Saturday, February 29, 2020

The pope has joined forces with Microsoft and IBM to create a doctrine for ethical AI and facial recognition. Here's how the Vatican wants to shape AI.
Pope Francis has embraced technology but has also warned 
of consequences. ANDREAS SOLARO/AFP via Getty Images

The Vatican called for stronger regulation of the use of artificial intelligence in a plan announced on Friday, Reuters first reported.

The document also said AI tools should work fairly, transparently, reliably, and with respect for human life and the environment.

Microsoft and IBM joined Pope Francis in endorsing the document, according to Reuters.
This isn't the first time Francis has weighed in on the moral and ethical issues that come with new technologies.

Pope Francis wants to see facial recognition, artificial intelligence, and other powerful new technologies follow a doctrine of ethical and moral principles.

In a joint document made public on Friday, the pope, along with IBM and Microsoft, laid out a vision that outlined principles for the emerging technologies and called for new regulations, Reuters first reported.

The Vatican's "Rome Call for AI Ethics" said that AI tools should be built "with a focus not on technology, but rather for the good of humanity and of the environment" and consider the "needs of those who are most vulnerable."

The "algor-ethics" outlined in the document included transparency, inclusion, responsibility, impartiality, reliability, security, and privacy, alluding to debates that have emerged around topics like algorithmic bias and data privacy.

Along those lines, it called for new regulations around "advanced technologies that have a higher risk of impacting human rights, such as facial recognition." Facial-recognition technology in particular has sparked concerns in recent years, thanks to research showing its problems with racial bias and the lack of transparency from companies that develop it.


The document, which was endorsed by Microsoft and IBM, is not the first time Francis has weighed in on ethical issues surrounding technology. At a Vatican conference in September, the pontiff warned that technological progress, if not kept in check, could lead society to "an unfortunate regression to a form of barbarism."

Others, both within and outside the tech community, have rolled out plans to address the side effects of AI. In January, the Trump administration unveiled a binding set of rules that federal agencies must follow when designing AI policies, while the European Union announced its own nonbinding principles in April.

Various people and organizations within the tech industry have spoken out about regulating AI, including Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai, as well as AI ethics groups like AI Now and OpenAI.
Bill Gates says the coronavirus is a pandemic and a 'once-in-a-century pathogen.' Here are the solutions he's proposing to fight it.
"COVID-19 has started behaving a lot like the once-in-a-century pathogen we've been worried about," Gates wrote in a new op-ed.

Bill Gates. AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana

Bill Gates has warned for years that pandemics are a major international threat.
In a new op-ed, he outlines solutions for the coronavirus outbreak that has spread to at least 56 countries.

Gates referred to the outbreak as a pandemic, though the World Health Organization has so far shied away from that declaration.

The coronavirus, Gates wrote, is behaving like a "once-in-a-century pathogen."



Bill Gates has warned for years that the world is not ready for a deadly pandemic.

Some of his ominous predictions are now playing out as the coronavirus spreads around the globe. The virus causes a disease known as COVID-19 and has killed almost 2,900 people and infected more than 83,000 others globally since December. The vast majority of cases and deaths have been in China.

"In the past week, COVID-19 has started behaving a lot like the once-in-a-century pathogen we've been worried about," Gates wrote in an op-ed for the New England Journal of Medicine. "I hope it's not that bad, but we should assume it will be until we know otherwise."

Gates referred to the outbreak as a pandemic, even though the World Health Organization has not yet made that declaration. The group has said instead that the virus has "pandemic potential."

"In any crisis, leaders have two equally important responsibilities: solve the immediate problem and keep it from happening again," Gates wrote. "The COVID-19 pandemic is a case in point. We need to save lives."
In the op-ed, Gates suggested the following solutions that could slow the virus' spread:
Wealthy countries should supply low- and middle-income countries in Africa and Southern Asia with trained healthcare workers to monitor the virus' spread and deliver vaccines.
Establish an international database where countries can share information.
Develop a system that screens for compounds that have already been safety-tested to use in a vaccine.

Governments and donors should fund manufacturing facilities that can pump out vaccines within weeks.

Gates compared COVID-19 to the 1957 flu pandemic, which killed more than 1 million people, and the 1918 flu pandemic, which killed 50 million people. The current outbreak, he wrote, is somewhere in between. 

