Tuesday, August 17, 2021

UK Government reveals plans for £4bn hydrogen investment by 2030

Low-carbon hydrogen economy could also create thousands of jobs


Hydrogen could cover 20-35% of the UK’s energy consumption by 2050, providing a cleaner alternative to fossil fuels. Photograph: Alamy


Jillian Ambrose 
Energy correspondent
THE GUARDIAN
Tue 17 Aug 2021 

The government hopes to attract at least £4bn of investment to the hydrogen economy by 2030 under plans to produce the equivalent of enough hydrogen to replace fossil fuel gas for heating and cooking in about 3m households in the UK.

The government has published its long-awaited plans for a UK-wide hydrogen economy, which it says could be worth £900m and create more than 9,000 high-quality jobs by the end of the decade, rising to £13bn and 100,000 new jobs by 2050.

The strategy document lays out its efforts to attract investment in 5 gigawatts of hydrogen production by 2030, which would mostly power heavy industry, as well as transport and up to 70,000 homes. It suggests hydrogen could cover 20-35% of the UK’s energy consumption by 2050, providing a clean alternative to oil and gas in energy-intensive industries, power and transport

It proposes a series of industry consultations to help establish a subsidy system to support large hydrogen projects to decarbonise areas that cannot run on electricity.

However, the plans remain dogged by uncertainty over how the government will determine a fair subsidy for the multibillion-pound projects and whether the cost will be shouldered through household bills or by the Treasury. The government has promised more clarity after an industry consultation later this year.

Matthew Fell, the chief UK policy director at the CBI, said the strategy included important steps for the economy-wide hydrogen sector.

“However, to truly capitalise on those large-scale economic opportunities, and unlock the private sector finance needed, firms will now be looking for the government to provide detailed policies and standards for hydrogen production and application,” he said.

The hydrogen projects under development include “green hydrogen” schemes, which extract hydrogen from water, leaving only oxygen as a byproduct, and “blue hydrogen”, which extracts hydrogen from fossil fuel gas before trapping the greenhouse gas emissions that are left behind.

However, last week a study by academics at Cornell and Stanford universities in the US, warned that blue hydrogen could be up to 20% worse for the climate than fossil gas owing to the emissions that escape during its production, multiplied by the amount of gas required to make the equivalent amount of energy from hydrogen.

The government says it will set out emissions standards for blue hydrogen projects to ensure they capture enough greenhouse gas emissions during hydrogen production to qualify as “low carbon”, but many environmentalists and green energy producers have put pressure on the government to drop its support for blue hydrogen altogether.

The strategy paper does not set out a vision for the balance of blue and green hydrogen in the future, despite a clear instruction from its official climate advisers at the Committee on Climate Change (CCC) to include a pathway for each to 2035.


The CCC has supported plans for a “blue hydrogen bridge” to play a role in supplementing green hydrogen over the near-term because it could begin displacing fossil fuels sooner and at a greater scale than green hydrogen projects. However, critics of blue hydrogen fear a long-term commitment could extend the UK’s reliance on fossil fuels.

Doug Parr, the chief scientist for Greenpeace UK, warned that producing large quantities of hydrogen from fossil gas would lock the UK “into costly infrastructure that is expensive and … may be higher carbon than just burning the gas”.


Dan McGrail, the chief executive of RenewableUK, said the national strategy “doesn’t focus nearly enough on developing the UK’s world-leading green hydrogen industry” and should “set out a clear ambition for green hydrogen”.

“We’re urging the government to set a target of 5GW of renewable hydrogen electrolyser capacity by 2030 as well as setting out a roadmap to get us there, to show greater leadership on tackling climate change,” he said.

This article was amended on 17 August 2021. The government originally stated that the hydrogen production could replace fossil gas in about 3m UK households. It has since clarified that it was referring to the equivalent of current household fossil gas usage and that the hydrogen will predominantly be used by heavy industry.

UK plan to replace fossil gas with blue hydrogen ‘may backfire’



Academics warn ‘fugitive’ emissions from producing hydrogen could be 20% worse for climate than using gas

Whitelee windfarm in East Renfrewshire. Researchers recommended governments focus on green hydrogen made from wind and solar energy. Photograph: PA


Jillian Ambrose 
Energy correspondent
THE GUARDIAN
Thu 12 Aug 2021 

The government’s plan to replace fossil gas with “blue” hydrogen to help meet its climate targets could backfire after US academics found that it may lead to more emissions than using gas.

In some cases blue hydrogen, which is made from fossil gas, could be up to 20% worse for the climate than using gas in homes and heavy industry, owing to the emissions that escape when gas is extracted from the ground and split to produce hydrogen.

The process leaves a byproduct of carbon dioxide and methane, which fossil fuel companies plan to trap using carbon capture technology. However, even the most advanced schemes cannot capture all the emissions, leaving some to enter the atmosphere and contribute to global heating.

Professors from Cornell and Stanford universities calculated that these “fugitive” emissions from producing hydrogen could eclipse those associated with extracting and burning gas when multiplied by the amount of gas required to make an equivalent amount of energy from hydrogen.

Robert Howarth, a Cornell University professor and co-author of the study, said the research was the first to be published in a peer-reviewed journal to lay bare the “significant lifecycle emissions intensity of blue hydrogen”.

The paper, which will be published in Energy Science and Engineering, warned that blue hydrogen may be “a distraction” or “something that may delay needed action to truly decarbonise the global energy economy”.

The researchers recommended a focus on green hydrogen, which is made using renewable electricity to extract hydrogen from water, leaving only oxygen as a byproduct.

“This is a warning signal to governments that the only ‘clean’ hydrogen they should invest public funds in is truly net zero, green hydrogen made from wind and solar energy,” Howarth said.

A spokesperson for the UK government said hydrogen would be “essential for meeting our legally binding commitment to eliminating the UK’s contribution to climate change by 2050” and promised further details in the government’s forthcoming hydrogen strategy, which is expected next month.

“Independent reports, including that from the Climate Change Committee, show that a combination of blue and green hydrogen is consistent with reaching net zero but alongside the strategy, we will consult on a new UK standard for low-carbon hydrogen production to ensure the technologies we support make a real contribution to our goals,” the spokesperson said.


Hydrogen power offers jobs boost, says government

By Paul Rincon
Science editor, BBC News website
Published15 hours ago
Hydrogen fuel cells can power vehicles

Thousands of new jobs could be created by investing in low-carbon hydrogen fuel to power vehicles and heat homes, the government says.

Ministers have unveiled a strategy for kick-starting a hydrogen industry, which they say could attract billions of pounds in investment.

Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng said the fuel was also essential for UK efforts to reach net zero emissions.

He said it had the potential to provide a third of UK energy in future.

