'Playing with napalm': International relations scholar buries MikeMyanmar-style coup in US

Brad Reed
May 31, 2021
THE RAW STORY

TRAITOR

Gen. Michael Flynn speaks to NBC (screen grab)

Former Donald Trump national security adviser Mike Flynn shocked many observers over the weekend when he called for a Myanmar-style military coup in the United States.

Patrick Chovanec, an adjunct professor at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs, buried Flynn for pushing for a military coup in his own country while also highlighting the horrifying reality that has engulfed Myanmar ever since its military overthrew its civilian government.

"More than 700 people have been shot dead following Myanmar's military coup," he wrote on Twitter Monday morning. "This is what Trump's former National Security Advisor, General Michael Flynn, yesterday said 'should be happening' in the US to overturn the election."

He then linked to a BBC article that profiled some of the people who have been killed by Myanmar's military regime, including a 14-year-old girl who posted pro-democracy videos to TikTok and wound up getting fatally shot by military police in her own home.

"These people aren't playing with fire, they're playing with napalm," Chovanec commented.

Patrick Chovanec

@prchovanec

·

May 31, 2021

More than 700 people have been shot dead following Myanmar’s military coup. This is what Trump’s former National Security Advisor, General Michael Flynn, yesterday said “should be happening” in the US to overturn the election.

Myanmar coup: The people shot dead since the protests began

Hundreds have been killed since February. Now, their families are telling their stories.

bbc.com

Patrick Chovanec

@prchovanec

These people aren’t playing with fire, they’re playing with napalm.

6:46 AM · May 31, 2021

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QAnon's Wildest Moments From Their Massively Disturbing Conference

The ‘For God and Country: Patriot Roundup’ conference had Michael Flynn calling for a military coup and Roger Stone’s social media advisor calling for Hillary Clinton’s execution.

IN THIS AUG. 2, 2018, FILE PHOTO, A PROTESTERS HOLDS A Q SIGN WAITS IN LINE WITH OTHERS TO ENTER A CAMPAIGN RALLY WITH PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP. (PHOTO: AP PHOTO/MATT ROURKE, FILE)

QAnon’s biggest celebrities threw a three-day conference in Dallas over the weekend—and it did not disappoint.

Whether you wanted to hear a former US Army general calling for a military coup or Roger Stone’s social media advisor calling for Hillary Clinton’s execution, there was something for everyone.

There were auctions selling $1,000-blankets and $8,000 baseball bats. A sitting Congressman appeared on stage and literally embraced QAnon influencers. Dozens of members of a shadowy militia provided protection—some with their own pugs in tow. And then there was Kraken-lawyer Sidney Powell trying to sing the national anthem.

And, of course, journalists were kicked out to standing ovations.

The “For God and Country: Patriot Roundup” event took place over Friday, Saturday and Sunday in downtown Dallas with thousands of QAnon supporters paying at least $500 for a ticket to the event.

The event took place in the city-owned Omni Hotel despite opposition from local residents whose petition was signed by more than 20,000 people.

The organizer of the event, John Sabal (known online as QAnon John) claimed prior to the event that it was not a QAnon conference, despite multiple high profile QAnon figures speaking there.

The event was a coming-out party for many well-known figures in the QAnon world, but also highlighted just how far the conspiracy movement is bleeding into mainstream Republican politics, with one sitting Congressman, Rep. Louie Gohmert, speaking on stage, along with the chairman of the Texas GOP, Allen West.

The event continues on Monday morning with more speakers addressing the crowd but for now, here are the wildest moments from the Dallas event:

Former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn called for a coup

Flynn, the disgraced former national security advisor during the Trump administration, has long been viewed as a god-like figure within the QAnon community. For his part Flynn has attempted to distance himself from QAnon but that’s a difficult thing to do when you post a video of yourself and your whole family reciting the QAnon oath or, you know, headlining a QAnon conference.

