Saturday, February 26, 2022

FEMICIDE 
A third of domestic violence killers in Australia are 'middle-class'

Wendy Tuoh Feb 22 2022
THE AGE

Hannah Clarke and her three children were murdered by her estranged husband in Queensland in 2020.

A third of Australian men who kill their female partners are high functioning elsewhere in their lives and had not previously come to police attention. Their partners were also middle-class, employed and may not have recognised themselves as victims.

Such killers are in many cases “typically middle-class men who were well respected in their communities and had low levels of contact with the criminal justice system”, new research by the Australian Institute of Criminology has found.

Dr Hayley Boxall, of the institute’s Violence against Women & Children Research Program, said that despite the Australian victims experiencing non-physical abuse such as coercive control, “because they were successful, middle-class and educated, [the victims] did not realise the behaviours as abuse ... they weren’t ‘those’ women, and their partner was not ‘that’ kind of man”.

The report will be released in Australia at the National Research Conference on Violence Against Women on Tuesday, held by Australia’s National Research Organisation for Women’s Safety (ANROWS). It examines the trajectory towards homicide in 200 Australian cases in which men killed their intimate partners between 2007 and 2018.

Family violence isn’t always a scene from Once Were Warriors. More often, it’s about men controlling women, sometimes without physical abuse at all. (Video first published in September 2020)

READ MORE:
* Family and friends remember Kiwi mother killed in Australia
* Coercive control: Lockdown a 'perfect storm' for threats, gaslighting and intimidation
* What must happen to stop men from killing their wives and children?
* Warped masculinity is fuelling NZ's fatal family violence problem

It challenges common stereotypes that the overwhelming majority of family violence perpetrators and victims are from seriously disadvantaged backgrounds and have regular contact with police. The findings shed light on how non-physical forms of family violence can turn fatal in any part of society.

A second report to be released on Tuesday found men committed more than three-quarters of 311 intimate partner homicides in Australia between 2010 and 2018. In most cases where the offender was female, she was also the primary violence victim in the relationship and killed her male abuser.

Intimate partner homicide is the most common form of homicide in Australia and accounted for 21 per cent of all homicides in 2018-19, and 62 per cent of all domestic homicides. There have been an average 68 such killings a year since 1989-90 in Australia, most perpetrated by a male offender against a female partner.


Borce Ristevski was jailed in Australia for the 2016 killing of his wife, Karen.

The Australian Institute of Criminology report identified three groups into which most men who kill intimate partners fall, including the “fixated threat” group who seem functional in public but who use forms of violence, stalking or monitoring to maintain or regain control of a partner, and whose violence escalates quickly.

“At the time of entering the relationship, there are no red flags, it’s all about control for these guys and maintaining power in the relationship,” Boxall said.

The criminology institute’s research shows a key stage in the journey to fatal violence was if the woman challenged her partner such as by separating, returning to work or attempting to maintain relationships with family members.

Breaking Silence PLAY NOW


“He becomes more motivated to use lethal violence, there is planning, verbal threats to kill, and by the time he enters the same space as the victim he is very likely to kill her, cover it up, create false alibis, bring his own weapons. These guys are really scary, these are the ones we think about when we think of [Queensland murder victim, killed with her three children] Hannah Clarke,” Boxhall said.

Understanding the trajectory of these “invisible” perpetrators was important to increase prevention, and more training was needed to help identify women at risk.

The other two common offender groups in the Australian cases were “persistent and disorderly” – in which perpetrators had complex histories of trauma, histories of violence and frequent criminal justice contact, plus physical and mental health issues – and “deterioration/acute stressor”, in which the man had significant emotional and mental health issues but low levels or an absence of aggression or violent tendencies.

Persistent and disorderly perpetrators accounted for 40 per cent of the murders studied and were more likely to be Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander and have survived abuse.


GABRIELE CHAROTTE
The research shows a key stage in the journey to fatal violence was if the woman challenged her partner, such as by separating or returning to work (file photo).

Those in the deterioration/acute stressor group were in “long-term, ‘happy’ and non-abusive relationships” with their victim until experiencing a significant life stressor or stressors which triggered a deterioration in their health and wellbeing.

They did not intend to harm the victim, and having “instantaneously” decided to do so they were likely to seek help for her, show remorse and plead guilty. They accounted for 11 per cent of the murders.

The remainder of offenders had elements from one or more groups.

There was consistent evidence that the motivation to kill for men in all three groups was “associated with a perceived violation of gendered norms associated with femininity, which challenged the offender’s masculinity”, the report said

Such challenges included the victim returning to work or dedicating herself to a career, refusing to submit to the offender’s demands or expectations, “fighting back” against the offender during an incident of violence, having an affair or re-partnering.

The chief executive of ANROWS, Padma Raman, said in 40 per cent of the Australian homicides there had been contact with police or courts prior to the murders. “So it’s not like the signs aren’t there.”

“The other interesting link both studies found was the link between coercive control [and fatal violence]. We need to train frontline workers and police to be able to identify this kind of behaviour”.

Lawmakers in the Australian state of New South Wales vowed to criminalise coercive control in December 2021, but in the state of Victoria debate continues over whether this would lead to female victims being falsely identified as perpetrators, and if current laws are sufficient.

The Age

ECOCIDE

SOUTH AFRICA

Massive mine acid leak hits Loskop Dam and threatens farm irrigation

Gill Gifford

Senior journalist

26 February 2022 -
A mine acid drainage spill in Mpumalanga has threatened 60km of river and is now threatening Loskop Dam. Stock photo.
Image: 123RF/amenic181

A massive mine acid leak in Mpumalanga has reached Loskop Dam, threatening SA’s second-largest agricultural irrigation scheme.

Work is now under way to contain the “uncharacteristic environmental incident” at  Khwezela Colliery’s Kromdraai site in eMalahleni, with numerous role players involved, said mine owner Thungela Resources.

