Friday, November 03, 2023

Car Companies Agree to Pay Striking Workers in Unusual UAW Win


The UAW keeps racking up wins.

Normally, going on strike means forgoing your salary as a condition of withholding your labor from your employers. Not so for the United Auto Workers. According to the Wall Street Journal, UAW members are set to receive an average of $100 a day for the time they were out on strike. Who’s paying this money, you may ask? Why, the automakers of course: Ford, GM, and Stellantis. It’s an incredibly unusual arrangement and a sign of the union’s commanding victory in its dealings with the companies.

Seriously, somebody give UAW President Shawn Fain the dice. This man is on a hot streak.



© Provided by The Wall Street Journal

Ford Motor, General Motors and Chrysler-parent Stellantis agreed to pay striking workers for their time on the picket lines, as part of new labor deals reached late last month with the United Auto Workers to end the union’s walkout.

The move is an unusual one in the union’s history of negotiating with the car companies, according to people familiar with the talks.

UAW workers who walked the picket lines at the three companies are expected to receive on average slightly more than $100 a day for the time they were out on strike, the people said. This amount is on top of the $500 a week that the UAW has paid picketing workers out of its own strike fund.

More than 45,000 workers in total went on strike over roughly six weeks, although certain locations were out longer than others.

Unionized employees at the Detroit automakers who were temporarily laid off as a result of the strike are also expected to receive similar payment from the companies.

In recent weeks, the union has reached tentative agreements with each car company, resolving the first simultaneous strike of all three in UAW history. The deals, if ratified, would raise workers’ pay 25% over four years, as well as offer them cost-of-living adjustments and other improved benefits.

During a livestream to union members late Thursday, UAW President Shawn Fain reiterated plans to organize nonunionized factories of foreign automakers such as Toyota Motor. On Wednesday, Toyota said it was raising wages by 9% for most U.S. auto factory workers and shortening the time it takes to reach the maximum pay.

“Toyota isn’t giving out raises out of the goodness of their heart,” Fain said. “They did it now because the company knows we’re coming for them.”

In a statement after Fain’s remarks, Toyota said the decision to unionize ultimately will be made by its workers, and that the company has “a history of stable employment and income for our employees.”

“By engaging in honest, two-way communication about what’s happening in the company, we aim to foster positive morale,” Toyota said.

Fain also outlined details of the temporary pact the union reached with Stellantis, including the reopening of an assembly plant in Illinois the automaker had indefinitely closed earlier this year.

The UAW took some concessions in the deal, said Rich Boyer, vice president of the union’s Stellantis department, in the video address. The automaker had sought the right to close and consolidate parts depots and other facilities, such as its North American headquarters, or it would close plants and lead to job losses, the UAW said.

“It wasn’t an easy choice or decision,” Boyer said.

Still, Boyer said the UAW won the elimination of a lower pay scale for workers at the parts-distribution unit, a key demand during this current round of talks.

A Stellantis spokeswoman declined to comment. Company officials previously said the proposal for those facilities was intended to modernize its parts-distribution business, not to cut jobs, and that it isn’t leaving its North American headquarters.

This added perk for strikers is expected to cost each company in the tens of millions of dollars, some of the people said. The worker payments factored into the union’s decision to have members return to work at nine factories and dozens of parts-distribution centers before the tentative agreements were ratified, allowing the companies to restart production.

The union’s targeted strike approach meant that some members walked picket lines for more than 40 days, while others remained in their jobs logging full pay.

The UAW entered the strike with a $825 million fund to pay striking workers $500 a week during the walkout. Some employees on the picket lines said the labor action left them stretched financially.

“It’s been extremely hard,” said Nara Culberson, a worker at Ford’s Michigan Assembly plant who was on strike for about 40 days. Culberson tried to find outside work to supplement her income during the period, with little luck.

UAW members are also expected to receive a $5,000 ratification bonus if workers approve the tentative agreements. Voting is under way at Ford and is expected to begin at Stellantis and GM in the coming days.

This week, workers at the Michigan Assembly plant voted 82% in favor of the contract and those at other union locals representing Ford factories and facilities are expected to vote soon. The Dearborn, Mich.-based automaker has said it lost about $1.3 billion in operating profit as a result of the work stoppages.


The strike has also taken a financial toll on the other two car companies, with GM projecting last week it would dent its bottom line by at least $800 million. That figure had not factored in two walkouts called later at two large plants in Texas and Tennessee.

Stellantis said this week the strike had cost it under $800 million in profit.

Write to Nora Eckert at nora.eckert@wsj.com

The Big Three are paying a big price to end the UAW strike — but that won’t necessarily jack up car prices

Analysis by Elisabeth Buchwald, CNN
Thu, November 2, 2023

The historic United Auto Workers union strike against the nation’s three unionized automakers — Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, known as the “Big Three” — could finally be over soon.

This news comes after all three automakers reached tentative deals with the union.

Ford was the first to announce it reached a tentative agreement with the UAW on Wednesday. Then came Stellantis over the weekend and GM today.
A brief refresher

The strike, which began nearly seven weeks ago, has been the longest US auto strike in 25 years. It was the first time in its history that the UAW staged a simultaneous strike against the nation’s three unionized automakers

The strike began at one assembly plant at each company, but the UAW expanded the scope of the strike six times since then in an effort to step up pressure on the companies at the bargaining table.

The production losses have likely cost the automakers billions of dollars. But the damage it’s done to the broader economy carries an even heftier price tag.

The first five weeks of the strike has had an economic impact of $9.3 billion, the Anderson Economic Group estimated.

Their estimate takes into account:

Lost wages for striking workers and other workers who were laid off or forced to work fewer hours

Lost earnings for the Big Three automakers

Supplier losses including delays and cancellations for car parts orders and the wage impact it’s had on workers within the industry

Dealer and customer losses as a result of indefinite delays of new vehicles

The final straw


The linchpin in negotiations between the UAW and Ford came on October 11, when the union struck Ford’s largest and most profitable plant, my colleague, Vanessa Yurkevich, reported.

Similarly, the UAW’s hardest hits against Stellantis and GM came shortly before both announced tentative deals.
What will this mean for car prices?

Now you’d think people in the market for a new car would pay the price, by way of higher car prices, given all the added costs the Big Three will face if the tentative deals go into effect.

But as my colleague Chris Isidore — CNN’s expert reporter in all things strike-related — tells me, there’s a good chance cars won’t get more expensive because of all this.

Here are a couple of reasons why:

Car prices are based on supply and demand. For instance, when demand was high but supply was constrained by a shortage of computer chips needed to build new cars a few years ago, prices went up to record levels. And at the end of the day, it was the auto dealers, which are independent businesses, that benefitted the most from buying cars at wholesale prices from automakers and selling them to consumers earning massive profits.

The automakers might cut corners somewhere else to maintain their pre-strike prices (think lower quality or less aesthetically appealing interiors, wheels or tires)

The Big Three have to stay competitive with nonunion automakers which keeps their car prices in check

The automakers will need to find ways to build cars more efficiently and figure out how to make money selling electric vehicles

TLDR: The biggest loser is probably going to be the automakers who are going to see their profits decline one way or another.
One last thing — none of this is a done deal

You may have noticed I use the word “tentative” multiple times. That’s because the historic strike doesn’t officially end until it is ratified by rank-and-file members.

