Sunday, April 30, 2023

Turkey's First-time Voters Turn Away From Erdogan

By Remi BANET
April 30, 2023


Student Emre Ali Ferli has known no leader other than Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

That's enough to make the 18-year-old back the Turkish president's main rival when he votes for the first time on May 14.

"I am tired of getting up every day and thinking about politics," said Ferli, referring to the tumult of Erdogan's 20-year rule.

"When President Erdogan is gone, young people will be able to focus on their exams and to speak freely."

Like Ferli, around 5.2 million Turks who reached voting age since Erdogan came to power in 2003 -- eight percent of the electorate -- will have their first say on election day.

The 69-year-old president's chief opponent, 74-year-old former civil servant Kemal Kilicdaroglu, is banking on students such as Ferli.

"It is through you that spring will come," the grandfatherly leader of Turkey's main secular party told a youth rally in Ankara.

Opinion polls suggest that Kilicdaroglu has reason to be optimistic.



One survey showed only 20 percent of Turks in the 18-25 age bracket ready to vote for Erdogan and his Islamic-rooted party in the presidential and parliamentary polls.


Both past Turkey's retirement age, Erdogan and Kilicdaroglu have been trying to seduce Gen Z voters with pledges to abolish a tax on mobile phone purchases and free internet packages.

Adding to Erdogan's problems, a third candidate, 58-year-old secular nationalist Muharrem Ince, is posing as a more fresh-faced alternative.

"The Erdogan vote is lower among young people," said Erman Bakirci, a researcher at the Konda polling institute.

"First-time voters are more modern and less religious than the average voter, and more than half are dissatisfied with the life they lead."


In Kasimpasa, a working-class Istanbul district where Erdogan played street football growing up, some have no fear of speaking out against their native son.

"Erdogan must go! All my neighbours will vote for him, but not me," Gokhan Celik, a 19-year-old in a green tracksuit, declared under two flags emblazoned with the president's face.

Firat Yurdayigit, 21, a textile worker, criticised Erdogan for building a third airport for Istanbul "instead of taking care of people".

"I will vote for Muharrem Ince," Yurdayigit said. "But no matter who is elected, anyone is better than Erdogan."

His friend Bilal Buyukler, 24, tried to defend the Turkish leader.

But even he conceded that Erdogan was "partly responsible" for years of economic turmoil, including historically high inflation and a currency collapse.

"I can't find work because of the Syrian refugees," said Buyukler, blaming his unemployment on the 3.7 million people who fled war on Turkey's southern border to big cities such as Istanbul.

"I can't get married -- it's too expensive," he said. "But I don't see any alternative.

"I can't vote for Kilicdaroglu because of religion. He walked on a prayer rug with his shoes!" he exclaimed, pointing to a campaign faux pas by the opposition leader highlighted by pro-government media and Erdogan.

Kilicdaroglu has taken pains to dispel the staunchly secular image of his CHP party, a constant worry for socially conservative voters who found a home in Erdogan's AK Party.

Last year, Kilicdaroglu proposed a law guaranteeing women's right to wear headscarves, trying to peel away voters won over by Erdogan's unshackling of religious restrictions.

"Mr Kemal will never let you lose your gains," Kilicdaroglu said in a video message aimed at conservative women.

His six-party alliance also includes three conservative Islamic groups, which Seda Demiralp, an associate professor at Istanbul's Isik University, called "a message of reconciliation intended for the religious electorate".

Sevgi, 20, lives in Eyup, one of Istanbul's most conservative districts.

She will vote on May 14 but does not want to "mix politics and religion".

"Erdogan is the main obstacle to my dreams," said the young woman, who is working to raise money to pay for design school.

Her boyfriend interrupted, listing some of Erdogan's achievements.

But Sevgi shook her head. "Even if he was a good president, he shouldn't be able to rule for so long," she said.

© Agence France-Presse

Turkey Nears Referendum On Erdogan's Two-decade Rule


By Dmitry ZAKS
April 29, 2023

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan dives Sunday into the final two-week stretch before a momentous election that has turned into a referendum on his two decades of divisive but transformative rule.

The 69-year-old leader looked fighting fit as he strutted back on stage after a three-day illness and tossed flowers to rapturous crowds at an Istanbul aviation fest on Saturday.

It was the perfect venue for reminding Turks of all they had gained since his Islamic-rooted party ended years of secular rule and launched an era of economic revival and military might.

He was flanked by the president of Azerbaijan and the Ankara-backed premier of Libya -- two countries where drones built by his son-in-law's company helped swing the outcome of wars.

Istanbul itself has become a modern and chaotic megalopolis that has nearly doubled in size since Erdogan came to power in 2003.

But hiding beneath the surface are a more recent economic crisis and fierce social divisions that have given the May 14 parliamentary and presidential polls a powder keg feel.

The nation of 85 million appears as splintered as ever about whether Erdogan has done more harm than good in the only Muslim-majority country of the NATO defence bloc.

Polls show him running neck-and-neck against secular opposition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu and his alliance of six disparate parties.

The entry of two minor candidates means that Erdogan and Kilicdaroglu will likely face each other again in a runoff on May 28.

But some of Erdogan's more hawkish ministers are sounding warnings about Washington leading Western efforts to undermine Turkey's might through the polls.

Interior Minister Suleyman Soylu referred Friday to US President Joe Biden's 2019 suggestion that Washington should embolden the opposition "to take on and defeat Erdogan".

"July 15 was their actual coup attempt," Soylu said of a failed 2016 military putsch that Erdogan blamed on a US-based Muslim preacher.

"And May 14 is their political coup attempt."

Erdogan continues to be lionised across more conservative swathes of Turkey for unshackling religious restrictions and bringing modern homes and jobs to millions of people through construction and state investment.

Turkey is now filled with hospitals and interconnected with airports and highways that stimulate trade and give the vast country a more inclusive feel.

He empowered conservative women by enabling them to stay veiled in school and in civil service -- a right that did not exist in the secular state created from the Ottoman Empire's ashes in 1923.

And he won early support from Turkey's long-repressed Kurdish minority by seeking a political solution to their armed struggle for an independent state that has claimed tens of thousands of lives.

But his equally passionate detractors point to a more authoritarian streak that emerged with the violent clampdown on protests in 2013 -- and became even more apparent with sweeping purges he unleashed after the failed 2016 coup attempt.

Erdogan turned against the Kurds and jailed or stripped tens of thousands of people of their state jobs on oblique "terror" charges that sent chills through Turkish society.

His penchant for campaigning and gift for public speaking enabled him to keep winning at the polls.