But Agri Limpopo called on Saturday for answers and accountability. “This toxic, polluted water, contains highly concentrated levels of radioactive metals and salts which are hazardous to all forms of life,” it said.

“This polluted water flowed down the Wilge River, into the Olifants River and has now polluted the Loskop Dam, threatening SA’s second-largest agricultural irrigation scheme and causing devastating environmental and ecological damage along the way,” said spokesperson Marthinus Erasmus.

“Apart from the immediate harm, it will take years to rid the river sedimentary system of the metals and to restore the damage done.”

Francois Roux, an aquatic scientist at the Mpumalanga Parks and Tourism Agency, told the Mail and Guardian all life had been killed in 58km of river affected by the spill.

“All fish, all the macroinvertebrates, all life is gone ... everything is dead,” he said. “All of this pollution has ended up in the Loskop Dam Nature Reserve where we’ve got high species diversity and where we focus a lot of our conservation efforts.”

Thungela spokesperson Tarryn Genis said the team tackling the spill includes the water and sanitation department, Mpumalanga Parks and Tourism Agency and experts in the fields of biodiversity, the environment, water and health.

“The team is providing guidance on the investigation and evaluation of the impact on the environment, the steps to be taken to control the pollution and the remediation steps that need to be implemented to remedy the effects of the pollution,” said Genis.

She said an investigation was under way into the spill on February 14 and interim findings pointed to the failure of a concrete seal at the mine's south shaft.

“The shaft was sealed in 2019 as part of the water management strategy. Despite a water management plan in place, the volume of water exceeded the maximum capacity for treatment at the dosing site and flowed into the Kromdraaispruit, resulting in lowered pH levels of the water,” she said.

Thungela said the overflow had been contained, the river had been flushed with water  from Bronkhorstspruit Dam and a cleanup had taken place along a 60km stretch. 

“We are encouraged by the level of collaboration from the authorities, farming community and members of society who share in our devastation on the impact to ecosystems,” said Genis.

July Ndlovu, CEO of Thungela Resources, said: “We are a responsible mining company and hold ourselves to the highest standards when it comes to our environmental, social and governance obligations.

“We are fully committed to doing what is right and within our power as citizens of the Mpumalanga community.  We will lead the remediation efforts now and, in the future, as well as fully assess the causes and contributing factors that led to this incident.”

Erasmus said: “At a later stage we will want to interrogate how this devastatingly large leakage happened in the first instance and who should be held culpable directly and indirectly.”

TimesLIVE

2024 Hopefuls Audition at CPAC, Yet Trump Reigns Supreme

Three potential GOP candidates tried to stand out at CPAC this week—barely mentioning Trump—but the ex-president and party leader still loomed large over the confab.


Corbin Bolies

Breaking News Intern

Updated Feb. 25, 2022 


Photo Illustration by Luis G. Rendon/The Daily Beast/Getty

ORLANDO, Fla.—The first two days of the 2022 Conservative Political Action Conference served as a field test for 2024 presidential candidates, with rumored hopefuls like Ron DeSantis, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo each pitching their own vision for America—to an audience that seemingly only wanted to live in Trump’s.

Trump’s presence loomed large throughout the confab even before he was scheduled to deliver Saturday evening’s keynote address. Throughout the conference’s main hall, exhibitors prominently displayed Trump’s likeness to sell their products, including a large golden statue of the former president hawking Patriot Mobile, “America’s only Christian conservative wireless provider,” along with the usual assortment of MAGA wares including hand-stitched hammocks embroidered with Trump’s name and “45.”

Still, that didn’t stop his presumed understudies from trying to use their roughly 20-minute slots as their auditions for the MAGA mantle.

Florida Gov. DeSantis spoke at 1:30 p.m. on Thursday, an unusual midday slot for a figure widely regarded as the presumptive frontrunner if Trump chooses not to run. His speech centered on his vision to replicate Florida at the national level, touting his policies on COVID-19 and education as a model to fight a “scientific and technological elite.”

“If Florida had not led the way, this country could look like Canada or Australia,” DeSantis said to rapturous applause from a mostly full crowd. “The left does not want to honor our freedoms, and we have a responsibility to fight back on all fronts. People are coming to Florida because they want freedom.”

GREEN CPAC RECYCLING GOLD STATUE OF TRUMP



DeSantis, who has only announced a campaign for reelection so far, trained his rhetorical fire at not one of Florida’s three Democratic gubernatorial candidates but President Joe Biden himself. According to the governor, Biden hates the Sunshine State, citing the president’s move to halt FDA approval for two monoclonal antibody treatments, which DeSantis touted heavily in Florida despite it being proven ineffective against the Omicron COVID-19 variant.

“He does things like take our medication. He sniffs for victims of relief just because he doesn't like the governor,” DeSantis said. “He doesn't like Florida and he doesn't like me because we stand up to him.”

Notably absent from DeSantis’ speech was any mention of Donald Trump, whose likeness was featured on many attendees’ apparel and on trinkets outside in the exhibit hall.

Trump’s former CIA director and secretary of state Pompeo, meanwhile, presented his outlook on Friday morning, joking about his weight loss before diving into a pitch that leaned heavily on right-wing culture-war tropes, including some not-so-thinly veiled transphobia.

“We’ve seen governors that don’t wear masks but requiring 3-year-olds to do so. We've seen a man break swimming records in girls’ swimming races,” Pompeo said. “We've seen a Russian dictator now terrorize the Ukrainian people because America didn't demonstrate the resolve that we did in the four years prior.”

Pompeo framed his experience as Trump’s final secretary of state as credentials, referring to his tenure as a model for what American leadership should look like. He cited his former boss solely to refer to the Trump administration’s dealings with North Korea—referring to dictator Kim Jong Un in a colloquial “Chairman Kim”—and China, reminiscing on how much he missed serving, and declaring that he and his wife “are going to stay in this fight.”

“I’ve traveled from Tennessee to California—yes, even California,” he said to applause. “I’ve traveled all across the country to meet candidates who’ve decided to give themselves back to their communities,” he said—something a potential candidate themselves might say.

