Saturday, October 07, 2023

FASCIST WAR ON KURDISTAN
Turkey says it 'neutralised' at least 14 Kurdish militants in Syria

Updated Sat, October 7, 2023 

Smoke rises from Qamishli

By Tuvan Gumrukcu

ANKARA (Reuters) -Turkish forces have "neutralised" at least 14 Kurdish militants in northern Syria in overnight attacks on militant targets, the Defence Ministry said on Saturday, as conflict in the region escalated nearly a week after a bomb attack in Ankara.

Turkey this week said all targets belonging to the outlawed Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) militia and the Syrian Kurdish YPG militia were "legitimate targets" for its forces, after the PKK claimed responsibility for Sunday's bombing in Ankara which wounded two police officers and killed the two attackers.

Turkey said the attackers came from Syria but the Syrian SDF forces denied this. Since the bomb attack, Ankara has launched a barrage of air strikes and attacks against militant targets in northern Syria and Iraq, while ramping up security operations at home.

"Targets belonging to PKK/YPG terrorists in northern Syria's Euphrates Shield, Olive Branch, and Peace Spring operation areas were hit strongly all night long," the ministry said, referring to regions where Turkey has previously mounted incursions.

"According to initial findings, at least 14 terrorists have been neutralised," it added, using a term it typically uses to mean killed.

Late on Friday, the ministry had said Turkey's military had conducted air strikes in northern Syria, destroying 15 militant targets where it said militants were believed to be.

Speaking at his ruling AK Party's congress in Ankara on Saturday, President Tayyip Erdogan repeated his warning that Turkey "may suddenly come one night", a term he has often used to target militants in Syria and Iraq.

"We will implement our strategy of ending terror at its root with determination, and hold the PKK, FETO, and Daesh to account over every drop of blood they have spilled," he said, referring to Islamic State and the network of U.S.-based cleric Fethullah Gulen whom Ankara accuses of orchestrating a failed coup attempt in July 2016.

Turkey lists the YPG as a terrorist organisation and says it is indistinguishable from the PKK, which has fought an insurgency against the Turkish state since 1984 in which more than 40,000 people have been killed.

The United States and European Union deem the PKK a terrorist organisation, but not the YPG.

The YPG is at the heart of the SDF forces in the U.S.-led coalition against Islamic State militants. U.S. support for them has long caused tension with Turkey.

Underscoring the tension, the United States on Thursday shot down an armed Turkish drone that was operating near its troops in Syria, the first time Washington has brought down an aircraft of NATO ally Turkey.

Ankara and Washington held a series of calls following the incident, with Turkey saying non-conflict mechanisms with the parties on the ground would be improved, but vowing to continue hitting militants in Syria and Iraq.

Turkey, which has mounted several incursions into northern Syria against the YPG, has said a ground operation into Syria is an option it could consider.

(Reporting by Tuvan Gumrukcu; editing by Jan Harvey)





Canadian Hindu groups reinforce call for Hinduphobia bill amid escalating India-Canada standoff

Local Journalism Initiative
Thu, October 5, 2023

Canadian Hindu organizations are intensifying their push for the House of Commons to develop legislation and pass a law that recognizes Hinduphobia, defines it as anti-Hindu sentiment, and funds education to combat it.

Hinduphobia petition e-4507 was launched in July by Vijaykumar Jain, a director with the Canadian Organization for Hindu Heritage Education. It has received more than 23,700 signatures so far.

Advocates for developing and passing a bill against Hinduphobia say that actions against Hindus in Canada have intensified during the current diplomatic crisis between India and Canada.

Prime Minister Trudeau stated in Parliament earlier this month that Canadian security agencies have been investigating claims of a possible connection between agents of the Government of India and the June 18 murder of Hardeep Singh Nijjar. Nijjar was a Canadian citizen, and Sikhs considered him a leader and supporter of the Khalistan movement.

EXPLAINER: Unpacking the escalating diplomatic crisis between Canada and India

“We are deeply troubled that these statements have empowered and emboldened the Khalistani extremists to put out public statements on social media threatening Hindus,” said a letter from the Hindu Federation signed by Pandit Roopnauth Sharma.

“As a direct result of such threats, Hindus are feeling traumatized in their daily lives, and women and children are feeling unsafe in their homes and public places.”

In a video that is being shared on social media, Gurpatwant Singh Pannun, the general counsel of Sikhs For Justice, asks Hindus to leave Canada.

The Hindu organizations working on the petition assert that the Hinduphobia petition addresses anything that denigrates, dehumanizes or demonizes Hindus and the Hindu religion.

Ragini Sharma, president of the Canadian Organization for Hindu Heritage Education, says she regularly receives calls and emails from Hindus who face ridicule about wearing a bindi.

The decorative and symbolic dot is worn on the forehead in South Asian cultures, often representing cultural heritage or spirituality; it is also used as a fashion accessory. She says that Hindu children in school are being bullied for their faith. Many parents report that their children are being told they will go to hell because they are Hindu and the children are being asked to convert to another faith, she said.

In addition to advocating for a federal bill against Hinduphobia, the Hindu heritage organization has been opposing a caste motion passed at the Toronto District School Board in March 2023.

“We opposed the TDSB motion’s plan of implementation that included teaching all students and staff in schools the lie that Hindu faith explicitly teaches to oppress others,” Sharma said.

“The motion singles out and ethnically profiles South Asians and Caribbean [nationals] and in particular targets Hindus as inherently bigoted and therefore needing extra policing. To suggest that Canadian Hindus of Indian or Caribbean origin are inherently bigoted, that they are especially prone to bringing along their biases from the old country to Canada, is deeply racist and Hinduphobic.”

Meanwhile, anti-caste groups in Canada have publicly opposed the petition and the desire to develop it into a bill. “I'm unsure of their intent in pushing for this petition, but it directly affects our Dalit Adivasi caste-oppressed communities due to the historical connection between caste discrimination and religion,” said Vijay Puli, a Toronto-based social worker and executive director of the South Asian Dalit Adivasi Network.

“To put it plainly, if someone were to advocate for a 'Whitephobia' bill while claiming it doesn't affect racial or Indigenous concerns, would that truly hold any logical ground?”

The network is a non-profit organization of Dalit, Adivasi and other lower caste people in Canada. It has issued a public statement opposing the petitio
n.

The caste system is an ancient, rigid South Asian hierarchical system that separates people into different social groups based on birth. A person’s caste can be identified by their last name, family background, food habits, occupation or racial profile. People who are considered to be in lower castes have historically been relegated to menial jobs and have a lesser social status.

Among South Asians, there are four different caste hierarchies: Brahmins, Kshatriyas, Vaishyas, and Shudras. Those outside of these castes were formerly treated as untouchables and called Dalits. This discriminatory practice is banned in India, but continues in many parts of the country. While majority agree that caste system has its origin in Hinduism, Sharma has consistently objected linking caste system to Hinduism.


The Hindu organizations advocating for the bill claim there are no reporting mechanisms for Hinduphobia.

“Right now it gets reported as bullying if it happens in schools, but if Hinduphobia is defined, it will be reported correctly. When Hindu temples are attacked (see table below) the police are calling it vandalism, but those are all hate crimes,” said Vijaykumar Jain, the director of the Hindu heritage organization who launched the Hinduphobia petition for the organization.

