Wednesday, October 19, 2022

With Braverman out, the Tory Left takeover of Truss's government is complete

ONLY THE TELEGRAPH COULD IDENTIFY A LEFT 
IN THE TORY PARTY

Camilla Tominey
THE TELEGRAPH
Wed, October 19, 2022

Suella Braverman - Carl de Souza/Pool/AFP via Getty Images

To lose one senior member of the Cabinet in a week looks unfortunate. To lose two appears positively careless.

But the departure of Suella Braverman as home secretary speaks to a bigger problem for Liz Truss than sheer optics.

In sacking two key allies on the Right, only for them to be replaced by opponents more to the Left of the party, the Prime Minister is increasingly looking like the victim of a Conservative coup.

It is certainly ironic that the former home secretary, in post for just 43 days, first used that word to describe those who plotted against Ms Truss’s original plan to link benefit to wages rather than inflation.

With that, and most of her mini-Budget up in flames thanks to a rebellion by the moderates, Jeremy Hunt now appears to be the de facto Prime Minister.

He will now be joined by his fellow Sunakite Grant Shapps, who despite being rejected from Ms Truss’s original cabinet, has now been appointed to replace Mrs Braverman at the Home Office.

Regardless of claims that Mrs Braverman sent an official document from her personal email – for which she apologised in her resignation letter – her swift exit from one of the highest posts in public office will anger her European Research Group supporters.

It was only on Tuesday evening that Ms Truss was said to have charmed the backbench group of Eurosceptics with her honest, straight-talking approach.

They are unlikely to take kindly to their former chairman, a darling of the grassroots, being ejected in such unseemly fashion.

Mrs Braverman, a Conservative leadership candidate herself over the summer, received the longest standing ovation at the Tory Party conference two weeks ago.


Penny Mordaunt Liz Truss Therese Coffey - UK Parliament/Jessica Taylor

When taking aim at oil protesters, she told the Commons on Tuesday: “I’m afraid it’s the Labour Party, it’s the Lib Dems, it’s the coalition of chaos, it’s the Guardian-reading, tofu-eating, wokerati – dare I say, the anti-growth coalition – that we have to thank for the disruption we are seeing on our roads today.”

While it might have angered the One Nationers, the comments will have been catnip to the average Tory member and, indeed, whatever voters the Conservatives have left.

If rumours are to be believed that she fell out with Ms Truss over a number of policy issues, after being cut out of migration policy altogether, backbenchers will rightly worry that the Prime Minister may now have gone soft on border control as well as Treasury orthodoxy.
‘The Conservative Party is dead’

Tory grey hairs have already been warning of a party split and a “wet” cabinet takeover only serves to pour oil on troubled waters.

Naturally, Nigel Farage was one of the first to take to Twitter to declare the Conservative Party “dead”:

It seems anti-Tory activists will be relishing their tofu more than ever this evening.

How new UK Prime Minister Liz Truss lost her authority to govern

It was only six weeks ago that Liz Truss met Queen Elizabeth II and was appointed the new prime minister of the U.K. But six weeks is a long time in British politics and, after a major policy U-turn along with unconvincing attempts to reassure her Conservative party and the public, she is already under major pressure to resign.

Prime Minister Truss, who remained loyal to her predecessor Boris Johnson before his resignation this summer, won the Conservative leadership contest with the promise of a low tax, high growth economy. Her spending plans were criticized by her leadership rival, former finance minister Rishi Sunak, who said “borrowing your way out of inflation is a fairytale” at the time in July.

Kwasi Kwarteng, the new Chancellor of the Exchequer, announced the government's first major policy plan to advance Truss's economic vision in the House of Commons on Sept. 23. Their package included measures to cut the rate of tax for the highest earners, cancel a planned corporation tax increase, remove a cap on bankers’ bonuses, and all this while also promising billions to tackle the looming threat of rising energy bills ahead of the winter, attributed by the government to the war in Ukraine.

PHOTO: Britain's Prime Minister Liz Truss attends a press conference in the Downing Street Briefing Room in central London, on Oct. 14, 2022. (Daniel Leal/AP)
PHOTO: Britain's Prime Minister Liz Truss attends a press conference in the Downing Street Briefing Room in central London, on Oct. 14, 2022. (Daniel Leal/AP)

The plan was criticized by opposition politicians and economists, and the International Monetary Fund issued a sharp rebuke to their plans, saying in a statement widely interpreted to be scathing that “we do not recommend large and untargeted fiscal packages at this juncture” and the budget would “likely increase inequality.”

Economic chaos followed, as the budget triggered an immediate adverse reaction from the markets. The Bank of England, the U.K.’s central bank, was forced to buy government bonds to ease fears that the state pension fund could collapse. Interest rates were forecast to rise, meaning mortgages rates, as well as household bills, were set to increase against a backdrop of rising inflation.

The budget prompted rare criticism from President Biden, who said “I wasn’t the only one that thought it was a mistake,” and that the outcome was “predictable.”

PHOTO: People walk past a mural by artist Ciaran Gallagher, left, which has been updated to reflect Britain's Prime Minister Liz Truss' current political troubles, in Belfast, Northern Ireland, on Oct. 18, 2022. (Liam Mcburney/AP)
PHOTO: People walk past a mural by artist Ciaran Gallagher, left, which has been updated to reflect Britain's Prime Minister Liz Truss' current political troubles, in Belfast, Northern Ireland, on Oct. 18, 2022. (Liam Mcburney/AP)

Amid mounting criticism the government attempted to calm the storm, but last week Kwarteng, a long-time supporter and personal friend of Truss, became the first ministerial casualty of the policy, as he was asked to resign as chancellor.

The new chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, then announced an effective reversal of all the key measures introduced in the September budget -- leading many to speculate that he, and not Truss, had become the de facto leader of government policy. Tuesday’s headline in the Daily Mail, which backed her leadership campaign and supported her budget at the time, read: “In Office, But Not In Power.”

PHOTO: British Prime Minister Liz Truss attends a news conference in London, Britain, on Oct. 14, 2022. (Daniel Leal/Pool via REUTERS)
PHOTO: British Prime Minister Liz Truss attends a news conference in London, Britain, on Oct. 14, 2022. (Daniel Leal/Pool via REUTERS)

While Truss insisted her plans were right for the country in public, the speed of the collapse in her authority with her Conservative colleagues has generated a great deal of parody. After The Economist magazine quipped that Truss “blew up her own government” so quickly that she had “roughly the shelf-life of a lettuce,” the Daily Star, a tabloid, set up a live stream to monitor if she could outlast a lettuce of their own.

