Friday, December 13, 2024

 

Anarchists have some lessons for Trump’s America

Anarchists have some lessons for Trump’s America

From Boston Globe by By Cara Hoffman, November 15, 2024

The specter of authoritarian rule stalks the United States. How its citizens respond will determine their future and the future of the world. But what should that response be?

Donald Trump has promised to arrest his opponents, turn the military against the “enemy from within,” and launch mass deportations. He praised Adolf Hitler’s generals, mused about how a former member of Congress might feel when guns are “trained on her face,” and said he wouldn’t mind if journalists were shot. These statements have prompted historians as well as some of Trump’s former advisers to call him a fascist. As he prepares to take office, the specter of authoritarian rule stalks the nation.

How Americans respond will determine their future and the future of the world. But what should that response be?

One answer lies in a small enclave of Athens called Exarchia, where I’ve lived for seven years researching peoples’ uprisings. Roughly the size of New York’s East Village, Exarchia has been an antifascist bastion since the 1970s and an exemplar of how fighting authoritarianism can animate a community.

Generations of antifascists built Exarchia, including fighters who resisted the Nazis during World War II and self-organized brigades who fought home-grown and foreign fascists during the Greek Civil War. Decades later, people enraged by the government killing of dozens of protesters and bystanders at Polytechnic University in Athens in 1973 helped topple the US-backed dictatorship. In 2008, anarchists took to the streets again after a police officer murdered a 15-year-old, sparking protests throughout the nation, evicting the police from Exarchia and establishing a new measure of autonomy.

If you’re imagining a neighborhood filled with thugs wearing black balaclavas, think again. From Exarchia’s Strefi Hill, a park maintained by residents, one can watch children playing basketball and people walking dogs and having rap battles, the Acropolis and gleaming sea visible in the distance. Balconies are filled with climbing jasmine and gardens. The buildings themselves form an enormous interconnected mural of graffiti tags and abstract and figurative paintings. Bitter orange trees line the streets, blooming white in spring.

It’s hard to tell a friend from the community choir, your dentist, your mechanic, or your neighbor’s grandmother from an antifascist. Each week, Exarchia’s residents hold open assemblies in community centers and in squatted spaces — vacant buildings that have been occupied and repaired; their agendas determined by whatever is most pressing in the community.

Decisions are acted upon by those who are most enthusiastic and have the relevant skills. An agronomist, for example, would volunteer to look into environmental reports on the neighborhood. People who have served in the military or studied law might have ideas about security. Exarchians have created their own migrant shelters and community centers, free food kitchens, and parks and libraries in squatted spaces. Antiauthoritarian groups deliver food and medicine to those in need. They do all this having accepted that the government, churches, and nonprofits can’t be depended upon to provide these services.

There are of course downsides to living in Exarchia. It’s good to have a reliable gas mask for when police use tear gas to break up protests. Vandalism of Airbnb rentals is common — despite residents’ efforts, gentrification has made inroads.

In recent years Exarchia has come under threat by the conservative government of Kyriakos Mitsotakis. The government has evicted squatters and sent migrants from the community to refugee camps. It has clear cut trees in the central square and stationed squads of militarized police on the streets to guard the highly contested site of a new metro station, which residents see as a move toward gentrification. Actions like these destroy communities.

Here’s how Exarchia has fought back.

Maintaining the spirit of the neighborhood is key. Exarchia is known for festivals featuring the community choir and local orchestras, carnivals, and all-night dance parties, some commemorating past victories or memorials to antiauthoritarian fighters. The history of the movement is kept alive, especially for children. When a statue of angels in the square was destroyed by government order, puppeteers created replicas of the angels, bringing them out at festivals and protests. At Carnival, costumed protesters danced the Sirtaki around a giant burning effigy of Mitsotakis in front of military police. Last spring they created an enormous paper-mache tiger that prowled the streets. Thrilled children skipped around it, putting their heads in its mouth.

A diversity of tactics is most essential to protect the neighborhood. This ranges from sabotage of construction machinery to boycotts of gentrifying businesses to protests that fill the streets and lawsuits that fill court dockets. What makes all of these methods so successful is the variety of people involved; young and old, rich and poor, lawyers operating inside the system, and militants fighting on the street. Each act of resistance reinforces the other, and they have been collectively effective at stopping the usurpation of public space, arrests, and evictions — the violent kind by police and the quiet kind by landlords who raise rents or foreign investors who buy up buildings.

Exarchia’s tactics should feel familiar to Americans because many were inspired by American history, which has a startling number of autonomous peoples’ movements — agrarian collectives, networks of enslaved people working as cells to transport themselves and others to freedom, the abolitionists who helped them, the Industrial Workers of the World and Indigenous resistance, underground abortion networks, the anti-AIDS taskforce ACT UP, anti-pipeline activists, and the Earth Liberation Front, whose once radical ideology about protecting the earth has become largely mainstream.

For Americans who feel caught in the snare of an openly hostile government, it’s essential to understand how to organize without a leader. Exarchia’s greatest lesson may well be that when the state fails or turns against us, penalizing us, denying us resources, restricting our speech and freedom of movement, and attacking the weakest among us, all we have is each other: our bravery, our competence, our delight, our anger, our refusal to back down or see another harmed. People have the power to topple dictators.

