Thursday, June 06, 2019

The Man Who Was Marshall Dillon

Patrick Murfin at Heretic, Rebel, a Thing to Flout - 3 days ago
A* High Noon* style gun duel on the streets of Dodge City played out under the opening credits of* Gunsmoke* and an implacable Marshall Dillon left a man dead in the dust. It was an immediate declaration that this was no kiddie fare where a white hat would shoot the pistol out of the hand of a cardboard villain I remember how hard I took the news that *James Arness* passed away eight years ago today on June 3, 2011 with his boots off, in his own bed in *Los Angeles*. After all he was mostly remembered as a *one note actor* for just one *part*, albeit one he played for more than 20... more »
IN CANADA NO MATTER THE PARTY NAME CONSERVATIVES HAVE ONE ECONOMIC AGENDA; AUSTERITY FOR YOU AND ME, TAX CUTS FOR THE RICH 
THE WOMAN BELOW IS AN EXAMPLE OF THIS A YOU CAN TELL FROM HER
EXPRESSION OF SQUEEZING MORE FOR LESS OUT OF YOU AND ME 


Thursday's letters: Layoffs, service cuts in our future



Premier Jason Kenney listens to Janice MacKinnon, a former Saskatchewan finance minister, and chair of a blue-ribbon panel announced to examine the Alberta government's financial situation. Taken on Tuesday, May 7, 2019, in Edmonton. GREG SOUTHAM /SUNMEDIA

SHAREADJUSTCOMMENTPRINT
Mr. Kenny has been in power for six weeks and has dramatically cut corporate taxes, got rid of carbon tax, told municipalities to give tax breaks for years to new businesses. So the question remains where will we get the money to fund the province, cities and pay for continual global warming disasters like forest fires and droughts.
I have no crystal ball but believe I can foresee the future. His hand-picked blue-ribbon panel that is to report on how to cut government costs will advise (while claiming it is purely non-partisan) to dramatically cut services, cut staff and cut taxes for the wealthy because trickle-down economics will get this province working again.
The truth is Mr. Kenny has no plans but to reward his friends who got him elected and when it all falls apart he will blame Ottawa and Rachel Notley. The next premier will be left with his mess and perhaps, finally, have the guts to bring in a sales tax, until we can find a way to get our oil to tidewater or diversify our economy. 
Inez Dyer, Edmonton

Global Military Spending - 2018 Edition

TUESDAY, JUNE 4, 2019



Global Military Spending - 2018 Edition

With Mike Pompeo and John Bolton rattling the sabre at just about every turn, the recent report on global military expenditures for 2018 by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) is particularly pertinent.  Here are some of the highlights that will help you to better understand how much governments around the world spend on equipment that is solely designed to killing maim as many human beings as possible.

In 2018, total global military expenditures rose by 2.6 percent on a year-over-year basis, reaching a record $1.822 trillion in nominal terms.  This is the highest level since 1988, the first year for which consistent global military spending data is available.  Given that the Cold War ended in 1991, it is interesting to note that global military spending is now 76 percent higher than the post-Cold War low in 1998.

Here is a graph showing how global military spending has grown since 1988:


Total global military spending in 2018 represented 2.1 percent of global gross domestic product or $239 per person. 

Here is a pie chart showing the 15 top global military spenders:


In 2018, military spending by the United States and China accounted for half of the world's total military spending.

Let's look at military spending in 2018 by three of the big players in our new multipolar world:

1.) United States - For the first time since 2010, U.S. military spending grew by 4.6 percent on a year-over-year basis, reaching $649.798 billion.  This is almost as much as was spent by the next eight largest-spending nations combined.  Over the past decade, in constant 2017  U.S. dollars, U.S. military spending has actually dropped from a peak of $784.835 billion in 2010.  As a share of GDP, over the past decade, U.S. military spending has dropped from a peak of 4.7 percent in 2010 to its current level of 3.2 percent.  During the Cold War era, U.S. military spending comprised 5.7 percent of GDP in 1988 and 5.5 percent of GDP in 1989.  After the Cold War ended, U.S. military spending actually dropped to a low of 2.9 percent of GDP in the years between 1999 and 2001 but began to grow again in 2002 as the War on Terror was undertaken. 

