Friday, November 08, 2024

Capitalist Democracy Is a Sham! 

For Socialist Democracy!



 November 8, 2024
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Image by Mike Erskine.

[Adapted from Chapter 10 of Thinking Systematics: Critical-Dialectical Reasoning for a Perilous Age and A Case for Socialism (Fernwood Publishing, 2024) by Murray E.G. Smith and Tim Hayslip, https://fernwoodpublishing.ca/book/thinking-systematics]

“Vote for the candidate of your choice, but vote!” is a frequently invoked platitude at election time in Western liberal democracies, one often accompanied by the (non-sequitur) admonition: “If you don’t vote, you have no right to complain.” Arguably, the most important reason that the overlords of public opinion in Western societies care so ritualistically about “getting out the vote” is that low voter turnout may call into question the popular mandate of a government. It’s common knowledge, after all, that a party can form a government (either on its own or in coalition with others) with much less than 50 percent of the total vote if the latter is split among several parties.

In the US presidential elections of 2000 and 2016 and the Canadian federal elections of 2019 and 2021, the winners actually attracted fewer votes than their main electoral rivals (due respectively to the peculiarities of the US Electoral College process and the Canadian first-past-the-post parliamentary system). Low voter turnout compounds this problem by making it possible for a government to be formed by candidates/parties enjoying as little support as 20 percent (or less) of the electorate. In the wake of the British election of July 2024, for instance, Keir Starmer’s Labour Party was able to claim a huge majority of seats in the UK Parliament by winning just one fifth of the votes cast. The low voter turnout in that election has hardly gone unnoticed by the British people, who promptly decided Starmer’s new government is no less odious than the incumbent Conservative one and lacks any actual popular mandate. Opinion polls suggest that Starmer is now the most unpopular prime minister in living memory.

What’s at stake with voter turnout is nothing other than the perceived legitimacy of a government and its policies. Can it be said, with any degree of plausibility, that a particular government policy (for example, Starmer’s full-throttled support of Israel’s murderous assault on Gaza) reflects “the will of the people” if that government came to power with the backing of a relatively small segment of voting-age citizens? If a government pushing through a widely unpopular policy has received the support of just one-fifth of the electorate, doesn’t real democracy require that the policy in question be vigorously questioned and even actively opposed?

The perceived illegitimacy of a government, especially one that won an election with low voter turnout, would seem to create an important opportunity for large numbers of working people and youth to mobilize against its policies and to engage in acts of resistance. In other words, it presents an opportunity to politically engage a population that might otherwise remain passive, apathetic and paralyzed by the fiction that the government has a right to implement oppressive and harmful policies on the grounds that it has a “mandate from the people.” The active participation of large numbers of citizens in politics — in questioning, challenging and resisting contentious policies — is, however, the last thing that the guardians of the status quo want to encourage. Far better to get out the vote so that the electoral victor can claim a credible mandate to impose policies that will almost certainly conflict with the interests and views of the great majority of the population.

Radical critics of capitalist democracy sometimes counter the mainstream mantras with the slogan: “If elections could change anything they’d be illegal.” Of course, this is an overstatement in certain respects. Elections can result in new policies with significant impacts and alter the political climate markedly. All the same, elections alone can never pose a fundamental challenge to the existing social, economic and political arrangements. Early twentieth-century fears of elitist critics of democracy (like Vilfredo Pareto and Gaetano Mosca), as well as the hopes of some radical opponents of capitalism that a universal franchise would lead to the election of socialist governments and the eradication of class inequality, proved to be misplaced. Arguably, the universal franchise, over the long term, may even have had a conservatizing and stabilizing effect by creating illusions in a “parliamentary road” to social progress.

Over a century ago, the German sociologist Max Weber recognized that the formal participation of all adult citizens in the selection of a government confers legitimacy on the forms of domination imposed by it. From the standpoint of the ruling class, the most appealing thing about representative liberal democracy is that it allows real decision making to remain in the hands of a few privileged elites. Meanwhile, mass actions on behalf of majority interests can be portrayed as defying the mandate of “the duly elected government.”

In Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy (1942), the Austrian economist Joseph Schumpeter described democracy as “that institutional arrangement for arriving at political decisions in which individuals acquire the power to decide by means of a competitive struggle for the people’s vote.” In this commendably candid and quite realistic definition of capitalist liberal democracy, the ancient democratic ideal of “rule by the people” all but disappears, even as the principle of majority rule is vitiated by the reality of rule by a small circle of individuals who lay claim to the “consent of the majority.”

