Tuesday, March 28, 2023

BIG TECH SUCKS
Carbon-Sucking Tech Could Need More Energy Than All Homes Use

Technology that sucks carbon emissions out of the air would need more energy than used to run the world’s homes if it’s to play a significant role in reaching global climate goals.


Bloomberg News
William Mathis






















(Bloomberg) — Technology that sucks carbon emissions out of the air would need more energy than used to run the world’s homes if it’s to play a significant role in reaching global climate goals.

That’s according to a future energy scenario modeled by oil supermajor Shell Plc that includes direct air capture, which filters the gas out of the air so that it can be stored safely and permanently. It’s one of the two main ways to trap CO2 — along with capturing it before it leaves a smoke stack.

Despite net-zero emissions goals in most of the world, governments will need to make big changes to limit global warming well below 2C and avoid the worst impacts of climate change. Getting there won’t just mean sharply cutting back on fossil fuels in favor of renewables and batteries, but also scaling up technologies that sequester CO2.

Direct air capture is still in its infancy and while it could one day be a crucial climate tool, it’s hugely energy intensive. It’s effectively like running a giant air conditioner to cool the atmosphere.

In a scenario in which the world limits global warming in line with the Paris climate agreement, final energy demand for direct air capture rises from about nothing today to almost 66 exajoules in 2100. That would be more than the energy needed to heat and power all the world’s homes by then, according to a report by Shell.

That amount of energy would allow the world’s carbon-sucking machines to absorb more than 5 billion tons of CO2 per year, Shell said. Were that to happen, it would be possible for global warming to be around 1.24C by 2100, after briefly rising above 1.5C in the middle of the century.

Despite the technology remaining fledgling, there’s major interest in it. US President Joe Biden’s climate bill provides significant subsidies to help expand the industry. US oil giant Occidental Petroleum Corp. has already started building what will be the world’s largest carbon-removal plant.

How the machines fare depends on investment and how the technology develops. But if they do scale up, they’ll need a lot more wind turbines and solar farms to provide low-carbon power.

—With assistance from Akshat Rathi.

Published Mar 21, 2023 


More Efficient Way to Suck Up CO2 From Air By Storing it in Baking Soda and Water

By Andy Corbley
-Mar 20, 2023
Existing carbon capture storage infrastructure, Carbfix

A new study shows that methods of sucking up atmospheric air and filtering out the CO2 can be improved by adding copper to the filter material, potentially opening up the technology to dozens more uses that could produce a meaningful difference in the fight against climate change.

The addition of copper also converts the captured CO2 to a harmless baking soda that could be stored in the oceans, or turned into a saleable product.

Some scientists say the only way to limit the warming of the Earth to less than 1.5°C over this century is if humanity starts to extract some of the CO2 they’ve added to the atmosphere through carbon capture methods.

These machines come in two forms: one that uses large fans to pull regular air from the environment, filter out the CO2, and then store that underground or produce other chemical products, and a second that does the work directly at the exhaust point of large factories, power plants, or natural gas wells.

The former method deals with CO2 at very few parts per million, while the latter does so at much higher concentrations, but with placement limited to industrial facilities.

Now, a study published in Science Advances shows that when copper is added to the ammine-based filter devices on the large ambient carbon-capture machines, they filter out CO2 three times as much, reducing cost and improving efficiency.

“To my knowledge, there is no absorbing material which even at 100,000 ppm, shows the capacity we get it in direct air capture of 400 ppm,” said lead author Professor Arup Sengupta from Lehigh University in the US.

DON’T DESPAIR HEADLINES: Growth in Carbon Capture Projects This Year is Dramatic, Showing Global Determination to Cut Emissions

But more than the increased performance, the addition of the copper opens up a new possibility for where the absorbed CO2 can be placed—in the ocean.

The ocean is one of the three major carbon storehouses on Earth, and the climate change body of science shows that too much CO2 causes the oceans to acidify, but the copper and amine created a chemical reaction in seawater than turned the captured CO2 in the study into non-acidifying, sodium bicarbonate, or baking soda.

