Monday, May 18, 2020

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The union representing 400 Dominion Diamond Mines employees is attempting to guarantee that the company honours its multi-million dollar pension shortfall as it goes through a court-ordered creditor protection process.
If the shortfall isn’t prioritized, the Union of Northern Workers said it’s concerned that active members and pensioners would all face reduced pensions. “How much that would affect those pensioners and the current participants is not known, and would have to go through the court process to wind up and assign those assets,” says union president Todd Parsons.
He said the union is attending all of Dominion Diamond’s court hearings to advocate for its members. “The union will take the position [that] the pension earnings should be a priority before creditors are considered, in the event that this company is unable to succeed.”
According to its most recent valuation, Dominion Diamond’s defined benefit pension plan had $90.3 million in assets and a $99.5-million windup liability as of Jan. 1, 2019, leaving the company with a roughly $9-million shortfall.
However, according to a sworn affidavit by Kristal Kaye, Dominion Diamond’s chief financial officer, the deficit had risen to $20.3 million as of Dec. 31, 2019, with its obligations sitting at $111.6 million and its assets at $91.2 million. Kaye noted those figures “may have changed materially given recent market volatility and interest rate changes.”
The Union received documentation on the $9-million shortfall in April, says Parsons, but only learned about the larger deficit figure through Kaye’s submission to the court. “The union is trying to better understand that number and we’ve requested additional documentation from [Dominion Diamond].”
The company, which operates two diamond mines in the Northwest Territories, sought creditor protection in April when it couldn’t pay a US$20-million interest payment and another $16-million payment to its joint venture partner on one of its operations. Missing those payments could have led to a cascade of defaults, said Kaye in the affidavit, and could ultimately bankrupt the company.
In an emailed statement to Benefits Canada, Pat Merrin, chief executive officer of Dominion Diamond, said the company’s commitments to employees and local communities remain a priority. “We are working diligently to secure sufficient financing to continue operations and allow Dominion to emerge from the [Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act] process an even stronger company.”
Copyright © 2020 Transcontinental Media G.P. Originally published on benefitscanada.com
The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board is acquiring a 49 per cent of the entity that holds Enbridge Inc.’s stake in Éolien Maritime France SAS, Enbridge’s partnership with EDF Renewables.
The investment is set to support the development of three offshore wind farms in France. The CPPIB is paying €80 million for its stake, with a further €120 million committed to follow-on investment as the first project moves through construction. It may also make an additional €150 million investment in two other wind farm projects. Together, the planned wind farms will have a total-installed capacity of close to 1.5 gigawatts and are expected to become operation in phases between 2022 and 2024.
France has established renewables as a cornerstone of its long-term energy plan and this partnership with Enbridge represents significant opportunities to invest in and develop flagship offshore wind projects across France, alongside France’s premier energy company EDF Renewables,” said Bruce Hogg, managing director and head of power and renewables at the CPPIB, in a press release. “This investment will provide additional diversification to our existing portfolio of assets and deepen our access to future high-quality offshore wind development projects in Europe and Asia.”
The investment builds on previous deals the CPPIB has made with Enbridge. In May 2018, the fund finalized an agreement to acquire a 49 per cent stake in the company’s North American onshore renewable power assets, as well as a 49 per cent interest in two of the company’s German offshore wind projects.
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Canadian pension rules and regulations are in need of reform in order to properly address the reality of the 21st century workplace pension landscape, according to a new report by the C.D. Howe Institute.
The report, authored by Bob Baldwin, a pension industry veteran and chair of the C.D. Howe’s pension policy council, argued that the age-old debate between the merits of defined benefit and defined contribution pension plans obscures the myriad plan design changes that have taken place on both sides over the years and the risks that plan members face in all cases.
“The diversity in the design of the plans, combined with current financial and economic circumstances, has varied results for all types of pension and retirement savings plans, making it difficult to generalize the merits of each plan,” said Baldwin in a press release.
