Sunday, September 15, 2024

Ideas & Debates

Once Again on Palestine and the National Question: A Polemic between Révolution Permanente and Lutte Ouvrière


A polemic between Révolution Permanente with Lutte Ouvrière on Palestine and the question of national self-determination.

I LOVE THIS SHIT


Damien Bernard and Claude Piperno 
August 31, 2024
LEFT VOICE


This article is a polemic between Révolution Permanente, Left Voice’s sister group in France, and Lutte Ouvrière (LO, Workers Struggle), another French Trotskyist organization. The debate is part of a series of exchanges on the national question and self-determination.

While the authors focus on Palestine, they also discuss the national self-determination struggle of Kanaky, an island territory in the South Pacific colonized by France since 1853, also known by its colonial name, New Caledonia. In May, Indigenous Kanaks rose up against France’s plan to impose new voting rules that would weaken the Kanak vote. The uprising faced severe repression by the military and armed police, as well as social media bans imposed by the government.

The original article was published before the European elections and snap elections in France, which you can read more about in both Left Voice and Révolution Permanente.

***

After a week of semi-spontaneous demonstrations in response to the Rafah massacre and massive mobilizations in France on June 1, Palestine continues to be at the forefront of the political situation. And yet, although Lutte Ouvrière mentions Palestine in its press, at its annual gathering, and in its European election campaign, the group continues to consider Palestine separately from the question of national liberation — thus failing to link it to a revolutionary perspective.

In recent months, Lutte Ouvrière has taken up the subject more directly in an article entitled “The Far Left, the Palestinian Question and Hamas.” LO’s spokeswoman, Nathalie Arthaud, revisited the issue in her speech on the international situation on the last day of the annual gathering. These elaborations and speeches clarify the debate we began last October, when LO continued to dodge the national question and equate Hamas and Netanyahu, calling workers to unite “from the sea to the Jordan River,” without addressing the need for the Israeli working class to break with Zionism.

The development of the international movement for Palestine, the spontaneity and strength with which an entire generation has raised the flag of international solidarity, as well as the resurgence of the national question in Kanaky, all compel us to continue this debate with the comrades of LO.
Just or Unjust War?

In the context of the war-genocide that Israel has been waging against the Gaza Strip and the Palestinians since October, LO has developed a position that can be summarized as follows: they denounce Israeli state terrorism and its imperialist supporters, but also denounce Hamas, whose interests they see as opposed to those of the Palestinians; they express solidarity with the Palestinian people and support their rights and oppose their dispossession; and they call for class unity between workers in Palestine and Israel. Lutte Ouvrière has used this slogan in its press and media: “Against imperialism and its maneuvers; against Netanyahu and Hamas; workers of France, Palestine, and Israel, unite!”

In discussing this position, we pointed out at the end of October 2023 that LO ultimately equates Hamas, a Palestinian national movement organization — which is indeed politically reactionary and ideologically ultra-conservative and religious — with the State of Israel, which is not only a religious and theocratic state in its foundations, but also an advanced outpost and enforcer of imperialist interests in the region. The comrades of LO claim they have never “stopped denouncing the policy of the Israeli leaders … and their state terrorism, whose violence is on a completely different scale than that of Hamas.” It would be our interpretation of Marxism, however, that poses a problem. This interpretation supposedly sweeps under the rug the fundamental question of the political independence that revolutionaries must maintain vis-à-vis national bourgeoisies and their political currents.

To demonstrate our “opportunism,” LO’s argues:


RP points out that, in Socialism and War (1915), Lenin advocated the victory of Morocco over France, of India over England, of Persia or China over Russia. But Lenin also defended the class struggle of the proletariat in colonized or semi-colonial countries against their local ruling classes and their representatives, be they sultans, warlords or maharajas.

This maneuver allows the LO comrades to avoid taking a stance on Lenin’s first assertion, which is that


if tomorrow, Morocco were to declare war on France, India on England, Persia or China on Russia, and so forth, those would be “just,” “defensive” wars, irrespective of who attacked first; and every Socialist would sympathize with the victory of the oppressed, dependent, unequal states against the oppressing, slave owning, predatory “great” powers.

While Lenin’s assertion seems to be considered self-evident by LO, the latter’s position on the current war in Palestine is far from analogous. On the one hand, LO maintains that “Israel has been waging a war of oppression and colonization for over 70 years,” but on the other hand, it never mentions whether Palestinians are undertaking a “just” war of national liberation, which would require that revolutionaries support the military side of the oppressed nation. This ambiguity regarding the nature of the war in Palestine contrasts with the comrades’ stance on the war in Ukraine, where the LO openly states that “this war is not a just war.”

This refusal to take a position on the war allows LO to evade the question of choosing a military side, asserting that there are


indeed two sides in this war, but not the ones we are presented with. On one side, there are the leaders of Israel and the great powers, but also those of the Arab states, Hamas, and even the Palestinian Authority, who primarily seek power and each contribute in their own way to the continued oppression of the peoples. On the other side, the oppressed Arabs, Palestinians, and Israelis have no interest in this war. But they will only be able to end it by uniting on the basis of their class interests against all their oppressors.”

This abstract position of “neutrality” denies the clear opposition between the State of Israel, on the one hand, supported by a number of imperialist powers, some of which are currently critical of Netanyahu’s extremism, and the Palestinian people resisting colonization and occupation on the other, whose cause is being instrumentalized by several bourgeois states or currents in the Near and Middle East in the face of Zionist colonialism.
The Exception and the Rule: When Lutte Ouvrière Resolutely Defended the Side of Oppressed Nations

LO has not always held the same position on the Palestinian question, notably from the late 1960s to the 1970s. For instance, a few days after the outbreak of the Yom Kippur War in 1973, initiated by Nasserist Egypt and Ba’athist Syria in reaction to Israel’s colonial offensive during the Six-Day War in 1967, LO explicitly positioned itself on the side of the oppressed nations with an article titled “Middle East: Why Revolutionaries Are in the Camp of the Arab Countries.” As early as 1967, the comrades (then known as Voix Ouvrière [Worker’s Voice]) expressed a similar position in an article titled “The Palestinian Problem.”

In these two texts, LO adopts a clear position on the war. While the comrades sharply criticize and denounce the maneuvers and inconsistencies of the nationalist bourgeois leaderships of the Arab states, such as the PLO, they do so from a position of unconditional support for the resistance of oppressed peoples against imperialism. Several excerpts from these texts could apply to the current war. For instance, in their 1973 article, the comrades point out that “proletarian revolutionaries cannot determine their stance based on the nationalisms and national justifications at play. Nor can they determine their stance based on the nature of the regimes of the states involved in this war,” before adding that without harboring any illusions about “the anti-imperialist or, even less, revolutionary character of the conflict,”


proletarian revolutionaries must support the Arab countries. They must support them unconditionally, despite the reactionary anti-worker nationalist policies of the regimes in place, because imperialism is on the other side. Because imperialism would be strengthened by an Israeli victory, because Israel, in defending its own interests in this part of the world, also defends those of global imperialism.

LO then made it clear that “support for the Arab countries in no way means alignment with nationalist leaders,” thus distinguishing between military and political camps, a distinction we ourselves draw in our texts on Palestine, which our comrades consider “opportunist.” While acknowledging the reactionary aspects of Arab leaderships, whether it’s the collusion between Nasser, Hussein, and Faisal 1 or “the anti-Jewish propaganda of a Choukeiry,” 2 LO believed that “all this is not enough to equate Israel and the Arab countries.” According to the organization at that time,


in the event of a conflict between Israel and the Arab states, we stand with the latter, because the policies of Arab leaders may be contrary to the interests of their people, but Israeli leaders are fighting for imperialism. In a war between American democracy and the Sultan of Kuwait, we would not look at where the Republic is and where the Monarchy is, but where imperialism is.