But the current vote is turning into his toughest because of a huge economic crisis that erupted in late 2021.

Erdogan's biggest problems started when he decided to defy the rules of economics by slashing interest rates to fight inflation.



The lira lost more than half its value and inflation hit an eye-popping 85 percent since his experiment began.

Millions lost their savings and fell into deep debt.

Polls show the economy worrying Turks more than any other issue -- a point not lost on Kilicdaroglu.

The 74-year-old former civil servant pledges to restore economic order and bring in vast sums from Western investors who fled the chaos of Erdogan's more recent rule.

Kilicdaroglu's party will send out 300,000 monitors to Turkey's 50,000 polling stations to guarantee a fair outcome on election day.



Opposition security pointman Oguz Kaan Salici sounded certain about a smooth transition should Erdogan lose.

"Power will change hands the way it did in 2002," he said of the year Erdogan's party first won.

A Western diplomatic source pointed to Turkey's strong tradition of respecting election results.

Erdogan's own supporters turned against him when the Turkish leader tried to annul the opposition's victory in 2019 mayoral elections in Istanbul.

But the source observed a note of worry among Erdogan's rank and file.

"For the first time, (ruling party) deputies are openly evoking the possibility of defeat," the source said.

© Agence France-Presse


Winners and losers of Erdogan's polarising rule

Fulya OZERKAN
Sat, April 29, 2023 a

Conservative Turkish women won the right to stay veiled in public under Recep Tayyip Erdogan's rule

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's two-decade domination of Turkey has seen some groups prosper and others suffer in the highly polarised country.

AFP looks at some of the winners and losers ahead of the May 14 parliamentary and presidential vote.

- Winners -

RELIGIOUS GROUPS:


The religious affairs directorate, or Diyanet, became a powerful force under Erdogan, a pious Muslim whose Islamic-rooted party has tested the secular foundations of post-Ottoman Turkey.

Diyanet has its own TV channel that it uses to weigh in on political debates, and enjoys a budget comparable to that of an average ministry.


Its expanded reach has turned it into a target of Erdogan's secular opponents, who complain about the growing number of mosques, Koran courses and the influence of religious sects.

Diyanet's former head, Mehmet Gormez, secured Erdogan's strong backing after becoming embroiled in controversy over his lavish lifestyle, which included the use of a flashy German car.


ERDOGAN TAKES ADVANTAGE OF EARTHQUKE TO ADVERTISE


CONSTRUCTION SECTOR:


Erdogan has spearheaded a building spree that has spurred growth but created controversial ties between government insiders and the winners of plump state contracts.

The development boom reshaped Turkey, offering modern homes to millions while filling ancient cities with high-rises.

The construction craze was accompanied by Erdogan's penchant for what he dubbed his "crazy projects".

These ambitious, mega-investments spanned Turkey with bridges, airports and high-speed rail. He even laid plans for a new canal to rival the Bosphorus Strait.

His detractors called them an environmental disaster that enriched government allies.

More than 200 contractors were arrested as part of a probe into safety violations that contributed to the death of more than 50,000 people in February's earthquake in Turkey's southeast.

CONSERVATIVE WOMEN:


Erdogan's government has championed the rights of conservative Muslims after decades of staunchly secular rule.

Some of the biggest gains were made by pious women, who were gradually allowed to start wearing headscarves at universities, in the civil service, parliament and the police.

The issue is personal for Erdogan, who has lamented how secular governments "did not allow my headscarf-wearing daughters" to go to university.

Erdogan's two daughters, Sumeyye and Esra, eventually studied abroad.

- Losers -


MEDIA:

Turkey's once-vibrant independent media scene -- admired by diplomats as a sign of pluralism -- has gradually withered under Erdogan.

Analysts estimate that 90 percent of Turkey's media are allied with the government.

Erdogan's government heavily taxed critical media and used cheap loans to encourage select businessmen to run newspapers and television channels.

This has been accompanied by a crackdown on opposition reporters, especially those in Kurdish media outlets, which gathered force after a failed 2016 coup.

According to the Committee to Protect Journalists, Turkey is one of the world's most prolific jailers of journalists.

Turkey's P24 independent journalism platform says 64 reporters are currently in jail.

INFLUENCE OF THE MILITARY:

Turkey's army, a secular force with a history of staging coups, gradually lost its influence in politics.

The process accelerated after a renegade military faction staged a failed coup attempt in 2016, which Erdogan blamed on a Muslim preacher exiled in the United States.

Erdogan retaliated with purges that saw thousands of soldiers jailed -- hundreds of them for life.

The army's top brass was slashed back, hurting one of the most strategically located defence forces of the NATO alliance. The air force in particular lost some of its mostly highly trained pilots and officers.

- Mixed fortunes -

KURDS:

Repressed by past secular governments, Kurds helped Erdogan get elected and supported him early in his rule.

Erdogan tried to improve their cultural and linguistic rights, launching talks aimed at ending a Kurdish armed struggled for broader autonomy in Turkey's southeast.

But the community, estimated to be 15 to 20 million strong, came under pressure when those talks collapsed and violence resumed in 2015.

Dozens of Kurdish mayors were stripped of their elected office in 2019 and replaced by state trustees. The main pro-Kurdish party is in danger of being shut down over alleged terror ties.

MIDDLE CLASS:


Turkey enjoyed an economic boom during Erdogan's first decade in power that created a thriving new middle class.

But the economy has been lurching from one crisis to another since 2013.

Turkey's current gross domestic product -- a measure of a country's wealth -- has shrunk back down to levels at which it stood in the first five years of Erdogan's rule, according to the World Bank.

Unchecked inflation has erased the savings of millions, leaving many in deep debt.


Wars, Religion And Football: Five Faces Of Erdogan

By Anne CHAON
April 29, 2023

Recep Tayyip Erdogan has become one of the most divisive and important leaders of post-Ottoman Turkey
ADEM ALTAN

Abhorred and adored, Recep Tayyip Erdogan has been compared to sultans and pharaohs while stamping his outsized personality and domineering style on Turkey over 20 years.

Elected as prime minister and then as an uber-powerful president under a tailor-made constitution, Erdogan has become Turkey's most important and polarising leader in generations.

A builder, a political brawler and a campaign beast, here are five of Erdogan's most emblematic traits.

Filling Turkey with bridges, highways and airports, Erdogan has propelled the developing country into the 21st century with mega-investments, stimulating growth.

He calls them his "crazy projects": a towering third bridge over the Bosphorus, another one across the Sea of Marmara, a third spanning the Dardanelles Strait.

