Sunday, May 21, 2023

SMITH UCP ANTI LGBTQ RIGHTS
UCP Leader Danielle Smith says time to 'depoliticize' LGBTQ issues during debate

United Conservative Party Leader Danielle Smith makes an election campaign announcement in Calgary, Alta., Thursday, May 11, 2023. Albertans go to the polls on May 29
. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jeff McIntosh

Colette Derworiz
The Canadian Press
Published May 18, 2023

MEDICINE HAT, ALTA. -

United Conservative Leader Danielle Smith said it's time to depoliticize LGBTQ rights on the same day her party came under fire for a candidate's comments on transgender children.

She faced off Wednesday night in a candidates debate against the NDP's Gwendoline Dirk and Alberta Party Leader Barry Morishita, both of whom are running against her in the southeastern constituency of Brooks-Medicine Hat. Follow full election coverage on Alberta Votes 2023

It was her second debate as a candidate this week in the lead up to Thursday night's leadership debate in Edmonto

Earlier in the day, the UCP candidate for Lacombe-Ponoka apologized for comparing transgender children in schools to having feces in food.

“If elected as an MLA, I will seek advice and counsel on how to best communicate my views and discuss these issues meaningfully moving forward,” Jennifer Johnson said in a statement after an audio recording of the remarks surfaced.

Candidates at the debate in Medicine Hat were asked by an audience member how they would ensure the protection of LGBTQ children and adults.


Dirk, who was a teacher, said: “Every single human being is valuable and deserves to be protected - period” to applause from the crowd.


Smith then added that she doesn't like the way the issues have been polarized.


“There's a lot of young kids who are struggling with their identity and their sexuality who need the adults to be supportive of them as they work their way through that journey,” she told the crowd of about 250 people, a few of whom groaned when the question was asked.

“We have to depoliticize these issues. These issues are very personal family issues and every family has a loved one that they support, every single one of us have family members who are struggling with gender identity or coming to terms with their sexuality and we need to give 100 per cent support to them and we need to depoliticize this.”

Morishita said he couldn't agree more.

“Now we have to be leaders, we have to be leaders in how we conduct ourselves,” he said. “We have to be leaders in our governments รข€¦ that we reflect those views that every life does matter, that there are people in there who need to be supportive.”

Other topics during the two-hour debate included the corporate tax rate, small business support, health care and education.

Smith and Dirk stuck closely to their parties' talking points as they went back and forth on each issue, while Morishita tried to present himself as an alternative to the UCP or the NDP.

“I think they are making a great argument for why you need to elect the Alberta Party,” he said to laughter from the crowd. “Lurching back and forth from one policy to another creates a lot of uncertainty.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published May 17, 2023.



















UCP candidate says transphobic comments, claims on pornography in schools were about U.S., not Alberta

Story by Jason Herring • Monday, MAY 15,2023

A United Conservative Party of Alberta's sign is shown in front of the Alberta flag prior to the party's leadership announcement in Calgary on Oct. 6, 2022.
© Provided by Calgary Herald

A UCP candidate who claimed in a newly unearthed audio recording that teachers are exposing elementary school children to “hardcore pornography” while transgender children are being “chemically castrated” says those comments were about the United States, not Alberta.

The comments, made by UCP Lacombe-Ponoka candidate Jennifer Johnson at a Sept. 1, 2022 forum, assert without evidence that children have access to pornographic books in schools.

Johnson repeats transphobic rumours that teachers are putting litter boxes in classrooms for use by children who identify as cats, and spreads misinformation about medical intervention for children receiving gender transition treatment.

She proposes eliminating sex education from the public education curriculum.

“(There are) girls saying, ‘I’m not a boy anymore’ when they’re seven years old and transitioning at 14 years old and getting mastectomies, double mastectomies and getting chemically sterilized when they can’t even go to a liquor store and buy a beer,” Johnson said at the forum in Stettler, Alta., hosted by Western Unity Group.

“I’ve been talking about this for a year or two now, specific on what do we do, what are the answers to this? And I think I believe — and this is just my personal opinion — we have got to get rid of sex education from the schools K-12. It’s happening in Florida and other states are starting to come in line. We need biology.”

Johnson elsewhere says critical race theory needs to be removed from the school system, calling the academic framework for analyzing structural racism “toxic and destructive.”

Teachers’ union, gender minority expert condemn comments

In a statement to Postmedia, Johnson said her comments were based on what she saw parents experience in the U.S., and said they don’t reflect Alberta classrooms.

“Our situation in Alberta is quite different. For example: If parents are concerned about content in classrooms there is a process that can be followed with the school division and ultimately could go to the teaching profession commissioner if there was a serious issue,” Johnson said.

“Our party has an immense amount of respect for our teachers and front-line workers that work daily to make every single student feel safe, included, and cared for in our schools.”

Johnson’s comments reflect conspiracy theories which have spread largely through far-right media in the U.S. in recent years, said Dr. Kristopher Wells at MacEwan University.

He said her claims are baseless and have been long-debunked.

“The comments from this candidate are incredibly transphobic, homophobic and racist, and completely based in junk science at best and are part of a dangerous, hate-filled narrative targeting transgender, gender-diverse and 2SLGBTQ+ communities at worst,” said Wells, the Canada Research Chair for the public understanding of sexual and gender minority youth.

“These become very dangerous stereotypes and myths that continue to be propagated.”


UCP Leader Danielle Smith on Monday broadly dismissed the resurfacing of past statements from herself and other candidates, charging the NDP are using those comments to distract from their own record.© Jim Wells

Jason Schilling, the president of the Alberta Teachers’ Association, told Postmedia Monday that Johnson’s comments don’t reflect the reality of schools in the province.

He said it’s “disgusting” to hear the claims from a candidate presumably vetted by their party to run for office.

“These comments aren’t true, and I think we need to call out misinformation that is being put out there by candidates of any party,” Schilling said.

