Thursday, May 07, 2020

POLITICAL ECOLOGY
1709: The year that Europe froze solid





The Venetian lagoon frozen over in 1709.

Early January 1709 temperatures were dropping over most of Europe (Pain 2009). The cold remained for three weeks, and was followed by a brief thaw. Then temperatures plunged again and stayed there. From Scandinavia in the north to Italy in the south, lakes, rivers and even the sea froze. At Upminster, shortly north-east of London, temperature fell to -12oC on 10 January 1709, while it sank to -15oC in Paris on 14 January, and stayed at that level for the next 11 days. It has been estimated that the winter air temperature in Europe was as much as 7oC below the average for 20th century Europe. Not only was January very cold, it also turned out to be unusually stormy (Pain 2009).

In England the winter of 1709 became known as the Great Frost, while it in France entered the legend as Le Grand Hiver (Pain 2009). In France, even the king and his courtiers at the Palace of Versailles struggled to keep warm. In Scandinavia the Baltic froze so thoroughly that people could walk across the sea as late as April 1709. In Switzerland hungry wolves became a problem in villages. Venetians were able to skid across the frozen lagoon (see painting above).

According to a canon from Beaune in Burgundy, "travellers died in the countryside, livestock in the stables, wild animals in the woods; nearly all birds died, wine froze in barrels and public fires were lit to warm the poor". From all over the country came reports of people found frozen to death. Roads and rivers were blocked by snow and ice, and transport of supplies to the cities became difficult. Paris waited three months for fresh supplies (Pain 2009).

In Russia, the intense cold contributed significantly to the defeat of the Swedish army at Poltava under King Karl XII. Poltava became a political turning point for both Sweden and Russia: Sweden never regained its former military might, while Russia began to emerge as a European superpower (see text below).

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1709: Swedish defeat at Poltava UKRAINE



In 1697 the Swedish king Karl XII (1682-1718) assumed the crown at the age of fifteen, at the death of his father. As king, he embarked on a series of battles overseas. In 1700, Denmark-Norway, Saxony, and Russia united in an alliance against Sweden, using the perceived opportunity as Sweden was ruled by the young and inexperienced King. Early that year, all three countries declared war against Sweden. King Karl had to deal with these threats one by one, which he in a very determined way set out to do.

Having first defeated Denmark-Norway in 1700, King Karl turned his attention upon the two other powerful neighbours, Poland and Russia; lead by King August II and Tsar Peter the Great, respectively. First Russia was attacked. At the Narva Riverthe outnumbered Swedish army 20 November 1700 attacked the much larger Russian army under cover of a blizzard, divided the Russian army in two and won the battle. Next Karl next turned towards Poland and defeated King August and his allies at Kliszow in 1702. Then he turned back towards Russia, to finish Tsar Peter off for good.

In the meantime, Tsar Peter had embarked on a military reform plan to improve the quality of the Russian army. Especially the development of the artillery was emphasised. In the last days of 1707 King Karl crossed the frozen Weichsel River, and began advancing into Ukraine with his 77,400 man strong army. Already 28 January 1708 Karl together with an advanced group of 600 men crossed Njemen River and took the city Grodno. Shortly after this all hostilities were stopped, as both armies went into winter quarters.

The Russian tactical plan was to avoid a decisive battle before the Swedish army had been weakened by the progress of time. When hostilities were resumed in June 1708 the Russian army therefore slowly retreated towards Moscow, burning all villages to make the Swedish supply situation difficult. With great success this tactic would be used again 105 years later against the French invasion under Napoleon, and was in 1708 known as the Zjolkijevskij plan (Englund 1989). First Karl XII headed towards Moscow with his army, but it rapidly turned out being very difficult to supply the army in the deserted landscape. In addition, the summer 1708 was cold and wet, making life miserable for the Swedish soldiers. He therefore decided to turn south-east towards the more rich regions around the city Poltava. Before reaching Poltava the winter began, and the armies once again went into their winter quarters. The Swedish army went into winter quarters at the city Baturin, about 200 km NE of Kiev. The winter rapidly became very cold, not only in Russia, but in most of Europe, adding additional trouble to the already difficult Swedish supply situation. At the end of January 1709 the Swedish army resumed hostilities, but the winter soon made all operations virtually impossible. It became late April 1709 before Karl reached the city Poltava, 130 km SW of Kharkov.

King Karl XII of Sweden (left). Battle of Poltava (centre). King Karl at the Dnieper River during the catastrophic retreat following the battle of Poltava.

The extremely low temperatures characterizing the winter 1708-1709 had taken their toll on the Swedish soldiers. When the Swedish army finally began its siege of Poltava 1 May 1709, Karl has lost most of his army without any big battles being fought. In June Tsar Peter began concentrating an army shortly north of Poltava. Karl had to face this treat, but following the hard winter he was only able to muster about 12,000 men for the attack. The attack was launched 28 June 1709, but was affected by some tactical confusion on the Swedish side. After some initial successes, the Swedish army was defeated thoroughly by the much larger Russian army, mainly due to its numerical superiority, and partly because of the now very strong and efficient Russian artillery. A catastrophic retreat followed to the Dnieper River, where what was left of the Swedish army had to surrender.By this, the battle at Poltava represented a climatic induced turning point for both Sweden and Russia. Sweden never regained its former military might, while Russia was beginning to emerge as a European superpower.