And it is possible that members at one or more companies could vote down the tentative deal, leading to a resumption of the strike at that company, CNN’s Yurkevich and Isidore wrote.



Stellantis to give big raises, invest billions in UAW deal

Thu, November 2, 2023 



By David Shepardson

(Reuters) -Chrysler-parent Stellantis has agreed to build a new $3.2 billion battery plant and invest $1.5 billion in a new mid-size truck factory in Illinois under its tentative labor agreement, the United Auto Workers union said on Thursday.

UAW President Shawn Fain disclosed new details of the labor deal that includes a 25% pay hike, better retirement benefits and other significant improvements and runs through April 2028 after union leaders agreed earlier on Thursday to send the deal to members for a ratification vote that will take about two weeks.

Stellantis will also offer hourly employees a company-subsidized lease program that will make it more affordable to drive a new vehicle, similar to programs U.S. automakers offer for white collar employees, the UAW said.

Stellantis declined to comment, saying it would wait for workers to vote first before discussing the deal.

Ford production workers are getting a $1,500 voucher they can use toward the purchase of a new vehicle.

The UAW detailed many of Stellantis investment plans, the biggest of which of was convincing the company to reopen the Belvidere, Illinois assembly plant that shuttered operations in February.

Belvidere will begin producing 80,000 to 100,000 mid-size trucks annually in 2027 and the $3.2 billion battery plant with a yet to be named joint venture partner will open in 2028.

The new investments include $1.5 billion in its Toledo Jeep operations, including building an EV Jeep Wrangler in 2028.

Stellantis will invest $3.5 billion in three Michigan assembly plants, including $1.5 billion in a Detroit plant to updated versions of the Dodge Durango and Jeep Grand Cherokee, including electric versions of those in 2026 and 2027.

In North America, Stellantis is focusing its investments on trucks and SUVs, and covering its bets on both gas-powered and EV versions through 2028.

Stellantis will also offer $50,000 buyouts in 2024 and 2026 to UAW production workers, allowing it to cut costs by hiring fresh workers who start at lower wages.

The UAW said the Stellantis investment commitments total about $19 billion, but that includes some previously announced plans.

Stellantis has slightly longer than rival Ford to convert current temporary workers to permanent employees. Within the first year, 3,200 temporary workers will be converted to full time and after that they will automatically get full-time status after nine months of service.

A source confirmed the UAW tentative agreements with Stellantis, General Motors and Ford include an additional ratification bonus of around $110 per day for employees who were on strike or laid off during the work stoppage that began in mid-September.

That is on top of the $5,000 bonus hourly workers will get on ratification along with an 11% immediate pay hike.

(Reporting by David Shepardson in Washington; additionnal reporting by Paul Lienert; Editing by Chris Reese, Diane Craft and Jamie Freed)


The UAW strike might be over, but will consumers feel it later?

Breck Dumas
Thu, November 2, 2023

The United Auto Workers' six-week strike against Ford, General Motors and Stellantis could be over now that the union has reached tentative deals with each of Detroit's Big Three, but the new labor costs incurred by automakers in the fresh contract agreements may be felt by consumers down the road.

Although the strike was limited in its scope, the automakers felt it was due to the UAW shutting down several major assembly plants. The work stoppage cost the industry billions of dollars, and the Big Three all ratified record contracts with the union in order to get production lines running again.

A "UAW On Strike" sign held on a picket line outside the General Motors Co. Spring Hill Manufacturing plant in Spring Hill, Tennessee, on Oct. 30, 2023.

Each of the major U.S. automakers agreed to increase their union workers' pay by 25% over the life of the four-and-a-half-year contracts, along with cost-of-living adjustments that Consumer Reports says will push the employee pay hikes to 33% above current levels.

That is a steep increase in labor costs, but some experts say only time will tell whether the raises will amount to higher vehicle prices in the future. Others say vehicle price hikes are inevitable.

Data from auto inventory and information tracking firm Edmunds indicates the strike was not long enough to impact vehicle prices in any particular direction in the short term, but a spokesperson told FOX Business the firm's experts say it is too early to tell how added labor costs might affect prices in the long term.

Workers put engines on the frame of Ford Motor Co. fuel-powered F-150 trucks under production at their Truck Plant in Dearborn, Michigan, on Sept. 20, 2022.

Ford withdrew its full-year forecast last week citing "uncertainty" over its tentative deal with the UAW, and CFO John Lawler told investors during the company's third-quarter earnings call that the new agreement will add another $850 to $900 in labor costs to each vehicle made.

Those increases will either be reflected in new vehicle price tags, absorbed by the company, result in automakers reducing costs in other ways, or some combination of the three.

"The concessions the automakers have made are already being positioned as significant by the automakers themselves, which is setting the stage for those costs to be passed through to consumers," Alain Nana-Sinkam, co-founder of industry tracking firm Remarkit Automotive, told CR. "However, given that consumers are already pretty well tapped out in terms of vehicle affordability, I’m not sure how much of that is going to end up sticking."

Cox Automotive chief economist Jonathan Smoke said in a statement earlier this week that the new UAW contract will have both positive and negative impacts on the economy.


Ford F-150 pickup trucks at a dealership in Colma, California, on July 22, 2022.

"Union contracts with cost-of-living adjustments contributed to the wage-inflation spiral the economy experienced in the 1970s. And wage gains at UAW plants could increase labor costs in factory towns, as all industries compete for workers," Smoke wrote. "The higher labor costs will also contribute to ongoing inflation in vehicle prices."

He added, "Consumers will bear some of the cost burden over time but given that affordability is already a challenge for the market, the automakers will not have an easy time passing along all of the costs to buyers and will have to seek efficiencies in other ways, or further limit production to more expensive vehicles that can absorb higher labor costs."

Original article source: The UAW strike might be over, but will consumers feel it later?


This forced Ford, General Motors to give UAW workers a huge payday

Detroit’s big three had to agree to a surprising package of pay and perks to get workers back on production lines.

Todd Campbell
Nov 2, 2023

The UAW workers' strike forced America’s largest automakers into a corner. Faced with increasingly more strikes at their highest-profit manufacturing plants, Ford Motor Company, General Motors, and Stellantis (STLA) - Get Free Report, owner of Chrysler, Dodge, and Jeep, agreed to a slate of wage concessions in what turned out to be a record-setting contract.

The striking workers still need to ratify the tentative agreements. However, workers returned to their jobs this week, and most are expected to vote in favor of the plan, which boosts workers’ pay by 25% and gives them a surprisingly big upfront payment.


UAW members attend a rally in support of the labor union strike at the UAW Local 551 hall on the South Side on October 7, 2023 in Chicago, Illinois.
Image source: Jim Vondruska/Getty Images

Striking auto workers had a slate of costly demands

Auto workers were committed to striking as long as necessary to squeeze a record compensation deal and other perks out of Ford, General Motors (GM) - Get Free Report, and Stellantis.

Initially, their wish list was long, including a 40% pay increase, a 32-hour work week, annual cost-of-living increases, more retirement money, additional vacation time, and removing wage tiers.


