Sunday, November 28, 2021

Milk jugs, cartons or plastic bags — which one is best for the environment?

The environmental footprint of milk containers varies substantially. 
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jonathan Hayward

November 24, 2021 9.54am EST


If you are a typical Canadian milk consumer, you probably drink more than 60 litres of milk a year. It adds up to about two billion milk containers purchased in Canada annually.

How that milk is packaged depends on where you are, and new research shows that one type of milk container is best for the environment.

Milk comes in an unusually wide array of packaging. In Canada, the most common milk containers are rigid high-density polyethylene jugs, plastic-laminated paper cartons and “pillow pouches,” which are better known as milk bags. Reusable glass bottles are rare, and that’s good, since they have the highest global warming potential of all beverage containers.

My colleagues and I, chemists and physicists who work in materials research and energy storage, were interested in consumer issues related to sustainability. We recently assessed the environmental impacts of milk jugs, cartons and bags in Toronto and Halifax, and found that milk bags were the most environmentally friendly option.

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According to a 2010 report by the Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations, most milk containers sold in North America are jugs (68 per cent), followed by cartons (24 per cent) and bags (seven per cent). Conversely, bags dominate in countries in Mediterranean African (72 per cent) and the former Soviet Union (54 per cent).

The American chemical company DuPont introduced milk bags made of thin polyethylene plastic in Canada in 1967. The innovation took off in the 1970s, when Canada converted to the metric system, because their volume could be modified more easily than cartons or jugs.

Container impact

Our study was a life-cycle assessment of a wide variety of milk containers — the types and sizes that consumers in Toronto and Halifax were likely to encounter. We evaluated the energy inputs, greenhouse gas emissions and water consumed to produce, transport and dispose of the containers.

We found the greatest energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions came from production of plastic polymers and paper, much more than from transportation and material processing or disposal. These polymers are found in milk jugs, screw caps, the laminate of cartons, milk bags and their tags, and the paper is part of the carton.

Bagged milk became popular in Canada in the 1970s.
  (Kevin Qiu/wikimedia), CC BY

In both locations, per litre of milk, milk bags require less energy and water, and produce less greenhouse gases, than jugs or cartons. This is mainly because milk bags weigh only 20 to 30 per cent as much as the jugs or cartons for the same volume.

The differences are substantial. Litre for litre, compared with jugs or cartons, milk bags consume only about 20 per cent to 30 per cent of the energy, use about two per cent (compared to cartons) to 40 per cent (compared to jugs) as much water, and produce only 20 per cent to 40 per cent of the greenhouse gases.

Even when milk bags are disposed in a landfill or incinerated — and jugs or cartons are fully recycled — bags have the lowest environmental impact.

Limitations and comparisons

Our investigation neglected several small matters, including the materials and processes associated with labelling such as inks and printing. We also excluded the jug that’s needed to hold the milk bag when it’s being used. Another study showed the impact of that supporting jug is small and, in my experience, these jugs can last several years. A major matter our study ignored is the impact of the various milk containers on the ocean and marine life.

Read more: Recycling isn't enough — the world's plastic pollution crisis is only getting worse

The results of our study were validated by comparison with earlier investigations in the United Kingdom and several other countries. Our energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions calculations were consistent with theirs.

Container production, processing and transport uses a lot of water, but a considerable amount of water is recouped by recycling. The net water consumption is the small difference between these large numbers and is therefore not very certain. However, we did find that cartons use an extreme volume of water: nearly 20 litres of water are needed to produce the paper carton for each litre of milk.

An insight gained from our international comparison is that the energy consumed by milk bags in the U.K. was almost four times our result, because the milk bags used in the U.K. are transported from Canada. This finding highlights the importance of location in a life-cycle assessment. However, our results were essentially the same for Toronto and Halifax, indicating that the lowest impact for milk bags would pertain to any location in southern Canada.

That is, milk bags would have the least impact of any milk container for Canadian consumers, if everyone could buy milk bags. Milk bags are not presently available in Western Canada. The use of milk bags in Western Canada could save up to 5,000 tonnes of plastic annually.

Spoiled milk?

With this new information, will consumers swing over to milk bags? Bagged milk is sold only in four-litre allotments in Canada, which may be too much for some consumers, leading to unconsumed or spoiled milk. This would wipe out any environmental benefits.

Stand-alone one-litre milk pouches are now available in Germany. While these are heavier than our bags, they would still be better than jugs or cartons.

The environmental impact of milk waste is even greater than its packaging. In the U.S., milk accounts for about 13 per cent of food waste, and consumer milk waste produces about 10 million tonnes of carbon dioxide-equivalent emissions annually.

Read more: Why Canada's single-use plastic ban could help the environment and wildlife

Canada aims to ban single-use plastic by 2030, but it’s unclear if milk containers would be included in the ban. Our analysis suggests plastic components remain the best option for low-waste milk containment.

