Saturday, February 04, 2023

Government’s official advisors say ‘lack of leadership’ has left UK unprepared for climate change

The Climate Change Committee says that around £10 billion a year of “essential” new investment is needed — but that “adaptation in the UK remains chronically underfunded and overlooked”.

The government’s independent climate advisors have said that a lack of political leadership has left the UK unprepared for climate impacts already hitting the country.

In a report published today, the Climate Change Committee (CCC) said that around £10 billion of new investment each year will be needed to ready the UK for increased extreme weather wrought by the climate crisis.

Baroness Brown, Chair of the CCC’s Adaptation Committee, said: “It is no secret that the UK is now experiencing a range of damaging consequences of climate change, but adaptation in the UK remains chronically underfunded and overlooked. This must change.”

The CCC told Channel 4 News that comparisons to current spending are impossible due to a lack of data and even a clear plan from the government on what adapting to climate change means.

Richard Millar, Head of Adaptation at the CCC, said: “Understanding the current scale of investment in adaptation required across the UK is challenging. There isn’t authoritative information on what is being spent in the public or private sector. This leaves a clear lack of data and understanding on how big the gaps in adaptation spending are.”

The report criticised both the lack of direct government infrastructure funding and what the CCC sees as missed opportunities to leverage private finance on adaptation.

In response to the report the government said: “We are taking clear and decisive action on climate adaptation including record investment in flood defences along with changing building regulations to make sure new homes are resilient to a changing climate.”

What’s needed

The CCC report said that flooding is one of the few areas where central government spending is keeping up with the climate crisis.

The Environment Agency has indicated that around £1 billion each year is needed to be spent on flood management, including new flood defences. The CCC said that the government’s current budgeting is broadly meeting that.

But other areas are extremely lacking, the CCC said. Profound changes are needed in retrofitting homes to become more resilient, upgrades to the public water system to prepare for both floods and droughts, and nature restoration which can have a wide ranging role in protecting the UK from extreme weather.

The CCC said that regulators such as Ofgem and Ofwat should have adaptation targets and measures streamlined across how they work with industry, too.

The government is expected to publish a new National Adaptation Programme this summer. The CCC says this should include better definitions of what adaptation means for the UK, targets and metrics for how to achieve it, and plans for how to integrate these across different areas of policy making.

Impacts hitting harder

Evidence is mounting of the climate impacts already hitting the UK and other temperate countries that are relatively better protected than the global south.

In a separate scientific paper published in the medical journal the Lancet today, researchers found that thousands may be dying across Europe each year due to a phenomenon called the urban heat island effect.

This describes how temperatures in cities and towns are higher than the surrounding area, primarily due to the higher presence of man-made surfaces like concrete, glass and steel, and the lower presence of ground cover from trees.

Using data from 2015 across 93 European cities, the researchers found that 6,700 deaths may have been due to the urban heat island effect — around 4% of all deaths in the summer that year. The study authors said increasing tree coverage to 30% of cities could have prevented a third of these deaths.

In response to the CCC’s report on the UK’s need to better adapt to impacts like this, green campaign group Friends of the Earth said that new funding should focus on increasing urban tree cover to help regulate temperatures in towns and cities, and on better home insulation.

Non-profit thinktank The Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit noted how public services strained under 40°C heat last summer. “Failing to make our country resilient and future proofed to climate change, as best we can, risks our economic wellbeing, health and an escalating bill from the ensuing damage,” it said.

“But these challenges exist overseas too, and it’s worth remembering that we import around a fifth of our rice from Pakistan which saw devastating flooding last year, threatening its agriculture. If we want to limit the risks, we have to look beyond our borders,” it added.




UK
Extinction Rebellion install satirical signs as part of 'dirty water' protest (cloned)

By Zoƫ Uglow | Reporter |
Wednesday 1st February 2023 
 amzoe.uglow@thepost.uk.com

One of the protestors at Bude Compass Point (XR North Cornwall )

Protestors against the dumping of sewage into local rivers installed satirical blue plaques in Camelford, Bodmin, Bude and other watery places on Saturday, January 28, to highlight the “shocking state of our waterways”.

Members of Extinction Rebellion and earth protectors from other environmental groups unveiled blue plaques near the rivers Camel, Neet and Stratton during a national day of action held across the UK.

The plaques, mainly aimed at the local MP for North Cornwall, intended to highlight what the group feel is the Government’s continued failure to tighten environmental regulations and stop profit-grabbing by water companies.

The plaques read variations on the theme of: “Scott Mann our Conservative MP voted to allow raw sewage to be dumped into the River Camel 20th October 2021.”

However, Scott Mann says these allegations are false and that he is “committed to seeing the end of combined sewer discharges over time”.

A spokesperson for XR North Cornwall said: “We’ve watched in horror as our rivers and seas have become open sewers since October 2021, when the government voted down a proposal to stop water companies pumping waste directly into our rivers and seas. They justified this by claiming that the proposal was too expensive. These plaques shine a light on the government’s failure to protect our waterways, the natural world, and all of us.

“The government’s failure to properly tackle the issue of sewage pollution has been hugely controversial. Last summer, over a hundred beaches were closed to the public after a series of sewage discharges by water companies left the sand and sea contaminated with human sewage.

