Tuesday, November 05, 2024

VASSAL STATE

Myanmar junta chief visits key ally China



By AFP
November 5, 2024

This photograph taken and released in August, 2024 by the Myanmar Military Information Team shows Myanmar's military chief Min Aung Hlaing (right) meeting with China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Nyapyidaw. China is a key ally of the military junta - Copyright MYANMAR MILITARY INFORMATION TEAM/AFP/File -

Myanmar’s embattled junta chief arrived in China Tuesday — his first reported visit since leading a coup in 2021 — but analysts say the invitation is only a lukewarm endorsement from his key ally and could backfire.

Min Aung Hlaing was in the southwestern city of Kunming for a summit of the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) — a group including China, Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Vietnam and Cambodia — starting Wednesday.

The senior general will meet Chinese officials “to develop and strengthen economic and multi-sectoral cooperation”, the junta said on Monday.

When the military ousted Aung San Suu Kyi’s elected civilian government in 2021, Chinese state media refused to describe it as a coup, preferring “major cabinet reshuffle”.

China has stood by the junta since, even as others shun the generals over their brutal crackdown on dissent which opponents say includes massacring of civilians, razing villages with air and artillery strikes.

Richard Horsey, Crisis Group’s senior Myanmar adviser, said Min Aung Hlaing had been lobbying for an official invitation ever since the coup, as a public show of support.

But Beijing has stressed the regional focus of the Kunming gathering, saying it wanted to consult “all sides” against “a background of a weakening global recovery and geopolitical turbulence”.

“While this (invitation to the summit) still implies recognition as head of state, it does not have the same diplomatic weight as a bilateral invitation to visit Beijing,” Horsey told AFP.



– Battlefield losses –



Ming Aung Hlaing’s trip comes with the junta reeling from a devastating rebel offensive last year that seized an area roughly the size of Bosnia — much of it near the border with China.

Analysts say Beijing is worried about the possibility of the junta falling and suspicious of western influence among some of pro-democracy armed groups battling the military.

Myanmar is a vital part of Beijing’s trillion-dollar Belt and Road initiative, with railways and pipelines to link China’s landlocked southwest to the Indian Ocean.

“Beijing has now made clear its intentions for the Myanmar military to succeed,” said Jason Tower of the United States Institute of Peace.

China has been reluctant to give a clear show of official recognition since the coup, Crisis Group’s Horsey said, but this may be changing.

“China has pivoted to greater support for the regime — not because it is better disposed with the regime or its leader, but out of concern at a disorderly collapse of power in Naypyidaw,” he said.



– Deep mistrust –



But the relationship is wracked by longstanding mistrust.

The junta’s top brass are wary of China, insiders say — stemming from Beijing’s support for an insurgency waged by the Communist Party of Burma in the 1960s and 1970s.

China gave its tacit backing to last year’s rebel offensive, military supporters say, in return for the rebels dismantling online scam compounds in territory they captured.

Those compounds were run by and targeting Chinese citizens in a billion-dollar industry and major embarrassment for Beijing.

But the rebels pushed further and in August captured the city of Lashio — miles from the scam compound heartland and home to a regional military command.

The fall of Lashio, home to around 150,000 people to the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) was a step too far for Beijing, said Tower.

China has since cut electricity, water and internet services to the MNDAA’s traditional homeland on the border with Yunnan province, a source close to the group told AFP.

A visit to China is “unlikely to resolve Min Aung Hlaing’s internal troubles,” said Tower.

“If anything, it could create new problems, as the general is likely to be perceived as making major economic and geo-strategic concessions to Beijing in exchange for Chinese assistance,” he told AFP.

One demand from Beijing will be speeding up elections the junta has promised to hold, said Tower — polls China’s foreign minister announced Beijing’s backing for in August.

Opponents of the polls say they will be neither free nor fair while clashes continues across the country and with most of the popular political parties banned.


The marble ‘living Buddhas’ trapped by Myanmar’s civil war



By AFP
November 4, 2024

Moving marble across areas divided by Myanmar's civil war has become an expensive, difficult and dangerous mission, leaving artisans without raw material
 - Copyright AFP Sai Aung MAIN

Lynn MYAT

Sculptor Aung Naing Lin has spent decades carving Buddha statues to help guide Myanmar’s faithful — but getting the marble he needs from rebel-held quarries in the midst of civil war is now a perilous task.

Buddhist-majority Myanmar has been mired in bloody conflict since the military toppled the government of Aung San Suu Kyi in 2021, terminating a 10-year experiment with democracy and sparking a widespread armed uprising.

In recent months, opponents of the military have advanced with rocket and drone attacks on Mandalay — the country’s second-biggest city, with a population of 1.5 million.

The rebels have also seized the hillside quarries that have for generations provided the marble that adorns Mandalay’s palaces and monasteries, as well as the shrines in ordinary homes.

Now, moving the precious stone and roughly carved statues by truck across the divide of the civil war, from rebel to junta-held territory, is expensive, difficult and dangerous.

“The situation around the Madaya township (where the quarries are located) is not very good,” Aung Naing Lin told AFP at his noisy workshop in Mandalay, his face and hair speckled with white dust.

“It is not easy to go, and we cannot bring the stones back.”

Surrounded by dozens of blank-faced Buddha statues waiting to be given eyes, ears and lips, Min Min Soe agreed.

