Sunday, November 21, 2021

Omarova lays out ‘scary scenario’ in crypto, gets pushback from senators in hearing


·Senior Reporter

Saule Omarova, President Joe Biden’s embattled nominee for a top banking regulator position, sketched out the possibility of “scary” scenarios emerging in cryptocurrency, but faced a mix of skepticism and agreement from senators on her views.

During her appearance before the Senate Banking Committee on Thursday, Omarova — who is being vetted to be the next Comptroller of the Currency, which regulates the majority of the nation’s banks — voiced concerns that large tech companies could control the payment infrastructure in the U.S. if private digital currencies are allowed to thrive, potentially displacing the value of the U.S dollar.

“I’m struggling with your view about digital assets,” Senator Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) told Omarova at the hearing.

When asked by the senator whether she only believes in fiat currency, Omarova replied, “No ... My concern is … we may end up in a situation where a large company like a big tech company might control all of the infrastructure through which the money that every American and every American business uses in their daily moves.”

Omarova agreed with Rhode Island Democrat Jack Reid, who posed a scenario in which Facebook designs a digital currency that overtakes the U.S. dollar making the dollar something that can’t be used to regulate our economy.

“National banks would not need a charter, they would just need to get a franchise from Facebook, is that right?” Reid asked.

“That’s correct,” the nominee replied. “This is the scary scenario everyone should take seriously these days.”

Omarova said she worried that embracing private cryptocurrencies could make it harder for the U.S. dollar to remain dominant — a concern even former President Donald Trump recently voiced to Yahoo Finance.

“My concern is that in the system where a lot of private actors like Facebook can issue their own version of currency, that can potentially outpace and even displace the U.S. dollar,” Omarova told senators.

That could have “implications far beyond what we typically consider in the banking sphere, but might also undermine our sovereignty and the value of the dollar,” she added.

Keep the dollar dominant

WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 18: Chairman Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) listens during Dr. Saule Omarova's nomination hearing to be the Comptroller of the Currency with the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee on Capitol Hill on November 18, 2021 in Washington, DC. Senators questioned Omarova about her views and past comments on bank oversight. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

Omarova stated the new technologies offer a lot of potential benefits for better efficiency of payment and transactions as well as financial inclusion. Still, “it does raise a lot of issues with regard to the ability of our nation to maintain the dominant status of the U.S. dollar in the global economy.”

She argued the reason the dollar has retained its dominant status is because the Federal Reserve has been able to maintain the value of the dollar and maintain the money supply in the economy.

When asked by Lummis whether she thought Bitcoin (BTC-USD) threatens national security, Omarova said she’s not an expert in bitcoin, but worried that if all U.S. financial transactions were part of a blockchain system. Various actors might be acting in the interest of the U.S. could take control of the system, she suggested.

Omarova added that she worried private companies are pursuing profits, which may cut into the public interest by not allowing equal access to money for everyone.

“I do believe we have government issued money now in this country and it’s working great and I worry about allowing private innovation to undermine a lot of important public policies we need to pursue,” said Omarova.

While she worries about private currencies, Omarova says she favors a central bank digital currency (CBDC) over privately issued stablecoins because it’s issued by the government and will ensure access for everyone.

“The one potential advantage of CBDC over privately issued stablecoins is that it will be issued subject to statutory mandate legal decisions made by democratically elected lawmakers,” Omarova told the committee.

“So that will allow the central bank under the oversight of congress to ensure everyone has fair access to new forms of money,” she added.

Biden's top bank regulator nomination at risk after tense hearing



Courtenay Brown
Fri, November 19, 2021,

A high-stakes battle over the next bank cop just got shoved into the spotlight.

Driving the news: A crucial hearing yesterday — that was ugly and tense at times — made one thing clear: Saule Omarova's shot at leading one of the nation's most powerful financial regulators may be at risk, with growing opposition from both sides of the aisle.

Why it matters: The law professor — a vocal critic, who's put forth proposals that would "end banking as we know it” — is gunning to oversee lenders whose assets make up two-thirds of the banking system's total.

If confirmed as head of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Omarova could leave a mark on hugely important issues, including how banks interact with cryptocurrency or lend to controversial industries — and who gets to be a national bank.

The latest: Omarova's critics are getting louder.

Republicans claim her academic research suggests support for nationalizing the bank sector. Moderate Democrats don't like that she opposed a law that eased some regional bank regulations — or that she said earlier this year that small oil-and-gas companies should go bankrupt to help “tackle climate change.”

During yesterday's hearing before a key Senate panel, Omarova pushed back: She said the fossil fuel industry was “a very important part of the economy” and that her research isn't an endorsement of any one idea.

Catch up quick: The OCC has had temporary leaders — though, acting heads might not feel totally entitled to pursue an aggressive agenda.

By the numbers: The office has been without a permanent head for nearly 18 months straight — including the 10 months Biden has been in office, according to data from the nonprofit Partnership for Public Service.

What we're watching: Other Democrats on the committee, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), support Biden's pick.

