Thursday, October 24, 2024

How Trump's billionaires are hijacking affordable housing

Thom Hartmann
October 24, 2024 


Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump attends the 79th annual Alfred E. Smith Memorial Foundation Dinner in New York City, U.S., October 17, 2024. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

America’s morbidly rich billionaires are at it again, this time screwing the average family’s ability to have decent, affordable housing in their never-ending quest for more, more, more. Canada, New Zealand, Singapore, and Denmark have had enough and done something about it: we should, too.

There are a few things that are essential to “life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness” that should never be purely left to the marketplace; these are the most important sectors where government intervention, regulation, and even subsidy are not just appropriate but essential. Housing is at the top of that list.

A few days ago I noted how, since the Reagan Revolution, the cost of housing has exploded in America, relative to working class income.

When my dad bought his home in the 1950s, for example, the median price of a single-family house was around 2.2 times the median American family income. Today the St. Louis Fed says the median house sells for $417,700 while the median American income is $40,480—a ratio of more than 10 to 1 between housing costs and annual income.

In other words, housing is about five times more expensive (relative to income) than it was in the 1950s.

And now we’ve surged past a new tipping point, causing the homelessness that’s plagued America’s cities since George W. Bush’s deregulation-driven housing- and stock-market crash in 2008, exacerbated by Trump’s bungling America’s pandemic response.

And the principal cause of both that crash and today’s crisis of homelessness and housing affordability has one, single, primary cause: billionaires treating housing as an investment commodity.

A new report from Popular Democracy and the Institute for Policy Studies reveals how billionaire investors have become a major driver of the nationwide housing crisis. They summarize in their own words:

— Billionaire-backed private equity firms worm their way into different segments of the housing market to extract ever-increasing rents and value from multi-family rental, single-family homes, and mobile home park communities.
— Global billionaires purchase billions in U.S. real estate to diversify their asset holdings, driving the creation of luxury housing that functions as “safety deposit boxes in the sky.” Estimates of hidden wealth are as high as $36 trillion globally, with billions parked in U.S. land and housing markets.
— Wealthy investors are acquiring property and holding units vacant, so that in many communities the number of vacant units greatly exceeds the number of unhoused people. Nationwide there are 16 million vacant homes: that is, 28 vacant homes for every unhoused person.
— Billionaire investors are buying up a large segment of the short-term rental market, preventing local residents from living in these homes, in order to cash in on tourism. These are not small owners with one unit, but corporate owners with multiple properties.
— Billionaire investors and corporate landlords are targeting communities of color and low-income residents, in particular, with rent increases, high rates of eviction, and unhealthy living conditions. What’s more, billionaire-owned private equity firms are investing in subsidized housing, enjoying tax breaks and public benefits, while raising rents and evicting low-income tenants from housing they are only required to keep affordable, temporarily. (Emphasis theirs.)

It seems that everywhere you look in America you see the tragedy of the homelessness these billionaires are causing. Rarely, though, do you hear about the role of Wall Street and its billionaires in causing it.

The math, however, is irrefutable.

Thirty-two percent is the magic threshold, according to research funded by the real estate listing company Zillow. When neighborhoods hit rent rates in excess of 32 percent of neighborhood income, homelessness explodes. And we’re seeing it play out right in front of us in cities across America because a handful of Wall Street billionaires are making a killing.


As the Zillow study notes:
“Across the country, the rent burden already exceeds the 32 percent [of median income] threshold in 100 of the 386 markets included in this analysis….”

And wherever housing prices become more than three times annual income, homelessness stalks like the grim reaper. That Zillow-funded study laid it out:
“This research demonstrates that the homeless population climbs faster when rent affordability — the share of income people spend on rent — crosses certain thresholds. In many areas beyond those thresholds, even modest rent increases can push thousands more Americans into homelessness.”

This trend is massive.


As noted in a Wall Street Journal article titled “Meet Your New Landlord: Wall Street,” in just one suburb (Spring Hill) of Nashville:
“In all of Spring Hill, four firms … own nearly 700 houses … [which] amounts to about 5% of all the houses in town.”

This is the tiniest tip of the iceberg.
“On the first Tuesday of each month,” notes the Journal article about a similar phenomenon in Atlanta, investors “toted duffels stuffed with millions of dollars in cashier’s checks made out in various denominations so they wouldn’t have to interrupt their buying spree with trips to the bank…”

The same thing is happening in cities and suburbs all across America; agents for the billionaire investor goliaths use fine-tuned computer algorithms to sniff out houses they can turn into rental properties, making over-market and unbeatable cash bids often within minutes of a house hitting the market.


After stripping neighborhoods of homes young families can afford to buy, billionaires then begin raising rents to extract as much cash as they can from local working class communities.

In the Nashville suburb of Spring Hill, the vice-mayor, Bruce Hull, told the Journal you used to be able to rent “a three bedroom, two bath house for $1,000 a month.” Today, the Journal notes:
“The average rent for 148 single-family homes in Spring Hill owned by the big four [Wall Street billionaire investor] landlords was about $1,773 a month…”

As the Bank of International Settlements summarized in a 2014 retrospective study of the years since the Reagan/Gingrich changes in banking and finance:

“We describe a Pareto frontier along which different levels of risk-taking map into different levels of welfare for the two parties, pitting Main Street against Wall Street. … We also show that financial innovation, asymmetric compensation schemes, concentration in the banking system, and bailout expectations enable or encourage greater risk-taking and allocate greater surplus to Wall Street at the expense of Main Street.”

It’s a fancy way of saying that billionaire-owned big banks and hedge funds have made trillions on housing while you and your community are becoming destitute.

Ryan Dezember, in his book Underwater: How Our American Dream of Homeownership Became a Nightmare, describes the story of a family trying to buy a home in Phoenix. Every time they entered a bid, they were outbid instantly, the price rising over and over, until finally the family’s father threw in the towel.
“Jacobs was bewildered,” writes Dezember. “Who was this aggressive bidder?”

Turns out it was Blackstone Group, now the world’s largest real estate investor run by a major Trump supporter. At the time they were buying $150 million worth of American houses every week, trying to spend over $10 billion. And that’s just a drop in the overall bucket.


As that new study from Popular Democracy and the Institute for Policy Studies found:
“[Billionaire Stephen Schwarzman’s] Blackstone is the largest corporate landlord in the world, with a vast and diversified real estate portfolio. It owns more than 300,000 residential units across the U.S., has $1 trillion in global assets, and nearly doubled its profits in 2021.
“Blackstone owns 149,000 multi-family apartment units; 63,000 single-family homes; 70 mobile home parks with 13,000 lots through their subsidiary Treehouse Communities; and student housing, through American Campus Communities (144,300 beds in 205 properties as of 2022). Blackstone recently acquired 95,000 units of subsidized housing.”

