Friday, November 20, 2020

System can sterilize medical tools using solar heat

Device could provide pressurized steam to run autoclaves without the need for electricity in off-grid areas.

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY

Research News

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IMAGE: AUTOCLAVES, WHICH ARE USED TO STERILIZE MEDICAL TOOLS, REQUIRE A STEADY SUPPLY OF HOT, PRESSURIZED STEAM. RESEARCHERS AT MIT AND THE INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY HAVE COME UP WITH A... view more 

CREDIT: COURTESY OF THE RESEARCHERS. EDITED BY MIT NEWS.

Autoclaves, the devices used to sterilize medical tools in hospitals, clinics, and doctors' and dentists' offices, require a steady supply of pressurized steam at a temperature of about 125 degrees Celsius. This is usually provided by electrical or fuel-powered boilers, but in many rural areas, especially in the developing world, power can be unreliable or unavailable, and fuel is expensive.

Now, a team of researchers at MIT and the Indian Institute of Technology has come up with a way to generate the needed steam passively, using just the power of sunlight, with no need for fuel or electricity. The device, which would require a solar collector of about 2 square meters (or yards) to power a typical small-clinic autoclave, could maintain safe, sterile equipment at low cost in remote locations. A prototype was successfully tested in Mumbai, India.

The system is described in the journal Joule, in a paper by MIT graduate student Lin Zhao, MIT Professor Evelyn Wang, MIT Professor Gang Chen, and 10 others at MIT and IIT Bombay.

The key to the new system is the use of optically transparent aerogel, a material developed over the last few years by Wang and her collaborators. The material is essentially a lightweight foam made of silica, the material of beach sand, and consists mostly of air. Light as it is, the material provides effective thermal insulation, reducing the rate of heat loss by tenfold.

This transparent insulating material is bonded onto the top of what is essentially off-the-shelf equipment for producing solar hot water, which consists of a copper plate with a heat-absorbing black coating, bonded to a set of pipes on the underside. As the sun heats the plate, water flowing through the pipes underneath picks up that heat. But with the addition of the transparent insulating layer on top, plus polished aluminum mirrors on each side of the plate to direct extra sunlight at the plate, the system can generate high-temperature steam instead of just hot water. The system uses gravity to feed water from a tank into the plate; the steam then rises to the top of the enclosure and is fed out through another pipe, which carries the pressurized steam to the autoclave. A steady supply of steam must be maintained for 30 minutes to achieve proper sterilization.

Since much of the developing world faces limited availability of reliable electricity or affordable fuel, "we saw this as an opportunity to think about how we can potentially create a low-cost, passive, solar-driven system to generate steam, at the conditions that are necessary for autoclaving or for medical sterilization," explains Wang, who is the Gail E. Kendall Professor of Mechanical Engineering and head of the mechanical engineering department.

Being able to test the system in Mumbai was a bonus, she says, because of the city's "relevance and importance" as the type of location that might benefit from such low-cost steam-generation equipment.

In the Mumbai tests, even though the sky was hazy and cloudy, providing only 70 percent insolation compared to a sunny day, the device succeeded in producing the saturated steam needed for sterilization for the required half hour period.

The test was carried out with a small-scale unit, only about a quarter of a square meter, about the size of a hand towel, but it showed that the steam production rate was sufficient that a similar unit of somewhere between 1 and 3 square meters would be sufficient to power a benchtop autoclave of the kind typically used in a doctor's office, Zhao says.

The main limiting factor for practical deployment of such devices is the availability of the aerogel material. One company, founded by Elise Strobach PhD '20, who is a co-author of this paper, is already attempting to scale up the production of transparent aerogel, for use in high thermal efficiency windows. But so far the material is only produced in small amounts using relatively expensive laboratory-grade supercritical drying equipment, so widespread adoption of such a sterilization system is likely still a few years off, the researchers say.

Since the other components, except for the aerogel itself, are already widely available at low cost throughout the developing world, fabrication and maintenance of such systems may ultimately be practical in the areas where they would be used. The parts needed for the quarter-square-meter prototype came to less than $40, Zhao says, so a system sufficient for a typical small autoclave would be likely to cost $160 or so, once the necessary aerogel material becomes commercialized. "If we can get the supply of aerogel, the whole thing can be built locally, with local suppliers," he says.

