Friday, December 22, 2023

Biden threatened by generation gap on Israel among Democrats, Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds

Andrew Romano
·West Coast Correspondent
Updated Thu, December 21, 2023 

President Biden answers a reporter's question as he arrives at the White House on Dec. 20. (Alex Brandon/Associated Press)

A widening divide between older and younger Democrats on the war in Gaza poses a political risk to President Biden as he heads into the 2024 election year, according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll.

The survey of 1,533 U.S. adults, which was conducted from Dec. 14 to 18, shows that for the first time, more Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents under the age of 45 disapprove (42%) than approve (41%) of Biden’s handling of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In mid-October, shortly after the war began, Democrats and Democratic leaners under age 45 approved of Biden’s approach to the issue by a two-to-one margin (47% to 24%).

In contrast, a majority of Democrats and Democratic leaners over 45 (55%) continue to approve of how Biden is dealing with the conflict — while less than a quarter (23%) disapprove.

A plurality of Democrats under 45 also now say that Biden’s approach has been “too pro-Israel” (38%) rather than “about right” (34%); in October, those numbers were more than reversed (22% too pro-Israel, 41% about right). Most Democrats over 45 still say Biden’s approach has been about right (51%) rather than too pro-Israel (20%).
How discontent among younger Democrats could shake up 2024

Unlike some other recent national surveys, the new Yahoo News/YouGov poll does not find former President Donald Trump leading Biden among voters age 18 to 29 (a group Biden won 60% to 34% in 2020). According to the Yahoo News/YouGov results, Biden and Trump are tied overall at 44% apiece, and Biden remains ahead by a healthy 55% to 27% margin among 18-to-29-year-olds.

Yet while rising discontent among younger Democrats with Biden’s handling of the war in Gaza may not be driving them into Trump’s arms, it could potentially sap enthusiasm, affect turnout and/or boost third-party support in 2024. A follow-up question asking about Trump vs. Biden vs. “another candidate,” for instance, shows the unspecified other candidate drawing 19% of the 18-to-29-year-old vote — and Biden’s support falling 9 percentage points to 46%. Trump’s share of the youth vote, meanwhile, remains virtually unchanged in this scenario, at 26%.
Digging deeper into the divide

What’s clear from the poll is that younger Democrats do not see eye to eye with their older counterparts on Israel and Gaza — or with Americans as a whole. Two examples:

Israel’s favorability rating among Democrats 45 and older is 50% favorable, 29% unfavorable; among Americans overall, it is 51% favorable, 24% favorable. But among Democrats under 45, a mere 37% now see Israel favorably, while more (41%) see the country unfavorably.


Asked if Israel “has a right to exist as a Jewish state,” 80% of Democrats 45 and older say yes; just 4% say no. Among Americans overall, those numbers are similar (70% vs. 9%). Among Democrats under 45, however, far fewer say yes (57%), while nearly a quarter (23%) say no.


To be sure, the three Yahoo News/YouGov surveys conducted since Oct. 7 show U.S. public opinion moving toward greater support for deescalation. In October, immediately following Hamas’s initial attacks on Israel, 47% of Americans said they wanted Israel to “take further military action against Hamas to protect Israeli citizens,” while 24% wanted Israel to “deescalate military action against Hamas to avoid harming Palestinian citizens.” That margin in favor of further military action over deescalation narrowed in November (38% vs. 30%) and on the current survey (37% vs. 33%).

Likewise, in November, more Americans preferred the U.S. government to be “working to broker a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas” (41%) rather than “supporting Israel as it tries to defeat Hamas” (34%). That margin grew slightly to 44% vs. 34% on the new survey.

But a new question forcing respondents to choose between “a continuation of the fighting until Hamas is no longer in control of Gaza” and “a permanent ceasefire that ends the fighting but leaves Hamas in control of Gaza” reveals just how big a gap remains between younger and older Democrats, with a 40% plurality of Democrats under 45 saying they prefer a ceasefire that leaves Hamas in control versus just 17% of Democrats over 45.
Antisemitism seen as a growing problem

As left-wing protests against Israel’s conduct in Gaza continue — and as debates about anti-Jewish speech on college campuses make national headlines — 67% of Americans now say antisemitism is a “very” or “somewhat” serious problem in the U.S. today, up 8 points from last December. Similarly, a majority of Americans (53%) now say antisemitism has increased “over the past few years,” up 9 points from last December.



Back then, the media was focused on Trump’s dinner with openly antisemitic rapper Kanye West and white nationalist Holocaust denier Nick Fuentes; today, accusations of antisemitism center on the political left. As a result, perceptions of antisemitism as a problem have risen far more over the past year among Republicans (up from 51% to 68%) and independents (up from 60% to 67%) than among Democrats (up just a point, from 72% to 73%). A full 40% of all Americans now say “a lot” or “some” of the Democratic Party “holds antisemitic views,” up from 34% a year ago. Meanwhile, the perception among all Americans that a lot or some of the Republican party holds antisemitic views ticked down 2 points (from 40% to 38%) over the past year.
Biden gets little credit from either side

None of this is good news for Biden, whose administration has attempted to walk a fine line by publicly supporting Israel while also urging its government to transition from devastating airstrikes and ground operations to more precise targeting of Hamas leaders.

In return, the president has gotten little credit from either side of the political divide. Since October, Biden’s overall approval rating for handling the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has fallen by 6 points (from 36% to 30%), while his disapproval rating has risen by 12 points (from 40% to 52%). That reflects the fact that Democrats are now 9 points less likely to approve of Biden’s approach to the issue (48%) than they were in October (57%) — and 15 points more likely to disapprove (20% vs. 35%).

At the same time, GOP opinion has barely budged. In October, Biden’s rating among Republicans on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict was 66% disapprove versus 21% approve. Today, those numbers are 68% and 19%, respectively.

____________

The Yahoo News survey was conducted by YouGov using a nationally representative sample of 1,533 U.S. adults interviewed online from Dec. 14 to 18, 2023. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification and current voter registration status. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given prior to Nov. 1, 2022, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (33% Democratic, 27% Republican). Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of all U.S. adults. The margin of error is approximately 2.8%.

Young voters right now overwhelmingly prefer Biden: The Economist/YouGov poll

Sarah Fortinsky
Wed, December 20, 2023 

Young voters overwhelmingly say they would support President Biden over former President Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head match-up if the 2024 presidential election were held today, according to a poll released Wednesday.

In the Economist/YouGov poll — conducted via web-based interviews Dec. 16-18 — more than half (53 percent) of registered voters under 30 said they would support Biden, and less than a quarter (24 percent) said they would support Trump.

Another 10 percent said they would support another candidate, 4 percent said they were not sure, and 9 percent said they wouldn’t vote.

Among registered voters 30–44 years old, Biden still leads but by a slimmer margin; 49 percent support Biden, and 38 percent support Trump.

The trend reverses for older age brackets. Among registered voters ages 45–64, 39 percent support Biden, and 47 percent support Trump. Among registered voters 65 and over, 36 percent support Biden, and 53 percent support Trump.

This poll departs from other polls released this week that showed Biden more popular among older Americans. A New York Times/Siena College poll released Tuesday showed Trump ahead of Biden by 6 points among registered voters under 30.

Biden and Trump are the current front-runners for the Democratic and Republican parties, respectively. Recent polls have indicated Biden’s popularity is waning slightly as Trump’s ticks up.

According to Decision Desk HQ’s average of national polls of a hypothetical Trump/Biden match-up, 45.5 percent support Trump and 43 percent support Biden.

Biden hasn’t led Trump in Decision Desk HQ’s national polling average since Oct. 16, when Biden was up by one-tenth of a percentage point. The incumbent held a mostly consistent lead over Trump for the first several months of the year, until mid-September.

The Economist/YouGov poll surveyed 1,336 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.

Only about half of young Americans say democracy is best form of government

Sarah Fortinsky
Wed, December 20, 2023 


Only about half of young Americans in a poll released Wednesday say democracy is the greatest form of government.

A poll from The Economist/YouGov shows that among U.S. adults surveyed, support for democracy is strongest among older Americans, but it declines in every subsequent younger age bracket — with the weakest levels of support among adults younger than 45.

