Monday, November 13, 2023

‘Bad actors’ used state program to 

store pallets, hand sanitizer under 

10 Fwy. before arsonist struck, 

Newsom says

This weekend, a large fire damaged the 10 Freeway in Los Angeles, shutting down a primary transportation route for hundreds of thousands of people.

State Fire Marshal Daniel Berlant said investigators “have been able to confidently determine” that the blaze was caused by arson, though the person or persons involved have not been identified.

The investigation is ongoing into “what we believe to be malicious and willful intent of starting a fire,” Berlant said.

But how did those flammable materials end up under the freeway? It’s part of a government program that leases that space to private citizens and companies.

Caltrans’ Airspace and Telecommunications Licensing Program — often called simply Airspace — “is responsible for leasing and managing those properties or sites held for a transportation purpose that can safely accommodate a secondary use,” the agency said on its website.

“More simply put, Airspace leases specific areas within state highway right of way,” Caltrans added.

Federal authorization is also required before a lessee can be approved, according to Gov. Gavin Newsom.

In this case, the space was being leased to a company called Apex Development Inc., though the lease has expired and that entity is involved in litigation with the state. Newsom expects the case to be heard in court in early 2024.

“This guy and this organization, whoever the members of that particular organization are, have been bad actors,” Newsom said. “We’ve been in a litigious posture for some time. They stopped paying their rent, they’re out of compliance, and as was stated yesterday … they have been subleasing this site to at least five, maybe as many as six tenants, without authorization from Caltrans or authorization from our federal partners.”

While that investigation is ongoing, appraisals into what will be needed to reopen the roadway showed some positive signs, Newsom said Monday afternoon.

“The structural integrity of the deck appears to be much stronger than originally assessed,” Newsom said. “That does not mean that we are moving forward without consideration of a demo[lition]. Quite the contrary. We are assessing additional samples, but the preliminary samples show more positive results than initially anticipated.”

A potential window for reopening has not yet been determined.

Arson likely caused fire that damaged vital artery of Los Angeles freeway, governor says

JOHN ANTCZAK, JULIE WATSON and JEFF McMURRAY

LOS ANGELES (AP) — Arson was the cause of a massive weekend fire that charred and indefinitely closed a vital section of a Los Angeles freeway, causing major traffic headaches for hundreds of thousands of commuters, California authorities said Monday.

Gov. Gavin Newsom said investigators were trying to determine if one person or more were involved. He gave no other details.

“I have to stress that we have determined what started the fire,” Newsom told reporters.

The fire erupted Saturday in two storage lotsf under Interstate 10. Construction materials combusted quickly and the fire grew. It left many columns charred and chipped and the deck guardrails twisted. Crews shored up the most damaged section for the safety of workers clearing the debris. It’s still unclear what structural damage, if any, the blaze caused to the freeway.

Beyond a massive traffic headache, the closure is expected to be felt well beyond the metropolis, including possibly slowing the transport of goods from the twin ports of LA and Long Beach, federal officials have said. The ports handle more than half the goods coming into the country. President Joe Biden had been briefed on the fire.

“It’s disrupting in every way, whether you are talking about traveling to and from work or your child care plans and the flow of goods and commerce, this will disrupt the lives of Angelenos,” LA Mayor Karen Bass said.

Los Angeles residents were urged to avoid travel to the area Monday and to work from home if possible.

“Our streets cannot handle 300,000 cars,” Bass said, referring to how many vehicles use the I-10 stretch daily.

Officials have said the damage is reminiscent of the 1994 Northridge earthquake that flattened thoroughfares. After the quake, it took more than two months to repair Interstate 10 — and that was considered significantly fast.

Newsom said early tests show that the deck “appears to be much stronger than originally assessed." Concrete and rebar samples taken Monday from the superstructure, decks and columns will help determine “whether or not we’re tearing this down and replacing it, or we’re continuing the recovery and repairs,” he said.

“This isn’t going to be resolved in a couple of days, and it’s not going to take a couple years," Federal Highway Administrator Shailen Bhatt told The Associated Press. "But whether it’s weeks or months, we’re still too early to tell.”

Bhatt said the fiery June 11 crash of a tractor-trailer hauling gasoline in Philadelphia that collapsed an elevated section of Interstate 95, snarling traffic and hurting area businesses, highlights the impact of such disasters not only on a city but on the nation.

“The ports are still open and the goods will still flow, but when you remove a section of the interstate that carries 300,000 vehicles a day, there’s going to be spillover impacts,” Bhatt said. “The concern there is the quicker we can get this open, the faster we can remove an impediment.”

Drivers were tested Monday during the first weekday commute since the raging fire. Some freeway exits backed up as drivers were forced to use crowded surface streets to bypass the damaged freeway stretch south of downtown.

Some routes, however, had lighter traffic, suggesting drivers heeded warnings from the city to make alternate plans. Cellphones blasted Monday with a predawn reminder for residents to plan different routes or expect significant delays.

“Our businesses are just bouncing back from the Covid shutdowns. Business was just getting good,” said Blair Besten, director of LA’s Historic Core business improvement district. She's worried about the lingering effects of this closure.

Flames reported around 12:20 a.m. Saturday ripped through two storage lots in an industrial area beneath I-10, burning parked cars, stacks of wooden pallets and support poles for high-tension power lines, city fire Chief Kristin Crowley said. No injuries were reported.

At least 16 homeless people, including a pregnant woman, living underneath the freeway were brought to shelters. More than 160 firefighters responded to the blaze, which spread across 8 acres (3 hectares) and burned for three hours.

California Fire Marshal Daniel Berlant said investigators have identified where the fire started and what the cause was after sorting through the rubble for evidence but did not specify what they found. He said there is no suspect information yet. He said they are talking to witnesses, including homeless people and nearby business owners.

Storage yards under highways are common statewide, with the money from the leases going to public transit. Newsom said the practice would be reevaluated following the fire.

The governor said California has been in litigation with Apex Development, Inc., the owner of the business leasing the storage property where the fire started. The lease is expired, Newsom said, and the business had been in arrears while illegally subleasing the space to five or six other entities. “They’ve been out of compliance for some time, that’s why we’re going to court” early next year, he said.

Mainak D’Attaray, an attorney for Apex Development, confirmed the company was in litigation with the state.

“We are currently investigating ourselves what happened at the yard under the freeway. As such, we are not prepared to give an official statement or answer questions until we have determined what actually occurred,” D’Attaray said in an email.

Ertugrul Taciroglu, chair of the civil and environmental engineering department at the University of California, Los Angeles, said part of the challenge is how expensive real estate has become.

“Every piece of land is being utilized, so I can see the pressure or the incentives for making use of these spaces under these highways,” he said.

Two contractors have been hired to clean up the hazardous material and to shore up the freeway, according to California Secretary of Transportation Toks Omishakin.

Repairs will require environmental waivers and federal funding, officials said.

In 2011, a fire from a poorly maintained fuel tanker that burst into flames damaged a stretch of State Route 60 — a key freeway connecting LA with its eastern suburbs — and took six months to reopen at a cost of $40 million.

The city and county of Los Angeles in 2020 agreed to provide housing for almost 7,000 people living under freeways and near exit and entrance ramps. In approving the deal, a federal judge said unhoused residents in those areas face particularly deadly hazards.

_____

Watson reported from San Diego. Associated Press writer Christopher Weber in Los Angeles contributed to this report. McMurray reported from Chicago.