King Karl XII himself managed to escape with 1,200 Swedish survivors to the northerly province of the Ottoman Empire. Here he was held as a kind of prisoner until 1714, when he jumped onto a horse and escaped back to Sweden. He died 30 November 1718 during the siege of the Norwegian fortifications at Frederikssten. Some rumours claim that he was shot by a Swedish officer, but a more likely cause is that he simply did not take sufficient cover against fire from the Norwegian soldiers.

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NORTH AMERICA FREEZES 
A brief history of epidemic and pestilential diseases; with the principal phenomena of the physical world, which precede and accompany them, and observations deduced from the facts stated. : In two volumes.
Webster, Noah, 1758-1843.

SECTION VII. Historical view of pestilential epidemics from the year 1701 to 1788.
THE year 1701 appears to have been excessively dry in America. Dr. Rush relates that during the dry summer of 1782, a rock in the Skuylkill appeared above the surface of the water, on which were engraven the figures 1701. How little do men suspect the value of this inscription! To this alone I am indebted for the fact of extreme drouth in that year—and the fact is among the proofs of an extraordinary evaporation, before dis|charges of fire and lava from volcanoes. In 1701 was an erup|tion of Vesuvius; in 1702 of Etna. It will hereafter appear that a similar dry season in 1782 preceded the great eruption of Heckla in 1783. Indeed it is a general fact, and as far as I can learn, such seasons seldom occur, except during the approach of comets, or antecedent to volcanic eruptions.

This was a pestilential period. In 1701 Toulon lost two thirds of its inhabitants by the plague, and the Levant was se|verely affected about the same time. See the bills of mortality for Augsburg, Dresden and Boston.

In 1702 appeared a comet; Etna discharged its fires, and in Boston raged a malignant small-pox, attended, in many cases, with a scarlet eruption, which was mistaken for the scarlet fever. It appears from Fairfield's diary that this disease appeared in June and was at first mild, not fatal to any of the patients. In August died one patient—in September it became very mortal, and in this month was attended with a "sort of fever called scarlet fever." In October, many died of the "fever and the small-pox, and it was a time of sore distress," on which account the general court sat at Cambridge. 

Rodama: a blog of 18th century & Revolutionary French trivia

THURSDAY, 26 MAY 2016


The winter of 1709: letters of Liselotte



The correspondence of Louis XIV's sister-in-law, the Princess Palatine Elisabeth-Charlotte, duchess of Orléans (1652–1722), mother of the future Regent, is rightly prized for its down-to-earth comments and wealth of witty anecdote. Here is the "Great Winter" as it appears in her letters.

Curiously enough, the weather did not at first excite that much comment from "Liselotte". On 10th January 1709 she wrote to her half-sister, the Raugravine Amalia- Elisabeth without even mentioning the freezing temperature. On 17th January, she alluded to it only in passing: Last Sunday the cold was atrocious and we had to have a terrific fire lit in the room where we ate.

Her letter of 10th January to the Electress Sophia of Hanover, however, is more forthcoming:

The cold here is so fierce here that it fairly defies description. I am sitting by a roaring fire, have a screen before the door, which is closed, so that I can sit here with a sable fur piece around my neck and my feet in a bearskin sack, and I am still shivering with cold and can barely hold the pen. Never in my life have I seen a winter such as this one; the wine freezes in bottles.

READ THE REST HERE


POLITICAL ECOLOGY
Great Frost 1709: why experts are comparing the economic impact of coronavirus to Europe’s worst recession in history



The Great Frost, as it was known in England, or Le Grand Hiver ("The Great Winter"), as it was known in France, was an extraordinarily cold winter in Europe in late 1708 and early 1709, and was the coldest European winter during the past 500 years.
The coronavirus outbreak has had a huge impact on day-to-day life in many ways, and the UK is expected to remain under lockdown for several more weeksBy Claire Schofield Wednesday, 15th April 2020

While adjusting to life in isolation has been difficult, businesses have been hit particularly hard by the restrictions, with the budget watchdog now warning the country could suffer its biggest recession in 300 years if lockdown continues into the summer.

What happened to the economy in 1709?


The Office for Budget Responsibility has said the economy could shrink by 35 per cent this spring, with unemployment levels reaching 3.4 million over the coming months - its highest level since the 1990s.

The ‘Great Frost’ sparked food shortages and a huge deficit to the economy


The struggling economy has sparked comparisons to the financial crash in 2008, and the Great Depression of the 1930s, but experts are now predicting the outcome will be much worse.

Experts now believe the UK is headed for its biggest economic slump since 1709, when the country was hit by a deep freeze that spread across Europe.

Temperatures plummeted on 5 January, bringing with it the worst winter in 500 years and freezing over several countries, including France, England and Russia.