Former Ford CEO has a blunt warning for workers following the conclusion of historic auto strikes


That long list of demands would’ve been expensive for automakers. Ford said that agreeing to them would put it on a path to bankruptcy. General Motors argued that workers' demands would mean competitors with non-union workforces would leapfrog it, including Tesla (TSLA) - Get Free Report, Honda Motor (HMC) - Get Free Report, and Toyota Motor (TM) - Get Free Report.

Importantly, Detroit’s big three felt that workers' terms would leave them financially hamstrung at a time when the auto industry is knee-deep in a seismic shift toward electric vehicles away from internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles.

Electric vehicle sales are quickly displacing traditional ICE vehicles, so automakers are investing heavily to ensure they capture their fair share of the market opportunity.

According to Cox Automotive’s Kelley Blue Book, U.S. electric vehicle sales surged by nearly 50% year-over-year in the third quarter, accounting for nearly 8% of all vehicles sold. That growth is far faster than the mid-teens growth for all vehicles sold.

EV growth is only beginning. Wall Street analysts expect EVs will represent 40% of all vehicles sold by 2030.

Tesla, a non-union company that pioneered the shift to EVs, dominates the market with a 50% market share. If Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis hope to chip away at Tesla's lead, they'll need to design and launch new and better EV models at similar or lower prices. Last quarter, Ford and GM both lost EV market share to rivals like Hyundai.
Auto workers' ultimatum secures a massive payday

Striking workers didn’t get everything on their wish list, but the pay package offered by Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis is eye-popping.

Ford Motor was the first to ink a tentative agreement with workers, and its deal served as the template for the agreements cut with GM and Stellantis.

Recently, the UAW’s President Shawn Fain explained the details of Ford’s deal to workers ahead of their planned vote.

“For months we’ve said that record profits mean record contracts. And UAW family, our Stand Up Strike has delivered,” said Fain.

Ford Motor’s pay package includes pay raises through 2026, the reinstatement of COLA increases given up during the Great Recession, the elimination of wage tiers put in place during the Great Recession, annual bonuses for retired workers, more profit sharing and retirement money for existing workers, a faster path to the top wage tier, and other perks, including better healthcare, an additional holiday, and more protections for workers if they miss a shift.

Altogether, the UAW says the deal is four times the value of the last contract negotiated in 2019.

Pay will climb 25%, including an immediate 11% bump up in wages. Workers will also pocket a surprising $5,000 bonus for voting for the deal. The top pay hourly pay rate will climb 30% during the contract period to over $40 per hour, including expected inflation adjustments.

Newly hired workers will see a starting pay increase of 68% while existing lower-paid temporary employees could see their pay climb up to 150%. The wage increases over the next four and a half years are larger than all the pay increases given to workers over the last 22 years combined.

Ford also agreed to allow the union to strike over plans to close plants, which wasn’t included in prior contracts. Its 300,000 retirees will collect a $500 annual bonus, costing Ford about $150 million annually. Oh, and if that isn't already enough, workers will receive a $1500 voucher for a new car too.

Overall, Ford estimates the new contract will cost $850 to $900 per car. It doesn’t plan to increase prices to offset the cost, hoping to find the money by cutting other expenses instead. But there’s no guarantee that this agreement won’t cost car buyers more. This year, the average cost of a new car exceeds $48,000, up $10,000 since September 2020, according to Consumer Reports.

While the deal is costly, it would've been even more expensive to let the strike continue.

Ford revealed on Oct. 26 that the strike had already cost it $1.3 billion, and that was without workers striking at its profitable F-150 plant yet. GM said on Oct. 24 that the strike’s cost exceeded $800 million so far, and that was before workers went to the picket line at Arlington Assembly, its biggest money maker.

Ultimately, it was the threat to Ford's F-150 production that got the deal done with it, paving the way to similar agreements with GM and Stellantis.

"We knew we were getting close, but we also knew the companies needed a major push if we were going to make sure we got every penny possible in this agreement. So we took our strike to a new phase and hit the companies with maximum effect," said Fain. "Ford knew what was coming for them on Wednesday if we didn’t get a deal. That was Checkmate."


Toyota raises pay across the board in response to historic UAW deals

Chris Teague
Wed, November 1, 2023 


The UAW and the Detroit three automakers have reached tentative agreements, and while the two sides haven’t officially voted on the deals, they’re already impacting the rest of the auto industry. The pay raises and other benefits doled out by American companies have put pressure on the non-unionized automakers, leading Toyota to increase pay at all its U.S. facilities.

Toyota VP for corporate resources Chris Reynolds told Axios, “We value our employees and their contributions, and we show it by offering robust compensation packages that we continually review to ensure that we remain competitive within the automotive industry.” Early reports note that production workers got a $2.94 pay increase and skilled trades workers got a $3.70 bump, but a Toyota spokesperson declined to confirm those numbers.

Toyota’s factories aren’t unionized, but UAW president Shawn Fain aims to change that. He’s repeatedly hinted at wanting to draw in non-union auto workers, saying earlier this year, "Non-union auto workers are not the enemy. Those are our future union family. We’re going to organize non-union autoworkers everywhere. Together, we’re going to stand up and take on corporate greed.”

The UAW’s influence had been on the decline for decades, but these recent negotiations have given it a significant boost. Fain and union leaders came to the negotiating table with a tough but risky strategy that ultimately paid off. Workers will see immediate pay raises of double-digit percentages, and they will regain cost-of-living pay increases that the union lost more than a decade ago.

UAW officials also got a five-year deal, longer than most in recent history. As Axios reported, that will give the union a longer runway to attract workers from other automakers, including Tesla, Toyota and perhaps even the Korean automakers. Either way, Toyota’s pay raises are likely just the start, and they will add to the pressure created by the union’s deals. That means we’ll probably see similar moves by the other non-union automakers in the near future as they seek to retain workers and stay competitive.

Toyota making a big new move against the threat from UAW union

Amid landmark UAW agreements, the Japanese automaker is feeling the heat.

James Ochoa
Nov 1, 2023

Following the tentative deals between Detroit's Big Three automakers Ford (F) - Get Free Report, General Motors (GM) - Get Free Report and Stellantis (STLA) - Get Free Report with the United Auto Workers, another manufacturer is feeling the heat and now has made a major move in the name of labor relations.

In a report by Axios, storied Japanese automaker Toyota (TM) - Get Free Report has given a pay increase to its non-union factory workers.

Toyota North America did not elaborate on a specific dollar amount. However, pro-labor publication Labor Notes reported that Toyota workers got hourly pay increases of $2.94 for production workers, while skilled trades worker’s pay increased by an extra $3.70.

With these raises in effect, the top pay rate for production workers at Toyota will be at a maximum of $34.80 per hour, while employees with skilled trades will earn a max of $43.20 per hour.

In comparison, the UAW’s tentative agreements grant wage increases across Detroit’s Big Three, with Stellantis and GM’s starting wage increasing to “over $30 an hour,” and the top wage to “over $42 an hour,” while Ford’s starting wage increased to “over $28 an hour” and top wage to “over $40 an hour.”



