Monday, September 26, 2022

Compared to oil and gas, offshore wind is 125 times better for taxpayers

A new report finds per-acre revenue from offshore wind blows oil and gas out of the water

Thomas Jackson / Getty Images

Jessie Blaeser
Sep 23, 2022
GRIST

Not only is offshore wind power better for the planet compared to oil and gas, it’s also better for taxpayers. That’s according to a new analysis from the Center for American Progress, a nonpartisan policy research institute.

“Americans are getting significantly more return on investment from offshore wind energy lease sales than they are from oil and gas lease sales” per acre, said Michael Freeman, a conservation policy analyst for the Center and author of the report.

Offshore leases are essentially patches of publicly-owned waters rented out by the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management for energy production — a process governed by the National Environmental Policy Act, or NEPA. The money made from these leases goes to the U.S. Treasury Department, and, through public program funding, back into the pockets of taxpayers.

From 2019 to 2021, the average winning bid from offshore oil and gas lease sales was $47 per acre. By contrast, the average winning bid for a wind lease sale was 125 times higher — just over $5,900 per acre. And that number is likely to get even higher given the American wind industry is still in its relative infancy, said Jenny Rowland-Shea, the Director of Public Lands for the Center for American Progress.

With such a high return on investment, the new analysis suggests offshore wind leases could be a promising source of public revenue in comparison to oil and gas leases, while also reducing energy and fuel costs. Freeman said this money could be redistributed to taxpayers in the form of funding federal agencies or paying for health and education programs: “Expanding offshore wind energy is good for [taxpayers’] driving, for their wallet, for the air that they breathe.”
 
Grist / Jessie Blaeser

And of course, there are environmental benefits too. Energy produced by offshore wind does not result in the same climate consequences as offshore oil and gas energy production, which releases up to 87 metric tons of carbon dioxide per active acre in the Gulf of Mexico. That’s roughly the equivalent carbon pollution of 19 cars driven for one year. And according to the report, the social cost of carbon emissions per acre for oil leases is over $16,000 and roughly $2,800 for natural gas leases. Meanwhile, the social cost of carbon emissions from offshore wind power is “essentially nil” per acre, Freeman said. “Clean energy really is clean.”

Offshore wind power has a long way to go before it can come close to the scale of its oil and gas equivalent, but the U.S. has announced big plans for the industry. Early in 2021, the Biden administration set the goal of producing 30 gigawatts of offshore wind power by 2030, or enough to power 10 million homes. This August, Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act into law, which tied the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management’s ability to issue offshore wind leases to oil and gas leasing, effectively connecting the expansion of offshore wind to expansion of offshore oil and gas energy production.

Prior to the Inflation Reduction Act, the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management had only sold two offshore wind leases to U.S. operators, which contribute less than 1 percent of the energy required to reach the 30-gigawatt goal.

While energy analysts say offshore wind lease sales create greater return on investment for the government and produce more energy per acre compared to offshore oil and gas, the latter is, at least for the present time, more cost effective. That’s because of the high start-up costs associated with the relatively new offshore wind industry. Nevertheless, Freedman said he expects offshore leases to shift away from oil and gas in the future.

The report shows that offshore wind leasing is a valid way to harness ocean energy resources, Rowland-Shea said, and at a crucial time. “What’s at stake is acting on the climate emergency and our transition to a clean energy economy.”

Switching to renewables could save trillions by 2050, says Oxford study


Wind and solar energy are already the cheapest options for new power projects. 
Picture: Armand Hough/ANA

Published 22h ago

Making the switch from dirty fossil fuels to cleaner renewable energy could save the world as much as $12 trillion (R220 trillion), a recent Oxford University study says.

The report said it was wrong and pessimistic to claim that moving quickly towards cleaner energy sources was expensive.
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This comes as gas prices in Europe have soared on increased concerns over energy supplies, much of which come from Russia – now widely seen as a pariah state.

“Rapidly decarbonising the global energy system is critical for addressing climate change, but concerns about costs have been a barrier to implementation. Most energy-economy models have historically underestimated deployment rates for renewable energy technologies and overestimated their costs,” the researchers said.

The constantly decreasing cost of renewables is something that cannot be ignored any longer because it makes choosing green energy simply a good economic decision, the researchers said.

"Even if you're a climate denier, you should be on board with what we're advocating," Professor Doyne Farmer from the Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School said.

"Our central conclusion is that we should go full-speed ahead with the green-energy transition because it's going to save us money," he said.

