Wednesday, August 07, 2024

Ilan PappĂ©: To stop the century-long genocide in Palestine, uproot the source of all violence — Zionism

Published 
Zionism Palestine

First published at The New Arab.

When we revolt, it’s not for a particular culture. We revolt simply because, for many reasons, we can no longer breathe (Franz Fanon)

Since the 1948 Nakba and arguably before, Palestine has not seen levels of violence as high as those experienced since October 7, 2023. But we need to address how this violence is being situated, treated, and judged.

Indeed, mainstream media often portrays Palestinian violence as terrorism while depicting Israeli violence as self-defence. Rarely is Israeli violence labelled excessive. Meanwhile, international legal institutions hold both sides equally responsible for this violence, which they classify as war crimes.

Both perspectives are flawed. The first perspective wrongly differentiates between the "immoral" and "unjustified" violence of Palestinians and Israel’s "right to defend itself."

The second perspective, which assigns blame to both sides, provides a misguided and ultimately harmful framework for understanding the current situation — likely the most violent chapter in Palestine's modern history.

And all of these perspectives overlook the crucial context necessary to understand the violence that erupted on October 7.

This is not merely a conflict between two violent parties, nor is it simply a clash between a terrorist organisation and a state defending itself. Rather, it represents a chapter in the ongoing decolonisation of historic Palestine, which began in 1929 and continues today. Only in the future will we know whether October 7 marked an early stage in this decolonisation process or one of its final phases.

Throughout history, decolonisation has been a violent process, and the violence of decolonisation has not been confined to one side only. Apart from a few exceptions where very small, colonised islands were evicted ‘voluntarily’ by colonial empires, decolonisation has not been a pleasant consensual affair by which colonisers end decades, if not centuries, of oppression.

But for this to be our entry point to discuss Hamas, Israel, and the various positions held towards them in the world, one has to acknowledge the colonialist nature of Zionism and therefore recognise the Palestinian resistance as an anti-colonialist struggle — a framework negated totally by American administrations and other Western countries since the birth of Zionism, and so therefore also by other Western countries.

Framing the conflict as a struggle between the colonisers and the colonised helps detect the origin of the violence and shows that there is no effective way of stopping it without addressing its origins. The root of the violence in Palestine is the evolvement of Zionism in the late 19th century into a settler colonial project. 

Like previous settler colonial projects, the main violent impulse of the movement — and later the state that was established — was and is to eliminate the native population. When elimination is not achieved by violence, the solution is always to use more extraordinary violence.

Therefore, the only scenario in which a settler colonial project can end its violent treatment of the indigenous people is when it ends or collapses. Its inability to achieve the absolute elimination of the native population will not deter it from constantly attempting to do so through an incremental policy of elimination or genocide. 

The anti-colonial impulse, or propensity, to employ violence is existential — unless we believe that human beings prefer to live as occupied or colonised people.

The colonisers have an option not to colonise or eliminate but rarely cease from doing so without being forced to by the violence of the colonised or by outside pressure from external powers.

Indeed, as is in the case of Israel and Palestine, the best way to avoid violence and counter-violence is to force the settler colonial project to cease through pressure from the outside.

The historical record is worth recollecting to give credence to our claim that the violence of Israel must be judged differently — in moral and political terms — from that of the Palestinians.

This, however, does not mean that condemnation for violation of international law can only be directed towards the coloniser; of course not. It is an analysis of the history of violence in historical Palestine that contextualises the events of October 7 and the genocide in Gaza and indicates a way to end it.

The history of violence in Modern Palestine: 1882-2000

The arrival of the first group of Zionist settlers in Palestine in 1882 was not, by itself, the first act of violence. The violence of the settlers was epistemic, meaning that the violent removal of the Palestinians by the settlers had already been written about, imagined, and coveted upon their arrival in Palestine — debunking the infamous "land without people" myth.

To translate the imagined removal into reality, the Zionist movement had to wait for the occupation of Palestine by Britain in 1918.

