Saturday, August 17, 2024

 

Source: Democracy Collaborative

My family and I spent 25 years in Washington DC. They were good years, and every morning I began with coffee and The Washington Post. The newspaper was a wonderful companion—and reliably progressive. But there is something going on there now on the editorial board that I find, well, weird.

The Post has now published several editorials that reflect antipathy towards what environmentalists and climate advocates are trying to accomplish. The most recent, and one that got me concerned again, is “Ending Growth Won’t Save the Planet.” 

I have read it several times, trying to understand. The editorial board is eager to make the case that Growth Is Good and that America should keep striving for it. It’s amazing that the Post feels the need to defend economic growth. News Flash! The Washington Post thinks growth is in trouble! 

The editorial is clear: Its worry is that climate concern will drive an attack on growth. And what better whipping boy, on whose back to make their case, than the tiny “degrowth” movement? Called decroissance in France, degrowth has some thoughtful advocates in Europe. But here, its proponents are so far from political relevance that their voice cannot be heard. Still, the Post can’t resist: “’Degrowth’—the brand name for neo-Malthusianism—ignores how ingenuity and innovation have repeatedly empowered humanity to overcome ecological constraints.” Mostly, of course, we have bulldozed ecological constraints away, but that is a story for a little later. 

The editorial casts a disdainful eye on growth critics like Naomi Klein, Greta Thunberg, and even Pope Francis. It makes light of esteemed figures like Herman Daly and Paul Ehrlich. I believe this confirms that the Post’s concern is not really the miniscule degrowth movement but those who are scoring points on the prevailing pro-growth orthodoxy.

Were I prominent enough, the Post could certainly have included me on its list. That would have made me very happy. In several books and numerous articles, I have joined the critics of economic growth as it is currently defined and practiced. So, naturally, I feel called to respond now.  

Five reasons to reject the growth fetish

Hardly anyone would favor the version of degrowth in the Post’s caricature. I do advocate what I and many others have called a post-growth society. To me that is the view that economic growth—by which I mean GDP growth—should no longer be an important national policy objective.  

That is plain heresy, of course. Not much in our society is more faithfully followed than the gospel of economic growth. To know what growth critics are up against, consider this remarkable passage from J. R. McNeill’s environmental history of the 20th century, Something New Under the Sun. He writes that the “growth fetish” solidified its hold on imaginations and institutions in the twentieth century: “Social, moral, and ecological ills were sustained in the interest of economic growth; indeed, adherents to the faith proposed that only more growth could resolve such ills. Economic growth became the indispensable ideology of the state nearly everywhere. … The overarching priority of economic growth was easily the most important idea of the twentieth century.” 

Despite the heresy, I want to offer five reasons why I think the Post should reconsider and join us in questioning GDP growth as a national priority. Five is a lot, but the points are short—and important.  

First, our measure of growth, gross domestic product, is terribly flawed and should be pushed off its exalted pedestal. GDP should stand for Grossly Distorted Picture. Never mind that GDP is simply a cumulative measure of all activity in the formal economy—good things and bad things, costs and benefits, mere market activity, money changing hands, busyness in the economy—for the bigger it gets, the greater the private profit and public revenue. Never mind also that even the creator of its formalisms, Simon Kuznets, warned in the 1930s that “distinctions must be kept in mind between quantity and quality of growth. … Goals for ‘more’ growth should specify more growth of what and for what.”  

Though it is still very much on its pedestal, GDP’s continued reign must be challenged, and many economists agree. Favoring growth when that growth is measured by GDP is a tragic blunder.  

What we need is a dashboard of alternative indicators. It should include (1) measures of true economic progress that correct and adjust GDP so that we can gauge sustainable economic and environmental welfare, (2) indicators of objective social wellbeing such as the status of health, education, and economic security, (3) indexes of environmental conditions and trends, (4) indicators of democratic performance, and (5) measures of subjective wellbeing such as life satisfaction, happiness, and trust. 

Here is good news: Indicators of all these types have already been developed! 

The first of the above indicators responds to society’s need for a monetized measure that corrects the shortcomings of GDP. Such a measure could then be compared to uncorrected GDP on a regular, quarterly basis.  The results of country studies using such a measure show changes in public welfare eventually flatlining while GDP continues to grow, not producing additional wellbeing.   

