Sunday, October 06, 2024

Is music finally reckoning with #MeToo?

New York (AFP) – The music industry has long evaded a #MeToo reckoning like that experienced in Hollywood or the media, but the blockbuster charges against hip hop magnate Sean Combs could finally prove an inflection point.


Issued on: 06/10/2024 - 03:13
4 min
Sean 'Diddy' Combs, shown here at the 2023 MTV Video Music Awards, pleaded not guilty to racketeering and sex trafficking charges © ANGELA WEISS / AFP/File

Federal prosecutors say the artist known by various monikers including "Diddy" ran a criminal sex ring that preyed on women and blackmailed them into silence -- accusations that have activists and industry watchers hoping music's moment of accountability has arrived.

Their hope has been bolstered by a massive class action suit that followed Combs's federal charges, as well as a new lawsuit against country star Garth Brooks.

When an explosive series of accusations against R&B hitmaker R. Kelly went public five years ago, outlets including AFP asked if that was the beginning of a sea change in music.

Kelly was convicted and sentenced to more than 30 years of prison for child sex crimes, sex trafficking and racketeering.

It was indeed a milestone for the #MeToo movement as the first major sex abuse trial where the majority of accusers were Black women.

Singer R. Kelly, pictured during a hearing at the Leighton Criminal Courthouse in Chicago, Illinois in 2019, was convicted of leading a decades-long sex crime ring on September 27, 2021 © Antonio PEREZ / POOL/AFP/File

But wider cultural shifts in the industry long-cliched as a bastion of sex, drugs and rock and roll didn't seem to crystallize.

The shock rocker Marilyn Manson, the music mogul Russell Simmons, the DJ Diplo, the producer Dr. Luke -- over the years women have made serious accusations against these and many other powerful men in the industry. Few repercussions have followed.

"There's this whole pass we give rock stars because of the rock star trope," said Caroline Heldman, an Occidental College professor and co-founder of the Sound Off Coalition, which is focused on sexual violence in the music industry.

"A lot of survivors that I've spoken with from the music industry, they've internalized the rock star idea -- that they should have expected" bad behavior, "because he was a rock star," she told AFP.
'Keep survivors quiet'

Kate Grover -- a women's and gender studies professor at Washington and Lee University, who has researched intersections of gender and the music industry -- said the notion of "geniuses" is also particularly pronounced in music.

"Once we have labeled someone as a genius," she said, "it kind of creates a scarcity model," where they're seen as too big to fail.
Rocker Marilyn Manson -- whose real name is Brian Warner -- was 37 when he began dating 18-year-old Evan Rachel Wood © SUZANNE CORDEIRO / AFP/File

But women "are seen as much more disposable within the music industry than men," she added.

Many experts including Grover and Heldman say race is a clear factor when considering which cases are taken seriously by the wider public. Celebrity also plays a major role.

The victims in Kelly's lawsuits were young Black girls and women who "did not have the kind of star power that a lot of the actresses who came forward against Harvey Weinstein did," Grover said.

And pop's top musicians are frequently empires in their own right, said Heldman, "who employ a people who help them in their years of perpetration."

Since the initial lawsuit against Combs by his longtime partner Cassie Ventura, many similar lawsuits have followed. He is imprisoned on federal charges of racketeering and sex trafficking, awaiting trial.

The volume of the class action suit against him that followed this week "really speaks to the power of certain people in the music industry to marshal their fame and their resources to keep survivors quiet," said Heldman.
'Systemic issues'

A burst of litigation against other powerful men in music, from artists to CEOs, also followed Ventura's suit.

The myriad allegations underscored "the gravity of the situation" wrote singer-songwriter and activist Tiffany Red, who has worked with Ventura, in an open letter to Combs last December.

"The systemic issues of rape culture and misogyny deeply entrenched in the music industry pose a real threat to so many people's safety every day in this business," Red wrote.

"How can we expect meaningful change when senior leadership and superstars face accusations of these crimes?"

Country music star Garth Brooks is one of the most successful male artists of all time © Valerie MACON / AFP/File

Heldman also pointed to "perverse market incentives:" Kelly's sales jumped more than 500 percent after his racketeering conviction, with streams jumping 22 percent over the week that followed.

Similiarly Diddy's music saw an average 18.3 percent increase in on-demand streams the week of his arrest compared to that prior, according to industry data company Luminate.

Some of that might be curiosity after a name is in the news, but Heldman also pointed to the intense fandoms musicians enjoy.

"In years of doing this work with survivors in different industries, I've never seen anything like the fan dedication to musical artists," she said

Still, Heldman said, "it feels like we are on the crest of something."

"I would anticipate any rapist artist who has been operating with the idea that he can silence survivors now knows that the jig is up."

© 2024 AFP
MAGA IS THE CONFEDERACY REBORN

'Secret to winning!' MAGA fans cheer as Trump pledges to put Confederate names on bases
RAW STORY
October 4, 2024

President Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Phoenix, photo by Gage Skidmore.

