Tuesday, October 08, 2024

Nobel-winning physicist 'unnerved' by AI technology he helped create

Issam AHMED
Tue, October 8, 2024 

John Hopfield was honored for devising the 'Hopfield network' — a theoretical model demonstrating how an artificial neural network can mimic the way biological brains store and retrieve memories (Denise APPLEWHITE) (Denise APPLEWHITE/PRINCETON UNIVERSITY/AFP)


A US scientist who won the 2024 Nobel physics prize for his pioneering work on artificial intelligence said Tuesday he found recent advances in the technology "very unnerving" and warned of possible catastrophe if not kept in check.

John Hopfield, a professor emeritus at Princeton, joined co-winner Geoffrey Hinton in calling for a deeper understanding of the inner workings of deep-learning systems to prevent them from spiraling out of control.

Addressing a gathering at the New Jersey university via video link from Britain, the 91-year-old said that over the course of his life he had watched the rise of two powerful but potentially hazardous technologies -- biological engineering and nuclear physics.


"One is accustomed to having technologies which are not singularly only good or only bad, but have capabilities in both directions," he said.

"And as a physicist, I'm very unnerved by something which has no control, something which I don't understand well enough so that I can understand what are the limits which one could drive that technology."

"That's the question AI is pushing," he continued, adding that despite modern AI systems appearing to be "absolute marvels," there is a lack of understanding about how they function, which he described as "very, very unnerving."

"That's why I myself, and I think Geoffrey Hinton also, would strongly advocate understanding as an essential need of the field, which is going to develop some abilities that are beyond the abilities you can imagine at present."

Hopfield was honored for devising the "Hopfield network" -- a theoretical model demonstrating how an artificial neural network can mimic the way biological brains store and retrieve memories.

His model was improved upon by British-Canadian Hinton, often dubbed the "Godfather of AI," whose "Boltzmann machine" introduced the element of randomness, paving the way for modern AI applications such as image generators.

Hinton himself emerged last year as a poster child for AI doomsayers, a theme he returned to during a news conference held by the University of Toronto where he serves as a professor emeritus.

"If you look around, there are very few examples of more intelligent things being controlled by less intelligent things, which makes you wonder whether when AI gets smarter than us, it's going to take over control," the 76-year-old told reporters.

- Civilizational downfall -

With the meteoric rise of AI capabilities -- and the fierce race it has sparked among companies -- the technology has faced criticism for evolving faster than scientists can fully comprehend.

"You don't know that the collective properties you began with are actually the collective properties with all the interactions present, and you don't therefore know whether some spontaneous but unwanted thing is lying hidden in the works," stressed Hopefield.

He evoked the example of "ice-nine" -- a fictional, artificially engineered crystal in Kurt Vonnegut's 1963 novel "Cat's Cradle" developed to help soldiers deal with muddy conditions but which inadvertently freezes the world's oceans solid, causing the downfall of civilization.

"I'm worried about anything that says... 'I'm faster than you are, I'm bigger than you are... can you peacefully inhabit with me?' I don't know, I worry."

Hinton said it was impossible to know how to escape catastrophic scenarios at present, "that's why we urgently need more research."

"I'm advocating that our best young researchers, or many of them, should work on AI safety, and governments should force the large companies to provide the computational facilities that they need to do that," he added.


‘Godfather of AI’ who warned technology could end humanity wins Nobel prize

Nilima Marshall, PA Science Reporter
Tue, October 8, 2024 



A British-Canadian computer scientist who warned that artificial intelligence (AI) could pose an existential threat to humanity has been awarded this year’s Nobel Prize in Physics.

Professor Geoffrey Hinton, often touted as the “godfather of AI”, shares the honour with US academic John Hopfield for their pioneering work on machine learning, which powers AI.

The announcement was made by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences at a press conference in Stockholm, Sweden.

Prof Hinton, 76, who has warned about the dangers of intelligent machines, said he was “flabbergasted”, adding: “I had no idea this would happen. I’m very surprised.”

The University of Toronto professor resigned from Google last year, saying he was worried about the “existential risk” posed by machines that could outsmart humans.

Speaking on the phone at the event in Stockholm, Prof Hinton described the call about being awarded the Nobel as a “bolt from the blue”, saying: “I am in a cheap hotel in California that does not have an internet connection and does not have a very good phone connection.

