Sunday, August 07, 2022

Mongolian Independence and the British: At the End of the Great Game

Matteo Miele
Aug 7 2022 •

Kokhanchikov/Shutterstock

LONG READ

This is a preprint excerpt from Mongolian Independence and the British: Geopolitics and Diplomacy in High Asia, 1911–1916, by Matteo Miele (forthcoming 2022, E-International Relations).        
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At the end of 1903, the British Expedition to Tibet began, headed for Lhasa and under the command of Francis Edward Younghusband. Younghusband, who had already distinguished himself at a young age for his explorations in High Asia,[1] was not the first Englishman to admire the Po-ta-la. This primacy had instead belonged to Thomas Manning, who had arrived in the Tibetan capital almost a century before Younghusband. Manning was born on November 8, 1772 in Broome, Norfolk.[2] After his studies in Cambridge, at Caius College, the young physician studied Chinese in France and, recommended by Sir Joseph Banks, president of the Royal Society, managed to embark on a ship of the East India Company in 1806; he reached Canton the following year and remained there until 1810, when he went to Calcutta to then head towards Tibet.[3] In Lhasa, Thomas Manning met the ninth dalai lama on December 17, 1811.[4] At the time, the latter was just a child; Lung-rtogs-rgya-mtsho, born in 1806, died at the age of nine in 1815.[5] The Tibetan words of the little monk were translated into Chinese to Manning’s secretary, who finally translated them to the doctor in Latin.[6] The Englishman asked for books on the religion and ancient history of Tibet, as well as a lama to instruct him, but the request and the answer were lost in the intricate path of translations.[7] From the point of view of political analysis, interest in Manning’s journey is, however, limited. He was acting neither on behalf of the government nor for the East India Company, but his personal success is certainly – and a fortiori – indisputable.

Indeed, presenting Manning’s biography, the British geographer and future president of the Royal Geographical Society, Clements Robert Markham, wrote in 1876:

He appears to have received little or no aid from the Government; to have been left entirely to his own resources without official recognition of any kind, and all the credit of his extraordinary journey is solely due to himself.[8]

Before and after Manning’s trip the official British missions to Tibet had obtained limited results, but – thanks, in particular, to adventurous spies whose stories touch on the fictional – had developed the knowledge of the British in the field of exploration.[9] The first British expedition to Tibet had been led by George Bogle in the 1770s,[10] in a geopolitical and economic context that was profoundly different from that of the beginning of 1904. There had not yet been the First Opium War (1839-1842) and the subsequent Treaty of Nanking (1842) which opened five Chinese ports and handed over the island of Hong Kong to the British.[11] Furthermore, at the time, Tibet could not yet be considered as a real target of the Russian Empire.

Unlike the eighteenth century, however, the international framework of High Asia between the end of the nineteenth and the beginning of the twentieth century, from the British point of view, hinged primarily on strategic and defensive issues (commercial matters were in third place). The decades immediately preceding the Younghusband Expedition had been filled with British fear of Russian operations in the region. As for Tibet, the Russian expedition of 1899-1901 led by Pëtr Kozlov[12] had been another demonstration of the risk: the Russians had arrived as far as Chab-mdo, the gateway to what was later called Outer Tibet.[13] Kozlov’s expedition had come dangerously close to Lhasa and therefore to India, and although it failed in its goal of reaching the Tibetan capital, it was still enough to alarm the British. The Russo-Japanese War broke out only in February 1904, with Younghusband already on the way.


It is enough to follow the progressive Russian advance in Central Asia in the second half of the nineteenth century to realize the new geopolitical role of that region for British India and to understand the scene on which the Great Game unfolded. The three Islamic states east of the Caspian Sea had progressively fallen under the direct or indirect control of Russia. The city of Tāshkand (Russian: Tashkent), an important trading center of the Khanat of Khoqand, had been conquered by the tsarist troops in 1865[14] and formally annexed to the Russian Empire the following year.[15] In 1867, therefore, the city became the capital of a Russian Turkestan under the authority of a governor-general,[16] in the person of Konstantin Petrovich Kaufman.[17] In 1868 Samarkand (Samarqand) fell, conquered, together with the nearby Kattah-qūrghān (Russian: Kattakurgan), from the emir of Bokhara (Bokhārā) who also became a tributary of the tsar.[18] On September 28, 1873, Russia and Bokhara signed a friendship treaty.[19] That same year, a campaign against the Canat of Khiva (Khīvah)[20] forced the sovereign of the country to declare himself as a ‘fidèle serviteur’ of the Russian emperor:


Séid Mouhamed Rahim Boghadour Khan se reconnaît fidèle serviteur de l’Empereur de toutes les Russies. Il renonce à toutes relations amicales directes avec les Souverains et Khans voisins, et à la conclusion de toutes Conventions de Commerce ou autres avec eux ; il s’engage à n’entreprendre contre eux aucune opération de guerre à l’insu ou sans l’assentiment des autorités militaires supérieures Russes.[21]

The Canat of Kokand (Khaūqand) – already linked to Saint Petersburg since 1868 by a commercial treaty[22] – had been first invaded in 1875, resulting in the annexation of the north of the country,[23] and in March 1876 the last portion of territory still formally independent was incorporated into the lands of the tsar.[24]

A few weeks after the Russian complete conquest of the Canat of Kokand, on April 27, the British Parliament approved the Royal Titles Act of 1876,[25] on the basis of which, the next day, Queen Victoria issued a proclamation adding to her titles that of ‘Indiæ Imperatrix’.[26] Almost twenty years earlier, in 1858, following the Sepoy Mutiny, control of India had passed from the East India Company to the Crown.[27]

Between 1878 and 1880 the British fought the Second Anglo-Afghan War.[28] On May 26, 1879, Pierre Louis Napoleon Cavagnari and the emir of Afghanistan, Moḩammad Ya‘qūb Khān, signed the Treaty of Gandamak (Gandomak) by which the Asian country became a British protectorate (Article III) and a representative settled in Kabul (Article IV).[29] The appointed representative was in fact Cavagnari who had assumed the post in July 1879, but was killed, together with the escort and his collaborators, a few weeks later, in a tragic attack in Kabul, thus reopening the hostilities which ended only in 1880, with the exile of Ya‘qūb Khān and the accession to the throne of ‘Abd-al-Raḩmān Khān (regnabat 1880-1901).[30] The killing of Cavagnari clearly evoked the assassination of one of the most famous heroes of the Great Game, Alexander Burnes, killed by a mob on November 2, 1841 in the Afghan capital,[31] as well as that, a few weeks later, of William Hay Macnaghten, British envoy and minister at the court in Kabul.[32]

Between the end of 1880 and the beginning of 1881, the Russians won an important and dramatic victory over the Turkmens at Geog Teppeh (Russian: Gëkdepe) and then temporarily entered Persian territory.[33] The oasis of Ākhāl Tekkeh (Russian: Akhal-Teke) was therefore officially annexed by an edict of the tsar on 18 (6) May 1881.[34] On December 21, 1881, Persians and Russians signed a treaty in Tehrān that defined the border east of the Caspian Sea between Khorāsān and Ākhāl.[35] Furthermore, on February 12 (January 31) 1884, in ‘Eshqābād (Russian: Ashkhabad), the leaders of the four Turkmen tribes of Marv (Russian: Merv) and twenty-four delegates, each representing two thousand kibitkas (‘tents’), swore allegiance to the tsar, also in the name of the people.[36] The conquest of Marv opened the way to nearby Herāt and therefore to Afghanistan, while the British were involved in the war in Sudan. Indeed, the following year, the Russians arrived inside the Afghan territory, severely defeating the emir’s military garrisoning the oasis of Panjdeh; open war between the Russians and the British was avoided also thanks to the conciliatory position taken by the emir, but the incident led at least to the definition of that part of the border between Afghanistan and Russia, preventing the further advance of the tsarist troops.[37]


During these years, British attention again turned to Tibet where the Chinese imperial authority was unable to enforce an international treaty signed with Great Britain. The case was in fact the Convention relating to Sikkim and Tibet of 1890.[38] The Kingdom of Sikkim was in the British sphere of influence. Indeed, on March 28, 1861, the Treaty of Tumlong had been signed between the British and Sikkimese. The document provided, among other things, the commitment of Sikkim to submit to British arbitration in the event of disputes with neighboring countries allied to the British (Article 17), the impossibility of ceding any portion of Sikkimese territory without the authorization of Great Britain (Article 19) and the prohibition of authorizing the presence of foreign forces in the kingdom ‘without the sanction of the British Government’ (Article 20). [39] Furthermore, according to the treaty: ‘The whole military force of Sikkim shall join and afford every aid and facility to British Troops when employed in the Hills’ (Article 18). The Convention of 1890 concerned, among other things, the definition of the border between the Kingdom of Sikkim and Tibet, and followed the alleged encroachment of Tibetan soldiers in 1886 to which the British had responded with the Expedition of 1888.[40] This treaty – as well as the subsequent Regulations, which were signed in Darjeeling on December 5, 1893[41] and which provided for the opening of a market for the British, with the consequent dispatch of agents in Ya-tung 亞東 (Tibetan: Gro-mo), in Tibetan territory – was not respected by the Tibetans.[42] The Chinese, as the British political agent in Sikkim, John Claude White, recalled, had ‘no authority whatever’:


The Chinese have no authority whatever here. The Tibetans will not obey them, and the Chinese are afraid to give any orders. China is suzerain over Tibet only in name. This appears to be partly due to the Chinese Emperor always dealing very leniently with the Tibetans, and also that the Chinese have only some 500 soldiers in Tibet, and these are wretchedly armed with old swords, tridents and old muzzle-loading fowling-pieces. They are also without the elements of drill. The Chinese therefore, though rulers in name, have no power and can enforce no order; as an example, the Tibetans were ordered by the Chinese to evacuate Lingtu, but flatly refused to obey the order. This makes negociation here most difficult, for though the Chinese agree to any proposal, they are quite unable to answer for the Tibetans, and the Tibetans, when spoken to, either shelter themselves behind the Chinese, or say they have no order to give any answer for Lhassa, and can only report. Thus it is absolutely impossible to get at any one, for he simply puts the blame on some higher authority who is not forthcoming. If the Chinese had any real power negociations would be comparatively easy, as there would only be one power to deal with. To quote another instance of Chinese impotence here. Mr. Taylor, though a Chinese official, a mandarin of the blue button, and a recipient of the double dragon, and though he wears Chinese clothes on official interviews, is prevented by the Tibetans from returning the calls of the other Chinese officials who live at Chema ; nor can any of his servants pass the Yatung barrier to purchase the necessaries of life, which he has to procure from either Gnatong or Darjeeling. The Chinese officials hate the Tibetans, and do not scruple openly to say so. This, I take it, is caused by the knowledge of their impotence, knowing full well that they have no real power, though to all outward appearance they receive a great deal of respect; the Tibetans, for instance, being made to hold a lower seat at receptions than the Chinese. […] The Chinese are most friendly and willing to help, but are quite powerless as regards the Tibetans. […] [T]he only way to deal with the Tibetan is to force his hand, and this can be done in the present instance by threatening to close the trade route by the Jeylap-la and to open up that by the Lachen valley.[43]