That leads to the second point: GDP growth doesn’t deliver the claimed social and economic benefits. Since 1980, real GDP in the United States has tripled, and per capita GDP has doubled. Phenomenal growth! You would think America would be a paradise. But during this period real hourly wages of US workers hardly budged, stagnating while the pay at the top skyrocketed as did a vast inequality. Simultaneously, life satisfaction flatlined, social capital eroded, families lived paycheck to paycheck, and the environment declined. Over this period, the US dropped from the No. 1 country on the UN’s Human Development Index to No. 21. As I describe in what follows, desperately seeking more GDP growth is unlikely to yield better results. 

 My third concern is a major one: the overriding imperative to grow gives overriding power to those, mainly the corporations, that have the capital and technology to deliver that growth. And, much the same thing, the growth imperative wars against a long list of public policies that would improve national wellbeing but are said to “slow growth” and to “hurt the economy.”  

Such policies include shorter workweeks and longer vacations; greater labor protections, including a living minimum wage, protection of labor’s right to organize, and generous parental leaves; guarantees to part-time workers; new incentives for a twenty-first-century corporation, one that embraces rechartering, new ownership patterns, and stakeholder primacy rather than shareholder primacy; restrictions on advertising; incentives for local and locally owned production and consumption; strong social and environmental provisions in trade agreements; rigorous environmental, health, and consumer protection; greater economic equality with genuinely progressive taxation of the rich and greater income support for the poor; increased spending on neglected public services; and powerful initiatives to sharply curb greenhouse gas emissions nationally and globally.   

Taken together, these policies would undoubtedly slow GDP growth, but quality of life would improve, and that’s what matters.

 Fourth, the growth imperative reinforces our dreadful consumerism. Recall that GDP is 70 percent consumer spending. American consumerism is definitely pathological but essential to keep the current system going. The New York Times ran a story a while back that summed up the matter nicely: “Why Americans Must Keep Spending—Households perceive an endless stream of needs, and besides, the economy depends on it.” 

In my book America the Possible I discuss a series of policy changes that could curb our consumerist addiction, but here I want to stress something else. Our search for meaning and belonging through having more material things deflects us from pursuing the real sources of happiness and satisfaction: close ties in families and with friends, development of skills and talents, informal education, helping others and volunteering, exposure to the natural world, sports and play, and even politics. Many people do sense that today there is a great misdirection of life’s energy and that, as Martin Seligman said, “Materialism is toxic to happiness.”

My fifth and final point, of course, is that economic activity and its growth are the principal drivers of massive, continuing environmental decline. The economy consumes natural resources (both renewable and nonrenewable resources), occupies the land, and releases pollutants. As the economy has grown, so has biological impoverishment and pollutants of great variety, including a handful of greenhouse gases. Economist Paul Ekins observed that “The sacrifice of the environment to economic growth. . . has unquestionably been a feature of economic development at least since the birth of industrialism.” 

Time for something better 

Of late, there has been serious work done to see if societies can have it both ways: can growth go up while environmental destruction goes down? This challenging possibility has been called “green growth.” That may be what the Post is advocating, but the editorial board seems unaware of this work. It is a fair question, and there are qualified analysts on both sides. One of the best is Canadian economist Peter Victor. I admire Victor’s books and articles and have been influenced by them. So perhaps it is predictable that I agree with him on green growth’s prospects.

 Victor’s latest book is last year’s Escape from Overshoot. In analyzing the pros and cons of the green growth proposal, Victor concludes that “the prospects for long-term green growth are discouraging and they become more so the faster the economy grows.”  Victor sees potential benefit from green growth policies in the short term, but concludes: “More and more goods and services cannot be produced out of less and less forever. Green growth, which depends on the endless dematerialization of GDP, does not offer a plausible, even possible, long-term solution.”

Who does GDP growth benefit? A growing economy can be good for the bottom line of businesses, large and small. Government revenues go up when the economy grows: the taxman does not care if the activity is healthy or harmful. There are countries in the developing world where strong GDP growth could make a big positive difference. And we cannot forget the national security complex. For security hawks the global projection of a strong America is aided by robust GDP growth. We shouldn’t just try to wish all these complex matters away, but we can find ways to address them, including by looking around the world for ideas.

Our society tends to see growth as an unalloyed good, but an expanding body of evidence is now telling us to think again. The never-ending drive to grow the overall US economy has produced a ruthless international search for energy and other resources, brought us to the cusp of environmental ruin, led us away from badly needed policies and social growth, and rests on a manufactured consumerism that does not meet the deepest human needs. It’s time for something better. To me, that something better is post-growth, where society focuses major policy interventions on growing the activities that benefit people, place, and planet and on shrinking those things that do the opposite and, all the while, not pausing to worry about GDP.