“There is no such thing as caste oppression,” Jain said.

“I haven't seen anybody being denied entry into a temple or to perform a puja or to consume the food in the temple because of caste. Nobody asks anybody about their caste here. I'm a vegetarian because I'm a compassionate person, and I don't eat animals.”

, Local Journalism Initiative Reporter, New Canadian Media


How India's Hindu Nationalists Are Weaponizing History Against Muslims

Audrey Truschke
Fri, October 6, 2023

Supporters of the right-wing Hindu groups Vishwa Hindu Parishad (VHP) and Bajrang Dal reacting to communal clashes in Haryana state, burn an effigy and shout slogans in Ahmedabad, India, on Aug. 2, 2023.
 Credit - Ajit Solanki—AP

About a month ago, a video emerged of an Indian teacher telling students to slap a 7-year-old classmate. The boy had gotten his multiplication tables wrong, but his real crime was being an Indian Muslim.

India used to be a secular democracy, but its current leader, Narendra Modi of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), advances a radically different vision. Modi wants India to become a Hindu nation, in which India’s religious minorities (about 20% of the population) are second-class citizens and Muslims especially (about 14% of Indians) are compelled to accept increasing majoritarian violence. Indeed, stories of terrorizing Indian Muslims have become depressingly common in Modi’s India, with human rights groups documenting rising violence with each passing year. International groups, such as Freedom House and V-Dem, consider India only “partly free” and an “electoral autocracy” owing to the sharp decline of human and civil rights.

The BJP has always considered Muslims to be less Indian than Hindus. The political party was formed in 1980 as an offshoot of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), an all-male paramilitary organization founded in 1925 and modeled on Italian fascist groups such as Mussolini’s Blackshirts. Both the BJP and RSS view India as a nation for Hindus, by Hindus, and seek to coalesce and mobilize a Hindu identity that historically was porous and varied.


Early Hindu nationalist leaders endorsed violence against Indian Muslims. For example, in December 1938—mere weeks after Kristallnacht—the Hindu nationalist leader V. D. Savarkar declared that Muslims who oppose Hindu interests “will have to play the part of German-Jews.” The RSS’s second leader, M. S. Golwalkar, proclaimed that Germany’s “purging the country of the semitic Race - the Jews” is “a good lesson for us in Hindusthan to learn and profit by.” Such genocidal calls remain current today. In 2021, a Hindu nationalist leader urged his followers to be prepared to kill millions of Indian Muslims. Watchdog groups, including Genocide Watch and Early Warning (a project of the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum), caution that signs of genocide are already manifest in India.

Modi is a lifelong member of the RSS. Before he became India’s Prime Minister in 2014, he was Chief Minister of Gujarat, a state which, during his watch in 2002, saw India’s worst communal riots since partition—leaving at least 1,000 people dead, most of them Muslim. This earned him international rebuke, including a 2005 U.S. travel ban, and notoriety at home as an anti-Muslim strongman. That reputation helped propel Modi and the BJP to victory in India’s 2014 general election. After five years of rising Hindu nationalist violence against Indian Muslims, Modi led the BJP to another election win in 2019. Although many Indians—including many Hindus—oppose the BJP, it currently enjoys unprecedented power to reshape India.

Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi waves to supporters in Kadi, 40 km north of the state’s main city Ahmedabad, on September 9, 2002.Amit Dave—Reuters
Textbook wars

A key piece of the BJP’s agenda involves twisting history to demonize Muslims, and Hindu nationalists often zero-in on the Mughals, a dynasty that ruled parts of northern and central India during its heyday from about 1560 to 1720. Chief among Hindu nationalist disinformation about the Mughals are that these kings fuelled Hindu-Muslim conflict, a phenomenon that largely developed during British colonial rule (1757–1947). By vilifying earlier Indian kings, the British deflected attention from their exploitative and harmful colonial enterprise.

Contemporary Hindu nationalists follow British colonial ideas regarding Indian history—but they go further in attacking the Mughals. Sometimes Hindu nationalists falsely accuse the Mughals of committing a genocide. Other times they falsely malign the Mughals as colonialists, which depicts them—and by extension all Muslims today—as a foreign threat to India.

Hindu nationalists have in turn attacked the Taj Mahal as a Mughal-built monument, omitting it from tourist booklets and promoting the conspiracy theory that it used to be a Shiva Temple. They have removed parts of Mughal history from school textbooks. This renders many Indian children ignorant of key parts of their own history, including that the Mughals built a multicultural empire, patronized Hindu and Muslim religious groups, and relied on Hindu elites known as Rajputs to rule.

Hindu nationalists have also razed historical mosques. Most prominently, in 1992, a Hindu mob illegally destroyed an early 16th-century Mughal mosque in Ayodhya, a town in northern India. In 2020, Modi laid the foundation stone for a modern temple to the Hindu god Ram atop the mosque’s ruins. When completed, Ayodhya’s Ram Temple will embody the heady mix of anti-Muslim iconoclasm and Hindu triumphalism that is core to the BJP’s vision.

Indian Hindu fundamentalists attack the wall of the 16th century Babri Masjid Mosque with iron rods at a disputed holy site in the city of Ayodhya, India, on December 6, 1992.Douglas E. Curran—AFP/Getty Images

After having students hit their 7-year-old Muslim classmate, the Indian teacher stated defiantly: “I do not regret my act; people are with me.” Indeed, over the past decade, Indian Muslims have been subjected to violent and often deadly assaults by India’s Hindu majority for praying, marrying across religious lines, celebrating holidays, eating beef, protesting government policies, reporting on Hindu nationalism, and more. Many used to take comfort in the aphorism that “India is not Modi,” but it now sounds like wishful thinking.

As the BJP’s agenda continues and Indian democracy erodes, we will likely see more attacks on religious minorities, especially Muslims, in both India’s past and present.

STATING THE OBVIOUS
Canada-India dispute likely target for disinformation efforts, State Department warns




WASHINGTON — Canada's ongoing diplomatic standoff with India risks making it an even more tempting target for international efforts that use disinformation to reshape global narratives, a senior State Department official says.

Whether it's restive political factions, grassroots public outrage, economic instability or geopolitical disputes, conflict always makes it easier for falsehoods to take root, said Global Engagement Center co-ordinator James Rubin.

"Any time there is an underlying discontent in a country, the manipulators will use that," Rubin told a briefing Thursday about the centre's new report on China's goals for reshaping the information space.

"Unfortunately, they're getting better and better at it."

Social media now lays bare the divisions that exist in any given part of the world, "and through artificial intelligence and spending money on it, they can develop tailored narratives," he said.

And while Rubin was quick to note he's seen no evidence of China seeking to exploit the Canada-India dispute, "this is obviously an area that is ripe for information manipulation."

The dispute broke into public view last month when Prime Minister Justin Trudeau revealed "credible allegations" of a link between the Indian government and the shooting death in June of a prominent Sikh leader in B.C.

Hardeep Singh Nijjar, 45, a longtime advocate for the idea of an independent Sikh state in the province of Punjab, was killed while at the wheel of his pickup truck by two masked gunmen outside a temple in Surrey, B.C.