Former President Donald Trump kicked off a North Carolina campaign rally with a pledge to slap the names of Confederate generals on military bases — and was met with overwhelming cheers.

Trump's promise to re-instate the name of Fort Bragg — stripped from the base after the violent death of George Floyd, a Black man, under a police officer's knee — was met with cries of celebration, video of the event shows.

"Should we change the name from Fort Liberty back to Fort Bragg?" Trump asked the crowd. "I'm doing it. And we're leading in all the polls, we should get elected. Remember this, they cheat like hell. Too big to rig. We need too big to rig."


Gram Slattery, a reporter for Reuters, explained the fort was named after Braxton Bragg, who was "widely considered among the Confederacy's worst generals and a very stern slaveowner."

Trump went on later in the speech to add, "I think I just learned the secret to winning absolutely and by massive margins. I'm gonna promise to you ... that we're gonna change the name back to Fort Bragg."

The former president appeared delighted that a soldier had faced jeers for referring to the North Carolina base by its official name.

"This great looking soldier just accidentally said Fort Liberty," Trump said. "He almost got booed the hell out of the place!"

Many social media commenters professed themselves shocked both by Trump's promise and the overwhelming response he received.

Independent congressional reporter Jamie Dupree argued Trump was obsessed with a past defeat.

"Trump is still mad that the Pentagon changed the names of military bases named for Confederate generals," wrote Dupree. "He vetoed a major military policy bill with that provision, but Congress overrode his veto."

Retired Marine fighter pilot and former Senate candidate Amy McGrath was blunt in her criticism of Trump and the crowd.

"He’s really going after the racist, un-enlightened, clinging to the lost cause of the confederacy vote," wrote McGrath. "That’s actually a minority of the military/veteran community in 2024. There are old guys who care about base names. Post 911 vets either don’t care or welcome the change."


Saturday, October 05, 2024

Volunteers risk lives to retrieve pets from bombed out south Beirut

Agence France-Presse
October 5, 2024 

A kitten wanders on the site of an Israeli strike in Beirut's southern suburbs on October 4 (AFP)

After Israeli bombardment forced them flee their homes in haste, displaced Lebanese have been asking volunteers to enter their bombed out neighbourhoods to retrieve their pets.

Maggie Shaarawi, vice president of the Animals Lebanon charity, is one of the rescuers.

"A lot of people had to evacuate their homes in a hurry. In most cases, cats stressed by bombing hide," making it impossible to scoop them up quickly, she said.

"Our goal is to just enter, rescue and leave."

On Thursday, Shaarawi and two others helped a resident of Beirut's southern suburbs retrieve her eight traumatised cats.

Through a video call, the worried woman in a white headscarf guided them to the living room where she had herded Fifi, Leo, Blacky, Teddy, Tanda, Ziki, Kitty and Masha as she left.

"We were able to find them all," Shaarawi said triumphantly.

Doing their best to hurry, they managed to entice the petrified felines out from under a green velvet sofa and gently lift each of them into a holding crate.

"Luckily we got them out, because (then) most of that area was destroyed," she said.


A strike hit the suburbs as they were preparing to go to another home.

"It's the first time we had a hit very close to us. We're lucky to have left alive," Shaarawi said.

- 'Just waiting for their owners' -


Israel has sharply intensified its air strikes against Lebanese militant group Hezbollah since September 23, killing more than 1,000 people and pushing more than a million more to flee their homes, according to Lebanese figures.

Many of the displaced have taken their pets with them.

A teenager was seen clutching a ginger cat to his chest as he fled his southern village this week.


Some people have even ignored evacuation warnings to stay with their pets, Shaarawi said.

"So far, we've retrieved from the Beirut suburbs around 120 animals, and from the south another 60," she said.

Despite their close call with the Israeli air strike, Shaarawi and her team were back in the southern suburbs Friday to try to retrieve more pets.


"Cats turn into tigers when they're scared," she said.

Parking their car on the outskirts of the heavily bombarded Hezbollah bastion, they briefly zipped in on mopeds.

"The war is traumatizing for both animals and people. They're being bombed every day, and they don't know what's happening," she said.


"They're just waiting for their owners to come back."

Sometimes the team does not get to the pets in time.

On a mission to retrieve three cats on Thursday, they found one of them dead, its limbs stiff and its fluffy white coat caked in dust.


The other two were nowhere to be found, but Shaarawi said she was sure they did not survive. "The house was totally destroyed."
UAW slams Trump-Vance as 'menace to the working class'


Jessica Corbett, Common Dreams
October 5, 2024 

The United Auto Workers this week reiterated its warning that the Republican presidential ticket of Donald Trump and JD Vance is a threat to working-class Americans in response to a refusal by Vance to commit to honoring a $500 million federal grant for an electric vehicle plant in Michigan.

Both Trump and Vance—a venture capitalist turned U.S. senator from Ohio who often postures as a working-class ally—are campaigning in Michigan, a key swing state, this week.