Johnson’s candidate biography describes her as passionate about education, saying she homeschooled all four of her now-adult children. It says she served as “president of school council of one of Alberta’s largest online schools.”

She’s running against NDP candidate Dave Dale, who teaches Grade 6 at a rural school in the riding. The riding was previously held by the UCP’s Ron Orr, who is not seeking re-election.

Comments echo those made from UCP candidate who stepped down

The comments from Johnson parallel those made by UCP candidate Torry Tanner before she stepped down as the UCP candidate in Lethbridge-West earlier this spring.

In a video posted to her social media during the nomination contest for that riding, Tanner claimed teachers are exposing kids to pornography and gender reassignment without parental consent or knowledge. She quit her run for MLA after that video circulated.

Wells described Johnson’s comments as “1,000 times worse” than those made by Tanner, and called on Johnson to either exit the race herself or be removed by the UCP.

“These abhorrent views have no place in Alberta, and I think it’s really important to remember that gender expression and gender identity are protected grounds in our human rights legislation in every part of this country,” Wells said.

Schilling also called for Tanner’s resignation, and added he wants to see UCP Leader Danielle Smith publicly disavow the comments.

Those are the same demands from the NDP, whose candidate Janis Irwin said Johnson must be removed from the UCP’s slate of candidates.

“Jennifer Johnson is spreading conspiracy theories that have no basis in reality. Her comments hurt the 2SLGBTQ+ community and they are harmful, baseless allegations against Alberta teachers,” read a statement from Irwin, the NDP’s candidate in Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood.

Johnson and the UCP did not address a question from Postmedia on whether Tanner’s resignation was a precedent which would also apply to her candicacy.

Elsewhere Monday, Smith broadly dismissed the resurfacing of past statements from herself and other candidates, charging the NDP are using those comments to distract from their own record.

ALBERTA ELECTION
NEW POLL SAME AS OLD POLL
New poll shows tight race between NDP and UCP in Calgary: Angus Reid

Bill Macfarlane
CTV News Calgary Video Journalist
Updated May 17, 2023



A new poll shows a statistical dead heat in Calgary, and the final results are likely to determine which party forms government May 30th.

The poll found 49 per cent of Calgary voters intend to vote for the NDP in the coming election, while 46 per cent planned to vote UCP.

The poll was conducted between May 12 and 16 as a random sample of 1374 Angus Reid Forum members. It is considered accurate plus or minus three percentage points 19 times out of 20.


The close race tends to favour the UCP.

"It really comes down to the NDP has to have the election of its lifetime in Edmonton and the election of its lifetime in Calgary to be in a position to form government," said Shachi Kurt, president of Angus Reid Institute.

"The challenge is that young people do not vote with the same level of turnout as older people," Kurl says. "So we're seeing a big age skew here. Younger people skewing NDP, older people skewing UCP."



TIGHT VICTORY BRINGS CHALLENGES: MAR

Gary Mar is a former PC cabinet minister and held a number of foreign diplomatic posts. He is now president and CEO of Canada West Foundation, a non-partisan think tank.

He says no matter who wins the most seats, a tight victory could bring its own challenges.

"Regardless of who becomes the premier of Alberta, they may face one of the largest oppositions ever in the history of the province," Mar says. "It'll also have a big impact on how you run your caucus."

"If you've got a small majority, four or five people within your own caucus, could say, look, there's something that you're not paying enough attention to. So you gotta pay attention to us. Otherwise, we'll withdraw our support for your majority vote in the legislature on the main agenda that you want to deal with."

The Angus Reid Poll also showed that both leaders have seen a slip in reputation over the past two weeks. It found 41 per cent of people had a worsening view of UCP leader Danielle Smith, while 32 per cent felt that way about NDP leader Rachel Notley.

PERCEPTION BECOMING REALITY

Kurl says public perception of the leaders is becoming baked in and unlikely to shift substantially down the stretch.


Notley perceived as more trustworthy leader, but Smith's UCP closing party support gap: Leger poll

Story by Matthew Black • May 4, 2023

Danielle Smith and Rachel Notley in Calgary at the beginning of the 2023 Alberta provincial election on May 1.© Provided by Edmonton Journal

Albertans perceive NDP leader Rachel Notley to be more honest, transparent, and trustworthy compared to UCP leader Danielle Smith, according to a new Leger poll that also shows the race between the two parties remains tight amid the opening week of the campaign.

When asked who was the most honest and transparent leader, the poll found 37 per cent favoured Notley to 23 per cent who favoured Smith.

Similarly, 38 per cent indicated Notley was the most trustworthy leader compared to 28 for Smith.

Twenty-nine per cent of respondents said they didn’t know in response to both questions.

That 14-point different on questions of honesty and trustworthiness was the shared second-largest gap between the two leaders, according to survey responses, behind Notley’s 18-point lead in response to which leader will work constructively with the federal government.

Smith has faced recent questions about her apparent reversals on prior comments regarding private health care , subsidized child care , and provincial funding for a new NHL arena .

More recently, she has also been asked about a video from last year that resurfaced this week where she cheered on the blockade at the Coutts border crossing as a “win” that could prompt the end of vaccine mandates.

When asked on Corus radio Wednesday about her changing positions, Smith said she was then talking as a political pundit and not as the premier or party leader.

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“I like to explore ideas. I like to talk to people about a wide range of issues,” she said.

“When you’re in government, it’s different.”

In her first official campaign speech Monday, Notley took aim at Smith’s changes of heart.

“Even if you don’t always agree with me on everything, you know me and what you know is that I say what I mean and I mean what I say,” said Notley.

The Leger poll surveyed 1,000 paid panelists between April 28 to May 1, with the number of respondents split roughly evenly between metro Edmonton, metro Calgary and the rest of Alberta.

Leger states that as the poll was a non-random internet survey, a margin of error is not reported.

The survey also shows that as the campaign approaches the end of its first week, the gap between the two front-running parties has narrowed.

The NDP have a small lead province-wide among decided voters, according to the poll, with 45 per cent support compared to 43 per cent for the UCP.