Arson is behind the massive fire that shut down the 10 Freeway, officials say

Nathan Solis, Ruben Vives, Richard Winton, Brennon Dixson, Ashley Ahn
Mon, November 13, 2023


The massive fire that has shut down a crucial section of the 10 Freeway in downtown Los Angeles was caused by arson, officials said Monday as they raced to assess the extent of the damage and determine how long it would take to reopen.

More than 100 columns along the swath of the freeway were damaged — nine or 10 of them severely — Gov. Gavin Newsom said.

It's still unclear, pending the results of official tests at the site, if the entire overpass will be torn down or retrofitted.

The situation poses a commuting challenge that L.A. has not seen in years, with hundreds of thousands of commuters facing detours and heavier-than-normal traffic. Starting Monday, some worked from home and others took mass transit, but many simply endured the delays.

The closure caused gridlock in some areas, but there was general sentiment that L.A. survived the first morning and evening commute without too much chaos thanks in part to warnings sent to residents' cellphones.

The fire began under the overpass at Alameda Street early Saturday morning, fueled by wood pallets stored there.

Although the exact cause of the fire has not been revealed, "there was [malicious] intent," Newsom said at a news conference Monday afternoon.

In addition to pallets, sanitizer accumulated during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic was stored under the overpass and helped fuel the flames, according to sources familiar with the probe who were not authorized to discuss details of the investigation.

Read more: 10 Freeway closed: How to deal with the traffic nightmare in downtown L.A.

State Fire Marshal Daniel Berlant appealed for witnesses to call a tip line with information and noted those tips could be given anonymously.

"We have identified the point of origin of the fire," Berlant said. He would not provide further detail, saying the investigation was ongoing. Berlant said investigators had dug through the rubble for evidence and canvassed the neighborhood for witnesses.

Officials said the property where the fire broke out was being leased by Calabasas-based Apex Development Inc., which was subleasing the storage site under the overpass without permission from state and federal agencies. The company stopped paying rent, according to Newsom, and had been out of compliance with its lease agreement.

Federal, state and local agencies are scrambling to determine what happens next after the sudden closure of the mile-long section of the heavily trafficked freeway between Alameda Street and the East L.A interchange, a key east-west route through downtown. Mayor Karen Bass said that U.S. Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg called and reassured her that federal officials were aware of the impact from closing one of the busiest freeway corridors in the country.

"Losing the stretch of the 10 Freeway will take time and money from people's lives and businesses," Bass said. "It's disrupting in every way. Whether you were talking about traveling to and from work, or your child care plans, and the flow of goods and commerce, this will disrupt the lives of Angelenos."

Mitigation of hazardous materials at the site is ongoing, but most of the site has been cleared for structural engineers and maintenance crews to start their work, California Transportation Secretary Toks Omishakin said. They have taken samples of the freeway columns and bridge deck.

An initial influx of federal emergency funds has been secured, said Tony Tavares, director of the California Department of Transportation. Contractors have installed shoring underneath the overpass and in the most heavily damaged areas. Video footage from the scene shows the charred underbelly of the overpass and what appear to be sections of columns chipped away.

The fire was reported early Saturday, shortly after midnight, in the 1700 block of East 14th Street after a pallet yard under the freeway caught fire and spread to a second pallet yard, damaging the freeway overpass and destroying several vehicles, including a firetruck, authorities said.

Timothy Garrison, 55, was sleeping behind a nearby Shell gas station near the overpass when he heard explosions, he said Monday morning as he sat against a wall near 14th and Elwood streets, around the corner from the site of the fire.

When he peeked out of his makeshift tent made of plastic trash bags, he saw giant flames flickering out of the overpass.

“The heat was so intense,” he said. “I thought the overpass was going to crumble.”

Garrison heard about 10 to 15 pops and explosions as the fire continued to rage, and he moved to escape the heat, he said.

He knew of some people who lived underneath the freeway but said he had not seen them.

Bass said 16 people were living in the encampment, and all had been moved into hotels and motels.

A row of blue tarps, trailers and wooden shacks sat along 14th Street on Monday among piles of wood from pallets and metal debris. Wooden pallet yards are common along the 10 Freeway in the industrial center near downtown.

Not far from Santa Clara Street, a group of men had set cardboard and wood on fire to cook several feet from a pallet yard.

CalFire officials said they were taking all elements into consideration in their investigation, including the presence of homeless people in the area. But on Monday afternoon, Bass said there was "no reason to assume the reason this fire happened was because there were unhoused individuals nearby."

Read more: Rain is coming to Southern California: How much and when?

Workers in the area said firefighters frequently come to put out fires caused by people living on the streets.

It's why Antolín Padilla, 34, installed fire extinguishers at the entrances of his business Jaz Pallets, which sits along the railroad tracks near Santa Clara Street. He and another pallet yard owner on 14th Street agreed to enforce a "no camping zone" around their businesses, often telling people to camp elsewhere, after a fire spread to the wall of Padilla’s pallet yard a few months ago.

“The workers grabbed the extinguishers in time and were able to put it out,” he said, pointing to a charred corner of the wall. “The city needs to move people from this area.”

Nearby, David Cortez, 34, owner of D&G Pallets, said the fire shows why he’s often on edge.

Standing outside his business, he pointed to a pole where a thin green wire dangled from the power line above, saying he worried about homeless people tampering with lines to tap into the electricity.

“I’m not even sure if that wire is energized or not, but it’s dangerous,” he said. “And the fire hydrants have been damaged from people attempting to use pliers to get water.”

Derrick Smith, 39, walked nearby pushing a cart filled with metal debris. He had been staying near the overpass when the fire broke out. At least five or six people were living around him, he said.

Smith said he was in a deep sleep when he started to hear people banging on his trailer to warn him of the fire.

“They kept saying there’s a fire and get out,” he said. He ran away, leaving all his belongs behind.

“The heat was intense as hell,” he said.

Wearing a blue hoodie, black shorts and dirty Crocs, he said he had no change of clothes and is not sure whether he lost his trailer.

“I probably did,” he said, stuffing his hands in the pockets of his sweater.

Monday's commute was the first weekday for Angelenos encountering the disruption. The mayor's office sent an emergency advisory Sunday evening alerting residents about the detour, and officials encouraged employers to let their employees work remotely if possible. Nearby L.A. Unified schools remained open, though traffic was expected to be worse, especially in Boyle Heights and south of downtown.

At Grand Central Market, Maria Behringer scrambled Monday to set up the pastries for Bastion Bakery after she left her apartment near USC around 6:40 a.m. and arrived around 7:15 a.m. Though the market opens at 8 a.m., she needed time to set up her station before customers started trickling in.

“I was definitely rushing more than I usually do, so it was little a bit of a stressor,” said Behringer, 30. “I didn’t realize how close the fire was to downtown and I didn’t realize it would affect my commute.”

Her partner, Brandon Walsh, who rode in with her, said their usual commute takes them east on the 10 and then onto the 110 Freeway. But this time, the GPS rerouted them to side streets.

“I think so much was diverted to 110 [because of the fire] so the GPS just told us to get off at Grand and go into the city,” said Walsh, 32.

Officials encouraged car commuters to try alternatives, such as Metrolink, rail lines and local bus services, which are all expecting an increase in daily riders.

Metro Chief Executive Stephanie Wiggins told Angelenos to "plan ahead, share the ride, and keep up to date" on the disruption. She said there was a noticeable increase in cars parked at Union Station on Sunday, indicating people are taking advantage of public transportation. Officials directed drivers to check the detour status online at emergency.lacity.gov, and commuters can call 511 or check Metro.net for alternative routes.

