Saturday, June 15, 2024

Chinese Firm Says It’s Probing Case of Missing Russian Copper


Bloomberg News
Thu, Jun 13, 2024

(Bloomberg) -- The Chinese state-owned firm whose shipment of copper from Russia went missing said it’s investigating the matter which involves a monetary value of about 110 million yuan ($15 million).

Wuchan Zhongda Group Co. bought 2,000 tons of refined copper from a Russian company that should have been delivered last month but never arrived, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter.

In a statement Friday, the firm said it had conducted a preliminary review after media reports about its copper business. The case concerns an international trading subsidiary, it said.

“The company has a sound internal control system that can effectively manage and control risks related to trade operations,” it said. The value involved was small compared with group revenues of more than 580 billion yuan last year, it said, and the incident “will not have a significant impact on the company’s operations.”

The shipment was purchased from a Russian company called Regional Metallurgical Co. late last year, according to people familiar. But the metal was listed as much cheaper granite and has likely ended up in Turkey, according to the records of the shipping line that handled the consignment, the people said, declining to be identified discussing a sensitive matter.

 Bloomberg Businessweek
WORKERS CAPITAL
US Pensions Vie With Gulf Funds for First Shot at PE Deals





Marion Halftermeyer
Fri, Jun 14, 2024

(Bloomberg) -- It took Scott Chan two years to convince his bosses at the California State Teachers’ Retirement System to free up more cash for lucrative investments alongside the world’s biggest private equity firms.

In the time it took the Calstrs deputy chief investment officer to build his case, faster and nimbler investors — mostly Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds — snapped up more than $38 billion of such deals.

US pension funds, long among the most coveted clients for buyout firms, are rapidly losing ground to deep-pocketed Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds. That’s especially true in deals known as co-investments, where private equity managers tap favored investors to put more money into individual purchases — without the hefty fees. Sovereign wealth funds such as the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and Mubadala Investment Co. have been seizing on such opportunities, deploying billions to help get private equity deals over the line in recent years.

The increased competition for such deals comes just as they’re becoming a more important tool for US pensions to save on management fees and bet on higher returns. That’s changing the dynamics of how US pensions invest, public fund executives say. The largest US pensions are cranking into gear, revamping decision-making processes that made them slow to evaluate new investments and increasing allocations to capture more of these deals.

The board of the largest US pension fund, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System, or Calpers, has given its investment team permission to make decisions in 48 hours if they need to. At Calstrs, which manages approximately $338 billion, Chan persuaded the fund’s board this year to tweak an existing co-investment program to be more flexible and put more money to work.

“Pensions are trying to move a lot faster now that the big sovereign wealth funds are in the picture,” said Marcus Frampton, the chief investment officer for the $78 billion Alaska Permanent Fund. The fund made 50 co-investments in the past decade and last year decided to expand its private equity team to do more of such deals.

US public pensions, managed on behalf of teachers, firefighters and other public-sector workers, have for years invested in private equity funds as a means of generating strong returns with less volatility than in the public equity markets. The aim is to close a funding gap that has left many of them tens of billions short of covering expected retirement benefits.

But the asset class is expensive. Some US pensions spend roughly a half-billion dollars on private equity management fees per year.

In recent years, US pensions have ramped up co-investments to gain exposure to attractive companies in a fund’s underlying portfolio, with zero fees to pay. Calpers, which manages about $490 billion, increased its private equity target allocation to 17%, in part to shift more money into such co-investments. The pension made its biggest yet just last year, investing $750 million in an undisclosed US buyout deal.

Access to these deals often goes hand in hand with commitments to a private equity firm’s next fundraise. Meanwhile, private equity firms benefit from having a partner who can shoulder some of the risk at the outset, rather than fronting it all themselves.

The entry of giant sovereign wealth funds from the Middle East has introduced a complication. US pensions have historically taken weeks or even months to make an investment decision, hamstrung by a cumbersome process involving investment committees, consultant reviews and political battles over the stewardship of retirees’ money. By contrast, the likes of ADIA and Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund can commit large sums quickly — sometimes in hours.

“We needed to streamline the entire organization’s operations to become nimble so that we could compete in the marketplace at anyone’s speed and scale,” Chan said in an interview with Markets Group in March about the fund’s efforts to improve its co-investment strategy. “If we’re going to do a co-investment, we have to make sure we respond the same day.”

Calstrs saved $185.5 million in fees in 2022, helping to bolster Chan’s case. It now aims to do a co-investment for every fund investment it makes.

Calstrs can provide “quick turnarounds in making co-investment decisions and the ability to take down sizable amounts,” said Mindy Tirapelle, a spokesperson for Calstrs in an emailed response to Bloomberg’s questions about the pension fund’s co-investments.

Calpers declined to comment.

While US pensions aren’t new to co-investing, they’ve typically committed capital at a slower pace and in much smaller amounts than their sovereign wealth peers, which have grown at breakneck speed in recent years.

The 10 largest Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds manage a collective $4.5 trillion in assets, edging closer to the amount the 10 biggest public investors in the US, Australia and Canada manage combined. That means they have large investment targets to fulfill, which in turn is pushing some deals into the multibillion-dollar range.

KKR, EQT, and Brookfield all turned to Middle East sovereign wealth funds last year to help fund big-ticket deals. And Apollo Global Management Inc. Chief Executive Officer Marc Rowan said in February that the best investors are now in places such as Singapore and the United Arab Emirates.

“The first people that get phone calls for some of these deals, especially the bigger deals, are the people that can write a billion-dollar check into one deal,” said Michael Lazorik, the director for private equity principal investments at the roughly $200 million Teacher Retirement System of Texas. “That’s a small number of people.”

That means over the past eight years, Lazorik said, investors — also known as limited partners — who could commit to backstopping a deal with 10-figure sums carved out a new tier for themselves. In that time, Gulf countries have pushed through reforms on business policies and made other efforts to diversify their economies away from oil.

Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 program, launched in 2016, has fueled the kingdom’s aggressive investment strategy in companies abroad. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has said he wants to make investments the source of the government’s revenue, not oil. Instead of stashing a large share of their oil wealth in safe assets like cash, bank deposits and US debt, the sovereign funds are increasingly funneling money into investments in stocks, real estate, infrastructure and private equity.

The largest now underwrite deals alongside private equity firms and are involved much earlier in the investment process than historically was the case. Canadian and Australian public pension funds, as well as Singapore’s sovereign wealth funds GIC and Temasek, have been at the forefront of this type of investing and can keep up with the Middle Eastern players — and in some cases, when a deal gets too big, partner with them.

This has pushed some US pension funds into a so-called second tier. They get phone calls later, after a deal is signed, so that they buy sell-downs, portions of the investments that the larger limited-partners don’t want to keep.

Not every buyout firm has relegated US pensions to second place. Some have responded by creating an alternating system for who they offer deal access to first. More often than not, however, it’s about finding the money fast and avoiding having too many investors to negotiate deal terms with.

One large pension investor said that some money managers prefer a limited partner that has strict governance, as it forces more questions about a transaction and thereby adds a level of comfort to the viability of the deal itself. Many of the Middle East players are organized to write large tickets, but the speed of such deals leaves less time for due diligence compared to the approach of established limited partners, this person said, citing conversations with investment firms and experiences partnering with those players.

Still, US public pensions, which collectively manage several trillion, have started to tout that they, too, can be nimble and move quickly, and that they’re reliable long-term partners. Some of the more sizable ones still compete neck-in-neck with sovereigns on some deals.

“It’s very hard to attain a position in a private equity industry as an LP, and it’s even more important to maintain that position,” Lazorik said. To keep access to co-investments, limited partners often need to make promises of fat commitments in a private equity firm’s next fund raise. As both sovereign wealth funds and investment firm fund sizes grow larger, few US players can keep up.

Calstrs says its new policy makes them more competitive against rivals, letting the fund commit to very large deals that other US investors wouldn’t be able to do because of allocation constraints. Their eventual goal is to co-lead deals, taking as much as 49% ownership in companies and snagging observer board seats.

The largest US pension funds acknowledge privately that they’ve been eyeing the growth of sovereign wealth funds for the past decade, and watching how that has influenced their access to investment managers, according to people familiar with their thinking, who asked to remain anonymous discussing strategy that isn’t public.

Some of them even see trying to compete with the Middle East funds as a futile exercise.

Calpers invests $7.5 billion to $8 billion per year in co-investments, up from just $3 billion in 2022. This year it decided that it’s no longer planning to invest that money with the big-name private equity shops that run the blockbuster deals and garner steep competition with sovereign wealth funds.

Instead, Calpers is shifting its money to smaller managers and deals that can be less competitive. While the pension made that decision primarily to diversify its portfolio, getting meaningful traction with those funds is another benefit. As one person familiar said, Calpers wants to put its money where its tickets mean something.

 Bloomberg Businessweek
DP World Plans $3 Billion African Ports Investment by 2029



Jennifer Zabasajja and Paul Burkhardt
Fri, Jun 14, 2024

(Bloomberg) -- DP World plans to spend $3 billion over the next three to five years on new port and logistics infrastructure in Africa to meet long-term growth that includes surging demand for critical mineral exports.

“The cost of logistics and supply chain across Africa is very high relative to other global markets,” which presents a good opportunity, Mohammed Akoojee, DP World’s chief executive officer and managing director for sub-Saharan Africa, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. The port operator is expanding in Dar es Salaam in Tanzania and has recently assessed harbors in South Africa and Kenya for potential investment.

DP World will focus $2 billion of the upcoming investment on ports, specifically, and $1 billion on the logistics business, he said.

Eight of the world’s 15 fastest-growing economies will be in Africa this year, according to the International Monetary Fund. That’s luring companies including Dubai-based DP World, despite economic pain from accelerating inflation, depreciating currencies and high borrowing costs in the region.

Africa’s potential should be viewed over the long term, not by short-term macroeconomics, according to Akoojee. “It’s a cycle and it certainly hasn’t impacted our appetite for growth on the continent,” he said. “We’re still investing.”

A booming market for critical minerals including copper from Zambia and the Democratic Republic of Congo are helping drive the need for greater logistics capacity, Akoojee said. “We’ve seen demand increasing over the last few years, largely driven by the whole electrification drive globally and the demand for commodities like cobalt, lithium.”

Port Interest

DP World ’s Africa unit has 27,000 workers and covers ports, terminals, logistics and supply chain businesses. It failed in a bid to partner with South Africa’s Transnet SOC Ltd. to develop the biggest container port on the continent, losing to International Container Terminal Services Inc., which is owned by Filipino billionaire Enrique Razon.

That hasn’t deterred the company from looking to continue its expansion on the continent. As South Africa moves forward on the partial privatization of Transnet, “we remain interested in those opportunities,” Akoojee said. DP World is also looking at the port of Lamu in Kenya, where there’s also a privatization process underway.

You can follow Bloomberg’s reporting on Africa on WhatsApp. Sign up here.

--With assistance from Matthew Hill.

Bloomberg Businessweek
WWIII
New China rules allow detention of foreigners in South China Sea

Jing Xuan TENG
Sat, June 15, 2024 

A China Coast Guard ship maneuvers past a Philippine fishing boat in the disputed South China Sea (Ted ALJIBE)


New Chinese coast guard rules took effect Saturday, under which it can detain foreigners for trespassing in the disputed South China Sea, where neighbours and the G7 have accused Beijing of intimidation and coercion.

Beijing claims almost the entirety of the South China Sea, brushing aside competing claims from several Southeast Asian nations including the Philippines and an international ruling that its stance has no legal basis.

China deploys coast guard and other boats to patrol the waters and has turned several reefs into militarised artificial islands. Chinese and Philippine vessels have had a series of confrontations in disputed areas.


