Sunday, November 03, 2024

A REACTIONARY TORY

Who is Kemi Badenoch, the first Black woman to lead Britain's Conservative Party?

JILL LAWLESS
Sat, November 2, 2024

Britain's Member of Parliament Kemi Badenoch, smiles as she poses for the media after being elected as the new leader of the opposition Conservative Party, in London, Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. (AP Photo/Alberto Pezzali)ASSOCIATED PRESS

 Conservative leadership candidate Kemi Badenoch addresses members during the Conservative Party Conference at the International Convention Centre in Birmingham, England, Wednesday, Oct. 2, 2024. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung, File)


LONDON (AP) — The first Black woman to lead a major U.K. political party, Kemi Badenoch is an upbeat and outspoken libertarian who thinks the British state is broken — and that she's the one to fix it with smaller government and radical new ideas.

The new leader of Britain’s right-of-center Conservative Party was born Olukemi Adegoke in London in 1980 to well-off Nigerian parents — a doctor and an academic — and spent much of her childhood in the West African country.

She has said that the experience of Nigeria’s economic and social upheavals shaped her political outlook.

“I grew up somewhere where the lights didn’t come on, where we ran out of fuel frequently despite being an oil-producing country,” Badenoch told the BBC last week.

“I don’t take what we have in this country for granted,” she said. “I meet a lot of people who assume that things are good here because things are good here and they always will be. They don’t realize just how much work and sacrifice was required in order to get that.”

Returning to the U.K. aged 16 during a period of turmoil in Nigeria, she worked part-time at McDonalds while completing school, then studied computer systems engineering at the University of Sussex. She later got a law degree and worked in financial services.

In 2012, she married banker Hamish Badenoch, with whom she has three children.

She was elected to the London Assembly in 2015 and to Parliament in 2017. She held a series of government posts in the 2019-22 government of Prime Minister Boris Johnson, before becoming part of a mass ministerial exodus in July 2022 over a series of ethics scandals that triggered Johnson’s downfall.

Badenoch ran unsuccessfully to succeed Johnson, boosting her profile in the process. She was appointed trade secretary in the 49-day government of Prime Minister Liz Truss, and business secretary under Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.

She held onto her seat in Parliament in July's national election, which saw the Labour Party win a huge majority and the Conservatives reduced to 121 lawmakers in the 650-seat House of Commons.

Like many Conservatives, Badenoch idolizes Margaret Thatcher, the party’s first female leader, who transformed Britain with her free-market policies in the 1980s. Citing her engineering background as evidence she’s a problem-solver, she depicts herself as a disruptor, arguing for a low-tax, free-market economy and pledging to “rewire, reboot and reprogram” the British state.

A critic of multiculturalism and self-proclaimed enemy of wokeness, Badenoch is an opponent of “identity politics,” gender-neutral bathrooms and government plans to reduce U.K. carbon emissions.

Supporters think her charismatic, outspoken style is just what the Conservative Party needs to come back from its worst-ever election defeat. During her leadership campaign, her backers wore T-shirts urging: “Be more Kemi.”

Critics say Badenoch has clashed with colleagues and civil servants and has a tendency to make rash statements and provoke unnecessary fights. During the leadership campaign she drew criticism for saying that “not all cultures are equally valid,” and for suggesting that maternity pay was excessive — though she later backtracked on that claim.

“I do speak my mind,” she told the BBC. “And I tell the truth.”




Kemi Badenoch Becomes UK Conservative Party Leader, Beating Robert Jenrick In Final Vote

Caroline Frost
Sat, November 2, 2024 at 5:17 AM MDT



Kemi Badenoch has become the UK Conservative Party leader, beating her colleague Robert Jenrick in the final vote, to become the first Black leader of a British national political party.

Badenoch previously engaged in a social media war of words with Doctor Who star David Tennant. She said she “wasn’t afraid of Doctor Who” after the pair clashed on trans rights.

Badenoch won by more than 10,000 votes from a total poll of more than 130,000. Party members across the country voted in the contest, which followed the Tory party defeat in the UK general election this summer, after which defeated prime minister Rishi Sunak said he would stand down.

Conservative Party chairman Richard Fuller introduced the conference to announce the result in London 11am Saturday morning. He stressed that the party, currently in opposition, must unite in addressing the country’s needs. 1922 committee chairman Bob Blackman then announced the winner of the leadership campaign.

Early favourite James Cleverly was defeated earlier in the contest



Rise of Kemi Badenoch – from childhood in Nigeria to leader of the Conservative Party

Ethan Croft
Sat, November 2, 2024 at 6:14 AM MDT


Kemi Badenoch has been elected the new leader of the Conservative Party - David Rose for The Telegraph



Kemi Badenoch’s victory in the Conservative Party leadership contest marks a number of milestones in British political history.

She is the first black woman to lead a major political party and only the second woman to serve as permanent Leader of the Opposition after Margaret Thatcher.

Most strikingly, perhaps, Mrs Badenoch is the first major party leader to identify as a “first generation immigrant”.

Mrs Badenoch and her husband Hamish have two daughters and a son - Jenny Goodall/Shutterstock

She was born Olukemi Olufunto Adegoke in Britain in January 1980 after her Nigerian parents travelled to a specialist maternity hospital in south London to receive private healthcare.



After their daughter was born, the Adegokes returned to Nigeria where Mrs Badenoch grew up.

But because she was born in Britain before a Thatcher-era change to citizenship laws, Olukemi, known as “Kemi”, later found she was able to claim British citizenship, a discovery she has likened to finding out she possessed one of Willy Wonka’s “Golden Tickets”.

Kemi (pictured second left, with brother Fola, sister lola and mother Feyi) is the oldest of three children

Mrs Badenoch visiting McDonald’s headquarters, a company for whom she worked when she was studying A-levels in London - Jeff Gilbert/Alamy

In 1996, during one of the country’s periodic political and economic crises, she returned to Britain aged 16 to live with a family friend in Wimbledon and study A-levels while working part-time in McDonald’s.

Mrs Badenoch has described her childhood in Lagos, Nigeria’s largest city, as “middle-class” when compared to her “very poor” surroundings. Her father Femi worked in the city as a GP while her mother Feyi was a professor of physiology at the University of Lagos


“Being middle class in Nigeria still meant having no running water or electricity, sometimes taking your own chair to school,” she has said.

In her maiden speech as an MP she described “living without electricity and doing my homework by candlelight, because the state electricity board could not provide power, and fetching water in heavy, rusty buckets from a borehole a mile away, because the nationalised water company could not get water out of the taps.”

Mrs Badenoch has recalled doing manual labour as part of her high school education. “Mostly it meant getting up at 5am and cutting grass endlessly. Everyone had their own machete. Because that’s how you cut grass in Africa. There were no lawn mowers. We had to tend our own patches. I still feel as if I have got the blisters.”

