Thursday, November 23, 2023

SPACE
British space companies invited to join race to build Europe’s new rocket

Sarah Knapton
Tue, November 21, 2023 

ESA director general Josef Aschbacher with German government aerospace coordinator Anna Christmann - JOSE MANUEL VIDAL/EPA-EFE/SHUTTERSTOCK

The European Space Agency has vowed to develop a SpaceX-style rocket to help it catch up with the United States, with the help of British companies.

The ESA is suffering a major launch crisis after it retired its Ariane 5 heavy-load rocket in July only to experience multiple problems with its replacements, which has forced the agency to hitch a ride with SpaceX.

At the UK Space Conference in Belfast, Josef Aschbacher, the ESA director general, said the crisis had forced the agency into a “paradigm shift”’ in which they will launch a competition for new rockets capable of rivalling SpaceX’s Falcon 9 and Starship.


“Launchers are a risky business, they are literally rocket science and sometimes fail, but we have to regain guaranteed access to space,” he said. “We have decided, collectively, on a paradigm shift that means for the next launcher, we will run a competition and the best company will win.

“This is a completely new way of doing it in Europe but it was done already in the US by Nasa, out of which, as we all know, SpaceX with Falcon 9 emerged. We’re doing more or less the same.

“These will be small launches, at the beginning, with a few hundred kilos of payload. They will go into a tonne, maybe two tonnes and eventually five to 10 tonnes for the heavy launcher category.”


The European Space Agency wants to stop hitching a lift on private rockets like Elon Musk's Starship - JOE SKIPPER/REUTERS

Nasa is increasingly outsourcing its launch capability to Elon Musk’s SpaceX and the company is scheduled to take astronauts back to the Moon as part of Nasa’s Artemis III mission, which could launch as early as 2025.

However, SpaceX has suffered a number of mishaps in recent months, with its giant Starship spacecraft exploding twice during test-flights, leading to fears the Artemis III mission may need to be pushed back.

Mr Aschbacher said companies across Europe would be invited to develop the new rocket system for the ESA which is likely to include several companies, such as Skyrora, who are already developing launchers in Britain.

“I see the future of launches in Europe being very much more diverse,” he added. “The UK already has a few launchers that are ready to fly or getting ready to fly.
Huge challenge

“Yes, it’s a huge challenge, some people may say it’s impossible to catch up. It will take time but this is exactly the way Falcon 9 developed, and eventually Starship, and I think we can learn a lot. I’m pretty hopeful that we can catch up in the launcher sector.”

The ESA said it was vital to regain consistent access to space but as well as delays with the Ariane 6 rocket, Europe’s Vega C rocket has been grounded since last December, and European astronauts can no longer fly on the Russian Soyuz after relations broke down with Roscosmos over the Ukraine War.

It has left the ESA relying entirely on SpaceX, although Mr Ashbacher said there was now “light at the end of the tunnel” for Ariane 6. Final tests of the rocket’s Vulcain engines are due to take place this week and, if successful, a date for its maiden test flight will be announced soon after.

Laser Beam Message Traveled 10 Million Miles Across Space to Earth

Cassidy Ward
Tue, November 21, 2023 

Lasers are a staple of the science fiction genre, generally used in various seemingly magical technologies or as weapons. Lasers pld a significant role in the sci-fi classic Farscape (streaming now on Peacock) by way of handheld energy blasters and larger space-based light weaponry. Here in the real world, scientists just struck California with one of the most impressive space lasers in history, and it could revolutionize the way we communicate with craft and crew in space.

Earth Receives a Distant Laser Message from 10 Million Miles Away

NASA’s Deep Space Optical Communications (DSOC) experiment hitched a ride aboard the Psyche spacecraft, headed toward the large metallic asteroid of the same name. The experiment is made up of instruments capable of sending and receiving infrared laser light across incredible distances.

RELATED: What to Know and How to Watch NASA’s Launch to the Asteroid Psyche

The experiment is planned to last two years, sending and receiving laser signals from increasingly distant locations on its way to its final destination. By the end, it will (hopefully) be able to communicate cleanly from the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter.

An illustration of the Psyche spacecraft

This illustration of the Psyche spacecraft shows the locations of the DSOC technology demonstration and X-band high-gain antenna Photo: NASA/JPL-Caltech/ASUImage: Ground telescopes

Of course, we’ve sent and received signals from much farther distances before and we’re still doing it all the time. We have spacecraft happily whizzing around Jupiter and sending back information, not to mention the Voyager spacecraft, still eking out a living in interstellar space. But optical communication would offer significantly higher bandwidth. The goal is to build space-based communications systems with between 10 and 100 times the bandwidth of conventional radio-based communication. That’s because near-infrared lasers have tighter waves than radio, allowing more information to travel in a smaller package.

While the mission is still in its early stages, the team behind it recently achieved a milestone when they gathered first light from the experiment on November 14. From a distance of about 10 million miles (16 million kilometers), about ten times the distance to the Moon, DSOC locked onto an uplink laser beacon transmitting from JPL’s Optical Communications Telescope Laboratory near Wrightwood, California. Using that beacon, the DSOC adjusted its angle to point back at the Hale Telescope at the Palomar Observatory in California. The successful back and forth between Earth and the DSOC marks the most distant demonstration of optical communication in history.
The Future of Laser Communication in Space

“Achieving first light is one of many critical DSOC milestones in the coming months, paving the way toward higher-data-rate communications capable of sending scientific information, high-definition imagery, and streaming video in support of humanity’s next giant leap: sending humans to Mars,” said Trudy Kortes, director of Technology Demonstrations at NASA Headquarters in Washington, in a statement.

The Hale Telescope at Caltech’s Palomar Observatory in San Diego County.

The 200-inch (5.1-meter) Hale Telescope at Caltech’s Palomar Observatory in San Diego County will receive high-rate data from the DSOC flight laser transceiver and (inset) the ground-based laser transmitter at JPL’s Table Mountain will send low-rate data to the flight transceiver. Photo: NASA/JPL-Caltech/Palomar Observatory

The instrument works by sending bits of data encoded in individual photons of laser light. Once those photons are received at the Hale Telescope, the data can be extracted from the photons and transformed back into ones and zeroes. As the Psyche spacecraft and the DSOC experiment travel farther away, scientists are working to refine the systems and control pointing the downlink laser. The farther it is, the more difficult it is to hit the receiving telescope with the laser beam, but it’s even more complicated than that.

RELATED: Everything You Need to Know About NASA's "Asteroid Autumn"

The technology also needs to take time and motion into account. When it gets to its final destination in the asteroid belt, the light travel time will be about 20 minutes, that’s plenty of time for both the spacecraft and the Earth to have moved. Any light beams being sent between the two will need to compensate for that movement. The DSOC needs to point not to where the receiving telescope is, but to where it will be.

A transition to optical systems should lead to a revolution in space-based communication and it might be just about as good as we can do, at least until we find a wormhole and crack FTL communication.

In the meantime, you can watch Farscape streaming now on Peacock. No lightspeed lag.


Earth received a message sent from a deep space laser — it took just 50 seconds to travel 10 million miles

Marianne Guenot
Wed, November 22, 2023 


NASA beamed a message from nearly 10 million miles

The technological feat, using NASA's Psyche probe, broke new ground for deep space communications.

NASA hopes to one day send high-speed streaming to Mars.

NASA has achieved a world-first after sending a laser-beamed message to Earth from nearly 10 million miles away within 50 seconds.

While the space agency has long been able to communicate with spacecraft using radio waves, it had never before been able to send information using lasers from that far into space.

The feat, achieved using NASA's Deep Space Optical Communications (DSOC) experiment on board the Psyche spacecraft, could someday allow humans to stream video calls on Mars.

The system is capable of beaming information 10 to 100 times faster than current space communications equipment, per a press release published Thursday.

An artist's illustration shows an astronaut streaming from Mars.NASA/Lacey Young
Bringing fiber optic tech to Mars

The probe homed into a powerful laser signal sent from the Jet Propulsion Lab's (JPL's) Table Mountain Facility near Wrightwood, California. This acted like a beacon to help Psyche aim its transmitter.

The spacecraft then beamed back information using its laser. The signals were received by the Hale Telescope in San Diego County, California, within around 50 seconds.

The probe was about 10 million miles away at the time (16 million kilometers). That's about 40 times the distance from the Earth to the moon.

An artist's concept of the spacecraft of NASA's Psyche mission.NASA/JPL-Caltech/Arizona State Univ./Space Systems Loral/Peter Rubin

"Achieving first light is a tremendous achievement. The ground systems successfully detected the deep space laser photons from DSOC's flight transceiver aboard Psyche," said Abi Biswas, project technologist for DSOC at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

"And we were also able to send some data, meaning we were able to exchange 'bits of light' from and to deep space.".

While getting a few bits from space may seem underwhelming, it is a crucial step that could revolutionize deep-space communications.

NASA and other space agencies are vying to bring humans back to the moon within the coming decade, a step toward their grander ambition to colonize Mars.

These explorers will need to be able to communicate with Earth effectively, and DSOC could help with that.

Optical communication is the same technology used in fiber optic internet. The light signal arrives just as fast as radio waves but can communicate a lot more information. This could offer high-bandwidth uploads and downloads.

"The primary objective is to give future NASA missions the tools for returning data at much higher rates," Biswas said in a video.