Gus Speth is a Distinguished Next System Fellow at The Democracy Collaborative. He has worked as a key environmental movement leader and has authored several books. He was also editor of The New Systems Reader.

 

Source: OpenDemocracy

The European Union claims to stand up for human rights, the rule of law, transparency in government and peaceful, democratic elections. Yet in recent years it has allowed one of its partners, Uganda, to repeatedly violate these ideals.

In 2020 and 2021, President Yoweri Museveni’s government oversaw the most violent election cycle in Ugandan history. At least 54 people were killed during campaign season, more than any election season before. When the dust was settled, Museveni secured his sixth term and 35th year in power. In January 2021, Parliament passed the repressive 2023 Anti-Homosexuality Act into law and was soon after embroiled in a series of corruption and embezzlement scandals. In July 2024, over 100 young people were arrested and charged for peacefully marching against corruption and wanton expenditures by the government – in what constitutional lawyers have condemned as a violation of their right to peaceful assembly.

The EU has previously withheld funds for countries where human rights have been abused; suspending financial support for Niger following last year’s coup, and for Ethiopia in late 2020 amid the atrocities being committed by the government in the Tigray war. In 2013, it cancelled €13m of aid to Gambia over a lack of progress in human rights, in part because of a law against homosexuality. In each of these instances, the EU eventually resumed its flow of aid after apparently being satisfied that change was on the horizon.

But it has seemingly turned a blind eye to the egregious state acts that threaten human rights, freedoms and lives in Uganda – including the killing of protesters, arbitrary detention of political dissidents and prevalent infringement on LGBTIQ rights. Publicly, the EU has only issued statements of concern, with an official telling openDemocracy that the rights violations against Uganda’s queer community were “not assessed” to be “widespread and systematic”.

Uganda is an increasingly important trade and development partner for the EU. The East African country’s exports to the bloc have grown from €500m in 2020 to more than €800m today, and in March the EU announced it will allocate €200m of investment for Uganda under its Global Gateway project, which aims to mobilise €300bn for development projects in partner states by 2027.

Since 2017, the EU has also supported humanitarian action in Uganda with an aid package of more than €309m. This year it allocated a further €27.5m for aid in the country, according to the European Commission’s website.

Suspending aid to Uganda would “deprive the most vulnerable populations, including LGBTIQ persons, from vital support. Disengagement by the EU would also create gaps which may be further filled by other players who do not share EU values,” said EU Commissioner for International Partnerships Jutta Urpilainen in a September 2023 statement.

Violations against LGBTIQ Ugandans not “systematic or widespread” enough

In May 2023, Uganda passed one of the world’s harshest anti-gay laws, the 2023 Anti-Homosexuality Act (AHA). People found guilty of homosexual acts face life imprisonment under the law, which also introduced the death penalty for so-called “aggravated” cases, such as gay sex with someone below the age of 18 or where someone has a sexually transmitted terminal illness.

The EU’s public response to the AHA was a mildly critical statement. On the day it became law, EU high representative on foreign affairs Joseph Borrel warned that the Ugandan government must “…protect all of its citizens and uphold their basic rights. Failure to do so will undermine relationships with international partners”.

Since then, more than 90 people have been charged under the AHA, says Ugandan human rights promotion and legal aid organisation, the Human Rights Awareness and Promotion Forum (HRAPF). LGBTIQ Ugandans have also suffered at least 1,031 incidents of human rights abuses and rights violations – including breaches of their rights to freedom from torture and abuse – according to a recent report by Convening For Equality, a Ugandan LGBTIQ rights-focused campaign group.

The EU has the power to sanction Ugandan government officials over these abuses using the Global Human Rights Sanctions Regime (GHRSR). This mechanism would allow the bloc to invoke travel bans, freeze bank accounts, and forbid EU businesses and governments from making funds available to sanctioned individuals or non-governmental entities. It was adopted by the EU Foreign Affairs Council in December 2020 as a way to hold individuals and entities from non-EU countries responsible for “widespread, systematic” and “serious” human rights violations.

The GHRSR has so far been applied to individuals in countries including Russia, China and South Sudan over a range of human rights abuses, although none related to LGBTIQ rights.

The EU’s stance on Uganda, however, appears to be that there haven’t been enough human rights abuses in the country to warrant intervention via the GHRSR. The violations against Uganda’s queer community did not meet the criteria for sanctions, according to Guilliame Chartrain, the deputy ambassador of the EU delegation to Uganda, in an interview.