She has said the blight of corruption in the Nigeria of her childhood helped form her political opinions. Mrs Badenoch also remembers being inspired by Margaret Thatcher as a girl, when she was often prohibited from participating in certain school activities because of her sex.

Mrs Badenoch and her husband Hamish with Theresa May, the former Conservative Party leader - Instagram

After taking A-levels in maths, biology and chemistry, she embarked on a computer systems engineering course at Sussex University.

She joined the Conservative Party in 2005, partly because of her irritation with the “stupid Lefty white kids” she encountered at university.

Mrs Badenoch met her husband, investment banker Hamish Badenoch, in her local south London Conservative association in 2009.

Mrs Badenoch with her husband Hamish after the party leadership result was announced on Saturday - Eddie Mulholland for The Telegraph

He was a member of the association which selected her as a parliamentary candidate in the 2010 general election. She came third in the Dulwich and West Norwood seat, losing out to Labour grandee Tessa Jowell.

The pair struck up a friendship after realising they had been born in the same Wimbledon hospital and soon became a couple. They married in 2012 at a Catholic church in Mayfair, before travelling to Lagos for a traditional Nigerian wedding ceremony. They have two daughters and a son.

Mr Badenoch was elected as a Conservative councillor in 2014 and served until 2018. Reportedly, the couple had an understanding that whichever one of them achieved national office first would take the lead with their political career, while the other would carry on in their non-political job.

She worked at Coutts Bank and The Spectator before being elected as a Conservative member of the London Assembly in 2015 and later Tory MP for Saffron Walden in 2017. Mr Badenoch continues to work in banking.

Telegraph readers on Kemi Badenoch’s victory: ‘She will give Starmer a headache’

Lorna Perry
Sat, November 2, 2024 

Kemi Badenoch delivers a speech in London after she was announced as the new Conservative Party leader - Andy Rain/Shuttershock

After 14-and-a half-weeks of intense campaigning, Kemi Badenoch has officially won the Conservative Party leadership race.

It is “time to get down to business” and “renew” the Conservatives and Britain, Mrs Badenoch said in her acceptance speech.

She told party supporters: “The task that stands before us is tough but simple. Our first responsibility as His Majesty’s Loyal Opposition is to hold this Labour Government to account.

“Our second is no less important, it is to prepare over the course of the next few years for government, to ensure that by the time of the election, we have not just a clear set of Conservative pledges that appeal to the British people, but a clear plan for how to implement them.”

Mrs Badenoch’s campaign centred on “first principles”, including family, freedom and personal responsibility, instead of policies, claiming it is too early to put forward a detailed offering.

On July 5, former prime minister Rishi Sunak announced he would be stepping down as leader of the Conservatives.

Six candidates entered the race to become the next party leader: Priti Patel, Mel Stride, Tom Tugendhat, James Cleverly, Robert Jenrick and Kemi Badenoch. on Saturday, Mrs Badenoch has been chosen as the face of the party’s future.



Mrs Badenoch now confronts the dual task of uniting a party that has been marred by in-fighting over the past three years and reviving the Tories’s electoral fortunes after they slumped to a historic defeat at the general election in July.

In light of the announcement, Telegraph readers have, in turn, been weighing in on Mrs Badenoch’s victory. From a resurgence of hope for change to concerns about her stance on immigration, here’s what you have had to say on the Tory leadership race result.
‘A little bit of Thatcher about her’

Many readers expressed enthusiasm for the result, voicing high expectations for her ability to take on Sir Keir Starmer, the Prime Minister.

Reader Richard Schrader said: “Kemi will eviscerate Starmer. She is the right person to lead the opposition. There is no need to come up with policies until nearer the next election. The job right now is to oppose and it needs to be someone who can bring some aggression to the job.”

CP added: “She will give Starmer a headache. She is more of a realist in terms of policy and does not promise what she knows would be undeliverable.”

Chris Green was equally impressed: “Watched the speech – she hit all the right notes. Measured, balanced and to the point, with a presence that holds attention. She has a little bit of star quality, and a little bit of Thatcher about her. If she keeps this up, she’ll be a success.”

A few Reform voters shared how Mrs Badenoch’s fighting spirit could convert them back to being Conservative supporters.

John Dawkins said: “She has the fighting spirit and intelligence to tackle this enormous task. I’m a Reform voter at present, but look forward to the next couple of years in the battle to rebuild the Right.”

Jo Hunn echoed a similar sentiment: “Seems like a good choice to me – common sense, no-nonsense and she will wipe the floor with Starmer at PMQs. I voted Reform at the last election, but I will watch this with interest.”




‘Last nail in the coffin of Conservatives’

Some readers voiced deep disappointment, predicting that her leadership will push the Tories closer to extinction and affirming their loyalty to Reform.

Mike Noel argued: “Kemi is not radical enough to get the Tories back on track. The Conservatives betrayed the British people with their unConservative policies and she was party to this core group: all the more reason to vote Reform.”

Peter Marsh felt that Mrs Badenoch was “the last nail in the coffin of the Conservative party”.



He added: “A very sad day indeed. Farage must be in stitches. I bet he can’t believe his luck.”

Charles Swan congratulated Mrs Badenoch but continued: “I won’t be voting Tories next time. It is no longer the party it was.”

Jim Bale also weighed in: “I like her and she’s their best shot but the party is still dominated by people who aren’t what I would class as Conservative and I’m afraid I’ve already gone to Reform.”
‘The Tories are toast’

Mrs Badenoch’s commitment to remaining in the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR) is a key reason many are choosing to stay with Reform UK.

JP Jones expressed disappointment: “Bad news for the country. Another globalist at the helm of a main party. This will not bring Reform voters back into the fold given her pro-immigration stance. This will make it harder to get rid of Starmer.”



Richard Russell agreed, saying: “Well, that’s it, folks, the Tories are toast. They’ve crowned another leader who’s all-in on mass migration and hard net zero, so why not just cut the charade and merge with Labour? Honestly, they haven’t been Right-wing for decades now. The only true Right-wing option left is Reform UK.”

Paul Jones argued: “The ‘one nation’ Tories will now be out of government for at least a decade. Already Kemi’s mentor, Gove in the Spectator, is pushing to stay in the ECHR.

“Leaving the ECHR and towing the boats back to France, minimising legal migration, scrapping ‘net zero’, protecting free speech, etc, will only come from Reform. Let us see what happens in the local elections next year.”
‘The figures themselves speak of failure’

Several Telegraph readers saw the low voter turnout as a clear sign of dwindling Conservative support.



Joe Pendlebury said: “The figures themselves speak of failure – less than ten per cent of the membership of earlier years. Conservatives have moved to Reform.”