"This is our litmus test," Omishakin said Monday. "Did we reach everyone and convince them that they need to plan ahead and plan alternate routes?"

At Union Station, Metro ambassadors said foot traffic was lighter than usual.

Brian Lin, 45, of Anaheim was sitting in heavy traffic on the 5 Freeway when he decided to park his car at Atlantic station in East Los Angeles and take the train into Union Station.

He admitted he doesn’t typically take the train to work, but Monday’s congestion called for a change — at least for one day.

“Luckily, it was just a quick meeting that I had to do in the office,” Lin said before an incoming Metro train chimed in the distance. “I think my ride is here.”

Claire Stolwyk, 27, waited for the J line bus at the Civic Center/Grand Park station while reading a book when she realized she had forgotten to check whether her commute to Cal State L.A. would be affected.

She pulled out her phone and saw a notice from Metro on Google Maps, but it looked like her route was in the clear. The bus pulled up to the stop on time.

Fire under 10 Freeway in downtown L.A. upends traffic with no reopening in sight

Daniel Miller, Andrew Khouri
Sun, November 12, 2023

The 10 Freeway in downtown Los Angeles will remain closed indefinitely as the California Department of Transportation moves to repair an overpass badly damaged by an intense fire early Saturday at two storage yards in an area with multiple homeless encampments.

The incident, which closed westbound and eastbound lanes of the busy freeway between Alameda Street and Santa Fe Avenue, will significantly affect traffic in the area, officials said at a news conference Sunday, without offering a timetable for reopening.

“Unfortunately, there is no reason to think that this is going to be over in a couple of days,” L.A. Mayor Karen Bass said. "We will need to come together and all cooperate until the freeway is rebuilt."

Gov. Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency Saturday to help expedite the work. Acknowledging "the anxiety of millions and millions that live in this region," Newsom noted that 300,000 vehicles travel through the freeway corridor daily. And he said he knew the question many are asking: "When the hell is this going to get reopened?"

Gov. Gavin Newsom, left, and Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass attend a news conference Sunday at Caltrans headquarters in downtown Los Angeles. (Francine Orr / Los Angeles Times)

Several things must occur before construction can begin — starting with an investigation into the cause of the fire. It is expected to be finished by 6 a.m. Monday. Mitigation of hazardous materials also needs to be completed before a detailed structural analysis of the damaged portions of the freeway can commence. Engineers will be inspecting the freeway's columns and bridge deck.

"I am not going to understate the challenge here — it is significant," California Transportation Secretary Toks Omishakin said. "This is not going to be an easy task for our structural engineers at Caltrans."

Commuters were encouraged to take alternate routes, avoid the area altogether or use public transit to help ease traffic flow through the downtown area as work on the freeway continues.

This could be the most notable freeway closure in the Southland since the 1994 Northridge earthquake buckled portions of the 10 and other routes. The shutdown is expected to increase congestion on adjacent freeways where traffic is being diverted, among them the 5, 110 and 710.


Los Angeles firefighters continue to assess the damage from a fire under the 10 Freeway near downtown Los Angeles. (Francine Orr / Los Angeles Times)

The faint scent of smoke hung in the air Sunday morning as Caltrans workers examined a stretch of the freeway near 14th Street. Black marks were visible on the overpass where the Los Angeles City Fire Department responded to a reported rubbish fire at 12:22 a.m. a day earlier. The department said its first responders arrived to find a storage yard with pallets, trailers and vehicles "well involved in fire."

Ultimately, firefighters from 26 companies and one helicopter responded to the scene; they were able to keep the blaze from spreading into nearby structures, though a firetruck was badly damage.

Newsom said officials are investigating whether anyone was living under the overpass at the time of the fire, but at the moment there are no known deaths from the incident. Bass said some homeless people living nearby evacuated because of the fire and that at least 16 have since been housed.

On X, the service formerly known as Twitter, users posted images that purportedly showed homeless encampments beneath the freeway at 14th Street. Newsom said that he and other officials cleaned up an encampment there in August 2022.

“I am intimately familiar with this site,” he said.

The incident could lead officials to study the safety of homeless encampments near freeways across the city. Pete Brown, a spokesman for L.A. City Councilman Kevin de León, whose district includes the site of the fire, said he believed the incident would "trigger a review" of such properties.

"We just want to make sure folks are as safe as possible," Brown said. "Nine freeways crisscross through [de León's] district."

Since January, Brown said, the councilman's office had conducted six "cleanup operations" of sites under the 10 Freeway that had moved 36 people into housing in the downtown area. Two of the visits were at the property where the fire occurred, he said.

The area around the burn site is home to many homeless encampments. A man named Enrique who has been living in his car near the now-damaged overpass for most of the last year said that he woke up early Saturday to police shouting for people to clear the area.

“They were big flames, higher than that building,” the 58-year-old said, pointing to a two-story structure on 14th Street.

Behind Enrique, who declined to give his last name, there was a series of makeshift dwellings. A woman walked out of one and wandered the streets with no pants or underwear.

Los Angeles Fire Department Chief Kristin M. Crowley said that “as for any of the encampments in that area, we do not have any direct correlation at this point as to if that’s where it did start or didn’t.”

“We are going to have to standby and wait for the active investigation to be completed,” she said.

Homeless encampments have been the source of fires under and around freeways up and down the West Coast in recent years. In July 2022, a major blaze struck an encampment underneath the 880 Freeway in Oakland, destroying vehicles, snarling traffic and requiring the work of 60 firefighters to extinguish it. And in March, a fire in Tacoma, Wash., broke out in a tent beneath the 5 Freeway, leaving one person dead.

The 14th Street property where the fire occurred Saturday is owned by Caltrans, a spokesman for the agency said. Newsom said that site had been leased to an entity he declined to name. But the lease is expired, the entity is in arrears and it has been cited by state investigators, Newsom said.

He added that the state is in litigation with the lessee and believes it has been subleasing the space.

Omishakin said it’s common practice across the country to lease space under freeways. “This is something that is going to be reevaluated from a safety standpoint,” he said, including what is allowed to be stored underneath overpasses.

Southern California is no stranger to freeway closures. Far from it.

Mudslides, wildfires and snow storms have routinely shut down portions of freeways, highways and state routes — but those closures often are quickly resolved. The 5 Freeway, for example, was briefly shut down along the Grapevine a dozen times from 2018 to 2022 due to snow, Caltrans said. Some natural disasters have caused notable problems: In 2018, Highway 23, which connects Pacific Coast Highway and the 101 Freeway, was closed for about six weeks starting in November after the Woolsey fire ripped through nearly 100,000 acres in the Santa Monica Mountains.

Man-made fires have also taken their toll on Southern California's freeways. In 2013, a tanker truck carrying 8,500 gallons of gasoline crashed and caught fire, severely damaging a tunnel connecting the 5 and 2 freeways in Elysian Valley north of downtown. The conflagration burned through almost three inches of concrete and caused chunks of it to fall from the tunnel walls, necessitating a $16.5-million repair. The work wasn't completed until January 2014.

But the biggest disruption to the freeway system occurred after the magnitude 6.7 earthquake struck L.A. on Jan. 17, 1994, killing dozens and causing tens of billions of dollars of property damage. Parts of one highway and six freeways, among them the 5 and the 10, were closed after the temblor collapsed overpasses and buckled roadways, The Times reported.