Gates said everyone should have access to an affordable vaccine

Gates predicted that large-scale trials for a coronavirus vaccine could happen as early as June. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institutes of Health's infectious-disease center, recently said that he hoped to start testing vaccine candidates in people by mid-April.

Associated Press

However, drug development is typically a multiyear process that can cost about $1 billion in the US. Gates said making vaccines affordable for everyone was the "right strategy" for containing the coronavirus outbreak.


"Given the economic pain that an epidemic can impose — we're already seeing how COVID-19 can disrupt supply chains and stock markets, not to mention people's lives — it will be a bargain," he wrote.

On Wednesday, Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar declined to promise that a future coronavirus vaccine would be affordable for all Americans. But he backtracked day later, saying that any vaccine developed in conjunction with the US government would need to be financially accessible to the public.

The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation has already contributed $100 million toward the fight to contain the outbreak. In his op-ed, Gates said warding off a pandemic would require billions of dollars.

"There is no time to waste," he wrote.

Though China has seen a drop-off in its rate of new cases in recent days, the coronavirus has spread to at least 55 other countries. At least 72 people have died outside mainland China.

EXCERPT
A Business Insider investigation into the Facebook CEO's secretive family office has uncovered a workplace in crisis over the family's handling of allegations of sexual harassment, racism, and transphobia.

Some workers say they have lost faith in the organization's capacity to fairly investigate and resolve disputes. The turmoil offers a rare glimpse inside the ultrasecretive world of billionaire family offices.

A representative for Zuckerberg described Business Insider's reporting as "a collection of unfounded rumors, exaggerations, and half-truths which unfairly malign several of our valued employees."


Zuckerberg's property empire, from Montana to Hawaii
Since dropping out of Harvard University in 2005 and moving across the country to build Facebook, Zuckerberg has amassed a growing property empire.

He has a 5,000-square-foot home in Palo Alto, which he bought in 2011 for $7 million (as well as several surrounding houses that he bought for an additional $30 million over the next few years). There's a 5,500-square-foot townhouse in San Francisco, for which he paid $10 million in 2013.

In 2018, he bought up two lakeshore properties at Lake Tahoe, California, for a combined $59 million. He has also quietly bought multiple properties at the elite Yellowstone Club ski resort in Montana, sources say.

And then there's Hawaii.

Many of the ultrawealthy in tech, including Marc Benioff, Paul Allen, and Peter Thiel, have acquired expansive estates on the island chain, and in 2014 Zuckerberg joined the club. He spent a reported $100 million on a vast, 700-acre ranch on the northeast corner of Kauai.

It is an expansive property, with cows and horses grazing its pastures, a petting zoo for the family, and space for Zuckerberg to hunt feral pigs with bow and arrow. The public beach that runs along its northern edge is a popular spot with local nudists and basking endangered Hawaiian monk seals alike, while humpback whales breach off-shore and albatrosses wheel overhead.

The purchase has proved intensely controversial, sparking numerous clashes with locals.
The Facebook founder has found himself in multiple land disputes
Under Hawaiian law, ancestral claims to land can often result in the title to a given plot of land having dozens of potential claimants. In an attempt to consolidate his ownership over the property, Zuckerberg's lawyers filed lawsuits — known as "quiet title" actions — that sought to establish sole ownership over his parcels and dispossess any indigenous Hawaiians of residual family interests they may have had in the ranch. The suits prompted allegations of "neocolonialism."

Zuckerberg backed down on the claims, though many on the island suspect that he continued to quietly bankroll a retired Hawaiian professor, Carlos Andrade, who continued legal proceedings in an attempt to secure control of some of the parcels. An attorney for Andrade did not respond to a request for comment.

Zuckerberg did not invent the "quiet title" land process, and he's hardly the first billionaire to buy property on the paradisaical Pacific island. But his global name recognition turned local Hawaiian land disputes into international headlines, transforming him into a focal point for local activists' and Hawaiian nationalists' anger.

Locals also accuse Zuckerberg of erecting a six-foot wall along part of the ranch's perimeter that blocks ocean breezes, and say his security team restricts access to the historic Ala Loa public trail that rings the island. (The exact path of the trail is disputed, and the family-office spokesperson referred Business Insider to an interview in which one local trail expert said "the research that we did indicated that the trail was not along the coast but further [inland].")

Randy Naukana Rego, a Fremont, California-born Hawaiian musician who lives in Kauai and has the right under state law to visit ancestral burial grounds on the Zuckerberg ranch, called the Facebook CEO "another rich guy who sues Hawaiian families and controls large amounts of land because he can."

