Friday, October 14, 2022

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UK: Jeremy Hunt replaces Kwasi Kwarteng as finance minister

Prime Minister Liz Truss has said Kwarteng had "put the national interest first" by agreeing to her demand that he step aside less than six weeks into the job.

Jeremy Hunt previously served as health and foreign minister

British Prime Minister Liz Truss on Friday dismissed Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng.

She named former Foreign Minister Jeremy Hunt as his replacement.

"You have asked me to stand aside as your chancellor. I have accepted," Kwarteng wrote in a letter to Truss.

The prime minister replied: "I deeply respect the decision you have taken today. You have put the national interest first ... I know that you will continue to support the mission that we share to deliver a low tax, high wage, high growth economy."

Why did Kwasi Kwarteng have to go?

Truss and Kwarteng have been scrambling to reassure markets and lawmakers after a September 23 tax-cutting "mini-budget" that plunged the UK into economic maelstrom

Kwarteng had been in Washington for annual talks withthe International Monetary Fund. Before leaving the US capital, Kwarteng insisted he was safe in his role as Chancellor of the Exchequer, as the position of finance minister is known.

However, Truss had reportedly already been seeking a replacement to stave off threats to her own job. It is expected that a U-turn on that budget is to be announced later on Friday.

According to British media reports, Truss was considering reversing further aspects of her government's controversial plans, which sparked market turmoil when they were announced.

In September, Kwarteng announced tax cuts — twinned with heavy borrowing — that spooked markets.

That announcement sent interest that the government would have to pay on borrowing soaring. Meanwhile, thepounds sterling slumped to a record low against the US dollar.

The UK government has alreadyabandoned its intention to cut taxes for the highest earners. Multiple media reports have also suggested Truss and Kwarteng are about to reverse a decision to halt a rise in business tax.

What might happen next?

TheUK's central bank has moved to reassure investors, including pension funds, that have lent money to the UK government.

The Bank of England began an emergency purchase scheme of government debt bonds at the end of September, hoping to stave off a market collapse. However, those efforts are set to end on Friday.

The financial and political chaos has fueled speculation about whether Truss can survive in office after less than 40 days as prime minister.

Truss — the fourth prime minister in six years in Britain — was elected by members of the Conservative Party rather than the broader UK electorate.

jsi, rc/fb (dpa, AFP, Reuters, AP)

DW RECOMMENDS

British government denies Truss tax cuts reversals, but chancellor says "lets see"



UK Prime Minister Liz Truss' government denies multiple media reports that it is in talks to reverse some of the huge tax cuts it has proposed in the chancellor's mini-budget. 
Photo by Hugo Philpott/UPI | License Photo

Oct. 13 (UPI) -- The British government is denying media reports that it is in talks on a policy U-turn on cutting corporate tax rates in Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng's mini-budget.

As economic fallout continues from Prime Minister Liz Truss' huge tax cut, Kawarteng said the position hasn't changed, but said, "let's see" when asked about a potential reversal.

Media reports Thursday said the government is in talks to scrap some of Truss' fiscal plan - including corporate tax and dividend tax cuts - in the chancellor's mini-budget.

According to BBC News, Chancellor Kwarteng said, "Our position hasn't changed." But under questioning he also said, "let's see" when asked about the potential U-turn on tax cuts, according to The Guardian.

RELATED  Truss says government will not slash spending despite tax cut plan

He also refused to rule out changing other aspects of the Truss government's £43 billion tax cut package.

According to Sky News, the prime minister's official spokesman confirmed the government's fiscal policy hasn't changed, saying, "Yes, as I said to a number of questions on this yesterday -- and the position has not changed from what I set out to you all then."

The British government just last week revealed a plan to eliminate the top 45% taxation rate on earnings above $168,000 a year as Truss after public backlash against it.

The British pound plunged against the dollar and there was a bond sell-off when Truss first announced the massive tax cuts.

But on Thursday, the pound rose 1.8% against the dollar after multiple, media reports said the government was in talks to do away with parts of the unfunded tax cuts.

On Wednesday, Truss said during prime minister's questions in Parliament that she's not willing to slash public spending amid the tax cuts.

RELATED British PM Liz Truss vows to push ahead with tax-cut agenda

The Institute of Fiscal Studies said earlier this month that the British government would need to find $69 billion in some combination of spending cuts or tax increases to avoid increasing the British public debt.

