Saturday, October 16, 2021

ONTARIO

'Doesn't make sense:' Kemptville residents question plan to build a huge jail in the middle of a small town

The preferred site is on 178 acres of heritage land formerly owned by a college, about one kilometre from the community's quaint downtown.

Author of the article: Aedan Helmer
Publishing date: Oct 16, 2021 • 
Local residents opposed to the plan to build the Greater Ottawa Correctional Complex in Kemptville gathered at the proposed location in early October. 
PHOTO BY TONY CALDWELL /Postmedia
Article content

It’s a nonsensical place for a jail, opponents say.

The grassroots movement to stop the construction of a provincial institution slated to be built on a pristine parcel of Kemptville farmland has been bolstered in recent months by a chorus of academics, advocates and arm’s-length agencies. They all question the logic of placing a 235-bed correctional institution in a community with no access to public transit and a lack of support services for prisoners.

“It should be communities — the local municipalities and the residents who live there — who make the critical decisions about infrastructure that’s going to profoundly affect the future of that community. And that simply didn’t happen here,” said Colleen Lynas, who leads the local Coalition Against the Proposed Prison (CAPP).


Documents obtained by opposition groups last year through access to information laws show the Ministry of the Solicitor General considered 38 properties before narrowing its shortlist down to five potential sites for the new Eastern Ontario Correctional Complex (EOCC).

The government’s preferred site for the jail, on 72 hectares (178 acres) of heritage land formerly owned by Kemptville College, about one kilometre from the community’s quaint downtown, was deemed the best choice despite scoring the lowest of those five properties when it came to proximity to Ottawa’s city centre.

Situated 60 kilometres away from the Ottawa-Carleton Detention Centre, and a 54-minute drive from the city core, Kemptville is more than twice the distance of the other four properties the province considered.


The shortlist included a 138-acre rural property on Rideau Road that was already conditionally sold, 40 acres on Uplands Drive about 18 km from OCDC, two properties on Leathem Drive near the RCMP headquarters that could potentially be combined to a 98-acre plot, and a 40-acre property on Walkley Road that was eliminated due to its proximity to the railway, and the potential for adjacent lands “impeding operations,” among other factors.

The Kemptville site scored a red ‘X’ when it came to transit access, according to a ministry report outlining each of the five potential sites, which was first circulated internally in 2019 and was released in a heavily-redacted version last fall.


Lynas said Kemptville should have been disqualified as an option due to the distance and 

There is likewise a lack of community support services for inmates and their families in Kemptville, she said, and there remain concerns the new jail could strain local infrastructure and overburden the local hospital and other town resources.

Hundreds of “No Prison” lawn signs have popped up in town and around the rural community (with a population of 4,000 as of 2016 and a taxpayer base of about 7,400 in North Grenville).

Opposition groups staged a demonstration outside MPP Steve Clark’s office in Brockville on Friday.

“First of all we do not need another prison — that’s the bottom line,” said Bryonie Baxter, former executive director of the Elizabeth Fry Society who resides in North Grenville and sits as a member of the Kemptville Hospital board. Baxter noted she was speaking as a resident and not on behalf of either organization in her opposition to the jail.

“We have a broken prison system that needs to be fixed — we don’t need another jail. And if we did, we would definitely need a (host) community that has access to supports for the individuals who are incarcerated, and for the families who visit them, and for the people and agencies who help them with rehabilitation and readjustment into the community.”


A map from a government document showing the location of the new proposed Kemptville jail from Ottawa. jpg

The lack of access to public transit in Kemptville is one of the biggest issues that opponents of the plan fear will fall to the taxpayers of North Grenville. But it presents other obstacles — to those outside and inside the jail — that Baxter said the government must consider.

“The reality is, the state does have an obligation to get the person who has been incarcerated back to their home community, and there is no way to do that here. People will simply have the doors thrown open and be left to fend for themselves, and often that can involve returning to some sort of desperate measure to cope with that situation.

“If prison is supposed to be about rehabilitation, then we need the supports, otherwise it’s just a revolving door of incarceration over and over again,” Baxter said.

“We also have an obligation for family reunification. And we know from multiple studies that the success of that reintegration into the community depends on their social supports and their family supports.”

Families will often make “superhuman effort” to stay connected with loved ones in jail, Baxter said, “And we cannot assume that everybody has a car, or access to a car.”

That would leave families resorting to “virtual visits” through videoconference, Baxter said.

“All of us who have been through this pandemic can now appreciate, when you’re trying to connect with a loved one, how inappropriate and difficult that can be.”

While larger urban centres such as Ottawa have the Salvation Army, John Howard Society, Elizabeth Fry Society and other advocacy groups, “Out here in Kemptville, we do not have those,” Baxter said.

“And we do not have Indigenous supports out here, when we know Indigenous people are disproportionately represented in jails with between 30 and 40 per cent of the prison population.

“We have a small hospital and we do not have the infrastructure or the experience in place to deal with the medical needs of the population we will now be serving,” she said. “We’re a small farming community and we do not have those supports in place.”

Critics are taking a “wait-and-see” approach to the province’s recent commitments to finance infrastructure upgrades and pay all costs of policing associated with the jail, said University of Ottawa professor Justin Piché, who co-founded the Criminalization and Punishment Education Project along with his Carleton University counterpart Aaron Doyle.

Piché and Doyle questioned the government’s rationale for building new prison spaces after collecting data through the pandemic showing Ontario’s prisoner population decreased from about 8,300 pre-pandemic to about 5,800 inmates by June. That was largely due to the efforts of defence lawyers, Crown attorneys and judges, Piché said, opting for alternatives to incarceration during the bail phase.
A government document ranking the options for a replacement to the Ottawa Carleton Detention Centre. jpg

“For years we’ve been told that those kinds of reductions were not possible,” Piché said. “And if they invest more money into community re-entry supports that population could be reduced even further. So this idea that we need to go and blow hundreds of millions of dollars to build new jails and new jail spaces because of a crowding issue — that doesn’t pass. We do have alternatives that are more effective, less costly and more just.”

If a new provincial jail is to be built, making the case for Kemptville is a tough sell, Piché said.

“Kemptville has a small hospital, there’s no volunteer base in Kemptville, no community agencies that work with criminalized people, there’s no public transportation to get visitors to the prison… there’s no transportation to get released prisoners back to their home communities, no re-entry supports.

“This really doesn’t make sense in a lot of different ways.”

The Ministry of the Solicitor General said in a lengthy statement their “modernization strategy” for the region, which includes the new jail in Kemptville, “will play an important role for the safety and wellbeing of those in custody and our staff.”

The EOCC will “help address capacity pressures throughout the eastern region, create additional space for programming and expand our supports for inmates with mental health issues,” said Stephen Warner, press secretary and spokesperson for Solicitor General Sylvia Jones. “It also will provide frontline correctional services staff with a facility, work environment and supports they need to do their jobs safely and effectively and will ensure appropriate supervision and care for those in provincial custody.”