Ivan Milatovic added: “You had 141,000 people voting two years ago. That is now down to 95,000. Mr Sunak won more votes when he lost than Mrs Badenoch did. If that is not a sign of a party in huge trouble, I don’t know what is.”

P Lamb shared a similar sentiment: “Two years ago, Truss got 81,000 votes and Sunak 60,000 votes. Now Badenoch wins with 53,000 votes. The figures suggest that the Conservatives are a declining force, possibly terminally.”

Mr Melchett didn’t think the figures were ‘exactly sparkling’. He argued: “Only a 72 per cent turnout and a far closer winning margin than you might have expected given the press. The party is potentially still divided quite heavily and appealing to both sides is her first and probably hardest job.”


UK Conservatives pick Kemi Badenoch as new leader, first Black woman to head a big British party

JILL LAWLESS
AP
Updated Sat, November 2, 2024 

Britain's Member of Parliament Kemi Badenoch speaks after being elected as the new leader of the opposition Conservative Party, in London, Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. (AP Photo/Alberto Pezzali)ASSOCIATED PRESS

Britain's Member of Parliament Kemi Badenoch, speaks after being elected as the new leader of the opposition Conservative Party, in London, Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. (AP Photo/Alberto Pezzali)ASSOCIATED PRESS

Britain's Member of Parliament Kemi Badenoch, right, poses with her husband Hamish Badenoch for the cameras after being elected as the new leader of the opposition Conservative Party, in London, Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. (AP Photo/Alberto Pezzali)


LONDON (AP) — Outspoken, right-leaning lawmaker Kemi Badenoch was named leader of Britain's opposition Conservatives on Saturday, as the party tries to rebound from a crushing election defeat that ended its 14 years in power.

The first Black woman to lead a major British political party, Badenoch (pronounced BADE-enock) has pledged to bring the right-of-center Tories “renewal” by pushing for a smaller state and rejecting identity politics.

Badenoch defeated rival candidate Robert Jenrick in an online and postal ballot of party members, securing 57% of the almost 100,000 votes cast, to Jenrick's 43%.


Badenoch, 44, replaces former Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who in July led the Conservatives to their worst election result since 1832.

The new leader’s daunting challenge is to restore the party’s reputation after years of division, scandal and economic tumult, hammer Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s policies on key issues including the economy and immigration, and return the Conservatives to power at the next election, due by 2029.

“The task that stands before us is tough but simple,” Badenoch said in a victory speech to a roomful of Conservative lawmakers, staff and journalists in London. She said the party's job was to hold the Labour government to account, and to craft pledges and a plan for government.

Addressing the party's election drubbing, she said “we have to be honest — honest about the fact that we made mistakes, honest about the fact that we let standards slip.”



“The time has come to tell the truth, to stand up for our principles, to plan for our future, to reset our politics and our thinking, and to give our party, and our country, the new start that they deserve," Badenoch said.

A business secretary in Sunak's government, Badenoch was born in London to Nigerian parents and spent much of her childhood in the West African country.

The former software engineer depicts herself as a disruptor, arguing for a low-tax, free-market economy and pledging to “rewire, reboot and reprogram” the British state. Like her rival Jenrick, she has criticized multiculturalism and called for lower immigration, though unlike him she has not demanded that Britain leave the European Convention on Human Rights.

A self-proclaimed enemy of wokeness, Badenoch opposes identity politics, gender-neutral bathrooms and government plans to reduce U.K. carbon emissions. During the leadership campaign she drew criticism for saying that “not all cultures are equally valid,” and for suggesting that maternity pay was excessive.

Tim Bale, professor of politics at Queen Mary University of London, said the Conservative Party was likely to “swing towards the right both in terms of its economic policies and its social policies” under Badenoch.

He predicted Badenoch would pursue "what you might call the boats, boilers and bathrooms strategy .... focusing very much on the trans issue, the immigration issue and skepticism about progress towards net zero.”

While the Conservative Party is unrepresentative of the country as a whole — its dwindling membership of 132,000 is largely made up of affluent, older white men – its upper echelons have become markedly more diverse.

Badenoch is the Tories’ fourth female leader, after Margaret Thatcher, Theresa May and Liz Truss, all of whom became prime minister. She’s the second Conservative leader of color, after Sunak, and the first with African roots. The center-left Labour Party has a more diverse membership but has only ever been led by white men.

In a leadership contest that lasted more than three months, Conservative lawmakers reduced the field from six candidates in a series of votes before putting the final two to the wider party membership.

Both finalists came from the right of the party, and argued they could win voters back from Reform U.K., the hard-right, anti-immigrant party led by populist politician Nigel Farage that has eaten away at Conservative support.

But the party also lost many voters to the winning party, Labour, and to the centrist Liberal Democrats, and some Conservatives worry that tacking right will lead the party away from public opinion.

Starmer's government has had a rocky first few months in office, beset by negative headlines, fiscal gloom and a plummeting approval rating.

But Bale said that the historical record suggests the odds are against Badenoch leading the Conservatives back to power in 2029.

“It’s quite unusual for someone to take over when a party gets very badly beaten and manage to lead it to election victory," he said. "However, Keir Starmer did exactly that after 2019. So records are there to be broken.”




Who is Kemi Badenoch? Former business secretary elected Conservative Party leader

Rachael Burford,William Mata,Sian Baldwin and Tamara Davison
Sat, November 2, 2024 

Who is Kemi Badenoch? Former business secretary elected Conservative Party leader



Kemi Badenoch has won the Conservative Party leadership election, defeating Robert Jenrick in the final run off.

The former Business Secretary received 53,806 votes among party members, while her rival secured 41,388.

She will now lead HM opposition, taking over from departing party leader Rishi Sunak - who announced he would step down following the party losing power in July.

The North West Essex MP and former London Assembly member has been seen as being on the right of the party and has had a fast rise to the top.



Her immediate challenge is to unite her party after the at times fractious leadership contest

She becomes the first black woman to lead a major British political party.

Here is her story.


Kemi Badenoch defeated Robert Jenrick ((Stefan Rousseau/PA))
What is Kemi Badenoch’s political background?

Born in Wimbledon, the 44-year-old lived in the US and Nigeria as a child before returning to the UK aged 16. Her father, Femi Adegoke, was a GP and her mother, Feyi Adegoke, was a professor of physiology.

She has talked about working at McDonald’s while studying for her A-levels in Morden, south London.

After graduating from the University of Sussex with a master's degree in computer systems engineering, she worked for companies including the Royal Bank of Scotland and private bank Coutts, as well as the Spectator magazine.

She joined the Conservative Party in 2005, aged 25. Five years later, she stood as the Tory candidate in Dulwich and West Norwood, coming third in the vote won by Labour's Tessa Jowell.