A diagram shows how much more quickly DSOC can theoretically download information from Mars and radio telecommunication systems.NASA/JPL-Caltech/ASU, Produced by: True Story Films

This first experiment is "paving the way toward higher-data-rate communications capable of sending scientific information, high-definition imagery, and streaming video in support of humanity's next giant leap: sending humans to Mars," said Trudy Kortes, NASA director of Technology Demonstrations for the Space Technology Mission Directorate.

The system required some high-tech engineering, including developing a cryogenically-cooled superconducting detector that could spot a billion photons per second to squeeze every bit of information from the faint light traveling tens of millions of miles to Earth.

A close-up of the detector attached to DSOC's receiving ground station at Palomar.NASA/JPL-Caltech

While the experiment proved the system could work, the team has many challenges ahead.

The technology is designed to work when Mars is as far away from the Earth as possible — that's about 235 million miles, or more than twice the distance between the sun and Earth.

At that distance, the light sent by Psyche will be much fainter. And at that distance, the photons will take about 20 minutes to arrive.

That's enough time for both the spacecraft and Earth to have moved, which means JPL scientists will need to make some careful calibrations to make sure the signal is detected as it arrives.

The team aims to test Psyche's DSOC system again as it whizzes past Mars on its way to its mission target: the asteroid belt between the red planet and Jupiter.

NASA's Psyche spacecraft just fired a laser 10 million miles away in deep space

Rahul Rao
Tue, November 21, 2023

Illustration of spacecraft with two solar panels with stars and black space in behind.

A NASA laser just fired successfully in a deep-space test.

On Nov. 14, NASA picked up a laser signal fired from an instrument that launched with the Psyche spacecraft, which is currently more than 10 million miles (16 million kilometers) from Earth and heading toward a mysterious metal asteroid. (The spacecraft is at more than 40 times the average distance of Earth's moon, and still voyaging afar.)

The moment marked the first successful test of NASA's Deep Space Optical Communications (DSOC) system, a next-generation comms link that sends information not by radio waves but instead by laser light. It's part of a series of tests NASA is doing to speed up communications in deep space, on different missions.

Related: NASA's Psyche asteroid mission will test next-gen laser communications in space

"Achieving first light is a tremendous achievement. The ground systems successfully detected the deep space laser photons from DSOC," Abi Biswas, the system's project technologist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in Southern California, said in an agency statement.

"And we were also able to send some data, meaning we were able to exchange 'bits of light' from and to deep space," Biswas added.

Other missions have tried out laser comms in Earth orbit or on the way to the moon and back, but DSOC gives laser communications its trickiest, most distant test yet. If it's successful, NASA officials expect that astronauts of the coming decades, bound for the moon or for Mars, may use laser light as their means of taking with ground control.

This DSOC test began in California, at JPL's Table Mountain Facility. There, in the hills outside Los Angeles, engineers switched on an uplink beacon, a near-infrared laser pointed in Psyche's direction. About 50 seconds later, a transceiver on Psyche received the laser and relayed its own laser signal back to Palomar Observatory, near San Diego.

RELATED STORIES:

NASA's Psyche asteroid mission will test next-gen laser communications in space

How NASA's new laser communications mission will work in space

NASA's Psyche metal asteroid mission will have a big impact on astronomy. Here's how

The task requires astronomical precision, and automated guidance systems help aim Psyche's own laser. But should the test work out, the benefits are high: Because laser light has shorter wavelengths than radio waves, using optical light would allow space missions to send 10 to 100 times more information per unit time than they currently do.

The Nov. 14 test marked "first light" for DSOC, and engineers will continue to test the system as Psyche voyages to its namesake asteroid, which resides in the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter. Psyche should get there in 2029, then spend 29 months surveying the bizarre metallic worl


Object Crashes Into Jupiter, Explodes

Maggie Harrison
Wed, November 22, 2023 


Flash in the Pan

See ya!

As Mashable reports, a video captured by an amateur astronomer in Japan shows a super-bright comet, also known as a bolide, exploding as it collides with Jupiter.

A gas giant, Jupiter has a powerful gravitational pull that's caused similar spectacular crashes over the years. This one wasn't even particularly powerful — unlike some previous Jupiterian impacts that humanity has been able to see, there doesn't seem to be any lingering visible damage to the planet's gaseous atmosphere — but it's fascinating to watch nonetheless. The scene has doomed-fly-to-lantern energy, albeit on a cosmic scale.

"There was another impact on Jupiter last night!" noted planetary astronomer Heidi Hammel, who works with NASA's James Webb Space Telescope, wrote in a Nov 16 quote tweet — if we can still call it that — of the original video. "The bright flash is a bolide — a shooting star in the atmosphere of Jupiter."

https://twitter.com/hbhammel/status/1725158567823475065?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1725158567823475065%7Ctwgr%5E36b329c4a7d5b483e872365432907ae020d0a5a1%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fmashable.com%2Farticle%2Fjupiter-asteroid-impact-footage

Incoming!

Bolides like the one seen in the video aren't unique to Jupiter; more commonly known as fireballs, a small handful of the ultra-bright celestial bodies enter Earth's atmosphere every year. They burn out quickly, and often make their way into Earth's atmosphere over expansive oceanic regions, and are therefore hard to catch from the ground.

While this fireball may not have done any real damage to Jupiter, other collisions certainly have. Back in 1994, the gas giant was pelted with pieces of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 over the course of several days, an event that according to NASA left "huge, dark scars in the planet's atmosphere and lofting superheated plumes into its stratosphere." And Hammel, who at the time "led visible-light observations of the comet" with NASA's Hubble Space Telescope, counts that impact as a turning point in Earth-asteroid relationships.

"Shoemaker-Levy 9 was a sort of punch in the gut," Hammel recounted of the impact back in 2019. "It really invigorated our understanding of how important it is to monitor our local neighborhood, and to understand what the potential is for impacts on Earth in the future.”

Bolides haven't presented a huge problem for planet Earth, and as NASA's successful DART test showed last year, humankind has made significant progress in our asteroid defense systems. But if this latest bolide is anything, it's a reminder that the final frontier is sometimes a game of brutal cosmic bumper cars.

More on planetary defense: NASA Pleased with the Degree to Which It Kicked This Asteroid's A**




Unexplained structures detected at heart of Milky Way in new James Webb Space Telescope image

Nicole Karlis
Tue, November 21, 2023

Image of the Sagittarius C (Sgr C) region NASA, ESA, CSA, STScI, and S. Crowe (University of Virginia)

A new photo from the James Webb Space Telescope of the deep center of the Milky Way highlights never-before-features that have yet to be scientifically explained. Specifically, JWST narrowed in on the region called Sagittarius C (Sgr C), which is about 300 light-years away from Sagittarius A*, the supermassive black hole at the Milky Way’s center. The unprecedented detail casts the region in a new light to astronomers, allowing them to study it in ways that weren't possible before.

Astronomers say the level of resolution is allowing them to see new features for the very first time, like how the galactic center is actually a very crowded place with around 500,000 stars — including a cluster of protostars, which are stars that are still forming. At the heart of this cluster is a previously known massive protostar that is 30 times the mass of our own Sun. JWST’s NIRCam (Near-Infrared Camera) instrument also captured large-scale emission from ionized hydrogen bordering the lower side of an infrared-dark cloud. Astronomers say they are excited to dig in, and hope this new image will lead to unprecedented information on how stars form.

“There’s never been any infrared data on this region with the level of resolution and sensitivity we get with Webb, so we are seeing lots of features here for the first time,” said the observation team’s principal investigator Samuel Crowe, in a media statement. “The image from Webb is stunning, and the science we will get from it is even better.”

SpaceX’s explosive test flight achieved key milestones. But there is still a long way to go

Jackie Wattles, CNN
Tue, November 21, 2023 at 2:36 PM MST·11 min read

Mere moments after SpaceX’s Starship system — the most powerful rocket ever built — was lost in a test flight Saturday, a somewhat complicated narrative around the vehicle began to emerge.

The company immediately described the flight as a huge step in the right direction.

“What we did today will provide invaluable data to continue rapidly developing Starship,” SpaceX said Saturday in a statement. “With a test like this, success comes from what we learn, and today’s test will help us improve Starship’s reliability as SpaceX seeks to make life multiplanetary.”

Yet the loss of another Super Heavy rocket booster and Starship spacecraft highlights just how far they have left to go in the development process, even as significant progress is made. It also raises questions about whether SpaceX can meet some key deadlines on the horizon.

Enabling humans to colonize the cosmos is the ultimate goal for this vehicle: SpaceX intends to use it to send people to the moon, Mars and beyond.

Crucially, the Starship spacecraft is also the vehicle that NASA selected to land US astronauts on the moon for the first time in five decades as part of its Artemis program. The space agency is racing against China to get the job done, vying to become the first to develop a permanent lunar outpost and set the precedent for deep-space settlements.

The first lunar mission that would make use of Starship — Artemis III — is slated for late 2025. In the aftermath of the first failed test flight in April, NASA officials expressed concern that the vehicle wouldn’t be ready in time.

But federal officials reacted favorably to Saturday’s test launch. NASA Administrator Bill Nelson offered SpaceX his congratulations and noted “test is an opportunity to learn — then fly again.”

And to be clear, Starship is still an essential part of NASA’s moon-landing plan. However, there are numerous daunting technological hurdles left to clear before those lunar ambitions becomes reality.