MORE CARBON CAPTURE HEADLINES: New Wyoming Carbon Capture Project Will Eliminate 5 Million Tons of CO2 Per Year

With the potential of storing captured carbon in the ocean, the placement of carbon-capture facilities would go from being limited to places with significant underground storage capacity and existing drill infrastructure to anywhere there’s a coastline.

“I am happy to see this paper in the published literature, it is very exciting, and it stands a good chance of transforming the CO2 capture efforts,” Professor Catherine Peters from Princeton University told the BBC who wasn’t involved in the research project.

While Sengupta’s new method turns the CO2 into baking soda for depositing in the seas, other methods actually involve baking soda.

Last July, GNN reported that Tata Chemicals Europe opened the UK’s first industrial-scale carbon capture and usage plant. The plant captures 40,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide each year—the equivalent to taking over 20,000 cars off the roads.

UPDATE

US, Canadian and Polish firms sign contracts for developing nuclear reactors

A group of American, Canadian and Polish corporations have signed an agreement in Washington to invest $400 million in jointly developing small nuclear reactors, some of which will be built in Poland by state energy giant Orlen.

The signatories are GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy and the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) of the US, Canada’s Ontario Power Generation (OPG), and Synthos Green Energy (SGE), a Polish firm that has a joint venture with Orlen to develop and deploy nuclear small modular reactors (SMRs).

“Thanks to this agreement, Poland gains access to the latest American nuclear technology, which is now being developed jointly by Poland, Canada and the US,” Synthos Green Energy’s CEO, Rafał Kasprów, told Polskie Radio.

GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy is the developer of the BWRX-300 small modular reaction and Ontario Power Generation is building the world’s first BWRX-300 reactor, which is set to be complete by the end of 2028.

The aim of the newly agreed partnership is for the four entities involved to ensure that the reactor’s design “is deployable in multiple jurisdictions”, meaning it can “be licensed and deployed in Canada, the US, Poland and beyond”, says GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy.

“This unprecedented collaboration, which spans three countries, will offer benefits to each of the team members and demonstrates confidence in the role that our SMR technology will play in helping nations meet decarbonisation and energy security goals,” said the firm’s CEO, Jay Wileman.

The creation of the joint venture between Orlen and SGE was approved by the European Commission last week. It had already last year submitted an application to Poland’s National Atomic Energy Agency for assessment of the BWRX-300 reactor and has begun selecting potential sites for its deployment.

They plan to announce 25 such locations next month, where 79 SMRs are to be built, with the first unit intended to be deployed by the end of this decade. By 2036, they aim to have a network of SMRs with a total capacity of around 10,000 MWe.

Yesterday’s agreement will ensure that “the implementation of [SMR] technology in Poland will be more effective and already in this decade the Orlen Group will provide customers with cheap, zero-emission energy from nuclear power”, said Orlen’s CEO, Daniel Obajtek, yesterday.

Poland’s ambassador to the US, Marek Magierowski, who was present at yesterday’s signing ceremony, noted that the agreement “is not only about our energy transformation, but also about the long-term vision of our alliance with the US and Canada”, reports industry news service Energetyka24.

Poland, which currently generates no power from nuclear, has ambitious plans to develop the sector over the coming decades. As well as SMR projects being led by Orlen and other state-owned and private firms, the government is also planning traditional full-scale nuclear plants.

In October, it picked the United States as its international partner in developing the first such plant, which is scheduled to open in 2033. Soon after, South Korea was chosen as the partner in a similar project being developed by a group of private and state-owned firms.

The government sees nuclear as a vital tool in reducing Poland’s reliance on fossil fuels, a task made more urgent by the European Union’s green energy policies and by the war in Ukraine, which has seen Warsaw accelerate its plans to abandon Russian energy imports.

Main image credit: TVA/Twitter


MAR 24, 2023

 Polish opposition party proposes payments for mothers who return to work

Mothers who return to work after maternity leave would receive state benefits of 1,500 zloty (€320) per month under a policy announced by Donald Tusk, Poland’s main opposition leader. He named the idea “granny payments” (babciowe in Polish) because grandmothers often care for children while mothers work.

“Fifty percent of mothers do not return to work after maternity leave, despite the fact that 92% express such a desire,” said Tusk during a speech yesterday in the city of Częstochowa. “Often they can’t because they have no one to leave their child with or no money for a nursery.”