In 2018, corporations and the billionaires that own or run them bought 1 out of every 10 homes sold in America, according to Dezember, noting that:
“Between 2006 and 2016, when the homeownership rate fell to its lowest level in fifty years, the number of renters grew by about a quarter.”

And it’s gotten worse every year since then.


This all really took off around a decade ago following the Bush Crash, when Morgan Stanley published a 2011 report titled “The Rentership Society,” arguing that snapping up houses and renting them back to people who otherwise would have wanted to buy them could be the newest and hottest investment opportunity for Wall Street’s billionaires and their funds.

Turns out, Morgan Stanley was right. Warren Buffett, KKR, and The Carlyle Group have all jumped into residential real estate, along with hundreds of smaller investment groups, and the National Home Rental Council has emerged as the industry’s premiere lobbying group, working to block rent control legislation and other efforts to control the industry.

As John Husing, the owner of Economics and Politics Inc., told The Tennessean newspaper:

“What you have are neighborhoods that are essentially unregulated apartment houses. It could be disastrous for the city.”

As Zillow found:
“The areas that are most vulnerable to rising rents, unaffordability, and poverty hold 15 percent of the U.S. population — and 47 percent of people experiencing homelessness.”

The loss of affordable homes also locks otherwise middle class families out of the traditional way wealth is accumulated — through home ownership: over 61% of all American middle-income family wealth is their home’s equity.

And as families are priced out of ownership and forced to rent, they become more vulnerable to homelessness.

Housing is one of the primary essentials of life. Nobody in America should be without it, and for society to work, housing costs must track incomes in a way that makes housing both available and affordable.

Singapore, Denmark, New Zealand, and parts of Canada have all put limits on billionaire, corporate, and foreign investment in housing, recognizing families’ residences as essential to life rather than purely a commodity. Multiple other countries are having that debate or moving to take similar actions as you read these words.

America should, too.

Elizabeth Weir, trailblazer in N.B. politics, reflects on Holt victory

CBC
Thu, October 24, 2024 

Elizabeth Weir, a former NDP leader in New Brunswick, says with Susan Holt's election win, 'It's a time to celebrate.' (CBC - image credit)


For Elizabeth Weir, Monday's election is one to remember.

"My reaction and my emotion was simply a combination of joy and relief: quite clearly joy to see that historic moment of a woman being elected as our premier and honestly relief that the previous government was gone," Weir said, in an interview with CBC Radio's Shift.

Weir served as New Brunswick's NDP leader from 1988 to 2005 and was the party's only MLA from 1992 until 2005.


Premier-designate Susan Holt is one of a record 17 women to win seats in this election, something Weir said matters.

"Well, it matters because the issues that shape women's lives, the policies of our legislature, the legislation that they adopt can so deeply affect women's lives," she said of Holt's win.

Susan Holt made history as the first woman to be elected premier of New Brunswick.

Susan Holt has made history as the first woman to be elected premier of New Brunswick. (Patrick Morrell/CBC News)

During her time in the legislature, Weir was known for her quick wit in the daily question period and her skill during contentious debates.

She left elected politics when former premier Bernard Lord appointed her as the first president and chief executive officer of Efficiency New Brunswick.

Weir has spent time travelling around the world training others in democratic governance and oversight, working with parliamentarians, political party activists and social leaders.

She has worked with the United Nations and with the National Democratic Institute, an international non-governmental organization based out of Washington that works in 55 countries.

Here at home, she has advocated for more representation of women in politics through the Women for 50% organization, where she is one of the founders.

Weir called out the outgoing Higgs government over its handling of issues such as Policy 713 and abortion access.

"So women need to be decision-makers to make those changes, so it matters big time."

Weir said she feels fortunate to have had the example of the women who came before her, such as Brenda Robertson, who was the first woman elected to the New Brunswick legislature, in 1967, and later was the first woman to hold a cabinet position.


Brenda Robertson, New Brunswick's first female MLA, has died at the age of 91.

Brenda Robertson, who died in 2020, was the first woman elected to the New Brunswick legislature. (Submitted by the Robertson family )

She also pointed to Alexa McDonough, the first woman to lead a major party in Nova Scotia, becoming leader of the province's NDP in 1980, and later going on to lead the federal party.

"There was no women's bathroom in the Nova Scotia legislature for MLAs to use. If you can ... imagine that," Weir said.

"So I really benefited. They would provide me advice, support. We were in different parties. Sometimes I would work collaboratively with them."

Weir also said she gives credit to former premier Richard Hatfield, who governed from 1970 to 1987, for appointing women in his caucus to cabinet.

Former Nova Scotia NDP leader Alexa McDonough pauses while taking questions from the media during a news conference in Halifax on, June 2, 2008, after announcing that she would not be seeking re-election in the next federal election.

In 1980, the NDP's Alexa McDonough became the first woman to lead a major political party in Nova Scotia. (Mike Dembeck/The Canadian Press)

"And so when I came, you know, there really was a very different atmosphere than the kind of hostility that Alexa encountered in a neighbouring province in Nova Scotia," Weir said.

"And so, I see it as I also have an obligation to help women in different ways to continue to make those changes."

There's no silver bullet to achieving gender equality, Weir said, but there have been gains.

"I just kept thinking of all those little girls around the province watching Susan give her speech on election night and what a profound change and impact that can have," Weir said.

"It's a time to celebrate. You know, we don't have good news in politics all the time and this is certainly it."


Holt's historic N.B. win also sees record number of women, several francophones elected

CBC
Wed, October 23, 2024 at 3:00 a.m. MDT·5 min read

Premier-designate Susan Holt will have nine other women in her Liberal caucus, 19 francophones and at least four bilingual members, like her. (Patrick Morrell/CBC News - image credit)


New Brunswick's election outcome is historic, not only because Liberal Leader Susan Holt became the first woman in the province to win the premier's job but also because of the number of women and French-speaking candidates elected.

There will be a record 17 women in the legislative assembly — 10 Liberals, six Progressive Conservatives and one Green.

That's 34 per cent of members, up from 14 women in 2020, 11 in 2018 and only eight in 2014.

More francophone and bilingual candidates were also elected in the only officially bilingual province in Canada.

Among the Liberals, 19 of the 31 MLAs are francophone, while a number of others are bilingual, including premier-designate Holt.

Premier-designate Susan Holt surrounded by her three daughters, Paige, Brooke and Molly on the evening of her historic victory.

Premier-designate Susan Holt surrounded by her three daughters, Paige, Brooke and Molly on the evening of her historic victory. (Patrick Morrell/CBC)

"This is a historic moment for me and for all the little girls in the room who can dream and know that this is not an impossible goal," Holt, 47, told a large crowd of supporters in Fredericton Monday evening as her three young daughters looked on.