'Difficult decisions needed': Truss walks back on spending cuts pledge

Departments face uncertainty over their budgets amid economic crisis


PM Liz Truss. Photo: PA/Alamy

By Tevye Markson
13 Oct 2022

The prime minister has backpedalled after telling MPs there will be no public spending cuts in the wake of last month's mini-budget.

During prime minister’s questions on Wednesday, Liz Truss reaffirmed her commitment to not making public spending cuts to fund her controversial tax cuts and borrowing plans.

But Truss’s spokesperson later warned: “We are clear there will need to be difficult decisions to be taken given some of the global challenges we’re facing."

The PM had told MPs in the commons that she would “absolutely” keep her promise to maintain current spending levels.

Instead, she said the government would “make sure we spend public money well”.

She told MPs that public spending has risen considerably over the past 12 years, from £700bn in 2010 to £1 trillion now, and said this will continue. However, this is a nominal increase rather than a real-terms rise.

Truss’s spokesperson later added: “The prime minister was clear that government spending will continue to rise but beyond that it really is for the chancellor to come forward with anything on spending which he will do on the 31 [October].”
Related

12 Oc
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Truss insists she won't cut public spending to pay for mini-budget
by Eleanor Langford


Kwasi Kwarteng has moved his medium-term fiscal plan up to the end of this month, from November, in a bid to quell market turmoil.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies has estimated that the government will need to make £60bn worth of spending cuts in order to pay for the government’s economic plan.

Truss may have to balance out the cost of helping households and businesses with energy bills with department spending cuts, according to reports. But the PM’s spokesperson refused to answer whether this was being considered.

Meanwhile, Treasury minister Chris Philip told the Commons yesterday that departments will still get real-terms increases in their budgets over the next few years.

He said: “I would point out to the house that [the 2021 Spending Review] spending limits do see real-terms increases over the three years. But we are going to be sticking with iron discipline to those spending limits, and not increasing them. And we will also show spending restraint in the years ahead. But showing spending restraint is different to real-terms cuts.”

“And we will also show spending restraint in the years ahead. But showing spending restraint is different to real-terms cuts,” he added.

In the SR21, the government said real-terms spending would increase for departments by 3.3% per year on average from 2021-22 to 2024-25.

However, soaring inflation has wiped out much of this estimated uplift, which was based on inflation averaging 2.3% over this parliament.

Meanwhile, Truss has reportedly been told by senior civil servants that she needs to do make more U-turns on last month’s so-called mini-budget, including raising corporation tax to restore market confidence.

Officials have warned the PM that her tax-tumbling budget is “no longer credible” without risking a financial crisis, according to The Times.

This morning, foreign secretary James Cleverly refused to rule out further U-turns to the plan and the government is under growing pressure to reverse some of its budget proposals.

The Chancellor must do the honourable thing and resign
Mark Fox
October 13, 2022
Andrew Parsons / No 10 Downing Street

Politics, it is often said, is a cruel old business. You work hard for years to climb up Disraeli’s greasy pole. You toil away – voting for things you don’t agree with, supporting policies you think are wrong, being friendly to colleagues you can’t stand, being lampooned by journalists you feel “don’t get it”, harried by constituents whose votes you need but whose presence you secretly resent – in the hope that one day you too will reach the top and that a nation, relieved that you are now in charge, will gratefully and wholeheartedly support you. Most of all, a party that has managed to lose three consecutive leaders and Prime Ministers will now settle down and give you the support they withdrew from your predecessors. You might also be forgiven for thinking that, given the fact that your immediate predecessor left behind a government that was, shall we say, enveloped by an inverted pyramid of piffle and that the country’s longest and most glorious reigning Monarch unexpectedly died on virtually your first day in office, said party, press and public might be inclined to cut you a bit of slack while you moved your stuff into No 10 and got your feet under the table. These thoughts, understandably, might be crossing the Prime Minister’s mind as she sits in the Cabinet Room pondering the future of her administration. This is not, of course, how politics works.

For a variety of reasons and causes, the substance of which we need not ponder on here, the Prime Minister and her Chancellor have lost the confidence of the financial markets and increasingly the Parliamentary Conservative Party. Whether this is fair or not, right or wrong is not the point. The fact that these are the realities of the situation in which the government now finds itself are beyond dispute. Time is not on the Prime Minister’s side. The Chancellor resolutely clings to saying he will deliver his next financial statement at the end of October. This is itself an earlier date than the one he originally set out, but is in reality too far off to be sensible in the current set of circumstances.