If an average Canadian household switched from jugs or cartons to bags, the weekly energy savings would be equivalent to one load of laundry in a clothes dryer. For those who are concerned with the environment, it’s a start.

Author
Mary Anne White

Professor emerita, Department of chemistry, Dalhousie University
Disclosure statement

Mary Anne White received funding (2010-2016) from NSERC's CREATE program, for DREAMS (Dalhousie Research in Energy, Advanced Materials and Sustainability) from which the milk container analysis project sprang, as part of a graduate course for which she was coordinator, "Sustainable Materials Issues".
Rio Tinto grabs 51% stake in Janice Lake copper-silver project
Cecilia Jamasmie | November 26, 2021 

Burbridge Lake base camp for Janice Lake exploration.
(Image courtesy of Forum Energy Metals.)

Rio Tinto Exploration Canada (RTEC) is set to become the majority owner of Forum Energy Metals’ (TSX-V: FMC) 100% owned Janice Lake copper-silver project in Saskatchewan, Canada, the Vancouver-based company said on Friday.


After spending C$14 million ($11m) in exploration at the asset, which exceeds the C$10 million ($7.9m) required to earn a 51% stake in the project, the mining giant has decided not to spend any further on surveying the property, Forum said.

Rio Tinto is now due to pay Forum Energy C$100,000 in cash on or before May, 2022 to complete its 51% earn-in obligation, the Canadian miner said.

“Rio Tinto’s drilling and regional exploration has added tremendous value to the Janice Lake project, most notably at the Janice and Jansem targets where drilling has significantly expanded high grade copper mineralization,” Forum Energy CEO Rick Mazur said in the statement.

He added the company will focus on its uranium portfolio during the first quarter of 2022, which includes plans to begin drilling at Forum’s 100% owned Wollaston uranium property nearby the Orano and Cameco uranium mills, in the eastern Athabasca Basin.

Rio, which optioned the project in May 2019, had the choice to earn an 80% interest in Janice Lake by spending C$30 million in addition to making separate option payments to Forum Energy Metals and Transition Metals Corp.

The miner has drilled 39 holes on the property to date, totalling 10,033 metres on four targets: Jansem, Janice, Kaz and Rafuse.

Located in north-central Saskatchewan within the Wollaston Domain, the Janice Lake project extends for 38,250 hectares.

Copper prices and other industrial metals slid on Friday as a new and possibly vaccine-resistant coronavirus variant found in South Africa shook market sentiment.
Cargill serves lockout notice on High River workers

Company 'willing to keep meeting' after offer rejected

By Dave Bedard
Editor, Daily News
Published: November 25, 2021

File photo outside Cargill’s beef slaughter and packing plant at High River, Alta. on May 6, 2020.
(Photo: Reuters/Todd Korol)


Updated — Whether in a strike or a lockout, workers at one of Canada’s biggest beef slaughter plants took another step toward the picket line this week by voting to reject the company’s latest contract offer.

A vote conducted Tuesday and Wednesday by the United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW) Local 401 went to the nays “by a 98 per cent margin,” the union said in a release late Wednesday.

The workers’ bargaining committee had already recommended last Friday that members vote to reject the company’s proposal.

A Cargill spokesman confirmed late Thursday the company has now issued a lockout notice, corresponding with the union’s previously stated strike date of Dec. 6.

The most recent collective bargaining agreement for Cargill’s 2,000-plus employees at High River expired at the end of 2020. Employees on Nov. 4 voted in favour of strike action, after which UFCW served the company with strike notice on Nov. 10 — thus putting workers in position to strike also on Dec. 6, just after midnight.

“Cargill workers have told their employer through another overwhelming vote that they matter and that they deserve something more,” 401 president Thomas Hesse said in the union’s release Wednesday.

“We will be communicating the result to Cargill and asking them to return to the bargaining table to respond to our members.”

Worker wages remain a priority in negotiations, the union said previously, with improvements also sought in benefits, pensions, personal leave, leaves of absence, vacation time and expansion of the use of line speed clocks to “all areas” in the plant.

The union’s list of proposals also include “retroactivity” of pay dating back to when the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 to be a pandemic.

The company’s proposed deal had called for incremental wage increases which over six years would total $4.50 and $2.50 per hour for production and maintenance workers respectively, along with a guaranteed number of hours per week and retroactive hourly pay of $1 and 50 cents respectively for hours worked since Jan. 3 this year.
‘Challenging time’

“No one ever wants to go on strike,” union secretary treasurer Richelle Stewart said in Wednesday’s release. “But these workers have been through hell. They want a fair deal and what Cargill has offered does not meet that threshold.”

UFCW said it would call for Cargill to “resume negotiations with our union bargaining committee soon, and certainly before December 6, to bring bargaining to a positive conclusion.”

A Cargill spokesperson said Thursday the company is “willing to keep meeting to avoid any labour disruption, which is in no one’s best interest during an already challenging time.”

