Saturday, September 04, 2021

Tradition of Afghan girls who live as boys may be threatened

Analysis by Lisa Selin Davis 1 hour ago

The last time the Taliban ruled Afghanistan, after the Soviet--Afghan War of the 1980s, life for women and girls was ghastly.

IRONICALLY IT IS AN AFGHAN TRADITION 
(LONG AGO RECORDED BY SIR CAPTAIN ROBERT BURTON)  
FOR PATRIARCHIAL LEADERS TO HAVE BOY BRIDES!!!!

© Loulou d'Aki/The New York Times/Redux Ali, 14, wears jeans and a shirt while her sister Setar, 16, wears a traditional outfit for men, in Kabul, in a practice known as "bacha posh," in a picture taken in June 2017.

As a report from the Congressional Research Service put it, "Taliban prohibited women from working, attending school after age 8, and appearing in public without a male blood relative and without wearing a burqa. Women accused of breaking these or other restrictions suffered severe corporal or capital punishment, often publicly."

Afghanistan routinely edges toward tops lists of the worst places in the world for women and girls, but some things had improved after the United States invaded in 2001. The maternal mortality rate decreased (though it is still alarmingly high). More women held jobs like doctors, politicians and journalists. And more girls were educated: The World Bank showed almost no girls receiving a primary education in 2000, but more than 85% going to school by 2012. Some even got to be on a robotics team.

Even so, a 2018 UNICEF report said 1 in 3 Afghan girls is married before age 18. Only 19% of girls under 15 are literate. And 60% of the 3.7 million children out of school that year were girls — for whom going to school has always been dangerous.

For some girls, there has historically been a path to live, before puberty, as a boy. "Bacha posh," which in Dari means girl "dressed up as a boy," is an ancient tradition that pre-dates the Taliban in which a family designates a girl to live as a boy. That could either allow her a boy's freedoms — like education, athletics and the right to be outside alone — or impose a boy's duties on her, like working.

Some parents designate a bacha posh if the family has no sons, to alleviate what a family might consider its shame and vulnerability — not having a male child to protect the family or make money for it — with the hope that the shift will cause the next baby born to be a boy. The girls are expected to return at puberty, to become wives and mothers, whether they want to or not -- and many don't, according to Jenny Nordberg, author of a book about the bacha posh, "The Underground Girls of Kabul."

It is, argues Nordberg, a tradition rooted in inequality. Yet it is one of the only ways some girls get even a taste of freedom — a practice that will be much riskier, but at the same time perhaps even more relevant, she says, as we are already seeing women facing discrimination when the Taliban promised they wouldn't.

CNN asked Nordberg what may lie ahead for girls in Afghanistan, including the bacha posh.

This conversation has been lightly edited and condensed for clarity.

CNN: What was the situation for girls in Afghanistan before the United States invaded in 2001?

Jenny Nordberg: Most of them did not go to school. They were illiterate. There were some secret girls' schools, which basically meant a makeshift study group. Women or older sisters who may have had some education under the Russians would teach their younger sisters or younger children. They would say that they would teach the Quran, and then they would actually try to teach other stuff like math or language.

A girl was a weakness to the family because she couldn't defend a family as a boy could. Growing up as a little girl meant that you were groomed for one thing only: to be married off to another family. And in order to be good marriage material, their movements were very limited. Little girls shouldn't play too much. They shouldn't be out much. They should definitely not read a book, not play sports, not be too loud. Be very demure, very, very quiet, always lowering their gaze. Even very liberal, educated, progressive parents didn't want their girls to be abducted by the Taliban or to face any danger. This was a way to protect them.

Once a girl begins to menstruate, when she can conceive and get pregnant, she is married off and becomes the property no longer of her father but of the husband. And this could be a man whom she hasn't met or whom she has only met once and never spoken to.

CNN: How had things changed in the 20 years that Americans were in Afghanistan?

Nordberg: There has been a new mostly urban generation, in big city centers like Kabul, a whole generation who went to school and university. They had big plans for themselves, both men and women. They have smartphones. They know what's going on in the rest of the world. These are the ones who, in the fantasy of a new functioning democracy of Afghanistan, were going to take over the state and push the country forward.

Americans were trying to cultivate the most ambitious, the most talented, the most spirited people to run their own country. Which is sort of like a colonialist fantasy.

CNN: The Taliban have said that they will protect women's rights "within the limits of Islam." Does that give you hope?