“I hope this ‘granny payment’ of 1,500 zloty until the child is three years old can give a sense of relief, satisfaction and a sense that someone finally understands the Polish woman who, after giving birth, after the first months of upbringing [the child], wants to return to work,” he added

“A woman in Poland wants to have a choice,” continued Tusk, leader of the centrist Civic Platform (PO), Poland’s largest opposition party. “She doesn’t want the authorities, the church, her husband, or a prosecutor to decide how her life should look.”

Explaining why he had called it a “granny payment”, Tusk said that, while a woman could use the money for a nursery or preschool, “she can also share it with the proverbial, symbolic grandmother”.

His announcement follows a speech on Monday at which Tusk declared that women’s rights is the “number one issue” in Poland under a conservative government that has overseen the introduction of a near-total abortion ban, restrictions on the availability of morning-after pills, and ended state funding for IVF.

Tusk’s latest proposal has, however, elicited criticism from other parts of Poland’s opposition, especially figures from the left, who argue that it does not solve the problem that not enough childcare is available.

“In two thirds of districts there are no places in childcare for children under three and 1,500 [zloty] for grandma doesn’t solve the problem,” tweeted Magda Biejat, one of the leader of the Left Together (Lewica Razem) party.

“We need a nursery in every district, encouraging the taking of paternity leave, and fighting against discrimination of women in the labour market,” she added.

Meanwhile, a government minister argued that Tusk was proposing to introduce something that already exists.

“What Donald Tusk thought up has already been functioning for a year,” tweeted Barbara Socha, the deputy family and social policy minister, pointing out that the government’s Family Care Capital (RKO) programme and “500 plus” child benefit scheme already together provide 1,500 zloty per month.

Some commentators pointed out, however, the RKO programme is only available from the second child onwards. Tusk’s proposal also appears to be an additional payment on top of existing benefits.

Socha also noted the government has improved pension conditions for grandmothers and lowered the retirement age for women by seven years from what Tusk’s previous PO government introduced. “That’s seven more years for time with the grandchildren,” she wrote.

Poland’s current government, led by the national-conservative Law and Justice (PiS), has made boosting social programmes, in particular for families and the elderly, a cornerstone of its time in power.

However, despite a declared aim for such payments to boost Poland’s birthrate – which is one of the lowest in the European Union – the number of children being born in Poland has continued to decline, last year reaching its lowest level since the Second World War.

According to Eurostat data from 2018, the employment rate among women in Poland aged 20-64 was 65%, slightly below the EU-wide figure of 67%.

Main image credit: S O C I A L . C U T/Unsplash 

Daniel Tilles  is editor-in-chief of Notes from Poland. He has written on Polish affairs for a wide range of publications, including Foreign Policy, POLITICO Europe, EUobserver and Dziennik Gazeta  Prawna.

MAR 24, 2023 

SEE

BABA CARE  

LA REVUE GAUCHE - Left Comment: The ABC's of Privatizing Daycare 



US establishes first permanent military garrison in Poland

The US has opened its first military garrison in Poland. It follows last year’s pledge by President Joe Biden to establish a permanent base – America’s first on NATO’s eastern flank – in Poland following Russia’s invasion of neighbouring Ukraine.

“We have been striving for this for years – for this word ‘permanent’ – and it has now become fact,” said Polish defence minister Mariusz Błaszczak at today’s opening ceremony. While Poland has long hosted US troops on a rotational basis, it had lobbied Washington for that to be turned into a permanent presence.

“This is a historic moment, a sign that the United States is committed to Poland and NATO, and that we are united in the face of Russian aggression,” declared Błaszczak.

The garrison – housed in Poznań at Camp Kościuszko, which is named after the 18th-century hero who fought for both Polish and US independence – will act as the headquarters for the US Army’s V Corps in Poland.

It is the eighth garrison of the US land forces in Europe, with the others located in Germany, Belgium and Italy.

“This garrison is a sign of the United States’ commitment to the security of Europe and Poles,” said Lieutenant General John Kolasheski, commander of the V Corps, quoted by RMF24. “It is evidence of strong NATO ties” and “essential for maintaining combat readiness…from the Suwałki Gap to Poznań and further west”.