Because of the current higher cost involved in producing hydrogen compared to existing fuels, subsidies have been proposed to overcome the gap. The government has launched a consultation on this plan.

Labour also backs hydrogen's potential, but said the government had failed to invest as much as other countries.

Using hydrogen gas as a fuel produces no carbon dioxide (CO2) pollution. It can be used to power fuel cells - devices that generate electricity through an electrochemical reaction - used in a turbine for electricity or burned in a boiler and vehicle engine.

As such, it is a low-carbon, versatile fuel that can be used by cars, trucks and trains, heat our homes and generate the power needed for industrial processes such as steel production.

Is the hydrogen tech 'revolution' hope or hype?

Can hydrogen fuel help drive towards green future?

The government plans to deliver 5GW of hydrogen production capacity by 2030, estimating that the industry could be worth £900m and support more than 9,000 jobs by the same date.

Hydrogen-powered trains are undergoing tests
The Hydroflex made a 25-mile round-trip in Warwickshire, reaching speeds of up to 50 mph


"Today marks the start of the UK's hydrogen revolution. This home-grown clean energy source has the potential to transform the way we power our lives and will be essential to tackling climate change and reaching net zero," said Mr Kwarteng.

"Our strategy positions the UK as first in the global race to ramp up hydrogen technology and seize the thousands of jobs and private investment that come with it."

Reaching net zero by 2050 will involve cutting emissions as much as possible and then balancing out any remaining ones by planting trees or burying CO2 underground.

The potential role of hydrogen in achieving this target has been highlighted by a government analysis suggesting 20-35% of the UK's energy consumption by 2050 could be hydrogen-based.

A low-carbon hydrogen economy could deliver emissions savings equivalent to the carbon captured by 700 million trees by 2032, the government claims. It would help decarbonise polluting industries such as chemical production and oil refining and heavy transport such as shipping and rail.

Experts say there is an urgent need to reduce emissions from home heating

Alan Whitehead MP, Labour's shadow minister for energy and the green new deal, said hydrogen power had a "significant role" to play in decarbonising the economy.

But he added: "The belated publication of this hydrogen strategy needs to be followed up with urgent action. That is what we will judge the government on because too many of the Tories' warm words and targets on climate change have not been followed up with practical steps.

"It is regrettable that the Conservatives have failed to match the investment shown by other countries and key decisions have been delayed, such as mandating that all boilers must be hydrogen-ready."

The government is proposing subsidies for the hydrogen industry along the lines of those credited with driving down the cost of offshore wind power.

It will also review the infrastructure - thought by some to be very costly - needed to underpin hydrogen power in the UK.

Ministers want a twin-track approach to hydrogen production.

So-called blue hydrogen is made using fossil fuels, but its environmental impact can be mitigated by capturing and storing greenhouse emissions underground. Green hydrogen, meanwhile, is made using renewable energy.

Though blue hydrogen is not as clean as the green form, it is cheaper.


Environmental campaigners say there is too much focus in the strategy on blue hydrogen. Jess Ralston, an analyst at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit, said the government should "be alive to the risk of gas industry lobbying causing it to commit too heavily to blue hydrogen and so keeping the country locked into fossil fuel based technology". This, she added, would make reaching net zero more difficult and costly.

Philip Dunne MP, chair of the environmental audit committee, commented: "While the twin track approach proposed, supporting both green and blue hydrogen production, is positive, it is also important that substantial capacity for carbon capture is developed, so as to avert release of damaging emissions currently created in blue hydrogen production."

In fact, one study by researchers in the US has suggested that blue hydrogen could release more carbon than burning natural gas.

Dr Jan Rosenow, from the Regulatory Assistance Project, an organisation dedicated towards accelerating the transition to clean energy, said: "As the strategy admits, there won't be significant quantities of low-carbon hydrogen for some time. We need to use it where there are few alternatives and not as a like-for-like replacement of gas.

He said the plan confirmed that "hydrogen for heating our homes will not play a significant role before 2030. The government's strategy shows that less than 0.2% of all homes are expected to use hydrogen to keep warm in the next decade. This means that for reducing emissions this decade, hydrogen will play only a very marginal role.

"But we cannot wait until 2030 before bringing down emissions from heating. The urgency of the climate crisis requires bold policy action now."

Green hydrogen 'transitioning from a shed-based industry' says researcher as the UK hedges its H2 strategy

Am I blue? Am I green? Government report isn't quite transparent
THE REGISTER ®
Tue 17 Aug 2021 

The UK government has released its delayed hydrogen strategy which – in a strange move for a colourless gas – hedges its bets between green and blue.

The government claimed the UK-wide hydrogen economy could be worth £900m by 2030, potentially £13bn by 2050. In the next 10 years the universe's most abundant element could decarbonise energy-intensive industries like chemicals, oil refineries, power and heavy transport by helping these sectors move away from fossil fuels, it claimed.

Light, energy-intensive and carbon-free "hydrogen-based" solutions could make up to 35 per cent of the UK's energy consumption by 2050, helping the nation meet its target of net-zero emissions by 2050, according to the government paper.

But navigation from the current state of the hydrogen industry to that worthy destination might require some tricky manoeuvres. The vast majority of industrial hydrogen is extracted from natural gas [PDF] in a process that releases greenhouse gasses and requires energy, which often comes from carbon fuels.

In theory, the simplest way to overcome this problem is to use renewable electricity to extract hydrogen from water using electrolysis – so called green hydrogen. The problem is, although it works in the lab, the process has yet to be industrialised on a scale comparable with other fuels in the global energy supply chain. Green hydrogen received a fillip as researchers found methods to make electrolysis more efficient at lower capital costs.

An alternative is to continue to use natural gas as a source of hydrogen but to capture and store the methane and CO2 byproduct, and use renewable energy to power the process. But a recent study found making blue hydrogen was 20 per cent worse for the climate than just using fossil gas over its entire lifecycle.
Light on detail – and how are we producing it?

The UK government is hedging its bets, its strategy outlining a "twin track" approach to supporting multiple technologies including green and blue hydrogen production.

Critics have jumped on the plans for blue hydrogen. Doug Parr, the chief scientist for Greenpeace UK, told The Guardian that extracting large quantities of hydrogen from natural gas would lock the UK "into costly infrastructure that is expensive and … may be higher carbon than just burning the gas."

Speaking to The Register, Malte Jansen, Imperial College London research associate, said: "We may have reached a point in the battling climate change where I wouldn't want to be dogmatic about one or another. But if either technology delivers and fixes to climate problems by 2050, then that's good."

While blue hydrogen faced the challenge of capturing CO2 effectively and avoiding methane leakage, green hydrogen production was still maturing, he said.

"The industry is transitioning from a shed-based industry to a full-blown, highly automated one. I'm not dismissing the sort of level of technical intricacy, but there's still a lot of steps in the production of electrolysis that involve manual labour that could be automated."