Researchers used historic price data for both renewables and fossil fuels to construct a model on how these are likely to change in the future.



Fossil fuel data goes back more than a century from 2020 and shows that, after accounting for inflation and market volatility, the prices of fossil fuels haven't changed much.

Researchers admitted that, owing to the widespread use of renewables being relatively recent, there isn’t as much data available as there is for fossil fuels, but over time the continual improvements in technology have meant the cost of solar and wind power have fallen rapidly, at a rate approaching 10% a year.

Researchers used a "probabilistic" modelling method to determine that the price of renewables will continue to fall. This made use of data on how massive investment and economies of scale have made other similar technologies cheaper.
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"Our latest research shows scaling up key green technologies will continue to drive their costs down, and the faster we go, the more we will save," said Dr Rupert Way from the Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, the report's lead author.

Although wind and solar energy are already the cheapest options for new power projects, questions remain over how to best store power and balance the grid when changes in the weather lead to a fall in renewable output.

In 2019, Philip Hammond, then the Chancellor of the Exchequer, wrote to the then British prime minister stating that the cost of reaching net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 in the UK would be over £1 trillion. This report says the likely costs have been overestimated and have deterred investment.

The research has been published in the journal Joule and is a collaboration between the Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, the Oxford Martin Programme on the Post-Carbon Transition, the Smith School of Enterprise & Environment at the University of Oxford, and SoDa Labs at Monash University.

SEE Offshore Wind Can Lower Energy Prices and Beat Out Oil and Gas - Center for American Progress

Catalytic Process With Lignin Could Enable 100% Sustainable Aviation Fuel


NREL, MIT, Washington State University Collaboration Provides Pathway to Sustainable Jet Fuel

Sept. 22, 2022 | 

Three containers with a powdery substance in one and liquid in the others.
Containers are of poplar biomass (left), the extracted lignin oil, and the resulting sustainable aviation fuel.

An underutilized natural resource could be just what the airline industry needs to curb carbon emissions.

Researchers at three institutions—the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), and Washington State University—report success in using lignin as a path toward a drop-in 100% sustainable aviation fuel. Lignin makes up the rigid parts of the cell walls of plants. Other parts of plants are used for biofuels, but lignin has been largely overlooked because of the difficulties in breaking it down chemically and converting it into useful products.

The newly published research demonstrated a process the researchers developed to remove the oxygen from lignin, such that the resulting hydrocarbons could be used as a jet fuel blendstock. The research, “Continuous Hydrodeoxygenation of Lignin to Jet-Range Aromatic Hydrocarbons,” appears in the journal Joule.

Gregg Beckham and Earl Christensen are the researchers involved from NREL.

The paper points to the need to use sustainable sources for jet fuel as the airline industry has pledged to dramatically reduce carbon emissions. Airlines consumed 106 billion gallons of jet fuel globally during 2019, and that number is expected to more than double by 2050. Accomplishing the industry’s goal of achieving net carbon neutrality during that same period will require a massive deployment of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) with high blend limits with conventional fuel.

Jet fuel is a blended mixture of different hydrocarbon molecules, including aromatics and cycloalkanes. Current commercialized technologies do not produce those components to qualify for a 100% SAF. Instead, SAF blendstocks are combined with conventional hydrocarbon fuels. As the largest source of renewable aromatics in nature, lignin could hold the answer to achieving a complete bio-based jet fuel. This newly published work illustrates the ability of a lignin pathway to complement existing and other developing pathways. Specifically, the lignin pathway described in this new work allows the SAF to have fuel system compatibility at higher blend ratios.

Because of its recalcitrance, lignin is typically burned for heat and power or used only in low-value applications. Previous research has yielded lignin oils with high oxygen contents ranging from 27% to 34%, but to be used as a jet fuel that amount must be reduced to less than a half-percent.

Other processes have been tried to reduce the oxygen content, but the catalysts involved require expensive noble metals and proved to be low yielding. Researchers at the trio of institutions demonstrated an efficient method that used earth-abundant molybdenum carbide as the catalyst in a continuous process, achieving an oxygen content of about 1%.

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Bioenergy Technologies Office and Center for Bioenergy Innovation funded the research.

NREL is the U.S. Department of Energy's primary national laboratory for renewable energy and energy efficiency research and development. NREL is operated for the Energy Department by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC.

SUDBURY

More than 300 new mines needed to meet electric vehicle demand, says analyst

Canada can play a big role in meeting demand for electric vehicles, analyst says

More than 300 mines around the world will be needed to meeting growing demand for electric vehicles, according to a new forecast. (Steve Lawrence/CBC)

More than 300 new mines will be needed globally to meet growing demand for electric vehicle (EV) batteries, according to a new forecast from a mining analyst.