India — where Nijjar had long been branded as a terrorist and was wanted in connection with multiple attacks dating back to 2007 — has strenuously denied any involvement.

Rubin acknowledged Thursday that the dispute is a "tricky subject" in the U.S., which has been working to strengthen its ties with India as part of a long-term plan to build a geopolitical bulwark against China in the Indo-Pacific.

And while he hewed closely to official U.S. talking points, urging the two countries to co-operate on an investigation to ensure the perpetrators are brought to justice, Rubin initially called the killing an "assassination," a term he later retracted.

"I meant the word 'murder,'" he said.

"It was clearly a murder, it should be investigated in Canada, it's terrible that it happened, but I should have used the word 'murder,' not assassination, because that has political overtones."

A spokesman for the Indian government acknowledged this week that New Delhi wants Canada to shrink its diplomatic presence in the country, but would not confirm reports that 41 of 62 Canadian envoys could be kicked out by Monday.

Ottawa has said the discussions are ongoing, but it needs its emissaries to remain in India while efforts continue to resolve the standoff.

Global Affairs Canada said in a statement late Thursday evening that "due to security and operational considerations," it was unable to provide details about Canada's current diplomatic footprint in India.

The turmoil has proven a resilient topic in both Washington and Ottawa, both of which had been more focused in recent months on how best to address the global threats posed by Russia and China.

The latter country has aggressively deployed its disinformation campaigns in Canada in recent years, with one particular target — Conservative MP Michael Chong — earning a specific mention in the new State Department report.

Chong, who represents an Ontario riding, testified before a congressional commission last month about his experience, which included a Chinese intimidation plot that targeted the MP and his relatives in Hong Kong in 2021.

Earlier this year, Chong was also at the centre of an effort by Chinese operatives to discredit him with false information, using WeChat, a social media and direct-messaging app popular in the Chinese diaspora.

"The (People's Republic of China) has used WeChat as a channel for disseminating disinformation targeting Chinese-language speakers residing in democracies," the report says.

The network involved accounts linked to state media and China's state apparatus "in opaque ways," and "shared and amplified false and misleading information about Mr. Chong’s identity, background, and political views."

Rubin noted with some irony that China for decades was and remains a fierce guardian of its internal domestic affairs even as it engages in efforts to manipulate the narratives in countries around the world.

"There's nothing wrong with people asking hard questions, or even suggesting outrageous things, as long as it's done in an open, transparent manner where you know who's saying what to whom, and why," he said.

"When the provenance of information is not clear, when we don't know that it's the Chinese government or the Russian government doing something, that's when it's information manipulation."

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 6, 2023.

James McCarten, The Canadian Press
Icy flood that killed at least 41 in India's northeast was feared for years

Fri, October 6, 2023 



NEW DELHI (AP) — Hundreds of rescuers dug through slushy debris and fast-flowing, icy water Friday in a search for survivors after a glacial lake overflowed and burst through a dam in India's Himalayan north, a disaster that many had warned was possible for years.

The flood began in the early hours of Wednesday, when water overflowed a mountain lake. It smashed through a major hydroelectric dam downstream and then poured into the valley below, where it killed at least 41 people, carrying bodies kilometers (miles) away, and forced thousands to flee their homes.

It wasn’t clear what triggered the deadly flood, the latest to hit northeast India in a year of unusually heavy monsoon rains. Experts pointed to intense rain, and a 6.2 magnitude earthquake that struck nearby Nepal on Tuesday afternoon, as possible contributors.

But the disaster also underscores a climate dilemma that pits local environmental activists who say dams in the Himalayas are too dangerous against authorities pursuing a national green energy agenda.

The design and placement of the 6-year-old Teesta 3 dam, the largest in Sikkim state, were controversial from the time it was built. A report compiled by the Sikkim State Disaster Management Authority in 2019 had identified Lhonak Lake as “highly vulnerable” to flooding that could breach dams and cause extensive damage to life and property.

The dam’s operator, and local agencies responsible for dam safety, did not respond to requests for comment Friday.

India is counting on hydroelectric dams to meet ambitious clean energy goals that are part of a global effort to slow climate change. The government aims to increase India’s hydro power by half by 2030, to 70,000 megawatts, and has approved hundreds of new dams across the country's mountainous north.

But the growing frequency and intensity of extreme weather, driven in part by climate change, puts many dams and the people living downstream from them at risk. Last month, dam breaches caused by Storm Daniel caused devastating damage to the city of Derna in Libya.

Rising temperatures also cause glaciers to melt faster, putting more pressure on dams. A 2016 study found that over a fifth of the 177 dams built close to Himalayan glaciers in five countries were at risk from glacial lakes, including the Teesta 3 dam.

“We knew that this was coming,” said Gyatso Lepcha, general secretary of Affected Citizens of Teesta, an environmental organization based in Sikkim, wrote in a statement that called for a safety review of all dams in the state.

The Teesta 3 hydropower project, built on the Teesta River, took nine years and cost $1.5 billion to construct. The project was capable of producing 1,200 megawatts of electricity — enough to power 1.5 million Indian homes — and began operation in 2017.

But local activists argued that the dam didn't have enough safety features.

“Despite being the biggest project in the state, there were no early warning systems installed even though the glacier overflowing was a known risk,” said Himanshu Thakkar of the non-governmental organization South Asian Network for Rivers, Dams and People.

Thakkar said authorities failed to apply the lessons from a 2021 dam breach in Himalayan state of Uttarakhand that killed 81 people, allowing an “eerily similar” disaster to occur. India passed a dam safety law in 2021, but Teesta 3 is not on a list of dams whose safety is monitored by India’s top dam regulator.

India’s National Disaster Management Agency said Friday that it plans to set up early warning systems at most of India’s 56 known at-risk glacial lakes.

Parts of northern Bangladesh along the Teesta River also flooded Friday as water traveled from Sikkim, local media reported. The waters are expected to rise more, as the country’s weather office forecast possible heavy rains in coming days.

In Sikkim, more than 2,000 people were rescued after Wednesday’s floods, the state Dsaster Management Authority said, adding that authorities set up 26 relief camps for more than 22,000 people.

One soldier was previously reported missing was rescued, and the bodies of seven have been found, state police said.

Eleven bridges in the Lachan Valley were washed away by the floodwaters, which also hit pipelines and damaged or destroyed more than 270 houses in four districts, officials said.

The army said it was providing medical aid and phone connectivity to civilians in the areas of Chungthang, Lachung and Lachen, and local media reported that said the army was erecting temporary bridges to bring food to affected areas.

Nearly 50 people died in flash floods and landslides in August in nearby Himachal Pradesh state, and record rains in northern India killed more than 100 people over two weeks in July.

___

Arasu reported from Bengaluru, India. AP writers Aniruddha Ghosal in Hanoi, Vietnam and Julhas Alam in Dhaka, Bangladesh contributed to this report.

___

Associated Press climate and environmental coverage receive support from several private foundations. See more about AP’s climate initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

Ashok Sharma And Sibi Arasu, The Associated Press
A majority of Americans in a new poll back the UAW's unprecedented auto strike as GOP union support grows

Nora Naughton,Juliana Kaplan
Thu, October 5, 2023 

United Auto Workers members march through downtown Detroit on September 15.AP Photo/Paul Sancya

The UAW's strike has garnered considerable support from Americans.