And on Sunday, Flynn did not disappoint.

While speaking on stage, Flynn was asked by a member of the audience: “I want to know why what happened in Myanmar can’t happen here?”

After cheers from the crowd died down, Flynn responded: “No reason. I mean, it should happen here.”

As a reminder, the military coup in Myanmar in February has already cost 800 civilians their lives. Ever since the coup took place, QAnon supporters have been obsessing over it and questioning why it could happen in a third-world country and not in the U..S.

Sidney Powell turned up in a biker vest

Sporting a biker vest with badges saying everything from MAGA to “No God, No Peace” and “Ride free, take risks,” Sidney Powell spoke on Saturday night in a question and answer session with right-wing talk show host Doug Billings.

The topic of conversation quickly got around to what Powell sees as her area of expertise, election fraud. And Powell had a surprising revelation to make when asked about the possibility of Trump returning to office:

"He can simply be reinstated,” Powell told a cheering audience, adding that a new inauguration date will be set “and Biden is told to move out of the White House.”

Sadly for Trump however, Powell revealed that Trump won’t get credit for time lost.

Now, there’s no provisions in the constitution to just reinstate Trump, but remember this is Powell’s area of expertise and she and her fellow members of Trump’s “elite strike force” legal team did file 62 lawsuits in the wake of the election.

The fact that all but one were laughed out of court is probably just bad luck.

Roger Stone’s social media advisor calls for Hillary Clinton to be hanged

Jason Sullivan, who is Roger Stone’s social media advisor and calls himself “The Wizard of Twitter,” was among the first speakers on stage on Saturday and he definitely made an impact.

Having spoken about QAnon’s “80 million followers” (a recent survey suggests the figure in the U.S. is closer to 30 million) and spreading some anti-vax content, Sullivan got around to speaking about Hilary Clinton



Referring to her as that “godawful woman” Sullivan then made a noose gesture around his neck, which was greeted with wild applause by the audience.


Q dropped in — sort of

In the middle of Saturday’s speeches, QAnon John posted a message to his Telegram account that Q, the anonymous leader of QAnon had posted a new message—though without the secure tripcode Q normally uses, and signing it with the letter B rather than Q.

As expected, this sent the entire QAnon world into a frenzy and Telegram and Gab channels were flooded with messages.

Except, it turns out it wasn’t Q, just someone who had access to a board on 8kun that only Q was meant to have access to. Jim Watkins, the owner of 8kun, posted a video on Sunday explaining what had happened, revealing that it had been a volunteer moderator of the board who had posted the message.

Still that didn’t stop some QAnon followers, who have been starved of new Q drops for months, of coming up with new theories about the message—including one suggestion that the B stood for Barron Trump.

Journalists were not welcome

QAnon is not a big fan of the media, particularly if you don’t work for a right-wing outlet that doesn’t indulge QAnon’s conspiracies, support the election fraud narrative, or otherwise views Donald Trump as some sort of god-like figure.

So it was no surprise that several journalists were kicked out of the event this weekend. On Sunday, VICE News reporter Vegas Tenold had his conference pass “yanked” off him by the organizer before being kicked out.

But that turned out to be a pretty tame expulsion. Hours later QAnon John posted a video of himself and his partner Amy informing police that Daily Beast reporter Will Sommer was illegally trespassing at the conference.

The video showed the police escort Sommer from the building—while the crowd cheers. But the video continues to follow Sommer all the way to his car, where he is surrounded by people videoing him, including QAnon influencer Jordan Sather—and a topless man holding a microphone.

The QAnon militia—and their pugs

In addition to ubiquitous police at the event, there was additional protection provided by a shadowy group of ex-US military personnel known as the 1st Amendment Praetorians.