They all set records, as did Istanbul's Camlica Mosque -- the largest in Turkey, replete with six minarets and space for 30,000 worshippers.

But perhaps the grandest of the megaprojects is the Istanbul Canal, being built just west of the Bosphorus on land the city once envisioned as an evacuation zone in case of a long-feared earthquake.


There is much more, including high-speed rail, a third Istanbul airport -- designed to be the world's largest -- and power plants, including the country's first nuclear one, controversially built by Russia.

Raised in Istanbul's working-class district of Kasimpasa, the young Erdogan dreamt of little but football, kicking around a ball made of paper and rags, according to popular lore.

His tall frame -- 1.85 metres, or just over six feet -- made him a sought-after centre-forward.


Recep Tayyip Erdogan has had a lifelong love for football, almost becoming a player himself
YASIN BULBUL

He received offers from several professional clubs, including Istanbul's Fenerbahce.

But his father, an austere sailor from the Black Sea, told him to pursue religious studies.

Erdogan gave up reluctantly but remained a big fan, mingling with players throughout his career.

In 2014, businessmen with ties to Erdogan's ruling party acquired Basaksehir, the least storied of Istanbul's six clubs.

Based in a conservative district of the same name, Basaksehir quickly became a powerhouse, winning the league in 2020.

Erdogan's father would have approved if the future president had instead become an imam.

In the secular Turkey created by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, Erdogan attended one of the first religious public schools, combining studies of the Koran with other subjects.

Islam became the rallying cry of his electorate and its new movement, called the Justice and Development Party (AKP).

Erdogan advocates piety, frowns on smoking and drinking, and defends traditional family values at the expense of the LGBTQ community and emancipated women.

The AKP celebrates motherhood as well as the wearing of headscarves at school and in the civil service -- a right that Ataturk had abolished with Turkey's formation in 1923.

A master campaigner who comes alive on stage, Erdogan is a gifted public speaker who relishes a challenge, priding himself on never losing a national election.


Recep Tayyip Erdogan loves campaigning, taking pride in having never lost a national election
OZAN KOSE

Derailed by stomach issues in recent days, past campaigns have seen Erdogan hop between eight cities in a day, giving impassioned speeches to crowds of supporters.

A populist and a performer, he announces pay hikes, kisses babies, hugs elderly women and even hands out small change to kids -- a custom on religious holidays.

Pro-government media, which now dominates, lap it all up, broadcasting his performances live across the nation and replaying them deep into the night.

Erdogan has leveraged Turkey's strategic position between Europe and the Middle East -- guarding the southern shores of the Black Sea and the northern ones of the Mediterranean -- to diplomatic advantage.

He assumed the role of mediator when Russia invaded Ukraine, becoming one of the few world leaders with open access to Vladimir Putin and Russia's vast energy resources.

But he also supplied Kyiv with weapons and won international plaudits for helping broker a deal to resume Ukraine's grain exports.

On the other hand, he drew Western wrath for launching incursions into Syria. At one stage, he appeared to be simultaneously brawling with all of Turkey's neighbours, stretching from Iraq to Greece.

He broke off relations with Israel and Egypt, intervened in the war in Libya, and helped Azerbaijan defeat Armenia in their 2020 war over Nagorno-Karabakh.

Facing a new economic crisis, Erdogan has been mending fences, seeking investments and engaging in "earthquake diplomacy" with Greece after a massive February shock killed more than 50,000 people.

© Agence France-Presse

Heed the reed: thatcher scientist on mission to revive craft

Kiyoko METZLER
Sat, 29 April 2023

The CERN particle physicist turned thatcher hopes to revive the ancient art

Once upon a time many homes in the picturesque Burgenland wine-growing region of eastern Austria were thatched.

But now Jacobus van Hoorne's house is the only one in the entire neighbourhood with a reed roof.

And to get it approved he had to do battle for two years with the local authorities, culminating in having to set fire to a model thatched house to prove that his home wouldn't be a fire hazard.

"You are practically not allowed to have reed roofs in Austria," said Van Hoorne. "You have to find a way around it, which took a long time."

Buoyed up by his legal victory, the CERN particle physicist turned thatcher hopes to revive the ancient art as a part of more sustainable house building -- particularly as his reeds come from the region's UNESCO-listed salt-water lake.

"It's not just a natural raw material, but it also has great insulating properties," he told AFP.

"A roof like that... is only made of reed and (steel) wire. It's completely untreated. You can just compost it and recycle the wire.

"The nature, the material, the craft. It's just beautiful," he added.

A reed roof lasts about 40 years, said the Dutch-born scientist, and unlike conventional materials whose manufacture requires lots of carbon to be burned, reeds actually help store it.

- Carbon captors -

Like straw and earth they have an almost negligible carbon footprint, said Azra Korjenic, head of the Department of Ecological Building Technologies at the Vienna University of Technology.

In fact, marshlands and moors where reeds grow are some of the planet's main carbon sinks, surpassing even forests and grasslands, according to the 2015 Soil Atlas.

Yet one of the biggest stumbling blocks to sustainability is the construction industry, which favours prefab building modules over ecological materials, Korjenic added.

Current regulations and norms are also hampering the inclusion of natural building materials.

As Austria's only master thatchers, Van Hoorne and his father are in high demand, and they also farm their own reeds locally.

But even that is not easy because of low prices and droughts which stunt the reeds' growth as the climate warms, he said.

He and four other remaining reed farmers in Austria also face crushing competition from China, which has an 80 percent share of the European market.

With his customers for now mostly in England and the Netherlands, "shipping a container from Shanghai to Rotterdam costs around $2,000 -- just as much as a truck from Austria," he said.

kym/jza/fg
Germany's climate activists find sanctuary in churches

Hui Min NEO
Sat, April 29, 2023

Climate activists began their latest protests from the St Thomas church, one of several that have supported them


Copies of a climate change petition along with photos of the signatories lay at the foot of the altar. Metres away, a dozen activists were undergoing street protest training.

Other members of the Letzte Generation (Last Generation) group were having a vegan brunch buffet in the pews, minutes before they were to march out through the imposing doors of Berlin's St. Thomas Church for their latest demonstration to press the government to do more for the climate.

The Protestant church has become the unlikely staging point for the climate activists in their latest two-week campaign to bring Berlin's traffic to a standstill by glueing themselves onto the asphalt.

In northeastern Berlin, Gethsemane Church -- a key site in the peaceful revolution that brought down the Berlin Wall -- is hosting an open discussion on climate change every evening this week, before handing the baton to another church next week.