The ‘Great Frost’, as it came to be known, lasted for three months and sparked food shortages, thousands of deaths in France, and a huge deficit to the economy.

Is the UK heading for an economic crash?


The coronavirus pandemic could see the economy shrink by a record 35 per cent by June, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has warned.

A drop this big would mark the largest decline “in living memory”, Robert Chote, chairman of the OBR has said.

However, Chancellor Rishi Sunak stressed that this forecast is just one possible scenario, and it merely suggests the scale of what the country is currently facing will have “serious implications for our economy”.

He said: “We came into this crisis with a fundamentally sound economy, powered by the hard work and ingenuity of the British people and British businesses.

“Our planned economic response is protecting millions of jobs, businesses, self-employed people, charities and households.

“Our plan is the right plan.”

Mr Sunak assured that the government would not stand by and will act to support the economy, adding that the OBR expects the economic impact of the pandemic to be temporary.

When will the UK economy recover?


Despite being forecast for a significant decline, the UK is expected to return to its pre-coronavirus economic growth by the end of this year, with the OBR stating this amount will depend on how long the lockdown lasts.

The OBR predicts that any drop in growth will be reversed in the three months to September, as the economy starts to recover.

However, it warned that the pandemic may have a more lasting impact on unemployment, which is estimated to rise to 3.4 million by the end of June.

Unemployment levels are currently 1.3 million, marking a rise from 3.9 per cent to 10 per cent.

Unemployment rates are expected to remain high until 2023, before dropping back to four per cent, according to the OBR’s forecast.

As UK faces its worst slump since the Great Frost of 1709, history shows our economy is no match for nature

The likely global recession triggered by the novel coronavirus is part of a much older tradition


Sean O'Grady @_seanogrady Wednesday 15 April 2020

The Great Plague of 1665 forced businesses to close, but while the

 economic impact was severe it was not long-lasting 
( Hulton Archive/Getty Images )When the Office for Budget Responsibility predicts national income will fall by some 35 per cent over just a few months, that is a truly historic slump. It is useful to place it in some perspective.

Assuming that the economy “bounces back” fairly robustly afterward the lockdown and growth returns – far from guaranteed – it would leave the British economy in 2020 overall about 13 per cent smaller than it was in 2019. That would still be the biggest annual fall in economic activity in centuries – since 1709 in fact.

That of course begs the question: What on Earth happened in 1709 to spiral the economy into dropping by about 15 per cent (though the further back you go, the hazier GDP estimates get). Well, it wasn’t a war or one of the many pandemics – or plagues, as they were known then – that hit the world periodically.

BEHIND PAYWALL  


Winter Is Coming: Europe's Deep Freeze of 1709
h
ttps://www.nationalgeographic.com › history › magazine › 1709-deep-fre...

Apr 27, 2020 - In the first months of 1709, Europe froze and stayed that way for months. ... In London, “The Great Frost,” as it came to be known, iced over the ...


A MONTH LATER THE STORY RECIRCULATES AGAIN BEHIND A PAYWALL

The U.K. Is Headed for Its Worst Recession Since the Great Frost of 1709. Here’s What Happened Back Then.
BARRONS Published: May 7, 2020 




Beware, the stock market’s being supported by ‘nothing more than an ideological dream,’ economist warns

Published: May 7, 2020 By Shawn Langlois

Bears are still growling over valuations. iStockphoto

Not breaking news: Albert Edwards is bearish on the stock market.

Yes, the Société Générale economist who refers to himself as an “uber bear,” once again, lived up to his self-billing in his gloomy note to clients on Thursday.

“We are in the midst of a monetary and fiscal ideological revolution. Nose-bleed equity valuations are being supported by nothing more than a belief that a new ideology can deliver,” he wrote. “Meanwhile the gap between the reality on the ground and expectations grows wider.”

Edwards used this chart to show “how ludicrous current equity valuations have become and by implication how vulnerable equities are to a collapse”:



He called the relationship between the S&P and analyst expectations for long-term earnings growth — the PEG ratio — a “showstopper” that just hit historic levels of 2x. A PEG ratio above 1x typically means a stock is considered overvalued relative to its long-term earnings growth expectation.

Edwards compared it to the dot-com bubble when valuations were nearly as stretched.

“Back then the cycle was still intact,” he wrote. “As tech stocks increasingly dominated the index, the market’s [long-term earnings per share] was also surging higher in tandem with the rising PE.”

At that time, stocks at least had a leg to stand on, “albeit a wooden leg, riddled with woodworm,” he said, adding that this time around, the ratio is “based on nothing more than an ideological dream.”

What will it look like when the “dream” fades? A lot like Hagler vs. Hearns, apparently:
Stocks, at least in Thursday’s session, were standing on firm ground, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.89% up more than 300 points. The S&P 500 SPX, +1.15% and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite COMP, +1.41% were also firmly higher


WATCH: Praying mantis eats a murder hornet’s face, becomes Twitter’s new hero
The giant hornets can kill mantises and entire bee hives — but not this time. Not this time.