Only 54 percent of U.S. adults ages 18-29 agree with the statement, “Democracy is the greatest form of government,” including 21 percent who agree strongly and 34 percent who agree somewhat. Another 34 percent say they neither agree nor disagree, and 12 percent say they disagree.

That level of support is similar among U.S. adults ages 30-44 — 55 percent say they agree with the statement, including 26 percent who agree strongly and 29 percent who agree somewhat. Thirty-six percent say they neither agree nor disagree, and 9 percent say they disagree.

Support for democracy is significantly higher among older demographics — with 70 percent of U.S. adults ages 45-64 agreeing that democracy is the best form of government, and 86 percent of adults ages 65 and older saying the same.

The poll was conducted on Dec. 16-18 via web interviews with 1,500 U.S. adults, and one respondent opted to skip this question in the interview. The margin of error was 3.5 percentage points.

The poll comes amid heightened concerns across party lines that young people no longer feel compelled to participate in democratic systems, arguing it has not worked for them.

A recent poll from Harvard University’s Institute of Politics showed young voters were less likely to say they planned to vote in the 2024 election. Among respondents aged 18-29 who said they voted in the 2020 election, only 49 percent said they would “definitely” vote in the next presidential election; 17 percent said they would “probably” vote in the 2024 election.

The Economist/YouGov poll shows support for democracy is similar across party lines, with a slightly higher share of Democrats agreeing with the statement.

Asked whether they agreed with the statement, 77 percent of Democrats and 71 percent of Republicans said they did. Only 52 percent of independents said they agreed. By ideology, 75 percent of self-described liberals agreed, 73 percent of self-described conservatives agreed, and 68 percent of self-described moderates agreed.

Income levels also seemed to influence the levels of support, with 59 percent of U.S. adults making less than $50K agreeing with the statement, compared with 70 percent of those making $50,000-$100,000 and 75 percent of those making more than $100,000.

Mexico's president is willing to help with border migrant crush but wants US to open talks with Cuba

Associated Press
Fri, December 22, 2023 

The Union Pacific International Railroad Bridge is seen behind concertina wire, Friday, Sept. 22, 2023, in Eagle Pass, Texas. The federal government has closed railroad crossings in two Texas border towns, including Eagle Pass, raising concerns about the potential impact on trade and goods available to American consumers. Carriers and politicians have decried the move that closes two of the six available railroad systems between Mexico and the U.S. 
(AP Photo/Eric Gay, File)

MEXICO CITY (AP) — Mexico’s president said Friday that he is willing to help out with a surge of migrants that led to the closure of border crossings with the United States, but he wants the U.S. government to open talks with Cuba and send more development aid to migrants' home countries.

The comments by President Andrés Manuel López Obrador came a day after the U.S. announced that a delegation of top U.S. officials would visit Mexico for talks on how to enforce immigration rules at the two countries’ shared border.

López Obrador confirmed that U.S. officials want Mexico to do more to block migrants at its southern border with Guatemala, or make it more difficult to move across Mexico by train or in trucks or buses, a policy known as “contention.”

But the president said that in exchange he wanted the United States to send more development aid to migrants' home countries, and to reduce or eliminate sanctions against Cuba and Venezuela.

“We are going to help, as we always do,” López Obrador said. “Mexico is helping reach agreements with other countries, in this case Venezuela.”

“We also want something done about the (U.S.) differences with Cuba,” López Obrador said. “We have already proposed to President (Joe) Biden that a U.S.-Cuba bilateral dialogue be opened.”

“That is what we are going to discuss, it is not just contention,” he said at his daily morning press briefing.

Mexico is apparently offering to negotiate with Venezuela, whose people make up a large part of the surge of migrants at the U.S. southwestern border. That surge has led U.S. officials to pull immigration officers away from two Texas border rail crossings that are vital to Mexico’s economy.

López Obrador has long opposed U.S. sanctions on Cuba, whose migrants are also streaming to the U.S. border. And the Mexican president has long pressed the United States to contribute to a tree-planting program and to youth scholarship and apprentice programs that he has been pushing for Central America.

López Obrador said the development aid will help stem residents' need to migrate.

The Mexico-U.S. meetings come as Republican and Democratic lawmakers are debating border policy changes as part of a larger conversation over U.S. assistance for Ukraine and Israel, which are top foreign policy priorities for the White House.

Pressure mounted on Mexico following the closure of two railroad crossings in Texas earlier this week. U.S. officials said personnel assigned to the locations needed to be redeployed to help with large numbers of migrants illegally crossing the border. Mexican businesses warned the closures were hampering trade.

López Obrador spoke by telephone with Biden on Thursday and agreed that additional border enforcement was needed so the crossings can be reopened, White House national security spokesman John Kirby said.

Kirby said Biden asked Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas and White House Momeland Security Advisor Liz Sherwood-Randall to travel to Mexico for talks with López Obrador and his team.

A U.S. official said the trip would likely happen the Wednesday after Christmas.

“Their visit will really be about getting at the migratory flows and talking to President López Obrador and his team about what more we can do together,” Kirby said at a White House briefing.

Mexican companies are so eager for the border points to reopen that the leader of the Industrial Chamber of Commerce wrote on his social media accounts late Wednesday that a deal had been brokered to get them reopened. A U.S. Embassy spokesperson quickly denied that, saying they remained closed.

The Mexican Employers’ Association described the closure of railroad crossings into Eagle Pass and El Paso, Texas, as a “failure of migration policy.” The organization said the situation was causing losses of $100 million per day in delayed shipments.

Mexico receives much of the corn and soy products it needs to feed livestock on trains from the United States. Auto parts and automobiles also frequently are shipped by rail in Mexico.

“We energetically but respectfully call on the governments of Mexico and the United States to address the migration crisis which is affecting the flow of goods, given that this measure only damages the economies of both nations,” the association wrote in a statement.

U.S. Customs and Border Protection said Sunday the decision was made “in order to redirect personnel to assist the U.S. Border Patrol with taking migrants into custody.”

But is also appeared the U.S. government wants Mexico to crack down on migrants riding rail cars to the U.S. border.

Elsewhere, the Lukeville, Arizona, border crossing is closed, as is a pedestrian entry in San Diego, while more officials are assigned to the entry points. Illegal crossings at the U.S. southwestern border topped 10,000 on some days this month, an unusually high number.

___

Follow AP's coverage of global migration at https://apnews.com/hub/migration



Blinken due in Mexico for border talks
Diego Mendoza
Fri, December 22, 2023 

Semafor Signals

Insights from El Universal, the BBC, and CBS News

NEWS

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and other senior officials will travel to Mexico in an effort to curb illegal immigration.

The announcement follows a phone call between U.S. President Joe Biden and his Mexican counterpart Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who agreed that “additional enforcement actions are urgently needed so that key ports of entry can be reopened across our shared border.”

Illegal immigration and cross-border flows of fentanyl have become an increasingly critical voting issue as overdose deaths and migrants strain resources in major U.S. cities.
SIGNALSSemafor Signals: Global insights on today's biggest stories.
Mass mobilization across the border isn’t helpingSources: El Universal, USA Today

“Securitization, threat, and control have done nothing” to combat the migrant crisis and have instead fueled profits made through drug and human trafficking, argued columnist Eunice Rendon for Mexico’s El Universal. Experts quoted by USA Today in 2018 meanwhile likened drug trafficking along the U.S.-Mexico border to a balloon: “If you squeeze one part, the air simply shifts to another.” Rather than fund expensive and inefficient projects like a longer border wall and more border agents, security experts said officials should rely more on paid informants and wiretapping programs to target specific smuggling operations.
China vows to crackdown on fentanyl, but will it commit?Sources: South China Morning Post, BBC

China will help stop the flow of fentanyl production products to Mexico on the basis of “mutual respect, equality and mutual benefit,” a Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson said Friday, as part of Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s promise to Biden at an Asia-Pacific leaders’ summit last month. But one former U.S. trade official told the BBC that Chinese provinces are ultimately responsible for enforcement, and many lack the necessary resources — or are too corrupt — to stop the flow. Beijing is “capable” of expanding its crackdown, the official said, but the question is whether “it’s a sufficient priority,” with Xi only willing to commit depending on “broader geopolitical dynamics.”
Trump is capitalizing with anti-immigration rhetoricSources: CNN, Washington Post, CBS

With record-high border crossings, immigration has become a top concern for U.S. voters: 44% called the issue “extremely important” in a recent CNN poll. Former President Donald Trump — the frontrunner for the Republican primary — has seized the opportunity to amplify his hardline anti-immigration rhetoric, telling supporters at recent campaign events that undocumented immigrants are “poisoning the blood” of the country, prompting both Republicans and Democrats to denounce his comments as offensive and racist. Iowa voters interviewed by CBS said they “don’t speak” for Trump, but echoed his concerns about immigration. “We don’t know who these people are,” one said. “If we have terrorists or drug cartels coming in, that’s just going to corrupt America.”