***

Cara Hoffman is a novelist and a founding editor of “The Anarchist Review of Books.“ She teaches at Johns Hopkins University.


After the U.S. Election of a Semi-Fascist

by Wayne Price

Since the November 2024 national election there has been a mountain of reevaluations, recriminations, reconsiderations, and desperations—by liberals and radicals. Some blame popular racism and sexism for the defeat of a Black woman candidate. Others note that a racist nativism led to an hysterical fear of Mexican and other immigrants. This was a fear which the Republicans played up but which the Democrats also played to. The arrogance and elitism of the Democrats has been referred to. Others focus on the economic suffering of working class people, their stalled wages, the effects of inflation, the housing shortage, and so on. All of these were undoubted factors—especially the economic problems of working people, which Harris did not really address, Yet these, and similar influences, seem to leave something out. How could a person such as Donald Trump win a majority of the population—a slight (1.6%) majority, but consistently in most “demographics?” Were the price of eggs that high?

(Usually I do not understand why people vote for the Democrats either. They are the other party of capitalism, environmental catastrophe, and genocidal war. Yet in the 2024 election, the Republican candidate was so extremely vile that I understand why many voted for Harris just in order to defeat Trump. Believing in Kamala as a good, progressive, lover of democracy and the working class is another matter.)

Personally Trump is freakish, mean, not too bright, a bully, a pathological liar, a rapist, a crook, completely amoral, lacking in empathy, and having other bad traits. Politically he serves the biggest of big business, expresses admiration for dictators abroad and a desire to be an authoritarian at home. He proposes crackpot economic policies, such as tariffs on everything imported. He insists that he will carry out round-ups of millions of “illegal immigrants,” put them in concentration camps, and forcibly deport them. Similarly, he threatens to arrest and try his political enemies and press critics.

Where the Democrats were inadequate in dealing with climate change, Trump and his minions promise to wage war on the world’s biosphere, threatening the survival of industrial civilization at least. He will continue the U.S.-backed Israeli war in Gaza but betray the Ukrainians in their war for national self-determination. He vaguely promises to improve everyone’s health, wealth, and happiness—somehow. His slogan was, “Only I Can Fix It!”

In spite of these and other failings, Trump has a hard core of MAGA followers, who live in a delusional bubble of disinformation. Their politics are semi-fascist. There is a larger group of voters which doesn’t necessarily buy into the craziness or like him personally, but voted for him anyway. They put him over the top.

This group saw Kamala Harris as just another conventional Democratic politician (as she was). They also saw Trump as another conventional Republican candidate. They compared the two and estimated which would be better for their wallets and in other matters. This might have been a reasonable approach if Mitt Romney ran again, or if John McCain was around, or even if Nikki Haley ran. A “Never Trump” conservative wrote, “One of the most maddening aspects of the 2024 election is the extent to which so many voters viewed Trump as a mostly normal political candidate….” (French 2024; p. A19) Such voters did not realize what Trump was, how different from an ordinary bourgeois politician, and what he really stood for.

I call Trump (and his MAGA movement) “semi-fascist.” Trump is not likely to quickly install a regime on the model of classical European fascism. That would require declaring Trump president-for-life, cancelling all further elections, outlawing all other parties including the Democrats, and suspending the Constitution, among other things. The business elite does not want this; after all they are making a lot of money under the current arrangement. The rest of the establishment, does not want overt fascism. At least half of the population does not want this. More likely is a creeping fascism, keeping the forms of political democracy while emptying them of content. It will tend toward Viktor Orban’s Hungary rather than Hitler’s Third Reich. Orban is greatly admired by Trump and the Republicans. He calls his program “illiberal democracy.”

“What we are likely to see is a lingering fascism of less murderous intensity, which, when in power, does not necessarily do away with all the forms of bourgeois democracy, does not necessarily physically annihilate the opposition, and may even allow itself to get voted out of power occasionally. But since its successor government…will also be incapable of alleviating the crisis, the fascist elements are likely to return to power as well.” (Patnaik & Patnaik 2019; p. 29)

I am not going to give “the” answer to Why Trump Won. I will raise two other factors worth considering, from the viewpoint of anarchist-socialism. These are factors which are rarely considered in the discussions of liberal pundits or “democratic socialist” essayists.

Sex!

A major motivation for many voters was an underlying sexual hysteria, bubbling just below the surface. From the beginning of his campaign, Trump raised the image of immigrants raping (white) women. This continued to be an important theme of his campaign.

Republicans have won the end of Roe, and the right to chose an abortion. Trump downplayed the issue (having won on the main point) but other Republicans made clear their desire to expand the laws against choice. The anti-choice movement claims to have a concern over the “life” of the fetus. Really it is rooted in fear of women’s sexual freedom.

Anti-LGBTQ sentiment has mobilized fascist thugs to threaten libraries and schools. Hysteria around trans people was a major theme of Republican propaganda, even though they make up less than one percent of the adult population. The Republicans provoked fears that men would take over girls’ sports as well as women’s bathrooms and that boys would be castrated in schools. Being “really” masculine was a theme of Trump’s oratory.

Harris made reproductive rights a main issue of her campaign, but did not link it up with other concerns. The years in which the Democrats had majorities in Congress but did not pass national pro-choice legislation were not discussed. While defending Gay and Lesbian rights, the Democrats were mostly silent on trans rights, trying to ignore the issue.