Then in September 2015 she joined the London Assembly, retaining her seat at the 2016 election. She became the London Tory spokeswoman for the economy and also sat on the transport committee and policing and crime committee.

She backed the Vote Leave campaign in 2016 and at the following year’s election she she stood in the safe Conservative seat of Saffron Walden in Essex and was elected to Parliament.

She is married to banker Hamish Badenoch with whom she has three children.


Born in Wimbledon, Ms Badenoch lived in the US and Nigeria as a child before returning to the UK aged 16 (PA Wire)
Kemi Badenoch’s rise through the Tory ranks

Ms Badenoch has had a long career within the Conservative Party and has been tipped consistently for big things.

She has served as international trade secretary before taking up her current role as business and trade secretary and in 2022, she put herself forward to replace former prime minister Boris Johnson as a “fresh face” for the Tories.

Ms Badenoch showed her right-wing credentials by standing on an anti-woke and small government platform.

More than a dozen Tory colleagues, including Michael Gove, backed her bid but, she ultimately lost to Liz Truss in the leadership campaign, finishing fourth.

She then went on to serve as international trade secretary from September 2022 to February 2023 and minister for women and equalities.

When the Tories lost power at the July general election, Ms Badenoch became shadow secretary of state for housing, communities and local government.
Kemi Badenoch’s controversies

Ms Badenoch has rubbed people up the wrong way, with Commons Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle and actor David Tennant both expressing frustration with her tone.

She was also criticised for publicly shaming journalist Nadine White in 2021. The HuffPost reporter had asked the then equalities minister’s office about suggestions Ms Badenoch had refused to participate in a video featuring black cross-party politicians seeking to promote the Covid-19 vaccination.

Screenshots of Ms White’s two emails were shared on Twitter by Ms Badenoch, who branded them “creepy and bizarre”. Labour called for an investigation and Ms White said the MP’s actions set a dangerous precedent, threatening the role of a free press.

Ms Badenoch also admitted hacking Harriet Harman’s website in 2008 as part of a “foolish prank”. She guessed the Labour MP’s password and then posted a hoax blog post claiming that the then-minister for women and equality supported Boris Johnson in the London elections.

During her time as minister for women and equalities she challenged the Equality Act and has furthered her criticism in her latest leadership campaign by saying “two tier policing” was softer on protesters for progressive causes and racial minorities in recent riots.


Tory leadership candidate Kemi Badenoch walks with her team through the Birmingham International Conference Centre (PA Wire)

In an online rally, she said: “I think that one of the things we need to strongly emphasise is equality under the law.

“There are too many people who have misinterpreted the Equality Act and think that there are different groups which are protected in different ways. That is not true.

“It is one of the things that has fed a lot of the discontent within communities, whether they’re complaining about two-tier policing or about the equality law being misapplied. You see it, whether it’s in the battles between women and trans rights activists, between different religions, between men and women, between black and white.”

Ms Badenoch attracted criticism for not attending a Conservative leadership husting in Yarm, North Yorkshire on August 17 because she was on holiday.

A supporter of one of her rivals said her non-appearance showed she did not value the region enough, pointing out that the event was the sole one being held in the north.

At the Conservative Party Conference she made headlines for suggesting one in ten civil servants should be arrested for being terrible at their jobs and describing maternity pay as “excessive”.
One senior Tory MP told the Standard that Ms Badenoch could be an exciting leader, but some were concerned about her imploding.

“We know she’s Mrs T,” they said. “We just haven’t worked out if that’s Thatcher or Truss.”

Having announced her bid to lead her party with an article in the Times where she said the last administration “talked right and governed left” she has tried to maximise her appeal to those who may have been tempted to vote for Reform UK at the general election.

Ms Badenoch made headlines during the Conservative Party Conference in Birmingham when she described maternity pay as “excessive” and said five to 10 per cent of civil servants should “be in prison”.


CHE WOULD BE PROUD

Armed group kidnaps more than 200 military personnel and seizes base in central Bolivia

Mitchell McCluskey and Mauricio Torres, CNN
Sat, November 2, 2024 at 2:42 PM MDT·2 min read


An armed group has taken control of a military post in central Bolivia and is holding more than 200 personnel hostage.

The Bolivian military said Friday that an “irregular armed group” had kidnapped military personnel and seized weapons and ammunition from the base situated near the central Bolivian city of Cochabamba. The Bolivian Foreign Ministry said more than 200 military personnel had been taken hostage during the incident.

Bolivian president Luis Arce said that the armed group was “affiliated” with former president Evo Morales, but did not offer evidence for the claim. CNN has reached out to Morales’ team for comment.

The armed forces urged the group to leave the barracks “immediately and peacefully,” emphasizing that these actions would be “considered treason to the country.”

The incident is the latest escalation in a period of unrest in the South American country as Morales and Arce clash ahead of the 2025 election.

In recent weeks, Morales’ supporters have set up blockades on major highways across the country, including in Cochabamba, in reaction to the government unveiling human trafficking charges against Morales. The blockades, which Bolivian police said involve “violent armed groups,” have led to food and fuel shortages in some cities.

Morales and the government have also traded accusations over an exchange that occurred in Cochabamba last weekend.

Bolivian Minister of Government Eduardo Del Castillo alleged that individuals in a car carrying Morales opened fire on police while trying to evade a checkpoint set up to deter drug trafficking. The former president denied the charge and accused the government of trying to orchestrate his assassination by firing at his vehicle.

CNN has reached out to the Bolivian government for more information on the events at the military base.


Bolivian ex-president’s supporters hold ‘20 soldiers hostage’ amid escalating tensions

Shweta Sharma
INDEPENDENT
Sat, November 2, 2024 

Bolivian ex-president’s supporters hold ‘20 soldiers hostage’ amid escalating tensions


Supporters of Bolivia’s former president Evo Morales stormed a military facility and took soldiers hostage, intensifying a standoff with the government over rape allegations, according to the country’s military.

The Bolivian Armed Forces said in a statement that “irregular armed groups” had kidnapped military personnel and taken control of military units in the central Chapare region, which has emerged as a battleground with supporters of Mr Morales surrounding the area.

The armed forces urged those responsible for the takeover to “immediately and peacefully” abandon the facility and warned that “anyone who takes up arms against the country will be considered a traitor”.


Around 20 soldiers were taken hostage by the armed groups, according to reports citing military sources.

The clashes between supporters of Mr Morales and the government erupted three weeks ago when Bolivian prosecutors launched an investigation into accusations that the ex-president fathered a child with a 15-year-old girl in 2016, classifying their relationship as statutory rape.

Mr Morales has refused to testify in court regarding what he calls trumped-up rape charges.

President Luis Arce condemned the seizure of three military units by supporters of Mr Morales on Friday, calling it “an absolutely reprehensible criminal act that is far from any legitimate social claim of the Indigenous peasant movement”.