Her majority-government win over outgoing Progressive Conservative premier Blaine Higgs comes just two years after she became the first woman to win the New Brunswick Liberal leadership and 18 months after she was elected to the legislature in a byelection.

"I didn't know it would be me that would be achieving this," she told CBC on Tuesday.

"But I've been wanting to see women leadership in our province, like in so many other provinces across Canada and around the world.

"So I'm humbled that I have this honour and this opportunity."

Credits trailblazers

During her bilingual acceptance speech, Holt paid tribute to the trailblazing women who came before her, including Brenda Robertson, the first woman elected to the New Brunswick Legislature in 1967 and the first woman to serve in cabinet; Shirley Dysart, the first woman to serve as the leader of a political party in New Brunswick when she was appointed interim leader of the Liberals in 1985 and the first female Speaker; and Elizabeth Weir, the first elected female leader of a political party in New Brunswick, serving as NDP leader from 1988 to 2005.

Holt also singled out Aldéa Landry, the first Acadian woman named to New Brunswick cabinet in 1987 and first female deputy premier in Frank McKenna's Liberal government.

Aldéa Landry, who made history as deputy premier to Frank McKenna, called Monday's election result "her-storical."

Aldéa Landry, who made history as deputy premier to Frank McKenna, called Monday's election result "her-storical." (CBC)

Landry had tears in her eyes as she watched Holt win.

"The hope, the pride, the emotion, the tears. … It's extraordinary," she said.

Isabelle Thériault, the Liberal MLA for Caraquet, said she's proud the number of women in her caucus had tripled.

"There were only three of us women, now there will be 10 of us. We have several initiatives related to the condition and health of women. I am so excited to be able to make a positive difference for women. It is such a great accomplishment," she said in French.

Major milestone

According to the president of the Regroupement féministe du Nouveau-Brunswick, Geneviève Louise Latour, it's a major milestone.

"What happened [Monday night] has a super important symbolic weight. It has a power," she said.

"At the same time, I don't delude myself, there are still glass ceilings to break, but it was a giant step forward."

Geneviève Louise Latour, executive director of Crossroads for Women said securing long term funding could be a issues. "If we're thinking 70 something sex workers are here in the Greater Mountain area, that's a lot of people to serve and we want to make sure that they all get the same service of quality."

Geneviève Louise Latour said her group intends to hold the Liberal Party accountable for its election commitments, particularly on reproductive justice. (Ian Bonnell/CBC)

Parity in the number of male and female MLAs has not yet been achieved and there are still several obstacles to overcome to attract more women and people from gender minorities into politics, noted Latour.

Holt could also face backlash as a powerful woman in a "boys' club" environment, she said.

Seeks to unify

Holt says she wants to govern in a unifying way, particularly with regard to linguistic differences.

'We want to bring everyone together, like good neighbours," said Holt, who credits New Brunswick's early immersion in large part for her bilingualism.

People "don't want to be divided by language [and] want a government that shows them respect."

After six years of leading the province, Higgs still does not speak French, despite his repeated promises to learn the language.

After the departure of ministers Robert Gauvin, Dominic Cardy and Daniel Allain, the only bilingual members of the Tory caucus left were Minister of Local Government, Minister of Environment and Climate Change and Minister responsible for la Francophonie Glen Savoie, Education Minister Bill Hogan and MLA Réjean Savoie.

Hogan admits his party missed opportunities to get closer to the French-speaking and Acadian community.

"There are a lot of things that need to be done in the Progressive Conservative Party to tell these citizens that they are important to us," he said in an interview Tuesday.

French speakers make up a third of the province's population, said Roger Ouellette, a political science professor at the University of Moncton.

The fact Higgs was "unable to reach this population" and still obtain a majority government is an anomaly, he said.

Moncton political scientist Roger Ouellette says 'Higgs is out of touch with the ideology of his own party.'

It's difficult to govern in New Brunswick without the support of French speakers, according to Moncton political scientist Roger Ouellette. (Guy Leblanc/Radio-Canada)

Ouellette believes Holt's unifying strategy has borne fruit.

"The Liberals were able to reach out to francophones, Indigenous peoples, sexual minorities. We have a premier who is fortunate to want to bring the entire province together and, I would say, move toward social peace."

Among her 100 election commitments, which focus largely on health-care, education and cost-of-living challenges, Holt has pledged to appoint a deputy minister to head the Official Languages Secretariat, created last year in response to the 2021 review of the Official Languages Act.

In a news release, the Société de l'Acadie du Nouveau-Brunswick welcomed the election of the Liberal Party.

"We look forward to working with the new government team and strengthening the rights of the Acadian and francophone population of our province," president Nicole Arseneau-Sluyter said in a statement.
UCP AUSTERITY 

Alberta pharmacists face fee rollbacks as demand grows and budget soars


the pay rollbacks could lead to service reductions.


CBC
Thu, October 24, 2024 

The fees pharmacists can charge for providing comprehensive annual care plans will drop from $100 to $70. The number of followups they can get paid for have been slashed, too. (Ben Nelms/CBC - image credit)


Pharmacists are pushing back against the Alberta government's plan to cut some of their fees, warning the move could lead to job cuts and ultimately hurt patient care.

Health Minister Adriana LaGrange notified pharmacists of the cuts in a letter on Monday.

She said Alberta's pharmacy services budget is forecasted to go $30 million over its $670-million budget for this fiscal year.


As a result, she is cutting the amount pharmacists are paid for conducting comprehensive annual care plans from $100 to $70.

And the number of followups and medication reviews they can charge for drops from 12 to four per year.

"I'm very frustrated," said Calgary pharmacist Randy Howden.

"One of my colleagues, who I talked to yesterday, was in tears"

Howden, who is past-president of the Alberta Pharmacists' Association said this impacts his work with vulnerable patients, including seniors and people with chronic diseases.

Care plans can involve education and meeting with a patient to discuss diabetes management, for example.

"To have those fees cut is pretty drastic. And then to have the number of followups cut means that if I'm following up with a senior every month, I'm only going to get paid for four months and after that I'm doing it for free," he said.

Margaret Wing worries this could lead to job cuts or pharmacists spending less time with patients.

"That does impact quality," said Wing, CEO of the Alberta Pharmacists' Association.

"If patients can't go to pharmacists and they don't have family doctors available to them, where do they go? They have to go to our hospital system, which is, I think, a challenge."

According to Wing, it's been clear for the last 18 months that pharmacy service spending was trending up.

"This was not a surprise to anyone. The reaction [from government] is a surprise to pharmacists."

She said the budget was set several years ago and demand for pharmacist services has increased since then.