Trump Pals Beg Him to Stop Kissing Putin’s Ass
FORBIDDEN LOVE

Corbin Bolies,

Asawin Suebsaeng



South Dakota Gov. Noem seemed to do the same on Friday afternoon, using her slot to reiterate her own Twitter missives against Biden’s handling of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, rail against “cancel culture,” and call upon conservatives to fight back against the usual set of enemies: “The Democrat Party and their allies in big tech, Hollywood, and the media.”.

“The American people are being coerced,” she declared, later adding: “The question is, how much pain are you willing to go through to be free?”

Unlike Pompeo and DeSantis, Noem mentioned Trump more than a few times: Once to tout the misleading, conservative media-generated claim that Hillary Clinton “spied” on his campaign; and again to assure the audience “we have some great fighters, like President Donald Trump. But he’s not alone.”

It’s unclear whether any potential candidate can break through Trump’s grip on the party base regardless of their messaging. William Riggle, a 76-year-old rancher from Volusia County, Florida, drove in solely for CPAC’s first day to see DeSantis, whom he said he’s supported since the governor’s congressional days. However, he wasn’t sure he could bear a potential battle between Trump and the Florida governor in 2024.

“Donald Trump has done so much for this country and he's sacrificed so much,” Riggle said. “We are blessed to have him. If you’re asking me is a toss-up between the two, I really don't have an answer for that.”
Iran: Teachers Vow To Continue Protest Despite Threats And Arrests


Iranian teachers protest. Photo Credit: Iran News Wire

February 26, 2022
By Iran News Wire

Iranian teachers continue to call for more nationwide protests despite threats and arrests by security forces. They held rallies in more than 100 cities on Tuesday, February 22. During the protests in Shiraz, southwestern Iran, Iranian teacher Ali Hassan Bahamin was detained after he gave a speech at the gathering. Bahamin is a teacher activist from Yasuj, also in southwestern Iran, and had traveled to Shiraz to take part in the protests. He was released 24 hours after his arrest.

Reports indicate that several other teachers who had taken part in the February 22 protests were detained by security forces despite the peaceful nature of the rallies.

In a letter obtained by Iran News Wire, physics teacher Dr. Ali Hassan Bahamin said he was released thanks to teachers and social media activists. He said the “greatest achievement of the Iranian teachers’ movement was empathy”.

Iranian teachers have held dozens of rallies in the past year to demand that a pending law, the Teacher Ranking bill, that would increase their wages be passed by the Parliament. The bill, proposed 10 years ago, would allow for teachers’ wages to be 80% of those of university professors. The government says it does not have the funding, saying it would only raise their salaries by 20-25%.

During their recent rallies, Iranian teachers chanted against the regime’s new President Ebrahim Raisi calling him a liar for not keeping his promises.

They have been protesting for years for higher pay despite the regime’s suppression. Public school teachers make around 3 million tomans, $100, which puts them under Iran’s 10 million toman line of poverty. Private school teachers make even less. The protesters also want the regime to stop the prosecution of teacher activists and to release detained teachers.
J&J, distributors finalize $26B landmark opioid settlement

Drugmaker Johnson & Johnson and three major distributors have finalized a nationwide settlement over their role in the opioid addiction crisis

By GEOFF MULVIHILL Associated Press
25 February 2022

The Associated Press

CAMDEN, N.J. -- Drugmaker Johnson & Johnson and three major distributors finalized nationwide settlements over their role in the opioid addiction crisis Friday, an announcement that clears the way for $26 billion to flow to nearly every state and local government in the U.S.

Taken together, the settlements are the largest to date among the many opioid-related cases that have been playing out across the country. They're expected to provide a significant boost to efforts aimed at reversing the crisis in places that have been devastated by it, including many parts of rural America.

Johnson & Johnson, AmerisourceBergen, Cardinal Health and McKesson announced the settlement plan last year, but the deal was contingent on getting participation from a critical mass of state and local governments.

Friday was the deadline for the companies to announce whether they felt enough governments had committed to participate in the settlement and relinquish the right to sue. The four companies notified lawyers for the governments in the case that their thresholds were met, meaning money could start flowing to communities by April.

“We’re never going to have enough money to immediately cure this problem,” said Joe Rice, one of the lead lawyers who represented local governments in the litigation that led to the settlement. “What we're trying to do is give a lot of small communities a chance to try to change some of their problems.”

While none of the settlement money will go directly to victims of opioid addiction or their survivors, the vast majority of it is required to be used to deal with the epidemic. The need for the funding runs deep.

Kathleen Noonan, CEO of the Camden Coalition of Healthcare Providers, said a portion of the settlement money should be used to provide housing to people with addictions who are homeless.

“We have clients who have a hard time staying clean to make it in a shelter,” she said. “We would like to stabilize them so we can help them recover.”

Dan Keashen, a spokesman for Camden County government, said officials are thinking about using settlement money for a public education campaign to warn about the dangers of fentanyl. They also want to send more drug counselors into the streets, put additional social workers in municipal courts and pay for anti-addiction medications in the county jail.

Officials across the country are considering pumping the money into similar priorities.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom's proposed budget calls for using $50 million of the state's expected $86 million share this year for youth opioid education and to train treatment providers, improve data collection and distribute naloxone, a drug that reverses overdoses.

In Florida's Broward County, home to Fort Lauderdale, the number of beds in a county-run detoxification facility could be expanded from 50 to 70 or 75, said Danielle Wang French, a lawyer for the county.

“It's not enough, but it's a good start,” she said of the settlement.

With fatal overdoses continuing to rage across the U.S., largely because of the spread of fentanyl and other illicitly produced synthetic opioids, public health experts are urging governments to use the money to ensure access to drug treatment for people with addictions. They also emphasize the need to fund programs that are proven to work, collect data on their efforts and launch prevention efforts aimed at young people, all while focusing on racial equity.