Warren said Republicans who oppose Omarova "are doing the bidding of giant banks that want to keep gobbling up smaller competitors, want to keep ripping off their customers, and want to keep getting away with it.”

If there’s no Republican support, just one Democratic opposition could sink the nomination. That may extend the regulatory limbo.

One thing looming: A half-century-old anti-redlining law that the next leader could revamp.

What's next: There's no date yet, but the banking committee will vote on whether to advance Omarova — who would be the first nonwhite and first female to permanently get the job — to a full Senate vote.

Go deeper: More Democrats cool on Biden currency comptroller pick

Biden Nominee, Who Was Born in Soviet Kazakhstan, Defends Herself at Senate Hearing: 'I'm Not a Communist'

Aaron Parsley
Fri, November 19, 2021

Saule Omarova
Michael Brochstein/SOPA Images/Shutterstock

President Joe Biden's pick to lead the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency — an independent bureau within the Treasury that oversees the national banking system — defended herself to members of the Senate Banking Committee who questioned whether she's more aligned with communism than free-market capitalism.

"I'm not a communist," Saule Omarova, a Cornell University law professor who was born in Soviet Kazakhstan and studied in Moscow, said during Thursday's confirmation hearing. "I do not subscribe to that ideology. I could not choose where I was born."

Omarova, who became a U.S. citizen in 2005 and served in President George W. Bush's administration, was asked by Republican Sen. John Kennedy whether she'd been a member of a young communist organization in her youth.

"I don't know whether to call you professor or comrade," he said.

Omarova explained that membership in the Leninist Communist Young Union of the Russian Federation had been compulsory for young people when she was growing up in the former Soviet republic.



US Senator John Kennedy
JIM WATSON/AFP 

She also said she had very little academic freedom when asked about writing a thesis on Karl Marx's economic analysis as an undergrad at Moscow State University more than 40 years ago. The thesis, she said, was written in Russian on a typewriter and she didn't bring it with her when she emigrated to the U.S. in 1991.

Her more recent academic papers were also brought up during the questioning with Republicans suggesting that her opinions show a willingness to recreate the country's consumer banking system, allow fossil fuel companies to go bankrupt and to dictate private investment decisions.

RELATED: Joe Biden Picks First-Ever Black Nominee for Defense Secretary

"She wants to nationalize the banking system, put in place price controls, create a command-and-control economy where the government allocates resources explicitly, instead of free men and women making their own decisions about the goods and services they want to buy and sell in an open market," Sen. Pat Toomey, the top Republican on the panel, said, according to The Hill. "These are exactly the kind of socialist ideas that have failed everywhere in the world they've been tried."

Omarova defended her writings as merely "academic debate" over the evolution of the country's financial systems and that said she doesn't necessarily endorse every topic she's written about.

In her opening statement, Omarova spoke about growing up in Kazakhstan as an ethnic minority "in an all-women household, under a totalitarian regime presiding over a failing economy."


Saule Omarova
Michael Brochstein/SOPA Images/Shutterstock

"I was raised by my grandmother, a soft-spoken woman who was orphaned and barely escaped death when, in the 1920s, Stalin sent her entire family to Siberia," Omarova said. "The crime for which my grandmother's family was killed was that they were educated Kazakhs who did not join the Party."

She added that her pursuit of an education was "an act of defying political oppression and injustice."

"I studied hard, got into the best university I could, and was ultimately able to fulfill my dream of coming to America – the land of opportunity and freedom," she said.

If confirmed, Omarova would be the first woman to hold the position, NPR reports.


Sen. Elizabeth Warren defended the nominee while also criticizing Republicans for conducting a "vicious smear campaign" on behalf of the banking industry which has "declared war" on Omarova for her "willingness to enforce the law to keep our system safe and that you may cut into big bank profit."

"Are you a capitalist who believes in free markets?" Warren asked.

"Yes I am," Omarova responded.


‘Morning Joe’ Rails Against GOP Sen John Kennedy for ‘Sick’ Questioning of Biden Nominee



Lindsey Ellefson
Fri, November 19, 2021,

The “Morning Joe” hosts and panelists were outwardly disgusted Friday over the “cynical and hateful” questioning by Sen. John Kennedy (R-Louisiana) of Saule Omarova, Joe Biden’s appointee to lead the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.

During a Senate Banking Committee hearing on Thursday, Kennedy called Omarova “comrade” and suggested she might be a Communist because she was born in Kazakhstan.

“You might look at that and think that Sen. Kennedy is stupid,” MSNBC host Joe Scarborough said. “No, he’s not. He knew exactly what he was doing. He went to Oxford. This is going around in the Republican Party: People with Ivy League degrees — people that went to Oxford — try to play as dumb as possible for the cameras. They’re not fooling anybody. That was just as cynical and hateful of a spectacle, attacking somebody because they were born in a — under a — totalitarian regime.”

Co-host Mika Brzezinski fumed: “Look what she’s done and what incredible accomplishments in her life and now wanting to serve. This was sick. This was really hard to watch. It made me want to cry.”