“Sales are not that bad, but the challenge is bringing the statues here,” he said.

“We can sell only the statues we have here and we cannot bring new raw statues in.”

The owner of another workshop, who did not want to be named, said associates of his were recently arrested when taking a shipment of marble from rebel-held Madaya.

“They were detained by the local military column and were asked how they brought the stones out from the village as that area was controlled by the PDF,” they said.

“People’s Defence Forces” are units made up of former students, farmers and workers who have left their lives behind to take up arms and oppose the junta’s coup.

There are dozens of PDFs across the country, and they have dragged the junta into a bloody stalemate.

The junta has designated them as “terrorists”, and contact with them can bring years in prison.

“Later, they released the people who had been detained and gave the stones back,” the workshop owner said.

“It’s like a warning to all. We dare not to bring stones from the village under this situation.”


– Madaya quarries –


The quarries of Madaya have long been interwoven with the cultural and religious history of Myanmar.

In the 1860s, following two disastrous wars with the British, then-king Mindon commissioned craftsmen in Mandalay to transfer Buddhist scriptures from palm leaf manuscripts onto 720 blocks of solid marble to ensure they survived any further destruction.

The stone also resonates with the military that has ruled Myanmar for much of its history since independence from Britain in 1948.

In 2020, it sanctioned the building of a 25-metre (82-foot) high statue of the Buddha made from Madaya marble to adorn its custom-built capital Naypyidaw.

Junta chief Min Aung Hlaing declared the statue finished last year and a visit has since become a stock feature of the itineraries of the few foreign delegations that visit the isolated junta.


– ‘Living Buddhas’ –



While the fighting continues north of Mandalay, Min Min Soe and others work to put the finishing touches on the dozens of roughly hewn statues.

Their forefathers used chisels, but nowadays, craftsmen use drills to etch everything from Buddha’s face, the folds in his robe, fingernails and the lotus flower he sits on.

The laborious final stages of smoothing the rough edges are done by women using sandpaper, said Min Min Soe.

“Women are better at this as they are more patient,” he said.

A finished statue around 25 centimetres (10 inches) high fetches between 100,000 – 200,000 Myanmar kyat ($50-$100 at the official exchange rate), he said.

Outside one of the workshops on the busy street, workers packed a sitting Buddha statue into a wooden protective frame before shipping it off to a customer.

Min Min Soe says looking after the dozens of his creations still in stock helps him find his own peace amid rumours of an attack on Mandalay.

He considers them “living Buddhas”.

“I clean the statues at 4 am every day… This is not only for my business but also to gain merit,” he said.

“I want them to be clean and good-looking no matter if they are sold or not.”

Fake X accounts promote COP hosts UAE, Azerbaijan

By AFP
November 4, 2024

The disinformation efforts come as the UAE and Azerbaijan were chosen to host the COP28 climate change summit last year and forthcoming COP29 slated to kick off on November 11 in Baku - Copyright AFP/File Eva HAMBACH

Théo MARIE-COURTOIS, Claire-Line NASS

The social media platform X has for months been aflush with praise for United Arab Emirates and Azerbaijan in posts shared by hundreds of profiles — and all found to be fake.

Analysed by AFP over several days, the large-scale operation, powered by artificial intelligence, points to a sophisticated, coordinated influence campaign not unlike those carried out by Russia in recent years — though its instigator and objectives remain unclear.

“French people, (if you are) disappointed and weary of endless debate, it is time to think about an alternative, such as the United Arab Emirates, where business conditions are really attractive,” one sham account wrote.

It is part of a network of more than 2,300 active accounts in a dozen languages, including English, French and German, according to the collective Antibot4Navalny which monitors influence operations on X and teamed up with SourcesOuvertes to identify the campaign. Some boast up to a few hundred followers.

To accrue visibility and credibility, the bogus profiles comment on posts by mainstream media, local news organisations, and influential accounts.

While they discuss a breadth of topics, what they have in common is their fervent acclaim for the UAE and Azerbaijan, and particularly their flourishing economies.

The profiles also agree on a “desire to change elected officials, established institutions and status quo” in the West, with the Emirati model depicted as “the most successful alternative”, said Antibot4Navalny in a series of posts published on X last week.

Some convey political messages, such as “Nagorno-Karabakh is part of Azerbaijan”, and Baku “has the right to claim its occupied territories”, referring to the sovereignty conflict over the disputed region, while others support Azeri athletes.

Former Soviet republics Azerbaijan and Armenia have seen decades of war and tension over the breakaway ethnic Armenian province, recognised as part of Azerbaijan.

The international community has been ramping up pressure for an agreement between the neighbours before the COP29 summit later this month.

– COP hosts –

The disinformation efforts come as the UAE and Azerbaijan were chosen to host the COP28 climate change summit last year and forthcoming COP29 slated to kick off on November 11 in Baku.

While environmental protection NGOs have criticised the decision to have the oil-rich nations organise the conferences, the accounts have gloated over the initiative.

Nothing new under the sun. Shortly before the launch of COP28 in Dubai last year, dozens of false users cropped up and exuded a refreshing optimism about the role of the Gulf state in promoting climate action.

Now with COP29 around the corner, a wave of hundreds of accounts promoting its Azeri host has washed over the social platform, Northwestern University in Qatar Associate Professor Marc Owen Jones has found.