Nordberg: That statement means nothing because that will be subject to interpretation. There is zero correlation between what we think are reasonable rights for women, and what they think are reasonable rights for women. Oppressing women is not some side story. It's the main story. It's part of the recruitment strategy. Women are only useful for having children. And women need to be controlled and kept very, very small, very diminished.

A woman who gets an education gets a lot of ideas. Maybe she wants to make some of her own decisions about her own body or whether or when she should have children, whether she should get married. They want none of that. They want to hold all the power over women.

Look at the last few days. Why would people be so desperate to get out if they believed the Taliban were a softer version of themselves? Why would women go into hiding, scared for their lives, if they thought that there was any chance that there was some kind of negotiation or a conversation with the Taliban about human rights for women? Short of another invasion, who is going to hold them to that? The Taliban have now taken over in such a swift and brutal and devastating way. They have no reason to compromise. Why would they want to compromise on anything?

Their credibility, in my view, is zero for actually granting women and girls basic human rights.

CNN: What's going to happen to the women who have been educated and were promised a better future?

Nordberg: Women who are useful in one way or another will be allowed to keep working, but they will have no rights of their own. A female surgeon is under the spell of her husband or her father. And she will need to obey a Taliban society and Taliban rules. They'll parade around some women for a few weeks to say, "Oh, look, we're completely fine and normal. We got this. Don't worry." And then when the eyes of the world have moved away, they'll crack down hard. But they'll keep a few token women to show off as public figures. The rest will be completely brutalized. (As CNN recently reported, "As Taliban leaders tell international media they 'don't want women to be victimized,' a more sinister reality is unfolding on the ground. Girls are being forced into marriage, female bank workers marched from their jobs, and activists' homes raided in a clear message that the freedoms of the last 20 years are coming to an end.")

CNN: Who are the bacha posh?

Nordberg: A bacha posh is a girl who lives as a boy, almost like a third gender. In order to reach for what we think of as some very basic human rights, a girl can put on a pair of pants and a shirt and cut her hair off and pass as a boy. This will increase her range of movement. She doesn't need to be kept indoors. She could play sports. She could escort her mother or do errands. She'll see more of the world outside the house, essentially. And in areas where education is only afforded to boys, she could get an education and could also safely get to school, if it's dangerous for a girl to travel or to walk to school.

It's an ancient tradition and custom that is a sign basically of a deeply dysfunctional, segregated society where women and girls are second-class citizens. If girls had rights, there would be no need to pretend to be the more privileged gender. This is a society where boys and men have almost all the rights. In an extremely segregated society, there will always be those who try to get over to the other side.

CNN: Why do some girls become bacha posh?

Nordberg: It can be done for a number of reasons. If the family doesn't have a boy, it is not just perceived as weak but is actually weak, because there will be no one to defend the family and support aging parents. It could be that people know that you have a bacha posh instead of an actual son, but it's still considered better than to have just daughters. It's viewed favorably by most Afghans.

It could also be that if the family is poor, you will have a bacha posh as labor, working for the family business or working outside the home as a shop assistant, bringing some money in if the father can't work or if the mother is widowed.

It could also be that the parents really want a girl to get an education. If you have two sons and a daughter and then you dress the girl just like the boys, and you send all three of them to school.

CNN: Is it liberating for the girls who are living as bacha posh?

Nordberg: It depends. Is it a burden? Is it so that you can work and bring home money to the family? Or is it a privilege where you're afforded an education or some freedom of movement or you can ride a bike or travel with your father? It can be either or it can be both. It's very complicated psychologically for each individual bacha posh. And it mostly depends on two factors. What was the reason for your being a bacha posh, and how long did it go on for?

CNN: Will it still be allowed under Taliban rule?

Nordberg: This existed in Afghanistan long, long before the Taliban came to power, and it will exist until the day women have their own human rights. That said, there will be a greater need to hide, a greater need to disguise yourself if you want to do certain things. But it will also be more dangerous to do it, because I believe the Taliban do not approve of this. It was always risky and it will be more dangerous under a harsher regime. It will be making a mockery of the Taliban and their view on women.

CNN: What are our moral obligations to the girls and women of Afghanistan?

