Sunday, September 19, 2021

EU Lawmakers Want Gazprom Investigated For Alleged Gas Market Manipulation

More than 40 members of the European Parliament from all political groups are urging the European Commission to launch an investigation into Russian gas giant Gazprom over alleged market manipulation that could have contributed to the record-high natural gas prices in Europe.  

“We call on the European Commission to urgently open an investigation into possible deliberate market manipulation by Gazprom and potential violation of EU competition rules,” 42 EU lawmakers wrote in a letter to the relevant European Commissioners seen by Bloomberg.

Europe is grappling with soaring natural gas and electricity prices ahead of the winter heating season due to tight gas supplies, very low gas inventories across the continent, and low wind power generation amid still weather.

During the summer, even with the strong rebound in European natural gas demand and surging prices, Gazprom did not book additional entry capacity to Europe via Ukraine.

Analysts say that this could have been an opportunistic move from the Russian giant to drive up Europe’s gas prices further and take advantage of the very high prices. Other analysts think that Gazprom’s effective reduction in supplies would force Europe to recognize that gas customers on the continent need the controversial Nord Stream 2 pipeline to Germany bypassing Ukraine.  

Last week, Gazprom said it had completed the construction of Nord Stream 2, although gas flows on the Russia-led pipeline cannot begin until Germany grants an operating license to the project.

Germany’s federal networks regulator BNA said earlier this week that it would decide no later than January 8, 2022, whether it will certify Nord Stream 2 and issue an operating license for the pipeline.

The commissioning of Nord Stream 2 “as soon as possible will substantially balance natural gas price parameters in Europe, including on the spot market,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Wednesday.

On Friday, Alexey Miller, chairman of the board of Gazprom, said that low gas storage levels across Europe going into the winter season have the potential to push up Europe’s natural gas prices to new records in the coming weeks.  

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

 

Opinion: Germany is ignoring Gazprom's attempted blackmail

Moscow's efforts to force through the operational start of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline have so far been unsuccessful. This is because the general public hasn't even noticed the gas price explosion, says Andrey Gurkov.

    

The Nord Stream 2 pipeline has the capacity to pump 55 billion cubic meters of gas 

a year from Russia to Germany

The current state of the European gas market can be summed up as follows: Imagine that the price explodes, but no one is paying attention. It must be very frustrating for Gazprom's bosses in Moscow: They came up with a clever way to blackmail the Europeans, yet those insouciant customers didn't even notice.

For months now, the Russian state-owned corporation has apparently been pursuing the goal of forcing the Europeans to issue a swift and unconditional operating permit for Nord Stream 2. Putting both strings of this new gas pipeline into full operation simultaneously would contravene EU energy market laws. Gazprom would therefore need an exemption, but so far this has been denied.

To pile on the pressure, Europe's largest gas supplier sold all the gas in its storage facilities in the EU over the summer, while at the same time not booking any additional transport capacity through Ukraine and Poland beyond what was already contractually agreed.

Low gas reserves for winter

Consequently, just a few weeks before the start of the heating season, levels in European gas storage facilities are at a record low, and in September wholesale gas prices shot through the roof. This was exacerbated by the fact that, for several months, the majority of LNG (liquefied natural gas) tankers from all over the world were shipping to Asia, where prices were even higher.


DW's Andrey Gurkov






As a result, Europe is heading into winter without its usual gas reserves. If it gets cold earlier than usual, or stays cold for a particularly long time, European heating and power suppliers will probably end up paying horrendous prices on the spot market. Alternatively, they may increasingly resort to coal and oil, and these would then also become more expensive. The additional costs would, at least in part, be passed on to consumers.

Dire warnings in the Russian media

This was the situation when Gazprom announced in early September that Nord Stream 2 had been completed. And Moscow has let the Europeans know in various subtle ways – recently, for example, via Putin's press spokesperson – that if only the whole of the new pipeline could be connected to the grid as swiftly as possible, supplies to Europe this winter would be assured and the price would certainly drop.

If Moscow believed that, in these circumstances, worried European consumers would put pressure on their governments, it was a serious miscalculation. For weeks now, Russian media outlets have been the only ones reporting that Europeans would either freeze this winter or have to fork out a fortune. Few in Europe knew that the price in the EU for 1,000 cubic meters of gas had reached $600 (€512), that it had then topped $750, and was hurtling toward $800. Finally, on September 15, it hit $950, almost $1,000!

Europeans ignore price increases

The general European public has completely failed to notice any of this, and is therefore not playing along as Gazprom anticipated. This is especially true in Germany, by far the biggest importer of Russian natural gas.

The German media has paid hardly any attention to soaring wholesale gas prices in the EU over the past few months. In particular, it has almost completely ignored the recent speculative activity on the spot market. Perhaps this can partly be explained by the fact that German energy suppliers usually purchase gas under long-term, fixed-price contracts, so the huge price increases simply have not yet reached the end consumer.