Yet this time, the tactic is more insidious — boasting more elaborate profiles that claim varied “interests” and credentials ranging from “farmer” and “environmental activist” to “football fan”.

The goal of the campaign “is to legitimise the account, so that it can be picked up by potentially real people, who have an audience and a sounding board”, said Christine Dugoin-Clement, researcher at IAE Paris-Sorbonne.

– ‘Recurrent themes’ –

To seem more “real”, the profiles also tailor the content they publish to the target country — for France, some bots openly slam President Emmanuel Macron’s policies or react to statements by political figures. The posts also target Spain and Germany.

Emirati authorities did not immediately respond to an AFP request for comment.

While its impact is difficult to measure, the suspicious activity grabbed the attention of French authorities, security sources told AFP.

They reported that “the modus operandi in use requires significant financial means that simultaneously allow for the management of numerous accounts, the adaptation of posts to targeted content and countries, as well as the adoption of behaviours to get past the X platform’s moderation policy”, one source said.

Yet clues suggest the posts are not authentic.

Not only did the analysed accounts become active over the summer, despite having been created months earlier, but they also discussed “recurrent themes, some of which appear across multiple languages”, Antibot4Navalny told AFP.

Many used AI-generated images and the same account often reused the same phrases. Words out of place or in another language, such as Chinese characters in a message in French, sometimes slipped through the cracks.

Using AI “reduces the entry cost of this type of operation”, said Dugoin-Clement.

In November 2023, Viginum, a French government agency set up to detect digital disinformation campaigns, linked a campaign to smear the 2024 Paris Olympics to Azerbaijan.


Amid devastating floods in Spain, activists rally against Shell’s record profits

2 November, 2024
LEFT FOOT FORWARD 

‘It’s time for Shell to pay up’



Devastating floods in the Valencia region of Spain have claimed at least 155 lives this week. Scientists are pointing to climate change as a major factor exacerbating the disaster.

“No doubt about it, these explosive downpours were intensified by climate change,” said Dr Friederike Otto from Imperial College London, who leads an international group of scientists who try to understand the role that global warming plays in these type of events.

Amid harrowing images of the flooding in Spain, news broke of Shell’s $6 billion profits for the third quarter, surpassing forecasts by 12 percent.

On October 31, activists gathered outside Shell’s headquarters in London in protest of the fuel giant’s quarterly profit announcement. Armed with banners reading ‘Make polluters pay,’ and ‘Shell stop sucking the life out of us,” a range of speakers addressed the crowd, including Mitzi Jonelle Tan, a high-profile climate justice activist from the Philippines.

The campaigners are calling on Shell to pay up for what they describe as the “devastation caused to communities by their oil extraction and operations,” and are urging for funding for a “rapid, just transition away from fossil fuels.”

Joanna Warrington, spokesperson for Fossil Free London, which organised the event, said they are “seriously scared of the destruction Shell is causing.”

“From the communities in the Niger Delta whose water has been poisoned by Shell’s operations, to flash floods in Spain which are happening right now due to climate change, it’s time for Shell to pay up.”

The protest ended the ‘Make Polluters Pay’ week of action, which included climate workshops and a campaign on social media highlighting Shell’s excessive profits. Activists encouraged the public to contact their MPs, pushing for a government commitment to levy taxes on polluters to fund a loss and damage fund.

“The climate crisis is here. Spain is flooding and people are dying whilst Shell makes £4.6 billion in profits. How is this fair? The fossil fuel industry needs to pay up for the damage they have caused,” the activists posted on X.

Image credit – X screen grab Make Polluters Pay

Behind the huge loss of life in Valencia

The death toll from floods in Spain has now risen to over 150 people. Scientists observe that the climate crisis is making rainstorms of this kind more extreme and more frequent, and Greenpeace Spain are demanding that fossil fuel companies should pay for the damage wrought. However, the loss of life suffered in the eastern region of Valencia may also be the product of short-term posturing by right wing politicians. Sue Lukes reports.

All eyes are on Valencia, the Spanish region where over 150 people have died in the flash flooding on 29th October 2024. Were they killed by the floods? Or by corrupt governments, climate denial and the far right? 

Valencia has been plagued by corruption for decades. For over 20 years, the Partido Popular was in power, and Valencia was the focus of many corruption investigations and trials: the Gurtel plot, the BrigalTerra MiticaValmorImelsa cases among others.

Almost all the region’s PP presidents were named or charged in them. Some 130 PP officials faced court proceedings.  In 2018 the electorate had enough and a new regional government formed by PSOE, the Spanish Socialist Party, and Compromis, took office, facing debts of €5,400m caused by waste on megaprojects, some associated with the corruption. 

But in May 2023, the PP got back into power in Valencia, this time in alliance with VOX, the far right party, known for its policies and statements demonising migrants, feminists, LGBT people, and its hostility to government expenditure on welfare and infrastructure and those in favour of devolution or autonomy within the Spanish state. It dismisses action on climate change as “the green religion” and voted against the Spanish law on it in 2021.

Four months after taking power, the new Valencia regional PP/Vox government passed an emergency decree closing down the Valencia Emergencies Unit that had been created by the PSOE government before it to ensure a rapid regional response to emergencies. On November 29th 2023, the Valencian PP tweeted proudly that it was the “first organisation created by Ximo Puig (former PSOE president) closed down by Carlos Mazon (current PP president).” 