T
urns out, the praying mantis can prey on murder hornets. imv/iStock

Published: May 7, 2020 By Nicole Lyn Pesce
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/watch-praying-mantis-eats-a-murder-hornets-face-becomes-twitters-new-hero-2020-05-07?mod=MW_article_top_stories

Say your prayers, murder hornets.

As if the coronavirus pandemic weren’t enough to give people nightmares this year, headlines about giant Asian “murder hornets” landing in the U.S. for the first time have had some people musing that the end is nigh.

The flying, meat-eating insects that grow more than 2 inches long can kill up to 50 people a year in Japan, and are known to decimate bee hives.

But all hope is not yet lost: tales of plucky bugs fighting back have been gaining a lot of buzz on social media.
A pretty gory video of a praying mantis grabbing a murder hornet from behind, and then chewing its face off and eating its brain, has gone viral across Twitter TWTR, +3.93%, Facebook FB, +1.33% and reddit, leading “praying mantis” to trend on Twitter on Thursday. Watch it here, but be warned that it’s pretty graphic.

It’s gruesome stuff, but many viewers cheered the mantis for taking down the Asian giant hornet notorious for decapitating bees and wiping out entire honeybee hives in a matter of hours. The hornets also produce a potent venom in their long stingers that reportedly feels like a hot nail being driven into one’s flesh when people get stung by them. A grisly 2018 video shows a murder hornet killing a mouse in seconds.

This is really more of an underdog story, however, as National Geographic warned in 2002 that “bees, other hornet species, and larger insects such as praying mantises are no match for the giant hornets, which often stalk their prey in relentless armies.” (The same article notes that murder hornet venom is strong enough to “disintegrate human flesh.”)

Related:Giant ‘murder hornet’ is in U.S. to stay, will eventually reach East Coast, experts say

Of course, the praying mantis is also known for being a cunning hunter in its own right, eating everything from bees, moths, beetles and crickets to even small birds, like hummingbirds.

And the female mantis is notorious for occasionally cannibalizing her male partner after mating.

A photograph of Japanese honeybees fighting back against a murder hornet is also making the rounds online. Turns out, these honeybees can form “hot defensive bee balls” by swarming a giant hornet and vibrating their flight muscles all at once, which “cooks the hornet to death.”



AS A JUNIOR SCIENTIST (WHAT CITIZEN SCIENTISTS WERE CALLED BACK THEN)
I WAS FASCINATED BY THE PREYING MANTIS, AS WELL AS THE ARACHNAE FAMILY

SEE https://plawiuk.blogspot.com/search?q=HORNET
#ABOLISHICE
Immigrant in ICE custody dies after testing positive for COVID-19
Camilo Montoya-Galvez,CBS News•May 7, 2020


An immigrant detained by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in southern California died on Wednesday from coronavirus complications, local health authorities said, confirming the first known death of a detainee in the agency's custody during the pandemic.

The 57-year-old immigrant died Wednesday morning in a San Diego-area hospital after being transferred in April from the privately operated Otay Mesa detention center, the epicenter of coronavirus cases inside the nation's immigration detention system, according to Craig Sturak, a spokesperson for the County of San Diego Health & Human Services Agency.

The man was identified as Carlos Ernesto Escobar Mejía by his immigration attorney for nine years, Joan Del Valle. He had lived in the U.S. since the 1980s, including 20 years in Los Angeles, according to Del Valle.

Escobar Mejía had been transferred to the Otay Mesa detention center after being picked up by ICE in January during the arrest of someone he was in a car with, Del Valle said. She stopped representing him after after he was transferred to the detention facility in the San Diego-area, since she's based in Los Angeles. Del Valle said Wednesday night that Escobar Mejía's family in the U.S. was too distraught to discuss his death publicly and authorized her to speak on their behalf.

Del Valle said her longtime client, who had undergone surgeries and suffered from diabetes, was denied bond on April 15 by an immigration judge. "On April 15, he had the opportunity to have many more years of life. On April 15, when they denied him every possibility to be released in the middle of a pandemic, knowing how frail he was, they sentenced him to die," Del Valle told CBS News.

According to Del Valle, Escobar Mejía struggled with alcohol and drug abuse earlier in his life, saying he had some substance convictions that date back roughly three decades. A drug-related charge in 2012 was expunged the following year, she added. For the past years, however, Escobar Mejía had turned his life around, Del Valle said.

"Having a record, it depends on you if you want to change your life — and he did. I want people to focus on Carlos, a good person who was fighting an addiction and bad influences and he was successful. Staying nine years clean after being so deep in using drugs is a big advancement," Del Valle said. "He was a good person."

"He was a person who loved his family. He loved life. Who wanted to improve, make things right. I will never forget his voice, his joy, his smile, his desire to press forward," she added.

At least 132 ICE detainees at the San Diego-area prison have tested positive for coronavirus, the most of any detention center used by the agency to hold immigrants it is looking to deport. Across the nation, at least 705 immigrants in ICE custody have tested positive for the coronavirus, according to the agency, which reported 31 new cases on Wednesday. More than 48% of the 1,460 detainees who have been screened for the virus have tested positive.