Biden visited the picket line, and polling shows a more-positive bipartisan stance on unions.

It's indicative of a shift in how Americans view the labor movement in the post-COVID-crisis era.

It's difficult to find an issue with bipartisan agreement in today's economy. But an unlikely contender has entered the ring.

In a Reuters-Ipsos poll of Americans, some 58% of respondents said they supported the United Auto Workers union's strike at the Big Three Detroit car manufacturers. The study surveyed 1,005 people and was conducted between September 19 and 20.

That support was surprisingly bipartisan. While 72% of self-identified Democrats said they supported the strike at specific Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis factories, 48% of Republicans reported being in favor of it. That exceeded the 47% of GOP members reporting opposition.

Even some Republican lawmakers have said they support the union's demands for 40% raises and an end to the tiered wage system.

Aside from this strike, support for labor unions has been increasing on the right. Annual polling from Gallup indicates Republican approval of labor unions has been climbing since 2016, with a noticeable uptick after the onset of the pandemic. A decade ago, 34% of Republicans said they approved of labor unions; in 2023, 47% expressed approval.

In addition, President Joe Biden became the first sitting president in modern history to visit a picket line last week, joining striking GM workers outside a factory in Metro Detroit.

All these elements combine to highlight a shift in public perception around workers' rights, which accelerated amid the pandemic. While it would go too far to say the entire country is adamantly pro-union, the rise in approval rates and appearances of elected officials on the picket line signals a big shift after years of a declining labor movement.

"The overall sentiment is that yes, Republicans and all Americans believe a hard day's work should mean you get a fair day's wage," Alice Stewart, a veteran Republican strategist for several presidential campaigns and a CNN political commentator, told Insider.

She added: "The more we can do to help create jobs and create better-paying jobs, the better it is for the economy of this country."

While conservatives may prefer that advancement is done through the free market, she said, "clearly many people are seeing a benefit in what unions have been able to do to create better jobs and better-paying jobs."

John Drake — the vice president of transportation, infrastructure, and supply-chain policy at the right-leaning US Chamber of Commerce — told Insider "every American can relate to getting a 40% pay increase" or wanting to increase their benefits.

"I think these are universal," he said. "I think these are things that a lot of folks can identify with, but it doesn't always work out that way. And I think it's important to also take stock at the bigger picture here and what agreeing to that would mean for these companies and their ability to compete today and compete tomorrow."

UAW President Shawn Fain is rallying his members with a broader message around the labor movement writ large, pitting the middle class against the "billionaire class."

"We're not going to wreck the economy," Fain said at a rally in Detroit at the onset of the strike earlier this month, addressing criticisms from executives who say the union's demands are too outlandish. "We're going to wreck their economy because it only works for the billionaire class."

If this rhetoric sounds familiar, it's because Fain leaned heavily on a group of Sen. Bernie Sanders' former campaign staffers to craft his communications strategy going into the quadrennial contract negotiations this summer.

The UAW's strike represents a culmination of issues that have come to a head in the post-COVID-crisis labor movement, labor experts told Insider. Building off the progressive movement started by Sanders, organized labor is focusing on a message around widely held worries about fairness in the modern economy.

"There's a deep concern about economic inequality in this country and the problem of the very, very, very rich being the only ones benefiting from productivity gains and technological gains," Kate Andrias, a labor-law expert at Columbia University, told Insider.
Politics on the picket line

The post-2016 rise of Sanders, a longtime labor supporter, can be partially credited to Democrats' changing opinions toward unions.

After Sanders showed up at the strike, so did Biden — a historic step from a president and one that shows the political sway of the movement.

Now even some Republican elected officials are showing up to support UAW workers' demands — even if they don't necessarily agree with its leadership.

"I don't want them to just have higher wages next year. I want them to have a job five years from now," Sen. JD Vance, a Republican from Ohio, previously told Insider. "They're going to go make demands on GM and Ford, and Ford is going to" reject them, he said, adding: "Because all your jobs are in China. We don't need you guys."

Christian Sweeney, the AFL-CIO's deputy director of organizing, told Insider that he'd been an organizer for about 25 years "and the support for unions now is really radically different."

From 1997 through 2009, the number of elections where workers voted to be represented by a union fell by 48%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Today, "we're in a different phase of the history of the American labor movement," Sweeney said, adding that the newest generation of workers were "some of the most pro-union workers that have ever entered the workforce."

Drake of the Chamber of Commerce, however, said the way this was playing out might make businesses more reluctant to entertain having any sort of union representation.

"The reality of this is that a lot of businesses are looking at these negotiations going forward, and I think they're appalled," he said, adding: "The UAW has to be really careful because they may win the battle but lose the overall war because a lot of companies are going to look at unions and think to themselves, 'I don't want that happening to me.'"

Indeed, the UAW has a lot to prove following a yearslong federal criminal investigation that sent several prominent UAW leaders to prison. The union is looking to claw back its influence not just in the automotive industry but also as a leader in the labor movement.

Carolyn Nippa, a 26-year GM employee who also went on strike in 2019 over plant closures, said she felt more energized by the union's demands this time.

"It's our time," Nippa told Insider. "We did our part to try to help the company — we saved the company — and we're just asking back what we gave up."

When adjusted for inflation, the average automotive-manufacturing wage has fallen some $10 an hour from its peak of about $42 an hour in 2003, according to data compiled for Insider by Jason Miller, a Michigan State University professor of supply-chain management.

All this happens as the burgeoning electric-vehicle sector creates organizing opportunities.

"To the extent that the UAW is able to win a strong contract, that works as a message to nonunion workers about the advantages of organizing," Andrias said.

Fain appears to recognize this opportunity, using his platform to speak often with people outside the UAW who support its cause.

"Striking for a better future to protect our communities and to defeat corporate greed is not just our right. It's our duty," Fain said on a Friday livestream with more than 60,000 viewers. "We invite you to stand with us on the picket line if you support our cause."

Read the original article on Business Insider
Why the TVO strike matters to Ontario workers and Doug Ford's government

CBC
Sat, October 7, 2023 

Unionized journalists and educators picket outside TVO headquarters in Toronto. The 74 workers represented by the Canadian Media Guild have been on strike against Ontario's public broadcaster and educational channel since Aug. 21 (Alex Lupul/CBC - image credit)

The ongoing strike at Ontario's public broadcaster TVO involves just 74 employees, but the fate of their contract talks could have implications both for Premier Doug Ford's government and among the 1.2 million people in the province's public sector workforce.

The unionized journalists and educators represented by the Canadian Media Guild (CMG) have been on strike since Aug. 21, and recently rejected the below-inflation wage increases in what TVO management called its final offer.

With inflation running high, unions across Canada are looking for contract settlements that at least keep pace with the rising cost of living. That desire is particularly acute among Ontario's public sector, whose wage hikes were capped at one per cent annually for three years under the Ford government's Bill 124.

That legislation "worsened the cost-of-living crisis by holding down workers wages," said Patty Coates, president of the Ontario Federation of Labour.