The data indicates that the NDP’s lead has progressively shrank from four per cent in February and three per cent in March.

Prior election numbers indicate the result of the election may come down to a number of Calgary ridings.

In that region, respondents equally believed Smith or Notley would make the best premier, the poll shows, with each leader receiving support in 28 per cent of replies, while 22 per cent said they didn’t know.

About 11 per cent of decided voters who were surveyed indicated support for a party other than the UCP or NDP, led by the Alberta Party (4 per cent) and the Liberal Party (3 per cent).

The election is scheduled for May 29 with advanced voting open between May 23 and 27.

mblack@postmedia.com
Twitter @ByMatthewBlack

Alberta's NDP and UCP deadlocked as campaign officially begins: poll

Alberta's election campaign trail: A look at Day 2

Tight race for the Alberta election: poll


Melissa Gilligan
CTVNewsCalgary.ca 
Digital Journalist
Updated May 2, 2023

A new poll suggests Alberta's UCP and NDP are locked in a dead heat as the political parties seek support in the upcoming provincial election.

The writ dropped Monday and Albertans head to the polls May 29, though both parties have been unofficially campaigning for weeks. Follow full election coverage on Alberta Votes 2023

A poll released by ThinkHQ Public Affairs Inc. on Tuesday indicates that if a provincial election were held today, 46 per cent of decided voters would vote for the NDP while another 46 per cent of decided voters would vote for the UCP.


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The poll found 13 per cent of Alberta voters are undecided.

"This province-wide parity between the NDP and UCP has been a feature of our provincial tracking for over six months, with several regional variances also largely locked into place," ThinkHQ noted in a release.

According to the survey, the NDP hold a "sizeable" lead in the Edmonton census metropolitan area (CMA), with 57 per cent support from decided voters compared to 33 per cent supporting the UCP.


A new poll from ThinkHQ suggests Alberta's UCP and NDP are locked in a dead-heat as the pair seek support in the upcoming provincial election. (ThinkHQ)Meanwhile, in the Calgary CMA, decided voters are virtually tied, with 47 per cent saying they'd vote NDP and 46 per cent saying they'd vote UCP.

Outside of the province's two largest cities, support for the UCP outranks the NDP; the survey suggests the UCP have support from at least 20 per cent more decided voters than the NDP in the north, central and south regions of the province.

"We know that the NDP are going to do well in Edmonton, likely even picking up a few seats in the surrounding region," said ThinkHQ president Marc Henry.

"Meanwhile, the UCP are going to win, by large margins, in many areas outside of the two largest cities.”

ThinkHQ noted in its release that Calgary will be the "real battleground" for the election.

"The UCP have a slightly easier path to victory than the NDP, but it’s really going to boil down to about a dozen toss-up and leaning ridings, many of which are in Calgary,” it said.

"This is going to be a very interesting election.”

ThinkHQ also noted "significant" gender and generational gaps in voter support in Alberta, saying women and younger voters showed a "distinct preference" for the NDP, while men and those over the age of 55 offered a similar inclination toward the UCP.

The report from ThinkHQ was compiled through an online survey of 1,529 random adult Albertans through Angus Reid between April 25 and 29. The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of this size is +/- 2.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.



ALBERTA ELECTION
Why prominent Alberta conservatives are supporting Rachel Notley’s NDP
A combination photo of Alberta NDP Leader Rachel Notley, left, and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith as they speak at an economic forum in Calgary, Alta., Tuesday, April 18, 2023.   (THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jeff McIntosh)

Moderate Alberta conservatives don’t recognize the party they were once so proud of under Danielle Smith’s leadership.

By Gillian Steward
Contributing Columnist
Tue., May 16, 2023
TORONTO STAR

I have lived in Alberta for a long time, through many elections — most of them easy conservative wins.

Conservatives were so sure of themselves they barely paid attention to opposition parties nipping at their heels. But this election is different. So different that some of those once confident conservatives are denouncing United Conservative Party (UPC) Leader Danielle Smith’s version of right-wing politics; some are even urging Albertans to vote for Rachel Notley’s NDP.

Take for example former Progressive Conservative MP Lee Richardson, a true blue conservative for decades. Before being elected as a Progressive Conservative MP he worked in Premier Peter Lougheed’s office. He was principal secretary to PC premier Alison Redford. But this year he organized a fundraiser for the NDP candidate in his constituency. Among those attending was Ron Ghitter, former Lougheed cabinet minister and PC Senator appointed by Prime Minister Brian Mulroney.

Tom Lukaszuk, another former PC cabinet minister, has been urging Albertans to vote NDP for months.

Ken Boessenkool, a well known Conservative strategist — he has worked with Preston Manning, Ralph Klein, Stephen Harper and Stockwell Day — told a Calgary Herald columnist that Smith “represents things that are not conservative. She represents things that will ultimately harm the party.”

Last week, Jeromy Farkas, a well-known Calgary conservative, former city councillor and a mayoralty candidate in 2021, levelled a blistering attack on Smith’s brand of conservatism: “What we are seeing right now, it’s serious and its dangerous,” he said on CBC Radio.

Farkas pointed out that even though conservatives are supposed to believe in the rule of law Smith has been picking and choosing what laws apply and shown that it’s OK for politicians to “meddle with prosecutors to help insider friends beat the rap.”

The UCP is a merger, engineered by Jason Kenney, of Alberta Progressive Conservatives and the more right-wing Wildrose Party. But many moderate conservatives were leery of the deal from the beginning because the Wildrosers seemed to have the upper hand.

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With Smith at the helm, the Wildrose faction is not only in control but has veered off into extremely radical territory.

What else do you call it when Smith proclaims that anti-vaxxers faced more discrimination than anyone in her lifetime?

Or when she says that the 75 per cent of Albertans who got vaccinated were akin to those who were swayed by Adolph Hitler?

Or when she says the Freedom Convoy’s blockade of the Alberta/U.S border was a win for Alberta?