Demonstrators block roads amid rising political tensions, in Parotani (REUTERS)

Mr Arce said: “The taking of a military unit is a crime of treason against the homeland and an affront to the country’s Constitution.”

“We have taken a first step: unblocking Cochabamba towards the west of our country. Now we will continue working until we free this department from the hostage situation to which it is subjected,” he said in another update on X.

Since reports circulated of a possible warrant against him, supporters of the country’s first Indigenous leader have erected roadblocks and fortified areas in Chapare to prevent his arrest.

Bolivia’s former president Evo Morales was in office from 2006 to 2019 (Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved)

Images and videos showed at least 16 soldiers with their hands tied behind their backs, surrounded by members of the armed group.

Police officers attempted to clear the roadblocks, and 30 were injured after a standoff between security forces and supporters of Mr Morales. More than 50 protesters were arrested.

The coca-growing region of Chapare has emerged as the political bastion and refuge of Mr Morales, who was himself a former coca grower. Loyalist coca growers have kept watch to prevent his arrest.

On Sunday, Mr Morales shared a video claiming his car was shot at in what he described as an “assassination attempt” against him.

The Bolivian government denied claims that it was a targeted attack against Mr Morales, stating that police fired on the vehicle after coming under attack from Mr Morales’s convoy at a checkpoint.
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Bolivia's president accuses supporters of former leader Morales of seizing 3 military barracks
CARLOS VALDEZ
Fri, November 1, 2024 






Bolivia Roadblocks
Police launch tear gas to disperse supporters of former President Evo Morales who have been blocking roads for days to prevent him from facing a criminal investigation over allegations of abuse of a minor while he was in office, in Parotani, Bolivia, Friday, Nov. 1, 2024. (AP Photo/Juan Karita)

LA PAZ, Bolivia (AP) — Bolivian President Luis Arce on Friday condemned the seizure of three military units by supporters of former President Evo Morales, calling it “an absolutely reprehensible criminal act that is far from any legitimate social claim of the Indigenous peasant movement.”

In a message on the social media platform X, Arce wrote that “the taking of a military unit is a crime of treason against the homeland and an affront to the country's Constitution."

Earlier on Friday the Bolivian Armed Forces said in a statement that “irregular armed groups” had kidnapped military personnel and took control of military units in the center of the country, where police officers began to clear the roads blocked 19 days ago by supporters of former President Evo Morales.


In the statement, the armed forces urged those responsible for the takeover to “immediately and peacefully” abandon the facility and warned that “anyone who takes up arms against the country will be considered a traitor.”

The warning came after videos circulated on social media with statements from a military leader who is believed to be detained confirming the “peaceful” takeover of a regiment in the coca-growing area of ​​Chapare. The authorities have neither confirmed nor denied that he is a member of the Army.

Meanwhile, the police mobilized a large number of troops and tractors to clear the roads of debris with the support of a fraction of the military police.

Officers clearing the roadblocks found an unexpected ally in the popular All Saints’ Day holiday, as many protesters left the roads to celebrate.

The conflict broke out three weeks ago when Bolivian prosecutors launched an investigation into accusations that Morales fathered a child with a 15-year-old girl in 2016, classifying their relationship as statutory rape. Morales has refused to testify in court.

Since reports circulated of a possible warrant against him, the ex-president has been holed up in the Chapare region, in central Bolivia, where loyalist coca growers have kept watch to prevent his arrest.

Last week, 30 police officers were injured and more than 50 protesters were arrested after a standoff between security forces and supporters of Morales. But the so-called blockers regained control of the roads after the law enforcement agents passed through.

The most critical situation is taking place in the coca-growing region of Chapare, a political bastion and refuge of Morales, where his followers have surrounded and threatened to take over police and military barracks, demanding the closure of the judicial cases against the former president.

Several groups, including the mayor of La Paz, Iván Arias, have asked the government to declare a state of emergency in Cochabamba, the region hardest hit by the protests. The government has avoided sending out soldiers en masse to clear the roads. Opponents say the government is showing weakness in dealing with the conflict in the midst of an economy in crisis with rising living costs and fuel shortages.

Morales, a former coca grower, has retained significant support among poor and Indigenous Bolivians despite his resignation in 2019 amid mass protests over his disrupted re-election.


Saturday, November 02, 2024

Trump will deflate like the Hindenburg after losing in November
TRUTH OUT
September 23, 2024 

(Photo by Niels Christian Vilmann / Ritzau Scanpix / AFP)

Donald Trump has seemed so larger-than-life to so many Americans for so long that it’s almost impossible not to think of him as a perpetual, ongoing threat.

And, indeed, he has already tried to mount one coup against our nation which was largely ignored by our Attorney General for two long years, setting up the virtual certainty of a second attempt this fall should he lose by a small margin.

That, however, is not what current trends, an innovation in political science, and world history tell us will most likely happen over the next four months.

In my opinion, we’re going to see Trump deflate like the Hindenburg if he suffers a major defeat. Here’s why and how.

Increasingly, it appears that Trump is going to lose the election in a big way. Having already lost in 2016 by 3 million votes and 2020 by 7 million votes, there’s little to indicate he’s expanded his voter base; instead, by doubling down on hate, racism, and calls for violence he’s managed to offend a large part of the traditional GOP. When Dick Cheney says you’re too much of a fascist, you’re in trouble.

Now comes Northwestern University data scientist Thomas Miller, who’s developed an intriguing way to predict election outcomes. Instead of looking at polling data — which has proved very unreliable over the past decade, probably because of cell phones — Miller looks at betting markets and draws his trends and predictions from them. They’re dynamic, updated instantly, and real money is on the line so there’s no margin for error.


In the 2020 race for president, for example, the polls showed Biden barely squeaking by and, in the Georgia senate elections, polls predicted Kelly Loeffler would beat Raphael Warnock and David Perdue would defeat Jon Ossoff. Miller, relying on the betting data, not only called all three races accurately, but hit Ossoff’s 1% victory on the nose and was only 0.2% off on Warnock’s victory.

If current trends continue, Miller’s system is predicting a blowout for Harris, with her getting around 55% of the popular vote:
“It would be somewhere between the defeats of Barry Goldwater by Lyndon Johnson in 1964, and Bob Dole by Bill Clinton in 1996,” Miller told Fortune magazine. “We’re talking about a blowout where Harris gets over 400 electoral votes and wins Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and every other swing state.”

So, if that happens, what does it mean for Trump?


My prediction is that, by one hour after the networks agree that Donald Trump is a blowout nationwide loser, every elected major Republican in the country will abandon him.

It will be swift and certain, because in that moment every single one of those Republican elected officials is going to realize that Donald Trump no longer has any meaningful political power. In that moment, he’ll simply be an impotent cult leader whose votaries are elderly, deluded, and constitute much smaller numbers than most people realized.