Omarova, a Cornell University law professor, previously served as an adviser to the Treasury Department under former president George W. Bush, a Republican.

“Senator, I’m not a communist,” Omarova said at one point during the hearing. “I do not subscribe to that ideology. I could not choose where I was born.”

Omarova, like all children in the Soviet Union, was expected to participate in a Communist youth organization. Kennedy asked her if she ever resigned and pushed her even after she explained that children age out of the program with no formal resignation requirement. She pivoted to explain that her family suffered under communism, which ultimately propelled her to the United States and fueled her dream to live here and serve her adopted homeland.

Electric vehicle transition puts 60,000 Italian jobs at risk, union says


FILE PHOTO: An electric car is plugged in at a charging point for electric vehicles in Rome

Fri, November 19, 2021, 7:59 AM·2 min read

MILAN (Reuters) - The transition to electric cars could jeopardise 60,000 jobs in Italy, one of the country's main metal workers' unions said on Friday and called on the government to support a sector that is "overwhelmed by changes".

Industry analysts say the auto sector in Italy could be hit harder than elsewhere because of the small average size of firms in the country and the scale of investment needed to comply with the European Union's "Fit-For-55" climate plan to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by 55% from 1990 levels by 2030.

Unions and Italy's business lobby Confindustria alike have said many small and medium-sized countries may be forced to close unless the government provides tax breaks and incentives for the sector.

"In spite of the complaints and requests from trade unions and companies, in the budget law the government has not included any intervention to support a sector overwhelmed by changes caused by the energy and green transition," Ferdinando Uliano, Head of FIM CISL union, and Stefano Boschini, FIM CISL Chief for the automotive sector, said in a statement.

A group of industry associations for the automotive sector also issued a statement on Friday to complain about the lack of support in the budget law and in Italy's plan for the post-pandemic recovery.

FIM CISL's top officials urged the government to create a fund to shield workers and small and medium enterprises, adding that incentives were needed to encourage the purchase of electric and hybrid cars and the renewal of public administrations' car fleets.

FIM CISL also asked the industry ministry to define conditions and advantages to attract investments from multinational groups including Vitesco Technologies, Bosch and Denso.

The automotive supply chain in Italy employs 278,000 direct and indirect workers and accounts for 6.2% of the gross domestic product, the country's automotive association ANFIA says.

The union did not say how it had calculated the number of those jobs that are at risk.

(Reporting by Francesca Landini, editing by Barbara Lewis)
Evolutionary virologist once open to Wuhan lab leak theory now says COVID spread from animal market

Peter Weber, Senior editor
Fri, November 19, 2021,

Huanan seafood market in Wuhan Noel Celis/AFP/Getty Images

Michael Worobey, an evolutionary biologist who signed a high-profile letter in May urging further study of the theory that the COVID-19 coronavirus accidently leaked from the Wuhan Institute of Virology, reported in the journal Science on Thursday that new research strongly suggests the new virus spread to humans from animals at the Huanan Seafood Market, several miles from the lab. His reconstruction of the early days of the pandemic adds to mounting evidence that the coronavirus originated in bats and infected humans through an intermediary mammal, The Wall Street Journal reports.

Worobey, a leading expert in tracking the evolution of viruses, pored through all available records and found that 10 of 19 early COVID-19 patients worked at or had visited the Huanan market, around the area where raccoon dogs were slaughtered. His research determined that a World Health Organization report incorrectly identified a 41-year-old accountant who had not been near the market as the earliest known case. Instead, the first confirmed patients was a female seafood vendor who became symptomatic on Dec. 11.

"In this city of 11 million people, half of the early cases are linked to a place that's the size of a soccer field," Worobey said. "It becomes very difficult to explain that pattern if the outbreak didn't start at the market." He reiterated to The Washington Post that "it becomes almost impossible to explain that pattern if that epidemic didn't start there."


Chinese officials have said the Huanan market wasn't the source of the pandemic. "The market was quickly closed, the animals culled before any were screened for SARS-CoV-2, and everything cleaned and sanitized soon after the outbreak began," the Post reports. "Still, a subsequent investigation showed that traces of the virus were found on surfaces in the market, including drains, particularly in the area where vendors sold animals."

Worobey's reconstruction of the pandemic's origin doesn't conclusively prove nature over lab leak, and some virologists said that given China's reticence to share information, that debate may never be settled. "He has done an excellent job of reconstructing what he can from the available data, and it's as reasonable a hypothesis as any," Columbia University virologist W. Ian Lipkin told The New York Times. "But I don't think we're ever going to know what's going on, because it's two years ago and it's still murky."

Wuhan’s seafood market may have been the origin of the covid-19 pandemic after all

ALY SONG / REUTERS
The Huanan meat and seafood market in Wuhan

By Samanth Subramanian
Looking into the Future of Capitalism
Published November 19, 2021

When and where the covid-19 pandemic began seems to hinge on when a 41-year-old accountant got sick.