The High River plant has “one of the best workforces across Canada, and our proposal reflects their tremendous skill and dedication,” the company said.

“Unfortunately, we have yet to reach an agreement. We remain optimistic that we can reach an agreement before the Dec. 6 deadline.”

Meanwhile, the company said, “we continue to focus on fulfilling food manufacturer, retail and food service customer orders while keeping markets moving for farmers and ranchers.”

If need be, Cargill said, “we will shift production to other facilities within our broad supply chain footprint to minimize any disruptions.”

Later Thursday, after the lockout notice was issued, the company said it “remain(s) determined and hopeful that we can reach an agreement” between now and Dec. 6 — and that it has agreed to a meeting with UFCW 401’s bargaining committee next Tuesday (Nov. 30).

Cargill’s beef slaughter operations in North America also include a plant at Guelph, Ont. and six plants across the U.S. Its other Canadian beef facilities include case-ready meat plants at Calgary, Guelph and Chambly, Que. and beef patty plants at Spruce Grove, Alta. and Brampton, Ont.

However, as was made clear last year due to COVID-19 outbreaks among employees — and in 2013 during a major flood in the area — work stoppages at High River can weigh on throughput of beef cattle across Western Canada.

The High River plant, about 40 km south of Calgary, has capacity to slaughter about 4,500 cattle per day and is estimated at about 36 per cent of Canada’s domestic beef processing capacity.

COVID-19 outbreaks at the plant in the spring of 2020 ultimately infected nearly half the workforce at the time, leading to the deaths of two workers and the father of one worker. The plant was shut down as a result for two weeks that spring. — Glacier FarmMedia Network
Quebec daycare workers' union votes overwhelmingly in favour of unlimited general strike


The Canadian PressStaff
Friday, November 26, 2021 


MONTREAL -- The CPE union affiliated with the CSN has voted 92.1 per cent in favour of a mandate for an unlimited general strike.

The Fédération de la santé et des services sociaux (FSSS-CSN) said Friday morning that its strike mandate will start Dec. 1 if negotiations with the government do not improve by then.

Representative Stéphanie Vachon points out the result of the vote sends a clear message.

"The government can try to beat the unions over the head all it wants, but ultimately, it is the members who decide," she said. "By voting so overwhelmingly in favour of a strike, and thus accepting to lose days, even weeks of wages, these already underpaid workers have just told the government that they are ready to fight to the end to get a fair deal for all employees."

Wednesday, workers with the CSQ-affiliated Fédération des intervenantes en petite enfance (FIPEQ) also voted, with more than 91 per cent, in favour of an unlimited strike mandate.

The QFL-affiliated Syndicat québécois des employés de service (SQEES) has begun voting on its own strike mandate and will continue until next Tuesday.

PREMIER BELIEVES NEGOTIATED AGREEMENT POSSIBLE

While Treasury Board President Sonia LeBel raised the possibility of special legislation on Thursday, saying it was "very definitely part of the tools available," Premier François Legault did not want to go down that road for the time being, even suggesting that he was ready to intervene personally.

"I can't believe, when I look at the issues on the table, that we are not able to agree," he said. "It's common sense. I'm going to see how Sonia (LeBel) can get involved, how I can get involved, but it seems to me that common sense says: it's pretty well settled on the educator side.

"What I want is a negotiated settlement."

Legault cited the fact that "we are very close to the union's demands for child care workers. That's not where the problem lies, it's more on the side of the support staff, those who do the cleaning, those who do the food, etc."

However, he also made it clear that he has no intention of aligning government offers to support staff with those made to educators, as the unions are demanding.

"We have a duty as a government to maintain fairness," said Legault. "Someone who cleans in a school must be paid relatively the same as someone who cleans in a daycare. The support staff must have salaries that are comparable to other support staff in other networks. It seems to me that this is common sense."

On Thursday, Treasury Board President Sonia LeBel expressed her exasperation at the possibility of a strike.

"It's time to be reasonable," she told the workers at the childcare centers. "We have lost sight of the reality of parents."

Her colleague, Mathieu Lacombe, added: "The unions must listen to reason."

LeBel also said she still believed that an agreement was possible with the unions.


-- This report by The Canadian Press was first published in French on Nov. 26, 2021.
  

Quebec hardens tone as daycare workers poised for unlimited strike

Treasury Board president Sonia LeBel said back-to-work legislation "is certainly part of the tools that are available" when it comes to breaking the deadlock.

La Presse Canadienne
Lia Lévesque
Publishing date:Nov 25, 2021 
Daycare workers demonstrate to push lagging contract talks Tuesday, November 23, 2021 in Montreal. PHOTO BY RYAN REMIORZ /The Canadian Press


The Legault government hardened its tone toward Quebec’s unionized daycare employees on Thursday as workers represented by the CSN prepared to vote on an unlimited strike mandate after those represented by the CSQ had already done so .