Błasczak, addressing the US troops present, said that he was “proud that Polish soldiers can exercise and increase interoperability with you”.

“In the situation that Europe finds itself in, when Russia has invaded Ukraine, when Russia is trying to rebuild an empire, it is very important that the Western world is united, and that it feels safe,” he added. “And it feels safe when our armed forces are working together.”

The US ambassador to Poland, Mark Brzezinski, declared that the inauguration of the garrison was a sign that “the United States is committed to Poland and the NATO alliance, and that we are united in the face of Russian aggression”.

In recent years, the already close military cooperation between Poland and the US has been further strengthened, with Washington sending additional troops and equipment to Poland in response to Russian aggression. Currently, around 10,000 US troops are stationed in Poland.

Artur Kacprzyk, an analyst at the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM), a state-linked think tank, told the Polish Press Agency (PAP) that the significance of the new garrison “is primarily symbolic, but it also has a practical dimension”

“This is [intended] to show that American military involvement in Poland will be permanent,” he added. “In practical terms…a longer presence allows the [US] military and civilians to better understand the specifics of Poland and the region…and to cooperate more closely with the Polish armed forces.”

Main image credit: MON (under CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 PL)


MAR 21, 2023 | POLITICS

REACTIONARY SOCIAL FASCISM
UK Landlords to get power to evict antisocial tenants with two weeks’ notice

Private tenancy agreements in England and Wales will have to include clauses that specifically ban antisocial behaviour


Nadeem Badshah
THEGUARDIAN
Mon 27 Mar 2023 

Landlords are to be given new powers to evict problematic tenants with two weeks’ notice under government proposals to address antisocial behaviour.

The measures would cover tenants who play loud music, use drugs, cause damage to their property or fall behind on their rent.


All new private tenancy agreements will have to include clauses that specifically ban antisocial behaviour – and the notice period for eviction on these grounds will be cut from four weeks to a fortnight.

Rishi Sunak’s action plan also requires homeowners who rent out their properties on the Airbnb website to register on a new database that will make it easier for local councils to deal with complaints about problematic guests.

It comes amid concerns about the potential for Airbnb guests to cause trouble for quiet or residential communities.

Referencing noise problems, drunken behaviour and disorderly conduct, the plan promises the creation of a new registration scheme that would provide councils with the data to identify short-term lets in their areas.

If any short-term rental property proved “problematic”, local officials could take action against guests and owners.

Sunak was questioned on the issue of Airbnb guests causing a nuisance to local residents at an event in Chelmsford in Essex on Monday.

“Let me take that away. I’ve got a feeling we are looking at that, from memory,” he said.

Jeff Jones told the prime minister that his former pub had been turned into a large rental in the suburb of Great Baddow.

“These places are let by the owners to groups of people with no control whatsoever,” he said. “They can come in and they can use the facilities there – in this particular case they have 10-person hot tubs and karaoke rooms. Antisocial behaviour and especially noise nuisance can go on through the night and there is no restriction.”

Sunak said he recognised that disruptive Airbnb guests were “enormously frustrating” for neighbours.

An Airbnb spokesperson said: “Parties are banned on Airbnb and our industry-leading prevention technology blocked more than 84,000 people in the UK from making certain unwanted bookings last year alone.

“Our 24/7 hotline for neighbours means anyone can contact us directly about a concern with a listing and we investigate and take action on reports received.

“We are committed to being good partners to local communities in the UK, and have long supported the introduction of a national short-term lets register to give authorities better visibility of activity in their area.”

Earlier this month, the communities secretary, Michael Gove, expressed concerns about the impact of short-term letting on local areas, promising to make changes aimed at restricting “the way that homes can be turned into Airbnbs”, amid concerns about problems with holiday lets preventing younger workers from living and finding a job near to home.

Elsewhere, the government promised to target the practice of cuckooing, where the home of a vulnerable person is taken over and used for illegal activity, with plans to make it a new criminal offence.

The government also announced that users of nitrous oxide, known as laughing gas, will face up to two years in jail and the substance will be categorised as a class C drug by the end of the year.