While the UK government commitment could help the industry invest and raise capital, as other nations release hydrogen strategies – Germany already has one for example – the balance is likely to be in favour of green hydrogen, Malte said.

"I do not see the same level of push on blue hydrogen, people are talking about it but not just quite on the same global scale with that same level of excitement as green hydrogen," he said.

While it was a good start, the UK strategy needs more detail, Malte said.

But industries might have to wait a little longer for vital details. The strategy was already delayed because of Parliament's summer recess.

What the government has now published is a public consultation on a preferred hydrogen business model leaving many pieces of the jigsaw yet to find their places.

These include how it might build a system similar to the offshore wind industry's Contract for Difference, which gave investors confidence despite fluctuating energy prices. At the same time, the government is consulting on the design of the £240m Net Zero Hydrogen Fund, which aims to support the commercial deployment of new low carbon hydrogen production plants across the UK. Details on that and the blue and green hydrogen strategy would emerge in 2022 on the government's production strategy. ®



Hydrogen Strategy | Four key takeaways for civil engineers


17 AUG, 2021 BY CATHERINE KENNEDY

The UK’s first-ever Hydrogen Strategy has been released today.

The plan drives forward the commitments laid out in prime minister Boris Johnson’s ambitious 10 Point Plan for a green industrial revolution, setting the foundation for how the government will work with industry to meet its ambition for 5GW of low carbon hydrogen production capacity by 2030.

This could replace natural gas in powering around 3M UK homes each year as well as powering transport and businesses, particularly heavy industry.

Here are four key takeaways for civil engineers:

Technologies

The Hydrogen Strategy outlines a ‘twin track’ approach to supporting multiple technologies including ‘green’ electrolytic and ‘blue’ carbon capture-enabled hydrogen production, and committing to providing further detail in 2022 on the government’s production strategy
Infrastructure

A review will be undertaken to support the development of the necessary network and storage infrastructure to underpin a thriving hydrogen sector

Action plan


A hydrogen sector development action plan will be launched in early 2022 setting out how the government will support companies to secure supply chain opportunities, skills and jobs in hydrogen

Government support


The strategy also details further support the UK government is providing for hydrogen projects, including:

£240M Net Zero Hydrogen Fund to support new hydrogen production projects

Up to £60M through the Low Carbon Hydrogen Supply 2 competition to support innovative hydrogen production, transport and storage technologies

Up to £183M for transport decarbonisation, including trials and roll-outs of hydrogen technologies for buses, HGV lorries, shipping and aviation. This will include:

up to £120M this year through the Zero Emission Bus Regional Areas (ZEBRA) scheme towards 4,000 new zero emission buses, either hydrogen or battery electric, and infrastructure needed to support them

up to £20M this year to design trials for both electric road system and hydrogen long haul heavy road vehicles (HGVs) and to run a battery electric trial to establish the feasibility, deliverability, costs and benefits of each technology

up to £20M this year for the Clean Maritime Demonstration Competition
up to £15M this year for the ‘Green Fuels, Green Skies’ competition to support the production of first-of-a-kind sustainable aviation fuel plants in the UK

£3M this year to support the development of a Hydrogen Transport Hub in Tees Valley, and £4.8M (subject to business case) to support the development of a hydrogen hub in Holyhead, Wales

A booming, UK-wide hydrogen economy could be worth £900M and create over 9,000 high-quality jobs by 2030, potentially rising to 100,000 jobs and worth up to £13bn by 2050. By 2030, hydrogen could play an important role in decarbonising polluting, energy-intensive industries like chemicals, oil refineries, power and heavy transport like shipping, HGV lorries and trains, by helping these sectors move away from fossil fuels. Low-carbon hydrogen provides opportunities for UK companies and workers across our industrial heartlands.

With government analysis suggesting that 20-35% of the UK’s energy consumption by 2050 could be hydrogen-based, this new energy source could be critical to meet targets of net zero emissions by 2050 and cutting emissions by 78% by 2035.

The government has also launched a public consultation on a preferred hydrogen business model to overcome the cost gap between low carbon hydrogen and fossil fuels, helping the costs of low-carbon alternatives to fall quickly.

Business & energy secretary Kwasi Kwarteng said that today "marks the start of the UK's hydrogen revolution".

"This home-grown clean energy source has the potential to transform the way we power our lives and will be essential to tackling climate change and reaching net zero," he said.

"With the potential to provide a third of the UK’s energy in the future, our strategy positions the UK as first in the global race to ramp up hydrogen technology and seize the thousands of jobs and private investment that come with it."

Energy & climate change minister Anne-Marie Trevelyan added: "Today’s Hydrogen Strategy sends a strong signal globally that we are committed to building a thriving low carbon hydrogen economy that could deliver hundreds of thousands of high-quality green jobs, helps millions of homes transition to green energy, support our key industrial heartlands to move away from fossil fuels and bring in significant investment."

Reaction


Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit analyst Jess Ralston

“A strong hydrogen economy in the UK could cement our place as a green industrial leader if the right action is taken early. The fuel could be very valuable for cleaning up steel production and protecting jobs in this industry – crucial when Europe is already steaming ahead with 23 hydrogen steel plants when we have none. But some questions remain over whether the government has truly grasped which areas will be most suitable for hydrogen use and which will not.

“For example the case for hydrogen for home heating is far from proven, particularly hydrogen derived from fossil gas rather than from renewable energy. After all, any remaining fossil gas with a hydrogen blend in the grid is just not compatible with net zero and it’s not yet clear how effective hydrogen will be, nor how much it will cost.

“The government should also be alive to the risk of gas industry lobbying causing it to commit too heavily to blue hydrogen and so keeping the country locked into fossil fuel based technology, making reaching net zero more difficult and costly. Instead, focussing on green hydrogen could unlock the our full industrial potential, bringing with it lifelong jobs in places like the North East, supporting both the government’s climate goals and its levelling up ambitions.”

Ramboll UK energy market director John Mullen

“What this strategy will finally deliver, and what is really needed, is the business assurance that investment in hydrogen infrastructure and technology is a good bet. Hydrogen presents us with an excellent opportunity to repurpose and make use of existing infrastructure already in place for fossil fuels to support a burgeoning new frontier in the UK energy sector.

However as a developing market the government should be seizing the opportunity by providing investment and the development of a concrete action plan now, rather than making us wait until 2022. Transitioning away from gas will require investment, and we need to ensure the support is there for upskilling and learning if we are to reach their 2030 goals. Effective regulatory frameworks and financial incentives are also needed for hydrogen to work in synergy with existing technologies”

“Hydrogen is often presented as a silver-bullet solution to the UK’s carbon and climate concerns, but relying on it alone will not solve the UK’s challenge when it comes to the challenge of meeting Net Zero. Although a key part of the puzzle for parts of the energy industry, it will only hold around 5-10% of the UK’s energy mix and we cannot take our eye off broader investment and support for renewable energies.

