Wednesday, August 21, 2024

Harris Proposes to Increase the Deficit by 0.5 Percent of GDP Over the Next Decade



 
 August 19, 2024
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Photograph Source: The White House – Public Domain

In an effort to promote hysteria, the media have jumped on the proposals laid out by Vice-President Harris, telling their audience that they will increase the deficit by $1.7 trillion over the next decade. This estimate comes from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget and includes a lot of guesswork, like the cost of Harris’ proposal for a first-time homebuyer tax credit, which is not well-defined at this point.

However, the key point here is that almost no one knows how much money $1.7 trillion is over the next decade. When the media present this figure, they are essentially telling their audience nothing.

It would take all of ten seconds to write this number in a way that would be meaningful to most people. GDP is projected to be $352 trillion over the next decade, so this sum will be a bit less than 0.5 percent of projected GDP. The country is projected to spend $84.9 trillion over this period, so Harris’ proposals would increase total spending by roughly 2.0 percent.

If the point is to inform their audience, it is hard to understand why the media would not take the few seconds needed to put large budget numbers in context. On the other hand, if the point is to promote fears of exploding deficits, they are going a good route.

This first appeared on Dean Baker’s Beat the Press blog.

Dean Baker is the senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, DC. 

The Feeding Frenzy of Consumerism and Environmental Destruction



 
 August 19, 2024
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Photograph Source: Jonathan McIntosh – CC BY 2.0

Martin Luther King, Jr. believed that consumerism was one of the major shortcomings of US society. The other issues were militarism and racism. Those were the three major themes King raised in his famous “Beyond Vietnam” speech delivered in April 1967 at Riverside Church in New York City. King spoke against the ongoing debacle of the US war in Southeast Asia.

The apron of the big-box store in western Massachusetts was populated and littered with all manner of consumer goods, both big and small on the first day of the state’s tax-free weekend. There are usually lots of people in this area outside the store, but the huge dollies and trucks parked at the perimeter of the store spoke to the feeding frenzy of shopping.

Many of the items were big-ticket items: huge flat-screen TVs, masses of furniture such as chairs and sectional couches, and a whole host of other consumer goods. The clutch of people and trucks carrying away these items made it difficult to walk unimpeded on the sidewalk without having to step out onto the road at the edge of the big-box parking lot.

Consumerism is a way for people in the US and other so-called developed societies to assuage a number of issues. The feel-good reaction to grabbing all that a person can is like a scene out of the children’s book Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (1972) where a character can be sated with all of the chocolate he ever dreamed of eating.

Recall George W. Bush’s advice to go out and shop as a way of responding to the September 11, 2001 attacks.

“This version of patriotism — consumer patriotism — was on full display after the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon and the hijacking of United Airlines Flight 93 in 2001. The message from political leaders was that the way for Americans to move past the tragedy and overcome their fears was to spend money and spur the economy.

“In an address to the nation on the evening of the 9/11 attacks, President George W. Bush reassured the public that “our financial institutions remain strong” and the American economy was still “open for business.” He would go on to tell people to “get down to Disney World in Florida” to help shore up the country’s hurting airlines. “Take your families and enjoy life the way we want it to be enjoyed,” he said. Vice President Dick Cheney called for the public to “stick their thumb in the eye of the terrorists” by not letting what had happened “in any way throw off their normal level of activity.” Political leaders declared that the terrorists “hate our freedoms” — of religion, of speech, and, apparently, of the ability to snap a picture with Minnie and Mickey and buy stock in Exxon (Vox, September 9, 2021).”

As a society we need to pay attention to the big-ticket consumer items that would slow climate destruction. Stopping that destruction may be beyond those efforts at this point. In relatively wind-rich western Massachusetts, the same paltry number of wind turbines from over a decade ago are the same ones I see today. There has been an effort to build some solar arrays and some homes have solar panels, but the cost of installing a solar system, even with state and federal government assistance, is prohibitive. Electricity is expensive, as can be seen in cooling costs for the current hot summer. The major electric company and state will help with energy efficiency, but will not buck fossil fuel generated electricity production. Other sources of energy efficient energy production are not considered. Electric or hybrid cars and trucks remain expensive compared to gasoline driven engines.

I’ve learned what I call the two-week test about consumerism. I imagine what a particular consumer good would look like after two weeks of having indulged in its purchase. This behavior change has resulted in remarkable results, as I put a consumer item back on its rack after applying the two-week consumer test inside the big-box store on this tax-free weekend. I neither needed nor wanted the item. The two-week consumer-resistance test is arbitrary, but any time frame will do. In relation to the environment, where consumer goods are particularly destructive of the climate, vegetarianism and veganism are perhaps the greatest single behavior change a person can make toward returning to a more sustainable world (Physicians Committee for Responsible Medicine). Countering the raising and slaughter of animals, besides the cruelty involved, is the area a person can make the greatest contribution in reversing climate destruction.

Consumerism cannot begin to compare to the enormous use of fossil fuels in war. No personal change of behavior can begin to address the addiction to war, both overt and covert. Wars are CO2 producing catastrophes. Heating of the environment releases methane, a more potent source of destructive warming than CO2, from former frigid areas of permafrost. The loops of destruction increase and intensify.

Growing food in a vegetable garden is also an important pushback against environmental ruin, but it is only a baby step in that direction in a society seemingly unconcerned about environmental destruction and committed to incessant economic “growth.” A vegetable garden, while enviable, is tinkering around the edges of the environmental catastrophe.

Only days after this tax-free weekend, skies in western Massachusetts were darkened by wildfire smoke creating an unhealthy level of pollution.