A worker on the assembly line at the Toyota Motor Corp. manufacturing facility in San Antonio, Texas.
Luke Sharrett/Bloomberg via Getty Images

In a statement, Toyota Motor North America executive vice president of corporate resources Chris Reynolds said that they “value our employees and their contributions, and we show it by offering robust compensation packages that we continually review to ensure that we remain competitive within the automotive industry.”

United Auto Workers president Shawn Fain said in a statement that the longer contracts that his union has negotiated gives more time for the union to organize workers at non-union auto manufacturers like Toyota, Tesla and Nissan, noting that “when we return to the bargaining table in 2028 it won't just be with the Big Three, but with the Big Five or Big Six.”

"Non-union auto workers are not the enemy. Those are our future union family," he said. "We're going to organize non-union autoworkers everywhere. Together we're going to stand up and take on corporate greed."

Toyota Wages and the Ford Maverick Show the Effects of UAW Talks

By Al Root
BARRONS
Updated Nov 02, 2023,

While the United Auto Workers’ 2023 labor negotiations were solely with the Detroit Three auto makers, the talks’ impact is evident across the entire U.S. auto industry.
News from car companies beyond those three—Ford Motor F 4.14% (ticker: F), General Motors GM 3.37% (GM), and Stellantis (STLA)—illustrates just how big the domino effect is.

In the latest example, The Wall Street Journal reported Wednesday that many of Toyota
1.77%‘s (TM) U.S.-based hourly employees got a 9% raise, effective Jan. 1, citing a company spokesman. Toyota declined to comment in response to a Barron’s request Wednesday.

The Toyota news comes in the wake of tentative agreements between the auto makers and the UAW, which will likely formally end the strike that began on Sept. 15. The agreements include wage increases of about 25% over the life of the contract for each auto maker over the life of the contract which runs through April 2028 plus some inflation protection. The immediate pay bump upon ratification is 11%.


Raises at Toyota, however, aren’t surprising. UAW President Shawn Fain has promised to try to organize nonunion auto makers in the coming years. That is mainly foreign auto makers that have operating plants in the U.S., such as Toyota.

Wages at Toyota would have to rise close to UAW levels simply to keep the union at bay. Lifting wages to just below UAW levels also gives Toyota a small competitive advantage over the Detroit Three, which can amount to a couple hundred dollars per car. Of course, who wins and loses in the car business is about much more than solely labor costs.

The UAW didn’t respond to a request for comment.

Ford said on its earnings conference call this past week that the agreed-upon labor-cost increases could translate into car-price increases of a few hundred dollars. That works out to less than 2% of current average sticker prices.

Car pricing is about more than just labor costs though, as well. Just look at what’s going on with the Ford Maverick pickup truck.

The strike affected Ford’s production system impacting vehicle supply. Lower supply always leads to higher prices. The disruptions comes amid steadily strong demand for the model—at one point in early 2022, Ford had to stop taking 2023 Maverick orders because it was already struggling to fill order backlogs.

A morning briefing on what you need to know in the day ahead, including exclusive
All of these factors are showing up on the Maverick price tag. Barron’s found a handful of instances of dealer websites that listed 2023 Mavericks over the manufacturer’s suggested retail price, or MRSP.

Sometimes dealers have no choice—for instance, they may have to pay above MSRP at vehicle auctions to fill customer orders. Still, no one likes to pay over sticker price. Ford didn’t respond to a request for comment about dealer markups.

Eventually, things will normalize and prices will return to normal. The same thing happened during the Covid-19 pandemic, when low or no auto production led to low dealer inventories.

Overall, the average transaction price for a new car in the U.S. is about $48,000, about $10,000 higher than it was prepandemic. Prices might come down a little, but they won’t be headed back to under $40,000. That isn’t due to price gouging or labor but a combination of many factors across the supply chain and in the broader economy.

Ford stock was up 1.1% in midday trading Thursday while the S&P 500
0.94%
 and Dow Jones Industrial Average 0.66% were up 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively. Toyota’s American depositary receipts are down 0.7%.

Through midday trading Thursday however, Toyota shares were up about 13% over the past three months—the period during which the labor talks proceeded at Ford, GM, and Stellantis. Ford stock fell about 33% over the same span.

The Ford Maverick is manufactured in Mexico. An earlier version of this article incorrectly said it was manufactured in Michigan.


SEE

UAW members at the first Ford plant to go on strike overwhelmingly approve the new contract

Toyota raises pay across the board in response to historic UAW deals


How the UAW won a major victory and what it could mean for U.S. labor going forward


HYBRID BOOM
Toyota Posts Impressive Quarterly Results And Worksport Gears Up For COR Battery Alpha Release


Upwallstreet
Thu, November 2, 2023



On November 1st, Toyota Motor Corporation (NYSE: TM) lifted its full-year fiscal outlook on the back of strong hybrid demand as the Japanese automotive giant is primed to benefit from a slowdown in EV demand in the U.S. Although EV sales have slowed down, the sector continues to bring groundbreaking innovations. One such revolutionary product is being developed by Worksport Ltd (NASDAQ: WKSP)(NASDAQ: WKSPW). Today, Worksport announced it is gearing up for the alpha release of its highly anticipated COR portable battery system.

Worksport Prepares For Initial Alpha Release Of Its Pioneering Portable Energy Storage System

Worksport expects the initial release of COR to serve as a preliminary user iteration prior to the anticipated market release in North America, while it intends to bring this pioneering product across the globe. The horizon for Worksport seems promising as it approaches the alpha release of the COR portable battery storage which will complement its SOLIS solar-powered tonneau cover. With its recent $16MM annual sales agreement with a US-based automotive aftermarket reseller as well as interest from a Canada-based automotive aftermarket reseller with more than $10 billion CAD in annual sales, Worksport has set the stage with its hard and soft folding cover manufacturing ability to make its mark in the pickup space as well the clean energy field as it gets closer to releasing the SOLIS cover, COR portable battery system and its subsidiary Terravis Energy developing its proprietary heat pump.

Toyota’s Fiscal Second Quarter Highlights


For the quarter that ended on September 30th, Toyota reported its revenue grew 24% YoY to 11.44 trillion yen which equates to $75.7 billion as vehicle sales rose almost 13% YoY to 2.4 million.

Fueled by strong pricing, operating profit expanded more than 155% YoY to 1.44 trillion yen which is about $9.5 billion.

Stubbornly Sticking To Hybrids Actually Paid Off

Toyota was resisting the EV revolution for a long time but it finally caved in June when it announced an aggressive approach to boost EV sales to 1.5 million per year by 2026. On Tuesday, it added it will be spending $8 billion to greatly expand the North Carolina battery plant that is set to open in 2025. But with a weakened EV demand in the U.S. due to inflation and other concerns, Toyota gets to benefit from stronger demand for hybrids it stayed loyal to.Its conventional hybrids rose 41% YoY to about 888,000 while sales of its plug-in hybrids were rose almost 90% YoY to roughly 39,000. The so-called “electrified” vehicles that include both types of hybrids which are battery-electric models and fuel cell-powered vehicles rose 27.3% YoY and made 36.4% of the automaker’s total global sales.

Toyota Raised Its Fiscal Year Outlook


For the fiscal year that will end on March 31st, Toyota lifted its annual profit guidance from 3 trillion yen to 4.5 trillion yen which equates to $29.8 billion.