Warner said the government considered numerous sites in eastern Ontario and reviewed government-owned land, but none of the candidates “met the project requirements, such as municipal servicing, size, site configuration and conserving natural heritage. The ministry also considered privately-owned sites, however, they were not viable because of market conditions or did not offer adequate proximity and highway access for services such as police, fire and emergency medical services.”

Deputy Solicitor General Deborah Richardson confirmed to North Grenville council in a letter in June the ministry’s commitment “to fully pay for the necessary infrastructure, including servicing the land for water and sewer, and any related road upgrades that would be required.”

Steve Clark, MPP for Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes, said he is working with the Solicitor General and with the municipality of North Grenville “to ensure the proposed Kemptville correctional facility delivers the best outcomes for the community and support the local economy.”

Clark said in an email the site’s proximity to Highway 416 and other “key attributes” make the former Kemptville college lands “a practical location” for the jail.

Clark said the province has committed — at his request — to allow North Grenville to retain any surplus lands and existing buildings on the site that the facility will not need.

Clark said that will allow the municipality to use the land surrounding the jail “for locally-driven opportunities like agriculture, equine, and horticulture initiatives that are what make Kemptville such a thriving, prosperous community.”

North Grenville Mayor Nancy Peckford issued a statement in June saying the province has been “responsive and engaged” and Clark said the government will continue with public consultations.

“I’ve heard a lot of support for this project,” Clark said, “especially from small businesses who see the benefit of having new customers come to the area.”

But critics believe the government’s promise of economic spinoff is “overstated” and “overblown.”

According to Piché, the Solicitor General has stated that a number of staff destined for the Kemptville jail would be transferred from existing provincial facilities like OCDC.

And in an earlier presentation, Piché said, the government showed what it called a “heat map” of current correctional staff, which indicated a significant number already living within Kemptville’s radius.

“So this idea that this jail is going to generate this kind of economic boom activity is definitely overblown,” said Piché. “And the contracts to design, build and maintain these facilities typically go to large conglomerates — not the local companies — so the real economic benefits are going to these big construction companies with head offices elsewhere.”


The government’s talking points have shifted lately, according to opposition groups, from the idea of local job creation to the prospect of other economic stimulus.

“We believe very strongly there will be a reluctance to invest, particularly in downtown Kemptville, where the municipality has really had a focus on revitalizing,” Lynas said. “The municipality has also been putting a priority on tourism, and we believe the prison would actually be a deterrent to people wanting to invest in downtown.

Protestors at Clark’s constituency office in Brockville demanded the government release more information on the site selection process, said Kirk Albert, who leads another local opposition group.

“We want the process suspended until there is actual regional public consultation,” Albert said. “And failing that, we want this selection process started over, this time identifying that Kemptville has no access to public transit, it exceeds their 40-kilometre boundary criteria… it currently has no municipal servicing and it has adjacent rural residential and light industrial activities of concern.”

One of those concerns, as critics have noted, is that a child care centre, an elementary school and a high school, among other services, are located on a neighbouring property at the former Kemptville College campus.

“My objection is that, first, we don’t need a new prison,” Baxter said. “And this is entirely the wrong location.”
Satanic panic 2021: Heavy-metal-loving Ontario principal can stay despite parents petitioning for her removal

Worried parents complained that rocker's Instagram posts 'blatantly showed Satanic symbols and allegiance to Satanic practices'

Author of the article:Adrian Humphreys
Publishing date:Oct 15, 2021 • 

Parents at Eden High School in St. Catharines, Ont. created a petition to remove Principal Sharon Burns (right) due to her unabashed fandom of Iron Maiden.
 PHOTO BY CHANGE.ORG

While schools like to make a mark and small cities love international attention, it isn’t always appreciated when it comes. Take for instance the odd tempest over an Ontario high school principal whose enthusiasm for a heavy metal rock band angered parents of “impressionable children.”

A public campaign to oust the head of Eden High School in St. Catharines after Instagram photos revealed her fondness for the dark imagery of Iron Maiden — followed by an outpouring of support — spun into a world-wide phenomenon this week, rekindling the Satanic panic of the 1980s.

“I’m surprised it blew up in the way it did,” said St. Catharines city councillor Karrie Porter. “It is funny, silly and frustrating all at the same time.”

It didn’t take long for the dispute to travel from the Niagara region across social media, talk radio, newspapers and beyond, from New York to Kuala Lumpur, and shared by politicians and rock bands.
Sharon Burns PRINCIPAL at Eden High School. 
PHOTO BY INSTAGRAM / EDEN HIGH SCHOOL

It began, as it does these days, with social media.

Sharon Burns, principal of Eden, posted two photos on her Instagram account showing her fandom for the legendary British heavy metal band that’s almost as famous for its imagery as for its music.

One photo shows her with Iron Maiden regalia and a personalized licence plate reading “IRNMADEN,” enthusiastically giving the horns-up hand sign of metal fans.

Another shows a doll of Eddie, the band’s skeletal mascot, with a hand-drawn sign of a heart around “666,” a number biblically associated with the devil that is used by the band in its marketing.

That was too much for some who wanted Burns cast out of Eden.


“As concerned parents with impressionable children at Eden High School,” began an online petition for her ouster, “we are deeply disturbed that the principal assigned to the school blatantly showed Satanic symbols and her allegiance to Satanic practices on her public social media platforms where all the students can see them.”

She has made Eden a safe space for so many people. She spreads nothing but love and kindness

COUNTER-PETITION

A counter-petition — called We Need Mrs. Burns — was soon posted in response.

“It is ridiculous that a couple of parents only judge her role as a principal only based on an instagram post,” the retort says. “She has made Eden a safe space for so many people. She spreads nothing but love and kindness.”

Public support quashed the call for Burns’ ouster.

The petition against her garnered 553 supporters while the petition of support zoomed well passed 20,000 after wide calls from students and fans of music and free speech.

Apparently feeling heat from the backlash, the creator of the original petition added a defence before removing it altogether.

“Sharon knows full well what she did was simply inappropriate, unnecessary and not professional but has yet to publicly admit so and is willing to allow people to believe a completely different story, making very real concerns seem petty,” it said.

Burns declined an interview, forwarding a request from National Post to the school board’s spokeswoman, who called the international attention a “unique experience.”

“As you can imagine, Principal Burns, like all of us, is quite surprised by how her Instagram post led to two petitions and grew to be a topic of interest around the world,” said Kim Sweeney, chief communications officer for the District School Board of Niagara.

“We know Ms. Burns as a passionate and dedicated educator who is happiest when she can focus on and connect with her students.”

Taste in music is subjective and we support that both students and staff enjoy a wide variety of genres
DISTRICT SCHOOL BOARD OF NIAGARA

After the complaints were aired, the board spoke with Burns and the parents who published them, and the issue is over as far as the board is concerned, Sweeney said. No disciplinary action or policy changes were needed.