“There are also still distinct challenges to overcome and the ‘twin track’ approach will need to be closely monitored as Blue Hydrogen and Carbon Capture are incredibly inefficient processes at present and the only justification for their use is to allow for the transition to a green hydrogen world. Blue hydrogen could be used to support business cases to implement new Hydrogen infrastructure, however the government needs to put a cap on the greenhouse gasses produced and place a deadline for the end of all blue hydrogen production in the next 10 to 15 years.”

Hydrogen Taskforce Secretariat co-lead Clare Jackson

“Today’s Hydrogen Strategy is a landmark moment for the sector. By setting clear direction for the development of the hydrogen sector, it offers a framework which will enable businesses to invest in hydrogen projects.

“This is a vital first step towards unlocking hydrogen’s huge potential for the UK but there is still much to be done to scale up hydrogen solutions. As our research has shown, hydrogen has a crucial role to play in decarbonising industry, generating power, transport and heating homes, while boosting job creation, sustaining local industries and supporting UK innovation in energy.

“We look forward to seeing further crucial steps towards this low carbon future, such as implementation of the Government’s proposed business models for hydrogen. The Taskforce and its members are ready to deliver the vision for a low carbon UK detailed in the Hydrogen Strategy.”

HyNet North West project director David Parkin

“Industry across the UK’s North West industrial heartland is crying out for low carbon hydrogen so we welcome the promise of more support. HyNet is driven by demand from organisations across the region who are committed to the decarbonisation of their processes. This includes over 20 major industrials, many of whom are households names, who have signed up to switch to HyNet hydrogen, replacing the natural gas fossil fuel they currently use to support the drive to net zero.

“We are working at pace. With initial engineering nearly completed on HyNet’s first hydrogen production plant at Essar’s Stanlow Manufacturing Complex, hydrogen production will begin as soon as 2025 and deliver up to 4GW of low carbon hydrogen by 2030 - nearly 80% of the UK target in the new hydrogen strategy. Large scale demonstrations of industrial fuel switching from natural gas will begin shortly with NSG Pilkington in the world’s first large scale glass manufacturing using hydrogen.

“The key now is for the government to build momentum by prioritising projects that are ready for development today. The sooner we get hydrogen to business, the better they can protect jobs and compete internationally while cutting emissions. The UK should seize the opportunity to lead the world in hydrogen as it did offshore wind.”

National Grid hydrogen director Antony Green

"The transition to a green economy will require a mix of technologies and hydrogen will play a vital role. This strategy signals the UK’s commitment to hydrogen and provides the certainty needed to boost consumer and investor confidence and support commercial solutions.

"Importantly, unlocking the potential of hydrogen as a clean energy solution requires significant pace and innovation to scale up production, and the guidance from government today will be key to triggering the investment and buy-in needed to achieve this."

Energy UK chief executive Emma Pinchbeck

"Hydrogen and CCUS are going to be incredibly valuable for sectors that will be difficult to decarbonise with electricity – and so we welcome that today’s Hydrogen Strategy takes an economy-wide approach to developing these innovative technologies.

"The UK has real potential for hydrogen and CCUS, both of which can deliver new skilled jobs, particularly in places where the UK already has a proud industrial and energy heritage."

National Infrastructure Commission chair Sir John Armitt

“This strategy provides a platform for hydrogen to take its place as part of the solution for decarbonising our economy. The proposed twin-track approach to both blue and green hydrogen development presents a realistic pathway to meet the breadth of potential uses across different parts of the economy including industry, transport and power. As recognised by government, it is vital that we concentrate on truly low carbon hydrogen production, and therefore the proposed development of technical standards is welcome.

“The big question is how to drive down the costs of hydrogen production, and its relationship with the low cost of natural gas. That will only happen by scaling up production, so alongside the positive measures to kick start the sector there needs to be a longer term funding model that provides investor confidence in the same way the UK has successfully achieved in the offshore wind sector. Government will also need to decide how best to ensure the cost of natural gas reflects the cost of carbon.

“Clarity on where the costs will fall in such a model, and how they will be distributed fairly, is needed soon in order to secure industry and public confidence and support.

“This strategy is an important milestone, and industry will now look forward to seeing details of the business model, funding mechanism and sector development plan in the coming months.”

BIG OIL USA VS BIDEN
API heads lawsuit fighting US leasing pause

Legal actions build as Biden administration appeals federal judge's injunction


Paused: US Secretary of the Interior Deb Haaland speaking in July in Washington, DC


17 August 2021
By Russell McCulley
UPSTREAM
in Houston City

A group of oil and gas industry trade groups led by the American Petroleum Institute (API) filed a lawsuit this week challenging the temporary suspension of new oil and gas leases on federal lands and waters in the US.

API and 11 other industry organisations are disputing President Joe Biden’s indefinite pause on issuing new leases on the grounds that the administration “failed to satisfy procedural requirements and ignored congressional mandates for holding lease sales,” in the words of API senior vice president and chief legal officer Paul Afonso.

The plaintiffs — including the International Association of Drilling Contractors, National Ocean Industries Association and several groups representing state and regional interests — said the administration’s indefinite pause violated federal laws and circumvented congressional mandates that require quarterly onshore lease sales and “expeditious development” of offshore resources.

Biden issued an executive order shortly after taking office in January, directing federal agencies to suspend oil and gas leasing activities while the administration reviews the programme, prompting several oil-producing states to challenge the directive in court.

In June, US District Judge Terry Doughty issued a preliminary injunction blocking the policy from going into effect.

Doughty is a judge in the Western District of Louisiana court, where the API lawsuit was filed.

The US Department of the Interior, which administers federal lease sales, issued a statement Monday saying onshore and offshore lease sales would continue while the administration fights the preliminary injunction in the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals.

The statement said the appeal, filed by the Department of Justice, was “important and necessary” while the administration considers the environmental and social costs of oil and gas exploration.

The department said “numerous critical reports over decades” have raised concerns about the leasing programme’s alleged shortcomings, including vulnerability to fraud and abuse.

The statement also said the current leasing programme “fail(s) to adequately incorporate consideration of climate impacts into leasing decisions or reflect the social costs of greenhouse gas emissions”.

The department said it would comply with the injunction during the appeal and “conduct leasing in a manner that takes into account the programme’s many deficiencies” while considering procedural changes that could help meet the administration’s targets to cut greenhouse gas emissions in half by 2030 and achieve net zero emissions by 2050.

