Tuesday, July 14, 2026

 

Source: Hammer & Hope

I danced among a sea of my people at a nightclub in Center City, Philadelphia, to celebrate Haitian Independence Day. Earlier, while we were getting dressed, my friends and I debated whether people would take the risk of showing up to a large, loud gathering of Haitians in January 2026. But the club was packed. It’s unclear how many people in the crowd of waving Haitian flags and bodies pressed together might be green card holders or U.S. citizens. How many swaying in the crowd might be among the many Haitians whose immigration statuses have been recently terminated or forced into uncertainty? We obeyed the DJ’s instructions to put our hands up, to jump, to scream. The music made us temporarily uncountable. And as I looked at my own sweaty crew, I understood that we were likely a reflection of the crowd itself: one permanent resident, one U.S. citizen, and one TPS holder, all desperate for this moment.

Haitians all over the United States breathed a collective sigh of relief on Feb. 2, 2026. Just one day before Temporary Protected Status for Haitians was scheduled to expire, Judge Ana C. Reyes blocked its termination. Haitians who fall under this status can continue to be protected from deportation and work legally in the country — for now. The Department of Homeland Security swiftly filed an emergency motion to stay the order. What comes next is the Court of Appeals and eventually the Supreme Court.

TPS is a temporary immigration status that provides protection from deportation and permission to work in the U.S. to people from countries experiencing conditions that make it unsafe to return home. Any national, documented or not, from those countries who has been continuously in the U.S. as of the date of a country’s designation can apply for it. The TPS program began as part of the Immigration Act of 1990; the first country was El Salvador, then in the midst of a civil war. Haiti received a TPS designation under the Obama administration, following the deadly 2010 earthquake. Returning home for many Haitians became virtually impossible. Since then, Haiti’s TPS designation has been renewed in 12- to 18-month increments after periodic reviews of the conditions in Haiti.

TPS has been a lifeline for many Haitians for the past 15 years, but it is only temporary. The first Trump administration’s attempt to terminate TPS prompted multiple lawsuits, including one brought by the NAACP, Haitian Women for Haitian Refugees, and the Haitian Lawyers Association. The 2017 termination was ultimately blocked in federal court in Ramos v. Nielsen. Grassroots groups led by Haitian immigrants then mobilized to extend TPS, among them Haitian Women for Haitian Refugees in Brooklyn, Family Action Network Movement in Florida, and the Haitian Bridge Alliance in California. In June 2024, the Biden administration redesignated TPS for Haiti following an ongoing security crisis caused by elite-backed armed groups that have plagued Port-au-Prince and surrounding towns, extending it through Feb. 3, 2026. An estimated 330,000 Haitians received the status, allowing them and their families to build lives in the U.S. — lives threatened by the Trump administration’s attempt to end their TPS.

But the size of the Haitian crowd in Philadelphia as we shouted call-and-response slogans to rabòday beats tells a much longer story. It reflects peaks in the steady exodus of people from Haiti due to natural disasters, imperialism, political persecution, and poverty over the past half century. Most important, it also reflects the number of families who have secured their status in the U.S. as a result of radical organizing and sustained advocacy by Haitian immigrant organizers over many years. Haitian families who found their footing in the 1970s, ’80s, and ’90s have made it possible for us to find our way and build communities in Northeast Philadelphia, Flatbush, Miami, and other places where we Haitians continue to hold strong to our culture.

Ninaj Raoul, co-founder of Haitian Women for Haitian Refugees and its executive director for 33 years, sees the current upheaval in decades of context. “Haitians have always been under attack,” she said.

Raoul looks to the history of the Haitian Refugee Center in Miami, led by Father Gérard Jean-Juste, and Haitian resistance in the 1970s, during the earliest wave of Haitians’ arriving to the United States by boat, attempting to flee the brutal dictatorship of Jean-Claude Duvalier. Haitians who arrived on U.S. shores were designated as economic refugees, not political ones, making them ineligible for asylum. Activists including Jean-Juste fought this categorization. This struggle “wasn’t new when we started, and it’s not new now for us,” Raoul told me.