All in all, substantial grounds exist for viewing the various forms of representative democracy existing in capitalist societies as little more than a shell game: a choice between Tweedledum and Tweedledee. In good part, this is because the policy choices available to any party that comes to power through a conventional electoral process are necessarily severely constrained. Even if a government is formed by a political party rooted in the working class, and even if such a party is elected on the basis of a platform calling for a socialist planned economy under workers’ control (a platform that no mass-based party anywhere has advanced for decades), a gradual parliamentary transition to socialism is a highly unlikely prospect. The reasons are clear enough. First, if such a government remains faithful to playing by the rules of existing constitutions (which everywhere permit only exceedingly gradual change), the measures taken to bring about socialism would inevitably lead to capital flight, massive resistance from the “business community,” and a general disarray and even paralysis of the (still-capitalist) economy. Not only would the active agents of capital do everything in their power to block any incremental moves toward socialism, but the structural imperatives and dynamics of the economy would force any nominally socialist government committed to gradual reform to water down its program and adopt the role of “responsible” administrator of the capitalist order. This has been the fate of leftist parties whenever they’ve been able to form governments following a parliamentary electoral victory. Not surprisingly, then, the actual maximum goal of such parties, whether social-democratic or ostensibly communist, has been reduced to creating “a more humane and democratized capitalism.”

Yet even this seemingly modest goal has proven to be beyond the reach of governments formed by labour-based reformist parties or coalitions of the left. And the reason should be obvious: twenty-first-century global capitalism is irredeemably characterized by growing wealth and income inequalities, the accumulation of massive debt, lackluster profitability of productive capital, an explosive proliferation of what Karl Marx called “fictitious capital,” an inability to deal with the climate emergency, intensified suppression of basic democratic rights, and stepped-up preparations for a new world war. Given these objective circumstances, the prospects for any significant measure of progressive reform in even the richest capitalist nation-states have diminished drastically, as the putative “left wings” of various political establishments succumb to the ”logic” of austerity, militarism and “national security.”

The second reason any ostensibly left-progressive or socialist government committed to abiding by existing constitutional arrangements must fail in bringing about radical change is that it would necessarily preside over a pre-existing state apparatus — including an administrative bureaucracy, a judiciary, a standing army and a police force — that has been assiduously shaped to serve the interests of capital against labour. To the extent that any such government might make serious inroads into the power and prerogatives of the propertied classes it would almost certainly invite resistance and sabotage from entrenched branches of the state apparatus, above all from what Frederick Engels called its “armed body of men.”

When the Popular Unity government of Salvador Allende sought to nationalize foreign-owned multinational corporate holdings in Chile in the early 1970s (while leaving more than 90 percent of all other firms in private hands), the top officers of the Chilean military staged a brutal coup, murdering thousands of Chilean leftists and crushing the organized labour movement for a generation. Sadly, the lesson drawn by most electorally oriented “socialist” parties from this experience was not the need to abandon the chimera of a “peaceful, parliamentary road to socialism” and adopt a revolutionary program and strategy, but rather the need to further “moderate” their programs, to reassure the capitalist class of their willingness to act as responsible stewards of the existing order, and to discourage their supporters from pursuing any truly radical goals.

Liberal-democratic state forms are tolerated and even preferred by the ruling classes of capitalist societies — but only if they pose no serious threat to capitalism. Whenever capitalist interests become seriously imperiled, the “democratic” capitalists, whether of conservative or liberal hue, are fully prepared to resort to authoritarian methods to defend their property, power and dominance. They will back a Hitler (as in Germany), a Mussolini (Italy), a Salazar (Portugal), a Franco (Spain), a Suharto (Indonesia), a Marcos (Philippines) or a military junta (as in so many countries of the Global South) as the last line of defense of their class interests.

To be sure, for many decades after World War II, representative democracy was the preferred political form of governance in the wealthier and more stable capitalist countries. This was because such countries were able to afford the kinds of material concessions to their working populations that often flowed from a multi-party competition for the “people’s vote.” Historically, those concessions typically involved government social-welfare programs, such as improved public health care and education, unemployment relief and other forms of “social assistance.” The intended purpose of these policies was to politically stabilize societies exhibiting extreme forms of material inequality and attenuate class conflict. What’s more, it was understood by more far-sighted capitalists that, absent a multi-party system and some form of representative government, capitalist societies can veer toward extreme forms of plutocracy: undisguised rule by the wealthy. So, in a sense, representative government and the universal franchise serve to discipline the capitalist class to subordinate its short-term appetite for profit maximization to its longer-term interest in safeguarding social cohesion and perpetuating the existing social order.

Although these considerations still hold true to some extent today, the global conjuncture that opened with the Great Recession and financial crisis of 2007–09 marked a major turning point. The global economic malaise of the last fifteen years and the deepening instability of global capitalism have significantly eroded confidence in capitalist democracy amongst broad masses of working people in numerous countries, causing capitalist elites to view the curtailment of democratic liberties, repression of worker militancy, and militaristic adventurism as essential to the defense of their system going forward.