The Praetorians are a group who claim to provide protection for “patriotic and religious events” across the U.S. They were founded by Robert Patrick Lewis, an ex-Green Beret who tweeted a picture of himself with Flynn and West during the weekend:

There were at least a couple of dozen members of this group in attendance at the event over the weekend, but according to one source on the ground in Dallas this weekend, the 1st Amendment Praetorians had a secret weapon to keep the crowds under control—their pugs.

Several members of the group had pugs on leashes with them while they patrolled the event, though it was unclear whether or not they were killer pugs.

Rep. Louie Gohmert said January 6 riots no big deal

Then there was Rep. Gohmert, an actual sitting member of the United States Congress, appearing on stage at the largest-ever QAnon convention.

While Gohmert is no stranger to embracing the worst sort of people, his appearance in Dallas gives significant weight to the entire QAnon movement and the people who promote it.



Gohemrt didn’t specifically address QAnon while on stage, spending his time instead attacking Nancy Pelosi and trying to claim that the Jan. 6 riots were not that big a deal when compared to things like 9/11 and Pearl Harbor.

“I would submit that weaponizing the FBI and the Department of Justice against one administration was an attack on democracy,” Gohmert added.

Off-stage Gohmert mixed freely with the QAnon crowd, including Zak Paine, known online as RedPill78, who took part in the Jan. 6 riots.

An $8,000 baseball bat

After calling for a military coup, Flynn found time to take part in an auction during the conference party on Saturday night..

Among the items up for auction was some 1776-themed fan art, and a blanket with a Q logo on it, which was signed by Flynn as well as pro-Trump lawyer Lin Wood and MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell. It sold for thousands.




Also sold on the night was a baseball bat, again signed by the disgraced former national security adviser. Flynn told the audience that he and his wife call the bat "the Department of Just Us." It sold for $8,000.

Sidney Powell singalong

No conference would be complete without a singalong and at an event called Patriot Roundup, there was only ever going to be one song to end day two of the event: the national anthem.

In a video posted to his Telegram account, QAnon John showed that as well as losing lawsuits, Sidney Powell was adept at taking part in a group singalong—though it’s unclear if she knew all the words.

New indictments reveal Oath Keepers wanted Antifa to attack rally -- and give Trump an excuse to declare martial law

Jordan Green, Staff Reporter

THE RAW STORY

May 31, 2021

YouTube/screen grab

A new indictment issued by a grand jury expands the number of Oath Keepers accused of conspiring to disrupt the certification of the electoral vote in the presidential election from 12 to 16, adding four new defendants.

The indictment, which was received by the federal courts on May 26 but only filed on Sunday, adds three Florida men to the list of defendants: Joseph Hackett, 50, of Sarasota; Jason Dolan, 44, of Wellington; and William Isaacs, 21, of Kissimmee. Dolan and Isaacs were both arrested on May 27 and made initial appearances the same day. Hackett was arrested on May 28. Information about a fourth defendant is redacted from the indictment published on Sunday, suggesting that this person is not yet in custody.

The new indictment alleges that Hackett, Dolan and Isaacs participated in a Jan. 3 Signal group message titled "OK FL DC OP Jan 6," along with Kelly Meggs, Kenneth Harrelson, Graydon Young and Jessica Watkins, who have already been indicted. The government alleges that Dolan traveled in a van with Harrelson to Washington DC, and that the two men joined the crowd on the central east steps of the Capitol at 2:21 p.m. on Jan. 6.

The indictment also alleges that Hackett and Isaacs joined the infamous "stack" with co-defendants Watkins, Young, Kelly Meggs, Connie Meggs, Donovan Crowl, Sandra Parker and Laura Steele that snaked through the crowd up the steps on the east side of the Capitol, with each member keeping at least one hand on the shoulder of the person in front of them. By 2:39 p.m., according to the government, the stack participants, along with Harrelson and Dolan, had forcibly entered the Capitol.

The new indictment also provides additional detail about a "quick reaction force" staged outside of DC as a contingency effort to provide weapons to the Oath Keepers.