The most important priority, according to the report, is to assess plan members’ retirement income needs and the risks they face and “make sure they are addressed in a way that is fair among plan members and is reasonable in terms of the level and volatility of required contributions.”
The exclusive focus on pension plans’ gross replacement rate is too limited because contributing to a pension plan affects members’ living standards before and after retirement. “In the pre-retirement period, we have to be concerned with the extent to which the pension plan is depressing the ability of plan members to buy goods and services,” wrote Baldwin. “Ideally, the pre-retirement sacrifice will combine with post-retirement benefits so that living standards will be the same in both periods.”
Instead, he noted, it would be more appropriate to focus on a net replacement rate, which takes into consideration expenses plan members have during their working lives that they aren’t likely to face during retirement — such as mortgage payments, financial support for their children, a higher tax burden and pension contributions — and the support they’ll receive from government pension programs including the Canada Pension Plan or Quebec Pension Plan and old-age security.
“The [net replacement rate] comes much closer to defining the actual standard of living enjoyed in the pre- and post-retirement periods than does a [gross replacement rate]. An appropriate target [net replacement rate] would be close to 100 per cent,” he wrote.
The report also suggested that plan sponsors add employer contributions into the calculation of what plan members sacrifice during their earning years in order to see a better pension in retirement. “In most situations, it is fair to surmise that an employer is most worried about total labour costs not the component parts of the cost. To the extent this is true, a rational employer will discount other elements in the compensation package of employees to take account of the contributions to the pension plan that are predictable. Thus, the economic burden of employer contributions will be shifted from employers to employees — rather like sales taxes being shifted from vendors to consumers.”
While DC plan sponsors generally have predictable employer contribution rates, DB plan sponsors don’t have that same certainty and may suddenly be hit with special contribution requirements after an actuarial valuation report, noted Baldwin.
As well, muted investment returns, lower interest rates, rapid growth in wages and salaries and increasing life expectancies have all placed an upward pressure on DB contribution rates and played a role in the shift from DB to DC plans in the private sector. These factors have also pushed a move in the public sector to place more financial risk on the benefit side of the plan and to introduce target-benefit plans.
Baldwin urged plan sponsors to adopt measures that would help reconcile the uncertainty between pension contributions and benefits. He also suggested they make their plans more transparent, including establishing a clear appreciation of existing and future members’ financial needs through their retirement, balancing their retirement income requirements with the impact on their pre-retirement living standards to achieve continuity between them.
Plan sponsors should also be clear about cross-subsidization within the plan and be clearer with members about what will happen to contributions and benefits if liabilities increase substantially and/or investments don’t provide sufficient returns.
“Pension plan design is more like a spectrum of choice rather than a binary choice between clearly defined DB and DC plans,” wrote Baldwin. “The position of plans on the spectrum will be established by the way that financial risk is allocated between contribution and benefit variability and between and within cohorts of plan members and employers — to the extent that the latter bear financial risk. Plan governors have to decide where they will fit on the spectrum.” 
Regulatory and tax policy should also be adapted to allow for that spectrum of choice and the incorporation of both DB and DC elements, he added.
He called on regulators to incorporate measures already identified as good practice for plan sponsors, such as requiring them to identify an outer limit of acceptable contribution rates, set out a process for what happens when that limit is reached and assess and disclose the likelihood of hitting that limit.
On the target-benefit side, while such plans have previously been restricted to multi-employer pension plans, Baldwin suggested that the provinces that are adopting or looking at the option for single-employer plans only allow for a reduction in accrued benefits if joint governance is in place.
He also recommended that regulatory law be revised so jointly governed plans face a more “principles-based” regulation. Plans that have employer-dominated governance structures should continue to be rules-based. Plans choosing to incorporate flexibility around benefits and financing rules should be encouraged to turn to a joint-governance model to ensure safety for plan members.
“The regulatory law that governs [workplace pension plans] was crafted at a point in time when most members of [workplace pension plans] in both the public and private sector belonged to DB plans,” wrote Baldwin. “The objective of the law was to protect DB plan members from errors and/or abuse by employers. . . . [Regulatory law] needs to be complemented by more flexibility to adapt to changing circumstances.”

