Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Social media: How algorithms influence election campaigns




POLITECNICO DI MILANO

Distribution of impressions per euro among the ads of each party 

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(TOP) DISTRIBUTION OF IMPRESSIONS PER EURO AMONG THE ADS OF EACH PARTY. AN ORANGE X INDICATES THE MEAN OF THE DISTRIBUTION. (BOTTOM) DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE AVERAGE IMPRESSIONS PER EURO OF A PARTY AND THE AVERAGE IMPRESSIONS PER EURO OF THE OVERALL SAMPLE.

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CREDIT: POLITECNICO DI MILANO




Milano, 18 luglio 2024 – A new study published in the journal PNAS Nexus reveals how social media algorithms favor politically sponsored content from certain parties given the same investment budget.

The research, a collaboration between the Politecnico di Milano, LMU – Ludwig Maximilians Universität of Munich, and the CENTAI institute of Turin, analyzed over 80,000 political ads on Facebook and Instagram before the 2021 German federal elections. These ads were placed by parties across the political spectrum and generated over 1.1 billion impressions during an election with more than 60 million eligible voters.

Investigating online campaign inequalities, significant discrepancies emerged in the advertising's effectiveness and the intensity with which ads reached their targets, favoring more extremist groups.

Using the collected data, it was found that over 70% of parties used user profiling in their ads. Additionally, calculating variations in advertising costs (impressions per euro spent) showed that not all parties achieved equal results with the same budget. The far-right AfD proved to be the most effective, with ads almost six times more efficient than competitors who had invested the same budget. The Greens were the least cost-effective party.

“The greater success of their advertising could be explained by the fact that the incendiary political issues promoted by populist parties tend to attract a lot of attention on social media. Consequently, algorithms would favor campaign ads with such content,” explains Francesco Pierri, a researcher from the Data Science research group of the Department of Electronics, Information, and Bioengineering at the Politecnico di Milano, who co-led the study.

Another finding of the study was the discrepancies for all parties between the targeted audience and the actual audience reached. While most parties tended to reach a younger audience than expected, the opposite occurred for the far-right. Pierri and his colleagues hypothesize that the algorithmic bias in ad distribution is based on known voter behavior.

“We see a systematic bias in how the political ads of different parties are distributed. If they aim at a specific audience or send contradictory messages on political issues to different groups, this can limit the political participation of disadvantaged groups,” Pierri continues. “Even worse, the algorithms used by the platforms do not allow verification if they involve biases in ad distribution. If, for example, some parties systematically pay higher prices than others for similar ads, this damages political competition. We need greater transparency from the platforms regarding political advertising to ensure fair and uncompromised elections.”

It is no surprise, then, that targeted political advertising on social media has raised serious concerns among political actors, researchers, and society in general. The calls to improve the monitoring of this form of electoral advertising to safeguard democratic integrity are growing stronger. Public pressure and regulatory efforts (e.g., the Digital Services Act in the EU) have pushed social media platforms to provide public access to political and social ads, allowing researchers to study them on a large scale.

SPACE

NASA’s Webb images cold exoplanet 12 light-years away


An international team of astronomers using NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope has directly imaged an exoplanet roughly 12 light-years from Earth. The planet, Epsilon Indi Ab, is one of the coldest exoplanets observed to date.


NASA/GODDARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER

Image A: Exoplanet Epsilon Indi Ab 

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THIS IMAGE OF THE GAS-GIANT EXOPLANET EPSILON INDI AB WAS TAKEN WITH THE CORONAGRAPH ON NASA’S JAMES WEBB SPACE TELESCOPE’S MIRI (MID-INFRARED INSTRUMENT). A STAR SYMBOL MARKS THE LOCATION OF THE HOST STAR EPSILON INDI A, WHOSE LIGHT HAS BEEN BLOCKED BY THE CORONAGRAPH, RESULTING IN THE DARK CIRCLE MARKED WITH A DASHED WHITE LINE. EPSILON INDI AB IS ONE OF THE COLDEST EXOPLANETS EVER DIRECTLY IMAGED. LIGHT AT 10.6 MICRONS WAS ASSIGNED THE COLOR BLUE, WHILE LIGHT AT 15.5 MICRONS WAS ASSIGNED THE COLOR ORANGE. MIRI DID NOT RESOLVE THE PLANET, WHICH IS A POINT SOURCE.