2.) China - For the 24th consecutive year, China's spending on its military grew hitting a growth rate of 5.0 percent on a year-over-year basis in 2018 and reaching a total of $249.997 billion, 10 times higher than in 1994.  The spending by China accounts for 14 percent of global military spending.  In constant 2017 U.S. dollars, China's military spending has grown continuously particularly in the last decade where it has grown from $108.187 billion in 2008 to its current level of just under $250 billion.  In 2018, China's military spending as a share of its economy was 1.9 percent.  As a share of GDP over the past decade, China's military spending has remained in a very constant range of between 1.9 percent and 2.1 percent of GDP.  Back in the late 1980s and early 1990s, China's spending on its military was as high as 2.5 percent of GDP, still a fraction of what the United States was spending on its military.

3.) Russia - In 2018, Russia's military spending actually dropped by 3.5 percent on a year-over-year basis for the second year in a row, declining to $61.4 billion or less than one-tenth of what the United States spent on its military in 2018.   In constant 2017 U.S. dollars, Russia's military spending is actually dropping after hitting a high of $82.576 billion in 2016, dropping by 25.7 percent over two years.  In 2018, Russia's military spending as a share of its economy was 3.9 percent.  As a share of GDP, over the past decade, Russia's military spending has ranged from 3.1 percent to 5.5 percent.    Just after the end of the Cold War, Russia's military spending as a share of its economy was as high as 4.5 percent (1994) but fell to a range of between 2.7 percent and 3.8 percent in the decade after the end of the Cold War.

The perception of a threat by Russia's military has impacted military spending levels by its neighbours during 2018.  Spending by Poland rose by 8.9 percent on a year-over-year basis to $11.6 billion, spending by Ukraine rose by 21 percent to $4.8 billion and spending by Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania and Romania grew in a range of between 18 percent and 24 percent over the year.

As you can see from this data, global spending on technology that is designed to win wars and  both create and deter threats continues to consume a significant portion of global resources.  Despite the fact that the Cold War ended almost three decades ago, it is interesting to see the impact that the current Russian - United States friction has created and how it has resulted in a very significant increase in spending by the United States and its central and Eastern European vassal states.  On the upside, in the case of American military spending, at least some Americans are growing very wealthy on the backs of taxpayers who fund the hundreds of billions of dollars in military spending.  On the downside, they aren't necessarily getting much for their tax dollars. 

A Very Erroneous Chart in the Economic Report of the President

ProGrowthLiberal at EconoSpeak - 2 days ago
Menzie Chinn has been reading the latest Economic Report of the President and finds a very erroneous and misleading chart, which is figure 1-6 from this this document (see page 45), which states: Equipment investment, in particular, exhibited a pronounced spike in the fourth quarter of 2017, as both the House and Senate versions of the TCJA bill, which were respectively introduced on November 2 and November 9, stipulated that full expensing for new equipment investment would be retroactive to September 2017. This created a strong financial incentive for companies to shift their equ... more »
New Brunswick Indigenous chiefs left ‘blindsided’ by decision to lift fracking moratorium
By Silas Brown
Reporter  Global News

The New Brunswick government has quietly moved to allow fracking in the Sussex area. As Silas Brown reports, environmental and First Nations groups are saying there's a lack of consolation.

New Brunswick’s PC government is under fire from the opposition Liberals for making a closed-door regulatory change allowing for the lifting of the fracking moratorium in the Sussex area.

Last month, cabinet approved an order-in-council, clearing the way for the changes that were part of Premier Blaine Higgs’ throne speech motion that passed through the legislature in December.

But Liberal critic Lisa Harris says the government has ignored the necessary consultation to lift the ban.

