
O’Toole has played to these concerns. In his late-night missive on social media Monday, he told the party there are two roads open to the Conservatives: a dead-end angry, negative, and extreme road that will see the Tories become “the NDP of the right.” And another road, that is inclusive, optimistic, full of ideas and hope. (The suggestion is that this is the road O’Toole will take though it isn’t clear it’s the one he is on.) He welcomed the vote calling it a “time for reckoning,” and urging caucus to settle the issue “Right here. Right now. Once and for all.”
Of course, if he manages to hang on, questions about his leadership won’t be put to rest once and for all.
O’Toole will still face calls by electoral district associations for an earlier leadership review from party members, a petition from Sen. Denise Batters calling for the same; and if those efforts fail, a leadership vote in August 2023. (Though some dissenters fear O’Toole will push this leadership review back arguing that the party shouldn’t be destabilized so close to a possible election.)
Whether he wins or loses Wednesday, O’Toole will still have lost. His caucus will be split; his leadership still challenged. And if he goes on a witch hunt, punishing or turfing more than a third of his MPs, as some fear, his party will be further weakened.
JOHN IBITSON
FEBRUARY 2, 2022
Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole is at risk of losing the leadership because he failed at the all-important task of preserving unity within the Conservative caucus. But many in that caucus espouse a view of conservatism that has no resonance among most Canadians.Justin Tang/The Canadian Press
Erin O’Toole may or may not survive as Leader of the Conservative Party. The more important question is whether the party survives.
By forcing a vote of confidence in his leadership, dissident Conservative MPs have put the future of the party at risk. Its activist base has become so agitated, and so powerful, that either Mr. O’Toole will be crippled as Leader, or he will be replaced by a new leader who is unlikely ever to become prime minister.
The Conservatives could be evolving into an untenable contradiction, in which no one who could lead the party can win the country, and no one who could win the country can lead the party.
Mr. O’Toole is at risk of losing the leadership because he failed at the all-important task of preserving unity within the Conservative caucus. That’s on him. But many in that caucus espouse a view of conservatism that has no resonance among most Canadians.
The Durham MP ran for the leadership as a “true blue” conservative, and then pivoted toward the center as last year’s election approached. The gamble almost worked: the Conservatives won the popular vote. But they failed to win over the suburbs in Ontario and British Columbia, and as Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Public Affairs, tweeted Wednesday: “Suburbs are the biggest swing group in Canada. This region decides all national elections. Lose the suburbs, lose the election.”
Split within the Conservative Party reflects division within the country
Having lost the suburbs and the election, Mr. O’Toole then had to face his caucus. Many felt they had not been properly consulted before the Leader embraced such policies as a carbon tax. Others reject such policies entirely.
Mr. O’Toole alternated between attempting to isolate dissidents, by keeping many of them out of the shadow cabinet, and placating them, by opposing mandatory vaccination for federal employees and essential workers. Neither tactic succeeded.
Word is that if Mr. O’Toole wins the support of a majority of MPs, it will be a narrow win at best.
If he does prevail, then the next question is whether the MPs who voted to remove him will respect the verdict. Some might split from caucus, or seek to undermine the Leader from within. If he loses, some of the moderates may leave.
The greatest problem is that the activist base of the party is becoming more extreme – adding opposition to vaccine mandates to its mantra of supporting gun rights, opposing abortion and questioning the severity of climate change.
Let’s say that, one way or another, they force Mr. O’Toole out. Who would replace him?
Foreign-affairs critic Michael Chong is a thoughtful, experienced MP who represents the partly suburban Ontario riding of Wellington-Halton Hills. But he would have a hard time winning over the same party activists who brought down Mr. O’Toole.
Former interim leader Rona Ambrose is prime ministerial material; Former Ontario Progressive Conservative leader Patrick Brown found political resurrection as Mayor of Brampton. But neither might want to lead a Conservative Party controlled by an ideologically rigid base, some of whose members flirt with Western separatism.
Pierre Poilievre is beloved by party activists. The Carleton MP has thoroughly committed himself to Solidarity with the truckers and others who have been protesting against vaccine mandates in Ottawa.
But Mr. Poilievre’s strident partisanship will be a hard sell on the streets of Mississauga or Surrey.