The British were thus faced with the dilemma of Tibet. The strategic and partly commercial importance of the Land of Snows had become very clear and of essential geopolitical and economic concern for the Raj, but the counterpart that had to guarantee compliance with the agreements, China, had proved to be completely inadequate. International law, which provided that a protectorate was, in the context of foreign policy, represented exclusively by the suzerain power, had to be rethought in new terms. First, the very idea of a protectorate was an unlikely adaptation. The British had applied legal schemes to complex religious and political mechanisms which, while having – perhaps – found similarities in the past, were totally misleading in the late nineteenth century. The limits to the emperor’s power on the Roof of the World were of a different nature. There was, to begin with, a purely geographical discourse. Distances multiplied in the valleys of Tibet and on the Himalayan passes. The mountains amplified the difficulties of movement, almost always making any claim on the plateau only nominal. This explains the Chinese interest today in the construction of a series of infrastructures capable of rapidly connecting the Tibetan Autonomous Region and the rest of the People’s Republic of China. Already Sun Yat-sen,[44] as Director General of the National Railways after his resignation as president of the Republic of China, had in fact realized the importance of a railway network that was able to unite the east with the western regions that the Republic considered as its own territories.[45] According to Diana Lary ‘[a]lmost 100 years later, the present government of China is in the process of implementing part of Sun’s scheme, a railway to Tibet’.[46] The difficulties of physical geography were then joined by a bond that was expressed in the relationship of mchod yon: the political leader, the emperor, guaranteed protection to one of his religious teachers, the dalai lama. In fact, the Ch’ing dynasty, although immersed in the Chinese cultural system, where political power was legitimized and expressed through Confucian models, remained a dynasty faithful to Tibetan Buddhism[47] and to its Manchu identity.[48]

Younghusband in Lhasa

Once attempts to find in imperial China an effective counterpart to define the border, ensure trade and exclude any Russian influence on Tibet had failed, for the British it was time to speak directly with the Tibetans. The task was entrusted to Francis Younghusband who therefore arrived in Lhasa on August 3, 1904[49] and who managed to sign a treaty with the Tibetans on September 7.[50] The dalai lama had fled the capital for Mongolia[51] before the British arrived and his seal was then affixed to the document by the regent, together with those of the Council of Ministers, of the three great Dge-lugs monasteries (Se-ra, Bras-spungs and Dga’-ldan)[52] and of the National Assembly.[53] The signature of the amban was missing, since he had to wait for approval from Peking.[54] With that document, the Tibetans recognized the Anglo-Chinese Convention of 1890 and, therefore, also the border with Sikkim (Article I). In addition to the trade mart of Ya-tung, already planned in 1893, a trade mart was also to be opened in Rgyal-rtse and Sgar-thog (Article II).


Furthermore, Article IX established that, without British consent:


(a) No portion of Tibetan territory shall be ceded, sold, leased, mortgaged or otherwise given for occupation, to any Foreign Power ;

(b) No such Power shall be permitted to intervene in Tibetan affairs ;

(c) No Representatives or Agents of any Foreign Power shall be admitted to Tibet ;

(d) No concessions for railways, roads, telegraphs, mining or other rights, shall be granted to any Foreign Power, or to the subject of any Foreign Power. In the event of consent to such concessions being granted, similar or equivalent concessions shall be granted to the British Government ;

(e) No Tibetan, revenues, whether in kind or in cash, shall be pledged or assigned to any Foreign Power, or to the subject of any Foreign Power.

The British were entitled to an indemnity of £500,000, equivalent to 750,000 rupees (Article VI) and they would also continue to temporarily occupy the Chu-’bi valley, a Tibetan territory located between Bhutan to the east and Sikkim to the west, pending the payment of the indemnity ‘and until the trade marts have been effectively opened for three years, whichever date may be the later’. In November 1904, according to a declaration appended to the Convention, the sum of the indemnity would then drop to 250,000 rupees, ‘as an act of grace’ by the viceroy of India, George Curzon, and the occupation of the Chu-’bi valley had therefore to ‘cease after the due payment of three annual instalments of the said indemnity’, the opening of the trade marts for at least three years ‘and that, in the meantime, the Tibetans shall have faithfully complied with the terms of the said Convention in all other respects’.[55]

On a political level, the British Expedition to Sikkim and the Younghusband Expedition were also the clearest demonstrations of the end of Peking’s pretensions. To be precise, there had been also another important precedent in 1842, when the Chinese did not protect Tibet from the attack of Gulab Sīng.[56] Once again, the Ch’ing had not protected the country from the invader. Between 1886, the year of the Tibetan encroachment in Sikkim, and the arrival of Younghusband in Lhasa in 1904, the unrealistic task of the Manchu emperor was definitively concluded. Despite Peking’s attempts to firmly control Tibet in the following years, the inability to first impose the outcomes of the 1890 treaty, the subsequent 1893 agreements and ultimately protect the country from British soldiers had made it clear to eyes of international politics and history that China was about to leave the scene. The declaration of independence of 1913 was only the formal seal that the thirteenth dalai lama wanted to give to this situation.

About two years after the Younghusband Expedition, on April 27, 1906, the British and Chinese signed another convention which partially confirmed the agreement signed at the Po-ta-la.[57] According to the text, the British undertook, in Article II, ‘not to annex Tibetan territory or to interfere in the administration of Tibet’, while the Chinese government ‘undertakes not to permit any other foreign State to interfere with the territory or internal administration of Tibet’. The concessions defined in point ‘d’ of the aforementioned Article IX of the 1904 treaty would be denied to any state or subject of a state other than China.

Ancient ghosts

With the Anglo-Russian Convention of August 31, 1907 (August 18 according to the Russian calendar),[58] the borders of the Raj were finally secured from a possible Russian invasion. The anguish of a good part of the nineteenth century and the very first years of the twentieth century, and the fears that had forced the British to intervene in Tibet thus vanished that summer in Saint Petersburg. In reality, London had been reassured as early as September 1905 when the Treaty of Portsmouth had marked the Russian defeat in the war against a country, Japan, which had left its own Middle Ages not even half a century earlier.[59] Indeed, with that treaty:


Le Gouvernment Impérial de Russie, reconnaissant que le Japon possède en Corée des intérêts prédominants politiques, militaires et économiques, s’engage à ne point intervenir ni mettre d’obstacles aux mesures de direction, de protection et de contrôle, que le Gouvernement Impérial du Japon pourrait considérer nécessaire de prendre en Corée [Article II].

As for Manchuria, the two countries

s’engagent mutuellement: 1.–A évacuer complètement et simultanément la Manchourie à l’exception du territoire sur lequel s’étend le bail de la de la presqu’île de Liaotong, […]; et 2.–A restituer entièrement et complètement à l’administration exclusive de la Chine toutes les parties de la Manchourie qui sont occupées maintenant par les troupes japonaises ou russes ou qui sont sous leur contrôle, à l’exception du territoires susmentionnés [Article III].

Saint Petersburg also ceded the southern part of Sakhalin Island to Japan ‘et toutes les îles qui sont adjacentes’ (Article IX) and, ‘avec le consentement du Gouvernement de Chine, le bail de Port Arthur [Chinese: Ya-se-kang 亞瑟港], de Talien [Ta-lien 大連] et de territoires et eaux adjacents’ (Article V). In Portsmouth, the doubts and fears of those who had led the Raj in those last decades had been cleared up. Not of secondary importance, in the scheme of international relations that preceded the First World War, was the Entente Cordiale of 1904 between the British and the French[60] – the latter an ally of the Russians from the last decade of the nineteenth century – and before that the alliance signed by London and Tokyo in 1902[61] and then renewed in 1905.[62] When in 1906 – after a long wait – the Buryat monk Dorzhiyev was received by the tsar to implore for the defense of Tibet from the British, Nicholas II explained to his subject the difficulties of the moment due to the defeat at the hands of the Japanese.[63]

Between 1904 and 1907, decades seemed to have passed. The British elections of 1906 had sanctioned the victory of the Liberals and confirmed Henry Campbell-Bannerman, who had already been at 10 Downing Street since December 1905, as head of the government.[64] Within the new cabinet, Sir Edward Grey led the Foreign Office; on December 13, 1905, he informed the Russian ambassador in London of the desire to reach an agreement with Saint Petersburg and, on May 28, 1906, sent a new ambassador to Russia, Sir Arthur Nicolson.[65]

Yet ancient fears remained in certain political circles. Among the Conservatives there were, for example, those who, like Lord Percy (Henry Percy, 1871-1909), saw – still in the spring of 1907 – the division of Persia into different areas of influence as an opportunity for Saint Petersburg to build railways in the direction of the British zone and later renege on the agreement.[66] Sir Edward Grey was instead confident in the Agreement to improve relations between the two empires.[67] On the contrary, Grey feared the failure of the negotiations much more: in that case the British would have been forced to annex parts of Persia to avoid a Russian penetration towards Herāt and Sīstān.[68]

Another concern for the British was the dalai lama in Mongolia. It was not enough to have entered Lhasa: Thub-bstan-rgya-mtsho was still in Urga (current Ulaanbaatar) much closer to the Russian border than to the Raj. The fear was that the Russians wanted to use the thirteenth dalai lama as their agent in Tibet against the paṇ-chen bla-ma, considered by Saint Petersburg to be on the side of the British.[69] The tsar had sent a telegram to the dalai lama, but it was a simple eulogy of his religious role – this had still alarmed the Manchus who had threatened to depose the dalai lama in case of conspiracies with the Russians.[70]

The official explanation of the tsar’s interest in the dalai lama, namely that of a Christian ruler who wanted to win the benevolence of his Buddhist subjects, continued, with a good deal of reason, not to convince the British.[71] Indeed, as Cecil Spring-Rice reminded Grey,

[t]he total number of Buddhist subjects of the Empire must be under 600,000 out of 128,000,000 and his sympathy for the Jews and the Mahomedans among his subjects (who are numbered by millions) is not very pronounced.[72]

For the British to stand up as the ‘temporal protector of the head centre of the Buddhist faith’ could legitimize the tsar of all the Russias in the role of ‘moral chief of the continent of Asia’[73] – an idea that Spring-Rice himself admitted to be ‘chimerical but so was the idea of becoming the “Lord of the Pacific” of which he talked so much and which cost his Empire so dear’.[74] Spring-Rice’s words do not suggest fear of a British defeat, which was quite improbable. More than anything else, it was the fear of the war itself. An agreement on Tibet was certainly necessary:

I did not argue the question although it appears to be pretty plain that the Russians are likely to run the Dalai Lama as their agent against the Tashi Lama [paṇ-chen bla-ma] whom they regard as ours, and that therefore it would be as well to come to close quarters with them if possible and arrive at a clear definite and written understanding as to the policy of the two Governments in Thibet.[75]

To complicate the situation in Asia and further worry the British there was also the problem of xenophobic clashes in Persia – where the Constitutional Revolution broke out in 1905[76] – which could lead the Russians to send the army to defend their compatriots.[77]

The Russians, for their part, were worried that the Anglo-Japanese alliance, renewed in 1905, was hiding a secret pact for the defense of the Ottoman Empire from possible aggression.[78] A secret article of the alliance had arrived in the hands of Count Benkendorf (von Benckendorff), the Russian ambassador to London.[79] In reality it was a simple, probably German, fake.[80] At the same time, however, the Russians had signed, on July 30, 1907, an important agreement with the Japanese: in the public section of the treaty they undertook, among other things, to recognize the territorial integrity of their empires and of China.[81] In a secret convention they outlined their respective influences in Manchuria: the north was in the Russian sphere and the south in the Japanese one (Article I).[82] An ‘Article additionnel’ to the Convention established the boundaries of the two spheres of influence:

La ligne de démarcation entre la Manchourie du Nord et la Manchourie du Sud mentionnée dans l’article I de la présente Convention est établie comme suit: Partant du point nord-ouest de la frontière russo-coréenne et formant une succession de lignes droites, la ligne va, en passant par Hunchun et la pointe de l’extrêmité nord du lac de Pirteng, à Hsiushuichan; de là elle suite le Soungari jusqu’à l’embouchure du Nunkiang, pour remonter ensuite le cours dece fleuve jusqu’à l’embouchure du fleuve Tolaho. A partir de ce point, la ligne suit le cours de ce fleuve jusqu’à son intersection avec le 122 méridien est de Greenwich.