Or when she takes a call from one of the most notorious blockaders and offers to talk to prosecutors about his upcoming court case?

And then there is her clueless babbling about health care when she was a talk show radio host. Such as physicians would provide better care if they knew the patient had personally paid for his or her services; hospitals should be contracted out; people shouldn’t need treatment for late stage cancer because there are so many ways to cure yourself at earlier stages of the disease.

Her ties to an activist group called Take Back Alberta (TBA) are also raising alarm. TBA was instrumental to her UCP leadership win and has taken over many UCP constituency associations. Its leader, David Parker, is anti-abortion and believes women should forgo careers in favour of raising children.

“You can vote your way into socialism,” Parker told a gathering in Grande Prairie recently. “You almost always have to shoot your way out.”

No wonder moderate conservatives don’t recognize the party they were once so proud of.

How many of them will stay home rather than vote, or vote NDP, is another question. But this election is so close, especially in Calgary where the NDP needs close to a sweep if they are to take up the reins of government.

In the end it may be these lifelong conservatives who tilt the election in the NDP’s favour.


Gillian Steward is a Calgary-based writer and freelance contributing columnist for the Star. Follow her on Twitter: @GillianSteward

NDP’s Rachel Notley has to woo the same Conservative voters who chose her rival

ALANNA SMITH
GLOBE AND MAIL
PUBLISHED MAY 13, 2023

Alberta NDP leader Rachel Notley campaigns in the election battleground of Calgary, on May 5
.TODD KOROL/THE GLOBE AND MAIL

Hours before votes were tallied in the last two provincial elections, New Democratic Leader Rachel Notley stole a moment of calm on her best friend’s porch. In the neighbourhood of Old Strathcona, with hot tea in their hands, they sat in comfortable quiet or gossiped about the neighbours.

There was no talk of politics or what might happen that night – in 2015, a roaring victory; four years later, crushing defeat. Now, Ms. Notley is fighting to return to Alberta’s highest office, and she knows the odds aren’t on her side.

While polls for the May 29 election have the NDP and the United Conservative Party, led by Danielle Smith, within a razor-thin margin of one another, it’s almost unheard of, in any province, to be re-elected as premier after serving as the Official Opposition leader.Open this photo in gallery:


Rachel Notley on May 12.
TODD KOROL/THE GLOBE AND MAIL

Political experts, however, say this election will not be won on policy but on a question of leadership. And Ms. Notley is the NDP’s best asset, often polling more popular than her party. She bites back at rivals who label her anti-pipeline or a puppet of her federal counterpart Jagmeet Singh and Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. “Look at my record,” she says time and time again – a record that includes accomplishing what no other Alberta leader has done since Ralph Klein resigned in 2006: serve a full term.

“The NDP’s capacity to offer up a leader who people have seen in government, who people have seen in Opposition, who people have seen in political life for 15 years – it does offer that predictability and stability that I think a lot of people are looking for,” she said.

Reflecting on past elections, Ms. Notley said the 2015 race against the Progressive Conservatives led by Jim Prentice focused on how each leader would shelter Alberta from a nosediving economy. After winning that election and governing through a tough four years in which the province experienced a prolonged dip on the resource roller coaster, the NDP was forced to, in her words, “play defence” in 2019. That contest was a sharp clash of personalities between the steady and likeable Ms. Notley and the political machine that was Jason Kenney.

But the contrast between leaders is even more profound this time, said Ms. Notley, who calls Ms. Smith a risky and unpredictable choice.

There’s also an intensity to this election that hasn’t been felt before, brought on by the devastation of the COVID-19 pandemic, a health care system in collapse and an increasingly divisive society, said Michele Jackson, who has been friends with Ms. Notley for 20 years and has served in a variety of roles for the provincial NDP for just as long.

She said it weighs on Ms. Notley – but is also the fuel that keeps the leader going.

A campaigner at heart, Ms. Notley knows how to stay grounded during the gruelling 28-day election crusade. She goes on a daily run – a habit that replaced smoking cigarettes in her 30s – listens to music or flips through pages of a book during her downtime (there’s not much)

“Head down. Get it done,” is how Ms. Notley tackles each day. “When you finally pull your head up again and look around, you’ll be very surprised by what you’ve been able to achieve.”

Ms. Notley, 59, was born in Edmonton but grew up in rural Alberta near Fairview, and worked as a labour lawyer before entering politics. Her dad, the late Grant Notley, was NDP leader for 16 years – a role she would take on in October, 2014, during her second term as an MLA.

During her rookie term, she was one of only two sitting members of the NDP. Ms. Notley told the Edmonton Journal that she drove then-leader Brian Mason “bananas” with questions on her first day. “He finally had to kick me out of the office to calm me down.”


Alberta NDP leader Rachel Notley is hitting the campaign trail hard in the last two weeks before the provincial election.
TODD KOROL/THE GLOBE AND MAIL

Ms. Notley was a natural at politics from the moment she was elected, said Ms. Jackson, who dismisses any notion that her adeptness was the product of growing up in a political household. “It was innate.”

Still, 15 years after Ms. Notley first took her seat in the Alberta Legislature, she says those nerves of the early days sometimes creep back in when she steps up to a podium to give a speech.

So what’s the trick to getting rid of those butterflies? Practice. And that is something she learned from her father.

“My dad, who was widely known as an exceptionally eloquent speaker, actually suffered from the same challenges and used to have to practise, practise, practise, practise for hours in front of a mirror,” Ms. Notley said.

“Get used to something, push yourself past your comfort zone, and then ultimately you can become comfortable.”

During Ms. Notley’s victory speech after becoming NDP Leader, she told Albertans they would need to choose between the past and the future in the next election. “Let’s not repeat history. Let’s make history,” she said. The NDP had just four seats going into the 2015 provincial race.

In the final week of that campaign, it became clear the party needed to plan a victory celebration, Ms. Jackson said. “Everyone’s flying in a million different directions trying to organize an event with all these people and Rachel’s going, ‘Holy crap – I’m going to be premier.’”