Although Ford Motor (NYSE: F), General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Stellantis (NYSE: STLA) ended the six-week UAW strike, the union is the winner, along with Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) as Detroit automakers lost big time. Besides having to tone down their EV ambitions in light of increased costs, the strike itself harmed General Motors, Stellantis and Ford immensely. Ford stated the UAW strike took off $1.3 billion from its earnings before interest and taxes. Walkouts costed GM $800 million. Stellantis only reported that the strikes dented revenue by $3.2 billion. Both Ford and GM announced they will be delaying their EV production and EV investments while Stellantis did not reveal any changes to its EV plans. The EV king, Tesla, could benefit from a slower EV rollout from Detroit automakers. Even Tesla has to combat with a declining market share, especially in the luxury segment but Detroit automakers are expected challenge Tesla with more affordable EVs.

DISCLAIMER: This content is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as investing advice.


CAR COMPANIES WOULD BE ‘SMART’ TO INVEST IN HYBRID VEHICLES: STEVE MOORE


Hybrid Ferraris outsell petrol versions for first time in net zero shift

Howard Mustoe
Thu, November 2, 2023 

Sales of hybrid cars at Ferrari were boosted by demand for 296 GTB as well as SF90 Stradale 

Hybrid Ferraris have outsold purely petrol-powered models for the first time in a boost for the Italian marque as it prepares to launch its first electric vehicle.

51pc of Ferraris sold between July and September were fitted with battery packs, the company said, in a milestone moment for the industry.

Ferrari is thought to be the first for a major sports car maker to cross the threshold, with rivals like Maserati and Aston Martin instead focusing on the shift to pure electric.

Hybrid cars describe any vehicle that has more than one power source but for most vehicles it is typically a petrol engine aided by a battery, which gathers power from a dynamo-type device when a car brakes. Ferrari has long used hybrid technology in Formula One.

Just four of its 13 current models are hybrid but a ramp-up in production of those cars helped them overtake sales of petrol models in the company’s most recent quarter. Three months before that, 43pc of sales were for hybrid models.

Hybrid sales at Ferrari were boosted by demand for its £376,048 SF90 Stradale as well as the 296 GTB and convertible GTS models, which start at £241,550.

Strong demand for hybrid models will be encouraging Ferrari, amid concerns across the industry about whether drivers will want to buy electric sports cars.

The chief executive of McLaren said earlier this year that drivers “cannot enjoy [themselves] at the weekend” in electric cars because of heavy batteries under the hood.

Ferrari has been working on technology to replicate the roar of a petrol engine in a quieter battery powered car as the company believes noise is a key appeal when driving a sports car.

Ferrari plans to have a pure electric model on sale by 2025.

The company sold 3,459 cars in the three months up September, up 9pc on the quarter. Revenue rose 24pc to €1.5bn (£1.3bn), growing faster than sales as buyers purchased pricier cars and opted for more add-ons and personalisation. Profit rose 46pc to €332m.

Benedetto Vigna, the car maker’s chief executive, said: “The order book remains at highest levels reflecting strong demand across all geographies.”

Ferrari’s shares rose 6pc. The company’s value has risen six fold since it was spun out of former owner Fiat Chrysler in 2015 and Ferrari is now worth €59bn.
Gen Z aren’t taking to apprenticeships like millennials did—despite CEOs like Tim Cook and Richard Branson praising university alternatives


Orianna Rosa Royle
Wed, November 1, 2023 


Apprenticeships were pitched as the next-best thing to a university degree when they were rolled out in the '90s. After a rocky start, by 2010 half a million millennials in the U.K. were enrolled in the scheme that enables workers to earn money while they receive on-the-job training.

But now, Gen Z is bucking that trend.

Despite the government’s push to create more apprenticeships in the U.K.—and despite the downplaying of the necessity of college degrees from leaders like Apple's Tim Cook and Virgin's Richard Branson—young people just aren’t taking it up. In fact, since 2016 the number of youngsters starting apprenticeships has fallen sharply by 31% in England, according to the CIPD’s new report.


This was particularly acute among small businesses, where the number of apprentices enrolling declined by 49%, compared to just a 14% drop in large firms with 250 or more employees.

What’s more, while Gen Zers are shunning apprenticeships, millennials are still eyeing up vocational training in order to enter management without the high price tag of an MBA.

According to the research, the majority of apprentices across the U.K. who started in 2022 were over 25 years old, with the majority of them taking up a “higher apprenticeship”—the most advanced qualification offered—in business, administration, and law.

In Scotland specifically, the number of new apprentices in their late twenties has doubled since 2019.
Degrees are no longer the apple of employer’s eyes

The uptick in apprenticeship schemes came as degrees fell out of favor with employers.

Google, Microsoft, IBM, and Apple have all eliminated their long-held degree requirements for jobs to remove barriers to entry and recruit more diverse talent. Meanwhile, recruiters globally are five times more likely to search for new hires by skills over higher education.

Similarly, Cisco's top executive in the U.K. doesn't have a college degree and doesn't think young aspiring workers need one either.

"I never did anything academically beyond my GCSEs [exams taken at 16 in the U.K.] and never went to university," David Meads Cisco's U.K. and Ireland CEO recently told Fortune. "But you can fast forward 40 years and here I am."

“In university, you come out with whatever degree you may get, but it’s almost certainly saddled with debt,” he added. “Is that better than on-the-job experience where you’re rotating through different parts of our organization, and living the reality and not just the theory?”

He’s not the first CEO to praise skipping out on college to join the world of work as soon as possible.

Richard Branson, the billionaire founder of Virgin, has repeatedly urged young people to ditch university in favor of the “school of life”.

Meanwhile, Apple’s CEO Tim Cook has echoed that there is a “mismatch between the skills that are coming out of colleges and what the skills are that we believe we need in the future.” It’s why, he said aspiring coders in particular don’t need a degree to be successful, at the American Workforce Policy Advisory Board meeting.

Even when looking at the Fortune 500, the CEOs of five top 20 companies, including Costco CEO W. Craig Jelinek and Chevron CEO Mike Wirth, hold no graduate degree, proving that it’s not a requirement to reach the highest level in business.
But Gen Z isn't convinced

Clearly, the top-level praise for apprenticeships and the shift to skills-based hiring isn’t convincing aspirational Gen Zers. Instead, they’re increasingly opting to go down the more traditional route of college.

The National Center for Education Statistics predicts college enrollment in America will bounce back after a 10-year decline. Meanwhile, across the Atlantic in the U.K. the number of 18-year olds applying to go to university has been rising sharply in the last two years, following 5 years of stagnation.

What’s more, apprenticeships have traditionally provided a route to well-paid, secure careers for those from more disadvantaged backgrounds, but recently there’s been a shift.

Now, even Gen Zers from a lower socioeconomic upbringing are shunning on-the-job training in favor of going to university.

Research shows there has been a 36% decline in apprenticeship starts by people from disadvantaged backgrounds, compared with 23% for others. Meanwhile, 28% of the 18-year-olds who enrolled in university this year come from deprived areas, compared with just under 18% in 2013.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
P3 BY ANY OTHER NAME
Ontario to Launch Infrastructure Bank With $2.2 Billion

Christine Dobby
Thu, November 2, 2023 



(Bloomberg) -- Ontario plans to invest C$3 billion ($2.2 billion) into creating an arm’s-length infrastructure bank with a mandate to help build major projects in affordable housing, health care and transportation.