Mexican president to boost measures aimed at curbing migration

Reuters
Fri, December 22, 2023 

Mexico's President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador attends his daily news conference, in Acapulco



MEXICO CITY (Reuters) -Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said on Friday his government plans to reinforce measures aimed at containing migration as he seeks to assist the United States in dealing with record numbers of people trying to reach the U.S. border.

Lopez Obrador's comments come a day after he spoke with U.S. President Joe Biden, during which both agreed that more enforcement was needed at the border between their countries, as record numbers of migrants disrupt border trade.

Top U.S. officials are set to visit Mexico next Wednesday to follow up on the call, Lopez Obrador said.

"What was agreed is that we keep working together," Lopez Obrador told a regular press conference. "We have a proposal to strengthen our plans, what we've been doing."

Lopez Obrador said he would step up efforts on Mexico's southern border with Guatemala, while also seeking agreements to manage higher numbers of Venezuelans, Cubans, Haitians and Ecuadoreans fleeing poverty, crime and conflict.

"We are not only seeking accords with the United States," Lopez Obrador said, saying his government was looking to reach agreements with countries, including Venezuela.

He also reiterated that he would continue to call for talks between the U.S. and Cuba, which has been under an American economic embargo for decades, and noted talks on easing U.S. sanctions on Venezuela were "progressing."

The number of migrants crossing the perilous Darien Gap into Central America has topped half a million this year, double last year's record figures.

(Reporting by Dave Graham and Ana Isabel Martinez; Editing by Sarah Morland and Jonathan Oatis)


Biden, Mexico president agree border crisis calls for 'urgently needed' enforcement

Francesca Chambers and Lauren Villagran, USA TODAY
Updated Thu, December 21, 2023

President Joe Biden spoke with Mexico's president about "additional enforcement actions" to slow migration at the U.S.-Mexico border after the arrival of tens of thousands migrants shut down trade at two ports of entry.


President Joe Biden arrives at White House in Washington, DC, on December 19, 2023, as he returns from Wilmington, Delaware.

Biden and Mexico President Andrés Manuel López Obrador spoke Thursday by phone, according to John Kirby, spokesman for the White House National Security Council, during a White House press briefing.

"The two leaders agreed that additional enforcement actions are urgently needed so that key ports of entry can be reopened across our shared border," Kirby said.

The administration is also sending a high-level delegation to Mexico City. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Department of Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas and White House Homeland Security Adviser Liz Sherwood Randall will meet with the Mexican president and his team in the coming days, Kirby said.

The White House and Congress have been negotiating a national security package that hinges on increased funding and policy changes to border security. Lawmakers left town this week without reaching a deal, and they are not scheduled to return until the second week in January.

Tens of thousands of migrants have crossed the border in Texas in recent days, prompting U.S. Customs and Border Protection to shut down international rail crossings in Eagle Pass and El Paso on Dec. 18. Migrants have been riding atop freight trains in Mexico north to the U.S. border, and the closures are slowing bilateral trade.

CBP also closed a busy pedestrian crossing at San Ysidro and vehicle crossings in Lukeville, Ariz., and Eagle Pass.
U.S., Mexico cooperation on border crisis

This week in Eagle Pass, Texas, hundreds of migrants waited in the open air on patches of grass cordoned off by U.S. Border Patrol, which has struggled to process the number of people crossing the border and turning themselves in to officers.

At the El Paso, Texas, border over the weekend, dozens of migrant families walked along a border highway in Ciudad Juárez, searching for a place to cross the Rio Grande river to the U.S. side as police trucks and vans belonging to the country’s migration authority slowly patrolled the levy on the south side.

A spokesman for Texas Gov. Greg Abbott said he did not have enough information on Biden’s conversation with López Obrador to comment. But the Republican governor has sharply criticized the Democratic president's approach to immigration and border enforcement since arriving at the White House.

“Biden’s deliberate inaction has left Texas to fend for itself,” Abbott said Tuesday in the border city of Brownsville where he signed legislation that allocates $1.54 billion to continue work on then-President Donald Trump's border wall, halted after the change of administrations in 2021.

At the press briefing, Kirby acknowledged the challenging situation.

"The president believes that we’ve got to do better at immigration, and he’s willing to talk and negotiate with members of Congress about immigration policy, just as he is about border security," Kirby said.

The delegation's visit to Mexico City "will really be about getting at the migratory flows and talking to President López Obrador and his team about what more we can do together."

USA TODAY network reporter John Moritz contributed to this report.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Biden, Mexico president agree border crisis needs urgent enforcement

White House 'working closely' with Mexico to resolve border rail closures

Reuters
Updated Wed, December 20, 2023 

A member of the Texas National Guard stands guard on the banks of the Rio Bravo river, as seen from Ciudad Juarez


WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The White House said on Wednesday it was working with Mexico's government to resolve issues that led the Biden administration on Monday to close two rail crossings at the Texas-Mexico border used by increasing numbers of migrants to enter the U.S.

Dozens of major U.S. agricultural groups on Wednesday urged the U.S. to reopen the crossings, saying the closures of the railroad trade routes were causing steep export losses to U.S. growers.

The farm groups said the U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency could reopen the rail bridges with as few as five employees per crossing, challenging the agency's rationale for shutting down the train routes.

A White House spokesperson said later on Wednesday that the U.S. was "working closely with the Mexican government in an attempt to resolve this issue, while surging personnel to the region."

"We are communicating regularly with industry leaders to ensure we are assessing and mitigating the impacts of these temporary closures," the spokesperson said.

The White House also repeated that U.S. Homeland Security Department officials shut down the two crossings to "stop a large movement of migrants coming by rail and to protect the health and safety of its personnel."

(Reporting by David Shepardson and Kanishka Singh in Washington; Editing by Sandra Maler by Edmund Klamann)





Live from the Jungle: Migrants Become Influencers on Social Media

Julie Turkewitz
Fri, December 22, 2023

Migrants record a video while crossing the Darien Gap, between Colombia and Panama, Sept. 23, 2022. (Federico Rios/The New York Times)


Manuel Monterrosa set out for the United States last year with his cellphone and a plan: He’d record his journey through the dangerous jungle known as the Darién Gap and post it on YouTube, warning other migrants of the perils they’d face.

In his six-part series, edited entirely on his phone along the way, he heads north with a backpack, leading viewers on a video-selfie play-by-play of his passage across rivers, muddy forests and a mountain known as the Hill of Death.

He eventually made it to the United States. But to his surprise, his videos began attracting so many views and earning enough money from YouTube that he decided he no longer needed to live in America at all.

So, Monterrosa, a 35-year-old from Venezuela, returned to South America and now has a new plan altogether: trekking the Darién route again, this time in search of content and clicks, having learned how to make a living as a perpetual migrant.

“Migration sells,” Monterrosa said. “My public is a public that wants a dream.”

For more than a decade, cellphones have been indispensable tools for people fleeing their homelands, helping them research routes, find friends and loved ones, connect with smugglers and evade the authorities.

Now, cellphones and social media platforms such as Facebook, YouTube and TikTok are drastically changing the equation once again, fueling the next evolution of global movement.