In the past, representative democracy was the preferred form of governance of capitalist elites for another important reason: it encourages the masses of people to identify with the state and to view the existing social order as just. Those lacking significant property or wealth in a capitalist society understand quite viscerally that “he who pays the piper calls the tune” and that economic clout is easily convertible into political influence and power. In the absence of representative democracy, it’s all too easy for the poor, the working class and even privileged middle-class groups to conclude that the state is essentially corrupt and serves only the wealthy. Historically, the presence of liberal-democratic institutions modified this perception to a significant extent. Working people were persuaded to believe that the state was funded by their tax dollars and that, as taxpayers with the right to vote, they could exercise at least some influence over government officials, even if those officials also remained beholden to various “special interests.” Representative democracy thus encouraged people to believe that political influence and power is plural and diffuse, not concentrated and class based. And this allowed the state to represent itself, with some plausibility, as a neutral mediator of competing interests in society — as an institutional power that stands above class divisions while promoting an overarching national interest.

This brings us to a third consideration. Democratic forms of rule in capitalist societies encourage the inculcation of nationalist ideology — the idea that what divides the population of a given country in terms of class, race, gender, age or religion is less important than the common “values” uniting it. Not only does nationalism divert working people from pursuing independent forms of political activity (especially of an explicitly anti-capitalist sort) and dissuade them from recognizing that their interests may actually converge with those of workers in far-off lands — it also makes it much easier to mobilize popular support for the foreign policy and military adventures of the ruling class.

Chest thumping about how “our democratic way of life is threatened by totalitarianism” proved to be an effective means to rally mass support for a hard line against Communism both at home and abroad during the Cold War of the last century. And today Western imperialist states are trying hard to convince their populations that their (increasingly farcical) “democracies” are under threat from the putative “autocracies” of China and Russia. With conflicts now intensifying between the Collective West (the US and its major allies) and the Global South, even many self-styled progressives, human-rights activists and “socialists” have lined up behind their own governments against China and Russia’s joint project of achieving a “multipolar world.” In doing so, however, this pro-establishment “left” is unwittingly building popular support for a catastrophic global military conflagration.

Although likely to be waged under the banners of democracy, human rights and “protecting national security,” the US-led Collective West’s true aims in the looming Third World War will be the neocolonial subjugation and fragmentation of China and Russia and the (re)consolidation of US “full-spectrum dominance,” while also settling accounts with Cuba, North Korea, Venezuela, Syria and Iran. To prevent such a global cataclysm, working people and youth need to mobilize on a program that recognizes that the ruling classes of the liberal democracies are not merely hypocrites when it comes to human rights, freedom and democracy, but also the guardians and chief beneficiaries of a world order that perpetuates the misery, oppression and exploitation of billions of people, including the vast majority of people living in the “democratic West.”

The fourth way that representative democracy has served capitalist interests historically is that it deflects attention away from the operations of a crisis-prone and exploitative economic system to the policies of particular political parties and governments. In capitalist societies, governments routinely take credit for prosperity and are just as routinely blamed for economic downturns. The illusion is created that the performance of a capitalist economy depends primarily on how well it is being administered by a particular governing party — a notion that ignores the simultaneous occurrence of recessions across several countries (regardless of the specific policies being pursued by their respective governing parties) and also exaggerates absurdly the ability of any government to effectively “administer” an economy dominated by the capitalist laws of value and profitability. Working people are urged to blame politicians for bad economic times rather than recognize that the endemic contradictions and irrationalities of the capitalist mode of production are the underlying causes of unemployment, economic insecurity, declining living standards, and chronic poverty.

To reiterate, however, representative forms of liberal governance are currently in deep crisis and losing their ability to pacify the masses and contain social unrest. One need only consider the 2020 social explosion in the US following the murder of George Floyd, the massive protests in 2023 against the Macron government in France, international mobilizations of workers and students against Israel’s genocidal assault on the Palestinian people in 2023-24, and massive strike waves in the US, Britain, Canada and other Western countries in response to rising living costs, above all the unaffordability of decent housing. From the point of view of capital and the governing elites, these developments demand the curtailment of such fundamental democratic liberties as the right to strike, to march in the streets and to freely express dissident views. Concurrently, from the point of view of the poorest 80 to 90 percent of the population in most Western countries, the prevailing forms of governance are increasingly seen as a thin facade for the naked rule of big capital. Given these circumstances, the long-standing “centre” of the political spectrum is plainly no longer holding, and new centrifugal forces are emerging, pointing to an eventual showdown between fascism and socialism.

genuinely democratic form of governance is simply impossible to envision within the class-antagonistic framework of capitalist society. Conversely, a vibrant system of democratic-socialist self-administration, based on “council democracy” and a socialized, post-capitalist economy, is easy to imagine (if not to achieve). In such a system, citizens would seek political influence through rational persuasion rather than through intimidation or privileged access to the mass media or policy makers. Voting wouldn’t be limited to general elections held every few years with the aim of legitimating the arbitrary decision-making powers of the party sufficiently well-funded, cunning or lucky enough to win election. Instead, citizens would exercise their right to vote through active participation in deliberative bodies (councils/assemblies) charged with addressing a range of issues and problems pertaining to economic and social planning. Active participation in workplace and community councils might even become a condition for casting a vote.