The government of Canada’s largest province announced the proposed Ontario Infrastructure Bank on Thursday, confirming an earlier report by Bloomberg News. The provincial government wants to use the bank to attract private money from institutions such as pensions and insurance funds.

Ontario itself is home to a number of large global investors in infrastructure, including the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, the Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System and Brookfield Corp.

The bank’s initial focus will be on sectors including long-term care facilities, energy, housing, municipal infrastructure and transportation. The idea is to use the government cash to reduce the risk of certain projects, attracting more private capital.

The new agency will operate at arm’s length from the government, led by a board of directors that will appoint a management team to make investment decisions.

Ontario Finance Minister Peter Bethlenfalvy announced the plans when he delivered an update on the province’s financial condition on Thursday.

“I would love to see that get dedicated quickly,” he said in an interview, commenting on the initial funding of C$3 billion, adding, “we have appetite for more, but I think that’s a reasonable place to start.”

The Ontario initiative would follow a similar model to that of the Canada Infrastructure Bank (CIB), which the government of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau established in 2017 with a C$35 billion budget. The federal initiative has faced criticism for its failure to pull in enough private capital or quickly get projects funded and completed. A parliamentary committee recommended scrapping it.

Over the past two years, the CIB has made investments at a faster pace and, in a September update, said it had so far committed C$10 billion to 48 projects.

“With regard to the Canada infrastructure bank, they took a long time to get up and running,” Bethlenfalvy said, pointing to the CIB’s recent record of making more investments. “We’re going to hit the ground running. I’m really a fan of learning from other people’s, let’s say, ‘challenges.’”

Ehren Cory, Chief Executive of the CIB, acknowledged in an interview Thursday that it took time for the agency to develop a pipeline of potential investments in the early years.

“We know that we got off to a slower start than I think we aspired to,” he said. “The reality is infrastructure projects are incredibly large and complex and do take some time to mature. But now, you fast forward and I think it’s a very different story.”

The C$10 billion the CIB has invested has attracted about C$20 billion in additional private investments, grants and other funding, he said. “I think the reality is starting to really prove out the value.”

The CIB said it advised Ontario’s department of finance on setting up the new fund, and Cory said the federal agency will look for opportunities to invest alongside the new provincial body.

National infrastructure banks, some with a specific focus such as sustainability, have also been established in other countries, including the UK and Australia.

Ontario’s population of 15.6 million is growing at a “near-record” rate, according to Desjardins. Faced with an acute housing shortage and affordability crisis, the province has set a goal of building 1.5 million new homes by 2031.

Premier Doug Ford’s government in September reversed a contentious plan to allow development on environmentally protected lands around Toronto.

(Updates throughout with comments from Ontario finance minister, CIB CEO)

Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek
Canada Parliament panel asks Ottawa to reject RBC, HSBC unit deal

Thu, November 2, 2023 

 A Royal Bank of Canada sign is seen outside of a branch in Ottawa

By Nivedita Balu

TORONTO (Reuters) - The finance committee of Canada's House of Commons lower chamber has asked Ottawa to reject Royal Bank of Canada's C$13.5 billion acquisition of HSBC's domestic unit, citing the lack of competition in the country's financial sector.

The committee's report late Wednesday comes weeks after the Competition Bureau approved the transaction, clearing the way for one of the biggest deals in the country's financial sector. However, the deal has gathered opposition.

The deal, which was announced in November 2022, is now in the hands of the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) and Canada's finance ministry. It is expected to close in the first quarter of 2024.

"Removing competition in the financial sector could raise banking fees for Canadians who already pay more for financial services due to an already uncompetitive financial sector," the committee said in the report.

"There already are very few financial institutions in the Canadian banking sector representing a lack of competition."

Pierre Poilievre, Canada's Conservative party leader, has also called for the federal government to reject the deal, saying that blocking the deal is a clear step the government could take to address affordability concerns.

"We strongly believe that RBC's proposed acquisition offers HSBC’s Canadian clients the best possibility for continuity and stability while providing them with innovative made-in-Canada international banking solutions and advanced digital capabilities," an RBC spokesperson said.

The finance department in its response said Minister Chrystia Freeland's decision will be informed by a regulatory review processes, including those administered by the OSFI and the Competition Bureau.

The last time a deal of this size was attempted in Canada was in the early 1990s, when RBC wanted to acquire rival Bank of Montreal. That acquisition was blocked by regulators.

The highly regulated Canadian banking sector is active in the mergers and acquisition space as banks seeking growth opportunities also look to expand into the United States.

(Reporting by Nivedita Balu in Toronto; Editing by Mark Porter and Diane Craft)
UPS, Teamsters and the matter of unintended consequences


Mark Solomon
Fri, November 3, 2023 

Sean O’Brien vowed to bring the belligerence during contract talks with UPS Inc. The Teamsters union’s general president didn’t disappoint.

Negotiations between the two, never lovefests, were particularly contentious this time around. Leveraging the scale of social media, the Teamsters ramped up the rhetoric for months. It reached the point where O’Brien was referring to UPS, in person and online, as a “white collar crime syndicate,” an unconventional way of characterizing the union’s largest employer.

O’Brien’s words resonated. Scared of a work stoppage disrupting their delivery schedules, shippers shifted, at the peak, 1.5 million daily parcels to competitors, according to UPS (NYSE: UPS) estimates. That amounted to roughly 8% of UPS’ normal U.S. daily volume of 18.6 million parcels as of July.

The volume exodus intensified in the late spring and early summer as the July 31 contract deadline drew closer. UPS executives, who in the words of longtime transport analyst Donald Broughton were “looking to stop the bleeding,” agreed on July 25 to a five-year contract considered generous to the Teamsters and detrimental, at least in the relative short term, to UPS. The union said the contract, which the rank-and-file ratified in early September, brought in $30 billion in new funds over the five-year cycle. That figure, if accurate, is real money even for a company UPS’ size.

The combat has ended, but a question that nagged folks during the negotiations remains unanswered: Did the Teamsters’ aggressive negotiating posture compromise UPS’ cost structure, volume growth and profit margins to the extent that the company will institute union layoffs in order to align higher expenses with lower top- and bottom-line levels?

O’Brien’s twofold endgame was to achieve the best possible economic deal for 340,000 UPS union workers and to send a message to Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) that the union is prepping to get its nonunion warehouse workers a similar deal should the Teamsters represent them.

A labor-friendly UPS contract was somewhat foreordained because the last agreement, in 2018, ended up allowing UPS to bypass much of the post-pandemic employment-cost spikes that brought higher employee costs on rival FedEx Corp., (NYSE: FDX) among others. O’Brien also had the dual tailwinds of a supportive White House and improving public sentiment toward organized labor.

Labor talks are as much a behavioral game as an economic set-to. Behind the emotion, however, are smart and pragmatic people on both sides tasked with determining how much they can ask for and concede without giving away the store.

Throughout its history, UPS has effectively adapted its costs to demand fluctuations. It also has long experience adjusting to wage and work-rule changes wrought by Teamster contracts. As for the Teamsters, “I’m assuming they can do math and do volumetrics,” said Michael C. Duff, professor of law at the Saint Louis University School of Law.