Although politicians including leading members of Chancellor Olaf Scholz's government have blasted Letzte Generation's road blockade protests, the churches have thrown open their doors to the activists.

"We want to contribute to allowing the participants to remain in peace," said the St. Thomas Church's council in a statement.

"The radicalisation of the climate movement is the expression of the despair that too little is being done for the protection of the climate and thereby for the preservation of Creation. We're taking this despair seriously and confronting it," they added.

The churches' action is not without controversy, as surveys suggest a majority of the public frown on Letzte Generation's protests.

In a recent poll by national broadcaster ZDF, 82 percent of respondents felt the street blockades went too far.

Scholz's government, including the Greens, have also spoken out against the protests. Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck of the Greens has said the street blockades were "not a helpful contribution to climate protection" because they don't win consensus, rather they "irritate people".

"The supposed saviours of the world in a church -- what hypocrisy," charged Focus magazine in a column.

- 'Jesus would have approved' -

Amid the accusations flying at the protesters, pastor Aljona Hofmann at Gethsemane Church said it was all the more important for both sides to have a platform to communicate directly and peacefully.

"The strength of the church is to bring together people with different opinions, in order to sound out what we have in common and where do we diverge," said the pastor.

At her church in 1989, dissidents including environmental activists held candlelight vigils against the East German regime, helping build the popular pressure that toppled the despised Wall.

Hofmann warned against drawing parallels with the church's actions under communism. "We're not living now in a dictatorship," she stressed.

"Each period has its own challenges."

She acknowledged, too, that not everyone in the congregation supported Letzte Generation's modus operandi, but argued that it was vital to get people to "step out of their bubbles" and speak with each other.

"Letzte Generation's method is to hold sit-ins. That is perhaps not the method of other people.

"Each person must find his or her own format, but what's important is to begin to think about what can I or what can we, as a society, do" on the issue of climate protection, she said.

Activist Axel Hake, 54, said the churches' contribution "show how strong the backing from society is".

"It was in the last autumn that relevant groups in the society, including churches, began showing solidarity with us...," he said.

"That is a real signal that we are anchored in society."

To those in the congregation who question the churches' action, activist Cosima Santoro, 68, herself a Catholic, said: "I think Jesus Christ would have fitted well with Letzte Generation.

"He also caused disruptions. He still disrupts today."

hmn/dlc/jj
PAKISTAN
Tuition fee increases

Faisal Bari Published April 28, 2023 



WHEN inflation has been above 10 per cent for some years, is expected to be around 30pc this year, and is set to range from 20pc to 25pc next year, by how much should schools and universities increase their tuition and other fees?


There was a court decision some years back that allowed private schools to increase their tuition fees but by no more than 5pc every year. However, this decision is from a time when inflation rates were much lower in the country. Would the same increase still apply? Is there a need for schools to go back to the courts to get the judgement changed? Or will they just go ahead and raise their fees as they deem necessary? Clearly, with inflation reaching 25pc to 30pc each year, private schools and universities cannot increase their fees by 5pc only.

The case of universities is a separate issue though. The judgement pertained to schools only and not to universities. There is no private university in the country that has any sizeable endowment. Most private universities — for or not for profit — depend on their tuition fees to manage expenses. University costs will go up, keeping pace with the level of inflation. Faculty and staff salaries will need to increase substantially to cover inflation pressures as well. So, universities will have to increase their fees to cater to higher costs.

The same argument will apply to private schools as well. All of their costs are going up and if they want to retain their teachers, they will have to pay them more as well. Tuition fees will have to go up. But here there is the 5pc judgement. Most schools will have to raise their tuition fees by more than 5pc, but how much will it be? And will the courts take suo motu notice, in case schools raise their fee by more than 5pc?

Where funds have been decreasing, the number of public-sector universities has been rising.

The public sector will also feel the pinch but in a different way. All schools in the public sector, up to Grade 12, are tuition-free. The government, through general taxation, covers the costs. The costs will go up. Will the education budget go up, too, by 30pc or so? Given the government’s current financial position (we cannot even afford Rs21 billion for elections currently!), it is unlikely that the education budget will be increased by 30pc. So cuts will be needed. Most likely, teacher salaries will go up only by 15pc to 20pc. And the government might increase non-salary expenses by a small percentage, or just give what they gave last year. In either case, there will be a reduction in the real budget for education and this will have consequences for the quality of education.

We are already seeing some impact. All governments in Pakistan were distributing free textbooks in all public-sector schools. Printing costs have gone up substantially over the last couple of years. Governments have not been able to raise allocations for textbooks by much, and so in many provinces, textbook printing has either been suspended by the printers until the arrears are cleared, or the government comes up with a new policy on free textbooks. In all probability, governments will try to get away with printing fewer books and arguing that internet access to textbooks might suffice, or something to that effect. Not having textbooks in schools will definitely have an impact on education.

Public-sector universities have been hurting for a number of years now and the story is not going to change this year either. Higher education funding and funds for the Higher Education Commission have been reduced over the last few years. It is hard to see the trend changing. At the same time, federal and provincial governments have been creating new public-sector universities. So, where funds have been decreasing, the number of universities in the public sector has been going up. Inflation, too, is high and is expected to remain so. Under these conditions, if public-sector universities are not allowed to raise their tuition and other fees by much, how can they ensure quality education? Some are already having difficulties paying salaries and pensions. The crisis is going to deepen this year and will, in all probability, result in severe damage to even some of the older and larger public-sector universities.

Private education institutions, schools and universities, will have to raise their tuition and other fees more or less in line with inflation. So, we can expect an approximately 50pc adjustment over this and the next year. This is going to play havoc with the quality of education. It is going to have an impact on who will or will not be able to study in these institutions. It will impact the ability of these institutions to offer financial assistance as well. But there does not seem to be a way around the issue. Apparently, the state does not even have the money to look after its own institutions, and it is unlikely that it will do anything for institutions in the private sector or help the students studying there.

The real fear is that the progress we had been making, even if slow and painstaking, in terms of overall enrolment, completion rates and quality enhancement, is very likely to get reversed as long as the financial crisis lasts. And the government, despite all its rhetoric about the importance of education, is not going to do anything about it. We will, if nothing is done, be set back by decades, and those who fall in the school-/university-going age category at the moment, will, together with their families and society at large, have to bear the consequences for decades to come.

The writer is a senior research fellow at the Institute of Development and Economic Alternatives, and an associate professor of economics at Lums.

Published in Dawn, April 28th, 2023

What lies ahead for frontline polio workers in a polio-free Pakistan?