From Saturday, China's coast guard can detain foreigners "suspected of violating management of border entry and exit", according to the new regulations published online.

Detention is allowed up to 60 days in "complicated cases", they say.

"Foreign ships that have illegally entered China's territorial waters and the adjacent waters may be detained."

Manila has accused the Chinese coast guard of "barbaric and inhumane behaviour" against Philippine vessels, and President Ferdinand Marcos last month called the new rules a "very worrisome" escalation.

China Coast Guard vessels have used water cannon against Philippine boats multiple times in the contested waters.

There have also been collisions that injured Filipino troops.

Philippine military chief General Romeo Brawner told reporters on Friday that authorities in Manila were "discussing a number of steps to be undertaken in order for us to protect our fishermen".

Philippine fishermen were told "not to be afraid, but just to go ahead with their normal activities to fish there in our Exclusive Economic Zone", Brawner said.

The Group of Seven bloc on Friday criticised what it called "dangerous" incursions by China in the waterway.

"We oppose China's militarisation, and coercive and intimidation activities in the South China Sea," read a G7 statement at the end of a summit on Friday.

- G7 criticism -

The South China Sea is a vital waterway, where Vietnam, Malaysia and Brunei also have overlapping claims in some parts.

Most recently, however, confrontations between China and the Philippines have raised fears of a wider conflict over the sea that could involve the United States and other allies.

Trillions of dollars in ship-borne trade passes through the South China Sea annually, and huge unexploited oil and gas deposits are believed to lie under its seabed, though estimates vary greatly.

The sea is also important as a source of fish for growing populations.

China has defended its new coast guard rules. A foreign ministry spokesman said last month that they were intended to "better uphold order at sea".

And the Chinese defence minister warned this month that there were "limits" to Beijing's restraint in the South China Sea.

China has also been angered in the past by US and other Western warships sailing through the South China Sea.

The US Navy and others undertake such voyages to assert the freedom of navigation in international waters, but Beijing considers them violations of its sovereignty.

Chinese and US forces have had a series of close encounters in the South China Sea.


Philippine military chief urges fishermen to ignore China's new coastguard rules

Reuters
Updated Fri, June 14, 2024 


FILE PHOTO: Members of the media take footage of a Chinese Coast Guard vessel blocking a Philippine Coast Guard vessel on its way to a resupply mission at Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea


MANILA (Reuters) -The Philippine military chief urged Filipino fishermen to keep fishing in the country's exclusive economic zone in the South China Sea, despite China's new coastguard rules allowing it to detain trespassers without trial, which take effect on June 15.

China, which claims almost all of the South China Sea including parts claimed by the Philippines, Brunei, Malaysia, Taiwan and Vietnam, has issued new rules that would enforce a 2021 law allowing its coastguard to use lethal force against foreign ships in waters that it claims.

"That's our message to our fishermen, for them not to be afraid but to just go ahead with their normal activities in our exclusive economic zone," Armed Forces of the Philippines Chief Romeo Brawner told reporters on Friday.

"We have the right to exploit the resources in the area so our fishermen have no reason to be afraid," he added.

The new rules, which allows China's coastguard to detain suspected trespassers without trial for 60 days, have sparked international concerns, with the Philippines describing them as "worrisome" and a "provocation".

Taiwan's coastguard said in a statement "it will strengthen fishing protection tasks, resolutely defends the safety of our fishermen's operations and ensure the rights and interests of shipping, and defend national sovereignty”.

It also called on China "not to use this reason to justify unilateral acts that undermine regional peace".

The United States, which has a mutual defence treaty with the Philippines and is bound by law to provide Taiwan with the means to defend itself, said Chinese domestic law "has no applicability to other states’ flagged vessels in other states’ exclusive economic zones or in the high seas, according to the 1982 Law of the Sea Convention.

"Enforcement would be highly escalatory and detrimental to regional peace and security," a spokesperson for the U.S. State Department added. "We’ve urged Beijing – and all claimants – to comport their maritime claims with international law as reflected in the 1982 Law of the Sea Convention."

China has stepped up military activities near democratically-governed Taiwan, which it views as its own territory. It is also involved in an increasingly bitter stand-off with the Philippines in the disputed South China Sea.

The Chinese foreign ministry has said previously the new rules were meant to protect the maritime order, and that there was no need to worry if there was no illegal behaviour by the individuals and bodies involved.

(Reporting by Karen Lema; Additional reporting by Ben Blanchard and David Brunnstrom; Editing by Alex Richardson and Chizu Nomiyama)

BEFORE ISLAMOPHOBIA

 


EDWARD SAID; ORIENTALISM PDF

Originally published by Pantheon Books, A Division of. Random House, Inc., in November 1978. Library of Congress Cola/oging in Publico/ion Da/a. Said, Edward W.



Why Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos Want Women to Stay Barefoot and Pregnant

Thom Hartmann
Thu, June 13, 2024 

Elon Musk, the father of 11 children, thinks that declining population is a crisis and the world needs more babies—particularly those with his DNA—or there will be a catastrophe. For example, he recently proclaimed: “Population collapse due to low birth rates is a much bigger risk to civilization than global warming.”

Billionaire Jeff Bezos echoed the idea, promoting the fallacy that more people means “more Einsteins.” He said: “I would love to see, you know, a trillion humans living in the solar system. If we had a trillion humans, we would have at any given time a thousand Mozarts and a thousand Einsteins.… Our solar system would be full of life and intelligence and energy.”

The fact is, though, that countries with huge populations generally are more likely to have more slum dwellers than scientists or musicians. It’s only when people have widespread prosperity, so there’s time for a creative middle class to form, that such extraordinary people have the time to develop their talents.


This literally cancerous idea—that continual population growth is a good thing—has been with us for about 2,000 years, and, while it has arguably accounted for some of the positive aspects of modern civilization, it has also left our world in a shambles.