Today, migrants are the producers of an enormous digital almanac of the trek to the United States, documenting the route and its pitfalls in such detail that, in a few stretches, people can find their way on their own, without smugglers.

And as migrants stream their struggles and successes to millions back home, some are becoming small-time celebrities and influencers in their own right, inspiring others to make the trek as well.

Their posts, pictures, videos and memes are not just in Spanish, but also in the array of languages spoken by migrants from around the globe who are increasingly showing up at the southern border of the United States.

Some influencers, like Monterrosa, who studied communications in Venezuela, are bringing in a few hundred dollars a month from companies like YouTube — often a lot more than they were making at home. During a good month, Monterrosa says he has earned $1,000 in payouts, four times the minimum wage in Colombia, where he lives now.

But the content can be more profitable for social media companies, which make money from posts about migration the same way they do from cat videos, experts say: the longer viewers watch or scroll, the more advertisements they can be shown.

Spanish-language posts with the tag #migracion on TikTok have nearly 2 billion views, according to figures reported by the platform. So do posts marked #darien, which sometimes appear between ads for H&M and the iPhone15.

On Facebook, migration-related groups flourish — one has more than 500,000 members — creating an open marketplace for smugglers who call themselves “advisers” or “guides.”

The company says that offering smuggling services violates its policies, and that it makes an enormous effort to identify and remove such content, including working with the United Nations. Still, The New York Times found more than 900 cases of Facebook users offering passage toward the United States.

“Accompanying you toward your dreams!” read one recent Facebook post, where a group calling itself a “travel agency” advertises several routes through the Darién.

Facebook removed this and hundreds of other smuggler posts flagged by the Times. A company representative called “the safety of our users” a priority, acknowledging that it was a challenge to keep up with the “mind-melting” amount of information on the site.

At the center of this digital conversation is the Darién Gap, the perilous jungle straddling South and North America that has grown from a dense, rarely traversed forest into a migrant thoroughfare.

The Darién is the only way into the Northern Hemisphere by foot. Long trekked by just a few thousand people a year, it’s quickly become a harrowing rite of passage, crossed by more than 500,000 migrants — from more than 100 countries — this year alone, according to the authorities in Panama, where the jungle ends.

Political turmoil and the economic havoc of the pandemic are fueling the increase, but officials from Colombia to the United States say cellphones and social media are undoubtedly accelerants.

“I saw their stories on Facebook,” Irismar Gutiérrez, a 22-year-old Venezuelan about to venture into the Darién Gap, said of all the posts from friends and family who had made it the United States.

The Darién, once barely known around the world, has drawn so much attention that it may soon become a reality television show, with a team of 24 adventurers planning a Jeep expedition through the jungle. The producers say they hope to get “as many as 40 million eyeballs a month through TikTok alone.”

To the alarm of the Biden administration, the number of Venezuelans crossing the Darién took off last year as photographs and videos raced across TikTok, Instagram and Facebook showing Venezuelans who had made it into the United States.

Since then, the Darién social media universe has only exploded. On TikTok, a cheery and almost heartwarming Darién video montage featuring waving migrants and a leap into an emerald-colored river has almost 13 million views. A Facebook user with nearly 500,000 followers, named El Chamo (“the young guy” in Venezuelan Spanish), posted videos from the Darién, and then a follow-up called “My first job in the United States.”

Many migrant content creators say they are acting as citizen journalists and educators, helping others to understand what the route demands and to make informed decisions about whether to risk it.

In the miniseries about his journey to the United States, Monterrosa passes the body of a man who looks near death and considers the terrible question, faced by nearly every migrant on the route, of whether to stop and aid a person who cannot go on.

“Is it inhuman not to help?” he asks.

He has been told by others that he inspired them to go north. But Monterrosa does not see himself as incentivizing large-scale migration.

He says much bigger factors are to blame for that — such as the crises in migrants’ home countries, the demand for cheap labor in the United States, immigration policies that force people onto illegal routes, and the social media platforms that benefit from the onslaught of new content.

Migrants who narrate and share their own journeys “are just a few more survivors” in a world that offers them few other options, he added.

Facebook and TikTok are also flooded with the faces of people who have disappeared or died in the Darién, often accompanied by desperate pleas from family members asking for any information about their loved ones.

“It’s been 34 days without any news from them,” says one post on Facebook, above the photographs of two boys from Ecuador.

Another, with an image of a diapered toddler, includes a plea for the child’s name and relatives because her mother “drowned in a swamp.”

c.2023 The New York Times Company
Treasury Department releases proposed rules for hydrogen production tax credits

Fri, December 22, 2023 

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Friday that hydrogen production tax credits in the Inflation Reduction Act are helping to scale up low-carbon fuels production. Treasury released proposed new rules Friday on the tax credits. 
Photo by John Angelillo/UPI

Dec. 22 (UPI) -- The Treasury Department Friday released proposed rules spelling out how hydrogen production tax credits will work under the Inflation Reduction Act's Clean Hydrogen Production Credit.

The agency outlined three criteria for taxpayer use of energy attribute certificates that will be used to assess and document qualification for hydrogen production credits.

"The Inflation Reduction Act's hydrogen tax credit will help build a clean hydrogen industry that will be critical in reducing emissions from harder-to-decarbonize sectors like heavy industry and heavy transportation," Senior Advisor to the President John Podesta said.

First, it established that recipients must use new clean power, clarifying that clean power generators that began commercial operations within three years of a hydrogen facility placed into service are considered new clean power sources to use the EACs. Newly added capacity or "uprates" can also qualify as new clean power.

The second requirement for the EACs is deliverable clean power. That's power that must be sourced from the same region as the hydrogen producer. The new proposed rules will seek comment on how to consider transmission of clean power between regions.


Senior Advisor to the President for Clean Energy Innovation John Podesta said Friday Biden administration hydrogen production tax credits will build a clean hydrogen industry in the United States. He said that's a critical step in reducing emissions. 
Photo by Chris Kleponis/UPI

The third requirement is new clean deliverable power annually generated.

For this, Treasury said that the EACs will "generally need to be matched to production on an hourly basis-meaning that the claimed generation must occur within the same hour that the electrolyzer claiming the credit is operating."

The new proposed rules include allowing annual matching until 2028, when hourly tracking systems are expected to be more widely available.

The goal of the credits is to incentivize clean power production and carbon reduction.

"Incentives in the Inflation Reduction Act are helping to scale production of low-carbon fuels like hydrogen and cut emissions from heavy industry, a difficult-to-transition sector of our economy," said U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.

The IRA's Clean Hydrogen Production Credit for facilities meeting prevailing wage and other requirements will range from 60 cents per kilogram of hydrogen produced to $3 per kilogram.

That credit will be available for 10 years beginning when a production facility is put into service for projects that begin construction by 2033. That means these credits could be available for some hydrogen facilities well into the 2040s.


US unveils clean hydrogen plan, nuclear power role uncertain


Updated Fri, December 22, 2023

FILE PHOTO: The U.S Treasury building in Washington.


By Timothy Gardner

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The U.S. proposed rules on Friday for how energy companies can access billions of dollars in tax credits for producing low-carbon hydrogen using new clean energy sources but left thorny issues, such as how nuclear power could benefit, uncertain.

The credit will be based on the life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions from the power source used in hydrogen production, and ranges from 60 cents to $3 per kilogram, the Treasury Department said in the 128-page proposal.

"The 45V clean energy hydrogen production tax credit is an important part of our strategy to unlock private investment across sectors to build a clean energy economy and tackle the climate crisis," John Podesta, a White House climate adviser, told reporters in a call.

To get the credit, hydrogen producers would have to prove they have used clean electricity built within three years that a hydrogen plant went into service. The Biden administration is, however, seeking feedback over the next two months from the nuclear industry and other low-carbon power generators on how their existing plants could benefit.

The uncertainty has concerned nuclear power producers looking to produce hydrogen using their virtually emissions-free electricity. Existing nuclear power is featured in three of the seven hydrogen hubs the Energy Department is supporting with billions of dollars in public funding. But building new nuclear power is costly and fraught with delays.