"It doesn't seem to be a very responsive reaction to how much need there is right now from Albertans."

These cuts come at time when the province is struggling with a shortage of family physicians and the government has been messaging that pharmacists can play a key role in primary care.

Fiona Clement, a professor at the University of Calgary in the department of community health sciences, has been awarded the prestigious Harkness Fellowship in Health Care Policy and Practice.

University of Calgary professor Fiona Clement says cutting fees could undermine the government's effort to get pharmacists more engaged in primary care activities for patients. (Riley Brandt/University of Calgary)

"Up until now, all of the messages have been that your pharmacist is one source of some kinds of primary care in a hope to try and address some of the gap that Albertans are experiencing," said Fiona Clement, a professor in the department of community health sciences at the University of Calgary.

"It is surprising to then see the fees being pulled back because one might hypothesize that this will have exactly the opposite effect of more pharmacists engaging in primary care activities for patients."

Clement agrees the pay rollbacks could lead to service reductions.

"It is a business at the end of the day … and that will likely translate into changes to the way people interact with their pharmacist."

In a statement, the health minister's office said Albertans will still have access to pharmacists for care plan assessments and followups.

"The decision to make these changes to these pharmacy services has taken into consideration the financial sustainability of both government and pharmacies, while minimizing the impact to service quality and access to primary care for Albertans," the statement said.

The spokesperson said the government has been meeting with the Alberta Pharmacists' Association to discuss how to address the budget concerns and acknowledge pharmacists have presented other cost-saving options.

"The government will continue to explore the feasibility of implementing the options proposed by the association and pharmacists during upcoming consultation meetings for a new pharmacy funding framework in early November."

The changes will be made through a ministerial order and take effect on Nov. 1.
Palestinian Authority treads tightrope in West Bank crackdown on militants

Ali Sawafta
Thu, October 24, 2024 

World leaders take part in the 79th annual United Nations General Assembly, in New York

By Ali Sawafta

TUBAS, West Bank (Reuters) - In the West Bank city of Tubas, the Palestinian Authority has been rounding up militants who are spoiling for a fight with Israel and challenging its own rule, seeking to show it can help shape the future for Palestinians after the war in Gaza.

President Mahmoud Abbas' Palestinian Authority (PA) has poured forces into Tubas, saying it aims to quash lawlessness and deny Israel pretexts to raid the city in the occupied territory.


His militant adversaries - Hamas and Islamic Jihad - say the PA is serving Israel's agenda at a time when Israel is going after their fighters in the West Bank as they battle Israel in Gaza, sharpening old divisions between the militants and Abbas.

Residents of Tuba said clashes between the militants and the PA this month involved heavy machine guns and bombs in some of the worst violence they can remember.

It highlights the precarious position of an authority formed in 1994 as a stepping stone to a state in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip with East Jerusalem as its capital, a prospect that appears as far away as ever, though it has come back into international focus of late as a way to bring peace.

The PA controlled Gaza until 2007, when Hamas routed forces loyal to Abbas, but is now confined to running patches of the West Bank under the eye of Israeli troops.

As Israel presses its Gaza offensive to wipe out Hamas, the United States has said it wants to see the territory and the West Bank unified under a reformed and revitalised PA.

For Abbas, 88, the Tubas campaign is partly about weakening the grip his militant foes have gained over the northern West Bank, in what his Fatah Movement sees as an Iran-backed attempt to undermine their position, according to Fatah officials and security sources.

It is also about disproving critics who view the PA as ineffective - a reputation that has overshadowed diplomatic contacts led by the United States over the role it might eventually play in Gaza, according to a former PA security official and an analyst.

Tubas Governor Ahmed al-Asaad said the PA had decided to strike with "an iron fist" against what he described as lawlessness and anarchy.

Two PA security men have been wounded as their forces fought members of the "Tubas Battalion", an armed group dominated by the Islamic Jihad faction, and detained at least three of its members, including its leader.

STANDOFF

Al-Asaad said the PA was responding to public concern, giving the example of a bomb that had been recently planted near a school - apparently in preparation for an attack on Israeli forces.

"We don't want - under the slogan of resistance or any other slogan - to destroy our country and to destroy Tubas," he said.

"Our approach is clear and is the approach of the President: the approach of peaceful, popular resistance and safeguarding security and order," he told Reuters in an interview.

The Authority has overhauled its operations in a variety of areas, assuaging some of the concern expressed by countries that provide aid.

"On the whole, the revitalisation effort has been pretty well received," a European diplomat said.

On Saturday, dozens of PA security men surrounded a building near Tubas where two Batalion militants were holed up, with one of them, Obada al-Masri, threatening to blow himself up, a source familiar with the incident said.

"We negotiated with him for almost five hours," said his father, Abdel Majid al-Masri, who was called to the scene to help convince his son to surrender.

He said his son eventually agreed after receiving guarantees he would be held in Tubas rather than at another PA jail where he was previously incarcerated and had suffered mistreatment.

Masri expressed relief that his son had been taken into PA custody rather than killed by Israeli forces, which have also been raiding Tubas in search of militants and had previously jailed his son for three years.

His son had chosen "the route of struggle to liberate Palestine", he said, rejecting PA accusations that Battalion members were engaged in lawlessness.

Islamic Jihad condemned the operation, saying PA forces appeared to be aiming to eliminate resistance to Israel and their methods were no different.

LOW-HANGING FRUIT

PA security forces were heavily deployed, with a checkpoint on a road into the city, when Reuters visited Tubas this week, but the city was calm.

Ghaith al-Omari, an expert on PA affairs at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, said the Tubas campaign was a much-needed attempt by the PA to assert itself in a part of the West Bank where its control had been "practically absent".

"The PA understands that nobody sees it as being capable of running Gaza and everyone cites the fact that they can't even run the northern West Bank," said Omari, formerly an advisor to the Palestinian president.

But he said one operation did not make a reputation, noting that Tubas represented "low-hanging fruit" and militant groups there were weaker than in Jenin, also in the north.

With U.S. support, the 35,000-strong PA security forces were reconstituted after the 2007 Hamas takeover of Gaza.

Yet the Washington institute said in a July policy note that for PA to assume governance in Gaza it would need extensive recruitment, equipment, vetting, and training, a process it said would take years.

In the West Bank, the biggest issue for Omari was that PA security forces were "really, really unpopular in the north".

A September opinion poll showed 89% of Palestinians in the West Bank want Abbas to resign, and that Hamas has more support than Fatah there. Polls by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research have consistently shown that Marwan Barghouti, a Fatah leader jailed by Israel, would win any presidential vote.

Omari said: "To do effective security you need both capabilities but also you need credibility and legitimacy."