The filing indicates that Thomas Edward Caldwell, another defendant, emailed several maps to an as-yet-unidentified conspirator identified in court filings as "Person Three" on Jan. 4. In a message accompanying the maps, Caldwell reportedly wrote that the maps "walk you from the hotel" in northern Virginia where the Oath Keepers had agreed to stash weapons "into DC and east toward the target area on multiple roads running west to east including M street and P street, two of my favorites."

M Street runs east from the Wharf Marina while P Street is near Southwest Waterfront Park, two locations on the Washington Channel, which empties into the Potomac River.

The new indictment also provides a clearer picture of Oath Keepers leader Stewart Rhodes' mindset in the months leading up to the Jan. 6 assault on the Capitol. In mid-December, Rhodes had joined retired Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn in publicly calling for President Trump to invoke the Insurrection Act. 

During an appearance on the internet radio show "Health Ranger Report" with Mike Adams in December, Rhodes said, "We are letting him know that we, the veterans, are available…. And we let him know that, yes, all he has to do is call on us, whether it's a tweet, or several other mechanisms he has to get messages to us and simply say that 'I call on you to come and defend the White House and to defend me as the commander in chief.' And we'll be there. And under his command as a militia, we'll have no problem going into DC because we'll have protection because we'll be called up under his service."

According to the new indictment, Rhodes told those attending a Nov. 9 GoToMeeting session: "We're going to defend the president, the duly elected president, and we call on him to do what needs to be done to save our country. Because if you guys don't, you're going to be in a bloody, bloody civil war, and a bloody — you can call it an insurrection or you can call it a war or fight."

Rhodes' instructions to his followers during the Nov. 9 session suggest that he hoped that he viewed the Oath Keepers as the shock troops for quelling left-wing dissent, while Trump clung to power by invoking the Insurrection Act.

"If the fight comes, let the fight come," Rhodes reportedly said during the meeting. "Let antifa — if they go kinetic on us, then we'll go kinetic on them. I'm willing to sacrifice myself for that. Let the fight start there. That will give President Trump what he needs, frankly. If things go kinetic, good. If they throw bombs at us and shoot us, great, because that brings the president his reason and rationale for dropping the Insurrection Act."

As it turned out, Trump refrained from invoking the Insurrection. Antifascists turned out in diminishing numbers to counter-protest pro-Trump mobilizations in Washington DC on Nov. 14 and Dec. 12, and then virtually stood down with the exception of some individuals discretely gathering documentation on Jan. 6.

Washington DC's strict gun regulations prevented the Oath Keepers from carrying weapons in DC in the absence of Trump formally enlisting them as a militia, necessitating them to stage the so-called "quick reaction force" across the Potomac in Virginia.

"I do want some Oath Keepers to stay on the outside, and to stay fully armed and prepared to go in armed, if they have to," Rhodes said. "So, our posture's gonna be that we're posted outside of DC, um, awaiting the president's orders…. We hope he will give us the orders. We want him to declare an insurrection, and to call us up as the militia."

Our first Memorial Day since Trump's coup: Is America ready to move forward — or stuck in reverse?

Chauncey Devega, Salon
May 31, 2021

Capitol Insurrectionists (Shutterstock)

American history is a mess. None of this is simple. These last days of May 2021 contain a powerful convergence of dates and events.
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This article first appeared in Salon.

This Memorial Day coincides with the 100th anniversary of the white supremacist pogrom in Tulsa, Oklahoma. In that literal and symbolic attack on Black America's prosperity and freedom, hundreds of Black people were murdered and hundreds of millions of dollars in income and wealth were destroyed and stolen.

It has also been just over a year since George Floyd was publicly murdered by a white police officer in Minneapolis, in the 21st-century equivalent of a lynching. Floyd's murder became one of the principal sparks for a summer of protest and a nationwide people's uprising for civil rights and human freedom and dignity.