BHP to exit oil and gas as it strikes merger deal with Woodside

All-stock merger will create a global top 10 independent energy company, by production



17 August 2021 
By Josh Lewis
and Russell Searancke
in Perth and Wellington

Australia’s Woodside Petroleum is set to acquire BHP’s entire petroleum business via an all-stock merger that will create a company with a combined market capitalisation of up to A$41 billion (US$29.9 billion).

The two companies confirmed Tuesday they have entered into a merger commitment deed to combine their respective oil and gas portfolios.

The newly merged entity will be 52% owned by existing Woodside shareholders, with BHP shareholders holding the remaining 48% equity.

The companies estimate the merger will result in synergies of more than US$400 million per annum from optimising corporate processes and systems, leveraging combined capabilities and improving capital efficiency on future growth projects and exploration.



“The merger of our petroleum assets with Woodside will create an organisation with the scale, capability and expertise to meet global demand for key oil and gas resources the world will need over the energy transition," said BHP chief executive Mike Henry.

“Bringing the BHP and Woodside assets together will provide choice for BHP shareholders, unlock synergies in how these assets are managed and allow capital to be deployed to the highest quality opportunities. The merger will also enable the skills, talent and technology of both organisations to build a resilient future as the world’s needs evolve.”
Breaking into the top 10

The combined business will have a conventional asset base producing about 200 million barrels of oil equivalent per year, which BHP and Woodside claim would make it a global top 10 independent energy company.

The business would also have a diversified production mix consisting of 46% LNG, 29% oil and condensate and 25% domestic gas and liquids, based on production for the year to 30 June 2021.

It will also hold proven plus probable reserves totalling more than 2 billion boe, comprising 59% gas and 41% liquids.

It would have a diversified geographical portfolio, including assets in Australia, the Gulf of Mexico and Trinidad & Tobago.

On a proforma basis, based on the 12 months to 30 June this year, the combined entity would have revenues of US$8 billion and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation of US$4.7 billion. It would have operating cash flows of more than US$3 billion and low gearing of 12%.

Woodside will remain listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, while listings on additional exchanges is being considered following the completion of the merger in the second quarter of 2022.

The proposed merger is still subject to confirmatory due diligence, negotiation and execution of full form transaction documents, as well as a number of conditions, including shareholder and regulatory approvals.
Meg O'Neill confirmed as CEO

The merged entity will be headed up by Meg O'Neill as chief executive, having already served as Woodside's acting chief executive since the departure of Peter Coleman earlier this year.

O'Neill said the merger would deliver a stronger balance sheet, increased cash flow and continuing financial strength to fund planned developments in the near term and new energy sources into the future.

“The proven capabilities of both Woodside and BHP will deliver long-term value for shareholders through our geographically diverse and balanced portfolio of tier 1 operating assets and low-cost and low-carbon growth opportunities," she said.

“The proposed transaction de-risks and supports Scarborough FID later this year and enables more flexible capital allocation. We will continue reducing carbon emissions from the combined portfolio towards Woodside’s ambition to be net zero by 2050."
Scarborough sanction still on schedule

The two companies confirmed Tuesday they had developed a plan to still be able to take a final investment decision this year on the proposed Scarborough development in Western Australia, prior to the merger's proposed completion date.

This would see BHP sell its 26.5% interest in the Scarborough joint venture and its 50% equity in the Thebe and Jupiter joint ventures to Woodside if the Scarborough joint venture takes a final investment decision by 15 December.

That deal would see Woodside pay a combined US$1 billion for the assets, with adjustments from an effective date of 1 July 2021, while an additional payment of US$100 million would be due if a positive investment decision is made on the Thebe development in the future.

BHP can exercise the option to sell its stakes to Woodside in the second half of the 2022 calendar year.
Concern over Bass Strait decommissioning

Financial analysts expressed their concern to Woodside that they were unable to adequately value the deal because there was no financial information provided on BHP's decommissioning liability in Australia's Bass Strait.

BHP and ExxonMobil own 50% each of the ageing Bass Strait oil and gas assets in the Gippsland basin which have a significant decommissioning commitment.

O'Neill responded that the decommissioning costs in Bass Strait had been accounted for in the transaction price, but stopped short of disclosing those costs.
Deal sparks anger from climate activists

News of the merger immediately sparked protests from climate activists, who gathered outside BHP's offices in Perth, Western Australia, to protest against the sale of the mining giant's petroleum portfolio to Woodside.

Campaigners attempted to deliver more than 5000 individual petitions from across Australia urging BHP to prevent the Scarborough development from progressing.

They claim the project would release 1.6 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere over its life.

"Rather than take responsibility for the highly polluting petroleum business sites BHP has built, this is a cynical attempt to simply walk away," Anthony Collins, a campaigner with 350 Perth, said.

“Ultimately, Woodside is acting as BHP’s ‘useful idiot’; taking on a burden that BHP has decided is too toxic to touch.

“Woodside itself has demonstrated that it has no interest in anything other than producing as much oil and gas as possible and has neither the ability nor the willingness to make its business model appropriate for the times in which we live. This deal allows them to continue expanding fossil fuel production, accelerating damage to the climate."

U.S. Treasury to oppose development bank financing for most fossil fuel projects


Author of the article:
Reuters
David Lawder
Publishing date: Aug 16, 2021 • 


WASHINGTON — The U.S. Treasury Department issued new energy financing guidance to multilateral development banks on Monday, saying the United States would oppose their involvement in fossil fuel projects except for some downstream natural gas facilities in poor countries.

The new guidance from the Treasury, the largest shareholder in major development banks including the World Bank Group and the African Development Bank, prioritizes financing for renewable energy options and “to only consider fossil fuels if less carbon-intensive options (are) unfeasible.”

Treasury said in the guidance it would “strongly oppose” coal energy projects across the entire coal value chain from mining, transport to power generation.

But the guidance offered an endorsement of the Asian Development Bank’s work to organize and develop a plan to acquire coal-fired power plants and shut them down early. The effort, first reported by Reuters, includes British insurer Prudential, lenders Citi and HSBC and BlackRock Real Assets, with ambitions for an initial purchase in 2022.

The Treasury said it would support multilateral development bank support for coal decommissioning projects, adding: “We are encouraging the MDBs to explore potential projects for coal decommissioning.”

The new guidance follows a meeting of development bank heads convened by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen in July, where she asked them to rapidly align MDB portfolios with the 2015 Paris Agreement and develop ambitious plans to mobilize private capital to fight climate change.

The guidance, aimed at helping the banks meet those goals, also said that Treasury will oppose oil energy projects from exploration to the processing of transport fuels. It would make exceptions to this guidance only in “rare circumstances” such as humanitarian crises or as backup generation for clean “off-grid” energy systems.