The World Health Organization (WHO) thought it was Dec. 8, 2019, making him the first-known covid-19 patient, according to the WHO’s March 2021 report into the origins of the pandemic. Since the accountant hadn’t visited the Huanan seafood market in Wuhan—where the coronavirus was presumed to have first spread—theories of covid-19’s origins underwent a revision. And since the accountant lived closer to the Wuhan Institute of Virology, the WHO report fed the “lab leak” theory: that the coronavirus had slipped into the world from a lab at the Institute.

Among the scientists who believed that the lab leak theory ought to be investigated was Michael Worobey, a virologist at the University of Arizona. On Nov. 18, however, Worobey took a different stance. Having studied the patterns of early cases as well as medical records, Worobey concluded that the accountant first showed symptoms not on Dec. 8 but on Dec. 16, 2019. As a result, Worobey argued in a paper published in Science, the most likely “patient zero” was a woman who sold seafood at the Huanan market, whose symptoms appeared on Dec. 11.

On Twitter, Worobey warned that his article didn’t cover every possible detail. But by bringing the Wuhan market back into the reckoning, Worobey’s paper offers ideas for scientists looking to figure out how the virus jumped the species barrier into human beings. And it offers a counter to those who still believe that the virus was loosed into the world from a Chinese lab.

Who was covid-19’s patient zero?


To determine the date of the accountant’s illness, Worobey relied in part on a video report from The Paper, a Shanghai-based publication funded in part by the Chinese government. In the video, shot in March 2020, the accountant said his covid-19 symptoms began on Dec. 16, 2019. He had been ill on Dec. 8 as well, he said, but that trip to the hospital had to do with a visit to the dentist, to treat “baby teeth retained into adulthood,” Worobey wrote. Closer to his covid-19 infection, the accountant added, he had traveled closer to the Huanan market; by then, several cases had emerged at the market already.

The WHO report doesn’t seem to take this timeline into account; it regards the date of the accountant’s sickness as Dec. 8, 2019. Speaking to the New York Times, Peter Daszak, a member of the WHO team, said the report’s conclusion about that date was a mistake.

Focusing again on the Huanan market

If the accountant is ruled out, the second confirmed case identified by the WHO becomes the first: the seafood vendor in the Huanan market. That fits the preponderance of cases that emerged in and around the market, Worobey argues. It wasn’t “just” a super-spreading site, he said; there were other places in Wuhan, such as restaurants or hospitals or shopping malls, that would have been more likely super-spreading sites. Instead, the market was the likely origin of the disease’s spread itself, Worobey believes.

Worobey’s paper isn’t, by any means, the final word. David Relman, a Stanford microbiologist, told the Washington Post that Worobey had based his paper “on fragmentary information and to a large degree hearsay.” Worobey responded on Twitter, saying that scientists should refrain from “dismissing the voices of the frontline workers and COVID patients in Wuhan as dishonest or hopelessly unreliable in recounting their own experiences.”

Column: A new research paper adds to the evidence that COVID-19 came from animals, not a Chinese lab


Michael Hiltzik
Fri, November 19, 2021

Medical staff help a patient walk into the hospital in Wuhan, China, in January 2020 as the pandemic was beginning. (Barcroft Media via Getty Images)

A new peer-reviewed research paper points to the likelihood that the COVID-19 pandemic originated at a seafood and wildlife market in Wuhan, China, rather than from a Chinese laboratory studying bat viruses.

The paper, by University of Arizona evolutionary biologist Michael Worobey, supports the consensus among virology experts that the pandemic's origin was natural — that the SARS-CoV-2 virus causing COVID-19 spread via contacts between humans and animals, first from bats, then to intermediate mammalian species, and then to humans. Worobey's report was published Thursday in the journal Science.

Worobey's finding that the earliest identified COVID-19 cases centered around the Huanan Market in central Wuhan, the teeming metropolis where the outbreak apparently originated, "takes the lab-leak idea almost completely off the table," he told me.

I would be very happy to have rejected the natural origin idea with this deep dive that I've done. But that's just not how it worked out
Michael Worobey, University of Arizona


Worobey notes that more than half of the earliest identified COVID-19 cases were centered around the market.

The patients either worked at the market or had friends or other contacts who did, some of whom has visited their homes. Others lived in the "direct vicinity" of the market and may have been connected by only one or two transmissions of the highly infectious virus to someone with direct contact with the market.

"So many of the early cases were tied to this one Home Depot-sized building in a city of 11 million people, when there are thousands of other places where it would be more likely for early cases to be linked to if the virus had not started there," he says.

For even early cases not directly linked to the market to arise among patients with home addresses clustered around the market "is an absolutely crucial point," he says. "There's no way you should expect a bunch of people with the earliest cases of the virus to live around the market unless it started at the market."

Worobey's paper takes aim at one of the central contentions of lab-leak proponents — that Chinese investigators tied the earliest COVID cases to the Huanan Market deliberately to steer attention away from government laboratories in Wuhan, specifically the Wuhan Institute of Virology. The institute was known to have been studying bat viruses purportedly similar to SARS-CoV-2.