“Meanwhile, only 14% of the UK’s rivers achieve “good” ecological status with pollution from agriculture, human sewage, roads, and single-used plastics creating a dangerous “chemical cocktail” in our waterways. In December the Environment Agency announced it was pushing back targets to clean up England’s rivers, lakes and coastal waters from 2027 to 2063, prompting outcry.”

Campaigner Etienne Stott, Olympic gold medal canoeist, added: “It’s disgusting, literally, to think what’s being pumped into our rivers. The government and the water companies aren’t going to clean up unless ordinary people put pressure on them. Extinction Rebellion can’t do this alone. We need everyone who cares about our rivers and seas to stand up with us and speak out. Today is just the first part of a bigger campaign to protect nature and our waterways.”

However, in response Mr Mann told the Post: “The allegation that Conservative MPs have “voted to dump sewage onto beaches” is false.

“Whist I agree that the amount of sewage discharged by water companies into our rivers and seas is unacceptable, this is the first Government to set out expectations that water companies must take steps to significantly reduce storm overflows. This instruction will now be put on an enhanced legal footing.

“It is only because of the increased monitoring of storm overflows – directed by this Government – that we know how bad the problem really is. Since 2016 the number of outflows monitored has increased from 6% to 90%. That is one of the main reasons why the numbers of incidents are ‘increasing’. Furthermore, since 2008 the percentage of bathing waters rated as excellent has increased from 53% to 72%.

“Yet again, another vote recently took place in Parliament that was engineered for political purposes. The measures supported by opposition MPs would not have banned sewage overflows – as some are falsely claiming. It is estimated that the proposals would have cost £12,000-£21,000 per household. Conservative MPs have voted to amend plans, not block them.

“We removed the sections that would have meant massive bills for households across the UK. These votes are cynical party politics at its worst, not a serious debate about solving the problem.

“I understand how emotive and important a subject this is. I am committed to seeing the end of combined sewer discharges over time and to placing the obligation for dealing with the issue squarely on the water companies — not Cornish taxpayers.”

Extinction Rebellion ‘suffragettes’ chain themselves in Barclays’ Guildford branch

Friday 3rd February 2023 

Three women, dressed as suffragettes, chained themselves together in the window of Barclays in Guildford (Extinction Rebellion )

Three Extinction Rebellion (XR) activists dressed as suffragettes chained themselves together inside Barclays Bank in Guildford on Monday – supported by XR members from Farnham and Haslemere.

They were protesting against the bank’s continuing use of customers’ money to fund the exploration and extraction of coal, gas and oil, and in solidarity with the seven women from XR who received a combined suspended jail sentence of two years last week at Southwark Crown Court for breaking the windows of Barclays HQ in Canary Wharf in April 2021.

The activists claim Barclays is the UK and Europe’s largest financier of fossil fuels. Since 2021, it says, when the International Energy Agency concluded there could be no new oil, gas or coal development if the world was to reach net zero by 2050, Barclays has invested more than 19 billion dollars in fossil fuels.

Since the Paris Climate Agreement in 2016, its total investment in fossil fuels is more than 166 billion dollars.

This is the second time Barclays Bank on North Street in Guildford has been targeted. In November XR protesters glued themselves to the windows of the bank as part of a nationwide protest against Barclays’ funding of the fossil fuel industry.

The three women, dressed as suffragettes, chained themselves together in the window of the bank, with placards stating: “This Bank Funds Fossil Fuels”, “Move Your Money” and “Barclays are Climate Criminals” placed at their feet.

Other members of XR were inside and outside the branch explaining to customers and passers-by why they were taking action.


One protester, Jenny Condit, 73, from Haslemere, said: “I am taking action because it’s past time for the leading banks to stop financing the fossil fuel industry which is destroying our future.

“Barclays is the only one of the five leading UK high street banks to continue financing new fossil fuel projects.

“As the largest UK bank, and the largest financer of oil and gas of all European banks, Barclays is the number one climate criminal in this part of the world. Barclays has a choice who to lend to and who to do other business with as well.

“They can survive and even thrive without enabling the destructive behaviour of oil and gas companies.

“But we, and life on our planet, cannot thrive unless the age of oil and gas comes to an end. So Barclays has a choice, but so do we. Let’s move our banking business to other providers who show more concern for our future.”

Farnham resident Clive Teague, 74, said: “My wife and I wrote to Barclays asking them to stop financing fossil fuels because of the severe, widespread and irreversible impacts they have on our climate. They did not reply, so after nearly 50 years as a customer we moved to a more sustainable bank.”

Barclays say they will reach net zero in carbon emissions by 2050 in line with the Paris Agreement, and promise to spend an average of £8.3billion per year on green finance up to 2030.

However, according to XR, in the four years after the Paris Agreement they spent more than double this in funding fossil fuel companies, an average of £22 billion per year.

A Barclays spokesman said the bank would not comment directly on the protest, but defended its climate record, saying it has invested £175m of its own capital “into innovative, green start-ups”.
Pressure grows on Rishi Sunak over NHS as Welsh nurses get pay offer

Welsh NHS staff announced they would suspend a walkout that had been due to take place on Monday
Welsh nurses stand on their picket line on December 20, 2022 in Cardiff, Wales..