Furthermore, the Japanese obtained the Russian commitment not to curb the ‘développement’ of Japanese-Korean relations – relations which, within three years, changed into the annexation of the Korean Empire (Tayhanceykwuk 大韓帝國) – in exchange for the Japanese guarantee to grant Russia the status of most favored nation in Korea (Article II). With Article III of the secret convention, perhaps the most important for the purposes of this study, the Russians had also managed to include Outer Mongolia in their sphere of influence:

Le Gouvernement Impérial du Japon, reconnaissant dans la Mongolie extérieure les intérêts spéciaux de la Russie, s’engage à s’abstenir de toute ingérence qui puisse porter préjudice à ces intérêts.

Nobody trusted anyone yet. Even the dalai lama, as mentioned, had preferred to stay away from Lhasa, where in the past he had had to avoid several assassination attempts.[83] He had first settled in the Mongolian monastery of Gandan (Tibetan: Dga’ ldan dgon gyi nyi ’od).[84] Even in Mongolia, however, he was not much loved by the hierarchy, or rather, by the top of the religious hierarchy in the country. The devotion he had received at the popular level had in fact fueled the jealousy of the rje-btsun dam-pa, and after several provocations of the latter, the dalai lama had moved to another monastery.[85] Moreover, the paṇ-chen bla-ma had traveled to India, leading the Chinese press to suspect the British intention of a replacement.[86] Furthermore, in 1905, meeting with the paṇ-chen bla-ma, the British trade agent in Rgyal-rtse, William Frederick O’Connor, had intended the possibility, for the British, of being able to favor the break between the two, decreeing the independence of the paṇ-chen bla-ma.[87] It is therefore not difficult to understand at this point why the Russians, as we have seen above, considered the paṇ-chen bla-ma an ally of London.[88] Later, however, following the rapprochement of the dalai lama to the British, the paṇ-chen bla-ma would show his sympathy for the Chinese.[89]

The Agreement of 1907

In Saint Petersburg, two years later, the three chapters of the history of the Great Game in Central Asia on which the British and Russians had clashed in the past decades ended. First, the Persian chapter. The Russian Empire had already conquered several Persian Caucasian regions, at the beginning of the nineteenth century with the treaties of Golestān (1813) and Torkmānchāy (1828).[90] According to the Anglo-Russian Agreement of 1907, Persia was divided into three areas. The first was in the center-north, under Russian influence, bounded by a line that, starting from Qaşr-e Shīrīn – a Persian city on the border with the Ottoman Empire (today on the border with Iraq) – continued to south-east towards Eşfahān and finally to Yazd, the ancient city with an important Zoroastrian community and built between the Dasht-e Lūt and the Dasht-e Kavīr. The boundary then went up towards the north-east, arriving first in Kākhk and ending at the point where the Persian frontier met the Russian (now Turkmen) and Afghan borders. The south-east of the country was under British influence, following the line that starting from the village of Gazīk, on the Afghan-Persian border, then continued towards Bīrjand and Kermān to end in Bandar ‘Abbas, a coastal city on the Strait of Hormoz. All the rest of the Persian territory between the two aforementioned lines would be the subject of concessions for both the British and the Russians.

The second pillar of the agreement was Afghanistan which – as seen – was a British protectorate from the Second Anglo-Afghan War and remained so until 1919.[91] In 1905 a new treaty between the emir and the British had reaffirmed the role of London[92] and the 1907 Convention provided for the continuation of British influence, but not in an anti-Russian function. Saint Petersburg agreed to have political relations with Kabul only through London, but the Russian and Afghan border authorities could have direct relations for local matters. Furthermore, the Russians would enjoy the same commercial privileges accorded to the British and the Indians.

Finally, Tibet. As widely seen, the Land of the Snows (Gangs can) had been the third and final scenario of the Great Game. Apparently immobile, in the seventeenth century the fifth dalai lama had managed, with the help of the Mongols of Güsh haan, to take power and then, among various events which will be explained shortly, the country had been incorporated, at the beginning of eighteenth century into the complex system of the Ch’ing Empire. Its local leaders and the Manchus wanted to make it a kingdom sealed within its own insurmountable peaks,[93] as the subsequent literary tradition continued to present it to the West. The 1907 Agreement recognized Peking’s suzerainty over Lhasa, and, therefore, its role as intermediary for Tibet’s international relations, while the British and the Russians would refrain from interfering in the internal administration of the country, from sending representatives to the capital and requesting concessions of any kind. The British, however, did not renounce the direct relationship between British trade agents and the Tibetan authorities, as had been established in 1904 by the Anglo-Tibetan Convention imposed during the Younghusband Expedition and reaffirmed in 1906 in another agreement with the Manchu authorities. The possibility was also guaranteed to the Buddhist subjects of His British Majesty or of the tsar of All the Russias, to have direct contact with the dalai lama or with other teachers, exclusively for religious reasons. Finally, the British reaffirmed their intention to withdraw from the Chu-’bi valley at the end of the payment by Tibet of three annual installments of 250,000 rupees.

A vital problem of the difference between sovereignty – that is, absolute and direct control over a territory which is an integral part of the state – and suzerainty – i.e., the representation in foreign policy of another country which maintains full internal autonomy – was linked to the fact that for China, in the last period of the Ch’ing, there was no such distinction and the British themselves, in negotiating the 1906 Agreement, had been careful not to clarify the question to their Chinese counterparts. According to G. E. Morrison:

A discussion at the time of the negotiation of this Agreement took place in England as to whether China was the suzerain or sovereign power in Tibet. China recognises no such distinction. She claims to be the sovereign power. In the negotiations which led to the signature of the Adhesion Agreement, no reference whatever was made to her being [the][94] suzerain power. You can get the confirmation of this statement from C. W. Campbell, whom you know well, and who was present at every one of the discussions that took place between the Chinese and Sir Ernest Satow prior the signature of the agreement.[95]

The question, in fact unresolved, resulted in the broader and more articulated difficulty of understanding the relationship between Peking and Lhasa and between the Manchu emperor and the dalai lama, in the complexity of matching the legal view of Western international relations with the Eastern one. This dichotomy exploded, with all the force of its contradiction in the 1950s, but already now had to deal with the political history of the dying Ch’ing Empire and of High Asia.

The birth of the Bhutanese monarchy and the Treaty of Punakha

The British withdrew from the Chu-’bi valley on February 8, 1908[96] after the war indemnity was paid not by the Tibetan authorities, but by the Ch’ing.[97] On April 20, 1908, the new trade regulations were signed in Calcutta, amending those of 1893.[98] The commitment made by the British and Russians in the 1907 agreement, in fact, ‘ne modifie pas non plus les engagements assumés par la Grande-Bretagne et la Chine en vertu de l’Article I de la dite Convention de 1906’ (Article II, Arrangement concernant le Thibet) and Article I of the 1906 Convention had stipulated that:


The Convention concluded on September 7th 1904 by Great Britain and Tibet, the texts of which in English and Chinese are attached to the present Convention as an annexe, is hereby confirmed, subject to the modification stated in the declaration appended thereto, and both of the High Contracting Parties engage to take at all times such steps as may be necessary to secure the due fulfilment of the terms specified therein.[99]

In the 1908 agreement, in addition to the English and Chinese signatures, there was also that of the Tibetan delegate and the text was written in three languages.

In the meantime, however, on the thirteenth day of the eleventh month of the earth-monkey year, i.e. December 17, 1907, Bhutan, east of the Chu-’bi valley, had become a hereditary monarchy under the Dbang-phyug dynasty and O-rgyan-dbang-phyug (Ugyen Wangchuck) had ascended the throne.[100]

Bhutan had been born as an independent country in the first half of the 17th century, founded by a Tibetan lama of the ’brug-pa school, known as the zhabs-drung, Ngag-dbang-rnam-rgyal. This school is a branch of the Bka ’brgyud pa school. Bhutan takes its endonym from the Drukpa school: ’Brug yul (Druk yul), or Country of the ’brug pa school, which is often translated Land of the thunder dragon based on the meaning of the name of the school.[101] The country was, therefore, structured in the complex dual system of government (chos srid gnyis ldan): power was shared between the head of the monastic-religious system, the rje mkhan-po, and the head of the secular sphere, the ’Brug sde-srid, but the country was led at the top by the zhabs-drung and – formally – also by his successors.[102] This form of government typical of the Tibetan cultural area formally resisted the birth of the secular monarchy in 1907 and the democratic reforms initiated in the 1950s by the third king of Bhutan and carried out by the fourth and fifth monarchs with the entry into force of the Supreme Constitution of Bhutan in 2008 (’Brug gi rtsa khrims chen mo).[103]

The British East India Company and the Brug sde-srid of Bhutan signed a first treaty in 1774, followed by a British mission and a trade agreement negotiated by George Bogle.[104] George Bogle’s mission was later followed by other British missions[105] and in 1863 Ashley Eden, later chief commissioner and lieutenant-governor in Burma[106], was sent to the Himalayan country. The Bhutanese forced him to sign a treaty, written in Tibetan, without being able to participate in any real negotiations. Eden added the words ‘Under Compulsion’ to his signature and after these events the Anglo-Bhutanese War broke out (1864-1865).[107] This war ended with the Treaty of Sinchula of 1865.[108]

Twenty years later, in 1885, O-rgyan-dbang-phyug, allied with the dpon-slob of Spa-ro and the rdzong-dpon of Dbang-’dus-pho-brang, had defeated the two rdzong-dpon of Spu-na-kha and Thim-phu and the other rivals in the battle of Lcang-gling-mi-thang (Lcang-gling-mi-thang-gi dmag-’dzing).[109] During the Younghusband Expedition, O-rgyan-dbang-phyug had been the mediator between the British and the Tibetans. Actually, the mediator role of O-rgyan-dbang-phyug, although known and certainly fundamental, had not been officially sanctioned by the British,unlike the Tibetans instead.[110] In 1905 he was awarded the Order of the Indian Empire.[111] At his election as first king of Bhutan (Druk gyalpo,’Brug rgyal-po), the Raj was represented by the political agent in Sikkim, John Claude White, together with Major Rennick and an official from the Political Department.[112] In 1910, forty-five years after the Treaty of Sinchula, the Kingdom signed the Treaty of Punakha, accepting the British guide in its foreign policy, while maintaining full and uninterrupted independence.[113] The British thus welded their bond with this Tibetan Buddhist Himalayan kingdom.