Cases inside the agency's sprawling network of county jails and private prisons have been growing substantially on a consistent basis, with the agency reporting 581 cases in the past three weeks alone. Many of the more than 29,000 immigrants held by ICE have been growing increasingly frustrated, and have said they feel powerless to shield themselves from the contagion while in close quarters.

There have been at least nine instances since President Trump declared a national emergency over coronavirus in March in which protesting ICE detainees have been pepper sprayed. ICE has said the immigrants became confrontational and disruptive, and maintained that the "calculated use of force" mitigates the risk of injuries to both staff and detainees.

Since the pandemic started spreading across the U.S., immigrant advocates and human rights groups have been pressuring ICE to dramatically downsize its detainee population to mitigate the risk of widespread outbreaks.

ICE has so far released more than 900 immigrants who it determined face an increased risk of severe illness if they contract the coronavirus due to their age, underlying health conditions or the fact that they are pregnant. Granting requests in lawsuits filed by advocates across the country, federal judges have also required the agency to release more than 190 at-risk detainees.

But advocates believe the agency has not done enough to protect detainees. Anne Rios, a supervising attorney at Al Otro Lado, a group that has been working to release dozens of detainees from the Otay Mesa detention center, said she is worried about other immigrants dying while in custody.

"This was 100% avoidable. Immigration detention is civil detention — it is discretionary. ICE could've determined that this person who had underlying conditions could and should've been released," she told CBS News. "They had the discretion to do so and yet they chose not to."

ICE officials did not immediately respond to requests to comment on Wednesday's death.


Judge dismisses Missouri lawsuit over meat worker safety

JIM SALTER,Associated Press•May 6, 2020




O'FALLON, Mo. (AP) — A federal judge dismissed a lawsuit filed on behalf of employees at a rural Missouri meatpacking facility, ruling that oversight of how the plant adheres to guidance aimed at slowing the spread of the coronavirus falls to the Occupational Safety and Health Administration, not the courts.

U.S. District Judge Greg Kays issued his 24-page ruling Tuesday in favor of Smithfield Foods. A lawsuit on behalf of workers at Smithfield's pork processing plant in Milan, Missouri, sought an injunction requiring the plant to abide by federal guidelines. The lawsuit accused Virginia-based Smithfield of not doing enough to protect workers from the coronavirus.

“Plaintiffs are naturally concerned for their health and the health of their community in these unprecedented times,” Kays wrote. “The Court takes their concern seriously. Nevertheless, the Court cannot ignore the USDA’s and OSHA’s authority over compliance ... or the significant steps Smithfield has taken to reduce the risk of a COVID-19 outbreak at the Plant.”

The Milan plant has not seen an outbreak of COVID-19. Just one case has been reported in Sullivan County, where the plant is located. But outbreaks have become common at other meat plants across the U.S., infecting thousands of workers, leading to the closure of some plants and prompting meat shortages. Several big grocery chains this week were restricting customer purchases of meat, and Wendy’s was unable to serve hamburgers at some locations.

President Donald Trump issued an executive order last week requiring meatpacking plants to stay open. The order was widely seen as giving processors protection from liability for workers who become sick on the job, and it came after the Missouri lawsuit against Smithfield Foods.

In Washington, Trump and Vice President Mike Pence met Wednesday in the Oval Office with Department of Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue and Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds in a session that was upbeat about reopening meat plants quickly and safely.

“We think the story will be we’ll see more variety, and more meat cases fully supplied,” Perdue said. “I’d say probably a week to 10 days we’ll be fully back up.”

“We’re going to hopefully prevent what could have been a really sorry situation where we were euthanizing some of our protein supply and really impacting the food supply, not only across the country but throughout the world,” Reynolds said.

On the matter of safety, she said companies “know how important it is to take care of their workforce.”

Perdue said that since Trump’s order, the USDA has worked with OSHA and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to ensure that meat plants are abiding by federal guidelines.

The attorney for the workers in Milan, David Muraskin, didn't rule out an appeal but said the lawsuit had demonstrated workers' power by prompting several changes at the plant, including better spacing of employees, additional cleaning and sanitizing, and an improved sick leave policy that means workers don’t feel obligated to come to work if they have symptoms of the coronavirus.

Smithfield said it was pleased the court dismissed what it called a “frivolous” lawsuit.

“Importantly, the Court recognized the ‘significant measures’ Smithfield is taking to protect the health and safety of its employees,” the company said in a statement.

Also Wednesday, Trump said he has asked the Justice Department to investigate allegations of potential market manipulation and possible price fixing by meatpackers during the pandemic. Attorneys general for 11 Midwestern states this week asked for a federal investigation, and some members of Congress had also asked about the issue.

Separately, the Minneapolis Star Tribune reported Wednesday that more than 300 federal meatpacking inspectors are either sick from the coronavirus or in self-quarantine after exposure. Citing a USDA spokesman, the newspaper said through Tuesday, 197 inspectors had tested positive; the Food Safety and Inspection Service has about 8,000 employees. The agency said it continues to meet its responsibilities.