“At least if we refer to the AHA, the adoption by a Parliament of a law is not in itself enough as a legal basis [for implementing the GHRSR], it has to produce systematic and widespread effects. The assessment is that Uganda is not in this situation today,” Chartrain said.

It appears things would have to get worse for queer Ugandans before the EU would act. In the absence of targeted sanctions, the EU has increased funding for civil society to respond to victims of the AHA, according to Cathal Gilbert, the human rights officer at the EU delegation in Uganda. The EU and Germany last year allocated €15m for civil society organisations, non-governmental organisations and human rights defenders in Uganda.

The EU argues that its approach is to deal directly (and privately) with the government. “We believe in more direct engagement… without giving the impression that we are publicly interfering into what is in reality, a judicial Ugandan process,” Gilbert told openDemocracy, referring to an ongoing case at the Ugandan Supreme Court challenging the anti-gay law.

The US Congress, on the other hand, last month took a public stance against the AHA. It introduced a resolution that criticised “Uganda’s undemocratic human rights regression” and supported sanctions that the US Department of State in May 2024 imposed on five former and current Ugandan government and military officials over allegations of corruption and extrajudicial killings by the Ugandan army.

In its resolution, Congress condemned the “criminalisation and draconian punishments regarding consensual same-sex sexual conduct and so-called ‘promotion of homosexuality’” and backed a “reduction of support” to Uganda “until the Anti-Homosexuality Act is repealed”.

Arming acts of suppression

Under the EU’s 2008 arms trade policy, member states are legally bound to carefully consider whether any weapons and other military equipment they sell might be used for “internal repression”. This can include “torture and other cruel, inhuman and degrading treatment, disappearances, arbitrary detentions and other major violations of human rights and fundamental freedoms”.

Yet the EU and its member states are crucial partners to the Ugandan army, providing it with military training and equipment. Six EU members – Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, France and Poland – sold military equipment worth €50m to Uganda in 2022, according to Chatrain. Between 2020 and 2022, EU states also exported ammunition worth €208m to Uganda.

Uganda’s army plays a crucial role in Museveni’s violence and coercive machinery, which aims to repress opposition politicians and protesters, particularly during election years.

At least 54 people were killed and many more injured by armed police and military in November 2020 when riots erupted in support of then-opposition presidential candidate Bobi Wine (real name Robert Kyagulanyi). Wine had been arrested over an alleged violation of Covid-19-related social distancing measures less than two months before the January 2021 election.

Wine’s party, the National Unity Platform (NUP), says that more than three years later there has been no justice for the victims of the riots or for the 28 NUP supporters who have also been held in prison awaiting trial since June 2021, without the option of bail. The supporters, who are all civilians, were charged with illegal weapons possession and their cases will be heard by a military court.

Weeks after the election, the EU Parliament passed a resolution calling for accountability for human rights violations in Uganda, including the 2021 election violence. It recommended sanctioning the perpetrators under the EU Magnitsky Act, a mechanism that allows sanctions to be brought against foreigners involved in human rights abuses. Nothing came of the resolution. Chartrain, the EU ambassador, told openDemocracy that EU Parliament resolutions are not binding, but are taken into consideration by the EU delegation to Uganda as they “reflect the values and the priorities of the EU citizens”.

It has taken no further action. In May, EU ambassador to Uganda Jan Sadek posted pictures of his meeting with Muhoozi Kainerugaba, the country’s chief of defence forces and President Museveni’s son, on X (formerly Twitter). The timing was uncanny. Hours earlier, the US had announced it would be sanctioning five Ugandan officials over allegations of corruption and extrajudicial killings by the Ugandan army.

“Those pictures coming in on the same day [the US] took action raises questions about if the EU also disagrees with what the Ugandan government is doing,” said Agather Atuhaire, one of the Ugandan activist journalists who exposed graft and corruption schemes in government. The EU previously recognised Atuhaire’s work, awarding her the prestigious 2023 EU Human Rights Defender Award.

In 2022, exiled Ugandan author and activist Kakwenza Rukirabashaija claimed that Kainerugaba was present during his forced detention and his torture in a military prison in December 2021. And in July 2022 the Guardian reported that the International Criminal Court (ICC) received a petition that included the testimonies of 215 Ugandans accusing Museveni and Kainerugaba of torturing political dissidents in “secret detention centres” during the 2021 election period.

