Saturday, December 21, 2024

Political Economy Contradictions as We Lurch Into 2025

December 21, 2024
Source: Originally published by Z. Feel free to share widely.





The Republicans (GOP), traditionally the U.S.’s anti-tax party, now promise to use tariffs to wage trade wars, to massively deport immigrants, and to stop drug traffic. But tariffs are simply the name of one kind of tax (on imported goods and services). So the GOP becomes both anti-tax and pro-tax. Likewise, the traditional party of minimal government, today’s GOP now favors massive subsidies to industries that big government will select as well as economic sanctions and bans on enterprises and whole countries that big government will select. Beyond the right-wing ideology and financial self-serving, Trump reflects deeper contradictions in the GOP’s evolution.

The GOP, traditionally the laissez-faire party of private enterprise, now favors increased government control of what private enterprises can and cannot offer in markets for reproductive healthcare, control medications and devices, and also for vaccines and drugs. The GOP, traditionally supporting “freedom,” now insists on blocking the free movement of people across borders and favors protectionist economic policy over a commitment to “free trade.” Some of Trump’s cabinet nominees voice traditional GOP views while others pronounce the new anti-traditional positions. Some nominees do both. Trump does not resolve the deep contradictions in the GOP’s message, thereby confusing both its messengers and its public audiences. In the moment, those contradictions give Trump some power. Amid the confusion, he decides. But soon conflicts among U.S. policies will expose the incoherence of Trump’s project and thereby sap his power.

The Democratic party was, at least since the Great Depression of the 1930s, the “progressive” party of working people, unions, and oppressed minorities. Yet the rise of the “centrists” across recent decades shifted the Democrats rightward. As they became grateful recipients of corporate and billionaires’ donations, the Democrats increasingly supported the donor class by fielding “moderate” candidates, moderating their policies and programs, and publicly marginalizing the party’s remaining progressive wing. Privately, the Democrats’ centrist leaders pleaded and maneuvered to retain the traditional support of labor unions, oppressed minorities, and educated professionals. Moderation rendered the Democrats’ pursuit of gains for their traditional supporters ever less effective. So too did Democrats’ hold on those constituencies’ electoral commitments and loyalties dissipate. Success with donors contradicted deepening failures with voters, most starkly exposed in the 2024 election.

Multiple, intense, and persistent contradictions within both parties suggest that some underlying, historic shifts may be underway. In my view, the first of those shifts is the peaking and subsequent decline in recent decades of the U.S. empire and its allies (especially the G7). This shift reflects and feeds the concurrent rise of the Global South, China, and the BRICS. A second shift is the accumulation of U.S. capitalism’s internal economic problems and difficulties. These are inadequately acknowledged, let alone solved. Chief among the problems are the long-term worsening of wealth and income inequalities and the persistent boom-bust or recession-inflation cycles for which no solution has been found.

In short, both the GOP and the Democrats have denied both shifts. Indeed, denial has so far been the parties’ shared response to the linked declines of global empire and domestic capitalism. Denial rarely solves problems. It usually enables or provokes them to worsen until they explode.

The key contradictions roiling political parties and their economic policies work parallel effects among professional economists. Unresolved, stale debates among economists react back upon policies, politicians, and public discourse to render them frustratingly powerless to fix what the public sees increasingly as a broken system. Starting with Adam Smith, David Ricardo, and the doctrine of laissez-faire and, especially since John Maynard Keynes, a huge portion of the profession has centered its work around an ongoing, seemingly endless debate. The question is whether our capitalist system is best served by minimal versus large, ongoing government interventions in its operation. Should we privilege pro-laissez-faire economics (the so-called neoclassical tradition) or governmental interventionist economics (the so-called Keynesian tradition) or some “synthesis” of both?

This debate figured prominently in U.S. university economics classes 20, 40, and 60 years ago much as it does in such classes today. The themes of that debate echoed prominently in the language of politics then and now. Occasionally, a few politicians recognized that the overdrawn oppositions, in theory, did not correspond all that well with actual practical politics. Nixon once said, “We are all Keynesian now.” Clinton boasted that he had “ended welfare as we know it.” Trump regularly excoriates Democrats as “radical left lunatics” and includes “fascists” among them. All three presidents were proved wrong, albeit quite self-assured, in making such confused and confusing statements.