"He does more good than harm," said a bartender at The Bistro, a restaurant and bar in the relaxed town of Kilauea, citing Zuckerberg's donations to local charities and employment of local residents. "A lot of people like to bitch about rich people." Zuckerberg went to The Bistro a few months after buying his Kauai property, he added, but was refused service because he didn't have his ID and the bartender working at the time didn't recognise him.

South Korea reported a record 800 new cases of coronavirus in a single day — and the vast majority are linked to a religious cult




Today in History: February 29
46 B.C.: Calculation of Feb. 29 as a leap day

Roman emperor Julius Caesar decreed that a year should have 365.25 days, which would automatically add a day to every fourth year. This resulted in the addition of a 29th day to February every fourth year. Yet the system remained imperfect due to discrepancy with the solar year. Centuries later, this was solved by Pope Gregory XIII, who fine-tuned the calendar. He adopted a series of time-warp techniques, which eventually led to the introduction of the Gregorian calendar in 1582.


Genoese navigator and explorer Christopher Columbus (1451 - 1506) frightens the Carib natives into assisting him by predicting an eclipse of the moon, a god of theirs, Jamaica, February 29, 1504.  (Image by Frederic Lewis/Getty Images)


29th of February 1692: First arrest warrants are issued for witchcraft
The First arrest warrants were issued against three women named - Tituba, Sarah Good and Sarah Osborne for practicing witchcraft in Salem, Massachusetts.


29th February 1704, After the massacre in Deerfield, Massachusetts, Indians paddle towards camp with two prisoners. At the massacre, French soldiers and Abenaki and Caughnawaga Indians attacked the settlement killing about fifty people and taking over a hundred prisoners.
Deerfield, a settlement in western Massachusetts was attacked by Native American and French forces. The forces burned the town and massacred almost 100 people, marking it as the cruelest raid of Queen Anne's War.  (Photo by MPI/Getty Images)

Slide 5 of 12: (Original Caption) 3/2/1940- Los Angeles, CA: Actress Hattie Mc Daniel is shown with the statuette she received for her portrayal in "Gone With The Wind." The award was for Best Supporting Role by an Actress, and was made at the 12th annual Academy Awards ceremony.

Hattie McDaniel won the best supporting actress for her role as Mammy in ‘Gone with the Wind,' at the 12th Academy Awards ceremony in Los Angeles. This marked her as the first African American actor to be honored with an Oscar.
Slide 6 of 12: Standing at a podium, Republican President Dwight "Ike" Eisenhower making his 1956 re-election speech from his campaign headquarters in Washington, DC, with his wife, Mamie, and Vice President and Mrs. Richard Nixon sitting in background.
JUST LIKE BERNIE
29, FEBRUARY 1956: President Eisenhower announces to seek second term
President Dwight Eisenhower announced that he would run for re-election. Earlier, his cardiologist had announced that the President was capable of serving a second term as President suffered a major heart attack back in September 1955.

Slide 7 of 12: Hugh Hefner, founder and chairman of the Playboy Enterprises, Inc., is pictured amid a group of Bunnies, at the flagship Playboy Club, in Chicago, Ill., circa 1960. (AP Photo)
© AP Photo
February 29, 1960: First Playboy Club opens in Chicago
Hugh Hefner opened the world’s first Playboy club with 'bunnies' as waitresses in Chicago.

THE REAL MAJESTIC PROJECT AT  AREA 51

Slide 8 of 12: 1960s 1970s LOCKHEED YF-12A MILITARY JET AIRCRAFT AIRPLANE AIR FORCE BLACKBIRD    (Photo by H. Armstrong Roberts/ClassicStock/Getty Images)
Feb 29, 1964: Announcement of secretly developed jet fighter
During a press conference in Washington, D.C., President Lyndon B. Johnson disclosed the existence of the Lockheed YF-12 – a secretly developed jet interceptor capable of cruising at an altitude of 80,000 feet (24,385 meters) with a speed of 2,000 mph (3,220 kph). Johnson deliberately misidentified the aircraft as A-12 at the request of aeronautical engineer Clarence 'Kelly' Johnson. Though three prototypes were built, the YF-12, which was an armed variant of the A-12 reconnaissance aircraft, never entered service.
Image result for newark riot 1967Image result for newark riot 1967Image result for newark riot 1967

