Monday, July 08, 2024

French election: fascists lose out in polls, but struggle must continue

Millions are relieved that the fascist RN didn’t top the poll, but it still doubled its number of seats


Cheers as people in Paris hear the exit poll results in the French election

By Charlie Kimber
Sunday 07 July 2024
SOCIALIST WORKER

People in France who had gathered anxiously to hear the general election results reacted with relief and joy on Sunday evening.

The exit polls banished the fear that the fascist National Rally (RN) party might have a majority in parliament and its leader Jordan Bardella would be prime minister.

Instead, the exit polls showed the New Popular Front (NPF) bloc would win the most seats. The NPF brings together Jean Luc Melenchon’s LFI party, the Greens, the Communist Party and the Labour-type Socialist Party.

The polls predicted MPs associated with neoliberal president Emmanuel Macron would have the second largest bloc of seats. And the fascists, led by Marine Le Pen and Bardella, would be third.

The exit polls were right. When all the official counts ended, the NFP had won 180 seats, followed by the Macronites on 168. Le Pen’s party and its allies were pushed into third place with 143 seats. However, this was a significant increase on the 88 MPs it had in the previous assembly.

The mainstream conservative Les Republicains grabbed 60 seats.

Such results would be a blow to the RN which sniffed the chance to take office and harden still further the already authoritarian state apparatus. They would have made life hell for Muslims, migrants and all black people.

No wonder there were celebrations as the polls appeared. They showed that most people didn’t want the RN to run society. And the most potent factor in holding back the fascists was the 800,000 who took to the streets last month and then campaigned against them.

Such efforts also boosted the turnout to 67 percent compared to 46 percent for the parliamentary elections in 2022 and 43 percent in 2017.

The Financial Times newspaper reported. “There were gasps of horror and tears at the RN electoral party as the first results estimates came in. A stunned silence replaced the flag-waving and chants that came after last week’s first round.

“The champagne stand has turned into commiserations central for supporters of the RN in Paris.”

But these votes won’t stop fascist growth. This is a record number of MPs for the RN. And, by withdrawing its candidates to allow Macron’s supporters to win many seats, the NPF dismantled any opportunity to implement genuine left policies.

The NPF encouraged votes for appalling Macronites. They included interior minister Gerald Darmanin—architect of racist repression—and former prime minister Elisabeth Borne—pusher of the attacks on pensions.

Darmanin and Borne won, but Philippe Poutou from the revolutionary NPA party that had joined the NPF, lost.

Darmanin immediately called for a national government without radicals. “Today, no one can say they have won these legislative elections. And especially not Mr Melenchon who showed a lot of pretension a few moments ago on television,” he said.

“There is a desire on the part of the voters for change. I note that the Republican right remains very strong. We should perhaps open up to this Republican right a little more.”

Darmanin’s “Republican” cops used tear gas and baton charges to attack thousands of people celebrating the defeat of the RN in Paris late on Sunday.

The NPF created another version of the “Republican Front” of mainstream parties that has proved so ineffective (see below).

The results are likely to see chaotic dealing to find a prime minister. At most there could be a soft left prime minister, but only one who Macron and his accomplices accept. Within the NPF, the thoroughly mainstream Socialist Party won 59 seats, not far behind the LFI’s 74. The Greens took 28 seats and the Communists, nine.

The NPF has acted as an oxygen tent to resuscitate the PS which seemed dead and buried.


What are the lessons from the Popular Front against fascism in 1930s France?

But it is precisely the politics of the Socialist Party and its supporters that have cleared the path for the relentless rise of the fascists.

And a government implementing pro-business policies will enable the fascists to say they stand up for ordinary people against the united elites. That’s why Le Pen said on Sunday that the RN’s victory had only been “delayed”. “The tide is rising. It did not rise high enough this time but it is continuing to rise,” she said.

For now the fascists are thwarted. But a change of strategy is needed on the left.

The Marche des Solidarites anti-racist group was right to say “It is in our neighbourhoods, our workplaces, in the streets that we are strongest, in our solidarity and our unity”.

It’s pressing ahead with a mass demonstration against racism and colonialism next Sunday, Bastille Day.

Victory for Kanaky candidate

For months people have been protesting, striking and rioting in France’s colonial possession of Kanaky (New Caledonia) in the Pacific.