Yet the centrality of the private-versus-government dispute in both economic theory and policy continues. Its social usefulness lies more in what it excludes rather than in anything positive it includes. Putting that debate at the core of economics has helped prevent alternative cores from emerging that would challenge both neoclassical and Keynesian economics. One such alternative core would question whether top-down hierarchical organizations of production (the employer-employee model) better serve societies than horizontally egalitarian, democratic organizations (the worker coop model). Debates might then focus on which organization of production better preserves the natural environment, reduces income and wealth inequalities, overcomes cyclical economic instability, or advances the physical and mental health of people.

The contradictions agitating discourses and practices these days may stem from the exhaustion of old economic and political traditions even as a new tradition is not yet clearly emerging. On the one hand, the U.S. and the UK now join Europe in turning clearly toward government-run protectionism instead of free trade. On the other, state-supervised China and India, among others, support free trade. The economic growth records of the USSR in the 20th century and of China in the 21st century undermine preferences for private over state-regulated capitalisms. The old debate yields no new light on such central economic issues these days as the rise of the BRICS bloc in the world economy relative to the declines of an already smaller G7 bloc and the U.S. dollar in world trade.

Of course, economists and politicians whose resumes mark them as leading proponents of neoclassical economics and privatization keep trying—like their Keynesian counterparts—to sustain the old debates that made them relevant. If they succeed, it will be because a still prevailing system prefers to rehash the old rather than welcome and explore what is emerging. In any case, however, relentless change will continue to work its ways on a passing U.S. empire and its capitalist system.

This article was produced by Economy for All, a project of the Independent Media Institute.

ZNetwork is funded solely through the generosity of its readers .Donate


Richard D. Wolff is Professor of Economics Emeritus, University of Massachusetts, Amherst where he taught economics from 1973 to 2008. He is currently a Visiting Professor in the Graduate Program in International Affairs of the New School University, New York City. Earlier he taught economics at Yale University (1967-1969) and at the City College of the City University of New York (1969-1973). In 1994, he was a Visiting Professor of Economics at the University of Paris (France), I (Sorbonne). Wolff was also regular lecturer at the Brecht Forum in New York City. Prof Wolff is the co-founder of Democracy at Work and host of their nationally syndicated show Economic Update.
The Strike at Kaiser Permanente

California Mental Healthcare Workers Demand Parity


December 21, 2024
Source: Originally published by Z. Feel free to share widely.





The behavioral healthcare workers in Kaiser Permanente’s vast empire of hospitals, clinics medical offices, and homecare settings are on strike today in the third month of walking picket lines in Southern California from San Diego to Bakersfield. These workers, members of the National Union of Healthcare Workers (NUHW), include psychologists, social workers, psychiatric nurses, addiction medicine counselors, licensed clinical counselors, and marriage and family therapists. They provide behavioral health care for Kaiser’s 4.8 million members. Kaiser is the biggest Health Maintenance Organization in the country. The strike began on October 21, three weeks after the workers’ contract had expired.

The extraordinary thing about this strike is that it really is a strike for patients and for the public’s health, a strike for mental health care parity, a strike in a time of acute mental healthcare crisis in this country. Perhaps never before has depression and anxiety and increasingly suicide reached into the lives of so many people and their families. This strike is about equity in behavioral health care. The strikers have told me this time and again. They insist they would rather be with their patients, not on a picket line, but they can’t keep working in a system that treats mental health workers like automatons and denies them the time and resources to provide the care they know their patients need.

Of course, there are a myriad of issues in this strike including pensions (1700 providers work without pensions) and wages and working conditions. “We want enough time to do our jobs, which means seven hours per week to prepare for appointments, devise treatment plans, provide resources, file mandated reports, go to the bathroom, and so on. We want wage increases that are equitable with our colleagues,” writes Adriana Webb, a medical social worker at Kaiser in Panorama City in Los Angeles, in the online magazine Labor Notes.

The strikers also want their patients to have timely visits: today, they complain, members (Kaiser has fee paying members it provides services for) can book in for treatment, but frequently endure waits of four weeks or longer for return appointments even though California mandates a maximum wait time of 10 business days for both initial and return visits.

Webb again: “I see first-hand how Kaiser’s mental health system is failing patients. It’s nearly impossible for them to get access to timely mental health care, and because Kaiser treats its therapists like assembly line factory workers, so many therapists get burned out and leave.” This gap today between good care and assembly line care at Kaiser is so conspicuous that the state of California recently fined Kaiser $50 million.

In Northern California NUHW professionals won a brutal open-ended strike on these issues in 2022. Workers won provisions to recruit and retrain staff, reduce wait times for patients, as well as an agreement to collaborate in transforming Kaiser’s approach to mental health care. It was a big step forward, progress “but only due to our 14-year struggle,” says Sal Rosselli, who stepped aside as president of NUHW earlier this year. Now it’s Southern California’s turn.