Benchmark Mineral Intelligence estimates at least 384 new mines for graphite, lithium, nickel and cobalt will be required to meet electric vehicle demand by 2035. If battery materials can be recycled in large enough quantities, the firm says about 336 new mines would be needed.

Andrew Miller, Benchmark's chief operating officer, said he wasn't surprised when they arrived at the numbers.

"You know this has been something that has been building," he told CBC News.

"The targets, if you talk about EV demand, are increasing. We publish our forecast every quarter and that number has only ticked up."

Miller said the rest of the world is catching up to China with regard to demand for electric vehicles.

Traditional automakers like General Motors, Volkswagen and Hyundai have also started to offer more electric vehicles. 

Except for cobalt, Miller said there are enough minerals in the ground to meet growing demand for batteries, but mines can take years to develop. There are types of batteries called lithium iron phosphate batteries that no longer need cobalt, however.

"Canada has some massive potential," Miller said.

"It already has some of these mines that are under development today. A huge number of lithium prospects are being developed across Canada."

U.S tax credits a benefit for Canada

He said new tax credits under the Inflation Reduction Act in the U.S. will benefit Canada, because they apply to vehicles built in North America, that use minerals mined from the U.S. or its free trade partners. 

Miller said recycling batteries to recover their metals will become more important as demand grows and the mining industry struggles to keep up.

It will also be important for mining companies to expand their operations in a responsible fashion, he added.

"I think a huge opportunity for the new generation of miners and suppliers into the EV market is to make sure things are done sustainably," Miller said.

"To deploy new methods, new practices, to build out the clean energy credentials on site as well for the energy that's being used to really make sure that the the materials going into feeding this EV revolution are sustainable and are being extracted responsibly."

Steve LeVine, the editor of The Electric, a publication that focuses on electric vehicles and the lithium ion batteries that power them, previously told CBC News it's unlikely automakers will be able to meet their projections for electric vehicles as demand continues to rise.

He said current mines can't meet future demand.

"At the end of the decade, the desire is to make between 25 million and 40 million EVs, if you count the Chinese [industry] and Tesla," LeVine said.

"There's enough nickel to make 13 million."

Why many Japanese are protesting a state funeral for assassinated ex-PM Shinzo Abe

Abe was shot at a campaign speech in July

People protesting with a placard.
People in Tokyo are seen protesting the upcoming state funeral of former Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe. (Chris Corday/CBC)

On a humid evening in central Tokyo, Takehiko Tsukushi is chanting.

"Stop the state funeral for Shinzo Abe!" 

He's among thousands of protesters holding signs and lining the street across from Japan's parliament building, while listening to fiery speeches blaring from a makeshift stage.

"It's very wasteful," said Tsukushi, referring to the hefty price tag for the upcoming ceremony meant to honour the country's longest-serving yet deeply polarizing former leader. 

"He was a liar and he destroyed Japanese society, you know? He should not be the object of a national funeral."

This noisy rally is one of many that have been held around Japan over the past two months, as the movement against a state ceremony for the assassinated ex-prime minister has gathered momentum.

A man shot and killed Abe with a homemade gun in July as he was giving an outdoor stump speech for another candidate during the national election campaign. His brazen murder shocked the country and led to an outpouring of grief around the world. 

Support for state funeral evaporates

When Abe's family held a funeral service a week after his death, mourners crowded streets near the temple where it took place. But more than two months later, support for a larger public ceremony has significantly eroded. 

The event on Sept. 27 would be the first such ceremony for a former Japanese leader in 55 years. Tokyo's Budokan arena is set to host 6,000 guests, including numerous foreign dignitaries.

However, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced on Saturday that he would no longer be attending after post-tropical storm Fiona struck Atlantic Canada.

Recent polls from Kyodo News and public broadcaster NHK suggest about 60 per cent of people in Japan do not approve of the funeral, with municipal assembly members and lawyers arguing there is no legal basis to hold one. 

"I think he [Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida] didn't really know which monster he was awakening from the grave when he agreed to this state funeral," said Koichi Nakano, a political science professor at Sophia University in Tokyo.

He spoke at the rally, and is among many Japanese academics critical of the decision to hold the event.