Feb 29, 1968: Kerner Commission report is released

The President's National Advisory Commission on Civil Disorders kown as the Kerner Commission, released its report and warned that racism was the primary cause of riots surge in the country. The 11-member commission, headed by Governor Otto Kerner of Illinois was appointed by President Lyndon B Johnson in July 1967.
Slide 10 of 12: (Original Caption) This is a waist-up portrait of Hank Aaron of the Atlanta Braves baseball team in uniform.
February 29,1972: Hank Aaron becomes MLB's highest paid player

Hank Aaron signed a three-year deal of $200,000 per year with the Atlanta Braves, 
marking him as the highest paid player in Major League Baseball at that time. 



February 29,1984: Trudeau resigns as Canada's PM
After serving for more than 15 years as Canadian Prime Minister, Pierre Trudeau announced his resignation.






February, 29, 2004: 'Lord of the Rings: Return of the King' wins 11 Oscars
'The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King' won 11 Oscars, it swept all categories in which it was nominated, including best picture and best director for Peter Jackson. The film tied the record with 1959’s 'Ben Hur' and 1997’s 'Titanic', which are the most rewarded films in Oscar history.



On This Day: Hattie McDaniel becomes first black actor to win Oscar 

On Feb. 29, 1940, Hattie McDaniel became the first African-American actor to win an Academy Award -- for her role in "Gone With the Wind."
ByUPI Staff


Stamps and memorabilia are for sale at the dedication of a new 39-cent commemorative stamp honoring actress Hattie McDaniel held at the The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences Fairbanks Center for Motion Picture Study in Beverly Hills, Calif., on January 25, 2006. On February 29, 1940, McDaniel became the first African-American actor to win an Academy Award -- for her role in Gone With the Wind. The movie won eight awards that night. File Photo by Phil McCarten/UPI | License Photo


Feb. 28 (UPI) -- On this date in history:

In 1704, in the bloodiest event of the so-called Queen Anne's War, Deerfield, a frontier settlement in western Massachusetts, was attacked by a French and indian force. Some 100 men, women and children were massacred as the town was burned to the ground.

In 1868, British statesman Benjamin Disraeli became prime minister for the first time.

In 1916, during World War I, German U-boat commanders were ordered to attack merchant shipping in the Atlantic without warning, a policy that killed thousands and helped draw the United States into the war.

In 1940, Hattie McDaniel became the first African-American actor to win an Academy Award -- for her role in Gone With the Wind. The movie won eight awards that night.

In 1956, almost nine years after becoming an independent nation, Pakistan declared itself an Islamic republic.

In 1968, the President's National Advisory Commission on Civil Disorders condemned racism as the primary cause of the recent surge of riots. The commission said in its Feb. 29, 1968, report that "our nation is moving toward two societies, one black, one white -- separate and unequal."

In 1968, British astronomer Jocelyn Burnell announced the discovery of a pulsating radio source, or "pulsar," in the depths of outer space. She first dubbed it "LGM," short for "little green men." Astrophysicists say pulsars to be rapidly rotating neutron stars.


In 1988, police arrested Nobel Peace Prize winner Archbishop Desmond Tutu as he and others marched on Parliament to protest the government's ban on anti-apartheid activities.

In 2004, Haitian President Jean-Bertrand Aristide resigned and fled the country as rebel forces massed on the outskirts of the capital. U.S. President George Bush ordered Marines into Haiti after the ouster.

File Photo by Ezio Petersen/UPI


In 2004, Peter Jackson's Lord of the Rings: Return of the King, the finale of the epic fantasy trilogy, won all 11 Academy Awards for which it was nominated, including best picture and director, a record sweep.

In 2012, the Syrian Army drove insurgents from the Free Syrian Army out of the Bab Amr neighborhood in the city of Homs. Thousands of innocent civilians have died in the past 11 months in the government's crackdown on opposition activists, the United Nations said.

In 2016, Sen. Jeff Sessions, R-Ala., became the first sitting senator to endorse Donald Trump as president. Trump rewarded Sessions with the Cabinet position of attorney general after he was elected.