A few years later in the mid-1920s, with assistance from the British mandatory government, eleven villages were ethnically cleansed following the purchase of the regions Marj Ibn Amer and Wadi Hawareth by the Zionist movement from absentee landlords in Beirut and a landowner in Jaffa.

This had never happened before in Palestine. Landowners, whoever they were, did not evict villages that had been there for centuries since Ottoman law enabled land transactions.

This was the origin and the first act of systemic violence in the attempt to dispossess the Palestinians.

Another form of violence was the strategy of "Hebrew Labour" meant to drive out Palestinians from the labour market. This strategy, and the ethnic cleansing, pauperised the Palestinian countryside, leading to forced emigration to towns that could not provide work or proper housing.

It was only in 1929, when these violent actions were coupled with a discourse on constructing a third temple in place of Haram al-Sharif, that the Palestinians responded with violence for the first time.

This was not a coordinated response, but a spontaneous and desperate one against the bitter fruits of the Zionist colonisation of Palestine.

Seven years later, when Britain permitted more settlers to arrive and supported the formation of a nascent Zionist state with its own army, the Palestinians launched a more organised campaign.

This was the first uprising, lasting three years (1936-1939), known as the Arab Revolt. During this period, the Palestinian elite finally recognised Zionism as an existential threat to Palestine and its people.

The main Zionist paramilitary group collaborating with the British army in quelling the revolt was known as the Haganah, meaning "The Defence," and hence the Israeli narrative to depict any act of aggression against Palestinians as self-defence — a concept reflected in the name of the Israeli army, the Israel Defence Forces.

From the British Mandate period to today, this military power was utilised to take over land and markets. It was deployed as a 'defence' force against the attacks of the anti-colonialist movement and as such was not different from any other coloniser in the 19th and 20th centuries.

The difference is that in most instances of modern history where colonialism has come to an end, the actions of the colonisers are now viewed retrospectively as acts of aggression rather than self-defence.

The great Zionist success has been to commodify their aggression as self-defence and the Palestinian armed struggle as terrorism. The British government, at least until 1948, regarded both acts of violence as terrorism but allowed the worst violence to take place against the Palestinians in 1948 when it watched the first stage of the ethnic cleansing of the Palestinians.

Between December 1947 and May 1948, when Britain was still responsible for law and order, the Zionist forces urbicided, that is obliterated, the main towns of Palestine and the villages around it. This was more than terror; this was a crime against humanity.

After completing the second stage of the ethnic cleansing between May and December 1948, through the most violent means that Palestine has witnessed for centuries, half of Palestine's population was forcefully expelled, half of its villages destroyed, as well as most of its towns.

Israeli historians would later claim that "the Arabs" wanted to throw the Jews into the sea. The only people who were literally thrown into the sea — and drowned — were those expelled by the Zionist forces in Jaffa and Haifa.

Israeli violence continued after 1948 but was answered sporadically by Palestinians in an attempt to build a liberation movement.

It began with refugees trying to retrieve what was left of their husbandry and crops in the fields, later accompanied by Fedayeen attacking military installations and civilian places. It only gelled into a significant enterprise in 1968, when the Fatah Movement took over the Arab League's PLO.

The pattern before 1967 is familiar — the dispossessed used violence in their struggle, but on a limited scale, while the Israeli army retaliated with overwhelming, indiscriminate violence, such as the massacre of the village of Qibya in October 1953 where Ariel Sharon's unit 101 murdered 69 Palestinian villagers, many of them blown up within their own homes.

No group of Palestinians have been spared from Israeli violence. Those who became Israeli citizens were subjected, until 1966, to the most violent form of oppression: military rule. This system routinely employed violence against its subjects, including abuse, house demolitions, arbitrary arrests, banishment, and killings. Among these atrocities was the Kafr Qassem massacre in October 1956, where Israeli border police killed 49 Palestinian villagers.

This same violent system was transited to the occupied West Bank and the Gaza Strip after the June 1967 War. For 19 years, the violence of the occupation was tolerated by the occupied until the mostly non-violent First Intifada in December 1987. Israel responded with brutality and violence that left 1,200 Palestinians dead, 300 of them children — 120,000 were injured and 1,800 homes were demolished. 180 Israelis were killed.