Nordberg: I hesitate to even use the term "moral obligation." Can we even talk about that anymore? In my opinion, we just needed to get as many people as possible out. What was done wasn't enough, by far. Every ambassador, any country that was involved in this failure of a generation, should have issued emergency visas and opened their borders to the people who we have put in incredible danger by promoting and cultivating and encouraging and educating them. These are our people. and we are part of that country now, as they are part of us.

We encouraged these women to get an education, get a profession, choose your own path, become more like us, build your own country. And those are the ones who are now in extreme danger. These are the journalists, academics, teachers, university students, artists, politicians. The airlifts are now over, but other, more underground efforts, will continue

Get them out and get them out now because the gate is closing on something that will be a horrible, horrible country for women for many years to come.

© Magnus Forsberg/Crown/Penguin Random House Author Jenny Nordberg spoke about the bacha posh to CNN.
© Crown/Penguin Random House Jenny Nordberg documented the "bacha posh" in her book, "The Underground Girls of Kabul."

ON THE OTHER HAND

China bans ‘sissy’ and ‘effeminate’ men under new macho media rules
Josh K. Elliott 

Macho, macho man

.
© CG/VCG via Getty Images Singer/actor Roy Wang Yuan of boy group TFBoys performs during his first solo concert 'Yuan' at Nanjing Olympic Sports Centre on August 31, 2019 in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province of China.

China wants to be a country of macho men, and it’s trying to make that happen by banning “sissy” boybands and “effeminate” males from all media in the nation.


Broadcasters must “resolutely put an end to sissy men and other abnormal esthetics,” the National Radio and TV Administration wrote in a new set of rules released Thursday. It also used the term “niang pao," an insult for effeminate men that means “girlie guns.”

Read more: China’s censors to establish do-not-play list of ‘illegal’ karaoke songs

The new rules call for broadcasters to enforce a "correct beauty standard" and to boycott "vulgar" internet celebrities and celebrations of wealth, while promoting "traditional Chinese culture, revolutionary culture and socialist culture." They also ban all "idol audition shows" and recommend blacklisting anyone who has broken the law or offended public morals.

Additionally, the rules say that broadcasters should avoid airing anything that is "overly entertaining."

The Chinese Communist Party’s propaganda department announced the new media masculinity rules on Thursday, in its latest effort to police morality through censorship.

President Xi Jinping has essentially pledged to Make China Great Again with a “national rejuvenation,” which he is trying to pull off through strict control of all business, education, culture and religion in the country.

The CCP has racked up a long list of censorship and human rights abuses in recent years, from the persecution of ethnic Uighurs in Xinjiang, to the complete denial of the 1984 massacre at Tiananmen Square, to new rules that ban certain karaoke songs or limit children from playing more than three hours of online video games a week.

Even Winnie the Pooh has been banned, after the character was once used to mock Xi.

Read more: China limits children to no more than 3 hours of video games a week

China has also targeted its own celebrities who it deems to have stepped out of line. Actors Fan Bingbing and Zheng Shuang have been handed steep fines in the past, and the wildly popular actor Zhao Wei was recently erased from all Chinese media without explanation. Actor Zhang Zhehan was also wiped off the Chinese internet after photos surfaced of him at a controversial shrine for Japanese soldiers.

The new media rules could have a major impact beyond China’s borders, particularly in Hollywood, where studios in the past have kowtowed to Chinese demands in order to show their films in the lucrative market.

Tech companies are also facing pressure under the propaganda department's new rules, as they are being held responsible for enforcement.

Weibo, China's version of Twitter, suspended thousands of entertainment news and fan club accounts over the weekend amid the broader crackdown.

It's unclear how the rules will impact the LGBTQ2 community within China, or how they might affect foreign athletes when they go to Beijing for the 2022 Winter Olympics next February.

— With files from The Associated Press


Friday, September 03, 2021

 

Kenney's vacation is over, but his political troubles aren't

Premier is back in the office but questions linger about his 23-day absence

Alberta Premier Jason Kenney speaks at a news conference Aug. 9 in Edmonton. (Janet French/CBC)
This column is an opinion from Graham Thomson, an award-winning journalist who
has covered Alberta politics for more than 30 years.

OK, now what?

Now that Premier Jason Kenney has poked his head over the ramparts via a Facebook live appearance Wednesday night, what will he do about the worrying fourth wave of COVID?

Other than trying to gaslight us as he did during his Facebook performance where he suggested it was no big deal that he hadn't been seen for 23 days as COVID-19 cases skyrocketed in Alberta and Justin Trudeau called a federal election.