THE C.D. HOWE INSTITUTE IS NAMED AFTER THE FAMOUS WWII LIBERAL GOVT MINISTER OF EVERYTHING. AND IRONICALLY MR. HOWE WAS NEVER A FREE MARKETEER, HE WAS A STATE CENTRAL PLANNING NATIONALISING CANADIAN INDUSTRY....UNLIKE THE CONS WHO RUN THIS INSTITUTE 
Copyright © 2020 Transcontinental Media G.P. Originally published on benefitscanada.com
In 2009, when Vincent Morin walked through the doors of Air Canada as the vice-president of asset allocation and strategy for its investment division, he faced a tough situation.
The company’s eight defined benefit pension plans, which buy units of a single master trust fund, were facing a $2.6 billion deficit. In the following years, the deficit grew, reaching $4.2 billion in 2012.
Tackling the investments
As of year-end 2019, all of the airline’s Canadian pension plans are at least 100 per cent funded on a solvency basis.
“When I joined, the mandate was to create a whole new strategy [that was] much more focused on liability-driven investing and reducing the risk coming from the pension plan, because it became a very big enterprise risk management issue at Air Canada,” says Morin.
Back in 2009, the pension plans’ fund was in a traditional portfolio of 60 per cent equities and 40 per cent bonds, all managed externally. Morin and his team led the investment turnaround through many small steps, which included adding fixed income exposure and building an alternative portfolio comprised of real estate, infrastructure, private equity, private debt and other sub-asset classes. The team also implemented a portable alpha — or hedge fund — program to try to generate additional returns on top of the traditional asset classes.
Getting to know
Vincent Morin
Job title: President of Trans-Canada Capital Inc.
Joined Air Canada: In September 2009 and launched TCC in 2019
Previous roles: Investment consultant at Mercer Canada
What keeps him up at night: The current coronavirus crisis and its unknown short- and long-term impacts on the global economy and asset prices
Outside of the office he can be found: At his cottage, skiing or travelling
In terms of asset mix, the investment fund currently sits at 87.5 per cent fixed income, 10 per cent equities, 20 per cent alternatives and 10 per cent hedge funds, totalling more than 100 per cent because it uses leverage.
“Over time, gradually, I think we did over 30 different steps in de-risking the plan and changing the asset allocation,” he says. “You just cannot move that big a plan. It was a very big boat to turn around.”
Opportunities in fixed income
With fixed income yields at historic lows and 87.5 per cent of the investment fund’s portfolio invested in the asset class, it pursues a liability-driven investment strategy and is a very active manager. In addition, it keeps a pure separation between alpha and beta, notes Morin. “Beta is the benchmark. It’s built to make sure that there’s good and sound risk management done to match our liabilities’ structure.”
The portfolio is largely comprised of long-term, investment-grade Canadian bonds and doesn’t take big bets on duration, but the fund does arbitrage trades and curve trades globally without taking any foreign currency or high-yield bond risk. For example, if the team believes there’s an interesting point on the curve in France, it will play it, he says. “It will be a long-short position, so there’s no actual exposure to France’s interest rates, but we’ll try to arbitrage that market and be able to capture some return on this.”
The team has had significant success in fixed income. The asset class’ active value-add has been above one per cent on average over a 10-year period, highlights Morin. Plus, since fixed income makes up 87.5 per cent of the fund, the value added in dollar terms is equal to the value-add targeted by the fund from its alternative book. A value-add above one per cent is also significant when expected yields are at two per cent, he adds.
Trans-Canada Capital
By turning Air Canada’s large pension deficit into a surplus, the investment team solved a problem for the company. It also shifted the team responsible for the airline’s pension investments to a new subsidiary called Trans-Canada Capital Inc.
While TCC will continue to manage the investments for Air Canada’s pensioners, it will also make certain funds available to other institutional investors. “We built a great track record over the years, a very different approach than we could see in the market,” says Morin, who is president of TCC.