The Detroit Newsreported Wednesday that on the campaign trail, Vance was "noncommittal" about the promised funding, part of $1.7 billion distributed by the Biden administration. The $500 million grant would help General Motors convert its Lansing Grand River Assembly Plant into an EV facility.

The UAW, one of several labor unions that have endorsed Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walzfired back Thursday, echoing its previous criticism of Trump and Vance.

"Donald Trump was the job-killer-in-chief while in the White House," the powerful union said in a statement. "His failed United States-Mexico-Canada trade agreement—or Trump's NAFTA as we prefer to call it—has led to the mass exodus of good, blue-collar jobs from the United States. In sharp contrast, the Biden-Harris administration has bet on the American worker and thanks to their policies, hundreds of thousands of good manufacturing jobs are returning to the United States."

"Now, Trump and JD Vance are invading Michigan and threatening the $500 million investment the Biden-Harris administration made in the General Motors Grand River Assembly Plant and the union jobs that investment would provide," the UAW continued. "The bottom line is that Donald Trump and JD Vance are a menace to the working class and are openly threatening to double down on Trump's legacy of job destruction."

In a potential boost to Democrats ahead of November 5, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced Friday that in September federal unemployment hit 4.1% and the U.S. economy added 254,000 jobs, over 100,000 more than economists projected.

UAW president Shawn Fain, who led a major strike against Big Three auto companies last year, is set to join U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) for weekend events in Michigan to support Harris. The pair plans to visit Warren, Grand Rapids, and East Lansing to discuss "the American healthcare system, the fight against corporate greed, and shoring up Michigan's manufacturing future."



Harris was in Michigan on Friday for events in Detroit and Flint, where she was set to "meet with leaders from the Arab American community," according toReuters. "Meeting participants include leaders from the Muslim advocacy group Emgage, which recently endorsed Harris, the American Task Force on Lebanon, and a long-standing friend of Harris, Hala Hijazi, who has lost dozens of family members in Gaza."

"Other such as Jim Zogby, founder of the Arab American Institute and a longtime member of the Democratic National Committee, said he declined the invitation," Reuters reported. "Leaders from the Uncommitted National Movement protest campaign said they have not been invited to the meeting."

Vance draws ire for not backing federal funds for Lansing GM EV plant

Jon King, Michigan Advance
October 5, 2024 

Sen. JD Vance (R-OH).\u00a0(Photo by Jeff Swensen/Getty Images)

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer says comments made in Michigan Wednesday by vice presidential candidate U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance (R-Ohio) are a “middle finger to Michigan auto workers.”

Whitmer was responding to comments reported by The Detroit News when Vance was asked while stumping in Michigan whether a second former President Donald Trump administration would commit to upholding a $500 million federal grant from the Biden administration that would convert the General Motors Lansing Grand River Plant, which currently makes Cadillac sedans, into a future electric vehicle plant.

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer speaks at a Lansing event announcing that a future expeditionary fast transport ship will be named “USS Lansing,” July 22, 2024 | Lucy Valeski

Officials say the conversion would save an estimated 650 jobs while creating up to 50 new positions.

Despite that, Vance twice declined to say whether a commitment would be forthcoming, instead claiming the grant came with “ridiculous strings and no protections for American jobs,” which he claimed could get shipped overseas as the minerals needed to produce electric batteries are produced in China.

“[S]o, when we write massive checks on American taxpayer expense to these companies, a lot of times what we’re doing is selling American middle class jobs to the Communist Chinese, and we ought to be doing exactly the opposite,” Vance said, as reported by the Detroit News.

The News, however, reported that GM says the assembled battery packs for the Lansing plant would be produced at the new battery plant currently under construction in Delta Township, just west of Lansing.

Whitmer and other Democrats criticized the remarks. She said they were akin to the Trump campaign turning its back on Michigan workers, noting that in 2016, Trump promised auto workers in Warren that if elected, they would “not lose one plant,” although during his administration GM ended up closing the 78-year-old plant in 2019.

“When you have a chance to save hundreds of good-paying Michigan auto jobs and create more, you take it,” said Whitmer. “Instead, the Trump-Vance ticket is giving the middle finger to Michigan auto workers by refusing to support their jobs at GM. The Biden-Harris administration acted to save this plant. But all Donald Trump cares about is billionaires like Elon Musk, not Michigan auto workers.”

Whitmer, a co-chair of the Harris campaign, said that the Biden administration had worked to secure thousands of good-paying jobs, including in Michigan, to manufacture cars, batteries and semiconductor chips.

“On Donald Trump’s watch, Michigan lost 280,000 jobs and the companies that sent those jobs overseas got huge tax breaks. Donald Trump turned his back on Michigan the last time he was in the White House, and he’s telling us loud and clear that he will do it again if he wins this November,” said Whitmer.