This is also the first Memorial Day since Donald Trump's attempted coup and his supporters' attack on the U.S. Capitol in January, when they overran and defiled the literal heart of democracy. Last Friday, Republicans in the Senate voted against a full investigation of the crimes of that day — and in doing so effectively admitted to being co-conspirators with Trump and his followers.

Tyler Stovall, author of the new book "White Freedom: The Racial History of an Idea," told me by email how he makes sense of these events. "The confluence of these dates underscores the ways in which ideas of freedom and of race are intertwined in America, past and present," he wrote. "It also shows how Americans are becoming more and more conscious of the African American presence as central to this country."
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Any major moral reckoning and campaign of democratic renewal — which America surely needs — would take place in the context of a nation whose history and present are messy, complicated and contradictory. This is especially true, as Stovall's book suggests, of the color line, a story of change and reaction, push and pull, progress forward and stumbling or falling backward.

There have been three revolutions in America. The first established the country. The second was the Civil War, the end of white-on-Black chattel slavery and the first blossoming of multiracial democracy during Reconstruction. The third American revolution saw the long Black Freedom Struggle tear down the de jure white supremacy of Jim and Jane Crow.

These revolutions were confronted by white rage, white backlash and in at least one example a white counterrevolution. After Reconstruction, that counterrevolution was so strong that a 100-year reign of white supremacist terror and a de facto police state was established across the South and in other parts of the country.
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If there is a fourth revolution or second Reconstruction to protect America's still-nascent multiracial democracy from the new Jim Crow politics of the Republican Party and the larger neofascist movement, it will be met with a titanic response from white reactionaries and others invested in defending white supremacy at any cost. As public opinion and other research has shown, many white Americans would rather live under an authoritarian regime than share equal political and social power with black and brown people.

Since it was first published in the New York Times 10 years ago this week, I always make time on Memorial Day to read historian David Blight's essay on the origins of the holiday.

In "Forgetting Why We Remember," Blight wrote:

But for the earliest and most remarkable Memorial Day, we must return to where the war began. By the spring of 1865, after a long siege and prolonged bombardment, the beautiful port city of Charleston, S.C., lay in ruin and occupied by Union troops. Among the first soldiers to enter and march up Meeting Street singing liberation songs was the 21st United States Colored Infantry; their commander accepted the city's official surrender.
Whites had largely abandoned the city, but thousands of blacks, mostly former slaves, had remained, and they conducted a series of commemorations to declare their sense of the meaning of the war.
The largest of these events, forgotten until I had some extraordinary luck in an archive at Harvard, took place on May 1, 1865. During the final year of the war, the Confederates had converted the city's Washington Race Course and Jockey Club into an outdoor prison. Union captives were kept in horrible conditions in the interior of the track; at least 257 died of disease and were hastily buried in a mass grave behind the grandstand.
After the Confederate evacuation of Charleston black workmen went to the site, reburied the Union dead properly, and built a high fence around the cemetery. They whitewashed the fence and built an archway over an entrance on which they inscribed the words, "Martyrs of the Race Course."…

The war was over, and Memorial Day had been founded by African-Americans in a ritual of remembrance and consecration. The war, they had boldly announced, had been about the triumph of their emancipation over a slaveholders' republic. They were themselves the true patriots.

It's a tragic, heroic and inspiring historical anecdote. But this Memorial Day feels unmistakably different to me, Blight's words are now colored and shadowed by Trump's coup attempt and the Capitol attack.

At its core, the events of that ignominious day were an attempt to overturn multiracial democracy and to advance the cause of American apartheid. Trump's white rage mob carried Confederate flags and a white Christian fascist cross. There were Nazis, Kluxers and other open white supremacists and paramilitaries (and others obviously sympathetic to their cause) leading the assault on Congress.