In such circumstances, might the ancient ideal of democracy — of rule by the people — be truly realized? Important historical experiences clearly suggest that working people can take the tasks of administering a socialized economy and a socialist polity into their own hands: the experience of productive cooperatives for over two hundred years; the system of workers’ control of production that existed during the first few years of the Russian Soviet Republic; the involvement of large numbers of workers in self-managing enterprises in the former Yugoslav Federation; the workplace and community councils operating in Cuba and Venezuela today. These and other historical precedents testify to the capacity of working people to exercise power in ways consistent not only with social solidarity and democratic decision making but also with improved productivity and efficiency. What’s more, twenty-first-century science and technology have created conditions and capacities that are objectively much more favourable to the flourishing of a socialist democracy than any that have existed in the past. As we have argued elsewhere: “The bureaucratic organisation of the production process is not at all a necessary by-product of labour-saving technological innovation. To the contrary, the displacement of living labour from production and the spread of automation, robotics, and digital technologies should undermine any purely ‘technicist’ rationale for bureaucratic relations of authority, while liberating the social time required for educating and involving the ‘associated producers’ in the management not only of workplaces but society as a whole.” (Murray Smith, Invisible Leviathan, 2019).

What needs to be emphasized, finally, is the decisive role that the great mass of citizens must play in democratically deciding the most important macroeconomic and social questions confronting a global socialist commonwealth, while also attending to matters of a more local nature. Debate and voting would revolve around the contending policy platforms of competing pro-socialist political parties, operating through a system of workplace, community, regional, national and international councils. Such a vibrant and multilayered socialist democracy would draw the masses of workers, consumers and youth into political life at every level, with a view to giving an increasingly well-informed and properly educated socialist citizenry the power to determine the evolving shape of a truly planetary egalitarian-socialist civilization.

Murray Smith is Professor Emeritus at Brock University, Canada. Some of his other writings are available at www.murraysmith.org. Tim Hayslip is a PhD student in sociology at York University, Canada.

Articles on Netanyahu’s Support of Hamas Before October 7 and on Israeli Women Soldiers’ Warnings of a Possible Hamas Attack Being Ignored



 November 8, 2024
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There are news stories that can be found in unexpected places that deserve much greater attention and should be frequently cited.

One such article was in the New York Times on December 10, 2023 under the title ‘Buying Quiet’: Inside the Israeli Plan That Propped Up Hamas. 

A second example was published by Hadassah, The Women’s Zionist Organization of America, whose president describes Zionism as “the national liberation movement of the Jewish people.” The July/August 2024 issue of Hadassah Magazine contains an article with the title “Ignored Until it was Too Late.” It covers how “repeated warnings [from female observer soldiers] about a potential Hamas infiltration” [prior to October 7] were “ignored?”

Readers of the New York Times article are informed that “For years, the Qatari government had been sending millions of dollars a month into the Gaza Strip—money that helped prop up the Hamas government there.” Furthermore, and of significance, “Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel not only tolerated those payments, he had encouraged them.” (emphasis added) These payments came to “billions of dollars over roughly a decade.” Additionally, the payments, “ostensibly a secret” were “widely known and discussed in the news media for years.”

Without this support, could Hamas have carried out the actions it undertook on October 7, 2023? According to the article, Netanyahu called any suggestion that he sought to empower Hamas “ridiculous.”

Much of what is covered in the story indicates otherwise.(1)

The article describes a trip to Qatar, just weeks before October 7, undertaken by the Mossad (the Israeli intelligence agency) chief, David Barnea, in which he was asked if Israel wanted the payments to Hamas to continue. Barnea is paraphrased answering “yes. The Israeli government still welcomed the money from Doha, [Qatar’s capital].”

The subheading of the New York Times article is “Prime Miniter Netanyahu gambled that a strong Hamas (but not too strong) would keep the peace and reduce pressure for a Palestinian state.” However, according to the report, “Even as the Israeli military obtained battle plans for a Hamas invasion and analysts observed significant terrorism exercises just over the border in Gaza, the payments continued.” (emphasis added)

The Qatar payments supposedly had “humanitarian goals…But Israeli intelligence officials now believe that the money had a role in the success of the Oct. 7 attacks” since they allowed for funds to be diverted “towards military operations.” And the Netanyahu government did not know this to be the case? Is hot sauce hot?