Chartrain, the deputy EU ambassador, told openDemocracy that the EU does not have a legal mechanism for sanctioning countries or individuals for corruption, and added that the accusations against Kainerugaba have not been proven.

“[He] was not named in the sanctions imposed by the Americans, and according to the feedback that we got from the ICC, there are no open cases concerning Uganda,” Chartrain said. “There are no concrete elements today that could factor into our decision to engage with the Ugandan authorities.”

The NUP told openDemocracy that the petition is ongoing and the ICC may take years to decide whether to investigate.

Is the EU pussyfooting?

Human rights campaigners told openDemocracy that the EU has outright refused to reexamine its relationship with the Ugandan government. “For their own interests… they don’t want to be seen to be too hard on the Ugandan government,” said a past recipient of the EU Human Rights Defender Award, who spoke to openDemocracy on the condition of anonymity.

“It is worse than business as usual. It’s the air of promotion that Uganda is a place where European corporations should come and invest. That’s leverage that [the EU is] creating for an administration that wants LGBTQ+ people to disappear. That’s an astonishing position for a political entity,” said Asia Russell, the executive director of Health GAP, an international organisation pushing for universal access to medical treatment for people with HIV.

In the past, the EU has acted more decisively on Uganda. In 2012, it suspended funding for the country after $13m of aid for refugee settlements was found to have been embezzled through the prime minister’s office. In 2018, Germany withheld €100m of funding for the Ugandan government, demanding accountability for officials implicated in a UN audit that uncovered corruption in Uganda’s refugee scheme.

In a letter dated 16 April 2024, Convening for Equality, a Ugandan LGBTIQ-focused campaign group called for a review of EU funding to Uganda, suggesting that the EU should pause or redirect any funds going through government entities or essential humanitarian support to non-government organisations committed to providing services to and employing LGBTIQ people.

Gilbert of the EU delegation in Uganda responded by saying: “Less than 5% of the funding that we provide in Uganda goes to the government. Almost all of our development cooperation is channelled through development agencies, UN bodies or civil society. So removing that funding is not going to be a hit on the treasury of [Uganda].”

In response to openDemocracy on whether there are considerations for funding to the Ugandan government to be rerouted, the EU Commission said it “deeply regrets” the April 2024 constitutional court ruling that upheld most of the AHA.

It added: “We will continue to follow the implementation of the law and engaging on human rights issues with the Ugandan authorities and civil society as part of our longstanding and broad-based partnership with the country to ensure that all Ugandan citizens, regardless of their sexual orientation and gender identity, are protected and treated equally, with dignity and respect.”

On the 2020-21 election violence, the Commission said: “The EU has expressed both publicly and in our direct contacts with the Ugandan government its concerns about human rights violations in Uganda, including regarding the violence around the 2021 elections. We believe in maintaining an open channel with the government to address these issues constructively.”

The EU’s position is reflective of age-old colonial and imperial power dynamics, says journalist and feminist Rosebell Kagumire, and as such the continental bloc is unlikely to change its stance any time soon.

“African countries are still being extracted, in so many ways. The EU maintaining the leaders that do not serve our countries, but serve them and the small privileged few is one of the most glaring symptoms and manifestations of this,” she said.

J.D. Vance, MAGA Don’t Represent Appalachia 

w/ Beth Howard & Hy Thurman 

| The Marc Steiner Show

Source: Real News Network


J.D. Vance’s rise to the GOP ticket has opened up scrutiny into the junior senator’s past and roots. Before he entered politics, Vance entered the public spotlight as the author of a best-selling memoir, Hillbilly Elegy. While often marketed as an authentic glimpse of Appalachian working class life, what Elegy really offers is a portrait of a man whose roots and life path have been decidedly different from those of Appalachia’s working poor. Like the GOP itself, Vance’s claims to represent Appalachia’s poorest don’t hold water.

In this episode of The Marc Steiner Show, Beth Howard of Showing Up for Racial Justice and Hy Thurman, a former Young Patriot, discuss the radical history of Appalachia, and how progressives can bring white workers in this region and beyond into a multiracial working class movement for social justice.