An accelerated construction effort — one spurred by round-the-clock work — led to reopenings ahead of schedule. In the case of the 10 Freeway, which saw two sections flattened by the quake, contractor C.C. Myers Inc. finished the project 74 days ahead of schedule, allowing it to reopen in April. The company had been offered a $200,000 bonus for every day the work was finished ahead of schedule, The Times reported.

Bass invoked that push on Sunday.

“For those of you that remember the 1994 Northridge earthquake, Caltrans worked around the clock to complete the emergency repairs to the freeways, and this structural damage calls for the same level of urgency and effort,” she said.

Newsom said the state is now determining whether to offer contractors incentives to finish repair work quickly.

“We are sober and mindful of the urgency to get this open,” Newsom said. “It is safety first, it’s speed second.”

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Editing by David Gregorio)



PACIFIC ISLANDERS

Which islands will become uninhabitable due to climate change first?

Meg Duff
Sun, November 12, 2023 

A horizontal aerial view of a thin occupied strip of land with buildings, with the ocean on each side.


About a million people live in coral atolls like those in the Maldives, Tuvalu, Kiribati, and the Marshall Islands. These islands are just a few feet in elevation, making them some of the places most at-risk from the rising seas that will result from climate change. Five uninhabited islands in the Solomon Islands have already vanished beneath the waves in the past century.

The Maldives, Kiribati, Tuvalu, and the Marshall Islands have the highest percentage of their land area at risk because they are all atolls; other countries also have low lying islands, but have more higher ground available to flee to.

So which low-lying islands will be underwater — and uninhabitable — the soonest due to climate change? As it turns out, that question is impossible to answer. Four islands illustrate why.

Mainadhoo, Huvadhoo Atoll, Maldives

First, scientists don't have accurate elevation data for many of these far-flung islands, and even if they did, that information doesn't predict when they will be submerged.

"Atoll islands are very dynamic places," said Geronimo Gussmann, a researcher at the Global Climate Forum. "They shift shape, they grow in elevation. They sometimes merge very quickly."

Related: Alarming collapse of Greenland ice shelves sparks warning of sea level rise

Sand can grow such coral-reef islands, a 2018 paper studying the island of Mainadhoo in the Maldives found. But islands get new sand from coral reefs, and global warming kills coral. At an extra 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius), 99% of coral reefs die. At 2.7 F (1.5 C), some corals remain.

Coral health will determine which islands can keep pace with rising tides.

Roi-Namur Island, Kwajalein Atoll, Republic of Marshall Islands


Aerial view of a ring shaped series of islets amidst a blue ocean

Islands also don't need to disappear to become uninhabitable. For one thing, when waves roll over low-lying islands, they contaminate fresh groundwater with salt. Higher seas mean frequent floods, and groundwater can't recover from daily or even yearly inundation: food trees die and water must be imported.

A 2018 paper in Science Advances analyzed flooding on Roi-Namur in the Marshall Islands. It predicted that most atoll islands will have no potable water by the 2060s (if global climate goals are not met) or by the 2030s if ice sheets collapse under the "worst case scenario" for climate change. Thousands of Marshall Islanders have already emigrated.

Mundoo, Laamu Atoll, The Maldives

Many islanders are adapting, even despite devastating floods, so just defining "habitable" is challenging. "It's poking the beehive," Gussmann told Live Science.

Just a few blocks wide at the widest end, the island of Mundoo in the Maldives boasts a school, beautiful beaches, and a number of sports teams. It is home to less than 200 people — but even that number is surprising.

In 2004, flooding decimated Mundoo and neighboring Kalhaidhoo. The government announced that both islands would be uninhabited moving forward — "Mundoo has basically received no public sector investments," Gussmann said — but many Mundoo families moved back. Islands without central government funding, Gussmann said, may become uninhabited first but political will can bring surprises.
Fongafale, Funafuti Atoll, Tuvalu

Urban islands receive more investment than rural ones, but they also face challenges. Tuvalu, the capital island of Fongafale, is home to about 4,000 people. By 2100, 95% of the island may flood during high tides.

RELATED STORIES

The 'safe' threshold for global warming will be passed in just 6 years, scientists say

We could be 16 years into a methane-fueled 'termination' event significant enough to end an ice age

19 'mass extinctions' had CO2 levels we're now veering toward, study warns

To combat this, Tuvalu recently added artificial high ground on one side of the island. A long-term plan involves making the island about 50% wider, then eventually raising both sides.

But a 2022 analysis of multiple risk factors found that even these protection efforts may not keep islands habitable: declining ecosystems will hurt tourism, fisheries and islanders' abilities to fund solutions. The scale and speed of global efforts to limit climate change will make a tangible difference. Ultimately, which islands and island communities can remain will depend in large part on how the rest of the world responds.


Australia foreign minister touts Tuvalu security, migration pact

Reuters
Sat, November 11, 2023 

78th UNGA General Debate at UN HQ in New York

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Australia's Foreign Minister Penny Wong said on Sunday that a security and migration pact signed with Tuvalu showed Australia was a "genuine, reliable" regional partner, as it seeks to counter China's influence in the Pacific.

Australia announced on Friday the security guarantee to the tiny Pacific Islands nation to respond to military aggression, protect it from climate change and boost migration.

Australia, a United States ally, has been working to shore up its Pacific standing amid a rising China, which recently upgraded a security pact with Solomon Islands.

"It is about Australia saying to the region and to Tuvalu, we are a genuine, reliable partner and when we say we are part of the Pacific family, we mean it," Wong told the Australian Broadcasting Corp, regarding the Tuvalu pact.

Asked if it was linked to China's activity in the region, Wong said: "We recognise we live in a more contested region and we have to work harder to be a partner of choice, we know that".

Under the treaty, announced in the Cook Islands by Australia's Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and his Tuvalu counterpart Kausea Natano, Australia will also vet Tuvalu's security arrangements with other nations.

Albanese has called the pact Australia's most significant agreement with a Pacific Island nation, giving "a guarantee that upon a request from Tuvalu for any military assistance based upon security issues, Australia will be there."

Tuvalu, population around 11,000, is one of just 13 nations to maintain an official diplomatic relationship with Taiwan, as Beijing has made increasing Pacific inroads.

A collection of nine low-lying islands mid-way between Australia and Hawaii, Tuvalu is one of the world's most at-risk countries from climate change and has long drawn international attention to the issue.

Reporting by Sam McKeith in Sydney;


SINGAPORE

Government officials refuse to cede ‘an inch of land’ amid rising threat: ‘This is something that we take very seriously’

Susan Elizabeth Turek
Sun, November 12, 2023 


Approximately one-third of Singapore is situated less than 16 feet above sea level, and with rising waters affecting shorelines worldwide, government officials are taking action to protect over $50 billion in real estate.

“We are not planning to lose any inch of land permanently,” Ho Chai Deck, a deputy director at government agency PUB, told Bloomberg in October. “Singapore will build a continuous line of defense along our entire coast. This is something that we take very seriously.”

The iconic Marina Bay waterfront is reportedly an area that could be impacted by the effects of rising sea levels caused by heat-trapping gases produced by human activities, as is Jurong Island, which hosts several oil and petrochemical companies that, if affected, could release hazardous chemicals into the environment.

“This is a country more susceptible to sea-level rise than virtually any country in the world,” Nanyang Technological University professor Benjamin Horton said.

As detailed by Bloomberg, Singapore is utilizing a multipronged approach for success.

With the reclamation of land using piled-up sand, the use of the Marina Barrage — a dam with large pumps that drain extra water during intense rainfall and high tide — and the help of mangrove trees, Singapore has reportedly added more than 45 square miles of land while preparing for the future.