Nonetheless, it’s official doctrine within the Catholic Church, a tiny slice of orthodox Jews and Hindus, and major parts of Islam. Because Christianity and Islam are evangelical, they are constantly trying to spread their influence, the primary means by which they grow their political and economic power.

Close behind evangelism to accomplish that “larger army” is the doctrine that it’s the duty of families to be as large as possible, relegating “conservative ideal women” to broodmare status. Barefoot and pregnant. Kitchen and bedroom only.

The origin of this ideology dates back to the earliest times of warfare, when families, tribes, local baronies, or nation-states went to war. The biggest factor that determined who won a battle was which side had the larger army. And aggressively working against birth control and advocating fecundity is a great way to increase the pool of entrants to your army.

So, really, Musk and Bezos are just echoing a thought virus that has infected much of humanity since the early days of evangelical religion and warfare.

But that time of continuous human population growth is nearly over, and, billionaire eccentrics aside, populations are now declining in many parts of the world. We’d be seeing population decline here in the United States too, if it weren’t for immigration, both legal and otherwise.

It’s become a conservative tenet of faith—drawing from Catholicism, Islam, evangelical Christianity, and crackpot economics—that this decline in population is a bad thing. The biggest army and all that.

It also seems to have captured the mainstream media as if it were conventional wisdom. It’s very rare that you see reporting about population declines that doesn’t position them—often with headlines announcing a “population crisis”—as failures or disasters.

But there are significant advantages to population declines when they’re done thoughtfully and are not the result of disaster. These include economic, environmental, and social benefits that are substantial.

The first is that wages generally rise as populations decline because there is more competition among employers than among employees. Conservatives and, weirdly, the mainstream press present this as a bad thing, although they rarely talk about insurance, banking, or private equity executives walking off with over a billion dollars as something we should know or care about.

We saw this play out in a huge way at a particularly unique moment of history: the Black Plague. When it decimated fourteenth-century Europe, killing a third to half of all the people in just a few short years, the labor force of survivors became so small that—even though kings and usually their barons had literally the power of life or death—workers could negotiate with their employers and demand good pay, fewer working hours, and meaningful benefits.

The result was a flowering of civilization, arts, music, and literature; suddenly, working-class people were paid well enough that they could be creative in their spare time. We called that era the Renaissance, and it was an example of the first truly “middle” class in the history of the post–agricultural revolution world.

The main gift of the Renaissance to future generations was that it birthed the first guilds, the prototype for today’s modern unions.

As working-age population declines, unions will get stronger, which has always, historically, had a positive effect on society.

It’s also better for business: Studies show that unionization reduces worker turnover, which is both expensive and dangerous in many industries. When companies treat workers fairly, workers treat their employers back fairly.

We saw this in the era from 1945 until 1980, when unions were so powerful that CEOs rarely took more than 30 times what the top worker made, while working-class wages were rising faster than any time in American history.

This was, of course, the time before the Reagan Revolution, when an average worker with a single income could buy a home, raise a family, put their kids through college, buy a new car every two years, and take a vacation every summer. Ask any Boomer.

Strong unions reduce economic inequality primarily by lifting up out of poverty an entire middle class. That’s what happened in this country during that roughly 40-year period, until Reagan and the billionaires who own the GOP took a meat ax to it all.

A smaller number of people in the workplace also makes it much harder for businesses to maintain historic and rigid racial and gender hierarchies and pay scales. The workplace becomes more diverse, more interesting, and more innovative. Reducing population is thus also the ultimate women’s equality move.

There’s also less need for extensive infrastructure, like building new office buildings, housing, and shopping centers. This allows the resources of a society to be redirected toward making sure everybody has full access to quality health care and education, and to rebuild the physical, economic, and social infrastructure of the nation.

These don’t just benefit everybody, they also generate overall, nationwide economic prosperity.

As technology continues to advance and replace humans, everything from computers to supermarket checkouts to artificial intelligence is reducing the need for human laborers. A smaller population balances for this, so the impact of automation is also diminished while its benefits are enhanced.

There are also substantial environmental benefits to declining populations. There’s less of a strain on natural resources, less deforestation, and lower greenhouse gas emissions.

Smaller human populations produce smaller populations of our food animals, which represent about 60 percent of all mammalian flesh on earth. The world’s biodiversity can then be enhanced, wildlife and wild spaces protected, ecosystems repaired, and ecological balance restored.

Catholic and evangelical ideologues continue portraying population decline as a bad thing. But they’re fighting an uphill battle; women all over the world are choosing fewer babies (where they can), sperm counts are collapsing, and infertility is rampant (both, apparently, because we’ve poisoned our environment and food supply trying to meet the needs of eight billion people).

That won’t stop Republicans on the Supreme Court and in Congress, however, from pandering to those groups with their anti-abortion and anti–birth control legislative and judicial attacks on women’s rights.

But, as Dwight Eisenhower once wrote about a couple of oil baron brothers and their followers, “Their number is negligible and they are stupid.”





US judge blocks Biden's Title IX protections for LGBTQ+ students in some states

Nate Raymond
Fri, June 14, 2024

A federal judge in Louisiana on Thursday blocked President Joe Biden's administration from enforcing in four states a new rule that protects LGBTQ+ students from discrimination based on their gender identity in schools and colleges.

U.S. District Judge Terry Doughty in Monroe issued a preliminary injunction barring a U.S. Department of Education rule that extended sex discrimination protections under Title IX to LGBTQ+ students from taking effect in the Republican-led states of Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana and Idaho.

Those states had argued that unless the rule was blocked, schools would be required to allow transgender students to use restrooms and locker rooms conforming to their gender identities.

Students and advocates rally to call for the Biden administration to release a final Title IX rule in Washington, DC on Tuesday, Dec. 5, 2023.

"Enacting the changes in the final rule would subvert the original purpose of Title IX: protecting biological females from discrimination," Doughty, an appointee of Republican former President Donald Trump, wrote.