___

Associated Press writers Michael Balsamo and Kevin Freking in Washington contributed to this report.
Another study shows hydroxychloroquine doesn't help coronavirus patients


David Knowles Editor, Yahoo News•May 7, 2020

A new study has found that hydroxychloroquine, an antimalarial drug recommended by President Trump as a possible treatment for the coronavirus, does not help patients hospitalized with COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus.

The research, which followed 1,376 patients suffering from symptoms of the coronavirus at New York-Presbyterian and Columbia University Irving Medical Center in Manhattan, found that 60 percent of those who were given hydroxychloroquine within 48 hours of being admitted were found to be more severely ill than those who did not take the drug.

Funded by the National Institutes of Health and published Thursday in the New England Journal of Medicine, the study was not a randomized clinical trial, and its authors noted that while the drug did not appear to help coronavirus patients, it was not observed to harm them either.

The findings, however, come amid mounting evidence that hydroxychloroquine may not be the “game changer” drug that Trump touted at coronavirus task force briefings for much of the month of March.

The president seized on a French study of 26 COVID-19 patients that appeared to show that 10 people who took hydroxychloroquine recovered from the virus faster than those in a control group. One patient who was given the drug died from COVID-19, and three others stopped taking the medication due to side effects.
John Locher/AP

That evidence was all Trump needed to begin championing hydroxychloroquine.

“What do you have to lose?” Trump said when asked about the drug on April 6. “And a lot of people are saying that, and are taking it. If you’re a doctor or a nurse, a first responder, a medical person going into hospitals, they say taking it before the fact is good.”

The FDA has since issued a warning that hydroxychloroquine may cause fatal heart arrhythmia, and should be used only by doctors conducting supervised clinical trials or in hospitals where patients’ conditions can be monitored.

The Veterans Administration also released the findings of a study showing that the drug was linked to a higher rate of death among patients who received it to treat COVID-19 compared with a control group. That study, which looked at 368 male patients infected with COVID-19 who were treated with hydroxychloroquine, has yet to have a peer review.

While some hospitals continue to prescribe hydroxychloroquine as part of a treatment protocol for COVID-19 patients, most in New York City have stopped altogether.

“We know now it probably doesn’t help much,” Dr. Thomas McGinn, deputy physician in chief at Northwell Health, told Spectrum News. “We’re not recommending it as a baseline therapy anymore. It is only in a treatment protocol in a study that we’re recommending it.”

Dr. Rick Bright, former director of the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, filed a whistleblower complaint after he said he was reassigned, in part, for his objections to a plan by the Trump administration to “flood” the New York area with hydroxychloroquine tablets.

“I rightly resisted efforts to provide an unproven drug on demand to the American public,” Bright said in an April 22 statement. “I also resisted efforts to fund potentially dangerous drugs promoted by those with political connections.”


Armed activists escort black lawmaker to Michigan's Capitol after coronavirus protest attended by white supremacists


Hunter Walker White House Correspondent, Yahoo News•May 7, 2020

A Michigan lawmaker returned to the state Capitol on Wednesday with an armed security detail following a coronavirus lockdown protest at the building last week attended by white supremacists and militia groups.

Rep. Sarah Anthony, a Democrat whose district is in the capital city, Lansing, told Yahoo News in an interview that her security detail, made up of local black and Latino activists, came together because the armed protesters bearing white supremacist symbols represented a “different level of terror.”

According to Anthony, the April 30 protest was different from prior coronavirus protests that have occurred at the Capitol in recent weeks because many of the demonstrators stormed inside the building and were armed. Anthony also said some of the protesters “had Confederate flags and swastikas,” which she found “extraordinarily triggering for me as an African-American woman.”

Activists prepare to escort Rep. Sarah Anthony into the Michigan state Capitol on Wednesday; Rep. Sarah Anthony. (Courtesy of Michael Lynn Jr.; votesarahanthony.com)

“It was a very intimidating environment,” Anthony said. “I've just never experienced being so frightened and so intimidated in my life.”

Anthony posted a video to Facebook, which she filmed as the protests raged outside. Members of her community responded and, when Anthony returned to the Capitol on Wednesday for the first time since the demonstration, she was escorted by a group of six black and Latino activists who carried their own guns.

Large conservative organizations have helped back the anti-lockdown demonstrations, which have taken place in at least 18 states around the country. Though the demonstrations are focused on pressing to lift coronavirus safety measures in order to boost economic activity, they have also attracted a wide variety of groups dedicated to other causes, including militia members, gun-rights activists and white supremacists.


Even as the White House has issued social distancing guidelines and described the measures as necessary, President Trump has expressed support for the protests, calling the demonstrators “very good people” and urging Michigan’s Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer to “make a deal” with them.

Anthony claimed one of her fellow lawmakers wore a bulletproof vest due to their fear of the armed protesters, many of whom streamed into the Capitol and angrily confronted officials. Dayna Polehanki, a Democratic Michigan state senator, similarly claimed that scared colleagues were wearing bulletproof vests in a tweet posted during the protests on April 30.