Read More
The American Workplace Isn’t Ready for an Epidemic

Amanda Mull
© Getty / Robert Nickelsberg

As the coronavirus that has sickened tens of thousands in China spreads worldwide, it now seems like a virtual inevitability that millions of Americans are going to be infected with the flu-like illness known as COVID-19. Public health officials in the United States have started preparing for what the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is calling a “significant disruption” to daily life. Because more than 80 percent of cases are mild and many will show no symptoms at all, limiting the disease’s spread rests on the basics of prevention: wash your hands well and frequently, cover your mouth when you cough, and stay home if you feel ill. But that last thing might prove among the biggest Achilles heels in efforts to stymie the spread of COVID-19: the culture of the American workplace puts everyone’s health at unnecessary risk.

For all but the independently wealthy in America, the best-case scenario for getting sick is being a person with good health insurance, paid time off, and a reasonable boss who won’t penalize you for taking a few sick days or working from home. For millions of the country’s workers, such a scenario is a near-inconceivable luxury. “With more than a third of Americans in jobs that offer no sick leave at all, many unfortunately cannot afford to take any days off when they are feeling sick,” Robyn Gershon, an epidemiology professor at the NYU School of Global Public Health, writes in an email. “People who do not (or cannot) stay home when ill do present a risk to others.” On this count, the United States is a global anomaly, one of only a handful of countries that doesn’t guarantee its workers paid leave of any kind. These jobs are also the kind least likely to supply workers with health insurance, making it difficult for millions of people to get medical proof they can’t go to work.

They’re also concentrated in the service industry or gig economy, in which workers have contact, directly or indirectly, with large numbers of people. These are the workers who are stocking the shelves of America’s stores, preparing and serving food in its restaurants, driving its Ubers, and manning its checkout counters. Their jobs often fall outside the bounds of paid-leave laws even in states or cities that have them. Gershon emphasizes that having what feels like a head cold or mild flu—which COVID-19 will feel like to most healthy people—often isn’t considered a good reason to miss a shift by those who hold these workers’ livelihoods in their hands.

Even if a person in one of these jobs is severely ill—coughing, sneezing, blowing their nose, and propelling droplets of virus-containing bodily fluids into the air and onto the surfaces around them—asking for time off means missing an hourly wage that might be necessary to pay rent or buy groceries. And even asking can be a risk when inconveniencing the higher-ups in jobs with few labor protections because in many states, there’s nothing to stop a company from firing you for being too much trouble. So workers with no good options end up going into work, interacting with customers, swiping the debit cards that go back into their wallets, making the sandwiches they eat for lunch, unpacking the boxes of cereal they take home for their kids, or driving them home from happy hour.

Even for people who have paid sick leave, Gershon notes that their choices are often only marginally better; seven days of sick leave is the American average, but often people get as few as three or four. “Many are hesitant to use [sick days] for something they think is minor just in case they need the days later for something serious,” she writes. “Parents or other caregivers are also hesitant to use them because their loved ones might need them to stay home and care for them if they become ill.”

In jobs where having enough sick leave isn’t a problem, getting it approved might be. America’s office culture often rewards those who appear to go above and beyond, even if it requires coughing on an endless stream of people to get to and stay at work. Some managers believe leadership means forcing their employees into the office at all costs, or at least making it clear that taking a sick day or working from home will be met with suspicion or contempt. Other times, employees bring their bug to work of their own volition, brown-nosing at the expense of their coworkers’ health.

Either way, the result is the same, especially in businesses that serve the public or offices with open plans and lots of communal spaces, which combine to form the majority of American workplaces. Even if your server at dinner isn’t sick, she might share a touch-screen workstation with a server who is. Everyone on your side of the office might be hale and healthy, but you might use a tiny phone booth to take a call after someone whose throat is starting to feel a little sore. “Doorknobs, coffee makers, toilets, common-use refrigerators, sinks, phones, keyboards [can all] be a source of transmission if contaminated with the agent,” writes Gershon. She advises that workers stay at least three to six feet away from anyone coughing or sneezing, but in office layouts that put desks directly next to each other with no partition in between—often to save money by giving workers less personal space—that can be impossible. No one knows how long COVID-19 can live on a dry surface, but in the case of SARS, another novel coronavirus, Gershon says it was found to survive up to a week on inanimate objects.

Work culture isn’t the only structure of American life that might make a COVID-19 outbreak worse than it has to be—the inaccessible, precarious, unpredictable nature of the country’s healthcare system could also play an important role, if an epidemic comes to pass. But tasking the workers who make up so much of the infrastructure of daily American life, often for low wages and with few resources, with the lion’s share of prevention in an effort to save thousands of lives, is bound to fail, maybe spectacularly. It will certainly exact a cost on them, both mentally and physically, that the country has given them no way to bear.
Health experts issued an ominous warning about a coronavirus pandemic 3 months ago. The virus in their simulation killed 65 million people.