The Capitol Building itself was built by Black human property. Black and brown police officers fought back against Trump's brigands. Once Trump's forces breached the defenses, they rampaged and ran amok, sometimes hurling racial slurs at Black police officers who risked their lives to protect members of Congress and their staff from being assaulted or perhaps killed. Some members of the white-rage mob smeared feces on the walls of the Capitol building and urinated on the floor. Black and brown maintenance people would then be tasked with cleaning up white America's mess — a job that black and brown people have been doing for centuries from slavery to freedom as we repair and renew the country's democracy.

Ultimately, on this Memorial Day, with all these important coincidences of events and dates that intersect with it and surround it, I keep asking: What kind of country is this? What kind of democracy? What kind of nation is being forged in this historical moment? What will freedom look like in this new America?

To admit this is almost a sin for people who write and think in public, but my answer is clear: I don't know.

One can draw upon the wisdom of the Black prophetic tradition and Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.'s inspiration and warning that the arc of the moral universe bends towards justice — but that same arc of justice can encounter walls, mazes, mirrors and other obstacles along the way. Moreover, we cannot know how long that journey to justice will be, or whether we will be alive to witness its destination.

I asked Tyler Stovall for his thoughts on what a new American reckoning should accomplish. He offered some hopeful clarity: "I would underscore two issues. One, a rejection of Republican voter suppression which aims at the preservation of 'the white to vote.' Two, a commitment to reparations for the descendants of African American slaves. These two acts would show me that America has definitely moved beyond white freedom."

But perhaps I know one thing with certainty about such a reckoning. History is a great teacher, and it tells us there will be tremendous white rage and white backlash in response to any American reckoning that aims to save multiracial democracy — and there will also be resistance and struggle and dignity by Black and brown people in response to that white backlash and rage.

Almost on cue, the Department of Homeland Security announced last week that the 100-year memorial and other remembrance ceremonies for the Tulsa massacre may be targeted by white supremacists or other right-wing terrorists.

In too many ways, that tension and that possibility, suspended between hope and violence, is the story of America from before the founding through to the 21st century — and likely beyond.

GOP governor personally on the hook for $700 million in loans after business failure: WSJ

West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (screengrab)

According to an exclusive report from the Wall Street Journal, West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (R) is looking at a major cash crunch and owes nearly $700 million due to personally guaranteeing loans linked to a business failure of a lender.

The report notes that the billionaire lawmaker took out the loans for his coal business with the now-defunct Greensill Capital, which in turn sold them off to "investment funds managed by Credit Suisse Group ."

THIS IS AN INTERNATIONAL SCANDAL WITH A UK FOCUS INCLUDING THE FORMER PM DAVID CAMERON SHILLING FOR GREENSILL, AND THE GUPTA GROUP WHICH OWNS BRITISH STEEL

With Greenpoint's failure, the Journal states Justice now faces investors who want to be made whole.

"The Swiss bank froze the investment funds in March and is in talks with Mr. Justice's Bluestone Resources Inc. and other borrowers to recoup money to make investors whole, according to the people familiar with the discussions. Credit Suisse is under pressure to recover money quickly and has named Bluestone as one of three large borrowers from the Greensill funds that it has identified in its recovery efforts," the reports states, adding that "Bluestone hadn't expected to begin repaying the Greensill loans until 2023 at the earliest" following accusations of fraud.

You can read more here (subscription required).

A CHICKENHAWK CRITIQUE

Four things to know about CBO's nuclear spending report

BY PATTY-JANE GELLER, OPINION CONTRIBUTOR — 05/31/21 

Patty-Jane Geller is a policy analyst specializing in nuclear deterrence and missile defense in The Heritage Foundation’s Center for National Defense.

THE VIEWS EXPRESSED BY CONTRIBUTORS ARE THEIR OWN AND NOT THE VIEW OF THE HILL

© Getty Images

A recent CBO report estimates that, over the next 10 years, U.S. nuclear spending will be 28 percent higher than estimated just two years ago. This led to howls that modernization is proving “far more expensive than anticipated.”