"I don't think people taking a bit of personal time should be a political football," said Kenney who explained he was simply on vacation. His critics, though, say he was in hiding.

There's no reason, I suppose, why he couldn't be doing both: vacationing and hiding.

Depending on where he went, it might have been a staycation. But then again, since we don't know much about his trip, call it an obfuscation. Or considering he left no one to answer questions in person about the fourth wave, call it an abdication.

That he chose to avoid the federal election is not in itself a mystery. Down-in-the-polls Kenney has become so politically toxic that if the United Conservative premier turned up on the campaign trail, Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole would have to wear a hazmat suit.

And then there's pandemic. In June, Kenney promised Albertans the "best summer ever" after he announced the province would be dropping pandemic restrictions July 1 and reopening the province "for good."

The delta variant apparently didn't get the memo. Alberta has seen COVID-19 explode to the point the province is averaging 1,000 new cases a day, where Alberta Health Services is postponing surgeries to free beds up for COVID-19 patients, where the City of Edmonton is re-invoking a mandatory mask mandate for public spaces, and where several other provinces – with fewer cases than Alberta – are introducing vaccine passports.

Perhaps Kenney went on vacation to avoid explaining why he prematurely promised Albertans the best summer as he rushed to lift pandemic restrictions July 1.

Albert Health Minister Tyler Shandro and Alberta Premier Jason Kenney unveil an opening sign after speaking about the Open for Summer Plan and next steps in the COVID-19 vaccine rollout, in Edmonton, Friday, June 18, 2021. (Jason Franson/The Canadian Press)

It now seems the province is on track to deliver the worst Autumn ever where experts with British Columbia's COVID-19 Modelling Group are warning that in October, Alberta could see 6,000 people a day contract the virus, with 1,500 in hospital and 500 of those in ICU.

That's a worst-case scenario but it's a scenario that doesn't seem to frighten the government.

'Wasn't unexpected'

On Tuesday, while delivering optimistic news about the province's finances, Finance Minister Travis Toews suggested the government has not been caught off guard by the current numbers: "We're in the fourth wave at this present time and the delta variant is very contagious, cases are going up. That wasn't unexpected at this point in time."

Not "unexpected"? Yet, as the numbers grew, the premier went on vacation while Health Minister Tyler Shandro and the province's chief medical officer of health, Dr. Deena Hinshaw, communicated with the public via tweets. 

I'm not one for conspiracy theories but you have to wonder if critics of the government are on to something when they argue Kenney wants the delta variant to burn itself out by ripping through the unvaccinated.

Lending credence to this theory are comments from the government's caucus chair Nathan Neudorf who, in an interview last week, seemed to suggest he expected and wanted COVID-19 cases to escalate among the unvaccinated and then quickly drop off as the virus has nowhere else to go – as it did, he said, in the United Kingdom.

Except that in the U.K. the numbers quickly began to rise again. 

After facing a public backlash, Neudorf said he was only speaking for himself, not the government, and was hoping cases would simply level off quickly. But his initial comments would certainly help explain why Kenney and others in government disappeared from public view in the last half of August. They were hoping the case numbers, after suddenly spiking, would suddenly drop.

But they keep rising.

After 18 months of COVID-19 during which Kenney's popularity dropped from 60 per cent to 31 per cent he is still caught between urban voters who want more restrictions and rural voters who want fewer or no restrictions.

"If indeed we do see this wave jeopardizing the health-care system, we may have to take some very targeted actions but nothing like lockdowns," Kenney said Wednesday night in an equivocating comment sure to irritate people on both sides of the issue.

Kenney mentioned that Shandro and Hinshaw would hold a news conference later this week. They didn't do that Thursday. So, expect them to face journalists Friday — on the eve of a long weekend, the favoured time for governments to release bad news and then head to the hills.

That won't be a problem for Alberta government politicians and officials who have had plenty of practice the past three weeks running for the hills.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Graham Thomson is an award-winning journalist who has covered Alberta politics for more than 30 years, much of it as an outspoken columnist for the Edmonton Journal. Nowadays you can find his thoughts and analysis on provincial politics Fridays at cbc.ca/edmonton, on CBC Edmonton Television News, during Radio Active on CBC Radio One (93.9FM/740AM) and on Twitter at @gthomsonink.