The Chancellor should clearly resign. He should not force the Prime Minister to sack him. He commands no confidence in the City and little at Westminster. The fairness or otherwise of this position is not the point. It is what it is. By resigning the Chancellor makes it much easier for the Prime Minister to execute the changes she needs to deliver to restore financial equilibrium. If he does do the honourable thing and he also can have some hope that, if he wants it, his political career can be resurrected in a lower level Cabinet job in the future. If he forces the Prime Minister to sack him then he makes life much harder for the Prime Minister and will burn up much residual personal goodwill from colleagues who will be personally sympathetic to his plight even if they are politically furious with him.

In no other walk of life is changing your mind seen as a weakness. We all make mistakes and we all change decisions or courses of direction. Only in politics is “u-turning” seen as weakness. Only in politics is admitting a mistake and putting it right seen as a weak thing to do, but there it is. That’s just how it is. So if the Prime Minister is to preside over a change in tack then she needs to do it with brillo, with elan, with style, and with dynamism. If policy changes are afoot then the Prime Minister needs to deliver them with a smile and sparkle. Her Cabinet, every single one of them, needs to get behind her and pull in the same direction. The government as a whole, every single member of it, needs to pull their weight and go out and back the PM and the new plan.

‘Morally corrupt and intellectually vapid’: James O’Brien delivers vicious blows in Jacob Rees-Mogg's direction

13 October 2022, 

By Phoebe Dampare-Osei

James O’Brien did not hold back in his brutal monologue on the current state of the Conservative Party, highlighting Jacob Rees-Mogg’s recent comments on the mini-budget.

James O’Brien had some sharp words for Business Secretary Jacob Rees-Mogg in a vicious takedown today.

“You want to pick a low point?” James asked, “Probably Jacob Rees-Mogg yesterday, trying to argue that the reaction to the mini budget had nothing to do with the mini budget.

“I know we are fairly tireless chroniclers of Jacob Rees-Mogg’s moral corruption and intellectual vapidity but that was a true milestone in his appalling contributions to public discourse in this country - trying to argue that the response to the mini budget had nothing to do with the mini-budget.”

In a further blow, James added: “It’s like trying to argue that the bruising around your eye has nothing to do with the punch in the face you received yesterday, but hey-ho, Jacob’s gonna Jacob."

This comes after the fallout from the Chancellor’s mini-budget which saw the pound plummet to an all-time low against the dollar, a rare statement of condemnation from the IMF over the 45p tax rate cut, and a subsequent U-turn on the policy while the Conservative Party Conference was still in motion.

The Business Secretary previously defended Kwasi Kwarteng, telling Jon Sopel and Emily Maitlis on the News Agents podcast that he is “a very brilliant man…who has shown wisdom and flexibility in realising that something was becoming a distortion that wasn’t of fundamental importance”, referring to the government’s climbdown on the the policy.

Comparing the nation's first and current female Prime Ministers, James added:

“Margaret Thatcher at the time of the poll tax was high on years of electoral success. She was almost unlatched from reality, unlatched from political reality, by the insulation that electoral success gave her.

“Quite how Liz Truss could have ended up so low so fast is still actually baffling me.”

James also noted that some of the economic problems the UK is experiencing “would still be here whoever was in Downing Street” but that “they are bigger than they would have been without Kwasi Kwarteng’s diabolical intervention and the response of the markets”.

Coral slashes on odds of Boris comeback
©UK Parliament/Jessica Taylor

Well, what a turn up for the books: Coral has just slashed its odds in half to 8-1 (from 16-1) on Boris Johnson making a return to Number 10 to replace Liz Truss as prime minister.

After yesterday’s dire PMQs performance by Truss and her apparently dreadful outing at the 1922 committee, it’s perhaps no surprise that the bookmaker has slashed its odds. Tory MPs are deeply divided over whether she should stay or she should go.

Indeed, some of the Tory MPs most aghast at what has happened to the economy since Truss took over reckon that another regicide might be too much even for the most ruthless among them. Indeed, one MP told the New Statesman that the PM has a “few months or a year,” which, it must be said, is a fairly broad prediction.