The Treasury said it would oppose “upstream” natural gas projects, such as exploration, but could support midstream and downstream natural gas projects in poor countries that meet the World Bank’s International Development Association targets if they meet certain other criteria.

These include a credible analysis that there is not an economically or technically feasible renewable energy alternative and that the project has significant positive impact on energy security or development. (Reporting by David Lawder in Washington Editing by Chizu Nomiyama and Matthew Lewis)
Nigeria's New Petroleum Bill Gets Signed Into Law

By Charles Kennedy - Aug 16, 2021


Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari on Monday signed the country's newly passed petroleum bill into law, marking the end of 20 years of efforts at Africa's top oil producer to overhaul its oil industry.

Last month, Nigeria's House of Representatives voted to approve a new petroleum industry bill in Africa's top oil producer and exporter, putting an end to 20 years of debates and delays.

The House voted in favor of the bill after the Senate had endorsed the new legislation earlier.

The new petroleum bill aims to attract more foreign capital to the country's oil sector, Nigeria says.

The Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) has been two decades in the making to overhaul the way Nigeria will share its oil resources with international oil companies as the country looks to attract new investment in oil and gas.

International oil majors have not been flocking to Nigerian oil assets now that fossil fuels are even more fiercely competing for Big Oil's capital plans as majors start shifting more funding to low-carbon energy sources.

Oil firms operating in Nigeria, including Chevron, Shell, and TotalEnergies, have received some concessions in the latest version of the bill compared to a previous draft from last year, according to Bloomberg.

Nigeria has agreed to reduce the taxes and royalties and exempted deep offshore oil and gas production from the so-called "hydrocarbons tax."

Nigeria is set to struggle to raise oil output through the middle of this decade, as international majors shift their investment priorities, data and analytics company GlobalData said earlier this month. Lack of sufficient investments and few new projects could derail Sub-Saharan Africa's ambition to increase its crude oil production through 2025 after a difficult pandemic-hit 2020, GlobalData said in its report.

Nigeria has to address the above-ground risks for companies if it wants to attract investment, Conor Ward, Oil and Gas Analyst at GlobalData, said.

By Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com
Thai coal miner buys gas-fired power plant in US for $430m
 Editorial Asia Nikkei 16/08/2021

The investment for the power plant is a huge expense for Banpu but it is part of its plan to absorb advanced technologies from the U.S. (Photo courtesy of Banpu)

APORNRATH PHOONPHONGPHIPHAT, Nikkei staff writer
August 16, 2021  | Thailand

BANGKOK — Thailand’s biggest coal miner Banpu has invested $430 million to acquire a 100% stake in a large-scale gas-fired power plant in the U.S., hurrying to move away from its main business, which has a large environmental impact, to a green business.

The company acquired the power plant in Texas from Temple Generation I and signed the contract on Aug. 10. The transaction is expected to be complete by the fourth quarter of 2021.

Banpu also invested $770 million in December 2019 to acquire a shale gas operation in Texas. It can provide gas to the power plant that the company bought in Texas at competitive prices. 
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Energy/Thai-coal-major-Banpu-buys-US-shale-gas-assets-for-770m


The investment matches the company’s business plan to go greener. Somruedee Chaimongkol, Banpu’s chief executive officer, told Nikkei Asia in an interview in July that the company would gradually cut the role of the coal business and instead shift business resources toward natural gas and renewable energy. The company is aiming to have low-carbon green businesses contribute more than half of overall income by 2025.

An analyst at Kasikorn Research Center, a think-thank unit of Thai Kasikorn Bank, said this acquisition will help the company to immediately gain higher power generating capacity in green business. It will see benefits quicker than by building a new plant and waiting for years to start commercial operations.

Banpu’s power plant in Texas is a combined cycle gas-fired power plant with generating capacity of 768 MW and started commercial operation in July 2014. With the new investment, the company’s total equity-based capacity will total 3,300 MW from 34 gas-fired, co-generation and renewable power plants in Thailand and abroad.

Somruedee said in the statement that the new power plant has one of the most efficient combined-cycle gas turbines, with high flexibility and efficiency and is equipped with advanced emissions-control technology.

The company’s technological capabilities in green business are still relatively low, and this acquisition is also aimed at absorbing advanced technologies from the U.S. company. It has been a huge expense for the company, but shareholder pressure for green commercialization is growing. Banpu is accelerating the response to it, even if it means making some sacrifices.

 

Canadian carbon tax impacts: carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) & environmental, social and governance (ESG) reporting

CANADA’S CLIMATE PLAN

As part of Canada’s plan to reduce emissions and combat climate change, the Pan-Canadian Framework on Clean Growth and Climate Change was developed to meet emission reduction targets, grow provincial economies, and adapt to climate challenges. According to the Government of Canada: “In 2018, the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act came into effect, ensuring there is a price on carbon pollution across the country. A well-designed price on carbon pollution provides an incentive for climate action and clean innovation while protecting business competitiveness. It is efficient and cost effective because it allows businesses and households to decide for themselves how best to reduce the emissions that cause climate change.”

Canada has committed to reduce Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions by 30% from 2005 levels by 2030. GHG emissions from 1990 to 2019 by economic sector is summarized in Figure 1.

Figure 1: GHG emissions by economic sector, Canada, 1990 to 2019.

As it relates to the oil and gas sector, data from the Government of Canada suggests that GHG emissions from oil and gas production have gone up 23% between 2000 and 2019 (Figure 2), largely from increased oil sands production, particularly in-situ extraction.

Figure 2: Oil and gas sector GHG emissions, Canada, 1990 to 2019.

Over the last 4 years, there have been many changes and updates to the Canadian legislation at the federal and provincial levels, with Canada attempting to achieve emissions neutrality by 2050.

CANADIAN CARBON TAX IMPACT ON COMPLIANCE CREDIT GENERATION

Canada’s Climate Plan includes an Output-Based Pricing System (OBPS) on large industrial emitters and, more recently, the proposed Clean Fuel Regulation (CFR) on primary suppliers of fossil fuels.

Canada’s OBPS and proposed CFR will create an economic opportunity for developing technologies that reduce carbon intensity of liquid fossil fuels. In the oil and gas industry, CCUS is a considerable mitigation option that can be applied to reduce anthropogenic CO2 emissions that offsets other industries where emissions reductions are not cost-effectively achievable. Sequestered CO2 is compressed and transported to be used in enhanced oil recovery (EOR) projects, obtaining incremental oil recovery through an enhanced oil recovery scheme, or through direct injection into deep geological formations (saline aquifers or depleted oil and gas reservoirs). Revenue streams relate directly to CO2 emission reductions that are captured from the point source to the portion that is permanently stored within the geological formations.

These policies will establish and provide a financial incentive for companies to capture, utilize and/or store CO2 while aligning development with a reduction in Canada’s GHG emissions.