The NDP won a majority government with 53 seats, ending a 44-year Progressive Conservative dynasty and putting into power a left-leaning party for the first time in nearly 80 years.

Ms. Notley governed through a recession, roadblocks to pipeline development and slumping oil prices that wiped out tens of thousands of jobs. The NDP created a carbon tax, raised corporate income taxes and introduced farm safety legislation that brought tractor-led protests to the legislature. It also raised the minimum wage, piloted a $25-a-day daycare program and played an integral role in getting Ottawa to buy the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion.

But then came the 2019 election against the newly formed UCP. The NDP lost in a landslide, reduced to just 24 seats.

It was then that Ms. Notley contemplated hanging up her orange Fluevogs and leaving politics. It was Mr. Kenney that pulled her back, she said.

“If he hadn’t decided to demonize everybody who disagreed with him, then I may not have felt the need to stay. He got my back up.”

After four years in opposition, Ms. Notley now faces a tough task. In order to secure victory this time, she must attract not only undecided voters but conservatives who once supported her old rival.

She argues that Ms. Smith has abandoned the values of progressive conservatives and is deeply connected to the fringe elements of the conservative movement. And with a parade of old videos resurfacing – and Ms. Smith’s past statements haunting her campaign – it’s a message Ms. Notley hammers home whenever she can.

With a little more than two weeks left until election day, Ms. Notley said the focus is getting the word out to as many voters as possible.

Then, with the flurry of campaigning behind her once again, she will steal a few moments before polls close on her best friend’s porch, to await what’s to come.

Naheed Nenshi: In Alberta, will 'good

 enough' be good enough for Rachel Notley

 and the NDP?


Private health care fears


Naheed Nenshi
CTV
May 12, 2023

It must be hard to be a New Democrat in Alberta these days. With an election three weeks away, they have raised a historic amount of money. Their leader, Rachel Notley, is popular and widely admired. They have solid policy, including an economic plan written by the most well-known and respected economist in the province.

On the other side of the aisle, the premier, Danielle Smith, presides over a government that could be politely described as a train wreck. She was elected with barely half of the votes cast in her party’s selection. Even her most ardent supporters struggle to name any of her accomplishments, and her opponents have no end of scandals and failures to list. Smith struggles to form coherent answers on the questions on the minds of Albertans, and when she speaks off the cuff, she invariably has to apologize for her “imprecise language” (the less charitable might call it “lying”).

For example, at a recent Calgary Economic Development event, both Smith and Notley were asked what their plans were for the revitalization of downtown Calgary. Notley responded with her plans to create a new post-secondary campus, highlighted what her government did when they were in power, and pledged to match the City of Calgary’s funding for office conversions – long the largest ask from the mayor and council.

Smith, for her part, started by talking about highways and rural Wheatland County, before eventually circling back to her government’s plan on addiction recovery (which is admittedly quite good, though it’s not clear whether they will force unwilling people into mandatory addiction treatment).

She finally achieved some applause from the business crowd when she scooped herself and pledged government support to a new arena, which she announced to great fanfare the following week (though it’s far from clear this is a slam dunk -- support for public funding remains tenuous, and Smith again spoke too much when she implied that this was all the funding Calgary would get for downtown revitalization).

Given all of this, one would expect that the NDP would be far ahead in the race, and that Notley would be wondering how much Jason Kenney and Smith have renovated her old office.

Instead, every poll has the NDP only slightly ahead, but their vote is relatively inefficient and there is a bit of historical gerrymandering in favour of rural and small-city Alberta (this isn’t as bad as city-dwellers sometimes believe – Calgary and Edmonton account for about 58% of the population and 52% of the seats, but this could make a difference in a very close election). Most commentators, therefore, give Smith and her United Conservatives a small edge as the election kicks into high gear.

How is this possible?


Some credit goes to Smith herself. For all her faults, she is an appealing communicator with an effortless style, honed through many years in front of microphones and cameras. She has tried for a Ralph Klein vibe, admitting she’s not perfect and that she’s learning on the job.

Part of it has to do with the increasing hardening of Conservative parties across Canada and around the world. They have been able to activate a group of people who didn’t traditionally vote in large numbers: those who are skeptical of government and who welcome angry attacks on institutions. In short, they are happy to burn it down rather than build it up. Since 2015 or so, activists have done a great job turning on people who are typically skeptical of all government and never vote, turning them into dedicated voters. Any glance at political Twitter shows that these folks, while a minority, speak with a loud voice.


Part of this is the NDP’s own fault. While they have worked very hard to court Calgary voters, it’s not clear what, if anything, they have done since their defeat in 2019 (some would argue since their victory in 2015) to work with rural voters or those in the mid-sized cities. For example, they won both seats in Red Deer in 2015 on a vote split, and the two current UCP MLAs are the widely disliked minister of education -- and a maverick MLA from the party’s right flank with a habit of saying strange things and travelling when he shouldn’t. Nonetheless, if the NDP has been doing ground-level work to shore up their support there, I haven’t seen it and every commentator puts those seats out of reach for them.

The most important factor, though, is electoral history and the electorate’s tolerance for many shenanigans from Conservative politicians. Conservative parties of one stripe or another have ruled Alberta for all but four of the last 72 years, and the 44-year reign of the Progressive Conservatives is instructive. Peter Lougheed built a giant tent, and most issues were settled behind closed doors, within the party caucus. To put it in modern national terms, the PC party would have included both Pierre Poilievre and Chrystia Freeland, with Lougheed himself firmly on the party’s progressive side.

In the early 2000s, the more right-wing members of the party formed the Wildrose Alliance, which was led in its heyday by Danielle Smith. Rather than accept this and attempt to target the majority of Albertans, who identify as centrists, the PC party longed to bring its erstwhile relatives home, despite much advice telling them that the Wildrose was a handy closet in which to keep their more extreme cousins. Former Premier Jim Prentice, although well ahead in the polls at the time, convinced Smith and the majority of her caucus to cross the floor, with disastrous results and an election loss to the NDP.