Members of the CSQ voted over 91 per cent in favour of an indefinite strike mandate on Wednesday, while those affiliated with the CSN were set to vote all day on Thursday.

Results of the CSN’s vote won’t be known until Friday morning, but a previous strike mandate of 10 days was adopted at 97 per cent.

The union affiliated to the FTQ, for its part, has also begun to vote on a strike mandate. That vote will continue until Tuesday.

Even if no strike date has been mentioned thus far, Treasury Board president Sonia LeBel made her exasperation clear on Thursday, saying “it is time to be reasonable” and acknowledging that back-to-work legislation “is certainly part of the tools that are available” when it comes to breaking the deadlock. LeBel added, however, that she still believed a negotiated settlement is possible.

Family Minister Mathieu Lacombe made a similar statement, asking that the unions “listen to reason.”

Asked about the possibility of back-to-work legislation, Lacombe did not rule it out, saying it was “certainly one of the tools available,” but he said he still believes in a negotiated settlement.

Meanwhile, negotiators for workers represented by the CSQ were back at the bargaining table on Thursday, while CSN representatives reported “little progress” in their contract talks.
Stimulus not the cause of Canada's inflation problem, says former Bank of Canada governor

Jordan Gowling
Associate Producer, Question Period
Published Sunday, November 28, 2021 7 

OTTAWA -- Former Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz says government spending and stimulus are not to blame for increased inflation.

"I think that's not right," he said during an interview on CTV's Question Period airing Sunday. "In fact, what the stimulus did was to keep the economy from going into a deep hole in which we would have experienced persistent deflation."

Inflation has reached 4.7 per cent, according to the latest numbers released by Statistics Canada in October. The Bank of Canada expects it to peak at the end of this year and start to decline in the latter half of 2022.

"We have to accept the fact that policy [stimulus] response was in the right time, well intended and it did avert all the worst calls that people were making at that time," he said.

In response to affordability concerns, the federal government has repeatedly referenced their national childcare program, as a means to combat higher costs of living. Nine provincial and territorial governments have signed childcare deals with the federal government, while Ontario and New Brunswick have yet to sign on.

Families, Children and Social Development Minister Karina Gould said in a separate interview that the inflation problem is not a uniquely Canadian issue and can be attributed to global supply chain problems.

Conservative Finance Critic Pierre Poilievre says the federal government's fiscal spending is to blame for inflation.

The average inflation rate for member countries of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development is currently at 4.3 per cent but Poilievre says the problem is only a global issue as a result of other central banks around the world taking a similar approach to Canada on fiscal stimulus.

"I think those are the countries that did the best job of countering the downside risk that everybody was facing," said Poloz. "Read a book or two about the Great Depression in the 1930s and realize what was averted when we went through this."

Poloz says that while governments can try to address affordability concerns in the short-term, any government policy normally takes a year or two to have any effect on inflation.

But he expects housing inflation to persist and says those rising costs can be something the federal government can address immediately.

"What they can do there is get all the levels of government together and figure out a list of things that they should be doing in order to promote supply of housing, we're clearly short of supply and housing," he said.
Want to solve the housing crisis? Address super-charged demand
A house in Ottawa that sold over the listing price. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Justin Tang

November 25, 2021 

A recent news item about New Zealand’s radical new housing law and whether such measures could work in Canada implies that soaring home prices are due to a lack of supply.

In its election platform, the Liberal party proposed to invest $4 billion in a municipal supply accelerator aimed at building more housing. This is the wrong approach.

If policy-makers and the newly re-elected government want to improve housing affordability and the ability of young families to become homeowners, they need to turn their attention to the primary driver of price increases — super-charged demand, abetted by the sacred cow of non-taxation of capital gains on a principal residence.

A chorus of voices, from bank economists to the real estate industry, perpetuate the argument that the primary cause of skyrocketing house prices is lack of supply. This view has been reinforced in media reporting, and was emphasized in recent election platforms.

This “lack of supply” view draws on basic Economics 101 textbooks, where using the example of widgets and a simple supply and demand curve, an increase in supply causes a reduction in price.

But houses are not widgets. They are unique entities, both a basic need and, increasingly, an investment commodity. They are also fixed in location and their values reflect the attributes of the locales that purchasers value and are willing to pay a premium for.

Read more: Federal election 2021: More supply won't solve Canada's housing affordability crisis

Homes outpace households

Nationally between 2006 and 2016, Canada added 1.636 million households and built 1.919 million new homes, according to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation and Census data. So, on average, almost 30,000 extra homes were constructed each year compared to the increase in the number of households.

Homes versus households in major Canadian cities between 2006 and 2016, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation and Census data. (CMHC/Census data), Author provided

In Vancouver, new construction exceeded household growth by 19 per cent. In Toronto it was one per cent, and Ottawa fell short of household growth by four per cent.