“It shouldn’t be: ready, set spend,” said Joshua Sharfstein, a former secretary of the Maryland Department of Health who is now a vice dean of public health at Johns Hopkins University. “It should be: think, strategize, spend.”

In a separate deal that also is included in the $26 billion, the four companies reached a $590 million settlement with the nation’s federally recognized Native American tribes. About $2 billion is being set aside for fees and expenses for the lawyers who have spent years working on the case.

New Brunswick, New Jersey-based Johnson & Johnson has nine years to pay its $5 billion share. The distributors — Conshohocken, Pennsylvania-based AmerisourceBergen; Columbus, Ohio-based Cardinal Health; and Irving, Texas-based McKesson — agreed to pay their combined $21 billion over 18 years. To reach the maximum amounts, states have to get local governments to sign on.

The settlements go beyond money. J&J, which has stopped selling prescription opioids, agrees not to resume. The distributors agree to send data to a clearinghouse intended to help flag when prescription drugs are diverted to the black market.

The companies are not admitting wrongdoing and are continuing to defend themselves against claims that they helped cause the opioid crisis that were brought by entities that are not involved in the settlements.

In a joint statement, the distributors called the implementation of the settlement “a key milestone toward achieving broad resolution of governmental opioid claims and delivering meaningful relief to communities across the United States.”

The requirement that most of the money be used to address the opioid crisis contrasts with a series of public health settlements in the 1990s with tobacco companies. In those cases, states used big chunks of the settlement money to fill budget gaps and fund other priorities.

The amount sent to each state under the opioid settlement depends on a formula that takes into account the severity of the crisis and the population. County and local governments also get shares of the money. A handful of states — Alabama, New Hampshire, Oklahoma, Washington and West Virginia — have not joined all or part of the settlement, mostly because they have their own deals or are preparing for trial.

In Camden, Lisa Davey, a recovery specialist for Maryville Addiction treatment Center, was at a needle exchange this week handing out naloxone, a drug that reverses overdoses, and asking people if they wanted to start treatment.

Davey said she wants to see detoxification and treatment programs receive more funding to keep people in them for longer. As it is, she said, users can detox and be back out on the streets in search of drugs within days.

“They need more time to work their recovery,” she said.

A man picking up clean needles who asked to be identified only as Anthony P. said he was 46 and had struggled with addiction since he was a teenager. He said he’d like to see an effort to cut off fentanyl and related synthetic opioids that are driving overdose death rates from the drug supply.

“Fentanyl’s got to go,” he said.

Martha Chavis, president and CEO of Camden Area Health Education Center, which runs the needle exchange, said one need is offering services like hers in more places. Now, users from far-flung suburbs travel into Camden to get clean needles and kits to test their drugs for fentanyl.

The settlement with J&J and the three distributors marks a major step toward resolving the vast constellation of lawsuits in the U.S. over liability for an epidemic that has been linked to the deaths of more than 500,000 Americans over the past two decades.

Other companies, including business consultant McKinsey and drugmakers Endo, Mallinckrodt and Teva, have reached national settlements or a series of local ones. OxyContin maker Purdue Pharma and a group of states are in mediation through U.S. Bankruptcy Court to try to reach a nationwide settlement.

The crisis has deepened during the coronavirus pandemic, with U.S. opioid-related deaths reaching a high of more than 76,000 in the 12 months that ended in April 2021, largely because of the spread of fentanyl and other lab-made drugs. A recent report from a commission by The Lancet medical journal projected that 1.2 million Americans could die of opioid overdose between 2020 and 2029 without policy changes.

John F. Kelly, a professor of psychiatry in addiction medicine at Harvard Medical School, said he wants to see money from the settlements go not just for treatment, recovery and support efforts but also to build systems designed to prevent this sort of epidemic from happening again.

“Some kind of national board or organization could be set up ... to prevent this kind of lack of oversight from happening again -- where industry is allowed to create a public health hazard,” he said.

———

This story has been corrected with Johnson & Johnson saying it has nine years to pay its share of the settlement, not 10 years.
Putin's spokesman undermined by daughter's anti-war post on social media: CNN

Bob Brigham
February 25, 2022

Dmitry Peskov (rt.com)

Yelizaveta Peskova, the daughter of Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov, posted — and then deleted — an anti-war message as Russian troops advanced on Ukraine.

CNN international diplomatic editor Nic Robertson reported on the development involving the family of one of Vladimir Putin's closest advisors.

"And one interesting, perhaps quite poignant note here," Robertson said. "And I think given those protests that we saw on the streets of Moscow and other cities across Russia last night, —1700 people arrested there by the way — the Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov's his daughter on a Telegram, with 180,000 followers, actually posted a 'stop the war' 'no to the war' message on her Telegram account," he reported.



"It's been taken down but, yes, the spokesman for the Kremlin — a man who speaks for President Putin — his own daughter saying no to the war. That's pretty powerful," Robertson said.

Watch:
Yelizaveta Peskova

WATCH: Ukrainian UN ambassador calls out Russian counterpart — tells him to pray for his 'salvation'

Matthew Chapman
February 25, 2022

Ukrainian Ambassador to the U.N. Sergiy Kyslytskya (C-SPAN).

At a meeting of the United Nations on Friday, Ukrainian Ambassador Sergiy Kyslytskya stood up to his Russian counterpart amid the invasion of his country — and invited him to pray for his own salvation.

"Pray for souls of those who have been already killed," said Kyslytskya. "For souls of those who may be killed. And I invite the Russian ambassador to pray for salvation. Please, ladies and gentlemen, let us spend a moment in complete silence."

The Russian ambassador immediately demanded that the "moment of silence" include the lives of the Russian-backed separatists in Donbas, whose supposed safety was the pretext Russia used to initiate the invasion of Ukraine.



The invasion has already resulted in hundreds of deaths and a burgeoning refugee situation at the borders of NATO countries, as Russian forces move in and attempt to seize the capital city of Kyiv — where already people are being forced to use subway stations as bomb shelters.