Not so fast. The report carries a ton of caveats and footnotes.

Here are four things to consider before jumping to conclusions about the cost of nuclear modernization.

First, the new report examines a different time period (2021-2030) than the previous one (2019-2028). That makes a huge difference.

As the CBO explains, “The higher estimates in this report do not necessarily signal an increase in programs’ total lifetime costs.” They do, however, reflect a more expensive period for nuclear modernization: years 2029 and 2030, when procurement in key programs like the Ground Based Strategic Deterrent kicks into high gear. Fail to take that into account and you’re comparing apples to oranges.

Second, requirements have changed over the last two years. CBO attributes the bulk of higher costs projected for 2021-2028 (a period covered by both reports) to new requirements related to nuclear warheads. “The majority of that increase comes from new plans for modernizing production facilities for strategic materials…[and] warhead life-extension programs for which funding schedules have been accelerated.”

Given that 60 percent of our military nuclear facilities are over 40 years old and all weapons in the stockpile date back to the Cold War, new modernization plans and schedules, while more expensive, should be applauded.

Third, the CBO includes subjective cost estimates. Fifteen percent of the estimated increase arises from CBO’s decision to add an extra $21 billion to account for “general growth beyond budgeted amounts.”

This number isn’t based on known program or technical difficulties. It merely reflects historical growth rates for similar programs. This part of the estimate, therefore, is far from guaranteed.

As another example, the report projects the nuclear sea-launched cruise missile will cost $10 billion over 10 years. Since this project does not yet have an acquisition strategy, CBO had to base this estimate on cost data for the Long-Range Standoff weapon, a completely different system. Such subjective estimates are by no means locked in.

Fourth, CBO includes dubious costs that inflate the numbers, like the costs of sustaining our current nuclear forces on top of their replacement programs. For instance, the CBO lists $4.2 billion for intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) for FY 2021, even though Congress appropriated only about $1.5 billion for the Ground Based Strategic Deterrent program.

To account for this discrepancy, you have to comb through additional data tables found elsewhere on the CBO website. Ultimately, you discover a table that lists $2.8 billion for ICBM modernization — a number that must include warhead modernization, although it’s not made explicit.

The rest of that $4.2 billion goes to operating and sustaining the 50-year-old Minuteman III missiles, which confuses the cost of replacement with what we already must do to sustain our deterrent. As a result, some have erroneously claimed that the cost of replacing the nuclear triad “jumped” to $634 billion, even though a significant chunk of that covers sustainment costs.

Moreover, CBO includes costs of non-nuclear systems, including 100 percent of costs for command and control, even though those systems serve non-nuclear missions as well. It includes only 25 percent of bomber expenses to account for the bombers’ significant conventional mission, but even that number is bloated.

CBO could have more accurately estimated the additional costs of making our bomber fleet dual-capable, since eliminating the nuclear role for bombers would likely not result in a 25 percent decrease in the bomber fleet. Former Obama official Jim Miller estimates that the added costs for making our bombers dual-capable would be closer to 3 percent of total bomber costs.

Considering these four factors, it would be disingenuous to use this report to advocate for cuts to nuclear funding. Delaying programs and deferring costs does not avoid costs; it simply makes everything more expensive in the long run.

CBO proves this point when it highlights the higher costs now estimated to sustain the Ohio-class submarines. The larger price tag, it says, is due to “plans to operate some Ohio class submarines longer than had previously been planned.”

That observation refers to a 2012 decision to delay procurement of the Columbia-class submarine. While that decision saved money in the short-term, costs for both the Columbia-class submarine and Ohio-class sustainment have increased since then, while leaving no room for further delay in the Columbia’s schedule.

Policymakers are owed clarity over costs for national defense. And clarity is particularly important when assessing the costs of our nuclear forces. That’s because, as Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has acknowledged, nuclear deterrence is the number one mission for national security. The potential cost of failing to modernize our nuclear deterrent is incalculable.