Her closest allies agree. “Changing the leadership would be a disastrously bad idea,” foreign secretary and Truss faithful James Cleverly said this morning.

According to Politico, the consensus is that Truss will not face a challenge before Christmas – so she she can begin planning her Downing Street Christmas decorations after all. For one thing, Truss is protected from a leadership challenge for 12 months from her appointment as PM. Well, technically protected.

If, however, the party turns against her overwhelmingly, the rules will mean little. The men in white coats hiding their daggers visiting Truss at No 10 is the more likely approach, suggesting that she steps down for the sake of party – and country- unity. Without the option of a leadership election, those who wish to oust Truss must find a candidate that can unify the poles of the party. Paul Goodman, editor of ConservativeHome has billed the two closest runners in the leadership contest as the most likely replacements. One idea doing the rounds is that Penny Mordaunt and Rishi Sunak, who, after all, between them got pretty much two-thirds of the votes of MPs, come to some kind of arrangement and essentially take over,” Goodman said.

Ben Wallace, the defence secretary, is another name being mentioned. Wallace topped many of the Tory party members polls but decided against standing. Who knows, he may be persuaded should there be a vacancy. And then, course, there is the return of Boris. Time to place your bets.

ROFLMAO NEEDS BENNY HILL THEME
King Charles III mutters ‘dear oh dear’ as he holds audience with Liz Truss

As the King greeted Ms Truss, he said: 'Back again? Dear oh dear'

DIGITAL PRODUCER
PUBLISHED Thursday 13 October 2022 - 

King Charles III has been heard muttering “dear oh dear” during an audience with Prime Minister Liz Truss at Buckingham Palace.

Charles met Liz Truss on Wednesday evening, with the pair pictured shaking hands.

Footage of the Buckingham Palace meeting saw Ms Truss curtsy and say: “Your Majesty.”

Charles, smiling, replied: “Back again? Dear oh dear.”



King Charles III and Liz Truss Kirsty O'Connor

Prime Minister Liz Truss departs 10 Downing Street Stefan Rousseau

Ms Truss was heard to say: “It’s a great pleasure.”

It came after Ms Truss faced Prime Minister’s Questions in Parliament, where she insisted she will not cut spending to balance the books as economists and the financial markets continued to question her plans.

Ms Truss told MPs she is “absolutely” not planning public spending reductions, but insisted taxpayers’ money will be used well.

Speaking during PMQs on Wednesday, Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer asked the PM: "This morning, the Business secretary toured the TV studios arguing that the turmoil in the markets has nothing to do with her budget, does the Prime Minister agree with him?"

Before Ms Truss responded by saying: "What we have done, we have taken decisive action to make sure people are not facing energy bills of £6,000 for two years and I think we remember the opposition is only talking about six months.

"We’ve also taken decisive action to make sure we are not facing the highest taxes for 70 years in the face of a global economic slowdown.

"What we are making sure is that we protect our economy at this very difficult time internationally.

"And as a result of our action we will see higher growth and lower inflation."

To which the Labour leader hit back, saying: "Avoiding the question, ducking responsibility, lost in denial, no wonder investors have no confidence in her Government."

Separately, on Wednesday afternoon the King also met the King and Queen of Malaysia, known as the Yang di-Pertuan Agong and the Raja Permaisuri Agong.

15 of the best tweets about Kings Charles's reaction to Liz Truss

Sinead Butler
THE INDEPENDENT

King Charles III murmured "dear, oh dear" as he welcomed Liz Truss to a meeting - and managed to relatably sum up everyone's feelings towards the prime minister (at least the internet thinks so).

The two met at Buckingham Palace on Wednesday night (October 12) for their weekly audience where the new King was filmed greeting Truss as she was escorted to the King's equerry by two servants.

“Prime minister, Your Majesty," the equerry announced to the monarch.

Truss then stepped forward to greet His Majesty with a handshake and a bow.

“So you’ve come back again?” King Charles said to Truss, to which she replied: "Well, it's a great pleasure."

"Dear, oh dear. Anyway…", the sovereign replied.

Though it remains unclear what his remark is in reference to, people online were thoroughly amused by King Charles appearing unimpressed.

The clip was compared to something straight out of The Office.

Their weekly audience comes after King Charles announced he would not attend the Cop27 climate change summit in Egypt next month following reports this was Truss's advice.