The Conservative Party still command a strong majority in the House of Commons after Boris Johnson’s election win in 2019, and the next public vote is not due until 2024. Truss insisted to the BBC on Monday she will lead her party into the next election, but now the new prime minister faces a daily challenge to stay in office.

How new UK Prime Minister Liz Truss lost her authority to govern originally appeared on abcnews.go.com




UK's Truss: 'Sorry' for the mistakes, but 'I'm sticking around'


Economic Update from the Chancellor of the Exchequer, in London

Mon, October 17, 2022 at 3:03 PM·2 min read

LONDON (Reuters) -Britain's Prime Minister Liz Truss apologised for "mistakes" in her programme that caused investor confidence to evaporate and her poll ratings to plunge before nearly all of it was finally shredded on Monday, but said she would not step down.

"I do want to accept responsibility and say sorry for the mistakes that have been made," Truss told the BBC.

"I wanted to act but to help people with their energy bills to deal with the issue of high taxes, but we went too far and too fast."

Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt, who was appointed on Friday after Truss sacked her close ally Kwasi Kwarteng, jettisoned the remaining major planks of her tax-cutting agenda on Monday, including scaling back her vast energy support scheme.


Asked if she was now prime minister in name only, Truss said she had appointed Hunt because she knew she had to change direction.

"It would have been completely irresponsible for me not to act in the national interest in the way where I have," she said.

"It was right that we changed policy."

Truss and Kwarteng attempted to upend British fiscal policy by unveiling 45 billion pounds of unfunded tax cuts last month to snap the economy out of stagnation.

But the response from bond investors was brutal and borrowing costs surged. Lenders pulled mortgage offers and the Bank of England eventually had to step in to stop pension funds going under.

Asked about the impact of her policies, Truss said she understood it was "very difficult" for families across the country and that she would do what she could to help them.

Her two-year energy package, however, was drastically scaled back by Hunt and will now last only until April.

"The most vulnerable will be protected into next winter," she said. "We're looking at exactly how we can do that."

Truss, who became leader less than six weeks ago, is facing a possible revolt from her lawmakers as soon as this week, according to reports.

But she remained defiant on Monday, saying she would lead her Conservatives into the next election.

"I'm sticking around because I was elected to deliver for this country," she said. "And that is what I am determined to do."

(Reporting by Paul SandleEditing by Chris Reese and Deepa Babington)
ANOTHER SACRIFICIAL LAMB
UK Home Secretary Suella Braverman resigns after misuse of personal email

Issued on: 19/10/2022 - 


British interior minister Suella Braverman said on Wednesday she had resigned after sending an official document from her personal email in a "technical infringement" of government rules.

"I have made a mistake, I accept responsibility; I resign," she said in a letter to Prime Minister Liz Truss posted on Twitter. Braverman also said she had "serious concerns" about the government's commitment to honouring promises it made to voters at the last election.

It was not immediately clear whether she quit or was fired.

Braverman, appointed less than two months ago, is a popular figure on the ruling Conservative Party’s right wing and a champion of more restrictive immigration policies.


The shakeup comes as Truss faced down a hostile opposition and fury from her own Conservative Party over her botched economic plan.

Truss attended her first session of Prime Minister's Questions on Wednesday since newly appointed Treasury chief Jeremy Hunt ripped up the tax-cutting package unveiled by her new government less than a month ago.

She apologised to Parliament and admitted she had made mistakes during her short tenure as the UK's head of government, but insisted that by changing course she had “taken responsibility and made the right decisions in the interest of the country’s economic stability".

Opposition lawmakers shouted “Resign!” as she spoke.

Asked by opposition Labour Party leader Keir Starmer, “Why is she still here?” Truss retorted: “I am a fighter and not a quitter. I have acted in the national interest to make sure that we have economic stability.”

(FRANCE 24 with AFP, AP and Reuters)


Suella Braverman's resignation letter

 to Liz Truss in full


Telegraph reporter 

Wed, October 19, 2022 

Suella Braverman resigned on Tuesday afternoon - Anadolu Agency

Suella Braverman has resigned from her role as Home Secretary in the latest blow to Liz Truss's embattled premiership.

Ms Braverman revealed in her resignation letter that she had sent an official document from her personal email to a "trusted parliamentary colleague", which she acknowledged "constitutes a technical infringement of the rules".

But in a parting blow to Ms Truss, she added: "The business of government relies upon people accepting responsibility for their mistakes. Pretending we haven't made mistake... and hoping that things will magically come right, is not serious politics."

Read Ms Braverman's resignation letter below:

Dear Prime Minister,

It is with the greatest regret that I am choosing to tender my resignation.

Earlier today, I sent an official document from my personal email to a trusted parliamentary colleague as part of policy engagement, and with the aim of garnering support for Government policy on migration. This constitutes a technical infringement of the rules. As you know, the document was a draft Written Ministerial Statement about migration, due for publication imminently. Much of it had already been briefed to MPs. Nevertheless, it is right for me to go.

As soon as I realised my mistake, I rapidly reported this on official channels, and informed the Cabinet Secretary. As Home Secretary I hold myself to the highest standards and my resignation is the right thing to do. The business of government relies upon people accepting responsibility for their mistakes. Pretending we haven't made mistake, carrying on as if everyone can't see that we have made them, and hoping that things will magically come right is not serious politics. I have made a mistake; I accept responsibility; I resign.

It is obvious to everyone that we are going through a tumultuous time. I have concerns about the direction of this Government. Not only have we broken key pledges that were promised to our voters, but I have had serious concerns about this Government's commitment to honouring manifesto commitments, such as reducing overall migration numbers and stopping illegal migration, particularly the dangerous small boats crossings.

It has been a great honour to serve at the Home Office. In even the brief time that I have been here, it has been very clear that there is much to do, in terms of delivering on the priorities of the British people. They deserve policing they can respect, an immigration policy they want and voted for in such ambiguous numbers at the last election, and laws which serve the public good, and not the interests of selfish protesters.

I am very grateful to all of my officials, special advisers and ministerial team for all their help during my time as Home Secretary. I especially would like to pay tribute to the heroic policemen and women and all those who work at Border Force and in our security services. To oversee Operation Bridges - the largest policing operation in a generation - was a great honour and I am grateful to have had the opportunity to serve.

I wish my successor good luck,

Yours sincerely,

Suella Braverman

In a response to Ms Braveman on Tuesday afternoon, Ms Truss accepted the resignation.