OUTPUT-BASED PRICING SYSTEM

According to the Government of Canada: “A price on carbon pollution is an essential part of Canada’s plan to fight climate change and grow the economy. It is one of the most efficient ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and stimulate investments in clean innovation. It creates incentives for individuals, households, and businesses to choose cleaner options.”

The Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act (GGPPA) establishes a carbon pollution pricing system — a regulatory trading system known as the Output-Based Pricing System (OBPS). It will allow for covered facilities who are below their emission limits to receive surplus credits. Those credits can be used as compliance units or sold to other facilities in the OBPS through a public registry. Under this legislation, permanently stored CO2 would be eligible to receive a credit market value of $50/tonne by 2022 and up to $170/tonne by 2030 under the recently proposed accelerated national OBPS.

MULTI-BILLION DOLLAR OBPS COMPLIANCE CREDIT OPPORTUNITY

Based on the details in Figure 2, even a marginal reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the oil and gas sector has a material compliance credit value potential that companies could achieve through CCUS strategies. This takes the form of reduced operating costs and/or additional revenue through the OBPS credit market. If companies can reduce the 2019 CO2 equivalent emissions of 191Mt by 10% (19.1Mt), a 2022 OBPS market price of $50/tonne equates to $955 million in compliance credits. At an accelerated 2030 OBPS market price of $170/tonne, the same 10% reduction equates to $3.2 billion in compliance credits.

In actuality, Canada has committed to reduce all GHGs by 30% from 2005 levels by 2030. Looking closely at the oil and gas sector in 2005, CO2 equivalent emission levels were approximately 160Mt. A 30% reduction in GHG from this level would lead to an emissions target of 112Mt for 2030, equating to a GHG reduction of 79Mt from 2019 levels. As shown in Figure 3 below, assuming the 79Mt will be reduced linearly over 10 years (7.9Mt/year) from 2021 to 2030, the potential compliance credit value generation could range from $3.9 billion to $8.2 billion under the current and proposed accelerated OBPS market prices, respectively.

Figure 3: Oil and gas sector greenhouse gas emission reductions from 2005 levels by 2030 and associated compliance credit generation.

PROPOSED CLEAN FUEL REGULATIONS

Another leg of Canada’s Climate Plan is the Clean Fuel Regulations (CFR). First proposed in late 2020, the CFR is complementary to the OBPS. According to the Government of Canada: “The goal of the Clean Fuel Standard is to significantly reduce pollution by making the fuels we use everyday cleaner over time. The Clean Fuel Standard will require liquid fuel suppliers to gradually reduce the carbon intensity of the fuels they produce and sell for use in Canada over time, leading to a decrease in the carbon intensity of our liquid fuels used in Canada by 2030.”

The proposed CFR is not yet resolved; however, regulations are expected to be finalized and published in the Canada Gazette, Part II by late 2021. This is another regulatory approach with the aim of reducing Canada’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through increased use of lower-carbon fuel sources.

A new regulatory credit market for compliance credits will be established under the proposed CFR, where producers/importers who surpass the minimum clean fuel standard are rewarded with credits which may then be purchased by other producers/importers to achieve compliance. This regulation works by upping the carbon intensity reduction target every year between 2022 – 2030.

Canadian average lifecycle carbon intensity was defined by using a model developed by Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC). In 2016, the Canadian Government’s calculations indicated that GHG emission reductions will be achieved at a central estimated net societal cost of carbon (SCC) of $94/tonne. More recently published literature estimates the net SCC value in 2020 that ranges between $135 and $440/tonne.

Under the proposed CFR, primary suppliers of fossil fuels (including refineries, upgraders, and fuel importers) create or acquire compliance credits to satisfy their emissions reductions. Optionally, primary suppliers can pay into a compliance fund to acquire credits at a price of $350/tonne. Although, credits acquired from the compliance fund can only be used to satisfy a maximum of 10% of their annual reduction obligation. The CFR also considers a credit clearance mechanism (CCM) to assist the exchange of credits whereby a credit seller may pledge their available credits to be sold at or below a price ceiling of $300/tonne pursuant to the CCM.

Given that the CFR is not currently legislated and is not expected to be finalized until late 2021, the CFR compliance credit market value remains uncertain. However, the future market value will be directly correlated to the implementation of projects that generate or utilize these credits, CCUS included, and may mirror the OBPS value to some degree.

CANADIAN CARBON TAX IMPACTS TO RESERVES & ESG REPORTING

In practice, carbon taxes and compliance credits based on existing legislation ought to be included in all economic evaluations to understand the commercial impact on existing and future projects within the energy industry.

In a reserves evaluation report, carbon tax burdens are included as an operating cost ($/boe) within the economic cash flows and is quantified from the carbon taxes defined in the corporate and property lease operating statements. Carbon tax burdens will consider existing legislation surrounding the carbon market value through the OBPS scheme and incorporating the proposed accelerated OBPS and CRF compliance obligations when legislated. Carbon credits associated with approved CCUS projects are determined on a project phase basis, based on the emissions reductions from permanently storing CO2 within geological formations. This is summarized in a reserves report as a reduced operating cost or, in the case of excess compliance credits, as an “Other Income” stream within the economic cash flows related to a CCUS project.

In ESG reporting of emissions, both the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) and Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB), the two most widely used frameworks for reporting, require reporting gross emissions before any offsets, credits, trades or any other mechanisms that have reduced or compensated for emissions.  A disclosure available in the GRI framework, 305-5, reduction of GHG emissions, requires GHG emissions reduced as a direct result of reduction initiatives, specifically calling for any reduction from carbon offsets to be reported separately.

Where carbon offsets and credits are often discussed in ESG reporting is in scenario analysis, as required for SASB reporting and as part of the recommendations from the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) reporting. SASB specifically requires reporting the sensitivity of hydrocarbon reserve levels to future price projection scenarios that account for a price on carbon emissions. The TCFD recommends undertaking scenario analysis as a method for developing strategic plans and positioning a company to address climate-related risks and opportunities. Companies, as part of their scenario analysis, may consider how they will address increases in carbon price through use of carbon credits and other programs.

For more information, visit our website: www.gljpc.com

GLJ Ltd. is a leading energy resource consulting firm. With comprehensive industry expertise and client-focused philosophy, GLJ provides technical excellence to a global client base. The company’s long-term record of success comes from an experienced team of professionals who have an absolute commitment to delivering high-quality results for their clients. For more information visit www.gljpc.com

WRITTEN BY SCOTT QUINELL, GLJ LTD.

Scott is a Senior Engineer at GLJ and has over fifteen years of experience in reserves evaluations and reservoir studies. He has extensive involvement in oil reservoirs and is one of the leading experts at GLJ in the evaluation of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) projects with a focus on Polymer and CO2 tertiary recovery schemes. More recently he has been involved in providing guidance to GLJ’s clients on the economic impact of carbon taxes and carbon market value surrounding carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) projects in Canada.