So, in theory, between 2006 and 2016, we should have seen the greatest price growth in Ottawa and less price pressure in Vancouver. But prices increased by 93 per cent and 96 per cent in Vancouver and Toronto respectively, but by only 47 per cent in Ottawa.

Insufficient supply may be a contributing factor, especially in cities where household growth exceeds new home construction, but it’s not the primary or most important cause.

The more significant cause is demand — and not just the quantity of demand, but the quality of demand.

Over the last few decades we have seen a new phenomenon of super-charged demand created by households that have substantial accumulated equity from persistent appreciation in their home values, combined with strong income growth and declining and historically low mortgage rates.
Homeowners trade up

In Canada, we sell approximately 700,000 homes per year via resales plus newly constructed homes. There are 14 million households, so this represents only five per cent of all households.

New homes are built in a housing construction development in the west end of Ottawa in May 2021. 
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Sean Kilpatrick

Many of these buyers are existing owners who are trading up. Only a quarter to one-third of buyers are first-time buyers (most in higher income brackets and with parental help). It’s the larger group — buyers who are trading up — that has the capacity to pay these high prices. Certainly a small percentage of them may also be foreign buyers and some are investors, but most are just regular households.

Many existing owners have incomes well above the median. They also have substantially increased purchasing power from historically low interest rates, and substantial wealth from unearned windfall gain created by years of rising prices.

More significantly, they undermine the concept that added supply will stall or slow the rate of pricing increases. All cities have coveted properties in desired neighbourhoods — often modest, older dwellings on sizeable lots. Because of the prime location, homes for example in inner-city Vancouver might sell for between $2 million to $3 million or in Ottawa perhaps for $800,000.

Developers often buy those lots, demolish the existing home and replace it with two or three contemporary new homes. The pricing will reflect the values that consumers attribute to that area, inevitably exceeding the original home price.
The role of developers

In central Ottawa, for example, existing modest homes are being purchased for $600,000 to $700,000, demolished and replaced with a semi with each side selling for $1.2 to $1.4 million.

The same thing is occurring all across the country, with new homes priced well over — as much as double — what the price would have been for the existing house. That older house would have been moderately affordable to a young family if they hadn’t been outbid by the developer.

Builders work on a new home build in North Vancouver, B.C.
 THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jonathan Hayward

Clearly this form of intensification (the rezoning the exclusive single-family neighbourhoods) and expanded supply will do nothing to stall or slow price growth, especially given the demand from buyers with accumulated wealth seeking properties in these locations. More supply, therefore, doesn’t mean lower prices.

So if super-charged home purchasing power is driving up home prices, not insufficient supply, then the necessary policy response must aim to stall or suppress this demand by confiscating part of the windfall gain of accumulated appreciation.

This means taking on the sacred cow taxation of capital gains on homes — younger Canadians will thank them for it, and may even vote for the party that has the guts to do it.

Author
Steve Pomeroy
Industry Professor, Department of Health Aging and Society, McMaster University
Disclosure statement
Steve Pomeroy is affiliated with the Canadian Housing Evidence Collaborative (CHEC) at McMaster, which is funded under a SSHRC/CMHC grant.

Investment properties are driving up Toronto real estate prices: report

Bank of Canada says buyers are making the housing market more vulnerable to a correction


BY RADHEYAN SIMONPILLAI
Nov 27, 2021


Homeowners purchasing investment properties are driving up prices in Toronto real estate and making the housing market even more vulnerable to a correction, according to the Bank of Canada.

In a November 23 speech summing up a trend across Canada but especially felt in Toronto and Montreal, Bank of Canada’s deputy governor Paul Beaudry says investors are flocking to buying secondary or multiple homes with expectations for future price increases, which he says can become “self-fulfilling” in the short term but catastrophic later.

The damage from a drastic fall in house prices can “spread far beyond the investors” because so for many households have their wealth tied to low-mortgage rates and the value of their home.

“A key concern here is that financially stretched households have little breathing room to absorb any disruption to their income,” Beaudry says.

Beandry’s speech comes as more and more homeowners are witnessing massive real estate price gains, particularly over the past year, experiencing FOMO and jumping into the investment property game, seizing on every available listing and pre-construction condo opportunity up for grabs. They’re able to scoop up properties by leveraging the equity amassed on their homes from those very same price gains, which leaves first-time homebuyers in the lurch.

According to Teranet’s market insight report, 25 per cent of the people purchasing a home between January 2011 to August 2021 were multi-property owners, competing against roughly the same number of first-time home buyers.

A chart provided by the Bank of Canada shows the year-over-year growth in investors buying homes surged 100 per cent compared to just over 40 per cent among first-time home buyers. The growth between these demographics were roughly in line in the past, so the extremely wide gap in the past year is a jarring indication of the imbalance in the housing market.