Although the LO likes to emphasize the consistency of its politics and strategy, these positions sharply contrast with its positions on the current war. Unfortunately, these positions from 1973 have been more of an exception than the rule in the history of the organization, likely influenced by the (healthy, in our view) pressure of the 1968 revolutionary spirit. In any case, this period allowed for the development of texts that are light-years away from the rigid stance LO now presents as proof of orthodoxy. Nevertheless, LO’s analytical framework on the national question fundamentally differs from the theory of permanent revolution and Trotskyism, despite the organization’s claims to uphold them.
Rhetoric and Abstractions: LO’s Trotskyism and the Negation of the National Question

Throughout its history, LO has tried to establish a framework for understanding the tasks of revolutionary Marxists in semicolonial and colonial countries, and in doing so, it has often derided the errors and deviations of the other two major Trotskyist currents in France. On one side, there’s the “Mandelite” current — formerly the Unified Secretariat, now the International Committee associated historically with the Ligue communiste révolutionnaire (LCR) and today with various currents within the NPA and Ensemble [See “Permanent revolution, as defended by the Unified Secretariat.”]]. On the other side, there’s the Lambertist current 3. LO has focused its critiques particularly on the LCR, with which LO has occasionally collaborated, such as in shared interventions and activist groups. LO has consistently criticized the Mandelite stance of following bourgeois nationalist or Stalinist leaderships that have led revolutionary processes in the latter half of the 20th century, from Maoism to Sandinism and Castroism, among others.4 We partially share these critiques, which form the basis for our profound strategic differences with this current 5; however, they do not vindicate the LO’s incorrect strategic analysis of the national question, the tasks of national liberation arising from it, and their connection to the perspective of social revolution.

LO’s positions on this question indeed rest on denying the national question. LO advocates a stance presented as “class-based”: the only thing that ultimately matters is that the working class can overthrow the dictatorship of capital. This truth is expressed abstractly, overlooking a range of other struggles that, while ultimately subordinate to the primary objective, can play a decisive role in the capacity of the working class to mobilize.

In the case of countries that LO describes as “backward” or “poor” 6, where the national question is more obvious and unavoidable, LO maintains formally anti-imperialist positions, condemning exploitation, plundering, and violence, while sidestepping the issue of national liberation. When it comes to unresolved national questions in countries or nations at the heart of the imperialist system, such as the Catalan or Basque question with respect to the Spanish or French state, LO considers them nationalist and reactionary demands — or reactionary because they are nationalist 7.

In both cases, LO never concretely addresses the link between national and social liberation: namely, as posited by Lenin and Trotsky within the Communist International, the way in which a struggle for democratic and national rights can “grow into” a fight against capital, and conversely, how only a fight against capital can ensure the real success of these democratic and national struggles, provided the working class intervenes independently and through self-organization. LO omits the first part of this reasoning and retains only fragments of the second. Thus, in its main polemical texts against the Unified Secretariat, for example, LO ridicules Mandelism’s use of the idea of “growing into” as if it were an “invention” on par with other Marxist categories that emerged in the postwar period, even though the term is one of the key operational concepts highlighted by Trotsky in the preface to The Permanent Revolution, to cite just one text.

To justify this de facto break with Trotskyism, Lutte Ouvrière relies on the real political adaptations of certain currents, suggesting that the idea of a bourgeois revolution “growing into” a socialist revolution entails expecting nationalist leaderships themselves to transform into workers’ and revolutionary leaderships. This polemical distortion is countered by LO with the notion — abstractly correct but politically revealing of its choices, hesitations, and limitations — that “only the dictatorship of the proletariat can fully resolve and guarantee the fulfillment of bourgeois democratic tasks, as it opens the perspective of world socialist revolution.” This formulation from 1967, in “The Permanent Revolution in China,” is the same one that is denied in 2024 to Kanaky, which LO continues to call “New Caledonia”: “The aspirations of the oppressed to escape poverty and decide their fate,” reads the conclusion of LO’s latest national editorial signed by Nathalie Arthaud, “cannot be realized without overthrowing imperialism, that is, the capitalist economic order, which is at the root of the relations of domination and borders it has created. Without this perspective, we are condemned to continue witnessing the inequalities and violence that fuel rejection, hatred, and racism among workers and oppressed people.”

The national question is thrown out the window — as if, before addressing the essential issue of class unity between Kanak and Caldoche workers, whites and Melanesians, it was unnecessary to defend the right to self-determination, self-defense, and independence of the Kanak people, which LO avoids addressing. This position leads to sidestepping an essential struggle in France: convincing French workers of the imperialist nature of their state by engaging them in a very concrete critique of it through support for the self-determination of the peoples it oppresses. This has historically been the position of the revolutionary labor movement, which sought to eradicate any tendency toward chauvinism and adaptation to its imperialism, and to do so not through calls for abstract internationalism but through the unconditional defense of “the freedom of political separation for the colonies and nations oppressed by ‘their’ nation.”

This position, presented by LO as the most orthodox adherence to Trotskyism, actually aligns more with Bordigism — with which LO has or has had ideological, political, and organizational connections — or with ultra-left positions that it often downplays. These positions have been influenced by the ideological contributions or cadres from leftist currents like Socialisme ou Barbarie, which have fed into the press and ranks of VO and later LO.
A Trotskyist Defense of a Class-Independent Policy on the National Question

Our differences on the national question in general, the Palestinian issue in particular, and especially the ongoing genocide in Gaza are not at all about “opportunism,” as our comrades suggest. Rather, they are theoretical and strategic differences on how to connect democratic tasks to the perspective of revolution. To support its position, LO relies on an excerpt from The Permanent Revolution:


Under the conditions of the imperialist epoch the national democratic revolution can be carried through to a victorious end only when the social and political relationships of the country are mature for putting the proletariat in power as the leader of the masses of the people. And if this is not yet the case? Then the struggle for national liberation will produce only very partial results, results directed entirely against the working masses.

The strict correlation with the situation in the Gaza Strip or the occupied territories of the West Bank is a bit crude — the only country in the region where these conditions would be “ripe,” at least from a strictly economistic point of view, is the socioeconomic complex of Israel. Analogies, however, have their limits, both in politics and theory, when referring to texts. The Permanent Revolution is an essay written from 1928 to 1931 in light of the defeat of the Chinese Revolution of 1925–27, in order to draw lessons for the communist movement from the errors and missteps of the leadership of the Third International. In it, Trotsky opposes the slogan of the “democratic dictatorship of the proletariat and the peasantry for the whole East,” which Karl Radek defended on behalf of the International. Trotsky and his supporters, persecuted and marginalized within the Comintern, fought the positions of the majority, which supported “socialism in one country” in the USSR and, after the crushing of the Chinese Revolution by the Kuomintang, persisted in justifying a policy of collaboration between the working class and the petty bourgeoisie by relying on out-of-context positions from Lenin. Behind this was the Soviet bureaucracy’s inclination to form diplomatic ties with certain bourgeoisies in the East.

In this excerpt, Trotsky does not deny, as the LO article suggests, the progressive nature of national liberation struggles in the imperialist era. On the contrary, he rejects opportunism and argues that even in the “backward” countries of the East, specifically a vast region colonized or in the process of being colonized by Japanese imperialism in the case of China, “a true popular democracy, that is, of workers and peasants, can only be achieved through the dictatorship of the proletariat.” This does not negate the communists’ obligation to support national liberation struggles against imperialism. Rather, it emphasizes that the only way to prepare for the struggle for the dictatorship of the proletariat or the workers’ and peasants’ government is through supporting national liberation struggles while maintaining complete political independence from nationalist bourgeois leaderships, whether secular or religious, “socialist” or politically conservative.

A few years later, in 1937, within the Movement for the Fourth International, Trotsky engaged in polemics with several non-Stalinist currents that adopted some “class against class” positions and advocated an ultra-left stance toward the early stages of the Sino-Japanese War (1937–45), the precursor to World War II. In a letter to Diego Rivera called “On the Sino-Japanese War,” Trotsky emphasized that “the duty of all the workers’ organizations of China was to participate actively and in the front lines of the present war against Japan, without abandoning, for a single moment, their own program and independent activity.” Within the Fourth Internationalist Movement, some currents existing within or having been part of it before breaking away accused this position of “social-patriotism,” renouncing proletarian internationalism, and conceding to bourgeois nationalism. For these currents, known as “Oehlerites” and “Eiffelites” in the debates of Trotsky and the Bolshevik-Leninists at the time, the Sino-Japanese War was either imperialist or inter-imperialist, and the proletariat had no side in it to support.

On the contrary, for Trotsky,


China is a semicolonial country which Japan is transforming, under our very eyes, into a colonial country. Japan’s struggle is imperialist and reactionary. China’s struggle is emancipatory and progressive. … If Japan is an imperialist country and if China is the victim of imperialism, we favor China. Japanese patriotism is the hideous mask of worldwide robbery. Chinese patriotism is legitimate and progressive.