"For an administration that wants to reduce emissions and fight climate change, it makes no sense to kneecap the hydrogen market before it can even begin," said Senator Joe Manchin, a Democrat who opposes the restrictions.

Business groups including the Chamber of Commerce have also slammed new clean energy requirements, saying it will slow down the build-out of a hydrogen economy.

Renewable energy backers and many environmental groups, however, say the strict limits are necessary to ensure that hydrogen production - which is energy-intensive - doesn't inadvertently lead to an increase in use of carbon-emitting fossil fuels overall.

“Today’s proposed rules are a win for the climate, U.S. consumers, and the budding U.S. hydrogen industry,” said Rachel Fakhry, policy director for emerging technologies at the Natural Resources Defense Council.

The Biden administration believes that low-carbon hydrogen can fight climate change by fueling heavy industry such as aluminum, cement and steel and long-haul transportation.

The credits were outlined last year in President Joe Biden's signature climate law, the Inflation Reduction Act, and are part of the administration's plan to put the country on a path to producing 50 million metric tons of the fuel by 2050.

Streams of clean hydrogen can be produced with electrolyzers powered by wind and solar power, nuclear, or natural gas with carbon capture, that split water into hydrogen and oxygen.

Today the vast majority of hydrogen is produced with fossil fuels with unabated emissions, at a fraction of the cost of clean hydrogen.

The proposal also says the clean power must also have been sourced from the same region as the hydrogen producer and have been generated about the same time that the hydrogen was produced.

'SURRENDER LEADERSHIP' ON NUCLEAR

Operators of nuclear power say the credit is necessary to produce hydrogen and help keep their plants open.

A senior U.S. official said there are potential pathways for nuclear power to get the credit, including upgrading or relicensing plants, or showing how producing hydrogen would help them avoid shutting plants.

The proposal also contains a potential carve-out for nuclear that allows a percentage of a company's power generation to go into clean hydrogen, but the administration needs more information from the industry, a senior official told reporters on the call.

The proposed rule will undergo 60 days of comment and public hearings before being finalized.

Constellation, the largest U.S. nuclear power operator, which hopes to build a $900 million hydrogen production facility at an Illinois plant, slammed the proposal.

"If finalized, America will surrender hydrogen and deep decarbonization leadership to China and Europe, both of which have policies that smartly utilize their existing nuclear plants to make hydrogen and speed decarbonization," Constellation said in a statement.

The proposal also suggests ways that natural gas emitted from landfills, called renewable natural gas, and gas emitted from oil drilling could be captured and used for hydrogen production.

(Reporting by Timothy Gardner; Editing by Christopher Cushing and Jonathan Oatis)

Treasury proposes strict climate rules for lucrative hydrogen energy tax credit

Rachel Frazin
Fri, December 22, 2023 



Producers of hydrogen energy would have to comply with strict climate rules to qualify for a lucrative tax credit under new proposed guidelines from the Treasury Department.

The Biden administration and climate advocates say these guidelines would ensure the nascent power source develops in a sustainable way rather than becoming a significant contributor to global warming.

But many industry players say the rules would stifle hydrogen’s growth — with negative implications for companies and the planet in the long run.

The stakes are high. Hydrogen power is seen as a key tool to transition industries, such as aviation, steel and cement — whose emissions are particularly difficult to eliminate — to a cleaner power source.

The tax credits are key for making hydrogen from low- or no-emitting sources economically viable.

Frank Wolak, president and CEO of the Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Energy Association, said without access to the credit, hydrogen produced from renewable sources is “not market feasible.”

Hydrogen energy can be made by either using electricity to separate the hydrogen out of water molecules in an electrolyzer or through a reaction between methane and steam.

Later use of the hydrogen itself does not create any emissions, but the process of making it with steam or generating the electricity to power the electrolyzer can produce climate-warming emissions.

The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), the Democrats’ 2022 climate, tax and health care bill, provided significant tax credits for hydrogen energy whose production meets certain emissions thresholds.

The proposed guidance released Friday sets out rules for what hydrogen can qualify for a clean hydrogen tax credit provided by that law.

The proposal says that to get the tax credit, an electrolyzer would need to be fueled by new power sources as opposed to existing electricity that’s already on the grid.

It would also be required to get power that’s generated in the same geographic region where the electrolyzer exists.

For the first few years of the guidance, it would allow the new renewable energy sources to generate power during the same year that it is used by the electrolyzer. Starting in 2028, however, the electricity would have to be produced within the same hour as it is used by the electrolyzer.

Administration officials told reporters that without strict stipulations, renewable-based hydrogen energy’s total emissions footprint may be greater than that of fossil-based hydrogen that’s already in use.

That’s because without strict rules, electrolyzers would be able to take renewable power from the electric grid that is ultimately replaced with fossil fuels to meet the rest of the power needs.

“Clean hydrogen holds the potential to reduce emissions in some of the most difficult to decarbonize sectors of our economy. But producing it today typically entails significant climate pollution,” Deputy Treasury Secretary Wally Adeyemo told reporters.

“That’s why the … credit is aimed at building a clean hydrogen industry in the U.S., and the proposed rules we are releasing today are aimed at achieving that goal.”

Environmental advocates have been pushing for strict guidelines — saying they are necessary to make sure hydrogen actually delivers climate benefits. They largely cheered the Biden administration’s proposal.

“These are flexible rules, they’re pragmatic, they’re straightforward to implement,” said Rachel Fakhry, policy director for emerging technologies at the Natural Resources Defense Council.

She added the White House is “absolutely right” in its assessment that the strict rules are necessary to meet emissions limits set forward in the Democrats’ bill.

However, many major industry players have balked at the idea of stringent rules, arguing more flexibility is needed to get the hydrogen industry off the ground.

“It really represents a setback for the growth of hydrogen in the United States,” said Wolak, with the Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Energy Association. “It ultimately puts constraints on the intent of the IRA to broadly accelerate hydrogen.”

Marty Durbin, senior vice president for policy at the Chamber of Commerce, said it also takes away an opportunity from the U.S. to be a leader on hydrogen after the European Union put similar rules in place to those proposed by the Biden administration.

“We lose … the U.S.’s ability to be the global leaders in this technology,” he said.

Durbin, whose group represents business interests broadly, said most of its members are unified on the issue.

But a coalition of other industry players has called for strict rules, arguing that weaker rules could hamper a buildout of hydrogen.

“Weaker rules would result in highly subsidized hydrogen projects that drive large greenhouse gas emissions increases and electricity price spikes that would engender public backlash and stymie our industry’s growth,” they wrote this week

Hydrogen Subsidy Worth Billions Includes Strict Environmental Safeguards

Ari Natter
Fri, December 22, 2023 


(Bloomberg) -- Billions of dollars in hydrogen-industry subsidies from President Joe Biden’s signature climate law will come with stringent environmental safeguards, raising concerns that strict rules will stifle production of the nascent climate-friendly fuel.

Under the proposed rules laid out Friday, the new clean-hydrogen tax credit won’t benefit existing nuclear power plants, which is a blow to reactor owners such as Constellation Energy Corp. that lobbied for inclusion. Administration officials, however, said that could change when the guidelines are finalized.

The hydrogen credit, which provides as much as $3-per-kilogram of production, is meant to spur a domestic industry for the clean-burning fuel, which is seen as a critical for decarbonizing steel, cement and heavy transportation. But the guidance, which is still in draft form and subject to revisions following a 60-day public comment period, has been the subject of intense lobbying in Washington over what kinds of projects will qualify.

Biden administration officials said they opted to reserve the credit for hydrogen produced using renewable power brought online within the last three years and generated at the same time and on the same power grids as the gas itself.

The Treasury Department’s proposal “will help build the clean hydrogen industry while including important environmental safeguards,” said John Podesta, Biden’s senior adviser for clean energy.

Senator Joe Manchin, a West Virginia Democrat who has opposed attaching strict environmental rules to the tax credits, blasted the rules, saying they’d hobble the hydrogen industry before it ever gets up and running.