As soon as Trump returned to office in 2025 and began his immigration crackdown, Haitians were targeted. When the Trump administration moved to end Haiti’s TPS designation six months early, on Aug. 3, 2025, it gave people just three months to figure out what to do. Although that effort was again blocked in court, the panic it triggered among Haitian families was immediate and widespread.

“I went through moments of despair — just completely distraught,” said a 33-year-old Haitian nonprofit worker who has been able to live and work legally in Flatbush, Brooklyn, because of TPS. Her family’s story is an example of that long work of community building. She says her aunt arrived in the U.S. first, around the mid-1980s. When she got married, she was able to apply for citizenship. Her uncle was next, arriving in the early ’90s to work in the fields. He was one of many Haitians arriving by boat at the time, alongside — and sometimes on the same boats as — Cubans. Unlike their Cuban counterparts at the time, however, Haitians were swiftly deported or detained at Guantánamo.

Those who tested positive for HIV — at least 230 — were quarantined indefinitely in a segregated section of the base known as Camp Bulkeley. Inside the camp, detainees organized themselves, writing letters, documenting abuses, and finding ways to get the word out, leading to a successful legal challenge that eventually allowed them to enter the U.S. Ninaj Raoul and her colleagues accompanied the legal teams to work as interpreters and counselors; as the case dragged on, they began temporarily housing vulnerable detainees in their own homes.

Raoul’s group also fought for years for the Haitian Refugee Immigrant Fairness Act. Enacted in 1998, it granted lawful permanent residency to roughly 50,000 Haitians, including those who had been released from Guantánamo.

“At first we did not jump on the bandwagon,” Raoul said of TPS. “Why would we push for something temporary?” Yet she saw how immigrant organizing, instead of building on the success of the HRIFA, became increasingly deradicalized after 9/11 and the creation of the Department of Homeland Security. “No one wanted to push for anything comprehensive anymore. Nobody wanted to push for green cards anymore,” she said. Raoul told me that the first time she saw a national campaign around immigration was in 2017 with the National TPS Alliance, which advocates for TPS holders nationwide to have a path to permanent residency. Organizing instead focused on smaller compromises and incremental progress instead of ambitious campaigns like the HRIFA, which had secured permanent, long-lasting security for thousands.

As TPS rules have shifted faster than most people can track, with official guidance inaccessible or contradictory, many Haitians rely on informal networks simply to understand whether they should stay, work, or prepare to leave. “The confusion is the most frustrating part,” said a man who arrived in the U.S. in 2024 on humanitarian parole. “One day you wake up and you’re legal. The next day you wake up and you’re illegal. Then you wake up again and maybe there’s a technicality that makes you legal again. It’s hard to keep up.”

And he no longer has a home to return to. “The house I lived in for so many years on Rue de la Réunion was burned down a few weeks after I got to the States,” he told me.

A Haitian immigrant seeking stability in the imperial core faces so many political and emotional dichotomies. Western powers and the Haitian elite prop up corrupt and incompetent regimes that create the instability pushing Haitians from their homes, only for those migrants to be met elsewhere with anti-Haitianism — not only in the U.S. but also in the Dominican Republic, the Bahamas, and other CARICOM member states. Haitians abroad are too often exploited as cheap labor. Countries hostile to Haitian arrivals could focus their diplomacy on strengthening Haiti to stem the tide of migration but have not. The U.S. itself has warned its own citizens not to travel to Haiti due to the armed groups that it has designated as terrorist organizations.

Raoul says that her organization’s focus right now is on community defense workshops. “We don’t like to call it ‘Know Your Rights’ because we feel like there’s not that many rights now,” she says, adding, “We call it community defense because that’s what it is. We’re under attack. Our communities are under attack.” In a December 2025 report, HWHR detailed the impact of these policy shifts — “Haitian refugees, asylum seekers, and migrants in the United States are being subjected to a catastrophe manufactured by the federal government” — and outlined a path forward for organizing and protection. It pointed out that the U.S. government threatened to strip Haitians “away from their families, homes, and communities” and send them to a country where “they face certain, extreme danger — a country this same administration identifies as dangerous and unsafe.”