The process could also be used for a variety of other purposes, the team says. For example, many food and beverage processing systems rely on high-temperature steam, which is typically provided by fossil-fuel powered boilers. Passive solar-powered systems to deliver that steam would eliminate the fuel costs, and so could be an attractive option in many industries, they say.

Ultimately, such systems should be much more cost-effective than systems that concentrate sunlight by tenfold or more to generate steam, because those require expensive mirrors and mountings, as opposed to the simplicity of this aerogel-based approach.

"This is a significant advance," says Ravi Prasher, a professor of mechanical engineering at the University of California at Berkeley and an associate director at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, who was not involved in this work. "Generating high-temperature steam with high energy efficiency has been a challenge. Here the authors have achieved both."

"The quality of the research is very high," Prasher adds. "Access to passive sterilization techniques for low-income communities who do not have access to reliable electricity is a big deal. Therefore, the passive solar device developed by the MIT team is very significant in that regard."

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The research team also included Bikram Bhatia, Lenan Zhang, Arny Leroy, Sungwoo Yang, Thomas Cooper, and Lee Weinstein at MIT, and Manoj Yadav, Anish Modi, and Shireesh Kedsare at IIT Bombay. The work received support from the Tata Center at MIT and from the U.S. Department of Energy.

Written by David L. Chandler, MIT News Office

Portable solar-powered device for sterilizing medical equipment in the field

CELL PRESS

Research News

By integrating a transparent, cloud-like aerogel with a solar heater, scientists can now efficiently trap solar energy to generate steam that is hot enough and at high enough pressure for sterilizing medical instruments even under hazy and partly cloudy weather. The solar thermal device, reported November 18 in the journal Joule, may help alleviate infection-related healthcare burden and facilitate the adoption of solar energy as a potential power source in resource-limited regions.

Almost like a pressure cooker with high temperature and high pressure, devices called autoclaves are used to cook germs at 121°C (249.8°F) and 205 kPa as a standard medical equipment sterilization procedure. However, due to the heat loss to the environment, traditional solar heaters have difficulties reaching temperatures above boiling point. In the new study, the research team incorporated a thermal insulating aerogel into the solar thermal device to reduce the escaping heat, allowing the device to generate 128°C (262.4°F) and 250 kPa steam for sterilization.

"When we were doing the field research in India, many healthcare providers said that they can operate an autoclave if there is reliable energy, but there are certain occasions where the electricity is unavailable," said first author Lin Zhao of Massachusetts Institute of Technology, who conducted a field study in Mumbai, India. "They are then forced to use maybe unsterilized equipment, or they have to use some rudimentary method like boiling water to try to sterilize things. A solar-powered device, in that case, would certainly be helpful to them."

Unlike other steam-generating solar thermal devices, which rely on solar tracking that requires operators to concentrate sunlight, the team's device is stationary, more user friendly, and energy efficient. In the field test, the aerogel-aided device generated steam at 100°C (212°F) with more than two times higher energy efficiency than other solar thermal devices reported in the lab. It also successfully performed standard sterilization under the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's guidelines.

"As long as you have sunlight, you can use this device. It doesn't have to rely on well-built infrastructure. You can use it off-grid in remote areas," said Zhao. But like other solar-powered gadgets, it also has a limit--cloudy and rainy days. "It really depends on your location. If you're in a sunny area, our device may offer more benefits."

Zhao and his colleagues' device also has a lower price tag, and most of its components are commercially available in the solar water heater industry. Compared to benchtop autoclaves on the market, which can cost up to $3,000, the researchers' device costs about $35 per unit. Three to six units of the prototype device can sufficiently power a benchtop autoclave, demonstrating its potential as an inexpensive and accessible approach to reduce infection in remote and developing regions. The next step for the research team is to manufacture the aerogel in high quantity and quality.

"The real 'secret sauce' or the enabling factor is the transparent aerogel. Once we have the aerogel scaled up, we can think about providing the device to people who need it, such as channels like NGOs and other organizations," said Zhao. "We can also think about using the same technology for larger-scale applications. For example, food processing plants and chemical plants, they use boilers steam generators too."

CAPTION

This image shows scientists from MIT evaluating the device's performance in "real world" situation, set up in a field research site in Mumbai, India.