The PP and Vox had demanded the Unit be shut down before it was even set up, calling it a “chiringuito” (a beach bar, so a vanity project) of the Socialist government. Once they got into government, Vox was given the post of Minister of Justice, and so the fate of the Unit, which was within that ministry, was sealed. 

The Spanish weather service issued a red alert at 7:04 on October 29th, saying the danger from floods was such that people should only travel if strictly necessary. But with no coordinated regional response to the emergency, the Valencian government activated its flood emergency plan only at 19:30, after the River Magro had already burst its banks and several towns were already flooded and people trapped.

Local employers also ignored the weather report and insisted that people stay in their workplace, which ensured that many were travelling home as the worst floods hit.  The Valencia government sent out a general alert via mobile phones to the whole population only at 20:12, by which time many were already trapped, and, as we now know, scores of people died in the floods. 

Sue Lukes was an Islington Labour Councillor from 2018 to 2022 and is a writer and consultant on migration issues.

Image: Cars lay scattered and piled on top of each other after a mudslide in Valencia today. (APpic)     

https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/world/2024/10/30/flooding-kills-51-in-spains-valencia-region/ Licence: Attribution 4.0 International CC BY 4.0

REST IN POWER

John Rose: an inspiration for revolutionaries

John’s greatest contributions to the struggle were to the fight for a free Palestine


John Rose

By Ken Muller
Saturday 02 November 2024
SOCIALIST WORKER Issue
Obituaries


John Rose’s death this week is a huge and cruel loss to his family, friends, comrades and all who hope and struggle for a better world. But his life—and the outstanding contributions he made to understanding the obstacles to winning such a world and how to overcome them—are an inspiration.

John was born into a Jewish family in Harrogate and grew up as a Zionist. In 1966 he started at the London School of Economics (LSE) and joined the LSE Socialist Society. Shortly afterwards, he met Tony Cliff, the Jewish revolutionary and founder of the International Socialist tradition

After hearing Cliff and the South African revolutionary Ronnie Kasrils speak at a teach-in on Israel’s Six Day War, John learned a profound lesson. “During those six days I learned that Zionism and Jewish humanism were incompatible. I never looked back,” he later recalled.

It took great courage to withstand the pressure of family ideology and break with Zionism. After intense discussions with Cliff, John joined the predecessor of the Socialist Workers Party, the International Socialists (IS).

John played a leading role in the battles fought out at the LSE against the Vietnam War and apartheid in South Africa and Zimbabwe, then known as Rhodesia.

Kasrils had recruited John, along with other LSE IS students and some Communist Party worker members, to go to South Africa. He put his life and liberty in jeopardy when he went to South Africa on behalf of the African National Congress (ANC). He carried leaflets against the apartheid regime and explosives which would scatter the leaflets far and wide in public places.

If caught, John would have got ten years in jail. His immense modesty is witnessed by the fact that for decades he never told even his closest friends. Indeed, during the ten years we shared a flat together in Kentish Town in the 1980s, he never once mentioned it to me.

After leaving the LSE, John became west London IS organiser. He was later central to organising against the fascist National Front (NF) following the racist killing of Gurdip Singh Chagger in the summer of 1976 and the police murder of Blair Peach in Southall 1979.

John joined Socialist Worker as a journalist in 1978. Two years later, he succeeded Cliff as editor and was elected to the Central Committee, the national leadership of the SWP. In 1982 he left full-time work for the SWP.

He went on to work for many years at Southwark College organising strikes and on several occasions walkouts against the 2003 Iraq war.

John’s greatest contributions to the struggle were to the fight for a free Palestine and the Jewish question. Sadly, in the last part of his life, he had to follow this from his bed in a care home following a stroke early in 2022.

His 1986 pamphlet, Israel: the Hijack State named Israel a terrorist state and pointed to Egypt’s working class as key to a socialist revolution across the region. His unconditional defence of the Palestinians’ right to resist played a key role in winning a generation of Egyptian activists to socialist politics.

It helped to sow the seeds for the foundation of a new revolutionary socialist movement in Egypt in the 1990s. John’s arguments also reached wider audiences in the Arab world through translations of some of his key works, such as The Myths of Zionism.

John was a pioneer when it came to the issue of Zionism and the Jewish question. Like most post-war Jewish students, he’d been brought up to believe Israel was a necessary haven if Jews were to avoid another Holocaust. But he quickly took on board Cliff’s rejection of Zionism as the remedy for antisemitism.

He was also an innovator when it came to the broader question of identifying who were the Jewish people. Were they a race, a religion, or, in revolutionary Abram Leon’s words, a “people-class”? How could one account for their survival from ancient times to the modern world? Wasn’t socialism the real answer to antisemitism, as the brief heroic experience of workers’ democracy in the Russian Revolution demonstrated?

John remained passionately committed to the struggle for workers’ power throughout his life and continued to break new intellectual ground until a few years before his death. His last major writing was his forthcoming book. It analyses the successes and failures of independent workers’ movements in the struggles to overthrow tyrannies in Poland, South Africa, Iran and Brazil. Like all his work, it was resonant with the voices of ordinary people fighting to change the world.

As Jim Nichol reflected yesterday, “John was his own man. There was no telling him what to do or think. He queried and interrogated political ideas and strategy wherever they came from. He was thoughtful. He would voice his opinions.”

Like all his family and close friends and comrades, I’m going to miss John enormously.