“They’re saying that they’re going to consult, they want to work with New Brunswickers, they want to work with all of the different parties. Well, obviously, they don’t. They lifted this 30 days ago without any consultation,” she said.

“They say, ‘We’re going to do this, we’re going to move forward, we’re going to do it our way.’ I mean, it’s a little backwards … to lift (a) moratorium and then say we need to consult.”

Harris said she spoke to several First Nations leaders on Tuesday who said they had not been consulted by the PCs before the change was made.

A statement from the chiefs of Mi’gmawe’l Tplu’taqnn Inc. (MTI) says they “were blindsided by the decision,” which was made without “consent, consultation or input” from Indigenous groups in the province.

The statement cites the 2016 final report from the New Brunswick Commission on Hydraulic Fracturing that set out nation-to-nation consultation as a prerequisite to lifting the moratorium.

“The premier must remember the Crown has a duty to consult and to seek our consent to development in our territory. The Mi’gmaq should’ve been engaged on this issue when the government was just considering lifting the moratorium in the Sussex area,” Chief George Ginnish of Natoaganeg First Nation said in the release.

Corridor Resources had been extracting shale gas in the Sussex region since 1999. But in 2014, a moratorium was issued by the newly elected Brian Gallant Liberals, stopping the development of new wells..

“Any business, any government, if you’re involved with an initiative where there are moving parts and you have to figure out how to fit them into a framework, you don’t run out every day and give updates on that,” he said.

Holland said that consultation with Indigenous groups is “of paramount importance” to any development, adding that any projects are about two years off.

“We’re not looking at development (until) probably 2021 so that’s why I’m saying let’s just let the temperature down here because this is a long-term project. Nobody’s doing anything knee-jerk, and we’re looking out beyond a year,” he said.

Along with a lack of Indigenous consultation, there are environmental concerns to consider as well, advocates say.

“You don’t make the decision and then look for testimony that’s going to support it. You have a discussion first,” said Jim Emberger, spokesperson for the New Brunswick Anti-Shale Gas Alliance.

“When the Liberals brought the moratorium in, they didn’t do that until they had had months of public testimony from citizens, from industry. We brought in international experts on contamination of water and public health,” he said.

Sussex Mayor Marc Thorne acknowledged the environmental concerns around shale gas extraction but said the region has a positive track record that speaks for itself.

“We are the area in the province that truly has experience, hands-on experience, with production of natural gas and we have yet to see any sort of negative impact in regards to that,” he said.

“We know of no water contamination or any other sorts of pollution or spills that people should be concerned about. We’re concerned about that, too; we’re not in support of any sort of natural resource development that isn’t done responsibly.”

© 2019 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

A Bernie Sanders Narrative for Seniors

Peter Dorman at EconoSpeak - 2 days ago

What follows is some unsolicited advice for the Sanders campaign. Politico has an important piece on the downside of the extraordinary age bias in Sanders’ support. Like a teeter totter, the large advantage Sanders enjoys among younger voters is counterbalanced by his dismal showing among the older crowd. The article reviews voting breakdowns from the 2016 campaign and current poll results, and it shows that Sanders is not just behind among seniors, but way, way behind. His political strengths guarantee he will survive the winnowing of the twenty-odd 2020 pretenders, but sheer ar... more »

Why Israel Won't Win Its Next War

A Political Junkie at Viable Opposition - 1 day ago
A recent piece by veteran and award-winning Israeli military correspondent Ron Ben Yishai on the Hebrew language version of Ynet provides us with fascinating insight into the current situation facing Israel's military. The logic behind Ben Yishai's opinions are rather stunning given Israel's current situation with its neighbours in Palestine, Syria and Lebanon. Here are some quotes from a translated version of the article entitled "Why do we not win the next war?" which opens with the observation that "Israel will not be defeated in the next war, but it will not win": "*Whether it ... more »
Why Jason Kenney Can't Bring Back The 'Alberta Advantage'

By Thomas A. Lukaszuk***

The province's bygone boom times were based on oil royalties, and little else.