Haldimand-Norfolk MP Leslyn Lewis acquitted herself well in the 2020 leadership race, and is well respected by social conservatives in the party. But Canada as a whole is not socially conservative, and Ms. Lewis does not speak French.
If Mr. O’Toole is brought down, he will be the second consecutive Conservative leader forced out of the position in three years. The Conservative movement has fractured in the past ideologically and regionally. Unless the party can unify under a leader with the strength and moderation to lead the country, the movement could split again, into an ideologically pure successor to the Reform Party and a Red Tory rump.
What a glorious time to be a Liberal.
The report of the Conservatives’ internal review on the party’s most recent electoral defeat, presented to caucus last week, blames a number of factors. The leader was too scripted. The party needs to do more to reach out to ethnic communities. The leader spent too much time in the TV studio, not enough on the road. The party needs to rebuild its voter database. Etc., etc.
There’s some truth in all of these, but that’s not why they lost the election. The party has much deeper problems than strategy and tactics – or its leader, for that matter. The problem, rather, is that it is divided: divided, not on the basis of ideology or region, but between, as one might say, the grownups and the adolescents: between those with some elementary moral and practical judgment, and those with none; between those who live in the realm of facts, and those who seem increasingly to inhabit a fantasy world. In a word, the party’s problem is extremism, which though it does not define the party as a whole is enough to taint the remainder.
These are not mere differences over policy. There is room for debate over how best to deal with climate change. There is no serious dispute that it is actually happening. Whether vaccine mandates are wise policy is likewise a matter on which reasonable people can differ; whether they are akin to Nazi experiments on Jewish prisoners is not. This is what makes the party’s extremists so toxic to the public: not so much the substance of this or that position, as the generally unhinged quality they exude.
It would be difficult for any leader to straddle that divide. Erin O’Toole has probably done a worse job of it than most, campaigning first as the “Take Back Canada” candidate in the leadership race, then as the leader of the Liberal Lites in the election. As the campaign wore on, it became increasingly difficult to reconcile these contradictions, at length leading Mr. O’Toole to repudiate large sections of the platform.
All of which was mere prelude to the mortifying scenes of the past week: prominent members of the Conservative caucus whooping it up with the anti-vaxxers, conspiracy theorists and other assorted yahoos on the streets of Ottawa; Mr. O’Toole twisting in agony in front of the media. And now a leadership review, at the request, reportedly, of 35 members of his caucus – as required by the Reform Act, or more particularly by the decision of caucus late last year to apply its provisions to itself. If a majority at Wednesday’s caucus meeting votes to remove Mr. O’Toole, out he goes.
Clearly the leadership issue had to be brought to a head. The Reform Act has already proved its worth, telescoping what might have been months of infighting into a decisive few days. But caucus should take care to use its new powers wisely. Ditching the leader will do nothing to resolve the split within the party.
Worse, it might saddle it with a leader who, while greatly exciting to its extremist wing, is repugnant to voters at large.
I can predict the first thing such a leader might do, flushed with victory and backed by his populist base: demand the caucus jettison the Reform Act, citing the very “instability” he had himself fomented and profited from.
Whatever Mr. O’Toole’s failings, nothing he has done or not done adds up to a firing offence. What Pierre Poilievre, Candice Bergen and Andrew Scheer have done in recent days, on the other hand, is. Their decision to ally themselves with the pseudo-Trumpian grift known as the “trucker” convoy – organized and led by documented racists and QAnon-style nutters, unrepresentative of the vast majority of truckers and indeed having little to do with truckers or even vaccine mandates – is not just a moral disgrace, but will do lasting damage to the party.
It is not only the power to dismiss the leader that caucus has assumed under the Reform Act. It has also the power to expel MPs from caucus – a power first exercised, deservedly, in the matter of Derek Sloan. It is a power that might usefully be deployed now, to bring the party’s yahoo faction to heel: either stop bringing the party into shame and disrepute, or pack up and go.
Again, this power should be used sparingly. Publicly criticizing the leader should not be grounds for expulsion; neither, certainly, should dissenting from party policy. But associating the party with known racists, tossing around incendiary rhetoric about other party leaders, indulging in discredited conspiracy theories – it is long since time Conservatives stopped tolerating this.
If that splits the party further, so be it. A house divided against itself cannot stand. But a house filled with lunatics is an asylum.