The Manchus and Tibet

As mentioned earlier, one of Britain’s concerns was the absolute weakness of Chinese authority in Tibet. The decline of the Manchu rulers was evident in international relations by the long series of treaties – later considered by nationalists and communists as «unequal» (不平等條約 pu p’ing teng t’iao yüeh)[114] – inaugurated in Nanking in 1842. On the internal level, however, the crisis of the throne was demonstrated by the many rebellions, the best known of which is the one that led to the establishment of the T’ai-p’ing celestial kingdom.[115] However, in lands even further away than those ravaged by the rebels and their imperial or Western executioners, the confrontation between local power and imperial authority was a different matter. Even in Tibet the crisis of imperial power was reshaping the institutional balance that had governed relations between the Manchu emperors and the dalai lama since the first half of the 1700s. There was actually an even older link between the emperor and the Land of the Snows, already established in medieval times by the Mongol dynasty, in the relationship of mchod yon.[116] The interpretation of this relationship is at the center of the current debate on the legitimacy of the Chinese occupation of Tibet: it is understood in a political way, which is the thesis of pro-Chinese historiography,[117] or according to a purely religious view of a relationship between the emperor offering protection to his teacher – in the case of the Ch’ing and the dalai lama – which is the position of historiography close to the Tibetan Central Authority.[118] This bond, however, still existed in the Ch’ing period, but let us proceed in order, briefly reviewing the history of this relationship.

According to tradition, Buddhism was introduced to Tibet by Srong-btsan-sgam-po in the seventh century.[119] Chinese influence in Tibet also began with Srong-btsan-sgam-po, thanks to the marriage between the Tibetan ruler and a princess sent to him by T’ai-tsung, emperor of the T’ang dynasty. [120] Alongside his Chinese wife, a Nepalese wife would also contribute to the propagation of Buddhist teaching in Tibet.[121] In the mythical genealogy of ‘manifestations’ (Sanskrit: nirmāṇakāya, Tibetan: sprul sku) of Avalokiteśvara (Tibetan: Spyan-ras-gzigs), the Tibetans also include Srong-btsan-sgam-po. According to Rgyal rabs gsal ba’i me long, written in the fourteenth century, Srong-btsan-sgam-po’s Nepalese wife and Chinese wife are born respectively from the light emitted by the right eye and the left eye of Avalokiteśvara, while Srong-btsan-sgam-po from the light emitted by the heart.[122] A second spread of Buddhism dating back to the eleventh century is due – to a large extent – to the Indian monk Atīśa and to the translators among whom Rin-chen-bzang-po stands out. [123] The oldest schools of Tibetan Buddhism, also known as Schools of the Red Hats, are the rnying-ma-pa, the bka’-brgyud-pa, the sa-skya-pa and the jo-nang pa.[124] At the decline of the Mongol dynasty, when power in Tibet had long been administered by the Sa-skya-pa School, albeit in a political context of evident Mongol sovereignty,[125] the control over the country was assumed by Byang-chub-rgyal-mtshan: he founded the Phag-mo-gru-pa dynasty, put an end to the Sa-skya-pa’s rule around the middle of the fourteenth century and his authority was recognized by the dying power of the Yüan dynasty.[126] The Mongol ruler thus maintained only a formal role.[127] The relationship between Tibet and China was therefore a relationship between Tibetans and the Yüan rulers, which was thus interrupted with the end of the Mongol dynasty, despite the unrealistic claims of the Ming emperors.[128] The idea of a continuation of that bond during the Ming era finds the first evident denial in the very birth of that bond: the Mongols had in fact conquered Tibet before the conquest of China.[129] It would actually be complex for China to claim authority over a territory that had been part of an empire before China itself became – as a conquered territory and not as the conquering power – part of that same empire. It is therefore only with the Ch’ing dynasty that the link between the emperor and Tibet re-emerges, but in a different form. The Manchu rulers had extended their influence over Tibet, ruled by the dalai lamas from 1642, at the beginning of the 18th century, a few years after the death of the sixth dalai lama Tshangs-dbyangs-rgya-mtsho (1683-1706); before that, the School of the Yellow Hats had renewed the Tibetan-Mongol link through the alliance between the third dalai lama and Altan han.

The dge-lugs-pa, also called Yellow School or School of the Yellow Hats, was founded by Tsong-kha-pa (1357-1419) in an attempt to restore a more rigid observance of monastic discipline (’dul ba) among the religious, first of all respecting the rule of celibacy and, consequently, the succession of masters was entrusted to the system of «manifestations». [130] When Bsod-nams-rgya-mtsho met Altan han in 1578, near Lake Kokonor (Mtsho sngon po), he was still only an eminent master of the Yellow School. There, the Mongolian lord granted him the golden seal on which was engraved (in Mongolian) his new title: rdo rje ’chang tā la’i bla ma rgyal, i.e. the Tibetan word for «master» bla-ma associated with the Mongolian word dalai (transcribed in Tibetan tā-la’i), «ocean», which corresponds to the Tibetan rgya-mtsho.[131] Thus, the link between the Yellow Hats and the Mongols was solidified with the conversion to Buddhism of Altan han. In less than seventy years the link, although with other protagonists, dissolved the knots of political disputes on the Roof of the World in favor of the Yellow Hats. The relationship between Tibetan Buddhists and Mongolian leaders was not a new one. The novelty was in the school. Bsod-nams-rgya-mtsho was therefore the third dalai lama since the title was also extended to his two predecessors namely Dge-’dun-grub (1391-1475) and Dge-’dun-rgya-mtsho (1475-1542).[132] Bsod-nams-rgya-mtsho, however, failed to achieve political supremacy and instead died in Mongolia where his successor was traced to Yon-tan-rgya-mtsho (1589-1617), a Mongolian and nephew of Altan han.[133] Only with Ngag-dbang-blo-bzang-rgya-mtsho (1617-1682), the Great Fifth, as remembered among the Tibetans, the dalai lama became the political leader of Tibet, when in 1642 Güsh haan, chief of the Hoshuud Mongols, donated to him central and eastern Tibet after the defeat, in 1641, of a bon prince and, the following year, the capitulation of the Gtsang, karma-pa allies.[134] Parallel to the political victory, the religious dimension evolved and the dalai lama was now identified as another «manifestation» of Avalokiteśvara.[135]

The sixth dalai lama, Tshangs-dbyangs-rgya-mtsho, however, was little inclined to religious life, preferring beer and female companions: he chose to engage – it must be said, with remarkable results – in the composition of love poems.[136] For these reasons he had come into conflict with Sangs-rgyas-rgya-mtsho, the regent and son of the fifth dalai lama and who had led Tibet after the latter’s death in 1682, a death that the son had kept hidden until 1697.[137] In 1705 the Hoshuud troops of Lhazan han (Tibetan: Lha-bzang), heir of Güsh han, entered Lhasa and killed the regent.[138] The son of the fifth dalai lama had resigned from his post as regent in 1703 after the sixth dalai lama had renounced his vows, but he had still unofficially maintained power. [139] Tibet thus became, in 1710, a tributary state of the Manchu emperor after the latter had recognized the son of Lhazan han as the legitimate sixth dalai lama.[140] Tshangs-dbyangs-rgya-mtsho, who died in 1706[141] during the journey to China that had been imposed on him by the Hoshuud Mongols[142] (although a secret biography says he survived and lived for several decades in Mongolia[143]), continued to be recognized as the legitimate dalai lama by the Tibetan religious world, while the seventh dalai lama was identified in Blo-bzang-bskal-bzang-rgya-mtsho (1708–1757).[144] The seventh dalai lama was born in the late summer of 1708, in Khams, near the monastery of Li-thang.[145]

Therefore, not recognizing the legitimacy of the son of Lhazan han and looking with suspicion at the interest, or perhaps – as van Schaik believes – only the respect, for the Christian religion of Lhazan han, the dge-lugs-pa relied on the Dzungars who were faithful to the Yellow School and who conquered Lhasa in 1717.[146] Revealing themselves as cruel and intolerant rulers even towards their own religious school, it was therefore the task of Emperor K’ang-hsi (regnabat 1661-1722) to restore order in Lhasa and triumphantly install Blo-bzang-bskal-bzang-rgya-mtsho on the throne in 1720.[147] However, the power of the latter was ephemeral and the withdrawal of the imperial troops ordered by Emperor Yung-cheng in 1723 led to the civil war of 1727-1728.[148] The conflict brought to the throne a Gtsang noble, Pho-lha-nas, who reigned over Tibet with imperial recognition.[149] His successor, who ascended to the throne in 1747, was killed by the imperial ambans in 1750.[150] The assassination was followed by the lynching of the ambans by the population.[151] The Manchu dynasty, therefore, decided to support again the seventh dalai lama and his school.[152]


The first amban in the country had been appointed in 1727 by Yung-cheng and, according to Kolmaš, a total of 173 ambans were appointed from that year to 1912.[153] Tibet, as well as other areas on the outskirts of the Empire, was afforded a status of substantial autonomy, at least until the early twentieth century. The Tibetan political-religious traditions remained essentially disconnected from the Chinese ones in a particular institutional mosaic that was mutually accepted and which guaranteed the maintenance of their own historical paths both in Lhasa, but also in Peking.[154] Gray Tuttle rightly gives the example of the exam system for recruiting officials of the imperial administration in China which was not extended to Tibet and, likewise, the sprul-sku system was not applied in China.[155] Furthermore, up to the years immediately preceding the proclamation of the Republic, the imperial court, for Inner Asian issues, relied on Manchu and Mongolian officials and maintained a sort of segregation among the different ethnic groups.[156]

As mentioned previously, a radical change in the imperial approach to Tibetan affairs occurred, however, at the beginning of the twentieth century, within the broader institutional change in China. The reform programs implemented by the Ch’ing dynasty after the Boxer Rebellion[157] also involved Tibet and – as will be discussed later – Mongolia. As early as 1905, in Khams, in eastern Tibet, the attempt to strengthen Chinese authority over the region had sparked a rebellion which was then suffocated in blood by Chao Erh-feng.[158] A specific program for the Chinese colonization of the region was drawn up by Chang Yin-t’ang 張蔭棠, the Chinese vice-amban in Tibet between 1906 and 1908.[159] Articulated in nineteen points, the plan provided for a broad process of modernization of the Land of Snows and is a clear example of the intentions and the new direction the Empire wanted to follow.[160] The imperial administration, according to this project, had to be enormously strengthened compared to the marginal role it had played in previous centuries and, particularly important, represented by Han officials. Instead, the power of the dalai lama had to be reduced within the new institutional structure and subjected to the control of a Han official for secular issues. The plan also outlined the deployment of six thousand soldiers to Tibet awaiting the formation and training of a Tibetan militia (‘民兵’). The project was a clear colonial plan; indeed, Chang Yin-t’ang defined Tibet, in the last point, as a «colony» (‘殖民地’).[161] The Chinese historian Ya Han-chang 牙含章 admitted in his text on the biographies of the fourteen dalai lamas the similarity between the Chinese action in Tibet at the beginning of the twentieth century with the British colonization of India.[162] According to the plan, there was also a need to create schools to spread the Chinese language in Tibet.[163]