And yet the Chinese resistance was largely led by the Kuomintang of


Chiang Kai-shek [who was] the executioner of the Chinese workers and peasants. We need have no illusions about Chiang Kai-shek, his party, or the whole ruling class of China. … But today he is forced, despite himself, to struggle against Japan for the remainder of the independence of China.

Trotsky thus defends himself against accusations from the Eiffelists and Oehlerites that he has changed his attitude toward the “Chinese question” and his positions from the 1920s:


During the Chinese revolution of 1925–27 we attacked the policies of the Comintern. Why? It is necessary to understand well the reasons. The Eiffelites claim that we have changed our attitude on the Chinese question. That is because the poor fellows have understood nothing of our attitude in 1925–27. We never denied that it was the duty of the Communist Party to participate in the war of the bourgeoisie and petty bourgeoisie of the South against the generals of the North, agents of foreign imperialism. We never denied the necessity of a military bloc between the CP and the Kuomintang. On the contrary, we were the first to propose it. We demanded, however, that the CP maintain its entire political and organizational independence, that is, that during the civil war against the internal agents of imperialism, as in the national war against foreign imperialism, the working class, while remaining in the front lines of the military struggle, prepare the political overthrow of the bourgeoisie. We hold the same policies in the present war. We have not changed our attitude one iota. The Oehlerites and the Eiffelites, on the other hand, have not understood a single bit of our policies, neither those of 1925–27, nor those of today.

Thus, contrary to what LO claims, Trotsky does not conclude that, based on the lessons drawn from the Chinese Revolution, revolutionaries should only support national liberation struggles on the condition that the country’s “social and political relations” are sufficiently “ripe” for the dictatorship of the proletariat.


In participating in the military struggle under the orders of Chiang Kai-shek, since unfortunately it is he who has the command in the war for independence — to prepare politically the overthrow of Chiang Kai-shek … that is the only revolutionary policy. The Eiffelites counterpose the policy of “class struggle” to this “nationalist and social patriotic” policy. Lenin fought this abstract and sterile opposition all his life. To him, the interests of the world proletariat dictated the duty of aiding oppressed peoples in their national and patriotic struggle against imperialism.

In this excerpt, it wouldn’t be too much of a stretch to replace “Eiffelists” with “LO” and see their “class struggle” policy applied to Palestine and Israel. The bourgeois nationalist currents in Palestine, religious or otherwise, currently represent the military leadership of the struggle, and are characterized by their historical maneuvers and latch-ditch compromises. Yet the only way to prepare for confronting these bourgeois nationalist currents is precisely by unconditionally positioning oneself in the military camp of the resistance — not to support its leadership, but to contest their influence and defend a revolutionary strategy that alone can solve the national question by forming a faction that defends a revolutionary program and strategy with complete class independence. This is the condition for a stance that is not abstentionist in the final analysis, as demonstrated by LO’s weak participation in the solidarity movement for Palestine, which nevertheless constitutes a crucible of politicization, mobilization, and even radicalization for many young people and workers.
The Exception Is Better than the Rule

In their 1973 position paper, the comrades of LO very rightly explained what the policy of revolutionaries should be from imperialist countries:


The revolutionary militants of advanced capitalist countries … have the political and moral duty to support these countries when they are involved in a conflict with imperialism. And this, regardless of the leaders that the peoples choose or accept.

They then clarified the consequences in terms of internationalism:


Revolutionaries from advanced capitalist countries can only unite with the proletarians of backward countries by demonstrating their own internationalism, by unconditionally supporting them in their resistance to imperialism, even when these proletarians are still following nationalist and bourgeois leaders.

After this detour through a political position that offered a proper framework for understanding revolutionary intervention, LO quickly reverted to its political conceptions, which align more with a global workerist and economistic mindset, more akin to Bordigism than to Trotskyism and the Fourth International, of which LO claims to be the sole heir. One with this mindset cannot link the struggle against exploitation, the fight against oppression, the national question, and the democratic question, and this naturally has significant consequences on the LO’s program and politics.

The LO’s analytical framework is now strengthened by its extremely grim characterization of the current global situation. LO considers the era in which “national questions” contained “exceptional revolutionary potential” to be over. From the post–World War II period until the 1970s, this era included “the period of colonial revolutions that shook the old European imperialisms,” “the Black movement in the United States in the 1960s,” and “the Palestinian people’s movement in the Middle East after World War II, at least until the civil war that engulfed Lebanon in the 1970s.”

The international youth movement in recent months, fueled by anti-imperialism and support for Palestinian national aspirations, with its epicenter in the United States, does not seem to change the situation for LO. Seeing the situation only through the lens of the extreme decline of the labor movement and the exacerbation of militarism and state rivalries, without recognizing the contradictory dynamics expressed in sectors of the labor movement, the working classes, and the youth, LO condemns itself to passivity. While the genocide continues in Gaza and Macron plays the civil war card in Kanaky, the correct policy is to intervene in the situation using a strategy that allows the working world and the youth to take an active part in the struggles for self-determination, linked to the perspective of revolution. This is an essential issue for revolutionaries and internationalists, even more so in the context of an electoral campaign dominated by the Right, the Far Right, and reactionary one-upmanship.

A way to remember and apply, in the current era, elements of conduct bequeathed to us by the Bolsheviks in a situation even darker than ours, when they were preparing for 1917: as Lenin emphasized, the way to address and campaign among workers in imperialist countries should be to advocate


freedom for the oppressed countries to secede and their fighting for it. Without this there can be no internationalism. It is our right and duty to treat every Social-Democrat of an oppressor nation who fails to conduct such propaganda as a scoundrel and an imperialist. This is an absolute demand, even where the chance of secession being possible and “practicable” before the introduction of socialism is only one in a thousand.

Palestine and Kanaky are both implicitly part of this strategic line, which should be embraced by the entire revolutionary Left today.

Originally published in French on June 2 by Révolution Permanente.

Translated by Emma Lee.


Notes

Notes↑1 This is a reference to King Hussein of Jordan (1952–99) and King Faisal of Iraq (1939–58), both of whom were indirectly supported by Egyptian leader Gamal Nasser, who, despite his policy of pan-Arab unity, did not wish to structurally challenge the region’s geopolitical balance or its links with its historical imperial overseer, in this case Great Britain.
↑2 Ahmed Choukeiry was the first secretary-general of the PLO from 1964 to 1967.
↑3 Today, they are referred to as Parti des Travailleurs (PT, Workers Party) and Parti ouvrier internationaliste (POI, Internationalist Workers Party), and like Ensemble, they are also part of La France insoumise.
↑4 Only recently, at the ceremony to pay tribute to Alain Krivine, Michel Rodinson, on behalf of the LO leadership, gave a vitriolic speech purporting to sum up 50 years of militancy in the ranks of the revolution, attacking in particular the league’s “opportunism” vis-à-vis “nationalist currents,” among which Rodinson listed, in no particular order, everything from the PLO to Sandinism and the French flag defended by Mélenchon.
↑5 See, among many other polemical texts, “At the Limits of Bourgeois Restoration.”
↑6 LO rejects the Marxist category of “semicolonial countries,” i.e., countries that are formally independent but in reality totally subject, to varying degrees, to the dictates of the imperialist powers, which is the lot of the vast majority of countries in what is now known as the “Global South.” In publications and speeches, LO prefers more or less vague terminology such as “backward countries,” “poor countries,” or even “underdeveloped countries.” This nomenclature is not linked to a desire for pedagogical clarity but has major politico-strategic repercussions.
↑7 We can also analyze LO’s “orthodox” premise as a way of adapting to the consciousness (real or supposed) of the least advanced sectors of the working world: Why make the anti-colonial question a political axis and oppose its “milieu” if the latter is not, a priori, any more than the union bureaucracy, for the right to self-determination of all the current French colonies, notably in the Caribbean, Indian, and Pacific Oceans?



Damien Bernard

Damien is an editor of our French sister site Révolution Permanente.
Germany’s Center-Left Government Prepared the Victory of the Far-Right AfD


The far-right AfD won the elections in the East German state of Thuringia. This wasn’t a surprise: it was a result of the fact that the center-left government has largely adopted the AfD’s program.