Studio Production: David Hebden
Post-Production: Alina Nehlich



 

Source: Democracy Now


Turmoil continues in Venezuela after July’s contested election, in which both President Nicolás Maduro and the Venezuelan opposition claimed victory. The National Electoral Council declared Maduro the winner with 51% of the vote, but the opposition has released thousands of vote tally sheets online that, if authenticated, suggest a landslide win for Edmundo González. Maduro has tasked the country’s Supreme Court with verifying the electoral results, though critics question the court’s impartiality. Meanwhile, dueling protests have taken place in Caracas and other parts of Venezuela as international rights groups have denounced a crackdown against demonstrators by government forces, including some 2,000 reported arrests. But Maduro and allies say it is the opposition that has led widespread attacks, causing the deaths of at least 25 people during protests after the July 28 election. For more on the crisis in Venezuela, we speak with Leonardo Flores, a Venezuelan political analyst, activist and founding member of the Venezuela Solidarity Network, and Alejandro Velasco, associate professor at NYU, where he is a historian of modern Latin America.



 

Source: African Arguments


Protests in Senegal leading to the 2024 elections. Credit: France 24


In a subregion with increasing political and social instability, Senegal seemingly bucked the trend with the country’s latest round of successful elections this spring. Earlier, in February, Macky Sall, who led Senegal from 2012–24, seemingly didn’t appear to want to vacate power. On February 3, he unilaterally postponed the country’s planned February 25 elections. Sall framed the decision as ensuring credibility of the election process. However, given some of his political manoeuvres in recent years, many argued that it was his last grasp at trying to maintain power. The backlash was swift and sustained and some argued that his decision created a constitutional crisis.


Senegalese citizens take voting very seriously. In a subregion of countries with many instances of contested elections, political instability, and numerous coup d’états, Senegal has peacefully passed power. Certainly, there have been protests, opposition parties and leaders. Civil discourse is widespread and Senegal has proved to be a consummate site of democracy and citizens are fervent about using the vote to facilitate political change. However, despite this longue durée of democratic political transfer in the recent years, Macky Sall seemed to be further whittling back some of Senegal’s democratic traditions. Sall seemed increasingly threatened by opposition leaders and imprisoned some including the current president Bassirou Diomaye and the prime minister, Ousmane Sonko.

Despite some wrinkles, Senegal has never experienced a coup d’état and the transfer of power has been relatively peaceful. In a world of increasing global instability, Senegal is an example of maintaining democracy amid competing interests.

Power shifts

When Macky Sall was elected president in 2012, the majority of Senegal’s citizens were hopeful. The outgoing president Abdoulaye Wade had overstayed. Like Sall’s recent attempts to maintain power, Wade seemed reticent to relinquish power. Wade went as far as to try to change the constitution to allow him a third term. He also sought to create a political dynasty by trying to ensure that his then increasingly unpopular son follow him. His son, Karim Wade, was found guilty of embezzlement and other illegal activity and would subsequently undergo two prison stints during Sall’s rule.


In recent decades, one trend holds true for Senegalese elections, Senegalese tend to support opposition leaders who they believe would be able to usher in real change and who are perceived to be anti-corruption. In fact, Abdoulaye Wade had been an opposition leader for years. He lived in Point E, a prominent

 neighbourhood, was a lawyer and as some said: “had his own money.” The premise was that he wouldn’t support corruption and need to steal because he was a man of relative means. Sopi, a Wolof word meaning change, was his party’s slogan for the 2000 election. Wade was elected president in spring 2000 after a runoff election with the standing president Abdou Diouf. Diouf had been president for 20 years. He was the successor to Senegal’s founding president, Léopold Sédar Senghor who led from Senegal’s independence in 1960 until 1980. Wade’s win in 2000 was significant as both an opposition party win but also one that disrupted the forty-year post-colonial rule of the Parti Socialiste (PS). The mood in Dakar, Senegal for the deuxième tour, or second round of votes for the 2000 election, was electric. I was able to witness the excitement firsthand when I visited Senegal during this period. From the ground, it seemed first that Abdou Diouf was ready to move on and second, that the majority of Senegal’s citizens were excited to usher in a new political chapter with Abdoulaye Wade and they did.

