Friday, July 28, 2023

DESANTISLAND HOT TUB
101.1 degrees? Water temperatures off Florida Keys among hottest in the world

Dinah Voyles Pulver, 
USA TODAY
Wed, July 26, 2023

No hot tub needed in South Florida this week. Water temperatures in the bays between the mainland and the Florida Keys were so warm that meteorologists say they were among the hottest ocean temperatures ever recorded on Earth.

Water temperature at a buoy in Manatee Bay south of Miami reached an incredible 101.1 degrees Monday evening.

That's higher than an unofficial 99.7 degrees once reported in Kuwait, but meteorologists say the Florida gauge's location in shallower, darker water near land means the two measurements can't be fairly compared.

Heat has been building in South Florida for weeks as the region and much of the western United States sweltered in temperatures much warmer than normal.

The heat index – what the temperature feels like – in Miami has topped 100 degrees for 43 consecutive days, 11 days longer than the previous record, Brian McNoldy, a senior research associate at the Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric and Earth Science at the University of Miami, tweeted on Monday.

“Calling this heat wave unprecedented is an understatement,” McNoldy said.

Concern over coral reefs: '100% coral mortality' found at Florida Keys reef because of rising temperatures, restoration group says

Sea surface temperatures off the southe
rn tip of Florida and the Florida Keys are running more than 2 degrees above normal.

What to know about that hot sea surface temperature

Was Monday’s 101.1 degree temperature in Manatee Bay a valid record measurement?

That depends on the surrounding circumstances, said Jeff Masters, a meteorologist for Yale Climate Connections. The reading would need to be verified, and no one keeps official sea surface temperature records, Masters said.

The unofficial record sea surface temperature is 99.7 degrees in the middle of Kuwait Bay in the northwestern Persian Gulf, Masters said. That's according to a 2020 study by research scientist Yousef Alosairi and others at the Environmental and Life Science Research Center at the Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research.

The station in Kuwait Bay is 4 miles offshore, at a depth of 25 to 38 feet, Alosairi told USA TODAY on Wednesday. Offshore stations are more representative of true ocean temperatures, he said.

The Manatee Bay gauge is very close to land, south of Biscayne Bay, and measures the water temperature at a depth of 5 feet.

It is possible for sunlit, shallow water surrounded by dark land and light winds to be warmer than the air temperature, Masters said. Air temperature at Marathon in the Florida Keys reached 99 degrees Monday, tying the all-time record.

The water temperature at the Manatee Bay buoy could have been heated by floating plants and other debris, he said.

Given the gauge's location near land and the Kuwait measurement in open water, Masters said, the two really shouldn't be compared.

He noted, however, that 11 stations near the Manatee Key reported sea surface temperatures of more than 96 degrees Monday. That includes buoys that reached 99.3 degrees and 98.4 degrees.

Federal officials say more than 40% of the world's oceans are experiencing marine heat waves, a figure that could reach 50% by September.
What’s causing the heat?

Though it might be tempting for some to chalk up the heat to a typically hot summer or the building El Niño in the Pacific Ocean, neither of those things can explain the heat in South Florida or in the western U.S., scientists said this week.

"I haven't seen any strong evidence that warmer temperatures so far over the U.S. have been driven by El Niño,” said Michelle L’heureux, a climate scientist at the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration.

El Niño has only recently formed a weak but complex link with the atmosphere that allows it to begin having a significant influence on the world’s weather.

Though an international group of scientists studying heat waves in three locations this summer say it’s possible El Niño contributed some heat, it wasn’t a major factor, they said.

“Weather is naturally extreme, and some of the extremes we’re seeing are due to natural variability,” he said. But on top of that, there’s long-term climate change, he said.

South Florida has been suffering under a lingering high-pressure system that’s weaker with reduced trade winds, Masters said. That helps raise water and air temperatures.

A blocked pattern seen in the jet stream over North America this summer and blamed for the heat waves has been linked to climate change by climate scientist Michael Mann and others.