People protest with a large banner.
Despite having a generally positive profile on the world stage, Shinzo Abe is criticized by many in Japan for his revisionism of Japan's role in the Second World War. (Chris Corday/CBC)

Nakano says many see it as an attempt by the Kishida government to appease Abe's supporters within his ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), and cement the former leader's legacy. 

He says critics also view the funeral's $16 million price tag, which includes security costs for hosting dignitaries, as an inappropriate use of taxpayer money. 

"It's now increasingly looking like the Tokyo Olympics in terms of opposition by the people.

I think a lot of people feel like, OK, the government wants to do this for PR purposes, but why do we have to pay for this?"

Abe's complicated legacy

Outside Japan, Abe is remembered for his attempts to elevate Japan's global prominence. 

He made 81 trips abroad during his almost nine years in power, an exceptional feat for a country otherwise known for its revolving door of prime ministers. Abe tried to strengthen relationships with Western leaders, including through a famous golf-buddy friendship with Donald Trump.

After his death, Trudeau called Abe a "dedicated, visionary leader and a close friend of Canada."

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is seen with Abe during the G7 Summit in Biarritz, France, in August 2019. (Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press)

At home, however, Abe was considered one of the most divisive Japanese leaders in the postwar era. 

He was credited with creating a sense of economic stability in Japan, and tried to jolt the country out of chronic deflation with his bold "Abenomics" policy, featuring easy lending and structural reforms. 

On issues of national security, Abe was hawkish. He held a revisionist view of Japan's role in the Second World War and inflamed public anger by pushing to change his country's pacifist constitution to support a stronger military.

He was also dogged by cronyism scandals, even after he resigned in 2020 due to health issues.

Kishida, who served as foreign minister under Abe, has been facing growing calls to justify the need for a state-financed ceremony to honour the controversial former leader.

He said he decided to hold the event because of Abe's contributions to the country and his achievements at home and abroad.

"I humbly accept the criticism that my explanation was insufficient," Kishida told members of parliament on Sept. 8, in response to questions about the state funeral.

Controversial church links

Kishida's decision became more politically fraught since the alleged killer's motivations have come to light. Tetsuya Yamagami reportedly told police he killed Abe because of the former leader's apparent links to a South Korea-founded religious group known as the Unification Church. The 41-year-old said the group bankrupted his mother and ruined his life.

That shocking revelation kicked off investigations that uncovered ties between a significant number of ruling party lawmakers and the Unification Church, which some label a predatory cult.

Shinzo Abe is seen making a speech in Nara, Japan, on July 8, 2022, moments before he was shot from behind by an assailant. (The Asahi Shimbun via Reuters)

Kishida vowed his party would cut ties with the group and removed seven ministers from his cabinet who disclosed connections. But the controversy has only widened, fanning the opposition to Abe's state ceremony and helping to drive the current cabinet's approval rating down to 40 per cent, the lowest since Kishida took office last year. 

Masaru Kohno, a political science professor at Waseda University, believes the government might not have faced significant opposition if it had held Abe's funeral shortly after his death, when public sentiment against the brutality of his murder was running high. But Kohno says the tides have clearly turned.

"I think everyone was kind of prepared to say, 'OK, we'll mourn this occasion,' even though they were opposed to what [Abe] did and how he handled the many scandals he was allegedly involved in," said Kohno.

"However, because of this Unification Church problem, people started to recognize that maybe we should not put all of that behind us."

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Chris Corday

Producer

Chris Corday is currently a journalist based in Tokyo, Japan. He's worked in broadcast news since 2006 as a video journalist, reporter and field producer. Chris has reported on and produced stories for CBC across Canada and around the world, and loves great visual storytelling.

 

People hold signs and chant slogans during the march to protest against Shinzo Abe's State Funeral on Sept. 25, in Tokyo, Japan. Groups of protesters gathered to denounce the state funeral that will be held on Tuesday for Japan's former prime minister Shinzo Abe, who was assassinated in July.

The shocking murder of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe initially seemed like the kind of event that pulls a country together, unifying the political spectrum in defence of the country’s democracy.

At first, that was what happened, but revelations in the wake of Mr. Abe’s murder about his and the ruling Liberal Democratic Party’s ties to the Unification Church – ties that allegedly motivated assassin Tetsuya Yamagami – have seen support for the government plummet and sparked protests over plans to hold a state funeral for Japan’s longest-serving prime minister.

Last week, a man in his 70s set himself on fire near a government office in Tokyo. A letter expressing “strong opposition” to the state funeral was found nearby.

Numerous polls show a majority of Japanese feel the same, while support for Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s LDP – which has been in power since 2012 and run Japan for most of the past six decades – has dropped as low as 23 per cent.