The team believed it had something to offer to other investors, he adds, noting that, as the fund reduced risk, opening up its investments to others would allow the investment team to continue growing, retain its talent and also diversify Air Canada’s activities.
TCC is offering two fixed income strategies and two hedge fund strategies for institutional investors to buy into, and it plans to expand its offerings.
TCC’s internal hedge fund, launched in February 2019, is its flagship fund. It originally started with the Air Canada investment team using sophisticated transactions to implement its tactical asset allocation. The team was executing these trades using options, volatility contracts and over-the-counter derivatives, says Morin. “At some point, we realized early in the process that what we are managing . . . looks much more like a hedge fund than an actual tactical asset allocation book; better implementation, better diversification, a lot of breadth as well, looking
at different markets.”
Opening up the hedge fund
While the TCC team manages assets for Air Canada’s defined benefit plans, they’re members of its defined contribution arrangement.
The investment team has been using an internal hedge fund strategy for the DB plan since 2013, but it launched a formal fund in 2017 so employees could participate with their own assets.
While it wasn’t mandatory for employees to invest, everybody did, since they could access investments — such as complex derivatives transactions with low trading costs — they couldn’t reach as individual investors.
Next, the team focused on portfolio construction for this strategy. Today, it includes quantitative strategies, systematic strategies, fundamental analysis and alternative value transactions. In 2013, the internal hedge fund began operating as a segregated account; in 2017, it became a separate investment vehicle.
In September 2019, TCC launched a fund of hedge funds. “We have a 10 per cent allocation to external hedge funds and we repackaged it to be able to offer that approach to potential external clients.”
The fund is market agnostic and aims to have no correlation with equity markets, says Morin. “The last thing we want to do is to bring a portable alpha program, which will react exactly in the same direction if there’s a market correction. If it reacts in the same direction as the equity market when there’s a crash, it doesn’t do its job.”
Currently, TCC has $2 billion invested through external hedge funds and $1 billion invested in its internal strategy, notes Morin. “We know what we’re good at. We also know what we are not good at. So what we cannot realistically do internally we’ll give a mandate to an external manager to do.”
Final destination
The Air Canada pension plans are maturing quickly, with about 60 per cent of liabilities tied to retirees and the DB plans mainly closed to new entrants.
At some point, it will make sense to lock in the benefits for pensioners instead of continuing to take risk, says Morin, noting this influenced the airline’s decision to start its own life insurance company to purchase annuities.
Many pension funds are buying annuities to lock in the pension promise. In fact, according to a report by Willis Towers Watson, Canada’s group annuity market hit $5.2 billion in sales in 2019, up from $4.6 billion in 2018 and $3.7 billion in 2017.
While annuitizing is a natural move for many DB pensions, the Air Canada plans are valued at about $21 billion, making their total size much larger than many plans. Indeed, the airline’s plans were paying out more than $750 million in annual pension payments two years ago; and when looking at the 2018 annuity market, the biggest insurance company active in the space was paying a similar amount in total pension payments, notes Morin.
As well, despite the active growth in Canada’s annuity market, he believes the Air Canada plans will be difficult to annuitize because of their total size. “The transactions are bigger, but the liabilities have grown over the past few years, and there’s some scarcity as well in the fixed income world to find interesting securities . . . to back those liabilities.”
In addition to market capacity, pricing is also a consideration, notes Morin. “You can purchase a big amount of annuities, but we believe the structure we are proposing will result in a better price for the plans.”Air Canada has applied to the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions for approval to launch its life insurance company. If approved, the company will operate as a subsidiary of Air Canada with capital seeded by the airline. And TCC will manage assets for the life insurance company, in addition to the assets for the pension plans.
While the mandate would be different for the pension plan assets and the life insurance company assets, fixed income will be core to both, says Morin.
Yaelle Gang is editor of the Canadian Investment Review.
Copyright © 2020 Transcontinental Media G.P. This article first appeared in Benefits Canada.