But he will have expected us to continue the struggle—to mourn, maybe, but then to organise. Our love, solidarity and best wishes go to John’s partner and comrade, Elaheh and the rest of their family.

Thank you to other comrades who have contributed to this obituary.
Debates in the Palestine movement over the US presidential election

Three Palestine activists spoke to Thomas Foster about the US presidential election on Tuesday


A Palestine protest at Columbia university earlier this year (Picture: Columbia SJP)

Monday 04 November 2024
 SOCIALIST WORKER Issue


The Democrats’ support for Israel’s genocide has pushed hundreds of thousands of voters away from the party in the United States presidential election.

“I can’t stand the genocide in Gaza and can’t vote for either candidate,” Annon, a campaigner in Portland in Oregon, told Socialist Worker.

“Both seem to have no sympathies for Palestinians or admit it’s a genocide. Where does that leave someone who wants peace and to end US imperialism?

“I have friends who say that, if we don’t vote for Kamala Harris, we will lose our rights. But what about the Palestinians?”

Annon says he will vote for Green party candidate Jill Stein “because at least they propose peace”. “If the Green party got 5 percent of the vote, it would entitle them to government funding and make them more viable,” he said.

The leadership of the uncommitted movement, which mobilised more than 700,000 to vote “uncommitted” in Democratic party primaries, announced it won’t endorse Harris.

But the leadership went on to say that they’re “not recommending a third-party vote in the presidential election”. Instead, they “urge uncommitted voters to register anti-Trump votes and vote up and down the ballot”.

“Our focus remains on building this anti-war coalition, both inside and outside the Democratic party,” they said.

But many activists argue the focus should be on grassroots organising.

Nathaniel, a student at a community college in Arizona, was involved in the Palestine encampments. He said the encampments “were a good start” as they were “a militant movement in the fight against universities being complicit with Israel’s project”.

“Many student activists have argued to not vote for the Democrats and instead fight,” he told Socialist Worker.

Annon is wary about the Democratic leadership pacifying that fight back. “When Barack Obama came in, he said he was going to end wars,” he argued. “He didn’t, but the peace movement virtually disappeared under the guise of you can’t embarrass Obama.

“If Harris wins, there will be pressure on the Palestine movement to stop.”

That’s why Mike, a teacher in Michigan, said it’s “important to keep up the pressure” whoever wins. “It was great there were protests at the Democratic convention,” he told Socialist Worker. “We should have protests whenever Harris or her proxies speak.”

He thought it was necessary to “remind people that we have not gone away or will forget the Democrats’ support for genocide in Palestine”.

Nathaniel criticises sections of the Palestine movement that have “submitted to the Democratic party, which leads to a downgrading of radical aims and that’s a problem”. “Some have put out a statement saying they can’t endorse Harris because she’s perpetuating genocide but we can’t let Trump win either,” he said.

“It’s surely implying a vote for Harris. But we need more people to be militantly against both.

“Some adopt the strategy of voting Democrats in the here and now and creating a left wing alternative after the election. But that only gives more power to the two party system—it’s a flawed strategy.”

Mike thought that “there is a difference between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump”. “It’s a mistake to say there’s none,” he said. “But there’s no fundamental difference in terms of what class interest they represent—they are both pro-war and pro-corporate candidates.”

He argues, “The left shouldn’t call for a vote for Harris. But in the absence of a viable left alternative, it shouldn’t make a big thing out of not voting for her”.

“Overall, Trump’s political project is authoritarian and a dream of minimal protections for workers and the environment”. And he said Trump’s policies are “a shopping list of fantasies of the far right”.

Mike also argued that “whoever wins the election, we need to mobilise”. “If Harris wins, we need to push over Palestine,” he said. “If Trump wins, we need to organise resistance. It will be activists that are key to this.”

He saw hope in the uncommitted movement, which “got significant votes and organised around specific issues”. “It was a genuine left challenge to the Democrats,” he said. “I think the holy grail of a viable left is more likely to come out of the uncommitted movement than the labour movement, which is very top down.”

Nathaniel argued for an alternative focused on struggles outside of elections, saying, “Political power is found in social struggles, not just the ballot box.

“We need to completely break with the Democrats. We need a party that unites the labour, student and social movements together and builds on the fight of workers.”

We are publishing articles every day in the run up to the US presidential election. Stay up to date at US elections 2024
August Nimtz on the US election, picket lines and barricades

August Nimtz, Professor of Political Science and African American and African Studies at the University of Minnesota, spoke to Judy Cox





Saturday 02 November 2024
SOCIALIST WORKER Issue



August Nimtz

What was your first experience of voting?

It was the 1964 presidential election was between Republican Barry Goldwater and Democrat Lyndon B Johnson. It was my first opportunity to vote. I had just turned 21 which was the voting age then. I was at grad school in Washington DC, but I went back to New Orleans, where my family was.

I tried to register to vote. It was seen as so important because everyone said that if Goldwater became president, he would start a nuclear war. The Civil Rights movement suspended their protests.

Back in high school in 1955-56, I helped my teachers register black people to vote. I knew all about the ways they tried to stop people who look like me from voting. So I had attended workshops, I had registered, I filled in the long and arduous form and I turned it over to the “Good Old Boy”.

Well, he looked me up and down, and he looked at my form. And he said, “You didn’t fill this part in.” I said, “It’s not relevant to me,” and he said, “But you have to draw a line through it. Take it away, draw the line and come back in two weeks.”