Similarly, I was in Senegal in 2011, when tensions rose about Wade trying to seemingly hold onto power directly or indirectly through his son. In January 2011, the Y’en a Marre movement was created to protest the perceived problems with Wade’s presidency. I spent two months in Senegal that summer and frankly, in my visits to date, I’d never seen that level of disruption, rancour, and unease in Dakar. In fact, I recall telling one of my friends that I’d never seen anything like it. She responded that you haven’t because “we’ve never seen anything like it.” Since the mid-1990s, I’ve travelled to and at times, lived in Senegal – often for months and sometimes more than a year. In summer 2011, it was the first time that I’d felt physically unsafe in Senegal. The protests were broad – with some vandalism, burning of tyres, cars, and other objects. Also large groups of young people would create impromptu protests in different parts of the city. One day, I was travelling with a young family member from a visit on the VDN near the headquarters of Wade’s PDS party. But once we stepped outside and I looked to the left, I realized that it could escalate. Traffic on the VDN was blocked. We walked in the other direction to try and catch a taxi at a nearby thoroughfare. These events following Wade’s attempts to maintain power in 2011 seemed to foreshadow events in 2023 and 2024. In fact, under the last months of Sall’s rule, things appeared seemingly more precarious than Wade’s tenure.   Three people were confirmed killed during the protests this year with others injured during as protestors opposed Macky Sall’s attempted power grab.

Internal politics

The initial prevailing sentiment for President Bassirou Diomaye Faye’s presidential term is hopeful. Certainly, he is facing some early criticism, for example, the dearth of women in his cabinet. However, he is in the honeymoon period of his presidency and it remains to be seen how he will govern. To date, President Faye has fleshed out his initial presidential cabinet, pledged to fight corruption, tackle economic issues, and created a new office of religious affairs.


Faye does have some big issues facing him. Certainly, the pledged economic reform is important. The state has many issues to tackle including high employment rates, low wages, and high inflation. In addition, the country needs to continue to maintain some balance in social, education, and health infrastructure investment. Of course, too, Faye’s administration needs to help calm some of the lingering tensions that resulted from interruption of Senegal regular 2024 elections. Faye has a chance, too, to work with Prime Minister, Ousmane Sonko, on future cabinet updates that provide more ministerial diversity, including more women cabinet officials. Some of Senegal’s major natural resources include a long-established fishing industry and new oil and gas sources. In recent decades, local fisherman have been pushed out of the industry due to large scale fishing contracts favouring European and Asian countries. These contracts have led to some overfishing and made it dangerous and less profitable for locals to compete. Faye has already proposed to review oil and gas contracts to see if they should be renegotiated to benefit Senegal’s population. Similarly, the growing fishing crisis will likely demand some state intervention.

Regional shifts

Regionally, in West Africa and the Sahel, the Senegalese state faces a number of challenges in rising insecurity including the role of non-state actors, new state actors in the region. One of the Macky Sall’s strengths was to maintain security against external threats. Insecurity in the Sahel continues to rise and there have been a spate of coup d’états, contested elections, and growing political instability in the region. Additionally, during the past two decades non-state actors and militias, including AQIM, Boko Haram, ISIS and others have operated in the region. The trafficking of people – often as migrants some who become forced laboirers –has also increased. In addition to the trafficking of people and arms by some of these groups and others, there is trafficking of drugs: illicit ones like heroin, cocaine and cannabis but also pharmaceutical drugs trafficking has risen in recent decades. Finally, too, the region is seeing a rise in the involvement of new states – primarily Russia. Officially, Russia has engaged more with the continent through Russia–Africa summits, visits by Sergey Lavrov, and meetings with Putin at the Kremlin. In fact, Macky Sall, as chairperson of the African Union and Moussa Faki Mahamat were invited to the Kremlin in 2022. Russia has close ties with Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger in the subregion. Unofficially, Wagner has increased activity in West Africa and the Sahel, including in Chad. In fact, in late May, Faye visited both Mali and Burkino Faso. It will be interesting to see what role he’ll play on security matters in the Sahel.

Futures

Senegal’s pivot from a potential protracted political crisis to a peaceful transfer of power is a lesson for the continent and for the West. This year, a record number of elections are taking place across the globe. It is expected that some will proceed smoothly and others might be more fraught. Will other countries, including those in the West, fare as well as in the circumstances that Senegal’s electorate fared this spring? Democracy prevails in Senegal and it continues to provide a model for other countries. It is imperative that Bassirou Faye and his cabinet continue these traditions while also navigating internal and external pressures.


Donna A. Patterson is Associate Professor and Chair of the Department of History, Political Science, and Philosophy at Delaware State University. She is also a Senior Fellow at the Delaware State University’s Global Institute for Equity, Inclusion, and Civil Rights. Patterson is the author of Pharmacy in Senegal: Gender, Healing, and Entrepreneurship. She is currently working on two larger projects on transnational drug consumption and public health and on the West African Ebola epidemic.

Political Parties Are Divided on Abortion Rights. American Women Aren’t.