The paper undermines a competing theory that the SARS-CoV-2 virus leaked from the Wuhan institute or another lab studying bat viruses, whether inadvertently or as the result of secret bioweapon research. No evidence of research at those labs on viruses that could be precursors to SARS-CoV-2 has ever emerged.

The lab-leak theory originated in 2020 among ideologues in the State Department under then-President Trump. For them, blaming a pandemic on the Chinese government served the dual purposes of scoring points against a geopolitical adversary and distracting attention from the Trump administration’s incompetent response to the pandemic.

Worobey performed what he calls a "deep dive" into the chronology and pattern by which the earliest patients were identified at local and regional hospitals.

He found that doctors were finding patients with what turned out to be telltale signs of COVID-19, such as distinctive X-ray images of infected lungs and patients' failure to respond to customary antiviral treatments, well before anyone identified the market as an epicenter of the infection.


(Reprinted with permission from the American Assn. for the Advancement of Science)

That ruled out any chance that investigators had "cherry picked" the early cases to place blame on the market and divert it from government labs.

"The experiences of these hospitals as they went from not understanding anything about these new cases to its dawning on people at different places and different times that it's spreading," Worobey says, "that rules out ascertainment bias. The link to the market is real, not a mirage."

Worobey concludes that the earliest known COVID-19 case was that of a female seafood vendor at the market, who fell ill on Dec. 11, 2019, and who told investigators that she knew of several other people who fell ill with the same symptoms around the same time.

That conflicts with the long-held identification of the first case as that of a 41-year-old male accountant who had been reported as falling ill on Dec. 8, despite living some 20 miles from the seafood market and having no connection to it.

Worobey unearthed reports, confirmed by hospital records, that the accountant's initial disease was related to a dental problem, not the virus. He did not fall ill with COVID-19 until Dec. 16, possibly during a hospital visit for his dental treatment or during a subway commute, and was hospitalized on Dec. 22.

Worobey's paper adds to the growing body of research pointing to a natural, or "zoonotic" origin of the pandemic. That conclusion is regarded as overwhelmingly likely by virologists, especially since it matches the path by which viral pandemics have typically started throughout history.

Worobey was an instigator an co-author of a May 14, 2021, open letter published in Science and signed by himself and 17 other scientists urging a "dispassionate, science-based" inquiry into the two hypotheses.

He says he was concerned that the potential that the virus escaped from a lab had been dismissed "prematurely," though "even at that time, I thought a natural origin was more likely, though I thought the lab-leak scenario was much more of a contender than I think now."

Multiple research findings since the letter's publication have dealt "body blows" to the lab-leak idea, he told me. Those include a published paper documenting that wildlife susceptible to the virus were being sold illegally at the Huanan Market, which Chinese authorities initially denied.

Other research has established that viruses collected from bats at a copper mine in Mojiang, on the Laotian border about 800 miles from Wuhan, and studied at the Wuhan institute are not nearly as genetically similar to SARS-CoV-2 as initially reported. That means they could not have been progenitors of the pandemic virus.

"I've been very much open to the lab-leak idea," Worobey says. "I would be very happy to have rejected the natural origin idea with this deep dive that I've done. But that's just not how it worked out."

Proponents of the lab-leak hypothesis argue that no empirical evidence exists for a natural spillover, as no animals of potentially intermediate species have yet been found to carry antibodies for the virus.

That's misleading, however. Scientists have found evidence pointing to an evolutionary pathway leading to SARS-CoV-2 from closely related viruses found in Laos and Cambodia, about 1,000 miles from Wuhan.

"The common wisdom is that we don't know very much about the emergence of SARS-CoV-2," virologist Robert Garry of Tulane University told a colloquium sponsored by the Global Virus Network earlier this week. He observed that nine coronaviruses that share structural features with SARS-CoV-2 have been known to infect humans, including the original SARS virus that spread globally and killed more than 700 people in 2002-2004, and the MERS virus that spread primarily in the Middle East in 2012.

"Compared to these other viruses, we actually know more about the emergence SARS-CoV-2," he said. "We know more about how it got into the human population, we know the proximal ancestor, we know there's a bat, we know the particular kind of bat, we have a virus that's extremely close to SARS-CoV-2 [a virus isolated from bats in Laos], and we know the place that the virus spilled over" from animals to people.

"We've made actually some great strides with determining the origin of SARS-CoV-2," Garry said. "You have to believe in quite a few impossible things to believe that the virus leaked from a lab at the Wuhan Institute of Virology."

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

The solution to climate change? It could be right under your feet


Jamie Blackett
Sat, November 20, 2021,

Pulling a carrot from the earth - Alamy

This is a very timely book. Farmers are pondering regenerative agriculture, gardeners are discussing “no dig” and we are all worried about reaching carbon “net zero”. But few of us know what we are talking about, largely because the scientific community has spent more time studying the stars than the soil on which our survival depends. As Matthew Evans observes: “For me, soil seemed dull and insipid.” Yet, “Good soil isn’t just an abstract concept; it’s a thing of wonder … There are more living things in a teaspoon of healthy soil than there are humans on Earth.”