Read Ms Truss's response below:

Dear Suella,

Thank you for your letter. I accept your resignation and respect the decision you have made. It is important that the Ministerial Code is upheld, and that Cabinet confidentiality is respected.

I am grateful for your service as Home Secretary. Your time in office has been marked by your steadfast commitment to keeping the British people safe. You oversaw the largest ever ceremonial policing operation, when thousands of officers were deployed from forces across the United Kingdom to ensure the safety of the Royal Family and all those who gathered in mourning for Her Late Majesty the Queen.

I am also grateful for your previous work as Attorney General, as my Cabinet colleague and in particular your work on the Northern Ireland Protocol Bill.

I look forward to working with you in the future and wish you all the best.

Best wishes, Liz Truss

Suella Braverman resigns as Home Secretary with withering attack on Liz Truss

Nick Gutteridge
TELEGRAPH
Wed, October 19, 2022 

Suella Braverman - ADRIAN DENNIS/AFP

Suella Braverman attacked Liz Truss for failing to take responsibility for her mistakes as she sensationally quit as home secretary on Wednesday.

In a withering parting shot she expressed “concerns about the direction of this Government” and said the Prime Minister had broken her promises.

Her resignation marks a moment of high peril for Ms Truss’s floundering leadership and could spark a new move to oust her from No 10.

Grant Shapps, a former transport secretary who has been highly critical of the Prime Minister, has replaced her at the Home Office.

Mrs Braverman fell on her own sword over a “technical infringement of the rules” after using a personal email address to send an official document.


She sent a draft written ministerial statement about migration policy to John Hayes, a Conservative MP, shortly before it was due to be published.

The outgoing home secretary said in her resignation letter that while much of it “had already been briefed to MPs, nevertheless it is right for me to go”.


Suella Braverman's resignation letter

In remarks that will be seen as a clear criticism of Ms Truss, she wrote: “The business of government relies upon people accepting responsibility for their mistakes.

“Pretending we haven’t made mistakes, carrying on as if everyone can’t see that we have made them, and hoping that things will magically come right is not serious politics.

“I have made a mistake; I accept responsibility; I resign.”

The comments will be taken as a very thinly veiled reference to Ms Truss staying on after sacking Kwasi Kwarteng over the mini-Budget fallout.

Mrs Braverman, who had clashed with the Prime Minister over migration policy in recent days, also attacked her for breaking leadership pledges.

“It is obvious to everyone that we are going through a tumultuous time. I have concerns about the direction of this Government,” she wrote.

“Not only have we broken key pledges that were promised to our voters, but I have had serious concerns about this Government’s commitment to honouring manifesto commitments such as reducing overall migration numbers and stopping illegal migration, particularly the dangerous small boat crossings.”

She added the public “deserve policing they can respect, an immigration policy they want and voted for in such unambiguous numbers at the last election, and laws which serve the public good and not the interests of selfish protesters”.

‘I accept your resignation’

In a brief letter of reply the Prime Minister said: “I accept your resignation and respect the decision you have made.

“It is important that the Ministerial Code is upheld, and that Cabinet confidentiality is respected.”

She thanked Mrs Braverman for overseeing the policing arrangements for the late Queen’s funeral, and her previous work on the Northern Ireland Protocol.

Mrs Braverman ran for the Tory leadership herself then transferred her support to Ms Truss after being knocked out in the second ballot of MPs.

She was rewarded with the job of home secretary, but tensions quickly emerged between her hardline stance on migration and the Prime Minister’s growth agenda.

Her resignation throws the Government into even greater turmoil and may prove fatal to Ms Truss, who is clinging on to power by her fingertips.

Mr Shapps is from the centre of the party and his appointment will be seen as another win for the moderate One Nation group.

DID SHE RESIGN OR WAS SHE FIRED?!


Truss Fires Home Secretary as UK Government Risks Imploding



Alex Wickham and Kitty Donaldson
Wed, October 19, 2022 at 12:38 PM·5 min read

Liz Truss fired Home Secretary Suella Braverman for what was described as a national security breach, a dramatic move that heaps even more pressure on Britain’s premier as she clings to power.

Braverman shared secret documents on a personal mobile phone, four officials familiar with the matter said. In a letter to Truss posted on Twitter, she said she had sent an official document from her personal email, the contents of which she said had already been briefed to MPs.

That is regarded as serious, though not normally a firing offense. But political context is key, as Truss battles to keep her premiership from imploding.

According to a person familiar with the matter, Braverman was on a list of Cabinet ministers Truss’s advisers worried were preparing to resign to try to force the premier out after a disastrous six weeks in office. The others are Education Secretary Kit Malthouse and Trade Secretary Kemi Badenoch, the person said. Both told Bloomberg News they are not quitting.

Yet the fears among Truss’s team illustrate just how far the prime minister’s authority has disintegrated in her mutinous Conservative Party. Compounding the sense of desperation, Truss moved quickly to replace Braverman with Grant Shapps -- who has himself been openly plotting with Tory MPs to remove the prime minister. That bears all the hallmarks of a premier not in control.

Key Firing


“I actually want to apologize, I really am getting fed up with this soap drama as much as your listeners are,” Tory MP Bob Seely told LBC Radio. “I’m frankly as bemused as everybody else is and I’m really unhappy with the situation.”

Braverman is the second holder of one of the UK’s so-called Great Offices of State to be fired by Truss. Kwasi Kwarteng, Truss’s longtime friend and ally, was removed as Chancellor of the Exchequer after the economic plan they worked on together blew up in the face of financial market pressure, forcing a series of humiliating U-Turns.

Even getting to the end of Wednesday could be a challenge. The government’s enforcer in Parliament, Chief Whip Wendy Morton, resigned following a brutal fight to contain a Tory rebellion in a vote on shale gas fracking, according to two people with knowledge of her decision. Morton’s deputy, Craig Whittaker, also quit, the people said.

Truss’s party won the vote by 326 votes to 230 in the House of Commons, which should have given the prime minister a rare moment of respite. But the resignations are likely to trigger more trouble, and Labour MP Chris Bryant called for a probe after allegations of bullying as government whips tried to get people to vote.

Truss Warns UK Tories Not to Defy Her on Fracking


Truss had warned Conservative MPs not to vote against the government, and an order had gone round that even abstaining would result in being kicked out of the parliamentary party. But fracking is a thorny issue and many Conservatives reject it due to fierce opposition in their districts.