“This is a natural response to just how poorly the LDP has responded to concerns about the church,” said Jeffrey Hall, special lecturer in Japanese studies at Japan’s Kanda University of International Studies. “This scandal is affecting the Abe faction, the most conservative members of the LDP, so it’s inevitably going to be tied into opinions about the state funeral.”

Hundreds demand cancellation of Japanese ex-leader’s funeral

Minister Champagne to represent Canada at funeral of Japan’s Shinzo Abe

In interviews with police after he shot Mr. Abe in the western Japanese city of Nara in July, Mr. Yamagami reportedly said he was motivated by the former leader’s ties to the Unification Church – whose members are known as “Moonies” – a group he blamed for ruining his mother financially and breaking up their family.

Now officially the Family Federation for World Peace and Unification, the church was founded by the late South Korean pastor Sun Myung Moon in 1954. It claims around 10 million followers globally, with some 600,000 members in Japan.

The Moonies are known for cultivating ties with conservative politicians around the world. In the U.S., it owns the right-wing Washington Times, and former president Donald Trump has spoken at church events.

In Japan, ties between the LDP and the church go back decades, including to Mr. Abe’s father, former Japanese foreign minister Shintaro Abe. The LDP benefited from the avowedly anti-Communist group’s support at election times, with church members forming a reliable conservative bloc for candidates across the country.

But while this connection was not secret, it was also not widely reported, particularly by the mainstream Japanese press. After Mr. Abe’s murder, the media has seized on the story, to the shock of many Japanese who were largely unaware of the church’s influence.

“The LDP tried very hard to avoid being publicly known as friends of the church,” Mr. Hall said. “Even since the start of this scandal they’ve only admitted to documented meetings with the church that are impossible to deny.”

This has caused significant embarrassment for many leading LDP politicians, who have denied links only to have to backtrack after evidence emerged. Earlier this month, amid intense pressure, the LDP conducted a survey of its 379 lawmakers, which it said found almost half had some form of interaction with the church, and at least 17 received election help.

“We take these results very seriously,” said Toshimitsu Motegi, the party’s secretary-general. “From now on, we will take thorough steps within the party to make sure nobody has connections with the Unification Church.”

The church said its political arm, the Universal Peace Federation, had courted lawmakers in the past, most of whom were from the LDP because of ideological proximity, but denied having any direct affiliation with the party.

Mr. Hall said the LDP survey was widely seen as “half-hearted,” relying as it did on self-reporting by politicians keen to avoid a scandal. And there is evidence that beyond depending on church volunteers, the connection to the Moonies may have pushed the already conservative LDP further to the right on key social issues such as sex education and gender rights.

Growing anger with the LDP has translated into opposition to commemorating Mr. Abe, particularly after the government said his funeral would be fully funded by the state, instead of split with his political party as in the case of previous leaders’ funerals.

Latest estimates put the total cost at around the equivalent of $15.6-million, which includes security and receptions.

Mr. Kishida has defended this decision repeatedly, pointing to Mr. Abe’s influence globally and the presence of foreign dignitaries at the event, but most voters remain unconvinced, with many questioning the need to hold such an expensive ceremony at a time of growing economic pain for ordinary citizens. Last week, Japan’s central bank intervened to prop up the yen for the first time since 1998, after the currency plummeted in value amid high inflation.

World leaders such as India’s Narendra Modi, and Australia’s Anthony Albanese are expected to attend the event on Tuesday, but many Japanese opposition lawmakers will stay away, as will the governors of Okinawa, Shizuoka and Nagano prefectures, according to local media.

Federal Industry Minister François-Philippe Champagne will represent Canada at the state funeral. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau had been scheduled to go, but cancelled those plans to oversee recovery efforts after post-tropical storm Fiona ravaged much of Eastern Canada and parts of Quebec.

Mr. Hall said the fallout of the revelations about the church could continue to dog the LDP long after Mr. Abe’s funeral. And while the next election is not until 2025, poor support could prevent Mr. Kishida’s administration from pursuing key goals such as reforming Japan’s pacifist constitution.

“Unless they take some kind of substantial action about the Unification Church, such as having certain politicians resign, potentially even including Kishida, this unpopularity will continue,” Mr. Hall said.