The pattern here continued — an occupied people, disillusioned with their own leadership and the indifference of the region and the world, rose in a non-violent revolt, only to be met with the full, brutal force of the coloniser and occupier.

Another pattern also emerges. The Intifada triggered a renewed interest in Palestine — as has the Hamas attack on October 7 — and produced a "peace process", the Oslo Accords that raised the hopes of ending the occupation but instead, it provided immunity to the occupier to continue its occupation.

The frustration led, inevitably, to a more violent uprising in October 2000. It also shifted popular support from those leaders who still put their faith in the diplomatic way of ending occupation to those who were willing to continue the armed struggle against it — the political Islamic groups.

Violence in 21st century Palestine

Hamas and Islamic Jihad enjoy great support because of their choice of continuing to fight the occupation, not because of their theocratic vision of a future Caliphate or their particular wish to make the public space more religious.

The horrific pendulum continued. The Second Intifada was met by a more brutal Israeli response.

For the first time, Israel used F-16 bombers and Apache helicopters against the civilian population, alongside battalions of tanks and artillery that led to the 2002 Jenin massacre.

The brutality was directed from above to compensate for the humiliating withdrawal from southern Lebanon forced upon the Israeli army by Hezbollah in the summer of 2000 — the Second Intifada broke out in October 2000.

The direct violence against the occupied people from 2000 took also the form of intensive colonisation and Judaisation of the West Bank and Greater Jerusalem area. This campaign was translated into the expropriation of Palestinian lands, encircling the Palestinian areas with apartheid walls, and giving a free license to the settlers to perpetrate attacks on Palestinians in the occupied territories and East Jerusalem.

In 2005, Palestinian civil society tried to offer the world a different kind of struggle through the Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions (BDS) movement – a non-violent struggle based on a call to the international community to put a stop to the Israeli colonialist violence, which has not been heeded, so far, by governments.

Instead, Israeli brutality on the ground increased and the Gaza resistance in particular fought back resiliently to the point that forced Israel to evict its settlers and soldiers from there in 2005.

However, the withdrawal did not liberate the Gaza Strip, it transformed from being a colonised space into becoming a killing field in which a new form of violence was introduced by Israel.

The colonising power moved from ethnic cleansing to genocide in its attempt to deal with the Palestinian refusal, in particular in the Gaza Strip, to live as a colonised people in the 21st century.

Since 2006, Hamas and Islamic Jihad have used violence in response to what they view as ongoing genocide by Israel against the people of the Gaza Strip. This violence has also been directed at the civilian population in Israel.

Western politicians and journalists often overlooked the indirect and long-term catastrophic effects of these policies on the Gaza population, including the destruction of health infrastructure and the trauma experienced by the 2.2 million people living in the Gaza ghetto.

As it did in 1948, Israel alleges that all its actions are defensive and retaliatory in response to Palestinian violence. In essence, however, Israeli actions since 2006 have not been retaliatory.

Israel initiated violent operations driven by the wish to continue the incomplete 1948 ethnic cleansing that left half of Palestinians inside historic Palestine and millions of others on Palestine's borders. The eliminatory policies, as brutal as they were, were not successful in this respect; the desperate bouts of Palestinian resistance have instead been used as a pretext to complete the elimination project.

And the cycle continues. When Israel elected an extreme right-wing government in November 2022, Israeli violence was not restricted to Gaza. It appeared everywhere in historical Palestine. In the West Bank, the escalating violence from soldiers and settlers led to incremental ethnic cleansing, particularly in the southern Hebron mountains and the Jordan Valley. This resulted in an increase in killings, including those of teenagers, as well as a rise in arrests without trial.

Since November 2022, a different form of violence has plagued the Palestinian minority living in Israel. This community faces daily terror from criminal gangs that clash with each other, resulting in the murder of one or two community members each day. The police often ignore these issues. Some of these gangs include former collaborators with the occupation who were relocated to Palestinian areas following the Oslo agreement and maintain connections with the Israeli secret service.

