Saturday, May 23, 2026

 

Tropical cyclones give rise to unique type of heat wave in Japan



“Moist heat wave” identified as responsible for a quarter of heat wave days




Tokyo Metropolitan University

Humidity during two distinct types of heat wave. 

image: 

Humidity during two distinct types of heat wave. While the presence of a high-pressure system in a typical heat wave leads to low humidity (left), the tropical cyclone heatwave pattern brings both high humidity and high temperature (right).

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Credit: Tokyo Metropolitan University





Tokyo, Japan – Researchers from Tokyo Metropolitan University have categorized a unique, previously unclassified type of heat wave in Japan, so-called “moist heat waves” which are accompanied by an approaching tropical cyclone. These heat waves are accompanied by high humidity and/or heavy precipitation, and their frequency has been rising over the last thirty years, accounting for approximately a quarter of the heat wave days surveyed. They may potentially trigger multiple natural hazards at once.

 

Heat waves and droughts are dangerous weather events which are expected to become more frequent and dangerous with global warming. Understanding how they occur is crucial to accurate forecasting and risk mitigation. On large continental masses such as Europe or the United States, there is a well-known positive feedback between hot weather and dry land; as land becomes drier, there is less cooling due to evaporation, leading to the prolonged spells of high temperatures and low humidity. This contrasts with what happens near the sea, where this feedback is much weaker. While continental heat waves have been extensively studied, heat waves in places like Japan, surrounded by sea, are yet to be fully understood and categorized.

A team led by Associate Professor Hiroshi G. Takahashi from Tokyo Metropolitan University has been looking at typical air circulation patterns around the Japanese archipelago when heat waves hit. They used an algorithm to extract dominant patterns in air flow over 108 heat wave days in the period 1992-2021. Their analysis firstly confirmed the most well-known pattern, a high-pressure system jutting out westwards from the Pacific Ocean. This type is said to be due to a connection between air flow waves in the mid-latitudes and Japan, a so-called “teleconnection pattern,” where air circulations can affect weather over great distances. The analysis showed these to be hot, dry, and short, in agreement with what was previously known.

But this was not the only pattern they found. They also classified a heat wave type associated with the approach of a tropical cyclone. These do not involve dry weather; in fact, the low-pressure system of the cyclone sends in large amounts of moisture, causing a “moist heat wave.” Not only do these entail hot days but extreme humidity as well, contrasting strongly with continental heat waves. According to the team’s findings, “moist heat waves” accounted for around a quarter of the days they surveyed. Worryingly, their frequency has been systematically increasing over the last thirty years.

The team’s successful categorization of this new pattern is a first step to understanding an underappreciated mechanism behind heat waves in a maritime environment. The properties of “moist heat waves” make them particularly hazardous, as they can potentially trigger both extreme temperatures and torrential rain at the same time. Continued monitoring and further study will prove crucial to predicting and mitigating their impact in the future.

This work was supported by Environment Research and Technology Development Funds JPMEERF20242001 and JPMEERF2-2202 of the Environmental Restoration and Con­servation Agency provided by the Ministry of the Environment of Japan, the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science KAKENHI Grant Numbers 22H00037, 24H02228 and 21K18403, and the 3rd and 4th Earth Observation Research Announcements (EORA-3 and EORA-4) of the JAXA Precipitation Measuring Mission.

Tropical cyclone activity during a “moist” heat wave. 

Tropical cyclone activity during a “moist” heat wave. Distribution of kinetic energy during a heat wave with a tropical cyclone.

Dominant air circulation during heat waves. 

Dominant air circulation during heat waves. The team uncovered typical air circulation patterns during heat waves. In one, a high-pressure pattern extends over the islands, giving dry weather. In another, a tropical cyclone approaches, accompanied by both high temperatures and humidity.

Credit

Tokyo Metropolitan University


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