“Make no mistake, obstructing hydrogen development in our country is the short-sighted goal of the far-left advocacy groups who lobbied the Administration for these restrictions because they oppose all energy sources other than solar and wind,” Manchin said in a statement. “For an Administration that wants to reduce emissions and fight climate change, it makes no sense to kneecap the hydrogen market before it can even begin.”

Shares of FuelCell Energy Inc. initially fell when the rules were released, then rose as much as 3.2%. Plug Power Inc. dropped as much as 4%. Constellation Energy fell 3.6%.

The Treasury Department proposal includes a requirement starting in 2028 that hydrogen can only be produced within the same hours as new clean power is generated. It has drawn opposition from the American Clean Power Association, which counts hydrogen- project developers NextEra Energy Inc. and AES Corp. as members. The so called hourly matching requirement could create a price premium of 20% to 150%, making green hydrogen uneconomic for most applications, according to a survey conducted by the Washington-based trade group.

The draft rules “will fall woefully short in achieving the Administration’s decarbonization objectives” and “are counter Congress’ intent,” said Andy Marsh, chief executive officer of hydrogen company Plug Power.

Other groups that slammed the administrations guidance ranged from the Fuel Cell & Hydrogen Energy Association to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. But the guidelines drew praise from project developers and domestic electrolyzer manufacturers like Hy Stor Energy and Electric Hydrogen Co.

“Strong proposed standards will be a sprint to success for the U.S. electrolytic hydrogen market, accelerate the build-out of domestic clean hydrogen infrastructure, and enable substantial industry growth,” the companies wrote in a Dec. 20 letter that was also signed by hydrogen supplier Air Products and Chemicals Inc. and others. “Weaker rules would result in highly subsidized hydrogen projects that drive large greenhouse gas emissions increases and electricity price spikes that would engender public backlash and stymie our industry’s growth.”

The Natural Resources Defense Council trumpeted the proposed rules, which they said would amount to several hundreds of billions of dollars in subsidies.

“Treasury’s proposal will ensure that the clean hydrogen industry grows while actually reducing emissions,” said Rachel Fakhry, a policy director with the Washington-based environmental group. “We cannot settle for anything less.”

 Bloomberg Businessweek

Hydrogen tax credit plan unveiled as Biden administration tries to jump start industry

FATIMA HUSSEIN and JENNIFER MCDERMOTT
Updated Fri, December 22, 2023 

Hydrogen storage tanks are visible at the Iberdrola green hydrogen plant in Puertollano, central Spain, March 28, 2023. The Biden administration on Friday, Dec. 22, released its highly anticipated proposal for how the U.S. plans to dole out tax credits to hydrogen producers. (AP Photo/Bernat Armangue, File)

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Biden administration released its highly anticipated proposal for doling out billions of dollars in tax credits to hydrogen producers Friday, in a massive effort to build out an industry that some hope can be a cleaner alternative to fossil fueled power.

The U.S. credit is the most generous in the world for hydrogen production, Jesse Jenkins, a professor at Princeton University who has analyzed the U.S. climate law, said last week.

The proposal — which is part of Democrats’ Inflation Reduction Act passed last year — outlines a tiered system to determine which hydrogen producers get the most credits, with cleaner energy projects receiving more, and smaller, but still meaningful credits going to those that use fossil fuel to produce hydrogen.

Administration officials estimate the hydrogen production credits will deliver $140 billion in revenue and 700,000 jobs by 2030 — and will help the U.S. produce 50 million metric tons of hydrogen by 2050.

“That’s equivalent to the amount of energy currently used by every bus, every plane, every train and every ship in the US combined,” Energy Deputy Secretary David M. Turk said on a Thursday call with reporters to preview the proposal.

That may be a useful metric for comparison, but it's a long way from reality. Buses, planes, trains and ships run on liquid fuels for which a delivery infrastructure exists, and no such system exists to deliver cleanly-made hydrogen to the places where it could most help address climate change. Those include steel, cement and plastics factories.

Hydrogen is being developed around the world as an energy source for sectors of the economy like that which emit massive greenhouse gases, yet are difficult to electrify, such as long-haul transportation and industrial manufacturing. It can be made by splitting water with solar, wind, nuclear or geothermal electricity yielding little if any planet-warming greenhouse gases.

Most hydrogen today is not made this way and does contribute to climate change because it is made from natural gas. About 10 million metric tons of hydrogen is currently produced in the United States each year, primarily for petroleum refining and ammonia production.

As part of the administration’s proposal, firms that produce cleaner hydrogen and meet prevailing wage and registered apprenticeship requirements stand to qualify for a large incentive at $3 per kilogram of hydrogen. Firms that produce hydrogen using fossil fuels get less.

The credit ranges from $.60 to $3 per kilo, depending on whole lifecycle emissions.

One contentious issue in the proposal was how to deal with the fact that clean, electrolyzer hydrogen draws tremendous amounts of electricity. Few want that to mean that more coal or natural gas-fired power plants run extra hours. The guidance addresses this by calling for producers to document their electricity usage through "energy attribute certificates" — which will help determine the credits they qualify for.

Rachel Fakhry, policy director for emerging technologies at the Natural Resources Defense Council called the proposal “a win for the climate, U.S. consumers, and the budding U.S. hydrogen industry.” The Clean Air Task Force likewise called the proposal “an excellent step toward developing a credible clean hydrogen market in the United States.”

But Marty Durbin, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's senior vice president for policy, said the guidance released today “will stunt the growth of a critical industry before it has even begun” and his organization plans to advocate during the public comment process “for the flexibility needed to kickstart investment, create jobs and economic growth, and meet our decarbonization goals.”

He accused the White House of failing to listen to its own experts at the Department of Energy.

The American Petroleum Institute said in a statement that “hydrogen of all types" is needed and urged the administration to foster more flexibility for hydrogen expansion, not less.

The Fuel Cell & Hydrogen Energy Association includes more than 100 members involved in hydrogen production, distribution and use, including vehicle manufacturers, industrial gas companies, renewable developers and nuclear plant operators. Frank Wolak, the association's president, said it's important the industry be given time to meet any provisions that are required for the top tier of the credit.

“What we can’t have is is an industry that is stalled because we have imposed requirements that the marketplace is not ready to fulfill,” Wolak said, particularly with the time it takes to bring new renewable resources online.

If the guidance is too restrictive, he said, "you’ll see a much smaller, if not negligible growth in this industry and a failed opportunity to capitalize on the IRA.”

Other industry representatives welcomed the proposal.

Chuck Schmitt, president of SSAB Americas — a supplier of steel plates— said the proposal “supports SSAB’s leadership and innovation in the decarbonization of the steel industry. This clarifying language will help drive new technology investment and create clean energy jobs in the United States.”

___

Associated Press climate and environmental coverage receives support from several private foundations. See more about AP’s climate initiative here. The AP is solely 


LET THE WHINING BEGIN






Industry leaders blast Treasury’s draft guidance for clean hydrogen tax credits

Emma Penrod
Fri, December 22, 2023 


Dive Brief:

The U.S. Department of the Treasury and the Internal Revenue Service on Friday released proposed regulations defining criteria hydrogen producers will have to meet to qualify for the 45V clean hydrogen production tax credits created by the Inflation Reduction Act.


According to the proposed rules, hydrogen producers would have to use renewable or zero emission electricity from generators who began operation no more than three years prior to the construction of the hydrogen facility. The electricity would also have to be sourced from within the same geographic region as the hydrogen production facility, and would be subject to hourly matching rules beginning in 2028.


Hydrogen industry leaders panned the proposal, saying the framework is too rigid and will impede the growth — and decarbonization — of U.S. industry.

Dive Insight:

The past year has seen discussion of the IRA's 45V hydrogen production tax credit criteria turn into a “political brawl,” according to Keith Martin, co-head of U.S. projects at global law firm Norton Rose Fulbright. So it is not surprising that the Treasury's draft guidance, released the Friday before Christmas after weeks of delays, prompted frustration and even threats of lawsuits the morning of its release.