“A chicken in every pot and a car in every garage,” promised Republican U.S. Presidential candidate Herbert Hoover during the Great Depression. He was keenly aware that Americans remembered the plenty of pre-Depression life and that they wanted it to return. He ran on a plan to turn around America’s economy, winning him the 1928 election. Famously, he was unable to make good on his promise and lead the country out of crisis.

Further north and nearly a century later, Alberta Premier Jason Kenney promised voters much the same. He knew Albertans longed to return to a time of budget surpluses, zero debt, no PST, “Ralph Bucks,” stratospheric wages and low unemployment. He ran on a platform to renew what was once known as the province’s “Alberta Advantage,” and won.

Albertans, in their desperation to have the good, old days restored, bought into his promise without fully analyzing whether the conditions that fostered the province’s prior prosperity could ever be brought back by one politician in a single government term.

Kenney argued that Alberta has a spending problem, not a revenue problem. Determined to eliminate the deficit by cutting spending, while further reducing the Alberta treasury’s revenue through eliminating the carbon tax and lowering corporate taxes, Kenney insisted that these measures, combined with reducing “red tape,” would restore investors’ confidence, create jobs and re-establish Alberta’s economic dominance in Canada.

In reality, Alberta residents and the province’s businesses have enjoyed among the lowest level of taxation in Canada, high investment confidence and, due to the legacy of regulatory reviews by the Klein and Stelmach administrations, businesses were never burdened with unnecessary bureaucratic barriers.

And Kenney knows it. He is hoping that his “trickle down” policies will be justified, if and when that fabled Alberta Advantage kicks in once again.

The truth behind the Alberta Advantage
So, what was really behind the elusive Alberta Advantage that every premier since Klein has hoped to rediscover?

Coined by Alberta Premier Ralph Klein, “Alberta Advantage” was a slogan intended to capture the Alberta Progressive Conservative government’s new austerity. Their message, a beacon, signalled to the world that Alberta was open to investment, eliminating deficits, paying off debt and cutting corporate taxes, and was prepared to privatize many government services. If that wasn’t loud enough, premier Klein put up a highway sign on the road to Edmonton saying “Think Differently.” It implied that his government knew which policy levers to pull to supercharge the economy, and that their political acumen was the driving force behind the Alberta Advantage.

The reality? The reality was a lot different.

None of these policy initiatives, however, were truly at the heart of the Alberta Advantage we all remember.

To be sure, Klein’s government implemented some courageous policy decisions. It privatized liquor stores and registry offices, and although the moves were controversial, they have passed the test of time. Klein implemented charitable gaming, equally objectionable at the time, giving rise to a vibrant volunteer sector. The Assured Income for the Severely Handicapped (AISH) program was innovative in Canada in that era. Getting Alberta’s financial house in order by eliminating the deficit and paying down debt were also prudent, even though one can question whether the speed with which this was achieved and the infrastructure debt it created was well considered.

None of these policy initiatives, however, were truly at the heart of the Alberta Advantage we all remember — they were merely made possible because another phenomenon, to a large extent external to government policies, was at play.

Royalty revenue from non-renewable resources was the secret that allowed Klein’s government to implement many of his innovative policies, keep taxes low, avoid PST, eliminate the deficit and pay off debt. These royalties, not policy, singularly constituted what we know as the Alberta Advantage.

Risky business
In the 1970s, Alberta politicians and industry leaders had a vision that led to establishment of the Alberta Oil Sands Technology and Research Authority. It took decades of strategic policy development and implementation, as well as government and private sector investment, to develop Alberta’s energy industry. It paid off.

Before Klein became premier in December 1992, the Alberta government’s treasury collected more than $2 billion annually in royalties from non-renewable resources (natural gas, oil, coal, etc.). By 2001, growing gas and oil commodity prices and increased volume of production spurred the Alberta government’s take on to $10.6 billion. In 2005, it topped at $14.3 billion.