“I was going to get an MRI scan today, but I think I’ll have to cancel that.”

Machine learning is a key component of AI which allow machines to perform tasks that mimic human intelligence, such as learning, reasoning, and problem solving.


The impact of AI can be seen in every aspect of human lives, from uncovering hidden cancers and editing photos on phones to powering systems such as ChatGPT.

Prof Hinton, who shares a prize fund worth 11m Swedish kronor (£810,000) with Prof Hopfield of Princeton University, said artificial intelligence will have a “huge influence” on humanity that could be comparable with the Industrial Revolution – a period of scientific and technological development in the 18th century.

He added: “But instead of exceeding people in physical strength, it (AI) is going to exceed people in intellectual ability.

“We have no experience of what it is like to have things smarter than us, and it is going to be wonderful in many respects.”

Prof Hinton said that in areas like healthcare, AI will make things “more efficient” with “huge improvements in productivity”.

But he also said he was worried about “a number of possible bad consequences, particularly the threat of these things getting out of control”.


When asked about whether he had any regrets about his groundbreaking work on AI, Prof Hinton said: “There are two kinds of regret – there is regret where you feel guilty because you did something you knew you should not have done, and then then there is regret where you did something that you would do again in the same circumstances.”

He said that he “would do the same again” but was “worried that the overall consequence of this might be systems more intelligent than us that eventually take control”.

Prof Hinton said he uses Chat GPT 4 “whenever I want to know the answer to anything”, but he does not usually trust the chatbot, “because it can hallucinate”.

Commenting on the announcement, Professor Sir Keith Burnett, president of the Institute of Physics, said: “Congratulations to John J Hopfield and Geoffrey E Hinton for winning the Nobel Prize in Physics today.

“It is incredibly exciting to see key ideas and techniques in Physics helping to drive new ways to model and understand the wider world and machine learning is undoubtedly one of the transformational technologies of the future.

“Their work with artificial neural networks is contributing to a whole new generation of smarter, faster and more adaptable processing and thinking systems, which could transform all of our lives.”

Meric Gertler, preseident of the University of Toronto, said: “On behalf of the University of Toronto, I am absolutely delighted to congratulate University Professor Emeritus Geoffrey Hinton on receiving the 2024 Nobel Prize in Physics.

“The U of T community is immensely proud of his historic accomplishment.”

Ellen Moons, a member of the Nobel committee at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, said the pair “used fundamental concepts” from physics to “design artificial neural networks” that have “become part of our daily lives, for instance in facial recognition and language translation”.


AI pioneers John Hopfield and Geoffrey Hinton win Nobel Prize in physics
Gabriela Galvin
Tue, October 8, 2024 at 3:52 AM MDT·3 min read

Artificial intelligence pioneers John Hopfield and Geoffrey Hinton won the 2024 Nobel Prize in Physics for discoveries that enabled machine learning with artificial neural networks and set the scene for today’s breakthroughs in AI.

Hans Ellegren, secretary general of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, awarded the prize Tuesday in Stockholm.

Hopfield, who carries out research at Princeton University in the United States, is known for creating a network in 1982 that can retain and recreate patterns in images and other types of data by identifying the values between points, working through them, and updating the missing values.

Now called Hopfield networks, they can be used to recognise images, correct mistakes, and optimise functions in computer science.

In 1985, Hinton, a computer scientist at the University of Toronto in Canada who is known as the “godfather of AI,” used the Hopfield network to create a new model. After being fed examples, the network – called the Boltzmann machine – can recognise characteristics in data and use that to identify specific elements in images or other patterns.

Hopfield and Hinton’s work, which relied on tools and concepts from physics, set the groundwork for modern machine learning.

“The laureates’ discoveries and inventions form the building blocks of machine learning that can aid humans in making faster and more reliable decisions, for instance when diagnosing medical conditions,” Ellen Moons, chair of the Nobel Committee for Physics, said.

Speaking to journalists, Hinton said that AI-driven advancements will be “comparable with the Industrial Revolution, but instead of exceeding people in physical strength, it’s going to exceed people in intellectual ability”.

That could come with incredible societal benefits, but also “the threat of these things getting out of control,” Hinton said.