Additionally, the new government has exacerbated tensions around the Al-Aqsa Mosque Compound, permitting more frequent and aggressive incursions into the Haram al-Sharif by politicians, police, and settlers.

It is too difficult to know yet whether there was a clear strategy behind the Hamas attack on October 7, or whether it went according to plan or not, whatever that plan may be. However, 17 years under Israeli blockade and the particularly violent Israeli government of November 2022 added to their determination to try a more drastic and daring form of anti-colonialist struggle for liberation.

Whatever we think about October 7, and we do not have yet a full picture, it was part of a liberation struggle. We may raise both moral questions about Hamas' actions as well as questions of efficacy; liberation struggles throughout history have had their moments when one could raise such questions and even criticism.

But we cannot forget the source of violence that forced the pastoral people of Palestine after 120 years of colonisation to adopt armed struggle alongside non-violent methods.

On July 19, 2024, the International Court of Justice issued a significant ruling regarding the status of the West Bank, which went largely unnoticed. The court affirmed that the Gaza Strip is organically connected to the West Bank, and therefore, under international law, Israel remains the occupying power in Gaza. This means that actions against Israel by the people of Gaza are considered part of their right to resist occupation.

Once again, under the guise of retaliation and revenge, Israeli violence following October 7 bears the marks of its previous exploitation of cycles of violence.

This includes using genocide as a means to address Israel’s "demographic" issue — essentially, how to control the land of historical Palestine without its Palestinian inhabitants. By 1967, Israel had taken all of historical Palestine, but the demographic reality thwarted the goal of complete dispossession.

Ironically, Israel established the Gaza Strip in 1948 as a receptor for hundreds of thousands of refugees, "willing" to concede 2% of historical Palestine to remove a significant number of Palestinians expelled by its army during the Nakba.

This particular refugee camp has proven more challenging to Israel’s plans to de-Arabize Palestine than any other area, due to the resilience and resistance of its people.

Any attempt to stop Israel's genocide in Gaza must be made in two ways. First, immediate action is needed to stop the violence through a ceasefire and, ideally, international sanctions on Israel. Second, it is crucial to prevent the next phase of the genocide, which could target the West Bank. This requires the continuation and intensification of the global solidarity movement’s campaign to pressure governments and policymakers into compelling Israel to end its genocidal policies.

Since the late 19th century and the arrival of Zionism in Palestine, the impulse of the Palestinians has not been about violence or revenge. The impulse remains the return to normal and natural life, a right that has been denied to the Palestinians for more than a century, not only by Zionism and Israel but by the powerful alliance that allowed and immunised the project of the dispossession of Palestine.

This is not a wish to romanticise or idealise Palestinian society. It was, and would continue to be, a typical society in a region where tradition and modernity often coexist in a complex relationship, and where collective identities can sometimes lead to divisions, especially when external forces seek to exploit these differences.

However, pre-Zionist Palestine was a place where Muslims, Christians, and Jews coexisted peacefully, and where most people experienced violence only rarely — likely less frequently than in many parts of the Global North.

Violence as a permanent and massive aspect of life can only be removed when its source is removed. In the case of Palestine, it is the ideology and praxis of the Israeli settler state, not the existential struggle of the colonised Palestinian people.

Ilan Pappe is an Israeli historian and socialist activist. He is a Professor of History at the College of Social Sciences and International Studies at the University of Exeter in the United Kingdom, Director of the university's European Centre for Palestine Studies, and co-director of the Exeter Centre for Ethno-Political Studies.

He is also the author of the bestselling The Ethnic Cleansing of Palestine (Oneworld), A History of Modern Palestine (Cambridge), The Modern Middle East (Routledge), The Israel/Palestine Question (Routledge), The Forgotten Palestinians: A History of the Palestinians in Israel (Yale), The Idea of Israel: A History of Power and Knowledge (Verso) and with Noam Chomsky, Gaza in Crisis: Reflections on Israel's War Against the Palestinians (Penguin). He writes for, among others, the Guardian and the London Review of Books.