A motivation for allowing this support of Hamas is provided:

“As far back as December 2012, Mr. Netanyahu told the prominent Israeli journalist Dan Margalit that it was important to keep Hamas strong, as a counterweight to the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank. Mr. Margalit, in an interview, said that Mr. Netanyahu told him that having two strong rivals, including Hamas, would lessen pressure on him to negotiate toward a Palestinian state.”

The reporters continue, “The official in the prime minister’s office said Mr. Netanyahu never made this statement. But the prime minister would articulate this idea to others over the years.”

In fact, according to the article, in 2017, “Netanyahu even lobbied Washington on Qatar’s behalf…as Republicans pushed to impose financial sanctions on Qatar over its support for Hamas.”

This lobbying effort happened despite Netanyahu’s defense minister in 2016, Avigdor Lieberman, writing a “secret memo” to Netanyahu stating that, in the words of the New York Times reporters, “Hamas was slowly building its military abilities to attack Israel.”

The Israeli government’s support for Hamas clearly represents a typical imperialist divide and conqueror strategy. In this case, support one’s enemy, even one you view as calling for your elimination, to reduce the power of another enemy.

+++

The Israeli government’s support of Hamas has been reported elsewhere. The Times of Israel,  well before the New York Times article, on October 8, 2023, just after the Hamas attack, had a story with the headline  “For years, Netanyahu propped up Hamas. Now it’s blown up in our faces.”  Netanyahu’s “policy” treated “the terror group as a partner.” Why? From the article: “The idea was to prevent [Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud] Abbas…from advancing toward the establishment of a Palestinian state.” As a result, “Hamas became stronger.”

Israeli Government Advance Knowledge of The October 7 Attack

One of the key questions surrounding the Hamas attack on October 7 is whether the Israeli government knew about it in advance, and did not act to prevent it. The New York Times article asserts that Israeli leaders and “intelligence officers” assessed that Hamas “was neither interested in nor capable of a large-scale-attack” that this paper of record attributes to “intelligence failures and other faulty assumptions.” However, again, in the same New York Times report, the Israeli military had “obtained battle plans for a Hamas invasion and analysts observed significant terrorism exercises just over the border in Gaza.”

Details about that advance knowledge are provided in the Hadassah Magazine article. It profiles young women who were part of the Israel Defense Forces Combat Intelligence Corps working as observers who were “monitoring Israel’s border with Gaza” at a base located less than a mile from the border with Gaza.

They were trained in firearms usage. However, they were unarmed because in the past, some observers had committed suicide.

On October 7, many on the base were killed, including 15 unarmed female field observers. Seven were taken as captives.

Before October 7, the observers

“had informed their superiors repeatedly that Hamas appeared to be planning an attack that would likely involve breaking through the border fence…As early as May 2023…they witnessed part of a large-scale, all-day Hamas drill that likely served as preparation for the October 7 attack.”

One of the observers saw, as paraphrased by the reporter, “many Palestinians…approach the border fence with maps, examining the area and digging holes” only to be “told by her superiors they were farmers and not to worry.”

In the months before the attack, another observer described how the training went from once a week to almost nonstop and that it, as paraphrased, “included driving tanks and even crossing the border into Israel.”

When an Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) spokesperson was asked about the “observers’ warnings” not being “heeded,” this person replied, “Questions of this kind will be looked into at a later stage.”

Reasons provided in the article as to why the observers’ warnings were ignored include gender bias (sexism) in the Israel military and their low rank.(2) In the words of one observer:

“We were 18- and 19-year-old girls.  Even though we knew the whole area perfectly and could tell you about it in our sleep, we were not considered high enough ranked, so they did not listen. They liked to belittle us. It did not surprise me.”

Could there be other reasons not discussed in the article? Could there have been a desire for a Hamas attack to be used as an excuse for carrying out the subsequent destruction and mass murders to enable Israel to fully take over what remains of Palestinian territory in the Gaza Strip and West Bank? Is the war an attempt to complete the dreams of a greater Israel (that includes Southern Lebanon) held by some of the founders of Israel?(3)

Notes.

1.) A November 21, 2023 Politico article quotes former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert saying “In the last 15 years, Israel did everything to downgrade the Palestinian Authority and to boost Hamas. Gaza was on the brink of collapse because they had no resources, they had no money, and the PA refused to give Hamas any money. Bibi [Netanyahu] saved them. Bibi made a deal with Qatar and they started to move millions and millions of dollars to Gaza.”

Another Politico article points out: “Most incriminatingly, Netanyahu himself said in 2019 at a Likud party conference: “Anyone who wants to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state needs to support strengthening Hamas.””