A polio-free Pakistan seems to be a possible and soon-to-be reality. With this, let us not forget the workers who have made it possible.
 Published April 25, 2023

Over 350,000 frontline workers in Pakistan are dedicated to ending polio in Pakistan, of whom over 60 per cent are women. Female polio workers have long been considered game changers for polio eradication in the country because of their strong community networks and comfort level with mothers.

This year’s first case in Pakistan wasn’t reported until March 2023, when a three-year-old boy from Bannu, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, tested positive for the virus. As polio eradication becomes a closer reality for Pakistan, and with intensive measures being employed to tackle its transmission, it is essential to think about the future of frontline polio workers in the country.

A post-polio world for female polio workers

Since the Global Polio Eradication Initiative in 1988, the number of children affected by polio has reduced by 99pc. Over the years, a large-scale systematic exercise was carried out in Pakistan to involve female workers as valuable contributors by listening to their concerns and applying their recommendations to eradicate the virus. The exercise also encouraged and helped them prepare for a career transition post-polio.

It is crucial to start looking into how the polio workforce, an estimated over 350,000 people, can find other opportunities once the virus is eradicated from the country. “It is very important to me that when we end polio in Pakistan, we don’t just pack up and leave; that we build systems and create opportunities to serve the workforce, a majority of them women, and find some way, however small, to give back to the people who have worked tirelessly to protect the children of our country,” said Dr Shahzad Baig, coordinator at the Emergency Operations Centre — a central command and control facility that is overseeing the polio vaccination campaign in the country.

Twenty-two-year-old Laiba Noor, an area in charge of a union council in Dera Ismail Khan (DI Khan), said she had high hopes for her career once polio was completely eradicated. She has been in the field for the last three years and supervises four mobile teams responsible for door-to-door coverage as well as a centre at a dispensary for maternal and child health in her union council. “This is not my only job experience. I collected data for a survey being conducted by the World Food Programme in my area, and I believe there are plenty of other opportunities for women like me,” she said.

For Noor, working in the field had given her confidence and enabled her to develop various skills along the way. “I know my area quite well, including the people residing here. I am used to managing the day-to-day affairs of workers under my supervision,” she explained, adding that not working is never going to be an option for her even after polio is completely eradicated.

Nabiha Naeem, a community mobiliser in DI Khan echoed Noor’s optimism. She expressed the belief that her current job had taught her a great deal about the area she lived in and its people. She hopes to work with a non-governmental organisation so she can continue to help the people in her community to the best of her ability.

Mehrunnisa from KP’s Tank district, who also works as a supervisor for lady health workers (LHWs) in her area, shared that she hopes to start her own stitching centre. “I want to teach embroidery and stitching to young women,” she said.

A series of 14 two-day workshops were held by the EOC across Pakistan between September 2022 and March 2023 on co-designing solutions with female frontline workers and to take their suggestions on ways to address their challenges. Prior to the workshops, almost 5,000 workers were surveyed, where they were asked about the main challenges they face in the field. The workshops also focused on formulating a roadmap for their career transitions post-polio, and asking them what support they need in aqcuiring new skills and finding other job opportunities.

In one exercise, the women were asked what skills they had acquired over time in their roles as frontline workers against polio. These skills were then linked to possible future opportunities.

The women from Tank shared that they gained confidence, developed patience, gained community knowledge, and acquired data collection skills. Many of them were confident that they possessed the skills to become census enumerators, lady health workers, CSS officers, data collectors, computer operators, entrepreneurs, and teachers, among other professions.

Noor, however, believes that while female polio workers have plenty of opportunities available, most of them miss out on these due to lack of awareness. “I hope there is awareness in our communities about job opportunities. A lot of us miss out on good opportunities because we remain unaware about them,” she said.

During the workshop in Tank, one of the workers suggested that job opportunities be posted at the basic health units in their district.

Rains, refusals and resilience

“Frontline workers are the pillars of the Polio Eradication Initiative and the face of Pakistan’s sincerity, perseverance and hard work,” Dr Baig remarked. “It is a huge task to reach over 40 million children under five in every corner of our diverse country — and that is the work frontline polio workers do. Their commitment and dedication is inspirational,” he added.

Women engaged in immunisation work face an environment that can prove to be harsh, tiresome, distressing, and sometimes even dangerous. Female frontline workers include vaccinators, campaign coordinators, supervisors, and community mobilisers among others. They brave difficult terrains, extreme weather, and threats for the work they do.

Read more: Lady health workers: The unsung heroes of Pakistan’s healthcare system

Meherunnisa shared that her work hours are long and tiring when a drive is under way. She leaves her house at 8am and returns after 12 hours. On her return, she is expected to take care of her children, serve food to her husband and in-laws, and to clean the house. As a ‘dutiful’ wife and mother, she performs all her household chores and once everyone has slept, she prepares for her next day at work.

She has been working as a frontline worker for the last 10 years. “We work tirelessly to ensure that children in our districts are vaccinated on time,” she remarked, adding that even in extreme weather conditions, they are obligated to perform their duties.

“Last March proved to be quite challenging due to the heavy rains,” she said. Along with other frontline workers, she requested the supervisors to provide them time to complete the drive on a different date but no one listened.

Reminiscing her experience, she said: “Whenever I go to the field, I wear a ‘shuttlecock’ burqa (a local term for a veil with a mesh net eyepiece). My burqa and clothes were completely drenched, they were sticking to my body making me uncomfortable. I was exhausted but I continued with the drive because it’s my work.

“During this period, many women even quit because they thought the effort was not worth the meagre compensation. It does affect our motivation levels too. But I focus my energy on serving my community and meeting my targets.”

“The rains last year were quite tough for all of us,” shared Kulsoom Rafique, who has been working as an area incharge in Tank. “The sheet on which we mark which houses have been covered was completely wet … we couldn’t even write on it properly,” she said. “Some areas were flooded but we couldn’t stop. We had to continue and do our job,” she added.

“There have been many times when we have been threatened and verbally abused by parents when we go to their doors,” said Mehrunnisa. “But we have to keep going to them again and again because of our duty.” Many female vaccinators have raised concerns that they are not comfortable with visiting the houses of people who refuse to vaccinate their children. So as a temporary solution, another team is sent to those houses.

The most difficult part of the job is handling refusals, shared Naeem. “People shut their doors on our face; they hurl abuses at us, scream at us, misbehave with us and refuse to cooperate. Families unwilling to vaccinate their children often scream at us for visiting them again and again. I remember a woman once screaming at me for not showing up at her doorstep when she needed medicines and visiting her during the drive. Sometimes families just won’t open the door even though you can tell there are people inside,” she added. “I have to tolerate this and a lot more because it’s my duty.”