As Haitians begin to fall out of status and lose their ability to work, many organizations are struggling to meet their needs. Men Anpil (All Hands Together), a community organization that has supported the growing number of Haitian migrants in Philadelphia over the past five years, has typically focused on helping Haitian families establish themselves by providing furniture, rental assistance, and connections to other resources. Now the needs are greater. “People are now mostly concerned about losing their jobs and having to leave the country. I, unfortunately, am at a loss on how to help,” Esaie Pierre, Men Anpil’s co-founder, told me. “We don’t have the resources to support them if they lose their jobs or if they need a lawyer for court appearances or ICE raids.”

Online communities such as InfoMigrants 509 have formed in order to share and explain information for Haitians as the guidance constantly shifts. These are run not by lawyers but by individuals with the time, resources, and literacy to research and summarize complex updates. Via Threads and Community Space sessions on X (formerly known as Twitter), hosts discuss updates directly with people and answer their questions.

A more hands-on example can be found in a small New Jersey office that has become a lifeline for Haitians in the area. At first it offered basic services, such as a public notary and money transfers. “But as the need became apparent,” co-owner Lucie (a pseudonym) said, “I eventually began helping people with their immigration paperwork, and now that is the main service occupying my time.” She said people were desperate for someone they could trust who would be consistently available: “Knowing that my office is open Monday through Saturday at 9:30 a.m. offers folks a sense of security, and I answer the phone no matter where or when my clients call me.” Today, people count on her for everything from listening to family problems to preparing for immigration court hearings. Her office fills the gap between immigration policy as written and immigration policy as lived, offering stability at a time when rules become harder and harder to interpret.

Organizers count on these systems of communication to get the word out. “We know that if we give information to one person, it’s going to get to 50 people every time we do that,” Ninaj Raoul said. She reflected on Haitians who survived the dangerous journey through the Darién Gap, saying, “It’s unspeakable what they have to go through to go through those jungles.” She added, “It makes me think about what our ancestors had to go through for the revolution, just for them to be able to survive that and get here and come here and start new lives” in the U.S., where Haitians shared information on “where to go, where to lay low, where to wait.”

Because the majority of the people HWHR serves have TPS, extending and protecting it became a central focus of the organization’s work. Raoul says that lawyers for the plaintiffs in the lawsuit against ending TPS for Haitians six months early, Haitian Evangelical Clergy Association v. Trump, called on her organization to help fill the courtroom for the May 2025 hearing. After the judge ruled that Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem was acting outside her authority, the lawyers told Raoul that they believed the sheer number of supporters who showed up helped tip the decision in their favor.

But DHS announced in November 2025 that TPS for Haiti would instead be terminated after its Feb. 3 expiration. Soon afterward, Trump issued a memo halting all immigration applications from the 19 countries affected by the June 2025 travel ban, including Haiti. That meant no Haitians, including TPS holders, could seek more permanent status. Green card appointments were frozen. Naturalization ceremonies were canceled. Everybody is suspended in limbo.

Judge Reyes’s Feb. 2 decision to momentarily pause the termination of TPS brought much-needed relief, but its extent remains in question while the court case continues. There are still many unknowns, and the next few months will have sweeping consequences for hundreds of thousands of Haitians whose ability to live and work in the United States remains at risk. No matter what, Haitian families and Haitian advocates will need to be ready to act.

“This TPS I have is because my people suffered and died,” the nonprofit worker said. “I don’t want to take their deaths lightly or in vain. I feel like I owe it to them to do something with my status. Even if my status is removed in February, I owe them something. I owe them a fight.”

A catchy Haitian rabòday song called “Nou p ap tounen” (“We Won’t Go Back”) has been circulating on social media. In true rabòday fashion, it features a frantic dance beat, triumphant MIDI horns, and a chorus of jubilant male voices singing “Si n pa ka ret Etazini, n ap lage nou Kanada; si n pa ka ret Kanada, n ap lage kò nou Meksik; si nou pa ka rete Meksik, n ap ale Nikaragwa” (If we can’t stay in the United States, we’ll go to Canada. If we can’t stay in Canada, we’ll go to Mexico. And if we can’t stay in Mexico, we’ll go to Nicaragua). The fear within Haitian communities may be palpable right now, but as the song and the boisterous crowd I danced among for Haitian Independence Day reminds us, so is the defiance.