Meanwhile, Truss has had a disastrous start as prime minister with the controversial mini-Budget causing the pound to tank which in the end caused her to U-turn on plans to cut to the 45 per cent top rate of income tax after people questioned how long she would remain as PM.

 


or Blackadder III...

or a Victoria Wood sketch.

There's been a request for the scene to be included in Netflix drama The Crown.

While some imagined how the rest of the meeting went...

King Charles's comment can relate to our food delivery habits.

There were jokes that King Charles's comment means he is part of Truss's so-called "anti-growth coalition."

 

Here are some more of the best reaction tweets from this situation:

NASA and SpaceX 'wave off' Crew-4 space station undocking

The SpaceX Dragon capsule Endeavour can be seen approaching the top of the International Space Station. The SpaceX Crew-4 mission's return home from the ISS was "waved off" Thursday due to weather concerns at the splashdown site, according to NASA and SPaceX. Photo courtesy of NASA

Oct. 13 (UPI) -- NASA and Space X mission controllers Thursday waved off the International Space Station Crew-4 undocking for a return to Earth in Dragon Freedom due to weather concerns at the Florida splashdown site.

Possible Friday docking times are "currently being assessed" according to an ISS tweet.


"NASA and SpaceX are standing down from the Oct. 13 departure opportunity for the agency's Crew-4 mission from the International Space Station due to increased winds forecast in the splashdown area," a NASA blog statement said.

Crew-4 had been expected to depart the station around 10 a.m. Thursday for a planned splashdown before 6 p.m. on the Florida coast.

According to the NASA blog statement, mission crews will meet later in the day to "determine the next target for Crew-4's undocking to begin their return trip to Earth completing a nearly six-month science mission in orbit. The next available undocking opportunity is no earlier than 11:35 a.m. EDT Friday, Oct. 14."



When Crew-4 is able to undock for the trip back to Earth, SpaceX, NASA Television, and the NASA app will provide a livestream webcast from more than 200 miles above the Earth.

The ship will undock from the station and perform several maneuvers to prepare for re-entry, including jettisoning some equipment.

According to NASA, Crew-4's Dragon undocking depends on a variety of factors, including spacecraft readiness, weather, sea states and other factors.

Aboard the returning ship are Crew-4 astronauts Kjell Lindgren, Bob Hines, Jessica Watkins, and Samantha Cristoforetti, who blasted off from Kennedy Space Center aboard a Falcon 9 rocket on April 27.

RELATED SpaceX's Crew-5 mission docks with space station

Taking their place is Crew-5 -- including mission commander Nicole Mann; NASA astronaut Josh Cassada, the pilot, as well as Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency astronaut Koichi Wakata and Roscosmos cosmonaut Anna Kikina -- which docked with the orbiting facility a week ago and now will spend the next six months in orbit.

The mission is the first for Mann, who also becomes the first Indigenous woman in space. It's also the first spaceflight for Cassada and Kikina, while it is the fifth for Wakata. On board, the astronauts will conduct hundreds of scientific experiments and technology demonstrations, including studies on printing organs in space.
WAIT, WHAT? NOT ON BLUE ORIGIN?!
Amazon's Project Kuiper will now launch with ULA rockets


United Launch Alliance launches its Atlas V rocket to boost two satellites for SES of Luxembourg from Complex 41 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. The Atlas V is scheduled to launch some of Project Kuiper's satellites alongside the next generation of United Launch Alliance's rocket, the Vulcan Centaur. 
Photo by Joe Marino/UPI | License Photo


Oct. 13 (UPI) -- Amazon announced on Wednesday that Project Kuiper will launch prototype satellites on the first flight of United Launch Alliance's (ULA) new Vulcan Centaur rocket in 2023.

The goal of Project Kuiper is to launch a series of 3,236 satellites into low earth orbit to provide broadband access to areas of the globe that lack high-speed internet.

"We couldn't be more excited to join the first launch of ULA's Vulcan Centaur. We've already secured 38 Kuiper launches on Vulcan, using the same launch vehicle for our prototype mission gives us a chance to practice payload integration, processing, and mission management procedures ahead of those full-scale commercial launches," said vice president of technology for Project Kuiper Rajeev Badyal.

The satellites were previously scheduled to be launched on ABL Space System's RS1 rockets in 2022, but the change of platform has delayed the launch to 2023. Despite the switch, some of Project Kuiper's satellites will still be launched on ABL's rockets.