Aria Bendix
Jan 23, 2020,
Health officials in protective gear check the temperatures of passengers arriving from Wuhan, China, at the Beijing airport on Wednesday. Emily Wang/AP Photo


A coronavirus that originated in Wuhan, China, has killed 81 people and infected more than 2,700.

The virus has been reported in at least 12 other countries, including the US.
A scientist at Johns Hopkins last year modeled what would happen if a fictional coronavirus reached a pandemic scale. In his simulated scenario, 65 million people died within 18 months.
Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.


Eric Toner, a scientist at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, wasn't shocked when news of a mysterious coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan, China, surfaced in early January.

Less than three months earlier, Toner had staged a simulation of a global pandemic involving a coronavirus.

Coronaviruses typically affect the respiratory tract and can lead to illnesses like pneumonia or the common cold. A coronavirus was also responsible for the outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome in China, which affected about 8,000 people and killed 774 in the early 2000s.

"I have thought for a long time that the most likely virus that might cause a new pandemic would be a coronavirus," Toner said.

The outbreak in Wuhan isn't considered a pandemic, but the virus has been reported in Thailand, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Singapore, and Saudi Arabia. The US reported its first case on Tuesday: a man in his 30s living in Washington's Snohomish County, north of Seattle, who recently visited China.


So far, the virus has killed 81 people and infected more than 2,700.

"We don't yet know how contagious it is. We know that it is being spread person to person, but we don't know to what extent," Toner said. "An initial first impression is that this is significantly milder than SARS. So that's reassuring. On the other hand, it may be more transmissible than SARS, at least in the community setting."

Toner's simulation of a hypothetical deadly coronavirus pandemic suggested that after six months, nearly every country in the world would have cases of the virus. Within 18 months, 65 million people could die.
A viral pandemic could kill 65 million people

Toner's simulation imagined a fictional virus called CAPS. The analysis, part of a collaboration with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, looked at what would happen if a pandemic originated in Brazil's pig farms. (The Wuhan virus originated in a seafood market that sold live animals.)

The virus in Toner's simulation would be resistant to any modern vaccine. It would be deadlier than SARS, but about as easy to catch as the flu.
A coronavirus. BSIP/UIG Via Getty Images

The pretend outbreak started small: Farmers began coming down with symptoms that resembled the flu or pneumonia. From there, the virus spread to crowded and impoverished urban neighborhoods in South America.


Flights were canceled, and travel bookings dipped by 45%. People disseminated false information on social media.

After six months, the virus had spread around the globe. A year later, it had killed 65 million people.
Public-health officials run thermal scans on passengers arriving from Wuhan at the Suvarnabhumi Airport in Thailand on January 8. Lauren DeCicca/Getty Images

The Spanish flu pandemic of 1918, by contrast, claimed as many as 50 million lives.

Toner's simulated pandemic also triggered a global financial crisis: Stock markets fell by 20% to 40%, and global gross domestic product plunged by 11%.

"The point that we tried to make in our exercise back in October is that it isn't just about the health consequences," Toner said. "It's about the consequences on economies and societies."


He added that the Wuhan coronavirus could also have significant economic effects if the total number of cases hits the thousands.

On Tuesday, Hong Kong's stock market fell by as much as 2.8%. The drop was led by the tourism and transportation sectors, including airlines, tour agencies, hotels, restaurants, and theme parks.
An age of epidemics
People wearing masks in Guangzhou, China. Stringer/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

In the CAPS simulation, scientists were unable to develop a vaccine in time to stop a pandemic. That's a realistic assumption: Even real coronaviruses like SARS or MERS (a virus that has killed more than 840 people since 2012) still don't have vaccines.

"If we could make it so that we could have a vaccine within months rather than years or decades, that would be a game changer," Toner said. "But it's not just the identification of potential vaccines. We need to think even more about how they are manufactured on a global scale and distributed and administered to people."

If scientists don't find a way to develop vaccines quicker, he said, dangerous outbreaks will continue to spread. That's because cities are becoming more crowded and humans are encroaching on spaces usually reserved for wildlife, creating a breeding ground for infectious diseases.