We should not have let Putin become what he is today

An interview with Linas Linkevicius, the former minister of foreign affairs of Lithuania. Interviewer: Vazha Tavberidze

February 26, 2022 - Linas Linkevičius Vazha Tavberidze -  Hot TopicsInterviews

Photo: Lithuania Ministry of Foreign Affairs (CC) https://www.flickr.com/photos/mfa_lithuania/32289764318

VAZHA TAVBERIDZE: Recently, the Russian Federal Council Spokesperson used an interesting term while speaking about Ukraine: “Forcing Ukraine to Peace”. We’ve heard that turn of phrase before in Georgia. Is what we are seeing now a bigger chapter from the same book?

LINAS LINKEVICIUS: I have said this before and I will say it again: Russia’s has its own vocabulary, where words have different meanings than what we’re used to. When it is annexation, they call it liberation; in Georgia’s case it was “liberated:, as you probably well know and feel to this day. When they are talking about negotiations – this means “blackmail”. They are the best peacekeepers around, because for them it means taking pieces of land and keeping it. So when Putin said on the eve of this disaster that he is ready to look for diplomatic solutions – we should have realised that something entirely different was about to take place.

I have this feeling of guilt and debt, especially on behalf of the West – for our indulgence, for the empty dialogue which led to nowhere, for our appeasement, for the blindness as we raised the greatest tyrant and the most dangerous dictator of this age. We should never have allowed Vladimir Putin and Russia to become what they are today. I am not saying that it was my country’s position or my personal – but if somebody is still surprised as to why all this is happening, I would urge them to remember the speech Putin gave at the Bucharest summit, I remember it very well, when he flatly told NATO leaders – who are you negotiating with? Ukraine is not a country, it is a non-entity, it’s artificially created. Nobody listened much to him back then. A few of us said – look, he says that because he means it. After that came Georgia. But we again chose not to learn the same lesson when we saw 20 per cent of Georgia’s land occupied. Nothing happened, which means the price was agreeable. Then it was Crimea in 2014. Now, he is taking another step – and he will not stop as long as keeps winning.

How satisfied are you with the scale and severity of western sanctions so far?

Sanctions are important, of course. They could be stronger. SWIFT, for instance, is not yet on the table. In general, we are still calculating sanctions when people are dying as we speak and as Kyiv is under assault. Sanctions might be already too late [for Ukraine], but they should be imposed regardless. Immediate, severe sanctions. Russia should be cut from the civilisation as that is what they did themselves basically.

Why now and not earlier, as President Volodymyr Zelenskyy asked?

We, Europeans, we need consensus. There were always voices of scepticism or even open opposition. There was scepticism about the energy sector, for instance. But what was done yesterday, it was at least really something, a step in right direction. And I expect more. Ukraine should be supported economically, financially. We should arm Ukraine – we should have given them weapons before, but some thought that this would too provocative. But a country has a right and duty to defend itself. And if Ukraine is able to deal enough damage to occupants, that’s a very tangible argument [for Putin]. And if they will not be able to conduct this blitzkrieg which they were planning, that will be also be a good argument to stop this war.

Zelenskyy says world is watching “from afar” and Ukraine is “left alone” to fight Russia – is the criticism fair?

Absolutely. We were delusional about Russia; that they wouldn’t invade, that they are interested in the Minsk agreements and we should talk about that. This so-called dialogue, even the word has become so toxic. Diplomacy is not something that should be applicable for the current leadership in the Kremlin at all, because they follow only gang rules. So when certain presidents are calling Putin again to talk to him, I do not know what their reasons are, it seems very strange for me. 

Back in 2015, you said and I quote: “we can’t trust a single word of Russian leadership, Russian statements are worthless”. Why has the West failed to comprehend what you have been saying for the last six years?

We are humans. We will show empathy to others, if something wrong is happening to them, but if it’s not happening to us, we still have this delusional thinking that it won’t happen to us at all and we remain in our comfort zone. This line of thinking was prevailing for a long, long time. The mood has changed dramatically in the Netherlands after the downing of MH17. The poisoning of Alexander Litvinenko was big, Skripal was bigger. And after Navalny, everyone paid attention. This delusion now seems to be disappearing, as even leaders who were sceptical before, or even openly sympathetic to Putin and Russia, now they are saying they were wrong.  But again, it is already too late.

And? What will be borne out of it for Putin and his crew?

I recall this wreath-laying ceremony on the on the tomb of unknown soldier on February 23rd. Putin laid down the wreath, knowing that tomorrow he will send soldiers to die – basically for nothing; for his ambitions. What is that if not a spit on all these people, basically on human life. If this man has decided to commit suicide, to kill his own country, what are others doing? This strange meeting of the security council members, where they were standing up, one by one, answering questions – these will be the very same questions they will be asked by judges at their own Nuremberg Trial later on. Putin probably will not be around, like Hitler, but these people will be, and they will be asked that question and they will be forced to answer.

Who do you think will organise such a trial?

Well, I can tell you who will not. Definitely not the United Nations. If it will not be reorganised, they are capable to do nothing, basically. This conflict once again shows that this organisation is hopeless, basically, when major crisis erupts, and especially when a permanent member of the UN Security council is behind such a conflict.  

Today Ukraine, but whose turn it will be next? Could it be your country?

We are a part of NATO. So if Putin decides to challenge NATO in the Baltic states, that will be total madness, because that will mean mutual destruction. Maybe he is mad enough to try that, but I guess even though madness has no limits, that would be too irrational even for him. Why go over to NATO when you have other pieces of land close by? There is Moldova with Transnistria. Georgia, Armenia, Kazakhstan – which was partially taken in the shadows recently, we didn’t even have time to discuss it, it happened so quickly. There are plenty of pieces of this cake left around for him, a lot of things to do without a global confrontation. And it will be done if he will not be stopped.