A win will be a giant step forward, but NUHW healthcare workers will get at best a breather; Kaiser is relentless in its determination to break this union. This is not the first strike in Southern California, it won’t be the last. Kaiser does whatever it can to undermine the agreements and is quite willing to violate contracts and pay fines. It remains committed to visits delayed and treatment denied, their bottom line coming first. Still, things are moving in the right direction and bigger giants have fallen.

The words, “delayed” and “denied,” of course, have taken on new meaning for Americans in the last weeks; they have come to express the depth of frustration, the bipartisan anger of the public with the health care system, especially with the insurance giants. The mental health strikers understand this anger only too well; every day they are in the trenches and their demands starkly reflect the public’s anger. In 2022, they produced the pathbreaking study. “Care delayed is Care denied.” The study revealed in great detail “that when treatment is significantly postponed or delayed, it essentially equates to being denied that care altogether, as the delay can potentially worsen a patient’s condition or prevent timely intervention, leading to negative health consequences.”

“Care delayed is Care denied.” gives us a taste of just how broken our medical system is today and just how wedded it is to the pursuit of profit. But never mind, it works for our 1%, and their representatives who are now taking places in the new president’s cabinet. Kaiser’s profits were $4.1 billion in 2023; it has $64 billion in the bank. Kaiser’s CEO, Greg Adams’ “compensation” was $17,268,060 in 2023. The corporation also underwrites his ten pension plans. More than a dozen of his minions received a million or more annually. No wonder they fight so hard to keep this system. And Kaiser is only one among many healthcare behemoths reaping unimaginable financial rewards in today’s bonanza of the billionaires.

The strikers rotate pickets from hospital to hospital. They hold rallies that converge in front of Kaiser’s Pasadena Southern California’s headquarters. They have widespread labor support. 200 RNs representing the United Nurses Associations of California/UNAC joined picket lines on the first day. The UFCW, Unite/Here and CWA have given picket line and financial support. The San Diego Federtaion of Labor sent $10,000 to the NUHW hardship fund. Nearly 400 strikers participated in a major action outside Kaiser headquarters. The event began with a food and toy distribution at the International Brother of Electrical Workers (IBEW) hall before a throng of strikers, more than a block deep, marched to Kaiser headquarters with a giant cardboard heart in tow.

The Los Angeles Federation of Labor has gone all out, including sharing their flatbed truck and their huge parade balloons, the “Scabby Rat” and the “Fat Cat.” They organized a toy drive; it is the holiday season after all. They sentthe truck, loaded with toys to the rally in Pasadena. “The second I saw the toys, I started crying,” said Jade Rosado, a Kaiser therapist with three children. “Just to be able to choose something I knew my kids would enjoy. It brought me a lot of relief.” Rosado, who was named a Kaiser “Everyday Hero” in August for helping save a patient’s life, seeing the banners for her fellow “Everyday Hero” recipients hanging inside the corporate office, noted the hypocrisy; “It just made me think that all of us are heroes, so why don’t we get the same benefits, wage increases, and patient care time as other Kaiser workers,” Rosado said. “Kaiser is profiting off our labor, but they’re not incentivizing us to stay.”

Ligia Pacheco, a Kaiser therapist, also responding to the distribution, thanked supporters, saying, “After receiving the food and toy donations, our gratitude turned into powerful chanting that reflects the solidarity we continue to have.”

The LA Federation, in addition to toys, has donated boxes of groceries to the strikers. This led, on November 15, to a confrontation outside the Los Angeles Medical Center. As the federation workers were unloading the food boxes, two “bullying” HR executives, with the LAPD in tow, insisted they couldn’t distribute the food on its property (they were on the sidewalk) and demanded they shut down the event. Most of the boxes, which included perishable items, had to be rerouted to NUHW offices in Glendale.

“It was shocking to see that, frankly, Kaiser HR is so dirty that it would deny us food after four weeks without pay,” said Kassaundra Gutierrez-Thompson, who was present at the picket line. “It’s really alarming because at the end of the day, I still work for Kaiser, and it doesn’t feel like the HR Department has my back as a Kaiser employee.”

The California chapter of the National Association of Social Workers has written to Kaiser Permanente CEO Greg Adams calling on Kaiser to “resume good faith negotiations with NUHW’s Southern California members as soon as possible, and accept the union’s reasonable contract proposals.” Mental Health America of California is also supporting the strike, as is an array of mental health advocates.