"It's part of the world we live in now," Toner said. "We're in an age of epidemics."
On the Cover of New York Magazine: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
By Aude White


ON THE COVER JAN. 6, 2020


Photo: David Williams for New York Magazine

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez reshaped her party’s legislative agenda, resuscitated Bernie Sanders’s presidential campaign, and hardly has a friend in Washington. For the January 6–19, 2020, cover story, New York offered Ocasio-Cortez the opportunity to assess her first year. As she tells writer David Freedlander, she’s one of the most hated people in the country; she’s also one of its most influential. Freedlander talked to the freshman member of Congress from Queens and the Bronx about Democratic party leadership, the 2020 election, and what she’ll do next.

Freedlander, who is writing a book about Ocasio-Cortez due later this year and lives in her district, says he first interviewed her when she was just an unknown upstart engaged in a quixotic political campaign against one of the most powerful people in New York City. Her win against Congressman Joe Crowley (“an old-school Irish pol who slapped backs and raised hundreds of thousands of dollars for his peers”) was one of the biggest congressional upsets in at least a generation. “She impressed immediately,” Freedlander says of Ocasio-Cortez. “It was clear that she had a unique connection to people, a fierce sense of justice, and a preternatural self-possession.”

What happened in the year and a half since that election has been staggering, Freedlander says, and unlike anything he has seen in New York, or American politics — she’s the first thing people overseas ask him about, he’s spotted counterfeit pins and bumper stickers featuring her face in a surf shop in a Podunk town on the North Carolina coast, and she’s, of course, become a favorite of Fox News. “It is clear that in the past year she has become the most significant political figure in the country not named Donald Trump, which is all the more staggering when you consider that she just turned 30 years old and serves on the backest bench in Congress,” says Freedlander. “She has come to symbolize everything that people on the left and the right either hope or fear will be coming true in American politics —that it is turning sharply to the left as a rising, hyperliberal, wired-into-social-media generation takes over. It’s only been a year, and I can’t imagine what the future holds for her.”
In 2002, Our Singles-Issue Cover Model Was the Future First Lady of the United States
By Christopher Bonanos

Melania is the one on the right. Photo: New York Magazine

New York Media Press Room

REREAD FEB. 27, 2020

New York Magazine has, over the years, published quite a few issues devoted to single life and dating, often around Valentine’s Day. In February 2002 — a few months after the 9/11 attacks, when first responders, especially those of the FDNY, were on everyone’s mind — our editors had the last-minute idea of recreating Alfred Eisenstaedt’s 1945 photograph of the sailor and nurse in Times Square on V-J Day. The photographer Firooz Zahedi, on barely any notice, made the picture you see here. The guy was not a model in costume but a real New York City firefighter (and part-time model) named Daniel T. Keane; the young woman was, similarly, hired from a modeling agency. These days, the image perhaps seems a little corny — even if you set aside the contemporary controversy about Eisenstaedt’s original — although we will note that it accurately reflects the sentiment of the time. That, however, is not what is most interesting about it.

Recently, the journalist Matt Haber learned (via this Flickr post) something that we at New York had forgotten: The female model we’d hired was a pretty young Slovenian named Melania Knauss, who had been dating a New York real-estate developer on and off for several years, and married him a couple of years after that. We did not, at the time, expect to be working with the future First Lady of the United States. But we were.

Photo: New York Magazine

This past week, Haber called up Keane, who is now an FDNY battalion chief and remembers the shoot well. “The person who was doing my hair and makeup, they said, ‘Do you know who that is?’” he recalls. “I don’t know any models, I really wasn’t into the scene. And they said, ‘That’s Melania Knauss… That’s Donald Trump’s girlfriend.’ And I said, ‘Oh, okay.’” As he recalls it, they struck the pose “a couple hundred times” for the camera. Caroline Miller, who was New York’s editor back then, also offered Haber some context: “After 9/11 firefighters were the heroes of New York—they were the rock stars,” she says. “We wanted to show that.” And, she adds, “there was also the twist that she was grabbing him.”

It was not her last time on our cover, by the way: Melania appeared a second time, for a story about the Met Gala, in 2005. She’s under her own name there, and we knew about that one.

You can read more about it here, in the inaugural issue of My Back Pages, Haber’s e-mail newsletter devoted to magazines and their history.
Trump Insists on Paying for Coronavirus Prep by Cutting Heating Aid for the Poor

By Eric Levitz@EricLevitz
One sick puppy.