'Your life in Alberta is only worth $100': Canadians furious after Alberta''s promise to pay unvaccinated residents to take the shot
Elisabetta Bianchini
Fri., September 3, 2021,

Adults in Alberta who haven't been fully vaccinated yet have now been given an incentive to do so with the provincial government announcing that it is offering $100 to anyone who receives a first or second dose of a COVID-19 vaccine between Sept. 3 and Oct. 14.

A total of 80 per cent of the COVID-19 cases not in hospital ICUs are unvaccinated and over 91 per cent in ICU are unvaccinated.

"For the love for God, please get vaccinated," Alberta Premier Jason Kenney said. "These numbers say it better than anybody every could."

"The reality is that we as a government don't get to choose how the virus behaves or how many people choose to protect themselves against it. We just have to find a way of limiting the damage that it causes, especially to our healthcare system."

In order to receive $100 after vaccination, each eligible Albertan can register online to have their immunization data validated. This website will be available starting on Sept. 13 and individuals who do not have access to a computer can contact 310-0000 for assistance on that same date.


When questioned about why the provincial government is compensating people who have "held out" to get a COVID-19 vaccine, when they're the people driving the pandemic situation in the province, Kenney defended the provincial government's approach.

"I wish we didn't have to do this but this is not a time for moral judgement, this is a time to get people vaccinated," Kenney said. "We have done everything we can, left no stone unturned, made it as easy as possible...and yet we have the lowest vaccination rate in Canada, we are about five percentage points below the Canadian average."

"If the choice is between a sustained crisis in our hospitals or, God forbid, widespread restrictions, which I want to avoid at all costs, or finding some way to get the attention of those vaccine latecomers, we're going to choose the latter."

Kenney went on to say that "remove some of the barriers" to vaccination for lower income groups in the province.

"Imagine that you might be a very low-income person, living in a remote area, who can't afford the gas to drive into town to get the shot, this will cover you," the premier said. "Maybe you're a very low-income person who can't afford a taxi to go to the local pharmacy, what have you, and you're not aware of the free ride shares that we're offering, this will give you that little bit of help."

"I think this may also help to reduce barriers for some of the folks who might be facing barriers because of lower income status."

Several people have taken to social media to comment on Alberta's decision to provide $100 to individuals who have yet to be fully vaccinated, if they come forward and do so.

'THE PREMIER HAS FAILED AGAIN,' SAYS NOTLEY
Notley, Phillips blast new COVID measures, advocate for vaccine passports


Alberta NDP Leader Rachel Notley and Lethbridge-West MLA Shannon Phillips. (Lethbridge News Now)

By David Opinko/LethbridgeNewsNOW

Sep 3, 2021 | 4:34 PM


LETHBRIDGE, AB – Two prominent members of Alberta’s NDP are calling out Premier Jason Kenney and his announcements of new COVID-19 restrictions.

On Friday, Kenney announced the return of a face mask mandate, the early closure of liquor service, and a $100 incentive program for currently-unvaccinated Albertans to get their shots.

Alberta NDP Leader Rachel Notley and Lethbridge-West MLA Shannon Phillips were originally set to use a press conference at the Galt Museum to talk about a policy proposal aimed at protecting the Rocky Mountains from coal mining developments but felt this issue took precedence.

Notley says she was encouraged in the late spring and early summer when COVID-19 cases were dropping and more Albertans were getting immunized but believes that things have since gone in the opposite direction.


“After all the hard work and sacrifices Albertans have made, it is clear that Jason Kenney’s incompetence and inactions have erased this progresses, and now, we will go backwards: backwards to curfews, to restrictions, to masking for everyone, even those of us who have been vaccinated.”

The two took an especially sharp aim at the vaccine incentivization program.

According to the leader of the official opposition, Albertans who have chosen to not get vaccinated are hearing the message from the premier that they do not have to do their part until they get paid.

“The premier has failed again. He has brought Alberta to a place of imminent danger to our healthcare system. Jason Kenney is choosing to pay the angry mobs who are literally protesting outside of our hospitals, blocking ambulances, while cutting the wages of the nurses who are working inside of them.”

Notley remains optimistic that the reinstatement of a province-wide face mask mandate will help to curb the rise of COVID-19 cases somewhat, but she is concerned that the same is not true for schools.

Phillips says she has heard from many parents, including those in Lethbridge, that they are worried that some school districts in the province are not requiring staff or students to remain masked.