The Dalai Lama in Peking

About two years after Chang Yin-t’ang had been appointed vice-amban of Lhasa, the thirteenth dalai lama, Thub-bstan-rgya-mtsho, arrived in Peking on September 28, 1908.[164] In the imperial capital he met the Emperor Kuang-hsü and the Empress Dowager Tz’u-hsi, as well as several Western diplomats – including the British ambassador, John Jordan – and the prince of Sikkim.[165] On October 20, in his meeting with Jordan, the dalai lama inaugurated a new path of friendship with the British, the ancient enemies, asking the diplomat to express his friendship to Edward VII:[166]


Some time ago, he said, events had occurred which were not of his creating ; they belonged to the past, and it was his sincere desire that peace and amity should exist between the two neighbouring countries. He desired the Minister to report these words to the King-Emperor.[167]

King Edward responded favorably a few weeks later when the dalai lama was already on his way to Tibet.[168]

The audience with Emperor Kuang-hsü, initially scheduled for October 6, was then postponed to October 14.[169] To mark his submission to imperial power, Tz’u-hsi had decided to assign to the dalai lama a new and clear title: ‘the Loyally Submissive Vice-gerent’[170] – four characters to be added to the oldest title that Emperor Shun-chih had granted to the Great Fifth in 1654, ‘the Great, Good, Self-existent Buddha of Heaven’.[171] Thus the full title of the dalai lama, in Chinese characters, became ‘誠順贊化西天大善自在佛’.[172] Kuang-hsü died a month later probably poisoned on the orders of Tz’u-hsi and the next day the empress dowager also died.[173] The thirteenth dalai lama left Peking on the morning of December 21, 1908,[174] while Dorzhiyev left on December 23, heading first to Transbaikalia and then to Saint Petersburg, with the aim of settling in the Russian capital and building monasteries.[175] Thub-bstan-rgya-mtsho, on the other hand, went first to A-mdo, to the dge-lugs monastery of Sku-’bum (Sku ’bum byams pa gling)where he had to wait for imperial permission to reach Lhasa.[176] Thub-bstan-rgya-mtsho returned to his capital only on December 25, 1909.[177] A few weeks later, faced with the danger of falling into the hands of the Chinese troops who had invaded the country, he had to flee again and, this time, take refuge in India.[178]

FOR FOOTNOTES AND REFERENCES GO TO 


Further Reading on E-International Relations

ABOUT THE AUTHOR(S)
Matteo Miele is an Affiliated Assistant Professor at the Center for Southeast Asian Studies (CSEAS) of Kyoto University and a Fellow of the Royal Asiatic Society of Great Britain and Ireland. Between August 2011 and July 2012, he was a Lecturer at the Sherubtse College, Royal University of Bhutan. He received his Ph.D. (Dottorato di Ricerca) from the University of Pisa in 2014.
The Conditionality of American Support for Sanctions on Russia

Timothy S Rich, Ian Milden and Annie Whaley
Aug 7 2022 •

Vladimirkarp/Shutterstock

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In wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February, a number states and trading blocs within the international system have placed sanctions on Russia. These sanctions have affected Russia’s ability to interact with the international financial system, forcing Russia to default on its debt for the first time since 1998. Several countries have also banned Russian exports, including oil and gas. Here, we ask to what extent the American public supports sanctions, especially if it may economically affect themselves, and what polling data tells us about this.

In general, sanctions rarely are effective unless they are well coordinated with broad global support. For example, sanctions on Russian gas have not been effective in reducing demand in many developing countries, who rely on Russian gas supply networks for their energy infrastructure. Sanctions have also harmed U.S. business interests in Russia by blocking payments from Russian banks and forcing businesses to sell assets in Russia at unfavorable prices.

Surveys in the initial months after the Russian invasion show that Americans are supportive of sanctions, but, significantly, does support decline if sanctions lead to reflexive economic costs? A PBS, NPR, and Marist College poll from March 2022 found that 83% of Americans supported economic sanctions on Russia, with 69% willing to accept higher energy prices as a result. Likewise, in the same month a CBS News poll found 63% supported sanctions, even if gas prices increased, alongside a Washington Post and ABC News poll in April which found respondents both supportive of stronger economic sanctions (67%) and concerned about sanctions contributing to rising food and energy prices (66%). A Monmouth University poll in May found that not only did 77% of Americans support sanctions, but 78% supported import bans on Russian oil.

However, on the other hand, most surveys only ask about potential costs after evaluating general support for sanctions, which may artificially inflate cost tolerance. Nor is it clear how important responding to Russia is to the public. A Gallup poll from February 2022 found that most Americans did not place the Russo-Ukrainian conflict at the top of their list of the most important issues. Even post-invasion, sanctions on Russia are unlikely to be viewed as more important than domestic factors, such as inflation or gasoline prices, that would have a more direct impact on their lives.

To address support for sanctions, we conducted an original national web survey in the US from June 29th to July 11th 2022, via Qualtrics, with quota sampling for age, gender, and geographic region. We randomly assigned 1,728 Americans to receive one of three statements to evaluate on a five-point scale (strongly disagree to strongly agree) and then explored this in relation to support for the two major US parties (Republicans and Democrats).


The statements were:

Version 1: I support sanctions against Russia.

Version 2: I support sanctions against Russia, even if it means US consumers pay more for goods.

Version 3: I support sanctions against Russia, even if it means US consumers pay more for gas.

If the public increasingly is risk averse, then costly sanctions, especially ones that would impact already higher prices, would presumably erode sanction support. The figure below shows the percentage of respondents that either agreed or strongly agreed with each statement, broken down by partisan support. Overall, 63.72% of respondents supported sanctions under Version 1, with higher rates among Democrats (72.89%) and Republicans (66.49%). However, when primed to think about potential costs, support declines. Notably, only among Democrats did support remain over 50% in Versions 2 and 3. The results also show limited differences between Versions 2 and 3, suggesting that just the mention of increased costs of any kind depresses support for sanctions.

Additional statistical analysis finds that the only demographic variables corresponding with greater support for sanctions were age and education. That older respondents were more supportive of sanctions may be a function of memories of Cold War hostilities, while education may be picking up greater awareness of Russia’s actions in Ukraine.

When combined with previous survey data on sanctions, our data also suggests that Americans are less willing to tolerate policies targeting foreign actors that increase their cost of living over a sustained period. Americans in the early days of the Russian invasion of Ukraine may not have realized how long the invasion might last for, or even how much prices for goods, such as gasoline, would increase. Nor did previous surveys specify a timeframe for the sanctions or a specific increase in the cost of goods. The data suggests that proponents of sanctions need to either: (a) downplay potential economic and political costs to their constituents, or (b) make a clearer case as to why these are acceptable costs as part of a foreign policy objective to punish Russia, a direction made more difficult as Americans show less interest in engagement in foreign affairs overall.

The public’s diminishing support for economic sanctions against an overseas aggressor perhaps is a sign of a general growing apathy towards American engagement abroad in favor of “America First” isolationist sentiments. A history of economic and military interventions, highlighted by decades-long wars in the Middle East, at the same time as domestic challenges increase, may have forged a public more sensitive to the costs of international engagement. Whether the public would re-engage based on the perceived proximity of the threats is less clear, but a U.S. that pulls back on long-established interventionist policies would have a tangible change in the lives of those overseas and reframe the role of U.S. as a geopolitical power.


This survey work was funded by generous support by the Mahurin Honors College at Western Kentucky University.

Further Reading on E-International Relations
British museum agrees to return looted Benin Bronzes to Nigeria

By Danica Kirka
August 8, 2022 — 

London: A London museum has agreed to return a collection of Benin Bronzes looted in the late 19th century from what is now Nigeria as cultural institutions throughout Britain come under pressure to repatriate artefacts acquired during the colonial era.

The Horniman Museum and Gardens in south-east London said that it would transfer a collection of 72 items to the Nigerian government. The decision comes after Nigeria’s National Commission for Museums and Monuments formally asked for the artefacts to be returned earlier this year and following a consultation with community members, artists and schoolchildren in Nigeria and Britain, the museum said.

A Benin copper alloy plaque representing an encounter between Benin Chief Uwangue, and Portuguese traders that will be returned from the Horniman Museum to Nigeria.
CREDIT:AP

“The evidence is very clear that these objects were acquired through force, and external consultation supported our view that it is both moral and appropriate to return their ownership to Nigeria,” Eve Salomon, chair of the museum’s board of trustees, said in a statement. “The Horniman is pleased to be able to take this step, and we look forward to working with the NCMM to secure longer term care for these precious artefacts.”

The Horniman’s collection is a small part of the 3000 to 5000 artefacts taken from the Kingdom of Benin in 1897 when British soldiers attacked and occupied Benin City as Britain expanded its political and commercial influence in West Africa. The British Museum alone holds more than 900 objects from Benin, and National Museums Scotland has another 74. Others were distributed to museums around the world.

The artefacts include plaques, animal and human figures, and items of royal regalia made from brass and bronze by artists working for the royal court of Benin. The general term Benin Bronzes is sometimes applied to items made from ivory, coral, wood and other materials as well as the metal sculptures.

Countries including Nigeria, Egypt and Greece, as well indigenous peoples from North America to Australia, are increasingly demanding the return of artefacts and human remains amid a global reassessment of colonialism and the exploitation of local populations.


A brass plaque depicting a war chief and a royal military priest carrying a leather gift box that will be returned by London’s Horniman Museum.
CREDIT:AP

Nigeria and Germany recently signed a deal for the return of hundreds of Benin Bronzes. That followed French President Emmanuel Macron’s decision last year to sign over 26 pieces known as the Abomey Treasures, priceless artworks of the 19th century Dahomey kingdom in present-day Benin, a small country that sits just west of Nigeria.

But British institutions have been slower to respond.

Nigeria’s Federal Ministry of Information and Culture formally asked the British Museum to return its Benin Bronzes in October of last year.

The museum said Sunday that it is working with a number of partners in Nigeria and it is committed to a “thorough and open investigation” of the history of the Benin artefacts and the looting of Benin City.

“The museum is committed to active engagement with Nigerian institutions concerning the Benin Bronzes, including pursuing and supporting new initiatives developed in collaboration with Nigerian partners and colleagues,” the British Museum says on its website.

The Horniman Museum also traces its roots to the Age of Empire.

The museum opened in 1890, when tea merchant Frederick Horniman opened his collection of artefacts from around the world for public viewing.

Amid the Black Lives Matter movement, the museum embarked on a “reset agenda,” that sought to “address long-standing issues of racism and discrimination within our history and collections, and a determination to set ourselves on a more sustainable course for the future.”

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The museum’s website acknowledges that Frederick Horniman’s involvement in the Chinese tea trade meant he benefitted from low prices due to Britain’s sale of opium in China and the use of poorly compensated and sometimes forced labor.

The Horniman also recognises that it holds items “obtained through colonial violence”.