Western heat waves no longer 'rare'


The unprecedented heat wave over 18 days in the western U.S. and northern Mexico this summer would have been “virtually impossible” if humans had not warmed the planet by burning fossil fuels, said the team of scientists with the World Weather Attribution, an international group studying the connection of climate change to extreme weather events.

The team, including scientists from the Netherlands and United Kingdom, found:

Such heat waves are occurring more frequently because of human activities and shouldn’t be considered rare anymore. Instead, a heat wave such as the one in the West could be expected at least once every 15 years.

A heat wave in the western U.S. with the same likelihood would have been “significantly cooler” in a world without human-induced climate change.

The heat wave in the West was more than 2 degrees Celsius warmer than it would have been without climate change.

Similar trends were seen in southern Europe and the lowlands of China, and the heat wave in China was about 50 times more likely than it would have been without fossil fuel burning, deforestation and other activities.

Unless the world rapidly stops burning fossil fuels, these events will become even more common, and the world will experience even hotter and longer-lasting heat waves that could occur every two to five years if the world reaches 2 degrees Celsius warmer than the pre-industrial average.

“Heat is among the deadliest types of disaster,” said Julie Arrighi, a director at the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre. “We need a cultural shift in the way we think about extreme heat. Extreme heat is deadly and rapidly on the rise.”

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Florida water temperatures climb to stunning new highs

Unprecedented Heatwave Hits South Florida’s Waters, Raising Concerns


Brunno Braga
Wed, July 26, 2023 

aerial view of Miami at sunrise

A record-breaking heatwave struck South Florida’s offshore waters, sending temperatures soaring to unimaginable levels. On Monday, a buoy located in Manatee Bay, approximately 40 miles south of Miami, recorded a scorching 101.1 degrees Fahrenheit at 6 o’clock, following a morning low of 91 degrees. The extreme temperatures persisted from 5 p.m. until late at night, raising alarms about the state of the ocean in the region, according to the Washington Post.

Although there are no official records for ocean temperatures, the Manatee Bay reading could be unprecedented globally. Comparatively, the ideal hot tub temperature is between 100 and 102 degrees Fahrenheit, according to jacuzzi.com, highlighting the severity of the ocean’s heat.

A study from 2020 revealed that Kuwait Bay had a sea surface temperature of 99.7 degrees Fahrenheit, offering a troubling point of reference for the situation in Manatee Bay.

However, questions have been raised about the accuracy of the measurement due to the shallow depth of the recording – just five feet below the surface. Potential contamination from land effects and organic matter in the water might have influenced the temperature, as suggested by meteorologist Jeff Master.

The extreme oceanic temperatures were not confined to Manatee Bay alone. A buoy near Johnson Key in the southwest recorded a high of 98.4 degrees Fahrenheit, with temperatures lingering at or above 98 degrees for hours. Many buoys in the region reported daytime temperatures of 95 degrees Fahrenheit or higher.

Heatwave Surprises Experts

The fact that water temperatures surpassed air temperatures surprised experts. While shallow waters in direct sunlight can have higher sea surface temperatures than the air, this occurrence is noteworthy.

South Florida’s heatwave coincides with breaking heat records in the region. July has been the warmest month on record for cities like Miami, Key West, Naples, and Tampa. The Southeast Regional Climate Center data indicates that most of South Florida is experiencing its warmest year thus far.

Miami has seen 64 days with temperatures exceeding 90 degrees, setting new annual records, along with Fort Myers and Key West experiencing 97 and 46 such days, respectively. The heat index in Miami reached above 100 degrees for a record-breaking 44 consecutive days.

The persistently warm nights, with lows between 80 to 83 degrees, have contributed to the ocean’s elevated temperatures.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Coral Reef Watch program has observed a broader marine heatwave affecting various areas in the Northern Hemisphere. The Mediterranean Sea experienced a temperature of 83.1 degrees Fahrenheit, breaking previous records. Other affected regions include waters west of Peru and the North Atlantic Ocean, where temperatures remain unusually high.

No comments:

Post a Comment