On-the-spot fines for littering and graffiti will more than treble to £500 and penalties for fly-tipping will more than double to £1,000.

As reported over the weekend, offenders will be forced to wear jumpsuits or high-visibility jackets while carrying out “community payback” within 48 hours of being caught, and members of the public will be given a greater say on how antisocial behaviour offenders are punished.
‘Being truthful is essential’: scientist who stumbled upon Wuhan Covid data speaks out

 ACTUAL GENETIC CODE THAT WAS AVAILBLE THEN DISAPPEARED
MEME CREATED JANUARY 2020 

Florence Débarre’s discovery of genetic data online showed for first time that animals susceptible to coronavirus were present at market


One of the most compelling clues to the origins of the Covid-19 pandemic was uploaded without announcement to a scientific database, going unnoticed for weeks.

And then, just as suddenly, it vanished from public view.


Today in Focus podcast: ‘It’s way beyond just science’: untangling the hunt for Covid’s origins


Michael Safi and Eli Block
THE GUARDIAN
Tue 28 Mar 2023

The genetic data, from swabs taken at the Huanan seafood market in Wuhan, China, in the weeks after Covid-19 first emerged, were available online just long enough for a Parisian scientist to stumble upon them while working from her couch on a Saturday afternoon earlier this month.

“I have a bad work-life balance,” says Florence Débarre, an evolutionary biologist whose accidental discovery of the files led to confirmation for the first time that animals susceptible to the coronavirus were present at the Wuhan market.

Her findings, which she and her colleagues posted online last week, have illuminated the way forward for identifying the origins of the pandemic – as well as the treacherous path faced by scientists seeking to follow it. Since the publication, Débarre has been set upon by online mobs and received threats to her safety. “Last night, I was crying over the horrible things I’m reading about myself on social media,” she says.

Débarre, a senior researcher at France’s National Centre for Scientific Research, is one of thousands of scientists around the world attempting to trace the virus’s journey before it exploded among humans from late 2019. She was searching for data on Gisaid, a virology database, early in March when she stumbled on something unusual.


They were thousands of raw genetic sequences from swabs that Chinese scientists had taken in early 2020, from the floors, cages, walls and surfaces of the Wuhan market where the first cases of the virus were detected.

A pre-print analysis of the same swabs, released by the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CCDC) in February 2022 claimed they had included human DNA and coronavirus traces, but showed no evidence of the kinds of animals most likely to have been vectors for the virus.

Their findings supported arguments made by some Chinese officials that the Wuhan market was merely a site where the virus spread among humans, rather than the cradle where it made its first fateful leap from animals to people. But when Débarre and her colleagues analysed the same data, they received another result. “It was the Latin name for raccoon dog, multiple times,” she says. “It was one of the greatest emotions of my life.”

Raccoon dogs, omnivorous east Asian cousins of the fox, are highly susceptible to coronavirus infections and shed the virus in sufficient quantities to infect animals and humans around them. In other words: a suspect was confirmed to have been present at the scene.

Débarre stresses that other animal DNA was also found in the swabs, and that there is still no conclusive proof that raccoon dogs in the market were carrying the virus, or were the vehicle for its first spillover into humankind. “But now it cannot be denied that they were there,” she says.

The next step will be to investigate the illegal supply chains that brought the raccoon dogs and other animals to the Wuhan market during winter 2019 and see whether they might lead closer to the virus’s original reservoir, still suspected to be bats.

But a step forward in solving one mystery has spawned others.

In keeping with the rules of the Gisaid database, Débarre says her team had reached out to the Chinese scientists who posted the genetic data online to ask their permission to analyse it, which she said was granted. A day later, they emailed again, to share their discovery that raccoon dog DNA was present in the sequences.

The next day, the files had been made inaccessible, apparently at the request of the Chinese researchers, who include the top virologist George Gao, a former director general of the CCDC. “We were shocked,” says Débarre. “But not surprised.”

A member of her team has been in contact with their Chinese counterparts to find out why the data was locked away. “It’s a complicated story,” Débarre says delicately. “The short answer is that we’re not collaborating right now. But that collaboration was offered [by her team].”