These include the Horniman’s collection of Benin Bronzes, comprising 12 brass plaques, as well as a brass cockerel altar piece, ivory and brass ceremonial objects, brass bells and a key to the king’s palace. The bronzes are currently displayed along with information acknowledging their forced removal from Benin City and their contested status.

“We recognise that we are at the beginning of a journey to be more inclusive in our stories and our practices, and there is much more we need to do,” the museum says on its website. “This includes reviewing the future of collections that were taken by force or in unequal transactions.”

AP

(R) Rep. Mace: 'Handmaid's Tale' Wasn't Supposed To Be A Roadmap For Legislators

Aug 7, 2022

Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) discusses privacy concerns after the Supreme Court's overturn of Roe v. Wade during an exclusive interview with Meet the Press.

 

‘Handmaid’s Tale Wasn’t Supposed to Be a Roadmap:’ GOP Congresswoman Bashes Extreme Abortion Bans

PETER WADE
August 7, 2022

Nancy Mace - Credit: AP

Handmaid’s Tale was not supposed to be a roadmap,” Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) said of states enacting extreme abortion bans without exceptions for rape or incest in the wake of the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade.

Mace, her state’s only female member of Congress, criticized the “extremities” of both sides of the abortion debate, arguing for a middle ground during a Sunday appearance on Meet the Press.

While Mace describes herself as “staunchly pro-life” and claims “there were issues with Roe in terms of the constitutionality of it,” she believes that extreme abortion bans enacted by states, including her own, have gone too far.

“If you look across the pond, you look at European nations, if you’re even allowed to have [an abortion], there are gestational limits,” Mace said. “In most countries in Europe you’re looking at 12 to 15 weeks there. And there are other, you know, exceptions that we should be looking at. We should be ensuring that life of the mother in every instance is protected… which is one of the reasons I was one of eight Republicans just a few weeks ago to vote to ensure that women have access to contraceptives. There are some basic things we could be doing that all of us agree on, the vast majority of people agree on, and aren’t fringy on either side of the aisle. But that’s not what we’re doing right now.”

For Mace, the issue of abortion is extremely personal, and it’s one reason she opposes state bans that require rape victims report an assault in order to get access to an abortion in places where there are exceptions for victims of rape and incest. South Carolina is one such state, and its legislature is currently debating an even more extreme ban.

“I was raped when I was 16,” Mace told Chuck Todd. “And it took me a week to tell my mother. By that time, any evidence would have been gone and the violation of a woman’s privacy — I can’t tell you how traumatic that event was in my life. And my own home state, they want women to be required and mandated to report when they are raped, and I just can’t even imagine a world where you’re a girl, a teenage girl that been raped to have to report those things.”

Handmaid’s Tale is not supposed to be a roadmap right?” Mace added. “This is a place where we can be, we can be in the center, we can protect life, and we can protect where people are on both sides of the aisle.”

When Todd asked her if it would be a mistake for Republicans to “become the party of abortion bans,” Mace replied, “I am staunchly pro-life. I have 100% pro-life voting record. I do think that it will be an issue in November if we’re not moderating ourselves, that we are included exceptions for women who’ve been raped, for girls who are victims of incest, and certainly in every instance where the life of the mother is at stake.”

Meanwhile, this past week Kansas voters signaled that abortion bans may be bad news for the GOP. A 59 percent majority of voters in the state chose to protect abortion access, rejecting a constitutional amendment that would have threatened abortion rights. That’s a similar number to the 62 percent of Americans who say abortion should be legal in all or most cases.

U$A
75% of New Jobs Require a Degree While Only 40% of Potential Applicants Have One

LAX and SoFi Stadium hold a hiring fair to fill more than 5,000 positions in airlines, concessions, retail, administration and more, in Inglewood, California, on September 9, 2021.
CHRISTINA HOUSE / LOS ANGELES TIMES VIA GETTY IMAGES

BYDavid Trend, Truthout
PUBLISHEDAugust 7, 2022            
                                       
In recent years, amid college admissions scams and student debt, a new debate is emerging around higher education. An increasing number of people are questioning the “paper ceiling” — the barrier for skilled job seekers who lack a bachelor’s degree. The education press is calling this an ontological threat in that it questions the existence and value of college itself, while accusing the system of perpetuating multiple forms of inequity. Of course, higher education often has found itself a political football in the past. What makes this time different is its critique of functions universities typically have seen as their strength: providing skills for reemployment and meaning for life.

Everyone knows it’s been a tough few years for higher education. With enrollments dropping during the pandemic at a pace not seen for half a century, concurrent changes in the U.S. workplace have rendered college degrees unnecessary for a growing number of high-wage jobs. Yet many employers require four-year credentials anyway, in what some observers see as an antiquated habit and a cover for discrimination.

The numbers are deceptively simple: 75 percent of new jobs insist on a bachelor’s degree, while only 40 percent of potential applicants have one. According to the advocacy group Opportunity@Work, employers mistakenly equate college completion with work aptitude, while disregarding self-acquired knowledge or nonacademic experience. The group asserts that the nation’s undervalued workforce “has developed valuable skills through community college, certificate programs, military service, or on-the-job learning, rather than through a bachelor’s degree. Workers with experience, skills, and diverse perspectives are held back by a silent barrier.” As a consequence, more than 50 percent of the U.S.’s skilled workforce has been underemployed and underpaid.

More concerning still is that such discrimination is unevenly distributed. Within a 70-million worker cohort of what are termed STAR (Skilled Through Alternative Routes) employees – those who don’t have a four-year degree — one finds 61 percent of Black workers, 55 percent of Latinos and 61 percent of veterans.

Academia has not ignored these issues. Schools know full well that students want jobs. Industry partnerships for job preparation, not to mention research and “innovation” programs, are common, especially for programs in science, engineering, technology or business. Equity and diversity programs likewise have become more robust, particularly in recent years. But the quality and quantity of these efforts varies from school to school. Unsurprisingly, the educational establishment uses its shortcomings to argue for more money and capacity. Pushing student loans and tuition discounts to boost enrollments, universities often cite statistics that their graduates have lifetime earnings of up to $1 million more than those without a degree. Many also assert the role of college in providing intellectual development, critical awareness and socialization.

But public opinion isn’t so sure, with Pew Research finding that only 16 percent of Americans believe college does a good job of preparing students for well-paying careers in today’s economy. Certain cohorts of the population have always held degrees of anti-intellectualism and resentment toward academic elites — but now even grads themselves express doubts, with only half saying their degrees helped them find work or do their jobs. The general public is divided on what higher education should do, according to a recent survey from the Association of American Colleges and Universities, revealing that 75 percent of wealthy and college-educated Americans believe a college degree is “definitely” or “probably” worth it, while only half of adults without a college degree or making less than $50,000 a year hold the same opinion. Pushback from inside the university enters this debate as well, with some faculty resenting the anti-intellectualism and vocationalism of the “corporate university.” Meanwhile, right-wing groups like Turning Point USA advocate the defunding of universities and prosecuting them for fraud.

Amid these disagreements, a growing bipartisan movement now is recognizing that the U.S.’s fixation with bachelor’s degrees ignores the many well-paid skills that can be acquired without going to college, not to mention the pace at which technology is creating more such jobs. Meanwhile, self-doubt is cropping up in publications like the respected Chronicle of Higher Education, which recently ran a piece asking, “If you don’t need a bachelor’s degree to get a good job, what does that do to the value of college?”

But it isn’t only job applicants who miss out. The entire economy suffers from narrow approaches to career preparation. The rising role of technology has meant that 37 percent of skills in highest demand have changed since 2016, according to data collected by the Burning Glass Institute (BGI) on over 15 million jobs. One in five jobs (22 percent) required at least one skill that was totally new, with positions changing rapidly in areas like finance, design, media, management, human relations and IT. Meanwhile, press accounts abound about jobs going unfilled in critical fields because employers can’t find “qualified” applicants. Labor reporter Eleanor Mueller asserts that “the U.S. spends far less on worker development than most other wealthy nations, which has made it difficult for its workforce and supply chain to meet current challenges.” According to Andy Van Kleunen of the nonprofit National Skills Coalition, the nation’s workforce strategy has declined because it relied too much on degree holders, when it “should be investing in all layers of our workforce.”

Little wonder that students are opting out of college at record rates. In a tight economy, only the wealthy can afford an education that promises no job at the end. The economic class division of higher education certainly isn’t lost on the 68 percent of college students who must borrow to pay for school, the majority of whom will spend decades of their lives paying off $1.7 trillion in tuition debt –– while deferring things like buying first houses (and often being prevented from securing home loans when they do try to buy homes because their student loans are too high) or starting families. Conditioned to see college as a requirement for the “American Dream,” many find themselves stuck with a flawed education that is increasingly overpriced, loaded with unnecessary frills, and punitive to anyone unfamiliar with its rules and culture.

Compounding this problem is the inequity running rampant inside colleges and universities in ways only recently coming to light. To make up for lagging enrollment numbers, schools increasingly base admissions decisions on willingness to pay (or borrow) over metrics that predict academic success and graduation. Once students get to college, they often find themselves struggling in poorly taught courses staffed by underpaid and overworked part-time faculty. A growing literature now documents the once-untold story of campus cost-cutting, especially as it shortchanges students with learning differences, special needs or limited experience with college life. All of this contributes to the rapid rise of student stress, academic failure and drop-out rates.

This new crisis in higher education is hardly a secret, yet it mostly gets viewed through such symptoms as rising tuitions, budget cuts, student anxiety and unemployment. Because of this, it’s not the type of problem resolvable with a single fix. Doing away with college certainly isn’t the answer at a time when all young people need the critical skills to make smart decisions for themselves and each other as workers, consumers and citizens. Pretending the problem will just go away won’t work either. At this point, nearly everyone involved agrees that much needs changing in the way higher education is conceived and how it operates. Groups like the Campaign for Free College Tuition find overwhelming public support for cost-free community colleges and state universities, as pressure continues to build in Washington for a broad-based federal program of student loan forgiveness.

Nascent movements like Critical University Studies — which examines higher education in a social context — seem one place to start. Writing an early article on this, Jeffrey J. Williams argued that any true reform of higher education must involve the many stakeholders inside and outside of institutions: students, professors, union organizers, business leaders. A growing body of helpful information/research is now becoming available; for instance, the online “Critical University Studies Resources” from Northwestern University’s Program in Critical Theory is listing current articles on the topic. Duke University Press offers a “Critical University Studies Syllabus” with links to online readings, largely free of charge. Both Palgrave MacMillan and Johns Hopkins University Press now have book series in university studies as well. Key in all of this is the need to begin a conversation, especially within an academic culture that all too often has seen itself exempt from the practicalities of the world around it. Unless something changes soon, higher education’s existential crisis may become very real indeed.

David Trendis a professor at the University of California, Irvine, and the former editor of the journals Socialist Review and Afterimage. Honored as a Getty Scholar, his books include Anxious Creativity (2020), Elsewhere in America (2016), Worlding (2012), The End of Reading (2010), A Culture Divided (2009), Everyday Culture (2007), The Myth of Media Violence (Blackwell, 2007), Reading Digital Culture (Blackwell, 2001), Cultural Democracy (1997), Radical Democracy (1996), and Cultural Pedagogy (1992).