(Additional reporting by Tom Perry, Humeyra Pamuk and James Mackenzie; Writing by Tom Perry; Editing by Philippa Fletcher)
World on pace for significantly more warming without immediate climate action, report warns

Seth Borenstein
Thu, October 24, 2024 



The Associated Press

The world is on a path to get 1.8 degrees Celsius (3.2 Fahrenheit) warmer than it is now, but could trim half a degree of that projected future heating if countries do everything they promise to fight climate change, a United Nations report said Thursday.

But it still won't be near enough to curb warming's worst impacts such as nastier heat waves, wildfires, storms and droughts, the report said.

Under every scenario but the “most optimistic” with the biggest cuts in fossil fuels burning, the chance of curbing warming so it stays within the internationally agreed-upon limit "would be virtually zero," the United Nations Environment Programme's annual Emissions Gap Report said. The goal, set in the 2015 Paris Agreement, is to limit human-caused warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) since pre-industrial times. The report said that since the mid-1800s, the world has already heated up by 1.3 degrees Celsius (2.3 degrees Fahrenheit), up from previous estimates of 1.1 or 1.2 degrees because it includes the record heat last year.

Instead the world is on pace to hit 3.1 degrees Celsius (5.6 degrees Fahrenheit) since pre-industrial times. But if nations somehow do all of what they promised in targets they submitted to the United Nations that warming could be limited to 2.6 degrees Celsius (4.7 degrees Fahrenheit), the report said.

In that super-stringent cuts scenario where nations have zero net carbon emissions after mid-century, there's a 23% chance of keeping warming at or below the 1.5 degrees goal. It's far more likely that even that optimistic scenario will keep warming to 1.9 degrees above pre-industrial times, the report said.

“The main message is that action right now and right here before 2030 is critical if we want to lower the temperature,” said report main editor Anne Olhoff, an economist and chief climate advisor to the UNEP Copenhagen Climate Centre. “It is now or never really if we want to keep 1.5 alive.”

Without swift and dramatic emission cuts “on a scale and pace never seen before,” UNEP Director Inger Andersen said “the 1.5 degree C goal will soon be dead and (the less stringent Paris goal of) well below 2 degrees C will take its place in the intensive care unit.”

Olhoff said Earth's on a trajectory to slam the door on 1.5 sometime in 2029.

“Winning slowly is the same as losing when it comes to climate change,” said author Neil Grant of Climate Analytics. “And so I think we are at risk of a lost decade.”

One of the problems is that even though nations pledged climate action in their targets submitted as part of the Paris Agreement, there's a big gap between what they said they will do and what they are doing based on their existing policies, report authors said.

The world's 20 richest countries — which are responsible for 77% of the carbon pollution in the air — are falling short of their stated emission-cutting goals, with only 11 meeting their individual targets, the report said.

Emission cuts strong enough to limit warming to the 1.5 degree goal are more than technically and economically possible, the report found. They just aren't being proposed or done.

The report ”shows that yet again governments are sleepwalking towards climate chaos," said climate scientist Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, who wasn't part of the report.

Another outside scientist, Johan Rockstrom, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, said the report confirms his worst concerns: “We are not making progress and are now following a 3.1 degree path, which is, with next to zero uncertainty, a path to disaster."

Both the 3.1 degree and 2.6 degree calculations are a tenth of a degree Celsius warmer than last year’s version of the UN report, which experts said is within the margin of uncertainty.

Mostly the problem is “there's one year less time to cut emissions and avoid climate catastrophe,” said MIT's John Sterman, who models different warming scenarios based on emissions and countries policies. “Catastrophe is a strong word and I don't use it lightly,” he said, citing the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's latest report saying 3 degrees of warming would trigger severe and irreversible damage.

The report focuses on what's called an emissions gap. It calculates a budget of how many billions of tons of greenhouse gases — mostly carbon dioxide and methane — the world can spew and stay under 1.5 degrees, 1.8 degrees and 2 degrees of warming since pre-industrial times. It then figures how much annual emissions have to be slashed by 2030 to keep at those levels.

To keep at or below 1.5 degrees, the world must slash emissions by 42%, and to keep at or below 2 degrees, the cut has to be 28%, the report, named, “No more hot air... please !” said.

In 2023, the world spewed 57.1 billion metric tons (62.9 billion U.S. tons) of greenhouse gases, the report said. That’s 1,810 metric tons (1,995 U.S. tons) of heat-trapping gases a second.

“There is a direct link between increasing emissions and increasingly frequent and intense climate disasters,” United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said in a video messaged released with the report. “We're playing with fire, but there can be no more playing for time. We're out of time.”

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Read more of AP’s climate coverage at http://www.apnews.com/climate-and-environment

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Follow Seth Borenstein on X at @borenbears

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The Associated Press’ climate and environmental coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.org.

Seth Borenstein, The Associated Press


World is on track for a ‘catastrophic’ rise in temperature, UN report says

Julia Musto
Thu, October 24, 2024 

World is on track for a ‘catastrophic’ rise in temperature, UN report says


The world is on track for a “catastrophic” 3.1 degrees Celsius (37.58 degrees Fahrenheit) of global warming over preindustrial levels, according to the United Nations. Scientists have warned that there is no safe amount of climate change.

The international organization said that a previous goal to limit warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (34.7 degrees Fahrenheit) – a threshold set at the 2015 Paris Agreement – will “soon be dead” without an unprecedented global mobilization to limit climate change.

Earth is currently likely to see a global temperature rise of 2.6 degrees Celsius (36.68 degrees Fahrenheit) to 3.1 degrees Celsius, according to the UN Environment Programme (UNEP).

Although, the exact amount of future warming will depend on steps taken to curb emissions of greenhouse gases produced by the fossil fuel industry.

The UN said its core message is that “ambition means nothing without action.”

“The magnitude of the challenge is indisputable. At the same time, there are abundant opportunities for accelerating mitigation action alongside achieving pressing development needs and Sustainable Development Goals,” it said.

River dwellers carry water on the sandbanks of Brazil’s Madeira river last September. The country was threatened by widespread drought and wildfires this summer. A new UN report details the “catastrophic” rise in temperatures (REUTERS/Bruno Kelly)

The impacts of climate change are already ravaging the globe, bringing more severe wildfires and extreme heat, as well as widespread and devastating flooding.

Scientists have warned that there is no safe amount of climate change, but passing the 1.5-degree threshold would bring impacts to ecosystems that are larger than the world is willing to accept.

“There is a direct link between increasing emissions and increasingly frequent and intense climate disasters,” António Guterres, UN Secretary-General, said in a video. “Around the world, people are paying a terrible price. Record emissions mean record sea temperatures supercharging monster hurricanes; record heat is turning forests into tinder boxes and cities into saunas; record rains are resulting in biblical floods.”