By Poppy Wood
Politics and Education Reporter
February 3, 2023 10:42 pm
(Updated February 4, 2023 1:24 am)

Rishi Sunak faces growing pressure to avoid the biggest NHS strike in history next week, after the Welsh Government gave nurses a fresh pay offer yesterday in a bid to call off industrial action.

Welsh NHS staff announced they would suspend a walkout that had been due to take place on Monday, after ministers offered an extra 3 per cent pay rise on top of the £1,400 already promised.

Welsh health minister Eluned Morgan said it would apply to health staff at eight unions, including the Royal College of Nursing (RCN), Chartered Society of Physiotherapy (CSP) and GMB.

The Unite union said its ambulance workers in Wales would still strike as planned on Monday.

Sara Gorton, head of health at the Unison union, said the improved pay offer for most Welsh healthcare staff

“ramps up the pressure on the Prime Minister significantly”.

“Political leaders in Scotland and now in Wales are making the Westminster Government look decidedly mean and totally out of touch,” she said.

“Both Nicola Sturgeon and Mark Drakeford have chosen to do more for their NHS staff this year. The Prime Minister should stop with the lame excuses and follow the lead of Holyrood and the Senedd.”

It comes after nurses in Scotland said last month they would hold off announcing strike action in order to conduct further pay negotiations with the Scottish Government.

Ms Gorton warned that NHS strikes would “continue across Engnland for months” if Mr Sunak failed to compromise in an ongoing pay dispute with healthcare staff.

It comes as the NHS faces its largest ever day of industrial action on Monday, with tens of thousands of healthcare workers set to walk out across 73 NHS trusts in England.

It will mark the first time ambulance workers and nurses have gone on strike on the same day.

Pat Cullen, general secretary and chief executive of the RCN, said there was still time to call off the strikes in England before Monday, warning that Mr Sunak “has no place left to hide”.

“If the other governments can negotiate and find more money for this year, the Prime Minister can do the same,” she said.

“His unwillingness to help nursing is being exposed as a personal choice, not an economic necessity…

He can still turn things around before Monday – start talking seriously and the strikes are off.

Income tax rise could fund NHS pay rise in Wales, say Plaid Cymru

Plaid Cymru have unveiled plans which the party claims would lead to the “first real term pay increase in over a decade” of NHS staff. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

A fairer pay increase for NHS workers, a wage of £12 per hour as a minimum for care workers, and a package of financial help for those in greatest need are all part of a proposal announced by the party. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

Plaid Cymru Leader Adam Price said raising additional revenue by varying the rate of tax would give both health and care workers a fairer pay offer would signal an “investment” in the NHS, putting the service on a more “sustainable footing for the future”. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

Nurses and ambulance workers are set to stage further industrial action this month amid calls for a fair pay deal and improved working conditions. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

The Welsh Government have claimed there is “is no more money” available to fund the pay rises, with a one-off payment being offered to the unions. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

First Minister Mark Drakeford and Health Minister Eluned Morgan have also resisted calls to increase income tax. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

Speaking in the Senedd last month Ms Morgan said the only way to raise the money needed would be to increase the basic rate of tax for households across Wales. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​ ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

She said: ““In Wales, the number of people who pay the additional rate is 9,000. If you put that up by 1p, you’d make £3 million. That’s how much you’d get. So, you’re miles away from the £55 million that you would need to get to a 1 per cent increase. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​ ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

“If you look at the people who earn between £50,000 and £150,000, and you put their income tax up by 1p, you’d get to £33 million. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​ ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

“Again, miles away from the £55 million for 1 per cent. So the only place you’ve got to go to get anywhere near—anywhere near—the 1 per cent, let alone the 17 per cent that the RCN are asking for, is the basic rate taxpayers. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​ ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

“If you raised it by 1p, you’d get to £237 million, so that would be an increase of about 4.5 per cent. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​ ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

“Asking the poorest members in Wales, who are up against it at the moment. That’s your approach; that’s what you want to do.” ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌ ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

However Plaid Cymru have argued that “those with the broadest shoulders” should contribute more could also generate revenue to fund additional packages of support to those struggling the most during the cost-of-living crisis. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

Ahead of a debate on the Welsh Government’s budget next week, which Plaid Cymru will seek to amend, Adam Price said “Labour cannot in good faith say they are doing everything they can to support health and care workers when they have so far refused to use the tax powers at their disposal.” ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

Plaid Cymru Leader Adam Price said: “Our NHS is in crisis, Workers are on strike, and the Labour Welsh Government is refusing to act. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

“Thirteen years of Tory cuts and twenty-five years of Labour mismanagement has left our health and care workers demoralised, exhausted and struggling to make ends meet. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

“Plaid Cymru’s proposals offer a way forward. Using the tax powers we have here in Wales, we could generate an extra £317 million to offer NHS workers fairer pay and provide care workers with £12 an hour as a minimum ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

“Fair pay for nurses will mean fair play for patients and would signal a real investment in our NHS, putting it on a sustainable footing for the future. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