FROM THE RIGHT
Opinion: Engine No. 1 is all talk, no strategy with Exxon Mobil

The tell: No specific recommendations on how Exxon should become a leader in profitable clean-energy production

GETTY IMAGES

Last Updated: Aug. 16, 2021 
By Henry N. Butler, and Bernard S. Sharfman

What does Engine No. 1’s recent proxy fight at Exxon Mobil have in common with the insane trading in GameStop and AMC common stock that occurred during the pandemic? The answer is that they all garnered lots of media attention but accomplished nothing.

Engine No. 1, a small hedge fund with less than $40 million worth of Exxon Mobil XOM, -1.17% common stock in hand, amazingly succeeded in getting three of its four nominated directors elected to Exxon’s board. Unfortunately, the hedge-fund activism of Engine No. 1, seeking to enhance shareholder value, reduce Exxon’s carbon emissions, and transition it into a global leader in profitable clean-energy production, was not able to provide specific recommendations on how Exxon Mobil was to accomplish these objectives.

For example, what precisely are the profitable clean-energy opportunities that Engine No. 1 would like to see Exxon Mobil invest in? Engine No. 1 did not provide an answer.

In sum, a lack of specificity indicated that it was not truly informed about the operations of Exxon Mobil or how to manage its long-term future.

Read: Here are the oil and gas companies whose methane emissions intensity is 6 times the national average (hint: it’s not the majors)

Confirmation that Engine No. 1’s activism was not expected to positively impact Exxon Mobil can be found in the lack of an associated upward movement in Exxon’s stock price. As observed by Hemang Desai, Shiva Rajgopal and Sorabh Tomar in June, whatever increase in the stock since Engine No. 1’s activism became public can be attributed to a rise in oil prices that have benefited all oil and gas companies.

However, even without specific recommendations or a positive market price reaction, Engine No. 1 was still able to win its proxy fight. How was it able to do this?

No doubt the timing was right. Exxon Mobil was floundering financially as a result of a high debt load, pandemic-reduced demand for its products, and low oil and gas prices. Yet at the time that Engine No. 1 began its proxy fight in earnest on March 15, Exxon was still a $250 billion company and recognized as one of those small number of top-performing companies, based on decades of capital appreciation and dividend payouts, that have allowed the stock market to significantly outperform U.S. Treasurys over time.

Exxon Mobil was floundering financially as a result of a high debt load, pandemic-reduced demand for its products, and low oil and gas prices

Engine No. 1 succeeded because it focused on gaining the support of the “Big 3” investment advisers to index and ESG funds — BlackRock BLK, -2.40%, Vanguard, and State Street Global Advisors. The Big 3 own approximately 21% of Exxon Mobil’s voting stock. However, that percentage significantly understates their voting power because they will likely vote all their shares while individual investors — those most likely to vote with management — won’t.


To garner the Big 3’s support, Engine No. 1 appealed to their desire to be perceived as investment advisers who are making a difference in mitigating climate change. Such a perception is necessary to attract “millennial” investors, the investor segment that will soon be the dominant investor type in mutual-fund and exchange-traded-fund investing.

So the Big 3 were under a lot of pressure to support Engine No. 1’s efforts or else they would be perceived as not walking the talk on climate change. Based on their voting, it appears that the marketing implications won out over the need to actually implement value-enhancing change at Exxon Mobil. BlackRock ended up supporting three Engine No. 1 director nominees, while Vanguard and State Street Global Investors each supported two.

An impediment to fighting climate change


Perhaps most importantly, Engine No. 1’s hedge-fund activism may be an impediment to the world’s ability to deal with climate change. As observed by Tariq Fancy, BlackRock’s former chief investment officer for sustainable investing, “one lesson COVID-19 has hammered home is that systemic problems—such as a global pandemic or climate change—require systemic solutions. Only governments have the wide-ranging powers, resources and responsibilities that need to be brought to bear on the problem.”

If so, then the Engine No. 1’s successful proxy fight may have caused significant harm to climate change mitigation efforts “by creating a societal placebo that delayed overdue government reforms,” he added. That is, the sustained focus on the proxy fight and the perception that Engine No. 1’s victory represents a victory in the fight against climate change may have reduced our sense of urgency to advocate for strong governmental actions that will have a real impact on mitigating climate change. Fancy, the former BlackRock executive, refers to this as a “deadly distraction.”

Engine No. 1’s activism resulted in Exxon needlessly spending significant resources on defending its director nominees and thereby distracting Exxon Mobil from engaging in its current strategy of focusing on the production of oil and gas, a strategy that Engine No. 1 could not adequately disprove as being the correct one.

Yes, Exxon’s current strategy may result in the company stranding oil and gas assets or the company eventually losing its independent existence if the road to decarbonization speeds up, but until proven otherwise, perhaps a different hedge-fund activist that is more informed will serve that role, its strategy cannot be discounted as the one that will maximize the value of the company’s stock.

Henry N. Butler is executive director of the Law & Economics Center at George Mason University’s Antonin Scalia Law School. Bernard Sharfman is a research fellow at the Law & Economics Center and a senior corporate governance fellow of RealClearFoundation.

 

Why Norwegians Love Both EVs and Oil

Most Norwegians support their country’s current commitment to continue to search for oil and gas, even though Norway has the highest electric vehicle (EV) penetration anywhere in the world.

Norway is set to hold a parliamentary election on September 13, a few months after the current government of a conservative-led coalition said in June that the Norwegian oil and gas sector will continue to play a major role in long-term job creation, economic growth prospects, and value for the country.

A recent poll of Norstat carried out for Norwegian Broadcasting (NRK) showed on Monday that 55 percent of respondents wanted Norway to continue oil exploration, while 32 percent were against it.

The survey was carried out after the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published on August 9 a report warning that the goal of limiting global warming to 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels will be beyond reach unless the world makes immediate, rapid, and large-scale reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.

Related: Islamic State Attacks Iraqi Oil Field

According to the latest election polls, the current government coalition in Norway will not be re-elected, Bloomberg notes.

However, a leftist and climate-conscious coalition would face challenges to change the current pro-oil government policy, not least because Norway is one of Europe’s richest countries thanks to the decades of oil revenues amassed in the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund with US$1.3 trillion in assets and holdings of 1.4 percent of all of the world’s listed companies. 

Norway doesn’t have any second thoughts about oil exploration and investment in light of the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) report suggesting that no new fossil fuel exploration would be needed for a net-zero world.

Western Europe’s biggest oil and gas producer is doubling down on oil development and continues to consider oil exploration and production a critical part of its economy and income for the state.

Bu Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com