Nathaniel Flakin 
September 4, 2024
LEFT VOICE


On Sunday, the AfD won the elections in the East German state of Thuringia with 32.8 percent of votes — the first electoral victory by a far-right party in Germany since 1933. In the neighboring state of Saxony, the AfD was a close second with 30.6 percent, just one point behind the conservative CDU.

The three center-left parties that make up the German government — SPD, Greens, and FDP — suffered terrible losses, with all together winning just 10.4 percent in Thuringia and 13.3 percent in Saxony. Die Linke was the biggest loser. Once the “people’s party” of the former East Germany, the reformist Left Party is now on the verge of disappearing. In Thuringia, Die Linke has gone from the biggest party to fourth place, losing more than half its votes, while in Saxony it fell below the 5 percent threshold. The big winner, besides the AfD, was the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW), which was running for the first time since Wagenknecht split from Die Linke, and got 15.8 percent in Thuringia and 11.8 percent in Saxony.

In Thuringia in particular, the AfD under the leadership of Björn Höcke has close connections to violent Nazis. Earlier this year, millions of people took to the streets of Germany to protest against the AfD’s secret plans for “remigration” or mass deportations. Now, the AfD is putting that very slogan on posters and got almost a third of votes. Disturbingly, in Saxony, voters aged 18-24 chose the Far Right at a similar rate as the general population. This has led to a growing confidence among full-fledged Nazi groups like Freie Sachsen (Free Saxons) or Der III. Weg (The Third Way), who in recent weeks have mobilized against Pride demonstrations.

All other parties have ruled out forming a coalition government with the AfD — a policy called the “Brandmauer,” or firewall — but this will make forming a majority government extremely difficult in either state. Thuringia will need either a four-party coalition or a minority government — both almost unprecedented models in the Federal Republic. At the national level, too, the governing coalition will become even more unstable, although at this point early elections seem unlikely.
“AfD wirkt!”

At a roundtable discussion on public TV on election night, the AfD’s parliamentary secretary Bernd Baumann declared that “AfD wirkt!”, meaning the AfD is effective, because “the BSW and the CDU have adopted our central demands regarding immigration.” This is true: Every party has adopted the AfD’s program. Not only have the conservative CDU and the “left conservative” BSW been joining the AfD in calling for more deportations — the national government, the self-described “progress coalition” of SPD, Greens, and FDP, also wants to deport people.

The last year in Germany has seen a racist frenzy, with the social democratic chancellor Olaf Scholz declaring on a magazine cover: “we have to deport people more often and faster.” Anti-immigrant agitation reached a fever pitch just a week before the election after August 26, when a Syrian refugee in the West German town of Solingen killed three people with a knife at a public festival, after declaring allegiance to the Islamic State.

There were two further knife attacks in other cities in the following days. Yet since both were carried out by white Germans, they drew almost zero media attention. In fact, a state interior minister assured people that the latter attacks were different, since they were caused by mental illness — as if the Syrian refugee was acting perfectly rationally while committing murder!

All parties are now calling for changes to asylum law and even to the constitution. At a memorial service for the victims of the Solingen attack, Germany’s Federal President said that reducing migration “must be a priority in the coming years.”

The government intends to stop all payments for asylum seekers who enter Germany through other Schengen countries (i.e., almost all of them), offering them nothing more than “bed-bread-soap.” Germany’s Constitutional Court has already said this would violate Article I of Germany’s Law about the inviolability of human dignity. Yet such constitutional and humanitarian niceties are being sacrificed to the demands of performative cruelty. Not to be outdone, Friedrich Merz of the CDU wants to reject all asylum seekers from Syria and Afghanistan, while Markus Söder of the CSU wants to strike the right to asylum from the constitution entirely.

Just ten years ago, calls to deport “criminal foreigners” were limited to the neo-Nazi party NPD on the fringes of German politics. Today, even the Green Party wants to spend billions of additional euros to ramp up the deportation machine.

The endless appeals to vote for “democratic parties” and to oppose “extremism” were ineffective because all self-described democrats took up all the AfD’s extremist proposals. How bad can the AfD be, many voters will have wondered, if the other parties have adopted all their racist proposals?

Just a few days before people went to the polls, Scholz’s government managed to deport 28 people to Afghanistan. They claimed these were all violent criminals, but at least one seems to have been convicted of nothing but drug possession. Since the Federal Republic of Germany does not recognize the Taliban government, the flight was mediated via Qatar — it’s not clear if Berlin paid money to Kabul. This is in direct violation of a German law that prohibits deportations to countries where torture, executions, or other forms of inhumane treatment can take place.

Yet as the racist competition continues, laws become irrelevant. The interior ministry, run by social democrats, worked hard to complete the deportations before the election. This was nothing but election campaigning for the AfD!

This isn’t a result of political incompetence, however, nor is it a response to a rightward shift in public opinion. All parties in Germany are in basic agreement about the need for rearmament, and this can only be financed by impoverishing the working class. The constant racist The unending racist campaign is intended to distract the population from the growing class war from above. The AfD is benefitting because they made racism their core competency long ago.
Two Terrible Lefts

Sahra Wagenknecht’s party, the BSW, now has a clear path to joining one or even two state governments. The international press still has a habit of calling Wagenknecht “far left,” and while she was a hardcore Stalinist several decades ago, she has long made her peace with capitalism. Starting in 2017, she has argued that the Left needs to oppose immigration, whereas the socialist movement has always fought for open borders.

Her hypothesis was that anti-immigrant positions would help the Left win back voters from the AfD. Yet statistics show that most BSW voters come from the SPD, Die Linke, or the CDU, with only a small portion coming from the AfD. Wagenknecht is primarily speaking to voters who seem themselves as centrists, but want permission to voice right-wing positions on immigrations, trans rights, vaccines, and other right-wing culture war topics.

The BSW is nothing like a left party. It has less than 1,000 members, and it is entirely focussed on one personality. Even though Wagenknecht was not running for office, her face was on every poster, whereas the actual candidates are almost completely unknown. The BSW leadership is made up of millionaire capitalists and career politicians from the SPD and Die Linke. Its program says very little about workers’ rights, and instead focusses on strengthening small and medium-sized enterprises. It is no surprise that the BSW is open to a coalition with the CDU, which in principle rejects coalitions with left-wing parties.

For BSW voters, the number one issue was the war in Ukraine. The push for war against Russia, which has been led by the United States and supported by German imperialism, has been a catastrophe for working-class and poor people in Germany. The EU’s boycott of Russian natural gas, followed by the terrorist attack against the Nord Stream II pipeline (presumably orchestrated by the CIA and carried out by Ukrainian forces), led to a spike in energy prices. Scholz’s proclamation of a “Zeitenwende” (changing of the times) with 100 billion euros of additional funding for the military has led to austerity, with spending cuts across the board. It is extremely progressive that many people in Germany’s economically suffering East have no interest in tightening their belts to pay for a third imperialist war against Russia. The East has a number of energy-intensive medium-sized businesses, which is one reason this region has seen particular opposition to the war. (The history of anti-immigrant sentiment in a region with few immigrants goes back to the devastating reintroduction of capitalism in the 1990s.)

Instead of ever more weapons shipments, Wagenknecht has been calling for “peace” in Ukraine via a diplomatic solution. This has earned her bizarre accusations of her being a Kremlin agent, despite her constant criticism of the right-wing Putin government. Without seconding these bourgeois denunciations in any way, it is important to emphasize that Wagenknecht is neither a pacifist nor a socialist opponent of imperialist war. Instead, she advocates militarization at home or abroad — she simply wants German imperialism to act independently of the United States. She is a German nationalist who aims to free the German bourgeoisie from several generations of subservience to U.S. imperialism — which would require good relations with Russian capitalism. This is nothing leftists can support.

That leaves Die Linke, for whom these elections represent yet another big leap towards collapse. The two party co-chairs had preemptively announced their intention to resign. One of them, Janine Wissler (a renegade from Trotskyism), tried to console supporters on election night by saying she did not regret the split with Wagenknecht: Despite the catastrophic results, the party had stuck to its principles.

If only this were true! On paper, Die Linke might defend “open borders,” but in practice, they still lead the government of Thuringia. Bodo Ramelow, the state’s prime minister and Die Linke’s most popular figure, deports people every single day. The party has been part of numerous state governments carrying out neoliberal and racist policies. Over the last year, Die Linke has also slowly abandoned their formal anti-war positions. They have been almost totally silent on the ongoing genocide, while some prominent Die Linke politicians have vocally supported the war and called for state repression against pro-Palestine solidarity. The party has also largely lined up behind the German government and NATO on the question of Ukraine.