I had to go back to college, so I never did get to vote. But that was the first “Vote for Lesser Evil” election I remember. Four years later, in 1968 I was able to vote. What was the difference between 1964 and 1968? The people had been out on the streets. I was able to vote because a mass mobilisation on the streets made it possible.

There’s an election coming next week. What are your thoughts on the choice of Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?

The most important vote taking place in the next few days is the vote of the Boeing strikers on whether to accept a new offer. That vote could have enormous consequences for the labour movement.

A prominent union like that winning a strike could have a domino effect. The labour movement has been on the move for the last few years, with more people trying to form unions and get organised.

On the presidential election, many of my students have lots of anxiety. There is the temptation, the constant enticement, to vote for the lesser of two evils. I understand that. I tell them, you are in good company. In 1849, Karl Marx and Frederick Engels argued for a vote for the lesser of two evils. They thought the workers’ movement wasn’t strong enough to stand its own candidates. They argued to vote for the liberals.

A year later they rethought their position. They had to go through the experience. They thought the liberals would bring in a republic, but they were too cowardly. In March 1850, Marx and Engels published an address in which they criticised their earlier position.

They said it was a mistake to suspend the Communist League and merge with the liberals. In elections, you have to stand your own candidates, even if you have no chance of winning. The advantages in standing are that you can put forward your ideas, educate people and recruit them. And you can test the strength of your support. The disadvantages are that you can split the vote. But the advantages are more important.

What I tell my liberal friends is that we can’t keep kicking the can down the road. That can’t be our legacy. It is not too late. Can we build a working class party that takes a stand on key issues like immigration?

What do you say to those who feel they have to vote for Harris?

Did the election of Barack Obama qualitatively advance the interests of the working class in all its skin colours?

The Democrat appeal is falling so they resort to scare stories about how horrible Trump is. But lesser evilism is all about what we don’t want, not what we do want.

The lesson of my life is that mass movements bring change—and that’s the lesson of history. Real change doesn’t come at the ballot box—it comes on the streets, on the picket lines, on the barricades and sometimes on the battlefields.


US activists debate whether to vote Democrat

In 1857, they tried to settle the slavery question with a court ruling. In 1860, the side that lost the election ceded from the US itself. In 1861, at his inauguration, president Abraham Lincoln tried a constitutional settlement. But the slave owners fired on Fort Sumter. Lincoln even offered to compensate the slave owners. But the only way they settled slavery was on the battlefield.

Now we have to talk about ending that other form of slavery—wage slavery. And we will only end that on the streets, on the picket lines, on the barricades. Working class people will have to take political power to settle that question.

“We have more opportunities now than ever before. We are far more integrated now, in ways those who went before us could only have dreamed of. There is a deep crisis in capitalism coming. The Federal Reserve is just delaying that crisis. And crisis brings radicalisation in the working class.

But workers can radicalise to the right as well as the left. I am optimistic, but we need to get our act together.
UK
Protesters rage at Labour’s denial of Israel’s genocide

The national demonstration marched on the US embassy in south London on Saturday


People staged a die-in outside Downing Street on the London Palestine march
 (Picture: Guy Smallman)

By Thomas Foster
Saturday 02 November 2024    
SOCIALIST WORKER Issue


Around 100,000 Palestine protesters marched on the United States embassy in south London on Saturday.

The national demonstration marked the anniversary of the Balfour Declaration of 1917. It saw British imperialism formally back Zionist colonists who wanted to found a Jewish state on Palestinian land.

Jim, who travelled from Bedfordshire to protest, said that the Palestine movement of the last year “has opened people’s eyes to the history of Palestine”. “I’ve learnt how severe the colonialism of Israel is and how extreme the settlers are,” he told Socialist Worker.

“They will do anything to get their way, including murder and ethnic cleansing. Israel wants to destroy anyone who it sees as an enemy and drag the US into the conflict.

“I think they want to take over all of Palestine and destroy Gaza. The ultimate aim is to use force and war to achieve domination of the region.”

Mary, a lawyer who specialises in international law, told Socialist Worker, “Israel doesn’t want peace. The Zionist “dream is for an enlarged Israel that includes parts of Lebanon and other neighbouring countries”, she said.

She defended the Palestinian right to resist under law, saying, “When your land is stolen, you have the right to defend it and take it back.”

“That’s clear in international law,” she explained. “The Palestinians were there before, they are the indigenous people.

“The Israelis have stolen their land and Palestinians are justified to fight to get back their land and homes. They should resist however they want to. They are losing everything otherwise.”

Many marchers were furious with Labour foreign secretary David Lammy who denied Israel’s genocide of Palestinians in the House of Commons last week.

Quincy from east London attacked prime minister Keir Starmer for “saying there’s no money to fix our broken public services but increasing military spending as one of his first acts”.

“Keir Starmer seems practically the same as the Tories and he won’t bring sweeping reform,” he told Socialist Worker. “He’s just as bad as the rest of them.”

Lisa, from Worcester, slammed the Democratic administration in the US. “The US could stop it today—all the US has to do is say no more weapons,” she told Socialist Worker.

“The US arms industry doesn’t want it to stop because it makes money from the arms deals”.

Lisa added that the source of hope “is us, the people” as in “many cities around the world people are standing with Palestine”. She said that change will come through “the people pushing up, not it trickling down”.