The ruling was the first by a judge blocking the rule, which had been challenged in nine lawsuits by Republican-led states and conservative activists who argue it amounts to an unlawful rewrite by the Democratic president's administration of a law designed to protect women from discrimination in education.

"This is a big win for women's rights," Montana Attorney General Austin Knudsen, a Republican, said in a statement. "This decision will keep young women and girls protected from dangerous situations, just as Title IX has done for decades."

An Education Department spokesperson said it is reviewing the ruling but stands by the rule, which takes effect Aug. 1.

New Title IX rules, explained: Biden finalizes policies to boost rights of sexual assault victims, LGBTQ+ students

The department in issuing the rule in April said it clarified that the prohibition against sex-based discrimination in schools and colleges that receive federal funding contained in Title IX of the Education Amendments of 1972 also includes discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity.

The department cited a 2020 U.S. Supreme Court decision holding that a ban against sex discrimination in the workplace contained in a different law, Title VII, covered gay and transgender workers.

Courts often rely on interpretations of Title VII when analyzing Title IX as both laws bar discrimination on the basis of sex.

But Doughty agreed with the Republican state attorneys general of Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana and Idaho that the rule was "inconsistent with the text, structure, and purpose of Title IX."

Biden promised to reform Title IX. Students are tired of waiting

Doughty said the rule would require schools to use whatever pronouns a student preferred and allow them to access bathrooms and locker rooms based on their gender identity, an issue of political significance the agency lacked authority to address.

He said it also ran afoul of the U.S. Constitution's Spending Clause by containing ambiguous conditions and violating other constitutional provisions, including the First Amendment's protections for free speech and the free exercise of religion.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Biden protections for LGBTQ+ students blocked in some states by judge
Global rush for farmland could trigger world war, documentary argues

Saul Elbein
Fri, June 14, 2024 at 3:30 AM MDT·8 min read
16


Global rush for farmland could trigger world war, documentary argues

A global network of powerful entities, fueled in part by Wall Street, is buying up land and water around the world.


This global land rush has led to wrecked wells and lost farms from Arizona to Zambia — and it risks sowing the seeds for future global conflict, according to “The Grab,” a new documentary out today from Gabriela Cowperthwaite, the director of “Blackfish.”

The film follows a seven-year investigation by producer and journalist Nathan Halverson of The Center for Investigative Reporting as he peels back the layers of a deceptively simple question: Why did a state-backed Chinese corporation buy America’s biggest pork producer in 2013?


“The Grab” hits U.S. markets at a fraught time for food policy: Congress remains deadlocked over the farm bill, and critics on both left and right are raising concerns over the impact of corporate consolidation on U.S. agriculture as farms grow ever bigger and more specialized.

Republicans in the House and Senate have proposed freezing food aid at current funding levels to direct tens of billions of dollars in additional subsidies to high-income farmers of rice, cotton and peanuts — crops of which significant percentages are exported to the wider world.

“The Grab” digs into some of the forces driving the consolidation and food exports — and their potential consequences.

When countries like China import food, Halverson notes in the film, they’re often doing so “as a proxy for water,” which the world’s most populous nation is running short of amid population movements and climate change.

The combination of those potential shortages and a rising — and increasingly carnivorous — middle class in China and elsewhere have combined to create a global push to buy up fertile land in places where it is still plentiful.

One critical focus of this push is Africa. Halverson interviewed Brig Siachitema, an activist in the Zambian town of Serenje, where he says foreign investors have been buying up the ancestral land of villagers and kicking them off it.

“What we are seeing is really a new scramble for Africa,” Siachitema says in the interview. “The only difference is, before they were scrambling for minerals. This time around, they are scrambling for land.”

That includes the United States. In 2015, Halverson broke the story that Saudi-owned alfalfa farms were sucking down the groundwater of Arizona to grow feed for cattle — something the kingdom grew itself until it depleted its own groundwater.

For residents of La Paz County, Ariz., for example, that lost groundwater left wells nonfunctional. Landowner Wayne Wade first noticed a problem when the water level in his well went below his pump “and the pump burned up and melted the casing,” Wade tells Halverson in “The Grab.”

“Everybody knows the problem, but no one knows how to correct it,” Wade adds. “You just take and take and take, and pretty soon there isn’t anything to take.”

In making the film, Cowperthwaite told The Hill, she sought to steer away from what she saw as a polarized, dead-end conversation about climate change — and focus on a film “in the context of power.”

Gabriela Cowperthwaite and Nathan Halverson of “The Grab” pose in the Getty Images Portrait Studio Presented by IMDb and IMDbPro at Bisha Hotel & Residences on September 9, 2022, in Toronto. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images)

“And I think that’s something that sort of every Zambian villager in Serenje will feel — similarly to every Trump-voting farmer in Arizona,” she added.

In part, “The Grab” argues that power is being exercised over individual landowners by a convoluted and opaque network of sovereign wealth funds, national governments and Wall Street.

When Halverson tried to uncover the identities of the white farmers kicking the Zambians off their land, he found “a Russian doll of LLCs within LLCs that could be owned by anyone,” he says in the film. He found the story is often similarly murky in the U.S.

Late in the movie, he presents La Paz County Supervisor Holly Irwin, a staunch critic of the Saudi alfalfa farm, with evidence that the Arizona State Retirement System — her own pension fund — is invested in the project that is draining the aquifer beneath the county.

In the U.S., Halverson says in the film, “it’s a fight against the same corporations that are taking food globally.” Rather than fighting to protect U.S. land and food from other multinational corporations, “the governments are working for the corporations.”

But the power involved in the land rush scales up to the geopolitical level as well, driven ultimately by the titanic shifts happening within China — a country once so poor that “in 1980, [it] was a country of basically forced vegetarians,” Halverson told The Hill.

Over the back half of the 20th century, he noted, China “did something absolutely amazing”: It pulled 400 million people out of poverty, such that its middle class is larger than the entire U.S. population.

“That’s a huge win for the world — but the unintended consequence is they’re eating diets more like Western diets. Which means more meat,” he said. As part of his reporting, he came across a WikiLeaks cable from an executive at Nestlé, the world’s largest food company, following a tour of China.