A new survey from KFF, a health policy research nonprofit, finds that bans are widely unpopular, and most women support national abortion protections.
August 14, 2024
Source: The 19th





Most women between the ages of 18 and 49 support a national right to abortion, oppose a national ban on the procedure, and don’t believe abortion rights should be left up to individual states, according to a new survey from KFF, a nonprofit health policy research, polling and news organization.

Majorities of Democratic and independent women oppose restrictions and support a law enshrining a national abortion right, the poll found; so do almost half of all Republican women.

The survey was fielded from May 15 to June 18, looking at a nationally representative sample of 3,901 people ages 18 to 49 who identified as women, trans, nonbinary or another gender. It found that almost 1 in 10 either struggled to get an abortion after Roe v. Wade’s overturn or knew someone who had. Almost two-thirds said they feared abortion bans could jeopardize the health of their own future pregnancy or that of someone close to them — including almost 40 percent of Republican respondents.

“Across the board, people are really concerned about the impact of abortion restrictions and abortion bans on people’s health and on safety,” said Usha Ranji, associate director for Women’s Health Policy at KFF.

The findings underscore that, while the major political parties remain divided on abortion, American women — and especially those considered to be of reproductive age — are fairly aligned.

They largely oppose the two stances backed by members of the Republican Party: the proposed 15-week ban some politicians have touted, as well as former President Donald Trump’s current stance of leaving abortion policy mostly up to individual states. And they support Vice President Kamala Harris’ preference of enacting national abortion rights protections.

A person’s political party affiliation doesn’t have a big influence over whether they are more likely to have had an abortion, either. The survey found that about 14 percent of respondents — about 1 in 7 — have had an abortion in their lifetime. Black and Hispanic respondents were more likely than White ones to say they’d had an abortion.

About 8 percent of those who identified as “pro-life” said they had had an abortion, compared to about 17 percent of those who identified as pro-choice. But the numbers were remarkably similar across Republicans, Democrats and independents: 12 percent, 14 percent and 15 percent, respectively.

“Pregnancy is a really common experience, and complications can arise, and many cases of pregnant people don’t want to be pregnant,” Ranji said. “Abortion is a medical service. It is health care, and people across all walks of life have used abortion services and continue to.”

The survey also sheds light into just how remarkably Roe’s overturn — and the rash of abortion bans it has let take effect — has reshaped people’s lives.

About 17 percent of the respondents said they had changed their contraceptive habits, including starting birth control or switching to a more effective method, or keeping emergency contraception on hand. Asian or Pacific Islander, Black and Hispanic respondents were all more likely than those who were White to say they had changed how they approach contraception.

Of those who said they or someone they know has struggled to get an abortion in the past two years, most reported that the affected person had traveled out of state for care.

Income made a difference. About 75 percent of those who are financially better off said they or the person they knew had traveled out of state, compared to about 62 percent of those with lower incomes. (Higher income respondents were those defined as those earning at or above 200 percent of the federal poverty line; in 2024, that was $3,407 per month for a household of two.)

And for many, figuring out how to get an abortion — or how to pay for it — remains difficult. About 1 in 3 who said they or someone they knew struggled to get an abortion indicated that having the money to pay for the procedure was another barrier. About 40 percent said they did not know where to go for care.

Responses from some of the people surveyed underscore the difficulty of lining up all the resources needed to get care. When asked why she could not receive an abortion, one respondent said it was because she was “unable to afford the procedure” and that by the time she could have raised the money, she would have been too far along in her pregnancy. Another said she could not afford to go out of state. Another wrote: “I lived an hour and a half from the location and my ride didn’t show up.”

Most respondents did not know the legal status of abortion their state, and almost one-fourth incorrectly described their state’s abortion laws. About 26 percent said they would not know where to go if they needed information about how to get an abortion.

Most respondents knew about medication abortion, the two-drug regimen that now accounts for about two-thirds of all abortions. Abortion providers have relied on this method to reach patients in states with abortion bans, because health care professionals in states with legal protections can prescribe and mail pills to people in states with restrictions.

That mail-order method accounts for a growing share of abortions done in the United States, but the KFF survey suggests that people’s awareness of how to obtain the pills is significantly limited. Only 19 percent knew that people in their states could order them online, and people with lower incomes were less likely to say they knew about this option. So were Black and Hispanic respondents compared to those who identified as White, Asian or Pacific Islander, and so were those who lived in states with abortion bans.

“The information is getting out there to some extent, clearly — but there are a lot of people who don’t know,” Ranji said.