Follow Ilan on X: @pappe54


 Western Sahara

Redcing this conflict to a rivalry between Algeria and Morocco aims to wipe the Sahrawi people off the map



Snday 4 August 2024, by Fabienne Dolet, Fatimetu Mohtar Al

Western Sahara is still a ‘Non-Self-Governing Territory’ according to the United Nations (UN), and has been since the end of Spanish colonisation in 1976. The territory is claimed by Morocco and is at the heart of the rivalry between Morocco and Algeria, which supports the Polisario Front’s claim to full independence for Western Sahara, a goal it has pursued for nearly fifty years. Despite the 1991 ceasefire, Western Sahara is still under the domination of Morocco, which represses Saharawi militants. Fabienne Dolet spoke to Fatimetu Mohtar Ali, from the Association de la Jeunesse sahraouie de France. (Saharawi Youth Association of France

Western Sahara is still a ‘Non-Self-Governing Territory’ according to the United Nations (UN), and has been since the end of Spanish colonisation in 1976. The territory is claimed by Morocco and is at the heart of the rivalry between Morocco and Algeria, which supports the Polisario Front’s claim to full independence for Western Sahara, a goal it has pursued for nearly fifty years. Despite the 1991 ceasefire, Western Sahara is still under the domination of Morocco, which represses Saharawi militants. Fabienne Dolet spoke to Fatimetu Mohtar Ali, from the Association de la Jeunesse sahraouie de France. (Saharawi Youth Association of France

What is the role of the Saharawi Youth Association of France?

Our role as young people in France is to publicise our cause, to campaign and to help our compatriots in the refugee camps and in the territories occupied by the Moroccan regime. It was in this context that the association was created, with the aim of raising awareness of the Sahrawi struggle in French society. Unfortunately, French society is not sufficiently informed about the illegal occupation of Western Sahara and France’s role in it.

Since the end of the fighting in 1991, the issue has still not been resolved between Morocco, Algeria and the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR)?

This subject is very important because it touches on an argument frequently used by the Moroccan regime’s propaganda to make us invisible. Reducing this conflict to a rivalry between Algeria and Morocco aims to wipe the Sahrawi people off the map. Algeria is a fraternal country and a very important supporter of our struggle, but it must be understood that this conflict is not a rivalry between Morocco and Algeria. It is about an illegal occupation by Morocco, the systematic repression of Sahrawis in the occupied territories and the forced displacement of an entire people.
In reality, Algeria is not the only ally in the region. Mauritania, which initially tried to lay claim to the southern regions of Western Sahara during the illegal treaties of Madrid, finally recognised the SADR in 1984. But it is not the only country to support the SADR. Under Gaddafi’s government, Libya was also a major supporter in the region. The SADR is not just a fantasy, it is a reality, a country recognised by more than 84 countries around the world and a founding member of the African Union. So the argument that ‘these are just separatists financed by Algeria’ makes no sense at all, and a quick search will tell you that.

The Western Sahara is coveted. Does it have natural resources?

Yes, indeed, the Western Sahara is a very rich region. In particular, it has the world’s largest phosphate reserve, as well as the world’s second largest fishing reserve. There is also gold, oil and other resources. This is why several foreign companies, including many French companies such as Azura, Total, BNP Paribas, SociĂ©tĂ© GĂ©nĂ©rale, CrĂ©dit Agricole, Axa Assurances, Transavia and UCPA, are contributing to this illegal occupation by exploiting its natural resources.

What is the current situation of the Saharawi people?

The situation is very complicated. Our people are divided in two: those who have been living in refugee camps for over fifty years, in one of the most uninhabitable places in the world, where they face a very precarious situation with extreme temperatures and sometimes limited access to drinking water and food; and those who live in the occupied territories, suffering daily aggression, arbitrary arrests and suffocating oppression by the Moroccan regime.