Angry Tories


Some Tory MPs took to Twitter to express their defiance -- ex-minister Chris Skidmore said he wouldn’t vote to support fracking “for the sake of our environment and climate,” and would face the consequences.

It’s by no means the only pressure point facing Truss. There’s another looming row on benefit payments, which many Tory MPs want the government to raise in line with soaring inflation. But new Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt has refused to commit to doing so as he seeks to repair the damage done by Truss and Kwarteng with their economic plan.

The fear among Conservatives is that a real-terms benefits cut will hurt the most vulnerable during a cost-of-living crisis. Tory support has plummeted to a record low in opinion polls, and Truss’s personal approval rating is substantially lower than her ousted predecessor, Boris Johnson.

Hunt has reversed most of the policies to restore financial stability after the UK’s public finances suddenly unraveled. But in doing so, he has put the Tories on a path to another round of punishing austerity.

Still, according to people familiar with the matter, Hunt told rank-and-file Tories on Wednesday he is committed to raising defense spending to 3% of GDP by 2030 -- a longstanding Truss pledge -- and will stick with the high-speed railway project HS2.

Risks to Truss


The bigger question facing Conservative MPs is whether and when to remove Truss, with the next general election due by January 2025. There’s a growing consensus that she shouldn’t be allowed to lead the party into that vote, but deep divisions over who MPs want to take over.

In her letter to Truss posted on Twitter, Braverman made a thinly-veiled attack on the prime minister’s performance. “Pretending we haven’t made mistakes, carrying on as if everyone can’t see that we have made them, and hoping that things will magically come right is not serious politics,” she said.

Her departure from office has left Westminster on edge. Though she was pushed out by Truss, few MPs will miss the broader significance of the loss of another key ally on the ideological right of the party.

In the absence of a unity candidate -- former Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak and House of Commons leader Penny Mordaunt are in the running -- it is Cabinet departures that pose the most immediate threat to Truss. Johnson’s tenure was ended by the sudden resignations of then Health Secretary Sajid Javid and Sunak, which triggered a mass exodus from his government.

“I’m a fighter, not a quitter,” Truss said in the House of Commons on facing lawmakers for the first time since she was forced to junk most of her economic program just weeks after announcing it.

--With assistance from Emily Ashton, Ellen Milligan and Joe Mayes.

OR MAYBE SHE JUST QUIT

'I'm getting fed up with this': Tory MP says sorry live on air as Suella Braverman's quits


Nadine Batchelor-Hunt
·Political Correspondent, Yahoo News UK
Wed, October 19, 2022 


Tory MP Bob Seeley apologised for the chaos in the government live on air. (LBC)

A Tory MP has apologised live on air for the chaos in his party on Wednesday afternoon after news of the home secretary's resignation broke during his interview on LBC.

Bob Seeley, Conservative MP for the Isle of Wight, said he was "getting fed up" with his party's turmoil after host Tom Swarbrick pressed him on the breaking news Suella Braverman had departed from her post.

"Most Conservative MPs have been here for less than a decade... many of us have been actually here five years or less," said Seeley.

"And we're really just keen to get on with our job and serve our constituents."

He added: "Most of us are actually just trying to get on with the job and I'm frankly as bemused, as pretty much everyone else is – and I'm really unhappy with the situation."



However, Seeley stopped short of calling for Liz Truss's departure amid growing calls for her resignation.

"I want us to stabilise the situation... if Liz can keep it together, and stabilise the situation, great," he said.

"If she can't, we need to find an alternative – but I'm not looking for an alternative now. I think we need to try to stabilise the situation."

In Braverman's resignation letter to the prime minister, she wrote it was with "the greatest regret" she was leaving her post after she broke security protocol by sending an "official document" from her personal email.

"Earlier today, I sent an official document from my personal email to a trusted parliamentary colleague as part of policy engagement, and with the aim of garnering support for government policy on migration," she wrote.


Suella Braverman admitted she had broken security protocol by sending an "official document" from a personal email address in her resignation letter.

"This constitutes a technical infringement of the rules."

She added: "Pretending we haven’t made mistakes, carrying on as if everyone can’t see that we have made them, and hoping that things will magically come right is not serious politics.

"I have made a mistake: I accept responsibility: I resign."

Braverman also used the letter as an opportunity to express "concerns about the direction of this government" of Truss's government.

"It is obvious to everyone that we are going through a tumultuous time," she said.

Read more: Top Liz Truss aide suspended as No 10 condemns ‘unacceptable briefings’

"I have concerns about the direction of this government.

"Not only have we broken key pledges that were promised to our voters, but I have had serious concerns about this government’s commitment to honouring manifesto commitments, such as reducing overall migration numbers and stopping illegal migration, particularly the dangerous small boats crossings."

Former transport secretary, Truss critic, and Rishi Sunak ally Grant Shapps was announced as Braverman's successor on Wednesday evening.

Braverman's departure comes just hours after the prime minister's special adviser, Jason Stein, was suspended pending an investigation by the Cabinet Office propriety and ethics team.

UK interior minister Braverman quits over security issue, criticises government



Wed, October 19, 2022 

LONDON (Reuters) - Britain's Suella Braverman quit as interior minister on Wednesday, saying she had to go after she breached government rules but that she had concerns over the direction of Prime Minister Liz Truss's government.

The second senior minister to leave the government in less than a week, Braverman's departure heaps yet more pressure on Truss as she fights to stay in power just over six weeks after she entered Downing Street.

"I have made a mistake, I accept responsibility; I resign," Braverman said in letter to Truss posted on Twitter.

She said she had sent an official document from her personal email to a parliamentary colleague, adding that this marked "a technical infringement of the rules" and that it was therefore "right for me to go".


Truss, who became prime minister on Sept. 6, initially installed a cabinet of senior ministers who were loyal to her libertarian wing of the Conservative Party.

But the launch of a now-scrapped economic programme forced her to fire her finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng and appoint Jeremy Hunt as his replacement. Hunt had backed Truss's rival for the leadership, Rishi Sunak.

The Guardian reported that former transport minister Grant Shapps, who also backed Sunak, is now likely to replace Braverman.

Braverman, who also ran for the leadership of the party before throwing her support behind Truss, had been a deeply polarising figure during her short tenure.

She told the party's annual conference earlier this month that it was her "dream" to see a flight leaving Britain carrying asylum seekers to Rwanda.

"It is obvious to everyone that we are going through a tumultuous time," Braverman said in the letter to Truss.