This work was supported by the MIT Tata Center for Technology + Design, IIT Bombay, and the US Department of Energy, Office of Science, Basic Energy Sciences.

Joule, Zhao et al.: "A passive high-temperature high-pressure solar steam generator for medical sterilization"
https://www.cell.com/joule/fulltext/S2542-4351(20)30496

CAPTION

This image shows the transparent, cloud-like, thermal aerogel insulating the solar-driven autoclave.

Joule (@Joule_CP), published monthly by Cell Press, is a new home for outstanding and insightful research, analysis, and ideas addressing the need for more sustainable energy. A sister journal to CellJoule spans all scales of energy research, from fundamental laboratory research into energy conversion and storage to impactful analysis at the global level.
Visit http://www.cell.com/joule.
To receive Cell Press media alerts, contact press@cell.com.


Suicidal risk during pregnancy, after childbirth on the rise

Study finds prevalence of suicidal thoughts and self-harm among childbearing women nearly tripled over a decade, with an estimated 24,000 individuals at potential suicide risk

MICHIGAN MEDICINE - UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN

Research News

ANN ARBOR, Mich. - Pregnancy and the period after delivering a baby can be one of the riskiest times for depressive symptoms, with suicide among the leading causes of death among new moms.

And now a new study suggests that suicide "near misses" during pregnancy and after childbirth are increasing.

The prevalence of suicidal thoughts and self-harm in the year before and after giving birth nearly tripled among childbearing people between 2006 and 2017, according to the findings in JAMA Psychiatry.

The greatest increases were seen among Black, low-income, and younger individuals, along with people with comorbid anxiety and depression or serious mental illness.

"Suicide deaths are a leading cause of maternal mortality in the U.S. It's a public health crisis that has silently grown worse," says lead author Lindsay Admon, M.D., M.Sc., an obstetrician-gynecologist at Michigan Medicine Von Voigtlander Women's Hospital and researcher with the University of Michigan Institute for Healthcare Policy and Innovation.

Researchers evaluated data from the Maternal Behavioral Health Policy Evaluation (MAPLE) study to evaluate suicidality trends among individuals aged 15-44 in the year before and following birth.

Of 595,237 commercially insured childbearing individuals across the U.S., 2,683 had either suicidal ideation or self-harm.

Maternal suicidality overall increased from 0.2 to 0.6 percent among people giving birth. That could translate to nearly 24,000 individuals among the estimated 4 million who give birth a year.

But these are likely underestimates, Admon says, since research suggests that depressive problems may be even higher among those who are on Medicaid - a population not included in the study.

Researchers identified concerning disparities too.

Particularly notable increases in suicidality were identified among those who were non-Hispanic Black, in younger age categories, and with the lowest household incomes. For instance, suicidality increased from affecting 0.2 to 0.9% of the non-Hispanic Black population over the study period, affecting 1% of the population by 2017.

Suicidality also increased from impacting 1.6 to 9.5% of those aged 15-18 over the study period, affecting 10% of the population by 2017.

The absolute greatest risks for suicidality appeared among those with serious mental health diagnoses and substance abuse disorders.

Identifying Maternal Suicidality

Suicide is the second leading cause of death among women 25-34 years of age, and has steadily increased in prevalence since 2001. However, mental health is not captured in data used to study maternal morbidity and mortality, which has increased in the U.S.

Researchers and national committees have examined "near misses" to understand how to prevent maternal death. But psychiatric near misses, such as suicidal ideation or intentional self-harm, remain excluded from standard severe maternal morbidity measures.

"Suicide in the perinatal period represents an important but understudied health outcome," says senior author Kara Zivin, Ph.D., professor of psychiatry and obstetrics and gynecology at the University of Michigan.

Numbers can be hard to pinpoint, she notes. Maternal mortality statistics reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) excludes suicide deaths, deeming them "incidental or accidental" rather than pregnancy-related.

But a report using data from 14 maternal mortality review committees documented suicide as comprising 8.8% of maternal deaths from 2008-2017.

The new research follows another recent U-M-led study finding that over the past decade (2006-2019), the prevalence of both perinatal mood and anxiety disorders and serious mental illness among delivering women increased substantially across the United States.

Women with these conditions experienced a higher incidence of severe maternal morbidity and mortality, and increased hospital transfers and lengths of stay.