Since taking office, the Trump administration has slashed taxes by hundreds of billions of dollars, while increasing the Defense Department’s annual budget by $130 billion (a sum more than large enough to cover the costs of tuition-free public college and paid family leave). All together, the policies implemented during Donald Trump’s tenure are poised to push the federal deficit past $1 trillion this year.

That last bit isn’t necessarily concerning. Many mainstream economists consider our nation’s existing debt load more than sustainable. From a progressive perspective, the problem with Trump’s deficit spending isn’t its scale but its content.

From a self-styled fiscal conservative’s point of view, however, that $1 trillion figure is a real eyesore. And for at least some of the self-professed conservatives who work in the Trump White House, it is a source of psychological discomfort bordering on guilt.

Or at least, that’s my best guess as to why the Trump administration has, (1) spent the past several weeks refusing to endorse new spending on coronavirus preparation, despite the pleas of lawmakers in both parties for action, and (2) is still holding up funding for the imminent public health crisis by insisting on offsetting a small fraction of the emergency appropriation with a $37 million cut to home heating aid for the poor.

As the Washington Post reports:

House Democrats tell us they are outraged by one aspect of the White House response in particular: The White House appears to have informed Democrats that they want to fund the emergency response in part by taking money from a program that funds low-income home heating assistance.

A document that the Trump administration sent to Congress, which we have seen, indicates that the administration is transferring $37 million to emergency funding for the coronavirus response from the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program, or LIHEAP, which funds heating for poor families.

Democrats see this as provoking budgetary bickering and unnecessary political friction at a time when a clean emergency appropriation could easily avoid both.

Low-income Americans in frigid regions of the country aren’t the only victims of the administration’s arbitrary penny-pinching. The White House is also calling for $535 million cut to funding for Ebola virus treatment and containment — despite the fact that the Republic of Congo is still battling an Ebola epidemic. The administration’s insistence on financing the fight against one epidemic disease with cuts to funding for the containment of a different epidemic disease — so as to avoid increasing the federal budget by .01 percent — is emblematic of this White House’s goldfish-esque lack of foresight: Since taking office, President Trump has tried to slash national health spending by $15 billion; cut the disease-fighting budgets of DHS, NSC, HHS, and CDC; allowed the ranks of the U.S. Public Health Service Commissioned Corps to steadily erode (after trying and failing to shrink its budget by 40 percent); eliminated the federal government’s $30 million Complex Crises Fund; and shut down the National Security Council’s entire global health security unit.

There is no rational explanation for the administration’s current position. The coronavirus represents a massive political liability for Trump, not least because of how indefensible his previous bouts of penny-pinching on public health now appear. There is no mass constituency for prioritizing opposition to infinitesimal increases in the national debt over pandemic prevention. In fact, many congressional Republicans were alarmed by the austerity of Trump’s proposal. As Politico reports:


Administration officials sought to swat away concerns their emergency request for $2.5 billion to address the outbreak was inadequate, even as some Republicans joined Democrats in criticizing the amount — and slamming a lack of transparency around efforts to contain the disease on U.S. soil.

… The Republican chairman of the Senate Appropriations Committee at Azar’s hearing accused the administration of making a “low ball” request.

“It could be an existential threat to a lot of people in this country,” warned Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Ala.). “So money should not be an object. We should try to contain and eradicate this as much as we can, both in the U.S. and helping our friends all over the world.”

On Wednesday, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer unveiled an $8.5 billion emergency funding proposal, composed entirely of new spending. The Democrats’ counteroffer is not merely superior on the merits, but also a sound election-year messaging device: If the coronavirus creates major disruptions to American life, the Democratic Party will be able to say it demanded more ambitious preparations than the Republican president would allow; if the epidemic somehow peters out, no voters are going to reward Trump for holding the line against a $7 billion increase to the $1 trillion deficit.

Thus, the most plausible explanation for the White House’s stance is the neurosis of budget director Mick Mulvaney and his ideological kin. In the House, Mulvaney was that rare breed of a “small-government” crusader whose zeal for slashing spending didn’t spare the Pentagon. By most accounts, the man is a supply-side, deficit-hawk true believer. Now, like a guilt-prone cannibal who seeks to mitigate his sense of moral injury by religiously observing “meatless Mondays,” Mulvaney is ostensibly trying to compensate for his complicity in an exploding deficit by holding pandemic prevention hostage to trivial spending cuts.