"I have concerns about the direction of this government. Not only have we broken key pledges that were promised to our voters, but I have had serious concerns about this government's commitment to honouring manifesto commitments, such as reducing overall migration," Braverman wrote.

(Reporting by Kylie MacLellan and Muvija M; Editing by Kate Holton and Gareth Jones)


TRANSFORMATION

How Xi Jinping is reshaping China, in five charts


Florence Lo/Reuters
Visitors stand in front of a giant screen displaying Chinese President Xi Jinping next to a flag of the Communist Party of China, at the Military Museum of the Chinese People's Revolution in Beijing, Oct. 8, 2022. Mr. Xi is poised to win a rare third term in power at this week's Communist Party Congress.
Staff writer
Jacob Turcotte
Staff

October 17, 2022|BEIJING

Over the past 10 years, China’s leader Xi Jinping has consolidated power to a degree not seen since Mao Zedong. His rule has brought major changes to China – from his sweeping anti-corruption and poverty alleviation campaigns to a huge military buildup and more assertive foreign policy.

In coming days, Mr. Xi is widely expected to win a rare third term at the pinnacle of the Communist Party, as it holds a series of twice-a-decade political meetings that will formally install its top leadership, including the 25-member Politburo and elite, seven- to nine-member Politburo Standing Committee.

Where is Mr. Xi expected to lead the country next? In a lengthy report to the congress on Sunday, he outlined what the party-run media described as a “blueprint” for the coming five years. The main takeaway, experts believe, is that Mr. Xi intends to stay the course – maintaining or intensifying his ambitious drive for China’s “great rejuvenation,” despite a slowing economy and the controversy some of his policies have generated at home and abroad.

WHY WE WROTE THIS

Chinese leader Xi Jinping is expected to win a rare third term in this week’s 20th Communist Party Congress. Understanding how Mr. Xi has transformed China over the past decade can offer clues for what comes next.

“What is telling [about Mr. Xi’s report] is that there was no reformulation of any of these major policies, in spite of some of the challenges the party has faced recently,” says Oriana Skylar Mastro, a Center Fellow at Stanford’s Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies. Despite speculation among overseas experts that China’s power has peaked, she says, “there is no indication the Chinese think that way. They think they have this trajectory – whether it be toward reunification [with Taiwan] or having a world class military – and they are on track.”
Corruption crackdown

Inside China, one of Mr. Xi’s signature policies has been his no-holds-barred sacking of Communist Party, government, and military officials – including senior party officials and People’s Liberation Army generals – for corruption.

In the three decades before Mr. Xi took power in 2012, China’s market-oriented economic reforms unfolded without a corresponding increase in political accountability or transparency, giving rise to an explosion of corruption. To Mr. Xi, dishonest and greedy officials posed a major obstacle to his bid to strengthen party rule, which he considers a prerequisite for China’s progress. He has taken a top-down approach to demanding greater “discipline” among cadres, investigating millions in the past decade.

Overall, the policy has been popular domestically, although Mr. Xi has also used the anti-graft push to eliminate political rivals, promote allies, and consolidate power in his own hands. And he is far from finished.

Speaking Sunday on a stage draped with bright red curtains framing a huge gold hammer and sickle in Beijing’s Great Hall of the People, Mr. Xi told nearly 2,300 party delegates that corruption remains “a cancer to the vitality and ability of the Party.” Indeed, some experts say Mr. Xi has created so many political enemies that a continuous purge of the ruling elite is likely.

SOURCE:
CGTN, Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation, 
Transparency International
Jacob Turcotte/Staff


Income inequality and economic growth


China has made big strides in alleviating dire poverty under Mr. Xi, raising the incomes of millions of people above the country’s official poverty line. Mr. Xi, who declared extreme poverty eliminated in China in 2020, on Sunday hailed this as a “historic feat.” The policy has won Mr. Xi high popularity among Chinese in poor, rural areas.

Nevertheless, income inequality has surged during China’s economic boom, and as of 2020, 600 million Chinese still had monthly incomes of about 1,000 yuan ($140). Mr. Xi is targeting this gap between China’s haves and have-nots with a policy of “common prosperity,” a major focus for his next five years.

“We will promote equality of opportunity, increase the incomes of low-income earners, and expand the size of the middle-income group,” Mr. Xi said.

Chinese and foreign entrepreneurs worry, however, that Mr. Xi’s efforts to tackle inequality have involved sudden, somewhat clumsy, regulatory measures such as his crackdown last year on China’s most successful high-tech companies, which lost hundreds of billions in value virtually overnight.

Mr. Xi has also favored China’s state-run economy over the private sector and ordered a policy of frequent COVID-19 lockdowns – both serious drags on economic growth.

SOURCE:
Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center for Strategic & International Studies
Jacob Turcotte/Staff

Military spending and national security


China’s military budget expanded to $252 billion in 2020, second only to that of the United States, as the country pursues a significant modernization and upgrading of its armed forces.

On Sunday, Mr. Xi pledged to accelerate his goal of building China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) into a “world-class” force by 2027, the 100th anniversary of the PLA.

China “will intensify troop training and enhance combat preparedness across the board” while also building “a strong system of strategic deterrent forces,” he said, in what the state-run media says is a reference to strategic nuclear weapons. “We will work faster to modernize military theory, personnel, and weapons,” he said.

The PLA’s mission, Mr. Xi said, is to safeguard China’s “core interests,” including its broad territorial claims over the South China Sea and Taiwan.

Over the past 10 years, Mr. Xi has stepped up pressure to unify mainland China with the self-governing island of Taiwan. On Sunday, he pledged in forceful tones that “complete reunification of our country must be realized, and it can, without doubt, be realized!” – triggering enthusiastic applause from the party delegates.

While seeking peaceful reunification, Beijing “will never promise to renounce the use of force,” he said, a warning that was directed at “interference by outside forces and the few separatists seeking ‘Taiwan independence.’”

But as China has stepped up pressure on Taiwan, with escalated air force incursions and major military exercises around the island, opinion polls in Taiwan show public sentiment has cooled on the idea of unification. This is in part because of the imposition of a draconian national security law on Hong Kong in 2020, which was viewed as undermining its autonomy promised under the “one country, two systems” formula, which Beijing also advocates for Taiwan.


SOURCE:
World Bank
Jacob Turcotte/Staff


Foreign Affairs

China’s foreign policy under Mr. Xi has had mixed results.