Duff, a former Teamster who remains well connected in organized labor circles, said O’Brien and his negotiators recognized that UPS bargaining-unit jobs might be lost due to slowing demand and the company’s push toward automation. However, they also knew that 7,500 full-time jobs would be created over the contract’s life by combining part-time hours, while three times that many open jobs would be filled during the cycle, Duff said.

“I believe the Teamsters, at some point, just said that ‘These are costs we are willing to live with,’” he said.

Duff believes that O’Brien and company will not yield in their efforts to extract as much economic benefit as possible from union employers. Part of that effort is a sense of urgency to return labor to prominence after being on the back foot for more than 40 years, he said. For all the media chatter about 2023 being the “summer of strikes,” the fact remains that organized labor represented in the private sector hit a record low of 6% in 2022 despite a pro-union administration in the White House. (See chart.)


Unionstats.com, Bureau of Labor Statistics

UPS declined comment. The Teamsters did not respond to a request for comment.
Will diverted volumes return?

The jury will be out for a while on UPS’ ability to win back diverted volumes. Over 116 years, the company has built a reputation for reliable, high-quality service. Executives have expressed confidence that it will win back all diversion as shippers recognize the unique value of its network.

According to UPS’ estimates, as of mid-October it had recovered 600,000 of the daily diverted parcels. FedEx said on its last analyst call in late September that it captured 400,000 daily UPS parcels. UPS has said it has recaptured 300,000 of them.

According to ShipMatrix data, about 1.25 million daily parcels were diverted. The 1.5 million figure cited by UPS included business that actually never existed because consumers were doing more in-store shopping and shifting their spending from goods to services, according to Satish Jindel, ShipMatrix’s president.

Of the 1.25 million packages, 750,000 went to FedEx, 315,000 to the U.S. Postal Service and 185,000 to regional delivery carriers, said Jindel. Those estimates were as of the end of August. UPS said that many customers waited until the contract was ratified before returning their volumes.

Ian Reagan, an analyst at consultancy The Colography Group LLC, said he expects UPS to eventually recover 900,000 daily parcels through volume recapture and new business. It may not happen by the end of the year, Reagan said. UPS executives have said that full volume recapture will likely be a 2024 story.

Michael H. Belzer, professor of economics at Detroit’s Wayne State University and one of the nation’s foremost transport labor relations experts, said he expects shippers to return to UPS because they will receive the service they want and are accustomed to from the carrier. UPS “will be successful in getting back the business as long as the service is there,” Belzer said.

Not everyone is so sanguine. Jindel said UPS will be saddled with higher costs and lower volumes through the life of the contract, and will be challenged to recover parcels in an increasingly competitive delivery marketplace. In 1997, UPS won back virtually all business lost during a 15-day Teamsters strike because shippers had effectively nowhere else to go, Jindel said. Today’s shippers, by contrast, have multiple alternatives, such as FedEx Ground, FedEx’s ground-delivery unit; Amazon; the Postal Service; and a slew of regional delivery carriers, among other providers, Jindel said.

Broughton told the Yahoo! Finance TV outlet at the end of July that UPS stands little chance of winning back parcels from FedEx unless FedEx falls down on service, a scenario that Broughton said was unlikely.

Alan Amling, who spent 27 years at UPS before retiring in 2019 as vice president of corporate strategy, said UPS will likely need to manage through a period of lower volumes caused by this summer’s diversions and a general slowing of delivery demand. As fewer packages move through facilities that already have substantial fixed costs, the average cost of every package rises, said Amling. This challenges the company’s core approach of building density to optimize its network, streamline processes and take out costs, said Amling, who today is assistant professor of practice at the University of Tennessee’s Global Supply Chain Institute.

“UPS has shown it is willing to sacrifice margin in their win-back efforts,” said Amling. “However, unless it reverses its strategic direction, it will have slow volume growth at best.” Fewer packages mean fewer workers, he said.
Technology the catalyst

Technology will be the catalyst, Amling said. “As wages rise, the relative cost of technology drops,” he said. “I expect you will see accelerated investments in technology that help employees become more productive, and in some cases, replace them. With the rise of AI, this will extend into the white-collar workforce as well.”

Amling doesn’t expect significant layoffs at UPS. Rather, he sees low to zero employee growth.

An industry executive who asked not to be identified said that UPS frequently adjusts driver manpower based on current volume trends. “With volume trends normally being up, UPS is not regularly laying off drivers. However, it does lay off drivers when volume is soft, but it doesn’t tell anybody they are laying drivers off. Given current downward volume trends, it is safe to assume that drivers are being laid off,” the executive said.

The company told analysts in late September that it will aggressively invest in technology to automate certain tasks inside its facilities. A byproduct of these investments is to lower the 140,000 part-time-employee head count in its sortation centers over the next few years, analysts were told. Collectively, these part-time unionized workers represent about $3 billion a year in potential cost savings, according to analysts.

Language in the contract requires UPS to negotiate with the Teamsters at least 45 days before it introduces technologies into the workplace. Much of the public discussion centered on technology like autonomous vehicles and drones that support transportation functions. A Teamsters spokesperson said the union has established a Committee on Technological Change to ensure the contract is adhered to and members are protected.

No one outside UPS knows for sure the type of business that was lost over the spring and summer. It may very well be that a good chunk of diverted volumes did not fit the carrier’s profit profile. Through CEO Carol B. Tomé’s “better not bigger” strategy introduced when she took over in June 2020, UPS focused on higher-margin traffic at the expense of big volume, lower-margin parcels. In went an emphasis on B2B traffic, lucrative verticals like health care, and small to midsize (SMB) customers that lacked the volume leverage to demand significant discounts. In turn, lower-priced e-commerce business-to-consumer traffic from enterprise customers — notably Amazon — were deemphasized.

According to Amling, UPS has over the past three-plus years built its higher-margin B2B, health care and SMB volumes. “This strategy played like a symphony during the high-demand pandemic period,” he said. But that core capability becomes more difficult without the volume growth.”

Josh Taylor, senior director of professional services for consultancy Shipware LLC and a former UPS executive, said that long before contract talks heated up, UPS was selective about the type of business it would accept. Now with higher operating costs, lost volumes and slow demand, UPS is no longer as picky, he said.

“Unless it’s really lousy business, they will accept it,” Taylor said.

The post UPS, Teamsters and the matter of unintended consequences appeared first on FreightWaves.


Teamsters General President Sean O'Brien speaks at a late July rally of UPS workers in Atlanta. (Photo: Teamsters)


The largest freight bankruptcy in history punched a $5 billion hole in the economy, cost 30,000 jobs, and left the taxpayer holding the bag for a COVID bailout


Irina Ivanova
Thu, November 2, 2023 at 8:20 AM MDT·8 min read

Manuel Gomez had wanted to work for trucking giant Yellow for years—so when the call came in 2013 he hustled for two days to pass his hazardous-materials certifications and got hired, ecstatic at the thought that he had won his forever job. “I was back on track with my bills,” the 45-year-old trucker told Fortune. “It was a union job, so as long as you did your job, you didn’t have anything to worry about.”