The country, like some other companies and initiatives, is also looking toward computer technology for assistance, collaborating with the Hydroinformatics Institute and National University of Singapore to build a model to help predict which areas are most at risk of flooding to protect not only the real estate but also human life.

“Both the Singapore Armed Forces and climate change defenses are existential. These are life-and-death matters,” Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said in 2019, acknowledging the challenges Earth’s changing environment presents, per Bloomberg.

With Singapore’s reported plans to spend approximately $73 billion over the next century on coastal and flood protection, the country’s multilayered approach also includes long-term dedication and vision, one attainable step at a time.

“Singapore wants to see if the technology is safe, and ensure everything is working well, before it takes the next step,” added JanJaap Brinkman, a director at water research institute Deltares and an adviser to Singapore.
COP28 HOST
Dubai cements super-hub strategy with $50 billion jet orders

Updated Mon, November 13, 2023 


Visitors stand in front of the plane Boeing 777X during the Dubai Airshow, in Dubai


By Tim Hepher, Alexander Cornwell and Pesha Magid

DUBAI (Reuters) -Dubai carriers threw down the gauntlet to emerging regional rivals with more than $50 billion of Boeing jet orders on Monday, as competition intensifies to secure dwindling supplies of long-haul jets and anticipate growth in international travel.

Government-owned Emirates and sister airline flyDubai secured 125 Boeing wide-body jets at the opening of the Dubai Airshow, but left Europe's Airbus waiting for an order for broadly similar A350 jets.

Orders included 55 of the 400-seat Boeing 777-9 and 35 of the smaller 777-8 in a boost for the over-arching programme known as 777X, which has been plagued by five years of delays.

Emirates also took five extra 787 Dreamliners while flyDubai ordered 30 of the same type in its first ever long-haul order.

"Together these orders represent significant investments that reflect Dubai's commitment to the future of aviation," said Emirates and flyDubai Chairman Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al Maktoum.

He said Emirates expected to receive the 777X in 2025, which is in line with Boeing's latest target.

Aviation and tourism industries are crucial to Dubai's economy, which lacks the oil wealth of many neighbouring states.

In New York, Boeing shares rose 4.4% after the orders, which also included 45 narrow-body 737 MAX for German-Turkish airline SunExpress.

Shares were also lifted by a Bloomberg report that talk this week between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping could end a prolonged freeze on Chinese 737 purchases.

Medium-haul planes like the 737 MAX and competing Airbus A32neo drive planemaker and supplier profits globally.

But the Gulf is the biggest customer for larger wide-body jets given the favourable geography of its UAE and Qatar hubs.

Industry officials said the latest orders raised the stakes as Saudi Arabia looks to establish its own footprint and Turkey and India forge plans to draw connecting traffic away from the Gulf.

"They (Dubai) are saying we are the big elephant in the room (and) demonstrating that they are a big player," Air Lease Corp Executive Chairman Steven F. Udvar-Hazy said.

Industry officials estimate airlines worldwide are in talks to buy 700-800 new jets, including 200-300 wide-bodies, as they catch up on replacement plans set aside during the pandemic.

But Udvar-Hazy questioned whether there was room for all the capacity being explored simultaneously by the region's carriers. "They are fighting for the same passengers," he told Reuters.

Turkish Airlines (THY) burst onto the show's agenda on Saturday with word from state-run Anadolu news agency that it was in talks to buy up to 355 Airbus jets.

That triggered preparations for a high-profile announcement at the air show on Monday, and then Tuesday, as a Mideast source predicted a "bold move" in the backyard of Gulf rivals.

In an unusual holding statement, Airbus said it had reached agreement "in principle" on a significant THY order. But it added the deal needed to be ratified in the coming days, in what sources saw as a sign it may no longer be announced at the show.

LOWER BOOKINGS

Other significant orders appeared to be in the works without being played out in public in Dubai.

Saudi Arabia's newest airline Riyadh Air said it is still in talks with planemakers to place an order for narrow-body jets.

Saudia Airlines Group is planning to order about 150 narrow-bodied aircraft for Saudia Airline and low-cost Flyadeal, the group's vice president for fleet management told Asharq TV.

Saudi Arabia has established Riyadh Air as part of plans to transform the kingdom into a major aviation hub.

With many jets not due to be delivered until 2030 and remain in the skies for two decades, airlines are gambling on long-term demand from future travelers - many of whom have yet to be born.

But the show brought reminders of the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza that is pushing up demand for weapons and closing airspace.

Ordering six Boeing 787s, Royal Jordanian's chief executive said the airline was seeing a reduction in traffic and having to operate longer routes as a result of the neighbouring war.

"There's enough statistical evidence, at least in the short term, to show that there's been a substantial drop in tickets sales into the region," said Daniel Silke, director of Cape Town-based Political Futures Consultancy.

Analysts have said the war in Gaza is also likely to reinforce demand for weapons on top of a surge in the past 18 months as the United States and its allies rearm Ukraine against Russia. However, few major arms deals were expected at the show.

In a hall, stands of Israeli arms firms Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) and Rafael Advanced Defense Systems were empty.

(Reporting by Tim Hepher, Alexander Cornwell, Pesha Magid, Valerie Insinna; editing by Hugh Lawson, Lisa Shumaker, Shri Navaratnam and Sharon Singleton)

Stellantis offers buyouts to 6,400 white-collar workers
Mark Moran
Mon, November 13, 2023

Amid cooling projections for EVs, the automaker Stellantis has offered buyouts to 6,400 of its white-collar, non-union workers in the United States. Photo by James Atoa/UPI

Nov. 13 (UPI) -- The automaker Stellantis has offered to buy out 6,400 of its white-collar workers in the United States, citing the transition to electric vehicles and a dodgy car market. That's about half of the company's 12,700 salaried employees not represented by the United Auto Workers.

"As the U.S. automotive industry continues to face challenging market conditions, Stellantis is taking the necessary structural actions to protect our operations and the company," Stellantis spokesperson Jodi Tinson said in a statement Monday.

"As we prepare for the transition to electric vehicles, Stellantis announced today that it will offer a voluntary separation package to assist those non-represented employees who would like to separate or retire from the company to pursue other interests with a favorable package of benefits," Tinson added.

The buyouts are based on years of service and offer employees, who have until Dec. 8 to make a decision, a lump sum payout. Workers with between five and nine years would receive three months of base pay, 10-14 years would get six months pay, those with 15-19 years would get nine months pay and those with 20 years or more would receive the equivalent of a year's salary, according to terms of the offer.

This is the second round of buyouts this year. Stellantis recently reached an agreement with the UAW on a new labor agreement for its union-backed workers who build the Jeep, Ram, Chrysler, Dodge and Fiat brands.

Stellantis offered buyouts to 2,500 U.S. salaried employees and 31,000 hourly workers in the United States and Canada. The company has not said how many people took those buyouts.

High interest rates are slowing car sales as potential buyers struggle to come up with higher monthly payments. Those factors are blamed for a 1% drop in Stellantis sales in September.

This comes at a time when the automaker is poised to release its first fleet of all-electric vehicles in North America, which the company has characterized as "40% more expensive than internal combustion engine counterparts."

That release comes as the auto industry is slowing once optimistic projections on EV sales due to stubbornly high sticker prices and an insufficient network of charging stations.

Market analysts have said Stellantis has talked about cost-cutting in order to fund their EV investments.

"They're probably focusing on people working in areas related to internal combustion engine vehicles where there's less future investment in those products," Sam Abuelsamid, principal e-mobility analyst at market research firm Guidehouse Inc. said.