In the elections this time a pro-independence Indigenous Kanak candidate won a seat in France’s parliament, defeating a pro-French candidate in the second round of voting.

Emmanuel Tjibaou is the first pro-independence candidate to win a seat in the National Assembly since 1986.

What’s behind the fascists’ rise?

Four main factors have nourished the rise of the fascists in France. These are still the pressing issues.The mainstream parties of the left and right in government responded to the fascists’ racism by pushing through racist, migrant and Islamophobic laws. Far from choking off the fascists’ rise, it encouraged them and seemed to legitimise their policies. The mainstream left argued the need to support right wing and neoliberal candidates against the fascists. Far from being a wall against fascism, the austerity policies that followed built support for the fascists.The left and the union leaders did not create an effective united front against fascism when the FN was small. And many also refused to call the FN fascist. The absence of a large enough combative left did not create an alternative focus for workers and small business owners who are bitterly angry over hardship and inequality. As a result some of that anger drained off to the fascists.

A short history of the fascists in France

1972: Jean-Marie Le Pen—former soldier and torturer of Algerian anti-colonial resistance fighters—founds the fascist Front National (National Front, FN). Veterans of the war in Algeria and Nazi World War II collaborators join Le Pen.

1986: The FN wins its first seats in the National Assembly, including Le Pen himself.

1987: Le Pen describes the Holocaust as a “mere detail of history”.

1988: Le Pen grabs 14.4 percent of votes in the presidential election. On top of its usual racist, anti-migrant, antisemitic and homophobic attacks, the FN targets Islam and Muslim immigrants.

2002: Le Pen runs for president and wins 17 percent of votes, enough to put him into a second-round run-off against right winger Jacques Chirac. Politicians from the right and left came together to support Chirac saying this would be an effective barrier against the rise of fascism. Chirac wins, the fascists grow.

2012: Marine Le Pen, daughter of Jean-Marie, runs for president and takes 18 percent of the vote.

2014: The FN wins control of 11 councils and also first place in European Parliament elections with 25 percent of the vote

2017: Two years after expelling her father from the party, Marine Le Pen runs for the presidency again. She wins 21 percent in the first round but loses to Emmanuel Macron in the second round. Much of the left and right unite to back Macron saying he will be a barrier to fascist growth. Macron wins, the fascists grow.

2022: Marine Le Pen, who has changed the party name to Rassemblement National (National Rally), rises to 23.2 percent in the first round of the presidential election. Much of the left and right unite to back Macron saying he will be a barrier to fascist growth. Macron wins, the fascists grow.

2022: The RN wins 89 seats in parliament, a huge breakthrough.

2024: In the European elections the RN headed by Jordan Bardella is first on 31.4 percent. Macron calls a snap general election. He hopes to split the left and emerge as the “sensible” choice. But in the first round of the elections on 30 June the RN and its allies win 33 percent of the vote. They threaten to win a majority that would make Bardella prime minister.



Rachel Reeves scraps onshore wind ban and unveils housebuilding drive


Photo: UK Government

Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced sweeping measures to boost economic growth including bringing back housebuilding targets in her first speech since assuming office in the Treasury.

Reeves said there is “no time to waste” in Labour’s mission to boost economic growth – one of the cornerstones of the party’s general election platform.

The Chancellor announced that mandatory housing targets would be brought back in a bid to meet a manifesto pledge to build 1.5 million homes over the next parliament.

She said: “Growth requires hard choices, choices that previous governments have shied away from, and it now falls to this new Labour government to fix the foundations.”

The 2024 manifesto said that housebuilding would prioritise brownfield sites and low quality ‘grey belt’ land in the green belt.

Reeves said that the National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF), which sets out national planning priorities, would be reformed.

An “absurd” ban on new onshore wind will also be lifted, the Chancellor announced in her speech.

She also confirmed plans to help local authorities across the country hire hundreds more planning officers.

Reeves said: “There is much more to do, more tough decisions to be taken. You have put your trust in us, and we will repay the work towards a decade of national renewal has begun. There is no time to waste, and we are just getting started.”

She added that new Treasury analysis shows that the UK economy would have been £140 billion larger had it grown at the average rate of OECD economies since 2010.