Michigan Advance is part of States Newsroom, a nonprofit news network supported by grants and a coalition of donors as a 501c(3) public charity. Michigan Advance maintains editorial independence. Contact Editor Susan J. Demas for questions: info@michiganadvance.com. Follow Michigan Advance on Facebook and X.
Crime is down, FBI says, but politicians still choose statistics to fit their narratives

Murders and intentional manslaughter, known as non-negligent manslaughter, fell by 11.6% from 2022. Property crime dropped by 2.4%.

Amanda Hernández, Stateline
October 5, 2024

Blue light flasher atop of a police car. City lights on the background (Shutterstock).

Violent crime and property crime in the United States dropped in 2023, continuing a downward trend following higher rates of crime during the pandemic, according to the FBI’s latest national crime report.

Murders and intentional manslaughter, known as non-negligent manslaughter, fell by 11.6% from 2022. Property crime dropped by 2.4%.

Overall, FBI data shows that violent crime fell by 3%.

Violent crime has become a major issue in the 2024 presidential race, with former President Donald Trump claiming that crime has been “through the roof” under the Biden administration.

On the campaign trail, Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, has cited findings from a different source — the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics’ National Crime Victimization Survey — to argue that crime is out of control.

While the FBI’s data reflects only crimes reported to the police, the victimization survey is based on interviews conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau and includes both reported and unreported crimes. Interviewees are asked whether they reported the crime to the police. But the survey does not include murder data and only tracks crimes against individuals aged 12 and older.

The victimization survey, released in mid-September, shows that the violent crime victimization rate rose from 16.4 per 1,000 people in 2020 to 22.5 per 1,000 in 2023. The report also notes that the 2023 rate is statistically similar to the rate in 2019, when Trump was in office.

Despite what some politicians say, crime rates are decreasing

Many crime data experts consider both sources trustworthy. But the agencies track different trends, measure crimes differently and collect data over varying time frames. Unlike the victimization survey, the FBI’s data is largely based on calls for service or police reports. Still, most crimes go unreported, which means the FBI’s data is neither entirely accurate nor complete.

The victimization surveys released throughout the peak years of the pandemic were particularly difficult to conduct, which is a key reason why, according to some experts, the FBI and the survey may show different trends.


As a result, these differences, which are often unknown or misunderstood, make it easier for anyone — including politicians — to manipulate findings to support their agendas.

Political candidates at the national, state and local levels on both sides of the aisle have used crime statistics in their campaigns this year, with some taking credit for promising trends and others using different numbers to flog their opponents. But it’s difficult to draw definitive conclusions about crime trends or attribute them to specific policies.

“There’s never any single reason why crime trends move one way or another,” said Ames Grawert, a crime data expert and senior counsel for the Brennan Center for Justice’s justice program. The Brennan Center is a left-leaning law and policy group.


“When an answer is presented that maybe makes intuitive sense or a certain political persuasion, it’s all too natural to jump to that answer. The problem is that that is just not how crime works,” Grawert told Stateline.

At an August rally in Philadelphia, the Democratic vice presidential candidate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, said: “Violent crime was up under Donald Trump. That’s not even counting the crimes he committed.”

During Trump’s first three years in office, the violent crime rate per 100,000 people actually decreased each year, according to the FBI, from 376.5 in 2017, to 370.8 in 2018, to 364.4 in 2019.


It wasn’t until 2020 that the rate surged to 386.3, the highest under Trump, which is when the country experienced the largest one-year increase in murders.


We live in a world of sound bites, and people aren't taking the time to digest information and fact check. The onus is on the voter.


– Alex Piquero, criminology professor at the University of Miami and former director of the federal Bureau of Justice Statistics

Walz’s comments overlook the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the social upheaval following George Floyd’s murder by a Minneapolis police officer in 2020. And despite the increase that year, the violent crime rate in Trump’s final year remained slightly lower than in the last year of President Barack Obama’s administration. In 2016, the rate was 386.8 per 100,000 people.


Following the release of the FBI’s annual crime report last month, U.S. Rep. Dan Bishop, a Republican running for attorney general in North Carolina, shared and later deleted a retweet on X that falsely claimed the FBI’s data showed zero homicides in Los Angeles and New Orleans last year. In fact, FBI data showed that the Los Angeles Police Department reported 325 homicides, while New Orleans police reported 198 in 2023.
Voters worry

Crime has emerged as a top issue on voters’ minds.

A Gallup poll conducted in March found that nearly 80% of Americans worry about crime and violence “a great deal” or “a fair amount,” ranking it above concerns such as the economy and illegal immigration. In another Gallup poll conducted late last year, 63% of respondents described crime in the U.S. as either extremely or very serious — the highest percentage since Gallup began asking the question in 2000.

Crime data usually lags by at least a year, depending on the agency or organization gathering and analyzing the statistics. But the lack of accurate, real-time crime data from official sources, such as federal or state agencies, may leave some voters vulnerable to political manipulation, according to some crime and voter behavior experts.

There are at least three trackers collecting and analyzing national and local crime data that aim to close the gap in real-time reporting. Developed by the Council on Criminal Justice, data consulting firm AH Datalytics and NORC at the University of Chicago, these trackers all show a similar trend of declining crime rates.