With a report from Reuters

Shinzo Abe: Why a state funeral for slain ex-PM is controversial

Rupert Wingfield-Hayes - BBC News, Tokyo
Sun, September 25, 2022 

Shinzo Abe reshaped Japan's foreign policy, which won him both supporters and detractors

A week ago, the global "great and good" were gathered in London for the state funeral of Britain's Queen Elizabeth II. Now many of them are heading to the other side of the world for another state funeral - for Japan's slain former prime minister Shinzo Abe.

But the Japanese, it appears, are not thrilled about it - not least because it's estimated to cost $11.4m (1.65bn yen; £10.1m).

In the last few weeks opposition to the state funeral has been growing. Polls suggest more than half of the country's population is now against holding it.

Earlier this week, a man set himself on fire near the prime minister's office in Tokyo. And on Monday around 10,000 protestors marched through the streets of the capital demanding the funeral be called off.


But, on the other hand, the event is drawing Japan's allies from across the globe. US President Joe Biden will not attend, but his vice-president Kamala Harris will. Singapore's prime minister Lee Hsien Loong is coming.

So is Australian PM Anthony Albanese, along with three of his predecessors. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi skipped the Queen's funeral but is flying to Tokyo to pay his respects to Abe.

What does it say about Abe that - even as world leaders gather for his funeral - many in his own country are opposed to it?

First off, this is not a normal event. In Japan, state funerals are reserved for members of the Imperial Family. Only once, since World War Two, has a politician been given this honour, and that was all the way back in 1967. So, the fact that Abe is being given a state funeral is a big deal.

In part it's because of the way he died - he was gunned down at an election rally in July. And Japan mourned for him. He had never been hugely popular, according to opinion polls, but few would deny that he brought the country stability and security.

So the decision to hold a state funeral for him is also a reflection of his stature. No-one served longer in the prime minister's office and, arguably, no other post-war politician had such an impact on Japan's position in the world.

Abe's shocking death drew thousands mourners

"He was ahead of his time," says Professor Kazuto Suzuki, a political scientist and former Abe advisor.

"He understood the changing balance of power. That a rising China will, of course, distort the balance of power and reshape the order in the region. So, he wanted to take leadership."

Professor Suzuki points to the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), President Barack Obama's big plan to bring all of America's allies in the Asia Pacific together in one giant free trade zone.

In 2016, when Donald Trump pulled the US out of the TPP, everyone expected it to collapse. But it didn't.

Abe took over leadership and created the even more confusingly named Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific partnership, or CPTPP.

It's a terrible name but it signalled a new willingness for Japan to take the lead in Asia. He also played a key role in the creation of Quad, an alliance between the US, Japan, India and Australia.

Even more significant are the changes Abe made to Japan's military.

In 2014 the then prime minister forced through legislation that "re-interpreted" Japan's pacifist post war constitution.

It allowed Japan to exercise "collective self-defence". That means for the first time since World War two, Japan is able to join its US ally in military action beyond its own borders.

The legislation was hugely controversial, and the ripples are still being felt today. The thousands who marched in Tokyo against the state funeral accuse Abe of leading Japan towards war.

"Abe passed the collective self-defense bill," protestor Machiko Takumi said. "It means Japan will fight with the Americans, which means he made Japan able to go to war again, that's why I oppose a state funeral."

Japan is a country traumatised by war. But it's not just memories of atom bombs that make people angry about Abe.

Those opposing the state funeral say Abe was a warmonger

Japan's post-war constitution clearly states that the country "renounces the right to wage war". If he wanted to change that Abe should have called a referendum. But he knew he would lose. Instead, his law "re-interpreted" the meaning of the constitution.

"Abe is seen as somebody who was not accountable to the people," says Professor Koichi Nakano, of Tokyo's Sophia University. "Whatever he did, he did it against the constitutional principles. He did it against the principles of democracy."

But to his supporters all of this misses the point. Before any other world leader, Abe saw the rising threat from China, and decided Japan had to become a fully paid-up member of the US-Japan alliance.

"Abe had a very futuristic vision," says his former advisor Mr Suzuki. "He saw that China will rise, and the United States will retreat from the region. In order to keep the United States involved in this region, he realised we need to have the power to defend ourselves."

A rearmed and capable Japan is certainly welcomed by Washington, and by many other countries in Asia, who are equally worried about China.

Abe found willing partners in Canberra and Delhi. When he was killed, Mr Modi declared a national day of mourning in India.

But there is one place where Abe is not being mourned - where he was repeatedly condemned as a warmonger and revisionist.

That place is China. It may explain why Beijing sent vice president Wang Qishan to London but is sending a former science and technology minister no-one outside of China has ever heard of to Tokyo.