“I have heard from parents who are anxious – and they’re not the type of parents who normally are anxious – but they don’t know what to believe anymore, who to trust, and certainly, some school communities are doing really really well with, essentially, keeping the exact same situation they had last year. At some other school communities, because it’s not across the board, parents have questions, and just that lack of confidence coming from parents is something that I’ve heard a lot about since the first day of school.”

The NDP is pushing for what Notley calls a “simple, secure, and scannable vaccine passport” that would be mandatory for all non-essential businesses.

Under this proposal, in places like restaurants and entertainment centres, only those who are vaccinated would be able to attend. Grocery stores, hardware stores, and others would require people who are unvaccinated to wear a face mask.

She believes that this would allow people to go about their lives with minimal disruptions while keeping people safe.

While other provinces have instituted vaccine passport systems, there are currently none in Alberta.

A Canada-wide poll from Leger suggests that the majority of Canadians “strongly support” vaccine passports, but a survey from the Alberta Chambers of Commerce shows that two-thirds of business owners and operators are against the idea.


by David Opinko/LethbridgeNewsNOW

THE UCP SAYS THEY AREN’T, BUT HERE’S WHY VACCINE PASSPORTS ARE COMING TO ALBERTA


UNIVERSITY OF ALBERTA INFECTIOUS DISEASES SPECIALIST DR. LYNORA SAXINGER (PHOTO: RADIO-CANADA).

Alberta Politics

DAVID CLIMENHAGA
POSTED ON SEPTEMBER 03, 2021, 

Vaccine passports are coming to Alberta.

Not just yet, but they’ll be along soon enough.



Alberta Premier Jason Kenney (Photo: Alberta Newsroom/Flickr).

Not because they make sense. Opposition Leader Rachel Notley laid out that case pretty clearly yesterday: during a pandemic like the fourth wave of COVID-19 now battering our province, they can protect people, hospitals and the provincial economy.

“By providing Albertans with easy and secure access to their immunization records while establishing a verification standard for public settings, Albertans who are vaccinated can protect their neighbours and continue to do the things they love to do,” Ms. Notley explained.

Obviously, though, Jason Kenney’s government is pretty much impervious to that kind of reasoning. Even if they weren’t, the fact the NDP said it would make it pretty hard for them to adopt.

By now so many members of cabinet and the United Conservative Party Caucus have said so many times that Alberta will never adopt vaccine passports – because freedom! – that it would be pretty painful for them to walk it back.

Freedom, in this case, means freedom for anti-vaxxers, COVID deniers and great big grown-up men who are afraid of little tiny needles – and are willing to make their neighbours sick, and kill some of them, to have their way now that they’ve made defying common sense public health measures into a new front in the culture wars.

But certainly not freedom for the vast majority of Albertans who would actually like to get this pandemic behind us without killing a whole bunch of our friends, relatives and neighbours.


And not, as Ms. Notley argued, because other provinces are all going to adopt it, meaning Albertans would be the only fully vaccinated Canadians to have difficulty travelling to other parts of Canada, let alone abroad. In fact, one suspects the UCP would rather like the idea of making the rest of us stay at home with their anti-vaxx, anti-mask, anti-science base.


Former Alberta premier Rachel Notley, now the leader of the NDP Opposition (Photo: David J. Climenhaga).

None of that. The reason is because if the Kenney Government can’t put the pandemic behind us, it represents an existential threat. Not to Alberta, of course – although certainly to some Albertans. But to the United Conservative Party – as a government, and quite possibly as an entity.

Whether they like it or not, vaccine certification and the discipline it imposes on a vaccine-skeptical population is a key tool in suppressing this difficult and highly infectious disease. Ontario said yesterday that vaccination appointments doubled as soon as it announced it would be bringing in vaccine passports later this month for restaurants, theatres and gyms.

If Mr. Kenney and his cabinet cohorts stick to their guns and ensure we never are allowed to have access to one of the tools that will make our lives easier while it helps reduce the threat of COVID-19, it is going to end in tears, for them.

Here’s why:

Dr. Lynora Saxinger, an infectious diseases specialist in the Medicine Faculty at the University of Alberta, did some back-of-the-envelope calculations on Twitter about the rate at which the virus is now spreading in Alberta and the implications of that.

Now, I’m not an infectious disease expert, but I am going to assume she knows what she’s talking about, even if her forecasts are imperfect in the event the UCP sticks to the plan described by Caucus Chair Nathan Neudorf the other day. To wit, allow basically everyone who still isn’t vaccinated to be infected and thereby achieve herd immunity.