Politicians love to cite crime data. It’s often wrong.

“We live in a world of sound bites, and people aren’t taking the time to digest information and fact check,” Alex Piquero, a criminology professor at the University of Miami and former director of the federal Bureau of Justice Statistics, said in an interview with Stateline. “The onus is on the voter.”

Crime trends and limitations

In 2020, when shutdowns in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic kept people at home, homicides surged by nearly 30% — the largest single-year increase since the FBI began tracking crime.

In 2022, violent crime had fallen back to near pre-pandemic levels, and the FBI data showed a continued decline last year. The rate of violent crime dropped from about 377 incidents per 100,000 people in 2022, to around 364 per 100,000 in 2023, slightly below the 2019 rate.

The largest cities, those with populations of at least 1 million, saw the biggest drop in violent crime — nearly 7% — while cities with populations between 250,000 and 500,000 saw a slight 0.3% increase.

Rape incidents decreased by more than 9% and aggravated assault by nearly 3%. Burglary and larceny-theft decreased by 8% and 4%, respectively.

Motor vehicle theft, however, rose by 12% in 2023 compared with 2022, the highest rate of car theft since 2007, with 319 thefts per 100,000 people.

Although national data suggests an overall major decrease in crime across the country, some crime-data experts caution that that isn’t necessarily the case in individual cities and neighborhoods.

“It can be sort of simplistic to look at national trends. You have to allow the space for nuance and context about what’s happening at the local level too,” said Grawert, of the Brennan Center.

Some crime experts and politicians have criticized the FBI’s latest report, pointing out that not all law enforcement agencies have submitted their crime statistics.

The FBI is transitioning participating agencies to a new reporting system called the National Incident-Based Reporting System or NIBRS. The FBI mandated that the transition, which began in the late 1980s, be completed by 2021. This requirement resulted in a significant drop in agency participation for that year’s report because some law enforcement agencies couldn’t meet the deadline.

In 2022, the FBI relaxed the requirement, allowing agencies to use both the new and older reporting systems. Since the 2021 mandate, more law enforcement agencies have transitioned to the new reporting system.

Reporting crime data to the FBI is voluntary, and some departments may submit only a few months’ worth of data.

Although the FBI’s latest report covers 94% of the U.S. population, only 73% of all law enforcement agencies participated, using either reporting system, according to Stateline’s analysis of the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting program participation data. This means that 5,926 agencies, or 27%, did not report any data to the FBI.

The majority of the missing agencies are likely smaller rural departments that don’t participate due to limited resources and staff, according to some crime data experts.

But participation in the FBI’s crime reporting program has steadily increased over time, particularly after the drop in 2021. Many of the law enforcement agencies in the country’s largest cities submitted data for 2023, and every city agency serving a population of 1 million or more provided a full year of data, according to the FBI’s report.


Stateline is part of States Newsroom, a nonprofit news network supported by grants and a coalition of donors as a 501c(3) public charity. Stateline maintains editorial independence. Contact Editor Scott S. Greenberger for questions: info@stateline.org. Follow Stateline on Facebook and X.
Nepalis fear more floods as climate change melts glaciers

Agence France-Presse
October 5, 2024 

Houses in the village of Thame lie abandoned in the aftermath of a flood caused by a glacial lake outburst (Migma NURU SHERPA/AFP)

Mingma Rita Sherpa was not home when the muddy torrent roared into his village in Nepal without warning, but when he returned, he did not recognise his once beautiful settlement.

It took just moments for freezing floodwaters to engulf Thame in the foothills of Mount Everest, a disaster that climate change scientists say is an ominous sign of things to come in the Himalayan nation.

"There is no trace of our house... nothing is left," Sherpa said. "It took everything we owned.

Nepal is reeling from its worst flooding in decades after ferocious monsoon rains swelled rivers and inundated entire neighbourhoods in the capital Kathmandu, killing at least 236 people.

Last weekend's disaster was the latest of several disastrous floods to hit the country this year.

Thame was submerged in August by a glacial lake that burst high in the mountains above the small village, famous for its mountaineering residents.

It was once home to Tenzing Norgay Sherpa, the first person to climb the world's highest mountain Everest, along with New Zealander Edmund Hillary.

"We are afraid to return, there are still lakes above," Sherpa said.

"The fertile land is gone. It is hard to see a future there," he added, speaking from the capital Kathmandu, where he has moved.

A glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) is the sudden release of water collected in former glacier beds.

These lakes are formed by the retreat of glaciers, with the warmer temperatures of human-caused climate change turbocharging the melting of the icy reservoirs.

Glacial lakes are often unstable because they are dammed by ice or loose debris.

- 'Rebuild or relocate' -

Thame was a popular stop during the trekking season, perched at an altitude of 3,800 metres (12,470 feet) beneath soaring snow-capped peaks.

But in August, during the monsoon rains, the village was largely empty.