“It’s ordinary people that will make the difference. Time and time again it’s the same story.”

After more than 12 months of Israeli’s genocide, the mass march showed the resilience of the Palestine movement.

Jehan was carrying a Boycott, Divestment and Sanction banner on the demonstration. “Palestinians are calling on us to boycott Israel as a colonial outpost of the West and a genocidal state,” she told Socialist Worker.

“I think BDS can make an impact on Israel’s economy. Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu described it as a strategic threat. Israel knows it impacts them. If Israel doesn’t have the funds or backing to commit genocide, then it wouldn’t happen.”

Jehan argued that activists must “fight for companies and pension funds to divest”. “We have to isolate Israel on the global stage. We need to make companies realise it won’t pay to be associated with Israel,” she said.

Protesters marched from Whitehall along the Thames River to the US embassy. Ben Jamal, Palestine Solidarity Campaign (PSC) director, said, “The anniversary of the Balfour declaration reminds us of the depths and length of British complicity with these rights violations.

“Every Palestinian knows who Balfour was and every Palestinian knows of the guilt of Keir Starmer’s government in aiding and abetting the current genocide against them.”

In Britain, we need to build a movement that forces the British state to break its links with Israel—and, as a first step, stop all arms sales.

“If we are rose up here, we could make a difference,” said Quincy. “We need to bring social unrest and economic upheaval.”

The workplace day of action on Thursday 28 November is an opportunity to deepen the movement and build resistance under Starmer’s government. Go to Stop The War for more on the day of action
Baku—centre of fossil fuel capitalism and revolution

The history of the Cop29 climate talks’ host city shows the power to bring real change.


The Congress of the Peoples of the East in Baku in 1920 brought together revolutionaries from across the Global South (pic: Wikimedia commons).


By Martin Empson
Monday 04 November 2024   
SOCIALIST WORKER Issue


Many will despair as yet another round of Cop29 climate talks take place in a centre of oil and gas production, Baku in Azerbaijan.

But Baku has another history—one of struggle against colonialism, imperialism and capitalism itself.

Oil has been produced here from ancient times. At around 1300, Marco Polo wrote about oil “in such abundance that a hundred ships” could load simultaneously. He said, “This oil is not good to eat, but it is good for burning.”

Baku became a birthplace of fossil fuel capitalism. By 1901 Baku and the surrounding region supplied more than half the world’s crude oil.

Azerbaijan’s oil profits massively enriched a small handful of capitalists. But the oil couldn’t be extracted without workers. In December 1904 a citywide general strike shut the oil industry. Mass workers’ strikes spilled over into revolution in 1905.

Despite the defeat of this revolution, Baku’s oil workers remained strong. Revolutionaries from Vladimir Lenin’s Bolshevik party were central to these struggles.

The Bolsheviks fought to overcome differences between groups of workers from different ethnic backgrounds and religions.

Baku became a powerhouse of the 1917 Russian Revolution. But the divisions between ethnic and religious groups fostered under the Russian Empire meant that there was also vicious violence.

The revolution’s eventual victory saw the nationalisation of the oil industry.

Companies such as Royal Dutch Shell, Standard Oil and Anglo-Persian Oil—later BP—lost everything. In May 1918 Azerbaijan declared independence, freeing itself from what Lenin called “the prison house of nations”.

To regain the oil, and stop their enemies getting it, 40,000 British troops invaded Azerbaijan in 1918.

One British soldier wrote home, “We are not here to put down Bolshevism, but to guard British capital sunk in the oil fields.”

By 1920 the British withdrew and their puppet government collapsed, bringing the region back under the control of the revolution. The oil wealth was back in the hands of the people.

In November 1922, Arseny Avraamov’s Symphony of Factory Sirens—which used factory sirens, ship horns, train whistles and an enormous choir—was performed in Baku.

In September 1920 an event took place in Baku that should inspire us today.

The Bolsheviks called The Congress of the Peoples of the East to bring together anti-colonial activists and representatives of the newly-founded Communist International. The Bolsheviks hoped that workers’ revolution would inspire anti-colonial movements worldwide.

Almost 2,000 people gathered from across the Caucasus, the Middle East and Europe, with delegations coming from as far away as Korea and India.

There were hundreds of representatives of smaller national groups, such as the Uzbeks, Bashkirs and Abkhazians. The closing “appeal” called on workers in the West to revolt.

“Workers of Britain, America, France, Italy, Japan, Germany and other countries! Listen to the voice of the representatives of the millions of the peoples of the East in revolt, who are telling you of their oath to rise up and help you in your fight.”

The Congress was a sharp retort to those Western socialists who considered these to be “backwards” countries that would need to go through capitalist development before a socialist revolution. The people of the East were leading the struggle.

Cop29 will again be filled with delegates aligned to fossil fuel corporations. The Cop talks won’t break from a capitalist system that puts profits first.

When we protest during Cop29 for a sustainable world, we should remember the region’s rich tradition of revolutionary struggle.
8 damning polling stats that show the new Tory leader won’t be able to revive the party

1 November, 2024 
LEFT FOOT FORWARD

The public haven't warmed to the Tories

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At the time of writing, we don’t know whether Robert Jenrick or Kemi Badenoch will be the next leader of the Conservative Party. But we do know they’ve got a mighty uphill struggle to turn around the party’s fortunes after its worst ever general election defeat.