    The federal New Democrats say all Canadians require access to two weeks of sick leave benefits as provinces start moving to reopen their economies while fighting the coronavirus and the federal government should pay for it.
    NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh said Wednesday that workers without sick leave who are put back on the job during the pandemic will be left to decide between protecting others from infection and paying their bills. “We need paid sick leave, there is no question about it. It should no longer be an option.” 
    Dr. Theresa Tam, Canada’s chief public health officer, has been reminding people almost daily to stay home when they’re sick, even with mild symptoms, or else risk further transmission of the coronavirus.
    The government should be paying people to do just that, said Singh, suggesting the cost could be covered by the Canada Emergency Response Benefit or the employment insurance system.
    The NDP pitched the idea to the Liberals but they declined to include it in a bill presented to the House of Commons on Wednesday in the weekly opportunity to pass legislation. Singh tried to put the idea forward as a motion himself, calling on the Liberal government to work on paid sick leave with the provinces, but didn’t receive the unanimous vote required to present it on short notice.
    Employment Minister Carla Qualtrough said the federal government is in talks with the provinces about how they can deal with the issue. “We are very aware that a key component to our return to work safely, and positioning businesses and workers to feel confident they can go back to work, will be making it easier to stay home if you’re feeling sick,” she said at a briefing on Wednesday. “We’re going to look to see how we can continue to support Canadians moving forward and in what way we can best do that.”
    In the meantime, people who’ve received no income for 14 days while sick with the coronavirus or while under quarantine qualify for CERB payments of up to $500 a week.
    According to a briefing note by the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, only 38 per cent of illness or disability leave was paid by employers in Canada in 2019. Low-income workers, who’ve often been on the front lines of the pandemic, are more likely to be paid only if they work, creating an obvious incentive to go to work sick.
    Just one in five workers making $15 an hour or less is able to take paid leave for more than week, according to the briefing note. Singh said that should change and the fix shouldn’t be temporary. “We want to see this as a permanent change, knowing that what we’re faced with as a crisis has changed the reality for our country, for the world,” he said.


    Half of Canadian employees said their mental health has been negatively impacted by the coronavirus pandemic, according to a new survey by Teladoc Health Inc.
    The survey, which polled more than 1,500 Canadian workers, found women (57 per cent) were more likely to report a harmful impact on their mental health than men (43 per cent). More than half (52 per cent) of respondents between the ages of 18 to 34 felt their mental health had taken a hit. In comparison, respondents over the age of 65 — notably those most at risk of the virus — experienced the lowest mental-health impact, with just 37 per cent saying their mental health had worsened.
    David Sides, chief operating officer at Teledoc, says the high number of people experiencing negative effects doesn’t come as a surprise. “The burden that’s been placed on everyone, [with] working at home, childcare, you might be homeschooling — I can see why that’s the case.”
    The survey also found an increasing number of Canadians are open to remote mental health-care solutions. Two-thirds (62 per cent) of respondents said they’re open to using virtual mental-health care, compared to 40 per cent who said the same in an October 2019 survey. As well, 85 per cent of Canadians who have access to an employee benefits plan said those plans should offer virtual mental-health care as an option.
    “I was pleased to see that people are more open to remote forms of mental-health care — maybe partly by necessity, but that’s a big increase,” says Sides, adding he expects this interest to continue after the pandemic.
    Employers are also taking a variety of actions to support their employees’ mental health, with 39 per cent of respondents saying their employer has offered additional mental-health support, raised the discussion of employees’ mental-health needs and/or waived fees for mental-health support.
    Indeed, Teladoc is one of these employers. In the wake of the pandemic, the company made its own service available to employees’ families. Within the first two weeks, several hundred new users accessed the platform, says Sides.
    “The health of your immediate family or extended family also affects your mental health. If your spouse or your parents are having difficulty, it could impact you, especially as many families are compressing right now. Everyone’s in the same space at the same time now. We thought that was an important benefit to make available.”
    Ken Eady understands the challenges a defined benefit pension plan can present for plan sponsors, particularly when they find themselves in financial difficulty.