No one was killed, but the flood destroyed half of the village's 54 homes, a clinic and a hostel. It also wiped out a school started by Hillary.

Sherpa, like many in the village, ran a lodge for foreign trekkers. He also worked as a technician at a hydropower plant, a key source of electricity in the region. That too was damaged.

"Some are trying to rebuild, but the land is not stable," he said. "Parts continue to erode."

Thame's residents are scattered, some staying in neighboring villages, others in Kathmandu.

Local official Mingma Chiri Sherpa said the authorities were surveying the area to assess the risks.

"Our focus right now is to aid the survivors," he said. "We are working to help the residents rebuild or relocate".


- 'Predict and prepare' -

Experts say that the flood in Thame was part of a frightening pattern. Glaciers are receding at an alarming rate.

Hundreds of glacial lakes formed from glacial melt have appeared in recent decades.


In 2020, more than 2,000 were mapped across Nepal by experts from the Kathmandu-based International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), with 21 identified as potentially dangerous.

Nepal has drained lakes in the past, and is planning to drain at least four more.

ICIMOD geologist Sudan Bikash Maharjan examined satellite images of the Thame flood, concluding it was a glacial lake outburst.


"We need to strengthen our monitoring... so that we can, at least to some extent, predict and prepare," he said.

"The risks are there... so our mountain communities must be made aware so they can be prepared".

Scientists warn of a two-stage impact.


Initially, melting glaciers trigger destructive floods. Eventually, the glaciers will dry up, bringing even greater threats.

Glaciers in the wider Himalayan and Hindu Kush ranges provide crucial water for around 240 million people in the mountainous regions.

Another 1.65 billion people depend on them in the South Asian and Southeast Asian river valleys below.

- 'Himalayas have changed' -

Former residents of Thame are raising funds, including Kami Rita Sherpa, who climbed Everest for a record 30th time this year.

Kami Rita Sherpa said the locale had long been a source of pride as a "village of mountaineers", but times had changed.

"The place has no future now", he said. "We are living at risk -- not just Thame, other villages downhill also need to be alert."

The veteran mountaineer said his beloved mountains were under threat.

"The Himalayas have changed," he said. "We have now not only seen the impact of climate change, but experienced its dangerous consequences too."
Mexico City’s new mayor sworn in with pledges on water, housing

By AFP
October 5, 2024

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum (L) with Mexico City Mayor Clara Brugada at her swearing-in ceremony - Copyright AFP Yuri CORTEZ

Mexico City’s new left-wing mayor took office Saturday with a pledge to defend women’s rights, tackle water shortages and address gentrification in the capital, home to more than nine million people.

Clara Brugada, a member of President Claudia Sheinbaum’s ruling Morena party, was elected in June to what is one of the country’s most important political posts.

“I’m a feminist who has always fought for full equality, and I want this capital to be in the vanguard of women’s rights,” the 61-year-old said in her inaugural speech.

“The safety of people and especially women will be our priority,” she said, promising to ensure more police, use intelligence to fight crime and address the root causes of insecurity.

To tackle water shortages that frequently afflict the city, Brugada said her administration would repair leaks and use rainwater to replenish the aquifer “so that no one lacks water.”

She pledged to prevent forced evictions and prioritize rental housing for young people with the option to buy.

“We all have to organize ourselves to curb gentrification in Mexico City,” said the mayor, who has a degree in economics.

Brugada previously served three terms as mayor of the densely populated Mexico City district of Iztapalapa, and the ruling party has touted the benefits of social projects she oversaw there.

“A public servant trained in community work, living in one of the poorest neighborhoods in the city, today assumes the leadership of this great city’s government,” she said.

Since 1997, when the capital’s mayor began to be elected by popular vote, the left has always held the post, which has become a stepping stone to the presidency.

Both Sheinbaum, the first woman to lead the Latin American nation, and her predecessor Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador are former Mexico City mayors.
Mexico’s new president promises to resume fight against climate change

TERESA DE MIGUEL
Fri, October 4, 2024 

FILE - Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum gives a media briefing from the National Palace in Mexico City, Oct. 2, 2024, the morning after her inauguration. (AP Photo/Fernando Llano, File)

MEXICO CITY (AP) — In her first days as Mexico’s new president, Claudia Sheinbaum made a point of distancing herself from the fossil fuel reliance promoted by her predecessor and mentor, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, and vowed to resume an energy transition that he halted.

“We are going to boost renewable energies. The goal is that by 2030, they will have a 45% share (of total electricity production),” she said Tuesday in her first public speech in the capital’s Zocalo square, shortly after being sworn in as the country’s first woman president.

Specifics are still scant, but her speech marks a sharp departure from the energy policy of former President López Obrador, a fierce defender of fossil fuels who, among other things, spent more than $20 billion to build a new oil refinery and stopped the auctions that had allowed developers to build solar and wind farms in the country.


The president said in the coming days she will unveil an “ambitious energy transition program” aimed at “the reduction of greenhouse gases that cause climate change.”