The Nord Stream 2 pipeline was completed a few days ago

Opportunity for the Greens and the FDP

However, if the looming gas shortage means more and more utilities are forced to raise prices in the near future, the problem could become the focus of public interest after all. In Germany, this would probably happen shortly after the election on September 26, when coalition negotiations will be in progress.

Discussions would then most likely take a turn that would not be at all in Gazprom's interest. It would constitute an excellent opportunity for the Greens, who are staunch opponents of the pipeline, lending weight to their demand that the project should be stopped altogether. The free-market liberals of the FDP are also unlikely to respond well to the state-owned Russian monopolist's attempt at blackmail. One or even both of these political parties are almost certain to be involved in negotiations over the formation of the next German government.

How did the EU become so dependent on Russia?

The discussion will therefore not be looking at how to issue an operating permit for both strings of the Nord Stream 2 as fast as possible – even though that would certainly alleviate the pressure on prices. Instead, there are likely to be calls to speed up Germany's transition to renewable energy still further, in order to reduce its obvious dependence on Russian energy supplies.

There are also sure to be questions about how it was possible for the largest natural gas storage facilities in Germany and Austria to come under the control of a Russian company that is itself controlled by the Kremlin. The first proposal may well be the introduction of a legal requirement for private storage operators to maintain a high minimum level of gas at the start of the heating period.

So perhaps Moscow should actually be pleased that Germany has been ignoring the Russian blackmail attempt. For now, at least, this will save Gazprom a lot of trouble in its biggest sales market, which is already working to accelerate the phase-out of fossil fuels.

Canadian Households Spend More Income On Debt Than Any Other G7 Country: BIS

Canadian households devote an astronomical amount of income just to carry their debt payments. Data from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) shows Canadian households have a very high debt service ratio (DSR). The ratio dropped in Q4 2020 slightly, but it’s still much higher than any other G7 country. Not even the US housing bubble reached this level in 2008.

Canadians Spend 12.4% Of Their Income On Debt Payments

Canadians spend an astronomical share of their income on debt payments. The household DSR reached 12.4% in Q4 2020, down from 13.5% in 2019. It dropped, but this was entirely due to the fact interest costs have fallen. Household credit growth is still booming, and at a much faster rate than income.

Canadian Debt Payments Dwarf The US… Even In 2008

Contrasting with our neighbors to the South, we can see their DSR isn’t even close to Canada. US households had a DSR of 7.6% in Q4 2020, down from 7.9% in the same quarter a year before. They spend a third less of their income on servicing debt.

The US wasn’t always this low, and did at one point spend much more on servicing debt. During the 2008 housing bubble, the DSR reached 11.1% before the financial crisis. Carrying higher debt loads makes households less flexible. In an emergency, this tends to amplify the shock. That’s why it’s common to see highly indebted households when doing an autopsy on a bad recession.

Canadian Households Spend The Most Income On Debt In The G7

No other G7 country has households so highly leveraged, and paying this much towards debt. The UK is in second place with a household DSR of 9.0% in the fourth quarter of 2020, about 27.4% lower than Canadians. Excluding Canada, the average DSR for the G7 is just 6.9% — nearly half the size. It might seem like not all that much, but compared to other economies of similar size, it’s huge. 

Household Debt Service Ratios Across The G7

The share of income households devote to making the required payments on debt, across the G7