In addition to all this, a majority of California legislators has signed onto nearly identical letters calling on Kaiser Permanente CEO Greg Adams to end the strike by returning to the bargaining table and agreeing to their proposals for settlement.

The letter from Assembly Speaker Robert Rivas is signed by 40 of his fellow Assembly members, and the letter from Senate President Pro Tempore Mike McGuire is signed by 20 of his fellow senators. The letters cite reports that Kaiser is cancelling therapy sessions at “an alarming rate” during the strike They urge Adams to “resume good faith negotiations with NUHW as soon as possible, and to agree to the union’s reasonable contract proposals in order to ensure the delivery of timely and appropriate behavioral health services to your patients.”

The solidarity, it’s been magnificent. Why, then, is Kaiser, which spends a small fortune present itself as a progressive vanguard in progressive healthcare, playing hardball with its psychologists, social workers, psychiatric nurses, counselors, family therapists?

Jim Clifford, an elected NUHW executive Board member, a bilingual therapist in Kaiser’s southern- most clinic (“I can see Tijuana from my office”) says it’s not that complicated. Money? “They’ve spent far more money trying to break us than settling with us would cost. They pay scab therapists $13, 000 a week and there’s still a high turnover.

“No, we’ve been a thorn in Kaiser’s side since we were first organized more than a decade ago. We’ve been the whistle blowers, the strongest advocates of providing decent mental health care and a voice for patients.

“Kaiser has fought us EVERY STEP of the way. It took us five years of fighting with them to get our first contract. That didn’t stop them, they tried to decertify us. They unilaterally took away our defined pension. They held us below the wages and benefits of the rest of the corporation. How are we supposed to get new therapists – and keep them?”

Sophia Mendoza, a veteran of southern California’s labor wars, was elected President of NUHW this last spring, replacing Rosselli, who, stepping aside, is still an active member of the union. She is confident that the union will win. “Our demands are reasonable. People want good mental health care and that’s what this is about. Our members, their patients, the electeds, and other unions are all coming together. Our fight to restore the defined benefit pension is a fight for all of labor. This is a fight to treat those who need and to provide mental health care equitably.”

The National Union of Healthcare Workers is a member-led movement that represents 19,000 healthcare workers in California and Hawaii, including more than 4,700 Kaiser mental health professionals.

This report is based on discussions with many NUHW members and staff as well as NUHW press releases.


ZNetwork is funded solely through the generosity of its readers. Donate



Cal Winslow is a retired Fellow in Environmental History at the University of California, Berkeley and is Director of the Mendocino Institute. He was trained as an historian at Antioch College and Warwick University where he studied under the direction of the late Edward Thompson. He is a co-author of the re-released Albion's Fatal Tree (Verso 2011). In the 1970s he worked as a warehouseman, truck driver and journalist, a participant in and observer of the rank-and-file workers’ rebellion of the decade. He is an editor of Rebel Rank and File, Labor Militancy and Revolt from below During the Long 1970s (Verso, 2010). He taught labor studies at the Center for Worker Education, City College of New York and was a visiting Senior Lecturer at the Northern College for Residential Adult Working Class Education in South Yorkshire. His is author of many books, including E.P. Thompson and the Making of the New Left (Monthly Review 2014). His most recent is Radical Seattle, the General Strike of 1919 (Monthly Review, 2019). He lives with his family on the Mendocino Coast of Northern California. He and his wife, Faith Simon, a Family Nurse Practitioner specializing in pediatrics, are founding members of Mendocino Parents for Peace and are associated with the Bay Area gatherin

BCE Must Slash Dividend to Stage a Turnaround, Scotia Says


December 20, 2024 


(Bloomberg) -- After a year that sent BCE Inc. shares to a 14-year low, a Bay Street analyst said Canada’s largest telecom company needs to cut its dividend.


“Without tackling this pain point, we believe all other medications will end up treating the symptoms but not truly tackling the root cause,” Bank of Nova Scotia analyst Maher Yaghi wrote to clients on Thursday evening. “Our wish list is for the company to cut the dividend in half to provide the needed breathing space to de-lever the balance sheet.”

More importantly, Yaghi said, BCE needs to “abolish” its dividend reinvestment plan, which he argues will dilute shareholders by as much as C$1.3 billion ($905 million) each year.