“We really want people to understand the history of resisting racism as Haitian immigrants in this country,” Raoul said. “A lot of people think TPS fell from the sky, and so we are always reminding people that it’s a fight. And this is what the fight looks like.” The moment we find ourselves in now is simply the latest chapter in a long-held battle.


This article was originally published by Hammer & Hope; please consider supporting the original publication, and read the original version at the link above.Email

Talie is a Haitian musician and cultural worker based in Philadelphia. She is lead editor of Woy Magazine, a bilingual online platform that seeks to be a meeting place for Haitians in Haiti and abroad.

 

Source: Originally published by Z. Feel free to share widely.

The Permian period ended about 250 million years ago with the largest recorded mass extinction in Earth’s history, when a series of massive volcanic eruptions is believed to have triggered global climate change that ultimately wiped out 96 percent of marine species in an event known as the “Great Dying.”

According to Justin Penn, a doctoral student at the University of Washington (UW), the Permian extinction can help us understand the impacts of climate change in our own current era. — Mike Gaworecki , Mangabay, 2019

Looming Climate/Environmental extinction never quite rises to the immediacy of mass panic due, perhaps, to the way in which we digest the environmental story – in vague fragments, with no crescendo, no context and no imagined conclusion. In the US we are a nation of climate illiterates. We absolutely must be aware of the undeniable fact that our climate narratives have been significantly curated by filthy amounts of oil industry cash. The Heritage Foundation and the Heartland Institute – like all outposts of the Koch Network – have money to burn when it comes to public manipulation. Consequently, when the climate edges into our thoughts it has plenty of room to move, to squirm, to reinvent itself over and over again, and it slinks away on cool nights. Our innate propensity for denial compels us to reach for the false promise offered by natural moments of respite. Right now, as I write, the temperature lingers at about 65 degrees Fahrenheit on July 8th at 7AM. Trees frame my backyard, lush verdant and immortal – the reminder of natural resilience. I have almost forgotten the week of record breaking heat that tip-toed away three days ago.

When the weather heats to levels of unprecedented discomfort, right wing trolls crowd into online comment sections to write, “It’s summer!” with an air of triumph. Bear with me, there are ways for laymen like ourselves to contextualize our climate nightmare – to make it vivid, visceral and immediate. Climate literacy is absolutely critical to our political selves. When I claim that we fail to see climate as a reason for mass panic, I do not make any assertions about the validity of anyone’s personal emotional response regarding climate. I am simply saying that we are in a climate predicament that objectively represents a degree of stunning urgency that remains just beyond our conceptual grasp. The climate threat may be quantifiable, and concrete, but ultimately, we will live or die via the mechanisms of mass psychology and political organization. “We the people” will either react in adequate numbers to the threat of extinction or not.

The balance between hope and despair may concern some climate activists, but it is a non-issue for me. I follow the seam of fossil fuel industry propaganda that invariably seeks buoyant optimism about climate. If anything, we have been starved of life-giving despair. Despair is the precondition for resistance.

Climate ambiguity is always about “when,” never about “if” – natural/tectonic forces across geological time have destroyed life in episodic acts of extinction. CO2 is nature’s preferred weapon – given enough time and a limitless quantity of greenhouse gasses, heat has built to lethal and epic levels. All rational people understand that current levels of greenhouse buildup will (at some vaguely specified point in time) wipe us off the face of the earth if we don’t achieve the iconic net-zero. But can greenhouse gasses deliver natural/historical catastrophes in human time scales? Climate change has always, until quite recently, been tethered to geological time. We therefore have no historical analogies – climate change has no Hiroshima, no Nagasaki – its cautionary tales can only be studied in “deep time.” We, however, futilely measure the trajectory of climate with the feeble ruler of our own lifespans. Most scientific climate modeling fails to project beyond the year 2100 – 74 years into the future, barely less than an average human life span.