Hinton spent a decade working on AI at Google before resigning last year, joining a growing chorus of ex-tech employees to warn about the potential dangers of these systems.

Related

‘Godfather of AI’ Geoffrey Hinton quits Google to warn over the tech’s threat to humanity

Asked about the common AI tools he uses, Hinton said he’s a fan of the chatbot ChatGPT – but with some caveats.

"I actually use GPT-4 quite a lot,” Hinton said. “Whenever I want to know the answer to anything, I just go and ask GPT-4. I don't totally trust it cause it can hallucinate, but on almost everything, it's a not-very-good expert, and that's very useful".
Nobel Prizes through the years

The Nobel Prizes were created by Swedish inventor Alfred Nobel, who died in 1896. It comes with a cash award of 11 million Swedish kroner, which is nearly €976,000.

From 1901 to 2023, 117 Nobel Prizes were awarded in Physics. The youngest of the 225 laureates was 25, while the oldest was 96.

Last year’s physics award went to Pierre Agostini from Ohio State University in the United States, Ferenc Krausz from the Max Planck Institute of Quantum Optics in Germany, and Anne L’Huillier from Lund University in Sweden.

The trio found a way to create extremely short pulses of light that can be used to measure how the electrons inside atoms and molecules move or change energy.

Related

Quantum dots, mRNA, and attoseconds: What are the discoveries behind the 2023 science Nobel Prizes?

On Monday, American scientists Victor Ambros and Gary Ruvkun won the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine for their discovery of microRNA, tiny RNA molecules that govern how genes are regulated.

The rest of the 2024 prizes, awarded for advancements in chemistry, economics, literature, and toward peace, will be announced throughout this and next week.

The Nobel laureates will receive their prizes at an awards ceremony in Sweden in December.


Former Caltech and Google scientists win physics Nobel for pioneering artificial intelligence

Noah Haggerty
THE LOS ANGELES TIMES
Tue, October 8, 2024 a

Professor John Hopfield, left, of Princeton University, and professor Geoffrey Hinton, of the University of Toronto, won the 2024 Nobel Prize winners in Physics. (Associated Press)


On Tuesday morning, Princeton University professor John Hopfield and University of Toronto professor Geoffrey Hinton won the Nobel Prize in Physics 2024 for their foundational discoveries and inventions that pioneered modern artificial intelligence.

Hopfield joined Caltech as faculty in 1980 and, two years later, published his seminal paper in which he applied principles of the brain to computer circuits, creating a neural network able to hold memory and recognize patterns.

Building off of Hopfield's network, Hinton created a model that could not only distinguish between different patterns or images, but generate new ones altogether. His development later landed him a job at Google after the tech giant bought his company.

"These artificial neural networks have been used to advance research across physics topics as diverse as particle physics, material science and astrophysics," said Ellen Moons, chair of the Nobel Committee for Physics, at the announcement. "The laureates' discoveries and inventions form the building blocks of machine learning."

Read more: Sex, radiation and mummies: How farms are fighting a pesky almond moth without pesticides

The researchers will split a prize of roughly $1 million.

Hopfield was recruited to Caltech in 1978 after the university appointed a new president with a background in physics.

After years of attempting to model the human brain, Hopfield finally made his breakthrough in early 1980. He called Caltech a "splendid environment" for testing out his various ideas.

Around the same time, Hinton had left UC San Diego for Carnegie Mellon in Pittsburgh, where he developed his model based on Hopfield's.

Called the Boltzmann machine, the model formed the basis of current generative AI models like ChatGPT (the "G" stands for "generative").

Read more: Are tiny black holes zipping through our solar system? Scientists hope to find out

Hinton and two of his students created a company based on the research in 2012, focused on using AI to identify common objects in photos, like flowers and dogs. Shortly after, Google bought it at auction for $44 million.

Hinton quit his job at the tech giant in 2023 so he could publicly voice concerns about the technology he helped invent.

He fears people will no longer be able to distinguish AI-generated images and videos from real ones and opposes the use of AI on the battlefield. Hinton said a part of him regrets his life's work.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.