“Our belief is that taste in music is subjective and we support that both students and staff enjoy a wide variety of genres,” Sweeney said.

Even so, the two posts were removed.

Porter, the city councillor, said the dispute at Eden may be about more than Iron Maiden’s imagery.

Burns doesn’t look like every school principal. Some photos show her with purple hair, fluffed up in a fauxhawk style. And Eden doesn’t have the same history as every school.

As the name suggests, Eden’s root are in the Christian movement. Started as a Bible school by the Mennonite Brethren in the 1930s, it then became a private Christian school.
Eden High School in St. Catharines PHOTO BY GOOGLE STREET VIEW

In 1988, it became a public school but retained the wearing of school uniforms. It still hosts privately funded afterschool Christian activities.

“I think that’s why this happened at this particular school,” said Porter.

“It’s now publicly funded and probably still some lingering tensions around the fact that the community is changing, and the school is changing. This is probably feeding into this issue.”

Popular music has long been a concern for some parents.

There is a long history of Satanic panic over emerging music, back to the blues, jazz and rock ‘n’ roll each being decried as “the devil’s music.” Heavy metal bands, producing hard, guitar-heavy rock, embraced that reputation in the 1980s.

They wore it on their sleeve — record sleeves, in this case — featuring ghoulish images of re-animated corpses, fiery hellscapes and overt devil imagery.

Fuelled by conservative mothers, ministers and televangelists worried about the Satanic influence on young minds, there were campaigns against heavy metal, as each new album looked like a darker, scarier vision of an elaborate Halloween display.

https://www.instagram.com/p/CTaVt2XsT8_


Iron Maiden was one of the best in the genre.

They released a series of platinum-selling albums, including their third, with the title The Number of the Beast, which sparked particular controversy, including public record burnings.

The panic subsided as heavy metal’s popularity waned and consternation moved on to rap music.

Burns’ interest in rock remains and has not been fully muted. She recently retweeted a U.S. university marching band’s tribute to Canadian rock band Rush, alongside her tweets on school sports results and a cat meme about photo day.

Her Twitter bio still includes: “Fueled by metal & ska.”


And her Instagram account, where the brouhaha began, remains, minus the controversial photos. Her other posts remain, such as photos of Eden’s student athletes, artists and musicians — those without umlauts or hellscapes.

As for Iron Maiden, the renewed Satanic panic came just as they release a new album, Shenjutsu (image above) their first in six years. It must seem like old times.


• Email: ahumphreys@postmedia.com | Twitter: AD_Humphreys
PURGE FLATTEN, REPLACE WITH WOMEN LEADERSHIP
General who replaced senior officer accused of sex assault is now himself under investigation for sexual misconduct

Canadian military has been rocked by allegations of sexual misconduct by senior leaders over the past 10 months.

Author of the article:David Pugliese • Ottawa Citizen
Publishing date:Oct 15, 2021 • 10 hours ago • 3 minute read
Lt. Gen. Steven Whelan is under investigation for sexual misconduct, the Canadian Forces announced Friday.
 PHOTO BY DEPARTMENT OF NATIONAL DEFENCE /Supplied photo
Article content

A general brought in to replace another senior officer accused of sexual assault is now himself under police investigation for sexual misconduct.

The Canadian Forces National Investigation Service received an allegation of sexual misconduct against Lt.-Gen. Steven Whelan, the Canadian Forces confirmed Friday night. “The investigation is ongoing and no further information can be released,” it added in a statement.

Whelan is chief of military personnel and had been brought into that job earlier this year to take over from Vice-Adm. Haydn Edmundson. Edmundson went on leave in March after military police started an investigation into an allegation from a former sailor that the naval officer had sexually assaulted her.

Defence Minister Harjit Sajjan and Acting Chief of the Defence Staff Gen. Wayne Eyre were informed on June 2 that Whelan was being investigated. The decision was made to keep the lieutenant general on the job.

It was only after the Globe and Mail newspaper asked questions about Whelan on Friday that it was announced he would be put on leave.

Both Eyre and Sajjan have faced criticism from survivors about failing to deal with sexual misconduct in the senior ranks.

“Given recent developments, after discussing with the Vice-Chief of the Defence Staff, Lt.-Gen Whelan agrees he must step aside as the Commander, Military Personnel, effective immediately,” the Canadian Forces said in its statement.

Earlier this week this newspaper revealed Lt.-Gen. Trevor Cadieu, who was to take command of the Canadian Army, is now under police investigation after allegations were raised about sexual misconduct. Cadieu has denied any wrongdoing.

The Canadian Forces has faced criticism about its decisions to hide investigations about alleged sexual misconduct by senior leaders.


The military personnel command that Whelan led was in charge of eliminating “harmful and inappropriate behaviour” in the Canadian Forces as well as recruiting.

Over the last 10 months, the military has been rocked with allegations of sexual misconduct by senior leaders.

Retired chief of the defence staff Gen. Jon Vance faced a number of sexual misconduct allegations and in July was charged with one count of obstruction of justice.

In August, Maj.-Gen. Dany Fortin was charged with sexual assault.

Military police are still investigating Vice Admiral Haydn Edmundson after a former member of the navy alleged she was sexually assaulted.

Maj.-Gen. Peter Dawe was put on paid leave since early May after it was revealed he wrote a positive character reference to try to influence the sentencing of an officer convicted of sexual assault.

The senior military leadership quietly brought Dawe back to defence headquarters in September to work on sexual misconduct review files. But defence sources, who questioned the ethics of putting Dawe in such a new role, tipped off this newspaper. The resulting anger for sexual assault victims forced the Canadian Forces to temporarily remove Dawe from his new job and raising new questions about whether the senior leadership was serious about dealing with sexual misconduct.

The Liberal government has not yet decided what to do with Adm. Art McDonald, who is still technically chief of the defence staff, although he only served in that job for a couple of weeks. McDonald temporarily stepped aside Feb. 25 after military police launched an investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct.

In August, police stated their investigation did not find evidence to support laying charges. Shortly after McDonald’s lawyers released a statement noting the officer was coming back to his job even as the federal government pointed out it still hadn’t decided his future.

The Liberal government responded by sending McDonald and leave and promoting Eyre to full general. McDonald has claimed that he has the “moral authority” to lead the military.
SHIA MUSLIM MINORITY
Fearful of Taliban, targeted by ISIS, persecuted Hazaras flee Afghanistan
  

By Stewart Bell & Jeff Semple Global News
October 16, 2021


When the Taliban took control of Afghanistan two months ago, they vowed to respect women and girls, despite a history of oppressing them. But human rights groups, as well as Afghans who have fled the country, paint a far gloomier picture of the future. Jeff Semple reports from Islamabad, Pakistan.


Down a narrow street in Bhara Kahu, on the northeast edge of Islamabad, a smiling man named Mustafa guided a reporter through a stairwell to a second-floor apartment.