“Labour cannot in good faith say they are doing everything they can to support health and care workers when they have so far refused to use the tax powers at their disposal. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

“Asking those with the broadest shoulders to contribute the most would also allow us to create a Welsh Solidarity Fund that could help extend free school meals to secondary schools for families in receipt of universal credit, support people struggling to pay their mortgages, or increase the Education Maintenance Allowance to help young people continue their education. ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​

“If Labour truly are the party of the workers as they claim to be, they will support our amendment to the Budget, and if they truly believe in a fair taxation system, they will join us in demanding the powers to set our own tax bands just like Scotland, rather than be ruled by Westminster.” ‌​‌​‌​​​‍‌​‌​​‌‌‌‍‌​‌‌​​‌​‍‌​‌‌‌​‌‌‍‌​‌‌‌‌​​



'Rishi Sunak must end strike farce by giving NHS staff the pay rise they deserve'

Nurses in England are not to blame for disruption caused by strike action next week - Rishi Sunak could resolve the dispute if he gives NHS staff a pay rise they desperately need


Rishi Sunak's Tory party are to blame for the disruption caused by NHS strikes
3 Feb 2023

Union leaders in Wales have called off next week’s strikes by nurses and ambulance workers after agreeing a pay offer.

Industrial action by nurses in Scotland has been paused as they seek to negotiate a deal.

The only place in Great Britain where the strikes will go ahead is in England.

If the Welsh Government is able to find the additional money, then so can the one in Westminster. Rishi Sunak could resolve these disputes in an instant.

All he has to do is instruct the Treasury to open its purse strings and give NHS staff the pay rise they deserve and so desperately need.

His refusal to take this action is not an economic decision, but a political one. Instead of taking the path of conciliation he has opted for the route of confrontation.

When nurses in England walk out on Monday and Tuesday, everyone should know they are not to blame for the disruption.

The responsibility lies entirely with the Tories in Westminster.

Nurses’ pay not our top NHS priority, PM admits to Piers Morgan

Rishi Sunak insists ‘massive’ pay rise for nurses is not possible amid competing demands for healthcare spending and fears about fuelling inflation
Prime minister Rishi Sunak during TV interview with Piers Morgan

Prime minister Rishi Sunak has ruled out giving nurses a ‘massive pay rise’ because the money needs to be prioritised for other NHS services.

Speaking to Piers Morgan on 2 February , Mr Sunak said the issue ‘burns deeply’ in him and he was grateful to nurses for their ‘incredible work’ during the pandemic. But he insisted large pay settlements would fuel inflation.


U.S. shoots down suspected Chinese spy balloon off the Carolina coast



 Published on Feb 4, 2023 

WASHINGTON (AP) — The United States on Saturday downed a suspected Chinese spy balloon off the Carolina coast on orders from President Joe Biden after it traversed sensitive military sites across North America, becoming the latest flashpoint in tensions between Washington and Beijing.

Biden said he wanted the balloon downed on Wednesday, but was advised that the best time for the operation would be when it was over water. Military officials determined that the bringing it down over land from an altitude of 60,000 feet would pose an undue risk to people on the ground.

The balloon was spotted Saturday morning over the Carolinas as it approached the Atlantic coast. At about 2:40 p.m. EST, an F-22 fighter jet fired a missile at the balloon, puncturing it while it was about 6 nautical miles off the coast near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, Pentagon officials said.

READ MORE: China tries to minimize impact of suspected spy balloon after Blinken cancels visit

Officials said the debris landed in 47 feet of water, shallower than they had expected. It was not immediately clear how long the recovery would take. The Navy is taking the lead, supported by the Coast Guard.

“They successfully took it down and I want to compliment our aviators who did it,” Biden said after getting off Air Force One en route to Camp David.

In preparation for the operation, the Federal Aviation Administration temporarily closed airspace over the Carolina coast, including the airports in Myrtle Beach and Charleston, South Carolina, and Wilmington, North Carolina. The FAA rerouted air traffic from the area and warned of delays as a result of the flight restrictions. The FAA and Coast Guard worked to clear the airspace and water below the balloon as it reached the ocean.

Television footage showed a small explosion, followed by the giant deflated balloon descending like a ribbon toward the water. U.S. military jets were seen flying in the vicinity and ships were deployed in the water to mount the recovery operation.



Spectators watch after a suspected Chinese spy balloon was shot down off the coast in Holden Beach, North Carolina, U.S. February 4, 2023. Photo by Allison Joyce/Reuters.

Officials were aiming to time the operation so they could recover as much of the debris as possible before it sinks into the ocean. The Pentagon had previously estimated that any debris field would be substantial.

The Coast Guard advised mariners to immediately leave the area because of U.S. military operations “that present a significant hazard.”

The public disclosure of the balloon this week prompted the cancellation of a visit by U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken to Beijing scheduled for Sunday for talks aimed at reducing U.S.-China tensions. The Chinese government on Saturday sought to play down the cancellation.

WATCH: Pentagon speaks on Chinese balloon spotted over Western U.S.

“In actuality, the U.S. and China have never announced any visit, the U.S. making any such announcement is their own business, and we respect that,” China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said in a statement Saturday morning.