Alberta’s debt repayment plan was ahead of schedule. Soon, surpluses became a problem. While other provinces and the federal government were experiencing financial pressures, the optics of Alberta being awash in cash were not good. Ironically, staunch fiscal conservatives in Cabinet and Caucus argued that Albertans, like the residents of Alaska in the U.S., should have the surplus distributed among us in the form of a dividend. These fiscal hawks (many of whom later migrated to the more conservative Wildrose Party, supported by Kenney) argued that surplus is an indicator of overtaxation, and that money doesn’t belong to the government (hence, it must be reimbursed to taxpayers rather than saved).

During a September 2005 PC Caucus meeting in Cold Lake, after Alberta’s deficits and debt were proclaimed to be eliminated, Premier Klein spontaneously announced a $400 Prosperity Bonus (“Ralph Bucks”) for every tax-paying Albertan. Albertans certainly felt the Alberta Advantage while spending their bonus in the already superheated economy.

Never to return
In Alberta’s euphoria, the risks of linking the province’s operating budget, and the Alberta Advantage, to a single source of royalty revenue from a volatile commodity were disregarded. Reports highlighting this structural problem in Alberta’s budget collected dust. Governments of the day failed to apply what they learned stimulating the growth of the oil and gas industries to other sectors, which could have lessened the province’s dependence on energy. The prevailing wisdom was the sun will not set upon Alberta’s empire, so long as we’re pumping oil.

Today, the Alberta government’s royalties from non-renewable resources sit at a considerably smaller $5 billion, and the prospects of any sudden improvement are slim.

There are no secret policy levers in the premier’s office that can increase world energy prices, on which filling our coffers and recreating the Alberta Advantage are dependent, no matter how much Albertans want to trust Premier Kenney. Building the oil industry takes slow, purposeful policy — not trickle-down economics and aimless hopes of luring an industry to invest in Alberta.

Kenney’s time would be better spent dusting off old reports and shifting his policies toward fostering an Alberta Advantage 2.0, and building an economy that isn’t founded on non-renewable resources.

***Thomas A. Lukaszuk Former PC Cabinet Minister whom Kenney told to Shut Up when Kenney was a Federal Cabinet Minister of Intergovermental affairs and Luckaszuk was Vice Premier

75TH D-DAY COMMEMORATION JUNE 6 1944-2019




D-Day veteran, 99, gets standing ovation from crowd including Queen and Trump as he remembers ‘terrifying’ WW2
A HEROIC D-Day veteran was today honoured with a standing ovation as he told the story of his WW2 bravery 75 years on. John Jenkins, 99, gave a moving ...

Normandy landings: Photos from D-Day and the Battle of Normandy



D-Day 75th anniversary: The key facts and figures from history's largest seaborne invasion
The Allied forces landing operation in Normandy on June 6, 1944, is easily the largest air, sea, and land invasion in history. They set sail in 6,939 vessels — an ...




The London Free Press
Londoners reflect on D-Day's significance on 75th anniversary
Thursday marks the anniversary of the largest amphibious assault
 in the history of human warfare. On June 6, 1944, known as D-Day, Allied troops landed on ...



CNBC International TV
Full interview: Former US Secretary of State John Kerry speaks at the 75th anniversary of D-Day



5 legendary speeches delivered on D-Day's blood-stained battlefields and beyond over 75 years
Thursday marks the 75th anniversary of the D-Day invasion— one of the biggest moments in World War II and a turning point in the fight against Nazi Germany.



Global News
D-Day by the hour: A timeline of Operation Overlord in Normandy
Allied forces used code words and decoys to successfully hide the largest invasion in history, which turned the tide of the Second World War.

75TH ANNIVERSARY OF D-DAY

Trudeau: D-Day fighters died 'for you and me' 


When the tide turned: Canadians hold massive D-Day event at Juno Beach
Three-quarters of a century ago today, Fred Turnbull was sitting in a landing craft plowing through the grey, choppy surf towards the shell-raked Normandy coast.