On one hand, China continues to advance its influence and standing in the Global South. This is in part due to Mr. Xi’s massive “belt and road” investment push, which since 2014 has helped to fill a large infrastructure gap in developing nations. Mr. Xi has also closed ranks with other authoritarian states, in particular forging a close, “no-limits” alliance with Russia.

SOURCE:
World Bank
Jacob Turcotte/Staff

Yet Mr. Xi’s more aggressive regional and foreign policy – and his unleashing of acrimonious “wolf warrior” diplomacy – has contributed to a deterioration of relations between Beijing and developed countries in Asia and the West, above all the U.S.

In his report, Mr. Xi railed against foreign interference, bullying, and hegemony, suggesting he may double down on his combative diplomatic approach with some countries, experts say.

“Xi has been very clear since 2013 that his tenure as leader would be about regaining China’s status on the international stage and resolving other core interests, mainly territorial issues, even at a cost,” says Dr. Mastro from Stanford. “We will probably continue to see, in their minds progress, and in our minds disruptions and harassment, in all these areas,” she says. “That is going to be pretty much guaranteed for the next five years.”



SOURCE:
Pew Research Center
Jacob Turcotte/Staff

Related stories
SUPERNATURAL FICTION
Full-scale Noah's Ark—a showcase for US creationists

by Charlotte PLANTIVE
The replica of Noah's Ark in Kentucky is in keeping with its supposed Biblical measurements: 150 meters (510 feet) long, 15 meters (51 feet) high, and 25 meters (85 feet) wide.

A full-sized model of Noah's Ark sitting in rural Kentucky promotes a worldview that draws visitors from across the United States—that the theory of evolution is false.

The Ark Encounter and the associated Creation Museum espouse the belief that God literally created the Earth in six days around 4,000 BC.

Evangelical Christians flock to see the spectacular staging and sharp denunciations of scientific facts such as that dinosaurs became extinct about 65 million years ago.

Visitors also reflect America's divided politics as the country heads into midterm elections, with creationists often aligned with the Republican Party on issues such as abortion and gay rights.

"Dinosaurs are often used by evolutionists to proclaim their worldview. So we've taken the dinosaurs back, if you will," said Mark Looy, cofounder of the ark amusement park and the museum.

Standing a few steps from a model of an allosaurus skeleton, Looy said the site offers a different view of dinosaurs—that "most of them perished during the flood about 4,500 years ago."

The museum opened in 2007 in Petersburg, Kentucky, financed by a donation campaign and supported by Answers in Genesis, a group that believes in strict creationism.

The Ark Encounter opened in 2016 about 70 kilometers (45 miles) away in Williamstown, and contains a replica of Noah's Ark in keeping with its supposed Biblical measurements—150 meters (510 feet) long, 15 meters (51 feet) high, and 25 meters (85 feet) wide.
How it all began? A display of the Garden of Eden at the Creation Museum in Petersburg, Kentucky.

Bible 'more than a story'

A combo ticket to the two sites costs $85, and Looys says more than a million people a year browse the exhibits—and also enjoy attractions such as zip-lining and a petting zoo

Most visitors are committed to the cause.

"My husband and I... believe the Earth is about 6,000 years old," said Suzanne Swindle, a 37-year-old executive from Atlanta who came to show her four-year-old daughter that the Bible "is more than just a story."

However, she does not deny that species "adapt to their environment," one of the pillars of Charles Darwin's theory of evolution.

Similarly, Mike Barrington, a 70-year-old former veteran who lives in Louisiana, calls himself a creationist, but he adds that the exhibit's explanation of dinosaurs "is new to me."

Such contradictions are mirrored in the polls. According to a 2019 Gallup survey, 40 percent of Americans believe God created man less than 10,000 years ago.

Suzanne Swindle, of Atlanta, and her four-year-old daughter look at a display that claims humans and apes are not related.

But other polls ask subtler questions with more options and find about 15 percent reject the theory of evolution, said Adam Laats, a historian at Binghamton University in New York and author of the book "Creationism USA."

Calling oneself a creationist in the United States is more "an identifying mark of a much broader cultural divide," he said.

"Someone would go and say, 'Oh, I guess I'm a creationist because I don't like pornography, I don't want abortion rights, and I don't want LGBTQ rights.'"

Laats said decades of conflict over which institutions in the United States are trustworthy—ranging from justice and politics to science and the media—has created "radically different ideas about truth and reality."

Election issues

The themes are at the heart of key midterm elections on November 8 and Laats sees "a correlation between the most archetypal MAGA (Donald Trump) conservatives and the most ardent museum-type creationists."
The museum attracts largely conservative evangelical Christians visitors from across the United States.

At the two sites, "you'd find mostly Republicans," Mark Looy said, and while the attractions must stay away from endorsing candidates, "we don't shy away from some of the hot button issues of the day."

In one clear example, a dummy video game at the museum reflects a binary reading of the world.

Two camps confront each other: "Man's world," associated with "abortion" or "gay marriage," versus "God's word," synonymous with "marriage" and "sanctity of life."

The mix of religion, activism and entertainment is also evident at the museum's Garden of Eden.

After strolling through a bucolic landscape with Adam and Eve, visitors arrive in a screening room with projected black and white photos of the Holocaust, drug addicts and the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001.

To reinforce the message, big letters spell out: "Rejection of God's word led to corruption."

The Creation Museum also offers arcade games that contrast 
"God's world" with issues such as abortion and gay marriage.
A child looks at a display showing depictions of Noah’s Ark stories.


Peggy Mast, a 74-year-old woman from Kansas, agrees.

For her, "chaos reigns" in America, where "people are now committing anarchy with the acceptance of the administration of our government."

So the museum is "a wonderful place to reaffirm the very things that we know about God," she added.

Explore further  UK museum's 'earliest known bird' flies coop for Tokyo show

© 2022 AFP
Access to data from connected vehicles: There is still time to act

DISCLAIMER: All opinions in this column reflect the views of the author(s), not of EURACTIV Media network.

By Connected Mobility for All Alliance
Oct 18, 2022 



By 2025, almost half of the vehicles on the road in Europe will be connected vehicles.
 

The increase in the number of internet-connected vehicles on EU roads raises questions about data management; to ensure that the data is used to benefit Europe, it is necessary for EU lawmakers to legislate on the issue, writes the Connected Mobility for All Alliance.

The Connected Mobility for All Alliance is a France-based consortium of connected mobility actors. For a full list of signatories, see the list below.