    Shares of BCE are down 36% so far this year to C$33.43 as of 2:19 p.m. in Toronto, falling faster than peers like Rogers Communications Inc., which is down 29% over the same timeframe. Both telecom companies are also underperforming the broader S&P/TSX Composite Index, which has gained 18% for the year to date.

    BCE’s 12-month dividend yield is 12%, and it declared a dividend of 99.75 Canadian cents in November.

    BCE laid off 9% of its workforce in February, its largest restructuring in nearly 30 years, in the face of a softer growth outlook and a mobile price war with its competitors. On the same day, the company raised its dividend by 3.1% — less than its usual 5% pace.

    The telecom then used the C$4.7 billion it gained from selling its stake in Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment to purchase US internet provider Northwest Fiber LLC instead of paying down debt, which topped C$40 billion as of Sept. 30. The company also ruled out increasing its dividend for all of 2025 — after 16 years of boosting its payout annually — and said it will discount its dividend reinvestment plan.

    BCE shares fell to their lowest level in 12 years after the Nov. 4 announcement.

    David Wahl, portfolio manager with ClearBridge Investments, called BCE a “disappointment” at a market outlook event on Dec. 12 in Toronto. Wahl said the MLSE sale would have been “a great way to shore up the balance sheet.”

    “And then they went and bought Ziply,” Wahl said, referring to Northwest Fiber’s trade name. “Ziply, although it’s a great company and has a lot of potential, it kind of pulls on the strings of: Are you a dividend grower? Are you a growth name?”

    Yaghi argued a dividend cut is what’s needed. He acknowledged the stock’s retail investor base would incur short-term pain, but over the long term, such a move would help the company build a more solid foundation. However, he doesn’t expect the company to trim the dividend when management provides its guidance for 2025 on Feb. 6.

    “Do we think the dividend will eventually get cut?” he wrote. “The answer is yes.”

    The Scotiabank team advised BCE to sell assets where rent costs outpace the costs of ownership, such as wireless towers and satellite business. It also suggested Bell merge its media assets with Corus in a separate public company, but doubted the firm would be open to the idea in the coming year.

    Yaghi and his team nonetheless praised BCE’s corporate culture and said it continues to have significant advantages, adding that it “remains the industry bellwether.”

    --With assistance from Melissa Shin.

    (Adds updated share price and dividend yield beginning in the fourth paragraph.)

    BNN Bloomberg is owned by Bell Media, which is a division of BCE.

    ©2024 Bloomberg L.P.


    National Bank gets final approval for Canadian Western Bank takeover



    National Bank stock is showing bearish momentum as it nears its takeover of Canadian Western Bank. Stock analyst John Aiken explains.

    National Bank of Canada's $5-billion takeover of Canadian Western Bank has cleared its final regulatory hurdle.

    The Montreal-based National Bank said Friday the federal finance minister has approved the deal, marking the last milestone in the takeover set to be completed on Feb. 3, 2025.

    "This is great news for Canadians and will allow our two complementary banks to unite and enhance services for our clients," said Laurent Ferreira, president and CEO of National Bank, in a news release.

    "A new and exciting chapter is beginning for National Bank and CWB as we come together."

    The deal previously received approvals from the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions and the Competition Bureau. Canadian Western Bank shareholders voted in favour of the transaction in September.

    National Bank has called its takeover of the Edmonton-based Canadian Western Bank a key pillar of its domestic growth strategy for 2025. Ferreira said the acquisition will strengthen National Bank's position across the country and allow for more growth in Western Canada.

    The Montreal-based bank said Friday that the two companies will now work together to ensure a smooth transition for both CWB clients and employees, who will receive additional information about next steps shortly.

    National Bank will start including CWB in its financial results beginning in the second quarter of 2025, the company said.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Dec. 20, 2024.

    Companies in this story: (TSX:NA, TSX:CWB)

    The Canadian Press

     

    Home affordability improves, but still challenging for many Canadians: RBC report



    TORONTO — A new report from RBC Economics says home affordability in Canada is improving, though strains remain.


    The report says home ownership costs have eased for three consecutive quarters in Canada.

    But RBC says home ownership costs as a percentage of median household income remain close to worst-ever levels, at 58.4 per cent in the third quarter of 2024

      The share of income a median Canadian household would need to cover mortgage payments, property taxes and utilities hit an all-time high of 63.8 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2023.


      The report says in the third quarter of 2024, Vancouver, Victoria and Toronto saw the largest gains in home affordability when compared with other Canadian markets


      RBC says it expects further relief in 2025, thanks to anticipated rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and growing household incomes.


      This report by The Canadian Press was first published Dec. 20, 2024.