This is why Die Linke is nowhere perceived as a fundamental opposition to the political establishment, but rather as its left wing. Voters who were fed up were most likely to turn to the AfD or the BSW.

Looking at Die Linke and the BSW, I can’t help quoting Lenin: “in our opinion, they are both worse.”
For an Alternative

There is no way to stop the Right by supporting the “democratic center” — while that very center is carrying out the Far Right’s policies. What is needed are mass mobilizations: on the streets, and particularly in workplaces, schools, and universities. Germany’s Far Right, despite its huge parliamentary representation, has little mobilization power, often bringing less than 10,000 people to what are billed as national demonstrations. Opponents of the AfD, in contrast, can bring millions to the streets. The problem with the demonstrations at the beginning of this year, however, was that they were only opposed to the AfD, and had no answer to a government that was itself introducing new racist laws. Antifascists need to create a left-wing political alternative.

The group Marx21, a post-Trotskyist network inside Die Linke, which recently went through a three-way split, had a very small victory on election day. Focussing all their energies on one district in the Saxon city of Leipzig, they were able to get one of their members, Nam Duy Nguyen, elected to the Saxon parliament.

This is, at most, a pyrrhic victory. Nguyen will be a single voice in a tiny, decimated, and very right-wing Die Linke parliamentary group. During the election campaign, Nguyen generally avoided all mention of Ukraine or Gaza, in order to avoid antagonizing his party, instead focussing on bread-and-butter social issues. For a large sector of voters, however, the Ukraine war was a decisive question. Marx21 won a seat, but will not be able to use it as a tribune of fundamental opposition — instead, they have tied themselves further to the government socialists’ sinking ship.

This is why socialists in Germany need to fight to build an independent political force: a revolutionary-socialist front based on the political independence of the working class. This is what Klasse Gegen Klasse, the sister group of Left Voice in Germany, has been campaigning for. It is clearly not enough to “stand against the Far Right” when they are perceived by a broad swath of the population as the main alternative to a despised neoliberal government. Socialists in Germany need to make sure that the revolutionary Left becomes visible as a voice of irreconcilable opposition to both the Scholz government and to its critics from the Far Right.






Nathaniel Flakin


Nathaniel is a freelance journalist and historian from Berlin. He is on the editorial board of Left Voice and our German sister site Klasse Gegen Klasse. Nathaniel, also known by the nickname Wladek, has written a biography of Martin Monath, a Trotskyist resistance fighter in France during World War II, which has appeared in German, in English, and in French, and in Spanish. He has also written an anticapitalist guide book called Revolutionary Berlin. He is on the autism spectrum.


Boeing Workers Overwhelmingly Reject IAM Leadership’s Terrible TA, 33,000 Out on Strike


After rejecting a tentative agreement that was strongly backed by the union leadership on Thursday, more than 33,000 Boeing workers are fired up and ready to take this strike into their own hands. They deserve the support of the entire working class.


James Dennis Hoff 
September 13, 2024
LEFT VOICE
Photo: Stephen Brashear

On Thursday thousands of Boeing employees, members of the International Association of Machinists & Aerospace Workers (IAM), rejected a tentative agreement proposed by union leadership and voted overwhelmingly to go on strike. In what has to be one of the most united stands against a tentative agreement in recent history, 94.6 percent of IAM members voted “no” on the proposed deal, while an even larger number, 96 percent, voted in favor of a strike. The vote sends a clear message to Boeing and the IAM leadership that these workers expect more and are ready to fight and represents a significant defeat for the union leadership.

The strike, which includes more than 33,000 IAM members, is the largest so far in 2024, and is the first job action at a major aircraft manufacturing plant since Boeing machinists last walked out in 2008. That strike lasted 54 days and cost the company more than $5 billion.

A Bad Deal Pushed by Bureaucrats

The rejected agreement had included a $3,000 signing bonus, raises of up to 25 percent over the life of the proposed four year contract — including an 11 percent raise in year one — and a commitment to build any new planes at the Seattle area plant. While on the surface this may seem like a good deal, the economic offer would not have made up for what workers have lost to inflation since 2020, and was nowhere near the 40 percent wage increases that the union membership has been demanding. Even worse, the proposed contract would have done away with annual bonuses for workers, making the actual economic offer much smaller than the purported 25 percent the union was selling. Furthermore, the promise to manufacture any new planes in Seattle would only apply for the four years of the contract, after which the company would be under no obligations not to move manufacturing elsewhere in order to punish the union. This threat to leave the Seattle area is a tactic the company has long used to keep workers on the defensive. Equally important, the agreement also offered no advances toward the restoration of traditional pensions, something that workers have all along said they are willing and ready to strike for. As Seattle shop steward John Voss told Labor Notes: “That is a hill we are willing to die on.” It also did little to address the problem of forced overtime, which has left workers exhausted, contributing to an unsafe work environment for everyone. In fact, as the Seattle Times reported last week, Boeing has been using overtime to unsafely ramp up production in anticipation of a possible strike, pushing partially-built planes through the assembly line in order to have them completed by scabs at a later date if needed. Such moves show the ways in which it is company greed and not worker mistakes that have led to the recent string of dangerous problems with Boeing aircraft.

Despite this, the union leadership, including IAM president Brian Bryant, repeatedly argued that this was a good contract and the best that the union could possibly win with or without a strike, and had urged their members to vote “yes” on the agreement. But the leadership did more than merely campaign for the agreement, they have a rigged system of voting in order to make it as difficult as possible to reject proposed contracts. Even though the union had already taken a strike authorization vote in July, the members still had to take two separate votes on Thursday: one on the contract, and the other on whether or not to go on strike. According to the rules of the vote, the proposed contract would only be rejected if a majority of members voted no on the tentative agreement and if two thirds then voted for a strike. Otherwise the agreement would be automatically ratified. This ploy was meant to ensure that the TA would pass, and yet the rank-and-file resoundingly said no. This was also the first time that an IAM president had ever weighed in on a tentative agreement vote, and reveals the degree to which the leadership, despite the recent successes of other manufacturing unions like the UAW, is beholden to the boss and scared of this strike.

But it is clear that these workers are willing and ready to fight for more. When IAM posted the announcement of the agreement on their social media they received so many negative comments that they had to delete their Facebook post and turn off comments on their X post. On the day before the vote, thousands of rank-and-file union members organized independently of the leadership to march outside of the Everett, Washington plant to demand a strike, and workers inside the Renton plant had reportedly slowed down production, protesting for five minutes every hour on the hour. Such self-organization is essential to mobilize the rank-and-file and continue the strike until victory, not just until the union bureaucracy has decided it’s time to settle. These types of actions also present the opportunity to invite support from wider sectors of the community and beyond to fuel the strike.

It has added significance, however, as a strike of Boeing workers threatens the profits of not just the company, but other sectors of the U.S. economy as well. As we saw with the cancelled railroad strike in 2022, the bourgeois state will intervene if necessary to protect capitalist profits at the expense of workers. Union leaderships often fall in line. Self-organization of the rank and file is a first step toward breaking not only with the union bureaucracy, but with the state and the bourgeois parties that seek to limit the power of working people in the service of capital.

Plenty of Money to Go Around

Despite Boeing’s recent troubles, and despite their claims that the TA is the best they can offer, it is obvious that the company has plenty of money to meet all of these workers’ demands and then some. Although Boeing profits have dropped somewhat in the last quarter, the company has more than doubled its gross profit since 2020, bringing in a staggering $7.7 billion in profits in 2023, compared to $3.5 billion in 2022. Meanwhile, as Boeing has been raking in profits, the workers who make the planes have not received a raise in over ten years, and have lost more than 21 percent of their wages to inflation since 2020. To make matters worse, many of these workers, particularly those at the Seattle plant, live in areas with some of the highest housing costs in the country. In Seattle, for instance, which has had a housing crisis for decades, the median cost for a house is over $800,000 and the average rent for a small two bedroom apartment is more than $2,700 a month.