The Chancellor also blasted the record of the Conservatives in government. When asked by the Guardian‘s Larry Elliott if she agrees with Liz Truss about the existence of an “anti-growth coalition” in Britain, Reeves said the “anti-growth coalition are the Conservative Party.”

She said she would soon present details to Parliament on how difficult the government’s public finances inheritance from the Conservatives is too.

A tough political fight

Labour’s big housebuilding drive could prove popular nationally but controversial locally.

The Telegraph had earlier reported that the reintroduction of mandatory housing targets will be announced in her speech, with a vow to take “difficult decisions” in Labour’s growth drive.

But political editor of the FT George Parker told the BBC: “Planning is one of the big levers you can pull early on to try to free things up, and get Britain building again, according to the slogan.

“The interesting thing though, is you’re running into a load of MPs who’ve just been elected, often representing seats that used to be represented by Conservative MPs, which might suddenly be being built on.

“And that is where the rubber hits the road, and that’s why you’ve got to move quickly, why you’ve still got that good will and why you still got that political mandate.”

 

An opportunity for change on Ireland – Sinn Féin’s Mary Lou McDonald on Westminster election results

“The British Government must embrace principles of rigorous impartiality, and the right to self-determination & constitutional change toward Irish reunification.”

From Sinn Féin

Sinn Féin leader Mary Lou McDonald has commented on the Westminster election results.

She was speaking after the results saw the party take the most seats, the most votes and the highest share of the vote.

Speaking from Belfast, Teachta McDonald said;

“I wish to thank all those people who voted for Sinn Féin candidates in this election, electing hard-working public representatives, and returning Sinn Féin as the largest party with twenty-seven percent share of the vote and seven seats.  We will provide strong and positive leadership and work for all across the North to improve public services, people’s lives and livelihoods.

The Westminster election represents a significant victory for Labour, creating a major opportunity to improve relations between Britain and Ireland.

Sinn Féin is determined to build a constructive relationship with the new Labour government. We look forward to working positively with British Prime Minister Keir Starmer on the many shared priorities for Ireland and Britain during this historic time of renewal.

After fourteen years of Tory rule, marked by dysfunction and chaos, they crudely undermined the Good Friday Agreement during Brexit, harming citizens and communities. They also abandoned cooperation with Dublin, causing significant damage.

The new Labour government now has a huge opportunity to reset relations with the Irish Government and the power-sharing Executive, where First Minister Michelle O’Neill will work to restore effective cooperation.

We expect the new Prime Minister to uphold the Good Friday Agreement, which Labour helped deliver, ensuring its political, legal, and constitutional guarantees are respected. This includes respecting all our national identities, political allegiances, and working together to defend peace and build on reconciliation efforts.

The British Government must embrace principles of rigorous impartiality, and the right to self-determination and constitutional change toward Irish reunification.

The Tories’ handling of the past, including abandoning the Stormont House Agreement, has failed victims and survivors seeking justice. Their ‘Bill of Shame’ must be repealed, and we expect decisive action from the incoming Labour government. Sinn Féin will seek urgent clarity on this matter.

Investing in public services and infrastructure, with fair funding from the British Treasury, is crucial for economic growth. The Conservative government promised to build Casement Park GAA stadium for UEFA Euro 2028, and we expect early delivery of the funding for this project from a Labour government.

Our Economy Minister Conor Murphy will focus on developing a competitive and sustainable all-Ireland economy, leveraging access to both British and EU markets. After years of Tory cuts, we need properly funded public services. Our Finance Minister, Dr Caoimhe Archibald, will engage with the Treasury to secure this funding.

Today marks a historic change, offering huge opportunities to foster positive relations between Britain and Ireland. Sinn Féin aim to deliver an ambitious agenda to improve the lives of workers, families, and communities over the coming decade and we will work with the Labour government to achieve this.”


Labour must deliver on its promise of “change” to save our NHS – Keep Our NHS Public


“If Labour’s overworked slogan of unspecified ‘Change’ is to have any meaning, it must encompass a move away from neoliberal orthodoxy.”

Keep Our NHS Public’s have published a post-election statement on Labour’s win and the new challenges faced by NHS campaigners.

After a lacklustre six-week-long election campaign we now know that Labour will form the next government.