Evans is the right man to explain. An Australian with an interesting CV, reflecting an insatiable curiosity: from chef-cum-food writer and broadcaster to Tasmanian farmer and now one of the best commentators on anything between the soil and our stomachs. He first came to attention over here with On Eating Meat, one of the best critiques of modern farming you will ever read. Evans is not an academic – which perhaps explains his didactic talents as he deftly guides us through the story of soil with simple explanations and the enthusiasm of a Blue Peter presenter – but has dug deep to understand the science and present it to us in an easily digestible format.

And what a story it is. Evans ranges freely from geology to nutrition via agronomy on an evangelical mission to show how central soil is to life. He explains how smelling healthy soil is good for our sense of wellbeing and how soil microbes have been found to be the nuclei of raindrops. He takes us to the University of Tennessee’s Forensic Anthropology Centre’s “body farm”, where volunteers leave their corpses for research into how bodies decompose, to give us a stark reminder that we are only briefly “not soil”. And he suggests, only partly tongue-in-cheek, that we should consider using human remains as fertiliser, particularly as cremation releases carbon and nitrogen into the atmosphere leaving calcium phosphate, which is “not available to plants in that form”. And then there is the discussion of “humanure”, which is best read between meals.

If some of it is shocking, it reinforces Evans’s main thesis that healthy topsoil has either been vanishing at an alarming rate, or poisoned by chemicals, and that we must make more of it. He shines a merciless light on the damaging side effects of the “green revolution” and particularly on its main architect, the Nobel laureate Fritz Haber, the inventor of the process that creates the nitrogen to produce “about one mouthful out of every two a human eats”. Haber’s invention of poisoned gas caused his wife, also a chemist, to kill herself a week after its first use at Ypres in 1915.

As a knowledgeable foodie, Evans traces the links between healthy bacteria in the soil biome and the nutrients we need for health and rattles off some very depressing statistics showing how the food we eat is far less nutrient dense than in our grandparents’ day. He is dismissive of air proteins, “lab food” manufactured using electricity when we should be utilising the sun’s energy to grow better food.

Happily, contrary to the zero-sum arguments we often hear from environmentalists, we can make more topsoil relatively easily. Some of the most interesting parts of the book are about how prehistoric peoples in West Africa and South America independently discovered different methods of creating rich dark soils from charcoals, manures and composts, something we have been slow to investigate in the modern era.

Most importantly, Evans explains how regenerative agriculture that draws carbon out of the atmosphere into the soil so that it is “like chocolate cake’” (through minimising soil disturbance and exposure, diverse cropping and grazing livestock) is our best hope of reversing climate change. He quotes Stéphane Le Foll’s “quatre pour mille” idea: that if all the world’s soils under human management were to increase in soil carbon by just four parts per 1,000 (0.4 per cent) annually, virtually the entire global increase in carbon emissions for each year could be offset. Suggestion for Mr and Mrs Thunberg: please pop a copy of Soil into Greta’s stocking this Christmas.

Soil is published by Murdoch Books at £14.99.

COP26 achieves less than hoped

Mahmoud Mohieldin
Saturday 20 Nov 2021

Despite pledges made at last week’s COP26 Climate Change Conference, the world is no closer to keeping global warming below the 1.5 degree Celsius target.

One of the achievements of the conference was the agreement to limit the Earth’s warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels. The Paris Agreement in 2015 set the target at below 2 degrees Celsius. To meet this goal, all countries must adopt more effective plans to reduce their carbon emissions by 2030 during the coming year. Because of the difficulties this presents to some, the participants at COP26 were unable to reach an agreement over the future of coal. China and India would commit only to gradually reducing their use of coal but not to ending it.  

COP26 President Alok Sharma reportedly choked back tears as he apologised for the conference being unable to do more, though he still described the results as a whole as being “a fragile win.” Indeed, optimists say that the mere mention of phasing down the use of coal and inefficient fossil-fuel subsidies in the Glasgow documents was in itself an unprecedented achievement. The participants also pledged to carry out an annual review of procedures to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement and to adhere to more transparent and mandatory reporting rules.

However, despite such pledges, the world is still no closer to attaining the 1.5 degree Celsius target. The proposed measures are also not designed to attain the Paris Agreement targets. Even if we presume countries commit to their pledges to reach their emissions targets by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2050, the best they will be able to attain is an average of 1.8 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels. The more likely result will be 2.4 degrees combined with a significant increase in the number and severity of the storms, floods and other climate-related disasters the world has recently experienced.

The joint US-Chinese announcement on 10 November marked a possible breakthrough towards accelerating steps to comply with the Paris Agreement, given that these two countries are among the world’s largest emitters. At the time of writing, it appeared that the climate would be on the list of priorities to be discussed during the virtual summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Joe Biden this week.