2.) From the Haddasah article: Women in the IDF “constitute 45 percent of junior officer positions” that shrinks to about “20 percent at the lieutenant level” and declines further among senior officers.In other words, in general, women are not treated as equals within the IDF. Nevertheless, after October 7, “there has been a significant increase in women enlisting in combat units.” At the same time, the observers “still have no weapons and the hierarchy in the army has not changed.”

3.) Ben-Gurion is described in Wikipedia as “the primary national founderof the State of Israelas well as its first prime minister.” In “The Birth of Israel,” Pantheon Books, 1987, author Simha Flapan, who was a committed socialist Zionist (pg. 10), wrote on pg. 31 “Ben-Gurion had always viewed partition as the first step toward a Jewish state in the whole of Palestine, including Transjordan, the Golan Heights, and southern Lebanon.”

Rick Baum teaches Political Science at City College of San Francisco. He is a member of AFT 2121.

COP29 chief exec caught promoting fossil fuel deals

Justin Rowlatt
BBC climate editor


 Secret footage shows COP29's chief Elnur Soltanov discussing gas and oil deals

A senior official at COP29 climate change conference in Azerbaijan appears to have used his role to arrange a meeting to discuss potential fossil fuel deals, the BBC can report.

A secret recording shows the chief executive of Azerbaijan's COP29 team, Elnur Soltanov, discussing "investment opportunities" in the state oil and gas company with a man posing as a potential investor.

"We have a lot of gas fields that are to be developed," he says.

A former head of the UN body responsible for the climate talks told the BBC that Soltanov's actions were "completely unacceptable" and a "betrayal" of the COP process.
Reuters
Baku is hosting this year's COP29 United Nations Climate Change Conference


As well as being the chief executive of COP29, Soltanov is also the deputy energy minister of Azerbaijan and is on the board of Socar.

Azerbaijan's COP29 team has not responded to a request for comment.

Oil and gas accounts for about half of Azerbaijan's total economy and more than 90% of its exports, according to US figures.

COP29 will open in Baku on Monday and is the 29th annual UN climate summit, where governments discuss how to limit and prepare for climate change, and raise global ambition to tackle the issue.

However, this is the second year in a row the BBC has revealed alleged wrongdoing by the host government.

The BBC has been shown documents and secret video recordings made by the human rights organisation, Global Witness.

It is understood that one of its representatives approached the COP29 team posing as the head of a fictitious Hong Kong investment firm specialising in energy.

He said this company was interested in sponsoring the COP29 summit but wanted to discuss investment opportunities in Azerbaijan's state energy firm, Socar, in return. An online meeting with Soltanov was arranged.


Azerbaijan has rich oil and natural gas deposits


During the meeting, Soltanov told the potential sponsor that the aim of the conference was "solving the climate crisis" and "transitioning away from hydrocarbons in a just, orderly and equitable manner".

Anyone, he said, including oil and gas companies, "could come with solutions" because Azerbaijan’s "doors are open".

However, he said he was open to discussions about deals too – including on oil and gas.

Initially, Soltanov suggested the potential sponsor might be interested in investing in some of the "green transitioning projects" Socar was involved in - but then spoke of opportunities related to Azerbaijan's plans to increase gas production, including new pipeline infrastructure.

"There are a lot of joint ventures that could be established," Soltanov says on the recording. "Socar is trading oil and gas all over the world, including in Asia."

Soltanov then described natural gas as a "transitional fuel", adding: "We will have a certain amount of oil and natural gas being produced, perhaps forever."

The UN climate science body, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, acknowledges there will be a role for some oil and gas up to 2050 and beyond. However, it has been very clear that "developing… new oil and gas fields is incompatible with limiting warming to 1.5C".

It also goes against the agreement the world made at the last global climate summit to transition away from fossil fuels.
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A simple guide to climate change



Soltanov appeared eager to help get discussions going, telling the potential sponsor: "I would be happy to create a contact between your team and their team [Socar] so that they can start discussions."

A couple of weeks later the fake Hong Kong investment company received an email - Socar wanted to follow up on the lead.

Attempting to do business deals as part of the COP process appears to be a serious breach of the standards of conduct expected of a COP official.

These events are supposed to be about reducing the world's use of fossil fuels – the main driver of climate change – not selling more.

The standards are set by the UN body responsible for the climate negotiations, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

The UN said it could not comment directly on our findings but remarked that "the same rigorous standards" are applied to whoever hosts the conference, and that those standards reflect "the importance of impartiality on the part of all presiding officers".

Its code of conduct for COP officials states they are "expected to act without bias, prejudice, favouritism, caprice, self-interest, preference or deference, strictly based on sound, independent and fair judgement.

"They are also expected to ensure that personal views and convictions do not compromise or appear to compromise their role and functions as a UNFCCC officer."
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Christiana Figueres, who presided over the historic Paris agreement, says doing deals on fossil fuels is a “betrayal” of the COP process


Christiana Figueres, who oversaw the signing of the 2015 Paris agreement to limit global temperature rises to well below 2C, told the BBC that she was shocked anyone in the COP process would use their position to strike oil and gas deals.