Stellantis offering buyouts to about half its US salaried employees

Mon, November 13, 2023
By David Shepardson

Nov 13 (Reuters) - Chrysler-parent Stellantis said Monday it is offering 6,400 U.S. salaried employees voluntary buyouts as it works to cut costs amid the transition to electric vehicles and agreeing to a new United Auto Workers contract.

The buyouts would be about half the company's salaried U.S. employees not represented by a union, which is currently 12,700. Another 2,500 Stellantis U.S. salaried workers are unionized and are not being offered the current buyout.

Salaried employees must have at least five years of experience to be offered a voluntary departure package. Employees agreeing to take the incentive would depart before the end of December.

Stellantis said it was taking "necessary structural actions to protect our operations and the company" and cited preparations "for the transition to electric vehicles."

In April, Stellantis said it was offering voluntary exit packages to 33,500 U.S. employees. That offer covered 31,000 U.S. hourly workers and about 2,500 salaried workers. It is also offered some employees in Canada voluntary buyouts.

Stellantis Chief Operating Officer Mark Stewart told employees in April a review of its operations "has made it clear that we must become more efficient."

In October 2022, Stellantis offered voluntary buyouts to its U.S. salaried employees who were aged 55 or older and had worked for the automaker at least 10 years.

Under the UAW contract, the company agreed to offer $50,000 buyouts for veteran production and skilled trade members. It will offer buyouts in 2024 and 2026.

Stellantis said on Oct. 31 it would seek to offset a significant financial hit from strikes in North America that led to big pay increases and was looking at potential cost cuts.

Stellantis CFO Natalie Knight said the six-week strikes were unexpectedly long and would cost the group in the full-year 2023 less than 750 million euros ($800 million) in terms of profitability and around 3 billion euros in terms of revenue.

Stellantis did not provide estimates on extra labor costs it will have to bear in the future, following new agreements with unions in North America.

(Reporting by David Shepardson; Editing by Leslie Adler and Lisa Shumaker)


Jailed Philippine rights campaigner de Lima 'triumphant' after winning bail

Pam CASTRO
Mon, 13 November 2023

Rights campaigner Leila de Lima is one of the most outspoken critics of former president Rodrigo Duterte and his deadly anti-drug war (TED ALJIBE)

Philippine human rights campaigner Leila de Lima was "triumphant" on Monday when a judge granted her bail, putting her a step closer to freedom after nearly seven years behind bars.

De Lima, one of the most outspoken critics of former president Rodrigo Duterte and his deadly anti-drug war, was jailed on narcotics-related charges she says were fabricated to silence her.

The former senator, justice minister and human rights commissioner waved to supporters as she exited the Manila court, surrounded by police officers and journalists.

"This is a moment of triumphant joy and also thanksgiving," de Lima said before being taken back to prison briefly ahead of her release.

"I've been praying so hard for this day to come. It's very painful to be jailed despite being innocent."

De Lima, 64, is accused of taking money from inmates inside the largest prison in the Philippines to allow them to sell drugs while she was justice minister from 2010 to 2015.

Multiple witnesses, including prison gang bosses, died or recanted their testimonies, resulting in the dismissal of two of the three charges against de Lima.

She still faces life in prison if convicted on the remaining charge.

In a decision dated November 10, Judge Gener Gito allowed de Lima and her four surviving co-accused to post bail of 300,000 pesos ($5,350) each.

Hours after the bail announcement, de Lima left the national police headquarters where she had been held in a compound for high-profile detainees, rather than one of the country's overcrowded prisons.

"Precious freedom, free at last," she shouted to reporters as she was driven away.

- 'Unjustly prosecuted and detained' -

Since President Ferdinand Marcos came into office in June 2022 there have been renewed calls from human rights groups, foreign diplomats and politicians for de Lima's release.

Justice Secretary Crispin Remulla said the court's ruling showed "democracy is alive and well in our country".

Rights groups and foreign diplomats welcomed the bail decision.

"She never should have been unjustly prosecuted and detained by former President Rodrigo Duterte," Human Rights Watch deputy Asia director Bryony Lau said.

Lau said Duterte's administration "concocted evidence and used the machinery of an abusive state to punish her for performing her duties as a senator and speaking out against the 'war on drugs'."

Amnesty International called for the last remaining drug charge to be "dismissed expeditiously" and those behind her detention to "be brought to justice".

US ambassador to Manila MaryKay Carlson said: "We continue to follow her case closely and look forward to seeing the remaining charges against her resolved in accordance with Philippine law."

But Salvador Panelo, who was chief legal counsel for Duterte when he was president, insisted there was "strong evidence" that de Lima was guilty.

"The government can appeal the erroneous grant of bail by the lower court to the higher courts," Panelo said.

Before her arrest on February 24, 2017, de Lima had spent a decade investigating "death squad" killings allegedly orchestrated by Duterte during his time as Davao City mayor and in the early days of his presidency.

She conducted the probes while serving as the nation's human rights commissioner, and then from 2010 to 2015 as justice minister in the Aquino administration that preceded Duterte's rule.

De Lima became one of the few opposition voices after winning a Senate seat in the 2016 elections that also swept populist Duterte to power.

Duterte then accused her of running a drug trafficking ring with criminals when she was justice secretary, forcing her from the Senate and into jail.

De Lima lost her bid for re-election in May 2022 after campaigning from behind bars.

Duterte, who was constitutionally barred from seeking a second term as president, stepped down the following month.

De Lima has suffered various health problems while in jail, including a pelvic organ prolapse that required surgery.

She was also briefly taken hostage during an attempted breakout by three detained militants in October 2022.

Throughout the legal proceedings, de Lima has insisted the charges against her had been trumped up in retaliation for going after Duterte and his drug war that killed thousands of people.

"Now that I'm free I'm going to work hard to redeem my name," de Lima told reporters.

"Complete vindication is the key."

pam/amj/dhw


Jailed Philippine rights campaigner de Lima granted bail


Manila (AFP) – Jailed Philippine human rights campaigner Leila de Lima has been granted bail, her lawyer said Monday, putting her a step closer to freedom after nearly seven years behind bars.


Issued on: 13/11/2023 


De Lima, one of the most outspoken critics of former president Rodrigo Duterte and his deadly anti-drug war, was jailed on narcotics-related charges she says were fabricated to silence her.

"This is a moment of triumphant joy and also thanksgiving," de Lima told reporters as she left the court surrounded by police officers and boarded a minibus to be taken back to prison.

"I've been praying so hard for this day to come. It's very painful to be jailed despite being innocent."

Her lawyer, Filibon Tacardon, said de Lima "cried" when the decision was announced in the Manila court.

"We expected the bail solely because of the merits of the case," Tacardon told reporters.

"We believe that she's innocent -- we all believe that she's innocent and all these charges are trumped up."

It was not immediately clear when she would walk free.

Human Rights Watch welcomed the bail decision.

"She never should have been unjustly prosecuted and detained by former President Rodrigo Duterte," deputy Asia director Bryony Lau said in a statement.

Lau said Duterte's administration "concocted evidence and used the machinery of an abusive state to punish her for performing her duties as a senator and speaking out against the 'war on drugs'."
Probed 'death squad' killings

De Lima, 64, is accused of taking money from inmates inside the largest prison in the Philippines to allow them to sell drugs while she was justice minister from 2010 to 2015.

Multiple witnesses, including prison gang bosses, died or recanted their testimonies, resulting in the dismissal of two of the three charges against de Lima.