“When you talk to policymakers and stakeholders about sea-level rise, they mostly focus on what will happen up to 2100. There are very few studies beyond that,” says Hélène Seroussi, the study’s first author and an associate professor in Dartmouth’s Thayer School of Engineering.”

This 2024 study being referenced above warns of the overwhelming likelihood that Antarctica’s ice shelves will completely collapse, thus creating a five and a half foot rise in sea levels by the year 2200. In a culture that strains its moral scrutiny to envision a future more than a single lifespan over the horizon, how impossibly remote is the year 2200? As I walk about my home town of Northampton, Massachusetts, many of the stately houses were built at roughly that point in time aimed backwards – 174 years ago Emily Dickinson would have turned 22 in 1852. Emily Dickinson exists as a current and relatable feature of our local culture. We gaze into the recent past with immediate access to our history, but fail to form even the most tentative intimacy with the near future.

The climate will get us – (ourselves perhaps) our children, our grandchildren, our great grandchildren, and our great, great grandchildren have increasingly diminishing likelihoods of a decent quality of life at best, and of mere survival at worst. The question cannot rationally be posed about if, only about when the climate comes for our descendants. By the year 2300, scientists cannot rule out a fifty foot rise in sea level. That would put us on the trajectory to fill the low lying US mid-west corn-belt with Mesozoic Era style inland seas. But the Mesozoic departed 66 million years ago and we are talking about the US hinterland in less than 300 years. Geological time confuses us.

Climate journalism has failed to conceptualize the urgency of our predicament. We are descending into Permian levels of biological misery at warp speed. The earth is heating up (in mere) centuries to levels of distress that, in the most catastrophic event in the earth’s 540 million year history of complex life, may have taken tens of thousands of years to transpire.

Climate overheating is a story – heretofore rooted in “deep time” – that requires basic geological historical literacy to nominally comprehend. The Permian “Great Dying” occurred 251.9 million years ago at the Permian/Triassic boundary. The Permian/Triassic extinction event provides the most analogous template to understand the present risks and probabilities of catastrophic climate heating. The mother of all mass extinctions provides us with missing context – the inevitable result of runaway CO2/greenhouse gas buildup will once again be the demise of species. What is missing from both the past Permian event, that resulted in the mass extinction of most living things, and the currently transpiring capitalist perpetrated, profit motivated extinction event, is the timeline. Scientists do not know how quickly the Permian extinction built up to lethal conditions, and obviously, we have little consensus regarding our current, suicidal act of bio-destruction. Are we doomed in a half century, or will it take many hundreds of years? Does the end Permian offer us a means to give our current extinction event familiar context? The parallels create a potential road map that requires an ability to see geological details as thematic, repeating events.

Human catastrophes cannot be siloed, for our predicament, however uniquely self-inflicted, follows the same laws of physics that determined the results of volcanism and other natural perpetrators of greenhouse buildup. The Permian “Great Dying” is believed to have resulted from two interacting events, the protracted outgassing from the Siberian Traps Large Igneous Province (whose remnants exist in present day Siberia) coupled with the volcanic ignition of adjacent coal fields. Coal fields sequester tens of millions of years of accumulating carbon, and the burning of massive quantities of stored carbon instantaneously (in both ancient and current examples), unites the end Permian with our present moment.

The Permian extinction has often been described as coming close to sterilizing the planet via an explosive rise in greenhouse gasses, and concomitant temperature rise. Oceans achieved the temperatures of hot tubs, anoxic and acidified waters destroyed coral reefs, and inland Pangea became a vast desert. Descriptions are speculative, but the study of end-Permian strata leaves little ambiguity. This from the geology text – Out of Thin Air: Dinosaurs, Birds, and Earth’s Ancient Atmosphere (2006) gives readers an image of our probable destiny if capitalism’s environmental program limitlessly rides on current momentum:

“A voyage 251 million years ago would put us at the very end of the Permian Period. Even at the poles there is no ice. The world is hot and desert-like. There is little plant life, so little, in fact, that soil erosion has caused great dune fields of sand to form. The river systems look like those we saw in our Cambrian voyage where there were no meandering rivers, only ephemeral braided streams—the kind of sheetwash and streamflow that today is found at the bottom of glaciers of alluvial fans—places without vegetation, for it is the roots of plants that allow rivers to have bank stability, which is required for meandering rivers. This place is akin to the time before land plants. Harsh, hot winds, filled with grit, only make the atmosphere seem hotter. And hot it is—a place of high carbon dioxide and low oxygen. And it reeks of rotten eggs. Great bubbles of hydrogen sulfide are periodically emerging from the sea and larger lakes, for we will find that both of these are filled with bacteria producing this deadly gas.”

Scientists have recently developed a more detailed, focused image of the end Permian – its time lines, its isotopic features of temperature and atmospheric composition. Previously we had imagined the Permian Extinction as an event wholly embedded in geological time scales. The Siberian Traps erupted in a series of pulses over the course of some two million years. The first eruptions preceded the extinction event by 300,000 years leading to the theory that atmospheric and oceanic conditions degraded gradually over an enormous time span. However, a recent paper out of MIT suggests that the fossil record fails to reinforce the theory of a protracted, incremental slide toward mass extinction. Species did not die out in an evenly dispersed sequence of volcanic events across hundreds of thousands of years – they exited the fossil record in a geological eye-blink, a sudden, monstrous event that gathered up even the most resilient and long lived members of the biosphere in a virtual moment of geological fury. Fish, Trilobites, Rugose Corals, Synapsida – all tumbled into a crevice in time:

“The end-Permian mass extinction, which took place 251.9 million years ago, killed off more than 96 percent of the planet’s marine species and 70 percent of its terrestrial life — a global annihilation that marked the end of the Permian Period.”

The MIT research summary quoted above goes on to emphasize the primary finding of the study:

“The new study, published today in the GSA Bulletin, reports that in the approximately 30,000 years leading up to the end-Permian extinction, there is no geologic evidence of species starting to die out. The researchers also found no signs of any big swings in ocean temperature or dramatic fluxes of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. When ocean and land species did die out, they did so en masse, over a period that was geologically instantaneous.”

It is well known that volcanic outgassing raised CO2 concentrations over eons of time leading up to the mass extinction, but the extinction itself did not take place in parallel fashion (according to the above linked paper) to the buildup – it struck “instantaneously.” In geological time frames instantaneous means, “give or take 31,000 years.” Stanford Geologist Jonathan Payne, after reading the MIT study, concluded, “It is even possible that the main pulse of Permian extinction occurred in just a few centuries.”

This speculative possibility points ominously toward our own era – a time of extinction level pulses that transpire at a velocity exponentially greater than at any time in geological history (including the Permian/Triassic event). In the past year, the CO2 atmospheric concentrations have jumped by 5 PPM while following a curved trajectory that has unfailingly seen escalating rates of CO2 concentration.

If the rate of C02 PPM grew statically at 5 PPM per year (it is, however, not static, but increasing, as the above chart proves) we would add 1,000 PPM in a mere two hundred years – replete with feedback loops, massive release of frozen methane stores, political turmoil and likely collapse of ocean currents and terrestrial food chains.

If the MIT study refines our understanding of the nuances of geological time scales regarding mass extinctions, another geological study out of the University of Leeds offers yet another warning. This study, focusing on ocean temperatures across the entire Phanerozoic, concluded that slow natural processes, particularly rock weathering that sequesters carbon in limestones, likely regulates earths temperatures and act as brakes in the form of a negative feedback loop. As temperatures increase, so does rock weathering and concomitant carbon sequestering. However, current CO2 and temperature buildups – transpiring at far faster velocities than those of the past, may not allow for natural regulating processes to catch up. The Leeds study warns:

“We shouldn’t be complacent when viewing ancient hot climates that supported diverse ecosystems, and we must understand that they were established extremely slowly, and may not have been as hot as recently proposed. Earth’s natural regulation systems are slow, and humans must perform our own climate regulation to keep the planet in a habitable range.”