The first production satellites for Project Kuiper will launch on ULA's current generation Atlas V rockets, as well as rockets from Amazon founder Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin and France's Arianespace.

The Project Kuiper satellites are scheduled to be launched along with the Peregrine Lunar Lander an Astrobotic-designed NASA spacecraft designed to deliver payloads to the surface of the moon.

"Our prototype satellites will be ready this year, and we look forward to flying with ULA," said Badyal.


Pittsburgh-based Astrobotic Technology plans to send the Peregrine lander, a model of which is shown in a laboratory here, into space along with satellites from Amazon's Project Kuiper. 
Photo courtesy of NASA











Chronic stress linked to increased risk of cancer

By Alan Mozes, HealthDay News

After adjusting for a number of influential factors -- including race, gender and prior medical history -- researchers found that lifelong stress appears to trigger a 14% rise in risk of cancer death. 
Photo by geralt/Pixabay

Over time, men and women under chronic stress face a significantly higher risk that they will die as a result of cancer, a new study warns.

The finding comes from an analysis of more than three decades of U.S. data from a federal health and nutrition survey.

After adjusting for a number of influential factors -- including race, gender and prior medical history -- the researchers found that lifelong stress appears to trigger a 14% rise in risk of cancer death.

But why?

Lead author Justin Moore explained that the link owes to a concept known as "allostatic load."

That's a measure of cumulative stress, or wear and tear on the body, due to what Moore described as "life course stressors."

Moore, an assistant professor in the cancer prevention, control and population health program at the Medical College of Georgia at Augusta University and Georgia Cancer Center in Atlanta, noted that allostatic load levels can be measured in hard numbers. To do so, experts look at several key biological indicators that together show precisely how stress affects the body.

Such wear and tear indicators include having a high body mass index (BMI), a key marker for obesity; high blood pressure; high blood sugar or cholesterol levels; and/or high blood levels of a liver-produced protein called albumin. High levels of creatinine, a waste product from normal muscular wear and tear, are also a marker for allostatic load stress, Moore noted, as are high levels of C-reactive protein, a sign of systemwide inflammation.

To see how such indicators -- and allostatic load as a whole -- might impact cancer deaths, Moore's team looked over nationwide health survey data collected between 1988 and 2019.

Collectively, the surveys included more than 41,000 adults. More than seven in 10 were White, about 13% were Black and roughly 9% were Hispanic.

Allostatic load levels of all participants were tallied on a 0-to-9 scale, with scores of 3 or more defined as indicative of a "high allostatic load."

In all, just under half of the participants (nearly 20,000) were pegged as having a high allostatic load. These respondents were more likely to be Black people, older, less well educated and less affluent compared with the low allostatic load group.

The investigators then gauged the link between high allostatic load and cancer death risk in several ways.

For example, after eliminating age as a consideration, a high allostatic load was linked to a 28% higher risk of death due to cancer.

When looking solely at Black and Hispanic respondents, the link was weaker, but the researchers said the relatively low numbers of non-White respondents may have affected that part of the analysis.

Still, when gender, race, age and educational background were also removed from the equation, a higher risk of cancer death was pegged at 21%.

And that dropped to a 14% increase in risk after investigators also accounted for patients' history of smoking, prior heart attack or previous history of either cancer or congestive heart failure.

Without adjusting for any potential confounders (such as age, race, gender, income and educational level), those with a high allostatic load were 2.4 times more likely to die from cancer than those with low allostatic loads, the researchers reported.

"Cumulative stress is associated with risk of cancer death" across the board, Moore said.

To address that link, Moore said that it would be important to adopt public health and clinical strategies to reduce chronic stress and inflammation. Those might include efforts to destigmatize mental health services as well as "providing culturally sensitive, competent and affordable resources in primary care facilities along the cancer care continuum."

He added that more research is needed to clarify cancer-specific risks and explore the role of stress in cancer outcomes.

Dr. Jonah Zuflacht is a neurologist at the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia.

In 2017, he led a large Columbia University study that identified a similarly strong link between stress and a significantly higher risk of stroke.

As for a specific link between stress, cancer risk and cancer progression, Zuflacht suggested that stress might render the immune system less able to identify and fight off cancer as it develops.

More broadly, he said, the impact of stress is not yet fully understood.