According to Teranet, most multi-property owners were gen-Xers (32 per cent) and generational households with multiple buyers (26 per cent). Millennials only made up 22 per cent of that demographic. And the sales data indicates that most people multi-property real estate in owners in Toronto are flocking towards purchasing condos as investment units since they are the more affordable option.

Beaudry reminds that investment buyers expectations for price gains are predicated on the current situation, where supply is short. He says the expectations are “becoming extrapolative, which could create “a disconnect between actual home prices and their more fundamental levels.”

At this point, most buyers seeking investment properties owners are relying on future immigration to drive Toronto real estate prices further up from their current sky-high levels. Meanwhile they’re driving those prices up themselves.

Gold rush


“Buyers beware,” says Odeen Eccleston, broker at WE Realty. We’re discussing recent trends with Toronto real estate agents selling pre-construction condos as investment properties, after a recent sales pitch I encountered.

A realtor I spoke to, who did not want to identified in this story, has been heavily marketing new sales of pre-construction condo units at the edge of eastern edge of Scarborough. Two-bedroom condos were selling for approximately $700,000, which is roughly the current market rate, though not really in that relatively untapped area.

The realtor dismissed any concerns I had about not being able to secure a big enough mortgage that would cover that unit and my current home when it would be ready to close in four years. The realtor also vaguely promised being able to secure an adequate mortgage for me or an easy re-assign, which means I could simply sell the property to a new buyer in a tight window before closing, provided there’s interest.

“Better hurry up, lay down that deposit before the opportunity is gone,” was the vibe of our conversation and the mantra for the Toronto real estate market. “We could sort out the actual finances later.”

“It makes me extremely nervous,” says Eccleston about that attitude among realtors when it comes to handling transactions worth nearly a million dollars. “A lot of times people are overly confident.”

I personally decided to opt-out. Why deal with real estate fees and taxes, while stressing that this condo unit needs to gain value at the rate that condos have been gaining value over the past few years to make that investment worthwhile. I could just purchase stocks in Lowes or Home Depot instead. If real estate is doing well, then surely those businesses must. And that investment takes much less effort and has been growing at a faster rate than real estate.

Of course, some people don’t have the stomach for stocks. Eccleston notes that she doesn’t always have the stomach for these extrapolative real estate investments, warning that counting on major price gains in the condo market is still a risk.

“At the same time, I was saying that five years ago,” says Eccleston. “I was apprehensive then as well. All of those agents pressured their clients to buy something five years ago are winning big time.”


Radheyan Simonpillai
Radheyan's first assignment for NOW was reviewing the Ice Cube heist comedy First Sunday. That was back in January 2008. Born in Sri Lanka and raised in Scarborough, Rad currently lives in Leslieville with his wife and two adorable kids.
Why Big Oil's Pivot to Carbon Capture and Storage—While It Keeps on Drilling—Isn't a Climate Solution

No carbon removal approach—neither mechanical nor biological—will solve the climate crisis without an immediate transition away from fossil fuels.


View of the Tesoro Anacortes oil refinery in Skagit County, Washington on January 15, 2017.
(Photo: Linda, Fortuna future/Flickr/cc)

JUNE SEKERA, NEVA GOODWIN
November 26, 2021 by The Conversation

After decades of sowing doubt about climate change and its causes, the fossil fuel industry is now shifting to a new strategy: presenting itself as the source of solutions. This repositioning includes rebranding itself as a “carbon management industry.”

This strategic pivot was on display at the Glasgow climate summit and at a Congressional hearing in October 2021, where CEOs of four major oil companies talked about a “lower-carbon future.” That future, in their view, would be powered by the fuels they supply and technologies they could deploy to remove the planet-warming carbon dioxide their products emit – provided they get sufficient government support.

That support may be coming. The Department of Energy recently added “carbon management” to the name of its Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management and is expanding its funding for carbon capture and storage.

But how effective are these solutions, and what are their consequences?

Coming from backgrounds in economics, ecology and public policy, we have spent several years focusing on carbon drawdown. We have watched mechanical carbon capture methods struggle to demonstrate success, despite U.S. government investments of over US$7 billion in direct spending and at least a billion more in tax credits. Meanwhile, proven biological solutions with multiple benefits have received far less attention.

CCS’s troubled track record

Carbon capture and storage, or CCS, aims to capture carbon dioxide as it emerges from smokestacks either at power plants or from industrial sources. So far, CCS at U.S. power plants has been a failure.

Seven large-scale CCS projects have been attempted at U.S. power plants, each with hundreds of millions of dollars of government subsidies, but these projects were either canceled before they reached commercial operation or were shuttered after they started due to financial or mechanical troubles. There is only one commercial-scale CCS power plant operation in the world, in Canada, and its captured carbon dioxide is used to extract more oil from wells – a process called “enhanced oil recovery.”

In industrial facilities, all but one of the dozen CCS projects in the U.S uses the captured carbon dioxide for enhanced oil recovery.