“He said straight up: If [all countries] ate as much meat as America, the world would have run out of water in the year 2000,” Halverson said of the cable’s contents.

Now, he said, the government of China — like that of India, or Brazil, or Saudi Arabia — “wants to make sure their people have enough. And if you add climate change on top of that, then what you’re talking about is, increased droughts, increased flooding, more variability in an increasingly tighter global food system.”

That goal leads to a paradox, “The Grab” shows. As experts interviewed in the film emphasize, there are enough calories worldwide to feed a growing global population, even with climate change, and even in 2050. But they say the race to lock down resources, and governments’ panic over the unrest caused by spiking food prices, risks scaling up to a war between great powers.

“I’ll tell you, as a practical matter,” former CIA analyst Robert Mitchell tells Halverson in the film, “while the policymakers are debating, whoever needs water and has guns will go get it.”

Water is a hidden factor in a wide array of geopolitical conflicts. In the Jordan Valley in the Israel-occupied West Bank, for instance, human rights groups have documented that the majority of water goes to a network of Israeli settlements, as Palestinian farms go dry. In the ongoing conflict in Gaza, meanwhile, the United Nations special rapporteur on human rights has accused Israel of using access to water “as a weapon of war.”

Water also may have played a significant role in the Russian invasion of Ukraine — the “breadbasket of Europe” — which came after a decade of calls by Russian officials for major food-producing countries wield more power in markets. Russian President Vladimir Putin has for years pushed for a global grain cartel modeled on OPEC.

“Food that has become the second oil — and much more powerful than oil,” the head of Russian meat company Miratorg tells Halverson. In the future, food “will give political strength to Russia, much more than weapons,” he said.

“The Grab” charts how in the aftermath of Putin’s invasion of the Crimean Peninsula in 2014, the government in Kyiv dammed the principal canal supplying 85 percent of the region’s water — forcing Russia to spend billions of dollars in shipping in water to the peninsula’s cities and slashing the amount of irrigated land in the region by as much as 90 percent.

Halverson stopped short of saying that Crimean water was the cause of the invasion — although he noted that one of the first things Russian troops did after the invasion was blow the dam and reopen the canal.

“But we’re pushing back on the idea that this was just Putin puffing up his chest,” he told The Hill. “The only way [Russia was] going to turn that water back on was by going into that part of Ukraine.”

So as Russian troops massed on the border of Ukraine in 2022, “while a lot of people were naysaying the invasion, we were watching it very closely, because we were tracking it through that resource grab,” he said.

The subsequent war in Ukraine has killed half a million people and released a vast plume of planet-heating carbon dioxide — and it could be just the beginning of a new era of open warfare over access to farmland and water, Cowperthwaite contends. She told The Hill that the war in Eastern Europe pushed a potential conflict from the film that was still at a level of “brinksmanship” — but that could, from a geopolitical perspective, be even worse.

In Northeast Africa, she noted, Egypt and Ethiopia are at odds over the latter’s Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, which could potentially block the Blue Nile, the tributary that supplies 85 percent of the river’s flow.

Negotiations to guarantee Egyptians’ supplies in the case of a drought — which would force Ethiopia to open the dam, and let its own water out, to supply its neighbor — have repeatedly broken down.

As part of the reporting by the filmmakers that ended up cut, Cowperthwaite told The Hill, they captured “the head folks in Egypt on a hot mic saying, ‘Well, you know, we may have to take apart that [dam] — we may have to go to war.’ And Ethiopia says, ‘Well, we haven’t lost a war yet.’”


Exclusive The Grab Clip Previews Gabriela Cowperthwaite’s Shocking Documentary

Tyler Treese
Thu, June 13, 2024 

(Photo Credit: Magnolia Pictures/Paricipant)

ComingSoon is excited to debut an exclusive The Grab clip from Gabriela Cowperthwaite‘s upcoming documentary, which follows The Center for Investigative Reporting as they look into the seizure of food and water resources around the globe. Magnolia Pictures & Participant will release the film in theaters and on demand on June 14, 2024,


“Quietly and seemingly out of sight, governments, private investors, and mercenaries are working to seize food and water resources at the expense of entire populations. These groups are establishing themselves as the new OPEC, where the future world powers will be those who control not oil, but food,” says the synopsis. “And it’s all beginning to bubble to the surface in real-time. Global food prices have hit an all-time high, threatening chaos and violence. Meanwhile, Russia is using food as a weapon against the Ukrainians and as a geopolitical tool to wield global power.”

Check out our exclusive The Grab clip below (watch more clips and trailers):

What to expect from The Grab?


“The Grab is a jaw-dropping global thriller combining hard-hitting journalism from The Center for Investigative Reporting with the compelling character-driven storytelling of director Gabriela Cowperthwaite (Blackfish), taking you around the globe from Arizona to Zambia, to reveal one of the world’s biggest and least known threats,” says the official description.

The documentary features a number of reporters, including Nate Halverson, JoeBill Muñoz, Mallory Newman, David Ritsher, and Emma C. Schwartz. Subjects include Holly Irwin and Brigadier Siachitema.

Director Gabriela Cowperthwaite described her film as “an investigative thriller that aims to explain the world, to expose the ‘business as usual’ cracks, to break down some darkly powerful inner workings while focusing on the humans who absorb every punch in real-time. In a time where the world can feel confusing and dim, our hope is that this 6-year investigative deep dive of a film can help explain, unite, galvanize, and entertain people from all walks of life and from all corners of the world.”

The groundbreaking documentary has a runtime of 104 minutes.


Traders Cheer On Argentina as Milei Win Underpins Austerity Push
TAX BREAKS FOR ME, AUSTERITY FOR THEE


Kevin Simauchi
Thu, Jun 13, 2024, 11:11 AM MDT3 min read


(Bloomberg) -- Investors welcomed congressional approval of President Javier Milei’s omnibus bill, saying it showed he can push through contentious reforms many see as key to getting Argentina’s economy back on track.