Traffic warden Rai Rogers mans his street corner under the hot sun in Las Vegas, Nevada, in July 2023. Temperatures there reached 106 degrees Fahrenheit. A UN study found the world is on track for a 3.1 degrees Celsius rise in temperatures above preindustrial levels (AFP via Getty Images)

Urgent action taken this decade is essential for trying to minimize the impacts, according to experts. Many areas, including islands, are disproportionately affected by climate change. In an increasingly warming world, those troubles would only grow.

While nations have implemented country-level action plans for meeting these targets up to 2030, the UN report said greenhouse gas emissions are still rising. Last year, they rose by 1.3 percent over 2022 marks.

Across the 19 members of the G20 forum, greenhouse gas emissions increased last year, accounting for 77 percent of global emissions.

A six-fold increase in mitigation investment is needed to achieve net zero, cutting carbon emissions to a small amount that will leave zero of the greenhouse gas in the atmosphere.

Even if countries deliver on their climate plans, the report said there would be temperature rises between 2.6 degrees and 2.8 degrees Celsius (37.04 degrees Fahrenheit) over the preindustrial marks.

People ride a tractor amid severe flooding in Feni, Bangladesh, in August 2024. Scientists have warned that there is no safe amount of climate change, but passing the 1.5-degree threshold would bring impacts to ecosystems that are larger than the world is willing to accept. (REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain/File Photo)More

”Nations must collectively commit to cut 42 percent off annual greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 and 57 percent by 2035 in the next round of NDCs to achieve the 1.5C goal,” the UNEP cautioned.

The deadline for countries to submit their next plans, known as nationally determined contributions or NDCs, is just a few months away and ahead of the COP30 climate talks in Brazil.. The report said they must “deliver a quantum leap in ambition.”

The publication of these findings also comes just days before the United Nations Climate Change Conference “COP29,” which will be hosted in Azerbaijan’s capital city of Baku.

While 2023 was the planet’s warmest year on record, climatologists say it is nearly certain that this year will set a new record.

“We’re being tested. The planet is testing us to see if we can explain things that we didn’t anticipate,” NASA’s chief climate scientist Gavin Schmidt told The Independent on Tuesday. “And, we have not yet passed that test.”

With reporting from PA News


World already 'paying terrible price' for climate inaction: Guterres

AFP
Thu, October 24, 2024 at 10:07 a.m. MDT·1 min read


The current pace of climate action would result in a catastrophic 3.1 degrees Celsius of warming this century, the UN Environment Programme says


Humanity is 'paying a terrible price' for inaction on global warming, with time running out to correct the course and avoid climate disaster, UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres said Thursday.

A new report by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) says the next decade is critical in the fight against climate change or any hope of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius will be lost.

The current pace of climate action would result in a catastrophic 3.1C of warming this century, UNEP said in its latest Emissions Gap report.

And even if all existing pledges to cut emissions were enacted as promised, global temperatures would soar 2.6C above pre-industrial levels -- a still devastating scenario for humanity.

"Either leaders bridge the emissions gap, or we plunge headlong into climate disaster, with the poorest and most vulnerable suffering the most," said Guterres.

"Around the world, people are paying a terrible price."

The call to action, just weeks before the UN COP29 climate summit, follows a streak of destructive and deadly extreme weather in a year expected to be the hottest in recorded history.

The world's poorest have been particularly hard hit, with typhoons and heatwaves in Asia and the Caribbean, floods in Africa, and droughts and wildfires in Latin America.
'Out of time'

UNEP's latest projections blow well past 1.5C, which nations agreed in Paris in 2015 was the safer bet to minimise the worst consequences of a warming planet.

Guterres said wealthy G20 economies in particular would need to show far more ambition in the next round of climate pledges, known as NDCs, which are due in early 2025.

Rather than declining, emissions are still rising, hitting a new record high last year.


Chance of limiting global warming to 1.5C is 'virtually zero' on current trends, UN warns

Sky News
Thu, October 24, 2024 



The chance of limiting global warming to 1.5C is "virtually zero" on current trends, according to the UN's environment body.

This year's Emissions Gap Report finds that emissions of greenhouse gasses in 2023 were the highest on record.

More concerning, the rate of growth since 2022 was nearly twice as fast as in the decade preceding the COVID pandemic.

This comes despite decades of climate talks and a boom in wind and solar power.

The analysis finds that the current trajectory in carbon emissions puts the world on course for a potentially catastrophic 3.1C of warming this century - compared to pre-industrial times.

While emissions in many wealthy countries, including the UK, the US and the EU have peaked, they are not falling anywhere near fast enough to make up for rapidly growing emissions in places like China, India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia and Vietnam.

'Crunch time is here'

"Climate crunch time is here," said Inger Andersen, executive director of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).

"We need global mobilisation on a scale and pace never seen before - starting right now, before the next round of climate pledges."

The report urges nations meeting at the UN climate summit next month in Baku, Azerbaijan, to come forward with emissions-cutting commitments that don't continue to ignore the agreement they all signed in Paris in 2015.

The Paris Agreement, signed by 196 countries, pledged to limit global warming to well below 2C above pre-industrial levels and try and prevent it from rising beyond 1.5C.

The UNEP analysis of current carbon-cutting commitments finds only one country, Madagascar, has submitted a more ambitious one since last year.

And only a handful are ambitious enough to actually slow global warming.

If all current pledges were implemented in full the world would still warm by between 2.6C-2.8C this century.

Given many countries, including the UK, are yet to implement policies to fully meet their targets, the current trajectory takes the world closer to a potentially catastrophic 3.1C of warming.

"Central warming projections indicate that the chance of limiting global warming to 1.5C would be virtually zero," the report concludes.

'This is a battle we cannot afford to lose'

It's not all bad news however.

An analysis of the cost of measures to reduce emissions finds there is technical potential for cuts of 31 gigatons of greenhouse gasses by 2030 - around half of the total emitted globally in 2023 - and 41 gigatons by 2035.

This "massive effort" to deploy zero-carbon electricity generation like wind and solar and reverse deforestation trends would bridge the gap needed to put the world back on track to keep warming below 1.5C.

However, years of inaction have made this challenge harder, the report finds.

Emission cuts must be 7.5% steeper every year until 2035 to meet 1.5C and 4% annually to keep to 2C.

"Maybe we won't get all the way to 1.5C but 1.6C is a lot better than 1.7C," says Dr Anne Olhoff, the report's lead author.

"Basically, every fraction of a degree matters and this is a battle we cannot afford to lose."

Countries have until 2025 to submit new carbon-cutting pledges under the Paris Agreement.

But to deliver the cuts required, the main challenge - and one that will be central to talks at the upcoming climate summit in Baku - is technical and financial assistance from rich countries to poorer ones that don't bear historical responsibility for global warming.