Despite the difficulties involved, I believe the two men are within a closer reach of an understanding in areas related to this subject than on other matters on their agenda, especially those related to geopolitics or the economic and technological rivalry between the two countries.

 

WHEN NUMBERS LOSE THEIR MEANING: The Chinese philosopher Confucius said that “when words lose their meaning, people lose their freedom.” If so, this thought may also apply to numbers, especially on data reporting.

If numbers lose their meaning, they do not comply with accuracy and transparency, and this may be no less dangerous than a failure to comply with agreed pledges and measures to protect the planet and its inhabitants. Without the application of internationally standardised indicators and methods for assessment reviewing and tracking progress, misleading information proliferates.

This situation led some among the crowds gathered outside the COP26 Conference in Glasgow to refer to the proceedings as simply so much idle chat.  

People have good reason to fear that the declarations from governments, companies and financial institutions about pledges and commitments are little more than “greenwashing.” For this reason, the UN secretary-general decided to establish a “group of experts to propose clear standards to measure and analyse the net zero commitments of non-state actors.” I do suggest that similar committees be created at national level to follow through on the application of these standards and the implementation of pledges at the country level.

FINANCING AND THE 80/20 DILEMMA: In a speech I delivered to one COP26 proceedings, I explained that the figures for funding were no better than the figures for bringing emissions under control in keeping with the pledges made.

Referring to the Pareto Principle, or the 80/20 rule, I said in the paper that the G20 group of countries represented 80 per cent of the global economy and were responsible for 80 per cent of climate-damaging emissions, but that they were not collectively contributing the same amount to remedying the problems arising from the emissions.

Since the pledge made at the Copenhagen Climate Conference in 2009 to mobilise $100 billion a year to help the developing countries meet their climate goals, only three out of the 23 countries that committed to the pledge have proven true to their word. These countries are Germany, Norway and Sweden. While the international NGO Oxfam has announced an 80 per cent shortfall in the amount raised to meet the above-mentioned pledge, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) announced in 2019 (i.e., before the Covid-19 pandemic) that $79.6 billion had been collected for this purpose and that the shortfall was only around 20 per cent.

In fact, the figures show that in 2019 the developing nations received around $20 billion of the funds allocated for climate adaptation. To this we can add that the London-based International Institute for Environment and Development recently confirmed that in its attempts to monitor how much has actually been spent on climate mitigation in 46 low-income countries it could only trace $6 billion.

The preceding illustrates the need for rules and standards for monitoring climate financing, whether for the purposes of mitigation or to help developing nations remedy the damages and losses they have sustained from the consequences of crises they did nothing to cause. The countries that are the least responsible for harmful emissions are the ones that are harmed the most.

Meanwhile, as heartening as we might find the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero (GFANZ) announcement that over $130 trillion in private financial assets has been committed to transforming the global economy to net zero carbon emissions by 2050, this does not automatically translate into effective investment flows. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), an estimated $4 trillion a year needs to be invested in energy alone to meet the 2050 net zero target.

Moreover, while this is a vital component, it is not the only one needed to reach the climate goals, and the climate component is only one of the UN’s 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The world needs a reliable financial observatory to follow through on commitments to financial pledges, and it needs financial oversight institutions to monitor adherence to reporting rules, procedures and standards.

FROM GLASGOW TO SHARM EL-SHEIKH: Last week it was announced in Glasgow that Egypt would be chairing the next UN climate summit and hosting the COP27 Conference in 2022. With this announcement the countdown has begun on work at four levels:

- Global: Between now and next year, the clock will be ticking on the implementation of commitments to emissions reductions, climate adaptation and the management of the energy transition, as well as on funding which should take priority because every measure needs to consider costs and returns.

I believe the focus should be on investments rather than loans as a means of climate funding. The poorest developing nations should not be driven deeper into debt, and they should be helped to remedy damage caused in the past and present by the industrialised and developing nations. There should be investment, not debts, and there should be sufficient compensation for harm, not handouts. There should be suitable technological cooperation and transfer. These should be the mottos guiding the international work on the climate in the future.

 - Regional: COP27 will be also an African COP for a regional perspective. This means starting the search for projects that will pay off for the whole continent. Again, the focus should be on investment in areas vital to climate change that simultaneously contribute to achieving the UN Sustainable Development Goals.

South Africa set a good example of this with the Just Energy Transition Partnership Agreement it launched at COP26 in Glasgow. The agreement, which gives South Africa access to $8.5 billion of funding over five years, sets three goals: ending the use of coal; providing clean alternative energy and supporting coal-dependent communities by creating new job opportunities. Such initiatives can be drawn on in formulating others, albeit to suit the particular priorities, needs and circumstances of each country.

- National: Preparations for the COP27 Conference in Sharm El-Sheikh should be used as a means to advance development policies, structural reforms and digital transformation, as well as to attract investments in areas that stimulate productivity, competitiveness, innovation and development.