Yet Sheinbaum has also promised to strengthen the nation's Federal Electricity Commission, which owns older plants that mainly burn fossil fuels, and state-owned oil company Pemex.

Even without specifics, experts and environmentalists said the change in rhetoric was notable.

“The terms ‘sustainability’ or ‘renewable energy’ really never appeared,” in López Obrador’s policies, said Rosanety Barrios, who worked for more than a decade at the Mexican Energy Regulatory Commission. “He didn't use the term in any speech, in any document. And she has been using it all the time.”

During her campaign, Sheinbaum repeatedly promised to promote renewable energy to meet an increasing demand for electricity, due in part to rising temperatures from climate change. In a speech to Congress, also on Tuesday, with López Obrador sitting a few steps from her, the promises seemed more tangible.

The goal of reaching 45% clean electricity by 2030 is well above the 24% it represented last year, according to the Ministry of Energy. If achieved, Mexico would be back on track to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement, which seeks to keep the global average temperature to no more than two degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.

The energy policy promoted by López Obrador led Climate Action Tracker, an organization which evaluates the actions countries take to comply with the Paris Agreement, to downgrade Mexico’s rating to “critically insufficient.”

In her speech to Congress, the president also announced what would be the country’s first ever limit on oil production – 1.8 million barrels per day. All crude oil in Mexico is produced by Pemex, and that amount is approximately what the company produced in 2023 on an average day.

It is far less than the 2.6 million barrels per day López Obrador promised at the beginning of his term.

Sheinbaum recalled that more than a decade ago, a 2013 energy reform promoted by then President Enrique Peña Nieto proposed production of 3 million barrels per day. “That is environmentally impossible,” she said. “It is better to promote efficiency and renewable sources.”

At the same time, however, Sheinbaum has vowed to “strengthen Pemex” and she never criticized the building of the new Dos Bocas refinery, paying several visits to it with López Obrador.

Experts said Mexico would not be able to increase oil production using traditional methods, because its fields are getting tapped out.

“Mexico has ten years of oil left at its current rate of production, which is modest. Mexico is almost out of oil,” said Adrian Fernandez, who holds a PhD in environmental science from Imperial College London and directs the Mexico Climate Initiative, a think tank.

But Fernández nevertheless praised Sheinbaum's words “because it means she is not going to try to increase oil production.”

Mexico would have to invest significant money either in hydraulic fracturing, also known as fracking, or deepwater exploration to increase production beyond current levels, he said. Up until now, the country has rejected both of these.

Fernández also said Sheinbaum’s speech is “totally consistent with her experience and knowledge.” The president has a PhD in energy engineering and degrees in physics, and was part of the United Nations panel of experts on climate change that won the Nobel Prize in 2007.

This week, Sheinbaum saw firsthand the havoc that climate change is wreaking in Mexico. On Wednesday, on her first trip as the country’s leader, she visited Acapulco, in the southern state of Guerrero, to assess the damage caused by Hurricane John, which struck the coast first as a hurricane and then again as a tropical storm last week.

The storm left a trail of devastation while the city was still recovering from last year’s Hurricane Otis. The strengh of both hurricanes was turbocharged by rising ocean temperatures due to global warming.

But the big question is whether the new president will be able to achieve her goals within Mexico’s current legal framework. Before leaving office, López Obrador pushed through a constitutional reform that strongly favors the Federal Electricity Commission.

On one hand, Sheinbaum has supported that legal change and promised the state will keep control of 54% of electricity generation. On the other, she has said she will once again encourage private investment in renewable energy, something the prior government discouraged with rules that favored the state-owned CFE that are still in force.

“From my point of view, the biggest problem Claudia has is legal uncertainty,” Barrios said.

— The Associated Press’ climate and environmental coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.org.
AI bubble or ‘revolution’? OpenAI’s big payday fuels debate


By AFP
October 4, 2024

Tech titans such as Google, Amazon and Microsoft have partnerships and product lines that afford opportunity to promote the adoption of generative artificial intelligence - Copyright AFP Cecilia SANCHEZ

Glenn CHAPMAN

Fear of missing out has rocketed the value of artificial intelligence companies, despite few signs as to when the technology will turn a profit, raising talk of AI overenthusiasm.

The mystery deepens when it comes to predicting which generative AI firms will prevail, according to analysts interviewed by AFP.

ChatGPT-maker OpenAI secured $6.6 billion in a funding round that propelled its valuation to an eye-popping $157 billion, sparking new worries there is an AI bubble poised to burst.

“We are in the bubble where all the vendors are running around saying you have to deploy it as the latest digital transformation move,” independent tech analyst Rob Enderle of Enderle Group said of generative AI.

“I expect this ugly phase for the next two to three years, but then things should settle.”

To the critics, buyers don’t really understand the technology, and the market needed for it to thrive is not mature yet.

Enderle also contended that investors are pouring money into generative AI companies with the mistaken notion we are close to technology that has computers thinking the way humans do, called general artificial intelligence.