For others, the families they approach may not be hostile, but they have different challenges to contend with. Maria Ayub, a vaccinator in Tank, shared that in her experience of two years no family has misbehaved with her. Her biggest concern, however, has been the additional expenditure she has to incur during the drives. “My biggest expenditure is on transport. It sometimes costs me Rs300 or more a day,” she said, adding that she uses her income from the drives to fund her higher education. “When there is a drive, I take off from my college and my teachers are quite supportive in this regard.” She is, however, on the lookout for better work opportunities.

Concerns about transportation were shared by Rafique too: “I am not given any transport allowance and I won’t lie, sometimes, it does become really difficult for me to travel to far flung areas. The team has to arrange for a car and a driver to take us there, other times I ask my brother to take me on his motorcycle.”

“The work we do is burdensome, but you can’t take it lightly either,” remarked Noor. Her career choice has raised concerns among her extended family: “My aunts and uncles told my parents to encourage me to find another job because of the long hours. Once the campaign starts, we are required to work from 8am to 8pm, at least.”

Contrarily, her parents never questioned her decision and always encouraged her. She added that the job comes with its own perks as many people in her community respect her and address her as “madam”.

She shared that misinformation and misconceptions about the virus have been posing a major threat to the immunisation drive. Many people have been making videos, spreading false information about polio vaccinations and workers. Noor shared that there is an urgent need to counter such videos with factual and accurate videos from doctors and officials about the vaccine to raise awareness. “This will prove to be helpful the next time a family shows us a fake video … we will be able to counter it by showing them videos giving out authentic and credible information,” she added.

Polio in Pakistan

Afghanistan and Pakistan are the only two countries where the wild poliovirus type 1 (WPV1) remains endemic. In Pakistan, seven districts of southern KP — Tank, Bannu, DI Khan, Lakki Marwat, North Waziristan, and Upper and Lower South Waziristan — have been categorised as polio endemic zones.

“We have been very successful so far in containing the virus to the polio endemic districts in southern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and this year, we hope to eliminate the virus in these areas. If we finish polio in southern KP, a polio-free Pakistan is very much a reality,” Dr Baig said optimistically.

In January 2023, two environment samples collected from Lahore tested positive for WPV1, while the last human case from Lahore was reported in July 2020. After the detection, over 6.37 million children younger than five years were vaccinated against polio in an immunisation drive conducted in 39 districts from Feb 13 to 17. Another drive was held in March in two phases with the aim to vaccinate 21.54 million children.

With years of intensive immunisation, increased monitoring and rapid responses, a polio-free Pakistan seems to be a possible and close-by reality. With this, let us not forget the workers who have made this reality possible.


PAKISTAN
Politics of vengeance

DAWN Editorial 
Published April 30, 2023 

SAME tactics, different faces. Governments may come and go, but a destructive politics of vengeance continues to poison the atmosphere.

On Friday night, a raiding party of Anti-Corruption Establishment and Punjab police officials used an armoured vehicle to break open the main gate of PTI president Chaudhry Parvez Elahi’s residence in Lahore in an effort to arrest him. Upon entering the house, riot police set upon the occupants with batons and later took 12 people into custody.

Despite Mr Elahi’s lawyers saying that a court had granted him pre-arrest bail in a corruption case, the ACE team insisted that the former Punjab chief minister was wanted in a new case and they would not leave without him. The operation, which continued until 2am, was unable to locate Mr Elahi despite a thorough search of his residence. Not content with this unwarranted show of brute force, the police yesterday booked the PTI president on terror charges, claiming that its personnel were “attacked with stones, batons and petrol” during the raid.

No longer is there even a pretence of the rule of law in the government’s conduct vis-à-vis the opposition. Last month, the police used heavy machinery to break into Imran Khan’s residence in Lahore while he was on his way to Islamabad to attend a hearing in the Toshakhana case, and his wife and sister were present in the house.

Arrests of PTI leaders, allied politicians, and critics of the PDM on flimsy pretexts — including ‘spreading hatred’ — have gathered steam. At least two PTI social media activists went ‘missing’ for a time. Such tactics should be familiar to the parties that comprise the incumbent coalition government which were at the receiving end of the PTI government’s high-handedness. Politicians in the opposition at the time were detained for months by NAB without evidence; and anyone critical of Mr Khan’s government, including journalists, was hounded through the courts on various charges, including one as serious as sedition.

But instead of demonstrating maturity and bringing some civility to the political environment, the coalition government has embarked on a wholesale witch-hunt of the opposition without an iota of shame. Last month, Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah bluntly cast the tussle in existential terms. “Now either [Mr Khan] will be eliminated from the political arena or us.” This is not the language of leaders that are looking to consolidate the country’s future; this is selfish, bare-knuckle revenge politics.

While Mr Khan may well be responsible for resurrecting a style of politics that in the 1990s had played into the establishment’s hands and contributed to the downfall of several elected governments, the PML-N could have refused the temptation of paying the PTI back in the same coin. Instead, it has chosen a path that will guarantee perpetual instability.

Published in Dawn, April 30th, 2023


PAKISTAN
Killing the future

Shahab Usto Published April 30, 2023 




RECENTLY, a wave of grief and consternation swept across Sindh. A young scholar Ajmal Sawand, who had earned his PhD degree from France in artificial intelligence, was brutally murdered by some rogue tribal elements in Kandhkot, an area which even the police are wary of treading. Tribal violence has long infested much of the province, largely due to the peculiar sociopolitical environment that contributes to the atomisation of society into castes, clans and tribes. But the gruesome killing has come as a chilling reminder of a host of other ills that are pushing the province, if not the entire country, into the dark recesses of mediaeval times. Here are some of them:

The state: The state as envisaged in the Constitution — sovereign, protective, benevolent and egalitarian — is nowhere to be found in Sindh’s rural society. Instead, the core functions of the state have been outsourced to a clique of powerful tribal-feudal families, who act like ‘satraps’ in their respective areas. They are calling the shots. They determine the amount and object of utilising public funds; the tenure and role of the local bureaucracy; the mode of rendering tribal ‘justice’ through jirgas; the nature of gender relations and the extent of women’s rights; and most importantly, the results of elections, employing both their own muscle and state power. As a result, millions of half-literate and impoverished citizens have become hostage to a ‘captured’ environment. And they are paying a huge ransom to these anachronistic forces in the form of forfeiting their fundamental rights, and even their lives at the altar of never-ending tribal ‘wars’. Sick of this feudal-tribal ‘dyarchy’, many hapless citizens are leaving for the larger towns and cities.