D-Day 75th anniversary ceremony from Halifax Citadel | LIVE

INCLUDING MIC MAC CELEBRATION OF FIRST NATIONS VETERANS
WITH A CHILLING TALE OF A NAZI MASSACRE OF CANADIANS INCLUDING
FIRST NATIONS MEMBERS
ALSO THE GOV GENERAL RECOGNIZED HER LIVING ON THE IROQUOIS 
 FIRST NATIONS LAND AND BROUGHT GREETINGS IN IROQUOIS!!!!

D-Day Tributes Bring Thousands Of Canadians Together On Juno Beach
COURSEULLES-SUR-MER, France — Thousands of Canadians will gather Thursday on a stretch of beach on the coast of Normandy in France to ...

How D-Day unfolded: A step-by-step visual guide
It's been 75 years since Allied forces invaded the Normandy beaches, bringing Nazi Germany a step closer to its final defeat. Here's how it happened.


Canadians gather at Juno Beach on 75th anniversary of D-Day
Thousands of Canadians will gather on a stretch of beach on the coast of Normandy in France on Thursday to commemorate the 75th anniversary of D-Day, one ...




XTINCTION REBELLION

Extinction Rebellion: Strategy and Tactics

Phil at All That Is Solid ... - 21 hours ago
In this episode of Politics Theory Other, Alex interviews Roger Hallam, the principal theorist of Extinction Rebellion. Roger is asked about XR's mass arrest tactics, the movement's attitude toward the police, and a number of other positions taken in his recently published manifesto, *Common Sense for the 21st Century.* Once again, new left media is done on a shoe string, so if you have a few quid to spare (or, indeed, a multimillionaire with an Engelsian bent), please support Politics Theory Other here.






Tariffs and Monetary Policy: Moral Hazard and Rent Seeking

rosserjb@jmu.edu at EconoSpeak - 13 hours ago

President Trump's threat to impose tariffs on Mexico over immigration has pushed Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell to say that if the tariffs lead to economic growth slowing, the Fed will cut interest rates. While the bump may be about to end, this announcement was followed by a solid global surge of stock markets on June 4 followed by smaller increases the next day. This sets up a moral hazard situation for Trump where if he behaves irresponsibly on trade policy (with even GOP senators basically freaking out), the Fed might bail him out with interest rate cuts. How is rent seekin... more »

WW3.0

John Bolton - A Force for Global Insecurity

A Political Junkie at Viable Opposition - 3 hours ago

With United States National Security Advisor John Bolton offering his warrior-like take on nations like Iran, Iraq, North Korea, Syria, Libya, Russia, Venezuela, Nicaragua, Cuba and others, I thought that a look back in time was in order. Back in the Bush II era, you may recall that George W. Bush and his right-hand man, Richard Cheney, appointed the moustachioed war hawk to represent the United States at the United Nations. The long-time critic of the UN who made the comment in 1994 that if the the 38 story United Nations building lost ten stories, it wouldn't make a bit of differ... more »

MEXICO BORDER STORIES



UPI.COM
Border apprehensions surge by 45% amid education cuts for migrant children
The U.S. experienced a surge of apprehensions at the Southwest border in the month of May, detaining more than 144,000 people as the Trump administration announced cuts to programs for unaccompanied migrant children.

HEALTH STORIES

TEN CASES IS 'TROUBLING' 1000 IS AN EPIDEMIC 
The number of measles cases in the United States surpassed 1,000 Wednesday, a milestone Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar called "troubling."


UPI.COM
The number of measles cases in the United States surpassed 1,000 Wednesday, a milestone Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar called "troubling."


UPI.COM

HHS halts federal research using human fetal tissue
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services announced that federal sciences will no longer be allowed to use human fetal tissue to carry out research, a move anti-abortion organizations hailed as a victory.

ALSO SEE TRUMP HALTS FETAL TISSUE RESEARCH