Following fourteen years of punishing Conservative rule, and with a sizeable parliamentary majority, it is time for Labour to repay the electorate with a real commitment to improve people’s lives. 

Expectations are high, especially for those who have been directly impacted by the NHS crisis, not least the families of those who have lost relatives unnecessarily, waiting for ambulances or languishing on the 7.5 million-long NHS waiting lists. The NHS must be set back on its feet once more.  

For this to happen, health services must be restored in line with the founding principles of the NHS and social care needs radical transformation. However, it is of great concern that this does not appear to be the vision for the NHS put forward by Starmer and Streeting throughout the election, and we call on the new Labour Government to declare an immediate national emergency in health and care, as have the BMA and the RCN.

We also note that some independent candidates have won seats advocating for a fully public NHS, a fact which vindicates our belief that NHS privatisation is a key concern for many voters. This includes Jeremy Corbyn, one of KONP’s national patrons.

The Greens now have 4 seats and call for the largest increase in NHS funding. The Lib Dems with over 70 seats are calling for an emergency budget for health and care.

Today marks the 76th anniversary of the historic creation of the NHS on 5th July 1948. Labour should reflect on the ambition and boldness of the 1945 Attlee government, undeterred by record debt and the ravages of war. Now, just as then, a strong health service is a prerequisite for social and economic recovery – if we allow our NHS to fail, the economy will fail with it

If Labour’s overworked slogan of unspecified ‘Change’ is to have any meaning, it must encompass a move away from neoliberal orthodoxy. In its place must come investment in public services, promotion of social justice, poverty reduction, wealth redistribution, care for the environment and a focus across government departments on reducing health inequalities. 

The Conservative party is being pushed further to the right by loss of power and the growth of Reform. The stakes are high and there is an urgent need for ‘deeds, not words’ if, as Keir Starmer has recognised, the alarming rise in the populist right taking place in France is to be halted in Britain. 

Delivering on health care is a good place to start, and it is an urgent priority to fully invest in the NHS, including committing to full pay restoration for NHS staff.

Much more is demanded of Labour than relying on tinkering reforms and tired old claims that shifting care into the community, preventing illness and greater reliance on technology will, in the absence of funding, deliver a rapid transformation. 

We hope our constructive comments on these lacklustre manifesto promises will be listened to. For those who still persist in claiming that the NHS is a bottomless pit and needs reform not more funding, we remind them that under the Blair-Brown government NHS performance was improved by investing in staff and increased funding , allowing the NHS to be one of the best services in the world

Since then growing demand and damaging  austerity policies have seen an cumulative funding gap over 10 years of £362 bn deficit. To match per capita spending on health by comparable European neighbours we need around £40bn more each year. Lack of capital investment has resulted in crumbling estate and outdated equipment, which together with staff shortages drive inefficiency, lack of productivity and poorer outcomes. 

However, as we have previously emphasised, it is not just money that is needed but also a change in how politicians see the NHS and an end to the policy that invites profit-taking private healthcare to come in and undermine the NHS. 

To achieve effectiveness, equity and resilience we need to build consensus on the essential good of a fully public and universal NHS based on values of the right to healthcare, security, justice and compassion. Myths of un-affordability and the efficiency of privatised services need to be dispelled and the vital role of public health reaffirmed.

Policies must be based on an understanding of evidence of the level and nature of health needs. Health and care services should be seen as an asset and not a drain on resources. This is the only way to bring about real ‘change’.

Let this NHS anniversary and this new Government be an opportunity to restore a truly ‘People’s NHS’ as its founders in the Labour Government in 1948 intended. 


 BRITAIN

After the Landslide: Resistance and Realignment





SATURDAY 6 JULY 2024, BY ANTI*CAPITALIST RESISTANCE

Anti*Capitalist Resistance statement on the General Election: Tories annihilated, Labour have a ‘loveless’ landslide, and hard-right Farage surges. There is a challenge from the left and on Gaza: organise the resistance now.