This expensive oil extraction technique has been described as “climate mitigation” because the oil companies are now using carbon dioxide. But a modeling study of the full life cycle of this process at coal-fired power plants found it puts 3.7 to 4.7 times as much carbon dioxide into the air as it removes.

The problem with pulling carbon from the air

Another method would directly remove carbon dioxide from the air. Oil companies like Occidental Petroleum and ExxonMobil are seeking government subsidies to develop and deploy such “direct air capture” systems. However, one widely recognized problem with these systems is their immense energy requirements, particularly if operating at a climate-significant scale, meaning removing at least 1 gigaton – 1 billion tons – of carbon dioxide per year.

That’s about 3% of annual global carbon dioxide emissions. The U.S. National Academies of Sciences projects a need to remove 10 gigatons per year by 2050, and 20 gigatons per year by century’s end if decarbonization efforts fall short.

The only type of direct air capture system in relatively large-scale development right now must be powered by a fossil fuel to attain the extremely high heat for the thermal process.

A National Academies of Sciences study of direct air capture’s energy use indicates that to capture 1 gigaton of carbon dioxide per year, this type of direct air capture system could require up to 3,889 terawatt-hours of energy – almost as much as the total electricity generated in the U.S. in 2020. The largest direct air capture plant being developed in the U.S. right now uses this system, and the captured carbon dioxide will be used for oil recovery.

Another direct air capture system, employing a solid sorbent, uses somewhat less energy, but companies have struggled to scale it up beyond pilots. There are ongoing efforts to develop more efficient and effective direct air capture technologies, but some scientists are skeptical about its potential. One study describes enormous material and energy demands of direct air capture that the authors say make it “unrealistic.” Another shows that spending the same amount of money on clean energy to r
eplace fossil fuels is more effective at reducing emissions, air pollution and other costs.

Several CCS plans for US power plants have been scrapped

The U.S. government has approved hundreds of millions of dollars for developing commercial-scale power plant CCS projects in the U.S. that ultimately were withdrawn, canceled or shut down. Only one power plant is currently operating with commercial-scale CCS worldwide: Canada's Boundary Dam.


The cost of scaling up

A 2021 study envisions spending $1 trillion a year to scale up direct air capture to a meaningful level. Bill Gates, who is backing a direct air capture company called Carbon Engineering, estimated that operating at climate-significant scale would cost $5.1 trillion every year. Much of the cost would be borne by governments because there is no “customer” for burying waste underground.

As lawmakers in the U.S. and elsewhere consider devoting billions more dollars to carbon capture, they need to consider the consequences.

The captured carbon dioxide must be transported somewhere for use or storage. A 2020 study from Princeton estimated that 66,000 miles of carbon dioxide pipelines would have to be built by 2050 to begin to approach 1 gigaton per year of transport and burial.

The issues with burying highly pressurized CO2 underground will be analogous to the problems that have faced nuclear waste siting, but at enormously larger quantities. Transportation, injection and storage of carbon dioxide bring health and environmental hazards, such as the risk of pipeline ruptures, groundwater contamination and the release of toxins, all of which particularly threaten the disadvantaged communities historically most victimized by pollution.

Bringing direct air capture to a scale that would have climate-significant impact would mean diverting taxpayer funding, private investment, technological innovation, scientists’ attention, public support and difficult-to-muster political action away from the essential work of transitioning to non-carbon energy sources.
A proven method: trees, plants and soil

Rather than placing what we consider to be risky bets on expensive mechanical methods that have a troubled track record and require decades of development, there are ways to sequester carbon that build upon the system we already know works: biological sequestration.

Trees in the U.S. already sequester almost a billion tons of carbon dioxide per year. Improved management of existing forests and urban trees, without using any additional land, could increase this by 70%. With the addition of reforesting nearly 50 million acres, an area about the size of Nebraska, the U.S. could sequester nearly 2 billion tons of carbon dioxide per year. That would equal about 40% of the country’s annual emissions. Restoring wetlands and grasslands and better agricultural practices could sequester even more.

Storing carbon in trees is less expensive per ton than current mechanical solutions.
Lisa-Blue via Getty Images

Per ton of carbon dioxide sequestered, biological sequestration costs about one-tenth as much as current mechanical methods. And it offers valuable side-benefits by reducing soil erosion and air pollution, and urban heat; increasing water security, biodiversity and energy conservation; and improving watershed protection, human nutrition and health.

To be clear, no carbon removal approach – neither mechanical nor biological – will solve the climate crisis without an immediate transition away from fossil fuels. But we believe that relying on the fossil fuel industry for “carbon management” will only further delay that transition.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

JUNE SEKERA
June Sekera is a Visiting Scholar at The New School for Social Research, a Senior Research Fellow at Boston University’s Global Development Policy Center, and a Senior Research Associate at the Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose at University College London.