"If anything, it's probably under-recognized," Zuflacht said. "Because it does seem like there are a myriad of deleterious effects it can have, whether on the cardiovascular system or on those processes that allow for cancer cells to develop."

Moore and his colleagues recently reported their findings in the journal Population Health.

More information

There's more about stress and health at the American Psychological Association.

Copyright © 2022 HealthDay. All rights reserved.



Read MoreFlint, Mich., water crisis takes lasting toll on mental health


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LABOR HISTORY

Levi's jeans from 1880s auctioned for $87,400 after mine shaft discovery

A label inside the jeans reads:  "The only kind made by white labor,"

Oct. 13 (UPI) -- A pair of Levi's jeans dating from the 1880s were found in an abandoned mine and auctioned for $87,400.

The pants were found in an abandoned mine in the American West by self-described "denim archaeologist" Michael Harris and were sold at Durango Vintage Festivus, a four-day celebration of denim on the outskirts of Aztec, N.M.

The jeans, which feature a buckleback adjuster along the seat, were purchased by Kyle Hautner and Zip Stevenson. Hautner paid 90% of the price, while Stevenson contributed the remaining 10%.

Stevenson, who owns and operates the Denim Doctors repair shop in Los Angeles, said the pants were a rare discovery.

"These jeans are extremely rare -- especially in this fantastic worn condition and size," he told CNN.

Stevenson said Harris "has looked in at least 50 abandoned mines for five years and has not found a pair of equal quality."

He said a couple other pairs of Levi's from the same time period are known to still exist, but they are on display in museums and are not considered to be in wearable condition. He said the auctioned pair, by contrast, could be worn with only a few minor repairs.

"There's a couple of soft spots on the jeans that could use a bit of reinforcement but otherwise they're super-duper solid jeans," he said.

A label inside the jeans reads: "The only kind made by white labor," a slogan adopted by the denim company after the Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882, which barred Chinese workers from entering the United States.

"It's wild to see that," Haupert told the Wall Street Journal. "That's how old these jeans are."

A Levi's representative said the slogan, and the company's policy of not hiring Chinese immigrants, were scrapped in the 1890s.

The new owners said the jeans are now being kept in a safety deposit box near Denim Doctors and can be viewed by appointment. They said they are hoping to sell the pants to a museum for public display.

 

Curious Black Hole Crash in Deep Space Leaves Astrophysicists Puzzled

Scientists may have seen black holes "wobbling" for the first time -- or maybe it was just a detector glitch.

Jackson Ryan
Oct. 12, 2022 

Ripples in spacetime.
Caltech/MIT/LIGO/T. Pyle

Black hole collisions are some of the most extreme phenomena in the universe. As the two massive, invisible bodies spiral toward each other, they disturb the fabric of spacetime, sending out ripples across the universe. Those ripples -- gravitational waves -- eventually wash over the Earth, where some very sensitive detectors in the US, Italy and Japan can "hear" them.

One such ripple washed over our planet in the early hours of Jan. 29, 2020. It was picked up by the dual detectors of the Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory (LIGO) in the US and a third detector, Virgo, in Italy. The detectors' characteristic chirp suggested a pair of black holes, one that was around 40 times the mass of the sun and the other 22 times, had smashed together.

In a new study, published on Wednesday in the journal Nature, researchers examined the wave from this collision, dubbed GW200129, which -- when first discovered -- showed a peculiar signal. The wave's chirp seemed to suggest the black holes that crashed into each other were "wobbling" around in their orbit. This wobble is, scientifically, known as "precession," and it would be the first time we've seen this effect in black holes.

However, other gravitational wave scientists aren't so certain the signal provides proof of this phenomenon. Instead, they have wondered whether the data may be affected by a glitch in one of the gravitational wave detectors that first spotted GW200129.
What's happening with GW200129?

First, let's talk about that "wobble." To visualize precession, think of the Earth orbiting the sun. You likely imagine our tiny, blue-green planet rotating around the big, hot ball of gas on a flat plane. The planet moves around the sun without deviating "up" or "down." It just moves around the sun like a racecar on the Daytona 500 circuit. (Let's not get into the axial precession of Earth here)



In the simulation, you can clearly see the orbital plane shifting as the two black holes orbit each other.Vijay Varma/Leo Stein/Davide Gerosa.