'Godfather of AI' shares Nobel Physics Prize

Georgina Rannard - Science reporter and Graham Fraser - Technology reporter
Tue, October 8, 2024 
BBC

The announcement was made in Stockholm, Sweden [Getty Images]


The Nobel Prize in Physics has been awarded to two scientists, Geoffrey Hinton and John Hopfield, for their work on machine learning.

British-Canadian Professor Hinton is sometimes referred to as the "Godfather of AI" and said he was flabbergasted.

He resigned from Google in 2023, and has warned about the dangers of machines that could outsmart humans.

The announcement was made by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences at a press conference in Stockholm, Sweden.

American Professor John Hopfield, 91, is a professor at Princeton University in the US, and Prof Hinton, 76, is a professor at University of Toronto in Canada.

Machine learning is key to artificial intelligence as it develops how a computer can train itself to generate information.

It drives a vast range of technology that we use today from how we search the internet to editing photographs on our phones.

“I had no idea this would happen. I'm very surprised,” said Prof Hinton, speaking on the phone to the Academy minutes after the announcement.

He said he was in a hotel with bad internet in California and thought he might need to cancel the rest of his day's plans.

The Academy listed some of the crucial applications of the two scientists’ work, including improving climate modelling, development of solar cells, and analysis of medical images.

Geoffrey Hinton said on Tuesday that he uses ChatGPT4 [Getty Images]

Prof Hinton's pioneering research on neural networks paved the way for current AI systems like ChatGPT.

In artificial intelligence, neural networks are systems that are similar to the human brain in the way they learn and process information. They enable AIs to learn from experience, as a person would. This is called deep learning.

Prof Hinton said his work on artificial neural networks was revolutionary.

“It’s going to be like the Industrial Revolution - but instead of our physical capabilities, it’s going to exceed our intellectual capabilities," he said.

But he said he also had concerns about the future. He was asked if he regretted his life's work as he told journalist last year.

In reply, he said he would do the same work again, "but I worry that the overall consequences of this might be systems that are more intelligent than us that might eventually take control".

He also said he uses the AI chatbot ChatGPT4 for many things now but with the knowledge that it does not always get the answer right.

Professor John Hopfield invented a network that can save and recreate patterns.

It uses physics that describes a material’s characteristics due to atomic spin.

In a similar way to how the brain tries to recall words by using associated but incomplete words, Prof Hopfield developed a network that can use incomplete patterns to find the most similar.

The Nobel Prize committee said the two scientists' work has become part of our daily lives, including in facial recognition and language translation.

But Ellen Moons, chair of the Nobel Committee for Physics, said "its rapid development has also raised concerns about our future collectively".

The winners share a prize fund worth 11m Swedish kronor (£810,000).

AI chatbots 'may soon be more intelligent than us'


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When Prof Hinton resigned from Google last year, he told the BBC some of the dangers of AI chatbots were "quite scary".

He also said at the time that his age had played into his decision to leave the tech giant.

Earlier this year, in an interview with BBC Newsnight, he said the UK government will have to establish a universal basic income to deal with the impact of AI on inequality, as he was “very worried about AI taking lots of mundane jobs”.

He added that while AI would increase productivity and wealth, the money would go to the rich “and not the people whose jobs get lost and that’s going to be very bad for society”.

In the same interview, he said developments over the last year showed governments were unwilling to rein in military use of AI while the competition to develop products rapidly meant there was a risk tech companies wouldn't “put enough effort into safety”.

Prof Hinton said "my guess is in between five and 20 years from now there’s a probability of half that we’ll have to confront the problem of AI trying to take over".
Previous winners of the Nobel Prize in Physics

2023 - Pierre Agostini, Ferenc Krausz and Anne L'Huillier for work on attoseconds - extremely short pulses of light that can be used to capture and study rapid processes inside atoms;

2022 - Alain Aspect, American John Clauser and Austrian Anton Zeilinger for research into quantum mechanics - the science that describes nature at the smallest scales;

2021 - Syukuro Manabe, Klaus Hasselmann and Giorgio Parisi were given the prize for advancing our understanding of complex systems, such as Earth's climate;

2020 - Sir Roger Penrose, Reinhard Genzel and Andrea Ghez received the prize for their work on the nature of black holes;

2019 - James Peebles, Michel Mayor and Didier Queloz shared the prize for ground-breaking discoveries about the Universe;

2018 - Donna Strickland, Arthur Ashkin and Gerard Mourou were awarded the prize for their discoveries in the field of laser physics.