By 2025, almost half of the vehicles on the road in Europe will be connected vehicles, either via compulsory devices (such as eCall, which enables rapid intervention by emergency services in the event of an accident) or via on-board telematics devices (which users can choose to activate or not).

These devices capitalise on the analysis of data collected by various means (onboard computer, OBD socket, smartphone, etc.) and make it possible to offer various services to users.

The possibility of duplicating all of the contents of one’s smartphone on the car’s onboard screen is also becoming a central selling point, even beyond the performance or specific features of a vehicle.

In order to ensure non-discriminatory and secure access to vehicle data, all actors in connected mobility must be treated equally, with three challenges:

For consumers


The motorist, the vehicle user, must be at the centre of the ecosystem: it is up to him or her to say explicitly with whom and for what purposes he or she wishes to share their data.

What is possible for the car manufacturer, for example, must be possible for all connected mobility players. Otherwise, their ability to innovate will be severely restricted, and motorists’ freedom of choice and purchasing power will be greatly impacted.

Indeed, according to the FIA, the lack of competition could result in up to €32 billion of additional expenditure for European consumers.

For European sovereignty

Sector-specific legislation on access to connected vehicle data will prevent the market from being locked up in the hands of a few non-European players, imposing their contractual and pricing conditions on all.

It is therefore high time to act if we want to guarantee, for the connected mobility ecosystem and motorists, favourable conditions for the development of innovative and high-value-added services delivered by the mobility ecosystem.

For road safety and energy efficiency

If they have access to vehicle data with the user’s consent, connected mobility players will be able to offer new services, such as real-time warnings of high-risk areas with a view to road safety, or advice to the user to encourage eco-responsible driving behaviour.

The development of intelligent and remote control of battery recharging could also represent an economic advantage for users of electric vehicles and significantly contribute to strengthening the independence and decarbonisation of the European energy system.

It, therefore, seems essential to us that the public authorities, at the European level, implement, as a matter of urgency, in addition to cross-cutting legislation such as the Digital Market Act or the Data Act, sector-specific legislation on access to data from connected vehicles.

***

Signatories:Automobile Club Association (ACA) France
France Assureurs
Fédération française de l’expertise automobile (FFEA)
MOBILIANS
MOBIVIA
SESAM LLD
Syndicat national des sociétés d’assistance (SNSA)
Union française de l’électricité (UFE)
WHAT ABOUT WHEN IT'S NOT SUNNY 
OR ITS NOT WINDY?

EU saved €11 billion in gas imports thanks to solar and wind: report

By Valentina Romano | EURACTIV.com

Oct 18, 2022 

The total production of renewable energy since the beginning of the war in Ukraine has allowed the European Union to avoid €99 billion in costs in fossil gas import, with an increase of €11 billion compared to last year thanks to record growth in wind and solar capacity. 

Renewable energies have allowed the European Union to avoid €99 billion in fossil gas imports since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, with an increase of €11 billion compared to last year thanks to record growth in wind and solar capacity, according to a new report.

Solar and wind power have produced a quarter of EU electricity since March 2022, allowing to avoid 70 bcm of gas imports, according to a new study carried out by think tanks E3G and Ember.

In turn, this also helped mitigate the reduction in hydroelectricity generation caused by droughts and a decline in nuclear production caused by maintenance and a series of failures in the French nuclear fleet.

“Wind and solar are already helping European citizens,” said Chris Rosslowe, senior analyst at Ember. “But the future potential is even greater,” he added.




Change in EU-27 electricity generation for March–September 2022 compared to 2021 (TWh). Wind and solar have filled a third of the EU’s deficit in hydro and nuclear electricity since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Record rollout of renewables

Since March, 19 EU Member States have been achieving record wind and solar electricity generation, the study shows.

Among them, Poland is the country with the greatest percentage of year-on-year increase (+48.5% compared to 2021), while Spain registered the greatest absolute generation increase.

A recent study by Ember and the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) confirmed that the war in Ukraine and the price of fossil fuels have accelerated the EU’s energy transition, with EU Member States recognising the role of renewables for energy security and announcing significant increases in their deployment.

“The EU has put the energy transition on turbocharge, with governments getting serious about cutting out costly fossil fuels,” said Pawel Czyzak, senior energy and climate data analyst at Ember.

“There’s a consensus that ramping up wind and solar power quicker can help the EU head off multiple crises,” he added.

The analysis demonstrates how the latest EU countries’ plans are more ambitious and propose a decrease of 31% in fossil fuel electricity generation by 2030 compared to their 2019 strategies.

In the last two years, 19 European governments have increased the ambition of their decarbonisation strategy, with some of them planning to generate close to all electricity from renewables by 2030.




Analysis by CREA and Ember. Previous: National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) from 2019; Latest = national policy announcements as of May 2022. The countries displayed account for >97% of EU-27 electricity consumption.

Gas is not the solution

Despite sky-high prices, 20% of EU electricity production still came from natural gas between March and September 2022, accounting for €82 billion in costs, according to the report.

Ember and E3G analysts warned against the harmful repercussions of continued investments in gas infrastructure, saying past EU policies are responsible for increasing gas dependency.

“Betting on gas as a bridge fuel and holding back on expanding renewable capacities are the main causes of Europe’s energy crisis,” the report says.

“The decision to pursue yet another diversification strategy and develop new gas infrastructure in the context of sustained high prices and tight LNG markets risks replicating past mistakes and will fail to bring relief from the current crisis,” it continues.

According to the report, the solution lies in the REPowerEU plan, proposed by the European Commission in May, with the aim of rapidly ending the EU’s dependence on Russian fossil fuels.

“Governments need to support the clean energy ambition of REPowerEU, making it a core element of the energy price crisis response,” said Artur Patuleia, senior associate at E3G.

[Edited by Frédéric Simon]

France's spending plan: Govt to force through 2023 budget bill

Video by: Yuka ROYER

The French government is poised to wield a rarely used constitutional weapon to force its budget through parliament, where opposition groups have stymied the text for weeks with rival amendments, officials said Tuesday. The impasse underscores the weakened position of President Emmanuel Macron since his centrist party lost its majority in parliamentary elections last spring, just weeks after his own re-election. FRANCE 24's Business Editor Yuka Royer tells us more.

 

The French government is poised to wield a rarely used constitutional weapon to force its budget through parliament, where opposition groups have stymied the text for weeks with rival amendments, officials said Tuesday.

Macron's government decides 

to pass budget without vote

·

PARIS (AP) — French President Emmanuel Macron's government said Wednesday it would use a special constitutional power to force the bill for next year's budget through the National Assembly without a vote.