The president won just enough support to advance his landmark austerity package in the Senate early Thursday morning, following weeks of horse-trading and pushback from opposition lawmakers.

The vote confirmed many investors’ base case scenario, sending sovereign bonds higher. US-listed shares of Argentine companies and an exchange-traded fund that tracks the country’s stocks also climbed.

Still, some see additional gains as limited since much of the reform was already priced in, and the Senate’s rejection of a provision that would expand income tax triggered concerns over Milei’s ability to eliminate fiscal deficits. A cobweb of capital controls and a weaker peso in parallel markets may also hinder foreign investment, they said.

Graham Stock, senior EM sovereign strategist at RBC BlueBay Asset Management:

The bill’s approval is a “very important milestone,” as it moves the “government a step closer to having some legislative underpinning for its reform program rather than relying solely on executive actions”


Move has “positive implications” for bond prices as it puts the fiscal adjustment on a more sustainable footing


“It is very important that the Lower House reinstates the personal income tax, both as a source of revenue for the provinces and as a signal that Argentina is returning to more normal public policy settings”

Kate Moreton, analyst at Columbia Threadneedle:

“It proves that Milei has some governability and that his reform story has legs, but I expect us to kind of top out where we are” in terms of the levels at which bonds are trading, given how much reforms were already priced in


“My base case is that we will still need a restructuring at some point”


“This is kicking the can down the road further, but I think there’s still a lot of of risk here”

Citigroup Inc. strategists led by Donato Guarino:

The bill’s approval marks a “bittersweet win” for Milei’s administration as it has been in the works for the last six months, but has been “constantly diluted”


Remains overweight on Argentina’s bonds and reiterates call to go long on notes due 2030

Stuart Sclater-Booth, portfolio manager for emerging-markets debt at Stone Harbor Investment Partners:

While watered down, the bill demonstrates that Milei and team can in fact pass legislation, which is “important for credibility with investors and with likely negotiations with the IMF”


“The passage of the bill was a necessary, but not necessarily sufficient condition for the Argentina recovery. There is still progress to be made on normalizing FX, improving domestic credit and generating growth”


While the reforms facilitate some foreign investment, the lack of a normalized FX regime still presents some obstacles for “meaningful FDI”

David Austerweil, deputy portfolio manager for emerging-markets at Van Eck Associates Corp.:

The bill’s “passage was largely expected and due to the many compromises needed to gain its acceptance, it will not generate material fiscal savings”


“We currently have no position in Argentine sovereign bonds. With the likely passage of the Omnibus bill, the expected good news is likely behind us”


The pace of the country’s reserve accumulation has slowed and “even turned slightly negative this month”


“At the current overvalued level of the exchange rate and low interest rates, exporters can finance inventories and wait to sell them at a cheaper exchange rate and so reserve accumulation will likely continue to underwhelm. This should increase expectations of another FX devaluation and add further pressure on international reserves”


“For us to become more constructive on Argentine sovereign bonds, the exchange rate would need to move to a floating regime that restores competitiveness and allows for competitiveness to be retained without the need to future one-off devaluations”

Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek
How three MIT scientists and Tencent's backing created Hong Kong's new investor darling

South China Morning Post
Fri, Jun 14, 2024

A loss-making firm that applies artificial intelligence (AI) to drug research has become a new darling for both old-money and new-money investors in Hong Kong, drawn by the impressive credentials of its three founders, who trained at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), as well as the endorsement of Tencent Holdings' billionaire founder Pony Ma Huateng.

Nine-year-old QuantumPharm, which began trading on Thursday, raised nearly HK$1 billion (US$128 million) in an initial public offering (IPO) in Hong Kong, becoming the first technology company to float shares under the city's relaxed regulatory framework known as Chapter 18C.

The Hong Kong stock exchange introduced Chapter 18C a year ago to allow promising start-ups worth at least HK$10 billion to sell shares even before they have made any revenue, as part of the government's efforts to transform the city into a hi-tech hub.

Do you have questions about the biggest topics and trends from around the world? Get the answers with SCMP Knowledge, our new platform of curated content with explainers, FAQs, analyses and infographics brought to you by our award-winning team.

The IPO of Quantum Pharm, known also as XtalPi, has been portrayed as a showcase of Hong Kong's major role in supporting China's "hard technology" drive.

Hong Kong finance chief Paul Chan Mo-po delivered a congratulatory message on the day of the firm's trading debut, saying that the city's advantage as an international financial centre enables it to facilitate technological innovation, a key element in the "new quality productive forces" that President Xi Jinping sees as key to China's development.

QuantumPharm's cornerstone investors include real estate mogul Peter Lee Ka-kit, chairman of Henderson Land Group, as well as MIT chemistry professor Bradley Pentelute, according to the underwriters.

Public investors oversubscribed the offer by 103 times.

Some subscribers were likely dazzled by QuantumPharm's three founding members - Wen Shuhao, Ma Jian and Lai Lipeng - who are all scientists trained at one of the world's most highly regarded research universities.

"Ten years ago, we were three young men at MIT," said Wen, the company's chairman, at the company's listing ceremony on Thursday. The company now brings together "hundreds of PhD degree holders" after "a decade of hard work", he said.

Wen, 42, earned his doctorate in physical chemistry from the Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences in 2010 and went on to work as a postdoctoral associate at MIT from 2013 to 2015.

There, he met future business partners Ma, a quantum computing scientist and now CEO at QuantumPharm, and Lai, who holds a PhD in Physics from Chicago University.

By combining their expertise, the Shenzhen-based company is trying to use quantum physics, artificial intelligence and robotics to significantly shorten the time needed to develop and test new medicine. One of QuantumPharm's claimed achievements is that its technology helped reduce the development cycle of Pfizer's Paxlovid, the first Covid-19 oral treatment, to six weeks.