Since President Ferdinand Marcos came into office last June there have been renewed calls from human rights groups, foreign diplomats and politicians for de Lima's release.

While in jail she has suffered various health problems, including a pelvic organ prolapse that required surgery.

In October 2022, she was briefly taken hostage during an attempted breakout by three detained militants.

Before her arrest on February 24, 2017, de Lima had spent a decade investigating "death squad" killings allegedly orchestrated by Duterte during his time as Davao City mayor and in the early days of his presidency.

She conducted the probes while serving as the nation's human rights commissioner, and then from 2010 to 2015 as justice minister in the Aquino administration that preceded Duterte's rule.

After winning a Senate seat in the 2016 elections that also swept populist Duterte to power, de Lima became one of the few opposition voices.

Duterte then accused her of running a drug trafficking ring with criminals when she was justice secretary, forcing her from the Senate and into a jail cell.

De Lima lost her bid for re-election in May 2022 after campaigning from behind bars.

Duterte, who was constitutionally barred from seeking a second term as president, stepped down the following month.

Throughout the proceedings, de Lima has insisted the charges against her had been trumped up in retaliation for going after Duterte and his drug war that killed thousands of people.

The lawyer and mother of two has been held in a compound for high-profile detainees, rather than one of the Philippines' notoriously overcrowded jails.

© 2023 AFP
Are we heading for more ash cloud travel chaos? Iceland on high alert amid volcano warning

Hazel Plush
Mon, 13 November 2023 

The billowing ash cloud of Eyjafjallajökull volcano caused global travel disruption in spring 2010 - AP

Iceland has declared a state of emergency, amid rising fears of a volcanic eruption. There is now a “significant likelihood of a volcanic eruption in the coming days”, the Icelandic Met Office (IMO) warned on Monday.

The volcanic activity is focused in the Reykjanes peninsula, in the nation’s south-west. The region has experienced hundreds of earthquakes in recent days, sparking the evacuation of Grindavík town on Sunday. The evacuation was ordered by Iceland’s Civil Protection Agency, after the IMO said it was possible that a “magma tunnel that is currently forming could reach Grindavík”.

Keflavik Airport, Iceland’s major air hub, is located just 12 miles (20 km) north of Grindavík, while the Blue Lagoon – one of the nation’s most popular tourist attractions and hotels – sits 4.3 miles (7 km) north, and closed last week due to safety fears. Reykjavik, Iceland’s capital, is 50km away.

Cracks emerge on a road due to volcanic activity at the entrance to Grindavik, Iceland, 11 November 2023 - Reuters

An eruption would not only spell disruption for holidaymakers booked to travel to Iceland, but there are fears that its effects could be more far-reaching. In 2010, the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull volcano in southern Iceland halted commercial flights across Europe for almost a week – leaving 50,000 flights grounded, and an estimated 10 million travellers stranded.

Here’s what you need to know if you are booked to travel to Iceland – and your rights if you choose to cancel your trip.

Will the Iceland volcano affect flights – like during the Eyjafjallajökull ash cloud?

The billowing ash cloud of Eyjafjallajökull volcano caused global travel disruption in spring 2010, amid worries that it could damage aircraft engines. It lasted for almost a week, causing the highest level of air travel disruption since the Second World War. Could this new wave of seismic activity lead to similar chaos?

No, because any explosion is likely to occur under the ground, not under a glacier, says Paavo Nikkola, Research Scientist at the Geological Survey of Finland GTK.

“A volcanic ash cloud like in 2010 is not possible now,” Nikkola told Finnish broadcast organisation Yle. “Back then, the ash was generated by a large explosive eruption beneath a glacier. Now, the eruption is likely to occur underground. It’s a calm lava eruption that doesn’t produce ash.”

Are flights to Iceland being cancelled?


“Keflavik International Airport is operating as normal,” the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO) states in its Iceland travel advice. At present, all flights between Britain and Iceland are unaffected.

However, Keflavik’s location could be problematic: it is located on the Reykjanes peninsula, the centre of Iceland’s current volcanic activity – some 12 miles (20km) north of Grindavík, the town which was evacuated on Sunday amid eruption fears.

The likes of Icelandair, easyJet and British Airways connect Keflavik, the nation’s major airline hub, with Britain – and it is a key stopover hub for transatlantic flights. It is the gateway to Reykjavik, the nation’s capital 50 minutes’ drive away.

Airlines are “monitoring the situation closely”, a spokesperson for easyJet disclosed. “Our flying schedule is currently operating as normal however we are monitoring the situation closely and should this change we will contact customers directly to advise on their flights.”

Icelandair, the national airline, has advised it is unable to comment on the situation.


A volcano spews molten lava near Grindavik, Iceland in 2021 - Getty

Is it safe to visit Iceland?


The FCDO updated its advice on Saturday for Britons travelling to Iceland. “While there is no current eruption, it is increasingly possible that one could occur,” it now warns.

Those heading to the region should “monitor local media for updates and follow the authorities advice on travel to the area,” it advises.

Travellers should “check for alerts and advice from the: Icelandic Met Office, Safe Travel Iceland, Almannavarnadeild Facebook page and Twitter (@almannavarnir).”

“Earthquakes and indications of volcanic activity have increased above normal levels on the Reykjanes peninsula, southwest of Reykjavik. The Icelandic authorities continue to monitor the area closely, particularly the area northwest of Mt Thorbjörn near the Svartsengi power plant and the Blue Lagoon.”

I’m in Iceland now – can I come home early?

That depends on your airline or tour operator. The FCDO is not currently warning against travel to, or around, Iceland, so your transport provider is not compelled to curtail your trip, nor offer a refund if you choose to head home early. As above, monitor the situation via the

If you do change your travel plans, it is likely that you must pay for the privilege – though if you have a flexible ticket, the charge may be waived. Speak to your airline or tour operator directly, before you take any decisive action.

Travellers who are due to stay at, or visit, the Blue Lagoon, should be aware that the hotel and attraction is closed. Contact your tour operator or the hotel directly for advice on rebooking or obtaining a refund.

Should I cancel my holiday to Iceland?

Unless the FCDO changes its advice to warn against travel to Iceland, or the area to which you are headed, it is probable that your holiday will proceed as planned.

If you choose to cancel your holiday, it is highly unlikely that you will be covered by travel insurance.

Will I be covered by travel insurance if I visit Iceland?

Yes, while the FCDO does not warn against travel to Iceland. If you are concerned, speak to your provider directly – and ensure that you keep the “emergency” phone number to-hand while abroad, in case the situation changes.
Which tourist attractions have closed in Iceland?

The Blue Lagoon wellness resort is the only tourist attraction that has closed due to safety fears. In the Reykjanes peninsula area, other local sights include the Reykjanesfólkvangur nature reserve and Inside the Volcano – an adventure tour that takes place inside an extinct volcano.
Beyond amnesty, Spain's financial pact with Catalans also rankles


Valentin BONTEMPS
Mon, 13 November 2023 

A 'Sanchez traitor' sign at a Madrid protest on Nov. 12 against the Catalan deals offered by Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez (Thomas COEX)

Spain's Socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, already under fire for promising to pardon Catalan separatists, is also clashing with opposition parties over how to share spending and revenue with the country's regions.

Sanchez's plan to grant amnesty to Catalan separatists involved in a failed 2017 secession has led to nationwide protest.

But he has also cut other deals with the Catalans to win their support and ensure a majority for his government in parliament.