The shoes amassed at the front door were the first sign it was a crowded place.

Inside, there was little in the way of furniture, only pillows, and eight families of refugees with the distinctive features of Afghan Hazaras.

Sacks of donated flour and rice leaned against a wall. A ceiling fan whirled, battling the afternoon heat.

Mohammad Ishaq sat on the carpet with his legs crossed, bandaging his left wrist with white gauze.

A girl living at an apartment filled with Hazara refugees from Afghanistan. Jeff Semple/Global News

He said it was broken by the Taliban when they came to his house in Kabul, asking for his daughters.

He tried to bluff them, claiming he had no children. But the Taliban saw all the shoes by the door. They accused him of lying and attacked him, he said.

After they left, the family fled for the Pakistan border.

The cramped apartment Ishaq now shares with other poor families in the Pakistani capital has become a makeshift refugee camp for Afghans.

All are ethnic Hazaras, who make up almost a tenth of Afghanistan’s population but are a persecuted minority.

READ MORE:  At an Islamabad hotel, Afghans who worked for Canada’s military await a new life

The return of the Taliban to power in August has stoked fears among Hazaras, who have long been mistreated for their ethnicity and Shia faith.

The last time the Taliban ruled Afghanistan, it declared “jihad” against Hazaras, and abuses and mass killings followed.

After the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, Hazaras were part of the U.S.-backed North Alliance that ousted the Taliban, and they were represented in the new government.

But they have continued to face repression, as well as horrific violence – much of it recently attributed to the Islamic State faction in Afghanistan, ISIS-K.

The terror group claimed responsibility for bombing a Shia mosque in Kunduz on Oct. 8, and a similar attack that killed more than 40 in Kandahar on Friday.

Suicide bomber kills 46 at Afghanistan mosque, wounds more than 140 – Oct 8, 2021

The Taliban’s official spokesperson denounced the latest bombing on Twitter, calling it a crime, and said security forces had been ordered to arrest those behind it.

A baby on her lap, Marzia said her husband, a driver, was killed in a bombing in the Hazara district of Kabul three-and-a-half months ago.

She did not know who was responsible, but several attacks occurred in the Hazara neighborhood Dasht-e-Barchi around that time. The bombing of a girls’ school in May killed almost 100.

Widowed and broke, Marzia said she sold everything she had and crossed into Pakistan. She said she was afraid of the Taliban and didn’t want to go back to Afghanistan.

“I came here because I don’t have anybody,” she said.

Islamabad’s Bhara Kahu neighborhood. Jeff Semple/Global News

Supported by locals who donate food and put them up in vacant rooms, the apartment residents have asked the United Nations refugee agency to resettle them in other countries.

But they face challenges in Pakistan while they wait.


A 2018 report by Pakistan’s National Commission for Human Rights lamented a “sharp increase in sectarian violence” between Shia Hazaras and the country’s Sunni majority.

“Hazaras have consistently been targeted by terrorists and religious fanatics since 1999 through suicide bombings and targeted killings, with more than 2,000 having reportedly been killed in the last 14 years,” it said.

The Canadian government has vowed to resettle 40,000 Afghans, notably those who worked for Canada’s military, but also vulnerable groups such as persecuted minorities.


Global National’s Jeff Semple films Hazara refugees at an Islamabad apartment,.
 Stewart Bell/Global News

Asked how many Hazaras were being resettled through the program, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada did not answer.

A spokesperson said 2,400 Afghans had arrived so far.

“We will continue to do everything we can to support Afghan refugees and show Canadian leadership in the face of this humanitarian crisis,” Peter Liang said.

But the Canadian Hazara Humanitarian Service said thousands of Hazaras were “either prisoners inside the Taliban’s lair or refugees in despair across neighbouring borders.”

The non-profit group has been fundraising to bring more Hazaras to Canada.

“Our non-profit organization has been flooded with messages and cries for help by Hazaras in Afghanistan as well as Hazara-Canadians that have loved ones stranded back home,” the group said on its Go Fund Me page.


Shoes at the entrance to an Islamabad apartment where Hazara refugees wait to be resettled. Jeff Semple/Global News

At the house for Hazara refugees, a man hobbled into a room on crutches carrying an X-ray. He said he was running away from an explosion in Kabul when he fell and broke his leg.

His son worked as a truck driver for the International Security Assistance Force in Bagram, he said. The family feared retribution from the Taliban and fled to Pakistan.

On the day they left, they saw the Taliban breaking into homes, looking for people, he said.

Leila, another resident of the refugee house, said she believed Hazara women would be forced to marry Taliban men.

For Hazaras, life was already hard before the Taliban took over the country, Leila said. Their schools, hospitals and mosques were under attack.

Now the Taliban is back in power, she said there was no hope.

Stewart.Bell@globalnews.ca


Unhappy with prices, US ranchers look to build own meat plants


 In this June 10, 2020 file photo, cattle occupy a feedlot in Columbus, Neb. Frustrated with persistently low prices, ranchers and others in the beef industry are moving to reverse decades of consolidation and planning to open new slaughterhouses. The plants will be smaller than those owned by the four beef company giants that now slaughter over 80% of the nation's cattle. That has led to some skepticism about whether the new plants will succeed. (AP Photo/Nati Harnik, File)

DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — Like other ranchers across the country, Rusty Kemp for years grumbled about rock-bottom prices paid for the cattle he raised in central Nebraska, even as the cost of beef at grocery stores kept climbing.

He and his neighbors blamed it on consolidation in the beef industry stretching back to the 1970s that resulted in four companies slaughtering over 80% of the nation’s cattle, giving the processors more power to set prices while ranchers struggled to make a living. Federal data show that for every dollar spent on food, the share that went to ranchers and farmers dropped from 35 cents in the 1970s to 14 cents recently.

It led Kemp to launch an audacious plan: Raise more than $300 million from ranchers to build a plant themselves, putting their future in their own hands.

“We’ve been complaining about it for 30 years,” Kemp said. “It’s probably time somebody does something about it.”

Crews will start work this fall building the Sustainable Beef plant on nearly 400 acres near North Platte, Nebraska, and other groups are making similar surprising moves in Iowa, Idaho and Wisconsin. The enterprises will test whether it’s really possible to compete financially against an industry trend that has swept through American agriculture and that played a role in meat shortages during the coronavirus pandemic.


The move is well timed, as the U.S. Department of Agriculture is now taking a number of steps to encourage a more diverse supply in the beef industry.

Still, it’s hard to overstate the challenge, going up against huge, well-financed competitors that run highly efficient plants and can sell beef at prices that smaller operators will struggle to match.

The question is whether smaller plants can pay ranchers more and still make a profit themselves. An average 1,370-pound steer is worth about $1,630, but that value must be divided between the slaughterhouse, feed lot and the rancher, who typically bears the largest expense of raising the animal for more than a year.

David Briggs, the CEO of Sustainable Beef, acknowledged the difficulty but said his company’s investors remain confident.