That “holy grail” won’t show up until 2030 at the earliest, he said.

– ‘Revolution’ is here –

Industry titans Amazon, Google, Meta and Microsoft have thrown their weight behind the technology, entering into partnerships and pushing out products to accelerate adoption.

But the tech giants are spending big to provide sometimes flawed features that for now cost them more than they take in from users.

The huge investments in OpenAI shows that Big Tech is willing to sink “substantial cash into a company that’s dealing with significant operation losses,” Emarketer analyst Grace Harmon said of the OpenAI funding round.

There’s a “lingering fear of underinvesting in AI and losing out…even if investments are not guaranteed to provide returns,” she said.

Dan Ives, a Wedbush Securities analyst, is one of Wall Street’s biggest believers in generative AI’s importance and compared ChatGPT’s emergence to an “iPhone moment” that will see one trillion dollars in spending during the next three years.

An “AI Revolution is not just at our doorstep, but is actively shaping the future of the tech world,” he said after OpenAI’s historic fund-raise.

Wall Street for now stands firmly with Ives and has sent the stock price of AI-chasing tech giants to record levels since ChatGPT burst on the scene in late 2022.

Nvidia, the AI-chip juggernaut, in June briefly became the world’s biggest company by market valuation amid the frenzy.

But according to media reports, OpenAI will lose $5 billion this year on sales of $3.7 billion.

The company told investors the pain will be short-lived and that revenue will rise exponentially, hitting a whopping $100 billion in 2029.

– More than poems? –

The question is whether people will pay for generative AI services such as Microsoft’s CoPilot that depends on OpenAI technology, said Creative Strategies analyst Carolina Milanesi, who pushed back against the idea of an AI bubble.

“Consumers are going to start going beyond the write-the-poem-for-me stuff,” Milanesi said.

“It will become part of our lives and we will depend on it, because we will be forced to.”

But for now, the generative AI business model is tough, since data center and computing power costs dwarf revenue, according to analysts.

Still, Milanesi doesn’t think the tech industry is getting carried away with generative AI.

“How this shakes out is the way to think about it, not so much the bubble bursting and everyone losing out,” Milanesi said.

“It’s a bit of a Darwin situation where the survival of the fittest is happening,” she said.

And while there is more excitement about generative AI than real proof of its success, the technology is moving exceptionally fast.

“Investors are not sure what the destination is, but everybody is jumping on the boat and they don’t want to be left behind,” Enderle said.

“That typically ends badly,” he said.

Op-Ed: The strange business of building the world’s first operational quantum computer


ByPaul Wallis
DIGITAL JOURNAL
October 5, 2024

IBM's quantum computer, London. — Image: © Tim Sandle

Australia, after years of research and development, is finally getting a real live solid quantum computer. The science is good. The business side is attracting a lot of dubious comments. This is far more than skin in the game. It’s a functional form of future computing science on the grand scale.

The billion-dollar investment will be located in Brisbane. It’s supposed to be a world first and is scheduled for completion in 2027.

It will be created by PsiQuantum, an American company.

Doubts include:

The practical functionality of the computer. What can we use it for? Never mind the hype. Practical applications are what this is all about.

The cost, as might be expected. Contract blowouts are not popular.

PsiQuantum says they’re a for-profit company, so that’s already another separate cost vs value issue.

Operational costs, including cryogenic cooling, components, and maintenance. One operation per year doesn’t yield a good ROI.

Energy costs are not publicly specified.

Computer specifications provided by PsiQuantum are considered to be vague or inadequate. These are opinions, but they are relevant.

Who gets access to PsiQuantum services is unclear.

Public funding issues.

If this sounds like a recipe for disaster, it’s not. Not quite. At this point, the doubts are reasonable but lack their own specifics. This is pretty ordinary, if not encouraging, in the tech sector. We have a billion-dollar controversy about something that doesn’t exist yet except as a basic idea.

This is fairly normal in Australia. We try to keep up with the vacuous indecision of other countries, and we’re getting pretty good at it.

All of the above obscures one major unavoidable issue. Quantum computing is more typically done in a lab. It’s nothing like mainstream science, let alone business tech. A baby quantum computing science needs to learn to walk.

We need at the absolute minimum:

A rock-solid fully costed and verified contract for construction, obligatory services, and support.

A functional map for testing and evaluation. This is proof of it doing what we need it to do.

System quality control for the duration of operations. We can’t simply take it for granted that any operational functions will be easy or simple.

Quantum computing has great potential. This could be an extremely valuable long-term asset. Coupled with AI, it could be far beyond any previous computing tech, not just faster.

So much for the sales pitch. I’d also like to point out that any disincentive to investment in quantum computing would be a major own goal for this tech, It’s not just PsiQuantum who’ll be affected if it screws up.

This project will be the face of quantum computing in the business, tech, and investment sectors. They’re still trying to get their heads around the basics of AI. They’re not necessarily inclined to invest in added tech that’s still in the bassinet.

PsiQuantum needs to look good and work well for the sake of future science.