- Local: In the framework of the UN Sustainable Development Goals and the ways in which the climate and the environment fit in with them, we should encourage participation in Egypt’s Decent Life Initiative. This is one of the world’s largest and most ambitious development projects that seeks to domesticate sustainable ideas and technologies and to serve directly 60 per cent of the population of rural Egypt.

This initiative can serve as a practical model for other developing nations and show that a solid win for climate efforts, as opposed to a fragile one, entails incorporating and funding projects carried out in the holistic approach  of sustainable development and that benefit the larger public both now and for generations to come.

Death toll of Sudan anti-coup protests rises to 40: medics

The New Arab Staff & Agencies
20 November, 2021

Protests erupted in Sudan following a military coup at the end of October [Getty]


The death toll in Sudan from anti-coup protests since last month's military takeover has risen to at least 40, medics said Saturday after a teenager shot in the head days earlier died.

Sudan's top general Abdel Fattah al-Burhan on 25 October declared a state of emergency, ousted the government and detained the civilian leadership.

The military takeover upended a two-year transition to civilian rule, drew wide international condemnation and punitive measures, as well as provoking people to take to the streets.

Protests on Wednesday provoked the deadliest day so far, with the toll of those killed now standing at 16, according to medics.

"One martyr passed away... after he succumbed to severe wounds after being hit by live rounds to the head and the leg on 17 November," the independent Central Committee of Sudanese Doctors said. He was aged 16, it added.

Most of those killed on Wednesday were in North Khartoum, which lies across the Nile river from the capital, medics said.

Police officials deny using any live ammunition and insist they have used "minimum force" to disperse the protests. They have recorded only one death, among demonstrators in North Khartoum.

'Abuses and violations'

On Friday, small groups of protesters rallied in several neighbourhoods after prayers against the military coup, especially in North Khartoum, where people were seen building barricades across the roads. Security forces sporadically fired teargas to disperse them.

The United States on Friday condemned the deadly crackdown.

"We call for those responsible for human rights abuses and violations, including the excessive use of force against peaceful protesters, to be held accountable," State Department spokesman Ned Price said in a statement.

Washington said Sudanese should "be free to voice their opinions without fear of violence", and called for those arrested since the takeover to be freed.

"In advance of upcoming protests, we call on Sudanese authorities to use restraint and allow peaceful demonstrations," the US added.

Internet shutdowns are being weaponised by Sudan's regime
Perspectives
Jillian C. York


The Sudanese Professionals Association (SPA) have urged protesters to keep up their campaign, reporting Friday that security forces had "stormed homes and mosques" in North Khartoum.

The SPA is an umbrella of unions which were instrumental in the months-long demonstrations that ousted president Omar al-Bashir in April 2019.

Sudan has a long history of military coups, enjoying only rare interludes of democratic rule since independence in 1956.

Burhan, the top general, insists the military's move "was not a coup" but a step "to rectify the transition" as factional infighting and splits deepened between civilians and the military under the now-deposed government.

He has since announced a new civilian-military ruling council in which he kept his position as head, along with a powerful paramilitary commander, three senior military figures, three ex-rebel leaders and one civilian.

But the other four civilian members were replaced with lesser known figures.


Sudan PM Hamdok to return to lead government after deal with General Burhan: Report

AFP , Sunday 21 Nov 2021

Sudan's General Abdel-Fattah al-Burhan and Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok have reached a deal for his return and the release the civilian leadership detained since last month's military takeover, mediators said Sunday.

Hamdok
File Photo: Sudan s Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok chairs a cabinet meeting in the capital Khartoum. AFPShare

Burhan on October 25 declared a state of emergency, ousted the government and detained the civilian leadership.

The military takeover upended a two-year transition to civilian rule, drew international condemnation and punitive measures, and provoked large protests.

A group Sudanese mediators -- including academics, journalists and politicians -- who have been locked in talks to mediate a deal since the outbreak of the crisis, released a statement outlining the main points of the deal.

It includes the restoration of Hamdok as prime minister, the release of all detainees, and what it said was the resumption of the constitutional, legal and political consensus governing the transitional period.

A statement from the mediators said the deal was reached following an agreement among political factions, ex-rebel groups, and military figures.

"The agreement will be officially announced later today (Sunday), after the signing of its terms and the accompanying political declaration," the statement said.

The deal was announced ahead of planned mass protests against the military takeover, the latest in a string of rallies that have left at least 40 people killed, according to medics.

Wednesday was the deadliest day with 16 people killed.

On Saturday, Sudanese authorities said an investigation into the killings would be launched.

Since the military takeover, Burhan has insisted that the military's move "was not a military takeover" but a step "to rectify the transition" as factional infighting and splits deepened between civilians and the military under the now-deposed government.

Earlier this month, he announced a new ruling council in which he kept his position as head, along with a powerful paramilitary commander, three senior military figures, three ex-rebel leaders and one civilian.

But the other four civilian members were replaced with lesser known figures.

The return of Hamdok, a British-educated economist who worked for the United Nations and African organisations, was a key demand of international community.