Their worldview is rooted in racism, conspiracy theory, and several eccentric and outlier forms of fundamentalist Christianity, along with the QAnon cult. Together with low information voters, that base constitutes enough people to fill rallies and make Trump seem like he has the potential to win an election.


But the reality is that he hasn’t won anything since his freak 2016 electoral college victory, and that only happened by the intervention of Putin’s Facebook trolls and Jill Stein.

Americans will realize, in the moment that announcement is made, that Trump is really and truly going to prison, that the hundreds of millions of dollars in fines for his crimes will bankrupt him, and that he will no longer have the GOP as a money machine to pay his legal bills.

In other words, that’s the moment the reality sets in that he’s going down.


Doomed.

Condemned.

That he’s lost his mojo. That he’ll never again run for any political office, anywhere.


That he is now both useless and unthreatening.

And Republican politicians, if nothing else, understand power and the lack thereof. They’ll flee from Trump even more rapidly than they did Goldwater in 1964 and Bush Sr. in 1992.

Or, even more likely, they’ll turn on him like the Cheney family has.


The entire Republican party will essentially join the Lincoln Project, and suddenly you’ll see Republicans on all the national shows condemning Trump for everything he ever did or said or is continuing to do and say.

Then, of course — after they’ve destroyed Trump and pushed him off the national stage — they’ll all get back to trying to privatize Social Security and shut down Obamacare.

Although it rarely makes the national press, I hear from insiders that some Republicans are already making plans for a post-Trump party, and a struggle for dominance has already erupted among several senators.

This may play a role in the current war between Lauren Boebert, Laura Loomer, and Marjorie Taylor Greene, among other major dysfunctions in today’s GOP. It’s all about bets for or against Trump‘s political survival.


This is going to play out like an episode of the Sopranos, and I can hardly wait…
'Billionaire sleazeball': Worker group slams Trump over dump truck stunt

Jessica Corbett,
 Common Dreams
November 2, 2024 

Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump sits inside garbage truck as he wears a high-vis vest, on tarmac at Green Bay Austin Straubel International Airport in Green Bay, Wisconsin, U.S., October 30, 2024. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

A worker group in North Carolina on Wednesday criticized former U.S. President Donald Trump and one of the Republican nominee's allies for campaign stunts involving garbage trucks.

After struggling to open the truck's door—which led to a viral video clip and concerns about Trump's physical condition—the ex-president climbed into the passenger seat of a white truck adorned with American flags and a banner that said, "Trump, Make America Great Again! 2024."

Wearing an orange high-visibility vest that he also wore during a later rally in Green Bay, Wisconsin, Trump took aim at President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, saying to reporters: "How do you like my garbage truck? This truck is in honor of Kamala and Joe Biden."



In a pair of social media posts, the Durham Workers Assembly highlighted that the dump truck gimmick followed Trump donning an apron last week at a McDonald's in another swing state—Pennsylvania—where he worked a french fry fryer and dodged questions about raising the minimum wage.

"First slinging fries at McD's now this!" said the Durham, North Carolina branch of the Southern Workers Assembly, which aims to organize the unorganized working class in the U.S. South and coordinate actions across the region.


"A billionaire sleazeball acting like he is a worker is beyond gross, and slap in the face to all working-class people," the group declared on social media. "Workers must organize and raise up to smash MAGA fascism!"

The Durham Workers Assembly noted that "pro-Trump fellow billionaire" Vivek Ramaswamy participated in a similar stunt, arriving at a Wednesday campaign event in Charlotte, North Carolina on the back of a sanitation truck.

The garbage truck events, as Politicoexplained, came in response to "Biden responding to a comedian at the former president's Sunday rally at Madison Square Garden calling Puerto Rico a 'floating island of garbage.' Biden, addressing the racist joke on Tuesday, appeared to call Trump's supporters 'garbage' in return, which Republicans seized on even as the White House said he was referring to Trump's 'supporter's'— note the apostrophe placement—'demonization of Latinos.'"

Winning over working-class voters has been a priority for both campaigns. Many national unions have endorsed Harris—though, notably, not the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, whose leader spoke at this year's Republican National Convention and faced criticism for not backing a presidential candidate for the first time in decades.

The United Auto Workers is among the unions that have endorsed Harris. In a Tuesday speech, UAW president Shawn Fain advocated for working-class unity against Trump, whom he's called a "scab," and emphasized that "we engage in politics as a union because it is core to our fight for economic and social justice."



Unions and worker advocates cheered Harris' selection of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. A former public school teacher, Walz has slammed Trump and his vice presidential candidate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio), as enemies of the working class, saying that "the only thing those two guys know about working people is how to work to take advantage of them."

Vance is a former venture capitalist known for his memoir Hillbilly Elegy, which was made into a movie. As Rolling Stone's Tim Dickinson wrote in September: "In the pages of his book, Vance presents a dim view of the actual poor, whom he refers to as 'welfare queens' and accuses of 'gaming' America's too-generous social services. And as he campaigns in 2024, Vance is wielding his book as both a shield and a cudgel, using the tale of his hardscrabble youth to distract from the fact that he's now a multimillionaire member of the Senate, while simultaneously lashing out at the 'elites' for looking on his kind with contempt."

During a Thursday campaign event, Walz acknowledged the garbage truck stunt while lambasting Trump's tariff plans.

"This dude's nearly 80 years old. He damn near killed himself getting in a garbage truck. You would think over 80 years you would understand how a tariff works," Walz said. "Smarter people than Donald Trump—which is a good chunk of folks—CEOs of companies like Black & Decker, AutoZone, and Columbia, have gone on the record to say, if Donald Trump goes forward with this plan, they will simply have to raise prices and pass it on to you."



'You and me both sister': Kamala Harris appears alongside SNL alter ego Maya Rudolph

DO I REALLY LAUGH LIKE THAT?!

Travis Gettys
RAW STORY
November 3, 2024

NBC

Kamala Harris made a not-so-surprise appearance on "Saturday Night Live" three days before Election Day, appearing on the other side of a false mirror from her on-air alter ego Maya Rudolph.

The vice president had been rumored to appear on the show, which is celebrating its 50th anniversary on air, and showed up toward the end of the episode's cold open when Rudolph briefly paused to take in the enormity of the moment.

"Wow, this is it, the last campaign stop in Pennsylvania," Rudolph said. "I wish I could talk to someone who's been in my shoes. You know, a Black South Asian woman running for president, preferably from the Bay Area."

She then sat down at her makeup table and peered into what should have been a mirror, but instead Harris herself sat on the other side smiling as the audience began cheering and Rudolph briefly seemed to fight back tears.