Linas Linkevičius is a Lithuanian politician and diplomat. He served as defence minister in 1993–1996 and again in 2000–2004. He was Lithuanian’s ambassador to NATO and Belarus (1997-2000), and most recently the minister of foreign affairs between 2012 and 2020.

Vazha Tavberidze is a Georgian journalist and a Vaclav Havel Journalism Fellow working with RFE/RL’s Georgian Service.

 

Time stands still as Kyiv waits for the final act

Time stands still as Kyiv waits for the final act
For Ukraine’s capital, there was little sleep again last night.
By Neil Hauer in Kyiv February 26, 2022



It seems hard to believe it’s been only two days since Russia launched its unprovoked, full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

The pure chaos that has reigned as Russian missiles strike locations across the country and armoured forces maul the desperate Ukrainian defenders has brought time to a standstill, especially in the country’s capital, Kyiv.

It is in that city that Moscow now looks to try to bring the war to a swift end – or, failing that, to turn it into an urban inferno as its forces conquer the capital block by block.

Friday morning started much the same as the first day of the war. Ukrainian and US defence officials warned of an air raid on the capital at 3am local time, and while it took another hour to arrive, it was more ferocious than the last. Roughly 40 ballistic and cruise missiles struck targets across the city, including a residential apartment block.

Dramatic footage of what appeared to be a Russian jet shot down over the city briefly inspired hope in the defenders – until it emerged that the opposite was true, it was a Ukrainian fighter hit by Russian anti-aircraft fire from armoured columns only a few dozen kilometres away.

The next stage of Russia’s plan appeared shortly after dawn. Reports flooded in that Russian special forces had entered Kyiv, seeking to decapitate the Ukrainian government in one stroke by capturing, or killing, the country’s leadership, especially the defiant president, Volodymyr Zelensky.

A series of distant explosions were audible from downtown Kyiv at midday, followed by – for the first time – the sound of small arms fire from automatic rifles chattering somewhere in the distance. Amid reports of Russian operatives active in the government district, Ukraine’s members of parliament themselves were armed, itself a dire sign of the times.

The situation appeared to have calmed down by late afternoon – a few civilians ventured out onto the streets to gather supplies, but in even fewer numbers than the previous day.

But the situation in the capital, analysts believe, is only set to get worse.

Justin Bronk, a research fellow at the London-based Royal United Services Institute, laid out in stark terms what Russian President Vladimir Putin’s strategy is likely to entail next.

“We will likely know in the next 24 hours what the situation in Kyiv will be [in the near future],” Bronk said on a phone call. “Russia is currently trying to incapacitate the Ukrainian command in one blow, sending spetsnaz into the capital to seize Ukraine’s leaders, especially Zelenskiy. Once that occurs, they will install one of the many pro-Russian figures from within Ukraine’s government as a stooge and try to end the conflict quickly. Their hope is that Ukrainian resistance will crumble without centralised leadership,” Bronk said.

If that does not occur, Putin’s other option is far more terrifying.

“If they cannot capture [Zelenskiy], Russia will then have to try and take the city conventionally,” Bronk said. “The Ukrainian army will be able to use the city to their advantage [defensively], but that will only stiffen Russian resolve,” Bronk said. “All urban combat tends to play out the same way. Sooner or later, in order to make progress, the Russians will decide to simply flatten anything in their path. Any building they’re shot at from will be razed. They’ve come this far – they are not going to back down, even from this,” he said.

Those strikes would likely involve air power, heavy artillery and even the TOS-1 thermobaric multiple-launch rocket systems (MLRS) seen attached to many Russian formations.

“I pray to God we don’t have to see those used in an urban environment, but I fear we will,” said Bronk.

Those fears were only further buoyed by Putin’s newest address, this time targeted at the Ukrainian army itself.

In a speech broadcast from the Kremlin, Putin urged the Ukrainian armed forces to “take power into their own hands,” and rise up against Zelenskiy’s government. “We can talk to you much easier than those neo-Nazis and drug addicts who currently sit in power in Kyiv,” Putin said, in rhetoric even more unhinged than his rambling, pseudo-historical speech from Monday.

Russia’s foreign ministry then again proposed a meeting to discuss surrender terms, this time in the Belarusian capital of Minsk.

Zelensky, in a display of supreme bravery, meanwhile remained free as of the early evening in Kyiv.

“We are all here,” Zelensky said, standing next to other top Ukrainian officials on a street somewhere in Kyiv. “We are not leaving. Our soldiers are here. We are defending our independence,” he said.

For the capital’s beleaguered citizens, meanwhile, another long night in the shelters lay ahead. New missile strikes hit the city around 10pm, while Russian jets were reportedly inbound for heavier strikes. The city’s metro stations, meanwhile, now featured men armed with Kalashnikovs guarding the entrances, a sign of the threat of Russian infiltrators. “There are Russians in the city,” one of them told bne IntelliNews.

For Ukraine’s capital, there will be little sleep again tonight.

Russian forces face fierce resistance in Kyiv

By James Massola
February 26, 2022 —

Russian forces faced fierce resistance on the streets of Kyiv and across Ukraine as the ferocity of Vladimir Putin’s bloody invasion entered a third day on Saturday, with coordinated missile and artillery strikes and gunfights in the centre of the capital, Kyiv.

Just after midnight on Saturday, local time, Ukraine president Volodymyr Zelensky - Russia’s number one target for assassination - warned his citizens of the “hardest night” ahead as Moscow’s forces prepared to storm the capital.



Natali Sevriukova outside her Kyiv apartment block following a rocket attack on Friday. 
CREDIT:AP

In a show of defiance the Ukrainian president released a video of himself on the streets of Kyiv in the early hours of Saturday morning, local time, reassuring his country’s citizens that the military would stand up to the Russian invasion and not lay down its weapons.

“We will protect the country,” he said. “Our weapon is our truth, and our truth is that it’s our land, our country, our children. And we will defend all of that.”