Because of this these employees are forced to take massive amounts of overtime, sometimes working as many as 19 days in a row in order to earn enough to get by. Like so many other large manufacturing companies, Boeing also regularly requires mandatory overtime, often several weekends in a row, something that workers say they want changed in the next contract and didn’t feel the TA went far enough in addressing.
Self-Organization and Worker Solidarity

It is clear that the leadership of the IAM is neither prepared nor willing to take the measures necessary to win this strike and actually build the power of the union and the larger working class of which they are a part. As the struggle for a new contract begins, it is imperative that IAM members continue to reject the misleadership of the union bureaucrats that tried to sell them a terrible contract and take the organization of the strike into their own hands. This means creating independent rank-and-file committees to coordinate the actions of the strike and, most importantly, regular assemblies of workers, their families, and their communities to discuss, debate, and decide on the way forward. Self-organization of this kind will be crucial to winning the best possible deal from the strike. Boeing workers are a central and strategically positioned part of the wider working class in the Seattle area, and this strike is as important for the rest of the class as it is for them. This is also why it is so important for other unions and non-unionized workers to turn out and to stand in solidarity with Boeing workers not only to win a better contract for them, but to build the wider power of the working class as whole. It was only a little more than 100 years ago, in 1919, that workers across Seattle led a massive general strike in support of dock workers who had been locked out of their jobs. That action brought the city to its knees and galvanized the entire working class, which for a short period had completely taken over city services to ensure the welfare of working people; this became what some have called the Seattle Soviet. While we are far from such a situation now, the history of the region where Boeing workers have just walked off the job shows the immense power and creativity of the working class when it takes the fight into its own hands.




James Dennis Hoff

James Dennis Hoff is a writer, educator, labor activist, and member of the Left Voice editorial board. He teaches at The City Univ
ersity of New York.

UK

Right-Wing Watch

Could Nigel Farage become PM?

If Labour wants to hold onto power, it must deliver on its promises. Otherwise, a Farage-led Britain might not be as far-fetched as it sounds.



Yesterday
LEFT FOOT FORWARD


Discontent is growing among unions, MPs, and the public over the government’s sudden decision to restrict winter fuel payments to only the poorest pensioners. The lack of consultation and the fact that it wasn’t part of Labour’s manifesto have left many voters feeling betrayed. Some have vowed never to vote Labour again.

But where will those disillusioned voters turn? Some warn they could be drawn to the far right.

The winter fuel payment cuts could aid the rise of the far right and Nigel Farage, the TUC president warned this week. In a stark message to Keir Starmer, Matt Wrack noted that the PM’s mandate for power stems from a collapse in support for the Tories, “not love for Labour.” He further warned that a second wave of austerity would encourage the rise of the far-right in Britain’s left-behind communities, bolstering Farage’s push for power.

“People are in despair, and that’s how [far right] elements have won support here in the UK and elsewhere in Europe,” he argued.

Former shadow chancellor John McDonnell issued a similar warning. Speaking to Left Foot Forward at the Trade Union Congress in Brighton this week, he warned voters could be pushed towards the far right if the Labour government pursues austerity policies.

“We’ve said time and time again that austerity is a political choice, it’s not an economic necessity. If we keep on coming through with proposals like scrapping the Winter Fuel Allowance, and not tackling the two child [benefit] limit, it will disillusion our own support. And that support could go to the far right,” he said.

As Labour risk alienating voters by threatening to usher in an austerity era reminiscent of George Osborne’s, Nigel Farage has made his ambitions clear. He’s openly gunning for the highest office in the land, declaring that his “real ambition” is to become prime minister at the next election. Given Farage’s persistence, having won a parliamentary seat on his eighth attempt, his potential rise has sent ripples of anxiety through the political establishment.

But just how likely is it that Reform’s leader, who, only a few weeks ago admitted to sharing misinformation that contributed to far right riots in towns and cities across the UK, will become prime minister?

Like most things related to Farage, his goal “to storm to power in 2029” set the media alight. Before the election, ITV’s Talking Politics dedicated an entire episode to the question, “Could Nigel Farage be prime minister in five years?” The consensus among panellists Robert Peston, Anushka Asthana, and Tom Bradby, was that the prospect seemed highly unlikely. This sentiment was echoed by a YouGov poll conducted after the programme, in which only 23 percent of respondents considered a Farage premiership within the next decade to be “fairly likely” or “very likely.”

But Farage’s right-wing Reform Party was underestimated in the election. Securing over 4 million votes and placing second in 98 constituencies, 89 of which were won by Labour, suggests a stronger base of support than many anticipated. With support for his insurgent party on the rise, it’s difficult to disagree with Matthew Levine’s view in ConservativeHome, that while the path to a Farage premiership is undoubtedly long, it is not impossible.

“There is a certain level of comfort that comes from believing that Farage could never take the post once occupied by William Gladstone and Winston Churchill. But dismissing the possibility that he might one day inhabit Number 10 is an instinctive reflex belonging to a long-gone political era,” writes Levine.



And other commentators agree. “A shattered Conservative Party post-election may be ripe for a Faragian revolution,” wrote iNew’s Richard Vaughan and Kitty Donaldson.

The most obvious route to No. 10 for Farage would involve staging a takeover of the Conservatives. As the embattled Conservative Party engages in yet another painful leadership contest, and membership numbers continue to plummet, as newly released figures suggest, Farage and his team are working diligently. To address criticism that Reform is more of a company than a political party, a constitution has reportedly been drafted to transform the limited company into a formal political entity, with safeguards in place to prevent the kind of infighting that plagued UKIP. Following several controversies involving candidates and derogatory remarks, Farage has vowed to “professionalise” the party. Additionally, plans are in motion to establish Reform UK branches nationwide to “build on electoral success,” as Chairman Richard Tice stated in early July.

“We’re going to grow just like any startup in the corporate world. The equivalent would be Apple or any of the tech startups that have grown and grown. Microsoft was founded in a garage, for goodness’ sake,” Tice told the Telegraph.

Stephen Harper x2?

While striving to professionalise and expand the party, Farage has been actively promoting a blueprint for a coup within the Conservative Party. In an interview in June, the Reform leader referenced former Canadian prime minister Stephen Harper’s successful campaign to take control of the Canadian Conservatives after their devastating defeat in the 1993 elections. During that election, the Conservatives were nearly wiped out, dropping from 156 seats to just two, as the centre-left Liberal Party won by a landslide. Harper managed to rally socially conservative and disillusioned voters who felt betrayed by what they thought of as the ruling class. The parallels are hard to ignore.

Speaking to ITV, Farage said: “[Canadian] Reform did a reverse takeover of the Conservative Party, rebranded it, and Stephen Harper – who was elected as a Reform MP – became the Canadian prime minister for 10 years. I don’t want to join the Conservative Party. I think the better thing to do would be to take it over.”

The potential rise of Reform UK at the Conservatives’ expense may have gained a lot of media attention, but not all coverage has been favourable. Labour-aligned media outlets have been more doubtful about the party’s prospects. A report in the Mirror in late August focused on concerns raised by Reform UK’s former deputy leader about Nigel Farage’s increasing dominance over the party, casting doubts on its future. Ben Habib emphasised that Reform needs to become more democratic, especially after Farage’s grip tightened further with the dismissal of the party’s chief executive. Habib warned that it is unhealthy for Farage to have “absolute control.” In an interview with Times Radio, the former deputy leader said: ” I fear for the future of Reform UK, if it isn’t properly democratised.”



His remarks came after Paul Oakden, who had been CEO since the party’s inception as the Brexit Party, was asked to leave. After Oakden’s exit, his shareholding in Reform UK Ltd was transferred to Farage, increasing the leader’s controlling share from 53 percent to 60 percent.

Another important factor when assessing Reform’s potential rise is that, unlike Farage’s idol Stephen Harper, Reform UK’s support base appears more thinly spread. The party won only five seats, lagging far behind the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats. Of the 98 constituencies where Reform finished second, the majority were in Labour strongholds.

A Reform/Tory merger as Conservatives lurch further to the right?

Though less likely, there is a possibility of a Reform/Tory merger. As Levine noted in ConHome, a political landscape with the Liberal Democrats in opposition and Labour in government could force the Conservatives and Reform into an uneasy electoral alliance, with Farage likely leading this new right-wing coalition. Such a scenario becomes more credible as the Conservatives appear to be drifting rightward. Senior right-wing Tories like Suella Braverman have previously called for an ‘accommodation’ with Nigel Farage and recent polling by YouGov of Tory Party members showed that most believe that a merger with Reform UK would lead them to an election victory. Half of members (51%) believe the party should move towards the right under the next leader, against a third (34%) who think it should move towards the political centre and one in eight (12%) who feel the party should ideologically stay where it is.