New polling has firmly driven this home. The headline figures from YouGov’s latest poll on the Tory leadership election will make grim reading in Tory circles.

Here are the 8 key stats you need to know from the poll:


Keir Starmer has a 7 point lead over Kemi Badenoch on who would make the best prime minister. 27% of the public say Starmer, compared to 20% who say Badenoch.

Those figures are marginally worse for Robert Jenrick. 29% of the public say Starmer would be the better PM, compared to 21% wo say Jenrick.

Robert Jenrick has a -27% favourability rating. Just 13% of the public say they have a favourable opinion of him, compared to 40% who say they have an unfavourable one.

Kemi Badenoch’s favourability is worse, at -33%. Just 12% of the public say they have a favourable rating of her, compared to 45% who say they have a unfavourable one.

Just 16% of the public think Kemi Badenoch would make a good Conservative Party leader. That’s less than half of those who think she’d make a bad leader – 35%.

Robert Jenrick doesn’t get a ringing endorsement either, with only 17% of the public thinking he would make a good Conservative Party leader. 31% say he’d make a bad leader.

In spite of all this, it turns out the public don’t really care who wins. Just 19% of the public say they care a great deal or a fair amount about whether Robert Jenrick or Kemi Badenoch become the next Conservative Party leader. A whopping 71% of people say they don’t care very much or at all.

And the public think the Tories are irrelevant. Over half (51%) of the public say the Tories are not relevant to British politics at the moment, compared to just 35% who think they are relevant.


Chris Jarvis is head of strategy and development at Left Foot Forward



Tory leadership race: what does Kemi Badenoch’s victory show?

The Tory leadership race has pulled the party further to the right


Kemi Badenoch

By Camilla Royle
Saturday 02 November 2024    
 SOCIALIST WORKER Issue

Kemi Badenoch—a hard right “culture war” warrior—won the Tory leadership race with 53,806 votes compared to Robert Jenrick’s 41,388.

Badenoch has called for a defence of “British values” and a crack down on migration. She said, “We cannot be naive and assume immigrants will automatically abandon ancestral ethnic hostilities at the border, or that all cultures are equally valid. They are not.”

She wants to change the Equality Act to ban transgender women from “women and girls’ spaces”. And she has attacked transgender children, saying that she “fundamentally disagrees” that under 18 year olds can be trans.

Earlier this year Badenoch was forced to backtrack after suggesting that maternity pay is “excessive” and threatens small businesses. Her comments were part of a wider attack on regulations for the bosses.

The Tories are crowing that they have a black leader, unlike any of the other major parties. But this is no victory for black people.

When she was equalities minister Badenoch said it was against the law for schools to teach what she calls “Critical Race Theory”. She supported the Sewell report, which denied the existence of institutional racism in Britain.

Badenoch’s media strategy has involved keeping relatively quiet and allowing her rival to dig himself into a hole.

Jenrick has waded into the realm of far right politics earlier this week. He said he was “seriously concerned that facts may have been withheld” when the Southport murders suspect was charged with terror offences.

He talked about a “cover-up” by “liberal elites”—language usually associated with fascists and the right.

In the final round of Conservative Party leadership contests, the party membership gets to vote for the winner.

This is a small and dwindling rump of some of the worst people in British society. The party had around 172,000 members in 2022. In this leadership election they stated that there were 131,680 eligible voters.

Over 60 percent of Tory members in 2022 were over 55. This is true of just 26 percent of the general population. Some 97 percent of them classified themselves as White British and they tend to be richer than the average.

One study found that 77 percent of Tory members think that young people need to have more respect for British values. Over half support the death penalty in some cases. And 42 percent want censorship of films and magazines to uphold “moral standards”.


Badenoch and Braverman—what’s behind the rise of black reactionaries?
Read More


But, more than the views of the Tory membership, Badenoch’s victory is a symptom of the influence of the far right on mainstream politics.

The general election was a devastating defeat for the Tories. Reform UK got more than four million votes and came second in 98 seats—in many places beating the Conservative Party.

Since then, the Tory leadership candidates lurched rightwards in an effort to court racist voters. This is why, in a short and opaque victory speech, Badenoch alluded to a need to “reset our politics and our thinking” and to bring voters back to the party.

But the politics on offer from both candidates seems to be leaving most people cold. A YouGov poll published yesterday found that 40 percent of British people have an unfavourable view of Jenrick and 45 percent have an unfavourable view of Badenoch.

Only 13 percent and 12 percent of people said they like the respective candidates. Everyone else did not know. Conservative voters viewed both candidates more favourably. But the disapproval ratings were still 29 for Jenrick and 26 percent for Badenoch.

Even some Tories were disappointed with the embarrassing choice. Former Scottish Conservatives leader Ruth Davison said that both Jenrick and Badenoch were unsuited to be leader of the opposition because of their “personality types”. She expects more turmoil and potentially another leadership election in a couple of years.

It is tempting to think this leadership result will put the Tory party one step closer to the dustbin of history.

But the same YouGov poll showed a whopping 63 percent of people disapproved of Labour’s Keir Starmer.

The Tories think they can take on a weak Labour government. But we don’t have to be spectators to the mainstream parties’ crisis. We need to build the movement against racism—whether it comes from Reform, the Tories or Labour—and an alternative to pro-boss, anti-worker policies.