"You and me both, sista," Harris said, nearly 30 seconds after the cheers began. "I'm just here to remind you, you've got this, because you can do something your opponent cannot do – you can open doors."

"I see what you did there," Rudolph replied. "Like to a garbage truck."

Harris cracked up and then caught herself.

"I don't really laugh like that, do I?" Harris said, and Rudolph reluctantly conceded that she did.

The two then riffed on rhymes on Harris' first name.


"Kamala, take my palm-ala," Rudolph said. "The American people want to stop the chaos."

"And end the drama-la," Harris chimed in.

"With a cool new stepmom-ala," Rudolph added. "Get back in our pajama-las and watch a rom-com-ala."

"Like 'Legally Blonde-ala,'" Harris said.


Harris' plane makes sudden detour amid news she will appear on 'Saturday Night Live'

Adam Nichols
November 2, 2024 

Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris campaigns in Michigan 
Source: REUTERS

Kamala Harris is expected to appear on “Saturday Night Live” just days before Election Day, the New York Times and CNN both reported.

The vice president's appearance was reported just hours before the show was due to air.

Harris had been campaigning in Georgia and North Carolina. The Times reported her plane diverted to New York City from its route to Michigan without advance notice.

“Appearing on live television is a gamble for a presidential candidate, or any celebrity without acting experience, but previous contenders have rolled the dice, including Mr. Trump and Hillary Clinton in 2015 and Barack Obama in 2007,” the Times reported.

The show is scheduled to air at 11:30 p.m. on NBC.
Partial recount confirms ruling party won Georgia election, electoral commission says

Georgia's electoral commission said on Thursday that a partial recount of the vote confirmed that the ruling Georgian Dream party won the country's contested parliamentary election. Pro-Western opposition parties alleged election interference by Russia as they refused to recognise the result on Sunday.


Issued on: 31/10/2024 -
By: NEWS WIRES
Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze, who is a member of the Georgian Dream party, attends a press conference in Tbilisi, Georgia on October 29, 2024. © Irakli Gedenidze, Reuters

A partial ballot recount in Georgia's contested parliamentary election confirmed the ruling party won, electoral officials said Thursday, after opposition parties alleged violations and Washington and Brussels demanded an investigation.

Georgia plunged into political uncertainty following Saturday's election as the pro-Western opposition said the vote was "stolen" by the ruling Georgian Dream party and refused to recognise its results.

Pro-European President Salome Zurabishvili -- at loggerheads with the governing party -- has declared the election results "illegitimate", alleging election interference by a "Russian special operation".

The central election commission told AFP that the recount at some 12 percent of polling stations, involving 14 percent of the vote, "didn't lead to a significant change to previously announced official results".

"Final tallies only slightly changed at some nine percent of recounted polling stations," a spokeswoman said.

Tens of thousands took to the streets on Monday to protest against alleged fraud.

International observers, the European Union and the United States have denounced electoral irregularities and demanded a full investigation.

Georgia's interior ministry said two were arrested following alleged ballot stuffing at a provincial polling station, while prosecutors said they had opened 47 criminal cases over alleged electoral violations.

On Wednesday, Georgian prosecutors said they had summoned Zurabishvili for questioning, because she "is believed to possess evidence regarding possible falsification".

But the figurehead president refused the summons, saying that plenty of evidence of electoral fraud was already available and prosecutors should focus on their investigation and "stop political score-settling with the president".

Opposition parties have said they will not enter the new "illegitimate" parliament and demanded "fresh" elections.

Brussels had warned prior to the elections that it would be a crucial test for EU-candidate Tbilisi's fledgling democracy and determine its chances of joining the bloc.

The European Commission warned in a report published Wednesday that it could not recommend opening membership talks "unless Georgia reverts the current course of action which jeopardises its EU path".

(AFP)
Air pollution levels in Lahore rise 40 times above WHO limit

Air pollution levels in Pakistan's second biggest city Lahore reached an unprecedented high on Saturday, soaring more than 40 times above the WHO’s acceptable limit for pollutants. Authorities have imposed strict new restrictions, including partial work-from-home mandates and curfews.


Issued on: 02/11/2024 - 
By: NEWS WIRES
Commuters make their way amid smog in Lahore on November 2, 2024. 
© Arif Ali, AFP


Air pollution in Pakistan's second biggest city Lahore soared on Saturday more than 40 times over the level deemed acceptable by the World Health Organization (WHO), with an official calling it record high.

The level of deadly PM2.5 pollutants -- fine particulate matter in the air that causes the most damage to health -- peaked at 610, with a reading above 15 in a 24-hour period considered unhealthy by the WHO.

The air quality index, which measures a range of pollutants, also spiked at 1,067.

"We have never reached a level of 1,000," Jahangir Anwar, a senior environmental protection official in Lahore told AFP.

For days, Lahore has been enveloped by smog, a mix of fog and pollutants caused by low-grade diesel fumes, smoke from seasonal agricultural burning and winter cooling.

"The air quality index will remain high for the next three to four days," Anwar said.

On Wednesday, the provincial environmental protection agency announced new restrictions in four "hot spots" in the city.

Tuk-tuks equipped with polluting two-stroke engines are banned, as are restaurants that barbecue without filters.

Government offices and private companies will have half their staff work from home from Monday.

Construction work has been halted and street and food vendors, who often cook over open fires, must close at 8 pm.

Smog is particularly pronounced in winter, when cold, denser air traps emissions from poor-quality fuels used to power the city's vehicles and factories at ground level.

(AFP)


Why Spain's floods are its deadliest in a generation

Spain is reeling from its worst flooding in decades after a year’s worth of rain fell in a matter of hours this week in the country’s southern and eastern regions. The storm began on Tuesday and has so far killed at least 158, prompting experts to weigh in on the factors contributing to the devastation.


Issued on: 31/10/2024
By: NEWS WIRES
A picture taken on October 31, 2024 shows piled-up cars following deadly floods in Sedavi, south of Valencia, eastern Spain. 
© Manaure Quintero, AFP

Powerful storms turbo-charged by a warming planet, poor urban planning and carelessness combined with catastrophic consequences in Spain’s deadliest floods in a generation, experts told AFP.

Authorities in the European country have announced a provisional toll of 158 dead and the figure is feared to rise as rescuers search for bodies under the rubble and mud.
Exceptionally violent weather

Torrential rains drenched areas of the eastern Valencia region with a year’s worth of precipitation in a matter of hours, according to national weather service AEMET.

In Chiva, west of the coastal city of Valencia, it recorded 491 litres of rain per square metre (49.1 centimetres).

The deluge was linked to a storm phenomenon common for the season where cold air travels over the Mediterranean Sea’s warm waters and forms intense rain clouds.

Scientists say human-driven climate change is increasing the temperatures of the world’s waters and increasing the ferocity of storms.