"So we're seeing workers saying enough is enough. They're fed up and they're fighting to even just keep afloat," Coates said in an interview.

This negotiating context means the TVO labour dispute has high stakes that go beyond the broadcaster and its unionized staff.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford goes over his briefing notes with Transport Minister Caroline Mulroney as the legislature resumes at Queen's Park in Toronto on Tuesday, Feb.21, 2023.

In question period this week, Treasury Board President Caroline Mulroney said she encourages the two sides to reach a deal that protects the quality of public services while respecting the taxpayers. (Frank Gunn/The Canadian Press)

Brian Lewis, former chief economist in the Ontario Public Service, says contract deals in one part of the public sector have the potential to influence bargaining outcomes elsewhere.

"Precedents can be set and established when you're bargaining with one union," said Lewis, now a senior fellow with the Munk School for Global Affairs and Public Policy.

He says both management and unions often point to recent contract agreements in the sector to support their case for what a fair deal would be, especially on wages. That means there's plenty of attention from the provincial government on the pay increases that are offered to TVO's unionized staff.

"I think it's something, given the government is such a big employer with so many bargaining agents, that might concern them about the precedent that is set for much larger (unions)," Lewis said in an interview.

Both sides say wages key outstanding issue

He foresees many more unionized public sector workers aiming to catch up on wages that have been both constrained under Bill 124 and eroded by inflation.

"The government will want to try to protect the financial bottom line," said Lewis. "The implications are very tough collective bargaining."


Steve Paikin, host of TVO's The Agenda, on the picket line in September with other unionized TVO journalists and educators. The union members rejected TVO management's latest wage offer in early October, and union leadership said it's because the offer is below inflation.

Steve Paikin, host of TVO's The Agenda, on the picket line in September with other unionized TVO journalists and educators. The union members rejected TVO management's latest wage offer in early October, and union leadership said it's because the offer is below inflation. (Michael Wilson/CBC)

The Ford government budgeted $49 million this year for TVO's annual operating grant, its primary source of funding. TVO's mandate comes from Ontario's Ministry of Education and its board reports to Education Minister Stephen Lecce.

A sign that the Ford government is tuned into the potential financial implications of the contract talks: when the opposition NDP asked Lecce in question period if he will "direct TVO management to make a fair bargain with CMG workers," the cabinet minister responsible for the treasury answered.

"We encourage the two parties to continue working to find a resolution that supports the goal of protecting the sustainability and high quality of Ontario's public services while respecting the taxpayers who pay for them," said Treasury Board President Caroline Mulroney.

Both sides in the strike say wages are the key outstanding issue.TVO's final offer to the union included annual increases of three per cent, 2.75 per cent and 1.75 per cent, starting from to the expiration of the previous contract in 2022.

The union is seeking annual increases of 4.75 per cent, 4.25 per cent and four per cent, plus a $2,500 payment for all staff whose wages were capped under Bill 124.

'We do have conversations with government': TVO

Lewis's assessment as an economist: the union's wage proposal is "close in line" with recorded and projected inflation for the three-year time period, while management's offer is "well below."


Mask-wearing protesters rally on Nov. 12, 2021, outside the office of Nepean MPP Lisa MacLeod, demanding the Ontario government repeal of Bill 124, legislation from 2019 which caps annual salary increases for many public sector employees at an average of one per cent annually for three years.

The Ford government's Bill 124, which capped public sector wage increases at one per cent annually for three years, drew protests including this one by nurses in 2021, outside the offices of Nepean MPP Lisa MacLeod. (Francis Ferland/CBC)

"We believe that the offer that we put forward actually is a very fair one," said Mitch Patten, TVO's vice president of corporate and community affairs, in a phone interview.

The unionized TVO workers represented by CMG contend that the wage increases offered are not fair. (CMG also represents 4,500 programming and production staff at CBC/Radio-Canada, including CBC News journalists.)

"We've had our wages decrease in real terms over the last decade," said Meredith Martin, the union's branch president and a producer on TVO's flagship show The Agenda with Steve Paikin.

"We're not even asking for an inflationary increase in the first year, we're saying 4.75 per cent, which is well below inflation for 2022, is a reasonable place to start," Martin said during a news conference at Queen's Park this week.

Asked what role the Ford government is playing in the negotiations, Martin said it's unclear.

"But I will say the buck always stops with the premier of the province," she said. "The CEO of TVO is a government appointee and the head of the board of directors is a government appointee and they're making decisions, as far as I can say, in consultation with the government."


Commissioner Jeffrey Orridge and the CFL "parted ways" on Wednesday, according to a news release from the league. The former executive director of CBC Sports was named the 13th CFL commissioner in March 2015.

The Ford government appointed Jeffrey Orridge as TVO's chief executive in 2020. 'Although TVO has tabled its best and final monetary offer, should CMG have a non-monetary proposal regarding any issue that it feels will help us resolve this strike, TVO is ready to meet and discuss,' Orridge said in a statement on Oct. 1 (Ryan Remiorz/Canadian Press/File)

"Like any public agency, we do have conversations with government about our labour negotiations," said Patten, the TVO vice president.

"I'm really not prepared to get into the details of those conversations, but I can say that the overall message has been that they are looking to us to negotiate an agreement that is both fair to the workers and respectful of the of the taxpayer dollars we manage."

Union wants binding arbitration

The strike has meant no new episodes of The Agenda, and no new content from TVO journalists on its news and current affairs website. It also means the unionized educators who create curriculum materials for the TVO Learn website are not at work.

The union is asking the government to step in and send the dispute to binding arbitration.

A series of arbitration rulings in the wake of Bill 124 have awarded larger settlements to Ontario public sector unions. A Superior Court of Justice ruling found the wage cap bill unconstitutional, but the Ford government has appealed.

Last month, the 60,000-member Ontario Secondary School Teachers' Federation agreed to a process that would see any outstanding contract issues resolved by binding arbitration, without a strike.

Meanwhile the 83,000-member Elementary Teachers; Federation of Ontario is holding strike votes across the province until Oct. 17.

UK intel may have tracked wrecked Chinese submarine with bugged Apple watch

The submarine incident occurred on 21 August, allegedly due to a collision with a 'chain and anchor' device intended to harm Western submarines

FP Staff Last Updated:October 07, 2023 11:07:24 IST

The sub-marine accident comes at a time when China is heavily investing in its armed forces, with plans to expand its submarine fleet to 65 to 70 submarines by the end of the decade. Reuters.


    Chinese dissidents claim the UK spies may have tracked the stricken Chinese submarine in the Yellow Sea, by exploiting a sailor’s Apple smartwatch. This revelation comes as part of an ongoing inquiry into the disaster involving the Chinese Type 093 nuclear submarine, which tragically claimed the lives of all 55 crew members.

    The submarine incident occurred on 21 August, allegedly due to a collision with a ‘chain and anchor’ device intended to harm Western submarines. Despite China officially denying the incident, British naval intelligence officers have privately expressed their conviction that it did indeed occur. The UK’s Ministry of Defence has chosen to remain officially silent on the matter.

    According to a Daily Mail report, dissidents based outside China claim to have obtained copies of the Chinese Communist Party’s investigation report, which includes allegations of Western interference. The report appears to suggest that Chinese officials are keen to attribute blame to the West for interfering with and eavesdropping on People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) operations.