The speed of human caused climate change is the key that makes natural systems of remediation and compensation inadequate. In addition, we cannot view our current environmental crises as a mere matter of greenhouse gasses. We have a host of toxic substances – PFAs, mercury, lead, micro-plastics and other neuro toxins that offer parallel methods of lethal assault, or that operate in tandem with overheating. The rise of fascism coincides with environmental destruction in ways that are complex and reinforcing. Extreme heat causes diminished cognitive/emotional functioning. Capitalist inflicted environmental destruction unquestionably impacts the human capacity to function politically – and this phenomenon remains almost completely unexplored by researchers.

Heat waves may alert us to our gathering apocalypse, but scientific study already tethers us to the Permian event. We are at the end game,with moth numbers already plummeting by 50%. The Permian was uniquely inhospitable to insects – a class comprised of thousands of species, each with such spectacular breeding velocity that only the most oppressive environmental circumstances can threaten their survival. Commercial bee colonies have collapsed catastrophically in the US – by 70% according to estimates. 32% of amphibian species are in danger of imminent extinction. North American bird populations have dropped by 29% since 1970. Freshwater fish populations have been reduced by 81% since 1970. The trajectory of our unravelling biosphere is hardly a secret, and yet we witness no mass mobilization, no frantic resistance commensurate with the statistical evidence regarding greenhouse buildup, increasing heat, escalating weather extremes and dying species.

Phil Wilson also writes at Nobody’s VoiceEmail

Phil Wilson is a retired mental health worker and union member. His writing has been published in ZNetwork.org, Current Affairs, Counterpunch, Resilience, Mother Pelican, Common Dreams, The Hampshire Gazette, The Common Ground Review, The Future Fire and other publications. Phil's writings are posted regularly at Nobody's Voice (https://philmeow.substack.com/).

 

Source: Jacobin

Elon Musk is officially the richest man on Earth. The source of his wealth is not his own cunning. Nor can it be fully explained by capitalism’s financial architecture, tax loopholes, and the value created by the workers employed in his various ventures.

Tech billionaires’ companies are robbing humanity of its distinctive capacity to create. From social media data to academic outputs, literary pieces, artwork, movies, music, podcasts, software code, our health care records, you name it: generative AI models are trained on creative products from around the world. Once operational, data retrieved from user prompts is used to fine-tune them, improving AI’s predictive capacities. AI is, unmistakably, a product of humanity.

Bernie Sanders’ call for levying a one-time 50 percent tax on AI companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI — to be paid in stock — is, seen from this perspective, a reasonable compensatory measure.

More Than American Data: A Global Looting

There are even more compelling reasons to justify shared ownership. AI models are cocreated by the many and then monetized by the few. The very conception of AI models and their underlying technologies rely on a global network of scientists and engineers based at universities, public research organizations, and thousands of companies at least partially funded by taxpayers’ money. These actors profit very little, if they profit at all, and have virtually no say in what models are developed or how.

Elsewhere, I have shown how Microsoft and Google dictate the agenda of the frontier AI research global community. These and other giants like Meta do open-source-washing. They open-source strategic software pieces — sometimes using a form of pseudo-open-source — to turn them into de facto standards. Massive adoption leads to a captured user base, one that will more easily consume other bits of their technology — these kept as proprietary software. Big Tech companies’ additional strategy to control technology and other organizations beyond ownership has made the headlines. They are the largest corporate venture capitalists, investing in thousands of start-ups to get access to and steer their developments. This is how companies like OpenAI and Anthropic came to be.

Bernie’s diagnosis is correct: AI is indeed a product of humanity ripped off by a few corporate giants. But he falls into a nationalist trap that has even led the Financial Times to associate him with Donald Trump when suggesting that Americans should own half of AI companies’ stocks. The creative products used for training, as well as researchers, developers, and start-ups integrating Big Tech’s controlled networks are not only American. They come from around the world. The AI sovereign wealth fund should thus belong to the true public, to the world’s population.