She said such behaviour was "contrary and egregious" to the the purpose of COP and "a treason" to the process.

The BBC has also seen emails between the COP29 team and the fake investors.

In one chain, the team discusses a $600,000 (£462,000) sponsorship deal with a fake company in return for the Socar introduction and involvement in an event about "sustainable oil and gas investing" during COP29.

Officials offered five passes with full access to the summit and drafted a contract which initially required the firm to make some commitments to sustainability. Then it pushed back, one requirement was dropped and "corrections" were considered to another.

The BBC asked Azerbaijan's COP29 team and Socar for comment. Neither responded to the requests.

The findings come a year after the BBC obtained leaked documents that revealed plans by the UAE to use its role as host of COP28 to strike oil and gas deals.

COP28 was the first time agreement was reached on the need to transition away from fossil fuels.
At COP16 Biodiversity Summit, Canada Pushes for High Seas Treaty To Protect Marine Environments

Country:
CANADA
Author:

Jenn Thornhill Verma
ORN FELLOW
GLOBE AND MAIL
NOVEMBER 2, 2024


As the COP16 biodiversity conference comes to a close, Canada and other countries are stressing the urgent need to ratify a legally binding treaty for high seas marine protected areas, aiming for enforcement by 2025.

“In Canada, being bordered by three oceans, we know and understand the importance of ocean protection,” said Environment and Climate Change Minister Steven Guilbeault in a phone interview, adding that Canada’s commitment is visible in the government’s achievements since 2015.

“Canada wasn’t even protecting 1 per cent of its oceans and coastline, and now we’re close to 16 per cent,” he said. “Chances are, by the end of the year, we could be closer to 17 or 18 per cent, so we’re showing that it can be done.”




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While commendable, that still falls short of the “30x30″ commitment to conserve 30 per cent of land and ocean habitats by 2030, the target adopted under the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) at COP15 in Montreal within the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD).

With six years remaining, reaching that goal is possible. But a new report, On track or off course? – Assessing progress toward the 30x30 target for the ocean, found that only 14 of the 196 parties to the CBD have protected more than 30 per cent of their country’s waters.

Only about 1 per cent of the high seas – outside national waters – is effectively protected, the report says. That figure is projected to rise to just 9.7 per cent by 2030, as progress has been slow since the adoption of the GBF in 2022.

The High Seas Treaty, formally known as the agreement on Biodiversity Beyond National Jurisdiction, was finalized at an intergovernmental conference at the United Nations in March last year. Ratifying it will close a major gap in high seas governance and create a legal framework for protecting waters and assessing environmental impacts beyond national jurisdictions.

The oceans face numerous threats — from overfishing and illegal fishing to habitat destruction, plastic and noise pollution, climate change and emerging industries such as deep-sea mining for minerals and collecting marine genetic information for biotechnology, medicine and cosmetics.

With 105 countries, including Canada, having signed the treaty, ratification is the next crucial step.

“The pressure at COP16 for countries to ratify the High Seas Treaty is significant because we cannot reach 30x30 without 50 per cent of the planet. Our challenge is going to be whether we can stay the course on that promise,” said Susanna Fuller, vice-president of Oceans North, at COP16. Next week, the Canadian marine conservation charity will host a gathering in Ottawa to celebrate Canada’s progress toward ratifying the treaty.

Rebecca Hubbard, the director of the High Seas Alliance, welcomes that step. The treaty can only enter into force 120 days after ratification by 60 countries. Fourteen have followed through, including at least one from every continent — except North America.

“Canada, the U.S. and Mexico have signed the treaty, and I know that Canada is working on ratifying, so we hope very much to see that ratification before June,” Ms. Hubbard said.

For ratification, the federal cabinet must first approve it, then introduce new legislation for it to take effect. The goal is to secure the necessary ratifications by the UN Ocean Conference in June, 2025, two years after the treaty’s formal adoption.

With fewer than 220 days left, will 46 countries, including Canada, succeed in the race to ratification?

“I’m doing as much as I can from abroad. The situation in the House is a bit crazy,” Mr. Guilbeault said, referring to his absence from COP16. As a key architect of the GBF, he believes the formula used in Montreal was partly responsible for the treaty’s adoption.

Now, as part of the “first movers” group led by Chile and supported by the U.S. and other countries, Canada is hoping to fast-track the first wave of eight marine protected areas (MPAs) in the high seas as soon as the new treaty becomes law.

Canada’s leadership was evident in the first major agreement at COP16 to conserve marine areas in international waters too. The agreement supports Indigenous and local communities working with scientists to identify and define ecologically and biologically significant areas in the high seas. The EBSA process, said the CBD secretariat’s Joseph Appiott via e-mail, was largely inspired by a process undertaken by the Department of Fisheries and Oceans Canada.