Pony Ma Huateng, founder of Tencent. Photo: STR/AFP alt=Pony Ma Huateng, founder of Tencent. Photo: STR/AFP>

QuantumPharm's pitch was impressive enough to win the attention of Tencent's Ma, whom Wen said he met in 2016. While Ma said at the time that the social media and video gaming giant, also based in Shenzhen, seldom invested in pharmaceutical ventures, he decided to bet on the start-up because of its potential "social value".

Tencent, China's highest-valued tech giant and a key investor in QuantumPharm, has put about US$1 billion into the company as of June 2023, according to the start-up's prospectus. Tencent holds 13 per cent of QuantumPharm's shares after the IPO.

"The company that creates the greatest social value can create the greatest business value," Wen said.

But for now, QuantumPharm still needs to prove its commercial value.

The company's losses widened 19 per cent to 522 million yuan (US$72 million) last year, dwarfing its revenue of 174 million yuan, mostly due to its heavy research expenditure.

Shares of the company closed at HK$5.4 on Friday, down 6.9 per cent and wiping out most of its gains since Thursday amid a broader slip in the Hong Kong market.

QuantumPharm has "generated initial excitement and optimism among investors" in Hong Kong, but it has to prove to investors that it can make profits, said Dickie Wong, executive director at local brokerage Kingston Securities.

Copyright (c) 2024. South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Stanley Ho's youngest son Mario sets sights on China's first esports IPO in the US


South China Morning Post
Sat, Jun 15, 2024

Esports entrepreneur Mario Ho Yau-kwan, the youngest son of the late Macau casino tycoon Stanley Ho Hung-sun, is seeking to expand the international reach of his organisation NIP Group, as it pursues an initial public offering (IPO) in the United States.

NIP is a Cayman Islands-based holding company, with operations primarily conducted through two wholly-owned subsidiaries: Ninjas in Pyjamas Gaming in Sweden, which is engaged in esports teams operations; and Wuhan Xingjingweiwu Culture & Sports Development Co, which is involved in esports teams, talent management and event production operations. Its principal executive offices are located in Stockholm.


The company - in which co-founder, chairman and co-chief executive Ho holds a 14.2 per cent stake - has filed for an IPO on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange, according to a filing on Wednesday with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Once its IPO is completed, NIP would become the first listed Chinese company in the esports industry.

Do you have questions about the biggest topics and trends from around the world? Get the answers with SCMP Knowledge, our new platform of curated content with explainers, FAQs, analyses and infographics brought to you by our award-winning team.

"Today, growing esports into a generational audience worldwide is what we are busy doing," Ho and co-founder and co-chief executive Hicham Chahine said in a letter, addressed to potential investors, attached to the group's prospectus. "Esports have the power to change the world, and we at NIP Group have a responsibility to continue to develop the industry in a sustainable way."


Mario Ho Yau-kwan, the co-founder, chairman and co-chief executive of NIP Group. Photo: Xiaomei Chen alt=Mario Ho Yau-kwan, the co-founder, chairman and co-chief executive of NIP Group. Photo: Xiaomei Chen>

While the group's US filing did not disclose the amount of money it intends to raise, a documents released in May by the China Securities Regulatory Commission showed that the company plans to issue no more than 26.9 million common shares on the Nasdaq.

NIP intends to use the net proceeds from its US listing for working capital, expanding the presence of its esports teams, marketing and growing their fan base, potential strategic acquisition and investment opportunities, according to its prospectus.

The group's listing plan reflects the growing popularity of esports around the world, as well as its vast commercial opportunities.

The market size of the global esports industry is expected to reach US$102.4 billion in 2027, up from US$57.9 billion in 2022, according to a Frost & Sullivan report cited in NIP's prospectus. NIP was described by the report as "a leading esports organisation" with the most expansive global footprint on the back of operations across Asia, Europe and South America.


Stockholm-based Ninjas in Pyjamas Gaming, which is engaged in esports teams operations, is a wholly owned subsidiary of NIP Group. Photo: Ninjas in Pyjamas alt=Stockholm-based Ninjas in Pyjamas Gaming, which is engaged in esports teams operations, is a wholly owned subsidiary of NIP Group. Photo: Ninjas in Pyjamas>

While it recorded a net revenue of US$83.7 million last year, up from US$65.8 million in 2022, NIP is still a loss-making enterprise. Net loss last year widened to US$13.3 million, compared with US$6.3 million in 2022. The company's prospectus said that loss reflected the "substantial investments we made to grow our business".

Also in 2023, revenue in China's esports sector fell 1.3 per cent year on year to 26.4 billion yuan (US$3.6 billion). That was mainly attributed to a decline in esports live-streaming revenue, which accounts for the largest proportion of the domestic market, according to a report by the Esports Working Committee, a semi-official agency set up to oversee the domestic industry.

In January 2023, NIP completed what it touted as "the largest merger in the history of the esports industry", according to its prospectus. The group combined Swedish esports brand Ninjas in Pyjamas with ESV5, one of the largest digital sports groups in China.


Hong Kong-born rapper and singer Jackson Wang. Photo: Jonathan Wong alt=Hong Kong-born rapper and singer Jackson Wang. Photo: Jonathan Wong>

Still, the challenge of making a profit in a nascent industry did not faze Hong Kong-born pop star Jackson Wang from investing in the company. Wang, who is best known as a member of K-pop band Got7, joined NIP as a partner and beneficial shareholder in 2020, according to the company's prospectus.

NIP's planned IPO has come at a time when some local governments on the mainland are ramping up support for esports, as part of broader efforts to develop and transform the country's digital economy.

Authorities in Shanghai and Shenzhen, for example, last year joined forces with the China Audio-Video and Digital Publishing Association, the country's semi-official video gaming trade body, to promote the development of esports.

In 2022, Hangzhou - capital of eastern Zhejiang province and one of China's hubs for technology start-ups - pledged 100 million yuan in annual funding to support video gaming and esports.

Copyright (c) 2024. South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.