And then there’s the youth vote to consider. In the latter stages of the campaign, aided by a TikTok campaign that clearly outperformed the other parties on a per-video basis, there was speculation that Reform might achieve a “mini youthquake”. A JLPartners poll found that Reform appealed to 16- and 17-year-old voters and mock school elections saw Reform winning a great deal of support among schoolchildren across the country. However, a YouGov survey showed that this “youthquake” did not materialise in 2024. Although Reform has seen some success among under-30s from poorer households, it faces stiff competition from the Liberal Democrats, Greens, and nationalist parties in Scotland and Wales

.

Much will depend on how well Keir Starmer’s Labour performs over the next five years. If the change that Starmer has promised doesn’t deliver real results, Britain’s youth may become even more inclined to support parties offering more radical solutions. Historically, Labour has been the party of the young, but they tend to take the youth vote for granted, a habit they may need to break by the next election.

In a political landscape marked by growing disillusion with the major parties, fringe parties like Reform are on the rise. Farage’s vision for his party may seem ambitious, but it’s impossible to ignore that his party won almost 15 percent of the vote in the general election, whilst Labour secured a massive majority with just 34 percent of the vote. This, coupled with the far right riots over the summer, should be a loud wake-up call for Labour, as warned by the TUC president. The electorate require many things from their governments and prime ministers, but chief among them are economic competence, policies that meet some of their needs, and the appearance at least, of being part of the real world. The brutal demise of the Tory Party stands as a warning of what happens when politicians forget these things. If Labour wants to hold onto power, it must deliver on its promises. Otherwise, a Farage-led Britain might not be as far-fetched as it sounds.

Right-Wing Media Watch – Paul Marshall tightens his grip on Conservative media with Spectator takeover

In a year-long saga filled with bidding wars between moguls and sheiks, the Spectator magazine has a new owner – hedge fund titan Paul Marshall. The climax? A £100 million deal that puts Marshall even deeper into the heart of Britain’s media landscape. His acquisition of the world’s oldest weekly through Old Queen Street Ventures (OQS) cements his status as a rising conservative media baron.


The Spectator, a 106-year-old publication, is not just any magazine. With former editors like Boris Johnson and Nigel Lawson, it’s arguably Britain’s most politically influential magazine among thinking Conservatives. For Marshall, who’s already behind the right-wing channel GB News and owns the online platform UnHerd, this purchase is about more than just profit.

While the previous owners RedBird IMI bought the Spectator and Telegraph for £600 million combined, the current editor Fraser Nelson hailed the sale price as proof of faith in the Spectator‘s potential. On the other hand, Andrew Neil, former editor and long-time chairman, voiced concern earlier this year over Marshall’s hedge fund background. Following the acquisition, Neil announced his departure as chairman.

“At a time when most ‘legacy’ publications are struggling to retain anything like their pre-digital worth, this is an unprecedented increase in value,” he said.

But it’s not money that seems to drive 65-year-old Marshall, as he continues to expand his media empire. His motives are arguably more ideological than financial. Media analyst Claire Enders argues that this latest acquisition is about having a stronger hand in shaping the Conservative Party’s future, a move he’s been positioning for over the years.

Interestingly, Marshall’s political evolution has been as complex as his financial manoeuvres. Once a Liberal Democrat supporter who chaired a liberal think tank, he switched sides at the time of the EU referendum, donating generously to the Brexit cause and the Conservatives.

If you thought Marshall was done, think again. He’s rumoured to be eyeing the Telegraph next. If he snags the “Torygraph” too, Marshall could very well become the most politically influential hedge fund manager in the world.

Woke-bashing of the week – The British Red Cross, the Daily Mail and its band of anti-woke warriors’ latest target

In the latest instalment of “woke-bashing of the week,” the British Red Cross – a humanitarian organisation with a 154-year history of aiding people in crisis – has been accused of the unthinkable – striving for inclusivity. The Daily Mail, never one to miss an opportunity to attack what it nonsensically deems as “woke nonsense,” has taken aim at the charity, citing claims that it has been “hijacked by political extremists.”

The charity, which proudly counts King Charles as a patron (a fact the Mail was quick to mention), recently updated its internal language guide. The guide, conveniently leaked to the right-wing newspaper, encourages staff to use terms like “person in search of safety” instead of “illegal migration.” The Migrants’ Rights Network describes the phrase as “dehumanising, immoral, and contributes to the demonisation of migrant communities.” But the reasoning behind the British Red Cross’ change, which is perfectly aligned with the charity’s mission of connecting human kindness with human crisis, was unsurprisingly ignored by the Mail. Instead, the newspaper opted to quote a few well-known anti-woke crusaders who seem blissfully unaware of the real-life experiences of migrants, non-binary individuals, and other marginalised groups.

Esther McVey MP, former Tory minister for common sense, expressed her regret that the British Red Cross has “fallen victim to such woke nonsense.” She bemoaned that the charity should return to “spending their money on helping people” rather than being “hijacked by political extremists.”

Not to be outdone, former minister Sir John Hayes MP (don’t you just love all the ‘former’ references) joined the chorus, lamenting that the beloved charity has “stooped so low” and warning that pandering to “politically correct nonsense” would surely damage its reputation. Because, of course, nothing says “reputation damage” like treating all people with dignity and respect.

John O’Connell, chief executive of the TaxPayers’ Alliance – aka, a Eurosceptic right-wing lobby group that does not declare its donors – pointed out that the charity receives tens of millions of pounds from the government. “Ministers need to ensure taxpayers’ cash is being used to fund frontline services and not radical activism,” he added.

Because, naturally, calling people by humane and respectful terms is now considered radical! It seems that in the eyes of the Daily Mail and its band of anti-woke warriors, the real crime here isn’t dehumanising language or disrespecting people’s identities. No, the true outrage is that the British Red Cross dared to evolve in a way that aligns with its core mission – helping people. But perhaps, in this new era of woke-bashing, simply being decent and inclusive is the most radical act of all.

Gabrielle Pickard-Whitehead is author of Right-Wing Watch
Growing pressure on Labour to support Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty

Keir Starmer is being urged to show global leadership by endorsing the international diplomatic and civil society campaign designed to rapidly and fairly phase out the production and use of coal, oil, and gas, while promoting clean energy transitions and supporting nations most vulnerable to climate change.



Yesterday
Left Foot Forward

Calls are growing for the UK to join the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty, with Keir Starmer being urged to demonstrate global leadership by endorsing the initiative. The Treaty is a global strategy to bring a fast and fair end to the use of coal, oil and gas. The transformative plan is strongly supported by countries in the Global South that are particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, and they are now appealing to major polluters like the UK to participate.

UNISON recently joined the campaign for a new international treaty to speed up the move away from fossil fuels. It becomes only the second union in the world to join the campaign and will now urge the government to do the same. The union’s general secretary Christina McAnea said: “Urgent action is needed to combat the damage caused by climate change. Both in the UK and around the world, people’s health is suffering because of pollution from fossil fuels.

“There must be a fast, fair transition away from oil and gas, funded by government, to turn the UK into a clean, renewable energy superpower, and restore its international climate change leadership reputation.”

Almost 15,000 people have signed a petition to the prime minister demanding that the UK shows global leadership by endorsing the Fossil Fuel Treaty. The campaign is spearheaded by Global Justice Now, a movement dedicated to promoting a more just and equitable world. The organisation actively engages people in the UK to drive change and stands in solidarity with those fighting against injustice, especially in the Global South.

Global Justice Now describes the Treaty as a “bold and practical proposal for an international agreement with three main pillars.” These pillars include halting the expansion of coal, oil, and gas production (non-proliferation), ensuring a fair and phased reduction of existing fossil fuel production, and accelerating the adoption of clean energy and economic diversification away from fossil fuels. The campaign says that no worker, community, or country should be left behind in this transition.

According to Global Justice Now, the Fossil Fuel Treaty could compel wealthy nations like the UK to meet their obligations to countries in the Global South, which suffer the most severe effects of climate change despite contributing the least to its causes. The Treaty could also provide a framework for dismantling the damaging business models of fossil fuel companies, helping the world to decarbonise rapidly.