“Cattle people are risk takers and they’re ready to take a risk,” Briggs said.

Consolidation of meatpacking started in the mid-1970s, with buyouts of smaller companies, mergers and a shift to much larger plants. Census data cited by the USDA shows that the number of livestock slaughter plants declined from 2,590 in 1977 to 1,387 in 1992. And big processors gradually dominated, going from handling only 12% of cattle in 1977 to 65% by 1997.

Currently four companies — Cargill, JBS, Tyson Foods and National Beef Packing — control over 80% of the U.S. beef market thanks to cattle slaughtered at 24 plants. That concentration became problematic when the coronavirus infected workers, slowing and even closing some of the massive plants, and a cyberattack last summer briefly forced a shutdown of JBS plants until the company paid an $11 million ransom.


The Biden administration has largely blamed declining competition for a 14% increase in beef prices from December 2020 to August. Since 2016, the wholesale value of beef and profits to the largest processors has steadily increased while prices paid to ranchers have barely budged.

The backers of the planned new plants have no intention of replacing the giant slaughterhouses, such as a JBS plant in Grand Island, Nebraska, that processes about 6,000 cattle daily — four times what the proposed North Platte plant would handle.

However, they say they will have important advantages, including more modern equipment and, they hope, less employee turnover thanks to slightly higher pay of more than $50,000 annually plus benefits along with more favorable work schedules. The new Midwest plants are also counting on closer relationships with ranchers, encouraging them to invest in the plants, to share in the profits.


The companies would market their beef both domestically and internationally as being of higher quality than meat processed at larger plants.

Chad Tentinger, who is leading efforts to build a Cattlemen’s Heritage plant near Council Bluffs, Iowa, said he thinks smaller plants were profitable even back to the 1970s but that owners shifted to bigger plants in hopes of increasing profits.


Now, he said, “We want to revolutionize the plant and make it an attractive place to work.”

Besides paying ranchers more and providing dividends to those who own shares, the hope is that their success will spur more plants to open, and the new competitors will add openness to cattle markets.


Derrell Peel, an agricultural economist at Oklahoma State University, said he hopes they’re right, but noted that research shows even a 30% reduction in a plant’s size will make it far less efficient, meaning higher costs to slaughter each animal.

Unless smaller plants can keep expenses down, they will need to find customers who will pay more for their beef, or manage with a lower profit margin than the big companies.

“We have these very large plants because they’re extremely efficient,” Peel said.

According to the North American Meat Institute, a trade group that includes large and mid-size plants, the biggest challenge will be the shortage of workers in the industry.

It’s unfair to blame the big companies and consolidation for the industry’s problems, said Tyson Fresh Meats group president Shane Miller.

“Many processors, including Tyson, are not able to run their facilities at capacity in spite of ample cattle supply,” Miller told a U.S. Senate committee in July. “This is not by choice: Despite our average wage and benefits of $22 per hour, there are simply not enough workers to fill our plants.”

The proposed new plants come as the USDA is trying to increase the supply chain. The agency has dedicated $650 million toward funding mid-size and small meat and poultry plants and $100 million in loan guarantees for such plants. Also planned are new rules to label meat as a U.S. product to differentiate it from meat raised in other countries.

“We’re trying to support new investment and policies that are going to diversify and address that underlying problem of concentration,” said Andy Green, a USDA senior adviser for fair and competitive markets.

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Follow Scott McFetridge on Twitter: https://twitter.com/smcfetridge

Strike dodged with deal between film and TV crews, studios


A poster advocating union solidarity hangs from a Costume Designers Guild office building, Monday, Oct. 4, 2021, in Burbank, Calif. The International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees (IATSE) overwhelmingly voted to authorize a strike for the first time in its 128-year history. (AP Photo/Chris Pizzello)


LOS ANGELES (AP) — An 11th-hour deal was reached Saturday, averting a strike of film and television crews that would have seen some 60,000 behind-the-scenes workers walk off their jobs and would have frozen productions in Hollywood and across the U.S.

After days of marathon negotiations, representatives from the International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees and from the studios and entertainment companies who employ them reached the three-year contract agreement before a Monday strike deadline, avoiding a serious setback for an industry that had just gotten back to work after long pandemic shutdowns.

“This is a Hollywood ending,” union president Matthew Loeb said. “Our members stood firm.”

The workers still must vote to approve it, but the strike has been called off with the tentative deal.

Many in Hollywood celebrated the news.

“Good for @IATSE for standing your ground. And don’t forget we got your back anytime you need us,” comedian, actor and writer Patton Oswalt said on Twitter.

Another actor, comic and writer, Yvette Nicole Brown, tweeted ”#UnionStrong!” along with a link to a story reporting the agreement.

“Congratulations IATSE brothers and sisters!” Jennifer Garner said on Instagram.

The effects of the strike would have been immediate, with crews not only on long-term productions but daily series including network talk shows walking off their jobs. Shows with short turnarounds like soap operas would also have felt immediate effects.

The union represents cinematographers, camera operators, set designers, carpenters, hair and makeup artists and many others.

Union members said previous contracts allowed their employers to force them to work excessive hours and deny them reasonable rest via meal breaks and sufficient time off between shifts. Leaders said the lowest paid crafts were receiving unlivable wages and streaming outlets including Netflix, Apple and Amazon were allowed to work them even harder for less money.

IATSE’S statement Saturday said the agreement “addresses core issues, including reasonable rest periods; meal breaks; a living wage for those on the bottom of the pay scale; and significant increases in compensation to be paid by new-media companies.”

The union reported on Oct. 4 that its members had voted overwhelmingly to authorize a strike, setting off industry-wide fears, but talks immediately resumed between IATSE and the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers, which represents the studios and other entertainment companies in negotiations.

“We went toe to toe with some of the richest and most powerful entertainment and tech companies in the world, and we have now reached an agreement with the AMPTP that meets our members’ needs,” Loeb said.

AMPTP spokesman Jarryd Gonzales confirmed the agreement had been reached.

A Monday strike deadline was set on Wednesday when talks stagnated, but the union said subsequent negotiations were productive.

It would have been the first nationwide strike in the 128-year history of IATSE, and would have affected not just the Los Angeles area and New York but growing production hubs like Georgia, New Mexico and Colorado.

During negotiations, many prominent names in entertainment spoke out in favor of the union’s demands, including Octavia Spencer, Mindy Kaling and Jane Fonda. The Directors Guild of America issued a statement of solidarity too, signed by the likes of Steven Spielberg, Christopher Nolan, Barry Jenkins, Ron Howard and Ava DuVernay.

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Associated Press Film Writer Lindsey Bahr contributed to this story from Pittsburgh.

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Follow AP Entertainment Writer on Twitter: https://twitter.com/andyjamesdalton.