It is widely believed that the “sexual revolution” is over. There is supposedly no more sexual repression. The insights of Wilhelm Reich or Alex Comfort about the sexual distortions of capitalist society are supposedly no longer of value. It is true that the severe repression of Victorian times no longer exists. But rather than being carried through, sexual freedom has been what the anarchist Paul Goodman called one of those “missed and compromised revolutions of modern times, with their compromised ambiguities and social imbalances….” (Goodman 1960; p. 217)

Goodman writes of “sexual revolution” that “The movement has not so much failed as that it is still in process, strongly resisted by inherited prejudices, fears, and jealousies….Adolescents…are trapped by inconsistent rules, suffer because of excessive stimulation and inadequate discharge….” (p. 225) And not just adolescents.

A capitalist society of relatively high consumption (for the white middle class at least) has broken through many sexual repressions. But patriarchal capitalism remains an authoritarian and exploitative system and therefore cannot break through to comprehensive freedom in any area. Instead there are deep ambiguities, compromises, hysterical fears, and sexual conflicts which cannot be openly faced. These feed into fear of the “other” (immigrants, trans people, leftists, etc.), crazed religious views, and desires for a “strong” father-figure to protect and take care of everyone.

Too Big

There is something absurd about a presidential election. The U.S.A. includes about 345 million people. It includes a large part of a continent, “from sea to shining sea.” Yet one person is supposed to manage the central, executive, part of the national government. One person is in charge of running the country as an elected monarch. Of course he (and it has always been a “he”) has a staff to provide input and then to carry out his orders—but he remains the final boss.

There are other parts of the national state, such as the legislative branch, the regulatory agencies, and the judiciary. They are also isolated in Washington, D.C., and out of touch with the reality of the country. Also, the government does not manage the economy, which is composed of independent firms. Yet the government (especially the “Fed”) has an important impact on all aspects of the marketplace, even if it does not run it. (The ideological rationalization for the capitalist economy is not “democracy” but “freedom.”)

No one person can access enough information, or make good enough decisions, to really do the job. Even a genius, such as Lincoln, would have difficulty, while a fool, such as Trump, is not even self-aware enough to know that he is in over his head.

In theory this is modified by all the states (what in other countries are “provinces”). Also the counties, townships, and cities. Supposedly the U.S. has a “federal” system. However, the state governments are also centralized, bureaucratized, and alienated from the actual voters. This is besides the ways in which one party (usually the Republicans, but also the Democrats) gerrymanders voting districts—so the “representatives” pick their voters, rather than the voters pick their representatives. There are other dirty tricks to distort what little democracy exists. The fundamental role of big money in elections, on the state and national levels, is well-known. (In elections, the capitalist class is re-named the “donor class.”)

Local governments are legally creatures of the state government and can be officially overridden if they get unruly. The general rule is that the more local the government is, the more democratic it is and the less power it has. So the PTA has the most participation but the least power, even over the school.

The main issue is not the inevitable inefficiency (and corruption) of the centralized, bureaucratic, monstrous national state—but that the people are alienated from real decision-making and lacking in the experience of self-governing. How then are they supposed to make decisions about national and international politics when they do not participate in day-to-day collective decisions about their own lives?

To quote the conservative French, “Most Americans…don’t follow the news closely…. While vast numbers of Americans participate in presidential elections, only small numbers actually stay engaged….The majority is focused on the things that directly affect their lives—prices, crime, peace.” (French 2024; p. A19)

This is the inevitable political life of industrial capitalism. Almost all adults spend most of their waking lives working for a boss. They take orders and carry out tasks assigned to them. They live and work under dictatorships, big and little. A few have some limited union or civil service protections. Then once every few years they get to vote for “representatives” to go to the state capitol or to Washington and be political for them. Then they go home and back to work. Is it surprising that they do not have the habits of a self-governing people?

Paul Goodman liked to cite Thomas Jefferson’s vision of a decentralized federalist democracy. Jefferson had been greatly impressed by the New England town meetings. He urged such a radical democracy on the rest of the states. The counties should be broken down into localized “wards.” These would manage the schools, policing, the mustering of the militia, local roads, carrying out elections, etc. Jefferson declared,

“Where every man is a sharer in the direction of his ward-republic, or of some of the higher ones, and feels that he is a participator in the government of affairs, not merely at an election one day in the year, but every day; when there shall not be a man in the State who will not be a member of some one of the councils, great or small, he will let the heart be torn out of his body sooner then let his power be wrested from him by a Caesar or a Bonaparte.” (Dewey 1957; p. 54) (Or a Trump?)

The slaveholder Jefferson meant his participatory democracy only for white men, and not for slaves, free Black people, Native Americans, or women. He accepted the class division between rich plantation owners and poor whites. The participatory-democratic principle was excellent but impossible to carry out under these conditions.

Jefferson based his decentralized democracy on a society in which most worked their own farms (with or without slaves).
As capitalist industrialism was to grow, participatory democracy became impossible unless it included industrial democracy. This meant worker management of production or co-operative communalism, as in the programs of anarcho-syndicalism, council socialism, and other versions of libertarian socialism.