China has continued to claim that the balloon was merely a weather research “airship” that had been blown off course. The Pentagon rejected that out of hand — as well as China’s contention that it was not being used for surveillance and had only limited navigational ability.

The balloon was spotted over Montana, which is home to one of America’s three nuclear missile silo fields at Malmstrom Air Force Base.



A balloon flies in the sky over Billings, Montana, U.S. February 1, 2023, in this picture obtained from social media. Chase Doak/via Reuters.

The Pentagon also acknowledged reports of a second balloon flying over Latin America. “We now assess it is another Chinese surveillance balloon,” Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder, Pentagon press secretary, said in a statement.

China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately respond to a question about the second balloon.

Blinken, who had been due to depart Washington for Beijing late Friday, said he had told senior Chinese diplomat Wang Yi in a phone call that sending the balloon over the U.S. was “an irresponsible act and that (China’s) decision to take this action on the eve of my visit is detrimental to the substantive discussions that we were prepared to have.”

Uncensored reactions on the Chinese internet mirrored the official government stance that the U.S. was hyping the situation. Some used it as a chance to poke fun at U.S. defenses, saying it couldn’t even defend against a balloon, and nationalist influencers leapt to use the news to mock the U.S.

China has denied any claims of spying and said it is a civilian-use balloon intended for meteorology research. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs emphasized that the balloon’s journey was out of its control and urged the U.S. not to “smear” it based on the balloon.

Associated Press writers Chris Megerian and Tara Copp in Washington, Huizhong Wu in Taipei and researcher Henry Hou in Beijing contributed to this report.
WHAT GOES UP...
Please, We Implore You, Don’t Try to Shoot The Balloon

Story by Nikki McCann Ramirez • Yesterday 

Provided by Rolling Stone

Conservatives are fantasizing about taking their shot at bringing down the reported Chinese Spy Balloon floating over the Midwest. We cannot stress it enough: THAT IS A BAD IDEA.

The balloon is located at an altitude of about 66,000 feet (12.5 miles), high above the airspace where commercial airliners typically fly. It is way, way, way above the altitude where a bullet could reach it. The Department of Defense has indicated that while taking military-based action to shoot down the balloon is being considered, the concern of potential harm to civilians by falling debris has stayed their hand.

More from Rolling Stone

It's a Bird, It's a Plane, It's a Chinese Spy Balloon?

If you tried to shoot the balloon yourself, here’s how it would go: you would shoot your gun into the air, the bullet would travel (up to about a mile), and then gravity would pull it back down. The speed the descending bullet travels at could still be deadly if you hit someone, or yourself, if you’re shooting at a high angle. Falling bullets can also land far off from their planned descent, putting individuals in the area at risk.














Despite the clear danger posed by firing a gun at a target you absolutely will not hit, prominent conservative figures, second amendment advocates, and even gun manufacturers are encouraging their followers to take matters into their own hands.

Former First Son Donald Trump Jr. tweeted to his followers that if the government won’t take down the balloon “perhaps we just let the good people of Montana do their thing… I imagine they have the capability and the resolve to do it all themselves. “

House Representative Ryan Zinke (R-Mont.) told his Twitter followers to “take the shot.” Zinke wrote, “in Montana we do not bow. We shoot it down.”

Ohio Senator J.D. Vance tweeted an image of himself staring at the sky while posing with a rifle.

Failed Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake tweeted an image of herself holding a rifle with the caption, “I’m told there’s a balloon that needs to be taken care of?” The balloon is nowhere near Arizona.

KAK Industry, a firearm component manufacturing company, offered fans an “AR of your choice on the house” to whoever brought the balloon down.

And I know it sounds like a joke, but there are signs people are actually thinking about it. Republican Montana Senator Steve Daines told Fox News that he became aware of the balloon’s existence after his office received several calls from constituents asking if it was O.K. to “take a shot at it.”

Thankfully (in some places) sense is prevailing. The military news and culture outlet Task & Purpose issued a “safety brief” on Twitter. “Do not shoot at the balloon. It is too high up. You will not hit it.”

So here at Rolling Stone we implore you to spare yourself the potential harm to you and others, or at least the wasted ammo, and allow the experts with access to the appropriate resources to pop that bad boy.




When Japanese balloons menaced American & CANADIAN skies during World War II

By Kathryn Tolbert
February 4, 2023 —

A menacing balloon from Asia floated in the skies over Montana. The year was 1944.

The balloon, with a small incendiary bomb attached, drifted down to a forested area near Kalispell, Montana, crumpling into a heap. Two loggers found it there in December that year.


A Japanese balloon-borne bomb that fell in western Canada in 1945.
CREDIT:AP WIREPHOTO

The FBI and Army Air Force arrived to study the strange contraption, about 10 metres wide, made of laminated paper. Writing on the balloon told them it was Japanese and had been completed a few weeks earlier at a Japanese factory.

Around the same time, a bomb crater was discovered near Thermopolis, Wyoming. And then another balloon was found near Estacada, Oregon.

Farmers, ranchers and others began reporting balloon incidents. They heard explosions or found small holes in the ground with metal fragments nearby, or partially inflated balloons in the scrub brush.