 Hollywood film-crew union IATSE reaches tentative deal, averting strike



2021/10/17 
By Lisa Richwine and Bhargav Acharya

LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - A union that represents about 60,000 behind-the-scenes workers in film and television reached a tentative deal with producers on Saturday, averting a strike that threatened to cause widespread disruption in Hollywood, negotiators said.

The International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees (IATSE), which includes camera operators, make-up artists, sound technicians and others, said negotiators agreed to a new three-year contract.

"This is a Hollywood ending," Matthew Loeb, president of the union, said in an emailed statement. "Our members stood firm. They're tough and united."

Shutdowns from the COVID-19 pandemic had caused a production backlog that led to crews working up to 14 hours a day to feed programming to streaming services.

The union had threatened to strike starting Monday if it was unable to reach an agreement with the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers (AMPTP).

A strike would have shut down film and television production around the United States in the biggest stoppage since the 2007-2008 strike by Hollywood screenwriters. It would have hit a wide range of media companies including Netflix Inc, Walt Disney Co and Comcast Corp.

IATSE was seeking to reduce working hours and raise the pay of members who work on shows for streaming platforms, where lower rates were set 10 years ago when online video was in its infancy.

IATSE, in its statement, said the proposed contract addresses those issues, including rest periods, meal breaks, a living wage for those on the bottom of the pay scale, and significant increases in compensation to be paid by new-media companies.

The new labor agreement is subject to approval by IATSE's membership.
Bitcoin-mining power plant raises ire of environmentalists
By MICHAEL HILLyesterday


1 of 7
Smokestacks from the Greenridge Generation power plant tower above nearby homes, Friday, Oct. 15, 2021, in Dresden, N.Y. One Bitcoin mining operation in central New York came up with a novel solution in finding cheap energy to run the power-gobbling computer arrays that create and transact cryptocurrency: It took over Greenidge Generation which now produces about 44 megawatts to run 15,300 computer servers, plus additional electricity it sends into the state's power grid. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)


An obstacle to large-scale bitcoin mining is finding enough cheap energy to run the huge, power-gobbling computer arrays that create and transact cryptocurrency. One mining operation in central New York came up with a novel solution that has alarmed environmentalists. It uses its own power plant.

Greenidge Generation runs a once-mothballed plant near the shore of Seneca Lake in the Finger Lakes region to produce about 44 megawatts to run 15,300 computer servers, plus additional electricity it sends into the state’s power grid. The megawatts dedicated to Bitcoin might be enough electricity to power more than 35,000 homes.

Proponents call it a competitive way to mine increasingly popular cryptocurrencies, without putting a drain on the existing power grid.

Environmentalists see the plant as a climate threat.

They fear a wave of resurrected fossil-fuel plants pumping out greenhouse gasses more for private profit than public good. Seeing Greenidge as a test case, they are asking the state to deny renewal of the plant’s air quality permit and put the brakes on similar projects.

“The current state of our climate demands action on cryptocurrency mining,” said Liz Moran of Earthjustice. “We are jeopardizing the state’s abilities to meet our climate goals, and we set the stage for the rest of the country as a result.”

The former coal plant, in a touristy region known for its glacial lakes and riesling wines, was converted to natural gas by Greenidge and began producing electricity in 2017. Bitcoin mining at the plant, which has a 106-megawatt capacity, started in earnest last year. The company said it was “bringing a piece of the world’s digital future” to upstate New York.

“For decades, this region has been told it would see new industries and opportunities,” Greenidge said in a prepared statement. “We are actually making it happen, and doing it fully within the state’s nation-leading high environmental standards.”

Bitcoin miners unlock bitcoins by solving complex, unique puzzles. As the value of Bitcoin goes up, the puzzles become increasingly more difficult, and it requires more computer power to solve them. Estimates on how much energy Bitcoin uses vary.

Greenidge said it mined 729 bitcoins over three months ending Sept. 30. The value of cryptocurrency fluctuates, and on Friday, one bitcoin was worth over $59,000.

Opponents are frustrated that Greenidge applied to run a power plant but are now operating a mine that is taking up more of the plant’s power.

Greenidge says mining was not part of the plan when the plant came back online and note they continue to provide power to the grid. From January through June, Greenidge said it used 58% of its power for mining.

Supporters see it as an economic boon in a part of upstate New York that could use the help. Douglas Paddock, chairman of the Yates County Legislature, testified at a public hearing this week that the plant has brought 45 high-paying jobs and made a “significant contribution” to the area through tax payments and capital investments.

Some opposition to the plant centers on the potential effects of its water withdrawals from Seneca Lake. But air quality issues have taken center stage as the state Department of Environmental Conservation reviews the plant’s air emission permits.

Greenidge has said it’s in compliance with its permits and that the plant is 100% carbon neutral, thanks to the purchase of carbon offsets, such as forestry programs and projects that capture methane from landfills.

Opponents claim the plant undercuts the state’s efforts to dramatically slash greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades under its 2019 climate law.

A large coalition of environmental groups and other organizations this week asked Gov. Kathy Hochul to deny the air permit for Greenidge and to take a similar action to keep an existing plant near Buffalo from becoming a mining site. The coalition wants Hochul to set a “national precedent” and enact a statewide moratorium on the energy intensive “proof-of-work” cryptocurrency used by bitcoin miners.

Environmentalists estimate that there are 30 plants in New York that could be converted into mining operations.

“I really think more than anything, this plant is a significant test for whether the state’s climate law is really worth anything,” said Judith Enck, who served as the EPA’s regional northeastern U.S. administrator under President Barack Obama.

Sens. Chuck Schumer and Kirsten Gillibrand have separately asked the federal Environmental Protection Agency to exercise oversight.

Around the country, there are other power plants being used for cryptocurrency mining under different types of arrangements.

In Venango County, Pennsylvania, a generation plant that converts coal waste into power is being used to mine bitcoins and can provide electricity to the grid when needed. Stronghold Digital Mining has plans to replicate that kind operation at two other sites in Pennsylvania.

And in Montana, a coal-fired generating station is now providing 100% of its energy to Marathon Digital Holdings for bitcoin mining under a power purchase agreement.

“We had previously done what many miners do, which is you find an industrial building, set it up for mining and then you contract for power from the grid,” Marathon CEO Fred Thiel said. “And we wanted to flip that model upside down because we knew that there are lots of underutilized energy generation sources in the U.S.”

Thiel said that harmful emissions are low because of the quality of the coal and pollution controls, and that the plant would be carbon offset by the end of next year. He said his company is focused on moving toward renewable energy, saying cryptocurrency miners can provide crucial financial incentives to build more clean energy projects.

New York state has yet to make a determination on Greenidge’s permits.

Greenidge said that even if the plant ran at full capacity, its potential emissions equate to 0.23% of the state’s greenhouse gas emissions reduction target for 2030.

However, state Environmental Commissioner Basil Seggos tweeted last month that “Greenidge has not shown compliance with NY’s climate law” based on goals in that law.