"The increases and disparities in suicidality over time, and the likelihood that suicidality is both under detected and under treated remains concerning," says Zivin, also senior author on the previous study and who personally struggled with suicidality during her own pregnancy a decade ago.

"This research indicates we have more policy and clinical work to do to support struggling women and their families."

Pregnancy is an especially unique time when women are in more frequent contact with health providers, authors note, potentially increasing opportunities to identify depressive symptoms during pregnancy and postpartum.

"We need to improve screening for mental health wellness during and after pregnancy," Admon says. "We know that untreated mental health conditions put both moms and their children at higher risk for adverse health outcomes, including preterm birth and maternal suicide."

Policymakers, health plans, and clinicians should ensure access to universal suicidality screening and appropriate treatment for pregnant and postpartum individuals, particularly for high-risk groups, she says. Clinical and policy interventions should also be tailored to meet the specific needs of individuals.

"We need to seek health system and policy avenues to better identify suicidal symptoms in childbearing women, "Admon says. "It's critical that we intervene as early as possible and provide necessary therapies to reduce the risk of the most tragic outcome."

Paper Cited: Trends in Suicidality 1 Year Before and After Birth Among Commercially Insured Childbearing Individuals in the United States, 2006-2017," JAMA Psychiatry, doi:10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2020.3550

RIGHT WING ECHO CHAMBER
Poll: 66% of Republican Voters Say Presidential Race Was 'Not' Free and Fair Election
By Michael W. Chapman | November 18, 2020 | CNS

(Getty Images)

(CNS News) -- A national poll by Politico/Morning Consult shows that 66% of Republicans believe that the Trump-Biden presidential race was "not" a "free and fair election." In addition, 72% of all registered voters who thought the race was unfair think "mail-in voting led to widespread vote fraud."

The extensive survey, conducted Nov. 13-16, asked 71 questions of 1,994 registered voters. The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points.

Among the questions, the survey asked, "As far as you know, do you believe the 2020 presidential election was a free and fair election?"


(Politico/Morning Consult)

In response, 24% of Republican/Leans Republican voters said "no, probably not" and 42% said "no, definitely not," which totals 66% saying the election was not free and fair.

Only 30% of Republicans disagreed, saying the election was fair.

For the Democrat/Leans Democrat registered voters, 90% said "yes," the election was free and fair.

The survey also asked, "You mentioned that you don’t believe the 2020 presidential election was a free and fair election. Why, specifically, do you think the election was not free and fair? Please select all that apply. Mail-in voting led to widespread voter fraud."

(Politico/Morning Consult)

In this instance, 77% of the Republican/Leans Republican voters selected mail-in voting as the reason for widespread voter fraud.

Also, among all registered voters who believe the election was not fair, 72% selected mail-in voting as the problem. In that same group, 70% also selected "ballots were tampered with" as a reason contributing to the unfair election.

(Politico/Morning Consult)

Commenting on the poll, professor and constitutional scholar Jonathan Turley said, "The poll shows how little penetration and credibility the media now have with much of the public. Over half of the public still want to see the [legal] challenges resolved despite the steady drumbeat of the media to denounce any challenges or the need for them to be fully addressed in the courts.

"Indeed, some academics are comparing questioning Biden’s victory to 'holocaust denial' or going to court as itself a form of fraud or abuse," said Turley.

"For four years, the media has dispensed with any sense of neutrality and openly supported the Biden campaign," he said. "Reporters are now invested in the various narratives put forward by the Biden camp and their coverage reflects that bias. The result is shown in this poll."

FOX NEWS FAVORITE ACADEMIC LAWYER

Jonathan Turley, who holds the Shapiro Chair for Public Interest Law at The George Washington University Law School. (Getty Images)

Turley continued, "What the poll really shows is an unresolved divide and no real avenue to breach that divide. I expect that those favoring a concession will rise in the coming days absent some major new challenge. However, the unrelenting biased coverage will likely undermine the confidence of many voters."