Andreas Hansen, the global ocean policy director at the Nature Conservancy, says the identification of EBSAs (Ecologically and Biologically Significant Areas) are important for describing the ocean. “By knowing the ocean, decision-makers can then make good, balanced decisions about where protections and sustainable-use measures like fisheries management are placed.”

Enacting the treaty will unify the various regulatory bodies overseeing high seas protections, from deep-seabed mining under the International Seabed Authority to fish stock conservation by regional fisheries management organizations and species protections under the Convention on Migratory Species.

The treaty is especially important to developing, coastal and small-island countries hoping to safeguard the equitable sharing of digital sequence information (DSI) benefits. “The treaty balances the playground for access to marine genetic resources and sharing the benefits more equitably amongst global citizens,” Ms. Hubbard said.

Both the treaty and the CBD advocate for a global fund to support DSI use benefit-sharing. With potential earnings estimated in the trillions of dollars, developing countries are seeking a fair share to reinvest in conservation. Wealthy countries, especially those with pharmaceutical and cosmetic industries, are debating whether the fund should be voluntary or mandatory.

Brian O’Donnell, the director of the Campaign for Nature, cautions that reliance on voluntary contributions is problematic. “Safeguarding the world’s biodiversity, and all of our lives, on the goodwill of corporations whose mission is to make a profit, not to save nature, is a dangerous proposition.”

At COP16, the philanthropic sector pledged US$51.7-million, the largest private commitment to high seas conservation aimed at developing marine-protected areas. While Mr. O’Donnell applauds that contribution, he emphasizes that governments must take the lead. “Governments currently pay for 85 per cent of biodiversity conservation, so the idea that the philanthropic sector or corporate sector is somehow going to replace that is unlikely.”

High seas are vital for migratory species such as sea birds and whales, which face increasing threats along their routes and in critical habitats.

“We have no economies and no planet and no human health without biodiversity,” said Sue Lieberman, vice-president of the Wildlife Conservation Society. “That’s why the treaty is so important, because it establishes mechanisms to declare protected areas on the high seas.”
Protesters in France call for cancellation of gala featuring Israeli minister

French politicians, anti-Zionist Jewish civil society groups and rabbis join demonstration


Esra Taskin |08.11.2024 -TRT/AA
Protest in Paris against a pro-Israel gala featuring Bezalel Smotric

PARIS

Supporters of Palestine in France called on authorities Thursday to cancel a gala scheduled for Nov. 13 in Paris, where Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich is set to appear.

They gathered at Trocadero Square near the Eiffel Tower in the capital, demanding that French authorities block the gala organized by the Israel Forever Foundation.

The demonstrators chanted slogans including "No gala in Paris for Smotrich and his associates" and "Long live Palestinian resistance" in protest of the event.

The protest featured Palestinian and Lebanese flags along with banners that said "The West is responsible for the genocide in Gaza" and "Murderer Smotrich."

French politicians, anti-Zionist Jewish civil society groups and rabbis also joined the demonstration.

A Jewish rabbi held a banner saying "True rabbis have always opposed Zionism and the state of Israel."

Last month, Thomas Portes, a lawmaker from the opposition France Unbowed party, submitted an official request to the Paris Police Department to cancel Smotrich's participation in the gala.

On Nov. 4, six organizations including the French Human Rights League issued a joint statement calling for the event to be canceled.

*Writing by Alperen Aktas from Istanbul

Israeli Officials Condemn Reports of Protesters Clashing With Israeli Soccer Fans in Europe

Supporters of Maccabi Tel Aviv hold flags at Dam square ahead of the Europa League soccer match between Ajax and Maccabi Tel Aviv, in Amsterdam on Nov. 7, 2024.Jeroen Jumelet—ANP/AFP/Getty Images

By Associated Press
November 8, 2024 

AMSTERDAM — Supporters of Maccabi Tel Aviv clashed with apparent pro-Palestinian protesters before and after a Europa League soccer match between their team and Ajax outside the Dutch team’s home stadium in Amsterdam on Thursday night, media and officials said.

The clashes reportedly erupted despite a ban on a pro-Palestinian demonstration imposed by Amsterdam Mayor Femke Halsema, who had feared that clashes would break out between protesters and supporters of the Israeli soccer club.

Details of the incidents remained unclear, but Israeli media reported that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called his Dutch counterpart about them.

Israel’s ambassador to the United Nations, Danny Danon, also condemned the violence in a post on the social media platform X.

There were no immediate reports of arrests or injuries from the clashes outside the Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam, the city’s main arena and Ajax’s home stadium. Ajax won the Europa League match 5-0 after leading 3-0 at halftime.