What they were seeing was Japan’s effort to bring the war to the United States mainland by launching bomb-bearing balloons onto the Pacific jet stream. Japan launched nearly 10,000 such balloons from Nov. 3, 1944, to April 1945. About 300 of them landed in the United States. Each carried two incendiaries and a 15 kilogram antipersonnel bomb.


One of Japan’s “paper ICBMs” landing near the United States-Canada border in March 1945.
CREDIT:CANADA WIDE PHOTO

“It’s the only thing that they had that was capable of reaching the United States – and even that was a long shot,” Robert Mikesh, who wrote a monograph about Japan’s balloon bomb program for the Smithsonian Annals of Flight Series, said in a 2020 interview.

The only casualties from those attacks came from the tragic discovery on May 5, 1945, of an unexploded balloon bomb by small group on a church outing in the Gearhart Mountain area of Southern Oregon. The Rev. Archie Mitchell and his wife, Elsie Mitchell, of Bly, took five children with them. While the reverend parked the car, Elsie and the children called to him that they had found a strange object in the woods. He shouted a warning, but it was too late. The explosion killed his wife and the five children, ages 11 to 14.

The U.S. Office of Censorship had asked journalists not to report on the balloon bomb incidents so that the Japanese would not know they had successfully reached the U.S. mainland, and the request was honoured. But after the deaths in Oregon, the War Department issued a statement describing the balloon bombs so that people finding debris would know not to touch it.

By then, Japan had stopped launching balloons, though they continued to be found in and over the United States through the summer. Because of the news blackout, the Japanese did not know the results of the balloon attacks.

Japan hoped its balloon bombs would ignite fires.
CREDIT:CANADA WIDE PHOTO

Mikesh said that, technically, the bombs were successful, but the results were minimal because the balloons couldn’t be controlled at the end. Plus they were launched over the winter and not in the dry season, when wildfires might have expanded the damage. “They didn’t have that luxury,” Mikesh said. “They needed to launch them when they could.”

Japanese children were the main labourers assembling the balloons, made by laminating layers of tissue paper from the fibres of a mulberry tree. The balloons maintained an altitude of about 30,000 feet as they crossed the Pacific; a gas-discharge valve and a cycle of dropping sandbags allowed them to rise and sink as gas expelled or cooled.

But the balloons’ paths were subject to the vagaries of the wind, making them very hard to control. They were also surprisingly hard to intercept.

Nearly 500 U.S. aircraft searched for balloons in 1944 and 1945, but only two were ever shot down over North America. “Determined to make a capture, one fighter pilot landed his plane to continue the pursuit by automobile, but the balloon released some ballast and bombs in the hills and ascended again over the plain,” Mikesh wrote.


The US Secretary of State has postponed his trip to Beijing after the Chinese spy balloon was spotted hovering above the pentagon.

One attempt to take down a balloon went particularly awry.

This week, with attention on the suspected Chinese spy balloon over the United States, the U.S. Naval Institute posted on Facebook, “When the USS New York was sailing towards Iwo Jima in 1945, the crew spotted a silver sphere flying high overhead that seemed to follow the battleship for hours. Concerned that the shiny orb might be a Japanese balloon weapon, the captain ordered it shot down. After the guns failed to score a hit, a navigator realised that they were attacking Venus.”

Washington Post

Canada Reports 'Potential Second Incident' With Massive Chinese Balloon


By    |   Friday, 03 February 2023 

The Canadian Armed Forces are reportedly monitoring a "potential second incident" related to the massive Chinese balloon that has been hovering over American airspace this week.

In a statement Thursday, Canada's military command reiterated that "Canadians are safe and Canada is taking steps to ensure the security of its airspace, including the monitoring of a potential second incident."

According to Breitbart News, Canadian officials have yet to clarify whether a second Chinese balloon had been identified.

On Friday, Canada's version of the Globe and Mail reported the Canadian government summoned the Chinese ambassador to protest the balloon's presence in that country's airspace.

Specifically, the Globe and Mail talked to experts who believe the same Chinese balloon that was last seen over the American state of Montana had spent "significant time" in the Canadian province of British Columbia.

The Biden administration and Pentagon opted not to destroy the balloon — which reportedly is the size of three large buses — out of concern for the citizens on the ground.

China's foreign ministry tried to minimize the incident by claiming the balloon was a civilian research "airship," primarily used for gathering weather data.

"The Chinese side regrets the unintended entry of the airship into U.S. airspace due to force majeure," the ministry said in a statement, while referring to an event beyond the control of the involved parties.

Also, China's ministry office said it would continue to communicate with U.S. officials, as a means of properly handling "this unexpected situation."

On Thursday, a U.S. Pentagon official said the Chinese balloon was "currently traveling at an altitude well above commercial air traffic and does not present a military or physical threat to people on the ground."

The balloon's reported altitude was 60,000 feet, a strata that would have given the U.S. the legal right to capture or ground the balloon, if it had chosen that route.