    “Healthy companies aren’t always too crazy about the liability, so it can become a heavy weight to carry when there is trouble maintaining financial status. That’s why they seem to generally be in decline. Nobody is starting new DB plans,” says Eady, who sits on the board of the Store and Catalogue Retiree Group, an independent organization representing the interests of Sears Canada Inc. pensioners.
    “But on the other side of the ledger, there are the promises these companies made,” he adds. “A pension is not some gift you got for being a nice guy or a good employee. From the beginning of your employment, it was part of the deal that when you retire, the pension would be there for the rest of your life.”
    Eady knows the ins and outs of the pension promise better than most people. By the time he retired in 2003, he had made his way up to becoming a senior executive in Sears’ human resources department, working out of its downtown Toronto headquarters. For much of his 30 years of service, the features of the company pension and benefits plans formed a key part of his pitch to new and prospective hires.
    “It was to attract people, and for most companies at that time, not just Sears, it was a cost of doing business,” says Eady. “But never in all the time that I spoke about that promise did it occur to me that it might not be kept. Maybe I’m naive, but if that’s the case, then I’m not the only one.”
    With the company having entered bankruptcy protection in June 2017, Eady and 17,000 fellow defined benefit plan members are now staring at a potential 19 per cent cut to their future pension payments as a result of a $267-million deficit.
    “If laws can’t protect against that, then they need to be strengthened,” says Eady.
    The Sears saga
    Eady joined the company in happier times. By the early 1970s, Sears was thriving, with two decades of history already behind it in Canada. Its U.S. parent company had teamed up with a local retailer, Simpsons, to bring its department store and mail-order catalogue business north of the border in 1953.
    Eady says he had few concerns when he retired. Despite a reported drop in same-store sales starting in 2005, the pension plan appeared insulated from the trouble. As recently as 2008, Sears Canada’s annual report disclosed a $219-million surplus in the main defined benefit plan. That was the year the company closed the plan to new members.
    That surplus would be the last, with the global financial crisis gobbling it up and spitting out a $48.5-million deficit the following year. The figure piqued the interest of the retiree group, which stepped up its advocacy as the writing began to appear on the wall for Sears Canada in the subsequent years.
    With the group having predicted the company’s demise in 2013, it began urging both Sears Canada and the Financial Services Commission of Ontario to wind up the pension plan before things got worse. In the meantime, it started writing to politicians of all stripes about the retirees’ concerns.
    Despite those concerns, the company took advantage of Ontario’s solvency relief measures in 2016 to reduce the amount — to $13.9 million that year from $20.2 million, with further reductions in 2017 and 2018 — of the special payments it was making to cover the pension shortfall. At the same time, a new management team attempted an ultimately unsuccessful reinvention strategy before Sears Canada finally sought protection under the Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act and announced a plan to shut 60 stores and lay off nearly 3,000 workers in June 2017.
    In line with an order of the Ontario Superior Court of Justice, the company suspended its special payments at the end of September 2017, while the restructuring process played out, and ceased providing post-retirement benefits, which included life insurance, medical and dental coverage. In the meantime, Morneau Shepell Ltd. took over administration of the pension plan.
    A look at the guarantee funds
    In March 2018, Sears Canada retirees got a measure of good news in the provincial budget, when Ontario’s governing Liberals announced that the pension benefits guarantee fund, a government run insurance program for plans with insolvent sponsors, would boost its monthly coverage limit by 50 per cent to $1,500 from $1,000. It also backdated the change to ensure Sears pensioners would be eligible for the extra money.
    Assuming the predicted Sears figures turn out to be accurate, the fund would cover the 19 per cent shortfall for the first $1,500 of every pensioner’s monthly cheque. For those receiving larger payments, anything over $1,500 would still be subject to the 19 per cent reduction.
    “It’s a worthwhile investment, but the weakness of it is that it only applies in Ontario, whereas the Sears collapse has had an impact on people from coast to coast. There were stores in Victoria, B.C., St. John’s, Newfoundland, and everywhere in between,” says Eady, noting no other province has a similar scheme.