1 – The overwhelming majority of people will be glad to see the humiliation and annihilation of the Tories. They have lost the greatest number of seats in their history. Conservative governments have given us 14 years of misrule, corruption, and dishonesty. Cameron and the Lib Dems’ austerity ended or devastated the lives of millions. In 2010 there were 35 foodbanks; in 2024 there are 3,572. Our health service, education, local services, utilities, and much else has been starved of vital funds or pillaged for private gain. Our rivers and seas stink and are unfit for swimming while water company shareholders have been lavishly rewarded. Johnson’s callous disregard for public health resulted in thousands of needless Covid deaths. Rules were imposed on us and not followed by the government. He gave millions to Tory cronies to provide unsuitable PPE. Liz Truss’s extreme neo-liberal budget led to millions suffering massive mortgage rises. Getting Brexit done has hit growth hard and stopped European freedom of movement. On Sunak’s watch, energy prices have soared and we have experienced the worst cost of living crisis for decades. The demonisation of migrants, asylum seekers, and trans people has been stepped up. We can at least savour for a moment the political defeat of the politicians responsible for it all. Truss, Shapps, Mordaunt, Gullis, Rees-Mogg, Jenkyns and other ministers are all gone. Sunak has suffered a reverse 2019, this time the Farage party damaged the Tories, not Labour.

2 – Starmer’s new government has been welcomed by big business. The Economist, the Financial Times, and the Murdoch press have supported Labour at this election. When Starmer said he changed the party so that he could change the country he was half truthful. One sure way to get into power is to destroy any possible left challenge to the power of the capitalist class who really runs things. Yes, he changed his party but his new partnership with capital for ‘wealth creation’ will not change the country for the many. It will help streamline profit-making for the few. Public money will be lavished on business to encourage ‘growth’ that will supposedly magically trickle down to improve wages and social spending. Corporate staff have already been embedded throughout his cabinet team to ensure this vision will be implemented.

3 – Labour’s big election victory follows the vicious counterattack of the Labour Party’s right and centre against any hint of a moderate left challenge to the power of capital. Starmer’s hold over the workers’ movement has been strengthened. Any re-run of a Corbyn-like left majority inside Labour is dead in the water – and will be for the foreseeable future. For a while, the new government will probably enjoy a honeymoon period in which it may be difficult for tensions or conflicts with the unions or the left to emerge.

4 – However, this result is a Conservative collapse as much as a Labour win. One journalist has correctly called it a ‘loveless landslide’. The unfair First Past the Post system massively distorts the degree of Labour’s triumph. Yesterday it got 9.6 million votes and around 34% of the vote. The Corbyn party he claimed was preventing any electoral victory got 13 million votes and 40% of the vote in 2017 and 10 million and 32% in a 2019 election that was distorted by Brexit and the de facto Johnson/Farage electoral coalition. In Cymru, there was little enthusiasm for Starmer. In fact, despite winning 27 out of 32 seats, Labour received nearly 150,000 fewer votes than in 2019 when Jeremy Corbyn was leader. In the poorest communities, such as Ely and Caerau, the turnout was only 23%. Everyone has noted the lack of enthusiasm for the Starmer project. Turnout is down seven percentage points on 2019 at around 60%. Workers’ struggles are more likely to develop in this climate where there is not a strong identity with the government. There is less enthusiasm than with Blair in 1997. However, this new government has already indicated that it will not pay public sector workers a decent wage, nor will it raise taxes on the rich to pay for Health, Education, Social Care, or local council spending needs. It is very likely that workers will strike against this government, and many others will campaign against the limits of its programme. It is unlikely to break with US imperialism with regard to Israel’s apartheid state. Unlike Spain and Ireland, it will not recognise the Palestine state now. The significant vote to Labour’s left shows there is potential for resistance to its moderate policies.

5 – We must support every struggle or resistance to the policies of this social-liberal government. We do not recognise any honeymoon. To start with we demand the immediate implementation of its very limited programme with no further backtracking – increased rights for workers from day one, the progressive taxes they have proposed on private schools and non-doms; ditching the Rwanda project, its measures for education, health, and the environment.

6 – But this is just the starting point for the workers’ movement to force the government to take much more radical measures – extending labour rights by abolishing all of Thatcher’s repressive legislation; a wealth tax and increased capital gains tax to pay for our NHS, education, and local services; taking the energy and utility companies into common ownership and using any surplus generated to develop a much more ambitious energy transition plan to tackle the climate and ecological crises in ways that ensure the polluters pay; removing the two-child cap and other benefit caps immediately and strengthening the 2010 Equality Act to better protect the oppressed (including trans people) while ditching the repressive Public Order laws. These are just a few examples, but such proposals go alongside the mobilisation of workers in these sectors to draw up action plans. We do not just put pressure on Labour but try and develop independent self-organisation on all these issues.