SpaceX's mega rocket Starship launches for a test flight from Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas, on Saturday, November 18, 2023. - Eric Gay/AP


What SpaceX has left to learn


Several key aspects of the second flight test went to plan: When the rocket took off from the SpaceX Starbase launch site in Boca Chica, Texas, just after 8 a.m. ET, it was able to ignite all 33 of its engines and continue firing them as the Super Heavy booster — which gives the initial burst of power at liftoff — burned through most of its fuel.

The Starship spacecraft was then able to ignite its own engines and break away from the Super Heavy rocket booster to continue the mission. And the launchpad that served as the starting point managed to survive the sheer force of a rocket generating up to 16.7 million pounds of thrust (7,590 tonnes of force).

None of those milestones were met during the vehicle’s inaugural integrated test flight in April.

But other important steps originally slated for Saturday’s mission didn’t happen. The Super Heavy booster experienced a “rapid unscheduled disassembly” — or an unintentional explosion — shortly after Starship separated from it. The mishap prevented SpaceX from testing the maneuvers that will be necessary to land and reuse the launch vehicle.

Similarly, the Starship capsule made it roughly 10 minutes into its flight, reaching an altitude considered to be beyond the edge of space — about 93 miles (150 kilometers) above Earth’s surface — but SpaceX was forced to terminate the mission when ground control lost its signal.

The vehicle did not spend as much time in space as the company had hoped, collecting mere moments of flight data rather than the hour-and-a-half’s worth mapped out for the mission. John Insprucker, principal integration engineer at SpaceX, said during the livestream that the company had to trigger Starship’s self-destruct feature after contact with the vehicle was lost.

That meant SpaceX wasn’t able to test out Starship’s landing technique either.

“The hardest part about this — or the part that will take the longest — is solving for safe (Starship) reentry and landing,” SpaceX CEO Elon Musk acknowledged in October during the International Astronautical Congress in Baku, Azerbaijian.



SpaceX's first orbital Starship SN20 is shown here stacked atop its massive Super Heavy Booster 4 at the company's Starbase facility near Boca Chica Village in South Texas on February 10, 2022. - Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images


Starship and orbital refueling


Being able to recover and rapidly reuse both the Starship spacecraft and the Super Heavy booster are essential to SpaceX’s long-term goals. Such capabilities would make the rocket system affordable and nimble enough to rapidly conduct all the launches necessary to get the vehicle to the moon.

In order to reach lunar orbit, Starship must be refueled while it’s parked near Earth. That’s because the massive spacecraft won’t have enough propellant left over to traverse the 238,900-mile (384,472-kilometer) void between our home planet and the moon after the initial launch process.

As of now, SpaceX acknowledges it has to launch more than a dozen Starship tankers to refuel one spacecraft destined for the moon, said Wayne Hale — the chair of the NASA Advisory Council’s Human Exploration and Operations Committee — in a Saturday interview. That’s because of the Starship’s immense size: Just getting the vehicle into space requires it to burn through the majority of its fuel. And while Starship can hold up to 3 million (1,500 metric tons) of propellant, the spacecraft itself is only capable of hauling up to 55,000 pounds (250 metric tons) of extra cargo to orbit, according to data published by SpaceX and the FAA.

“So they’ve got to take that rocket that we saw demonstrated … and be able to fly 12, 15 more times for each lunar landing,” Hale told CNN. “That’s gonna be an impressive feat. They’ve got to learn how to do that … where it’s successful and reliable every time, and they’ve got to do that in a very short period of time.”
Starship and the Artemis timeline

With many milestones left to hit, it’s clear that even if the next Starship test flight is wholly successful, a moon landing will remain on the distant horizon.

Musk previously acknowledged in 2020 that he hopes SpaceX will launch “hundreds of missions” with satellites before attempting a flight with crew. SpaceX also must build and test the versions of Starship that will serve as refueling tankers. A lander must be outfitted with life support equipment. And NASA will require Starship to make an uncrewed test landing on the moon before allowing its astronauts on board.

Still, SpaceX emphasized that explosive failures can be integral to its development process, which embraces fiery mishaps in the early stages of designing a rocket in order to learn how to build a better rocket faster than if the company solely relied on ground tests.

Though SpaceX’s failed test flights garner plenty of critics, it does not mean that the company is moving more slowly or costing more money than if NASA had attempted to develop a lunar lander itself.

All told, NASA will pay SpaceX about $4 billion for two lunar landings. (The company has already invested more than $3 billion in developing its South Texas launch facility and the Starship Super Heavy launch system since 2014, according to an FAA court filing dated May 19.)

NASA Astronaut Christina Hammock Koch speaks during a Washington media gathering on May 18, 2023, as NASA astronauts Victor Glover and Reid Wiseman and CSA (Canadian Space Agency) astronaut Jeremy Hansen look on. Wiseman, Glover, Hammock Koch, and Hansen, are expected to fly around the moon on NASA's Artemis II flight test, slated for 2024. - Bill Ingalls/NASAMore

For comparison, the Space Launch System rocket and Orion spacecraft that NASA developed for the Artemis program have together cost more than $44 billion since 2006, according to data aggregated by the nonprofit Planetary Society. That rocket system had its first flight test last year. Under NASA’s current plans, SLS and Orion would transport astronauts from Earth to lunar orbit, while Starship would complete the final leg of the journey, ferrying them from the Orion spacecraft to the moon’s surface.

But Hale noted that SpaceX doesn’t use the same development approach as NASA. The space agency spends years on careful design and rigorous ground testing — all but guaranteeing success on the first flight. In contrast, SpaceX wants to put early prototypes in the air, accepting that they may explode but will likely provide valuable information for future testing.

“This is a different paradigm,” Hale said of Starship development. “The government — when you’re working with the taxpayers’ dollars — you really want to be careful and make sure you succeed.

“Whereas (SpaceX) is a private company,” Hale added. “Yes, they’re doing this work in support of the government, but their methodology is quite different. And I think you could be successful either way. But, this way certainly has its exciting moments.”
Another lunar lander: Starship vs. Blue Moon

Starship can also be compared with Blue Moon, another lunar lander under development by the Jeff Bezos-owned space company Blue Origin. NASA selected Blue Moon as an alternative lunar lander for future Artemis missions.

NASA expects to pay the company $3.4 billion for a single crewed lunar landing — the Artemis V mission currently slated for 2028 — with Blue Origin investing at least that much of its own money.

Lakiesha Hawkins, the deputy to the deputy associate administrator for NASA’s moon to Mars program, said at its advisory council’s Human Exploration and Operations Committee meeting last week that Blue Origin’s lunar lander won’t necessarily be simpler than SpaceX’s behemoth rocket and spacecraft system.

“Both of those providers have their challenges,” Hawkins said, referring to SpaceX’s Starship and Blue Origin’s Blue Moon lunar lander. “And they are equally — from my perspective — complex.”

Blue Origin declined to comment on where Blue Moon stands in the development process.

The companies are taking very different approaches in their moon landing strategies, but experts say both SpaceX and Blue Origin will be distinct from their predecessor in some key ways.

Why NASA isn’t just repeating Apollo

Hale, the committee chair, said it can be difficult for members of the public to wrap their heads around why all of these projects are costing so much development time and money if NASA already knows how to put humans on the moon.

Why not just repeat the same thing NASA did during the Apollo program?

“People ask what was wrong with Apollo,” Hale said during the committee meeting last week. “The thing that was wrong with Apollo was it ended.”

NASA and SpaceX are aiming to develop vehicles that don’t just go to the moon once. Apollo already accomplished the “flags and footprints” missions, Hale noted.

Now, the space agency is looking to develop rockets and spacecraft that can push exploration further. NASA aims to establish a permanent moon base and eventually reach Mars in a cost-effective manner.

The Apollo 11 mission, the first manned lunar mission, launched from the Kennedy Space Center in Florida via the Saturn V launch vehicle on July 16, 1969 and safely returned to Earth on July 24, 1969. Aboard the spacecraft were astronauts Neil A. Armstrong, commander; Michael Collins, command module pilot; and Edwin E. Aldrin Jr., lunar module pilot. -

“When you put those sustainable reusability requirements on the program — and the fact that it’s leading on to go to Mars — you do buy into perhaps a more complicated architecture than just repeating Apollo,” Hale said.

And, even as he acknowledged Starship has a long way to go, he added, “I think they made a big step forward.”
What’s next for Starship

Musk has already said the Super Heavy booster and Starship spacecraft will likely be ready for a third test flight in “3 to 4 weeks,” according to a Sunday post on social media, adding, “There are three ships in final production.”

CNN noted that four Starship spacecraft and at least two Super Heavy boosters are visible from public roadways near SpaceX’s facility in South Texas.


SpaceX's Starship rocket prototypes are seen at the SpaceX Starbase in Brownsville, Texas, on August 19, 2023. - Veronica Cardenas/Reuters

It’s not clear, however, how long it will take SpaceX engineers to review the data gathered during Saturday’s flight and implement the necessary changes. And Musk is known to publicize unmet deadlines.

Also unclear is whether SpaceX will have the necessary regulatory approvals to launch another test flight in just a few weeks. The Federal Aviation Administration, which licenses commercial rocket launches, indicated its intentions to open a standard mishap investigation into Saturday’s test flight. After the first test flight in April, a similar investigation took over four months to complete.

Once the investigation is closed, the federal agency will then likely need to complete a safety review of SpaceX’s plans for a third launch before it will issue another permit. It’s not clear how long that process might take.

The FAA did not respond to a request for comment.