The armed struggle resumed after the Moroccan regime violated the ceasefire in November 2020, when the Moroccan army opened fire on Sahrawi civilians who were peacefully demonstrating against Morocco’s illegal use of the Guerguerat crossing. At present, the Polisario Front is at war with the Moroccan occupying forces, a conflict that is largely ignored by the world due to heavy Moroccan propaganda supported by France, Israel and the United States.

Does France have a role to play? And why?

France plays a very important role in this conflict. Historically, when Africa was decolonised by the UN, France was Morocco’s main supporter of the illegal occupation of Western Sahara and the genocide of the Sahrawi people. It also supported Morocco with logistics and funding during the sixteen year war against the Polisario Front. Even today, military support for the Moroccan occupation continues, as the investigations by Disclose (an investigative journalism website) show, revealing images of planes and ships sold by French companies involved in the illegal occupation of Western Sahara.

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Indian coalition government: a defeat For Hindu nationalism



Monday 5 August 2024, by Sushovan Dhar


On June 4, 2024, the Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi, was re-elected for the third time, but with fewer seats. His Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) was unable to secure an absolute majority. The results make it amply clear that this Hindunationalist supremo is paying the price for his refusal to address the socio-economic crisis that has gripped the country, and gotten worse over the last 10 years under his administration. Rahul Gandhi, his main rival, rose to prominence as the leader of the opposition coalition, Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance (India), in an election much closer than anticipated.

Fictions and truths

Many people were surprised by the outcome. Most had predicted a landslide victory for Modi. After six weeks of voting, the BJP, which has been in power for ten years, gained only 240 seats (272 are needed for a majority), down from 303 in 2019. This places Modi in a tight situation leading the Nationalist Democratic Alliance, a coalition of fifteen parties that includes smaller regional parties. His opponents call it a “moral defeat”. After all, the 73-year-old Modi sought 400 seats in the Lok Sabha (lower house of Parliament) so that he could amend the constitution.

Despite this unexpected setback, the autocratic leader celebrated his win, calling it a historic achievement, as people put their trust in (his) alliance for the third time. Yet his party lost even in Uttar Pradesh, India’s most populous and impoverished state, in the north of the country.

Uttar Pradesh has also emerged as the latest laboratory of Indian fascism in the last decade. There, in the city of Ayodhya, Narendra Modi inaugurated the Ram temple in January 2024, built on the ruins of the Babri mosque. A symbol of the overwhelming might of Hindutva, ledby an ultra-nationalist whose ambition is to transform secular India into a Hindu nation. The BJP lost in Ayodhya too.

Modi will now be forced to rely on his alliance partners, shocking for someone accustomed to enjoying unrestricted power and authority for more than 20 years. Not only has the political landscape changed and Modi been substantially weakened, but he is now facing a freshly rejuvenated opposition, out to challenge his omnipresence in Indian politics and society. These were amply evident in the first few sessions of the newly convened parliament.

In the days to come, the BJP will also have to fight several state legislative elections, where the opposition alliance, bolstered by the results, will challenge them strongly.

Modi-magic under challenge

The Modi-magic has generally ceased to work. The personality cult built around the supreme leader has proved inadequate during the elections. But what changed so suddenly? The poor results are attributed to unemployment, a profound socioeconomic crisis, and all-pervasive inequality that has reached new heights. Also, Modi’s mismanagement of the Covid crisis, during which at least five million Indians died, has been one of the prime factors, slowly brewing discontentment with his regime.

Economic results are good on paper (6.8% growth in 2024, according
to the IMF), to the extent that India is now the world’s fifth-largest economy, ahead of the UK. But other indicators are poor. According to data from Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE), India has one of the highest youth unemployment rates in the world, at 45.4%. The general unemployment rate is 8%, which may not account for numerous types of underemployment and disguised unemployment. India is a country where 92.4% of the workforce is estimated to be employed in the informal sector. While infrastructure is now more developed, as evident with the neardoubling of airports (from 74 to 140), public debt has increased (82% of GDP), and employment-generating industries are lacking. The IMF has also warned that general government debt might surpass 100 percent of GDP shortly.