    Wanda Morris, vice-president of advocacy at CARP, a national retiree organization, says Ontario’s pension guarantee fund is a worthy idea.
    “The problem is the order of magnitude,” she says, pointing to the U.S. equivalent, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., whose maximum guarantee is US$5,420 per month for someone aged 65. The limit is on a sliding scale, depending on retirees’ ages when they begin receiving benefits, such that younger people receive a smaller guarantee.
    Britain’s Pension Protection Fund, set up in 2004, says it generally covers 100 per cent of the pension for those who had already retired when the plan sponsor went bust. For those who retired early or are yet to stop working, the fund guarantees 90 per cent of their promised value, up to a cap of 3,250 pounds per month (about $5,700).
    At a minimum, Morris says the British and U.S. examples should inspire every Canadian jurisdiction to cover at least the year’s maximum pensionable earnings, which for 2018 is $55,900 or $4,658 per month.
    But Norma Nielson, a recently retired professor of insurance and risk management at the University of Calgary’s Haskayne school of business, warns against any clamour for guarantee funds.
    By creating its pension guarantee fund in 1980, the Ontario government undertook a natural experiment in the area, she says. In a 2007 study, Neilson found that the existence of the fund was either the cause of, or showed high correlation with, lower solvency funding levels in that province in comparison to other Canadian jurisdictions.
    “Sponsors were basically able to get away with investing less in the plan, which is what we describe as a moral hazard,” says Nielson.
    She notes such funds often start with a flat-fee levy on defined benefit plans based on the size of their membership but says most, including Ontario’s guarantee fund, have switched to a risk-based assessment in the interest of fairness.
    Malcolm Hamilton, a senior fellow at the C.D. Howe Institute, sees guarantee funds as a form of political cover for governments that want to minimize the appearance of a taxpayer bailout for failing private plans.
    “They can pretend it’s all self sufficient and that public support isn’t inevitable,” says Hamilton.
    But Hamilton says the charade is harder to keep up as the number of defined benefit plans dwindles while the premium levied on those remaining surges.
    “The bottom line is that there is no viable way for healthy pension funds to support unhealthy ones, so eventually some public subsidy is going to be required. If you look at the U.K. and the U.S. ones, they’re all basically insolvent,” says Hamilton, who spent most of his 40-year career as an actuary at Mercer.
    In 2017, Britain’s Pension Protection Fund reported a 120 per cent funding ratio, or a surplus of six billion pounds ($10.5 billion), for plans currently under its control for which it’s already paying benefits. While that looks promising, its PPF 7800 index, which tracks the funding position of all of the roughly 5,600 plans that are potentially eligible for future entry, recorded a total deficit of 115.6 billion pounds ($200 billion) as of March 2018. The fund, then, could face a significant challenge if it started to see a significant number of new claims.
    In the United States, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. reported a US$65.1-billion deficit in its multi-employer plan and a US$10.9-billion shortfall in its single-employer insurance program at the end of the 2017 fiscal year.
    Hamilton says Ontario’s less generous version could allow the province to muddle through what he sees as the dying days of private sector defined benefit plans.
    “With any luck, there won’t be too much money taxpayers have to throw at it,” he says. “There aren’t that many DB plans left, and they could get lucky if higher interest rates take the pressure off. In any case, it’ll be minor compared to government subsidization of public sector plans.”
    Disclosable events and other interventions
    In another apparent nod to Sears pensioners, Ontario’s budget also promised to develop a so-called disclosable events regime that would force plan sponsors to alert regulators to certain corporate developments. The note about the issue in the budget referred to events “such as significant asset stripping or the issuance of extraordinary dividends.”
    Sears Canada retirees have hired a litigation investigator to explore the possibility of claims linked to almost $3 billion in dividends paid by the company to shareholders as it sold off many of its key Canadian assets between 2005 and 2013, which continued even as the pension plan slipped into the red. Sears Canada has insisted that all of its transactions were within the law.
