Friday, November 01, 2024

The Slow Birth Of The New World

WE ARE BUILDING THE NEW WORLD IN THE SHELL OF THE OLD
IWW PREAMBLE

October 30, , 2024


Four major multilateral meetings have come and gone. Together, they exposed the increasing brittleness of Western power, the fictitiousness of the “International Rules-Based Order” designed to uphold it, and the blindness of its architects to the system that is slowly dislodging them from their seats in the high castle.

In Washington, D.C., the World Bank Group held its annual meetings from 25-27 October. The World Bank and International Monetary Fund — resented globally for enforcing austerity, keeping countries in debt penury, and undemocratically favouring the US and its subordinates — are attempting a rebranding. However, like most PR exercises, the changes remain largely rhetorical. In her curtain-raiser speech, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told the assembled delegates that “countries need to relearn how to work together” and that the IMF would “play a vital role” in a “revival of cooperation.”

These words rang hollow to the dozens of countries in debt distress, especially when in 2023 countries paid more to service debts than they received in new external finance. The Fund’s marquee announcement for the Global South was a policy change that might collectively save Southern countries a paltry $1.2 billion annually. Instead of scrapping the predatory policy of charging debtor countries additional fees when under duress, it merely trimmed the charges. Insiders say the United States, which effectively controls the IMF through its anti-democratic governance structure, blocked further reforms.

Meanwhile, high-ranking representatives of 36 countries, including Palestine, travelled to Kazan, the capital of the Republic of Tatarstan in the Russian Federation, for the most significant BRICS Summit to date. The BRICS bloc, originally comprised of just Brazil, Russia, India, and China, with South Africa joining in 2010, covers more than half the world’s population. And it is continuing to grow. Last year, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the UAE all joined as members with Saudi Arabia participating short of membership. This year, Algeria, Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Turkey, Uganda, Uzbekistan, and Vietnam joined as partner states.

China is already the world’s largest bilateral creditor and the BRICS countries now make up a larger share of Global GDP (at purchasing power parity) than the G7. But the BRICS members aspire to be more than the sum of their parts. In Kazan, they began to outline the contours of a truly alternative international system. Among the most ambitious proposals debated and endorsed in principle at the Summit were detailed plans for a BRICS Clearing and Depository system that would sidestep the US-controlled dollar system, allowing states to trade in their national currencies.

If this succeeds, it could be a groundbreaking move for nations whose dependence on the US dollar exposes them to blackmail. There are many examples of the injustice of that system. Just years ago, when the Iraqi Parliament overwhelmingly voted to expel US troops from the country, it was forced to back down after the US government threatened to cut its access to the dollar. The potential for a break with the imperialist order is why the outcomes of Kazan were welcomed with enthusiasm across the Global South.

In response, Western elites repeated the same “words-not-actions” playbook that Georgieva deployed at the IMF. Charles Michel, the President of the European Council, told reporters that the lesson he learned from the participation of so many states in the BRICS was that the EU needed to stop “lecturing” developing countries. The lesson is reflective of the West’s deepening myopia. Southern states are, in fact, less interested in dodging the West’s lectures than in seeking material solutions to the centuries-long injustices they have faced at the hands of Western powers.

Over 16,000 kilometres away from Michel’s press briefing, the same act was on display from the UK when the Commonwealth Heads of Government met this week in Samoa, an island nation in Polynesia.

The Commonwealth is a club of 56 member states and a hangover from British colonialism that does very little. Judging by the presence of new Prime Minister Keir Starmer and King Charles in the Pacific, the British state believes it can mobilise the bloc into force in Britain’s geopolitical struggle — on behalf of the US — against China, Russia and other official enemies.

Yet, rather than rallying to the British flag, the leaders of South Africa and India chose to be in Kazan. And despite Starmer’s attempt to block discussions on reparations for slavery and colonialism, Britain’s former colonies forced it onto the agenda and into the final communiqué, albeit in watered-down form. The UK’s official line is that it understands the “strength of feeling” about reparatory justice for imperial crimes but that it would rather look “forward, not back” — even as it continues to cling to a system of imperial domination long past its due date, most notoriously by underwriting the colonial genocide in Gaza.

The fourth of the meetings took place in Cali, Colombia, where nations are gathering for the COP16 UN biodiversity summit. Last week, a new UN report said the world is currently on track for over three degrees centigrade of warming based on current policies. That level of heating blasts straight through the 1.5 degrees agreed in Paris in 2015 at the height of faith in the current multilateral system’s ability to do anything of consequence. 2023 was a year of record temperatures, emissions and biodiversity loss. But, in Cali, once again we see the stark gap between the ambitions of the South and the inaction of the North.

The host government, led by eco-socialist President Gustavo Petro, has placed Colombia’s Indigenous communities at the centre of the summit. It is championing a greater role for Indigenous people in protecting the country’s rich ecosystems. Last week, the environment ministry announced it will create Indigenous-led environmental bodies.

But this welcome and necessary shift of power within one state is not mirrored globally. This summit is the first since the 2022 agreement for all UN member states to produce nature action plans and for rich countries to deliver $20 billion per year to developing nations to protect nature. The funds have not been forthcoming and only around 10% of countries have published their plans.

The current multilateral order, built by US power after the Second World War when much of the world was still formally colonised, is driving humanity off the edge of a cliff. From climate collapse to proxy violence, gaping global inequality to genocide, it cannot answer the needs of the majority of the world’s people. And so, this order is beginning to wither away as a new one cautiously emerges to take its place.

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