One of the biggest crises faced by the country is profound rural distress, with rural incomes declining consistently since the beginning of 2022. A neverending inflationary spiral puts basic goods more and more out of reach for rural households, exacerbating this loss of purchasing power. Over and above that, the Modi government did nothing about the agrarian crisis that has been underway since the 1990s, when India adopted neoliberal measures that hit the agrarian sector hard. Even though agriculture contributes approximately 18 percent of the country’s GDP, it employs nearly 45 percent of the workforce—close to 594 million people, according to latest estimates.

The agrarian crisis and agrarian distress in India have resulted in rural-indebtedness. Numerous reports submitted to the government on farmers’ suicides have pointed out clearly that indebtedness among rural households has been a major cause. The National Sample Survey Office’s (NSSO) Situation Assessment of Agricultural Households and Land and Livestock Holding, 2019, released in 2021, revealed that around 50% of Indian agricultural households are indebted. This is a colossal figure considering that there were 93,094 million farm households in the country in 2019.

Failure of religious polarisation

The masses emerged as the most powerful agency in the current elections. Results show that the BJP lost 38 seats in the constituencies that saw active participation in the farmers’ struggle. While the Modi regime couldn’t be unseated, the election results do not fully capture the mood of the masses in the streets. Let’s not forget that everything was stacked against the opposition in this, the least free and fair national election in India’s history of independence. The ruling party had a huge advantage over the opposition when it came to administrative machinery, media, and finances.

Can we interpret the mandate as one for a secular and democratic India? Yes, in a certain way but only partially. Modi sought unquestioned public endorsement for his ten years of authoritarian rule, and support for the next five years of dissolving the country’s bourgeois-democratic fabric. The voters declined to approve his plans. Even amongst the voters that supported his Hindu majoritarian politics, the communal appeal did not prevail over all other considerations, despite his ferocious anti-Muslim remarks.

This result punctures his image of invincibility and is also a personal defeat for him. It is certain that the country’s democratic backsliding to an outright autocratic state has been halted, if only for the time being. This will possibly open up democratic spaces, both within and outside the parliament. The agenda of the BJP, together with the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS)—a right-wing Hindu nationalist, paramilitary organisation— was to amend the constitution, with the help of an overwhelming (more than two thirds) majority, to create a Hindu state. This is now postponed for the time being. The BJP-RSS’ Hindu majoritarian project has suffered a critical electoral blow, but is not entirely defeated.

The future uncertain

The rejuvenation of the opposition space will surely open up spaces for dissent and defiance. As economic conditions worsen for an overwhelming majority of the country, we will witness more and more protests and revolts in the days to come. But will spontaneous and episodic uprisings be sufficient to defeat the fascists? Let’s not ignore the fact that we are up against a formidable power that can retaliate strongly. The global right-wing wave also has negative consequences for Indian politics. The BJP has demonstrated an ability to bounce back from electoral defeats owing to the strong grass-roots network of the
RSS across the country. The repressive machinery shows no signs of relenting. The action taken by the BJP to target author Arundhati Roy, in a prosecution for ‘hate speech’, indicates that they want to pursue repression more vigorously.

So it is too early to be conclusive. The BJP has lost an absolute majority but has not been vanquished. Any exaggeration of the opposition’s achievements can take us down the wrong political path. However, the election results have not only raised questions about Modi’s invincibility, but have also returned the country to a coalition government after a decade of one-party control. A strong government with total control of the parliament wouldn’t have augured well for the working class.

A weak government would certainly open up options for the Left and social movements. In order to exploit that, we need a clearly articulated strategy that is able to create a counter-hegemonic narrative, based on a strong anticapitalist transformative vision, with a strong democratic component. However, the Left is hardly a force to reckon with in the current Indian political landscape, even though they have been able to increase their parliamentary presence from 6 to 9. It is high time that we need a New Left that can fight against Hindu hegemony and is not separated from the transformative counter-project of building democratic socialism either.

P.S.

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