    “We received an update from the Central Military Commission. In the classified report, the CCP [Chinese Communist Party] believes MI6 bugged the Apple watch of a high-ranking Navy officer in Guangdong command, causing the leak of information related to the 093-417 accident,” the Mail quoted a dissident as saying.

    This incident marks a significant setback for China’s naval prestige, coming at a time when the country is heavily investing in its armed forces, with plans to expand its submarine fleet to 65 to 70 submarines by the end of the decade, as part of a massive £1 trillion investment package between 2024 and 2028. China’s naval expansion has raised concerns among Western observers, who fear that China aims to assert dominance in the South China Sea and beyond, including the militarization of islands in violation of previous agreements.

    The sinking of PLAN 093-417 also stands as the third-largest loss of life aboard a submarine in maritime history, with the worst being the Russian Kursk disaster in 2000, which claimed 118 lives. According to a British naval intelligence officer, the crew of the Chinese submarine died due to a system fault that resulted in “hypoxia” and a catastrophic failure of the onboard oxygen system. British submarines are equipped with technology to address such situations, unlike the ill-fated Chinese submarine.

    The Type 093-417 is one of China’s six nuclear attack submarines, armed with torpedoes and cruise missiles. Measuring 351 feet in length, 30 feet in width, and capable of reaching a top speed of 30 knots, this submarine represents a significant asset in China’s naval expansion plans.

    As this investigation unfolds, the international community remains watchful of the implications of these allegations on the global geopolitical landscape. The controversy surrounding the incident serves as a stark reminder of the ongoing challenges in the South China Sea and the delicate balance of power in the region.

    Ethnic Armenians who fled Nagorno-Karabakh long for home, decry Azerbaijan

    Having fled the long-troubled mountainous enclave, many say they will not return as they bank on more support from Yerevan.




    By Jessie Williams
     6 Oct 2023

    Yerevan, Armenia – Alisa Ghazaryan was full of excitement and nerves as she started her first year at university in Stepanakert, having moved from her village home in Nagorno-Karabakh.

    But just as term began, Azerbaijani forces began shelling the city, which Baku knows as Khankendi, on September 19.

    KEEP READING
    What lies ahead for the Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh?




    As they carried out what they cast as an “anti-terrorist operation”, the 18-year-old took shelter in the university’s basement.

    “I was born there, I grew up there,” she said of her home. “When I was there, I felt completely free.”

    The Ghazaryan family pictured in front of their friend’s house just outside Yerevan, where they are now staying after fleeing their home in Nagorno-Karabakh. From left: Artyom, Aren, Ina, Inessa and Alisa [Jessie Williams/Al Jazeera]

    Until recently, Nagorno-Karabakh, a long-troubled mountainous enclave, was home to about 120,000 ethnic Armenians who dominated the region. Since Baku’s lightning offensive, more than 100,000, including Alisa, have fled to Armenia.

    Despite assurances by Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev to protect their civil rights, many say they feared persecution after years of mutual distrust and open hatred between Azerbaijan and Armenia.

    Several displaced people Al Jazeera spoke to in Armenia said they were expecting a massacre.

    According to ethnic Armenian officials, at least 200 people were killed in Baku’s assault, including 10 civilians, and more than 400 were wounded.

    Baku played down the claims of civilian casualties but acknowledged “collateral damage” was possible.

    Azerbaijan, which announced that 192 of its soldiers were killed in the operation, said its blitz was aimed at disarming ethnic Armenian separatists in the region, parts of which now resemble a ghost town.

    The assault came after a 10-month blockade, effectively imposed by Azerbaijan after it closed the Lachin corridor to Armenia, preventing the flow of food, fuel and medicine. Baku had accused Armenia of funnelling weapons to separatists through the winding, mountain road, a claim denied by both parties.

    The local unrecognised government surrendered after 24 hours of fighting. Aliyev said his “iron fist” restored Azerbaijan’s sovereignty. Late last month, Nagorno-Karabakh’s ethnic Armenian officials said the region will cease to exist as a self-styled breakaway republic on January 1 next year.
    ‘We are only here to not be on the streets’

    Alisa and her family fled through the Lachin corridor, which has since been reopened.

    They are staying at a friend’s house outside the Armenian capital, Yerevan. Fourteen people currently live in the cramped space, sharing two rooms.


    At night, they sleep side by side on the living room floor.

    “We are only here to not be on the streets,” said Alisa.

    It’s a far cry from their house in Karabakh, which they had just finished renovating.

    The journey to Armenia, which usually takes several hours, took days for some, as people poured out of the region.

    The European Parliament this week said the “current situation amounts to ethnic cleansing”.


    Those who left are scattered across Armenia, facing an uncertain future and mourning the loss of their homeland.

    Nagorno-Karabakh is internationally recognised as Azerbaijan’s territory, including by Armenia. The ex-Soviet rivals have fought two wars over the enclave, in the nineties and in 2020. The first conflict saw ethnic Armenians seize swaths of land, resulting in the displacement of Azerbaijanis, while Baku triumphed in the 2020 war. Since then, Russian peacekeepers have operated in the region, but Armenians blame them for allowing Azerbaijan’s latest attack, which was widely condemned in the West.

    Now, there are only a few hundred left in Karabakh, mainly elderly or disabled people.

    “The nature was so beautiful. There are mountains and forests. Our home was right on the edge of a forest, we used to walk there a lot,” said Alisa, as she looked at a photo on her phone of a verdant hillside.

    Ina, her mother, wanted to throw away the key to their house, but Alisa begged her not to.


    “Maybe one day we will go back, maybe when I am an old woman,” Alisa said hopefully.

    “Aliyev describes us and our heroes as terrorists, but in reality, he is the terrorist. I want the world to know that Artsakh is our motherland and not [Azerbaijan’s],” she added, using the self-styled name for the region.

    Many of those displaced had already fled, in previous wars.

    Angela Sazkisjan-Yan eats ice cream for the first time since the start of the Azerbaijan-imposed blockade with her niece Narine at a cafe in Abovyan, where she is staying with her sister’s family [Jessie Williams/Al Jazeera]

    Angela Sazkisjan-Yan, a glamorous 65-year-old, left Baku in 1995.

    “Nobody would stay [in Karabakh] because everybody clearly knows the handwriting of Azerbaijan,” she said.

    Some people destroyed their furniture or dishes before they left, but Angela cleaned her flat in Stepanakert, and even left the refrigerator on and filled with food, perhaps a symbolic gesture of her hope to one day return.

    “Everybody left their property but that’s a small part of it – the worst part is that we left our homeland, our roots. Even my grandparents are buried there,” she told Al Jazeera in Abovyan, northeast of Yerevan.


    She is staying with her sister’s family, whom she had not seen in two years.

    “I am very happy to rejoin with them because we are an inseparable part of each other, but I have a big soul ache for everything that’s happened,” she said.

    Many Armenians living in Nagorno-Karabakh say they were split up from relatives during the blockade.

    Lilit Shahverdyan, a 20-year-old freelance journalist, was in Yerevan with her sister during the tensions, while the rest of her family was at their home in Stepanakert.