The patronage: At one time, the provincial metropolis of Karachi was also under the draconian hold of various political militias and criminal gangs. For many years, citizens and businessmen lived in a state of constant fear and uncertainty. Hundreds of innocent lives were lost to ethnic, political, sectarian and criminal outfits. At one point, it was rated as one of the most dreaded cities in the world. All of a sudden, the reign of terror receded, barring some street crime and sporadic looting that are not so uncommon in megacities. But the city did not see peace and security for long because the outfits and mafias had a sudden change of heart. It happened mainly because the powerful ‘hidden hand’ that had kept the city hostage to these gangs was withdrawn — of course, in view of ‘national security’ imperatives.

But alas, Sindh’s rural society, which is home to 30 million people, continues to face violence and feudal oppression. A vast network of criminal gangs has evolved over the years under the aegis of bureaucracy’s compromised and corrupt elements and a politically opportunist provincial government. This agitates the mind: is it not in the national interest to stop propping up this obsolete dyarchy in order to save rural society and its vital agro-based economy from the continuing violence and lawlessness?

Sindh’s rural society continues to face violence and feudal oppression.

The loot: Historically, feudalism has rested on three pillars: land, patronage and authoritarianism. India eradicated feudalism in its early years. But here, feudalism — at least in its prevailing sociopolitical form — has stood its ground, rather flourished. For decades, our landed aristocracy has dominated the legislature and governments. It never allowed equitable distribution even in the case of public lands. Later, a new class of powerful ‘landowners’ — generals, bureaucrats, judges, legislators, and large developers such as the DHAs and Bahria Towns — emerged, which further entrenched landed power. But the cost was paid by millions of landless and homeless citizens.

Today, land reforms are already a lost cause. And more so for a ‘socialist’ PPP. Instead of eradicating feudalism, it has followed the military dictator’s path in Sindh — empowering the feudal-tribal ‘electables’ to secure rural constituencies. It has gone even further. It has weaponised these forces to win elections — in fact, has given them a ‘legitimacy’ using the ‘democratic’ and ‘Bhutto’ labels. Funnily, the resulting symbiosis of politics, land and tribalism in Sindh has germinated a ‘romance’ for land, particularly, among wannabe politicians and the bureaucracy; the former, to gain a political foothold; and the latter, to stash its ill-gotten wealth and ‘enjoy’ feudal trappings.

The rights: The people are paying a heavy cost for this political opportunism. During the last five years, more than 3,000 people have been killed in tribal feuds, beside dozens of police officials. Hundreds of embattled families have been displaced. Many of the warring tribals have turned into hardened criminals, some to avenge their kinsmen, and others to provide for their families. The women continue to be ‘property’ or a bargaining chip in tribal jirgas. Thousands of displaced children are out of school, and irreversibly traumatised. Yet, the ruling party and its surrogate bureaucracy are reluctant to rein in the patrons of violent tribalism, the mediaeval dyarchy. No wonder Dr Sawand’s assassins remain at large.

However, the dyarchy has become anathema to society. Dr Sawand is being widely mourned and missed for his scholarship, but more for his resolve, audacity and vision. He had left Paris — where he was gainfully employed — for a Sindh which he knew had turned into a tribal minefield; Shawli — his tiny village — was also in the crosshairs of a violent feud. Still he had dreams. He had a vision of a future that heralded enlightenment, modernity and empowerment. He saw vast potential in the teeming youth that wilted away, untapped. He wanted to train youth to produce the best computer scientists. Therefore, he chose to live and work in the country, moving away from metropolitan conveniences and corporate lure.

Alas! That was not acceptable to the dyarchy. A glorious future is antithetical to mediaeval minds. They targeted him because he was a lodestar for his clan, if not the entire rural society. And also, because they knew it took ages to bear an Ajmal Sawand.

The writer is a lawyer and an academic.
shahabusto@hotmail.com

Published in Dawn, April 30th, 2023




The erosion of unions
In Pakistan, unions have been painted black and sidelined through various tactics.

Zeenat Hisam 
Published April 29, 2023 



Unions perform multiple economically valuable functions… — Richard B. Freeman

IN times of erosion of trust in our institutions — parliament, the judiciary, army and the state — it is challenging to talk about labour unions struggling on the fringes for decades and held in low esteem by our elite and in mass opinion.

But it is worthwhile to reiterate that unions are an important component of labour market institutions tasked with functions essential for a just and sustainable economy.

The role of unions in reducing inequality is well documented: research indicates that countries with a high density of unionised labour have lower levels of inequality. Unions increase wages for the poorest 35 per cent while decreasing them for the top 20pc.

A study in the US showed that the absence of unions lowered the wages of middle-wage earners but did not have much impact on high-wage earners, and thus increased wage inequality between the two groups. Another study revealed that unionisation among low-wage jobs in hospitality, healthcare and janitorial services led the workers’ earnings to the level of living wages.

Wage negotiations is just one function: unions act as an intermediary between workers and management to improve work conditions, increase productivity, protect employment and facilitate the creation of new jobs. Evidence suggests that unions contribute to a higher level of job satisfaction, reduce absenteeism and improve workers’ loyalty to the firm.

Sadly, in Pakistan, unions have been painted black and sidelined through various means and tactics. Unions’ positive functions have seldom been highlighted or efforts made to address their internal weaknesses and the external challenges they face. Currently, union density is estimated to be less than 1pc.


In the organised industrial sector, independent plant-level unions are generally found in MNCs. National industrial units and local enterprises discourage genuine representation and tend to bust unions, maintaining ‘pocket’ unions to pretend compliance.

Union workers confront violence, arbitrary dismissals and false criminal cases registered against them by the management. No wonder Pakistan is ranked as one of the worst countries in the world to work in by the Global Rights Index 2022, with a bottom rating of five (‘No Guarantee of Rights’) on a scale of one to five

In a recent research study, based on primary data undertaken by The Knowledge Forum, a local research initiative, and the FES, a non-profit German foundation, trade unions in Pakistan linked the fall of unions to the creation of labour wings of political parties.

According to the unions, political parties exploited trade unions and caused divisions among workers based on political party affiliations, eventually leading to linguistic and sectarian divides. “The ruling political party supports its union … which eventually becomes the CBA [Collective Bargaining Agent]. So, support for general labour has practically ended,” the report said.

The erosion of unions is attributed to a number of factors both external (for example, global transformation of production, structural changes in the economy, government policies, restrictive labour legislation and expansion of the informal sector) and internal (such as ethnic division, and weak, visionless and overaged leadership).