Chinese Spy Balloon Has Unexpected Maneuverability

An expert explains why it’s so odd that the suspected Chinese spy balloon can change course

By Sophie Bushwick on February 3, 2023
 Scientific American
On Friday U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken scrapped a rare Beijing trip aimed at easing escalating tensions between his country and China. The decision was made after the Pentagon said that China flew a spy balloon over the U.S.
Credit: Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images

Pentagon officials announced on Thursday that they had detected a Chinese “surveillance balloon” flying over Montana. On Friday the Pentagon’s press secretary said that the balloon is now over the central U.S. and moving eastward at an altitude of about 60,000 feet. Observers on the ground have been able to snap photographs and videos of the object, and the incident has prompted Secretary of State Antony Blinken to cancel a planned trip to China.

Although China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs quickly claimed that the object is merely a civilian weather observatory blown off course, later on Friday, the Pentagon press secretary, Air Force Brigadier General Patrick Ryder, held a press briefing where he stated, “We know that it’s a surveillance balloon.... We know this is a Chinese balloon and that it has the ability to maneuver.”

This maneuverability is beyond the capabilities of most high-altitude balloons, says John Villasenor, director of the Institute for Technology, Law and Policy and a professor of electrical engineering, law, public policy and management at the University of California, Los Angeles. “The only balloons I’ve ever heard of are the ones that can go up and down or the ones that don’t do anything—they just go completely at the mercy of the winds,” he says. “But the phrasing from these spokespeople seems to suggest some greater degree of control than that. I don’t know what that means, but I think it’s notable.... It adds some more complexity to the whole thing.” In addition to its maneuverability, the surveillance balloon differs from a typical weather balloon in other ways, according to the Weather Channel. First, it has been airborne for days, but weather balloons typically remain up for only a couple of hours. The Chinese balloon is also roughly the size of three buses, whereas weather balloons typically expand to only about 20 feet across.

Scientific American spoke with Villasenor about why the aircraft’s maneuverability is so unusual and how such surveillance balloons compare with satellites.

[An edited transcript of the interview follows.]

Is it possible to steer or otherwise control a typical high-altitude balloon?

It can be controlled, but let me be careful about what I mean by that. Balloons go with the wind. And so the only control that a balloon has is: in some balloons, you can control the altitude—you can make it go higher or lower. To the extent that the wind speed and direction varies with altitude, you can change the altitude, within some limits. And that can give you some measure of control—but not anywhere near the level of control that you have [with an airplane]. You can’t turn around and go the other direction; you can never go upwind in the balloon. You’re always going to be moving with the atmosphere that surrounds it.

Given existing knowledge of wind patterns at different altitudes, would it be possible to launch a balloon with the goal of having it end up in a specific location—such as in the air over Montana, where the recently discovered Chinese one was when the Pentagon announced it had detected the object?

The general prevailing wind patterns are well known. I’m sure almost all Scientific American readers know it takes longer to fly from the East Coast to the West Coast than from the West Coast to the East Coast. The flights are longer because you’re generally flying against the wind going west instead of with the wind going east. Those prevailing winds are the same reasons why a balloon launched in China can end up in the U.S., whereas if we launched one from Washington State, it wouldn’t be able to go west. So yes, if you want a balloon to end up in a certain place, you can strategically choose where you launch it from and you can have some reasonable degree of control [over where] it’s going to end up. But you can’t control it within, you know, one mile. If you wanted it to end up over Montana and not over, let’s say, Texas, then you might launch it from a particular place.

Just how big does a balloon like this have to be for the Pentagon to pick it up?

It’s not only the size of it but what it’s made of. Different materials will reflect radar differently, for example. How visible it would be would depend on how big it is, what it’s made of and also the detection technology being employed to track it. And I will also say that once you know something is there, it’s a lot easier to find it. Part of finding things is knowing where to look, and [once] you know roughly where something is, and you’re looking very carefully, you’re going to be able to track it.

How can the Pentagon tell it is actually a spy balloon, as opposed to a civilian project for meteorology research, as the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs claimed?

If you took it out of the sky and examined what was on it, that would probably answer the question! If it’s a weather balloon, then it would be equipped with sensors to measure things like temperature, and so on. If it’s a spy balloon, then it would be equipped with, perhaps, high-resolution cameras or equipment to detect electromagnetic signals, things like that. So if you actually physically had access to it, it would be pretty easy to assess whether it was really simply a weather balloon that had blown off course or whether it was created with the idea of surveillance. But without access to it, I don’t know how you would get that information.

As a platform for surveillance, how does a balloon compare with a satellite?

A balloon is not a particularly good platform for a couple of reasons. One is that you can’t steer it, really, and it only passes over the place that you’re looking at—if you even get lucky and are able to place it correctly—once. Whereas the satellite is in orbit, so it goes around and around. Also, the U.S. would be perfectly within its rights ... to take down a balloon that was launched by a foreign country ... and that was flying in the U.S. airspace. Countries have sovereignty over their airspace, but outer space is different. You can launch a satellite, and it can fly 150 miles over any other country, and most countries can’t—and even those who can, will not—take it down. There’s a norm that satellites operate in a zone that everyone has access to, whereas balloons operate in the sovereign airspace of the particular country. That’s a huge difference right there.

What advantage might a balloon have?