CanadaUSFranceItalyGermanyJapanUKQ1 1999Q4 1999Q3 2000Q2 2001Q1 2002Q4 2002Q3 2003Q2 2004Q1 2005Q4 2005Q3 2006Q2 2007Q1 2008Q4 2008Q3 2009Q2 2010Q1 2011Q4 2011Q3 2012Q2 2013Q1 2014Q4 2014Q3 2015Q2 2016Q1 2017Q4 2017Q3 2018Q2 2019Q1 2020Q4 202002468101214Percent
QuarterCanadaUSFranceItalyGermanyJapanUK
Q1 199910.89.44.739.58.98.8
Q2 199910.79.54.82.99.68.78.7
Q3 199910.69.64.82.99.68.88.7
Q4 199910.69.74.83.29.68.98.9
Q1 200010.99.84.83.29.88.99
Q2 200011.19.94.83.49.88.89.1
Q3 200011.19.94.83.69.78.89.2
Q4 200011.29.94.73.79.88.99.2
Q1 2001119.94.73.69.88.89.1
Q2 200110.99.94.73.69.78.89
Q3 200110.79.94.73.69.799
Q4 200110.49.94.73.59.699
Q1 200210.29.84.73.49.599
Q2 200210.29.74.73.59.58.99
Q3 200210.49.74.73.59.58.99.3
Q4 200210.59.74.73.59.58.99.4
Q1 200310.49.74.73.59.58.99.4
Q2 200310.59.84.73.59.58.89.5
Q3 200310.79.84.73.59.48.89.7
Q4 200310.79.84.73.69.38.89.9
Q1 200410.99.84.73.79.28.710.2
Q2 200410.99.84.73.99.28.610.4
Q3 200410.99.94.83.99.18.510.9
Q4 200410.910.14.849.18.511.1
Q1 200511.210.24.9498.211.3
Q2 200511.310.454.18.98.111.4
Q3 200511.510.75.14.28.98.111.6
Q4 200511.510.85.14.38.88.111.6
Q1 200611.810.95.24.58.7811.6
Q2 20061211.15.34.68.77.911.7
Q3 200612.311.25.44.78.67.812.1
Q4 200612.411.35.44.98.57.812.3
Q1 200712.511.45.54.98.47.712.5
Q2 200712.711.55.64.98.37.712.6
Q3 20071311.55.65.18.37.713
Q4 200713.211.55.85.28.27.712.9
Q1 200813.211.45.85.28.17.612.9
Q2 200813.211.25.95.287.612.7
Q3 200813.111.165.387.512.9
Q4 200812.810.865.287.512.6
Q1 200912.610.76.157.97.511.7
Q2 200912.510.66.157.97.411.3
Q3 200912.610.66.157.97.411.4
Q4 200912.710.56.257.97.311.3
Q1 201012.610.36.25.17.87.211
Q2 201012.710.16.25.17.87.210.9
Q3 201012.79.96.25.27.87.110.9
Q4 201012.79.86.35.27.77.210.8
Q1 201112.89.66.35.27.57.210.7
Q2 201112.79.46.35.37.5710.6
Q3 201112.89.26.35.47.56.910.5
Q4 201112.89.16.45.47.46.910.5
Q1 201212.78.96.45.37.36.810.3
Q2 201212.78.86.45.37.26.810.2
Q3 201212.78.76.45.37.26.710.2
Q4 201212.68.56.45.27.26.810.2
Q1 201312.68.56.45.17.16.810.1
Q2 201312.68.46.54.97.16.810.1
Q3 201312.68.46.54.876.810
Q4 201312.58.56.54.876.89.9
Q1 201412.58.46.54.96.96.89.7
Q2 201412.58.46.44.86.86.99.6
Q3 201412.68.36.44.86.86.99.6
Q4 201412.68.26.44.76.76.99.5
Q1 201512.58.16.44.66.76.99.5
Q2 201512.48.16.44.56.66.99.3
Q3 201512.58.16.44.56.66.89.2
Q4 201512.58.16.44.56.56.89.1
Q1 201612.586.34.56.56.89.2
Q2 201612.886.34.56.46.79.1
Q3 201612.886.34.56.46.89.2
Q4 201612.986.34.56.36.89.2
Q1 201712.986.34.46.36.89.2
Q2 20171386.24.46.36.89.3
Q3 20171386.24.46.26.89.3
Q4 201713.186.34.36.26.99.2
Q1 20181386.34.36.279.1
Q2 201813.286.24.36.179.1
Q3 201813.486.34.36.179.1
Q4 201813.67.96.34.26.179.1
Q1 201913.57.96.34.36.17.18.9
Q2 201913.67.96.34.36.17.19
Q3 201913.67.96.34.36.17.19
Q4 201913.57.96.44.26.17.19
Q1 202013.47.96.44.36.17.19
Q2 202012.87.66.54.36.17.48.9
Q3 202012.57.66.54.36.17.58.9
Q4 202012.47.66.64.36.27.69

Source: BIS; Better Dwelling.

Households and policymakers perpetuate what’s happening in Canada is normal, but it’s not. Households spend almost double the share of income on debt payments in the G7. Most of the debt is due to non-productive investment in things like housing. It was tapped to create an economic boom over the past few years, but puts households in a highly vulnerable position. The costs of which are often shared by those without much debt. 


Who is to blame for aggressive coyotes in Stanley Park?


Fences around Stanley Park in September 2021 as conservation officers trap and kill dozens of coyotes.

Alissa Thibault
CTV News Vancouver Multi-Media Journalist
Published Sept. 17, 2021 8

VANCOUVER -

It’s now been two weeks since the Vancouver Park Board and provincial officials erected a bright orange fence around Stanley Park to try and deal with aggressive coyotes.

When the plan to cull the animals was first announced, B.C.'s Ministry of Forests said professional contractors would be trapping up to 35 coyotes in the park.

So far, four coyotes have been caught and euthanized. In an emailed statement Friday, the ministry said it's "possible there may be less coyotes in the park than anticipated.”