    “We just hugged each other and started to cry,” she said, describing the moment when she finally saw her family, in the border town of Goris, after almost a year apart.


    She said the blockade made her family closer and stronger than ever.

    “All we have now is just our family and just one apartment in Yerevan. Everything else – not just the property, but all our memories, life goals, and the future was in our homeland – now it’s all gone.”

    As her mother locked their front door for the last time in Stepanakert, tears streamed down her face.

    “It was the most beautiful house. My father built it 10 years ago. I really enjoyed waking up there every day just going to the garden, hugging my cats or talking to my neighbours. In my childhood, everything was connected to that house.”

    Lilit had hoped to return to Stepanakert to work after she finishes her university course in Yerevan. Now, she wants to leave Armenia altogether.


    “I’m just afraid that some sh** will happen again. And I don’t want my kids to suffer as much as I did. Armenia is not a safe place as long as we have a neighbouring dictator and we have this government. I don’t want to have another traumatised generation,” she said
    .
    Lilit Shahverdyan, a 20-year-old freelance journalist, was in Yerevan with her sister during the blockade, while the rest of her family was stuck at their home in Stepanakert [Jessie Williams/Al Jazeera]

    Hopes of a peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan seem to be fading after a crucial meeting planned for this week, between Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, was cancelled by Azerbaijan at the last minute.

    “It’s not only unrealistic, it’s also a crime to believe that now is the time to collaborate on a peaceful relationship,” said Angela, who said she knows 10 people who were killed in the recent fighting.

    “They killed us, how can we live with them in peace?”

    Ara Papian, an Armenian lawyer and former diplomat, thinks further aggression by Azerbaijan is possible in the future, particularly in the Syunik region where Azerbaijan wants to build a corridor through Armenian territory to connect with its exclave, Nakhchivan.

    Even if a peace treaty is signed, Azerbaijan will “find an excuse and attack”, he predicted.

    Papian accused the West of refusing to condemn and sanction Azerbaijan because some nations do not want to get on the wrong side of NATO member Turkey – Azerbaijan’s closest ally.

    The European Union’s gas deal with Azerbaijan exposes the bloc’s hypocrisy, he added.

    “The EU and the West do not buy oil and gas from dictator [Russian President Vladimir] Putin to not fuel the war in Ukraine, but they buy the same from Azerbaijan knowing that the money will go not to prosperity of people in Azerbaijan, it will become new weapons, which means a new war – which has happened.”

    Housing is now the main priority for displaced people, said Margarit Piliposyan, deputy country director for the NGO Fund for Armenia Relief (FAR), which has been distributing food and humanitarian supplies in Vayk, a town south of Yerevan.

    The Armenian government recently announced financial support for displaced people with 100,000 dram per person ($239) and then 40,000 dram per month ($96) for six months for housing costs.

    However, several people told Al Jazeera they were yet to see any government assistance, such as Lira Arzangulyan, 33, and Alina Khachatryan, 31, two sisters, who fled after the latest escalation.

    They moved with their four children and mothers-in-law, to Mrgavan village, in Artashat, a province in the shadow of Mount Ararat, where more than 100 displaced families now live.

    They were previously displaced from their home in Martuni after the 2020 war.

    The house is small with peeling wallpaper and one gas stove. It is cold inside – even on a mild September day. The owner is letting them stay there for free, for now.

    Armenians who fled Turkish rule decades ago despair over Nagorno-Karabakh. 'This appears to be our fate'


    Nabih Bulos
    Thu, October 5, 2023 

    Lebanese Armenians clash with police outside the Azerbaijani Embassy near Beirut during a protest against the recapture of the Nagorno-Karabakh enclave from separatist Armenian authorities. (Hussein Malla / Associated Press)

    Hilda Doumanian stood in the main hall of the Anjar museum, scanning the glass cases holding items her ethnic Armenian forebears salvaged from their lands before they escaped to Lebanon more than eight decades ago.

    "This appears to be our fate: to be forcibly displaced every few decades," she said, walking up to one of the displays: A collection of rust-encrusted kitchenware and bundles of braided silk from a village loom. Ancient-looking rifles. Religious vessels. Bibles so old their pages appeared more suspended dust than paper.

    "The Armenian genocide was the first genocide of the 20th century," she said, slowly shaking her head in resignation, referring to the 1915 genocide by the Ottoman Empire.

    "Now in the 21st century we see the first genocide, and it's Armenians again."

    A gardener tends to the plants at the Armenian Genocide Memorial in the historic town of Anjar in Lebanon's eastern Bekaa Valley. The memorial commemorates the mass killings of Armenians as part of the genocide under the Ottoman Empire in 1915. (Joseph Eid / AFP via Getty Images)

    On Doumanian's mind was the exodus taking place over the last two weeks from what many Armenians see as their ancestral homelands — a further erasure of their history.

    More than 100,000 ethnic Armenians, fearing ethnic cleansing at the hands of their Azerbaijani adversaries, have abandoned their homes in Nagorno-Karabakh, the mountainous enclave inside Azerbaijan's internationally recognized borders where they had established their self-declared state.

    Read more: Amid fury over Nagorno-Karabakh, could Armenia's government fall next?

    In the more than 30 years of its existence, the Republic of Artsakh, not formally recognized by any nation, had established the trappings of a country — a government, a standing army, a flag. But it all crumbled before a withering Azerbaijani blitzkrieg last month, with the enclave's leaders forced to surrender and announce the republic's dissolution by the end of the year.

    Though Azerbaijan's government offered to integrate Nagorno-Karabakh's ethnic Armenian population as equal citizens, most, unwilling to countenance Azerbaijani rule, fled into Armenia in a refugee convoy that at its peak stretched more than 60 miles. Fewer than a thousand remain behind. Those who fled cite the Azeris' decades-old animus toward Armenians and the triumphalist rhetoric of Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev for their distrust, no matter what Azerbaijan says.

    For millions in Armenia and the diaspora, the loss of Nagorno-Karabakh, and the long-held dream of constructing a state on Armenian homeland, was a blow. The shock resonates in a personal way in Anjar, whose residents are almost all ethnic Armenians whose ancestors fled here from Musa Dagh, or Moses Mountain, a territory in what is now southern Turkey.

    An ethnic Armenian woman from Nagorno-Karabakh carries her suitcase to a tent camp after arriving in Goris, Armenia. (Vasily Krestyaninov / Associated Press)

    When the people of Musa Dagh heard of the coming genocidal campaign in 1915, they refused to obey Turkish authorities' command to leave their houses in the mountains. They resisted for a month and a half, losing 18 people before a French naval vessel rescued and took them to Egypt, where they stayed for four years, returning after the Ottoman Empire's loss in World War I.

    In 1939, when French authorities controlling the area under a postwar mandate handed it to Turkey, the inhabitants of Musa Dagh faced yet another agonizing choice: Accept Turkish control or leave. Fearing a repeat of the bloodshed in 1915, they were escorted out by French troops to settle in Lebanon's Bekaa Valley, on land bought from an Ottoman feudal lord.

    Read more: 'Staying, for us, is impossible.' Thousands of ethnic Armenians flee Nagorno-Karabakh

    "We refused to live under the Turks, because we knew they would do the same thing as before," Doumanian said.