Jason Kenney then returned from Ottawa to orchestrate a grand family reunion, which turned out to be a de facto takeover of the PC party by the more radical Wildrose elements. One would think Lougheed would not be comfortable, and maybe not be welcome, in this version of his party.

Through all of this, Albertans remained forgiving. Successive PC governments, with all their foibles and quirks, were generally pretty competent, and the wealth of the province covered up a lot of errors. Alberta was by far the wealthiest province, with the lowest taxes (albeit with the highest provincial spending per capita, thanks to oil and gas revenues). Quality of life remains extraordinarily high, and public services are as good as anywhere else in Canada for the most part.

So, Albertans have been very tolerant of foibles and missteps, as long as they received competent government. Smith, despite showing few signs of competence, benefits from this halo of history. Even when a recording surfaced of her making odious comparisons of vaccinated people with Hitler supporters, and saying she was boycotting wearing a poppy as a result (no, it makes no sense; just bear with me), the national B’nai Brith and Royal Canadian Legion strongly condemned her comments. The local Calgary Jewish community, for its part, issued only a mild statement suggesting they didn’t want to become a political wedge.

Alberta NDP Leader Rachel Notley attends a campaign rally in Calgary, Alta., 
Thursday, May 11, 2023. Albertans go to the polls on May 29. 
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jeff McIntosh

And that’s Notley’s problem, and likely her largest frustration. She must be perfect. She must run the table in every competitive riding to have a chance of winning government. She can’t afford a single stumble. Smith, on the other hand, merely has to be good enough. She doesn’t have to talk about how she’ll make things better, only that she won’t make them worse.

Albertans have a chance on May 29 to break a habit, to tell the Conservatives that they have to earn their votes, that they have to stop speaking only to the radical fringe. A number of prominent conservatives, including a former deputy premier, have called upon Albertans to put their party in the penalty box for a while, even to “lend” their vote to Notley and the NDP. We’ll see if citizens take on that challenge or if they settle for good enough.




Former Calgary mayor Naheed Nenshi wrote this opinion column for CTV News
Explainer

The Guardian and slavery: what did the research find and what happens next?

The Scott Trust has apologised and announced a programme of restorative justice after identifying the Guardian founders’ links to transatlantic slavery



















The Scott Trust commissioned the research in 2020, in the wake of the Black Lives Matter movement. Composite: Guardian Design/Getty Images/Hubbard & Mix, photographer

Community affairs correspondent
THE GUARDIAN
Tue 28 Mar 2023 

What is the Scott Trust Legacies of Enslavement report?

It is the result of independent academic research commissioned by the Scott Trust, the Guardian’s owners.

The research began by investigating historical links between John Edward Taylor, the journalist who founded the Manchester Guardian in 1821, and transatlantic slavery – as well as researching the investments and business activities of the 11 other men who loaned money to start the newspaper.

What did the research discover about John Edward Taylor?


The review found that Taylor had links to slavery through partnerships in cotton manufacturing and merchant firms that imported raw cotton produced by enslaved people in the Americas.

How did they find this?

Researchers identified links to plantations in the coastal islands and Lowcountry regions of South Carolina and Georgia after reviewing an invoice book showing that his firm, Shuttleworth, Taylor & Co, had received cotton from the Sea Islands region of the US, which included the initials and names of plantation owners and enslavers.

What about the Guardian’s early financial backers?

Nine of the 11 men who loaned Taylor money to found the Manchester Guardian had similar economic links to transatlantic slavery through their commercial interests in Manchester’s cotton and textiles industry.

One of these men, Sir George Philips, was an enslaver of people as co-owner of a sugar plantation in Hanover, Jamaica. In 1835, Philips unsuccessfully attempted to claim compensation from the British government for the loss of his human “property”. However, his business partner’s claim for 108 people enslaved on the plantation was successful.

Researchers were unable to find more information in the stipulated timeframe on two of the backers, although they are likely to have been cotton merchants.

Did the research identify the enslaved Africans whose labour enriched the Guardian’s founders?

The third stage of research focused in part on investigating links with plantations in the south-eastern US and Jamaica, and identified some of the enslaved people connected to the Guardian founders.

Researchers were able to find records from 1862 with the names of people enslaved on a Sea Islands plantation that had sold cotton to Taylor’s firm. They include 90-year-old Toby, 50-year-old Clarinda, 36-year-old Billy and seven-year-old Nancy, who were enslaved on the Spanish Wells Plantation on Hilton Head Island.

Records from the Success plantation in Jamaica, partly owned by George Philips, had slightly more information on enslaved Africans, including details about the incredible life of one resistance fighter. Granville, who was enslaved on the Success plantation, was a freedom fighter who was persecuted for his involvement in Jamaica’s Baptist war from 1831 to 1832. He was one of 60,000 enslaved Jamaicans to take part in the uprising.

The uprising, also known as the Christmas rebellion, is considered the largest slave rebellion in the West Indies and played an important role in the abolition of British slavery.

Why did the Scott Trust commission this research?


The review came in the wake of the Black Lives Matter movement in 2020, during which a record-breaking number of people protested in the US, UK and around the world after the murder of George Floyd.

In the UK, the tearing down of Bristol’s Edward Colston statue prompted many organisations to examine their own histories regarding transatlantic slavery and colonialism. The Guardian was at the forefront of reporting on this extraordinary movement, but it could not do so without looking at itself as well.
Who were the researchers involved?

The research was carried out in three stages, first by Dr Sheryllynne Haggerty and Dr Cassandra Gooptar, then of the University of Nottingham’s Institute for the Study of Slavery, and later by Gooptar and Prof Trevor Burnard of the University of Hull’s Wilberforce Institute for the Study of Slavery and Emancipation.

How did the Guardian respond to the research findings?