It is widely believed, by liberals and Marxists alike, that productive technology requires super-centralized, autocratic, and bureaucratic, large-scale enterprises. Therefore democracy on the job is not possible. This is a modern superstition. The Marxists forget that capitalism develops production in the most effective way to create surplus value (profits), not necessarily in the most efficient way to produce useful goods and healthy workers. A society with different goals for production would develop technology in different ways. (For one exploration of decentralized uses of modern technology, see Carson 2010.) Human scale production can be organized in federations and networks, to cover regions, continents, and the globe. But it must be rooted in local, face-to-face, direct democracy.

As it is, society is too big, too out of ordinary people’s control or even understanding. It is too much beyond the experience of most people in terms of making democratic decisions. That voters make poor decisions is not due to lack of intelligence or capacity. It is due to living in a society which discourages democratic thinking. As the saying goes, “If voting could change society, it would be illegal.” If the majority really began to organize themselves in their own interests (which is what anarchists want), then “democracy” would be suddenly be attacked by the rulers.

 Conclusion

This has not been a discussion of what Kamala Harris might have done differently in order to beat Trump, nor of what the Democrats should do next time to beat the Republicans. A program of more decentralization and workers’ management of the economy, plus more sexual freedom, is not a winning program for elections. Not for the Democrats or even for a new, progressive, party. (Although the Green Party does have a program of increased decentralization and a democratic, ecosocialist, economy—but, to repeat, this is not a “winning program” at this time.)

However I am not considering how best to win in a capitalist election. My concern is what is necessary to create a new and better society—not a perfect one, but merely one without wars and the threat of nuclear war, without the developing ecological catastrophe which threatens us all, without capitalist economic crises, and without various forms of oppression (racial, sexual, gender, etc.). These would require the overturn of the government at national and local levels, and of all capitalist rule.
To think about how to achieve this goal, it is necessary to face the problems directly and fearlessly.

References

Carson, Kevin (2010). The Homebrew Industrial Revolution; A Low-Overhead Manifesto. Booksurge.

Dewey, John (1957). The Living Thoughts of Thomas Jefferson; Presented by John Dewey. Greenwich CT: Fawcett Publications.

French, David (Nov. 18, 2024). “Trump is Already Starting to Fail.” New York Times. P. A19.

Goodman, Paul (1960). Growing Up Absurd. NY: Vintage Books/Random House.

Patnaik, Utsa, & Patnaik, Prabhat (2019). “Neoliberal Capitalism at a Dead End.” Monthly Review (July-August 2019) Vol. 71; No. 3. Pp. 20—31.




 

Brazil: Reportback from the 14th Sao Paulo Anarchist Bookfair

From Feira Anarquista de Sao Paulo (instagram)
November 30, 2024

The 14th SP Anarchist Fair took place on November 24th. For the third year in a row, collectives, artists, social movements, and publishers that fight for anarchism occupied EMEF Des. Amorim Lima for the entire day.

The event flowed quietly. Year after year, we manage to improve the organization of the space, with dialogue, suggestions and criticism from those who exhibits at the Fair and builds with us. About 2,000 people circled through the event. We highlight, with joy, the ever-growing presence of children! Groups responsible for vegan and vegetarian meals have successfully completed the mission of keeping everyone fed for a full day. There were 7 arts and sports practices; 3 theatre performances; 2 film screenings; 14 talking wheels; 9 book launches and 1 big mutiny to bring the school back clean and organized.

We would like to thank all the people who helped out, whether they were manning a book stall, sharing experiences in a conversation circle, conspiring with a friend or carrying tables and chairs.

During the day, the zine "From flower on the asphalt to the garden of anarchy" was distributed, a reflection written recently on the trajectory of this event. The online version is on the Anarchist Fair website.

The SP Anarchist Fair is a space to strengthen collectives that act in different latitudes and lengths, promote anarchist practices and ideas for curious people and foster (re)encounters of people who dream and work for a world where all lives are free from all forms of oppression. It's a day of anarchy in action, to circulate and sow ideas and actions. If it's a big event, if this flower can break the asphalt of this concrete city, it's only because of each of you who comes, alone or in a group, but who arrives with an open heart, a well directed anger and arms willing to build together.

Catching our breath and taking care of the post-production, we follow with certainty that next year there will be another one, and we hope to count on those who want to join, in the spirit of mutual support and solidarity.

Until then, keep planting the seeds of rebellion in the garden. Long live anarchy!

Report from Porto Alegre Anarchist bookfair

Report from Porto Alegre Anarchist bookfair

From Freedom News UK

Keeping the flame of anarchist agitation alive and spreading throughout the city, meetings between anti-authoritarian individuals and those eager for change, and distributing books and publications—we gathered in the hall of the Acadêmicos da Orgia Samba School

Anarchist News Agency ~

On the walls and outside of the hall in Porto Alegre, Brazil, banners and posters affirmed the love of freedom and the permanent revolt against everything that wants to dominate us and devastate the Earth. On the stands of materials on display, anarchist messages blared through books, fanzines, magazines, posters, t-shirts, stickers, vegan food and other productions, making the presence of comrades from the region and from more distant latitudes felt.