    Watching a new wave of displacement hit Armenians brought back memories of long-held pain, said Isabel Kendirjian, a bedridden but alert 90-year-old who still remembers coming to Anjar when she was 6.

    "It's the same thing that happened to us. This is how we felt back then," she said.

    "They gave us eight days to leave Musa Dagh. We took everything we could and went on the buses to here," she said. "There was nothing. Very few trees. We lived in tents."


    A Lebanese Armenian steps on a defaced poster showing Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev. (Hussein Malla / Assoiated Press)

    The new Anjaris stayed in those tents for roughly two years while authorities built up the town, organizing it into six neighborhoods, each named after a village in Musa Dagh. The houses the French provided were single-room structures measuring 12 square feet along with a bathroom.

    "Four people, 20 people, it didn't matter. Everyone was in one room," Doumanian said."We still call them beit Faransi, a French house, to this day."

    Tensions between Muslim Turks and Christian Armenians date to the days of the Ottoman Empire, but the war for Nagorno-Karabakh was rooted in the fall of a more contemporary empire: the Soviet Union.

    In 1988, inside the roiling Soviet landscape, the enclave's ethnic Armenian majority chose to secede from one Soviet republic, Azerbaijan, and unite with another, Armenia. The move sparked an ethnic conflict with Azeris that saw massacres and pogroms on both sides, and an estimated million displaced people, mostly Azeris.

    Six years later, by which time the Soviet Union had collapsed, the ethnic Armenians won. They claimed Nagorno-Karabakh (which Armenians call Artsakh) and its surrounding districts in what other nations viewed as a violation of international law.

    Read more: Nagorno-Karabakh's separatist government says it will disband by year's end

    Donations poured in from the Armenian diaspora, including from the the late California businessman and philanthropist Kirk Kerkorian, whose largesse helped funnel hundreds of millions of dollars to fund schools and a major highway in the fledgling republic. Stop-start negotiations over the years never got anywhere.

    In the meantime, Azerbaijan had used its vast oil and gas riches to retool its army. Armenia's confidence in its ability to keep the status quo in Nagorno-Karabakh, not to mention its contempt for an enemy it had long dismissed as cowardly, meant that it was woefully unprepared when Azerbaijan launched an assault in 2020 and snatched back most of the land it lost.

    A cease-fire guaranteed by Russia, Armenia's main patron, was to be the prelude to a peace treaty. But tensions continued, culminating in Azerbaijan blockading the territory in December, then launching a lightning onslaught last month that routed the Artsakh Republic's army. Moscow, preoccupied with its war on Ukraine and displeased with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's recent overtures to the West, stood by as Azerbaijan pursued its campaign.

    Pashinyan, aware of his military's limitations and with little diplomatic backing, refused to intervene, infuriating many Armenians.

    Varian Khoshian, the mayor of Anjar, feels ashamed at the loss. His passion about the concept of Artsakh runs so deep that he named his son — now an officer in the Lebanese army — after it.

    He blamed the rout on Pashinyan and his policy of antagonizing Armenia's traditional ally, Russia, for the West's sake, pointing to another sign of fraying ties with Moscow that came Tuesday when Armenia's parliament ratified the International Criminal Court's founding Rome Statute.

    Because the court in March issued an arrest warrant for Russian President Vladimir Putin for the war in Ukraine, the ratification means Armenia would have to arrest Putin if he stepped on Armenian soil. The Kremlin called the decision "incorrect," a position with which Khoshian agreed.

    "We had a strong umbrella. We like the West, sure, but we got a smaller umbrella from America that doesn't cover us," he said.

    Read more: Armenian Americans say another genocide underway in Nagorno-Karabakh, rally for U.S. action

    During Lebanon's 15-year civil war, Khoshian learned to work with groups he didn't like, but it was for the good of Anjar; Pashinyan should have done the same, the mayor said.

    "I don't love the Russians. But I need them for my homeland," Khoshian said. "That's how you have to think. Otherwise you lose."

    Despite all that, he insisted the war for Nagorno-Karabakh was not over.

    "I can't give up. We will come back. We have to," he said. "Those lands are the property of our ancestors."

    And it was more than just a matter of emotions.

    "We know the value of Artsakh, its strategic location for Armenia," Khoshian said.

    Armenian Lebanese protesters clash with security forces near Beirut. 
    ( Houssam Shbaro / Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

    Azerbaijan, he continued, was intent on taking parts of southern Armenia for a land corridor linking its territory to Nakhchivan, Azerbaijan's exclave on Armenia's southwestern side.

    "It's the first domino. Once Artsakh falls, you'll find other Armenian cities in the south falling."

    Armenians have been demanding a stronger military response, with protests among diaspora groups in Southern California and frequent demonstrations in Yerevan, Armenia's capital, against Pashinyan and what many see as his capitulation.

    In Armenian-dominated neighborhoods in Beirut, graffiti targets Azerbaijan's president, Aliyev, and his top ally, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The stenciled graffiti calls Aliyev a killer and declares that Karabakh will always be Armenian. Lebanon's main Armenian party held a demonstration in front of the Azerbaijani Embassy that turned violent. In Anjar, high schoolers had their own anti-Turkish protest, carrying placards with Erdogan's face and chanting their support for Artsakh.

    Read more: They lay competing claims to Nagorno-Karabakh. The war over it defines them both

    Yessayi Havatian, an agricultural supplies merchant and Anjar historian, wondered whether the future fate of Karabakh Armenians would be to go to war again, or whether they would become like the Armenians of Musa Dagh, cut off from their ancestral lands.

    "Our people thought of going back. For 14 years they refused to plant orchards on the land here. Why? Because they said, 'We're not going to stay that long.' They believed they would go home," Havatian said.

    Whatever Karabakh Armenians choose, he added, it was clear that Armenians couldn't pursue the war as they had in the past.

    "We the Armenians made a mistake: We relied on someone other than us to defend us. The world watched our people forcibly displaced and did nothing. And no one will do anything," he said.

    "No one will defend Armenia other than the Armenians. That's the solution."

    This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.



    “We don’t have any other place to go so we’re going to stay here. The houses for rent are too expensive, we can’t afford it. We are still uncertain and in shock,” said Alina.

    The children play in the other room as their mothers cry softly. Lira’s mascara runs across her cheek as she says how much she misses visiting her mother’s grave in Karabakh.

    They both lament the Russian peacekeepers, who Lira described as being “indifferent and doing nothing” to protect or help them.

    The first United Nations monitoring mission visited Karabakh on Sunday.

    “Why didn’t they come when we had nothing to eat? It is empty now, there is no one living there. If they came before this escalation started and they gave us hope and a guarantee that there is someone to support us, then we would have stayed there,” said Lira.

    Their children run in and hug them close.

    “I hope this next generation will change and maybe when our kids grow up they will be able to go back there, maybe as a tourist, to see where they’re from,” Alina added.

    Sisters Lira Arzangulyan and Alina Khachatryan with their children outside the house they are staying in after fleeing their home in Stepanakert, Nagorno-Karabakh [Jessie Williams/Al Jazeera]
    SOURCE: AL JAZEERA