Starship's 33 Engines Created The Mother Of All 'Shock Diamonds'

Oliver Parken
Mon, November 20, 2023 

Shock diamonds from Starship's rocket exhaust

SpaceX’s massive Starship rocket lifted off for its second test flight over the weekend. Among the stunning imagery and video to have emerged from the launch that caught our attention was the sight of its super-heavy rocket booster generating gargantuan "mach diamonds" or "shock diamonds." What’s particularly impressive is how the rocket booster’s 33 Raptor engines combined to create a perfectly formed mach diamond as the stack lifted off the pad.

Given how incredible this example of physics visualized on a grand scale looks in the photos, we thought it was an opportune moment to dig deeper into the science behind them, as well as explain what makes their unique appearance during the recent Starship test launch so intriguing.

https://twitter.com/johnkrausphotos/status/1725863945276195266

The 'Starship' system, comprised of a super-heavy rocket booster and spacecraft, took off from SpaceX’s Starbase facility near Boca Chica Beach in South Texas on November 18. In a significant development for SpaceX, and in comparison to the first Starship test launch in April, the rocket booster was successfully able to separate from the spacecraft. This was before the rocket booster exploded over the Gulf of Mexico at an altitude of 91 miles (148 kilometers). Moreover, contact was lost with the spacecraft after it reached space, with the company having to trigger its self-destruct feature shortly thereafter. Eventually, Space X intends for its Starship system to carry crew and cargo to Earth orbit, the Moon, Mars and beyond.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iv5AMNYGql4


 https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1726314284488225050?s=20


SpaceX via X/Twitter

SpaceX via X/Twitter

SpaceX via X/Twitter

SpaceX via X/Twitter

SpaceX via X/Twitter

SpaceX via X/Twitter

SpaceX via X/Twitter

While mach diamonds are more commonly seen when high-performance jets are in afterburner, Starships’ case is a unique as this phenomena was the culmination of 33 rocket engines firing in unison.

SR-71B seen during takeoff in 1992 with mach diamonds to its exhaust plume. NASA

F-16 in full afterburner, a string of shock diamonds emanating from its F100 turbofan. Tech. Sgt. Caycee Cook/USAF

Its super-heavy rocket booster's 33 engines includes 13 in the center and 20 surrounding the perimeter of the booster’s business end. Burning methane with liquid oxygen, the rocket booster is capable of creating a mind-boggling 16.7 million pounds of thrust.


Starship rocket booster's 33 Raptor Vaccum engines. SpaceX via X/Twitter

SpaceX via X/Twitter

In order to understand how the shock diamonds were produced during the Starship launch, we reached out to Dr. Chris Combs (@DrChrisCombs), the Dee Howard endowed assistant professor of aerodynamics at the University of Texas at San Antonio’s Department of Mechanical Engineering. Dr. Combs began by explaining how mach diamonds are formed in detail:

"Nature is always wanting to bring things back to equilibrium, in a sense, [to] kind of get things back to the way that they were in how they started," he said. "There are a lot of different processes in nature that work that way, and pressure differences is one of those."

"When you have something like a rocket, or a jet engine, that creates these really massive pressure differentials, relative to atmospheric air… physics is going to want to change that, and it's going to want to match those values up somehow. And if the pressure differentials are large enough, the only way that that can happen is with a shock wave or an expansion fan. And so these are compressible flow features, and waves that show up when basically you have a very large imbalance of pressure between two masses of air."

Schematic illustrating exhaust efficiency for rocket nozzles. Thomas van t Klooster

"At sea level, when you have a rocket launch, the exhaust that's coming out of the rocket is lower than atmospheric pressure… [resulting in] very high chamber pressures. But then you actually expand that gas through a converging divergent nozzle, to accelerate it to very high speed, because that gives you thrust. So you're trying to accelerate that exhaust as fast as you can. And when you do that, the energy that was there in terms of pressure, gets… transferred to velocity and momentum. And so you're getting that thrust out, but you're losing pressure in the process. So that gas comes out lower than atmospheric pressure, when it comes out of rocket exhausts. And it's low enough where… the only way that that can be matched to atmospheric pressure is with a shockwave, and so the air gets processed through the shockwave."

"The reason you see a diamond pattern," he indicated, "is because the angle of that shockwave is going to be determined, really just by [the] pressure ratio."

Combs went on to explain why Starships’ 33 Raptor engines were capable of forming single mach diamonds during the launch.

"When you typically see a shock diamond or a mach diamond, it can be from like a jet engine test, or a single rocket nozzle test. [When you] look at those up close… you see the same shock diamond effect on the smaller scale."

"But what was interesting, specifically about this case [the second Starship launch], is you had 33 engines firing together, which you would kind of intuitively think would make for a pretty messy environment. I think close up [this] is probably true, there's some complicated dynamics happening there."

https://twitter.com/DrChrisCombs/status/1726259282427974003?s=20


"[When] you zoom out far enough, and really, what it boils down to is they're [the 33 engines, are] acting like one engine. And so you have a region of low pressure caused by all of these engines working together. And that forms this larger mach diamond structure, sort of in the far field, as you zoom out. So you have all these little mini mach diamonds from each one of those engines that's generated… That is especially unique, because there aren't very many rockets… that tried to function with this many rocket nozzles pack that closely together… the closest comp[arison] being the Soviet N1."

Soviet N1 Rocket showing the 30 rocket engines of its first stage. Unknown author

It should be noted that images taken from the launch also show additional diamonds forming a string, which can be seen below. "What you will notice, if you watch a rocket launch, as that rocket goes up in the air… [is] that angle is going to slowly change over time," Combs noted.


Multiple, individual mach diamonds seen during Starship's launch. SpaceX via X/Twitter

"And it's actually going to slowly go basically towards parallel with the rocket body. As the rocket goes up, that atmospheric pressure is going to drop because you're going higher up in altitude. And so that shock angle gets thinner as the rocket goes up until eventually the rocket exhaust is just going straight up and down, and you don't see any type of diamond effect. And that's… what we call a perfectly expanded exhaust. Because… the exhaust pressure is exactly what the ambient pressure is outside."

During our exchange, Combs also urged people to think of the recent test, which has been reported by some outlets as a failure, more holistically.

"I think people get frustrated sometimes when I say it's a long ways away," he noted of Starship. "But you have to understand… this is a relatively immature technology right now, that's going to take years to figure out versus [if] it's never going to work. I don't necessarily think it's never going to work. I think that there are some really big hurdles that those engineers have to overcome. And it's going to take time. So I think people need to kind of level expectations a little bit, but it's definitely an interesting project to follow that's extremely ambitious and high risk."


SpaceX via X/Twitter

So there you have it, an in-depth look at the gargantuan shock diamonds and why their merged appearance during Starship’s second test flight is so unique. A special thanks to Dr. Chris Combs for taking the time to provide us with such wonderful insight on this topic.

UPDATE: 11/21, 05:26 P.M. EST—

SpaceX has now released a slow-motion tracking shot of the super-heavy rocket booster's 33 engines forming huge mach diamonds during Starship's launch on November 18. Be sure to watch the footage below.

https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1727054554947268685?s=20


Contact the author: oliver@thewarzone.com
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AI use in Mozambique jails spawns new hope in TB fight

AFP
Wed, 22 November 2023

Teeming prisons are a hotbed of tuberculosis, the world's second deadliest communicable disease after Covid (Alfredo ZUNIGA)

A programme using artificial intelligence to test inmates in a high security Mozambican jail for tuberculosis has spawned hope that the new tech can help eradicate the disease.

Teeming prisons are a hotbed of TB, the world's second deadliest communicable disease after Covid, according to the World Health Organization. Mozambique, a country of 32 million people, recorded about 120,000 infections last year.

Caused by a bacteria that most often affects the lungs, it infected more than 10 million people in 2022 and killed 1.3 million, according to WHO.

Almost one in four infections last year occurred in Africa.

In the sprawling courtyard of the maximum security jail in the Mozambican capital Maputo, an inmate in an orange T-shirt stood before a tripod with a wide white tablet.

Behind him, a doctor scoured a two-piece portable X-ray machine connected to an AI programme that has been hailed as a breakthrough in the fight against tuberculosis.

"It processes it in real time, we have the results in less than five minutes," the doctor said.

The image popped on the computer of a technician sitting at a table outside a medical tent a few metres away, along with a diagnosis.

"Radiological signs suggestive of tuberculosis -- negative," the message said.

The programme is part of a large test run of the technology to scan all inmates at three prisons in Maputo. It is being conducted by a local non-profit organisation supported by the Stop TB Partnership, a UN-backed entity.

Early diagnosis is key to save lives and tackle the spread of the disease.

While a chronic cough is a hallmark of infection, people can also carry TB without showing symptoms. Prisons are a perfect breeding ground due to crammed cells and airborne transmission.

Traditional spit, skin or blood tests for TB involves visits to a lab and the results can take up to three days. The quickest time for reliable results is 24 hours.

- 'Great leap in technology' -


The combination of AI and portable X-ray machines is faster and eliminates the need for visits to clinics and radiologists, who can be scarce in poor rural areas, said Stop TB's deputy head Suvanand Sahu.


"This is a great leap in technology," he said.

At the Maputo Provincial Penitentiary, prisoners testing positive are placed in isolation, locked in a quarantine room behind a rusty metal door.

Inside, about a dozen inmates wearing face masks sit on mattresses thrown on the ground. Clothing, blankets and other belongings hang from a line strung between two discoloured blue pillars.

Serious cases are taken to a medical ward.

Mozambique's jails were about 50 percent over capacity in 2022, according to the UN.