NEVA GOODWIN
Neva Goodwin was hired by Tufts University in 1991, and in 1995 joined with Bill Moomaw to found the Global Development and Environment Institute.
Gitxsan hereditary chiefs issue northwest B.C. MLA eviction notice from territory


A group of Gitxsan hereditary chiefs, matriarchs and elders issued an “eviction notice” to Stikine MLA Nathan Cullen on Saturday (Nov. 27), citing failure to ensure the safety of his constituents including the Gitxsan and Wet’suwet’en.

Members of the Gitxsan Huwilp Government posted the notice of eviction outside the NDP MLA’s office in Hazelton and said they were evicting him under Gitxsan law, Section 35 of the Canadian constitution and the 1997 Delgamuukw decision of the Supreme Court of Canada. The Stikine MLA’s Hazelton office is one of the two constituency offices he has in the northwest with the other situated in Smithers.

In a phone interview from Smithers, Cullen said that he will be meeting with the chiefs to talk about a way forward in the coming days as the Hazelton constituency office serves an entire community.

“I’m sure we can come to some kind of understanding so that we’re not denying people services that they need, because that doesn’t really help anybody from my perspective,” said Cullen.

Cullen’s eviction comes a week after 29 Coastal GasLink (CGL) pipeline opponents were arrested by the RCMP near Houston between Nov. 18-19. All those arrested were subsequently released with conditions in court last week.

“You failed to ensure the safety of your constituents, including Gitxsan and Wet’suwet’en people from the violence and excessive force used by overly armed RCMP at or near Houston B.C. and New Hazelton B.C. during the months of October to November 2021,” read the statement of eviction issued Nov 26.

Cullen, who is also B.C.’s Minister of State for Lands and Natural Resource Operations, was also accused of failing to properly represent the causes and concerns of the Gitxsan and Wet’suwet’en people in the legislative assembly.

Failure to leave would lead to Cullen being considered a “trespasser, without permission” on Gitxsan land, said the office of the hereditary chiefs in the statement.

Chiefs of the Gitxsan Huwilp Government claimed that Cullen had not fulfilled any of the promises he made to the Huwilp “directly” during his campaign.

“We’re here to evict Nathan Cullen, the representative of the Stikine region from Gitxsan territory because he failed to stand up for the poor people… Everybody is getting rich from our land and we remain poor,” said a Gitxsan chief from outside Cullen’s Hazelton office.

The group also said that the eviction applies to all “corporations” on their lands, referring to CGL.

“We’re not going to stand by when our land is being poisoned by the pipeline. We are not going to stand by as big corporations come out from other countries and take all our resources while our future generations are going to suffer.”

In 2020 when opposition to the CGL pipeline escalated, Cullen (then federal MP for Skeena — Bulkley Valley) was appointed by B.C.’s Premier John Horgan to play an intermediary role between the provincial government and the Wet’suwet’en hereditary chiefs,” said the notice.

The notice also comes in the wake of heavy police presence in the Gitxsan communities following the arrest of one of its members near the CN rail tracks on Nov. 21. Denzel Sutherland-Wilson was arrested for a blockade set up near the tracks in solidarity with the Wet’suwet’en pipeline opponents. He was released the same day with charges of mischief.

Cullen said that this incident has led to a great deal of stress and strain in the community.

Cullen said group of Gitxsan chiefs (the same ones who issued the eviction notice) reached out to him on Wednesday asking for a meeting with the RCMP, which was arranged. Cullen was to meet with the chiefs on Friday but had to reschedule the meeting to next week, due to a delayed flight back from Victoria.

Further responding to the chiefs’ allegations of inaction against him, Cullen said that he communicates the concerns of his constituency members to the provincial government “each and every day.” He also said that there has been constant dialogue with the chiefs in northwest region about these issues which are “complex,” and “layered.”

“A lot of my work does not take place on Twitter… A lot of it is very sensitive and important and discreet. So I understand that people haven’t seen as much with me making big speeches and tweeting about issues but these are very complex and sensitive issues,” said Cullen.

Binny Paul, Local Journalism Initiative Reporter, Terrace Standard
Omicron response should focus on global vaccine equity, not travel bans: scientists

A British Columbia-based researcher says banning travelers from southern African countries in an effort to stop the importation of a new COVID-19 variant is an example of "wishful thinking" that could do more harm than good.

Caroline Colijn, a mathematician and epidemiologist at Simon Fraser University, says the omicron variant has already been detected in countries outside of the targeted region and it's only a matter of time before it's found in Canada.

She says South Africa is to be commended for sequencing the omicron variant and for sharing its data with the rest of the world.

Colijn says she worries countries such as Canada, that responded by imposing travel bans on southern African nations, risk disincentivizing that kind of transparency in the future.

Zain Chagla, an associate professor of medicine at McMaster University, agrees that "blind closures of borders" don't make sense.

He says the omicron variant shows it's time for a more coordinated global response to the COVID-19 pandemic focused on ensuring every person in every country has ample access to vaccines.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 28, 2021.

The Canadian Press