“Directly above me, men with rifles yelling at us. Some of my colleagues who own bullet proof vests are wearing them,” Polehanki wrote.

For Anthony, the guns and hate symbols weren’t the only dangerous elements of the protests. She said many of the demonstrators ignored the social distancing and mask guidelines, getting extremely close to her and “yelling and screaming” in her face, raising concerns of potential coronavirus spread.

A militia group with no political affiliation from Michigan stands in front of the governor's office on April 30 after protesters occupied the state Capitol during a vote to approve the extension of Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's stay-at-home order due to the coronavirus outbreak. (Seth Herald/Reuters)More

“I am a woman and, you know, heavy, large men yelling and kind of approaching, it really is frightening,” said Anthony, adding, “As an elected official ... I have pretty thick skin. You kind of have to in this job, but we’re in the middle of a pandemic and I am particularly ... unnerved by it because I have seen the impact up close of this coronavirus.”

Michigan has been a coronavirus hot spot, and Anthony said she knows multiple people in her Lansing district who have died from the outbreak.

Anthony said she was disturbed by the fact that the Michigan State Police did not do more to separate lawmakers from the armed protests. She also claimed some officers were “posing in photos” with the protesters.

A spokesperson for the Michigan State Police did not respond to requests for comment.

The activists who accompanied Anthony on Wednesday included local Lansing firefighter and activist Michael Lynn Jr. along with multiple members of his family. Lynn told Yahoo News that Anthony’s video of the protests inspired him to offer her protection.

“My thing is, you know, we elected her and we elevated her to that level to represent us in that Capitol. I don’t want her going in there with a fear or worry about doing anything. … I don’t think that’s right, that they would try to intimidate her that way,” Lynn said.

He said seeing the armed protesters challenging Anthony “enraged” him and reminded him of the darker days of white supremacist opposition to the civil rights movement.

Protesters trying to enter the Michigan House of Representatives chamber are kept out by Michigan State Police on April 30. (Jeff Kowalsky/AFP via Getty Images)

“It takes a lot to get a black woman elected into the House of Representatives,” Lynn said. “There’s not that many of them, and we did that. We got her elected in there, and we’re going to make sure she’s protected to go do her job.”



Critics and civil rights activists have argued that the protests highlight a double standard, contrasting the response to the armed anti-lockdown protesters with violent crackdowns on black militant groups.

Lynn said he believes African-American protesters would indeed have been treated differently.

“You know, if we did that, we’d be killed,” he said.

Challenging the perceptions of people of color and guns was one of Lynn’s goals in providing security for Anthony.

“Anytime somebody sees a minority with a gun, it’s got a negative connotation to it, and I don’t like that,” said Lynn. “We were able today to provide some sort of protection but also just the feeling of being protected. I think that was great.”

Anthony said she is somewhat sympathetic to the economic concerns raised by protesters who view the lockdowns as driving record job losses and claimed earlier protests in Michigan were focused on this issue. But, she said, the April 30 demonstration had a pronounced white supremacist element. She said she was “very confused” to see Confederate flags and swastikas flying at an event supposedly dedicated to criticizing the coronavirus lockdown.

“How’s that connect to the stay-at-home order?” Anthony asked.

Whitmer has denounced the racist symbols used at the protests and defended stay-at-home orders as a necessary step to prevent deaths from the coronavirus.

“Some of the outrageousness of what happened in our Capitol this week depicted some of the worst racism and awful parts of our history in this country,” Whitmer said in a CNN interview on Sunday. “The Confederate flags and nooses, the swastikas, the behavior that you’ve seen in all of the clips, is not representative of who we are in Michigan. And the fact of the matter is, I mean, we’re in a global pandemic.”

A protester holds a sign with Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer depicted as Adolf Hitler at a rally on the steps of the state Capitol in Lansing on April 30. (Jeff Kowalsky/AFP via Getty Images)



Whitmer has also responded to the protest by pushing to change the law to ban guns at Michigan’s state Capitol.

“There are legislators who are wearing bulletproof vests to go to work,” she said in an interview with NBC on Wednesday. “No one should be intimidated by someone who’s bringing in an assault rifle into their workplace. And so there is conversation about changing that law. I think it’s long overdue, and I absolutely support that change.”

Anthony, who is a gun owner, is among the Michigan lawmakers who are working to enact a gun ban for the state Capitol. Ultimately, she said, she doesn’t want to see anyone — whether they support her or are protesting — carrying firearms in the building. “The moment that we are successful in eliminating guns from their state Capitol, they should adhere to that as well,” Anthony said of her supporters.

For now, Lynn said he will come back anytime Anthony asks.

“We will be available whenever there’s going to be opposition up there that she’s going to have to deal with,” he said.

And he had a message for anyone who wants to return to the Capitol building with “swastikas and Confederate flags.”

“Don’t,” Lynn said. “It’s as simple as that. Don’t come here with that.”



Turkish officials reportedly ordered children to stop drawing rainbows, claiming it was a ploy to turn them gay

INSIDER•May 6, 2020
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan speaks during a press conference after cabinet meeting in Istanbul, Turkey on May 4, 2020.