AI chatbots 'may soon be more intelligent than us'

Two artificial intelligence leaders win physics Nobel Prize

Clyde Hughes
Tue, October 8, 2024 at 6:50 AM MDT·2 min read

Professor Anders Irback speaks at a press conference at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences after announcing the winners of the 2024 Nobel Prize in Physics, in Stockholm, Sweden, on Tuesday to John J. Hopfield and Geoffrey E. Hinton. Photo by Christine Olsson/EPA-EFE


Oct. 8 (UPI) -- The Nobel Prize in physics was awarded on Tuesday to scientists a pair of scientists hailing from the United States and Canada for their work in artificial intelligence that has become the foundation of powerful machine learning.

The Nobel committee said John Hopfield, of Princeton University, created an associative memory that can store and reconstruct images and other types of patterns in data while Geoffrey Hinton, of the University of Toronto, invented a method that can autonomously find properties in data and perform tasks such as identifying specific elements in pictures.

"The laureates' work has already been of the greatest benefit," Ellen Moons, chair of the Nobel Committee for Physics, said in a statement. "In physics, we use artificial neural networks in a vast range of areas, such as developing new materials with specific properties."

The Nobel Committee said the idea of machine learning using artificial neural networks was inspired by how the human brain works. In the artificial neural network, the brain's neurons are represented by nodes that have different values and influence each other through connections.

"This year's laureates have conducted important work with artificial neural networks from the 1980s onward," the committee said.

The committee said the world is just now coming to recognize how the work of Hopfield and Hinton in laying down some of the crucial foundations of artificial intelligence has shaped the global world and will continue to do so.

"With their breakthroughs, that stand on the foundations of physical science, they have shown a completely new way for us to use computers to aid and to guide us to tackle many of the challenges our society faces," the committee said.

Hinton, known as the "Godfather of AI," made headlines last year when he quit Google to focus on AI threat issues and joined hundreds of tech leaders to sign a statement warning about the risk of AI without the proper guardrails.




Two AI pioneers won the Nobel Prize for their work in machine learning

Britney Nguyen
Tue, October 8, 2024 

U.S. physicist John J. Hopfield (top L) and Canadian-British computer scientist and cognitive psychologist Geoffrey E. Hinton displayed on a screen at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences in Stockholm, Sweden on October 8, 2024. - Photo: JONATHAN NACKSTRAND/AFP (Getty Images)


Two artificial intelligence pioneers were awarded the Nobel Prize for their work in machine learning, which laid the foundation for the current AI boom.

Geoffrey Hinton, also known as the “godfather of AI,” and John Hopfield were named as the 2024 winners of the Nobel Prize in Physics on Tuesday. Hinton and Hopfield, who both started their work in machine learning in the 1980s, were awarded the prize “for foundational discoveries and inventions that enable machine learning with artificial neural networks,” the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences said in a statement.

Hopfield is known for inventing a network used in machine learning called the “Hopfield network,” which is used for storing and reconstructing images and other patterns in data using physics, according to the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Hopfield’s network was then used by Hinton as the foundation for a new network that uses statistical physics, called the “Boltzmann machine,” which “can learn to recognize characteristic elements in a given type of data,” the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences said.

“The laureates’ work has already been of the greatest benefit,” Ellen Moons, Chair of the Nobel Committee for Physics, said. “In physics we use artificial neural networks in a vast range of areas, such as developing new materials with specific properties.”

Last May, Hinton left his job on Google’s (GOOGL) AI research team to talk openly about his concerns over the risks of AI.

“I console myself with the normal excuse: If I hadn’t done it, somebody else would have,” Hinton told The New York Times (NYT).

On Tuesday, Hinton said in response to questions about regrets over his work, that he “would do the same again, but I am worried that the overall consequence of this might be systems more intelligent than us that eventually take control,” Bloomberg reported.

Hopfield and Hinton will share the prize of 11 million Swedish kronor, or $1 million.