Geography is only one of the reasons why the scope of Bernie’s proposal matters. If the aim is to grant humanity both ownership of benefits and control over the development of AI models, getting a cut of the AI companies going for initial public offerings this year would be far from enough. The ultimate AI steersmen and main beneficiaries are Nvidia and the cloud giants. Every single AI model can be used as a service on at least one of the world’s largest tech supermarkets, aka Amazon, Microsoft, and Google clouds. Using AI means using their clouds. AI adoption takes place through their clouds. The more models are released, the more cloud giants’ predatory ecosystems expand. And while cloud giants also develop their own models, start-ups depend on Amazon, Microsoft, and Google infrastructures and cloud marketplaces. From known dependencies, like OpenAI’s reliance on Microsoft Azure, to DeepSeek and xAI’s Grok.

And it is precisely their clouds’ data centers that complete the spoilage. This represents an extraction of nature that compounds the appropriation of data and knowledge. Their expansion should be regulated, and society should also be compensated for their use of land, energy, and drinking water. An international AI sovereign wealth fund could compensate for this twin extractivism of nature and human creations. Still, it would not grant humanity the decision-making power.

Distributed Ownership, Concentrated Control

At its debut, individual investors — meaning laypeople instead of institutional investors such as hedge funds or asset managers — were allocated between 20 and 25 percent of SpaceX stock. The illusion of distributed ownership begins to fade when compared with Musk’s 42 percent, resulting in 80 to 85 percent voting rights. Ownership does not equal control. Like Meta, Alphabet, and Palantir, SpaceX went public offering different classes of stocks. Each class has different voting rights, preserving control in the hands of founders and CEOs. Musk’s shares have ten times more voting power.

Concretely, even if Bernie’s proposal succeeds, Musk would still retain the control over what SpaceX does and how it operates. For one thing, it would be unlikely for the AI sovereign wealth fund to block SpaceX from building extraterritorial data centers, regardless of their environmental impact. Likewise, the public will have zero bargaining power to prevent a company like OpenAI from selling its advanced models to the military; deter Palantir from working side by side with Immigration and Customs Enforcement and, again, the military; or convincing Anthropic to stop developing models that could induce a cybersecurity catastrophe.

Society cannot trust the willingness of a few CEOs and founders to halt the development of AI that can be used as an autonomous weapon, as a tool to expand control in the workplace, or as a school assistant that spoon-feeds students and does their homework. By themselves, these people will never slow the pace at which their own companies develop technology and expand scale. Scaling up — concentrating more data to train ever larger models in massive data centers with greater numbers of processors — is strategic for cloud giants and AI companies. It is an exclusionary system by design that ensures their lead.

Scale enables control without ownership across the networks of organizations described above. Thousands of actors integrate innovation systems dictated by a few tech giants. Following the latter’s research and development and business priorities, these ecosystems also contribute to developing technologies that reinforce military and workplace control, exacerbate disinformation, and undermine people’s capacity to think. These are not inevitable or accidental outcomes. Big Tech companies plan science and technology aiming to produce AI that renders users dependent, and that advances the corporate and political interests of those with the money to afford it.

Another AI agenda cannot wait. To prioritize communities and the planet, the public must be in control. International democratic control over the AI ecosystem is at least as urgent as redistributing its benefits. It would require creating public institutions that are both independent from corporate power and autonomous from the whims of individual governments.

An AI sovereign wealth fund could thus only be celebrated as part of a broader international strategy. As a stand-alone initiative, it risks backfiring. Just as sovereign oil funds can dampen popular enthusiasm for a renewable energy transition, a sovereign AI fund could bolster the adoption of today’s AI, the world’s largest control technology. A just society is not only one in which wealth is redistributed. Control, thus decision-making power, and knowledge should be equally shared.

Cecilia Rikap is a University College London associated professor in economics, the head of research of UCL’s Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose, and the author of The Rulers. Corporate Power in the Age of AI and the Cloud and Teoría de la Dependencia Digital. Soberanía y Desarrollo en el Capitalismo del Siglo XXI, among other books.


This article was originally published by Jacobin; please consider supporting the original publication, and read the original version at the link above.

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karl-marx-fragment-on-machines-grundrisse.pdf

on · Machines · Karl Marx · 1 858 · Once adopted into the production process of capital, the means of · labour passes through different...