"It's not easy to see your friends playing and walking there but you have to accept that I am sick," Kennet Fortune, an inmate who has spent 10 year behind bars for drug-related offences, said pointing at the trees in the prison yard.

He is currently undergoing treatment and the process can take months. "When the time comes, I'll be out," he said.

A WHO report this month found that global deaths from tuberculosis dipped in 2022, showing progress towards eradicating the disease.

The UN health agency said 7.5 million people were diagnosed with TB in 2022 -- the highest figure since it began monitoring in 1995.

Sahu of Stop TB said he was hoping that the success of pilot programmes could help get funding to scale up the use of AI in diagnosing tuberculosis.

"Only a few years ago, if I was to say in a meeting that we can bring X-rays to all communities and have them read by a artificial intelligence with no need for radiologists, they would have kicked me out of the room and told me to go write a sci-fi novel," he said.

str-ub/ach
How the English invented the myth of Napoleon


Ruth Scurr
Wed, 22 November 2023 

Joaquin Phoenix and Vanessa Kirby in Ridley Scott's Napoleon - Aidan Monaghan

“Everything concerned with the late Emperor Napoleon belongs to British history”, claimed the catalogue entry for Napoleon’s carriage when it was exhibited at Madame Tussaud and Sons in 1843. The carriage had been sent to London as a war trophy soon after the Battle of Waterloo and, after being displayed at Mr Bullock’s museum of natural curiosities in Piccadilly, it toured the country, on the orders of the Prince Regent, so more members of the public could enjoy climbing into it and sitting where Napoleon had sat before the Duke of Wellington defeated him.

The carriage was a mobile office, bedroom, dressing room, kitchen and dining room, fitted out with telescopes, an atlas and an inkwell. Hundreds and thousands of British citizens wanted to be close to the objects that had been close to Napoleon – even his travelling coffee pot seemed part of British history. There was a huge outpouring of anglophone newspapers, books and artworks about him during his career, exile and after his death.

Ridley Scott’s new film about Napoleon revives this long-standing British obsession with the Corsican soldier. “He came from nothing. He conquered everything”, the trailer asserts, though neither of these statements is strictly true. The film opens with a gruesomely glamourized version of the execution of Marie Antoinette, showing the French Revolution at its absolute worst: a mob of cabbage-and-tomato-throwing French citizens bray as their deposed and defiant queen’s head is cut off. Napoleon, magnificently played by Joaquin Phoenix, stands close to the guillotine, an unknown soldier in 1793, glowering with disapproval. The point here is not that Napoleon witnessed the death of Marie Antoinette (he did not) but that he disapproved of the chaos unleashed by the French Revolution (he did, but he owed his entire career to it).

Napoleon’s relationship to the French Revolution is too deep and complex a matter for any film. Abel Gance’s five-and-a-half-hour silent epic from 1927 is the closest anyone has ever, perhaps will ever, come to evoking Napoleon’s rise through the trauma of the Revolution on screen. Scott is more concerned with Napoleon’s relationship with Great Britain.

The Siege of Toulon in 1793, at which Napoleon, a scruffy artillery officer, still known as Bonaparte, first displayed his genius for military strategy, is thrillingly recreated. An English soldier shouts “sh-t bag” at the future emperor as he masterminds the destruction of the beautiful English tall ships in the harbour of Toulon. Sweating, frightened, wounded, courageous: Napoleon from this point on is in a personal conflict with Britain. Later he loses his temper with the English ambassador and yells, “You think you are so great because you have boats”. Two centuries on, the idea that the British got on Napoleon’s nerves is still funny.

The Siege of Toulon in 1793, at which Napoleon first displayed his genius for military strategy - Art Media/Print Collector/Getty Images

There has always been fear and awe behind British jokes at Napoleon’s expense, as though Britain needed to create a suitably impressive antagonist. Napoleon inherited the wars of the French Revolution and by 1802 Britain was France’s only unvanquished enemy. After the brief Peace of Amiens, when Britain finally recognised the French Republic, war between the two countries broke out again. English children grew up terrified that Napoleon the bogeyman of nursery rhymes might eat them: “just as pussy tears a mouse”.

Popular prints and cartoons equating Napoleon with the devil tried to deflect into ridicule the very real fear that he might be about to invade. Firmly in the English tradition of thinking about Napoleon, Scott’s film portrays him as a warmonger who is by turns sinister, comic and ultimately unknowable.

Napoleon’s decision to crown himself Emperor of the French held a mirror up to Britain’s monarchy. Loyalist, anti-reform journals and pamphlets asserted affection for George III mixed with anxiety about the state of the nation. The Rival Gardeners, a print from 1803, showed Bonaparte and George III in their gardens on either side of the Channel, each growing a crown in a tub hooped with gold. Bonaparte’s weedy crown wilts on its stem, while George III’s thrives at the top of an oak sapling. “The Heart of Oak will flourish to the end of the World”, reads the hubristic caption. Meanwhile, radical, pro-reform commentators and statesmen such as the Whig Charles James Fox, celebrated Napoleon whilst still thinking him an upstart, intoxicated with his own success.

The Plumb-pudding in danger: William Pitt the Younger, British Prime Minister, left, and Napoleon I of France carve up the globe which 'is too small to satisfy such insatiable appetites' - Universal History Archive/Getty Images

Scott’s take on Napoleon’s coronation is brilliant. Although he had gone to enormous lengths to bring the Pope to Paris for the ceremony, on the day itself, 2 December 1804, Napoleon placed the crown on his own head, then crowned his wife Josephine. Scott shows Napoleon awkwardly balancing the crown on top of the gold laurel wreath he is already wearing, all very precarious and rapid, the crown no sooner on his head than off again. Vanessa Kirby as Josephine, kneels meekly before her husband to receive her crown, exuding a sexy aura of ambitious submission. Coronations, the ultimate set-pieces of monarchical constitutions, were gloriously sent-up by Napoleon: “I found the crown of France lying in the gutter. I picked it up and put it on my head.”

Sex is another long-standing British preoccupation projected onto Napoleon. Josephine was six years older than him, she had lost the father of her two children to the guillotine before they met and was lucky to have survived herself. No sooner were they married than they both had affairs, Napoleon whilst conducting a brutal invasion of Egypt, Josephine with another soldier in Paris. British satirists leapt immediately onto the idea Napoleon was a sexually inadequate cuckold.

A James Gillray cartoon, published soon after the coronation, looked back on the early days of Napoleon’s infatuation with Josephine, showing him peeking at her from behind a curtain as she dances naked before one of her previous lovers, who is twice his size. Over 200 years of smirking at the phrase “Not tonight Josephine”, listed in the Oxford Dictionary of Quotations as originating in the early 19th century, is transcended by the compelling sexual chemistry between Scott’s Napoleon and Josephine. Their love story is the counterpoint to the film’s panoramic battle scenes.


In one controversial scene, which raised concerns about glorifying domestic violence before the film was released, Napoleon slaps Josephine as they are signing their divorce papers. For different reasons, both are conflicted about what they are doing: Josephine because she doesn’t want to lose her status, Napoleon because he still loves her but needs a wife who can give him a son. “Do it for your country!” Napoleon demands as he hits Josephine whose pen is faltering.

This vehement and contorted interpretation of patriotism – the idea that a self-made, self-crowned emperor must produce a legitimate male heir to secure the future stability of the state – is more British than French. Napoleon’s second wife, Marie-Louise of Austria, was Marie-Antoinette’s great-niece. Their son, known as the King of Rome, was born in 1811. A George Cruikshank cartoon from three years later shows Napoleon teaching his son to swear “eternal enmity to those islanders the English… swear by the flames of hell… swear to shovel their accursed country into the sea.”

Scott is right to lash out at historians who try to diminish his artistic achievement by pointing out factual inaccuracies. Imagination has always had a part to play in trying to understand a life as gigantic as Napoleon’s. “We must leave him to posterity” the British poet and novelist Helena Maria Williams wrote in 1815, “Time will place his figure in the point of view, and at the proper distance, to become a study for mankind.” One of the very best books about him is Simon Ley’s novel The Death of Napoleon, which ends with the softly spoken line: “Napoleon, you are my Napoleon.” The Napoleon in Scott’s film is his own: the result of a creative collaboration between himself and Phoenix. More British than French, but no less fascinating for that.

 

Napoleon's Ridley Scott on critics and cinema 'bum ache'

18th November 2023
BBC
By Katie Razzall
Culture and media editor

Sir Ridley Scott is famously forthright.

The director of celebrated films including Gladiator, Alien, Thelma & Louise and Blade Runner certainly speaks his mind.

Does he seek out advice? Asking someone what they think is a "disaster", he tells me.

What about his lack of a best director Oscar - despite being at the helm of some of the most memorable films of the past four decades?

"I don't really care."

And as for the historians who have suggested his latest movie, Napoleon, is factually inaccurate: "You really want me to answer that?... it will have a bleep in it."

We meet in a plush hotel in central London.

Scott had recently arrived from Paris, where the movie - which stars Joaquin Phoenix as the French soldier turned emperor, and Vanessa Kirby as his wife (and obsession) Josephine - had its world premiere.

It's a visual spectacle that contrasts the intimacy of the couple's relationship with the actions of a man whose lust for power brought about the deaths of an estimated three million soldiers and civilians.

"He's so fascinating. Revered, hated, loved… more famous than any man or leader or politician in history. How could you not want to go there?"

The film is two hours and 38 minutes long. Scott says if a movie is longer than three hours, you get the "bum ache factor" around two hours in, which is something he constantly watches for when he's editing.