Postmedia political columnist Rick Bell (Photo: David J. Climenhaga).

Here’s the money quote from Dr. Saxinger: “How long before COVID ‘runs out’ of victims here? Quick n very dirty math perhaps 2 years 8 months at our current ball park 1000 cases daily. (During which the health care system would be incapacitated and little non COVID care would be viable.)”

Meanwhile, despite the pandemic, the political clock continues to run in Alberta.

Technically, an election needs to take place between March 1 and May 31, 2023 – although Premier Kenney could call it sooner, if he saw an opportunity to defeat the Opposition, which now leads in the polls. The latest an election can be held under the rules of the Canadian Constitution is April 2024.

Since according to Dr. Saxinger’s quick-and-dirty arithmetic, the pandemic could still be continuing in this province until the spring of 2024, that leaves the UCP no time between now and then it can declare the pandemic over and then call an election.

If the pandemic is still in progress when the election is called, most observers would agree the UCP is done for, and Mr. Kenney will probably go down in history as the worst Canadian premier ever.

Dr. Saxinger and others like her could be wrong about the timing, they could be wrong about the future infectiousness of COVID-19, or they could be wrong about everything. But can the UCP afford to take the chance?

Even Rick Bell, the premier’s favourite political columnist, basically agrees with this analysis.

“A lockdown would finish off the Kenney government,” the Postmedia political commentator wrote yesterday. “They know that and they say they aren’t going there. They’ve also (said) no to a provincial government vaccine passport, where the fully vaccinated would be allowed in places where those not fully vaccinated would not be allowed. But who knows?”

It must have pained Mr. Bell to write that. And upset Mr. Kenney. I admire Mr. Bell’s fortitude. But he’s basically right.

Which is why the UCP will bring in a vaccine passport eventually – although they won’t call it that.

They’ll also have to bring back tougher measures – more masking, more restrictions. So much for “open for good.” Mr. Kenney will insist it’s not a lockdown, and he’ll likely be right. When it comes to public health, the man’s the master of half measures.

Either that or he won’t. If they bet that experts like Dr. Saxinger are wrong, and it turns out they’re not, history will say the UCP burned up on re-entry.

There were 1,399 new COVID-19 cases reported in Alberta yesterday, bringing the active case total to 12,868 – the highest number in both categories in Canada. The positivity rate was 10.8 per cent.


NDP calls for vaccine 'verification' plan as province reaches 70 per cent mark

Author of the article: Dylan Short
Publishing date:Sep 02, 2021 
NDP leader Rachel Notley shows off her plan for a vaccine passport at a press conference in Calgary on Thursday, Sept. 2, 2021. 
PHOTO BY SUPPLIED

Seventy per cent of eligible Albertans are now fully vaccinated, the province announced as 1,339 new cases of COVID-19 were recorded Thursday.

The milestone was announced Thursday afternoon, with 2.6 million Albertans having received two doses of COVID-19 vaccine. Additionally, a total of 78.2 per cent of people 12 years of age or older in the province have received at least one dose. Meanwhile, more than 1.1 million people have not received any COVID-19 vaccine, a number that includes children under the age of 12, who are not yet eligible.

Alberta continues to lag behind other populous provinces in vaccinations. In Ontario, 77 per cent of eligible people are fully vaccinated, while 79 per cent of eligible people in Quebec have had two jabs.

Premier Jason Kenney, Health Minister Tyler Shandro and chief medical officer of health Dr. Deena Hinshaw once again urged Albertans to get their vaccinations in an emailed statement Thursday.

“The best way to protect all Albertans from COVID-19 is to get vaccinated. It is up to each and every one of us to do all we can to prevent the spread of this virus,” said Kenney. “Getting vaccinated with two doses is not only the right thing to do, but it protects the people, livelihoods and communities we care about.”

Meanwhile, the official Opposition NDP called on Kenney and his government to implement a vaccine mandate in the province that would see people needing to provide proof of vaccination to enter non-essential public spaces. Opposition Leader Rachel Notley said her party is proposing a secure and easily scanned proof of vaccination that would be needed to enter restaurants, bars, concert venues, sporting events and other large gathering sites.

“Let’s be clear, vaccine verification is coming to Alberta,” said Notley, speaking outside McMahon Stadium. “In just a few weeks, if you want to watch an NHL game in person, you will have to show proof.” Many professional sports organizations have decided to implement mandatory vaccination rules on their own.