Signatories are calling on Keir Starmer to demonstrate global leadership in addressing the climate crisis by endorsing the Treaty as soon as possible.

The new Labour government has announced plans to establish GB Energy, a public energy company that will invest in clean energy technologies as part of an “ambitious energy transition program.” This program includes first-year policies aimed at achieving a zero-carbon electricity system by 2030, with goals such as quadrupling offshore wind generation, pioneering at least 5GW of floating offshore wind projects, tripling solar power, and doubling onshore wind capacity.

But some believe these plans fall short. Following the release of Labour’s manifesto ahead of the general election, Rebecca Newsom, head of politics at Greenpeace UK, acknowledged that while Labour’s plans to end climate-damaging oil and gas production and accelerate renewable energy development represent progress, they do not go far enough. She said that genuine change requires substantial investment and urged Labour to impose higher taxes on the super-rich and polluting companies to ensure they contribute their fair share toward repairing the country and addressing climate change.

But for some, they don’t go far enough. Following the release of the Party’s Manifesto ahead of the general election, Greenpeace UK’s head of politics, Rebecca Newsom, said that “unlike the Tories, Labour will bring an end to climate-wrecking oil and gas and turbo-charge renewable power – delivering genuine energy security and lower bills.”

“Repairing our crumbling public services, restoring nature and supporting vulnerable communities facing climate impacts is going to require government investment.

“So, instead of straight-jacketing the UK’s finances, Labour should tax the super-rich and polluting companies more so they pay their fair share towards fixing this broken country,” said Newsom.
Public support for Palestinian people is a ‘source of hope’, Husam Zomlot says

Left Foot Forward spoke to the Palestinian ambassador to the UK at Lib Dem Conference

Yesterday
Left Foot Forward

Speaking to Left Foot Forward at the Liberal Democrats’ autumn conference in Brighton, the Palestinian ambassador to the UK Dr Husam Zomlot has said that public support across the globe for the Palestinian people is a ‘source of hope’.

Zomlot made the comments in a brief interview after he spoke at two events at the conference. At the first of those events – a fringe meeting hosted by Liberal Democrat Friends of Palestine – Zomlot had said that “hope must not be underestimated – I cannot stress this enough”.

He went on to say “hope is a prerequisite for a just and lasting peace, and we really need a just and lasting peace,” before adding “we have to believe in our hearts that peace is possible, that justice is possible, that the equal application of international law is possible.”

Later, Left Foot Forward asked Zomlot what gives him hope. He started by saying that the resilience of the Palestinian people is what gives him hope.

Zomlot said: “You’ve got to have hope because you represent the cause of a people that are hopeful. If they were not hopeful, they would not have been able to withstand all this pressure, to survive, to stay on their land, to remain.

“After all these years, after the ethnic cleansing of the Nakba of 1948, literally removing two thirds of our people from their homes and farms, then all the way to a genocide now in Gaza, still our people are able to withstand is a source of hope.”

Zomlot went on to say that the support of the public in the UK and across the world – including its expression through demonstrations in major cities – are also a source for hope.

He told Left Foot Forward: “And also, a source of hope is this unprecedented international public opinion and support which you see always now regularly on the streets of London and Manchester and Cardiff and Edinburgh and all over the UK and all over the world – you’re talking about millions upon millions.

“So all these are sources of hope and I believe that if you or anyone believe deep in their heart in that then you have hope. And hope is a very important thing.”

Left Foot Forward spoke to Zomlot after he spoke at a reception hosted by Liberal Democrat Friends of Palestine and the International Centre of Justice for Palestinians.

The reception was attended by a number of Lib Dem MPs including Steff Aquarone, Josh Babarinde and Callum Miller. The party’s deputy leader Daisy Cooper addressed the reception. She described the situation in Gaza as a “humanitarian catastrophe” and said that the Liberal Democrats would “campaign day in, day out to create that political space for a two-state solution”.

Chris Jarvis is head of strategy and development at Left Foot Forward

Image credit: Steve Eason – Creative Commons

 

Europe Invests Billions in Battery Recycling to Fuel EV Revolution

  • Several European countries are investing heavily in battery recycling plants to meet the growing demand for electric vehicles and recover critical minerals.

  • Companies like Librec, SK, and Cylib are leading the way with innovative recycling technologies and large-scale facilities.

  • The battery recycling industry is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, supporting the transition to a sustainable, circular economy.

Automakers, big and small, are investing heavily in the development of a wide range of electric vehicle (EV) models, as consumer interest in cleaner cars increases. Europe is expected to lead the world in EV uptake, as several countries introduce laws banning the sale of new internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles starting next decade. However, with larger numbers of EVs, significantly more lithium-ion batteries are being produced and discarded as they reach the end of their lives. This means that governments and battery producers across the globe are searching for ways to recycle these batteries, to access and reuse the critical minerals stored within them. This has led to the development of a large battery recycling plant project pipeline across the region. 

Until recently, there was little talk of battery recycling as the EV industry was still in its nascent stage. However, as EV uptake increases, governments and automakers are investing heavily in the development of new battery recycling plants. Disposing of EV batteries would not only mean creating more waste, at a time when governments are looking to reduce waste, but it also means throwing away critical minerals that are vital to the green transition. 

EV batteries are produced using a range of critical minerals, such as lithium nickel, cobalt, manganese and graphite, which are accessed via mining activities. These minerals are vital for powering a green transition, used in a wide range of green energy and clean tech projects. However, there is a finite supply of these critical minerals. Further, there are not currently thought to be enough mineral mining operations worldwide to meet the rising demand. This means that accessing and reusing critical minerals through recycling practices could be key to a shift away from ICE vehicles to EVs. This realisation has led several countries across Europe to invest heavily in the development of their battery recycling facilities.

In Switzerland, the battery recycling company Librec is constructing the country’s first major EV battery recycling plant in the municipality of Biberist. Built on the site of a former paper factory, Librec plans to open its 12,000-tonne per year battery recycling facility at the end of October. Librec has installed discharge technology to remove the remaining energy from EV batteries to help power operations, expected to contribute to around a third of the facility’s energy needs. 


In the Netherlands, the battery manufacturer SK recently opened a 10,000-square-metre battery recycling plant in Rotterdam. The company hopes to eventually expand the facility to 40,000 square metres. It is equipped to process up to 10,000 tonnes of batteries per year, which could double upon expansion. It uses a crushing and vacuum drying process to safely recycle lithium and EV batteries. This means that critical minerals are extracted to feed back into the battery supply chain. SK has also opened a recycling facility in Yancheng, China and has plans to open a plant in Newcastle, Australia by the end of the year. 

Meanwhile, in Germany, Cylib, a startup backed by Porsche, is developing a giant $200-million battery recycling plant in the state of North Rhine-Westphalia. The plant will cover almost 22,000 square metres and is expected to be the largest end-to-end lithium-ion battery recycling facility in Europe, according to Cylib. It will be capable of recycling around 30,000 tonnes of batteries each year, which makes it larger than the major existing plants. The company employs a water-based lithium and graphite recovery technique to repurpose materials from end-of-life batteries. 

The startup raised €55 million this year from a range of investors, including venture capital firm World Fund, Porsche Ventures, Bosch, and DeepTech & Climate Fonds. If successful, Cylib hopes to develop several more battery recycling plants in Germany and other European locations within the next few years. The company’s CEO Lilian Schwich stated, “Cylib reaching industrial scale production will be a key driver in building a robust European battery infrastructure.” Schwich added, “Battery recycling is pioneering the circular economy, proving that economic success is compatible with reduced environmental impact,” she added.

Earlier this year, Poland also announced a new battery recycling plant. Elemental Strategic Metals and Ascend Elements’ AE Elemental facility in Zawiercie, Poland, will be equipped to process 12,000 tonnes of batteries a year, from around 28,000 EVs. The two companies plan to launch a second joint venture in Germany in 2026, capable of recycling up to 25,000 tonnes of batteries a year, or around 58,000 EV batteries. 

Several European countries are rapidly developing their EV battery recycling capacity, with the uptake of clean vehicles expected to soar in the coming years. Battery recycling is expected to be a vital activity in the green transition, as companies look to recover and repurpose finite minerals to support the production of more EVs. While the industry is relatively small at present, it is expected to continue growing in line with the expansion of the EV industry, both in Europe and elsewhere.  

By Felicity Bradstock for Oilprice.com