Gisaid said in a statement that it removed the sequences from view because they were incomplete and part of a study that was still undergoing peer review, suggesting Débarre and her team might have “scooped” the Chinese scientists if they published first. Débarre has said her team made their best effort to collaborate and that their report was never intended to compete with a peer-reviewed journal article. Gao declined to respond to a request for comment.

To the storm of questions swirling around Covid-19’s origins, this latest episode has added more. Why were the results of the swabs taken in the early months of Covid-19 withheld from the scientific community for more than three years? Why did the first version of the Chinese study claim not to have found any raccoon dog DNA? And why were the genetic sequences quietly uploaded to Gisaid – left online long enough to be discovered – and then removed from public view?

Débarre is determined not to be distracted by the intrigue around her report. “I’m a scientist,” she says. “I’m not a politician, and I’m not an activist.”

It is a vital distinction, but in pursuit of an answer to arguably the most charged scientific question in the world, she is learning it may also be naive.

Since her report went online last week, Débarre has been the subject of abuse and conspiracy theories circulating online, largely among people who support the theory the virus emerged from a leak from the Wuhan Institute of Virology, located about 30 minutes away from the market. “I’m not living the best days of my life right now,” she says.

Most concerning has been a threat by a stranger who claims to know where Débarre lives. But she is also stung by the accusations that she, as a scientist, might be disloyal to the truth. “It’s horrible to have people discuss the fact you may be lying, when you’re not lying,” she says. “When you have a profession in which being truthful is essential.”

The lab-leak theory lacks hard evidence, but has been re-energised in recent weeks by reports that US government agencies have concluded it is possible, albeit with low-to-moderate confidence. The Biden administration has said it will release the evidence underlying its agencies’ assessments over the next months.

Despite the pressure, Débarre says she will continue researching the virus’s origins. “I mean, who doesn’t want to know?” she asks.

As well as shedding light on Covid, her quest might reveal the answer to that question, too.
Northern Ireland terrorism threat level rises to ‘severe’

Chris Heaton-Harris tells MPs MI5 has increased level from ‘substantial’, meaning an attack is highly likely

Jamie Grierson
@JamieGrierson
Tue 28 Mar 2023 

The terrorism threat level in Northern Ireland has been increased from substantial to severe, meaning an attack is highly likely.

In a written statement to MPs, the Northern Ireland secretary, Chris Heaton-Harris, said MI5 had increased the threat to the country from Northern Ireland-related terrorism and the public should remain vigilant but not be alarmed.

The move by the Security Service comes a month after the senior police officer John Caldwell was shot by masked gunmen in Omagh, County Tyrone. The detective chief inspector is understood to be in a critical but stable condition in hospital after he was shot while he packed footballs into his car alongside his son after a football training session. Thirteen arrests have been made in connection with the attempted murder.

In his statement, Heaton-Harris said: “Over the last 25 years, Northern Ireland has transformed into a peaceful society. The Belfast (Good Friday) agreement demonstrates how peaceful and democratic politics improve society. However, a small number of people remain determined to cause harm to our communities through acts of politically motivated violence.

“In recent months, we have seen an increase in levels of activity relating to Northern Ireland-related terrorism, which has targeted police officers serving their communities and also put at risk the lives of children and other members of the public. These attacks have no support, as demonstrated by the reaction to the abhorrent attempted murder of DCI Caldwell.”

Threat levels are designed to give a broad indication of the likelihood of a terrorist attack. MI5 is responsible for setting the threat level from Northern Irish-related terrorism in Northern Ireland, while the threat level for the UK from international terrorism is set by the Joint Terrorism Analysis Centre.

The threat to the UK from terrorism is substantial, meaning an attack is likely.

Simon Byrne, the chief constable of the Police Service of Northern Ireland, said: “This is part of an ongoing process of monitoring the threat level in Northern Ireland, which is conducted by MI5. We have spoken publicly about the number of attacks that have taken place in recent months, not least the attempted murder of DCI John Caldwell on 22 February.

“We will relentlessly pursue those who seek to cause harm and terrorise our communities, and attack my officers and staff, and I pay tribute to them as they continue to deliver for our communities.

“I would also like to thank the community and political leaders of Northern Ireland for their overwhelming support for the police service in recent times.”