If you’re trying to get high-resolution imagery of something, distance matters. For example, if you’re in a balloon that’s 12 miles or 15 miles up, that’s an order of magnitude closer to the surface than a satellite. All else being equal, you’ll have that much higher resolution, so that could be an advantage of imaging from a balloon. But again, it’s a very blunt instrument to use because of this very poor degree of control—almost none—that you have over where this thing is going to end up.

When you’re at 50,000 or 60,000 feet, then you can see, but you can’t see [far]. If you’re 60,000 feet over Montana, you can’t see Texas, right? Whereas if you’re a satellite that’s hundreds of miles high, then you can see a lot farther. Balloons are much, much closer to the surface. So on the one hand, you’re closer to the things you might be looking at, but you have a much narrower view of the Earth’s surface.

The Pentagon has stated it does not currently plan to shoot the balloon down. Why not?

They say they don’t want to hurt people or damage property on the ground. For whatever reason, they—at least now—are stating publicly that they have elected not to. In terms of the information [the balloon] was gathering, they seemed to suggest that it wasn’t [a threat]. China already has capabilities like satellites, and they didn’t seem to think the balloon was going to be dramatically different. But I’m quite sure that they could take it down if they wanted to.

If it’s not shot down, what will happen to the balloon?

Most of the time, these things eventually come down somewhere—well, they all eventually come down somewhere. The question is where. Maybe it ends up in the Atlantic Ocean somewhere—without knowing more information about it, it’s really hard to know.



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ABOUT THE AUTHOR(S)

Sophie Bushwick is an associate editor covering technology at Scientific American. Follow Sophie Bushwick on Twitter Credit: Nick Higgins

Recent Articles by Sophie Bushwick
Weibo reacts to China’s ‘wandering’ balloon over U.S.: ‘Mother Nature works in mysterious ways’

“The U.S. should respect the floating freedom of the balloon,” a Weibo user wrote.

Zhao Yuanyuan Published February 3, 2023
Eyewitness image taken by Chase Doak captures what is suspected to be a Chinese spy balloon on Wednesday, February 1. EYEPRESS via Reuters Connect.

On Thursday evening, the U.S. Defense Department stated that it had been tracking a high-altitude surveillance balloon as it made its way over the northern part of the country this week. The Pentagon believed it was from China and described it as an “intelligence-gathering” airship, but it decided not to shoot it down over concerns of hurting people on the ground.

In light of the revelation, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said today that he had postponed a planned high-stakes weekend trip to Beijing. Meanwhile, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs released a statement this morning, saying the balloon is a “civilian airship” used for research that “deviated far from its planned course” under the influence of “the westerly wind.” The statement also expressed regret that the airship strayed into the U.S., stressing that its ability to control its direction “is limited.”

On western social media sites like Twitter and Reddit, the event immediately sparked a flurry of speculation. On Twitter, multiple videos of the balloon have gone viral, generating millions of views and thousands of likes on the platform. Memes quickly surfaced. A Twitter user posted a picture of a gun pointed at the sun with the caption, “Me trying to bring down the Chinese spy balloon,” racking up 2,200 likes in less than a day. On Reddit, a user shared an image of a Yoda-shaped hot air balloon and a silo with them being labeled as the “Chinese spy balloon” and “NORAD,” the North American Aerospace Defense Command. The post has earned almost 2,000 upvotes so far.

The news is also a trending topic on Chinese social media today. On Weibo, a hashtag “Chinese unmanned airship accidentally entered U.S. airspace due to uncontrollable forces” #äø­å›½ę— äŗŗé£žč‰‡å› äøåÆęŠ—åŠ›čÆÆå…„ē¾Žå›½é¢†ē©ŗ#, derived from China’s official explanation of the incident, has garnered over 130 million views. Many Weibo users described the airship as “the wandering balloon” (굁ęµŖ갔ēƒ liĆŗlĆ ng qƬqiĆŗ), a pun on The Wandering Earth, a 2019 Chinese sci-fi blockbuster that just saw its prequel released during the past Lunar New Year holiday.

On Weibo, opinions are split as to whether the balloon is an intelligence-collecting device sent out purposefully by the Chinese government. Some people followed the official narrative parroted by a string of state media publications including the Global Times, accusing the U.S. of making “groundless claims” and “hyping up China threat.” But most commenters were skeptical of China’s explanation, writing that with all things considered, they were hard pressed to believe that the drifting was a pure coincidence.


Below, we rounded up some reactions from both sides

 of the spectrum.

We don’t have the microchip to control the balloon. 

What could we do about it?




I’m sorry the wind was too strong.




The Lantern Festival is around the corner. 
The balloon is actually a sky lantern we sent over 
to wish Americans a happy Lantern Festival.



Who cares if Antony Blinken will come or not? 
America always bills itself as No.1 in the world 
but it got spooked by just a balloon.



An unhinged balloon broke America’s heart.



Oh damn. I thought America was lying but it turns out we were
 making an international joke.



The world is so big but the balloon just loves going to America. 
The wind is so intelligent.



Yeah of course it’s due to force majeure. You can’t go against nature.




The U.S. should respect the floating freedom of the balloon.



The unmanned airship: “The world is so big and I want to see it all.”




The airship wants to go there. Don’t ask us about it!




We’ve expressed regret. What else do you want from us?