The owner of the Guardian has issued an apology for the role the newspaper’s founders had in transatlantic slavery and announced a decade-long programme of restorative justice. The Scott Trust said it expected to invest more than £10m, with millions dedicated specifically to descendant communities linked to the Guardian’s 19th-century founders.

What is restorative justice?

The term “restorative justice”, which is often used interchangeably with “reparations”, is a process that focuses on repairing harm. The practice seeks to facilitate an acknowledgement of the harm caused, collaboration on how to make things right, which can include compensation, and healing.

What will this programme do in the regions identified?


The restorative justice fund will support community projects and programmes in the south-eastern US Sea Islands and Jamaica over the next 10 years. The plans will be subject to consultation with reparations experts and representatives of communities in the Sea Islands region and Jamaica and will be overseen by a programme director.

What else will it do?

The fund will increase the scope and ambition of Guardian reporting on the Caribbean, South America and Africa, and on Black communities in the UK and US (up to 12 new editorial roles within the Guardian).

It will also expand the Guardian Foundation’s industry-leading journalism training bursary scheme. The Scott Trust bursary currently funds three journalism masters courses and paid training placements at GNM each year for aspiring journalists in the UK from underrepresented backgrounds. The additional funding will create three new places each year for Black prospective journalists in the UK, and create equivalent schemes in the Guardian’s offices in the US and Australia.

The programme will also explore and fund a new global news sector fellowship programme for mid-career Black journalists.

Will the restorative justice programme focus on increasing awareness of transatlantic slavery?

As part of the programme, the Scott Trust has also committed to helping improve public understanding of transatlantic slavery’s history and legacies in Manchester and Britain – and of the debates around reparations and restorative justice, through partnerships and community programmes, with a strong focus on Manchester, the city in which we were founded.

The Trust has announced it will also continue to fund research of these histories, through a three-year partnership with the Wilberforce Institute at the University of Hull.
How much money has the Guardian committed to this programme?

The Scott Trust expects to commit more than £10m to this programme of work over the next 10 years. The Scott Trust said it will announce a precise figure after consulting experts and community groups in the Sea Islands and Jamaica over the next 12 months.



































What is Cotton Capital?

Cotton Capital is a new Guardian journalism project that will explore the findings of the research, as well as reporting on how transatlantic slavery shaped Manchester, Britain and the rest of the world. This continuing series will explore the history and its enduring legacies today.

A special Cotton Capital magazine will be published on Saturday 1 April. To order copies from the Guardian bookshop visit guardianbookshop.com/cotton-capital


SEE


Greece’s general election: centre-right party far ahead as votes are counted









 
 

The New Democracy leader and PM, Kyriakos Mitsotakis, arrives at the party's headquarters in Athens on 21 May after the general election. Photograph: Louiza Vradi/Reuters

Prime minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis’s party on 41% share against Syriza on 20%, with more than 70% of votes counted

Helena Smith in Athens
THE GUARDIAN
Sun 21 May 2023

Greece’s general election has failed to produce a winner despite the centre-right party of incumbent prime minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis clinching 41% of the vote with more than 70% of ballots counted.

New Democracy was leading with a 20-point margin over the leftist main opposition Syriza party trailing at just over 20.07% – a difference rarely seen since the collapse in 1974 of military rule. Even in Crete, a socialist bastion, the rightwing party had fared unexpectedly well.

“It appears that New Democracy will have a very important victory,” said Giorgos Geropetritis, a former state minister and one of Mitsotakis’ closest colleagues. “The Greek people took stock of the past and voted for the future … it voted for future generations.” Other government officials described the result as a “spectacular victory”.


As Greece goes to the polls, scandal, disaster and apathy eat into PM’s lead

Under a new electoral system of proportional representation introduced under the former prime minister and Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras, the victor had to secure about 46% of the vote to win an outright majority of 151 seats in the 300-member parliament. That, for any party, had been an impossible feat.

With more than 76% of the vote counted, smaller parties including MeRa 25, headed by the former Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis, failed to pass the 3% threshold to get into parliament.

The inconclusive result will lay the ground for a fresh ballot in July if, as expected, efforts to form a coalition government break down. The second-round poll, expected to happen on 2 July, will take place under a semi-proportional representation system that would grant the first party 50 bonus seats if it won 40% of the vote.

On Monday, as protocol demands, Greece’s president, Katerina Sakellaropoulou, will hand Mitsotakis a three-day mandate to explore the options of forming a coalition. Aides said the 55-year-old leader, who appeared in ebullient mood as he arrived at New Democracy’s headquarters in Athens, would prefer a repeat poll with Sunday’s result hardening his view that a single-party government was “more than possible”.

Throughout the electoral campaign he had insisted the country’s interests could only be served with “a strong majority” government that would enable him to press ahead with his reform programme during a second four-year term. If, as looks likely, Mitsotakis hands the mandate back to Sakellaropoulou, Syriza will follow suit although the exit poll results did not point to a coalition government being feasible, arithmetically, even if there was consensus among leftist parties to create such an administration.

It had been thought that the governing party’s popularity had been severely dented by a wiretapping scandal and devastating train crash – events that cast a pall over Mitsotakis, a former banker, personally.

But Syriza’s unexpectedly poor performance appeared to uphold the view that Greeks had voted for stability – despite many being perturbed by what has been perceived as democratic backsliding under the centre-right government, with the spy scandal highlighting those concerns.

In an election dominated by anxiety over the cost of living crisis, Greeks singled out the economy, citing memories of the nation’s debt drama a decade ago and punishing austerity meted out in return for emergency funds to keep the country afloat. Sunday’s ballot was the first since the EU and IMF, which orchestrated the biggest bailout in global financial history to avert a Greek default, ceased supervising the country’s finances.

But trauma still lingers. The cuts demanded in exchange for rescue exacted a heavy price: the Greek economy contracted by more than 25%m fuelling a recession from which the nation has only begun to recover. “The idea of more adventures after everything we have been through swayed my vote,” said Maria Lygera, echoing a common refrain.