    Eady hopes the regime that emerges will mirror the one in the United States, which allowed the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. to negotiate a veto over the sale of certain properties held by Sears’ U.S. parent company in 2016. When the U.S. federal agency finally gave the green light to the sale of the assets, it did so in return for a US$400-million cash injection into the company’s underfunded U.S. pension plan.
    “Earlier intervention is necessary and desirable,” says Eady.
    Jeff Sommers, a partner in the pension and benefits practice group at Blake Cassels & Graydon LLP, says the government plan is light on details at this stage but notes his clients, which include both public and private plan sponsors and administrators, will be watching developments closely.
    “I can see the logic, but imposing those kinds of obligations is not going to be well-received by many sponsors,” he says.
    At the federal level, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has remained noncommittal about legislative responses to the Sears Canada situation, but two members of Parliament are trying to force his hand with private member’s bills aimed at boosting the priority of pension plan members in bankruptcy proceedings.
    The law as it stands classifies the unfunded portion of a pension plan as an unsecured debt, putting pension plan members behind secured creditors such as banks and bond holders. Bloc Québécois MP Marilène Gill wants to create a super priority for pensioners that places them at the front of the queue, while New Democratic Party MP Scott Duvall’s less radical proposal suggests putting them on par with secured creditors.
    Ian Lee, an associate professor in the Sprott school of business at Carleton University, says either version risks reducing the availability of capital to companies with defined benefit pension plans and, therefore, hastening their decline in the private sector.
    “As a former banker, I can tell you that banks are not in the business to give away money. If they thought their collateralized loans were not, in fact, going to be as secure because of a change in the Bankruptcy and Insolvency Act, then clearly, they will become more conservative in their lending,” he says.
    “The knock-on consequences would be horrific.”
    CARP doesn’t believe the repercussions of a priority change would be quite so dramatic. In Morris’ view, the current law doesn’t do enough to account for the needs of shortchanged pensioners.
    “These people are vulnerable, and they’re not at an age where they can simply go back to work or cut back on their spending. They’ve planned around what they were promised,” she says.
    “Banks and other investors are in a position to absorb more risk.”
    In the meantime, Sears Canada retirees are placing their hopes in complicated arguments about whether the pension liability amounts to a deemed trust, which may elevate their priority in the CCAA proceedings.
    PUTTING A RING ON IT
    Faced with a large pension deficit, U.S.-based Sears Holdings Corp. entered into an agreement with the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. in March 2016 to take a number of actions to shore up its plan. The agreement provided for a ring-fencing arrangement that meant the company couldn’t sell or encumber 140 Sears properties without the U.S. federal agency’s approval. In November 2017, the federal agency released the 140 properties from the ring-fencing arrangement. In exchange, Sears agreed to pay US$407 million into the pension fund from proceeds derived from selling or encumbering the properties. The 2017 agreement provided Sears with relief from contributions to the pension plans for two years, other than a US$20-million supplemental payment due in the second quarter of 2018.
    Questioning the DB guarantee
    Michael Armstrong, an associate professor at Brock University’s Goodman school of business, says the Sears Canada situation and the others that will inevitably follow should prompt a shift in the way employers sell defined benefit pension plans to employees. Workers also need to educate themselves about the realities of the pension promise, he suggests.
    “Instead of fighting so hard as unions and employees for DB plans, we should realize they’re not really guaranteed,” he says.
    That goes for public plans as well as private ones, he says, pointing to the City of Detroit’s decision to cut pensions as part of its bankruptcy proceeding. In fact, he has performed a risk assessment of his own pension at Brock. “It’s likely universities are going to be around for a long time. But on the other hand, if they ever did run into trouble, they can’t hike their prices or dig into profits. It’s not as insecure as if I worked for an auto manufacturer, but it’s also not as solid as if I worked for the federal government,” says Armstrong.
    “DB plans are not risk-free, and that needs to be taken into account,” he adds.
    Michael McKiernan is a freelance writer based in St. Catharines, Ont.
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