An adviser to the president said fighting was raging in the capital and in the country’s south, but that the Ukrainian military was successfully fending off Russian assaults.

Meanwhile, footage emerged of a damaged apartment building in Kyiv that had been hit by a missile or rocket.

Russian Defence Ministry spokesman Major General Igor Konashenkov said on Saturday the military had targeted a range of Ukrainian military installations with long-range Kalibr cruise missiles.

He said that since the start of Russia’s attack on Thursday the Russian military had hit 821 Ukrainian military facilities including 14 air bases and 19 command facilities and had destroyed 24 air defence missile systems, 48 radar stations, seven warplanes, seven helicopters, nine drones, 87 tanks and eight military vessels.


Ukrainian citizens Yaryna and Sviatovslav Fursin, who got married just hours after Russia launched its invasion of their country. They spent their first day as a married couple collecting their rifles and getting ready to defend Ukraine.

The US government offered Mr Zelensky help to evacuate Kyiv, to avoid being captured or killed, but he rejected that offer and reportedly said, according to a US intelligence official, “the fight is here. I need ammunition, not a ride”.

As explosions rang out across the capital and the country, as helicopters and fighter jets raced overhead and tanks and other military vehicles poured in, Ukrainian soldiers and ordinary citizens bravely faced the Russian invaders.

Ukrainian officials said Russian forces fired cruise missiles from the Black Sea at the cities of Sumy, Poltava and Mariupol and there was heavy fighting near the southern city of Mariupol.

Ukrainians were warned by their government to remain in their shelters, to avoid going near windows or on balconies and to stay off the streets as street fighting got underway against Russian forces.

Further sanctions were slapped on the Russian regime by the United States, European Union, Canada and Australia, including measures that directly targeted Mr Putin, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and other members of the regime.

Foreign Minister Marise Payne said Australia would look to impose direct sanctions on Mr Putin and Mr Lavrov and left the door open to the possible expulsion of Canberra-based Russian diplomats, though such a move was not imminent.

“It is not something that we are considering currently,” she said. “It enables us to have a direct line of communication with the Russian government.”

Senator Payne said Mr Putin was being targeted because he was “personally responsible for the deaths and the suffering of innocent Ukrainians”.



Russian forces attack Kyiv in nighttime assault


Russian forces have attacked the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv in a nighttime assault, with explosions recorded across the city.

“There is determination to ensure that Russia faces a high cost for what is an unprovoked and unjustified attack on its neighbour.”

Those sanctions have stopped short, so far, of forcing Russia out of the SWIFT system for international bank payments - a move that would further damage the country’s economy.

Hundreds of people attended a Stop War in Ukraine rally at Martin Place in Sydney’s CBD, waving the blue and yellow Ukrainian flag and placards that read “Stop Putin”, “Help us stop this war” and “Australians stand with Ukraine”.

There were calls for a ban on Russian citizens being able to visit Australia. Prime Minister Scott Morrison is expected to attend a vigil for Ukraine on Sunday and will address the gathering.

Russia’s president appealed to Ukraine’s armed forces to take power from the country’s elected government and not allow “neo-Nazis” to “use your children, wives and elders as human shields”. Mr Zelensky has pointed out he is Jewish and not a Nazi.

Mr Putin says Ukraine, a democratic nation of 44 million people, is an illegitimate state carved out of Russia, a view Ukrainians see as aimed at erasing their more than thousand-year history.

President Joe Biden asked Congress for about $8.8 billion in security and humanitarian aid for the crisis, US officials said, and Mr Biden instructed the State Department to release $480 million in military aid to Ukraine.

At the time of publication, an estimated 137 Ukrainian soldiers and civilians had been killed and another 316 had been wounded, according to the Ukrainian government, though other sources estimated the number of Ukrainians and Russians killed already ran into the hundreds.

A spokesman for Mr Zelensky said Ukraine and Russia would consult in coming hours on a time and place for talks.

The Kremlin said earlier it offered to meet in the Belarusian capital Minsk after Ukraine expressed a willingness to discuss declaring itself a neutral country while Ukraine had proposed Warsaw as the venue.

Meanwhile, the Ukrainian military was reportedly putting up a stronger fight than had been expected, amid suggestions Russian forces were advancing more slowly than they initially anticipated.

However, Russia has reportedly only sent in one third of the estimates up to 190,000 troops that had massed on Ukraine’s borders in the days leading up to the invasion.

Ukrainian forces also reported shooting down a second Russian Ilyushin Il-76 military transport plane near Bila Tserkva, 85 kilometres south of Kyiv, according to two American officials with direct knowledge of conditions on the ground in Ukraine. The first Il-76 heavy transport plane was shot down near Vasylkiv, a city 40 kilometres south of Kyiv, with paratroopers onboard.

Meanwhile, thousands of Ukrainian citizens continued to flee the fighting and Mr Putin’s attempt to redraw European borders in the most dramatic fashion since the end of the Cold War.

The UEFA Champions League final was moved from Russia’s second largest city, St Petersburg, to Paris, the Formula 1 Grand Prix due to be held in Sochi in September was cancelled and Aeroflot’s multi-million dollar sponsorships of Manchester United was terminated.

In New York, Russia vetoed a UN Security Council resolution demanding Moscow stop its attack on Ukraine and withdraw all troops.

The vote was 11-1, with China, India and the United Arab Emirates abstaining. It showed significant but not total opposition to Russia’s invasion of its smaller, militarily weaker neighbour.

The United States and other supporters knew the resolution wouldn’t pass but argued it would highlight Russia’s international isolation.


With Associated Press, Reuters, Tim Barlass, Andrew Taylor

INTERVIEW: Dzmitry Lisichyk, a Belarusian fighting for Ukraine 

Dzmitry Lisichyk: "My gun is always loaded."