Saturday 9 November

Together with the bookfair, the Solidarity on the Skin event took place once again, this one-day flash tattoo event in solidarity with our imprisoned comrades. Scribbled on insubordinate bodies and accomplices with those who fight against the state/capital and are now kidnapped in prisons. The two tattoo machines of @marceloarakno and @Juwtattoostudio ran non-stop throughout the day until the last moment when the salon closed. All the money raised (1,100 reais) from the tattoos and other contributions went to our comrades Mônica and Francisco imprisoned in Chile.

The fair opened its schedule of activities with the presentation of the zine Anarchists in Palestine and the stateless solution translated by Pandemia Distro, which presented the texts that make up the publication in an exchange of ideas. Also in the morning, another compa from Rio de Janeiro led another presentation and debate titled “International Anarchism and the Anarchist Movement in Brazil”.

The anti-speciesist restaurant Aurora provided us with plentiful and well-seasoned vegan food, nourishing our bodies for the afternoon’s activities. The hall and patio continued to welcome people who circulated among the stalls. Activities that began with the exchange of ideas titled “Acting Anarchically in Contexts of Crisis: Enhancing the Collapse of the Civilising Project”, together with the provocation “At Every Crossroads, Our Path is Anarchy!”, culminating in a participatory discussion in a circle. Throughout the afternoon, the Giant Soap Bubbles Workshop enchanted all generations with the fleeting flight and explosions of the giant soap bubbles. Following the initial incitement and debate, two more publications and two books were presented. Foda-se Black Friday translated and edited by Pandemia Distro, Esse ruptura não é de hoje by Dani Eizirik/Jambalú, from Editora Riacho and the books De Luto em Luta, an anthology of texts, poems and short stories by Louise Michel and Uma Casa Viva by Andrea Staid, published and presented by Barricada de Livros in Portugal. All presentations were accompanied by lively exchanges of ideas.

A fraternal and sharp environment against expressions of authoritarianism generated an afternoon of meetings and promotion of anarchist ideas and practices, with the fair itself being an embodiment of this disposition. The day culminated with the exchange of ideas In order to create new worlds, it is necessary to abort unwanted worlds, bringing a look “from our wombs and our land” with the verve of a compa from Uruguay. The last activity was a video debate The expansion of the digital frontier: Agribusiness and peasant resistance to the advance of surveillance capitalism. The activity began by stirring the memories of those who participated, jointly building a timeline of agriculture with various facts remembered. Then the video was shown, ending with a round table debate.

The day flew by, activities were intermittent, as the afternoon and evening fell we said goodbye with an unyielding smile.

Sunday 10 November

As has been the case for some years, the first day of the fair, in a closed space, prioritises the exchange of ideas and presentations of books and publications, and the second day the fair is held on the street, in the Praça do Aeromóvel in front of the Gasômetro on the banks of the Guaíba River. This busy place has established itself in recent years with a monthly anarchist fair on the first Sunday of each month, sparking anarchist agitation on the street and in the square.

Once again, stalls selling anarchist literature, native seeds and other products were set up, and the banners screamed our anarchist feelings. Three activities took place in the afternoon: a Seed Bomb Workshop, an exchange of ideas called Trails of autonomy: From the mountains, a territory exploited by the Uruguayan state. Walking as the basis of human autonomy, and finally the activity Marking the city, where a potter comrade made three tiles with images and a brief history of three anarchist events that took place in Porto Alegre. One of them featured a photo of the protest against the 500-year clock being set on fire; another featured a hooded man with an account of the 2013 protests; the last one featured a photo of four Russian anarchists who expropriated a currency exchange office on an important central street in the city in 1911; the four were murdered and their bodies displayed in a procession through the city centre. After the presentation of the tiles and a brief storytelling of our subversive memory, we took a walk through the city centre to the places where the events occurred, intervening by placing the tiles in the urban landscape, reclaiming our memory of struggle and anarchic presence throughout time.

Before the sun went down, Crua released their voice, verses and rhymes accompanied by guitar and hip hop bases, barking revolt, howling freedom!

The bookfair does not have a fixed organisation and is open every year to all anti-authoritarian people who want to make it happen. Once again, the posters on the streets have shown us their vitality in communication, bringing people who have seen them posted everywhere. It is true that the municipal police’s control to keep the walls white has increased their surveillance and punishment, but it is also true that we can always get around them and make the walls talk. Our way of doing things is “do it yourself”, it is autonomy. Thus, the participation of anarchists with proposals for the bookfair and their presence is what builds the fair as a fertile space for debates, provocations and projections, which we have once again achieved together by expanding the fire of revolt.




REPUBLIC OF Ireland

GE24: Changing of the Mudguard



Thursday 12 December 2024, by Diana O’Dwyer




People Before 
Profit’s (PBP) slogan during the election campaign was “End 100 years of Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael”. But now we are facing into yet another Fianna Fáil-Fine Gael (FF-FG) government. Why has this happened? Are we stuck in a never-ending Groundhog Day or does hope for radical change remain?

After the last election in 2020, escape from a century of FF-FG rule seemed not just possible but probable. The cycle of alternation between the two frenemies had finally been broken with the identical twins of Irish capitalism forced into a grand coalition, propped up by the Green Party with external support from right-wing Independent TDs. [2] The 2008 economic crash and the decade of social upheaval and struggle that followed had enabled Sinn Féin (SF) to steal the mantle of the largest party in the Dáil for the first time and it looked certain to lead the next government.