U$A

Juvenile crime is down yet again

Rick Nevin writes in with the latest data on juvenile arrests. It's pretty spectacular:

I don't know that I agree with Rick's trendlines—I doubt that juvenile crime is going to hit zero anytime soon—but his basic idea is sound. And it's remarkable that even as lead poisoning has flattened out, teen crime rates continue to plummet:

  • Since 1990, the property crime rate among Black juveniles has gone down 90% and the violent crime rate has gone down 80%.
  • Among all juveniles, the property crime rate has gone down 90% and the violent crime rate has gone down 75%.

The crazy thing about all this is that if you judge by the squawkings of police chiefs and elected officials, you'd think America was still trapped in the middle of a massive crime wave. But it ain't so. The numbers go up and down a bit from year to year and place to place, and the pandemic has obviously had an effect recently, but generally speaking kids just aren't involved in much crime these days. At the same time, 20-somethings are following right along. Their numbers will be similar to that for teens within a few more years.

And don't forget that we're at the start of the decade that will also see a reduction in violence in the Middle East. I'm dead serious about that.

Africa: Western Colonialism vs The Legacy of the Soviet Union

Moscow - along with Beijing - is preparing for a long-term geopolitical confrontation in Africa.


Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov (L) walks with Uganda's President Yoweri Museveni after their press conference at the State House in Entebbe on July 26, 2022. (Photo by BADRU KATUMBA/AFP via Getty Images)

RAMZY BAROUD
August 7, 2022

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's recent tour in Africa was meant to be a game changer, not only in terms of Russia's relations with the continent, but in the global power struggle involving the US, Europe, China, India, Turkey and others.

Many media reports and analyses placed Lavrov's visit to Egypt, the Republic of Congo, Uganda and Ethiopia within the obvious political context of the Russia-Ukraine war. The British Guardian's Jason Burka summed up Lavrov's visit in these words: “Lavrov is seeking to convince African leaders and, to a much lesser extent, ordinary people that Moscow cannot be blamed either for the conflict or the food crisis.”

Though true, there is more at stake.

Africa’s importance to the geostrategic tug of war is not a new phenomenon. Western governments, think tanks and media reports have, for long, allocated much attention to Africa due to China’s and Russia’s successes in altering the foreign policy map of many African countries. For years, the West has been playing catch up, but with limited success.

The Economist discussed 'the new scramble for Africa' in a May 2019 article, which reported on “governments and businesses from all around the world” who are “rushing” to the continent in search of “vast opportunities” awaiting them there. Between 2010 and 2016, 320 foreign embassies were opened in Africa which, according to the magazine, is “probably the biggest embassy-building boom, anywhere, ever.”

Though China has often been portrayed as a country seeking economic opportunities only, the nature and evolution of Beijing’s relations with Africa prove otherwise. Beijing is reportedly the biggest supplier of arms to sub-Saharan Africa, and its defense technology permeates almost the entire continent. In 2017, China established its first military base in Djibouti in the Horn of Africa.

Russia’s military influence in Africa is also growing exponentially, and Moscow’s power is challenging that of France, the US and others in various strategic spaces, mainly in the East Africa regions.

But, unlike the US and other western states, countries like China, Russia and India have been cautious as they attempt to strike the perfect balance between military engagement, economic development and political language.

‘Quartz Africa’ reported that trade between Africa and China “rose to a record high” in 2021. The jump was massive: 35% between 2020 and 2021, reaching a total of $254 billion.

Now that Covid-19 restrictions have been largely lifted, trade between Africa and China is likely to soar at astronomical levels in the coming years. Keeping in mind the economic slump and potential recession in the West, Beijing’s economic expansion is unlikely to slow down, despite the obvious frustration of Washington, London and Brussels. It ought to be said that China is already Africa’s largest trade partner, and by far.

Russia-China-Africa’s strong ties are paying dividends on the international stage. Nearly half of the abstentions in the vote on United Nations Resolution ES-11/1 on March 2, condemning Russia’s military action in Ukraine, came from Africa alone. Eritrea voted against it. This attests to Russia’s ability to foster new alliances on the continent. It also demonstrates the influence of China - Russia’s main ally in the current geopolitical tussle – as well.

Yet, there is more to Africa’s position than mere interest in military hardware and trade expansion. History is most critical.

In the first 'scramble for Africa', Europe sliced up and divided the continent into colonies and areas of influence. The exploitation and brutalization that followed remain one of the most sordid chapters in modern human history.

What the Economist refers to as the 'second scramble for Africa' during the Cold War era was the Soviet Union’s attempt to demolish the existing colonial and neo-colonial paradigms established by western countries throughout the centuries.

The collapse of the Soviet Union over three decades ago changed this dynamic, resulting in an inevitable Russian retreat and the return to the uncontested western dominance. That status quo did not last for long, however, as China and, eventually, Russia, India, Turkey, Arab countries and others began challenging western supremacy.

Lavrov and his African counterparts fully understand this context. Though Russia is no longer a Communist state, Lavrov was keen on referencing the Soviet era, thus the unique rapport Moscow has with Africa, in his speeches. For example, ahead of his visit to Congo, Lavrov said in an interview that Russia had “long-standing good relations with Africa since the days of the Soviet Union.”

Such language cannot be simply designated as opportunistic or merely compelled by political urgency. It is part of a complex discourse and rooted superstructure, indicating that Moscow - along with Beijing - is preparing for a long-term geopolitical confrontation in Africa.

Considering the West’s harrowing colonial past, and Russia’s historic association with various liberation movements on the continent, many African states, intelligentsias and ordinary people are eager to break free from the grip of western hegemony.

Our work is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). Feel free to republish and share widely.



RAMZY BAROUD is a journalist and the Editor of the Palestine Chronicle. He is the author of five books including: "These Chains Will Be Broken: Palestinian Stories of Struggle and Defiance in Israeli Prisons" (2019), "My Father Was a Freedom Fighter: Gaza's Untold Story" (2010) and "The Second Palestinian Intifada: A Chronicle of a People's Struggle" (2006). Dr. Baroud is a Non-resident Senior Research Fellow at the Center for Islam and Global Affairs (CIGA), Istanbul Zaim University (IZU). His website is www.ramzybaroud.net.
‘I really wish it will end’: how mothers in Gaza are handling the latest Israeli escalation

How do parents in Gaza, who are dealing with their own trauma and fear, help their children endure yet another Israeli attack?
  AUGUST 7, 2022 

MOURNERS ATTENDING THE FUNERAL OF SEVEN PALESTINIANS KILLED IN ISRAELI AIR STRIKES ON RAFAH IN THE SOUTHERN GAZA STRIP, ON AUGUST 7, 2022. (PHOTO BY ASHRAF AMRA/APAIMAGES)

Receiving the “panic call” was no surprise to me. It was my friend Laila, who used to live in the Gaza Strip and emigrated to Britain. She called checking on me and my family after hearing the news about the latest escalation in the Gaza Strip that began Friday. I told her that we are OK, and that we checked on her family members in Gaza. Thankfully, they are all safe and sound.

“Every day my husband and I question our decision of getting out of Gaza, leaving behind our beloved family members, friends, memories and lives,” Laila tells me over our messenger call. “However, it is situations like this, where no civilian in Gaza is safe and women and children are dying, that makes me feel less guilty for the drastic step we took.”

Laila has two young children who still remember what war feels like. She always tells them stories about Gaza and shares memories with them that they might not recall. Once, she told her oldest son that she hopes one day they will go back to Gaza and he started crying. He told her he does not want to live in war again, and that he doesn’t want to die.

Sitting in my living room, sweating profusely while hearing the news not only about the escalations but also the announcement that Gaza’s only power plant might stop completely working due to a lack of fuel, I thought about all the mothers in the Gaza Strip, especially those of young children, who have to deal with this horrible experience. I reached out to some of the mothers I know personally, and I was surprised by the different responses I got.

Noor, a mother of five, told me: “My children are no longer young, I cannot ‘beautify’ the reality to them any more, especially the older ones. They have very specific, and scary, questions: Why is this happening to us? Are we 100% safe? Is this another war like the previous year? They started evaluating the spaces in the house to choose the safest one. For me, I chose to be realistic and honest, I decided to answer all their questions while trying to give them some hope. I really wish it will end.”

“My daughter did not believe me. I was such a mess. She told me — ‘Mommy, this is a war, not fireworks.’”Sondos, a mother in Gaza

Amal, a mother of two, agrees with what Noor mentioned, and she highlighted the access to information that children have these days. “My children don’t need me to tell them what is happening, they have smart phones and an internet connection, the news is everywhere. I decided to answer their questions and discuss the situation openly, but I try at the same time to encourage them to do different things to get their minds off the topic.”

On the other hand, some mothers chose to completely ignore the situation and act as if nothing is happening. Doaa, a mother of four, told me, “I told my kids that we want to have a camping experience, where they will turn all their mobiles off and I will not go to work to spend time with them. I collected all the big puzzles we have, the games we own, and the books we all agreed to read but haven’t yet. And when they hear any bombings, I will tell them it is no big deal, just a sonic bomb. It is still day two, so I am not sure if I can continue with this approach or not.”

Another mother, Sondos, lied to her only daughter and told her that the sounds she heard were fireworks. “My daughter did not believe me. I was such a mess. She told me — ‘Mommy, this is a war, not fireworks.’”

During my discussions with the mothers, most of them were trying to keep their feelings and fear under control. However, some of them couldn’t. Salma, a mother of four shared with me how angry she is that after four aggressions, the story is happening all over again. “There should be a space for vulnerable civilians to take refuge at. A space that is guaranteed to be safe. Once they announced the horrible news, I went directly from calm to hysterical, and my children had to witness all this. Isn’t it enough the economic struggles that we face everyday?! Another escalation within one year!”

Sarah and Noha, mothers of two and three children, told me that they are applying the techniques they read about. They try to always hug their children when they get scared, they are doing their best to prevent them from seeing any disturbing pictures on social media, and they are trying to stay calm in their presence.

Recently, I read a disturbing study conducted by Save the Children which said that 80% of Gaza children (four in five children) say that they are living with depression, grief, and fear. Is this surprising to me? It is not; I live in Gaza and I can see the impact on the children, but seeing it translated into numbers shows how horrible the situation has gotten.

It all takes me back to a very essential question I have asked myself over and over again — do I need to have children in Gaza? Having children is a responsibility that the parents should bare. My mother, may she rest in peace, used to apologize to me, an adult, for being in Gaza. Whether it is because of the unstable political situation or the very difficult circumstances we are living in. Right now, while hearing the sounds of the escalations, I feel thankful that I do not have children to feel guilty about.

But one thing I do feel guilty about, is writing this article from the mothers’ perspective only. Fathers, too, feel a huge responsibility while they and their children are facing these unbearable conditions.

One final mother I talked to, her name is Nadia, told me that her son is one-year-old. He is too young to realize what is happening around him. “Well, this is something I need to care about in the next escalation, if we stay alive.”

“You think there will be another one?” I asked.

“Come on! 2008, 2012, 2014, 2021 and 2022. Do the math.”