Bowing to demands from the Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC), Sanchez agreed to forgive 15 billion euros ($16 billion) owed by Catalonia to the national government dating from the 2008 financial crisis.

Even though the Socialists are promising to extend this accord to other regions that borrowed under the same scheme, the concession has annoyed other regional governments, including those run by the left.

The accord reached Thursday with Junts per Catalunya, the second-largest independence group, also calls for favouring the return to Catalonia of companies that moved their headquarters away following the 2017 secession crisis, such as Caixabank and Naturgy.

- Claiming '100% of taxes' -

Above all, in response to Junts' demands that Catalonia keep all taxes raised in the region, the Socialists pledged to support the "financial autonomy" of the region and facilitate its access to financial markets.

The subject is sensitive in Spain, where the constitution guarantees a high degree of financial and fiscal autonomy to regions, as well as control over health and education spending, while still calling for solidarity between regions.

Currently two regions -- the Basque country and Navarre -- manage all taxes raised in their territory, handing over only a cut (the "cupo") to the central government in exchange for the services it provides.

But their economic and budgetary weight is nowhere near that of Catalonia, which is the industrial motor of Spain and represents 20 percent of its economic output and 16 percent of its population.

According to the think tank Fedea, Catalonia in 2021 sent 2.2 billion euros more to the central government than it received.

Only two other regions out of 17 paid out more than they received: Madrid (6.3 billion euros) and the Balearic Islands (334 million).

- Pandora's box? -


The organisation that represents Spain's tax auditors said the accord would "violate the principle of equality between Spaniards" and create "first- and second-class regions".

Sanchez's Socialist Party has chosen to "favour a minority at the expense of the majority", said Alberto Nunez-Feijoo, head of the centre-right Popular Party opposition.

It was strong showings by the Popular Party in regional elections that prompted Sanchez in May to call the snap election in July, which saw neither the Socialists nor the PP secure a majority in parliament.

But in hoping to obtain Catalan support, Sanchez's promises threaten to open a costly Pandora's box for the central government, many economists warn, with other regions such as Andalusia already asking for debt forgiveness.

"Debts must be paid," Jose Maria Rotellar, director of the economic observatory at Francisco de Vitoria University, said in an article, warning of a "loss of credibility" and "insecurity about who will assume future regional debts".

The Castilla-La Mancha region, run by a Socialist critic of Sanchez, threatened to sue the government over the Catalan pact.

Seeking to calm things down, the Socialists insist that no final decisions have been taken on fiscal matters.

"At no moment has the Socialist Party pledged to cede 100 percent of taxes" to Catalonia, Budget Minister Maria Jesus Montero has said.

vab/mg/sk/gv/js
Southern England being prepared for massive solar farm expansion

Jonathan Leake
Mon, 13 November 2023 

solar farms southern England

Farmland equivalent to 40,000 football pitches could be turned into industrial solar farms across southern England under plans by Ofgem to boost green electricity generation close to London.

It suggests 20 gigawatts of electricity could be generated by new solar farms across the Home Counties and East Anglia, meaning the installation of up to 60 million industrial solar panels. Another 4-6GW would come from onshore wind farms, comprising 2-3,000 wind turbines, also in the Home Counties and the South.

The total output would roughly equate to 13 nuclear power stations.

The proposal could cut CO2 emissions, reduce bills and boost energy security for the South, but solar farms take up 2,500 acres of land for each gigawatt of power.

It means those benefits would come at the price of turning up to 50,000 acres of fertile farmland into industrial-scale solar parks and wind farms and so could be hugely controversial.

The Campaign to Protect Rural England (CPRE) has warned the plan could see many tenant farmers thrown off their land, increase pressure on the green belt, and see rural landscapes altered forever.

However Ofgem, the Government’s energy regulator, says it could help cut consumer bills by £51bn over 15 years. The proposals are part of its wider plans for “locational pricing” under which the wholesale price of electricity, which is currently the same across Britain, would instead vary by region.

The price in each region would instead be based on local supply and demand, as well as how close power stations are to consumers.

For consumers the highest bills would be seen in regions like London and the south east, which are most distant from northern and offshore wind farms.

Conversely, consumers in regions like Scotland, which already have thousands of turbines both onshore and around their coasts, would pay much less.

Ofgem’s research suggests that making electricity prices higher in the south east, where demand is strongest and supply weakest, would incentivise solar developers.

They would be encouraged to buy up swathes of farmland in a region stretching from London to Bristol and up to Norwich and Cambridge for solar parks and wind farms.

Its report, just published, divides the UK into seven pricing zones with southern England and East Anglia in regions GB6 and GB7.

It said: “Attracted by higher nodal [regional] prices and the better climatic condition … more than 20GW of new solar generation capacity is forecast to be sited in GB6 and GB7 by 2040.”

A spokesman said: “Consumer benefits of locational pricing could reach £51bn between 2025-2040 … For domestic consumers, this would be equivalent to £56 a year saving.”

He admitted, however, that Scottish consumers would gain most with savings averaging £60 while Londoners would benefit by just £10 a year.

Those most affected by solar farms say such savings are small compared to the damage done to landscapes. Paul Harding, of Great Wymondley Village Association, in Hertfordshire, said: “Our local residents in Wymondley already face being consumed by two solar farms, taking a total of 123 hectares of quality farmland in precious green belt very close to conservation areas and listed buildings simply because we are near a substation.

“Each part of the country should contribute to the national good in the way it most effectively can and for the south east that is not covering our farmland with solar panels.”

David Mairs, of CPRE Kent, said: “Swathes of land have been sacrificed for solar farms across our county. Cleve Hill on the North Kent Marshes, mooted at the time of application as the largest in the country, was wrong on every level. Thanet, in the east of the county, is effectively ring fenced by wind farms, ruining the seascape.

“We accept that some solar farms and offshore wind farms are going to happen, but the gung-ho approach being suggested is not justifiable, on landscape grounds alone.”

Other green campaigners say regional pricing and generation is essential. Simon Skillings, an analyst at E3G, an energy think-tank, said locational pricing would be essential to keeping bills down and boosting renewables. He said: “It has to happen to avoid wasting huge amounts of money. Our view is that it will be impossible to run the electricity system efficiently without it. …This is not a big policy choice – it’s a necessity.”

Some energy companies are also enthusiasts. Rachel Fletcher, economics director at Octopus Energy, which supplies 5.3m UK customers, said the company was strongly in favour of locational pricing partly because it would cut costs for all consumers and help the UK cut its carbon emissions faster.

She said: “Locational pricing will benefit every household in the UK. It would incentivise the growth of renewables closer to where electricity is consumed and it would mean we would use our grid in the most efficient way.

“This wouldn’t just bring bills down for consumers, it also means we wouldn’t have to plaster our beautiful countryside with more pylons through unnecessary grid infrastructure. It would also attract energy-intensive industries like data centres to areas where renewable energy is already abundant, creating thousands of jobs along the way.”

Trade bodies are more cautious - warning the upheaval of changing an established system would deter investors. Solar Energy UK’s director of policy and delivery Gemma Grimes said: “Making energy prices more volatile, disrupting investor confidence and increasing the cost of capital at this time would be deeply unhelpful.”.

A Department for Energy Security and Net Zero spokesman said it would soon be consulting on locational pricing and the potential for expansion of solar power: “We are considering a range of options and incentives to better match where energy is generated and used, helping to ensure a fair deal for consumers.

“We continue to work closely with industry and stakeholders to develop and refine options for reform, ahead of a further consultation expected this autumn.”