Notley also noted that several large Alberta employers are requiring vaccinations. The federal government has also said that proof of vaccination will be needed to fly domestically or internationally this fall. Alberta Health Services announced earlier this week its employees will need to be vaccinated.

“This is coming and if we don’t act now, I fear we will reach a place where Albertans will be scrambling to catch up with the rest of the world and our health care and our economy will have been needlessly injured in the process,” said Notley.

Kenney and other provincial leaders have previously stated they are not in favour of mandating proof of vaccination. Shandro announced recently Albertans will have access to a convenient-sized card showing their vaccination status, but stated there would be no mandated vaccine passports in the province.

Ontario announced a vaccine requirement Wednesday while British Columbia, Quebec and Manitoba have all previously introduced similar policies. Christine Elliott, deputy premier and health minister of Ontario, announced on Twitter Thursday that the number of people signing up to get vaccinated in that province doubled in the 24 hours after the province announced its vaccine mandate.

Quebec and British Columbia have reported similar increases in the wake of their policy announcements.

On Thursday, as Alberta recorded 1,339 new cases of COVID-19, it brought the number of active cases up to 12,868.

There are 487 people being treated for the illness in hospital, including 114 of whom are in intensive care units. The province reported five new deaths, bringing the total number of fatalities with COVID-19 as a contributing factor to 2,388.

Of those patients in hospital, 79 per cent are unvaccinated, three per cent are partially vaccinated and 17 per cent are fully vaccinated. There are 2.9 million people in the province who are fully vaccinated, compared to about 300,000 who have only had one shot.

Unvaccinated people account for 71.8 per cent of all active cases in Alberta, according to provincial numbers.

The province also announced Thursday night Calgarian Amie Gee has won the second of three $1-million prizes for receiving her vaccinations. A news release said her name was drawn from 1.85 million entries. There were also 42 winners for a suite of travel-related prizes.

The third $1-million draw in the vaccination lottery will take place this month, with registrations closing on Sept. 23.

dshort@postmedia.com
Calgary woman becomes second $1M winner in Alberta's vaccine lottery
Elle McLean
Sep 3 2021, 

Premier Jason Kenney (Alberta Newsroom/Flickr)

A woman from Calgary is $1 million richer after being awarded one of the top prizes in Alberta’s COVID-19 vaccine lottery.

The Open for Summer Lottery includes a total of three $1 million draws, 42 travel-related packages, 635 Calgary Stampede prizes, and 15 sports-related packages.

The first $1 million prize and the Calgary Stampede packages were drawn for on July 1, while the second draw took place earlier this week.

The second of the three $1 million dollar prizes has been awarded to Amie Gee of Calgary. Gee’s name was drawn from over 1.85 million entries in the Open for Summer Lottery. Along with the prize money, Gee earned herself a personal call from Alberta Premier Jason Kenney.

In addition to Gee’s big win, 42 other Albertans became the recipients of travel-related prizes this week, with packages from Air Canada, WestJet, the Rocky Mountaineer, and Juniper Hotel in Banff.

“I can think of no better way to celebrate getting vaccinated by planning a fantastic trip, and thanks to our corporate partners at WestJet, Air Canada, and Rocky Mountaineer, there are now over 40 Albertans who are planning to do just that,” said Premier Kenney in a media release.


“Congratulations to Amie, and all of the other winners,” he continued. “I encourage Albertans who haven’t gotten their second dose to do so as soon as possible to qualify for the final draw at the end of September!”

For Albertans who have had both doses of the vaccine, there are two final Open for Summer Lottery draws in September.

One draw is for the third $1 million prize, and Albertans aged 18 and over who register for the lottery and receive two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine by September 23 will be eligible to win. This includes Albertans who were vaccinated outside of the province. Anyone who registered for the first two draws is automatically entered for the third draw, and does not need to re-register.

The other draw will award winners in the Outdoor Adventure Vaccine Lottery, with a number of prizes up for grabs, including a lifetime hunting license, Alberta Parks camping experiences, Canmore Nordic Centre season ski passes, and more.

Alberta residents wishing to be included in this draw must register separately by 11:59 pm on September 9. Winners for this lottery are scheduled to be announced on September 17.

To date, 78.2% of eligible Albertans have received their first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine, including 70% who are now fully immunized with two doses.