Two black holes share the same relationship, rotating around each other on a nice, flat orbital plane, shedding energy in the form of gravitational waves as they circle ever closer to one another. But in "precessing" black holes, the orbital plane is distorted over time. Einstein's seemingly unbreakable theory of general relativity suggests the way individual black holes spin (yes, they spin) can influence precession. When the spins are misaligned, the orbital plane can be rotated.

You can see an example of this produced by Vijay Varma, a Caltech astrophysicist, thanks to a tool he produced in a 2018 paper in the GIF above.

In theory, astrophysicists can "see" precession in binary black holes by studying the gravitational wave signal, but it's extremely subtle. The authors of the new research believe they've captured this elusive sign in the data — discovering a black hole binary that wobbled and tilted all over the place.

"It's extremely exciting to have finally observed it," says Mark Hannam, a professor of astrophysics at Cardiff University in the UK and first author on the new study. "This is something we've been hoping to observe since the first detections in 2015, both because it's a general relativity effect we've yet to see in the extreme regime of black-hole mergers, and it has the potential to tell us a lot about how black holes form."

Remember I mentioned black holes can spin? Well, generally, black holes that form when a star collapses spin fairly slowly and without any precession. But black holes that are created by the formation of two other black holes colliding can have quite unusual spins and extreme speeds, which could throw the whole system into disarray. Thus, Hannam notes, "one possibility is that the larger black hole was produced in an earlier merger of two black holes."

Pretty remarkable, but is it case closed? Not so fast.

Glitch in the space-trix

Though the signal may be interpreted as a pair of wobbling, precessing black holes, other astrophysicists have noted GW200129 could be something far less exciting: An error.

"In the case of GW200129, there was a faint but present glitch in LIGO's Livingston detector coincident with the event," said Ethan Payne, an astrophysicist at Caltech. Payne recently authored a preprint article, uploaded to the website arXiv in June, which describes GW200129 as a "curious case" and presents the argument that such a glitch may be affecting the signal.

Gravitational wave detectors can experience glitches and noise that sometimes obscure the signals. Most, Payne said, do not impact our understanding of where a gravitational wave originated. With some finessing, scientists can account for the noise and glitches. This was the case with the very first detection of gravitational waves from two colliding neutron stars, but scientists were able to model and "subtract" out the glitch.
An artist's impression of two neutron stars colliding, generating gravitational waves and a huge, bright jet.Caltech/LIGO

In the case of GW200129, another sensor in the gravitational wave detector was used to subtract out the glitch by Hannam in the new study. "The glitch removal may not have been perfect, but it's extremely unlikely that anything left over could mimic the precession we've seen," said Hannam. He says he's confident in his team's result because of all the development that went into preparing the data from the detectors and the checks done on his team's own analysis.

But uncertainty remains. Payne's work suggests some of the finessing scientists have done can remove all evidence of the glitch. Other astrophysicists I spoke with suggest the analysis have not fully accounted for this.

"I think it's exciting work," said Eric Thrane, an astrophysicist at Monash University in Australia and member of the LIGO-Virgo collaboration who was not affiliated with the research, "but in light of Payne['s paper], I'm not sure they have demonstrated what they set out to."

It should be noted that the process of analyzing the GW200129 signal, determining its precession, writing the new study and having it accepted for publication in Nature takes a long time. Hannam and his co-authors were preparing this piece long before problems with the LIGO glitch were completely resolved. The new paper hasn't discussed issues raised by the analysis performed by Payne and his team but Hannam notes "their method still needs development."

This is science in action. One team explains a data point, another provides reasons why we should be cautious about it. For now, astrophysicists I spoke with seem to be leaning away from GW200129 being the first precessing black hole binary we've spotted. But it's only a matter of time before scientists unequivocally see this phenomenon.

The LIGO, Virgo and Kagra detectors are set to start another observing run, the fourth, in early 2023. Over the past two years, the detectors have received significant upgrades which will make them more sensitive, opening up the possibility of detecting even more faint signals from across the cosmos. "We're likely to observe 200 to 300 more GWs per year, so there's a good chance that we'll soon understand these systems much better!" said Hannam.

And with that come further challenges, particularly around sorting through the glitches and noise.

"As the expected number of observations is going to increase as our detectors are improved, the number of events contaminated with glitches will skyrocket, and careful work will be needed to model the glitches," said Payne.

First published on Oct. 12, 2022 at 8:00 a.m. PT.