But now, almost 5 years later, FF and FG have returned with an extra 13 seats and are only one seat short of a majority - compared to 7 short last time. They are not any more popular than they were in 2020 - their share of the vote actually fell slightly (by 0.4%). But in a situation with little in the way of class struggle and where no clear alternative was posed, they were able to maintain and even improve their position. FF topped the poll at 22%, followed by FG on 21% and SF on 19%.

All that stands between FF-FG and another 5 years in office is a little negotiation with “gene pool” Independents and/or the coalition-loving Labour Party. Eleven of the 16 Independent TDs are ex-FF or FG and only jumped ship because they failed to advance themselves within those parties, or needed to disassociate themselves from an unpopular government decision. Veteran broadcaster, Vincent Browne, caustically observed that “There is no reason why we can’t have a new government next Tuesday. FF/FG need to lock in 8 Independents, which should take an hour and a half”. Left Independents who in recent elections have made up a sizeable chunk of the Independent vote fared badly: longstanding TDs like Joan Collins and Thomas Pringle lost their seats and former MEP Clare Daly failed to make an impact in Dublin Central. Veteran 74-year old Seamus Healy winning back his seat in Tipperary South was a rare bright spot.

Despite the numbers pointing towards a FF-FG government propped up by right-wing Independents, speculation is continuing about the possibility of a coalition with Labour or the Social Democrats, who won 11 seats each. Both parties increased their vote largely off the back of the collapse of the Green Party, which was punished for its role as a junior party in the outgoing coalition. Overall the vote for this “centre-left” bloc fell slightly, from 14.4% to 12.5%.

Leaving aside the careerism of the centre-left parties, the reason a tripartite coalition is still being contemplated is that the 20-year routine of FF/FG coalescing with parties or Independents to their centre-left has served them so well. The last government was a FF-FG coalition with the Greens, the previous one a FG minority coalition with centre-left and localist Independents (with confidence and supply from FF) (2016-2020), the one before that was FG and Labour (2011-2016) and the one before that was FF and the Greens (2007-2011).

In each case, the smaller centre-left component has been an excellent mudguard, taking most of the shit for the government’s decisions while allowing it to change colouring slightly every few years - from lightest Green to palest pink to washed out rainbow to lightest Green again. Eventually the mudguard falls off and takes a further kicking from voters at the next election. The bike beneath remains clean and dry and ready for a new mudguard.

In many ways, this composition of the last few governments is an accurate political reflection of the economic base of Irish society. High levels of foreign direct investment (FDI) off the back of massive corporate tax breaks are pivotal to the Irish economy, which remains completely dependent on US multinationals - not only for corporate and income tax revenue but for high earning jobs that support Ireland’s large low paid service sector as well as the public sector. Official statistics show that foreign multinationals employ 27% of private sector employees (623,128 people) but pay 37% of total Irish wages and account for 71% of private sector Gross Value Added. The phrase “account for” is used advisedly as much of this GVA is made up of intellectual property and overseas contract manufacturing domiciled in Ireland for tax purposes.

In this context, FF and FG represent a hardy comprador capitalist class whose main concern is to maintain a model of economic development based on high levels of FDI and multinational corporate tax avoidance. Maintaining this base provides continuous flows of capital they can mediate and siphon from, in particular in the housing and property markets but also through high paid employment for lawyers, accountants, IT consultants and the rest of Ireland’s professional managerial classes - whose socially concerned left flank makes up much of the social base of the centre-left mudguard parties.

The rise of SF, whose support base is far more rooted in the working class, had threatened to upset this sturdy Apple cart. [3] For several years after the 2020 election, SF had posed a real threat to the permanent rule of FF and FG. They won 24.5% of the vote in 2020 and as recently as April 2023 had peaked at 37% support in the opinion polls. Yet in this election they received only 19% of the vote.

So what happened to SF?

The proximate cause for the collapse in SF’s support was the relentless attacks on them from the far right, who identified SF as their main rival for working class support. They incessantly spread outrageous lies about them on social media (like fake online ads for SF-branded burkas) and succeeded in problematising the rise in immigration from 2022 onwards and blaming SF for it, even though they were not in government. [4]

The reason SF were so vulnerable to being blamed for the government’s actions was that since 2020 they had come to see themselves as a government-in-waiting and to act accordingly. Frontbench SF reps were shadowing government departments in preparation for becoming ministers, meeting with industry stakeholders in areas like housing and health and signalling their reasonableness at every opportunity. SF strategists saw moving to the middle ground as the way to broaden their support base beyond their blue collar base to white collar workers and the middle class.

SF reps increasingly sought to reassure the capitalist class and big multinationals in particular that a SF government would pose no threat to business-as-usual. Its finance spokesperson, Pearse Doherty, promised international investors at a meeting last May that SF would not make any significant changes to the State’s approach to corporation tax or FDI. A briefing from Davy’s Stockbrokers confirmed this, reassuring investors that “Overall, Sinn Féin’s approach from an economic standpoint is more ‘New Labour’ than ‘Corbyn Labour’”.

Consistent with this rightward shift, SF moved away from presenting themselves as the core of an alternative government that would exclude FF and FG. After the 2020 vote, they had approached PBP and the centre left parties about forming an alternative government without FF and FG and even held large public rallies to galvanise support. However, they soon reverted to talking about a “SF-led government”, phrasing that left the door open to coalition with FF if SF were the larger party. They repeatedly refused to rule out coalition with FF and rejected repeated calls from PBP for a left alliance for this election.

