Monday, November 04, 2024

'The last we will see of Trump': Michael Moore makes bold prediction about Tuesday

Brad Reed
November 4, 2024 

Michael Moore (Shutterstock)

Left-wing filmmaker Michael Moore is making a bold prediction about Tuesday's election, as he believes that not only will Vice President Kamala Harris be victorious but that she will "win and win big."

In fact, Moore goes so far as to say that Tuesday will be "the last that we will see [of former President Donald Trump] (unless Dr. Phil does a live special from Epstein Island a few years from now)."

Writing on his homepage, Moore points to an analysis written by political scientist Rachel Bitcofer, whom he describes as "the only pollster I respect."

Moore goes on to describe Bitecofer's analysis as her "very educated gut feeling about how happy we may end up feeling by the end of this week," despite the fact that polls currently show the race as a dead heat between Trump and Harris.

According to Bitecofer, Trump and his campaign have made a critical error in trying to juice up male turnout in the 2024 election without understanding the backlash that this could create among women voters.

"Now, to be clear, the gender gap we see in early voting and registration data is not dissimilar from what we saw in both 2020 and 2022," she writes. "But Democrats didn’t need an even bigger gap, it was already huge and Joe Biden won with that gender gap.

"What Democrats needed was to maintain that advantage in the face of 2 years and millions in investment from Trump and Republican super PACs to drive more men to the polls to maximize their own gender gap to offset ours. And there is not one iota of evidence that suggests they have been successful in this effort."

Bitcofer also points to efforts the Harris campaign has made in tearing college-educated white voters away from the GOP as increasingly bearing fruit.

"But there are strong signs that Democrats will continue to make inroads among college-educated White voters, as they have every cycle since Trump descended down his golden escalator to debut his special brand of hate politics," she contends.

"But in this cycle, the Harris campaign specifically targeted these voters with messaging designed to break their brand loyalty to the Republican Party. As far as the Selzer poll this weekend in Iowa shows, it’s working."

Read the full analysis here.

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