"That will only work to the disadvantage of Biden and the country going forward," said Turley. "What concerns me is that we have missed the best opportunity to come together as a nation by supporting a full and open review of the election."
WHO LIKES AND JUSTIFIES FASCISM IN HUNGARY?
Hungary Proposes Amendment to Protect Children's Biological 'Sex' and 'Christian' Upbringing
US EVANGELICAL CONSERVATIVES
By Michael W. Chapman | November 19, 2020 | CNS

Hungary's Minister of Justice Judit Varga. (Facebook)

The pro-family Hungarian government (SIC) has proposed a constitutional amendment that would protect the biological sex of children, male or female, and seek to ensure that their upbringing is based on Christian culture.

The proposed amendment was introduced to the Hungarian Parliament on Nov. 10 by Minister of Justice Judit Varga.

As reported in The Guardian, the amendment states, “Hungary protects children’s right to identify as the sex they were born with, and ensures their upbringing based on our national self-identification and Christian culture.”

(Getty Images)

The amendment also reads, "Hungary protects the institution of marriage, which is based on a consensual union between a woman and a man, and protects the family as the basis on which the nation can survive. The basis of relationships within a family is marriage, as well as the relationship between parents and children. The father is a man, the mother is a woman."

It further states that only heterosexual couples may adopt children.

In explaining the reason for the amendment, its language says that “new, modern ideologies in the western world raise doubt about the creation of the male and female sex, and endanger the right of children to have healthy development.”

Justice Minister Varga said that Hungary's constitution is a "living framework that protects the identity of the Hungarians, expresses its value system, embodies its will and defines the most basic public law forms of its existence. It defines the family, our descendants and the national culture as values ​​to be protected."

(Getty Images)

"I want everyone to understand that the rights of our children must not be undermined by pressure from certain interest groups or ideological trends," she said, as reported by Remix News.

"The Constitution should reflect the child's right to self-identity according to the sex of birth, and such a guarantee is the state's way to ensure education in line with Hungary's self-identity and Christian culture," said Varga.

The Hungarian government is led by Prime Minister Viktor Orban, a member of the conservative Hungarian Civic Alliance Party. He first became prime minister in 2010. Orban is a member of the Calvinist Hungarian Reformed Church. His wife and five children are Catholic.

Thursday, November 19, 2020

MICHAEL JACKSON KNEW

Tel Aviv University study finds hyperbaric oxygen treatments reverse aging process

First clinical trial reverses two biological processes associated with aging in human cells

AMERICAN FRIENDS OF TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY

Research News

A new study from Tel Aviv University (TAU) and the Shamir Medical Center in Israel indicates that hyperbaric oxygen treatments (HBOT) in healthy aging adults can stop the aging of blood cells and reverse the aging process. In the biological sense, the adults' blood cells actually grow younger as the treatments progress.

The researchers found that a unique protocol of treatments with high-pressure oxygen in a pressure chamber can reverse two major processes associated with aging and its illnesses: the shortening of telomeres (protective regions located at both ends of every chromosome) and the accumulation of old and malfunctioning cells in the body. Focusing on immune cells containing DNA obtained from the participants' blood, the study discovered a lengthening of up to 38% of the telomeres, as well as a decrease of up to 37% in the presence of senescent cells.

The study was led by Professor Shai Efrati of the Sackler School of Medicine and the Sagol School of Neuroscience at TAU and Founder and Director of the Sagol Center of Hyperbaric Medicine at the Shamir Medical Center; and Dr. Amir Hadanny, Chief Medical Research Officer of the Sagol Center for Hyperbaric Medicine and Research at the Shamir Medical Center. The clinical trial was conducted as part of a comprehensive Israeli research program that targets aging as a reversible condition.

The paper was published in Aging on November 18, 2020.

"For many years our team has been engaged in hyperbaric research and therapy - treatments based on protocols of exposure to high-pressure oxygen at various concentrations inside a pressure chamber," Professor Efrati explains. "Our achievements over the years included the improvement of brain functions damaged by age, stroke or brain injury.

"In the current study we wished to examine the impact of HBOT on healthy and independent aging adults, and to discover whether such treatments can slow down, stop or even reverse the normal aging process at the cellular level."

The researchers exposed 35 healthy individuals aged 64 or over to a series of 60 hyperbaric sessions over a period of 90 days. Each participant provided blood samples before, during and at the end of the treatments as well as some time after the series of treatments concluded. The researchers then analyzed various immune cells in the blood and compared the results.