All this meant that SF were observably in the process of selling out their supporters before they even got into government. They took their core working class support base for granted and the far right ruthlessly exploited this to their own advantage, pointing working class anger at the housing and cost of living crisis and suspicion of SF in the wrong direction - towards hostility to immigrants and the so-called “woke agenda”. An exit poll carried out on the day of the election found that living standards had worsened for almost half of SF and PBP voters in the past year, compared to 71% of "other party" supporters, which are mainly far right. But even this understates the impact of the cost of living crisis for the hardest pressed sections of the working class and among young people, who were least likely to vote. Turnout in the election was the lowest ever at 59.7% - compared to 62.88% in 2020 when SF topped the poll for the first time. It was much lower in working class areas like Jobstown in PBP TD Paul Murphy’s constituency of Dublin South West, where turnout was 39%. It is difficult to accurately measure the turnout among young people but it was certainly nothing approaching the Repeal referendum in 2018, when thousands of young people forced to emigrate by the housing crisis flew home to vote.

Over the last five years, left wing and progressive social movements have been thin on the ground. The only real exception has been the movement on Palestine, which is part of a vital anti-imperialist movement internationally but probably has the least purchase in the hard pressed working class areas targeted by the far right. The same has been true internationally - with a discernible downturn in progressive movements beginning in 2020. The pandemic played a role in dampening the climate and women’s rights movements and in Ireland the far right spread its spores for the first time under Covid. Aside from the movement on Palestine, there has been little sign of any widespread resurgence in progressive struggle in the years since. This wasn’t for the want of trying. PBP participated in (and often helped to organise) virtually every progressive movement or protest in the last 5 years, including countless demonstrations on Palestine, the cost of living, disability justice, housing, anti-racism and far right counter-protests. Yet ultimately, the persistently low level of struggle was an objective factor we had little control over.

The destructive role of the far right

Into this void, the far right flowed. Despite their tiny core activist base, they have succeeded in shifting politics to the right with the help of thousands of international far right supporters and social media bots. This has included the far right billionaire Elon Musk, whose takeover of Twitter in 2022 was instrumental in disseminating their message of hate - or in the words of Steve Bannon - of “flooding the zone with shit”. Last April, a Sky News analysis of anti-migration hashtags concerning Ireland found that the majority originated in the US. This international social media support has made them seem like they have far more popular support than they actually do. Localised protests against accommodation for asylum seekers, including dozens of arson attacks likely carried out by a small core of extremists, also gained them huge media attention and made it seem like they had support across the country.

In retrospect, the far right riots in Dublin on November 21st 2023 were a key turning point for SF’s support - and hope of an alternative government excluding FF and FG. The riots caused millions of euro worth of damage and turned Dublin city centre into a no-go area for many hours. There were arson attacks on buses, police cars and refugee accommodation and mass looting of shops. SF attempted to exploit the situation to gain respectability, responding with a reactionary law and order approach and attacking the government for its record on policing and anti-social behaviour. They moved a motion of no confidence in the Justice Minister - who was a target for the far right for introducing hate speech legislation. Instead of joining PBP in attacking the far right for deliberately fomenting the riots on social media and the government for creating the social deprivation that led so many young people in the inner city to gleefully join in, SF leaned into the right wing narrative that Dublin had become a dangerous place that needed a massive increase in policing. That narrative was substantially rooted in racist fears being whipped up around black and brown immigrant men, so it paradoxically strengthened the far right at a time when they should have been seriously undermined.

SF’s law and order posturing also failed to convince the middle ground. Their history of violence and criminality was exhaustively exhumed in the media and by the government parties who portrayed them as cynics attempting to exploit the riots for political gain. From then on, SF’s popularity began to plummet. It took a further hit following their support for a yes vote in the massively defeated Family and Care referendums last March - which were successfully exploited by the far right on social media as more fronts in the culture war. They had a terrible result in the local elections in June, winning less than 12% of the vote, while several far right councillors were elected in traditional SF strongholds.

Since then, SF had been scrambling around, taking rearguard actions to try to neutralise the impact of far right and anti-immigration sentiment on their vote. They reversed their stance on hate crime legislation they had previously supported and were widely criticised for dog whistles about opposing “open borders”. Last July they published “a plan to fix our broken international protection system” that promised faster deportations and opposition to siting accommodation centres in working class areas on grounds of resources. This pandering to far right and anti-immigrant sentiment failed to revive their support as it fed into a pre-existing perception by many working class voters that SF were flip flopping and untrustworthy. It may have stopped them from hemorrhaging even more support to their right, but this was likely counteracted by losing support to their left. Then, from September onwards, SF went into further freefall after wall-to-wall media coverage of several internal party sexual harassment and child abuse scandals. SF’s support bottomed out at 16% in October 2024, closing out an “Annus horribilis” for the party right before the election.