The IRA assigns a graduated value to the 45V credit, so that the value of the credit ranges from $.60 per kilogram of hydrogen to $3 depending on the intensity of the hydrogen's lifecycle carbon emissions, and whether the hydrogen producer meets prevailing wage and apprenticeship criteria. But in it's draft guidance, the Treasury Department proposes additional eligibility criteria regarding the age and location of renewable electricity used to drive hydrogen production. Hydrogen producers must also meet hourly matching rules by 2028 to qualify for the credit — a rule Martin said will make it difficult to finance hydrogen projects going forward.

The proposed rules include similar criteria for other potential hydrogen feedstocks, in addition to clean electricity. Hydrogen producers, for example, must show that any renewable natural gas they used was not previously used for another purpose.

The Biden Administration touted the proposed rules as a way to reduce carbon emissions.

“The Inflation Reduction Act’s hydrogen tax credit will help build a clean hydrogen industry that will be critical in reducing emissions from harder-to-decarbonize sectors like heavy industry and heavy transportation,” John Podesta, senior advisor to the president for clean energy innovation and implementation, said in a statement.

But the hydrogen industry is broadly critical of the draft guidance.

Although some hydrogen producers, including electrolyzer manufacturer Electric Hydrogen, welcomed the guidance, the rules unpopular within the hydrogen industry, and some leading hydrogen producers are already talking about suing to stop the implementation of Treasury's proposal, according to Mona Dajani, a partner at Baker Botts, where she co-chairs the firm's energy, infrastructure and hydrogen practice.

The proposed rules also garnered criticism from Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W. Va.

“Adding onerous new restrictions for the hydrogen tax credit is particularly hypocritical when this administration has bent, broken, and ignored the law again and again to make it easier to access electric vehicle tax credits,” Manchin said in a statement. “Today’s proposed rule doesn’t just violate the law — it makes absolutely no sense, and I will continue to fight this administration’s manipulation of the IRA.”

A number of industry associations, including the American Council on Renewable Energy and the Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Energy Association, argued that the rules would impair the growth of the hydrogen industry and push jobs overseas. Plug Power, which produces green hydrogen and specialized hydrogen-fueled vehicles such as forklifts designed for use inside warehouses, argued that the strict standards would not only stall industry development, but hinder progress toward national emissions goals as well.

“From our preliminary review, the draft framework will fall woefully short in achieving the Administration’s decarbonization objectives, such as the Clean Air Act Section 111 performance standards and DOE Clean Hydrogen Hubs program,” Plug Power president CEO Andy Marsh said in a statement. “A robust domestic clean hydrogen supply is essential to decarbonizing heavy industry, and the draft regulations are counter to Congress’ intent and the statutory mandate of Section 45V.”

This story was originally published on Utility Dive




White House unveils strict hydrogen regulations in victory for environmentalists


Thomas Catenacci
FOX NEWS
Fri, December 22, 2023

The White House unveiled highly anticipated guidance placing significant restrictions on the type of hydrogen power development eligible for generous federal tax credits.

The proposed guidance, released Friday morning in a joint announcement by the White House, Treasury Department and Department of Energy, tethers the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's (IRA) highest production credit of $3 per kilogram of hydrogen produced to tight green energy standards.

The restrictions had been supported by environmentalists and some green energy companies but opposed by business and clean power industry groups.

"The Inflation Reduction Act’s hydrogen tax credit will help build a clean hydrogen industry that will be critical in reducing emissions from harder-to-decarbonize sectors like heavy industry and heavy transportation," John Podesta, President Biden's clean energy czar, said in a statement.


President Biden visits the Cummins Power Generation Facility as part of his administration's Investing in America tour in Fridley, Minn., April 3, 2023.

"Today's announcement will further unprecedented investments in a new, American-led industry as we aim to lead and propel the global clean energy transition," added Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm. "Hydrogen has the potential to clean up America's manufacturing industry, power the transportation sector and shore up our energy security all while delivering good-paying jobs and new economic opportunity to communities in every pocket of America."

Hydrogen has been widely pegged as a key technology for reducing future greenhouse gas emissions, especially in hard-to-decarbonize sectors like shipping, heavy trucking and cement and steel manufacturing. The transportation and industrial sectors account for nearly 60% of U.S. end-use emissions.

Overall, the hydrogen production tax credits are some of the most generous clean energy incentives earmarked under the IRA, Democrats' massive climate and tax bill President Biden signed in August 2022, and are worth up to $100 billion. The legislation marked the nation's most ambitious effort yet to spur the growth of hydrogen generation, which remains a nascent technology requiring billions of dollars in investment to achieve large-scale production.

However, the formulation of the tax credits has sparked an intense debate in recent months, leading to delays in issuing Friday's guidance, as a result of the potential carbon emissions produced in the production of hydrogen.

The credits will be available for 10 years, starting on the date a hydrogen production facility is placed into service for projects that begin construction before 2033.

The IRA includes four tiers of credits, ranging from $0.60 per kilogram to $3 per tier, which are determined based on the carbon intensity of that production.

A common pathway for hydrogen production, for example, is electrolysis, a process by which hydrogen is split from water using an electric current. While the only emissions from that process are hydrogen and oxygen, environmentalists have argued that hydrogen reliance could be rendered pointless if the electricity is generated from fossil fuel-fired sources.

"The Clean Hydrogen Production Credit aims to make production of clean hydrogen with minimal climate pollution more economically competitive and accelerate development of the U.S. clean hydrogen industry," the Treasury Department said Friday. "Today’s proposed regulations advance those goals and will support the development of a robust U.S. clean hydrogen industry that creates good-paying jobs, while also reducing carbon emissions."


Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm hosts a news conference in December 2022.

Under the guidance, hydrogen producers are only eligible for the highest tax credit if electricity is generated from a green energy source, such as wind and solar, that came online within three years of a new facility being placed into service. That provision means a facility fueled by green energy that has been operational for more than three years is ineligible for the credit.

In addition, the guidance requires that, beginning in 2028, hydrogen developers' electricity generation is sourced from a clean source on an hourly basis, the most stringent timescale. In other words, the electricity generated for electrolysis must be produced within an hour of hydrogen production from that electricity.

And the final key provision for hydrogen produced using electricity mandates clean energy is sourced from a project in the same region.

"The proposed 45V rules represent a major milestone in determining tax credits on a technology neutral basis, ensuring the life cycle emissions analysis required by statute will be accurate, account for system-wide impacts and avoid wasteful subsidies for electrolytic hydrogen projects that are purportedly clean but actually use dirty electricity," said Mike Kaercher, the director of the Climate Tax Project at the Tax Law Center at NYU Law.

"Experts have estimated that lax rules could have locked in hundreds of millions of additional tons of carbon emissions in the long run."


A CF Industries fertilizer complex is pictured in Donaldsonville, La., June 30, 2022.

However, the proposal is facing significant pushback from industry groups and hydrogen companies that have argued for the federal government to begin implementation of the IRA tax credits with lax guidance to incentivize greater investment and development in the near term.

Groups like the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Energy Association (FCHEA) and the Clean Hydrogen Future Coalition, in addition to hydropower and nuclear groups, have argued strict regulations like those unveiled Friday will deter investment, increase the cost of hydrogen, lead to fewer projects in the coming years and discriminate against existing low-carbon power sources.

"The guidance announced today by the Biden-Harris administration will place unnecessary burdens on the still nascent clean hydrogen industry," FCHEA President and CEO Frank Wolak said Friday. "The nation needs commonsense solutions for this tax credit that are aligned with the congressional intent to spur robust economic development and create jobs while reducing carbon emissions.

"Congress intended the tax credit to spur domestic clean hydrogen production and allow the United States to maintain an international competitive advantage, not to be an inadvertent backdoor to regulate use of the electric utility grid," he added.

"The United States cannot achieve its climate goals without clean hydrogen, and these proposed regulations and requirements will unnecessarily hold back our domestic industry, driving investment, manufacturing and technology leadership overseas."


Sen. Tom Carper, D-Del., chairman of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, wrote last month that "by avoiding overly stringent requirements, we can nurture innovation, support the growth of clean hydrogen and the newly funded hubs and accelerate our clean energy transition."

Marty Durbin, the president of the U.S. Chamber’s Global Energy Institute, said the guidance will "stunt the growth of a critical industry before it has even begun."