Biggest Kashmir party opposed to India's stripping of region's autonomy wins most seats in election



AIJAZ HUSSAIN
Updated Tue, October 8, 2024

SRINAGAR, India (AP) — Kashmir’s biggest political party opposed to India's stripping of the region's semi-autonomy won the most seats in a local election, according to official data on Tuesday, following a vote seen as a referendum against the move by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government five years ago.

National Conference, or NC, won 42 seats, mainly from the Kashmir Valley, the heartland of the anti-India rebellion, according to the data. Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party secured 29 seats, all from the Hindu-dominated areas of Jammu.

India’s main opposition Congress party, which fought the election in alliance with the NC, succeeded in six constituencies.

“People have supported us more than our expectations. Now our efforts will be to prove that we are worth these votes,” Omar Abdullah, the NC leader and the region’s former chief minister who won from two seats, told reporters in the main city of Srinagar.

His father and president of the party, Farooq Abdullah, said that the mandate was to run the region without “police raj (rule)” and try freeing people from jails. “Media will be free,” he said.

Late Tuesday, Modi in an address to his party workers in New Delhi said the peaceful election in the region was “the victory of the Indian Constitution and democracy.”

“The people of Jammu and Kashmir gave the mandate to the NC alliance, I congratulate them too. If we look at the vote share percentage, BJP has emerged as the biggest party” in the region, he said.

The vote will allow Kashmir to have its own truncated government and a regional legislature, called an assembly, rather than being directly under New Delhi’s rule.

However, there will be a limited transition of power from New Delhi to the assembly as Kashmir will remain a “union territory” — directly controlled by the federal government — with India’s Parliament as its main legislator. Kashmir’s statehood must be restored for the new government to have powers similar to other states of India. But it will not have the special powers it enjoyed before the 2019 changes.

“People have given their mandate,” Farooq Abdullah said. “They have proven that they don’t accept the decision that was taken on August 5,” he added referring to India’s move in Aug. 2019.

Hundreds of the NC workers gathered outside counting centers and at the homes of the winning candidates to celebrate the party’s victory. Waving the party flags, they danced and burst firecrackers while chanting pro-Kashmir and pro-party slogans.

It was the first such vote in a decade and the first since Modi’s Hindu nationalist government scrapped the Muslim-majority region’s long-held semi-autonomy in 2019.

The unprecedented move downgraded and divided the former state into two centrally governed union territories, Ladakh and Jammu-Kashmir. Both are ruled directly by New Delhi through its appointed administrators along with unelected bureaucrats and security setup. The move — which largely resonated in India and among Modi supporters — was mostly opposed in Kashmir as an assault on its identity and autonomy amid fears that it would pave the way for demographic changes in the region.

The region has since been on edge with civil liberties curbed and media gagged.

India and Pakistan each administer a part of Kashmir, but both claim the territory in its entirety. The nuclear-armed rivals have fought two of their three wars over the territory since they gained independence from British colonial rule in 1947.

Authorities tallied votes as thousands of additional police and paramilitary soldiers patrolled roads and guarded 28 counting centers. Nearly 8.9 million people were eligible to vote in the election, which began on Sept. 18 and concluded on Oct. 1. The overall turnout was 64% across the three phases, according to official data.

In the region’s legislature, five seats are appointed and 90 elected, so a party or coalition would need at least 48 of the 95 total seats to form a government. The alliance of the National Conference and the Congress have 48 seats combined.

Authorities have said the election will bring democracy to the region after decades of strife, but many locals viewed the vote as an opportunity not only to elect their own representatives but also to register their protest against the 2019 changes.

Except for the BJP, most parties who contested the election campaigned on promises to reverse the 2019 changes and address key issues like rising unemployment and inflation. The Congress party favored restoring the region’s statehood. The BJP has also stated that it will restore statehood, but has not told when it would do.

The BJP has vowed to block any move aimed at undoing most of the 2019 changes but promised to help in the region’s economic development.

Meanwhile, Modi’s BJP emerged victorious in the northern state of Haryana, bordering New Delhi, which it has ruled for 10 years, winning in 48 out of 90 constituencies, according to the Election Commission of India. The Congress party won 37 seats, the official data showed.

The voting trend in Haryana state is a surprise since most exit polls had predicted an easy victory for the Congress party. Indian exit polls have had a mixed record in the past in predicting election results.