“New York state is leading on climate change,” Seggos said in a prepared statement, “and we have some major concerns about the role cryptocurrency mining may play in generating additional greenhouse gas emissions.”
MORAL PERSUASION WON'T WORK ON BIG PHARMA
Pope asks pharmaceutical companies to release patents for COVID-19 vaccines


Pope Francis is shown during Easter Mass in St Peter's basilica in Saint Peter's Basilica, in the Vatican in April. On Saturday, he called on bio-tech companies to release the patent on COVID-19 vaccines.
Photo by Stefano Spaziani/UPI | License Photo


Oct. 16 (UPI) -- Pope Francis appealed to pharmaceutical companies to drop their patents on COVID-19 vaccines to make them more widely available in poor countries.

Francis made his remarks Saturday during a 38-minute speech delivered via video link to the World Meeting of Popular Movements, which brought together social justice movements from around the world, reports America magazine, a Catholic-focused publication.

The first pope from Latin America, Francis pointed out that only 3 or 4% of the populations of some countries are vaccinated.

"Make a gesture of humanity and allow every country, every people, every human being, to have access to the vaccines," Francis said, according to a transcript of his remarks.

As the pandemic drags on, a sizable gap in access to vaccines has grown between rich and poor countries. Roughly 77% of shots administered worldwide have gone to people in high- and upper-middle-income countries, according to The New York Times vaccine tracker.

In the U.S. and Canada, 67% of the population has had at least one dose of COVID-19, according to the tracker. In Latin America, that number is 60% and 56% in Asia. In the Middle East, 40% of the population has received one dose, and 7.5% in Africa.

Some public health officials have argued that bridging the disparity in vaccination rates is necessary to ending the pandemic and preventing the emergency of highly transmissible variants of the virus, such as the Dela varian. They've criticized upper-income countries for prioritizing booster shots over getting the first doses to the world's poor.

"We will not stop the Delta variant or COVID-19 until the world is vaccinated," Dr. Anna Durbin, director of the Center for Immunization Research at Johns Hopkins University, told reporters last month.

"Data on the need for booster shots is still coming in, but we really need to focus on getting the unvaccinated vaccinated before we can think about booster doses," she said.

In his speech, Francis made other wide-ranging appeals. He asked financial institutions to cancel debt for poor countries, natural resource industries to stop polluting, corporations to make food more accessible to the hungry and arms manufacturers to cease, among others.

"Personal change is necessary, but it is also indispensable to adjust our socio-economic models so that they have a human face, because many models have lost it," said Francis. "And thinking about these situations, I make a pest of myself with my questions. And I go on asking. And I ask everyone in the name of God."
New tool predicts the Earth's landscape as sea levels rise
By Lauren Fox, Accuweather.com

Cars are left stranded on the Long Island Expressway due to flooding from a massive downpour of rain from Hurricane Ida on September 1.
 File Photo by John Angelillo/UPI | License Photo

How will climate change alter the landscape of the Earth over the next few hundred years? New interactive tools developed by researchers at Climate Central can paint that picture.

The tools demonstrate how much sea levels could rise if changes are or are not made in carbon pollution levels. If changes aren't made, Ben Strauss, CEO and chief scientist of Climate Central, a consortium of independent scientists and journalists based in Princeton, N.J., said that millions of people living along coastlines will be at-risk, and Asia will be the region of the world that will be most at-risk. Among all the nations at-risk, Vietnam has the highest risks from rising sea levels.

In the United States, South Florida, Boston, New York City and the Bay Area in California are most at risk of "a great deal of threats as well," Strauss said.


Hanoi, Vietnam, the nation's capital, could become below sea level if the current rate of warming on Earth continues.
Image courtesy of Climate Central

The graphics reveal what various landmarks across the world will look like in 2100 with 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) of warming and 3 C (5.4 F) of warming. With 1.5 C of warming, research suggests that ocean levels will rise 1.5 feet by the year 2100, compared to if the Earth warms 3 C, which would result in sea levels rising 21 feet by 2100.

"This study really looks at long-term sea levels where the threat would be permanent and complete inundation," Strauss said. "There a possibility to build defenses for sure, but we have to ask how deep a bowl they want to live in the bottom of."

The sections in yellow show which parts of Florida would be under water if global warming continues to rise at a rate of 3 degrees C, while the purple shows which parts would be underwater if global warming was scaled back to just 1.5 degrees C. Image courtesy of Climate Central
Some 50 cities across the globe are at risk of losing their most-developed areas to rising sea levels.

"Even the low end is serious, but we'll have some time to deal with it," he said.

Under the "best-case scenario," Strauss said, sea levels could rise from 5-10 feet in the next few centuries, with 30 feet or more being the worst-case scenario.

"The whole point of our research was to show how large a choice we have," Strauss said. "It's really a choice between a manageable future and one where there would be so much sea level rise that many of our great coastal cities are likely to be lost."

According to Climate Central, some of the "most ambitious" goals from the Paris Climate Agreement would cut exposure by around 50.

Strauss said that while the rise will occur over multiple centuries, the study mainly focused on how much sea levels will rise -- not how quickly -- as the speed of the rise can be very difficult to predict.

"Think about your freezer. If you unplug your freezer, you know it's going to thaw, but you don't know hour by hour how many things will melt or when it will all finish melting," Strauss said. "The same thing is true when you do scientific projections of sea-level rise."

RELATED AAA: Vehicle auto safety systems often fail when driving in heavy rain

The rise may not reach its full effects for a few centuries, but what is done now to mitigate it is important. Strauss said the actions that are taken in the next few decades will "lock-in" the future for many of these historic locations that once seemed destined to last the test of time.

In many cities, the mitigation efforts may be too expensive or sea levels could be too high to fight back against, so saving them could be unrealistic at that point in time. Once the carbon is in the air, Strauss said it will continue to warm the planet for centuries to come.

"We would see relocation and loss of the great heritage we have and all of those coastal places," Strauss said. "It's up to us to prevent that."

We now know how badly our cities will be flooded due to climate change
Matthew Rozsa, Salon
October 16, 2021

A rescue workers walks in a flooded area to help residents as the Charente River overflows in Saintes after days of rainy weather causing flooding in western France, France, February 8, 2021. REUTERS - STEPHANE MAHE

When it comes to climate change, the point of no return has already passed.

That is the message of a new report published in the esteemed scientific journal Environmental Research Letters. It paints a picture of a future Earth in which, regardless of actions taken today, hundreds of millions of people will be displaced from their homes by rising sea levels. The carbon dioxide emissions already released into our atmosphere will linger for hundreds of years, warming the oceans and thus causing sea levels to rise. The only question now is whether the damage can be limited.

The answer, according to the report, is yes — but humans will need to take specific, drastic actions as soon as possible.