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CREDIT: NASA, ESA, CSA, STSCI, E. MATTHEWS (MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR ASTRONOMY)




An international team of astronomers using NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope has directly imaged an exoplanet roughly 12 light-years from Earth. The planet, Epsilon Indi Ab, is one of the coldest exoplanets observed to date.

The planet is several times the mass of Jupiter and orbits the K-type star Epsilon Indi A (Eps Ind A), which is around the age of our Sun, but slightly cooler. The team observed Epsilon Indi Ab using the coronagraph on Webb’s MIRI (Mid-Infrared Instrument). Only a few tens of exoplanets have been directly imaged previously by space- and ground-based observatories.

“Our prior observations of this system have been more indirect measurements of the star, which actually allowed us to see ahead of time that there was likely a giant planet in this system tugging on the star,” said team member Caroline Morley of the University of Texas at Austin. “That's why our team chose this system to observe first with Webb.”

“This discovery is exciting because the planet is quite similar to Jupiter — it is a little warmer and is more massive, but is more similar to Jupiter than any other planet that has been imaged so far,” added lead author Elisabeth Matthews of the Max Planck Institute for Astronomy in Germany.

Previously imaged exoplanets tend to be the youngest, hottest exoplanets that are still radiating much of the energy from when they first formed. As planets cool and contract over their lifetime, they become significantly fainter and therefore harder to image.

A Solar System Analog

“Cold planets are very faint, and most of their emission is in the mid-infrared,” explained Matthews. “Webb is ideally suited to conduct mid-infrared imaging, which is extremely hard to do from the ground. We also needed good spatial resolution to separate the planet and the star in our images, and the large Webb mirror is extremely helpful in this aspect.”

Epsilon Indi Ab is one of the coldest exoplanets to be directly detected, with an estimated temperature of 35 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius) — colder than any other imaged planet beyond our solar system, and colder than all but one free-floating brown dwarf. The planet is only around 180 degrees Fahrenheit (100 degrees Celsius) warmer than gas giants in our solar system. This provides a rare opportunity for astronomers to study the atmospheric composition of true solar system analogs.

“Astronomers have been imagining planets in this system for decades; fictional planets orbiting Epsilon Indi have been the sites of Star Trek episodes, novels, and video games like Halo,” added Morley. “It's exciting to actually see a planet there ourselves, and begin to measure its properties.”

Not Quite As Predicted

Epsilon Indi Ab is the twelfth closest exoplanet to Earth known to date and the closest planet more massive than Jupiter. The science team chose to study Eps Ind A because the system showed hints of a possible planetary body using a technique called radial velocity, which measures the back-and-forth wobbles of the host star along our line of sight.

“While we expected to image a planet in this system, because there were radial velocity indications of its presence, the planet we found isn’t what we had predicted,” shared Matthews. “It’s about twice as massive, a little farther from its star, and has a different orbit than we expected. The cause of this discrepancy remains an open question. The atmosphere of the planet also appears to be a little different than the model predictions. So far we only have a few photometric measurements of the atmosphere, meaning that it is hard to draw conclusions, but the planet is fainter than expected at shorter wavelengths.”

The team believes this may mean there is significant methane, carbon monoxide, and carbon dioxide in the planet’s atmosphere that are absorbing the shorter wavelengths of light. It might also suggest a very cloudy atmosphere.

The direct imaging of exoplanets is particularly valuable for characterization. Scientists can directly collect light from the observed planet and compare its brightness at different wavelengths. So far, the science team has only detected Epsilon Indi Ab at a few wavelengths, but they hope to revisit the planet with Webb to conduct both photometric and spectroscopic observations in the future. They also hope to detect other similar planets with Webb to find possible trends about their atmospheres and how these objects form.

NASA's upcoming Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope will use a coronagraph to demonstrate direct imaging technology by photographing Jupiter-like worlds orbiting Sun-like stars – something that has never been done before. These results will pave the way for future missions to study worlds that are even more Earth-like.

These results were taken with Webb’s Cycle 1 General Observer program 2243 and have been published in the journal Nature.