"When you start to go 'oh my God' and then you say 'Christ, we can't eat for another hour', it's too long."

In spite of the "bum ache" issue, it's been reported that he plans a longer, final director's cut for Apple TV+ when the movie hits the streamer, but "we're not allowed to talk about that".

Napoleon has been well reviewed in many parts of the UK media. Five stars in the Guardian for "an outrageously enjoyable cavalry charge of a movie". Four stars in The Times for this "spectacular historical epic" and in Empire for "Scott's entertaining and plausible interpretation of Napoleon".

The French critics have been less positive.

Le Figaro said the film could be renamed "Barbie and Ken under the Empire". French GQ said there was something "deeply clumsy, unnatural and unintentionally funny" in seeing French soldiers in 1793 shouting "Vive La France" with American accents.

And a biographer of Napoleon, Patrice Gueniffey in Le Point magazine, attacked the film as a "very anti-French and very pro-British" rewrite of history.

"The French don't even like themselves" Scott retorts. "The audience that I showed it to in Paris, they loved it."

In his movie, Napoleon's empire-building land grabs are distilled into six vast battle scenes.

One of the emperor's greatest victories, at Austerlitz in 1805, sees the Russian army lured onto an icy lake (shot at "an airfield just outside London") before the cannons are turned on them.

"The reverse angle in the trees was where I made Gladiator… I managed to blend them digitally so you get the scale and the scope".

As the cannonballs hurtle into the ice, bloodied soldiers and horses are sucked into the freezing waters, desperately trying to escape.

It's dramatic. It's terrifying. It is also beautiful.

"I'm blessed with a good eye, that's my strongest asset," says South Shields-born Sir Ridley, who went to art school first in Hartlepool and then London.

In the 1970s he was one of the UK's most renowned commercial directors, making, he tells me, two adverts a week in his heyday.

He always wanted to direct films but "I was too embarrassed to discuss it with anyone", and "I didn't know how to get in."

Once he did, he rose fast.

Scott's visual artistry makes him a consummate creator of worlds, whether that's outer space in Alien and The Martian, civil war Somalia in Black Hawk Down, medieval England in Robin Hood or the Roman Empire in Gladiator.

An accomplished artist, he does his own storyboarding.

"You could publish them as comic strips," he says. "A lot of people can't translate what's on paper to what it's going to be and that's my job."

His Napoleon, Joaquin Phoenix, tells me Scott also "draws pictures, as he's coming to work, of what the scene is."

He finds Scott an open and receptive director. "He's figured everything out and yet he's also able to spontaneously pivot" when new ideas are suggested, on this occasion even when there were 500 extras, a huge crew and multiple cannons.

Phoenix was "excited" to work with Scott again, 23 years after he was cast as the emperor Commodus in Gladiator.

"The studio did not want me for Gladiator. In fact, Ridley was given an ultimatum and he fought for me and it was just this extraordinary experience."

Scott has called Phoenix "probably the most special, thoughtful actor" he has ever worked with.

The leading actors had freedom to develop the relationship between Napoleon and Josephine, a woman six years older than him, who he divorced because she was unable to provide him with an heir, but whose name was on his lips when he died in exile on St Helena. "France, the Army, the Head of the Army, Josephine" were the Emperor's last words.

Vanessa Kirby says of her experience being directed by Scott that "none of it was prescriptive from the start and I thought that was really freeing."

But she adds that she had to adjust to the pace at which he works.

"He moves really fast. You might have five big scenes in one day, which means you're on the fly."

They shot Napoleon in just 61 days. "If you know anything about movies, that should have been 120," Scott tells me.

In the early days, he used to operate the camera on his films as well as direct - think The Duellists, Alien, Thelma & Louise, though it wasn't allowed on Blade Runner.

He says he realised where the real power lay - with the camera operator and the first AD - and didn't want to relinquish it.

On Napoleon he worked with up to 11 cameras at the same time and directed them from an air conditioned trailer, saying: "It's 180 degrees outside and I'm sitting inside shouting 'faster!'."

Using all those cameras shooting from different angles "frees the actor to come off-piste and improvise" because you don't need to repeat endless takes (which is "disastrous").

Immortalising Napoleon on film was something Scott's hero Stanley Kubrick tried and failed to do. "He couldn't get it going, surprisingly, because I thought he could get anything going." That was down to money, says Scott.

His Napoleon watches Marie Antoinette die at the guillotine and fires a cannonball at the Sphinx. The artistic licence in this impressionistic film has put up the backs of some historians.

Scott says 10,400 books have been written about Napoleon, "that's one every week since he died."

His question, he tells me, to the critics who say the film isn't historically accurate is: "Were you there? Oh you weren't there. Then how do you know?"

Scott announced he was making Napoleon on the day he wrapped his previous film, The Last Duel, which starred Jodie Comer.

She was originally cast as his Josephine, but had to pull out after the dates were pushed back by the pandemic.

With Napoleon heading into cinemas, Scott is about to restart filming Gladiator 2, with Paul Mescal and Denzel Washington, a shoot interrupted by the actors' strike.

So why go back to Gladiator? "Why not, are you kidding?"

He also has another movie in the pipeline which is already written and cast, but what it is, "I'm not going to tell you."

And he will celebrate his 86th birthday later this month.

Many might be happy to slow down, but not Scott. He will make films for the rest of his days, he tells me.

"I go from here to Malta, I shoot in Malta, finish there and I've already recce'd what I'm doing next."

So would he have any advice for his younger self?

"No advice. I did pretty good. I got there," comes his characteristically direct reply.

‘Napoleon’ Director Ridley Scott Tells Historians to ‘Shut the F— Up’

'Excuse me, mate, were you there?' Ridley Scott asks critics who complain about historical inaccuracies

Published 11/19/23 
Director Ridley Scott and Joaquin Phoenix behind-the-scenes 
of “Napoleon.”Apple TV+

Did Napoleon really fire a cannon at the pyramids in Egypt? Napoleon director Ridley Scott doesn't care.

In a recent interview with The Sunday Times, the 85-year-old filmmaker behind classics like Alien, Blade Runner and Gladiator dismissed critics who quibble with historical inaccuracies in his movies.

"Like all history, it's been reported. Napoleon dies, then, 10 years later, someone writes a book. Then someone takes that book and writes another book and so, 400 years later there's a lot of imagination [in history books]," Scott said. "When I have issues with historians, I ask: 'Excuse me, mate, were you there? No? Well, shut the f--- up then.'"

Napoleon, a historical epic starring Joaquin Phoenix as the famed French leader and Vanessa Kirby as his wife Joséphine, premiered in Paris last week and hits American theaters on Nov. 22.

While the response has mostly been positive, French critics weren't all so kind. Le Figaro brushed the film off as "Barbie and Ken under the empire," GQ France called it "deeply clumsy, unnatural and unintentionally funny" and biographer Patrice Gueniffey told Le Point it was "very anti-French and pro-British."

Of course, Scott had a retort for that too. "The French don't even like themselves," he told the BBC. "The audience that I showed it to in Paris, they loved it."


'Parasite' filmmaker's secret debut unearthed by new documentary

Claire LEE
Tue, 21 November 2023

Lee Hyuk-rae (pictured), director of documentary "Yellow Door: '90s Lo-fi Film Club", has brought Bong Joon-ho's obscure first film to the public (Anthony WALLACE)

Oscar-winning "Parasite" filmmaker Bong Joon-ho's first movie -- about a trapped gorilla dreaming of a different life -- was hidden from the world for three decades, but a new documentary has brought it to light.

"Yellow Door: '90s Lo-fi Film Club" showcases Bong's formative years as an obsessive film enthusiast and aspiring filmmaker, as well as a group of quirky young South Korean cinephiles who came together in the early 1990s.

This cohort -- dubbed "Yellow Door" for the colour of their office entrance -- included both Bong and the documentary's director, Lee Hyuk-rae.

Until this year, only Yellow Door members had ever seen Bong's debut film, "Looking for Paradise," which features a stuffed gorilla locked in a basement, fantasising about a real banana tree and battling excrement that comes to life as a worm.

Bong made the film in his own basement in 1992 and screened it for Yellow Door members later that year, turning bright red with nervousness.

The film is seared in the memories of the club's other members.

"I believe that the essence of Bong Joon-ho's films today can be traced back to that gorilla," Choi Jong-tae, one of the members, says in the documentary.

In an interview with AFP, Lee said he was deeply inspired by Bong's amateur debut, and revisiting it in light of the film director's subsequent rise to global prominence was a key motivation for making the documentary.

"When the (final) twist was revealed in the movie, everyone present there really felt a heart-pounding sensation," he said of the 1992 screening.

"As Bong continued to accomplish things that were beyond our imagination at that time, my desire to watch his debut film (again) grew increasingly intense."

- First Academy Award -

One of the most recognisable figures in South Korean cinema, Bong made history in 2020 by becoming the first director from his country to win an Academy Award for his powerful satire of inequality, "Parasite".

He was already well known then for his dark and genre-hopping thrillers, including the 2006 monster blockbuster "The Host" and the 2003 crime drama "Memories of Murder".

But Lee's documentary captures an earlier era of South Korean cinema, when the country's films were obscure overseas and local cinephiles were seeking new content to expand their horizons.

Lee said members of Yellow Door were mostly stuck viewing poor-quality VHS tapes, which in the case of foreign films came without subtitles.

But they happily watched anyway, because they were desperate.