Opposition lawmakers could call a no-confidence vote to protest the move, which some have denounced as undemocratic.

The government's announcement was expected. Macron’s centrist alliance lost its parliamentary majority in June, making it much more difficult for his government to get laws passed the conventional way in the lower house of parliament.

Faced with multiple budget amendments from the opposition, government officials had warned they were ready to invoke the French Constitution's Article 49.3, which allows the prime minister to bypass parliament in some situations, including votes on budget bills.

If the prime minister is successful, the budget bill would go to the Senate.

A no-confidence vote is unlikely to pass despite opposition to the government's move because it would need the approval of at least 289 lawmakers, or half the seats in the lower house of France's Parliament. If some groups of lawmakers abstain while Macron’s allies vote no, the threshold cannot be reached.

Despite losing its majority, Macron’s centrist alliance still has the most National Assembly seats, with 250. A leftist coalition, the Nupes, is the largest opposition force, with 151 seats.

In July, lawmakers failed to pass a no-confidence motion requested by the Nupes to symbolically mark its opposition to Macron’s policies. Only 146 lawmakers approved the motion, far short of the 289 needed.

Article 49.3 has been used 87 times since 1958. Under Macron, it was used once before, in 2020 during his first term, to push though pension changes.

France’s proposed budge, presented last month in a Cabinet meeting, is based on predicted growth of 1% next year, down from an estimated 2.7% this year.

The Associated Press


In Iraq, divorce rates soar even as stigma persists for women


Salam Faraj
Tue, October 18, 2022 


Just a year into her marriage, Manal became one of the tens of thousands of Iraqis every year who divorce in a deeply conservative nation where break-up rates have risen.

For Manal, like many other women, the reason was clear -- her husband's financial dependence on his family's business meant that "he couldn't take any decisions of his own".

The 33-year-old was divorced eight years ago from her ex-husband, who is also her cousin and who worked for his father's appliance shop.

Not only did he depend on his family for money, but the couple also cohabited with her in-laws.

"He wasn't financially independent, which caused family problems," she said.

Her reasoning echoes that of tens of thousands of Iraqis, according to data published by the country's Supreme Judicial Council.

Iraqi authorities cite wider economic difficulties, early marriages and infidelity encouraged by new technologies as other key drivers of divorce rates.

More than 73,000 divorces were pronounced in 2021 by the courts in the country of 42 million people, largely the same as the number in 2018.

This is up from an average of just below 51,700 per year over the period 2004 to 2014, a decade that saw one in five marriages end in divorce, according to the council's website.

- 'It's better to divorce' -

A study published by the Supreme Judicial Council on the causes of divorce cites "living with the spouse's family, leading in many cases to negative interference in the relationship", in tandem with "the spouse's financial dependence on his family".

It also cites difficulties finding employment and "infidelities due to the internet".

Premature -- often child -- marriages are also a driver of divorce. A total of 4,092 adolescent girls were divorced in the two years to the end of 2021.


Veteran feminist Hanaa Edwar also pointed to "financial pressure on families" as a cause.



"This creates a psychological burden and problems," she said.

And Iraq was not spared the surge in domestic violence that came with the coronavirus pandemic -- though Edwar salutes women for increasingly finding the courage to leave.

"There is an awareness among women that if violence persists in their lives and their children's lives, then it's better to divorce."

But in a deeply patriarchal society like Iraq, a divorced man and a divorced woman are not equal.

On top of the often arduous battle to gain custody over their children, women are frequently exposed to "sexual harassment" by men who believe they have the right to make sexual advances towards divorced women, Edwar lamented.

Some families even refuse to allow divorced women to work or go out freely, for fear of the "stigma" and what people will say.

"As for men -- socially, everything is acceptable. Today, he divorces, tomorrow he remarries."

- 'You should wait' -

But statistics show that this has left many women undeterred.

"Courts have registered a rise in divorces, particularly over the past decade," a magistrate was quoted as saying in 2019 on the judicial council's website.

A social worker who sifts through divorce cases filed in courts so as to try to re-establish common ground between couples likewise acknowledges that "divorce has become much more common".



Speaking on condition of anonymity at a Baghdad court, she said that "only in 10 percent of cases are we able to find a solution" and abandon the divorce proceedings.

Manal now lives back in her parents' home and works for a feminist organisation. Her nine-year-old son Adam sees his father from time to time.

Despite the letdown of her first marriage, she has not written off the possibility of remarrying, but says conditions must be met.

A future husband would have to accept her son, for one, but also her professional ambitions.

Her advice to younger generations of women about to embark on their matrimonial journey is simple: "guarantee your economic independence and don't get married too young.

"You should wait, marriage shouldn't be the sole ambition in life."

sf/tgg/jsa/dwo
One million children lose mother to cancer a year: research



Wed, 19 October 2022 


Around one million children worldwide lose their mother to cancer every year, often leaving orphans caught up in a "vicious cycle of disadvantage", researchers said Wednesday.

The first-ever estimate for the number of children left motherless from cancer was announced at the World Cancer Congress in Geneva on Wednesday.


It was prompted by a study in Africa by the World Health Organization's International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), which is based in Lyon, France.

That research followed more than 2,000 women with breast cancer in Namibia, Uganda, Zambia and Nigeria, over half of whom died in just five years.


The study illustrated that "the intergenerational impact of cancer deaths of mothers hasn't been documented," IARC epidemiologist Valerie McCormack told AFP.


So the IARC researchers calculated that out of the four million who died from cancer in 2020, one million children were left motherless.

Around 45 percent of the mothers died from breast and cervical cancer, which are "very preventable", McCormack said, calling for more investment to fight both diseases.

During the research in sub-Saharan Africa, McCormack said families described selling their land to pay for cancer treatment, leaving no money left for educating the children.

"It's a vicious cycle of disadvantage" for poorer families, she said.

The researchers arrived at their global estimate, which has not been peer reviewed, by combining the number of annual female cancer deaths from IARC's GLOBOCAN database with fertility data from the United Nations.

More women than men die from cancer between the ages of 35 and 50 worldwide, largely due to cancer in female reproductive organs.

As time goes on, the situation reverses as men increasingly get prostate and lifestyle-related types of cancer.

And people in high-income countries are more likely to die from cancer later in life, when their children are grown.

McCormack said the IARC was working on finding a similar global figure for children left fatherless by cancer, but it was a trickier equation without the fertility data.

dl/gw