7 – Yesterday’s general election results show that up to 3 million voted to the left of Labour, either for a Green manifesto more radical than Labour’s or for left independents or candidates challenging Labour on Palestine. The Greens alone got 6.8% (up by 4), nearly 2 million votes, and now have 4 MPs. Independent pro-Gaza candidates won four seats and ran Labour close in seats like Wes Streeting’s in Ilford North. Andrew Feinstein got over 8,000 votes in Starmer’s constituency, Faiza Shaheen in Chingford got 25%, and would have won if Labour had not split the vote against Duncan Smith. Corbyn, in the end, won comfortably. We have never seen so many independents in parliament. A weakened left still remains inside Labour like the Grassroots Alliance, Momentum, and the Socialist Campaign Group. These thousands of activists inside and outside Labour provide the basis of a more structured network or movement of ecosocialist and climate activists who are prepared to resist Starmer’s failure to put forward the change we need. The direct action current of the green movement such as Just Stop Oil and Extinction Rebellion occupy this political space too. The greater-than-expected performance of all these forces provides us with some hope that a triumphant Starmer government will not steam ahead without any opposition. At the beginning of the campaign, he wanted to dump Britain’s first black woman MP. He was stopped by a grassroots campaign linking up with Left MPs, unions, and the world of culture. There is no reason that such alliances cannot be constructed on other issues. The big majority may make it easier for MPs to defy the Labour leadership – their rebellions will not bring down the government. Every commentator and poll have pointed to both a very strong desire to get rid of the Tories but combined with little enthusiasm for Starmer and his project. So people may be willing to challenge the government much sooner than we may imagine. Even the big success of the Lib Dems, up to 71 seats, partly reflects a desire to properly fund health and social care which goes beyond Labour’s limited spending plans.

8 – Farage’s racist Reform party was, after Starmer, the surprise winner of the night. It has 4 seats and over 4 million votes. The score is over 3 points better than its previous high point in 2015. Reform came second in hundreds of seats, including in some Labour ones. Farage’s main message after the vote was that he aimed to overtake the Tory party and become the main opposition to Labour. He is in a position to play a role in the realignment of right-wing politics, either through a reverse takeover of the Tory party or through a new movement that will confront traditional Toryism and win over some of its base and MPs. This process has already started. It is also a threat to the Starmer government. Farage has said he wants to be the real opposition leading mass protests. Given the small number of his MPs relative to the millions of votes he is in a good place to exploit the frustrations of his base who feel alienated from the political process. Labour, for narrow electoral reasons, did not challenge Farage, thinking he would wound the Tories more than Labour. Starmer even withdrew its candidate from the battle in Clacton. Labour, as much as the Tories, bear responsibility for the rise of Reform. Labour has normalised the racist framework of the debate on migrants. It will be up to the left and the workers’ movement to confront a rising Farage current. His success will also strengthen the confidence of neo-fascist street gangs led by Tommy Robinson and others.

9 – Ecological issues were mostly absent from the campaign. Labour had already diluted its Great British Energy project campaign and did not foreground it – being terrified that voters might be scared off by its costs. Both the Liberal Democrats, who soared beyond even the exit poll to 71 seats, and the Greens benefited from putting the environment on the agenda. The left needs to step up and lead on an eco-socialist strategy. The other great absence from the electoral campaign was Gaza. The mainstream parties barely mentioned it but the standing of independent candidates completely disrupted this. We salute the work of all those activists who succeeded in getting the voice of Palestinians heard in this election.

10 – The ACR will put itself at the service of building resistance to Labour’s social liberalism. We will support every campaign to defend trans, women’s, and democratic rights, Palestine, workers’ living standards, and public services and to push for strong measures to tackle the climate and ecological crisis along with a just transition to green jobs. Within the broad movement, we will argue for the need for an anti-capitalist eco-socialist current that can provide the basis for a strategic alternative to Labourism.

5 July 2024

ACR statement, General Election 2024.

P.S.

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