Friday, October 27, 2023

Argentina poll shows ruling party hopeful Massa leading Milei

Story by Reuters • 

A combination picture shows Argentina's presidential candidates Sergio Massa (L) of Union por la Patria party as he addresses the audience during a workers' meeting on September 29, 2023, Patricia Bullrich (C) of Juntos por el Cambio party as she attends a business event on August 24, 2023, and Javier Milei for La Libertad Avanza party as he gestures during a campaign rally, on September 22, 2023, in Buenos Aires, Argentina. 
REUTERS/Tomas Cuesta/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo© Thomson Reuters

BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) - The presidential standard-bearer for Argentina's ruling Peronists, Sergio Massa, has opened up a lead over his far-right rival Javier Milei with less than a month to go before the decisive run-off vote, according to a poll released on Thursday.


Argentina Presidential candidate Sergio Massa of Union por la Patria party and Javier Milei of La Libertad Avanza party interact during the presidential debate ahead of the October 22 general elections, at the National University of Santiago del Estero, in Santiago del Estero, Argentina October 1, 2023. 
Tomas Cuesta/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo© Thomson Reuters

The survey from pollster Analogias put support for Massa, the outgoing government's economy chief, at about 42% versus 34% for Milei, a combative self-described anarco-capitalist.


Political polling has been wildly off in Argentina in recent years, including ahead of last Sunday's first-round vote, when Milei led in nearly all polls but ultimately came in second to Massa by about six points.

The Analogias poll, one of the first to estimate support for the Nov. 19 run-off, follows Wednesday's shakeup when Milei won the key endorsement of last Sunday's third-place finisher, conservative Patricia Bullrich, who attracted almost a quarter of the vote.


 Argentine presidential candidates Sergio Massa, Patricia Bullrich and Javier Milei attend the presidential debate ahead of the October 22 general elections, at the University of Buenos Aires' Law School, Argentina October 8, 2023. 
REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/Pool/File Photo© Thomson Reuters

Bullrich's support for Milei should help him win over some of her more moderate conservative voter base that is opposed to the ruling Peronists, though her own coalition is deeply divided about backing the radical libertarian.

The new poll also shows nearly 18% undecided in the head-to-head match-up, while about another 6% said they will vote for no one.


Nearly 2,000 voters were surveyed from Oct. 23-35 for the survey.

It also estimates Massa is winning about a third of those who supported last Sunday's fourth-place finisher, as well as almost 15% of those who opted for Bullrich.

A couple other polls released this week showed mixed results, with one from CB Consultora giving Milei slightly more than a 1% lead over Massa, but another by Proyeccion Consultoras putting Massa ahead by about 10 points.

The run-off campaign takes place at a time of severe economic crisis in South America's second-biggest economy, with consumer prices surging by triple digits and the local currency steadily plummeting in value.

(Reporting by Nicolas Misculin; Editing by David Alire Garcia; Editing by David Gregorio)

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