The mandate is a simple majority that gives the BJP a record third five-year term in the state.

Modi in his address praised the people of Haryana for returning the BJP for a third time and said the state would witness faster development in the next five years.

“Haryana will develop, Jammu and Kashmir will develop, India will develop and we will do it,” he added.

Kashmir's last assembly election was held in 2014, after which the BJP for the first time ruled in a coalition with the local Peoples Democratic Party. But the government collapsed in 2018 after the BJP withdrew from the coalition.

Polls in the past have been marked with violence, boycotts and vote-rigging, even though India called them a victory over separatism.

Militants in the Indian-controlled portion of Kashmir have been fighting New Delhi’s rule since 1989. Many Muslim Kashmiris support the rebels’ goal of uniting the territory, either under Pakistani rule or as an independent country.

India insists the Kashmir militancy is Pakistan-sponsored terrorism. Pakistan denies the charge, and many Kashmiris consider it a legitimate freedom struggle. Tens of thousands of civilians, rebels and government forces have been killed in the conflict.
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Associated Press writer Ashok Sharma in New Delhi contributed to this report.

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Follow AP’s Asia-Pacific coverage at https://apnews.com/hub/asia-pacific
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Indian Kashmir elects first regional government in a decade

AFP
Tue, October 8, 2024 a


Map showing the parts of the Kashmir region held by India, Pakistan and China. (Nicholas SHEARMAN) (Nicholas SHEARMAN/AFP/AFP)


Indian-administered Kashmir elected Tuesday its first government since the restive Himalayan territory was brought under New Delhi's direct control, as voters backed opposition parties to lead its regional assembly.

Hindu nationalist Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government cancelled Kashmir's partial autonomy to control its affairs in 2019, a sudden decision accompanied by mass arrests and a months-long communications blackout.

Since then, the Muslim-majority territory of some 12 million people -- divided between India and Pakistan and claimed by both in full -- has not had an elected local government.


Instead, it has been ruled by a governor appointed by New Delhi.

While voters took part in national elections in June when Modi won a third term in power, these were the first local elections since 2014.

As results were announced, with an alliance of the opposition National Conference (NC) and Congress parties tipped to form a government, supporters celebrated.

By mid-afternoon, Election Commission figures showed NC and Congress had won 47 of 90 seats in the assembly, an unassailable lead over Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), with 27.

Some called the vote a de facto referendum on the federal government's decision to repeal the territory's special status.

"The people have given their judgement against what New Delhi did," social activist Iqbal Ahmad Bhat said.

Half a million Indian troops are deployed in the far northern region, battling a 35-year insurgency in which tens of thousands of civilians, soldiers and rebels have been killed, including dozens this year.

- 'Political rights' -

"We are happy with the election results, and hope that the political rights will be restored," said Jahangir Ahmad, among the cheering crowds outside the home of the territory's expected new chief minister, NC leader Omar Abdullah.

Farooq Abdullah, his father and NC president, told reporters that the results were a "verdict" against Modi's government.

Critics however say the assembly will only have nominal powers over education and culture.

New Delhi will also have the power to override legislation, and will continue to appoint the governor.

Modi's BJP says the changes to the territory's governance have delivered a new era of peace to Kashmir and rapid economic growth -- claims other parties reject.

The BJP won seats in the southern Hindu-majority Jammu region, and fought only from about a third of the seats in the Kashmir valley.

Meanwhile, results from elections in Haryana -- a state just north of New Delhi -- were also released on Tuesday.

In those polls, Modi's BJP was leading the opposition Congress.

Among the newly-elected state legislators was the recently retired star wrestler Vinesh Phogat, standing for Congress.

The 30-year-old World bronze medallist switched to politics after being disqualified from the women's 50kg competition at the Paris Olympics for being overweight ahead of the final.

Last year she took part in protests against the then-national wrestling federation chief who faced accusations of sexual harassment.

bur-abh/pjm/dhc

Kashmir and Haryana prove India exit polls wrong

Geeta Pandey - BBC News, Delhi
Tue, October 8, 2024

The northern Indian state of Haryana and Indian-administered Kashmir sprang surprises on Tuesday as votes were counted in assembly elections there.