Even though Nadia was not optimistic at all, and even though the reality says it all, a tiny part of me chooses to remain hopeful and wish that her child, will grow up to live a healthy life, that is full of happiness and achievements.
Without consequences, Israel will continue to murder Palestinians

Refaat Alareer
7 August 2022

Children’s ages can now be counted in wars.
 Osama Baba APA images

Amal is now two wars old.

No one ever gets used to being bombarded every year or so. The kids in particular live in constant fear. But it does become part of life.

As the Israeli missiles rained down on Gaza City on Friday, my daughter Amal, 6, asked her mom, memories of last year’s horror still fresh: “Will there be another war?”

During the assault, my children, especially Linah, 9, and Amal, have been mostly quiet. Amal has tried to sleep and Linah lay down in the living room. At night, like most kids in Gaza, they shriek in fear each time they hear an explosion. A report published by EuroMed found that about 91 percent of Palestinian children live in constant trauma and terror due to recurrent Israeli attacks.

Nothing can prepare you for this. Israel has been bombarding Gaza ever since the second intifada. We never get used to the bombs. And we never know how to deal with the sheer terror and absolute Israeli savagery. No lies or hugs or sweets can calm the kids down. When the bombs fall, the kids will always shriek in utter fear. The lies that things will be alright and that these are fireworks no longer work.

By Sunday morning, Israel had killed at least 30 Palestinians, including two Islamic Jihad leaders, and a little girl, Alaa Qaddum, 5.

Well over 250 Palestinians have been injured and several homes and buildings have been destroyed or damaged.


As I was writing this on Saturday morning, Israel had just struck a wedding in the northern Gaza Strip, reportedly killing the groom’s mother.

Flimsy and murderous


Israel’s pretext this time is as flimsy as can be. After detaining a senior Islamic Jihad leader in the occupied West Bank, Israel said it was engaged in a “preemptive operation” to stop alleged missile attacks before they start.

This is like Israel’s war on Gaza in May 2021 and its massive 2014 attack and the many escalations between them. And it brings back memories of Israel’s bombing campaigns in 2012, 2008-09, 2006 and many others, several of which coincided with Israeli elections.

Palestinian resistance fighters, as expected, reacted eventually by firing volleys of homemade missiles at Israeli military targets. By doing so, they are affirming the Palestinian right to self-defense and liberation.

Many Palestinians have seen countless of their loved ones murdered in their sleep, or when they were resting and generally minding their own business. If Israel will kill us regardless of who we are or what we are doing, then, many Palestinians believe, why not die fighting and defending our very existence?

There is no one more determined or dangerous than a person who has nothing to lose.

During the May 2021 aggression, according to Airwars, in more than 70 percent of Israeli attacks that killed Palestinian civilians, there were no reports of any casualties from the resistance. In other words, civilians were the only victims.

According to B’Tselem, an Israeli rights group, nearly two-thirds of the more than 2,200 Palestinians Israel killed in Gaza in 2014 were civilians.

Notice that such statistics usually count Palestinian civilian police or resistance fighters killed in their homes as they slept as militants.

Given these realities, I am certain that civilians, mainly children, women, and the elderly, are not collateral damage – rather they are Israel’s main targets.

Sweets and guilt

But despite all that, I want to make things seem okay to my children. I can’t prevent their eyes from seeing what they see, or their ears from hearing the bombs. I cannot protect their hearts from the Israeli mayhem.

So, I go out to buy sweets. But to venture out is to put yourself in grave peril. One might get killed simply being in the street, not that remaining at home is much safer.

I don’t take the elevator if the power is on. Not that the stairs are safer.

I make sure not to walk near buildings or under trees lest I should appear suspicious to Israeli drones. Not that walking in the middle of the street is any safer.

And then there is the guilt. The guilt of being able to go out while hundreds of thousands can’t. The guilt of being able to buy bread and other essentials while hundreds of thousands cannot afford such necessities.

Taking my time to double check I am not buying Israeli products, I get several things: cookies, chips, chocolate pudding and sweets. When I come back home, Amal does not rush to greet me as she usually does. She does not rush to ransack the bags to snatch and devour her favorite sweets. She remains motionless, almost lifeless.

Israel has the “right to defend itself,”says the American administration. So, too, say British and European statements.

Several officials, including from the UN and the Red Crescent, waited for hours for the Palestinian resistance to react to issue tame condemnations calling on “all sides to avoid further escalation.”

The UN’s Tor Wennesland announced he was “[d]eeply concerned by the ongoing escalation between #Palestine|ian militants & #Israel” … of course only after the Palestinian resistance struck back with what little they have.

These vicious lies of Israel defending itself attempt to create a false moral equivalence that both sides are to blame. This obscures rather than reveals.



It is really not hard to understand why this keeps happening, why my youngest daughter is two wars old already. Israeli immunity from criticism and consequences along with the political and financial support it unconditionally receives from the West (and even from Arab countries) are the reasons it feels safe to continue to murder Palestinians.

Lives and votes

Indeed, we understand that when Israel escalates against us, its political leaders not only receive more votes in elections, they receive more support from western countries.

With Israeli polls projecting Benjamin Netanyahu to win a majority of 60+ seats in upcoming elections, the current interim coalition government, considered to be “moderate” by many liberals in the West, must have thought a quick war on Gaza might appeal to Israel’s electorate.

Palestinians have become accustomed to Israel’s carnage when elections approach. Israeli leaders know the best way to win votes is to flex their muscles. Our problem, in other words, is not with Netanyahu or the Likud but with the Israeli occupation itself.

Yet it is wrong to assume Israel kills Palestinians only when there are elections on the horizon. Israeli and Zionist militias have been massacring Palestinians for approximately 100 years now. Israel is not satisfied with anything but total victory for its colonial rule.

Palestinians are not Ukrainians for the world to care about. It’s not Russia bombing us for the world to send us sophisticated weapons to defend ourselves. We are not mostly blond with blue eyes. We are not Jews. And for being the wrong sort of people, it seems, we have to starve, to live in fear and terror, and die without anyone lifting a finger.

Lies and questions

The sweets and the kids’ favorite pudding remain untouched. Linah and Amal cower against the walls of the living room. They refuse to eat or be entertained. Nusayba, my wife, tells them yet another set of little lies: the bombings are far away, the missiles are “ours,” and this too shall pass.

There will be more Israeli wars and more Israeli massacres. Will Israeli war criminals ever pay for their crimes? Will Arab countries rushing to normalize ties with Israel see it for what it is: an entity built on the violent dispossession and dislocation of Palestinians? Can grassroots organizations and free people wherever they may be put more pressure on their governments to boycott and hold Israel accountable?

If not, the lies, little and big, will continue. Israel will continue to shed Palestinian blood, for fun or for political gain, or to consolidate its occupation.

Or simply because it can.

Refaat Alareer is the editor of Gaza Writes Back: Short Stories from Young Writers in Gaza, Palestine. He teaches world literature and creative writing at the Islamic University of Gaza. Twitter: @itranslate123


Dozens Dead As Fighting In Gaza Strip Escalates Transcript

Rev › Blog › Transcripts › Gaza Strip › Dozens Dead As Fighting In Gaza Strip Escalates Transcript


Intensifying fighting in the Middle East between Israeli Defense Forces and the militant group known as The Palestinian Islamic Jihad has left at least 24 dead. Read the transcript here.

Try Rev and save time transcribing, captioning, and subtitling.

Matt Bradley: (00:01)
Tonight, the Gaza Strip teeters on the edge of all-out war, as an exchange of missiles between Israel and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad group escalated on its second day. It’s the worst fighting the Gaza Strip has seen in war than a year.

Matt Bradley: (00:16)
Tonight the Israeli military is claiming some deaths were due to a misfired rocket from Gaza, an incident Palestinian officials say killed six people. At least two dozen Palestinians have been killed so far. Among them, the entire Islamic Jihad leadership, according to Israel’s military, and a five year old girl. Mourners for that youngest victim gathered in Gaza City’s morgue yesterday.

Riyad Qaddoum: (00:40)
[foreign language 00:00:40].

Matt Bradley: (00:40)
“What has she done wrong, this innocent child? She was preparing for kindergarten,” her grandfather said.

Matt Bradley: (00:45)
Israel started the fighting yesterday with a barrage of missiles it said was meant to preempt an imminent Palestinian attack. Palestinian Islamic Jihad responded by firing at least a hundred rockets into Israel overnight, most of which Israel intercepted, according to its Defense Ministry. Only two Israelis suffered minor injuries.

Matt Bradley: (01:04)
Both sides appear to be digging in for a longer fight. A worsening conflict for civilians, but fought on a desperate and deprived Gaza Strip. Matt Bradley, NBC News.


Militants fire rockets at Jerusalem after Israel kills senior Islamic Jihad commander

By Adam Schrader

Rockets are fired by Palestinian militants into Israel, amid Israel-Gaza fighting, 
in Gaza, on Sunday. Photo by Ismael Mohamad/UPI | License Photo

Aug. 7 (UPI) -- Militants fired rockets at Jerusalem on Sunday after Israel announced it had killed a senior Islamic Jihad commander in Gaza as a delegation from Egypt arrived in the country to broker a truce between the opposing parties.

Israel Defense Forces announced Sunday that Khaled Mansour, the commander of Islamic Jihad's Southern Gaza Division, was targeted and killed in an airstrike on an apartment building in the Rafah refugee camp in Gaza on Saturday night, escalating three days of intense fighting between the parties.

"He was responsible for dozens of terrorist attacks against Israeli civilians and soldiers," the Israel Defense Forces said in its statement. "We will continue to act against any threat to Israel."

The strike triggered a barrage of 580 missiles fired from Gaza toward Israel which intercepted 97% of them with its Iron Dome defense system, the Israel Defense Forces said in another statement.



"In response to continuous rocket fire from Gaza toward Israel, we are currently striking Islamic Jihad rocket launch posts in Gaza," the Israel Defense Forces said.

The Palestinian Health Ministry in Gaza said in a statement that Israel Defense Forces have killed 31 civilians including six children and four women and injured another 284 civilians.

Prime Minister Yair Lapid vowed in a statement that the operation in Gaza "will continue as long as necessary."



Islamic Jihad confirmed Mansour's death in a statement to The New York Times and said his body was found with the bodies of two more militants and five civilians, including a child, under the rubble of a building.

"We affirm that the blood of the martyrs will not be spilled in vain," the Islamic Jihad's military wing vowed, according to The New York Times.

Israeli officials told The New York Times that a delegation from Egypt had arrived in Israel and made progress on Sunday toward a cease-fire between Israel Defense Forces and Palestinian militants.


Right-wing Israelis shout at Palestinians after visiting the Al Aqsa Mosque compound in the Old City of Jerusalem, on Tisha B'Av, on Sunday. Right-wing Israelis commemorated the destruction of the ancient temples in Jerusalem while air raid sirens sounded in the areas of Jerusalem as the Israeli military strikes Gaza and Palestinian militants fire rockets into Israel. 


A Palestinian gestures to Israeli police securing right-wing Jews who visited the Al Aqsa Mosque compound in the Old City of Jerusalem, on Tisha B'Av, on Sunday.


Palestinian youth shout at right-wing Jews leaving the Al Aqsa Mosque compound in the Old City of Jerusalem, on Tisha B'Av, on Sunday.

All Photos by Debbie Hill/UPI |