When Yellow abruptly shut down this summer and filed for bankruptcy protection, leaving Gomez and 30,000 more workers jobless, he said he didn’t get so much as a text. “It was a total shock,” he said. “You don't think a multimillion dollar company is just going to one day close their doors.”

“Now I’m going to have to keep working for the rest of my life,” he said.

Gomez, who’s now living off unemployment pay, said he hasn’t come close to replacing his work at Yellow, despite widespread reports of a shortage of good truckers in the freight sector, the backbone of the American consumer economy. At Yellow, he was earning roughly $92,000 a year but the only thing he comes close to getting now is independent contractor status—essentially renting a truck from his employer, on the hook for high taxes and any liability incurred on the job.

There may be a savior, though, for at least some of the jobs that evaporated when Yellow filed for Chapter 11. The privately owned trucking firm Jack Cooper is making a long-shot bid to revive Yellow and potentially bring back thousands of jobs, according to reports from Reuters and FreightWaves which cited unnamed sources. But whether that comes through, and jobs like Gomez’s are restored, depends on the maddening intricacies of bankruptcy court, and there’s barely a week left on the court calendar.

Most maddening of all may be making the case that the deal is good value to Yellow’s largest creditor: you and me, the U.S. taxpayer.
30,000 workers on the hook

Jack Cooper’s dilemma has to do with the principles enshrined in the federal bankruptcy code, one of the world’s oldest examples of this kind of corporate law. Some of the greatest brands in American history have emerged out of bankruptcy to go on to bigger and better things, such as the erstwhile Hollywood juggernaut Marvel Studios, which sold to Disney for $4 billion less than a decade after emerging from insolvency proceedings. But the catch with bankruptcy court is that every debtholder gets a seat at the table and a voice in whether a rescue deal will be accepted.

In the case of Yellow, Jack Cooper needs to convince private equity funds, the U.S. Treasury and the Teamsters to take the deal. The alternative is that no jobs get restored, and Yellow essentially gets scrapped and sold off for parts. Some other great brands have gone this way recently, as with the case of Bed Bath & Beyond going extinct in all but name—which was sold to the former Overstock.com.

“Liquidations are always kind of miserable because you're putting someone to bed—you’re burying them,” Joe Acosta, a partner at law firm Dorsey & Whitney with a focus on bankruptcy, told Fortune. “But in terms of success, in bankruptcy, success is paying back creditors.”

For his part, Gomez hopes the money men can work it out because his other interviews have been awful. One interview gave Gomez second thoughts after the representative for the company, which transported materials between military bases, told Gomez that the truck was equipped with a panic button if he had an emergency. “I’m like… am I in danger?” he recalled. On his drives around town he still sees the Yellow trucks, with their distinctive orange logo.

“When I pass the [Yellow] yard here in Albuquerque, the trucks are there still,” Gomez told Fortune. “It looks like if they called us back we’d still be able to work.”

Jack Cooper and the Teamsters declined to comment on the report.


A sign informs customers and union employees that the Yellow Corp. facility lot is closed after the freight trucking company ceased all operations, in Las Vegas, Nevada, on July 31, 2023. After receiving a loan from the federal government during the Covid-19 pandemic, Yellow is beginning to wind down all operations ahead of an expected bankruptcy filing. 
(Photo by Patrick T. Fallon / AFP)


The Teamsters and the Treasury


Yellow’s bankruptcy in July punched a $5 billion hole in the U.S. economy that won’t be easy to fill. Yellow, financially beleaguered for years, finally threw in the towel amid a public dispute with the Teamsters union, including personally blaming Teamsters president Sean O’Brien for its demise in its bankruptcy filing. “Mr. O’Brien and the Union knowingly and intentionally triggered a death spiral for Yellow,” Matthew Doheny, Yellow’s chief restructuring officer and a longtime board member, said in an affidavit.

O’Brien “used Yellow as a sacrificial lamb in an apparent attempt to gain leverage [with UPS],” Doheny claimed, because O’Brien “would rather see Yellow destroyed than be perceived as weak in negotiations, even if that meant the sacrifice of more than 22,000 of his own rank-and-file members’ jobs.” (For his part, O’Brien and the Teamsters have blamed Yellow’s demise on mismanagement, noting that the union agreed to lower pay and other concessions over a decade ago.)

Yellow’s largest creditor, though, is the U.S. taxpayer: The company received a $700 million loan in 2020 from the U.S. Treasury that has since been heavily criticized, with members of both parties in Congress calling it a mistake. The program under which the loan was made was intended for companies critical to national security, which Yellow was not, and its financial problems had already been well known before it took bailout funds, with Rep. French Hill of Arkansas recently calling it “an overleveraged, struggling company."

The loan, just $500 of which has been repaid so far, comes due Sept. 2024. So far, the Treasury has not commented on whether it would extend the term of the loan to make it easier to buy Yellow out of bankruptcy, including to Fortune. But pressuring Secretary Janet Yellen are eight senators who wrote two separate letters this month to persuade the Treasury to change the loan as a job-saving measure.

“Yellow accounted for $5 billion in revenue last year, and 50,000 deliveries every day,” Sen. Roger Marshall (R-Kan.) wrote. “[I]f this loan were to go through bankruptcy, $700 million worth of taxpayer dollars would be essentially wasted. A going concern bid would provide an ample opportunity to have this loan repaid and the taxpayers made whole again.” In a separate letter, seven progressive senators including Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) called the bankruptcy “a crisis for 30,000 union American Teamsters truck drivers and dock workers who are feeling the sudden loss of income and benefits that comes with steady employment,” they wrote.

“Over the past two decades of ill-advised decisions, Yellow’s union workers granted the company billions in concessions in an effort to keep the company afloat,” they said. “If Treasury can protect taxpayers and undo the harm that Yellow did to its workers, it should act swiftly.”

Melissa Jacoby, a bankruptcy law professor at the University of North Carolina, told Fortune she believes the political pressure may sway the Treasury.

“The United States of America is involved in lots of cases as a tax creditor or a regulator, but it is a little different when they’ve got the money on the line,” Jacoby said.

“The government isn’t just sitting there, saying, ‘I'll take whatever happens;’ they are an active participant,” she said.
A ticking clock

But if the Treasury—and Yellow’s other creditors—want to try to revive the company, they have a very short time left to do so. Last week, the court approved an auction-house sale of Yellow’s terminals, separate from its trucks, setting a Nov. 9 deadline for bids. Selling the trucks and terminals in different tranches would effectively kill off any hope of Yellow’s revival — already a long shot.

And buying the company’s fleet and real estate is only the first step; the new operator would need to revamp the equipment, re-hire workers and win back the former Yellow customers who fled in the wake of the company’s demise.

“I highly doubt that Yellow will come back,” said Kevin Day, president of less-than-truckload at shipping logistics company AFS logistics. “They would be starting with zero shipments — all those customers are in the process of finding a permanent home.”

He added, “It would definitely be a unicorn if it happened.”

Gomez, for his part, says he’s trying to move on from the ordeal. “I’m just trying to let that be the past,” he says. “Trying to fight it—it’s a losing battle. Whatever happened with the company, happened. Whoever did it, they’re on their own karma.”

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com