The 48-year-old mother of three was among a sizable cohort of undecided voters estimated at close to 13% before polls opened.

“Right up until I walked into the ballot booth I wasn’t sure which way I would go,” she said.

“I wanted to punish New Democracy because of the wiretapping scandal but equally I also wanted to ensure there is a centre-left party that is present and strong. Because that is definitely not Syriza, I voted Pasok.”

The Pasok party came in third with just under 12%, a result its jubilant leadership said placed it on course to replace Syriza as the main centre-left opposition.

Mitsotakis has promised to further cut taxes, bring down unemployment – hovering about 11% from an all-time high of 30% during the crisis – and stimulate the economy by attracting more foreign direct investment. His election campaign motto has been “stability”, with the politician evoking the turbulence of Syriza’s time in office when Tsipras, its firebrand leader, was catapulted into power in 2015.

Alexis Tsipras arrives at his party headquarters in Athens on 21 May, 2023
Photograph: Louisa Gouliamaki/AFP/Getty Images

Tsipras, 48, has toned down the radical rhetoric that first appealed to his base but throughout the election campaign vowed to raise public sector wages to help assuage the effects of the cost of living crisis and upgrade state facilities including the public health system. Senior Syriza cadres described the outcome as deeply disappointing and a far cry from what the leftwing party had hoped to achieve.

More than 9 million Greeks were eligible to cast ballots in a vote held under a rarely used proportional representation system.

In an historic step Greeks abroad were also able to participate at polling stations set up in the UK and major cities across Europe, the US, Canada and Australia. Voter turnout was said to be high among the more than 22,000 diaspora Greeks registered on the electoral roll.

But from the outset the new electoral procedure had made it practically impossible for any candidate to win the 46% required to form a single-party government. Not since 1981, when Andreas Papandreou charged to victory on the slogan of allagi or “change”, has that feat been pulled off.

With such high probability of the result being inconclusive, Mitsotakis had raised the spectre of a follow-up election in July even before Greeks began to cast their ballots.
ZIONIST COLONIALISM IS PROVOCATION
Far-right minister says Israel ‘in charge’ on visit to Jerusalem holy site

Comments by Itamar Ben-Gvir draw condemnation from Palestinians amid escalating tensions

Itamar Ben-Gvir (centre) greets supporters at Damascus Gate in Jerusalem on Thursday. 
Photograph: Eyal Warshavsky/Sopa Images/Shutterstock

Ben Lynfield in Jerusalem and agencies
THE GUARDIAN
Sun 21 May 2023 14.32 BST

Israel’s far-right security minister, Itamar Ben-Gvir, visited a site in Jerusalem holy to both Muslims and Jews and declared Israel was “in charge”, drawing condemnation from Palestinians after months of escalating tension and violence.

The early morning visit to the site, revered by Jews as the Temple Mount and by Muslims as the compound housing al-Aqsa mosque, also drew denunciations from two of Israel’s Arab peace partners, Jordan and Egypt.

It came days after groups of Jewish youths clashed with Palestinians and chanted racist slogans during a nationalist march through the Old City.

“I am glad to ascend the Temple Mount, the most important place for the nation of Israel,” Ben-Gvir said during his visit to the compound, the most sensitive point between Muslims and Jews in Jerusalem and the scene of repeated confrontations. Police are doing wonderful work here and again giving a reminder of who the master of the house is in Jerusalem. All of Hamas’s threats won’t help. We are the masters of Jerusalem and all of the land of Israel.”

According to arrangements in place since Israel occupied the site along with the rest of East Jerusalem during the 1967 war, Jews are allowed to visit but only Muslims can pray there. To Jews, it is revered as the site of the ancient temples, while Muslims consider it as the place from which the prophet Muhammad ascended to heaven.

In recent years, Jewish visits and calls for Jewish prayer have increased, fuelling Muslim fears of a takeover. At the same time, police have grown increasingly lax in enforcing the ban on Jewish worship and often have not stopped Jews from praying in the eastern corner of the compound. They do this by reading from their mobile phones, rather than prayer books – which is what Ben-Gvir did on Sunday. The moment was captured on video.

Ben-Gvir, who was elected last November promising to push for Jewish prayer at the site, is considered by many to be the most extremist Israeli politician and has a long history of Arab baiting. For many years, he displayed prominently in his home a picture of Baruch Goldstein, an Israeli gunman who killed 29 Palestinians during mosque prayers in Hebron in 1994.

Ben-Gvir also called for more funding to enable a ministry controlled by his Jewish Power party to increase the number of Jews in parts of Israel with large Arab populations, the Negev and the Galilee. “We have to act there, we have to be the masters also of the Negev and the Galilee,” he said.

Ahmad Majdalani, a member of the PLO executive committee, said the visit offended Muslims worldwide and predicted it could destabilise the region by boosting Islamic fundamentalists.

Majdalani, who is also Palestinian minister of social development, called Ben-Gvir’s visit “a provocative expression by the Israeli government as a whole, not just an individual expression by Ben-Gvir. It is official policy to harm the feelings of Muslims worldwide, particularly Palestinians. We warn that if this continues, then it changes the situation from a political conflict to a religious one that cannot be controlled. The danger of this to the region cannot be overestimated.”

Jordan, which was granted a special role atIslamic sites in Jerusalem in its 1994 peace treaty with Israel was fierce in its condemnation. “The storming of al-Aqsa mosque and the violation of its sanctity by an Israeli cabinet minister are condemned and provocative acts,” said the ministry of foreign and expatriate affairs spokesperson Sinan Majali. “They represent a blatant violation of international law, as well as the historical and legal status quo in Jerusalem and its holy sites.”

Israel captured the Old City of Jerusalem, which includes al-Aqsa and the adjacent Western Wall, a sacred place of prayer for Jews, during the 1967 Middle Eastern war.

Israel has since annexed East Jerusalem, in a move not recognised by the international community, and regards the entire city as its eternal and undivided capital. Palestinians want East Jerusalem as the capital of a future state.