Andy Marsh, the CEO of hydrogen fuel cell systems developer Plug Power, added the framework will "fall woefully short in achieving the administration’s decarbonization objectives."

Meanwhile, the guidance is likely to also face congressional opposition, including from several Senate Democrats who have argued the IRA was designed to allow for a slow phase-in of stringent guidance.

"Overly prescriptive guidance could prevent the growth and certainty needed for clean hydrogen to provide meaningful alternatives for difficult to decarbonize sectors, reach competitive hydrogen market prices, and realize the more than 100,000 new jobs the Energy Department projects the clean hydrogen industry could create by 2030," a group of 11 Senate Democrats wrote to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Podesta and Granholm on Nov. 6.

Senators Maria Cantwell, D-Wash.; Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio; Joe Manchin, D-W.Va.; Dick Durbin, D-Ill.; Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y.; Patty Murray, D-Wash.; John Fetterman, D-Pa.; Tammy Duckworth, D-Ill.; Kyrsten Sinema, D-Ariz.; Bob Casey, D-Pa.; and Gary Peters, D-Mich., all signed onto the letter.

Senate Environment and Public Works Committee Chairman Tom Carper, D-Del., sent a similar letter three days later.

Moderate Democrats fume over Biden hydrogen proposal

Rachel Frazin
Fri, December 22, 2023 


Moderate Democrats are fuming over the Biden administration’s decision to propose significant climate change-related stipulations on the use of a lucrative tax credit for hydrogen energy producers.

Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), a frequent critic of the administration’s climate policies, said the proposal “makes absolutely no sense.”

And moderates who have been more supportive of the administration, like Sen. Tom Carper (D-Del.), are also pushing back on Biden’s rules.

The hydrogen energy issue is one that divides Democrats, with more conservative Democrats pressing for flexibility they say will help a nascent industry that could be important in the climate fight. Liberals argue that loose rules could make hydrogen energy a climate change problem rather than a solution.

Hydrogen energy can be made by either using electricity to separate the hydrogen out of water molecules in an electrolyzer or through a reaction between steam and methane, a key component of natural gas.

The fuel could be a key tool for cutting emissions from industries whose climate pollution is difficult to mitigate, including aviation and making chemicals, cement and steel.

The Inflation Reduction Act signed by President Biden last year provided a tax credit for hydrogen that is intended to jumpstart production of hydrogen made using low- and no-emitting power sources.

But the question of who can qualify is a contentious one, and moderate Democrats argue the administration is going too far with its new rules.

“This Administration cannot keep itself from violating the Inflation Reduction Act in their relentless pursuit of their radical climate agenda,” Manchin said in a written statement.

He said that the move would “kneecap the hydrogen market before it can even begin.”

Manchin vowed to fight the proposal, saying: “Today’s proposed rule doesn’t just violate the law — it makes absolutely no sense, and I will continue to fight this Administration’s manipulation of the IRA.”

Manchin, who is not running for reelection but has flirted with a third-party presidential bid, has criticized a number of Biden administration climate policies, including its handling of a tax credit for people who purchase electric vehicles, saying it was applied to vehicles too broadly and that a new guidance is too loose on Chinese battery components.

Such criticisms sometimes leave Manchin on an island in the Democratic party, that wasn’t t the case on Friday.

Carper, a frequent Biden ally who chairs the Senate’s Environment and Public Works Committee, also criticized the guidance.

“When developing the Inflation Reduction Act, we intended for the clean hydrogen incentives to be flexible and technology-neutral,” Carper said in a written statement.

“Treasury’s draft guidance does not fully reflect this intent, potentially jeopardizing the clean hydrogen industry’s ability to get off the ground successfully,” he added.

Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio), who faces a tough reelection battle next year in an increasingly red state, also said that the proposed guidance would “undermine” the law’s goals of lower energy costs and innovation.

“These new proposed rules will slow down and ultimately undermine our country’s ability to produce the clean hydrogen needed to build the energy economy of the future,” Brown said in a written statement “The proposed rules’ lack of flexibility will cut out Ohio workers and Ohio businesses from creating the energy of the 21st century.”

This pushback is not a surprise. Last month, 11 Democrats signed onto a letter pushing for flexible rules for the hydrogen industry. Carper was not on that letter but also sent his own missive calling for flexibility.

At issue is whether to require hydrogen producers to build new clean power sources to fuel hydrogen production, or whether electrolyzers should be allowed to pull existing power off the grid.

Climate hawks warn the latter could result in more fossil fuel use because it could drive up power demand in general and push planet-warming gas plants online.

They have also called for this new power to be in the same geographic region and produced within the same hour that it is used to try to limit hydrogen’s impacts on power demand overall.

“I applaud the Biden administration for taking this important step to ensure that we develop a truly clean hydrogen industry,” Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.) said in a statement. “Hydrogen has the potential to be a key part of the climate solution, but only if we get it right.”

“Creating hydrogen energy can be very greenhouse gas-intensive. I and others have pushed hard for high standards because if hydrogen is not clean, then it cannot be a solution for hard-to-decarbonize sectors like heavy industry, and could even take us in the wrong direction,” he added.

Merkley led a letter in October pushing for stringent standards and was joined by seven of his colleagues.

Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.) who signed onto the letter, also praised the rule in a post on X — formerly known as Twitter.

“.@USTreasury’s hydrogen tax credit guidance includes the climate safeguards that will ensure the hydrogen economy of the future is clean,” he wrote.

“The alternative would have made the problem worse, not better. I applaud the Biden Administration’s leadership here,” he added.
Humans could have arrived in North America 10,000 years earlier, new research shows

Camille Fine, USA TODAY
Fri, December 22, 2023 

Icebergs which calved from the Sermeq Kujalleq glacier float in the Ilulissat Icefjord on Sept. 5, 2021 in Ilulissat, Greenland.

A growing number of archaeological and genetic finds are fueling debates on when humans first arrived in North America.

New research presented Dec. 15 at the American Geophysical Union Annual Meeting (AGU23) in San Francisco highlighted “one of the hottest debates in archaeology,” an article by Liza Lester of American Geophysical Union said.

According to Lester, archaeologists have traditionally argued that people migrated by walking through an ice-free corridor that briefly opened between ice sheets an estimated 13,000 years ago.

But some of the recent finds suggest that people made their way onto the continent much earlier. The discovery of human footprints in New Mexico, which were dated to around 23,000- years-old, is just one example, and Archaeologists have found evidence of coastal settlements in western Canada dating from as early as 14,000-years-ago.


Fossilized footprints in White Sands National Park in New Mexico are now believed to be 23,000 years old, according to a new study.

'Incredible': Oldest known human footprints in North America discovered at national park


The 'kelp highway' theory

The research presented at the AGU23 meeting provides another clue on the origins of North American human migration.

“Given that the ice-free corridor wouldn't be open for thousands of years before these early arrivals, scientists instead proposed that people may have moved along a ‘kelp highway,’" Lester writes. “This theory holds that early Americans slowly traveled down into North America in boats, following the bountiful goods found in coastal waters.”

According to Lester, Paleozoic Era climate reconstructions of the Pacific Northwest hint that sea ice may have been one way for people to move farther south along the Pacific coastline from Beringia, “the land bridge between Asia and North America that emerged during the last glacial maximum when ice sheets bound up large amounts of water causing sea levels to fall,” Lester writes.

What if they didn't use boats?

Additionally, researchers found that ocean currents were more than twice the strength they are today during the height of the last glacial maximum around 20,000 years ago due to glacial winds and lower sea levels, meaning it would be incredibly difficult to travel along the coast by boat in these conditions, said Summer Praetorius of the U.S. Geological Survey, who presented her team’s work at the summit.

But what if early migrants didn't use boats?

Praetorius' team is asking this very question because evidence shows that people were well adapted to cold environments. If they couldn't paddle against the current, "maybe they were using the sea ice as a platform," Praetorius said.

Praetorius and her colleagues used data that came from tiny, fossilized plankton to map out climate models and “get a fuller picture of ocean conditions during these crucial windows of human migration.”

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: When did the first people arrive in North America? What research shows