Most exit polls had predicted a hung assembly in Kashmir but an alliance of the main opposition Congress and the National Conference Party (NCP) are on course for a landslide in the 90-member house and poised to form a government.

In Haryana, which also has 90 seats, predictions of a Congress landslide were upended by Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) which has proved the pollsters wrong.

The BJP-led government appears on course to return for a rare third consecutive term in Haryana.

The polls in Kashmir are significant as these are first assembly elections there in a decade – and also the first since the federal government revoked the region's autonomy and changed the former state into a federally- governed territory in 2019.

Unlike Kashmir - which India and its neighbour Pakistan have fought wars over – Haryana does not often command global headlines.

But the tiny state grabs much attention in India as it is next to the capital, Delhi. Along with Punjab, it is called the bread basket of India for its large wheat and paddy farms, and the city of Gurugram is home to offices of some of the biggest global brands such as Google, Dell and Samsung.

The results are being watched keenly in India as these are the first state assembly polls since the summer parliamentary election. Analysts say Tuesday’s results will set the tone as the country heads into more regional elections, including in the state of Maharashtra and Delhi, over the next few months.

Modi's BJP is set to return for a third term in power in Haryana [PTI]


So what happened in Haryana?

Perhaps the best description of what transpired in the state has come from political scientist Sandeep Shastri.

“The Congress has snatched defeat from the jaws of victory,” he told the BBC.

For weeks, political circles had been abuzz that the BJP was facing a huge wave of anti-incumbency and analysts were confidently saying that the party’s government was on its way out.

After most of the post-election exit polls predicted a Congress landslide, many said it was an election for the party to lose.

Shastri blames the Congress defeat on overconfidence and infighting within the party.

“They were confident they would win and became complacent. BJP, on the other hand, worked on issues quietly on the ground and successfully fought anti-incumbency to return to power.”

Both parties, he said, tried to form social coalitions by bringing together different caste groups – the results show the majority chose to support the BJP.

Shastri says differences between two top Congress leaders - Bhupinder Singh Hooda and Kumari Selja, who were contenders for the chief minister’s post - did not go down well with the voters.

Tuesday’s count, however, has been mired in controversy with the Congress accusing the Election Commission (EC) of delaying updating numbers on their website.

After party leader Jairam Ramesh submitted a complaint letter to the Election Commission, Selja said her party may still come out on top.

“I am telling you… there is something going on. If all goes well, Congress will form the government in Haryana,” she said.

But with numbers not on their side, that will likely remain a dream.

The EC has denied the allegations.


Analysts say the results will set the tone as the country heads into more regional elections [Reuters]

No-one thought Kashmir was going to be BJP’s

In the Muslim-majority Kashmir valley, the Hindu nationalist BJP has little support, but it enjoys tremendous goodwill in the Hindu-dominated Jammu region. And the results reflect that divide. But the Congress-NC alliance has enough seats and is headed to form a government in the state.

The Modi government’s 2019 decision to scrap Article 370 of the constitution, which granted special status to Kashmir, and carve the state into two sent shockwaves around the valley, which elects 47 assembly seats.

At his campaign rallies, Modi had promised to restore the region's “statehood”. But as the results show, that failed to placate angry voters.

The region saw a surprisingly high turnout – but as political analyst Sheikh Showkat Hussain says, they were voting against the BJP and the revocation of the region’s special status.

Article 370: What happened with Kashmir and why it matters

Modi's BJP ahead in Haryana election but trails in Kashmir

“The BJP made this election into a sort of referendum on its decision [to revoke Article 370]. However, people voted in favour of the stand taken by the regional parties,” he said.

Noor Mohammad Baba, another political analyst in Kashmir, says the results reveal that the BJP’s "policies weren’t popular” in the region.

“The result is a message to Delhi that they need to mend their policies towards Jammu and Kashmir,” he added.

One surprising outcome of the election has been the poor showing by the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), led by former Kashmir chief minister Mehbooba Mufti.

Mufti, who earlier ruled in coalition with the BJP, has managed to win only three seats.

Responding to a query about her party’s poor performance, she said it was the "people's choice".

"Winning or losing is a part of politics. People feel that Congress and National Conference will give them a stable government and keep the BJP at bay. We respect their verdict," she added.

Additional reporting by Auqib Javeed in Srinagar

















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