Mustafa Kamaci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

Turkish officials reportedly told school principals to forbid students from drawing rainbows and attaching them to windows, claiming the project was a ploy to turn children gay.


The effort, led by the Istanbul Museum of Modern Art, was meant to "instill hope" and celebrate the "miracle of nature" amid the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

In a sermon last month, the leader of Turkey's Religious Affairs Directorate said homosexuality brought "disease and corrupt generations," calling the nation to unite against it.

Turkish schools have been closed since March 12 and will be closed at least until the end of May.

Officials in Turkey reportedly directed school principals to forbid school children from drawing rainbows and displaying them in windows because they feared it was an effort by the LGBT community to turn children gay.

According to Al-Monitor, a US-based news outlet that covers the Middle East, the Istanbul Museum of Modern Art on March 28 called on schoolchildren, who were forced out of classrooms due to COVID-19, to draw rainbows and attach them to their windows in order to show the "miracle of nature" and to "instill hope" during the ongoing pandemic, according to the museum.

Egitim-Sen, a teachers' trade union, said local education leaders told school principals to forbid children from participating in the museum's project, arguing that drawing the rainbows was a ploy to turn children gay, according to Al-Monitor.

The incident was the latest in Turkish officials using the ongoing pandemic to continue its anti-LGBT messaging.

During a sermon delivered during the holy month of Ramadan on April 24, Ali Erbas, the leader of Turkey's Religious Affairs Directorate, said that Islam condemns both adultery and homosexuality because they "bring disease and corrupt generations." He added that "hundreds of thousands" of people are exposed to HIV every year as a result of homosexuality and adultery, according to the report.

"Come and let's fight together to protect people from such evil," Erbas said.

According to Human Rights Watch, a prosecutor's office in the nation's capital city of Ankara opened a criminal investigation into the Ankara Bar Association after it filed a complaint against Erbas' anti-LGBT remarks. It claimed the Bar Association had insulted "the religious values adopted by a part of the public" in filing its complaint.

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan defended Erbas' remarks, calling any attacks of Erbas attacks on the state, according to The New York Times.

Turkey has prohibited LGBT events, including the annual Pride Parade in Istanbul, since 2015, according to Human Rights Watch, and students from the Middle East Technical University in Ankara are currently on trial for organizing a campus Pride Parade last year.

There have been at least 129,491 cases of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, in Turkey, and at least 3,520 deaths as a result, according to data analyzed by Johns Hopkins University.

Turkish schools have been shuttered since March 12 when the nation reported its first case of COVID-19. At the end of April, Education Minister Ziya Selcuk announced schools would remain closed through the month of May.

Read the original article on Insider
DISTOPIA

Coronavirus: Nigeria's death penalty by Zoom 'inhumane'
BBC•May 6, 2020

State governors in Nigeria must approve death sentences before they can be carried out

The sentencing to death of a Nigerian driver via Zoom is "inherently cruel and inhumane", Human Rights Watch has said.

It comes after Nigeria issued a death penalty ruling using the video chat app because of the coronavirus pandemic.

Lagos judge Mojisola Dada sentenced Olalekan Hameed to death by hanging for the murder of his employer's mother.

The hearing lasted almost three hours and was virtually attended by lawyers, including the attorney general.

They all participated in Monday's session from different locations as part of efforts to stop the spread of Covid-19.

It was the first day of the easing of lockdown restrictions in Lagos, allowing people to go back to work - although all but urgent court sittings have been suspended.

The judge was in the Lagos High Court in Ikeja, Hameed was at Kirikiri Maximum Security Prison, and the lawyers joined from elsewhere.

Hameed had pleaded not guilty to killing 76-year-old Jolasun Okunsanya in December 2018.

"The sentence of this court upon you, Olalekan Hameed, is that you be hanged by the neck until you be pronounced dead and may the Lord have mercy upon your soul. This is the virtual judgment of the court," Justice Dada is quoted as saying.

It is not clear if Hameed will appeal against the sentence.
'Archaic punishment'

The BBC's Celestina Olulode says under Nigerian law, state governors must approve death sentences before they can be carried out.

The death penalty is not commonly carried out in Nigeria - although courts continue to impose the sentence.

According to Amnesty International, there are still more than 2,000 people on death row and the last three executions took place in 2016.


Human Rights Watch told the BBC the creation of the virtual court during the coronavirus outbreak showed a commitment to accessing justice.

However, the judiciary was moving in the wrong direction by sentencing a person to death by hanging, it said.

"The irreversible punishment is archaic, inherently cruel and inhuman, it should be abolished," Human Rights Watch said.

Nigeria has recorded just under 3,000 coronavirus cases and nearly 100 deaths.


Logan's Run - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Logan's_Run

Logan's Run is a novel by William F. Nolan and George Clayton Johnson. Published in 1967, the novel depicts a dystopic ageist future society in which both population and the consumption of resources are maintained in equilibrium by requiring the death of everyone reaching the ... The story follows the actions of Logan, a Sandman charged with enforcing the ...