Bong religiously collected VHS tapes, and he meticulously analysed Francis Ford Coppola's 1972 classic "The Godfather" by sketching cartoons of its scenes.

The documentary -- currently streaming on Netflix -- captures light-hearted and youthful moments from the film group's early days, including blurry photographs that members took of each other.

"We were a film group and the photographs (we took) were out of focus," Bong says in the documentary.

- 'Social misfits' -


Bong majored in sociology at university and many members of the group had no formal training in cinema.

One member described the cohort as "social misfits".

Lee said many members of the group had been involved in student activism in the 1980s against South Korea's then-authoritarian government, but felt adrift following Seoul's political liberalisation in the 1990s.

"It seems like people who were wandering aimlessly, unsure what they wanted to do but acutely aware of the places they didn't want to be, fortuitously encountered each other ... at the Yellow Door," Lee told AFP.

In a way, the trapped protagonist in Bong's first movie embodied what the cohort was feeling at the time, he added.

Since then, Bong's signature films -- including "Parasite", "Snowpiercer" and "The Host" -- have featured basements as spaces symbolic of repression, violence and dark secrets.

Yellow Door members have since followed diverse professional paths, spanning cinema, speech therapy, education and academia.

But cinema has always held a special significance for Bong, Lim Hoon-ah, one of the members, says in the film.

"To me, cinema was a romantic (fantasy), but (Bong) Joon-ho really thought of it as his reality," she said.

cdl/ceb/tym/cwl
History-maker Hayley Turner becomes first woman jockey to win 1,000 races

Marcus Armytage
Tue, 21 November 2023 


Hayley Turner has had 15 attempts to reach the four-figure landmark - Getty Images/Megan Coggin

Hayley Turner, the inspiration to a generation of female riders, made racing history again when her victory on Tradesman in the Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap at Chelmsford meant she became the British female jockey to ride 1000 winners.

Turner, 40, had been stuck on 999 for 16 days but got there when David Simcock’s four-year-old, carrying the same colours as Dream Ahead – on whom she won the 2011 July Cup, making her the first female to win a Group One outright – won the two mile contest.

It is unlikely she will have enjoyed many of her previous 999 as much as she did on the Simcock-trained Tradesman, who sat last for the first mile and then had so many more gears than his rivals that he cruised through the field like a hot knife through butter to win by a length and three quarters going away.


Turner was all smiles as she was cheered to the winners’ enclosure and given a hug by Simcock.

“I did drag it out a bit,” said the relieved jockey afterwards. “I made a mountain out of a molehill but got there eventually. It’s a bit of a relief. I made a bit of a big deal out of it and put pressure on myself but it’s done now.

“It’s taken me a long time but the up and coming girls are riding so well everyday it’ll take them half the time. It makes me very proud to feel that perhaps I played a part in their careers. I’ve seen a lot of girls come and go and they all played a part in getting them to where they are today.”

Michael Bell, whom she joined as an 18-year-old apprentice after having ridden just one winner, stuck his neck out at a time when female jockeys were unfashionable to get rides and she would go on to ride nearly 200 winners for him.

“She really deserved that,” he said. “She’s been a role model for all jockeys let alone females. In many ways she’s been a pathfinder and made it much easier for the current generation of females who followed her into the sport.

“From the outset she stood out as an athlete and she was unusually strong. Riding work she could really push one and you couldn’t pick her out as female which was unusual back then. Obviously they are better coached and advised now and generally fitter but she’s the one who set the standard.”

Born a short hack from Nottingham racecourse, she had her first ride at Southwell in March 2000. Her first winner came that June and, initially, she began to make her name on the winter all-weather circuit.

Since then it has been a career of firsts. In 2005 she was the first female to win the apprentice title, sharing it with Saleem Golam on 44 winners apiece. With that momentum behind her on December 30 2008 she became the first female jockey to ride 100 winners in a calendar year.

A month after Dream Ahead won the July Cup, she won the Nunthorpe on Margot Did for Bell. The following spring she was the first female to ride on Dubai World Cup night and in June 2012 she became the second to ride in the Derby.

In 2015 she retired to take up a role as a television pundit and in 2016 was awarded an OBE but when a 2kg weight allowance for female jockeys was introduced in France she started riding out there before basing herself back in Newmarket again.

In 2019, when she won the Sandringham Handicap, she became the first female to ride a winner at Royal Ascot since Gay Kelleway in 1987. Since then she has ridden three more.

It is unlikely that any British female will ever better the world record for career wins which was set by the American Julie Krone who rode a staggering 3,704 winners between 1981 and 2004; a number no female in the USA or anywhere else has come anywhere near to matching.

Hollie Doyle, who is currently on a contract riding in Japan for the winter, is the next most successful in terms of winners in Britain having ridden 867 winners.
Polarized world threatens open internet: ICANN


Glenn CHAPMAN
Tue, 21 November 2023 

The Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN), the nonprofit group that minds the internet's infrastructure, is worried about chatter at the United Nations about giving more control of the world wide web to individual governments 
(Mark RALSTON)

After 25 years of keeping the internet strong and stable, the nonprofit ICANN -- responsible for its technical infrastructure -- is warning that increasingly polarized geopolitics could start cracking the foundations of the online world.

"It's super important to differentiate between what countries decide to do with controlling content, as opposed to the technical infrastructure," the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers' interim chief executive Sally Costerton told AFP in a recent interview.

"The risk of fragmentation at the technical level is enormous. The foundation crumbles and game over."


ICANN has managed the technical underpinnings of the internet since the group was established in Los Angeles in 1998, and for the past seven years it has operated under an international model that has all "stakeholders" work collaboratively.

"That has worked really well," Costerton said of the approach.

ICANN is best known for its work maintaining and expanding the internet address system to new "domains" and languages from its early ".com" days only employing the Roman alphabet.

But as online abuses -- from misinformation to hateful content -- have grown more insidious, interest has heightened in giving governments more control of the internet, including aspects that have previously been covered by ICANN.

Shifting control of the internet's infrastructure to governments and trade groups, and shutting out the technical community, could crack its foundation, Costerton warned.

But proposals have been circulating in the United Nations to give governments and trade groups such clout, and such discussions are expected to come to a head in 2025, according to ICANN.

"You start to damage the foundation by changing the way that internet governance model works," Costerton said.

"It looks like a magic trick, but it's the product of hundreds of thousands of people building trust in the technologies and each other."

While ICANN keeps the infrastructure on which the internet operates sound, it has nothing to do with any digital content it supports, the executive noted.

"I can't actually remove something from the internet," the ICANN chief said.

"The other thing is that ICANN is politically neutral, we can't take sides."

Costerton worries that mindset would shift if governments had more control of the internet infrastructure.

She also sees a threat from the unintended consequences of regulation in countries intending to safeguard citizens from what is deemed undesirable online content there.

"The internet was not designed on national borders, it's a global resource," Costerton said.

"The minute you start to decentralize it, you're going to start to create digital islands."

Essentially, the internet could be splintered as countries control what people see online.

"We are living in an increasingly nationalistic, polarized world," Costerton said.

"If you want all that wonderful content, and you want the magic trick to carry on, you must maintain the current trust-based model."

gc/arp/nro

Wednesday, November 22, 2023

GREENWASHING
A UAE company has secured African land the size of the UK for controversial carbon offset projects


Angela Dewan, International Climate Editor, CNN
Wed, 22 November 2023 at 5:24 pm GMT-7·12-min read

In late September, Zimbabwe’s environment minister signed away control over a staggering amount of land — almost 20% of his country — to a little-known foreign company. Blue Carbon was a small, new outfit, not even a year old, but its chief was no fledgling entrepreneur: he was an Emirati royal whose family had ruled Dubai for 190 years, flush with oil money.

The Dubai-based Blue Carbon has secured forested land nearly equivalent to the size of the United Kingdom across five African nations to run projects to conserve forests that might otherwise be logged, preventing huge amounts of planet-heating carbon dioxide, or CO2, from entering the atmosphere.

Blue Carbon can then use that conservation to create carbon credits to sell to companies and governments to “offset” the climate pollution they generate while they continue to burn planet-warming fossil fuels.

The flurry of forest conservation deals with Zimbabwe, Zambia, Kenya, Liberia and Tanzania were announced in the months ahead of the annual United Nations’ COP28 climate summit, being hosted this year in December by the United Arab Emirates. But according to several analysts and climate advocates CNN spoke with for this story, these conservation deals are the latest attempt by the petrostate to use green initiatives as a smokescreen for its plans to continue pumping fossil fuels.

At the same time, the UAE has said it plans to extract its very last barrel of oil 50 years from now, when its reserves are projected to dry up — decades beyond when scientists say society needs to be done with fossil fuel.

A spokesperson would not confirm to CNN that the company would sell those credits to the UAE, but given Blue Carbon’s chairman, Sheikh Ahmed Dalmook Al Maktoum, is a relative of Dubai’s royal ruler — who also serves as the UAE’s prime minister — the widely held assumption among analysts CNN spoke with is that these credits will be sold to the UAE to offset its enormous carbon footprint. They could also be sold to other oil-reliant nations and companies in the Gulf and beyond. CNN has reached out to the UAE government for comment.

Blue Carbon would not confirm to CNN the area size of all its projects, how much money it has provided in financing or how many credits it hopes to generate. The agreements are in initial stages and not yet finalized.