Progress, says Dr Olhoff, "hinges on immediate and relentless action."

"Most of all, of course, it depends on political leadership."
Trudeau announces massive drop in immigration targets, as Liberals make major pivot

Nojoud Al Mallees and Laura Osman
Thu, October 24, 2024 



OTTAWA — Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says the government is slashing immigration targets as he admits the government did not get the balance right following the COVID-19 pandemic.

The government had targeted to bring in 500,000 new permanent residents in both 2025 and 2026.

Trudeau however now says the target next year will be 395,000 new permanent residents.


It will fall even lower to 380,000 in 2026 and 365,000 in 2027.

The change comes after significant criticism of the Liberal government's increases to immigration and the impact of strong population growth of housing affordability.

The government's goal is also to reduce the number of temporary residents to five per cent of the population over the next three years, down from 7.2 per cent in July.

The federal government estimates this will mean the non-permanent resident population will decrease by 445,901 in 2025, 445,662 in 2026 and will increase modestly by 17,439 in 2027.

The moves come after years of rapid increase to the number of new permanent residents in Canada and a ballooning number of people coming to Canada on a temporary basis, which federal ministers have conceded put pressure on housing and affordability.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

Nojoud Al Mallees and Laura Osman, The Canadian Press
NDP plan motion to push back against anti-abortion 'creep' from Conservatives

Rosa Saba
Thu, October 24, 2024 




OTTAWA — The NDP is looking to push back against what it calls a "creep" of legislation, petitions and threats from the Conservatives aimed at reducing access to abortion.

Leader Jagmeet Singh says his party will use its next opposition day to force the House of Commons to debate and vote on a motion that calls for urgent action to improve abortion access.

Speaking in Montreal, Singh also called out the governing Liberals, saying they haven't done enough to improve abortion access in Canada.


The NDP in its press release cited several examples of what it called "anti-choice" moves from the Tories, including a petition presented earlier this year by a Conservative MP that claimed more than 98 per cent of abortions "are for reasons of social or personal convenience."

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre said he disagreed with the petition, and has previously called himself "pro-choice" and said he would not pass laws that restrict reproductive choices if he is elected.

A Conservative MP also introduced a bill last year to encourage judges to consider a victim's pregnancy as an aggravating factor in sentencing — something advocates said could be used to open up the abortion debate.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

Rosa Saba, The Canadian Press
Teen who died in Halifax Walmart bakery oven was discovered by her mother: Sikh group

Michael Tutton
Thu, October 24, 2024



HALIFAX — A Sikh organization says the body of a 19-year-old employee who died in a Halifax Walmart bakery oven Saturday was discovered by her mother — a co-worker at the store.

The Maritime Sikh Society on Thursday identified the victim as Gursimran Kaur, a Sikh woman originally from India. She was "a young beautiful girl who came to Canada with big dreams," says an online fundraising page organized by the society.

Kaur had immigrated to Canada with her mother about two years ago. Balbir Singh, secretary of the society, said Kaur's mother is still suffering from shock but she authorized the release of information about her daughter for the GoFundMe page.


The fundraising drive says the mother became frantic after her daughter stopped answering her phone during the Saturday night shift. The mother, whose name was not released, eventually opened the walk-in bakery oven at the store and found her daughter's burned body, it says.

The fundraiser, which had amassed more than $85,000 as of noon local time, requests donations to bring Kaur's father and brother from the Punjab region of India to Nova Scotia for the funeral. "This family's sufferings are unimaginable and indescribable. They need your support to get through this horrific time," it says.

A spokeswoman from Walmart said the company has no further comment on the matter as a criminal investigation is still underway.

Halifax Regional Police have said they are still attempting to determine the cause and manner of the young woman's death and have said the investigation is "complex" and could be lengthy. They said in an emailed statement Thursday they "have no new information to share with the public."

In an interview, Singh said the mother wants answers about how it was possible for her daughter to die in the oven and not be found until she began a search.

"She (the mother) is not in a state where she wants all of this to be hushed up," he said. "She is telling everyone that she wants justice for her daughter."

He added the mother is receiving psychological counselling to help her through the shock and intense grief she is experiencing.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

Michael Tutton, The Canadian Press


41% Of Republican Voters Agree That GOP’s Anti-Trans Rhetoric Is ‘Sad And Shameful’

Lil Kalish
Updated Thu 24 October 2024

Former President Donald Trump’s campaign has spent more than $21 million on political advertisements attacking Vice President Kamala Harris this election cycle over her support of transgender rights — and stoking fears about transgender people’s presence in public life.

In an ad that has run nationally and in swing states and is circulating widely online, the Trump campaign takes aim at Harris’ prior support of gender-affirming care for people in prisons. It ends with the tagline: “Kamala is for they/them; President Trump is for you.”

A new report from Data for Progress out Thursday shows that voters across party lines believe these ads have gotten out of hand — and that they think Democrats are better equipped to handle LGBTQ+ issues than Republicans.

The progressive polling firm surveyed 1,216 likely U.S. voters about candidates’ stances on transgender rights. Respondents were asked whether they agreed or disagreed with a series of statements.

Asked if they viewed Republican candidates’ use of anti-LGBTQ+ rhetoric in their campaigns as “sad and shameful,” 41% of Republicans and 58% of independent voters agreed. That compares to 38% of Republicans and 25% of independents who do not think it’s “shameful.”

The survey also found that 80% of all voters polled, across party lines, agreed that the two major parties should spend more time talking about the economy and inflation than issues related to transgender people. And 52% of voters trust the Democratic Party more than the GOP to handle trans issues, including a 39% plurality of independents.

This new data is consistent with other polling from Data for Progress earlier this year. In January, the firm asked a similar number of likely U.S. voters to rank issues most important to them. The economy and employment were at the top of the list, followed by climate change and health care. LGBTQ+ issues ranked last.

Trump and Republicans have made big bets this year that anti-trans rhetoric will not only help the top of the ticket, but will help them clinch several competitive races for seats in the House and Senate in what is projected to be the most expensive election of all time.

Republican expenditures targeting a minority group that by some counts makes up as little as 0.5% of the U.S. population have not borne fruit in the past. During the midterm elections in 2022, Republican candidates who ran campaigns heavy on anti-trans rhetoric, who used hateful language to describe transgender people or who called into question the science of gender-affirming care overwhelmingly lost. By contrast, LGBTQ+ candidates won at record-setting numbers, according to the Victory Institute, which works to elect LGBTQ+ candidates.

Over each of the last two years, Republican-led state legislatures across the country have filed more than 500 bills targeting the LGBTQ+ community. They often have a particular focus on transgender children, limiting their access to certain sports teams and bathrooms, restricting LGBTQ+ topics in school curricula and banning gender-affirming care like puberty blockers and hormone therapy for minors.