"Meeting the most ambitious goals of the Paris Climate Agreement will likely reduce exposure by roughly half and may avoid globally unprecedented defense requirements for any coastal megacity exceeding a contemporary population of 10 million," the authors write. (The report was co-written by Benjamin H. Strauss and Scott A. Kulp of Climate Central, DJ Rasmussen of Princeton University and German scientist Ander Levermann.) The long-term goal of the Paris Agreement is to limit the mean increase in global temperatures to no more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Even if that happens, however, oceans will continue to swell, meaning there will be millions upon millions of drenched city dwellers.

"Roughly 5 percent of the world's population today live on land below where the high tide level is expected to rise based on carbon dioxide that human activity has already added to the atmosphere," Strauss told AFP. With roughly 7.8 billion human beings alive today, this means approximately 390 million currently live on land that will be under the high tide level as a result of climate change.

That said, reducing the temperature rise is crucial, experts say. If Earth's average temperature increases by even half a degree Celsius, an extra 200 million people will be vulnerable to the effects of sea level rise and increased storm surges. Each successive degree only increases the damage, as sea levels progressively rise and thereby displace more people.

Want more health and science stories in your inbox? Subscribe to Salon's weekly newsletter The Vulgar Scientist.

In the report, the scientists offer detailed projections for the 20 most-affected large countries (those with at least 25 million people) in terms of the percentages of their populations that currently occupy land below high tide lines based on different warming scenarios. If the planet merely warms by 1.5°C, 2.8 percent of the population of the United States could be directly impacted. Increase that by half a degree, and suddenly 5.9 percent of Americans could deal with rising sea levels. If it goes up by 3°C or 4°C, 7.9 percent or 9.9 percent of the American population could see rising sea levels where they live.

Things will be particularly bad in New York City, where officials are already considering sea walls and other measures to fortify its population against rising sea levels. Even under the most ambitious Paris Agreement target, land will fall under the high tide line that is currently home to 6.7 percent of the population. At 2°C, that rises to 13 percent; at 3°C, it reaches 19 percent; and at 4°C, it hits 28 percent.

The most vulnerable region, however, is Asia. Nine of the ten megacities at the highest risk are on that continent, and many of the countries with the starkest projections are also located there. The jump from 1.5°C to 2°C makes the difference, in Vietnam and Bangladesh, between more or less than half of their total populations living below the high tide line. If the planet's temperature rises to 4°C above pre-industrial levels, more than 60 percent of those nations' populations could fall below the high tide line. More than 30 percent of the populations of Egypt, Thailand, Malaysia, the Philippines, Japan and Myanmar would also suffer that fate in a scenario where the temperature rises by more than 4°C.

Climate Central has also released visual illustrations of how prominent American landmarks will look after sea level rises. Almost all of the land around the Statue of Liberty National Monument will be submerged, as will the area surrounding Space Center Houston. Yet these and other major landmarks would almost certainly have to be abandoned long before sea levels rose that high, as there will be an increase in heavy rainfalls and storm surges.


MANDATES WORK COST NOTHING
State lotteries didn't help boost COVID-19 vaccination rates, study says

By Steven Reinberg, HealthDay News

Lotteries were ineffective at improving vaccination rates in states that offered them, with a new study showing rates were the same in states with the contests and those without them. 
File Photo by John Angelillo/UPI | License Photo

A shot at winning $1 million did nothing to budge the number of people who got the COVID-19 jab.According to a new study, lotteries in 19 states designed to encourage people to get vaccinated for COVID-19 did not alter the rate of those who got the shot. In fact, vaccination rates were the same in lottery and non-lottery states.

"It's possible that the group that you're trying to convince to get vaccinated is not convinced that they want the vaccine at all," said researcher Andrew Friedson, an associate professor of economics at the University of Colorado in Denver.

"Maybe they've been subject to some incorrect information with regard to the dangers of vaccines or with regard to the benefits of vaccines, and then unless you're able to adjust their beliefs, no incentive is going to make a difference," he said.

For the study, Friedson and his colleagues looked at the number of COVID-19 vaccinations given per 1,000 people before and after the lotteries were announced.

RELATED One-third of initially vaccine hesitant ultimately obtain COVID-19 shot, study finds

The researchers compared that data to the number of COVID-19 vaccines given in states that did not offer prize incentives.

The investigators found little to no association between having a lottery and vaccination rates. There was essentially "zero difference" in vaccination rates in states that had a lottery versus those that didn't, Friedson said.

"If you believe something is dangerous, a lottery ticket is not going to convince you to do it," he noted.

RELATED Poll: Two-thirds of parents plan to vaccinate kids age 5-11 against COVID-19

Friedson thinks the only approach that might work to reach those who refuse to get vaccinated is some sort of education program that would convince people the vaccines are safe and effective.

"I'm willing to try anything within reason," he said. "So we've tried lotteries, they seem like they're not working, and now it's time to move on and try something new."

But changing minds is difficult, Friedson said, and there may be a hardcore group that won't get vaccinated, no matter what you do.

"I hope not," he said. "But that is certainly a possibility. We're definitely getting into a group that's far more difficult to convince, and I do not know what it's going to take."

The report was published online Friday in JAMA Health Forum.

Dr. Kevin Schulman, a professor of medicine at Stanford University's Clinical Excellence Research Center in Palo Alto, Calif., thinks lotteries were worth trying.

"Lotteries were important tactics to try and increase vaccination at a state level. Many of the states implementing lotteries were 'red' states, so I'm grateful that the Republican leadership began to get engaged in vaccination efforts. In the end, a tactic is not a communication strategy," Schulman said.

Communication tactics should be tested and evaluated to see if they are effective, Schulman added. "However, if a tactic fails, you need to implement other approaches to vaccine communication. In many cases, the lottery was a single effort and when it didn't have the intended effect, we didn't see follow-up with other programs," he said.

Another expert isn't surprised that offering money to people to go against their beliefs doesn't work.


"Most people make health choices weighing the risks, costs and benefits. In the case of vaccines, many chose to get vaccinated, as they value leading a long, healthful life," said Iwan Barankay. He is an associate professor of business economics and public policy at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, in Philadelphia

"Those who did not get vaccinated were not swayed by those precious health benefits, so it seems illogical that a few dollars in expected payouts could convince them otherwise. The result that small incentives do not affect health outcomes has been replicably shown in multiple recent clinical trials," he explained.

Also, a recent randomized field experiment in Philadelphia that varied incentives to get vaccinated also showed no effect on vaccination rates, Barankay said.

"There are, however, real socioeconomic and cultural barriers which lead people to avoid vaccines based on their preferences or experiences -- but again, small dollar amounts won't be able to address these," he added.

It is the experience of seeing friends, family and colleagues becoming sick, and the gains vaccine mandates bring in vaccination rates that make a difference, Barankay said.

"It is important to continue the effort to show people real data from their communities on the hospitalization rates of vaccinated versus unvaccinated people, and how mandates inside companies reduce COVID-19 case numbers due to an increase in vaccination rates," he said.More information

For more on COVID-19 vaccines, head to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

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