By Linas Jegelevicius in Vilnius February 26, 2022

When being called a mercenary of the Ukrainian army, Dzmitry Lisichyk, a 20-year-old Belarusian national, bristles. “I am a serviceman of the Ukrainian army, one with a special status – a contractor,” Dzmitry told bne IntelliNews in a telephone interview just before the Russian invasion. He is now in the fighting.

Can you reveal where you’re stationed now?

I am on the boundaries of Crimea [annexed by Russia in 2014] in the Kherson district. Our [firing] ground is in a desert-like area.

When you say “we”, who are you referring to? Your comrades? Where are they from?

The majority are Ukrainians. There are also Azeris, Syrians, fighters of some other nationalities.

Can I refer to you as a mercenary?

The right term would be “a military contractor.” My contract is valid for three years. The Ukrainian army signs it with those who do not have Ukrainian citizenship.  However, I have the same rights as the Ukrainian troops. I just fall under slightly different jurisdiction.

How big is your wage?

€500 per month. But it will go up soon. The money is transferred to my bank account. I barely spend anything here.

What does your duty involve?

Being ready to stave off an attack by the Russians…My gun is always loaded. Before, I guarded weapon shipments. There was a real possibility that the enemy will attempt to blast them. My comrades and I are also patrolling the territory, where certain military objects are stationed. I’m not exaggerating – we are on duty 24 hours a day. If there is a need, I can be awaken in the middle of night and be ready instantly.

How is the weaponry you have? Do you have enough?

Our military machines are quite decent. Really so. We may be in short of certain weaponry, but that is characteristic to the entire army, not just our squad. What we really need here are drones.  We have them here too, but too few. No one here can say they have too many drones.

Is the weaponry locally produced? Western?

Some of the artillery, like the tanks, are Soviet, some tanks and other heavy artillery are pretty new, produced by Ukraine itself. The ambulance vehicles are pretty new, too. Interestingly, here you can see Belarusian MAZ trucks and some other Belarusian military equipment, too. They were provided by Lukashenko to Ukraine just a little over two years ago, in 2019. Now, what a switcheroo – he is threatening Ukraine a war! It tells a lot.

How is the spirit in the ranks?

It is upbeat, as of fighters who are ready to fight and die for what they believe in – a free,  proud and united Ukraine. Russia is profusely using scare tactics to demoralise us by announcing ever-changing new dates of invasion to Ukraine. We are getting fed up with the tactics. It would be better for them to move forward with their threats, so they will get finally to see how much they were mistaken to underestimate our valour and readiness.

You know very well that the situation can change any time, meaning you can be relocated to the flaming regions of Donetsk and Luhansk, where a warfare will cause bloodshed.

Of course, I am aware of the situation and I am not afraid. Blood can be spilt everywhere if the situation gets nasty. It will be Russia’s fault – it is Russia that keeps frightening us with a full-scale war. But we will hit it back and won’t get scared – no doubt.

If you were to tell Lukashenko and Putin something straight in their faces, what the words would be?

[Giggles] I’d not say nothing to them, I’d do something to them. For what they’ve committed, they both need to be handcuffed and brought to an international tribune.

How does your ordinary day look like?

It depends on the shift of duty, but, usually, we get up at 7am. At night, some guys guard our compound, throwing something to burn in the makeshift bonfire, so it feels warmer. Rotation takes place every hour.

For meals, we have oatmeal porridges mostly, sea cabbage with mushrooms, sausages, tea. The food is prepared in a field kitchen. The food quality is good, not worse than that for other garrisons. Of course, the cook is a military guy.

Judging from the photos you sent me, it seems you’ve gained some extra kilos while in Ukraine?

[Grins] Indeed, I’ve gained five kilos, mostly muscular tissue. But, physically, I became stronger here – now I can do 16 pull-ups, five more than in Vilnius a half year ago.

Where do you sleep?

In tents. I have a free Belarusian flag sprawled on my belongings in it. But we sleep in beds, not in bunker beds.

Isn’t too cold to sleep in tents in February?

It isn’t bad. I am of low-maintenance. But it’s quite warm here, around +12-14 at night.

How often do you get a chance to call you dad and mum, also your friends?

I call them now and then.

What do your parents ask you?

They – especially my mum – ask me to be careful, alert and vigilant. My dad is less emotional than my mum.

How often do get a chance to bath?

 In fact, I’ve just taken a shower. I had not had it for a week, as the stationery shower, one installed on the truck, was not around. But it does not bother me at all.

What are you missing there?

Certainty.  When it comes to Russia’s plans here, here is some uncertainty, which keeps us tense, but that is something we have to live through before clarity comes.

In summer, you said Lukashenko can last no more than another two or three years. Now, with Russia’s help, it seems he can stay in power much longer.

Indeed, that is the reality now. What we all see is the ongoing occupation of Belarus [by Russia]. Very sad. Unless Russia wants to get rid of him, he can feel much more comfortable now.

I am sure that Ukraine will get back Crimea, Donbas and the other territories held by Russia – it will happen sooner than later. I’d say much quicker than many expect, as the Russians will not be putting up with what Putin is doing.

Furthermore, if he continues aggression, he needs to know he will get choked on Ukraine, one of the largest European countries. For example, in Mariupol local inhabitants, many of whom were Russians, hit the streets, clamouring against Putin’s warfare here. I saw that on the local news.

To be honest with you, when we spoke in person last time in Vilnius last summer, I was a little hesitant about your determination, if necessary, to sacrifice your life for cause of Ukraine. I chalked it up to your young age and immaturity. Is there anything you’re regretting now?

No, there is nothing to regret. I made the right decision. Absolutely. Believe me. In fact, I feel even more elevated and feel even more determined to fight off aggression of an imperial Russia.

Won’t you get in trouble for speaking publicly?

No, no way. My commanders are aware of the interview. My goal – I should say – our goal is to get the message about what is going on here as widely as possibly – straight from the horse’s mouth. As I said, I feel pride for being able to defend Ukraine and I am fine with whatever the future brings me. If I make it through here, my ultimate desire would be to return to a free, democratic Belarus and work for the local police force.