The James Webb Space Telescope is the world’s premier space science observatory. Webb is solving mysteries in our solar system, looking beyond to distant worlds around other stars, and probing the mysterious structures and origins of our universe and our place in it. Webb is an international program led by NASA with its partners, ESA (European Space Agency) and CSA (Canadian Space Agency).

 

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View/Download all image products at all resolutions for this article from the Space Telescope Science Institute.

View/Download the research results published in the journal Nature.

 

 

Lyda Hill Philanthropies funds innovative wildfire solutions in Colorado


Generous support allows the Western Fire & Forest Resilience Collaborative to launch a Colorado research team



CARY INSTITUTE OF ECOSYSTEM STUDIES

A burn scar from the 2002 Hayman Fire near Deckers, Colorado. 

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A BURN SCAR FROM THE 2002 HAYMAN FIRE, PHOTOGRAPHED BY DRONE IN OCTOBER 2022 NEAR DECKERS, COLORADO TO EVALUATE POST-FIRE IMPACTS.

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CREDIT: PHOTO COURTESY OF JENNIFER BALCH




Lyda Hill Philanthropies has donated $290,000 to Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies for the Western Fire & Forest Resilience Collaborative. The two-year grant will help to engage a research team within the Collaborative that is focused on wildfire-related challenges and solutions in Colorado, where Lyda Hill has deep family ties.

Led by Winslow Hansen at Cary Institute and launched with seed funding from the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation, the Western Fire & Forest Resilience Collaborative joins together multidisciplinary scientists with decision makers to develop and implement bold, science-based solutions to the fire crisis. 

“The fire challenge is vast and complex, and the Western Fire & Forest Resilience Collaborative has a unique role to play in Colorado and across the Western US,” says Matthew Crommett from Lyda Hill Philanthropies.

Across the Western US, climate change and a legacy of fire suppression have led to larger, more severe, and more frequent fires — with devastating consequences for people, natural resources, and the climate. Colorado is no exception. More than half of the state’s 20 largest fires in history have occurred since 2016, and more than 1 million Coloradans live in areas with moderate to very high risk of wildfire. 

As record-breaking fires become the new normal, fire and forest management strategies need to adapt to keep pace. Leveraging fieldwork, remote sensing via satellites, and state-of-the-art modeling, and guided by decision makers in the fire community, the Western Fire & Forest Resilience Collaborative will provide a clearer understanding of the future of forests and fire, and pilot new fire management strategies and policies. 

“We are so appreciative of this grant from Lyda Hill Philanthropies,” said Hansen. “Their support allows us to engage more deeply with decision makers in Colorado to understand how their forests are changing today with increasing fire, and how we might steward them to live more sustainably with fire over the coming seasons, years, and decades.”

The funding comes at a critical time. Although the federal government is investing billions of dollars to reduce fire severity using treatments like thinning and prescribed burns, these treatments will only cover a small percentage of forest. The Collaborative’s work will reveal where and how to strategically place these treatments to maximize return on investment — minimizing damaging fires and maintaining resilient forests.

The Collaborative’s predictive models will make it possible to test novel and scaled-up management strategies, helping to ensure that practitioners can leverage the best science to invest in practices that will shift the balance of wildfire from devastating to sustainable. 

Learn more about the Western Fire & Forest Resilience Collaborative in this overview video

 

Nayani Ilangakoon carries a drone that was used to study a burn scar in Colorado in 2022. Ilangakoon is a member of Jennifer Balch’s lab, which is leading the Western Fire & Forest Resilience Collaborative’s Colorado research.

CREDIT

Photo courtesy of Jennifer Balch

Lyda Hill Philanthropies encompasses the charitable giving for founder Lyda Hill and includes her foundation and personal philanthropy. The organization is committed to funding transformational advances in science and nature, empowering nonprofit organizations and improving the Texas and Colorado communities. Because Miss Hill has a fervent belief that “science is the answer” to many of life’s most challenging issues, she has chosen to donate the entirety of her estate to philanthropy and scientific research. 


Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies is an independent nonprofit center for environmental research. Since 1983, our scientists have been investigating the complex interactions that govern the natural world and the impacts of climate change on these systems. Our findings lead to more effective resource management, policy actions, and environmental literacy. Staff are global experts in the ecology of: cities, disease, forests, and freshwater.