Howard Lisnoff is a freelance writer. He is the author of Against the Wall: Memoir of a Vietnam-Era War Resister (2017).

When Western Solidarity Becomes an Exercise in Gaslighting


 
 August 19, 2024
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Image by Ian Hutchinson.

In Baghdad, the colonnaded streets and labyrinthine alleys of the old downtown are ghostlike by night. Here and there in the sprawling suburbs, hordes of depoliticized consumers swarm around neoliberal monuments of worship, parking their “cool” four-by-fours along Vegas-like avenues for an over-priced dinner of junk food from whatever spot social media influencers decide is in vogue.

At clogged crossroads, haggard children wipe windshields for a penny, unseen. Soldiers, concrete slabs, and images of dead militiamen are the paraphernalia of war and yesteryear’s security regimes, here for a latent state of emergency that lurks underneath a carefully manicured spectacle of a malformed, vulgar Iraqi renaissance.

Twenty-one years since the American-led invasion and occupation of Baghdad, this traumatizing mise-en-scène of a defeated city is a theatre where the obscenities of the corrupt and the nouveau riche play out, a soaring class wound incised deep in society after decades of patronage politics and theft articulating the unannounced.

The war raging far away in Palestine’s Ghezzeh seems like a distant, almost irrelevant phenomenon. A New York Times reporter with a questionable understanding of the region said that, although Iraqis are sympathetic with Palestinians, they “still feel overwhelmed by the aftermath of Iraq’s own conflicts.”

True, Iraqis may seem to be following the news of Palestine and their own country in silence, finding in sarcasm a momentary refuge from the countless indignities of everyday life, the slow death of their beloved cities, and the televised carnage Israel inflicts on the bodies, and abodes of the people of Ghezzeh.

The forced quietude of the Arab street has become a mirror for the Palestinian genocide. Yet in Iraq, this supposed resignation has less to do with an inward-looking, bruised nation than the appropriation and monopolization of every manifestation of solidarity by Shia armed and political factions.

The memories of sectarian violence and concomitant Palestinian cleansing, the state grab, and encroachment over the public sphere by these groupings have pushed Palestine solidarity to an ephemeral cyber sphere and bourgeois emporiums.

George Galloway and other supposed allies of the white Western “left” need to take heed.

In Baghdad, Cairo, Amman, and even Riyadh, years of warfare and decades-long political and security backing from the West have left organized opposition wounded, at loss. In both the urban and digital spheres they find a sleepless panopticon. Yet people have nevertheless spent years daring security apparatuses to find effective means of solidarity and peaceful expression.

“If the Muslim world was a real thing,” Galloway wrote on X, after the recent massacre of some 100 worshippers in Ghezzeh, “politically speaking, the massacre of over one hundred worshipers reading [sic] their Fajr prayer in Gaza this morning would be the last straw.”

“Where is the Ummah,” Myriam François, an outspoken journalist, wrote in another absurd X post in Arabic. Does the Palestinian cause concern Muslims alone?

Not only are the specificities of the Arab context made irrelevant, it seems that solidarity in an increasingly Right-leaning West has become an exercise in gaslighting.

Much ink was spilled on the “heroics” of American students and scholars in support of Palestine, less so on their Arab peers. Carrion-eaters in the western hemisphere have turned Ghezzeh, as the entire Arab world beforehand, into a career. Meanwhile, to the members of the tourist club of “Middle East correspondents,” it remains business as usual. There exists no urge to pen an op-ed against a biased, anti-Palestinian industry. Others pen bland columns, blabber on talk shows, and cash in by assuming the spokesman/woman-ship for the Palestinian wound abroad.

But what would it take to listen to, rather than speak over, Palestinians today?

Unrecognizable limbs, more limbs, a bag of charred human flesh and faces of shell-shocked children decorate the social media pages of famed influencers like a prized commodity hanged for legitimation. “How many more headless babies does it take!” goes the disingenuous cry. Aside from the harm inflicted by this guilt-driven urge to do something, white savorism, it seems, remains infectious.

Meanwhile, some diaspora artists and academics went as far as cheering on the “Iraqi Resistance” from the comfort of Berkley and London, leaving Iraqis wondering if these arm-chair revolutionaries would abandon their lives for tenure in Kufa, where they would surely join the downtrodden in future uprisings against the militias of this state-in-violation. Assuming their fluency in Arabic, perhaps they would file vicious tirades to the local press, too, brushing aside fears of a spectacular reprisal.

While Palestinians’ path of resistance is clear, the story is tad different in Iraq. For it is in the very nadir from which militia’s anti-imperialist rhetoric comes that the blood of their victims was spilled before and after the October Uprising of 2019, when thousands of Iraqis rose against two-decades of a lethally-failing US-installed, Iran-dominated political (dis)order.

Alas, it is the South West Asian and North African populations, those who are reduced to exotic objects of seasonal academic inquiry, and whose lands are haunted by the political decisions of diaspora communities, including Muslim voters and loyal state-department servants, who are to blame.

The Arab street has become a testing ground for the latest weaponry, a dream destination for the uninvited experts of America’s Middle East/Arab Operations (sorry, Studies) elite programs, and lastly, a site where a pampered “left” now projects its own impotence.

Leftists in Arab-authoritarianism have their own fights to undertake on their own terms, at the forefront of which is wrestling Palestine off the mediocre discourse of their rulers. They wait for no directives from an aloof “left”, let alone academics, in the West. Spare them your condescension.

Nabil Salih, a writer/photographer from Baghdad.