The findings indicated that the treatments actually reversed the aging process in two of its major aspects: The telomeres at the ends of the chromosomes grew longer instead of shorter, at a rate of 20%-38% for the different cell types; and the percentage of senescent cells in the overall cell population was reduced significantly - by 11%-37% depending on cell type.

"Today telomere shortening is considered the 'Holy Grail' of the biology of aging," Professor Efrati says. "Researchers around the world are trying to develop pharmacological and environmental interventions that enable telomere elongation. Our HBOT protocol was able to achieve this, proving that the aging process can in fact be reversed at the basic cellular-molecular level."

"Until now, interventions such as lifestyle modifications and intense exercise were shown to have some inhibiting effect on telomere shortening," Dr. Hadanny adds. "But in our study, only three months of HBOT were able to elongate telomeres at rates far beyond any currently available interventions or lifestyle modifications. With this pioneering study, we have opened a door for further research on the cellular impact of HBOT and its potential for reversing the aging process."

Analysis of the relations between Spanish civil society organizations and science

The results of the study reveal that civil society associations are seeking to become more involved in scientific production

UNIVERSITAT POMPEU FABRA - BARCELONA

Research News

Researchers at UPF have analysed the relationship between civil society organizations and the Spanish science and technology system. The study has been published in Public Understanding of Science and conducted by Carolina Llorente and Gema Revuelta, at the Science, Communication and Society Studies Centre (CCS-UPF), and Mar Carrió, of the Health Sciences Educational Research Group (GRECS).

In recent decades, various movements have emerged promoting the inclusion of society in the research process in order to build more socially relevant science. This new model of scientific production is becoming established in Europe and increasingly worldwide. "Often, social participation does not take place individually, but through civil society organizations, so our study, for the first time in Spain, explores the interactions between these organizations and science", Carolina Llorente explains. "Understanding the perspectives of these organizations is useful for proposing effective tools to help strengthen relations between science and society", she adds. The concept of organized civil society includes non-profit organizations in which citizens are generally involved on a voluntary basis: patient and consumer associations, organizations working for the environment or animal rights, humanitarian associations, groups of minorities, etc.

The analysis was based on semi-structured interviews with managers of 31 Spanish organizations. Organizations were selected taking into account their characteristics and distribution across the country. In Spain, there are three so-called unique organizations, La ONCE, the Red Cross and Cáritas, which account for over 60% of the country's volunteers. There are also groups of organizations (federations), but what really makes up the bulk of volunteers are small, decentralized associations which are highly active at local level, but generally have few financial resources.

The study results show that a large number of organizations are not involved in science and technology, or in some cases, are not aware of their involvement. The most common type of collaboration is to act as research study subjects, for example in cases where social associations whose members are interviewed. Such is the case, for example, of investigations that examine the role of certain minorities (i.e., religious or linguistic) that contact organizations dealing with such matters to interview their members. To a lesser extent, organizations, usually patient organizations, fund research through calls to tender, prizes and awards, or they carry out research within the organization. In some cases, organizations also participate as advisors or in training targeting the researchers to transfer their sectoral knowledge to the academic environment.

Regarding hindrances for participation, interviewees agree that the main one is the lack of financial resources and personnel. But they also mention the lack of mutual knowledge: scientists do not know what the organizations are doing and the latter are not aware of what they can contribute or do not know how they can engage in scientific production.

In the words of Mar Carrió: "as a strategy to improve ties, we believe there is a need to encourage researchers to know how to integrate into the organizations and vice versa, for these groups to gain greater knowledge of how science works".

As for the ideal relationship that the associations wish to have with the system of science and technology, generally speaking, civil society organizations appear to be unaware of their own potential and what they can contribute to research. Nevertheless, the results indicate that these associations are willing to engage in scientific production, for example, proposing that they should be consulted from the outset to help approach research.

"In order to promote relations between science and society, there is a need to strengthen alliances between these two worlds. This could be done through better communication between academia and civil society organizations and, therefore, researchers require solid training in this field", Gema Revuelta affirms. "But, we also have to open channels that allow formal, stable relations between institutions and align the research goals with the expectations of society", she concludes.

###

Reference article:

Llorente C, Revuelta G, Carrió M. Social participation in science: Perspectives of Spanish civil society organizations. Public Understanding of Science. September, 2020https://doi.org/10.1177/0963662520960663.