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Edward Kroc is an assistant professor of measurement, evaluation and research methodology at the University of British Columbia, and specializes in urban ecology.

“I would put the majority of the blame directly on the park board,” he said. “Presumably they have resources, they have money. I don’t know what they’re using it for but they are clearly not using it to maintain a healthy park, in terms of a healthy ecosystem, at all. It's basically just been a garbage pit for people to play in.”

As far as the province is concerned, Kroc says it’s “absurd” that officials don’t know how many coyotes are in the park.

“The cull should be halted and they should actually go out and study the population that they’re killing,” he said.


CTV News asked the Vancouver Park Board how much money has been spent so far on the coyote management project. An emailed response had no firm figure but said “most of the costs (which are minimal at this point) have been incurred within the last few weeks."

As a comparison request, CTV News was also provided the cost of the temporary Stanley Park bike lane, which came to $815,000 for public surveys, consultation and implementation. The lane is set to be removed in October.

Board Commissioner John Coupar has long been against the temporary bike lane and said the money spent on it was “unnecessary” and “wasteful.”

Coupar is also critical of Park Board Chair Camille Dumont. Dumont put forward the bike lane motion, and Coupar said he has also failed to handle the coyote issue.

“I would suggest the chair of the park board, who’s a member of the Green-COPE alliance on the park board, should have been more visible to the media and more visible to the public,” he said.

CTV News reached out to Dumont for comment, but did not hear back by deadline.

When asked if the park board was responsible for the coyote situation getting to the point of the animals needing to be culled, Coupar said the province should have stepped in sooner.

“Our job isn’t wildlife management, that’s the province, and even the ticketing and all that, that’s the province wildlife officers,” he said. “It’s really not the mandate of the park board to control wildlife in Stanley Park, never has been.”

No on from the Ministry of Forests was available for an interview Friday. In its statement, the ministry said the coyote traps will be “locked down and de-activated” over the weekend due to the weather, adding more information will be coming early next week.


TORIES ADMIT LIBERALS DID SOMETHING THEY WOULD  DO
Algoma Steel applauds Conservative endorsement of Liberal financial contribution

Party supports $420 million federal financial commitments to facilitate Algoma’s proposed transition to electric arc furnace steelmaking

2 days ago By: SooToday Staff
Algoma Steel Chief Executive Officer, Michael McQuade made remarks following a $420 million funding announcement by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau at Algoma Steel on Monday, July 5, 2021. Donna Hopper/SooToday

In a release issued today, Algoma Steel Inc. Chief Executive Officer Michael McQuade praised comments from Conservative candidate Sonny Spina that affirmed his party’s commitment to honour a $420 million financial contribution announced by the Liberal government this past July.

“The nation’s push to address climate change, regardless of political affiliation, includes facilitating investment in competitive green steel products direct from this community,” said McQuade in the release. “As such, we applaud their endorsement.”

Full text of the news release follows:

Algoma Steel Inc. today applauded recent statements by Sonny Spina, the Conservative candidate for Sault Ste. Marie, affirming the Conservative Party’s endorsement of the $420 million of federal financial commitments to facilitate Algoma Steel’s proposed transition to electric arc furnace (EAF) steelmaking.

The financial commitment, announced July 5, 2021 by the Liberal Government, is expected to support the Company’s transition to become Canada’s leading producer of green steel. The financial commitment is subject to the negotiation of definitive documentation, and a final investment decision with respect to the proposed EAF transition has not yet been made by Algoma.

Algoma Steel Chief Executive Officer, Michael McQuade commented, “It is not surprising that the Conservative Party would support a program that is designed to ensure the continuation of thousands of very good direct and indirect jobs in Sault Ste. Marie and the province of Ontario. It also stands to reason that the nation’s push to address climate change, regardless of political affiliation, includes facilitating investment in competitive green steel products direct from this community. As such, we applaud their endorsement.”

Added McQuade, “Algoma continues to do the necessary work to move this transition program forward. This includes active engagement with all stakeholders within the community and across our labour groups, including ongoing discussions with the United Steelworkers District 6 and Local 2724. There is tremendous opportunity embedded in the EAF transformation, with a focus on growth and long-term, multi-generational job creation, with support and retraining programs where applicable. We look forward to continuing our work and updating the community as we move forward.”

MACABRE
This stop-motion short from 1933 is perfect nightmare fuel

POPKIN 10:25 AM FRI SEP 17, 2021


The Peanut Vendor is a charming and unintentionally terrifying animation from 1933. This black and white, two-minute short, features a creepy monkey puppet who sings a song about the "peanut vendor."

One of the things that makes this puppet so eerie is its googly-eyes that keep rolling around, and its incredibly long and slender arms.

If someone re-created this puppet and put it on their lawn this October, it would surely top any store-bought halloween decorations.