Formal trade unions have lost membership and financial strength and have failed to respond to the changing needs of the country’s workforce — young, informal, contractual, exposed to modern issues and perspectives, though still less equipped in education and skills. In the informal sector, few sectoral labour movements (including Lady Health Workers, power-loom workers, etc) have made an impact and are active.

Since the Covid-19 pandemic, a surge in union activities has been noticed across the globe. In Pakistan too, union federations connected with unionised and non-unionised workers, linked up the latter with relief programmes and helped them access entitlements and dues from employers.

According to 2021 global research findings, unions’ facilitating social dialogue between workers and employers led to a 26pc increase in their membership. The pandemic brought inequality and unjust work conditions into sharp focus in many sectors, leading to a rise in mobilisation of knowledge workers (that is, university teachers, doctors, IT personnel, etc) in developed economies. In view of the increasing number of strikes in the US, Canada, the UK, France and elsewhere, employers are gearing up for a rethink on how can they build effective relations with unions to avoid disruptions at work caused by strikes.

For enhanced productivity, management gurus are advising employers to treat unions as key stakeholders in business, understand employees’ interests and develop a working relationship with workers’ representatives. In our milieu, the mindset of local industrialists is parochial and patronising.

Factory owners and management (their offspring and relatives) generally look down upon workers as inferior beings who are lazy and out to cheat them. Workers need to be treated with dignity and as important (if not equal) partners in work/business process.

Unions need to overhaul their structure, devise innovative strategies to expand and extend membership to informal, contractual and young workers, and most importantly, ensure democratic internal governance (ie the setting of rules, holding elections). The education, training and skill development of workers is an area neglected by our unions. Besides organisational training and education in labour laws, unions need to link up with training providers for skill enhancement.

It is good news that recently, local labour federations and resource centres launched a project in Karachi, Faisalabad and Lahore, in collaboration with the international human rights law and development initiative, the Global Rights Comp­liance, to build capacity, and provide legal training and advocacy tools to workers’ organisations seeking accountability for labour rights violations in Pakistan’s garment and textile sector.

The government must acknowledge the role of trade unions as an important labour market institution. It is time the state lifted curbs on the rights of association and collective bargaining, eased the process of registration of unions, treated workers’ representation with respect, overhauled labour departments and gave due priority to labour.

The writer is a researcher in the development sector.
zeenathisam2004@gmail.com

Published in Dawn, April 29th, 2023
PAKISTAN
Zoological end

Shahzad Sharjeel 
Published April 30, 2023 


WHEN the output of goods and services is outstripped by the printing of money, you get inflation. One does not need a rocket scientist to explain this. Yet this is exactly what an exploding rocket scientist was found doing during an interview recently. Elon Musk then went on to enumerate all that was wrong with the banking industry all over the world, but that is a subject for another piece. While on the subject of inflation, he asked if the printing of money was the solution; why not make everyone a trillionaire?

We will return to Mr Musk’s rhetorical question later. For now, let us try to see if there are telltale signs of systemic failure that other countries ignored at their peril. For anyone in their 50s, the earliest recollection of a society in disarray and chaos brings back memories of black-and-white television footage of that erstwhile Paris of the East, Beirut. The fighting militias, no-go areas, the colour-coded lines separating Muslim and Christian localities, brides clad in the all-white wedding dresses ducking rockets and gunfire. Occasionally, one would also see emaciated Barbary lions, too weak even to pant in the zoo.

Fast forward half a decade and the scenes started repeating themselves in what we loved to consider as ‘our backyard’; only unlike Lebanon, in Afghanistan, it was not just the proxies but the Russian, and eventually the American, boots that stomped the ground for decades, while the list of Mujahideen guest appearances was longer and more ‘inclusive’. The zoo animals too suffered longer and worse privations than their Lebanese counterparts. Besides neglect and hunger, they also had hand grenades lobbed into their enclosures.

In the land of the pure, while the white elephants survive in the name of national assets or ‘family silver’, the regular pachyderms have not had a good run. First, it was that tragedy involving the Sri Lankan gift to Pakistan, an elephant named Kaavan whose neglect and ill-treatment right under the nose of the federal government in Islamabad Zoo drove the poor animal to insanity. As a sign of things to come, a court of law had to intercede which led to Kaavan’s rescue by an international animal rights group in 2020. The team of vets, who flew into Pakistan to help with Kaavan’s evacuation to Cambodia, took pity on a pair of Himalayan brown bears whose condition was also deteriorating in the same zoo and relocated them to another country. Before disclosing their destination, allow a little digression.

Societies that fail to manage caged animals descend into chaos.

Decades ago, a friend from a Middle Eastern country made the mistake of comparing his ‘tiny-little, strip of a kingdom’ to the only nuclear power in the Muslim world. After a proper dressing-down, the gentleman and his country were put in their place. Who would have thought then that one day the proud owners of the ultimate deterrence would be unable to even take care of animals under their ward? The bears were relocated to Jordan. Sincere apologies and eternal gratitude to Jordanian friends.

A little after the Kaavan episode, during the same fateful year, a lion died of suffocation when its cage was set on fire to move it out in a horrifically ill-conceived plan to transfer it from Islamabad to Lahore Zoo. When the female elephant in Karachi Zoo was named Noor Jehan, who knew that a fate as painful as her namesake’s awaited her? The Mughal empress too died in captivity. Though it is doubtful that Noor Jehan the elephant ever had it easy in zoo, her end has been particularly painful. An animal as majestic as she deserved much better.

One hopes that by now a pattern has been established to prove that societies that fail to manage caged animals properly, soon descend into chaos and anarchy whose first casualties are always the rights and liberties of citizens as the state metamorphoses into a ‘prison of nations’ whose ultimate fate does not differ much from the caged creatures. George Orwell’s Animal Farm does not bear an apt analogy, as those deemed ‘more equal than others’ will not escape their comeuppance this time around.

Going back to Mr Musk’s question, ie, why not make everyone a millionaire? His interviewer interjected with a loud protestation “Oh! No. They did that in Venezuela and ended up eating the zoo animals.”

Sometimes one need not look at the human development indices, year-on comparisons of GDP, debt ceilings, international oil prices, and the impact of pandemics and wars on global supply chains; just pay a visit to the local zoo. If it is in a bad way, its inmates may yet have some hope as the world community has not run out of compassion for the four-legged animals. It is the two-legged variety that faces a zoological end.

The writer is a poet. His latest publication is a collection of satire essays titled Rindana.

shahzadsharjeel1@gmail.com

Published in Dawn, April 30th, 2023