Refusal to rule out coalition with the Right

SF’s campaign slogan, “Vote to Change the Government”, would have been a banal truism in any other liberal democracy - aside perhaps from 20th century Mexico. In Ireland with its 100 year-reign of Fianna Fail and Fine Gael, it appeared radical. And yet, it was also immediately undermined by SF’s refusal to say what that “changed government” should be. Despite FF ruling them out as coalition partners, SF steadfastly refused to do the same and rule out coalition with FF and FG. This would have given voters a clear choice between more of the same and an alternative government without any of the establishment parties that had ruled the country since independence.

SF were not the only ones at fault for this. The experienced and potential mudguard parties - Labour, the Greens and the Social Democrats - also refused to rule out coalition with FF and FG. Labour and the Greens were openly gagging to get back into bed with them and the Social Democrats refused to support the call to vote left- transfer left until the day before the election - after SF had belatedly done so. In reality, both these last minute outbursts of left unity were more about mopping up transfers from opponents than any serious attempt to present an alternative left alliance to the electorate. SF and the Social Democrats could have supported PBP’s calls for a left electoral front last July and presented people with a clear left alternative like the NPF in France. Had they done so, the outcome of the election may have been different.

Over the last five years, the issue with the most potential for sparking a mass working class movement was probably the cost of living crisis. Unlike the housing crisis it had a sudden, rather than gradual, onset from 2022 and it affected a broader swathe of society. By 2023, a third of the population were living in energy poverty and grocery prices were up 20%. The emerging movement had its high point prior to the Budget in October 2022, when PBP helped to organise a protest of 30,000 people in Dublin city centre under the banner of the Cost of Living Coalition. However, the Government’s unprecedented multinational corporate tax bonanza - running at €35 billion for the year in November, compared to a previous peak of €24 billion last year - enabled it to cut across any emerging movement quite effectively. Billions of euro were doled out in one-off payments, ranging from energy credits to double social welfare benefits. The same trick was played again in last October’s Budget, with double child benefit and social welfare payments given to millions of people in November and again in December, right before and immediately after the election.

This ability to temper the cost of living crisis helped FF-FG to buck the so-called incumbency curse that has toppled so many governments this year, including in the US. The latest Eurobarometer poll carried out in late October/early November found that 79% of Irish respondents rated their household financial situation as good. 63% rated the national economy as “good” compared to 35% across the EU-27. Those results would look very different for PBP’s support base which is rooted in harder pressed sections of the urban working class - the same demographic that makes up the neglected core of SF’s support but which makes up a fifth of the population at most. As mentioned above, half of SF and PBP voters had seen their living standards decline in the last year, compared to 35% of voters generally.

The incoming Trump administration has identified Ireland as a major tax haven for US multinationals and threatened to bring them back home for tax purposes so it is unclear if Ireland’s corporate tax bonanza will continue. This threat ended up being another important factor in the government’s return as in the final week of the campaign, FF and FG stepped up “Project Fear”, warning voters not to risk the economy by voting for SF - even though it had also pledged to protect Ireland’s corporate tax haven status.

People Before Profit’s election campaign

Faced with this combination of low levels of struggle and fears about the future of the economy, both SF and PBP struggled to make ground. PBP-Solidarity managed to slightly increase our share of the vote to 2.84% nationally by running candidates in almost every constituency, allowing us to easily surpass the 2% threshold for state funding of political parties. This also revealed that there is now a small “party vote” for us right across the country that we had not tapped into previously. In future local elections in particular it could make sense to run strong campaigns in several parts of Dublin and the surrounding commuter counties where we have never had TDs or councillors elected but where we increased our vote in this election.

Unfortunately, it was in our traditional strongholds that we struggled the most, causing us to lose more than a fifth of our vote in areas where we had TDs and 2 of our 4 Dáil seats. In Dublin Mid West we were squeezed by the far right and lost Gino Kenny’s seat. In Dublin South Central we were squeezed by SF and the Social Democrats and also lost our seat. In Dun Laoghaire where Richard Boyd Barrett had the safest seat going into the election, we lost 29% of our vote.

The only TD area where our vote increased was in Dublin South West but even there it was a very hard fought campaign. Paul Murphy had been badly affected by a redrawing of constituency boundaries that removed our best area but managed to hang on to the last seat and was re-elected on the last count. Preliminary tally data suggests we were able to resist the general fall in turnout in working class areas by getting our voters out to vote at a higher rate than voters for other parties.

The lessons from this election for the future point to the necessity of providing the working class with a clear left alternative to “FF-FG forever”. However, they also demonstrate the difficulty for socialist organisations of swimming against the tide in conditions where there is a low level of struggle combined with an economy and a government that can mitigate the worst effects of the cost of living crisis for most of the working class.

10 December 2024

Source: Rupture.

Footnotes

[1The General Election in Ireland took place on 29 November 2024.

[2TD, Teachta Dálla, is a member of the Irish parliament, Dáil Éireann.

[3Ireland’s policy of sweetheart tax deals for overseas investors attracted Apple computers in 1980. Apple’s European headquarters is now in Cork, Ireland. Apple has over 6000 employees in the country and represents more than one-fifth of Irish GDP.

[4Immigration began to rise in late 2021 and early 2022 but this was largely due to catch up once Covid travel restrictions were lifted. The real rise in immigration happened after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. According to CSO figures, approximately two-thirds of the 160,300 “rest of the world” immigrants to Ireland (i.e. from non-EU countries excluding the UK, US, Canada and Australia) from March 2022-March 2024 were from Ukraine.




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