But the company did tell CNN it would present its deals at the COP28 summit in Dubai as a “blueprint” for carbon trading. The annual climate summit is where global leaders and negotiators from nearly 200 countries will convene to decide how and when to ramp down fossil fuel use. The UAE is expected to use its COP28 presidency to push hard to include carbon removal — not just from forests, but also from oil and gas as they burn and then storing it underground — central solution to the climate crisis.

Climate advocates have criticized carbon removal — and scientists remain skeptical of its efficacy — as a ticket for companies to continue to produce and burn fossil fuels on a large scale, even expand, and profit handsomely.

The UAE has a lot to lose, financially. Oil and gas account for around 30% of its GDP and 13% of its exports as of last year, according to the US Department of Commerce. More than 80 countries support phasing out fossil fuels, and renewable energy, like wind and solar, are now so cost competitive in most parts of the world that market forces will eventually squeeze oil and gas out anyway.

Unless, that is, fossil fuel companies and lobbyists can convince the world at COP28 not to rely too much on wind and solar, and to keep pumping oil and gas.

The UAE has already been hit with a barrage of criticism since it put Sultan Al Jaber — who runs the nation’s mammoth oil and gas company, the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), and serves as the nation’s international climate envoy — in charge of the negotiations. More than 100 members of the US Congress and the European Parliament in May called for Al Jaber to be replaced as COP28 president.

Al Jaber sees no conflict of interest in his many roles, he has said in multiple interviews. Nor does ADNOC, which told CNN in an email that there was “no one more qualified,” to lead the negotiations, pointing to his experience as leader of the nation’s renewable energy vehicle, Masdar, as well as its fossil fuels oil and gas company.

Sultan Al Jaber delivering a speech during the CERAWeek 2023 energy conference in Houston on March 6, 2023. - Callaghan O'Hare/Reuters

Al Jaber has long argued that fossil fuel companies need to be at the table in climate negotiations to ensure the green transition actually happens.

There is a certain logic to the argument, but climate advocates aren’t buying it, pointing instead to all the time the fossil fuel industry has had to show leadership on the issue, but hasn’t. Some fossil fuel companies were among the first to understand their products were causing climate change. That was around four decades ago, yet they continued to profit from coal, oil and gas.

“I think that ADNOC has turned the UN climate negotiations into a giant greenwashing operation for one of the largest oil companies on the planet,” said Jamie Henn, founder and executive director of the non-profit Fossil Free Media, which supports the movement to end fossil fuels. “It’s been clear from the start when the UAE applied to host this COP that one of the main goals of the meeting was for them to try and situate themselves, and their oil and gas industry by extension, as somehow part of the climate solution.”

As of 2020, the UAE was responsible for around 0.53% of the world’s CO2 emissions, according to data from Climate Watch, but with a small population of nearly 10 million people, it’s the sixth-largest carbon polluter per capita. Despite its relatively small population, the UAE was the world’s seventh-biggest oil producer by volume in 2022.

Henn said it was “absurd” that the negotiations had been taken over by fossil fuel interests.

“It’s like the international tobacco control negotiations being run by Philip Morris. Luckily, the UN has rules in place for those negotiations, where they don’t let tobacco lobbyists at the table,” Henn said. “We need that at COP.”
Carbon offsets not a ‘get out of jail free’ card

Never has a COP, which is hosted by a different city each year, had so many apparent conflicts of interest. Not only is Al Jaber wearing leadership hats for climate and fossil fuels, but Blue Carbon is so intertwined with the nation’s royals and rulers, it’s difficult to separate its promotion of carbon offsets from the UAE’s interest in continuing fossil fuel production.

And it will be in Dubai, at COP28, where the rules of how to buy and sell these very carbon credits will be decided.

When asked by CNN if Blue Carbon was looking at more carbon offset deals in Africa, a spokesperson for the company said that “with COP28 around the corner, we will formally announce a few more of our initiatives.” A source with knowledge of the COP28 agenda told CNN the company would use the deals to promote carbon credits as a bigger part of the climate solution.

It’s not a big surprise that so many countries have signed up to work with Blue Carbon. Its parent company, Global Carbon Investments, has already agreed to transfer $1.5 billion to Zimbabwe in “pre-financing for carbon credits.” That’s more than the country spends on education and childcare, which combined are Zimbabwe’s biggest national expense.

With so little money trickling in from the developed to the developing world to adapt to the climate crisis, carbon credit schemes open a new channel of revenue for forest-rich countries.

Cutting down forests or letting them degrade accounts for at least 12% of global planet-warming emissions. It’s their ability to absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere that makes them valuable as a climate solution.

Yet the idea of creating tradable carbon credits in exchange for not cutting down forests has been widely criticized as problematic. And some of the world’s biggest companies certifying carbon credits have been shown to use accounting methods that exaggerate their project’s true contribution to mitigating climate change.

In early November, Swiss entrepreneur Renat Heuberger stepped down from his role as CEO of South Pole — one of the world’s first major carbon credit trading companies — after media reports found the company had overstated the climate value of carbon credits that lay in its Kariba forest project in Zimbabwe.

South Pole has denied the media allegations, calling the reports “exaggerated” and “misleading.” In a February news release, the company said, “we strongly refute misleading statements around ‘over-issuances’ of verified carbon credits from one of our flagship climate action projects, the Kariba REDD+ forest protection project.”

A spokesperson for South Pole told CNN in an email Heuberger stepped down because the company wanted “fresh leadership for the job required in terms of (quality assurance) and due diligence processes and controls.”

A drone photo of forest in the Mucheni conservancy in Binga, Zimbabwe -- part of the Kariba carbon offsets project. - Zinyange Auntony/AFP/Getty Images

“Investment in efforts to conserve forests is always welcome. However, the challenge is that conserving forests isn’t a ‘get out of jail free’ card,” said Julia Jones, a conservation scientist at Bangor University in Wales.

“Globally, we need to both stop further loss of forests and drastically cut emissions,” she said. “Using one to offset the other, without very substantial investment in reducing emissions, is problematic.”

Land rights are another issue. In some cases, indigenous and customary landowners have been evicted to clear the way for such projects, as they witness their homes, once deemed nearly valueless, transformed into cash cows for polluting companies and countries.

The Forest Peoples Programme, a non-governmental organization, says that such evictions have become more common in Kenya since it began allocating land for carbon credits.

“Those in control of Africa’s forests stand to earn a lot of money, and corporations appear to be pursuing a new ‘scramble for Africa,’” Justin Kenrick, a senior policy advisor at the Forest Peoples Programme, told CNN in an email. “Meanwhile such ‘conservation’ in Kenya persists with a failed colonial approach of evicting the very communities who know best how to conserve their forests.”
ADNOC to produce more oil than Shell, BP

Whatever the outcome at COP28, the UAE’s state-run oil and gas company, ADNOC, stands to emerge a big winner, especially if it can convince the world that its “Maximum Energy. Minimum Emissions” slogan is a viable climate solution, even as global temperatures soar and scientists press for rapid fossil fuel cuts.

An ADNOC spokesperson did not directly answer CNN’s questions on how many people would represent the company at COP28, but dismissed suggestions the company would benefit from the conference as “incorrect” and “baseless.”

ADNOC is expected to hike its oil production by 41% and its gas production by a third by 2030, compared to projections for this year, according to an analysis of industry data by Global Witness, a non-profit focused on environmental justice and human rights. That translates to a 40% rise in its greenhouse gas emissions, Global Witness said.

The production boost contrasts with plans among other oil majors: Shell’s production is projected to remain largely flat in that time, while BP envisions a 25-percent production cut by 2030. ADNOC, by 2030, plans to out-produce both companies.

ADNOC is starting to look like a new international oil major in other ways, too: It’s expanding its portfolio by buying up assets overseas, such as a gas fields in Azerbaijan, and it has teamed up with BP in a bid to buy a 50% stake in Israel’s NewMed Energy, with a focus on gas exploration in areas including the eastern Mediterranean. It is also buying into projects around renewables and chemicals, the company told CNN.

To limit its carbon footprint amid the expansion, ADNOC said in October it plans to capture 10 million metric tons of CO2 a year from its operations by 2030 — a figure Global Witness found was wildly exaggerated in a recent analysis.

ADNOC currently has the capacity for 800,000 metric tons per year, though it hopes to capture another roughly 3 megatons per year through two facilities not yet completed. Even if those facilities do come online, Global Witness calculates it would take ADNOC more than 340 years to capture the amount of planet-heating carbon it is expected to emit between 2023 and 2030, if it captured both the emissions from its operations and those that occur from using its oil and gas.

ADNOC did not address the calculation in its response to CNN, saying only that it had set its ambition “to achieve net zero by 2045 backed by an initial $15 billion allocation.”

“Before this year, most people would have been forgiven for never having heard of ADNOC. The more we learn about this company — whose CEO remember is charged with making meaningful progress on emissions reductions at COP28 — the greater an outlier it becomes,” Patrick Galey, a senior fossil fuels investigator at Global Witness, told CNN.

“ADNOC plans not only to produce billions of barrels of oil for decades to come, but it is also positioning itself to be among the most aggressive expanders of oil and gas production out there.”

How much the UAE company expands beyond 2030 will depend on what role negotiators see for carbon capture at COP28, and whether it can find new markets abroad. Ironically, COP28 could be the arena that transforms ADNOC into a global oil major.

This story has been updated to reflect that South Pole has denied allegations it overstated the value of its carbon credits, and to include a statement from a South Pole spokesperson on why its CEO stepped down.

CNN’s Bethlehem Feleke contributed to this report from Nairobi.

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