Now 24 states have passed bans on gender-affirming care for minors and 25 states have passed bans on trans youth participating in sports that align with their gender identity, according to the Movement Advancement Project, a nonprofit research institution. The fate of gender-affirming care for young trans kids rests in a legal challenge that the Supreme Court will hear this December.

In the meantime, a majority of Democrats and 45% plurality of Republicans believe the government should have less involvement in the medical decisions transgender people make, according to the new Data for Progress survey. And a 48% plurality of Republicans said that the wave of anti-LGBTQ+ legislation was “too much” and that politicians were “playing political theater and using these bills as a wedge issue.”


Majority of voters view anti-transgender ads as ‘mean-spirited’

Brooke Migdon
Thu 24 October 2024 



New polling from a left-leaning firm shows a majority of voters see a recent wave of campaign ads targeting transgender student-athletes and gender-affirming health care as “mean-spirited,” and the ads could be backfiring.

More than half of voters surveyed this month by Data For Progress said political attack ads targeting the trans community have gotten “out of hand” — including nearly a third of Republicans, whose candidates are largely responsible for the ads.

Just more than 60 percent of surveyed voters, including a majority of independents and 41 percent of Republicans, said it is “sad and shameful” for GOP candidates to make anti-LGBTQ rhetoric a part of their campaigns, according to the poll, which was released Thursday.

Former President Trump and Republicans in key House and Senate races have bet big on anti-transgender messaging in the final weeks of the election, pouring millions into political ads that paint their Democratic opponents as radical for supporting trans-inclusive policies.

“Crazy liberal Kamala is for they/them, President Trump is for you,” says one pro-Trump television ad that aired this month in battleground states.

A study released Thursday by Ground Media, a strategic communications group, found the ad yielded “no statistically significant shift” in voter choice, mobilization or likelihood to vote. It did, however, reduce public acceptance of trans people across nearly all demographics.

An ad campaign launched this year by Ground Media in partnership with GLAAD, an LGBTQ media advocacy group, advocates for broad support for transgender Americans and their families.

Transgender issues are among the least important issues driving voters to the ballot box, a recent Gallup poll found, and a similar focus on transgender athletes and health care in 2022 failed to translate to election wins for Republicans.

“There were more ads on transgender sports than inflation, gas prices and bread and butter issues that could have swayed independent voters,” Paul Cordes, chief of staff for the Michigan Republican Party, wrote in a 2022 memo after the party lost control of the state Legislature for the first time in a decade. A sweep of victories on election night gave Democrats control of Michigan’s Senate for the first time in 38 years.

Eighty percent of voters in Thursday’s Data For Progress poll said political candidates on both sides of the aisle should spend less time talking about transgender issues and devote more of their energy and campaign resources toward addressing voters’ priority issues, like the economy and inflation. Eighty-five percent of Republicans said candidates should back away from transgender messaging, according to the poll, eclipsing the share of Democratic (75 percent) and independent (82 percent) voters who said the same.

Another 55 percent of voters surveyed said state lawmakers over the past year have introduced “too much” legislation aimed at limiting the rights of transgender people. More than 500 anti-LGBTQ bills were introduced in state legislatures this year, primarily by Republicans. Nearly all of them, however, failed to become law, according to the American Civil Liberties Union.

Voters in Thursday’s poll said politicians “are playing political theater” and are using the bills as a wedge issue. A majority — 58 percent — said the government “should be less involved in regulating what transgender people are allowed to do, including the health care they can receive.”

While more than half of voters surveyed said they trust Democrats over Republicans to handle transgender issues, voters split more closely over which political party has taken a “more extreme stance” on trans policy. Fifty-two percent of voters surveyed, however — including 80 percent of Democrats and 46 percent of independents — said they are most likely to vote for a candidate who supports transgender rights.

A majority of Republicans, at 57 percent, said they are most likely to vote for a candidate who opposes trans rights, according to the poll. Similarly, Republicans were more likely than Democrats and independents to respond positively to a hypothetical campaign message calling for new laws to restrict access to gender-affirming health care and to keep “biological boys” out of girls’ sports.

An overwhelming majority of voters surveyed said they believe transgender people “deserve to be treated with dignity and respect,” including 86 percent of Democrats, 78 percent of independents and 58 percent of Republicans.

Copyright 2024 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. 






Trump wants God to come down and count votes in the election

Kelly Rissman
Tue, October 22, 2024 at 7:57 AM MDT·3 min read
114

Donald Trump suggested that if God could serve as “vote counter” for one day, he might win California.

The former president argued at a Greenville, North Carolina rally that while he boasts large crowd sizes in the historically blue state, he will probably lose due to voter fraud, so he hoped that God would count the votes instead.

“I was in California. We have some of the biggest crowds you’ve ever seen” in the state, he told the crowd on Monday.

“I’d love to have God to come down and be the vote counter just for one day and see how well we do in California,” Trump added.

The Republican nominee then falsely claimed while waving his arms in the air that “they” — he didn’t specify who — “send millions and millions of ballots out there. They don’t know what’s happening.”

“And no matter what happens, they’ll say: ‘Well, California’s not available,’” he continued, talking about his ability to win the historically blue state before he bragged about his large crowd sizes there.

The former president has been making stops in deep blue states — like New York, Colorado, Illinois, and California — in the final stretch before Election Day.

He went to Coachella Valley, California last week and is planning on making a stop in Madison Square Garden in New York on Sunday.

When he announced that he was going to hold a rally at the Manhattan arena, Trump said: “We’re going to make a play for New York.”

“As President Trump has said, he will be a president for all Americans, including those in traditionally blue states that Kamala Harris and the Democrats have left behind,” RNC spokesperson Anna Kelly previously told The Independent via email.

“Kamala Harris’ dangerously liberal policies have failed Americans across the country — from the Bronx, to Coachella, and Aurora — which is why President Trump is bringing his America First message and vision for hardworking families right to their front door.”


Trump has released his own version of the Bible - made in China (Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved)

Throughout the campaign cycle, Trump has also been sowing seeds of doubt about the election’s integrity.

As recently as Sunday, while speaking to reporters out of a McDonald’s drive-thru window in Feasterville-Trevose, Pennsylvania, Trump was asked if he would accept the results of the election.

He replied: “Yeah, sure, if it’s a fair election.”

Trump has also amplified baseless theories around how migrant voters will impact the elections.

“Our elections are bad, and a lot of these illegal immigrants coming in, they’re trying to get them to vote,” the Republican nominee said at the September 10 debate.

“They can’t even speak English. They don’t even know what country they’re in, practically,” he added. “And these people are trying to get them to vote, and that’s why they’re allowing them into our country.”