The warmer Mediterranean and time of year acted as fuel for the torrential rains in a “dramatic” cocktail attributable to climate change, said Jorge Olcina, a climate expert at Alicante University.

When storms reach such levels, they can have an effect similar to “hurricanes” or “tropical cyclones”, he added in an audio message to AFP.

Dry and artificial soils


The parched soil in the hardest-hit areas compounded the problem after Spain endured two consecutive years of intense droughts.

The ground could not absorb such a quantity of water, giving rise to flash flooding that raged through settlements.

The Valencia region is also covered with many areas where natural spaces have made way for impermeable concrete.

This urban development is “uncontrolled and ill-adapted to the natural characteristics of the territory”, amplifying the danger of powerful storms, said Pablo Aznar of the Socioeconomic Observatory of Floods and Droughts.

The population density of the Valencia region, which hosts Spain’s third-largest city of the same name with a population of almost 1.9 million inhabitants, also contributed.

Population density “was a very important factor” and posed a “challenge” to the authorities, said Aznar.

Read more  More than 150 dead in Spain’s devastating flash floods


Rush hour on the roads

The timing of the storm could not have been worse as it picked up late on Tuesday when motorists were hitting the roads during the evening rush hour.

Many victims were caught by surprise in their vehicles as they returned home or on the street, with the raging waters plucking some clinging to lampposts or trees.

Such scenes could have been avoided had citizens been warned on time to allow them to shelter at home, according to Hannah Cloke, a hydrology professor at Britain’s University of Reading.

Lack of care

AEMET had issued a red warning for the Valencia region on Tuesday morning, but the civil protection service only sent its telephone alerts advising people not to leave home after 8:00 pm.

But some people admitted they left home even after receiving the alert, suggesting a poor comprehension of the emergency.

Although there were “communication failures”, the responsibility is shared because Spain lacks a “culture of risk”, Aznar told AFP.

“Our collective mentality is still not sufficiently adapted to new extreme weather phenomena.”

Olcina agreed. “We have to vastly improve risk education in schools, but also in the whole population, so they know how to act in the event of an immediate risk.”

(AFP)



In Shanghai, Halloween sent shivers down China's spine

Analysis

Chinese authorities are seeking to limit Halloween celebrations in Shanghai, fearing that the festivities could serve as a platform for political dissent. For the regime, the October 31 holiday, imported from the United States, could become a means of criticising those in power through the choice of costumes with a political connotation.


Issued on: 31/10/2024 
By: Sébastian SEIBT
Halloween costumes worn in Shanghai in 2023, including protective suits like those worn by officials during the country's Covid-19 lockdown, were deemed politically subversive. CFOTO/Sipa USA via Reuters Conne - Costfoto

The Chinese government seems to be spooked by Halloween in Shanghai. A group of people dressed up for a pre-Halloween party in the city were detained by police, Reuters reported on October 25. Then, over the weekend, the police were deployed in one of Shanghai's downtown districts to curb the festivities of other fans of Halloween.

One 22-year-old student who was detained by the police told the Financial Times: “We had hats and cat ears, and they’re like ‘you can’t do that this year, unless you’re going to Disneyland’ or something.”

The student, who did not give his name, said the police took him to an administrative building where he joined a long queue of others wearing costumes.

'Subversive costumes'

Those rounded up were required to give police their names, ID numbers and phone numbers before being released according to the South China Morning Post. Videos showing handcuffed people entering a public building accompanied by police officers have been circulating on Chinese social networks since the weekend.

“These arrests took place mainly in Shanghai's cosmopolitan former French Concession district, where last year's Halloween festivities were held,” says Carlotta Rinaudo, China specialist for the International Team for the Study of Security (ITSS) Verona.

If the authorities are nervous as October 31 approaches, it's precisely because they don't want a repeat of last year’s Halloween, during which “some of the participants chose costumes that could be described as politically subversive", says Marc Lanteigne, a sinologist at The Arctic University of Norway.

At the time, the authorities were taken aback by this new political turn of Halloween, which traditionally has more to do with children going door-to-door trick-or-treating than with political grievances.

Beijing has shown little tolerance for expressions of popular discontent in Shanghai. China’s most international city, “considered the most open to the world, serves as a showcase for the country”, says Lanteigne.
Fear of a snowball effect

The regime is doing its utmost to present Shanghai in the most welcoming light to the outside world, while ensuring that not the the slightest challenge to the ruling party emerges.

Are a few cheeky costumes enough to shake the authority of the all-powerful Chinese Communist Party?

“On the face of it, it was more a question of Shanghai's population relaxing a little, rather than challenging the powers that be,” says Lanteigne. “Let's not forget that the local population has been hard hit by both the draconian health measures implemented during the Covid-19 crisis and the Chinese economic slowdown,” he says.

But the authorities saw the festivities as a phenomenon that could have a snowball effect, experts say. In fact, “the line between festive celebrations and protest” has always been quite blurred in China, says Rinaudo, and for several years now, Halloween gatherings have been a way to express criticism of the authorities.

In 2019, Hong Kong police fired tear gas at protesters who challenged a government ban on demonstrators wearing politically provocative face masks.

In 2022, protests in Shanghai against restrictions linked to Covid-19 began on November 2, just after Halloween.

The costumes seen in Shanghai in 2023 finally convinced the authorities that it was better to offer "tricks” rather than "treats" for Halloween, prompting them to clamp down on the festivities.

What China’s leaders absolutely don't want to see is the establishment of a tradition of dissent around Halloween, “because the political implications could become more and more complicated to control", says Rinaudo. The authorities don't want to go so far as to ban Halloween completely, she says, but “are keen to control the way the occasion is celebrated”.

Chinese nationalism vs. Western influence

Nevertheless, mobilising law enforcement nearly a week before Halloween and firmly urging anyone wearing a costume to revert to a more usual dress code is not a sign that the government is sure of itself, notes Lanteigne. "It doesn't show a regime very confident about the social mood and the risk of social unrest,” he says.

For Lanteigne, their response is an indication that with the economic slowdown, the authorities are on the lookout for the slightest sign that a social crisis could be brewing.

Halloween also provides an opportunity “to attack another symbol of Western culture in China”, says Lanteigne. For some years now, Chinese authorities have been urging people not to celebrate Christmas.

"Putting some restrictions on Western festivities like Christmas is part of a nationalistic push for more traditional values" to counteract the influence of the West, says Rinaudo.

Halloween is the perfect target for the ire of the Chinese authorities. On the one hand, Beijing hopes to pre-empt any potential public dissent, and on the other, it seeks to control the narrative surrounding Western cultural influences.

From the government’s viewpoint, they are “bolstering national pride with a crackdown against Western and outside influences”, says Lanteigne.

This article has been translated from the original in French.