Climate change and 'atmospheric thirst' to increase fire danger and drought in NV and CA

New study shows impacts of increased levels of evaporative demand as climate grows warmer and drier

DESERT RESEARCH INSTITUTE

Research News

IMAGE

IMAGE: CLIMATE CHANGE AND A "THIRSTY ATMOSPHERE " WILL BRING MORE EXTREME WILDFIRE DANGER AND MULTI-YEAR DROUGHTS TO NEVADA AND CALIFORNIA BY THE END OF THIS CENTURY, ACCORDING TO NEW RESEARCH. view more 

CREDIT: MEGHAN COLLINS/DRI

Reno, Nev. (Nov. 19, 2020) - Climate change and a "thirsty atmosphere" will bring more extreme wildfire danger and multi-year droughts to Nevada and California by the end of this century, according to new research from the Desert Research Institute (DRI), the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California, San Diego, and the University of California, Merced.

In a new study published in Earth's Future, scientists looked at future projections of evaporative demand - a measure of how dry the air is - in California and Nevada through the end of the 21st century. They then examined how changes in evaporative demand would impact the frequency of extreme fire danger and three-year droughts, based on metrics from the Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI).

According to their results, climate change projections show consistent future increases in atmospheric evaporative demand (or the "atmospheric thirst") over California and Nevada. These changes were largely driven by warmer temperatures, and would likely lead to significant on-the-ground environmental impacts.

"Higher evaporative demand during summer and autumn--peak fire season in the region--means faster drying of soil moisture and vegetation, and available fuels becoming more flammable, leading to fires that can burn faster and hotter," explained lead author Dan McEvoy, Ph.D., Assistant Research Professor of Climatology at DRI.

"Increased evaporative demand with warming enables fuels to be drier for longer periods," added coauthor John Abatzoglou, Ph.D., Associate Professor with the University of California, Merced. "This is a recipe for more active fire seasons."

The research team found that days with extreme fire danger in summer and autumn are expected to increase four to 10 times by the end of the century. Their results also showed that multi-year droughts, similar to that experienced in California and Nevada during 2012-2016, were projected to increase three to 15 times by the end of the century.

"One major takeaway was that we can expect to see a lot more days in the summer and autumn with extreme fire danger related to increased temperature and evaporative demand," McEvoy said. "Another takeaway was that even in locations where precipitation may not change that much in future, droughts are going to become more severe due to higher evaporative demand."

Study authors say that the cumulative effects of increases in evaporative demand will stress native ecosystems, increase fire danger, negatively impact agriculture where water demands cannot be met, and exacerbate impacts to society during periods of prolonged dryness. Several members of the research team are part of the California-Nevada Applications Program (CNAP), and will use these study results to provide resource managers with a view of possible future scenarios.

"These results provide information to support science-based, long-term planning for fire management agencies, forest management agencies, and water resource managers," said coauthor Julie Kalansky, Ph.D., Program Manager for CNAP. "We plan to work with partners to help integrate the findings from this paper to support building climate resilience."

CAPTION

Study results show increases of 13 to 18 percent in evaporative demand during all four seasons by the end of the century.

Additional Information:

This study was funded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) California-Nevada Climate Applications Program (CNAP) and the NOAA National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) California-Nevada Drought Early Warning System.

The full text of the paper, "Projected Changes in Reference Evapotranspiration in California and Nevada: Implications for Drought and Wildland Fire Danger," is available from Earth's Futurehttps://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001736

CAPTION

California and Nevada on average experienced a record-setting number of "extreme fire danger" days in 2020, as indicated by the line on the graph above. Extreme fire danger days were calculated using the Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI), with methods described in McEvoy et al. (2020). Data source: http://www.climatologylab.org/gridmet.html.

The Desert Research Institute (DRI) is a recognized world leader in basic and applied interdisciplinary research. Committed to scientific excellence and integrity, DRI faculty, students, and staff have developed scientific knowledge and innovative technologies in research projects around the globe. Since 1959, DRI's research has advanced scientific knowledge, supported Nevada's diversifying economy, provided science-based educational opportunities, and informed policy makers, business leaders, and community members. With campuses in Reno and Las Vegas, DRI serves as the non-profit research arm of the Nevada System of Higher Education. For more information, please visit ?http://www.dri.edu.